textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Thunderstorms will exit the area later this morning

- A slight chance exists for thunderstorms across central KS this afternoon

- Thunderstorm chances become likely tonight across portions of central and south-central KS

- Additional thunderstorms are possible each day Tuesday through Saturday

- Seasonal temperatures over the next week with highs in the 80s to near 90

DISCUSSION

Issued at 308 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

As of 245 AM Monday morning, scattered thunderstorms continue to progress east across southeast KS. These are largely driven by weak low-level WAA. Latest IR satellite trends reveal warming cloud tops which suggest the potential for any severe weather is decreasing. Further west, midlevel cyclonic flow continues to overspread the central and northern high Plains. A surface low will continue to gradually deepen across northeast NM or southeast CO throughout the day today. Further north, an area of surface high pressure will settle across portions of NE and SD. The combination of the surface low and high pressure will enhance upslope flow across western KS and eastern CO. Isolated to scattered thunderstorm development is expected to grow upscale into an MCS or storm clusters late this evening into Monday night. These are likely to propagate southeastward within a high PW environment. This would steer the MCS and/or clusters into portions of central and south-central KS late this evening into Tuesday morning. Damaging winds up to 60 mph and heavy rainfall are the main concerns with the convection tonight into Tuesday morning.

The active weather pattern will continue Tuesday through Thursday with the focus for thunderstorms across the western half of KS. Rain chances will expand to eastern KS for late this week into the weekend as the ridge axis shifts east. At this point, the potential for widespread severe weather appears low. Temperatures will remain seasonable with highs in the 80s to near 90.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 546 AM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Shallow ground fog at ICT will continue through 13Z, although VSBY should remain predominately VFR. Winds will become easterly at 10-15 kt at RSL/GBD/SLN/HUT/ICT by mid to late morning. Thunderstorms are expected to develop across eastern CO and western KS this afternoon and evening and move east towards central KS. GBD and RSL stand the greatest potential for receiving impacts from -TSRA. As such, introduced a prevailing SHRA and VCTS. Confidence decreases with eastern extent, therefore a PROB30 has been introduced at SLN/HUT/ICT after 06Z.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.