textproduct: Wichita

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Above average temperatures forecast for the next 7 days.

- Low rain chances in the forecast for the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 311 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Early this morning, strong upper ridging remains persistent across the western CONUS with broad upper troughing continuing across the eastern portions of the country. For the central plains, northwesterly to northerly upper flow remains in place between these two features. However, the upper ridge out west will gradually shift eastward over the next day or so. This will generally support warmer temperatures beginning today afternoon highs topping out in the upper 50s to mid 60s! Tonight will be relatively mild with lows only in the mid to upper 30s.

Despite increasing heights and thicknesses creeping over the region, a couple weak cold fronts will knock temperatures down slightly for Friday and Saturday. However, the effects of subtle mid/upper ridging across the southern plains will be felt towards the latter half of the weekend and into next week with temperatures likely to rebound Sunday and Monday. Mid to long range guidance starts to get a bit fuzzy for Tuesday onwards as the pattern looks to turn more active again across the region. That being said, confidence in potential rain chances towards the middle of next week remains fairly low. It will be something to track over the next few days, so stay tuned for updates to the forecast over the coming days.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 530 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Only aviation concern will be some patchy fog this morning.

Currently have a weak surface trough that is moving through the area and is flipping winds around to the northwest. Just ahead of this feature, some patchy fog developed over far southern and southeast KS and is currently moving through KCNU. As winds turn to the west and northwest, fog is expected to move east. Outside of morning fog, confidence is high that VFR conditions will be in place today.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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