textproduct: Jackson
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Mostly dry and warm weather conditions are anticipated for the upcoming week.
- Limited threat for fire danger will exist Monday afternoon.
- Potential more significant cold front next weekend, ushering in cooler and seasonable fall temperatures.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 151 PM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026
Through Monday: Ridging aloft will strengthen over the region through Monday while a surface high remains centered just south of the CWA. Together these features will maintain warmer than normal temperatures and a relatively dry airmass with a PWAT less than one inch. Temperatures will top out in the lower 90s Monday and the hot temperatures will result in near critically low relative humidity prompting a "Limited" for Fire Danger, especially considering the ongoing drought conditions across the CWA. /22/
Through next weekend...
A prolonged dry period is in store this week into next weekend with high pressure locking in dry air over the region. High temperatures will be much above average, nearing records, in the low to mid 90s (average is 81). Due to the dry conditions, lows will cool to low 60s most nights, with pockets of upper 50s. Deep mixing will allow for RH to dip into the 20s most afternoons throughout the week, so limited fire danger should persist, especially given light rain totals from Isaias. High pressure will keep winds relatively light and should limit greater fire concerns throughout the work week.
By next weekend, a dry cold front will increase fire concerns, with much greater wind potential. Sustained winds could approach 20mph with an approximately 10mb pressure gradient associated with the front. Considering antecedent dry conditions, low RH and wind, an upgrade to an elevated could be warranted. The conditions should peak Saturday. By Sunday, winds should relax substantially, but with RH still in the 20s, fire danger likely persists. /SAS/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 PM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026
VFR conditions wl prevail through the TAF period. /22/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Jackson 61 93 62 93 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 59 92 59 92 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 61 93 62 93 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 60 93 60 93 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 62 93 63 93 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 63 93 65 93 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 62 93 63 94 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.
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