textproduct: Wichita

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain chances for tonight with a brief rain/snow mix possible over central Kansas Saturday morning

- Gusty northwest winds reaching advisory levels behind cold frontal passage looks favorable on Saturday

- A second weather system has a 30-50% chance for 1" or greater snowfall to affect mainly central/south central Kansas for late Sunday night into Monday

DISCUSSION

Issued at 228 AM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

Current satellite water vapor imagery shows a fleet-footed upper level wave moving east across the northwestern states. This wave will spark off light rain showers across the area tonight into Saturday. Also can't rule out a few weak thunderstorms with some elevated instability predicted(strong or severe storms not anticipated). Meanwhile a strong cold front will surge southward across Kansas Saturday morning with a decent signature for deeper adiabatic mixing tapping into stronger wind speeds aloft. The signal from ECMWF EFI(index 0.8 for wind speeds) and HREF model solution has greater than 60% probability of northwest winds surpassing 30mph. This could result in a wind advisory being hoisted across central/south central Kansas. In addition, there is a chance that a brief period of light rain/snow mix could affect central Kansas Saturday morning as the colder air surges southward. No snow accumulation is expected with this upper level system.

Much colder air will overspread the region for Sunday into Monday with below normal temperatures. Wind chills will drop into the the single digits for early Sunday morning. A second upper level wave will eject from the Rockies and move eastward across Kansas on Monday. This wave will be stronger than the previous system with model guidance suggesting a 30-50% chance of 1" or greater snowfall affecting mainly central/south central Kansas late Sunday night-Monday. Dry with colder than normal temperatures will prevail for Tuesday- Friday next week.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 525 AM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

VFR conditions will prevail for this morning with only some high clouds floating overhead. Cloud heights will begin to drop for the afternoon then drop into the MVFR category at night. Rain chances will increase the area for tonight.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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