textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Mostly dry this week along with seasonable temperatures through much of the week.

- Isolated showers and perhaps a rogue thunderstorm or two may be possible Tue-Wed afternoon but most areas are expected to remain dry.

- A warming trend to close out the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 101 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

The mid/upper ridge was centered over the Northern Plains/Upper Mississippi Valley area while we remain just on the southern periphery of this feature across the Central Plains. This pattern will slowly evolve with little change anticipated through the middle of the week leading to a persistence type forecast with highs around 90 and lows mostly in the upper 60s. A weakly capped airmass is progged across southeast KS and Flint Hills on Tuesday afternoon where a brief afternoon shower may try to develop during peak heating.

Slightly better chances for an isolated shower or brief thunderstorm may arrive on Wednesday afternoon during peak heating as another subtle easterly wave may bring some shower activity to parts of the area but widespread wetting precipitation appears unlikely at this time.

As we move late into the week and especially the weekend, the H7 thermal ridge will arrive allowing temperatures begin to increase with more typical values for late July as highs climb into the mid and upper 90s. As the mid/upper ridge amplifies over the Rockies, the storm track is still expected to remain north and east of our area leading to mostly dry weather conditions through the period but there is some uncertainty as a backdoor front approaches early next week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 101 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

Scattered fair weather cumulus in the 4k-6k ft layer with light easterly winds will linger through the afternoon hours. Mostly clear conditions are expected to develop this evening and light and variable winds tonight.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.