textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Severe thunderstorms are possible areawide this afternoon and evening.

- Severe storms are possible over the northern half of the area Sunday and Monday. - Rainfall amounts of two to three inches are possible across the northern half of the area from today through Monday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 344 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

Through Tonight: Although patchy dense fog is possible early this morning across our southeast, the main focus remains the severe storm potential across the whole CWA this afternoon and evening. As compared to the previous forecast, the severe storm potential is expected to be sooner and end earlier than previously thought. A brief tornado potential has been added to the threats and most of our CWA has now been outlooked in a Slight(2 out of 5) Risk for severe storms.

Early morning satellite imagery/RAP analysis showed the circulation around a large closed low spinning over southern Saskatchewan, Canada. A shortwave rounding the base of this large closed low was already supporting vigorous convection over the central Plains. This convection is progged to drop a strong outflow boundary toward our CWA this morning that will maintain storm development as it drops south through our CWA this afternoon and evening. Considering the anticipated atmospheric parameters over our CWA as the storms move in, damaging wind and hail still appear to be the main threats but any breaks in the line and/or discrete cell development just ahead of the main line looks to pose a threat of a brief tornado or two. The main timing for the severe storms to occur is in our northwest by early afternoon and ending in our southeast around midnight. Rainfall associated with this system will continue pushing south of our CWA Saturday and rainfall amounts of one to two inches are expected. This will be beneficial rainfall considering the drought conditions across our CWA. /22/

Saturday through Wednesday night:

Sporadic showers will be possible despite a fairly robust ridge building over the area throughout the day and night Saturday largely as a byproduct from the remnant system moving through Friday night. Saturdays storms/showers don't look particularly strong at this point, should the aforementioned ridge build in more slowly than expected, more robust convection could be on the way so stay updated on all current weather warning products and graphics.

Monday Morning Onwards...

There exists a Slight risk for severe weather for the far northwester portions of the region, main threat being damaging wind gusts and golf ball hail, with a marginal encompassing central Mississippi late afternoon through overnight. Most showers will have cleared the area to the northeast early Sunday morning making way high pressure to settle in and bring with in far more subdued weather with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with more seasonal norms. A gradual cooling will take place throughout the week brought about by shortwaves transiting the area and delivering much needed rain and overcast skies to the CWA, throughout the work week this will in turn crater our highs into the mid 70s by Friday afternoon, and could still see isolated to scattered convection. Lows throughout the week are projected to be in the mid 60s. Low lying fog can not be ruled out in the early morning hours considering the wealth of low level moisture and rapid overnight cool-offs./OAJ/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 640 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

IFR/LIFR conditions wl in the se until after 14Z. MVFR/IFR cigs wl prevail north and cntrl until after 15Z before improving. VFR conditions wl prevail areawide by 17Z and continue this aftn but by 23Z TSRA wl be psbl in the nw. Scattered to numerous TSRA wl spread to the se through the end of the TAF period resulting in reduced flight restrictions. /22/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 85 64 82 65 / 40 60 70 30 Meridian 84 62 81 62 / 30 60 80 20 Vicksburg 85 65 83 66 / 60 70 50 30 Hattiesburg 84 65 86 65 / 30 40 80 20 Natchez 86 65 86 66 / 60 50 50 20 Greenville 83 65 81 66 / 70 90 40 40 Greenwood 84 64 81 65 / 60 90 50 30

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.