textproduct: NWS Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Headline section updated for expiration of Small Craft Advisory.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Minor coastal flooding will continue with a very brief reprieve in hazardous marine/surf conditions.

2) High pressure will maintain dry weather and coastal breezes this week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Minor coastal flooding will continue with a very brief reprieve in hazardous marine/surf conditions.

High pressure extending down the east coast will start to weaken, easing winds a bit tonight into Tue. The reprieve from stronger winds will be short lived. Reinforcing high pressure arrives early Wed and continues into Thu with the return of adverse marine/surf conditions. Gradient weakens Thu with wind speeds dropping and conditions gradually improving.

Coastal Flooding: Minor coastal flooding is likely during each morning high tide cycle through at least midweek.

KEY MESSAGE 2...High pressure will maintain dry weather and coastal breezes this week.

High pressure extending down the east coast will be the dominant feature this week keeping the region dry and breezy, especially along the coast. Should see a bit of rise in dewpoints into midweek with patches of moisture off the Atlantic waters. This could produce some clouds, mainly along the coast and it will keep overnight lows higher beginning Wed morning. There will be an overall warming trend with temps above normal heading into late week.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

VFR with light and variable winds overnight. North winds AOB 10 kts expected for Tuesday.

Extended outlook: VFR with gusty NE winds expected at times, especially near the coast. There is a low risk for CIG restrictions, mainly during late night/early morning periods.

MARINE

Pinched gradient remains in place today with high pressure building down the coast. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through 1 am, but overall, weakening high pressure will allow winds to subside with seas to gradually follow. Expect a few areas to see seas lingering over 6 ft through this evening.

Once the advisory comes down, there will be about a 24-30 hour window with no advisories. However reinforcing high pressure arrives early Wed and continues into Thu, accompanied by a northerly surge. Anticipate another round of SCA for the nearshore waters beginning on Wed and continuing Thu. Winds will be borderline as far as criteria go, but expect seas will return above 6 ft, especially in the 10-20 NM waters.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...High Risk for Rip Currents from 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening for NCZ108. SC...High Risk for Rip Currents from 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening for SCZ056. MARINE...None.