textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry weather expected over the next seven days.

- High temperatures in the 70s expected today, with lower to middle 80s forecast Tuesday into the upcoming weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 322 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Currently, a deep trough is digging over the Great Lakes region with a building ridge over the Central Rockies. The forecast area is situated between these two features under northwesterly flow. Water vapor imagery depicts an extremely dry air mass overhead in the wake of yesterday's cold front. Current PWATs over the eastern half of the state sit at around 0.50 inch, just below the 25th percentile for this time of year. Despite the drier air, clear skies will allow for efficient radiational cooling early this morning, leading to areas of ground fog. Widespread and significant impacts are not expected. As the region remains under the influence of the post- frontal air mass through today, temperatures right around normal are expected areawide, reaching into the middle to upper 70s.

Ridging will continue to build into the region from the west, with the ridge center shifting over the Desert Southwest and the Southern Plains over the next several days. A weak perturbation in the pattern on Tuesday night associated with a trough digging into the Great Lakes may slow the warming trend as it acts to displace the ridge further south. But anomalous heights will continue to lead to afternoon temperatures reaching above normal through the end of the forecast period. Highs are generally expected to reach into the lower to middle 80s areawide for Tue-Sun. Overall, mostly clear skies, dry conditions, and anomalous warmth will persist through the end of the forecast period.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 636 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Patchy fog will continue this morning, primarily across central and south-central Kansas. Light northeasterly winds will turn southeasterly/southerly by midday and remain so throughout the forecast period. Winds will increase above 10 knots for RSL and GBD for this afternoon and into the overnight time frame.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.