textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Strong wind gusts will diminish this evening.

- The upcoming work week will feature more above normal warmth along with generally dry conditions.

- We will be monitoring next weekend for the next potential weather system to impact the area.

MESOSCALE UPDATE

Issued at 650 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

Rest of this evening...

Gusty winds in the remnant of the low pressure system will taper off of the next hour or two, which should alleviate power outage concerns into the overnight. Open shortwave over the southeast states is keeping northerly flow, moist isentropic ascent and stratus around the area. This will linger under the cold advection pattern well into the overnight hours. Even though we are cooler than last night, lows will remain seasonably warm some 5F to 10F (44F to 48F north of Natchez Trace and 50F to 52F to the southeast). Patchy fog cannot be ruled out overnight but no dense fog concerns due to remnant wind. Updates were out earlier. /DC/

DISCUSSION

Issued at 245 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

Through Monday night: The wrapped up low pressure system responsible for last night's severe weather is departing the area, but strong and gusty gradient winds (peaking around 40 mph) continue through this afternoon over western/southern portions of the area resulting in sporadic power outages. As the pressure gradient relaxes and the system exits the region, we'll see wind diminish. Stratus should linger through most of tonight into early Monday given weak low level cold advection that will continue, then by late Monday morning and afternoon, warm advection increase quickly and bring an end to the stratus formation. Monday night may be a time to monitor for fog formation with weak surface high pressure and clear skies combining with what should still be a humid boundary layer. /EC/

Tuesday through next weekend: Dry weather along with above normal temperatures is expected Tuesday through Thursday. As we go into the end of the week several disturbances will be rounding the base of an upper level trough over the western CONUS. These disturbances will support several surface lows that will track to our north, but send a stalling frontal boundary across our northern zones Friday into Saturday. There remain timing differences but model consensus suggests a more potent disturbance will move across the region and perhaps bring the next round of storms to our area. /22/EC/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1155 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

MVFR Cigs wl prevail areawide through 17Z before starting to improve from the northwest. After 20Z VFR conditions are expected areawide and VFR conditions wl prevail through the end of the TAF period. /22/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 48 69 49 72 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 48 69 47 72 / 10 0 0 0 Vicksburg 46 69 49 72 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 51 73 50 75 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 49 71 50 73 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 45 64 48 69 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 45 69 49 72 / 0 0 0 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.