textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers and storms this morning may produce brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds. Strong or severe storms are not expected.

- Another hot day today, especially across southern and southeast Kansas with heat indices likely to exceed 105 this afternoon and early evening.

- Periodic storm chances are forecast tonight through Friday night. A few strong storms producing gusty winds cannot be ruled out, but widespread severe weather appears unlikely.

..SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Mid to long range deterministic and ensemble model guidance suggests the upper level pattern will be momentarily locked in for a few days this weekend into early next week with troughing across the eastern CONUS, and a strong ridge parked over the Desert Southwest. This will put Kansas awkwardly in the middle of the features with northerly upper flow remaining quite persistent for a few days. At the surface, a series of weak cold fronts appears increasingly likely which should support cooler temperatures this weekend, perhaps 5 to 10 degrees below average for this time of year. Going into early next week, the pattern becomes increasingly ill-defined, but it appears that slight increases in heights aloft should support a gradual warming of temperatures through the beginning of next week.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1052 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

Outflow from thunderstorms will continue to push southward across central Kansas then stall out near Wichita later tonight. Wind direction will be a little challenging due to a slow moving frontal boundary sinking south across central Kansas. A few showers and storms could develop over portions of central Kansas during the overnight hours. The frontal boundary looks to stall over south central Kansas for later this afternoon.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ067>072-082- 083-091>096-098>100.