textproduct: Wichita

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Hot and mostly dry through the weekend and into much if not all of the upcoming week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 136 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Some residual light rain showers were moving slowly eastward across eastern Kansas this afternoon while continuing to slowly diminish as the LLJ/mid-level waa weakens. A capping inversion is anticipated in the wake of the shower activity with little or no additional development anticipated in it's wake.

As we move into the weekend, the mid/upper ridge over the Rockies and Intermountain Region is progged to translate eastward edging into the Central Plains. This is expected to result in mostly dry weather conditions while bringing an increasing threat for excessive heat. Afternoon heat indices are expected to climb into the 105-110 range for much of the area and a heat advisory is in effect for all of the region from Saturday through Tuesday. There may be an upgrade to an excessive heat warning in parts of southeast Kansas where humidity may remain higher.

A shortwave trough may serve to break down the ridge as we move into the Tue-Wed timeframe as a frontal boundary tries to sink southward into Kansas before becoming diffuse or stationary bringing some low pops into parts of central and northern Kansas.

The mid/upper ridge is also progged to retrograde into the Rockies later in the week bringing some subtle relief from the heat (above normal temperatures continuing) with some isolated or widely scattered nocturnal storm activity associated with the LLJ.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1213 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Clearing continues from west to east this afternoon as the area of showers slowly exits the region. An area of lower CU has formed behind the over all complex of showers reducing most sites to MVFR conditions. This should only last a few hours as the area continues to heat up with increased sunshine allowing the cloud deck to rise. KCNU may see a few rain showers as the dying area of showers moves through over the next hour. Winds will generally be from the south at 10-15 KTS with some higher gusts in the 20s as the cloud cover retreats.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory from 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM CDT Tuesday for KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.


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