textproduct: Jacksonville

UPDATE

Issued at 825 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Convection has come to an end this evening with the lose of daytime heating. After the record hot day, overnight lows may break or tie the record low maximums in the upper 60s. Low stratus and patchy fog develops across the area after midnight and lingers into sunrise.

NEAR TERM

(This afternoon, Tonight and Thursday) Issued at 158 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

This afternoon...Southeast winds continue to increase to 15-20G25-30 mph as warm front lifts north of the region and expect the last of the sea fog and low level stratus along the SE GA coastal counties to scour out and dissipate this afternoon. Otherwise near record warmth in the upper 80s/lower 90s over inland areas will combine with low level instability as dew points reach into the lower 70s and the inland moving East Coast sea breeze to develop scattered showers and isolated storms, mainly over inland SE GA to the west of the US 301 corridor, but isolated convection is possible across inland NE FL as well. Temps still cool enough aloft to kick off a few strong storms with gusty winds/small hail into the evening hours around sunset.

Tonight...SE winds diminish to 5-10 mph over inland areas under mostly clear skies late this evening, with light enough winds and low level moisture for patchy fog/low stratus formation again towards morning, but likely low level flow too much to allow for widespread dense fog formation. Above normal low temps in the 65-70F inland and around 70F along the Atlantic Coast.

Thursday...Breezy SE to S flow at 15-20G25-30 mph will continue to bring near record warmth and humidity to the region as Max temps push to around 90F over inland areas, while the onshore flow will keep the Atlantic Coast in the lower/middle 80s. Slightly drier airmass aloft should limit any daytime convection with rainfall chances generally 10% or less, although cannot rule out a brief and/or isolated shower along the East Coast sea breeze as it moves inland through the afternoon hours.

SHORT TERM

(Thursday night through Friday night) Issued at 158 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

Winds continue out of the south to southeast as high pressure ridging, under a ridge aloft, continues over the area bringing unseasonably high temperatures. Winds out of the southeast will allow the sea-breeze to make its way inland in the afternoon, keeping temperatures a little cooler for coastal areas. High daytime temperatures are going to be in the upper 80s to low 90s Friday over inland areas with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s closest to the Atlantic coast. Overnight, temperatures will cool into the low to mid 60s over inland southeast Georgia with temperatures in the mid to upper 60s over inland northeast Florida. Wind coming in off the Atlantic will help keep temperatures slightly warmer along the coast. Fog will be possible overnight into the morning hours.

LONG TERM

(Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 158 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

High pressure at the surface and aloft continue into the weekend bringing strong subsidence and heat to the area. Temperatures will be above seasonal average with highs forecast to be in the upper 80s to low 90s over the weekend with lows in the 60s.

Going into next week, a cold front will make its way into the area from the northwest. As the front approaches the area, chances for rain and possibly a few storms will begin to increase starting as early as Sunday evening through Monday. Showers may linger into Tuesday depending on front timing. Temperatures will cool off behind the passing front to bring temperatures down to near normal then below normal into mid-week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 111 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Stratus is expected to increase in coverage early this period, which will cause restrictions. This stratus will lift after sunrise, with prevailing VFR conditions from mid morning on at most TAF sites. The exception will be KSSI, where stratus may linger till noon. Winds will be gusty, especially during the daylight hours this period.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 158 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

A few isolated thunderstorms will be possible today, mainly over southeast Georgia but, could get down into the Suwannee Valley late this afternoon into the early evening. Winds continue out of the northeast into Friday, allowing the Atlantic sea-breeze to make its way inland each afternoon. Expect sustained winds of 15-20 mph east of HWY-17 today and tomorrow with gusts up to 30 mph as the sea-breeze makes its way in. Warming temperatures with high transport winds will create patchy high daytime dispersion over inland areas today through Friday. MinRH values are not expected to drop below 38 through the weekend.

CLIMATE

Issued at 825 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

Alma, GA broke its daily record high today with a high temperature of 89 F. Previous record was 88 F set in 2017.

Gainesville, FL tied its daily record high today with a high of 92 F.

Last Date of High Temperature 90 deg or above

AMG Alma GA 9/30/24 - 90 JAX Jacksonville FL 10/2/24 - 90 CRG Craig Airfield 9/27/24 - 90 GNV Gainesville FL 10/4/24 - 91

Average Date of 90 Degrees Max Temperature

AMG Alma GA May 2 JAX Jacksonville FL May 4 CRG Craig Airfield Apr 22 GNV Gainesville FL April 22

Daily Record Max Temperatures & Year Set for Climate Sites

4/3 4/4 4/5 4/6

AMG 90 90 90 90 1967 1963 2023 1967

JAX 89 90 91 90 2017 2011 2017 1947

CRG 90 88 91 87 2006 2012 2017 2022

GNV 91 91 90 90 2017 1974 2023 2023

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

AMG 90 66 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 SSI 78 68 79 67 / 0 0 0 0 JAX 88 67 86 66 / 0 0 0 0 SGJ 85 68 83 66 / 10 0 0 0 GNV 92 66 91 65 / 0 0 0 0 OCF 92 66 91 66 / 0 0 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM EDT early this morning for FLZ124-125-138-233-333.

GA...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM EDT early this morning for GAZ154-166.

AM...None.