textproduct: Wilmington

SYNOPSIS

A frontal boundary will lift northwards tonight into Friday. High pressure will allow for dry conditions on Saturday. A strong storm system will move through Sunday into Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/

Just a few showers remain across far southern portions of the region near the frontal boundary. Otherwise, expect dry conditions this afternoon with more breaks in the clouds across northern portions of the region.

Tonight there will be additional fog development and also showers will move into the region. A frontal boundary will start to work northward through the region. This will allow for temperatures to start to climb overnight. Cannot rule out very brief freezing rain across small areas of central Ohio late tonight, but in general expect rain.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT/

Showers will move across the area on Friday before starting to taper off in the evening hours. This will leave the remainder of Friday night dry. Friday will be a warm day with highs in the 50s and 60s. Friday night lows will range from the middle 30s north to middle 40s south.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Mild and dry conditions will be in place on Saturday into Saturday night as winds switch around to the southeast. More active weather is expected on Sunday into Monday. On Sunday, a deepening low moves northeast into the Great Lakes lifting a warm front through the Ohio Valley. Rain is possible as the warm front moves north during the day. A brief lull in the rain is possible in the warm sector in the wake of the front. Precipitation chances rapidly increase once again late Sunday when a strong cold front attached to the deepening low moves through. Gusty winds usher in much colder air after FROPA and rain may briefly switch over to snow as temperatures plummet from the 60s on Sunday to the 20s by Monday morning. Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph are possible in the strong CAA.

Cold, dry, and breezy conditions are expected Monday through Tuesday as the low progresses northeast into Canada. Cold and dry conditions persist through much of next week.

AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Warm front will slowly lift northward overnight. A few sprinkles will be possible overnight, but felt that coverage would be limited enough to not warrant a mention in the TAFs. However, MVFR/IFR CIGs can be expected at the start of the period for KCVG/KLUK, slowly making their way up towards the northern terminals. Some MVFR/IFR vsbys possible as well, with both CIG and vsby reductions persisting through the remainder of the taf period. Some LIFR CIGs possible later Friday morning and afternoon.

Periods of light rain can expected throughout the majority of the day Friday, but overall, the rain will remain very light. Cold front eventually works its way through the region, resulting in a wind shift to the west.

OUTLOOK...MVFR to IFR ceilings will continue through Friday night. There may be a break Saturday into Saturday night. But MVFR to IFR ceilings and visibilities are likely to return Sunday into Monday along with gusty winds.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.