textproduct: Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No major changes from the previous forecast. Winds decrease this evening with attention shifting to the colder temperatures and chances for light snow accumulations this weekend.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Gusty winds decrease this evening.

2) Snow potential for Sunday/Sunday night and Monday. Below normal temperatures late weekend into early next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1) Strong winds continue this afternoon, but as the low pressure weakens, winds will gradually relax into the evening hours. Wind advisory will expire at 6pm as planned.

Mostly clear skies and calming winds support temperatures dropping below freezing for Saturday morning.

KEY MESSAGE 2) While some light precipitation is possible Saturday night, confidence is increasing that much of the precipitation will occur Sunday into early Monday as a strong low pressure forms off the East Coast. No major changes to the overall forecast at this time, with perhaps a minor decrease in overall snowfall amounts given temperatures near to slightly above freezing Sunday afternoon. More efficient snowfall accumulations are possible Sunday night after sunset. Eventually, periods of light snow become more scattered into Monday, ending as flurries Monday evening. Given the long duration of light snow, total snowfall amounts are still in the one to two inch range, with the lesser amounts across southwest portions of the local area. Some travel impacts are expected Monday morning with temperatures dropping into the mid to lower 20s.

The coldest period of temperatures will be from Monday night into Tuesday morning. Temperatures across the are are in the lower 20s to mid teens. Below normal temperatures continue through the day on Tuesday. A warming trend is noted for Wednesday ahead of the next system.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

VFR cu will be possible at the start of the TAF period at KDAY, KILN, KCMH, and KLCK. In addition some wind gusts will also be possible at the start of the TAF period. Wind gusts will then subside. Any wind gusts on Saturday are expected to be more isolated. High clouds will start to work into the TAF sites overnight and then mid clouds on Saturday. Snow will then start to be possible at the end of the longer KCVG TAF.

OUTLOOK...MVFR to IFR ceilings and visibilities possible Sunday into Monday with snow. MVFR conditions are also possible Wednesday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.