textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Patchy fog possible late tonight into Thursday morning and again Friday morning across much of the area

- Rain showers possible late Saturday night into Sunday

- An active pattern is emerging for next week with multiple storm systems possible

DISCUSSION

Issued at 220 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

As of 215 PM Wednesday afternoon, midlevel troughing was present across the eastern CONUS with ridging across the west. A shortwave trough, responsible for the frontal passage earlier today, is advancing through the mid-MS valley. A modest pressure gradient in its wake is contributing to northwesterly winds at 10-20 mph with a few gusts up to 30 mph. These winds will relax to less than 10 mph with sunset as the boundary layer decouples. An area of surface high pressure will nose into eastern KS late tonight into Thursday morning. With light winds and small dew point depressions, patchy fog is possible across much of the area. Overnight lows will range from the upper 30s to low 40s. This area of surface high pressure will remain overhead into Thursday with light winds and temperatures noticeably cooler in the upper 50s to low 60s. A few midlevel clouds are possible as a speed max translates southeast across IA/MO.

Beyond Thursday, midlevel ridging will slide across the Plains ahead of the next midlevel trough across the west. The area of surface high pressure will remain overnight Thursday night and Friday morning; light winds and small dew point depressions may yield patchy fog once again. The aforementioned midlevel trough axis is expected to eject into the central/southern Plains late Saturday into Sunday. Latest deterministic and ensemble guidance have trended towards a weaker trough/low with a more-southern track across OK. This trend will need to be monitored over the coming days as the prospects for widespread rainfall may be decreasing. Transitioning into next week, an active midlevel pattern may emerge with multiple storm systems potentially impacting the central Plains. The first shortwave trough may arrive towards the middle of next week with a second towards the following weekend.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1138 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period. Northwesterly winds will gust up to 25 kt through 23-00Z before decreasing below 10 kt thereafter.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.