textproduct: NWS Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

All sections updated with little change in forecast thinking.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Some late week/weekend rain will be too light to bring any tangible drought relief.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Some late week/weekend rain will be too light to bring any tangible drought relief.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...Rain chances Friday appear to have lessened as the weak trough trying to generate them has to contend with mid level ridging. A more proper synoptic front backdoors into the area Saturday, which looks to be the most unsettled of the entire forecast period. Again with the dry air aloft QPF prospects with its arrival look quite paltry. Most of the area is in D2 and D3 level drought and this will not change during the next seven days.

AVIATION /09Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

VFR continues with light winds and clear skies. Weak sea breeze will affect coastal terminals this afternoon. However, wind speeds with the sea breeze will be AoB 10 kt.

Extended Outlook... VFR through Friday. Low chance of restrictions this weekend into early next week, due to the return of afternoon convection. Fog possible Friday through Sunday night.

MARINE

High pressure to the NE bringing onshore flow save for Friday and Saturday with the approach of a cold front. Soon thereafter the front washes out and a poorly defined pressure pattern is left behind. The late period will feature light and somewhat variable winds, little to no swell, and an overall quiet set of marine conditions.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...None. SC...None. MARINE...None.