textproduct: Jacksonville

KEY MESSAGES

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- High Risk for Rip Currents today at Northeast Florida Beaches. Moderate Risk of Rip Currents Southeast Georgia Beaches

- Patchy Fog Early this Morning over NE FL

- Extreme to Exceptional Drought Conditions Across the Area

- Thunderstorm Chances for NE FL Tuesday and Wednesday

- Increased Marine Hazards Tuesday to Wednesday, including Small Craft

- Advisory & High Risk Rip Currents

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Main Highlights through Tonight:

- Patchy fog inland tonight.

High pressure ridge will extend across central FL Today, with a weak trough to the north. Other than high clouds passing through the trough, it will be a mainly sunny day, with highs getting into the 80s.

High pressure ridge will sink south into southern FL through the night. The best ridging over the area late Tonight will be over inland areas, which is where will focus best fog potential. Lows Tonight will run a little above seasonal levels.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/

Main Highlights This Period:

-Frontal passage on Monday bringing a potential for showers and storms overnight

High pressure conditions will continue through Sunday and into Monday with winds shifting from out of the west and southwest to become more out of the north and northeast by the end of the period as the high pressure ridge shifts southward and a cold front moves into Georgia from out of the north resulting in a slight chance for showers and storms over southeast Georgia overnight Monday. High temperatures for the end of the weekend and the beginning of next week will be in the mid to upper 80s with overnight low temperatures dropping down into the 50s and lower 60s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Main Highlights This Period:

-A few thunderstorms possible Tuesday and Wednesday

Convective activity will continue Tuesday in association with the frontal passage with showers and possible storms forming on Wednesday as a weak coastal trough develops, with drier weather conditions and clearing skies expected for the latter half of the week as high pressure ridging extends over the region. High temperatures will drop down to be near the seasonal average on Tuesday with max temps trending higher through the week to well above average levels by the end of the week.

AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/

VFR conditions to prevail Today. Patchy fog is expected to develop inland Tonight, which could affect VQQ and GNV with restrictions.

MARINE

High pressure centered over the Gulf will gradually shift south through early next week. Winds will prevail from the west and southwest through Monday. Southwest winds increase Sunday night into Monday ahead of an approaching cold front. A surge of northeast to east winds develop in the wake of the cold front Monday night into Tuesday with small craft advisories likely.

Rip Currents: For today, easterly swells of 3-4 ft with periods of 10 seconds combined with prior rips and support from the NWPS guidance all suggest high risk again for northeast FL beaches and more toward the moderate risk for southeast GA beaches. Will revisit later today or tonight whether this may continue again for Sunday but still anticipate easterly swells of about 3 ft on Sunday.

FIRE WEATHER

- Areas Of Minrh Values Below 30 Percent This Weekend - Areas Of High Daytime Dispersions Today Through Tuesday

High pressure will be the predominant weather feature through Sunday. A cold front will move south southeast across the area Monday night through Tuesday. A few showers and thunderstorms will accompany the frontal passage, with a surge of winds from the northeast along the coast following passage. A weak coastal trough will develop on Wednesday bringing potential for showers, mainly near the coast.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: Patchy fog possible over north central Florida tonight with more widespread patchy fog developments overnight and into Sunday morning. Chance for thunderstorms SE GA Tuesday.

CLIMATE

Record High Temperatures for Today, Sunday, and Monday:

Record High Temperatures:

March 21: KCRG: 87/2020

March 22: KJAX: 90/1935 KAMG: 88/2011 KCRG: 87/2011

March 23: KJAX: 91/1935 KAMG: 86/2012 KCRG: 87/2012

March 27: KJAX: 90/2023 KGNV: 91/1949 KAMG: 88/2021

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

AMG 83 56 86 58 / 0 0 0 0 SSI 80 58 81 60 / 0 0 0 0 JAX 86 55 89 56 / 0 0 0 0 SGJ 83 56 84 56 / 0 0 0 0 GNV 83 51 86 54 / 0 0 0 0 OCF 83 51 84 54 / 0 0 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Risk for Rip Currents through late tonight for FLZ124-125-138- 233-333-433. GA...None. MARINE...None.