textproduct: Jackson

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Severe thunderstorms remain possible across the area this afternoon into tonight.

- Additional rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible into the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 232 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

This Weekend...

An overnight MCS is still making its way out of the Delta region and remains the primary focus in the immediate short term, wind is the primary threat although hail can not be ruled out, through this afternoon. MCS is expected to overturn the environment, however some hi-res guidance hints at development in central Mississippi tomorrow. Primary concern will be the sturdy moisture channel that intersects with this latent energy, a southward progression of the next convective system later tonight from southeast Oklahoma can not be ruled out.

Tomorrow into next week, the pattern looks to remain active, as mentioned. Remnant outflow boundaries stretched out in the region will remain the focus for renewed development of convection, but the key will be triggering of new upstream convection in the Southern Plains and possible MCS development spreading into our area as a result. The next focus for watching will be a potential MCS later tomorrow night, which currently warrants a Marginal Risk for severe storms extending into northeast LA and southeast AR before sunrise Sunday and expanding to the rest of the area into the day Sunday. Thunderstorm chances remain in place through Friday across our region, which as mentioned, has the potential to be strong to severe if timed out favorably with heating and the passage of upper-level disturbances over the region. Residents should remain alert to changes in forecasted impacts over the next several days. /NF/OAJ/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 AM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

As of 0534Z, GWO, GTR, and GLH are currently reporting VFR conditions. Poor flying conditions will persist across most TAF sites through the overnight period due to rain, storms and a low stratus cloud deck. Low stratus/light rain will persist into Saturday morning leading to a mix of MVFR/IFR/possible LIFR conditions. Ceilings will remain low through Saturday morning with conditions improving to VFR conditions across the area by Saturday afternoon. VFR ceilings will persist through Saturday evening. Ceilings will lower to MVFR/IFR status by 11Z Sunday. /CR/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 82 65 84 66 / 60 30 50 20 Meridian 81 62 83 62 / 80 20 40 20 Vicksburg 84 65 87 68 / 40 40 50 20 Hattiesburg 85 65 86 65 / 70 20 50 20 Natchez 87 66 88 68 / 50 30 50 10 Greenville 80 65 83 68 / 40 50 50 30 Greenwood 80 63 84 68 / 50 30 40 30

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.


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