textproduct: NWS Wilmington

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes have been made to the forecast for the next several days.

KEY MESSAGES

- 1) Rain chances increase late tonight and Wednesday as an old frontal boundary moves in from the southeast. By later in the week a stronger synoptic system brings an ever increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will generally be around seasonal values.

KEY MESSAGE 1

The Cape Fear area enjoyed a very pleasant late summer day with lower dewpoints and reasonable temperatures as the lingering front pushed a bit offshore. This will be short lived however as the front pushes inland again Wednesday with convection coming back into play. Broad troughing/height falls will begin to impact the area later Thursday into much of the weekend with widespread rain and convection. There is some drying noted late in the forecast period as the troughing is replaced by weak ridging but if a front lingers in the area it could remain somewhat unsettled. Unremarkable trend's for temperatures as they should stay within a few degrees of seasonal values both day and night.

AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Mainly VFR conditions will be in place at all terminals. There may be some BR and or brief IFR ceilings in the early morning hours inland but I believe the pattern will resemble one of a few day ago...one without convection thus more limited restrictions and more confined to inland areas.

Extended Forecast...Mainly VFR with early morning fog and stratus possible each morning. The next system is due to come in sometime Thursday, creating wet and stormy weather through Saturday. Plenty of flight restrictions to come.

MARINE

Through Saturday...The unusual northerly component to the winds today will come to an end during the day Wednesday as the front that pushed offshore will make a return visit. From there the standard south to southwest flow around ten knots will take up residence again. By later in the week wind speeds may increase to 10-15 knots and stand a better shot at being distorted by convection.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NC...None. SC...None. MARINE...None.

IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.

textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.