textproduct: Jackson

KEY MESSAGES

- There are several chances for rain through this weekend, with the potential for thunderstorms and heavy rain especially Saturday into Saturday night.

- Strong winds will be possible Saturday and Sunday as a low pressure system moves through the region.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1208 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Through early next week:

A wavy pattern will persist through the next week over the CONUS, with ridging over the east and troughing over the west being the predominant features. This will support temperatures much above seasonal norms and trough ejections will bring intermittent rain chances and storms.

A shortwave and trailing surface cold front will promote an onset of rain showers in the HWY 82 corridor this evening. Showers will steadily propagate south tomorrow along the front. The front stalls near the coast leaving dry air in its wake for Thursday. Rain chances return Friday in response to the returning warm front, which will gradually lift north and begin a recovery of airmass in advance of a more vigorous shortwave for Saturday. In response, a surface low will deepen and push across the area Saturday. This could bring a line of severe storms given more than sufficient shear and forcing. However, lack of quality moisture recovery and weak instability introduces some uncertainty. The surface low track is suppressed and would favor southern portions of the area for potential severe threat. Of higher confidence however, is the tightening pressure gradient in response to the deepening surface low. A pressure gradient of 8-10mb over the area could lead to gusty winds aside from storms and will have to be monitored for a potential HWO graphic. While heavy rain also cannot be ruled out given the anomalous 1.5-1.7 PWAT, the quick moving nature of the system throws impacts into question. Winds could be gusty of the backside of the low as well again on Sunday into Sunday night.

Quiet weather returns for early next week beneath a reinforced upper ridge. Persistent southerly flow will keep temperatures above seasonal norms into next week as well. /SAS/

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

VFR conditions continue across most of the area late this evening, though considerable high and mid cloudiness is spreading across the area ahead of a cold front. The front will push southeastward across the region on Wednesday with scattered SHRA ahead of it. Ceilings will lower to MVFR/IFR at several sites overnight through Wed morning, improving in most areas by afternoon. Winds will shift from S/SW ahead of the front to N/NE behind the front. /DL/

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Jackson 59 72 48 68 / 20 20 0 0 Meridian 57 73 43 68 / 20 20 0 0 Vicksburg 59 71 48 69 / 20 20 0 0 Hattiesburg 58 78 51 72 / 0 20 10 0 Natchez 59 75 52 74 / 10 20 0 0 Greenville 53 62 41 63 / 50 20 0 0 Greenwood 55 65 41 66 / 60 30 0 0

JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MS...None. LA...None. AR...None.