textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Mostly dry conditions will persist into next week.

- Drought continues to worsen across the region.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 110 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Near term: Surface ridging centered over the southeastern CONUS will sustain dry and warm weather as we kick off the weekend. Even the isolated showers that developed across southwest MS and central LA early yesterday evening appear less likely today as a slightly drier airmass pivots into the region from the east. Where there is relatively greater moisture on the periphery of the ridge, mainly across our south and southwest, patchy fog is possible this morning and again to a lesser extent Sunday morning.

Into next week: The center of the surface ridge will begin to migrate eastward off the Atlantic coast. Though we'll largely remain within the realm of influence of this ridge, we will see increasing warm advection southerly flow on its western periphery. This will result in increased moisture, with dewpoints more commonly getting into the 60s each day and temps continuing to trend upward with highs in the lower 90s possible by Thursday and Friday.

However, the ridge will continue to push most of the active weather around us into the coming week. In a few circumstances we may see remnant convection impinge into the northwestern quadrant of our area (southeast AR, northwest MS, and north LA), as may be the case Sunday evening into early Monday and on Thursday. And its possible a few diurnally driven showers could occur in the increasingly moist airmass. Overall though, most areas will remain dry through the upcoming forecast period.

On that note, given increasingly dry fuels and increased southerly wind with lingering low RH and higher temperatures Sunday and Monday, fire danger will become more elevated. Minimum RHs mostly remaining up in the 30 to 45 percent range will serve as some degree of mitigation, but wind is often a bigger driver in these situations. We'll continue to monitor this closely and may eventually need to highlight this potential more publicly.

Looking beyond the current forecast period, there is some hope for rain with a cold front next weekend, though unfortunately, the prospects for sufficient rain to put a dent in the ongoing drought appear low at this time. /DL/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 614 AM CDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Patchy fog and low clouds will impact portions of south MS and central LA over the next few hours, eroding shortly after sunrise. Patchy fog will be possible in the same areas again early Sunday morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period with light wind. /DL/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 85 58 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 85 56 86 58 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 85 59 86 65 / 0 0 0 10 Hattiesburg 85 57 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 85 59 85 65 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 85 60 85 66 / 0 0 0 20 Greenwood 85 60 86 65 / 0 0 0 10

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.