textproduct: Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) An extended period of dry weather will continue through at least Thursday. Temperatures will start the week generally near or slightly below climatological normals.

2) Temperatures begin to warm by the end of the week and chances for showers and thunderstorms will develop as we head into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1) A mid level trough axis pivoting down across the northeast US will keep our region in northwest flow aloft tonight into Monday night. An increase in mid level moisture and some weak embedded mid level energy may be enough to squeeze out a few light rain showers or sprinkles later tonight and on through Monday. It appears the best chance for this will be across our southwest, where the mid level moisture will be the highest. Otherwise, surface high pressure will drift slowly southeast across the region through mid week. This will result in mainly dry conditions through the end of the work week with temperatures gradually moderating. Highs in the mid 70s early this week will trend to highs in the lower 80s by Friday.

KEY MESSAGE 2) Surface high pressure will move off to the southeast late in the week/over the weekend as mid level short wave energy moves across the Great Lakes region. This will lead to developing southwest low level flow across the mid Ohio Valley along with an increase in moisture, eventually resulting in a chance for showers and a few thunderstorms by the weekend. Temperatures will remain a few degrees above normal over the weekend, with daytime high in the low to mid 80s.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Mid and high level clouds will continue to drop down across the region tonight into Monday. It will be tough to rule out a few sprinkles or light rain showers, but these should be operationally insignificant. VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.