textproduct: NWS Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Aviation discussion updated for the 00Z TAF cycle.

Low rip current risk across all 5 county beaches Thu.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Hot with largely rain-free conditions.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... Hot with largely rain-free conditions.

Ridging will build just north of the area with a return to above normal temperatures through the end of the work week. Heat Advisories appear likely by Friday as humidity starts to recover with S/SW winds. By the weekend moisture should have recovered enough to support typical afternoon showers/storms with isolated to scattered coverage, but these aren't anticipated to help preclude the heat threat into next week.

AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

High confidence for VFR across all terminals during this valid 00Z taf issuance period. SE-S winds 4 kt or less this evening will become westerly overnight thru daytime Thu. The exception will be the coastal terminals where the sea breeze will develop by midday and progress inland. Look for winds to become SE-S around 10-14 kt at the coastal terminals reaching the inland terminals late afternoon or early evening at speeds of 5 to 9 kt. Enough moisture for SCT diurnal Cu in the 6k to 7.5k foot range.

Extended Forecast... High pressure will persist into the upcoming weekend with predominantly VFR conditions through the period.

MARINE

Wednesday through Sunday... Light winds becoming more southerly in the afternoon with the sea breeze and about 10 kts near shore. S/SW flow returns Thursday with wind speeds increasing Saturday as a trough strengthens inland. Small Craft Advisory gusts may be possible for the weekend, and the wind wave will become more dominant. Seas largely 2-3 ft increasing to 4-5 ft this weekend.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for NCZ106- 108-110. Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 AM EDT Thursday for NCZ107. SC...Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for SCZ054- 056. MARINE...None.