textproduct: Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) An extended period of dry weather will continue through the bulk of the forecast period, with the next credible rain chances occurring on Friday. Temperatures will generally be near or slightly below climatological normals.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1)

A mid and upper level omega blocking pattern will remain in place across the central CONUS through early next week. This will help keep surface high pressure across the region, which is atypical for extended dry periods for this time. Temperatures will be pleasant and generally just below seasonal norms, more notable on overnight lows with highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s.

A strong mid level short wave will move south across the northeast US this weekend and cut off in the Mid Atlantic just offshore. As it does, a backdoor cold front will cross south across the region as high pressure builds north of the Great Lakes. Given the entrenched dry air in place, the main affect will be a slight cool down and a stronger northeast wind, gusting to 20-30 mph Saturday.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Regional high pressure will result in lighter to stagnant winds and cirrus clouds overnight. Cannot rule out some patchy river valley fog that may impact KLUK, with a brief MVFR vsby restriction toward sunrise. Probability of development is too low to mention in the TAF forecast at this time.

VFR conditions to persist on Saturday as a weak back door cold front slips south of the TAF/s during the morning. Airmass is dry and only expect a few fair weather cumulus clouds in the wake of the front.

Light northeast winds overnight increase to 10-12 kts Saturday afternoon with gusts up to 18 kts.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.