textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Chances of showers/storms will increase over the region mainly for Wednesday-Thursday night with some potential for a few strong to marginally severe storms

- Dry weather along with hotter temperatures look to return for next weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 242 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Current early morning satellite water vapor imagery shows an upper level wave moving eastward from Washington state towards Montana. This system will continue to track eastward across North Dakota by this evening, thus causing a cold front to push southward into northwest Kansas later tonight. Scattered showers/storms will accompany the front with some activity possibly spreading into parts of central Kansas towards daybreak on Tuesday. Better chances will remain north of the area. Meanwhile, models show another upper level wave moving across the Rockies and ejecting eastward across the Dakotas/Nebraska late Tuesday night. More numerous showers/storms look to develop in response to modest 700mb warm advection from this upper wave over southern Nebraska/northern Kansas for late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. A frontal boundary will push further south across Kansas on Wednesday with better chances of showers/storms possible. Clouds and residual showers/storms could keep daytime highs on Wednesday a little cooler, especially for central Kansas. There is some potential for a few strong to marginally severe storms to materialize on Wednesday/Wednesday night with increasing wind speeds aloft, however the residual clouds could become a limiting factor for instability build up.

Storm chances will continue for Thursday/Thursday night and the location will depend on Wednesday's action which could push the effective front further south. If this happens then storm chances would mainly impact southern Kansas into Oklahoma this period. Once again a few strong to marginally severe storms are possible with some increased wind flow aloft.

Longer range models are showing upper level high pressure and associated heat dome migrating eastward back over the central plains. This could bring the triple digit daytime highs back to the area for next weekend along with dry weather.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 512 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Good flying weather will be in store for the region over the next 24hrs with VFR conditions expected. South winds will increase for this afternoon then decrease around sunset.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.