textproduct: NWS Wilmington

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Aviation discussion updated for 00Z TAFs.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Rain chances return Wednesday and likely moreso this weekend.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Rain chances return Wednesday and likely moreso this weekend.

A passing cold front will bring some rain Wednesday, but no big impacts are expected as rain amounts should be light and no wintry precip is anticipated for a change. The next high chance of rain is this weekend, especially Sunday with PoPs up to 70-80%, with models in agreement on this also being plain rain, with the risk for any significant impacts low at this time.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

VFR conditions are expected through the valid TAF period. Light and variable winds will calm later this evening, before picking up out of the southwest at 6-9 kts after sunrise.

Extended Forecast....Flight restrictions due to shallow fog and/or low clouds are possible Tuesday night. Intermittent sea fog could also impact the coastal terminals Tuesday night into early Wednesday prior to a cold frontal passage. The front could also bring some mainly minor restrictions from rain and/or low clouds Wednesday into Wednesday night.

MARINE

Through Tuesday...Northeasterly winds at 5-10 kts become more light and variable tonight, causing the seas to come down slightly from 2- 4 ft to 1-3 ft. Southwesterly winds start picking up by daybreak Tuesday, continuing to increase throughout the day. Sustained winds reach up to 15-17 kts later in the afternoon, with gusts up to 20-22 kts. Seas kick back up slightly to 2-4 ft.

Tuesday Night through Saturday...There is a low risk for marginal SCA conditions Tue night and Wed in the SW flow ahead of an approaching cold front, but with chilly shelf waters do not expect most of the higher gusts aloft to mix down. The front moves through late Wed but the CAA that follows is not particularly strong. Sfc high pressure then follows with sub-SCA conditions through the end of the week.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...None. SC...None. MARINE...None.

IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.

textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.