textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm, mostly dry, and breezy conditions will prevail across the area through Saturday.

- A Heat Advisory remains in effect for this afternoon through Thursday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 116 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026

Broad upper troughing persists over the western CONUS with an upper low over the Central Great Basin and an additional low over the Northern Plains. Upper ridging is shifting from the Mississippi Valley into the Great Lakes area. A surface low sits over central Nebraska with a dryline extending down through western KS. An increased pressure gradient remains over eastern KS into the Mississippi Valley, resulting in breezy southerly winds in our area. With high temperatures in the 90s to around 100 and dewpoints in the 70s, heat indices are between 100 to 110 with these values continuing into the early evening hours. As we move into tonight, low temperatures will stay about 10 to 15 degrees above normal for this time of year with lows in the upper 70s. A Heat Advisory remains in effect through Thursday.

Upper ridging is progged to continue building over the eastern CONUS for much of this forecast period. Upper troughing will remain over the western CONUS with multiple embedded shortwaves ejecting out into the Northern Plains. This may result in slight rain chances (generally under a 20% chance) in central KS from Monday evening through Wednesday night. Given activity is expected to be isolated to widely scattered, confidence remains high that most of the region will remain dry. Severe weather is not anticipated with this activity, though for Monday evening a few strong wind gusts cannot be ruled out given the inverted v profiles. Outside of these slight chances, mostly dry conditions are forecast through Saturday.

For temperatures and wind, increasing thickness as heights rise will aid in warmer temperatures persisting throughout the week. High temperatures are forecast for the 90s with highs increasing to around 100 for many locations as we move into next weekend. The increased pressure gradient will remain likely through Saturday, keeping breezy southerly winds with dewpoints in the 60s and 70s over the area. Given these conditions, heat indices up to 105 are likely for Monday afternoon into the early evening hours. For Tuesday and Wednesday, heat indices will likely be lower between the upper 90s to around 100 before they increase again on Thursday with the warmest indices in southeast Kansas.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1205 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026

VFR conditions are expected through this TAF period. The main concerns to aviation will be breezy southerly winds with sustained winds between 15-20 kts and gusts to 30+ kts. As the LLJ ramps up this evening, low-level wind shear will impact all sites around 03z and persist until 13z with speeds around 50-55kts at 1.5 kft.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Thursday for KSZ032-033-047>053- 067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.