textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Overall fairly quiet weather expected the next several days with no major storm systems on the horizon.

- Chance for light rain/snow mix Tuesday night, but little to no accumulation expected.

- Somewhat cooler Tuesday and Wednesday, with mostly above average temperatures thereafter.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 205 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

PRECIPITATION:

A pair of shortwaves embedded within a digging central and eastern CONUS longwave trough should support scattered light precipitation Tuesday night into early Wednesday, with the brunt of guidance favoring locations generally along/west of Interstate 135. Thermal profiles from model soundings support a light rain/snow mix, with low level wet bulb temperatures in the 30-35 degree range. This is not expected to be a big event by any means given rather weak lift, with the worst case scenario supporting only a dusting of slushy snow accumulation in spots.

Otherwise, building high pressure will support a long stretch of dry weather Wednesday through the weekend. Thereafter, deterministic consensus supports the potential for increasing rain chances early to mid next week, as a "lead" upper trough moves over Mid-America, with another deeper western CONUS troughing digging on its heels. Still lots of uncertainty this far out with model changes likely, so stay tuned.

TEMPERATURES:

An upper shortwave and an associated weak cold front passing through the region will support temperatures a bit cooler Tuesday and Wednesday, but still plus/minus 5 degrees either side of normal for most locations. Thereafter from Wednesday through well into next week, deterministic and ensemble consensus supports mostly above average temperatures across the region, as heights/thickness increase across the Heartland. High temperatures this Thursday and Friday will likely reach the 60s, especially over southern and western Kansas.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 503 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through much of the period. A weak cold front will move through overnight, although winds will remain less than 10 kt. Northwesterly wind speeds will increase by late morning to 10-15 kt. Low clouds will spread south and southwest from portions of IA and MO and may impact portions of eastern KS Tuesday afternoon. Confidence is too low for any prevailing mention of MVFR at this point but later outlooks may need to introduce.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.