textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm and mostly dry conditions can be expected for much of the upcoming week.

- Confidence is increasing for a vigorous storm system to cross the area this weekend, but impact details remain uncertain.

MESOSCALE UPDATE

Issued at 900 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

Low clouds and mist is stubborn this morning with prominent low level moisture present in JAN 12z sounding. Clouds will stick around through much of the morning and should begin to thin this afternoon. Low level thermal ridge will keep temperatures much above seasonal norms with highs peaking in the mid 70s this afternoon./SAS/

DISCUSSION

Issued at 405 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

Not much has changed from our forecast thinking the past few days concerning this week's weather. A broad upper level ridge will be the primary influence on forecast area weather through this week resulting in above normal warmth and mostly dry conditions, but we are monitoring for the potential of stormier weather this weekend. For the near term, increasingly humid southerly low level flow will support the development of late night and early morning low stratus/fog, particularly over southwest portions of the area early this morning, and then over more of central/southern portions early Tuesday morning. Looking ahead to mid/late week, a couple of weak shortwave troughs are forecast to move through the mean ridge position during the mid/late week, and these will bring light rainfall.

Forecast confidence has increased as we go into next weekend with more guidance showing consensus for a strong shortwave trough to approach the forecast area and support the development of a vigorous storm system. The most uncertain aspect at this point concerns warm sector strength and instability, but signs are pointing more to a round of storms and heavy rainfall impacting the area. No formal messaging related to this system is planned at the moment with guidance probs for severe weather and/or flash flooding risk still very low. /EC/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 555 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

MVFR/IFR flight conditions for areas south of I-20 due to fog development; elsewhere, VFR flight conditions to start the period. Fog is expected to dissipate after 17Z, bringing conditions back to VFR. Southwesterly winds near 8 kts are expected. /SW/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 75 54 75 58 / 0 0 0 10 Meridian 75 51 74 57 / 0 0 0 20 Vicksburg 74 56 74 57 / 0 0 0 10 Hattiesburg 77 52 76 56 / 0 0 0 10 Natchez 75 55 76 58 / 0 0 0 10 Greenville 75 56 73 54 / 0 0 0 30 Greenwood 76 56 74 56 / 0 0 0 40

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.