textproduct: Wichita

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain chances will continue for this morning and afternoon across central and eastern Kansas

- Another weather system will bring a second round of rain to the region on Thursday, dry weather expected for Friday through the weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 154 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Lingering wrap around rain showers are expected to continue with-in the deformation zone over central and eastern Kansas today. The rain will begin to taper off by later this afternoon as the upper wave moves northeast into Iowa. Dry weather is slated for Wednesday with near normal daytime highs. Meanwhile current satellite water vapor imagery shows a healthy upper level PV wave approaching northern California in the eastern Pacific. Deterministic and ensemble models are showing a intensifying trend with this system and a deeper warm advection signal. Instability looks to be limited therefore expecting mainly rain showers. The rain will begin over western Kansas Wednesday night and spread eastward affecting mainly south central/southeast Kansas during the day on Thursday.

A dry weather pattern will be in store for the region on Friday through the weekend as upper level ridging builds over Kansas on Friday. Models do show a upper trough quickly pivoting across the region for Saturday, but limited moisture and weakening trend of this upper trough favors dry weather conditions. Daytime highs will continue to be around seasonal averages for early November.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1136 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Surface low is currently situated in northeast Kansas leading to northwesterly/westerly winds for all sites. Winds have increased significantly behind the front, and strong winds with gusts to 35 knots will remain possible through the afternoon. Winds will diminish significantly and cigs will lift to VFR levels for all sites between 00-06Z. Northwesterly winds around 10 knots are expected by midday tomorrow.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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