textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Hot and humid again today along with chances for a few strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening
- Isolated strong storms are possible for southeast Kansas Sunday afternoon
- High confidence for cooler slightly below normal temperatures overspreading the region for next week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 147 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026
It will be another day of hot and humid weather conditions for the region today with heat indices around 100 degrees again, however cooler temperatures will be on the way after today. A cold front will sink slowly southward across Kansas with convection expected to develop around peak heating after 3pm along the front in central Kansas. Conditions are favorable for a few strong to severe storms to materialize during the late afternoon-evening time frame with modest instability and wind shear around 30kts for some organized multi-cell storms. Damaging wind threat seems to be the primary risk with inverted-V sounding profiles and some potential for large hail before multi-cells begin to cluster. The threat looks to transition to more of isolated damaging winds and heavy rainfall overnight. The front will continue a slow southward track for Sunday with cooler temperatures finally beginning to overspread the area from north to south. There is some potential for a few strong storms ahead of the front mainly for locations east of the Kansas turnpike during the afternoon where atmosphere could destabilize more. Otherwise showers and storms will gradually decrease in coverage later Sunday night.
High confidence for cooler temperatures to finally influence the region for Monday through Wednesday as surface high pressure dominates over the central plains. This will result in daytime highs actually being cooler than average along with dry weather expected. Long range models continue to suggest that next chance of rain could arrive Wednesday night into Thursday for Kansas.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 600 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026
VFR conditions expected for this morning and early afternoon with a frontal boundary sinking southward across central Kansas late this morning/early afternoon. This cause the winds to switch around to a northerly direction. Meanwhile scattered showers and storms will develop along the front over central Kansas mainly after 20Z and spread southward into the night time hours. Some of the storms could become strong or severe. Finally low clouds in IFR category look to develop late tonight over central Kansas.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.