textproduct: Jacksonville

KEY MESSAGES

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Potential for Strong Thunderstorms Tuesday

UPDATE

No major updates needed on the forecast for tonight. Winds will continue to calm down, with mostly cloudy skies and an onshore breeze keeping low temperatures a bit more mild than nights previous. Lows will range from the mid 40s for inland southeast Georgia, to near 60 degrees on the northeast Florida coast. Patchy fog remains possible for portions of inland northeast Florida in the early morning hours.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/

High pressure will move away to the northeast Sunday morning, with a cold front moving southeast across SE GA Sunday afternoon. This front will then move across NE FL Sunday night. The front will stall to the south Monday, then lift north across region Monday night as a warm front, as an area of low pressure lifts northeast out of the Gulf.

Dry weather is expected as the frontal boundary moves through Sunday into Sunday night, but chances will increase Monday into Monday night, as it lifts back through as a warm front with increasing moisture.

Temperatures will trend above normal this period.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

The low will track northeast of the region Tuesday, with the associated cold front moving southeast across area. Showers and thunderstorms will accompany this frontal passage. A few strong storms will be possible.

High pressure will build to the northwest Tuesday night, then to the north Wednesday. The high will move away to the northeast Thursday, as another low moves northeast out of the Gulf Thursday night into Friday. The front associated with this low may stall over area Friday night into Saturday, bringing a prolonged period of rainfall beginning Friday.

Above normal temperatures can be expected Tuesday, with readings then trending below through the rest of this period.

AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

VFR conditions will be in place through the forecast period with winds becoming more mild and variable overnight.

MARINE

High pressure will build north northeast of the waters today as a coastal trough develops over the local waters. The coastal trough will break down Sunday into Monday as a weakening front approaches from the north then begins to stall just north of the local waters into Monday night. This front will morph into a lifting warm front ahead of a stronger frontal system as it approaches late Monday into Tuesday. Southerly winds increase Tuesday near Small Craft levels with a chance of thunderstorms. The front is expected to push south of the local waters late Tuesday, then high pressure builds northwest of the region mid-week as winds subside below Advisory levels.

Rip Currents: SE GA Low Sunday NE FL Moderate Sunday

FIRE WEATHER

High pressure will move off to the northeast Today. A weak cold front will move southeast across area Sunday into Sunday night. High pressure will build to the north then northeast Monday. An area of low pressure will move northeast out of the Gulf Monday night, with its associated cold front moving through Tuesday. High pressure will build to the northwest then north Tuesday night into Wednesday.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...Patchy fog possible Tonight, and again Sunday night. A round of showers and thunderstorms is expected Monday night and Tuesday, with a few strong storms possible.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs

AMG 45 71 47 66 / 0 10 10 20 SSI 56 71 55 68 / 10 0 0 10 JAX 52 77 54 71 / 0 0 10 10 SGJ 59 75 60 75 / 0 0 10 10 GNV 53 79 55 77 / 0 0 10 10 OCF 55 80 57 78 / 0 10 10 10

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Risk for Rip Currents until 3 AM EST Sunday for FLZ124-125-138- 233-333. GA...None. MARINE...None.