textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Mostly dry conditions are expected through the work week.

- Gradual warming trend to start the week with cooler temperatures and breezy northerly winds on Wednesday.

- Colder temperatures are likely on Friday and into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 248 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Current water vapor imagery shows an upper-level trough moving across the eastern CONUS. Weak upper ridging is building over the western CONUS with multiple embedded shortwaves riding the upper ridge. This has resulted in a northwest flow aloft regime over the Plains. At the surface, high pressure is positioned across eastern KS into Missouri and down into the Southern Plains. Surface troughing extends from the Northern Plains down into the high plains.

As we move into tonight, winds will remain relatively light with low temperatures dropping into the 20s. By Monday morning, a shortwave trough will move into the Central Plains/Middle Mississippi Valley. This will shift the surface high southeast into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Surface troughing will move into the Great Lakes area and extend down through the Mississippi Valley into the Central Plains. By Monday afternoon, low-level winds will shift to westerly, allowing low-level WAA to bring high temperatures into the upper 50s across the area with some locations seeing the lower 60s. This warming trend will continue into Tuesday as highs in the 60s are expected areawide.

After Tuesday, the upper-level ridge over the western CONUS will shift east towards the Plains as a trough digs over the Midwest with the trough axis extending down into the Lower Mississippi Valley. This will push a cold front through our area on Tuesday night, bringing in slightly cooler temperatures for Wednesday. There is a slight chance for sprinkles Tuesday night into Wednesday; however, accumulating precip is not currently anticipated. Additionally, a surface high will develop over the Northern Plains/Upper Mississippi Valley, tightening the pressure gradient over our area on Wednesday. Northerly winds will increase with sustained winds between 20-25 mph and gusts up to 35-40 mph. High temperatures on Wednesday look to be in the 40s, though temperatures are likely to rebound a bit on Thursday. Another cold front is progged to move through the area on Friday, which is forecast to bring much cooler temperatures into the weekend. At this time, mostly dry conditions are expected through the work week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1113 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

VFR conditions are expected at all sites through the end of the period. Light south/southwest winds will gradually become westerly through the morning hours on Monday with sustained speeds below 10 kts at all sites.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.