textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Isolated showers and storms are possible this afternoon into the evening. Severe storms are not expected.

- Highs near 100 on Monday afternoon with heat indices around 105 across much of the area. - Heat indices up to 110 are possible in southern KS on Tuesday afternoon.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 216 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

Upper ridging continues over the Northern and Central Plains with an upper trough over the northeastern US. A shortwave trough is sliding across the Alberta/Saskatchewan border with another shortwave trough over British Columbia. At the surface, a low is over Saskatchewan with troughing extending down into the Central Rockies. A cold front drapes down from this low into eastern Wyoming. In our area, the airmass remains relatively the same with minimal inhibition, sufficient instability, and moist with dewpoints in the 70s and PWATs between 1.85-2". This will result in isolated showers and storms across much of the area. Chances are expected to decrease around sunset this evening. Severe weather is not anticipated with this activity. The main impacts will be heavy rainfall and occasional lightning.

For Monday, an upper-level high is progged to expand across the Central Rockies into the Central Plains. Highs will be around 100 areawide on Monday afternoon as above normal 850 mb temperatures are expected. Dewpoints will range from the mid 60s in central KS to low 70s in southeast KS. This will allow much of the area to see heat indices up to 105 with values exceeding 105 mainly in southeast KS. As such, a Heat Advisory remains in effect for Monday afternoon into the evening and has been expanded to the rest of our area. As the upper shortwaves move southeast into the Great Lakes, a cold front will push south through the Central Plains and into our area by Tuesday morning. The front is progged to drape across south-central KS by Tuesday afternoon. Highs in central KS will likely be in the mid to upper 90s with areas south and along the front seeing temperatures near or greater than 100. The warmest heat indices will be in southern KS with values approaching 110. As such, a Extreme Heat Watch remains in effect generally for areas south of Highway 50.

The cold front will push south of our area by Wednesday morning, returning high temperatures to the low to mid 90s on Wednesday afternoon. Guidance suggests northwesterly flow aloft returning on Wednesday and continuing through the late next week. This may give way to better rain chances across the area on both Wednesday and Thursday night.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 650 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

Isolated storms this evening, but mostly VFR conditions should prevail through the TAF period.

A few isolated storms continue to meander around the area this evening. Should a storm impact any one location, brief heavy rainfall and a few lightning strikes are possible. Otherwise, light southerly to southeasterly winds around 5 to 10 knots should continue over the next 24 hours.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 9 PM CDT Monday for KSZ032-033- 047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100. Extreme Heat Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening for KSZ067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.