textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Hot and breezy conditions expected through next week.

- Isolated showers and storms possible across central Kansas Sunday night into early Monday, though widespread meaningful precipitation continues to appear unlikely.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 226 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

Water vapor imagery and RAP analysis this afternoon depict broad ridging over the Central and Southern Plains. At the surface, a surface trough extends from far western Kansas northeast into the Northern Plains. A tightened surface pressure gradient ahead of this boundary has promoted breezy south winds so far today, and these are forecast to continue overnight through Sunday alongside dry conditions. Similar to today, high temperatures to close out the weekend will climb into the 100-105 degree range. A few showers and storms developing across the High Plains Sunday evening may find their way into portions of central KS late Sunday night into early Monday morning, though these should remain isolated and low-impact.

Hot, breezy, and mostly dry conditions are expected to continue across the forecast area through the upcoming week with ridging overhead. Chances for rain will likely reside well to our west through at least mid-week behind the aforementioned surface trough stalled across western KS. Hot daytime high temperatures will be likely as well with values in the 100-104 degree range through at least Wednesday and perhaps beyond. Toward the end of the week, long- range models hint at isolated rain chances shifting east into central KS as the ridge translates toward the eastern CONUS, though confidence in these remains low this far out. As such, meaningful rainfall in the forecast area appears unlikely through the upcoming week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1243 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

Aviation concerns are expected to remain on the low side through the next 24 hours.

Upper ridging will remain in place from the Desert Southwest through the Southern Plains. Gusty southwest winds will back around to the southeast and decrease this evening. Southwest winds on Sunday will be a bit stronger than today, with most sites seeing sustained speeds around 20kts and gusts in the 28-30kt range. Confidence remains high that VFR conditions will remain in place through this TAF period.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 226 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

Breezy south winds combined with minimum RH values in the 20-25% range will result in very high grassland fire danger across portions of central and south central Kansas this afternoon, then again across portions of south central Kansas Sunday afternoon.

CLIMATE

Issued at 226 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

------------------------------------- Sunday ------------------------------------- Record Hi Forecast MaxT ICT 105-1939 104 SLN 106-1939 104 CNU 103-1947 102 RSL 103-1990 105 ------------------------------------- Monday ------------------------------------- Record Hi Forecast MaxT ICT 108-2011 103 SLN 108-1922 104 CNU 106-1985 103 RSL 106-1985 104

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.