textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain chances gradually waning from south to north today.

- Additional rain chances Sunday night through Monday afternoon.

- Temperatures remaining mild through Monday, then a cold front brings cooler weather Tuesday onwards.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 300 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

Water vapor satellite imagery and upper air analysis show deep longwave troughing across much of the western and central CONUS. This morning, an embedded lobe of vorticity is progressing across the central plains while the main system remains located over southern California. Across Kansas, broad synoptic lift from the approaching shortwave continues to support the development and persistence of widespread showers generally along and north of US-54 this morning. As this system slowly lifts northward today, rain chances will gradually end from south to north. Lingering low rain chances may persist into this evening along the I-70 corridor as a result of weak deformation band; however, any rainfall from this should be relatively light. At the low levels, northerly winds on the back side of the surface low will usher in cooler air today with many areas across central Kansas struggling to rise above the 40s this afternoon.

With clearer skies and westerly winds on Saturday, temperatures should have an easy time recovering back into the 60s area wide during the afternoon hours. However, this break in active weather will be short-lived as the next system is forecast to arrive on Sunday. Similar to Thursday's rainfall event, broad synoptic lift from height falls and vorticity advection aloft will support a large swath of rainfall that sweeps across the forecast area Sunday night through Monday afternoon with rain chances ending from southwest to northeast. On the back side of another surface low that will traverse across the forecast area, low-level cold air advection on Tuesday, supported by breezy northwesterly winds, will establish a cooler and drier air mass across the region that is expected to persist through the remainder of next week. Afternoon temperatures Tuesday through Friday will be in the 40s and 50s with overnight lows in the 20s and low 30s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 515 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

Continued IFR/LIFR conditions are expected to continue through much of the day, mainly driven by persistent low ceilings. Scattered showers continue across portions of eastern and central Kansas, and pockets of moderate rainfall may briefly reduce visibilities at times. Rain chances should come to an end later this afternoon or this evening. Gradually conditions should improve this evening or tonight to MVFR or VFR as low clouds slowly diminish.

Winds will be a bit variable as a surface low tracks across the area this morning. However, winds should become more uniform out of the north or northwest this afternoon into tonight. Generally, wind speeds will be between 5 and 15 knots over the next 24 hours.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.