textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Cooler below normal temperatures with mainly dry weather slated for today and Monday

- Next chance for showers/storms looks to arrive Tuesday afternoon and night

- Hot temperatures on Wednesday along with the potential for severe storms to affect south central and southeast Kansas at night

DISCUSSION

Issued at 235 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

The main theme will be cooler below normal temperatures/less humidity for today and Monday across Kansas. Meanwhile early morning satellite water vapor imagery shows an upper level wave over Montana traveling southeast. This system will move across Nebraska during the late afternoon/evening hours, and could spark off some high based rain showers over southern Nebraska into north central Kansas. A second subtle upper wave will move southeast through the northwest flow regime aloft on Monday night. This could also try to generate some isolated higher based weak activity Monday night into early Tuesday morning.

On Tuesday, models are showing an elevated signal of 700mb moist advection over mainly southern Kansas. Combination of decent directional shear(1-6km layer) and some elevated instability looks to support scattered elevated storms. If the instability/mid-level lapse rates become more favorable by later model runs, there would be some potential for elevated strong to marginal severe storms affecting mainly southern Kansas. Heading into Wednesday daytime temperatures will warm considerably with westerly downslope effects boosting readings into the upper 90s and triple digits over central/south central Kansas. Heat indices will likely climb into the triple digits this period as well. Models continue to advertise a more pronounced upper level wave racing southeast from the Dakotas into Nebraska and Iowa for Wednesday night into Thursday. This will push a stronger cold front southward into the very warm/humid airmass over central and eastern Kansas. Thunderstorm chances look to blossom along the front over Missouri, then zipper back to the west into Kansas for Wednesday night. Severe weather is possible this period with favorable shear/instability combination being projected by the latest model guidance. Temperatures will cool down again for Thursday in the wake of the cold frontal passage, then gradually warm for Friday into Saturday.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 629 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

VFR conditions are expected over the next 24hrs for all TAF sites over central and southern Kansas with light north winds today.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.