textproduct: Jackson
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A dry, warm airmass remains over the region through at least midweek.
- Rain chances return to the region, particularly Thursday into the weekend when heavier rainfall may be possible.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026
Monday night - Sunday
Upper-lvl ridge will continue to build over the region, keeping northwest flow, dry conditions, and high temps in the low 90s through Wednesday. With ongoing drought conditions and RH values (%) in the mid-20s, a "Limited" fire danger will continue over northern parts of the area. Continue to heed any local burn bans and be cautious of outdoor burning. As the ridge migrates eastward mid- week, southerly flow will push moisture into the area, easing fire weather concerns and increasing RH values through the weekend.
An upper-lvl low from the Southwest region and the absorbed remnants of Hurricane Polo will push a frontal boundary towards the region. Rain chances will return as the frontal boudary approaches Friday, lasting through the weekend. Although hazardous weather is not expected, forecast trends will be monitored as the week progress. 50- 75% probability for rain are expected with the high probability on Sunday (60-75% areawide). WPC estimates rainfall totals of 2-4 inches over the weekend, which would help improve ongoing drought conditions. /SW/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026
VFR flight categories with some low clouds (FEW to SCT) in the 8- 15kft range and light surface winds (northeasterly becoming southeasterly) will prevail the next 24 hours. /DC/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Jackson 63 90 63 91 / 0 0 0 0 Meridian 60 89 60 90 / 0 0 0 0 Vicksburg 63 90 64 91 / 0 0 0 0 Hattiesburg 62 92 62 92 / 0 0 0 10 Natchez 64 92 65 92 / 0 0 0 0 Greenville 61 90 63 93 / 0 0 0 0 Greenwood 59 90 61 92 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.
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