textproduct: Jackson

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- A Limited threat for fire danger is expected Sunday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 214 PM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026

The upper level trough the helped usher in the cooler temperatures will continue shifting east and ridging aloft will build into the region from the west through Sunday. Latest surface analysis had a 1032mb high centered over the mid Mississippi valley that will also shift east but continue to ridge back across our region. This will result in a lighter wind Sunday but temperatures will top out several degrees warmer than today. The result will be critically low afternoon minimum relative humidity maintaining fire danger concerns. /22/

Sunday Night through Friday...High pressure at the surface centered to our north and increasing ridging aloft from the west, will maintain quiet weather across the forecast area through the mid and extended forecast periods. While the overall dry air mass will remain across the region through the week, temperatures will steadily warm each day. These increasing temperatures in this dry air mass causing afternoon minimum relative humidity values to fall to critically low values, coupled with the extremely dry soil conditions across the area, are expected to again promote dangerous fire conditions across the forecast area through much of the work week. Please continue to monitor the latest forecast and outlook, as appropriate fire weather hazards/products will likely be needed and issued for portions of and eventually all of the forecast area during this timeframe, particularly Tuesday through Friday. /19/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 PM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026

VFR conditions persist throughout the CWA today with winds weak and from the north/northeast and clear to mostly clear skies across all forecast zones today./OAJ/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 71 46 75 47 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 69 44 72 43 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 70 44 75 46 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 73 46 75 45 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 71 46 75 47 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 69 43 73 45 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 70 42 76 45 / 0 0 0 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.


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