textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Very patchy fog possible this morning across southern and southeast Kansas.

- Warmer than average to start the week, then cooler to end the week.

- Little to no rain chances over the next 7 days.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 346 AM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Early this morning, a rather nebulous pattern continues over the region with a weak cutoff upper low over western Texas, a modestly strong deep layer trough over the northern plains, and a weak mid/upper ridge axis extending from the eastern Pacific to the central Rockies. At the surface, a weak frontal boundary extends from the Dakotas to eastern Colorado, and a weak surface ridge resides over the Ozarks and the lower Mississippi River Valley. Short range models over the past 24 hours have been fairly consistent with the potential of patchy fog across portions of southern and southeast Kansas this morning; however, this has clearly not materialized which makes sense given modestly high dewpoint depressions persisting across these areas. Still, patchy fog is possible this morning along and south of US-54, and any fog that develops should quickly dissipate after sunrise. Sunny skies will allow for ample diurnal heating, and this will promote afternoon highs in the low to mid 70s. The aforementioned frontal boundary will sag into central Kansas tonight, but lows will still only bottom out in the 40s. This frontal boundary will bring slightly cooler air to central Kansas on Tuesday with highs in the mid 60s; however, southern and southeast Kansas will continue to see afternoon temperatures in the low to mid 70s. The frontal boundary will wash out, and southerly flow will return Tuesday night allowing for a milder airmass to slide into the region. Therefore, lows will only dip into the mid 40s to low 50s Tuesday night.

Mid range guidance remains quite consistent with showing deep layer troughing across the Great Lakes region from mid to late week. This will leave the door open to a series of frontal passages that will bring a modest cool down to the region during the latter half of the week. Persistent northerly winds will begin on Wednesday with afternoon highs in the 60s, then afternoon highs Thursday and Friday will only top out in the 50s with Friday being the cooler of the 2 days. Additionally, it appears increasingly likely that much of the region will experience another freeze Thursday night into Friday morning. By the weekend, mid/upper ridging returns to the central plains along with southerly low level flow promoting a gradual warm up through Monday.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1036 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Main aviation concern remains fog late tonight into Mon morning.

Radiational cooling continues across the area due to clear skies and light winds. So far we have not seen any fog develop but we should see some in the next couple of hours. Still going with the thinking that it will be shallow and patchy with southern KS having the best shot. Just like last few days, any fog that develops is expected to clear out by 16z, leaving VFR conditions in place.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.