textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A cooler and drier air mass will settle over the area tonight and Wednesday with moderating temperatures Thu-Fri.
- A fast moving storm system may bring a brief wintry mix to the area late Saturday.
- Probabilities for light wintry precipitation(20-30%) may return late Sun into Monday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 134 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025
Gusty northwest winds will gradually diminish this evening and tonight as surface high pressure builds into the area. This will set the stage for a cold night with lows ranging from the mid 20s in central KS to the low 30s in eastern KS.
Wed-Thu...mild and dry conditions are expected through the period as we remain in a northwest flow regime. With sfc high pressure nosing into the area, we expect light winds and a mix of sun and high clouds leading to tranquil weather conditions.
Friday-Saturday...as we move into Friday a shortwave trough is progged to build into the Northern Rockies which will break down the upper level ridge. The pressure gradient will also increase with breezy southerly flow and another mild day anticipated. As we move into the overnight hours on Friday/early Saturday, low level moisture will gradually increase ahead of an incoming shortwave trough. We will see increasing probabilities (30-60 percent) for showers and we move into the predawn hours with steep mid-lvl lapse rates and low lvl moisture transport taking aim on southern Kansas. A strong cold front will usher in much colder air on Saturday afternoon and Saturday evening and we could see a brief transition from rain to snow just before the precipitation comes to an end. With a warm ground and such a brief window of opportunity for wintry precipitation, the impacts are expected to remain minimal at this time.
Sunday-Tuesday...much colder air is anticipated Sun-Mon with highs remaining below freezing for many areas. Another shortwave trough could impact the region late Sunday into Monday bringing a round of light wintry precipitation to the area but confidence in the details remains fairly low at this time. Temperatures may begin to moderate a bit on Tuesday while remaining below average for early Dec.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1106 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025
IFR/MVFR clouds in southeast KS impacting KCNU will quickly mix out as a cold front ushers in drier air. Northwest winds gusting to 40-45 mph at times will impact central and south central KS this afternoon before diminishing this evening. VFR and light winds will prevail tonight and Wed.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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