textproduct: Jacksonville

KEY MESSAGES

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Isolated to Widely Scattered Afternoon Thunderstorms Today

- Moderate Rip Current Risk at Area Beaches through Saturday. High Risk Possible at the Northeast FL Beaches on Sunday

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Main Highlights:

- Isolated Thunderstorms Possible this Afternoon and Evening

The front will continue to push southeastward through the area today, bringing scattered showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm this afternoon. Behind the front, cooler, drier air will move into the region and persist through the weekend as winds shift northwesterly. Ahead of the front, moist conditions, southwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies are allowing temperatures to climb into the lower to mid 80s. Cloud cover gradually reduces overnight, with calm winds and low temperatures in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

Main Highlights This Period:

- Cooler and Drier Conditions Expected this Weekend.

- Elevated surf and high risk of rip currents this weekend.

Light northwesterly-northerly winds on Saturday behind the cold front's passage, with winds steadily shifting to become northeasterly by the end of the weekend as cold and dry conditions persist through the weekend. Breezier conditions expected along the coast as northeast winds develop Sunday and a stray coastal shower with the shift to onshore flow.

Daytime highs will be in the mid 70s to mid 80s this weekend with cooler temperatures across SE GA. Cooler air will bring Lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s, warmer temperatures across NE FL.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Main Highlights This Period:

- Drier and cooler with a return of showers for NE FL Wednesday night and Thursday.

Dry conditions persist through into next week as high pressure builds over the area. The next chance of showers past midweek with isolated chances of showers across north central FL as a shortwave pushes across the FL peninsula from the Gulf ahead of another cold front pushing south towards the area near the end of the forecast period. Cooler temperatures with daytime highs in the 70s, while mid 40s to mid 50s during the overnight hours with the cooler temperatures across SE GA inland locations.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

A cold front will push across the terminals during the late afternoon and through the evening bringing the potential of a passing shower, particularly at KSSI. Prefrontal southwesterly winds around 5-10 knots will shift northwesterly behind the front through the evening hours. Outside of a passing shower, VFR conditions are likely through the overnight hours.

MARINE

An advancing cold front will press into the southeastern states over the course of today and tonight. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms may impact the waters this afternoon and evening ahead of the approaching front, which will cross our local waters before sunrise on Saturday. Winds will shift to northwest with increasing speeds after midnight tonight, followed by winds shifting to north and then northeast in the wake of this frontal passage on Saturday afternoon and evening. High pressure will gradually build into the southeastern states Sunday through early Monday, creating breezy northeast winds and gradually building seas across our local waters. Winds will weaken by Monday afternoon into Tuesday as high pressure settles over the area.

Rip Currents / High Surf:

Breakers around 2-4 feet and a moderate onshore swell will lead to a Moderate risk of Rip Currents today amid the light offshore flow. A brief northeasterly breeze will surge down the coast this weekend and likely elevate surf heights and introduce a high risk of rip currents.

FIRE WEATHER

Light coastal showers will push offshore early this evening. Behind a cold front's passage, northwesterly-northerly develop across the area Tonight, with winds becoming northeasterly by the start of next week. Light winds overall aside from breezy conditions along the coast. Otherwise dry conditions expected through the weekend as high pressure and a dry airmass settle into the region. Mostly Fair dispersions across the area this weekend. With the dry airmass overhead, min RH values are expected to dip to near critical levels during the upcoming week for SE GA locations.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER WEATHER REMARKS: Low to nil chances for Fog this weekend.

CLIMATE

We are near record highs at GNV, CRG, and JAX today and Friday, generally within about 2-3 degrees of the record. We are also near the record high minimum today at a couple of climate sites. New records / ties are possible.

Record High Temperatures:

November 5th: KJAX: 87/2003 KAMG: KCRG: 86/2003

November 6: KJAX: 88/2018 KCRG: 87/2018

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

November 5: KJAX: 72/2015 KGNV: 70/2015

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

AMG 54 75 50 74 / 0 0 0 0 SSI 58 74 59 70 / 10 0 0 0 JAX 59 78 55 75 / 20 0 0 0 SGJ 63 76 62 75 / 10 0 0 0 GNV 61 79 54 79 / 10 0 0 0 OCF 64 80 55 80 / 0 0 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GA...None. MARINE...None.