textproduct: NWS Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Aviation discussion was updated for the 12Z TAFs.

KEY MESSAGES

- 1) Stalled out front along the coast will bring an isolated flash flood threat through Saturday night.

- 2) Forecast begins to dry out Sunday into early next week, with heat returning.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Forecast begins to dry out Sunday into early next week, with heat returning.

The front finally starts to push into the Atlantic Sunday, aided by deepening surface low pressure. Forecast gradually drys out Sunday through Tuesday. As a result, heat is on the rise, and triple digit heat indices become a factor again as early as Monday. Another frontal system may bring back some rain chances by midweek.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Hit or miss showers/storms that will likely sock vsbys in due to heavy rain. Tried to time stuff out best I could in TAFs. On top of rain issues there will be CIGs at inland terminals through the morning, scattering out in the afternoon before coming down again later in the day. It looks like activity will be more near the coast this afternoon and then inland tonight. Some fog might also be possible between the rain tonight for inland terminals.

Extended Forecast...Potential for periodic MVFR/IFR due to storms expected through late Sat, most numerous in the afternoons and evenings. Conditions should start to dry out Monday with predominant VFR returning, and prevailing through Tuesday.

MARINE

Friday through Tuesday...A front will stall near the coast with light S/SW winds prevailing and seas calming to largely 2-3 ft. The main threat to mariners will be gusty winds and drops in visibility due to moderate to heavy rain. The front is expected to eventually drop south of our area with some uncertainty with timing. For now it looks like Sunday the winds will become northerly briefly behind the front before another approaches and S/SW flow builds back in through early next week. Seas remain largely 2-3 ft through the period.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...Flood Watch through Saturday morning for NCZ087-096-099- 105>110. SC...Flood Watch through Saturday morning for SCZ024-032-033-039- 054>056-058-059. MARINE...None.