textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry weather expected over the next seven days.

- Seasonably warm temperatures (highs in the low to middle 80s) forecast into the upcoming weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 223 PM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Current water vapor imagery and RAP analysis indicate continued northwest flow aloft over the Plains as the midlevel ridge builds over the Desert Southwest to the east. At the surface, high pressure resides across the Middle Missouri Valley and Great Lakes while lee troughing commences across the High Plains.

A mid/upper impulse racing across the Canadian Prairie toward the Great Lakes later tonight into Tuesday will drive a surface trough through the Northern Plains. A tightening pressure gradient ahead of this feature will promote somewhat breezy south winds throughout the day, which will aid in the return of seasonably warm temperatures in the low to middle 80s across the forecast area. The aforementioned surface trough will look to stall across the forecast area Wednesday into Thursday which may allow for slightly cooler temperatures across central KS. However, for the most part there appears to be little change in the seasonably warm and dry pattern through the upcoming weekend with ridging remaining in place.

A potential change may arrive early next week with the long-range suite highlighting a potent shortwave digging into the Four Corners and ejecting into the Plains. Though confidence in this scenario is low at this time, this feature may bring moisture relief and cooler temperatures to the area toward the latter half of next week. Stay tuned as additional information becomes available.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1232 PM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours.

Light south to southeast winds will persist through the TAF period.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.