textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- The combination of dry ground conditions, a dry airmass, and gusty winds will result in elevated fire danger conditions through Friday. - A light freeze is likely Friday night and Saturday night mainly for portions of north and east Mississippi, but areas of frost are possible across much of the area.

- For the coming week, little rain is anticipated and many areas will remain dry.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1231 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Through Saturday night: Dry and cooler conditions will prevail in the wake of a cold front that pushed across the area last night through this morning. Though it remains seasonably mild today, we are seeing the influx of much drier air behind the front. Colder air will begin to arrive tonight, and sheltered areas in northeast MS could get close to freezing tomorrow morning. However, the coldest mornings will come Saturday and Sunday mornings, with a freeze possible across much of north and east MS and frost possible over a broader area. A Freeze Watch has been posted for many of these areas for Friday night into Saturday, with a warning and additional products for Saturday night likely to follow.

Because few areas have received wetting rains recently, the combination of low humidity and breezy conditions in the wake of the front is resulting in elevated fire concerns today. We'll see a similar situation tomorrow with even lower RH anticipated during the day. Lower daytime temperatures may help mitigate the threat somewhat, but given the ongoing drought/dry fuels and continued breezy conditions, fire danger will persist.

Sunday through next Thursday: In the wake of the longwave upper trough currently over the eastern CONUS, a secondary shortwave will follow Sunday into Monday, with a surface system tracking from Texas into the northern Gulf. Scattered showers on the northern periphery of this system may spread into southern portions of our area late Sunday into Monday, though there are some model solutions showing little to no rain making it into our area. Regardless, any rainfall with this system would be light. Otherwise, surface ridging will build back in through mid-week with dry weather and gradually moderating temperatures. /DL/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1138 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

VFR conditions will prevail across the region through the 18Z TAF cycle. Northwest winds will be gusty, sustained up to 15mph and gusts of 20 to 30mph, less gusty into the evening after 12/22-23Z Thursday and picking back up after 13/15Z Friday. /DC/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 42 60 33 59 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 39 60 31 57 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 42 60 34 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 42 65 33 61 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 44 63 37 60 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 41 56 33 54 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 38 55 30 55 / 0 0 0 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...Freeze Watch from late Friday night through Saturday morning for MSZ018-019-025>039-041>046-048>052-056>058.

LA...None. AR...None.