textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Elevated fire danger concerns will persist through early next week due to very dry ground conditions and low humidity each day.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 325 AM CDT Sat Oct 24 2026

The forecast continues to be very straight-forward through the next week, and confidence is therefore high in the forecast details. Global model ensembles agree that an anomalously warm upper level ridge will slowly shift eastward across the lower Mississippi Valley region as we go through this weekend and into next week. This will lead to a continuation of dry weather with large diurnal temperature ranges of near 40 deg F.

Of greatest importance, the continued drying of vegetation (Extreme KBDI values > 700) combined with exceptionally low daytime RH values (< 25%) will help to maintain an elevated fire danger threat. We will continue to message this through the graphics and fire danger statement. Given the anticyclonic low level flow, light wind will help to limit the overall fire danger threat levels.

Otherwise, rainfall is not expected until the end of next week at the earliest, when the ridge shows signs of breaking down, and when the subtropical stream influence increases over our region. Even then, global ensembles show the greater rainfall signal centered more to our west, so confidence is not great for drought relief anytime soon.

Looking well ahead, all interests should monitor for increased fire danger threats in strong southerly flow ahead of cold fronts. /EC/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 558 AM CDT Sat Oct 24 2026

VFR flight categories will continue at area TAF sites over the next 24 hours. Winds will increase to between 5-10 knots by late morning, while becoming more east to southeasterly through the course of the day. /19/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 81 49 80 50 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 77 44 77 44 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 83 48 81 49 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 80 45 81 46 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 82 50 81 52 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 82 50 81 52 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 82 46 80 47 / 0 0 0 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.