textproduct: NWS Wilmington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Updated discussions below.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Unsettled weather pattern continues, with scattered to numerous showers and storms likely through at least midweek.

KEY MESSAGE 1

Unsettled weather pattern continues, with scattered to numerous showers and storms likely through at least midweek.

Showers and storms will continue into tonight with heavy rain possible. A similar pattern looks to continue into midweek. Isolated flooding could be possible should slow-moving, heavy rainfall move over the same areas for several hours. Things will start to shift into the latter half of the week and the weekend as less mid-level energy traverses the area and high pressure attempts to build in.

AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Varying levels of restrictions expected through the TAF period. At least MVFR stratus will stick around with worsening conditions late tonight as another round of rain pushes over the area. This could also be mixed with low stratus/fog, particularly at inland terminals. Activity will then shift back towards the coast come Tuesday morning, similar pattern to today.

Extended Forecast...Periodic sub-VFR restrictions will be possible in showers and thunderstorms through at least Wednesday. The moist low-level airmass will also support a greater potential for morning stratus each day. Widespread VFR might return late week.

MARINE

6 ft waves may linger near 20 nm out but otherwise conditions within 20 nm will fall below Small Craft Advisory thresholds. Shower/storm activity will remain possible overnight with reduced visibility in heavy rain. Sub-SCA conditions thereafter for the remainder of the week with S/SE flow as Bermuda high pressure is locked in place off to the east, but periodic heavy rainfall may linger through midweek.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...High Risk for Rip Currents until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ106- 108-110. SC...High Risk for Rip Currents until 8 PM EDT this evening for SCZ054- 056. MARINE...None.