textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Another morning of patchy fog across the area this morning.
- Temperatures generally staying near or slightly above average over the next 7 days.
- Little to no rain chances over the next 7 days.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 318 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
Early this morning, upper air analysis shows a weak ridge axis extending from southern California to the central plains over the top of cutoff low meandering over northern Mexico. At the surface, a very weak frontal boundary is sagging into northern Kansas with winds on either side of this boundary remaining at or below 5 mph. Throughout the day, this frontal boundary will wash out, and mostly sunny skies should allow for temperatures to warm up into the upper 60s. By tonight, clear skies, and another weak surface ridge promoting calm winds will allow for optimal radiational cooling across the region. As a result, another bout of patchy fog appears increasingly likely late tonight into early Monday morning, especially across south- central and southeast Kansas.
Guidance continues to show a hint of weak mid/upper ridging remaining over the central plains for Monday. This along with mostly sunny skies and light southerly low-level flow should allow for temperatures to climb into the low 70s across the area. The first of a series of weak frontal passages will arrive late Monday night or early Tuesday morning, but this will do little to impact afternoon temperatures on Tuesday with highs forecast to be in the mid 60s to low 70s. A relatively stronger cold front will pass through the area on Wednesday, and a brief cool down is forecast for Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the 60s to potentially the upper 50s. Mid to long range guidance is signaling a more amplified pattern late this week and into next weekend with fairly decent mid/upper ridging across the central plains. This will generally support the prospect of another modest warming trend with highs returning to the 70s by the weekend.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
Issued at 1104 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
SKC and mostly light and variable winds persist across the forecast area through the forecast period. There are again chances of fog and low clouds across the region, with most likely chances of cig/vsby reductions at KCNU and KICT (50% confidence). Some slight south to southwest breezes will develop late in the period around 15Z-16Z Monday for most locations with winds 6 to 8kts through the rest of the period. This will also help to erode any low clouds and fog that develop.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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