textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers will move across the area Tuesday and Tuesday evening before drier conditions late week into the weekend.

MESOSCALE UPDATE

Issued at 840 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

High clouds are beginning to encroach upon the area in advance of our next storm system, but precip is still several hours away closer to daybreak. Temperatures were running ahead of guidance for much of today and even have continued to do so into this evening in some areas. Based on this, minor tweaks were made to hourly temps, but no significant forecast updates are planned at this time. /DL/

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1209 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Through tonight ...

Visible satellite imagery at midday shows mostly clear skies across the area as high pressure remains in control. White streaks on the imagery from SE Arkansas across NW Mississippi reveals an area of ice/sleet/snow still covering the ground more than a week after the late January Ice Storm. This could have localized effects that may result in somewhat higher fog chances nearby as well as somewhat cooler temperatures until the ice is able to fully melt/sublimate.

Fair weather continues tonight with cloud cover beginning to increase ahead of Tuesday evening cold front and rain chances. Lows tonight will be noticeably warmer than recently, falling into the 40s and upper 30s F for most.

Tuesday through the week...

A cold front arrives Tuesday but not before we see temperatures rise to some of the warmest values we've seen in a bit, low to mid 60s F for those along the I-20 corridor and mid to upper 50s F for most to the north. The front likely brings rain chances in its vicinity by late morning and into the evening as it sweeps from northwest to southeast, clearing the Pine Belt predawn Wednesday morning. Cooler air follows behind and we'll see some chilly days with lows back down into the 20s F and highs in the 40s F for most before a warming trend really gets going Friday with temperatures in the 60s F areawide.

This weekend ...

It has been sometime since we have been able to advertise a pleasant weekend to be likely. But it appears this first full weekend of February may fit the bill. With low chances for rain and temperatures in the 60s F during the day and upper 30s to 40s F at night, this nearer-to-normal pattern especially during the day should be a pleasant reprieve from the prolonged cold and damp period we were privileged to over the back half of January. Looking a bit further, and as I promised previously I'd share as soon as it looked realistic, there are some signs that we may now be moving beyond the longest and coldest period of this winter season. With a little more daylight each day, higher sun angles, and no major winter storms on the immediate horizon, we might be turning a corner over the next week or two toward a more prolonged period of near to perhaps a bit above average temperatures... regardless of what that Pennsylvania rodent had to say about it today. Your words have no power here, be gone from this place, Groundhog! /86/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions prevail across most of the area this evening, but high clouds are increasing over the area. Showers will move across the area during mainly the daytime and early evening hours Tuesday as a cold front pushes across the region. Ceilings will fall to MVFR and IFR along the front, beginning around GLH and GWO in the morning, then for HEZ/JAN/GTR and points southeast by evening. Visibility reductions to MVFR are also expected in occasionally moderate to heavy rain. S/SW winds may be gusty at times tomorrow ahead of the front. Winds will shift to N in the wake of the front Tuesday night. /DL/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 40 62 36 47 / 0 80 90 0 Meridian 35 65 39 50 / 0 60 90 0 Vicksburg 42 61 35 47 / 0 90 80 0 Hattiesburg 36 69 45 55 / 0 30 90 20 Natchez 44 65 37 51 / 0 70 80 0 Greenville 40 54 32 43 / 0 90 30 0 Greenwood 40 56 32 44 / 0 90 60 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.