textproduct: Wichita

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry conditions likely over the next 7 days.

- Gradual warming trend forecast through Tuesday, then cooler conditions possibly returning as soon as Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 255 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

As of early this morning, a potent upper trough continues to linger over the Great Lakes region while an upper ridge builds across the western CONUS. At the surface, a weak surface ridge is translating southeastward across the central plains. Light winds and clear skies are allowing for ample radiational cooling across the area, especially where snow remains on the ground. Temperatures this morning have dipped into the 20s across most of the area, and down into the upper teens where snow is still on the ground. Southwesterly winds around 10 to 15 mph will help temperatures rise into upper 40s to low 50s; however, the corridor of snow between Great Bend and Salina will keep afternoon temperatures near 40. Temperatures tonight will dip into the 20s area wide with light winds only allowing wind chills to dip into the teens. Across the western CONUS, the aforementioned upper ridge is expected to build, and the eastern periphery of this upper ridge is forecast to nose over the central plains. This will support a warming trend through the beginning of next week with widespread highs Monday and Tuesday afternoons well into the 50s and 60s, about 10 to 20 degrees above average for this time of year. After Tuesday, long range ensemble and deterministic guidance suggests the western CONUS ridge will weaken allowing for a northwesterly upper flow regime to set up over the region. A cold front on Wednesday will help to knock temperatures down closer to, albeit still above, average for this time of year. Temperatures briefly recover on Thursday before a strong cold front arrives on Friday bringing much cooler weather for the first part of next weekend.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1127 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

VFR conditions will prevail the next 24 hours across central, south-central, and southeast Kansas, with light to modest southwest winds common.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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