textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Much of the upcoming week will be dry and warm.

MESOSCALE UPDATE

Issued at 922 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Rest of today...

Quiet, cooler and dry afternoon will be the norm. Weak dry frontal passage has moved through well into the Gulf, with another reinforcing shot of even drier air progged to sink into the northeast late this afternoon. Surface ridging will keep sunny skies and seasonable highs (51F to 59F northeast to 60F to 66F in central to southwest) are expected. With dry air, some mixing is possible. Even though thermal profiles are a touch cooler in the low levels, some moderation is possible, similar to yesterday. Leaned a touch warmer on highs in central to southwest zones. Updates are out. /DC/

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1150 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Tonight through next Friday...

Ridging will continue to build in from the west, with flow turning more northwesterly into Sunday. Other than a few high clouds, lows will be seasonable (30F to 36F northeast to 37F to 42F in central to southwest). Shortwave energy in west-northwesterly flow will eject to the north early Monday. This weather pattern will bring a long duration of warm and mostly dry conditions. Seasonable warmth is expected the upcoming work week with highs some 10F to 15F above (low to mid 70s) and lows some 12F to 22F above (mid 40s to low 50s Monday morning to mid to upper 50s by midweek). Cutoff low to the west will fill and eject northeast around Tuesday to Wednesday, ushering in a front with moist ascent (PWs around 1.1 to 1.3 inches) and light rain chances (20 to 35 percent). This rain and front will move in Thursday, with slightly less rain coverage (east-northeast MS), seasonable warmth for highs and lows. Large spread remains in synoptic evolution late week into next weekend (trended south in newest Euro and less compact shortwave in GFS) but cannot rule out potential active frontal system to impact the Gulf Coast region. There remains considerable spread in where the baroclinic zone will set up, and forecast confidence remains quite low. /DC/EC/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1123 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR flight categories will persist at area TAF sites over the next 24 hours. Winds overnight will be calm to light from the southeast between 3-5 knots. These winds will become more southerly through late morning and early afternoon Sunday, while sustained between 5-10 knots as some high clouds begin filtering into the region from the northwest. /19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 37 69 50 74 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 32 67 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 38 70 50 74 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 36 70 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 41 72 51 75 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 36 66 48 72 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 37 67 49 73 / 0 0 0 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.