textproduct: NWS Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

The Small Craft Advisory has been cancelled. Updated aviation discussion for 06Z TAFs.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Above normal temperatures with mainly late week rain chances.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... Above normal temperatures with mainly late week rain chances.

High pressure will slowly move offshore bringing a warming trend with temperatures quite a bit above normal much of the week. Seems to be decent agreement on a more amplified weather pattern later in the week, with a few upper disturbances likely bringing increasing moisture and rain chances. However, details regarding timing and amounts of rainfall are more uncertain. At this time ensemble guidance suggests total rainfall through the weekend is most likely to be ~0.5" or less for most locales.

AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

VFR is expected to prevail through the period. Some transient low clouds are possible at KILM, KCRE, and KMYR early this morning. Steady northeast winds will persist with gusty winds possible at the coastal terminals starting around midday on Monday.

Extended Outlook... Predominantly VFR. The risk for restrictions due to low clouds/showers increases on Wednesday and Thursday.

MARINE

High pressure centered north of the area will slowly shift offshore ahead of a weak storm system impacting the area mid week. Elevated seas will continue this afternoon and a few 6 foot seas will remain possible for our southern SC waters this morning. Conditions gradually improve through the remainder of the week, especially as flow turns onshore mid week.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...None. SC...None. MARINE...None.