textproduct: Jackson
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Above normal warmth continues into the start of the weekend.
- Chances for rain each day, with a greater chance for showers and storms this weekend as a cold front moves through.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 130 PM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
Tonight through next Monday...Convection that's developed across the forecast area this afternoon will gradually dissipate this evening as daytime heating wanes. Low stratus will again develop across the area during the overnight hours into early Wednesday morning, along with some patchy fog over mainly southern portions of the area. Some isolated showers will also be possible around day break Wednesday, as lows fall into the low and middle 60s.
Warm conditions will persist across the forecast area into the upcoming weekend with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s. Diurnally driven convection will again be possible Wednesday afternoon. However, better and more widespread rain chances will exist across the forecast area Thursday into Friday night, and again Saturday into early Sunday morning. Neither of these days look to be complete washouts at the moment, but better chances for showers and storms exist at these times due to shortwaves trying to move through the region.
At present, the system Thursday night will struggle to make headway through the forecast area as high pressure holds firmly in place. While this will again bring an increase in rain chances, the boundary associated with the shortwave will hang up just to our west, and essentially erode. However over the weekend, a stronger shortwave will successfully swing through the region dragging a cold front into and through the CWA late Saturday night into early Sunday morning. This will bring showers and storms to the entire forecast area, along with a cool down both Sunday and Monday as colder drier air advects into the region. /19/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 PM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
Most remaining MVFR ceilings have lifted into the VFR range, but primary concern through the afternoon is scattered SHRA or TSRA moving north across the forecast area with briefly variable conditions. Overnight expect additional low stratus to develop and impact most sites by 12Z Wednesday. /NF/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Jackson 64 84 65 84 / 10 40 0 40 Meridian 63 83 60 85 / 10 50 0 10 Vicksburg 64 86 65 83 / 20 30 0 60 Hattiesburg 65 83 63 85 / 10 70 0 20 Natchez 64 86 66 82 / 10 40 0 70 Greenville 64 86 67 81 / 10 10 10 50 Greenwood 65 86 66 84 / 10 20 10 40
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.
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