textproduct: Jackson

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Mainly afternoon and evening storm threats continue to be a concern with a marginal (Level 1 of 5) severe risk for damaging wind gusts today and again Monday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 300 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

For early to mid week: The threat for dangerous heat has lessened a bit as the subtropical ridge has weakened its grip over the Lower MS Valley region. The troughing in it's place is supporting cyclonic flow and a series of weak mesoscale convective vortices crossing the forecast area, with the latest MCV helping to initiate a few strong to severe downbursts this afternoon/evening in a hot, unstable, and very moist airmass. There should be another MCV moving in Monday with another marginal damaging wind risk expected for isolated storms in the ArkLaMiss region per SPC. Confidence isn't the greatest in terms of the area for this risk, so keep up with the latest outlooks. In terms of heat danger threats, we should stay mainly below limited thresholds for the most part.

Late week into next weekend: The ridge is forecast by most guidance to rebuild, and this should lessen convective rainfall coverage while allowing heat stress to intensify some. Additional heat related graphics for limited/elevated heat threats may eventually become necessary. /EC/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1238 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

VFR conds wl prevail areawide until after 09Z. After 09Z MVFR/IFR cigs and vsbys wl be psbl over the east and southern MS TAF sites until after 13Z. After 13Z VFR conditions wl resume areawide until after 17Z when isolated to scattered SHRA/TSRA wl be psbl until after 01Z Tue. The greatest coverage of aftn TSRA area expected over the eastern and southern MS TAF sites. /22/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 72 90 73 91 / 20 40 10 40 Meridian 73 91 73 92 / 20 40 10 20 Vicksburg 73 91 74 91 / 30 30 10 30 Hattiesburg 74 91 74 92 / 40 50 10 40 Natchez 73 91 74 92 / 30 60 10 40 Greenville 73 90 73 92 / 20 20 10 20 Greenwood 72 91 73 93 / 30 30 10 20

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.

IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.

textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.