textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Hot and breezy this coming week, especially across central and south central Kansas.

- Widespread meaningful rainfall appears unlikely over the next seven days.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 243 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

Currently, a strong mid/upper level ridge remains centered just off to our south and east. An area of 850mb frontogenesis extends across central Kansas and led to morning showers for portions of Barton and Russell counties. With diurnal heating and this existing weak boundary, a few isolated showers/thunderstorms may be possible, though kept POPs low through the afternoon due to very high uncertainty. A surface trough remains draped across the Central High Plains through the next couple of days, leading to scattered rain/storm chances for locations well west of the forecast area. Otherwise, broad ridging will dominate the forecast period leading to dry weather and above normal temperatures. With the ridge axis just to our east through the end of the work-week, highs in the upper 90s to around 100 degrees are expected. Mid range guidance indicates the ridge will build back west for the weekend into early next week leading to increasing heights and warmer temperatures. Forecast highs for the end of the period are not entirely reflective of this persistent ridging pattern as NBM guidance is more heavily weighted on climatology later in the period. Regardless, the story remains the same, well above normal temperatures and dry conditions will persist.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 557 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period. Southerly winds will decrease to near 10 kt momentarily. Otherwise, southerly winds will increase to 10-15 kt with a few gusts up to 20 kt by mid-morning Tuesday.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.