textproduct: NWS Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Aviation discussion updated for the 18Z TAF cycle and key message was adjusted slightly.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Hot with largely rain-free conditions.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... Hot with largely rain-free conditions.

Ridging will build just north of the area with a return to above normal temperatures through the end of the work week. Heat Advisories appear likely by Friday as humidity starts to recover with S/SW winds. By the weekend moisture should have recovered enough to support typical afternoon showers/storms with isolated to scattered coverage, but these aren't anticipated to help preclude the heat threat into next week.

AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

High confidence in VFR all areas this valid taf period. Winds will generally be light and variable but could run 5 to 10 kt out of the S-SE in sea breeze areas this afternoon.

Extended Forecast... High pressure will persist into the upcoming weekend with predominantly VFR conditions through the period.

MARINE

Wednesday through Sunday... Light winds becoming more southerly in the afternoon with the sea breeze and about 10 kts near shore. S/SW flow returns Thursday with wind speeds increasing Saturday as a trough strengthens inland. Small Craft Advisory gusts may be possible for the weekend, and the wind wave will become more dominant. Seas largely 2-3 ft increasing to 4-5 ft this weekend.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to midnight EDT tonight for NCZ106-108-110. Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 3 AM EDT Thursday for NCZ107. SC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to midnight EDT tonight for SCZ054-056. MARINE...None.