textproduct: NWS Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

The aviation discussion has been updated for the 00Z TAFs. Beach/surf hazards have been updated for Sunday.

KEY MESSAGES

1) A developing nor'easter will bring strong northerly winds to the area, leading to prolonged dangerous marine conditions.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... A developing nor'easter will bring strong northerly winds to the area, leading to prolonged hazardous marine conditions.

The cold front is well offshore with the developing nor'easter now resolving much farther east than previously forecast. Our last bit of rain/drizzle is near I-95 which will make it's way to the coast through the rest of the afternoon. Clearing and dry conditions will be in place by tonight. This has lead to a decrease in the wind forecast that will mainly impact marine headlines. For marine impacts, see the marine discussion below.

Low temperatures will remain below normal but warm enough to where frost formation is not expected with the current forecast.

AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

High confidence during the 00Z TAF period. Mainly VFR conditions are expected, although MVFR cigs could linger for a bit at the start near the coast. Otherwise, the main impact will be wind- related with strong/gusty N winds up to 25-30 kt at times as well as LLWS overnight as surface winds generally lower a bit, especially inland at KFLO/KLBT.

Extended Outlook... A nor'easter well offshore will maintain breezy northerly winds, but sub- VFR conditions are not expected.

MARINE

A developing nor'easter may linger east of the area through the forecast period. Gale force winds are expected through the weekend with gales expected to linger longer in our SE NC waters. As the nor'easter moves further away early next week, conditions should improve, but Small Craft Advisory conditions may linger into mid week depending on it's exact track.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...Beach Hazards Statement from 6 AM EDT Sunday through Sunday evening for NCZ106. High Risk for Rip Currents from 6 AM EDT Sunday through Sunday evening for NCZ108. SC...Beach Hazards Statement from 6 AM EDT Sunday through Sunday evening for SCZ054-056. MARINE...Gale Warning until 8 AM EDT Monday for AMZ250-252-254-256-284. Gale Warning until 8 PM EDT Monday for AMZ280.