textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Well above average temperatures, breezy south winds, and dry conditions through early next week.
- Rain/thunderstorm chances return Tuesday through Thursday of next week.
- A return to near to below average temperatures by late next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 240 AM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026
PRECIPITATION CHANCES:
Per model consensus, the remnants of landfalling Hurricane Isaias along the Gulf Coast will phase with a meandering upper low over the Southern Plains the next few days, but widespread precipitation associated with these features will remain well east of the forecast area.
Chances for rain/thunderstorms finally enter back into the forecast by Tuesday or Tuesday night and persist through Thursday or Thursday night, as a cold front approaches from the northwest and a deep upper trough approaches from the west. Increasing shear coupled with modest instability and strong forcing may support a handful of strong to severe thunderstorms during this time period. Additionally, well above average precipitable waters may support heavy rainfall. Stay tuned as we refine forecast details in the coming days.
TEMPERATURES & WIND:
Above average heights/thickness will support continued above average temperatures through about mid next week. Daytime temperatures a few degrees either side of 90 degrees look probable, especially through Monday or Tuesday. We may be flirting with record highs Monday and Tuesday. Additionally, stout/gusty south to southwest winds should gust upwards of 30-35 kts today through Monday, highest generally west of the KS Turnpike, owing to persistent low pressure to the west- northwest of the region.
As we head into Thursday or Friday of next week, model consensus supports a fairly drastic cool down in wake of the aforementioned storm system, as stout/chilly Canadian high pressure settles southeast into Mid-America. Deterministic consensus supports daytime highs in the 50s-60s and overnight lows in the 30s-40s by Friday and Friday night. For now, only went with 60s-70s for highs and 40s-50s for lows.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 633 AM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026
Quiet VFR conditions will prevail the next 24 hours across the region. Breezy south winds will increase toward midday today, with gusts upwards of 20-25 kts, strongest for RSL and GBD.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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