textproduct: NWS Wilmington

SYNOPSIS

A cold front will move through the region tonight bringing cooler temperatures Monday. Return flow brings warmer temperatures through the rest of next week, with a small chance for showers next weekend.

UPDATE

Forecast updated to end the Small Craft Advisory as marine conditions are improving. Otherwise, no big changes to the previous forecast.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/

A cold front will pass through the area this evening bringing breezy conditions but no rain. High pressure will build in late tonight into Monday. Lows tonight will fall to the upper 30s to lower 40s with slightly warmer numbers near the immediate coast. Highs Monday will be much cooler than today, reaching the low to mid 60s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Mostly dry with warming through the period. High pressure overhead Monday night will keep winds light overnight, lows in the mid 30s and possibly a bit colder if overnight cirrus isn't very thick. The high will start to move off to our northeast through Tuesday ahead of a shortwave, winds becoming more SW and temperatures returning to near normal as we begin to warm up in the return flow. Isolated light showers may be possible Tuesday night with the passage of shortwave the but the majority of the area won't see any appreciable rainfall as better forcing remains to our north. Wednesday should see above normal temps with highs getting back into the 70s. Cloudiness will increase into midweek as we get into this warmer airmass.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/

Above normal temperatures through the period with mostly dry conditions. Rainfall chances will increase into the weekend as a warm front is dragged to our north and small pulses of shortwave energy move through aloft with a possible low pressure system approaching from the west. This is low confidence at this time.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

VFR continues through the 00Z TAF period. A cold front is currently dropping through the region, but providing more of a shift in wind direction than a bump up in speed. Winds up to 5-8 kt tonight, with only a slight increase into the day Monday as sfc high pressure builds into the area.

Extended Outlook...VFR conditions should continue through the period.

MARINE

Through Monday...Small Craft Advisory conditions have ended, with winds becoming N to NW and diminishing to 10 to 15 KT as seas slowly subside to 2 to 3 FT Monday.

Monday Night through Friday...High pressure overhead will lead to light N winds at the start of the period before the high moves off to the N/NE through Tuesday. S/SW winds will build in ~10-15 kts through the majority of the work week. Winds will see an increase in speed Friday as the PG increases but Small Craft conditions are not expected at this time. Seas will be ~1-3 ft through the period.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...None. SC...None. MARINE...None.