textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Elevated fire danger concerns will persist through Thursday due to very dry ground conditions and low humidity each day.

- Rain chances will increase across the forecast area this weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 235 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Through tonight: continued dry with warmer than normal highs and seasonal lows today and tonight. Early morning surface analysis still had a >1024m high centered over the Ohio valley. This surface high will continue to ridge back to the southwest across our CWA through tonight. This will result in a light northeast to east low level flow and essentially keep the Gulf closed. Early morning satellite imagery/RAP analysis showed the circulation around a 590dam ridge from the central Gulf ridging to the northeast across our southeast zones and over the southern Appalachians. The resulting southwest flow aloft across the western half of our CWA will bring a few mid and high level clouds but no rain. The few high clouds will due little to limit heating as wl top out several degrees warmer than on Monday. The warm afternoon temperatures will combine with our dry airmass to result in critically low afternoon minimum relative humidity that wl maintain elevated fire danger concerns. The continued relatively light wind will mitigate Red Flag Warning criteria. /22/

Wednesday through next Monday...Quiet weather, dry conditions, with cool pleasant mornings and warm afternoons, will continue through Friday. Over the weekend, a shortwave associated with a mid/upper level low pressure system lifting northeast through the plains into the Great Lakes region, will result in showers and a few thunderstorms moving through the forecast area from mainly Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning. Despite these much needed rain chances, neither Saturday nor Sunday will be complete washouts nor will it break the ongoing drought conditions across the area. However, for locations that are lucky enough to receive any rainfall over the weekend, it'll be quite welcomed and appreciated.

Rain chances will lessen across the area through the course of Sunday afternoon as the shortwave exists the region. In the wake of it, a slightly drier air mass will advect into the forecast area Sunday night into Monday. Temperatures will remain warm and in the low to middle 80s Monday afternoon, with lows Monday night cooling into the mid 50s to lower 60s. /19/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 633 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

VFR conditions wl prevail through the TAF period. /22/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 82 53 83 49 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 79 47 80 43 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 82 53 84 50 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 82 47 83 45 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 83 55 84 52 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 80 54 83 52 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 81 51 83 48 / 0 0 0 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.