textproduct: NWS Wilmington
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Aviation discussion updated for 12z TAFs.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Dry weather and above-normal temperatures will continue for the entirety of this week.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1... Dry weather and above-normal temperatures will continue for the entirety of this week.
Surface high pressure and ridging aloft will result in an increasingly warm and humid weather pattern this week. Expect a slight cool down today compared to yesterday, with highs in the mid 70s near the coast and low/mid 80s inland as a backdoor cold front nudges into the area. Thereafter, a warming trend ensues with surface high pressure offshore and upper-level ridging resulting in well-above normal temperatures. Mid-upper 80s will be common away from the coast with low 90s possible well-inland starting Thursday, nearing record temps at Florence and Lumberton.
AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Predominantly VFR. Area of alto cu covering coastal terminals early this morning which helped break up fog and should dissipate by 15z. Lower vsbys in fog will improve for CRE through 13z. Otherwise mostly clear skies today. Light easterly winds overnight become SE 5-10 kt by afternoon with gusts around 15 kts. Should be some fog/low stratus around after 06z tonight.
Extended Forecast...Predominantly VFR. High pressure to dominate during the upcoming work week.
MARINE
Through Tonight... Front dropping south through the waters, will produce easterly winds into this morning. Winds will come back around to the SE to S by this afternoon as front lifts back north and high pressure in the Atlantic takes hold. Seas remain locked in at 2-3 ft, perhaps some 4 ft waves out 20 nm from shore from Cape Fear to Surf City.
Monday through Thursday... As sfc high pressure shifts offshore, expect south to southwesterly flow to prevail this week with speeds varying between 5-15 kts, with nearshore gustiness likely due to the sea breeze.
Seas will hold steady in the 2-3 ft. The primary contributor to the wave spectrum will remain east to southeasterly swells with a period around 9-10 sec.
ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None. SC...None. MARINE...None.
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