textproduct: Wichita

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Tranquil and mild conditions over the upcoming week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 132 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Persistent stratus around 4k ft was lingering across portions of south central KS this morning while slowly mixing out while mostly clear conditions prevailed elsewhere. Southerly flow has returned to central and western KS where breezy southwest winds were common. We continue to see a shortwave trough racing eastward along the Canadian border. A trailing cold front extended SSW from this trough across the Northern Plains. This frontal boundary is progged to continue moving southward arriving across the region tonight. This front will usher in some drier air while keeping seasonable temperatures and tranquil weather conditions in place as we move into Sunday-Monday.

Rising heights/increasing thickness will result in moderating temperatures as we move into Tue and beyond. We could see another subtle frontal boundary move into the area late Tue into early Wed, although there remains some uncertainty in how far south this cold front settles before becoming stationary,so seasonably mild (above average) temperatures were maintained as we move through the middle of the week. By late in the week, the large-scale pattern is progged to transition away from NW mid/upper flow as a mid/upper trough builds into the Pacific NW and another mid/upper trough develops across the Southern Plains. This feature could bring some unsettled weather as we move into the weekend but higher probabilities may remain south of the area with some uncertainty in how quickly this feature lifts north and eastward. Dry and mild conditions are expected to prevail through the period at this time.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 625 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Quiet VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours across central, south-central, and southeast KS. A weak cool front will support a wind shift to north-northeasterly tonight and Sunday, with up to around 10-14 kts by mid-late morning Sunday.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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