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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit: https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

- Small Craft Advisory Conditions Tonight

- Patchy to Areas of Frost Expected Across Inland SE GA. Patchy Frost Northwest of Waycross Saturday Morning

- Increasing Marine and Coastal Hazards Next Week. Gale Force Winds, Gusty Northeast Winds, and High Rip Current

UPDATE

Cold and dry air continue funnel southeastward, with dewpoints now reading in the low 30s north of US-82 in southeast GA this evening. Under clear skies, tonight will be the first chilly night this weekend. Though dewpoints will fall to the low 30s by daybreak Saturday, steady overnight boundary layer winds will keep low temperatures generally in the upper 30s and low 40s inland. The light overnight breeze will also keep the potential for frost fairly limited, however a patchy frost may still develop in wind-sheltered areas for inland areas of southeast GA.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

Main Highlights This Period: sat-sun

- Colder and Drier Conditions this the Weekend - Wind Chills Drop into the 30s Saturday and Sunday Mornings. - Inland Frost Potential for Southeast GA and the Suwannee Valley Early on Sunday Morning.

High pressure conditions will be in place through the weekend resulting in dry weather, colder temperatures, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Coolest temperatures for the weekend will be on Saturday with max temps in the lower 60s and overnight low temperatures dropping down into the mid 30s over inland southeast Georgia and into the Suwannee Valley region, with min temps ranging between the lower to upper 40s for north central Florida and extending to areas along the coast. Conditions will warm slightly into Sunday with daytime max temps ranging between the lower to upper 60s with overnight lows ranging between the upper 30s and and lower to mid 40s for inland areas and in the lower to mid 50s for areas along the coast and along the St Johns River. Overnight and early morning frost developments are expected to develop Saturday night and into Sunday morning over inland southeast Georgia and extending into the Suwannee Valley region.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Main Highlights This Period: mon-thu

- Seasonably Cool and Dry Weather into Early Next Week. - Increasing Coastal and Marine Hazards Forecast Next Week.

Chances for showers will increase by Tuesday and through next week as high pressure drifts more towards the northeast and upper level short waves cross over the region, followed by a potential low pressure formation southeast of the forecast area, situated over nearby Atlantic waters by the end of the week. Initially cool temperatures will experience a warming trend through next week with temps rising to be near and above the seasonal average by the end of the forecast period.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

SKC VFR conditions prevail amid light WNW winds at or below 10 knots through tonight. Winds shift NW and then north through Saturday with wind around 8-12 knots and occasional gusts to 15-18 knots during the afternoon while a bout of scattered high cirrus passes during the late morning hours.

MARINE

High pressure will be located to the northwest through the weekend. The high will build more to the north early next week, with weak troughing developing over area coastal waters. Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected Tonight, and again Monday night and continue through at least the middle of next week.

Rip Currents: Strong offshore winds developing Today and remaining in place through Saturday should yield a low risk of rip currents. Northeasterly winds developing by Sunday and into early next week will lead to a return to an elevated risk of rip currents.

FIRE WEATHER

- High Daytime Dispersions For Se Ga And Inland Ne Fl Today ELEVATED NIGHTTIME DISPERSION VALUES AT COASTAL LOCATIONS - Tonight

A much cooler and drier air mass will overspread our area today and into the weekend. Breezy northwesterly surface and transport winds today will yield high daytime dispersions for southeast Georgia and much of inland northeast Florida. Min RHs will be in the 30s today and Saturday. Breezy transport speeds persist tonight at coastal locations, where elevated nighttime dispersion values are forecast. Surface and transport winds will then shift to northerly on Saturday bringing very good dispersions. Winds decrease and shift to northeasterly by Sunday gradually increasing moisture to the area. Fair to good daytime dispersions are expected region-wide on Sunday.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER WEATHER REMARKS: Significant fog is not expected through the weekend. Patchy to areas of frost formation are possible late Saturday night and early Sunday morning across inland portions of southeast GA, the Suwannee Valley, and portions of inland northeast Florida.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

AMG 38 59 35 62 / 0 0 0 0 SSI 45 62 48 63 / 0 0 0 0 JAX 43 62 42 66 / 0 0 0 0 SGJ 45 62 50 67 / 0 0 0 0 GNV 42 62 40 68 / 0 0 0 0 OCF 43 63 42 70 / 0 0 0 0

JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

FL...None. GA...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Saturday for AMZ450-470. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Saturday for AMZ452-454- 472-474.


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