textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Near-normal temperatures return Tuesday before another cooldown for Wednesday and Thursday.

- Minimal opportunities for precipitation over the next seven days.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 306 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

Current water vapor imagery and RAP analysis indicate strong zonal in the mid/upper levels spanning from the southern Rockies to the Ohio River Valley as a secondary northwesterly jet max weakens over Wyoming and Montana. Broad synoptic ascent from upper forcing resulted in snowfall throughout the forecast area earlier today and will continue shifting eastward through the afternoon and evening. Increasing midlevel thicknesses overnight into the morning hours will allow for the return of warmer temperatures Tuesday, though light snow cover over the area will likely keep temperatures Tuesday afternoon in the 40s. Decided to hedge more toward NBM50th for highs at this time, though these may be too cool if snow melts quicker than anticipated.

A mid/upper wave diving southeast across Manitoba and Ontario will shunt a strong cold front through the region late Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Arctic air and its associated impacts behind this boundary continue to be expected further to our northeast within the Upper Mississippi River Basin. However, chilly air along the southern fringe of the airmass is still anticipated to knock daytime temperatures largely back into the 30s and low 40s on Wednesday. Mid-range models also highlight a modestly-tight surface pressure gradient as the boundary passes through the area, which will support breezy northerly winds through Wednesday afternoon. Limited column moisture will largely preclude chances for precipitation with this frontal passage as below-normal temperatures (upper 20s and low 30s) hold on through Thursday.

Seasonably cool to near-normal high temperatures (40s and low 50s) will return once again to close out the week before the arrival of another cold front late Saturday night into Sunday. Global models keep better forcing for wintry precipitation to our north and east with this system for now, though this will bear watching as additional information becomes available.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 518 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

MVFR ceilings will gradually mix out from west to east as we move through the evening hours with VFR prevailing across the region thereafter. Light westerly winds will prevail tonight becoming southwesterly on Tuesday at 10-15 mph at times during the afternoon hours.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.