textproduct: Wilmington
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Increased wind gusts on Wednesday.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A strong storm system will move through the region during the middle of the week bringing the potential for severe weather, flooding, gusty winds, and snow.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) A strong storm system will move through the region during the middle of the week bringing the potential for severe weather, flooding, gusty winds, and snow.
Quiet weather today and Monday will give way to a more unsettled weather pattern starting on Tuesday. Shower and thunderstorm activity will begin to move into the region on Tuesday. Cannot rule out a strong to severe storm Tuesday into Tuesday night primarily across western portions of the region, however the main impacts from this system are expected to be Wednesday into Thursday. Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph will be likely on Wednesday into Wednesday night even outside of thunderstorm activity. Wednesday afternoon and into the early evening hours there will be the potential for severe weather. There is a lot of moisture with this system, so heavy downpours will lead to the added potential for renewed flooding concerns as well. Will continue to highlight all of these threats in the HWO. Temperatures will drop quickly Wednesday night with temperatures going from the 70s during the day on Wednesday to 20s and 30s by Thursday morning. This will allow for a transition over to snow showers. Snow showers will continue into the day on Thursday before tapering off later in the day.
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Any shower activity will be light and brief and at the start of the TAF period as a cold front moves through. The cold front will push to the east and wind gusts will occur near and just after the frontal boundary before decreasing. MVFR cigs will move across the region through the morning daytime hours before returning to VFR conditions for the remainder of the TAF period.
OUTLOOK...MVFR to IFR ceilings possible Tuesday through Thursday. Wind gusts above 30 kt possible Wednesday. Thunderstorms possible Tuesday night into Wednesday.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.
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