textproduct: Wichita

DISCUSSION

Issued at 403 AM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

As of 330 AM Wednesday morning, a midlevel ridge axis continues to reside across the southern Plains into the upper Midwest. Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue across northeast OK as the remnant MCV from Monday night/Tuesday morning's convection remains nearby. Isolated showers and storms have developed across central KS on a weak 700 mb convergence axis. A 3rd area of convection is ongoing across western KS within a weak axis of low-level WAA. Finally, a fourth area of convection is ongoing across the TX Panhandle as a midlevel shortwave trough lifts north from eastern NM. Between the remnant MCV, the weak WAA, and the shortwave trough lifting across western KS, areas of showers and thunderstorms are probable across much of the area today. Meager effective shear below 20 kt will hinder the potential for strong or severe storms.

The aforementioned midlevel shortwave trough is progged to slowly lift across western KS and into NE tonight into Thursday. This will keep shower and thunderstorm chances in the forecast into Thursday afternoon. The active weather pattern looks to continue through weeks-end and into the upcoming weekend. The greatest potential for widespread rainfall appears to arrive late Saturday through Sunday night as a slow moving shortwave trough glides from the southern high Plains through central and eastern KS.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1211 PM CDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A challenging forecast for the TAF sites for this afternoon. Afternoon heating combined with a moist atmsophere and little overall flow will allow for storm chances pretty much everywhere although not expecting these storms to be severe. Shower and storm activity will likely persist off and on throughout the night as a shortwave continues its slow movement through western KS but have left out of TAF sites as timing of these storms is rather difficult and could occur throughout the period.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.