textproduct: Wichita

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Morning showers/sprinkles diminishing early with mild and dry conditions anticipated through much of the weekend.

- Increasing chances for showers will arrive late Sunday into Monday night while a cold front ushers in cooler air Mon and especially on Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 335 AM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026

A shortwave trough situated over the Central Plains will continue moving slowly eastward as we move into the day. Some lingering showers and sprinkles this morning will gradually diminish with clearing from west to east as we move into the late morning and early afternoon hours. Abundant afternoon insolation will result in above average temperatures with maximum temperatures climbing into the 70s areawide. Normal highs for late October are in the upper 60s.

Thu-Sat...a narrow mid/upper ridge will continue to impact the area through Saturday bringing above average temperatures and dry weather conditions. This ridge will gradually translate eastward into the Mississippi Valley area while a robust mid/upper trough just off the CA coast today will gradually build eastward into the Central Great Basin area and the Southwest. As we move into Saturday, the entrance region to the H25 jet will gradually build into the Central High Plains bringing increasing chances for showers to much of western and parts of central KS late in the period.

Higher probabilities for showers are expected to arrive Sunday night into Monday night as the pv anomaly accelerates over the Central Plains region and a cold front arrives ushering in cooler more seasonable air for Monday-Tuesday. Below average temperatures are expected in the wake of the front with highs on Tue struggling to climb out of the 50s over parts of central KS.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1047 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period. Southerly winds will remain near 10 kt throughout the period. Scattered showers are expected to develop after 07/08Z across mainly south-central KS and persist through 14-15Z. VFR conditions are expected to prevail even within the rain shower activity.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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