textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry weather expected over the next seven days.

- Seasonably warm temperatures (highs in the 80s) are forecast through the upcoming weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 301 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Currently, a deep trough is situated over the Great Lakes region with weak ridging to our southwest. A short wave extends across the California coast and will traverse eastward through the day today. With the surface high located to our east, southerly winds continue to dominate the region. As the short wave approaches from the west, a surface low will deepen over the Rockies. This will lead to a tightening pressure gradient over the Plains and cause breezy conditions to develop this afternoon. Southerly winds around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph will be possible for much of central and south-central Kansas. This strong southerly flow will lead to the first day in a stretch of above normal temperatures across the area. Afternoon highs in the middle to upper 80s are expected.

While anomalous heights will lead to afternoon temperatures reaching above normal through the end of the forecast period, the surface trough associated with the shortwave will linger over central Kansas for Wednesday and Thursday. Highs across south-central and southeast Kansas are generally expected to reach into the middle to upper 80s while highs over central Kansas will remain in the upper 70s to lower 80s. The surface trough will retreat by the end of the week, leading to middle to upper 80s areawide for Fri-Sun. Overall, mostly clear skies, dry conditions, and seasonable warmth will persist through the upcoming weekend.

The next chance for a pattern change will come early next week as a shortwave kicks out over the Plains from the Desert Southwest. While confidence in exact impacts remains low, continuity between model guidance suggests increased rain chances and cooler temperatures for the tail end of the forecast time frame and beyond.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 549 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions expected throughout the forecast period. Southerly winds will become breezy after 15Z today with central and south-central Kansas sites seeing gusts up to 20 knots at times. Winds will diminish around 00Z.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.