textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Seasonably mild temperatures return on Wednesday with another unseasonably mild day expected on Thursday.
- Another shot of cold air will arrive on Friday, with a reinforcing surge of cold air over the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1201 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025
A shortwave trough moving over the Upper Mississippi Valley area this evening will help drive a cold front south over the Central Plains tonight. This front will usher more seasonable air on Wednesday although values are still expected to be above average for mid December with highs topping out in the lower 50s for most areas. As high pressure at the surface builds south and east over the Southern Plains and Lower/Middle Mississippi Valley area on Thursday, southwest low level flow will return to the Central Plains. This will allow above average temperatures to return over the area with highs climbing into the 60s once again.
A progressive northwest mid/upper flow regime is progged to persist with another fropa anticipated on Friday. This front will pack a bigger punch with seasonably cool temperatures on Fri-Sat (40s) although as the cold air continues to settle over the area this weekend, values may struggle to rise above freezing in some areas as we move into Sunday. Dry weather conditions are expected to prevail through the weekend and into early next week although temperatures are expected to moderate as we move into Mon-Tue with above average values returning to the area.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 503 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025
VFR conditions are expected to prevail at all sites through the end of the period. Primary aviation concerns remain tied to the passage of a cold front later this evening into tonight.
Winds will gradually veer around to the northwest later this evening in the 03-07Z timeframe as the surface boundary tracks from north to south. LLWS along this feature is also anticipated due to a LLJ that will prevail through the pre-dawn hours on Wednesday before dissipating by 12-13Z. Sustained speeds in the 12-15 kt range are forecast by early/mid morning with gusts up to 20-22 kts.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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