textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm, dry, and breezy conditions expected for much of the area through this week.

- A Heat Advisory remains in effect beginning this afternoon and lasting through Thursday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 247 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026

Current water vapor imagery and RAP analysis highlight a mid/upper low situated over the Pacific Northwest as the upper ridge continues to build across the Mississippi River Valley. At the surface, lee troughing has promoted a strong pressure gradient and subsequent gusty south winds throughout the forecast area. A quasi-dryline feature spans from the Nebraska Panhandle through western Kansas.

TEMPERATURES/WINDS:

Upper ridging will continue to build across the eastern half of the CONUS throughout the week. Increasing thicknesses/heights will promote continued warm temperatures with high temperatures in the 90s and near 100 for this afternoon and Monday. Dewpoints in the 70s for many locations will promote afternoon heat index values above 100 degrees areawide and around 105 degrees for locations roughly along and west of Interstate 135. Looking for heat index values to perhaps be not quite as high Tuesday and Wednesday, as persistent theta-e advection from southwesterly flow aloft should allow for modest cloud cover that may preclude advisory criteria for many locations. A decrease in cloud coverage is expected to allow for the return of highs in the middle to upper 90s and 100+ degree heat indices Thursday through the end of the week, especially along and east of the Flint Hills where higher dewpoints will reside. Additionally, persistent lee troughing will continue to promote gusty south winds across the forecast area through Saturday.

RAIN CHANCES:

Mid-range guidance shows the potential for isolated showers and storms during the afternoon/evening hours Monday through Wednesday thanks to embedded ripples in mid/upper flow, with the best (albeit low) chances residing along/west of K-14. Despite these chances, confidence remains high that most locations will stay dry through the entire week.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 555 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail at all terminals through the end of the period.

LLWS rooted around 1.5 kft early this morning is expected to dissipate within the next several hours. Primary impacts for the period will be strong south winds sustained in the 17-20 kt range and gusts to 30+ kts by late morning and early afternoon. LLWS will return to all sites by 03Z, once again at/near 1.5 kft.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM CDT Thursday for KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.