textproduct: Wilmington
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Decreased snow in the forecast for tonight.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Some wintry precipitation expected overnight Saturday night and Sunday night into Monday morning.
2) Warmer and wetter conditions expected from Tuesday through the rest of the week.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) Some wintry precipitation expected overnight Saturday night and Sunday night into Monday morning.
A system will move through overnight. Most of the precipitation is expected to be rain, however cannot rule out snow or a very brief period of freezing rain near and north of Interstate 70.
Another system will bring precipitation Sunday night into Monday. Will have to watch closely the timing on this. There has been quite a bit of variability on how much precipitation will occur with this. There are some concerns with the timing, if it is heavy enough, that snow Monday morning could impact the commute near and south of the Ohio River. Hi-res models are a lot more robust with feature. Will increase wording in HWO for parts of the area.
KEY MESSAGE 2) Warmer and wetter conditions expected from Tuesday through the rest of the week.
A shift to warmer and wetter conditions will occur Tuesday through the week. Flooding looks to be likely with this pattern as repeated rounds of rain are expected to move across the region. There are some signals for potential severe weather on some of the days as well and therefore will have to monitor trends to narrow down this potential as well. Will highlights these threats in the HWO. Temperatures will be well above normal next week during this time.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR conditions will start out the TAF period. A system will move through overnight. Model soundings indicate that precipitation type is expected to be rain at the area TAF sites. Cigs will lower to MVFR overnight. After the precipitation moves out there will be a several hour time period where there will be more wind gusts around 20 knots. Winds will stay up during the day on Sunday, however wind gusts will gradually subside. A return to VFR conditions will occur as the day progresses on Sunday.
OUTLOOK...Periods of MVFR/IFR conditions are possible at times from Sunday night through Thursday. Gusty winds are possible Wednesday and Thursday.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.
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