textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Quiet with afternoon highs near average today.

- Seasonably got conditions forecast Monday through Friday

- Periodic storm chances return as soon as Wednesday morning and will potentially continue through late Friday night.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 245 AM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

Early this morning, upper air analysis and water vapor satellite imagery shows a sharp, postively-tilted trough over the Ohio River Valley and the Great Lakes region. Meanwhile, a strong mid/upper ridge remains stretched out from the Desert Southwest to the central Rockies. This ridge will gradually slide over the central plains over the next couple of days supporting a warming trend across the forecast area. For today, highs and lows will be near average for this time of year. However, seasonably hot conditions will return for Monday and Tuesday as the ridge axis slides overhead. While afternoon highs Monday and Tuesday will be in the mid 90s to near 100, dewpoints in the 50s and 60s should keep heat indices near the ambient temperature. Additionally, lows in the upper 60s to low 70s should provide some relief during the overnight period, which runs in the contrast to the heat stress the area experienced last week. To summarize, despite temperatures being slightly above average, this period of warmer temperatures will not feel quite as hot as the previous period of hot weather.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

By mid week, mid range deterministic and ensemble model guidance is honing in on fairly robust deep layer troughing across the northern CONUS. This should shove mid/upper ridging across the southern and southwestern CONUS and open the door for zonal upper flow to return over the central plains. A series of embedded impulses within this upper flow will traverse over the region bringing the potential for multiple opportunities at rainfall across the area. Details continue to remain a little fuzzy as it will likely come down to specific mesoscale features that determine exactly who see rainfall and how much rainfall occurs as any given location. That being said, rain chances are increasing slightly across the area from Wednesday morning through Friday night. Temperature-wise, afternoon highs and overnight lows are forecast to remain slightly above average for the beginning of August.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 553 AM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

VFR conditions will continue over the next 24 hours.

Light and variable winds will persist through much of the day. Then, after 21Z this afternoon, winds across central Kansas will begin to increase and turn more southerly. Wind speed by the end of the TAF period across central Kansas may be around 10 to 15 knots.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.