textproduct: Jacksonville

KEY MESSAGES

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Scattered to Numerous Afternoon & Evening Thunderstorms Each Day through the Weekend and Early Next Week. Primary concern will be heavy downpours resulting in localized flooding. Strong thunderstorm risk will shift inland toward the I-75 corridor this weekend.

- Moderate Rip Current Risk Continues at All Area Beaches

AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Thunderstorms this afternoon and evening will bring the potential for flight category reductions, primarily due to visibility for short durations (18-00z) with activity generally moving eastward off the coast or decreasing in strength and coverage after 00z. VFR conditions with leftover cloud debris is expected through the evening with light southerly winds.

MARINE

Offshore winds will prevail through Friday night, then shift onshore over the weekend as high pressure builds to the north over the weekend, then to the northeast and into the western Atlantic early next week. Afternoon thunderstorms remain possible today and Friday due the prevailing offshore winds, followed by decreasing chances this weekend into next week as onshore flow develops.

Rip Currents: A very low end Moderate Risk of rip currents is expected this afternoon after the sea breeze develops. Similar expectation on Friday. Prevailing winds turn onshore this weekend, leading to a more solid Moderate risk.

FIRE WEATHER

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will progress across our during the afternoon and early evening hours through Friday. Activity may begin during the late morning hours along the I-75 corridor and north central Florida before activity pushes eastward across the rest of our area during the afternoon and early evening hours. Strong thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon, mainly along the Interstate 95 corridor. Afternoon and early evening showers and thunderstorms will then shift to locations west of the I- 95 corridor this weekend through Monday, with isolated activity possible along and east of I-95 during the morning hours. Strong thunderstorms will be possible for locations west of I-95 each afternoon from this weekend through Monday. Southwesterly surface and transport winds will prevail through Friday, followed by surface and transport winds shifting to southeasterly on Saturday and then easterly on Sunday and Monday. Fair to good daytime dispersion values will prevail through Friday. Lighter surface and transport speeds on Saturday will yield poor to fair daytime dispersion values, followed by generally fair values on Sunday and Monday.

Fog Potential: Significant fog is unlikely during the next several days. Gusty and erratic winds can be expected in and near thunderstorms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

AMG 91 73 91 71 / 60 50 80 40 SSI 88 76 89 76 / 30 20 50 60 JAX 91 73 91 72 / 60 30 70 40 SGJ 90 74 90 74 / 60 20 60 40 GNV 90 73 89 72 / 60 20 50 20 OCF 90 72 90 72 / 60 20 60 30

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GA...None. MARINE...None.