textproduct: Wichita

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Very cold this morning with wind chill values around zero degrees.

- Cold, below normal temperatures continue through tonight. - Above normal temperatures return for the upcoming week with the dry weather prevailing.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 208 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

Currently, a deep upper level trough is positioned over the Great Lakes region. At the surface this translates to a 1039mb high pressure situated over the Northern Plains. The cold frontal boundary that ushered in our much colder air is already draped over the Southeast U.S. and the Southern Plains. Some of the coldest air of the season is sitting across the forecast area with temperatures in the low teens under clearing skies. Northerly winds for south- central and southeastern Kansas will be around 10 mph around daybreak with winds over central Kansas much lighter. This will lead to wind chills across the area around zero.

For the rest of today, the high pressure will slide off to our east and will be centered over the Mississippi Valley this afternoon. This will allow western portions of the forecast area to warm up slightly faster than eastern Kansas. Highs this afternoon for central Kansas will approach freezing while highs in southeast Kansas will linger in the middle 20s. As has been the pattern of late, we received only a glancing blow from the coldest air with the much colder temperatures impacting locations just to our east.

As we move into the upcoming week, stout ridging and northwesterly flow will quickly build back over the region as the surface high settles over the Southeast CONUS. Temperatures will rebound nicely as highs tomorrow will reach slightly above normal with highs topping out in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Warmer and more mild weather will continue through the week as broad ridging dominates the pattern. Highs in the 50s and 60s with lows in the 30s and 40s are expected as there is quite a bit of agreement across models. An upper level short wave will drag a weak frontal boundary across the area on Wednesday night into Thursday which will act to moderate our warming trend. Overall, we are expected to remain relatively warm and dry throughout the week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1123 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

VFR conditions are expected through this TAF period. Winds have started shifting to southerly and will increase in speed this afternoon especially at GBD and RSL. The rest of the terminal sites will increase tonight with gusts up to 20-25 kts and continue into Monday afternoon.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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