textproduct: Jacksonville

KEY MESSAGES

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Dense Fog Advisory until 10 for inland SE GA and Suwannee Valley. Visibilities around mile or less are possible

- Isolated to Widely Scattered Afternoon Thunderstorms Today

- Moderate Rip Current Risk at Area Beaches through Saturday. High Risk Possible at the Northeast FL Beaches on Sunday

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Dense (LIFR) fog with visibility below 1/2 mile continues to slow push eastward this morning, generally along and north of I-10. Confidence on this fog bank reaching the I-95 corridor is low. With the exception of KGNV, VFR ceilings are likely to persist through the morning. Fog and low stratus west of I-95 will gradually lift through 15z, followed by VFR conditions. A cold front will push northwest to southwest across the terminals during the late afternoon and through the evening bringing the potential of a passing shower or vicinity thunderstorm, particularly at KSSI. Prefrontal southwesterly winds around 5-10 knots will develop late this morning and shift northwesterly behind the front through the evening hours. Outside of a passing shower, VFR conditions are likely through the overnight hours.

MARINE

An advancing cold front will press into the southeastern states over the course of today and tonight. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms may impact the waters this afternoon and evening ahead of the approaching front, which will cross our local waters before sunrise on Saturday. Winds will shift to northwest with increasing speeds after midnight tonight, followed by winds shifting to north and then northeast in the wake of this frontal passage on Saturday afternoon and evening. High pressure will gradually build into the southeastern states Sunday through early Monday, creating breezy northeast winds and gradually building seas across our local waters. Winds will weaken by Monday afternoon into Tuesday as high pressure settles over the area.

Rip Currents / High Surf:

Breakers around 2-4 feet and a moderate onshore swell will lead to a Moderate risk of Rip Currents today amid the light offshore flow. A brief northeasterly breeze will surge down the coast this weekend and likely elevate surf heights and introduce a high risk of rip currents.

FIRE WEATHER

A slow-moving cold front will push through SE GA this afternoon and NE FL this evening, bringing drier and cooler air in behind it. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are possible along the frontal edge, particularly during the afternoon hours north of I-10. Light northerly winds behind the front will gradually shift northeasterly through the weekend and become breezy especially along the coast. Fair dispersions are likely through the weekend. The drier air will lower daytime humidity near critical for portions of SE GA north of US 82 early next week. Otherwise, humidity will trend drier but not reach critically low levels.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER WEATHER REMARKS: Areas to widespread fog will be possible through around 10 AM this morning. Fog is not expected to develop over the weekend.

CLIMATE

We are near record highs at GNV, CRG, and JAX today and Friday, generally within about 2-3 degrees of the record. We are also near the record high minimum today at a couple of climate sites. New records / ties are possible.

Record High Temperatures:

November 5th: KJAX: 87/2003 KAMG: KCRG: 86/2003

November 6: KJAX: 88/2018 KCRG: 87/2018

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

November 5: KJAX: 72/2015 KGNV: 70/2015

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

AMG 81 54 75 50 / 20 0 0 0 SSI 82 58 74 59 / 30 10 0 0 JAX 85 59 78 55 / 20 20 0 0 SGJ 84 63 76 62 / 10 10 0 0 GNV 85 61 79 54 / 10 10 0 0 OCF 85 64 80 55 / 0 0 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for FLZ021-023- 030-031-035-120-136-220-236-322-422-522. GA...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for GAZ132>136- 149-151-152-162-163-250-264-350-364. MARINE...None.