textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry and cool through Friday evening.
- Rain chances increase Friday night, especially along and east of I- 135. Precipitation chances expected to linger through Saturday evening. A brief period of light snow is possible before precipitation ends.
- Light snow possible late Sunday night into Monday morning.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 324 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025
Water vapor satellite imagery and upper air analysis show longwave troughing across the eastern half of the CONUS, and the region's next system coming on shore across the PNW. The central plains will stay underneath a northwesterly flow regime today and Friday which will support keeping a somewhat cooler airmass in place over the next couple of days. The aforementioned shortwave trough across the PNW will dive across the central Rockies and into the central plains late Friday and into Saturday. In response to increased upper flow over the Rockies, surface pressures are expected to fall across the High Plains on Friday leading to a tightened pressure gradient across Kansas. Southerly winds are expected to increase ahead of the developing surface trough Friday afternoon, and some locations could see wind gusts around 30 to 35 mph at times. As broad ascent overspreads the region from height falls aloft and increasing mid-level WAA. Widespread rain is forecast to develop and slowly move eastward Friday night through Saturday afternoon. The forecast maintains the possibility of a brief window of a transition to wet snow before precipitation ends Saturday afternoon and evening. Those who see this brief window of wet snow will depend on the timing of much colder air forecast to plunge into the central Kansas late on Saturday. Regardless, little to no accumulations are expected given the brief window of wintry precip along with warm grounds. In addition to precipitation on Saturday, gusty northerly winds are forecast behind the powerful cold front. Portions of the forecast area could see wind gusts around 40 to 45 mph at times Saturday afternoon.
After Friday and Saturday, eyes will be looking westward again as another upper trough is currently forecast to dive from the central Rockies into the southern plains on Sunday and Monday. This will likely provide another reinforcing shot of colder air along with the outside potential of a round of wintry precipitation. Chances for snow remain quite low (around 10 to 20%) as the track of the system could end up being just a bit too far south for precipitation to occur. Trends will need to be monitored for Sunday/Monday's system.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 521 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025
VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours. Winds will remain light across the region through the TAF period.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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