textproduct: Wichita

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain chances will increase tonight and continue into Tuesday morning.

- Above normal temperatures will remain through the majority of the forecast with Wednesday and Thursday looking like the warmest of the next 7 days.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 229 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Water vapor imagery currently shows an upper impulse lifting across western Nebraska with another piece of energy approaching southwest TX. At the surface, strong cold front stretches from eastern Nebraska into north central KS with sfc low over nw KS.

We are expecting a gradual increase in showers from the southwest tonight as upper impulse lifts across TX and into OK with south central KS seeing the better rain coverage. For Tue, the higher shower chances will be in the morning with quick decrease for the afternoon hours as we get into some subsidence as the impulse moves into the Ozark region. Did go ahead and insert some slight pops for late Tue night into early Wed morning southeast of the KS Turnpike as low level jet develops and 850-700mb moisture transport ramps-up.

Attention will then turn to another southern stream impulse set to lift out of southwest TX on Thu and into southern OK Thu night. This will spread fairly high rainfall chances across most of the area starting Fri and continuing through Fri night into Sat morning. While much of the region will likely get wet, not looking for much in the way of heavy rain or flooding.

As far as temps go, confidence remains high that above normal readings will continue. Normal highs for this time of year are in the mid 60s and we will be looking at highs in the upper 60s and 70s through most of the forecast. Wed and Thu look like the warmest days, with many areas reaching 80 degrees.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 627 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026

Scattered rain showers and low clouds in MVFR category will spread across central/south central Kansas tonight. Meanwhile a frontal boundary will sag slowly southward across central Kansas and cause winds to switch around to the north. The front will eventually move back north on Tuesday with winds flipping back around to the south for central Kansas. Low cigs will gradually rise over central/south central Kansas as the day goes on for Tuesday.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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