textproduct: Wilmington

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Issued flood watch, increased precipitation chances and amounts for today into tonight. Added fog mention in for tonight. Decreased temperatures for today with rain across the region.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Showers and some thunderstorms will lead to the potential for flooding and flash flooding into tonight. Some additional precipitation chances at times during the week.

2) Temperatures will be near to slightly above normal during the week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1) Issued a flood watch for areas that have received heavy rainfall in recent days and also are expected to get additional heavy rain into tonight. This combination is over portions of northern Kentucky and into portions of southern Ohio. Precipitation will gradually start to diminish overnight. Precipitation on Monday and Tuesday will be more limited and primarily near and south of the Ohio River. There will be additional precipitation chances for Wednesday primarily focused south of I-70. Drier conditions are expected for Thursday and Friday. There is more uncertainty with model variability going into the weekend on precipitation chances.

KEY MESSAGE 2) High temperatures will be in the 70s to low 80s over the next week and lows will generally be in the 50s to low 60s for the week. These values are near normal for a lot of the week, however Tuesday through Thursday will have a better chance of being slightly above normal for temperatures.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Widespread shower activity will work across the TAF sites this afternoon and into this evening before tapering off overnight. Cigs will range from VFR to IFR during the TAF period. Vsbys will be reduced with rainfall this afternoon at times and then the vsbys will be reduced at times overnight due to fog. By the end of the TAF period conditions will be MVFR to VFR. Winds will generally be light and around 10 knots or less.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Wednesday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...Flood Watch until 11 PM EDT this evening for OHZ073-074-079>082-088. KY...Flood Watch until 11 PM EDT this evening for KYZ097>100. IN...None.

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