textproduct: Wichita

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Below normal temperatures today with highs around 50.

- Increasing rain chances for late Saturday night through Sunday with the higher chances over southern KS.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 225 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

Currently have a broad upper low situated over the Eastern Great Lakes region with a couple different impulses approaching the West Coast. One is approaching Southern CA with a more robust upper wave approaching the Pacific Northwest. At the surface, cold front extends from the TX Panhandle into Southeast TX.

Surface high pressure will remain in place today from the Upper Mississippi Valley into the Southern Plains. This will provide plenty of sunshine and below normal temps, with highs around 50 degrees. For tonight into Sat morning, the northern stream impulse will move into the Pacific Northwest and Great Basin with the southern stream wave quickly tracking across Baja and into southwest TX. These systems will remain too far west for precip on Sat, but will bring an increase in cloud cover.

There is good model agreement that the northern stream energy will dive southeast and close off into an upper low over the TX/OK Panhandles by Sun morning. This will start to spread rainfall into the western portion of our forecast area Sat night and expand southeast on Sunday. At this time it appears southern KS will have the higher rainfall chances. The model trends with this system have been anything but consistent and until it fully gets onshore, would expect more changes. Once this impulse moves into the Arklatex region on Mon, we are looking for dry conditions to start the work week. A fast moving open wave is then expected to lift out of the Central Great Basin and into the Northern Plains by Wed afternoon. The main affect this impulse will have will be some gusty south winds for Tue and especially Wed.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 530 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

Aviation concerns are expected to remain on the low side through the next 24 hours.

Very thin band of low clouds has developed over the last couple of hours between KSLN and KRSL but are not moving much east or west. So for now went ahead and left low clouds out of both sites and will continue to monitor. Should see an increase in high clouds tonight as winds veer around to the east and eventually southeast, but will remain on the light side.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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