textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Mostly dry this week along with seasonable temperatures through Friday.
- Isolated showers and perhaps a rogue thunderstorm or two may be possible Wed-Thu afternoon but most areas are expected to remain dry.
- A warming trend beginning this weekend and lasting into early next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026
A mid/upper ridge remains anchored over the Northern Plains bringing a continuation of dry and mild conditions to the area. A more subtle easterly wave is progged to arrive on Wed-Thu ushering in a much higher PWAT airmass. As we remain uncapped, we could see some diurnally driven showers and more isolated thunderstorms over parts of southeast KS on Wed-Thu but widespread wetting precipitation is not anticipated. Efficient rainfall is expected with any storm that develops, leading to some pockets of heavy rain and gusty winds. We expect afternoon highs to top out around 90 Wed-Thu with more seasonable temperatures in the low to mid 90s as we move into Friday.
The mid/upper ridge is progged to amplify over the Rockies/Central Plains as we move into the weekend and early next week bringing a warming trend to the area with highs reaching the upper 90s/around 100 on Sunday-Monday while dry weather conditions linger over the area.
A frontal boundary may bring some relief by Tuesday, but above average temperatures are still anticipated before we see some potential for cooler air as we move towards the middle of next week.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026
Light easterly winds with some scattered cumulus in the 6-7k ft range will linger over the area this afternoon with VFR anticipated through the period.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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