textproduct: Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Precipitation chances over the weekend have increased slightly, with even warmer temperatures forecast for next week.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Slow warmup into the early weekend, with rain likely especially near and south of the Ohio River.

2) Much above normal temperatures expected next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1) Slow warmup into the early weekend, with rain likely especially near and south of the Ohio River.

Slightly below normal temperatures for one more day before a modest warmup begins on Friday. Some potential for light fog near daybreak mainly in the Tri State and into northern Kentucky. Friday begins a trend to above normal temperatures and increasing clouds, with an upper trough and associated surface low to bring rain to the southern/central Ohio Valley beginning Saturday night. While surface temperatures should be fairly warm at precip onset to mitigate concern for patchy freezing rain, colder low level temperatures could yield a brief period of ice pellets/sleet.

Through Sunday, daytime highs reach close to 50 for much of the region. The area with the highest potential to accumulate more than a half inch of rain is confined to mainly central Kentucky, though portions of northern KY/south central Ohio could approach or exceed a half inch.

Once this trough and associated low pushes east of the region, high pressure and strong warm air advection will dominate the next several days. Daytime highs increase from the 50s and then 60s by midweek.

AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

MVFR cigs confined to KCMH/KLCK through the mid part of the day before the cloud deck slowly pushes east. VFR conditions expected elsewhere for the most part, but some potential for MVFR vsbys at KLUK as the surface high becomes centered over the area. Winds generally light and variable or light NW flow.

OUTLOOK...MVFR vsbys and cigs are possible Saturday night into Sunday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.