textproduct: Jacksonville

AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

A wave of light showers will develop an advance west as a coastal trough shifts inland. Showers will be brief but may lead to temporary restrictions through 16z, primarily MVFR ceilings and reduced visibility. Otherwise, VFR ceilings are expected with scattered clouds around 2-4 kft. Predominant easterly winds will increase around 15z with gusts around 20 knots. Less showers expected through the afternoon but a second wave may develop after 00z this evening. There's about a 15-25% chance of LIFR stratus at inland sites but confidence is too low to include ceilings at this time.

MARINE

Strong high pressure centered off the mid-Atlantic coast today will shift further into the Atlantic through Thursday as a cold front approaches the area toward the end of the work week. The tight pressure gradient gradually relaxes today into tonight as winds and seas drop below small craft advisory levels. Rounds of showers and heavy downpours will be possible through the middle of the week, especially Today as coastal troughing develops. Winds shift to southwesterly on Friday ahead of the cold front and then to west- northwesterly for the weekend in the wake of the front.

Rip Currents / High Surf:

Dangerous surf zone conditions continue with a High rip current risk at all area beaches today and elevated to high surf for the entire coast. The highest breakers, around 5-7 feet will be from Ponte Vedra south. Conditions gradually improve through the week as onshore winds and surf decrease.

FIRE WEATHER

Easterly winds will prevail through Wednesday before becoming light Thursday as a front stalls to the west. This will translate to fair dispersions, except at the coastal/barrier islands, today and Wednesday. Poor to low dispersion is more likely on Thursday as transport winds diminish. Continued shower chances each day with isolated thunderstorms possible in the afternoon Wednesday and Thursday. The stalled front will weakly push across the area Friday followed by a stronger and drier cold front this weekend setting up a cooler and drier couple of days early next week.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER WEATHER REMARKS: Patchy to areas of fog formation are possible for inland locations along and north of the I- 10 corridor. Areas to widespread fog will be possible during the predawn and early morning hours on Thursday and Friday across our area.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

AMG 81 66 84 66 / 10 0 30 20 SSI 78 68 78 66 / 10 0 10 0 JAX 81 68 82 66 / 10 0 10 0 SGJ 80 71 80 68 / 10 10 20 10 GNV 83 68 85 67 / 30 10 40 10 OCF 84 69 86 68 / 50 10 40 10

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 AM EST Thursday for FLZ038-125- 132-137-225-325-633. High Risk for Rip Currents through late Wednesday night for FLZ124- 125-138-233-333. High Surf Advisory until 4 AM EST Wednesday for FLZ138-233-333. GA...High Risk for Rip Currents through late tonight for GAZ154-166. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for AMZ452- 454. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ470-472- 474.