textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A few rain showers possible late Saturday night into Sunday
- An active pattern is emerging for next week with multiple storm systems possible
DISCUSSION
Issued at 146 PM CST Fri Nov 13 2026
As of 1 PM Friday afternoon, a deep trough remains across the eastern CONUS with ridging across the high Plains and trough coming ashore across the western US. At the surface, an expansive area of high pressure remains across eastern portions of KS, NE and into MO and IA. This is contributing to mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the 40s to near 50. The overall weather pattern will remain quiet into Saturday with the surface high pressure remaining nearby. As such, temperatures into the 40s and 50s continuing with light winds. The aforementioned trough axis is expected to weaken upon its arrival to the central/southern Plains late Saturday into Sunday. Ensemble guidance remains consistent with the best rain chances remaining across western KS, far southern KS, and into OK. That being said, the long range HRRR and RAP solutions suggest the best rain chance may extend further into KS. This forecast remains largely leveraged towards the global ensemble guidance with the best chances remaining across western and far southern KS. Total rain amounts are likely to remain less than 0.25" for most locations. Areas near the OK border stand the best potential for rain totals greater than 0.25".
Transitioning into next week, an active midlevel pattern may emerge with multiple storm systems potentially impacting the central Plains. The first shortwave trough may arrive towards the middle of next week with a second towards the following weekend. These storm system passages are likely to be accompanied by strong winds as well. In fact, southerly winds may gust up to 45 mph Tuesday and Wednesday with the highest wind gusts across central KS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1114 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026
The small area of MVFR CIGS have scattered across central KS and anticipated VFR conditions to prevail through the remainder of the period. Winds will remain generally from a southeast direction at 5-10 kt.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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