textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Mostly dry this week along with seasonable high temperatures near 90 and lows in the upper 60s through Wednesday.

- Isolated showers and storms are possible Wednesday afternoon and evening in southeast Kansas. Severe weather is not expected.

- Slight warming trend to close out the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 213 AM CDT Mon Jul 13 2026

Currently, a prominent ridge dominates much of the CONUS, centered over the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains. A weak short wave extends over the Appalachians and continues to slowly move east. At the surface, broad high pressure sits over the Upper Midwest into the Plains. A frontal boundary is draped across the Southern Plains and into the Southeast US.

Seasonably quiet weather is on tap for the next couple of days with high pressure dominating the pattern. Light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and afternoon temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s are expected for today and Tuesday. The ridge will remain centered over the Northern Plains, focusing the elevated temperature anomalies to our north. By Wednesday, temperatures will remain mild in the lower 90s, but a weak upper level low will nudge into the Southern Plains and allow some Gulf moisture to lift into the region. This could support an isolated shower or storm to develop in southeastern Kansas. Confidence remains low for our area as the forcing and shear is weak, but higher confidence exists for locations south and east of the forecast area.

For the end of the week and into the weekend, the ridge will shift southward. The upper high will pass over the region on Saturday before settling over the High Plains by Sunday. High temperatures for the end of the week will creep higher with the ridge center closer. Surface high pressure will set up to our east with a low centered over the Rockies. As our area gets pinched between these features, southwesterly winds between 15-20 mph will be possible each afternoon, further supporting our warming trend. Afternoon highs on Friday will reach the mid 90s areawide with upper 90s possible for Saturday and Sunday. Thankfully a slightly drier airmass will set up over the region, leading to afternoon RH values in the 30-40% range. This will keep heat indices within a couple degrees of actual temperatures this weekend, topping out near 100 degrees on Saturday and Sunday afternoons.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1027 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period. Easterly winds between 5-10 kt are expected through much of the period. A diurnal cumulus field with bases near 6 kft is expected at all sites late Monday morning into Monday afternoon.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.