textproduct: Wilmington

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

SYNOPSIS

Below normal temperatures are expected through the weekend, with mainly dry conditions for the Ohio Valley. A slow warming trend is expected thereafter, with much above normal temperatures by midweek of next week. Rain chances will increase by midweek and beyond next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Quiet conditions are expected for the near term period with mostly cloudy skies expected until around daybreak before skies trend clearer past sunrise. This being said, a mix of sun and clouds is on tap for the daytime, with temps topping out in the mid 20s near/N of I-70 to the mid/upper 30s near/S of the OH Rvr. Mid/high clouds will overspread the region by late in the day with a system passing to our S by this evening.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/

The system tracking E through the TN Vly will stay to the S of the local area through the short term period with dry conditions persisting locally through Saturday. Temps tonight will dip into the teens near/N of I-70 to the mid/upper 20s near/S of the OH Rvr before rebounding to the upper 20s to upper 30s from N to S, respectively, by Saturday afternoon amidst quite a bit of cloud cover.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/

Mainly quiet conditions will persist through much of the long term period as several disturbances progress through the Great Lakes region Sunday into Monday before return flow and ridging nudges into the eastern CONUS by early next week.

This will bring warmer temperatures and southerly flow starting Monday, continuing through the end of the extended period. Highs will rise into the 40s Monday and upper 40s to 50s Tuesday through Thursday. While lower confidence at this time range, we will start to see a chance of rain by midweek as the moist southwest flow continues, especially as several disturbances progress along the nrn periphery of the ridging.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

An area of MVFR stratocumulus clouds is moving south through the area. These clouds will reach KCMH/KLCK/KDAY and provide a period of MVFR ceilings. There is a medium chance they will also reach KILN, and a low chance they will reach KCVG/KLUK. Overall confidence is low in how long the clouds will persist, but for locations the clouds reach, some MVFR conditions will probably continue into the evening. Once these clouds have dissipated, VFR conditions are expected through the rest of the TAF period, with some mid clouds moving in overnight and tomorrow. Winds are expected to remain under 10 knots through the period, generally out of the north.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.


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