textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- A cold front moving through the region overnight into early Thursday could bring a stray shower to the area.

- Continued dry ground conditions, gusty winds, and drier air advecting into the area on Thursday will result in increased fire danger. - Colder conditions return late Thursday through this weekend. Frost or a light freeze is possible both Saturday and Sunday mornings, with greatest odds across northern and eastern Mississippi.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 108 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Tonight through next Tuesday...Overall, quiet weather will continue to reside across the forecast area during much of this forecast period. A cold front will propagate east through the region overnight into early Thursday morning. This could squeeze out a few showers during this time. However due to a moisture-starved air mass over the region, the majority of the forecast area will remain dry as it moves through.

Behind this front on Thursday, noticeably colder drier air will advect into the region. Dew points through the day will gradually fall into the upper 30s to mid 40s. Meanwhile, highs will range from the middle 60s north to middle 70s south. With afternoon relative humidity values generally ranging between 30-40%, northwest winds sustained around 15 mph with gusts around 25 mph, coupled with the extremely dry soil conditions and vegetation across the area, a "limited" threat for fire danger will exist across the entire CWA.

Colder drier weather will exist Friday through the weekend and into the beginning of next week. High temperatures Friday through Monday will generally range from the middle 50s to the low and middle 60s, but increasing into the upper 50s to middle 60s come Tuesday. Lows on the other hand will be quite chilly during this time frame. Currently, the coldest temperatures during this stretch look to fall both Saturday morning and Sunday morning with lows advertised to range from the upper 20s to middle 30s, particularly across the northeast half of the forecast area where temperatures are more likely to range from the upper 20s to lower 30s.

Lastly, a disturbance will move east across the northern Gulf of America late in the weekend into the first part of the new work week. This could result in some showers across the CWA during this timeframe. /19/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1150 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

All TAF sites are VFR tonight and this will continue at most sites through the period. A cold front is progressing across the area, producing only a few isolated light showers. Ahead of the front, fog/low stratus development at HBG/PIB is possible around daybreak which would reduce visibility/ceilings to the MVFR/IFR range. Low clouds clear after 14Z. Light and variable winds will become northwest behind the front. /86/15/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 81 50 71 39 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 79 50 71 35 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 82 48 71 38 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 80 55 75 39 / 40 0 0 0 Natchez 80 52 72 42 / 10 0 0 0 Greenville 82 50 67 39 / 10 0 0 0 Greenwood 79 46 66 34 / 10 10 0 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.