textproduct: Wilmington

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Heavy rain is possible Sunday afternoon into Monday.

2) Below normal temperatures are expected next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1)

Low pressure will shift from the middle Mississippi Valley Sunday into the lower Great Lakes Monday. While the vertical wind fields will not be as strong with this system compared to yesterday's, deep moisture will be present from Sunday afternoon through Sunday night. If the expected path of this system holds, a lengthy period of showers -- heavy at times -- will be possible Sunday night. Global ensemble systems show 24-hour precipitation ranging from 1" to 2" (ensemble mean), with the heaviest based on a low track further south through central Ohio.

KEY MESSAGE 2)

Behind the system, dry weather will return late Monday into mid-week as cool high pressure builds into the middle Ohio Valley. With normal highs nearing their peak summertime values in the middle 80s, highs early next week will stay in the 70s.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

VFR will continue through the period. Mid clouds will spread across the region after 05Z and then scatter late in the period. Winds will decrease and back to the south southwest tonight but then during the day veer to the west northwest and increase with gusts at or above 20 kt.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms are possible Sunday afternoon through Monday. MVFR conditions are possible on Sunday night and Monday as well.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.


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