textproduct: Jacksonville

KEY MESSAGES

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Moderate Risk Of Rip Currents at All Area Beaches through Friday

- Locally dense fog inland Tonight

- Daily chances for mainly afternoon thunderstorms will increase this week, and through the weekend

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY MORNING/

Main Highlights This Period:

- Patchy to areas of fog Overnight, that may become locally dense

High pressure will be centered to the east northeast through Tonight. Patchy to areas of fog will develop overnight, which may become locally dense. Lows will range from the mid to upper 60s inland, to around 70 coast.

SHORT TERM /7 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/

Main Highlights This Period:

- Daily thunderstorms each afternoon west of I-95.

Following a foggy morning, scattered showers and storms will develop in the afternoon and evening across inland locations, generally west of I-95. Inland high temperatures will climb into the lower to mid 90s, wheres coastal temperatures will stay a little cooler in the mid to upper 80s with the help of the Atlantic sea breeze. Precipitation chances increase further on Friday area-wide as southerly flow increases PWATs to 1.75-2.0" and allows the two sea breezes to push inland and interact in a more central location. Convection may linger a little after sunset near the I-75 corridor, but will soon dissipate. Temperatures will remain above normal Friday, with maximum afternoon heat indices approaching the upper 90s for inland northeast FL.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

- Hot temperatures continue through the weekend

- Increasing chances of showers and storms into and through the upcoming holiday weekend into next week.

PWATs continue to increase with southerly flow this weekend, increasing precipitation chances area-wide Saturday and Sunday, but especially over inland southeast GA Saturday. Isolated to scattered storm chances continue into midweek for inland areas, primarily in the afternoons and evenings. Hot temperatures will persist during this period, inland highs in the low 90s, and east coast highs in the mid to upper 80s.

AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/

Patchy fog may cause restrictions overnight at KJAX, KVQQ and KGNV, otherwise prevailing VFR conditions forecast this period.

MARINE

High pressure will be centered to the east northeast this week and through the weekend. Mainly southeast flow will continue through the period with a daily sea breeze near the Atlantic Coast. Winds may meet small craft exercise caution criteria in the late afternoon and evening from Friday through Monday.

Rip Currents: Moderate through Friday

FIRE WEATHER

The combination of deep mixing and sufficient southeasterly transport winds will generate generally good to high dispersions inland each afternoon through the weekend. Persistent onshore flow will allow moisture to continue filtering into the area, leading to MinRH values remaining above critical levels. With the onshore flow from the Atlantic, convective activity will be possible each afternoon to evening as the sea breeze pushes inland. By the weekend, increase chances and coverage of showers and storms is expected.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: Isolated thunderstorms through the week. Patchy fog Thursday morning for inland locations, with locally dense fog possible inland southeast GA.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

AMG 67 91 69 91 / 10 40 10 40 SSI 73 85 75 87 / 0 0 0 10 JAX 68 90 73 91 / 0 20 10 30 SGJ 71 88 73 90 / 10 10 10 10 GNV 68 93 72 94 / 10 40 20 40 OCF 70 92 73 93 / 20 30 20 30

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GA...None. MARINE...None.