textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger through the upcoming week and into the weekend. Gusty winds and locally heavy rain may be possible with the strongest activity.
- Seasonable temperatures anticipated over the upcoming week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 252 AM CDT Wed May 27 2026
A shortwave trough over the Southern High Plains is progged to pivot northward into the Central High Plains over the next 24 hours. This is expected to result in an increase in areal coverage of afternoon showers and storms. The best coverage of showers and more widely scattered storms is expected during the mid to late afternoon hours, especially along and west of a line from near Winfield to Hutchinson to Great Bend. Locally heavy rain will remain possible given slow storm motions, training potential and a moist column with PWATs progged to rise to around 1.6 inches over southern KS.
Thursday-Sunday...only subtle and minor changes are anticipated in the larger-scale pattern as we move through the upcoming weekend with scattered storms possible during the afternoon and evening hours through much of the period. Winds aloft and shear are progged to remain weak across the region and severe storms are not anticipated. Locally heavy rain and sporadic wind gusts will be possible with the strongest activity. Seasonably mild temperatures are also anticipated with highs in the upper 70s to low/mid 80s.
Monday-Tuesday...We may begin to see more of a northwest flow regime as we move into early next week as the mid/upper ridge amplifies over the Rockies. This could keep some low pops in the forecast as it may steer some subtle shortwave troughs into the region but confidence in the details remains low at this time.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 649 AM CDT Wed May 27 2026
Some patchy fog was impacting southeast KS but should quickly dissipate. Light easterly winds will prevail across the area today with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing this afternoon. PROB30 groups were added to all terminals as we move into the afternoon and evening hours with some shower activity possibly lingering into the overnight hours.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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