textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Another round of fog tonight into Wednesday morning, with some dense fog possible.

- Unseasonably warm temps look to now remain through Saturday with cold front moving through Saturday night.

- Precipitation continues to remain out of the forecast for at least and next several days and potentially longer.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 235 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Currently have upper ridging from the Lower Mississippi Valley through the Southern Plains, with an upper trough off of the West Coast. At the surface, a cold front extends across northern MO and across north central and northeast KS.

Widespread dense fog that affected all of southeast and south central KS through the morning hours, now only remains generally along the KS Turnpike and is continuing to shrink. With an unseasonably moist airmass remaining in place, another round of fog will be likely tonight into Wed morning, affecting most of the same areas as this morning. Dense fog will once again be possible and at this point confidence is high enough to run with an advisory.

Widespread low clouds and fog may have an affect on temps for Wed, so did lower maxes a few degrees. However, just like today, areas that do clear out will see a quick spike in temps. Everything still looks on track for warm to near record temps for Christmas Day, with 70s likely across southern KS with some approaching upper 70s to near 80 along the KS/OK border. Still looking for some weak upper energy to top the ridge on Thu afternoon/night and will help get the Northern/Central Plains into zonal flow aloft. Confidence remains high in mild temps for Fri, with ICT and SLN potentially setting new max temp records with readings around 70.

There remains good agreement between the ECMWF and GFS in tracking a more robust shortwave out of southwest Canada and into the Northern Plains by early Sat evening and into the Upper Mississippi Valley by Sun morning. This solution is quite a bit slower than the 12z runs from yesterday and would hold the colder air back to the north longer. Therefore, it appears now we will hold onto the warmer temps through Saturday, with the cold front moving through Saturday night. So at this time confidence is high that we are looking at a return to more seasonal temps for Sun into the start of the work week, with highs back into the 40s with even cooler readings for Monday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 530 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Dense fog was already redeveloping over south central Kansas after only a very brief lull. Confidence is high that widespread dense fog will gradually expand over south central and southeast Kansas this evening and tonight before building into central Kansas late tonight or during the predawn hours on Wednesday. Light southwest winds are expected to allow the fog to mix out during the mid to late morning hours on Wed.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST Wednesday for KSZ032-033- 047>053-067>072-082-083-091>094.