textproduct: NWS Wilmington
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes from the previous forecast with this update. Aviation discussion updated for 12Z TAFs.
KEY MESSAGES
Elevated rain chances continue through Thursday, with rain chances closer to seasonal norms Friday through early next week.
KEY MESSAGE 1
Elevated rain chances continue through Thursday, with rain chances closer to seasonal norms Friday through early next week.
What's left of an upr-level low west of the area will further weaken today, however moist southerly flow and weak impulses aloft will still allow for another day of chance/likely PoPs. Similar to the last couple days, activity this morning is focused along the coast and offshore, and will transition more inland later in the day, however with expected spotty coverage. Not expecting much in the way of flooding, but very isolated flooding is possible should slow-moving, heavy rainfall move over the same areas for several hours. Similar PoPs for Thursday with little change in the overall pattern, before more typical summertime chances of rain (slight chance-chance PoPs) return Friday through early next week along with high temps returning into the 90s.
AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Moist southerly flow bringing more showers into the area this morning. These showers will push inland through the day leaving a lower chc later today, mainly inland. Mainly associated with MVFR cigs, but vsbys did drop to IFR briefly in spots. FLO and LBT will continue to experience some IFR/LIFR mainly in low ceilings and fog. Some heavier rain should help limit the IFR/LIFR conditions through the early/mid morning hours, before improvement to VFR. Scattered showers and storms this aftn with southerly winds aob 10 kt, but conditions should predominantly be VFR.
Extended Forecast...Periodic sub-VFR restrictions are possible in showers and storms for the remainder of the week. The moist low-level airmass will also support a greater potential for morning stratus each day.
MARINE
Sub-SCA conditions continue for the remainder of the week into the weekend with persistent fairly light S/SE flow as Bermuda high pressure is locked in place off to the east. Chances of showers and storms remain in place every day.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None. SC...None. MARINE...None.
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