textproduct: Wichita

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures through much of the upcoming week.

- Slight chance of a few snow flurries late Tue/early Wed with a subtle cooldown on Wed.

- Above normal temperatures and dry weather conditions return in the week and into the upcoming weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 202 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

A mid/upper ridge situated across the Southwest/Southern Rockies is progged to translate eastward with northwest mid/upper flow prevailing over the Central Plains. Above freezing temperatures across much of central KS this afternoon allowed for some snow melt which served to moisten the pbl. This could result in some fog formation tonight, but confidence remains somewhat low at this time.

A clipper system digging across the Northern Plains on Monday will allow sfc low pressure to deepen over the Southern High Plains with light east to southeast winds prevailing over the Central Plains on Monday. The mid/upper ridge is progged to translate south and east over the Southern Plains. This will result in seasonably mild temperatures over the area with highs around 50 for many areas. A cold front will move over the area Monday night resulting in a tight range of temperatures over the area on Tuesday with highs in the mid 50s in central KS while far eastern Kansas sees highs near 40. Another shortwave trough is progged to move through the mean trough over the Great Lakes bringing a slight chance for light wintry precipitation late Tue into early Wed. The progressive nature of the system will result in light precipitation amounts early on Wed with clearing by afternoon. Wed is expected to be the coolest day over the upcoming week with seasonable highs in the 40s.

Thu-Sun...Dry and mild weather is anticipated as we move through the latter portion of the work-week and into the upcoming weekend. A mid/upper ridge is progged to build over the central CONUS through the period with above average temperatures. Many locations could see highs in the low 60s through much of the period.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 547 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Thinking patchy fog development is possible later tonight and persisting into Monday morning, due to today's snow melt increasing boundary layer moisture, along with light winds and clear skies expected tonight. Unsure how widespread and/or dense fog will get, so for now included TEMPO 2SM BR at all TAF sites from 09-13z to get the ball rolling. Will continue to diagnose for 06z TAF issuance.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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