textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Spotty showers and drizzle continue for southern and southeastern Kansas through tonight.
- Cloudy and cool through Friday and into early Saturday.
- High confidence a warm and dry pattern to emerge for Sunday through mid next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 229 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
Currently, a shortwave trough is passing over the Central Plains. The associated vort max situated over the KS/OK border is leading to showers and cloud cover across south-central Kansas with a few isolated thunderstorms in northern OK. In the wake of the broader trough and cold front, temperatures today linger in the upper 50s. With northerly flow and another shortwave approaching the area on Friday, low clouds will continue for northern and eastern portions of the forecast area along with the chance for some spotty drizzle. Temperatures on Friday will once again remain the the 50s for much of the forecast area. The shortwave will traverse the region on Saturday with clouds clearing the area from west to east throughout the day. Temperatures will begin to rebound with highs in the lower 60s for central Kansas.
For Sunday into mid-week, broad troughing will build over the Western US and across the Plains. Dry weather, mostly clear conditions, and above normal temperatures are forecast through Wednesday of next week. Models are hinting at another shortwave towards middle/end of next week as a deep trough digs into the Northeast US. At this point, this feature looks to have minimal ramifications across the forecast area and may only lead to a slight cool-down for the end of next week.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 541 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
Main aviation concerns will be increasing low clouds along with some fog.
Upper level impulse is currently tracking across OK/Southern KS with showers and storms associated with this expected to remain south of the KS/OK border. Low clouds currently over northeast KS will work southwest overnight and will eventually move into the forecast area. While most of the sites will see MVFR cigs as they move-in, KRSL-KGBD will likely see IFR cigs along with some fog. For now will run with 2sm after 09z to get things started but wouldn't be surprised if these are lowered if trends continue.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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