textproduct: NWS Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Only minor changes to the previous forecast as the unsettled pattern continues.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Unsettled weather pattern continues, with scattered to numerous showers and storms expected through the end of the week.

KEY MESSAGE 1

Unsettled weather pattern continues, with scattered to numerous showers and storms expected through the end of the week.

A persistence forecast for today, with a slow-moving upr-level low still off to the west, and southerly flow drawing in plenty of moisture to support scattered to numerous showers and storms. Precip again will be focused near the coast and offshore early in the day, transitioning more inland later on. Isolated flooding is possible should slow-moving, heavy rainfall move over the same areas for several hours. After today, the upr- level low will weaken with rain chances slowly diminishing each day, but still staying above climatological norms due to stagnant moist southerly flow and weak impulses aloft.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Mainly VFR/MVFR to start off the 06Z TAF period with some patches of IFR/LIFR stratus inland. This will continue over the next several hours with little change in the overall pattern, inc. numerous showers near the coast. Widespread MVFR stratus will linger for much of the day due to a very moist atmosphere, improving at the SC terminals by late aftn. However, another day of scattered to numerous showers and storms across the area will create variable ceilings and could see cigs and vsbys fluctuating quite a bit. Winds remain light out of the S/SE.

Extended Forecast...Periodic sub-VFR restrictions will be possible in showers and storms for the remainder of the week. The moist low-level airmass will also support a greater potential for morning stratus each day.

MARINE

Sub-SCA conditions continue for the remainder of the week with persistent fairly light S/SE flow as Bermuda high pressure is locked in place off to the east. Chances of showers and storms remain elevated most days, esp. during the night and morning hours over the waters.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...High Risk for Rip Currents from 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening for NCZ110. SC...High Risk for Rip Currents from 6 AM EDT this morning through this evening for SCZ054. MARINE...None.