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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
- Small Craft Advisory Conditions Tonight, and again Monday night through middle of next week
- Patchy Frost inland SE GA Tonight
- Patchy to areas of Frost inland Saturday night
- High Rip Current Risk next week
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Main Highlights through Tonight:
- Below normal temperatures Tonight
High pressure will build from the northwest through Tonight. Mostly clear skies are expected, with temperatures falling into the mid to upper 30s across inland SE GA and Suwannee valley of NE FL, and lower to mid 40s closer to the coast and across north central FL.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Main Highlights This Period: sat-sun
- Colder and Drier Conditions this the Weekend - Wind Chills Drop into the 30s Saturday and Sunday Mornings. - Inland Frost Potential for Southeast GA and the Suwannee Valley Early on Sunday Morning.
High pressure conditions will be in place through the weekend resulting in dry weather, colder temperatures, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Coolest temperatures for the weekend will be on Saturday with max temps in the lower 60s and overnight low temperatures dropping down into the mid 30s over inland southeast Georgia and into the Suwannee Valley region, with min temps ranging between the lower to upper 40s for north central Florida and extending to areas along the coast. Conditions will warm slightly into Sunday with daytime max temps ranging between the lower to upper 60s with overnight lows ranging between the upper 30s and and lower to mid 40s for inland areas and in the lower to mid 50s for areas along the coast and along the St Johns River. Overnight and early morning frost developments are expected to develop Saturday night and into Sunday morning over inland southeast Georgia and extending into the Suwannee Valley region.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Main Highlights This Period: mon-thu
- Seasonably Cool and Dry Weather into Early Next Week. - Increasing Coastal and Marine Hazards Forecast Next Week.
Chances for showers will increase by Tuesday and through next week as high pressure drifts more towards the northeast and upper level short waves cross over the region, followed by a potential low pressure formation southeast of the forecast area, situated over nearby Atlantic waters by the end of the week. Initially cool temperatures will experience a warming trend through next week with temps rising to be near and above the seasonal average by the end of the forecast period.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
VFR conditions to prevail this 18z TAF period.
MARINE
High pressure will be located to the northwest through the weekend. The high will build more to the north early next week, with weak troughing developing over area coastal waters. Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected Tonight, and again Monday night and continue through at least the middle of next week.
Rip Currents: SE GA Low through Saturday, NE FL Moderate through Saturday
FIRE WEATHER
- High Daytime Dispersions For Se Ga And Inland Ne Fl Today ELEVATED NIGHTTIME DISPERSION VALUES AT COASTAL LOCATIONS - Tonight
A much cooler and drier air mass will overspread our area today and into the weekend. Breezy northwesterly surface and transport winds today will yield high daytime dispersions for southeast Georgia and much of inland northeast Florida. Min RHs will be in the 30s today and Saturday. Breezy transport speeds persist tonight at coastal locations, where elevated nighttime dispersion values are forecast. Surface and transport winds will then shift to northerly on Saturday bringing very good dispersions. Winds decrease and shift to northeasterly by Sunday gradually increasing moisture to the area. Fair to good daytime dispersions are expected region-wide on Sunday.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER WEATHER REMARKS: Significant fog is not expected through the weekend. Patchy to areas of frost formation are possible late Saturday night and early Sunday morning across inland portions of southeast GA, the Suwannee Valley, and portions of inland northeast Florida.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMG 37 59 35 62 / 0 0 0 0 SSI 44 62 48 63 / 0 0 0 0 JAX 43 62 42 66 / 0 0 0 0 SGJ 46 62 50 67 / 0 0 0 0 GNV 42 62 40 68 / 0 0 0 0 OCF 42 63 42 70 / 0 0 0 0
JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None. GA...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Saturday for AMZ450-470. Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Saturday for AMZ452-454-472-474.
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