textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers and thunderstorms will move across the area late this afternoon through tonight. A few strong storms are possible in Central Mississippi.

- Seasonable warmth will continue into next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 226 AM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

Through Friday: Our next chance for rain arrives today as a cold front associated with subtropical jet troughing sinks southward through this area late this afternoon into tonight. Scattered light warm advection showers have been ongoing overnight ahead of this front, and this activity will continue into the daytime. More organized development is anticipated this afternoon, with a few convective clusters, possibly a line of storms, as forcing increases along the front. Overall instability is not expected to be very impressive. However, with rather steep lapse rates in the mid levels and strong deep layer shear anticipated, a few storms may become strong enough to produce marginally severe hail from late this afternoon through the time that instability wanes in the early to mid evening. A marginal severe risk has been added to highlight this limited severe threat. Any rain that occurs is much needed in most areas and should not be enough to result in a flash flood threat.

Lingering showers will shift southeastward early Friday morning, with an airmass that is only mildly cooler in the wake of the front as the northern stream of the upper jet remains north of our region. In fact, in most areas, temps are expected to remain above normal behind the front.

Saturday through Wednesday: Seasonably warm and mainly dry conditions will prevail as shortwave upper ridging builds across the Southeastern states this weekend into early next week. More active weather will be focused north of our area from the Central Plains through the Midwest through much of next week, but periodic isolated shower activity can't be ruled out, mainly over the northern half of the area. At this time, there are no indications of hazardous weather threats through this portion of the forecast period. /DL/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1139 PM CST Wed Feb 25 2026

MVFR/IFR ceilings are expected through 12Z when ceilings will improve to MVFR/VFR through late morning. Rain chances increase through the afternoon and evening with ceilings falling back to MVFR/IFR concurrent with the increased rain chances through the remainder of the TAF period. Winds will remain out of the southwest until after midnight when winds will become northerly. Gusts could reach 15-20 kts. /86/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 76 55 72 47 / 50 70 10 0 Meridian 74 55 72 45 / 70 80 10 0 Vicksburg 76 53 73 46 / 30 60 10 0 Hattiesburg 78 59 77 50 / 40 80 30 0 Natchez 77 58 76 49 / 20 60 10 0 Greenville 73 49 70 45 / 20 30 0 0 Greenwood 73 50 72 45 / 40 40 0 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.