textproduct: NWS Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

A new round of Coastal Flood Advisories has been issued for tonight across the entire coastline along northeast SC and southeast NC, along with the lower Cape Fear River, including downtown Wilmington.

Elsewhere, no major changes coming down the track for the forecast period. Aviation discussion updated for the 18Z TAFs.

KEY MESSAGES

- 1) Minor coastal flooding will remain a concern during high tides throughout the weekend.

- 2) Cool Canadian air will slowly modify over the next several days. No rain chances in sight.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Cool Canadian air will slowly modify over the next several days. No rain chances in sight.

Northwesterly flow, aided by the nor'easter approaching New England, and high pressure over Ontario, will continue through at least Monday. This will keep cooler air in place, allowing for two more, pumpkin spicy lows in the low-to-mid 50s tonight and Sunday night.

High temperatures increase by a degree or so each day through Monday, getting into the lower 80s. Air mass modification accelerates by Tuesday, allowing sustained highs in the mid-to- upper 80s Tuesday through Friday of next week. Dry air will keep rain chances down through the work week, possibly returning by next weekend.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Solidly VFR through the 18Z TAF period. Northwest winds could gust as high as 20 kt through 20Z this afternoon. Calm to light winds up to 5-6 kts overnight tonight. Winds back slightly towards the NNW towards the end of the period, gradient winds increasing up to 8-10 kts.

Extended Outlook...VFR conditions should prevail through the first half of next week. There is a low chance of morning ground fog Tuesday through Thursday, as shallow Atlantic moisture returns onshore.

MARINE

Strong low pressure centered east of the Delmarva Peninsula should slowly move toward the NJ coastline Sunday into Monday. Our dominant wave group should remain the 11-13 second northeasterly swell, decreasing in height over the next few days. Weak high pressure should build along the Southeast coast next week, providing a light to moderate west to southwest flow across the Carolinas. Dry weather should continue. A small west to southwesterly wind chop will arise at times beginning Sunday, but combined sea heights should remain well below advisory criteria.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...High Risk for Rip Currents until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ106- 108. Coastal Flood Advisory from 6 PM to 10 PM EDT this evening for NCZ106-108-110. Coastal Flood Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 1 AM EDT Sunday for NCZ107. SC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 6 PM to 10 PM EDT this evening for SCZ054-056. MARINE...None.