textproduct: Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Potential for wintry precipitation early next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1) Mid level energy will move out of the western US this weekend in zonal flow aloft and progress east across the Ohio Valley into early next week. As it does, a surface wave and/or inverted trough will shift east across the Tennessee and Ohio Valley region. This will allow for pcpn to overspread our region Sunday into Monday. Thermal profiles and any snow amounts will be dependent on the exact track of the system, but as of now, it looks like some accumulating snow will be possible along and north of the Ohio River. For now, will keep more of a rain/snow mix across our south.

AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Although skies are mostly clear to start the period, a deck of mid clouds will overspread the terminals early, persisting through much of the overnight before exiting to the east around 12z. This lends itself to some uncertainties regarding the BR/FG potential, even for srn sites of KCVG/KLUK. Nevertheless, still think that brief MVFR (or even IFR) VSBY will be possible at these sites in the several hours around daybreak.

Conditions will return to VFR area-wide after 13z, with some cirrus expected during the daytime. Light/VRB winds through 15z will go out of the SW at 10-15kts, with gusts around 20kts, by 18z before tapering off toward the end of the period.

OUTLOOK...MVFR conditions are possible Saturday night. MVFR/IFR conditions are possible Sunday into Monday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.