textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- The combination of dry ground conditions, a dry airmass, and gusty winds will result in elevated fire danger conditions through today. - A light freeze is likely tonight and Saturday night mainly for portions of north and east Mississippi, but areas of frost are possible across much of the area.

- For the coming week, little rain is anticipated and many areas will remain dry.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 125 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

Through Saturday night: Dry and cooler conditions will prevail in the wake of a cold front that pushed across the area earlier this week. Substantially colder and drier air is settling into the area with temperatures this morning some 10-15 F cooler than 24 hours ago. Overnight lows continue downward tonight into Saturday night when a freeze is increasingly likely across much of north and east MS with a frost possible over a broader area. A Freeze Watch issued on Thursday for that area has been upgraded to a Freeze Warning valid for both Friday night and Saturday night when the coldest locations will could see temperatures into the upper 20s F for the first time this Fall season.

Because few areas have received wetting rains recently, the combination of low humidity and breezy conditions in the wake of the front resulted in in elevated fire concerns Thursday and we'll see a similar situation today with even lower RH anticipated particularly during this afternoon. Lower daytime temperatures may help mitigate the threat somewhat, but given the ongoing drought/dry fuels and continued breezy conditions, fire danger will persist. /86/DL/

Sunday through next week: In the wake of the longwave upper trough currently over the eastern CONUS, a secondary shortwave will follow Sunday into Monday, with a surface system tracking from Texas into the northern Gulf. Scattered showers on the northern periphery of this system may spread into southern portions of our area late Sunday into Monday, though there are some model solutions showing little to no rain making it into our area. Regardless, any rainfall with this system would be light. Otherwise, surface ridging will build back in through mid-week with dry weather and gradually moderating temperatures. /DL/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1258 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail at the TAF sites through the period, with northerly winds of 5-15 kts through the period. /NF/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 60 33 59 35 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 59 30 57 30 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 60 33 59 35 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 64 34 61 34 / 0 0 0 0 Natchez 63 36 61 38 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 56 32 55 34 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 55 29 56 31 / 0 0 0 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Saturday morning for MSZ018-019-025>039-041>046-048>052-056>058.

LA...None. AR...None.