textproduct: Jacksonville

KEY MESSAGES

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- High Risk of Rip Currents through the Weekend

- Small Craft Advisory

- Extreme to Exceptional Drought Continues. Dry & Warmer Friday through next Week. Elevated Wildfire Danger returns this weekend

- Fog Potential Returns this Weekend

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM SATURDAY MORNING/

Main Highlights through Tonight:

- High Risk of Rip Currents continues

High pressure will build across the area Tonight. Fog is expected to develop along the SE GA coast, on a moist northeast to north flow. This fog will then spread south and inland toward dawn. Dense fog will be possible.

Lows Tonight will range from the lower 50s inland SE GA, to the lower 60s along the coast.

SHORT TERM /7 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

Main Highlights This Period:

- Warmer temperatures, clearing skies, and dry weather this weekend - Inland Late Night/Early Morning Fog

High pressure will dominant across the area during the forecast period this weekend. With the high pressure overhead, clear skies, dry weather, and a light easterly onshore flow will be in place through the weekend. Daytime temperatures this weekend will be warmer than the past couple of days as highs across inland locations west of the I-95 corridor will be in the lower to mid 80s, the warmest temperatures over the far interior locations. With the easterly onshore breeze, cooler marine air will keep locations east of the I-95 corridor in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

Overnight Lows will be in the mid 50s across inland locations with slightly warmer Lows in the lower 60s along coastal locations. Near calm winds during the overnight hours could lead to the development of patchy to areas of fog during the predawn hours each morning during the upcoming weekend.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Main Highlights This Period:

- Temperatures trending to above seasonal norms during the upcoming week

High pressure remains over the area leading to warm and dry conditions through the upcoming work week. Ridging aloft builds in from the Gulf towards the FL peninsula through midweek as a trough digs over the western CONUS. This pattern will allow for a warming trend to continue from the weekend and through next week. Daytime highs will trend well above seasonal norms as temperatures rise into the mid to upper 80s, with some inland locations potentially reaching near or above record values in the lower 90s past midweek. Coastal locations will be relatively cooler as as the onshore flow will help to keep temperatures from rising as much.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Prevailing VFR conditions are expecdted this evening. Fog is expected to develop near the coast and exapand inland overnight, with restrictions at areas TAF sites anticipated. A trend to VFR conditions Saturday morning.

MARINE

High pressure ridging will be the prevailing feature through the weekend into next week.

Rip Currents and Surf:

Onshore winds will keep a high risk of rip currents through the weekend as elevated surf and onshore flow prevail.

FIRE WEATHER

- High Inland Dispersion This Weekend - Critically Low Humidity Inland Southeast Ga This Weekend

Northeasterly winds will continue on Saturday, shifting to easterly by Sunday. High dispersions across inland NE FL on Saturday will expand to include much of the inland locations of NE FL and SE GA on Sunday. An extended dry period will settle across the area this weekend and into next week. With the drier air over the area, afternoon RH values values will approach critically low values on Saturday and Sunday across inland southeast GA. Next week, the drier airmass extends southward across north Florida. Monday through Thursday, minimum inland humidity of 25-35% is forecast with daily afternoon Gulf and Atlantic coast sea breezes presses inland. Additionally, a warming trend will bring above seasonal high temperatures during the upcoming week.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: Inland fog potential returns this weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

AMG 52 84 53 85 / 0 0 0 0 SSI 59 76 61 76 / 0 0 0 0 JAX 56 81 56 81 / 0 0 0 0 SGJ 62 77 61 78 / 20 0 0 0 GNV 55 84 54 86 / 0 0 0 0 OCF 57 83 56 85 / 0 0 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Risk for Rip Currents through late Sunday night for FLZ124-125- 138-233-333. GA...High Risk for Rip Currents through late Sunday night for GAZ154-166. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ450- 452-454. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ470-472- 474.