textproduct: Wilmington

SYNOPSIS

A weak cold front moving through the area this morning will lead to cooler temperatures today. Temperatures will then moderate through the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/

An initial cold front has already moved off to the southeast early this morning while a secondary, main cold front will push across our area through daybreak. Some mid and high level clouds will be possible at times this morning in association with the front.

Surface high pressure will build in behind the front through the rest of the day with mostly sunny skies expected. In the developing low level CAA behind the front, temperatures will drop off through the morning and then not rebound all that much, with afternoon readings ranging from the lower 30s north to the upper 30s south.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/

Surface high pressure will shift off to the east tonight with mostly clear skies expected across the area. Lows tonight will generally be in the low to mid 20s, although some teens will be possible in areas that are able to remain decoupled through the night. The best chance for this will be across our east, closer to the surface high.

Return flow will set up through the day on Monday with increasing southerly flow. In the developing WAA pattern, expect an increase in clouds during the day along with moderating temperatures. Highs on Monday will range from the lower 40s northeast to the upper 40s/near 50 degrees in the southwest.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

On Monday evening, surface high pressure will be moving off the east coast, with increasing southwesterly flow from the deep south into the Ohio Valley. The weather pattern throughout the week will consist of generally WNW upper flow, with occasional waves in the flow bringing chances for precipitation from time to time. Generally southerly boundary layer flow is expected through the week, punctuated by a couple of brief shifts to northerly flow and cold advection, before warmer air surges north into the area again. As a result of this pattern, temperatures are expected to be well above normal through the week. As of now, Thursday looks like the warmest day of the week, with highs in the lower 60s. This would come in a little short of record highs for Dec 25, but the min temps Friday morning (Dec 26) could be close to record high minimums.

The first chance of precipitation will be at the beginning of the extended period on Monday night into Tuesday morning. Additional waves in the flow will bring chances Thursday morning and Friday morning. While this is a rather active pattern, as of now, there are no signals for any significant, prolonged, or heavy precipitation. Thus, there is a low probability of any hazardous weather occurring.

AVIATION /11Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

High pressure will move east across the region through tonight, leading to mainly clear skies. VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period.

OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR ceilings possible Monday night into Tuesday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.