textproduct: Jacksonville

KEY MESSAGES

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Moderate Rip Current Risk at NE FL Beaches Today, High Rip Current Risk expected on Monday

- Small Craft Advisory Conditions Tonight through Monday

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/

Tonight, a the aforementioned front will move across the region, sending a surge of breezy northeasterly winds down the coast after midnight and helping to keep lows relatively mild compared to the last couple of nights. Lows will generally be in the low to mid 40s inland and low 50s at the coast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/

Low chance for light coastal showers By Monday night as high pressure moves further eastward and a inverted trough forms over area waters. High pressure ridging will continue to extend across the forecast area through the period. Temperatures will rise into the mid to upper 70s by Tuesday with overnight low temperatures expected to be in the upper 40s and lower 50s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Dry conditions will be in place through the period as high pressure ridging continues to dominate the weather pattern with a potential for light precipitation over the weekend as a cold frontal boundary presses down from out of the north. Above average temperatures will continue through the end of the week and into the weekend.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

VFR with SKC and light winds at all terminals to start the period early this evening, with a back door cold frontal passage expected to increase NE winds towards morning and this will likely prevent any significant fog formation at the terminals tonight, except for a brief period of MVFR possible at SSI/VQQ but probs remain too low below 20% for any inclusion at this time. NE winds increase to 13-16 knots with gusts to 20-26 knots at times through the morning hours and some lower SCT clouds in the 2000-4000 ft range start to push off the Atlantic in the onshore flow. These clouds will increase in coverage through the afternoon hours with some BKN CIGS in the 3000- 4000 ft range possible as well as some isolated showers (VCSH) possible late in the period at SGJ/CRG/JAX and have trended the forecast in this direction.

MARINE

A cold front will move across area waters this evening, with a high pressure ridge building southward tonight and through Monday. Small Craft Advisory conditions will be expected beginning late tonight, persisting through Monday Evening before subsiding from northwest to southeast. The ridging will weaken on Tuesday as another weak front moves towards area waters Tuesday Night, sinking south of the region Wednesday. Rather weak high pressure will then return by Thursday, slowly dropping south of area waters by the start of next weekend.

Rip Currents: SE GA Moderate Monday NE FL High Monday

FIRE WEATHER

AREAS OF LOW DISPERSIONS TODAY... AREAS OF HIGH DISPERSIONS MONDAY...

High pressure to the north Today will become centered over the Carolinas Monday, with an inverted trough over the coastal waters. This trough may move ashore Monday afternoon into Monday night, bringing a low chance for coastal showers. At this time, this chance is too low to mention, but not a zero chances. The high will become centered to the east northeast Tuesday, with the ridge extending west across the area. This high will sink to the south Tuesday night, as a weak frontal boundary glances by to the north. High pressure will then be the prevailing weather feature into the weekend.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS: Widespread early morning fog anticipated for Wednesday and Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

AMG 41 65 45 73 / 10 0 0 0 SSI 50 62 54 70 / 0 0 10 0 JAX 46 68 53 76 / 0 10 0 0 SGJ 51 71 58 74 / 0 20 10 0 GNV 46 73 54 79 / 0 0 0 0 OCF 46 76 55 79 / 0 10 10 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...High Risk for Rip Currents from 3 AM EST Monday through late Monday night for FLZ124-125-138-233-333. GA...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 1 PM EST Monday for AMZ450- 452-454. Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Monday to 7 AM EST Tuesday for AMZ470-472-474.