textproduct: Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Increased sky cover through Sunday morning and decreased dewpoints on Monday during the day.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Showers and thunderstorms will occur Monday evening into Tuesday ahead of a cold front. More rain will occur later Tuesday night into Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1) Dry conditions through the remainder of the weekend will give way to thunderstorms Monday evening into Tuesday as a cold front approaches and moves through the region. Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop west of the region on Monday and then be on a weakening trend as they move further east through the region. Although they will be on a weakening trend, there is still the potential for severe weather. The greatest potential for severe weather will be across western portions of the region across eastern Indiana, western Ohio, and parts of northern Kentucky. The primary threat will be damaging winds, however other severe threat types cannot be ruled out. The front will move through on Tuesday.

Another system is expected to work up into the region from the south Tuesday night bringing additional precipitation chances to the region.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

MVFR TO VFR cigs will be round this afternoon. VFR conditions are expected by evening at all area TAF sites except KCMH and KLCK where expect MVFR conditions to linger. Going into the overnight hours, expect additional clouds to work into the area. Have KCVG and KLUK VFR, KDAY and KILN MVFR, and then have KCMH and KLCK have a period of IFR cigs. Going more into the day on Sunday, expect VFR conditions to return at all area TAF sites except for KCMH and KLCK where MVFR cigs will have the potential to linger.

OUTLOOK....MVFR ceilings may extend into Sunday afternoon. Thunderstorms possible Monday night into Tuesday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.