textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- A quiet weather pattern with near normal temperatures for today through Wednesday

- Shower/storm chances will gradually increase for Thursday into Saturday, severe weather potential looks low this period

DISCUSSION

Issued at 125 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026

Dry weather along with near normal temperatures will prevail for today through Wednesday as surface high pressure influences the region. Meanwhile deeper moisture will begin to stream northward from the Texas panhandle into western Kansas for Wednesday into Thursday as upper trough over over the western states migrates slowly east. Scattered to numerous showers/storms are expected to develop and stream north over western Kansas Wednesday-Thursday. Some of this activity will gradually spread eastward towards central Kansas on Thursday and especially for Thursday night into Friday with models showing upper wave pivoting east. Severe weather chances look low this period with limited instability and weak wind shear anticipated. Models show the main upper level wave eventually ejecting from the Rockies out into the central plains for Friday night into Saturday. As a result, the weather pattern will remain unsettled with shower/storm chances continuing into Saturday across central/eastern Kansas.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1103 PM CDT Sun Sep 20 2026

Aviation concern remains low clouds through at least Mon morning.

Not much has changed over the last several hours with MVFR cigs encompassing all of central and much of southern KS. Will stick with the thinking that they will remain in place through the overnight hours and into Mon morning. For now will have them lifting to VFR levels in the 17-18z time frame. Looking further ahead, confidence is increasing that low cigs may work back into the area late Mon night into Tue morning. Will be something to keep an eye on.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.