textproduct: NWS Wilmington

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

The seabreeze continues to push farther inland with a dry column in place. No significant changes were made from the previous forecast with this update. The Aviation discussion was updated for the 00Z TAFs.

KEY MESSAGES

1) A gradual increase in warmth and humidity will allow scattered thunderstorms to return to the forecast early next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...A gradual increase in warmth and humidity will allow scattered thunderstorms to return to the forecast early next week.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...High pressure builds from the NW through Friday keeping the area in unseasonably low dewpoints. By Saturday the high moves offshore leading to a weak, gradual return flow. A cold front will also drop into the area, though may stall just north. Its presence paired with the increased LL moisture should allow for scattered mainly afternoon storms Monday. Thereafter the boundary may sink to our north once again putting us in a dry advection regime Tuesday and/or Wednesday for a return of largely rain-free conditions.

AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

High confidence VFR conditions persisting overnight and into Friday. The seabreeze will continue to push inland during the early evening then dissipate leaving mostly light/variable winds for all terminals. A light W-SWly flow is expected Friday morning, with winds backing during the day as the seabreeze circulation takes root.

Extended Forecast...VFR through Sunday night with a low chance for shallow ground fog or low stratus early Sunday morning. Transient restrictions are possible due to showers/storms on Monday.

MARINE

High pressure building in from the NW early in the period will bring some atypical NE winds today that will veer as the center of the high approaches. By tomorrow this brings light and variable winds, though a southerly component will try to become established late. A more normal SW flow around the west side of high pressure becomes established Saturday and over the weekend. The approach of a cold front Monday will not substantially increase winds or seas, and a NE flow should return following its passage.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...None. SC...None. MARINE...None.


IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.

textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.