textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain chances will be minimal over the upcoming week. Isolated showers are possible across South Mississippi overnight into Wednesday morning and across North Mississippi Wednesday evening.

- Continued dry ground conditions, breezy and dry weather on Thursday will result in increased fire danger.

- Colder conditions will return late Thursday through this weekend. Frost or a light freeze is possible Friday night and Saturday night, with greater odds across northern and eastern Mississippi.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 100 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Tonight through next Monday...The primary focus during this forecast period currently revolves around a "limited" concern for fire danger on Thursday, some rain chances Wednesday as well as Sunday, and the potential for at to below freezing low temperatures both Saturday and Sunday mornings. Despite all this, quiet weather overall will continue to reside across the forecast area during this period. Conditions will remain warm into Wednesday ahead of a cold front that'll propagate through the region overnight Wednesday into early Thursday morning. A southern stream disturbance ahead of this front will bring some rain chances to mainly southern portions of the CWA overnight tonight into Wednesday. Then Wednesday night as the front traverses the CWA, it could squeeze out a few showers during this time. However, the majority of the forecast area will remain dry.

Behind this front on Thursday, noticeably colder drier air will advect into the region. Dew points through the day will gradually fall into the mid to lower 40s, with some upper 30s possible as well. Meanwhile, highs will range from the middle 60s north to middle 70s south. With afternoon relative humidity values generally ranging between 35-45%, northwest winds sustained around 15 mph with gusts around 25 mph, coupled with the extremely dry soil conditions and vegetation across the area, a "limited" threat for fire danger will exist across the entire CWA.

Colder, but overall, dry weather will persist into the upcoming weekend and the beginning of next week. High temperatures Friday through Sunday will generally range from the middle 50s to middle 60s, but increasing into the low and middle 60s come Monday. Lows on the other hand will be quite chilly during this time frame. Currently, the coldest temperatures during this stretch look to fall both Saturday morning and Sunday morning with lows advertised to range from the upper 20s middle 30s. As eluded to in previous discussion, as we move closer in time to this weekend, we will highlight the areas most likely to be impacted by these freezing and sub-freezing temperatures in HWO graphics.

Lastly, a passing disturbance late in the weekend into Monday, could result in some showers across the CWA. However, these chances are currently low and there remains a good bit of uncertainty in global model data during this time. This is due to both differing solutions in said models, as well as on a run-to-run basis. /19/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1142 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

VFR conditions with a light wind will prevail at all TAF sites throughout the forecast period./KP/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 78 54 78 50 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 78 48 77 50 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 77 53 78 49 / 0 10 0 0 Hattiesburg 81 53 79 53 / 0 20 40 0 Natchez 78 56 79 53 / 0 10 10 0 Greenville 76 55 77 50 / 0 0 10 10 Greenwood 75 51 75 46 / 0 0 20 20

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.