textproduct: Wilmington

SYNOPSIS

High pressure will allow for dry conditions through the day on Wednesday. A system will then bring rain to the region Wednesday night into Thursday. An active pattern will continue into the weekend with multiple rounds of precipitation.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Widespread cloud cover is expected through the afternoon. There is some question with how quickly the clouds start to move out or dissipate. Typically they hold on a little longer this time of year and slowed the decrease in clouds in the forecast. Once they do expect some fog. There will likely be a fog and stratus combination.

There will be a wide range in low temperatures overnight with lows in the upper 20s north of Interstate 70 and upper 30s across northern Kentucky.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT/

WAA will allow for temperatures to reach into the 50s across the tri-state on Wednesday. It will take longer for temperatures to rise across the rest of the area with highs only in the 40s expected during the day on Wednesday. Temperatures will continue to rise overnight Wednesday night. Rain will overspread the region Wednesday night.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

A warm weather pattern persists through the week before breaking on Sunday. For Thursday, a stalled front is likely to be draped across the area. Locations north of I-70 may remain in the upper 40s/lower 50s while locations south of the Ohio River may reach 60. Rain chances exist with the front in the area and a possible upper level shortwave trough moving through.

The aforementioned stalled front lifts north of I-70 Thursday night into Friday when a weak surface low moves across the area. Rain chances exist along the front when it lifts north as a warm front. Some low end shower chances may persist in the warm sector on Friday. Forecast highs are in the 60s for most locations. Warm conditions continue on Saturday. Forecasts highs once again reach into the 60s for most locations.

On Sunday, the synoptic setup may change. A strong cold front is currently forecast to push through the area dropping temperatures and dew points significantly. Windy conditions accompany the arrival of the cold air on Sunday into Monday. Rain will likely accompany the front.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Widespread MVFR CIGs are beginning to scatter at all area TAF sites with a band of upper level cirrus remaining. Can't rule out some brief MVFR returning, but trends indicate more scattered conditions are favored in the near term. However, given this clearing, did not make any adjustments to VIS which were previously at MVFR/IFR restrictions. Visibility trends will continue to be monitored into the evening and overnight for any additional adjustments.

Westerly winds will become more northerly tonight before becoming northeasterly Wednesday afternoon as high pressure moves into the region.

The next system approaches from the west after 00Z tomorrow, bringing another round of scattered rain showers and additional CIG/VIS restrictions. This has been mentioned in the 30-hour CVG TAF.

OUTLOOK...MVFR to IFR ceilings and MVFR visibilities likely Wednesday night into Thursday with MVFR ceilings possibly lingering through Sunday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.