textproduct: NWS Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Aviation discussion updated for the 06Z TAF cycle. A Coastal Flood Advisory is out for the beaches and downtown Wilmington for this evening's high tide.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Hot with largely rain-free conditions.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... Hot with largely rain-free conditions.

Ridging will build just north of the area with a return to above normal temperatures through the end of the work week. Heat Advisories appear likely starting as early as Thursday as humidity starts to recover with S/SW winds. By the weekend moisture should have recovered enough to support typical afternoon showers/storms with isolated to scattered coverage, but these aren't anticipated to help beat the heat into next week at this time.

AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Patchy fog should dissipate quickly this morning. High confidence in VFR all areas within the next couple of hours. Afternoon sea breeze will turn winds more S/SE at 5-10 kts at the coast making it to inland terminals in the evening. Drier air will keep rain chances near zero today. Fog or stratus is possible tonight with drier air aloft.

Extended Forecast... High pressure will persist into the upcoming weekend with predominantly VFR conditions through the period.

MARINE

Wednesday through Sunday... Light winds becoming more southerly in the afternoon with the sea breeze, ~10 kts near shore. S/SW flow returns Thursday with wind speeds increasing Saturday as a trough strengthens inland. Small Craft Advisory gusts may be possible for the weekend, and the wind wave will become more dominant. Seas largely 2-3 ft increasing to 4-5 ft this weekend.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to midnight EDT tonight for NCZ106-108-110. Coastal Flood Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 3 AM EDT Thursday for NCZ107. SC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to midnight EDT tonight for SCZ054-056. MARINE...None.