textproduct: Jackson
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Above normal warmth continues into the start of the weekend.
- Chances for rain each day, with a greater chance for showers and storms this weekend as a cold front moves through.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 125 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026
Tonight through next Tuesday...Convection that's developed across the forecast area this afternoon will gradually dissipate this evening as daytime heating wanes. While severe storms are not expected, a few of the more intense storms could produce some gusty winds this afternoon, with some heavy downpours also possible. Low stratus will again develop across the area during the overnight hours into early Thursday morning. Some isolated showers will also be possible around day break Thursday, as lows fall into the 60s.
A shortwave will attempt to push a weak frontal boundary into and through the region Thursday night into early Friday morning. This will bring some slightly better rain chances to the forecast area both Thursday and Friday, particularly across western portions of the CWA during peak heating hours. However, due to high pressure hanging firmly in place across the region from the east, this system will struggle to make any headway into the CWA. This will cause the boundary to hang up just to our west, and essentially erode. In addition to the increased rain chances Thursday, winds will also be breezy across the area as well, due to the tightening pressure gradient. By late morning and continuing through the afternoon, winds will generally be sustained from the south around 15 mph, gusting at times between 25-30 mph, especially across the Delta.
Over the weekend, a stronger shortwave will successfully swing through the region dragging a cold front into and through the CWA Saturday night into early Sunday morning. This will bring showers and storms to the entire forecast area, particularly Saturday afternoon and night. Some light showers will linger across the area in the front's wake during the first half of Easter Sunday, but the day currently does not look to be a washout.
A cool down will also exist across the area both Easter Sunday and Monday as colder drier air advects into the region. Highs each day will range from the middle 60s to lower 70s, with lows Sunday night from the mid 40s to lower 50s and in the 40s areawide in Monday night. Come Tuesday though, temperatures will once again be on the rebound. /19/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1221 PM CDT Wed Apr 1 2026
Flight categories will continue to vary between VFR/MVFR status this afternoon and evening, thanks to both clouds and isolated to scattered convection across the area. While convection will dissipate in the evening as daytime heating wanes, developing lows stratus will again result in categories falling into the MVFR/IFR range through Thursday morning. Winds today will remain from the south between 8-13 knots, while gusting at times up around 20 knots. These will subside a bit this evening, but still remaining southerly between 5-10 knots. /19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Jackson 64 83 65 84 / 0 40 10 20 Meridian 60 85 63 85 / 0 10 0 10 Vicksburg 66 83 66 84 / 10 60 10 50 Hattiesburg 64 86 65 85 / 10 20 10 20 Natchez 67 83 67 83 / 10 60 10 60 Greenville 67 83 68 84 / 10 50 20 40 Greenwood 67 84 67 86 / 0 30 30 20
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.
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