textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Mostly dry for the upcoming week with seasonable temperatures through at least Wednesday.

- Slight warming trend to close out the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 321 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

A prominent ridge is beginning to build over the Western US and is currently centered over the Rockies. Weak troughing extends over the Ohio Valley and continues to shift east with the associated frontal boundary draped across southern Missouri and into Oklahoma. A few clouds linger across southern and southeast Kansas as overnight convection pushes south across Oklahoma. As high pressure builds in over the region, light easterly winds are expected today across the forecast area.

For today, the boundary will continue to drift south across the Southern Plains leading to the return of mostly dry weather to our area for today into early next week. Then, as a strong ridge builds over the central US by mid week, the forecast area looks to reside under easterly flow. This setup could support a an isolated shower or weak storm as Gulf moisture pushes into the region on Wednesday. However, with current model placement of the mid/upper high, the most likely placement of this convective activity for much of next week would be south and east of our area.

North of the boundary today, nearly everyone across the area will see temperatures near or just below normal for this time of year with highs reaching into the upper 80s to lower 90s. Then, for early next week, highs will continue to hover around the 90 degree mark. As the ridge shifts east over the region by mid week, temperatures will begin to warm slightly with middle 90s expected for Wednesday and Thursday. It continues to appear that the ridge will build far enough north that the true heat dome will remain north of our region through much of the upcoming week. However, for the end of the week and into next weekend, the ridge looks to shift south slightly. Temperatures for Friday and Saturday will likely reach into the middle to upper 90s for much of the forecast area.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1205 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

Minimal aviation concerns with this forecast issuance. Cumulus development has occurred late this morning with few to broken coverage in the lower VFR category. Light winds around or under 10kts are anticipated. An isolated shower or storm could develop when the convective initiation temperatures are reached especially given the current cu development, but limited coverage lowers confidence for any mention at any location.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.