textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Seasonable temperatures are forecast through Tuesday with a subtle warming trend thereafter.

- Increasing probabilities for scattered showers as we move into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 346 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

We continue to see weak ridging across the Southern CONUS with southwest mid-lvl flow across the Central Plains. This will allow a subtle shortwave trough to lift across the area early today. An increase in mid-lvl cloudiness is anticipated with a few sprinkles possible, although a plethora of dry air in the sub cloud layer should result in evaporation/sublimation with little if anything reaching the sfc. This pattern will remain unchanged as we move into Tue as another subtle shortwave trough approaches from the SW bringing an increase in mid-lvl clouds and perhaps a few sprinkles, although most locations are expected to remain dry. Seasonably mild temperatures are anticipated through Tue.

The mid/upper ridge is progged to amplify over the Central Plains Wed-Thu resulting in rising temperatures across the area with highs climbing into the mid and upper 70s. A mid/upper trough is progged to build into the Rockies late in the week before emerging over the Central and Northern Plains as we move into the weekend. Some modest pops were maintained across much of the area but we continue to see some differences in how quickly this system moves over the area leading to some timing uncertainty. Seasonably mild temperatures are expected to persist over the weekend and in the wake of this system as we move into early next week.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 617 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period although considerable mid clouds in the 12-15k ft range will impact the area this morning. A few sprinkles are also possible through the morning hours but impacts are not expected. Southerly winds will increase by mid-morning with gusts up to 15-20 kts at times before decreasing below 10 kt by 00Z.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.