textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Can't completely rule out an isolated thunderstorm over eastern Kansas later today, although these chances are fairly low.

- Dry weather expected through Wednesday, with off-and-on thunderstorm chances Wednesday night through Friday night or Saturday.

- A gradual warming trend expected through late week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 325 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

FOG:

EARLY THIS MORNING...With high pressure settling south, along with light winds and clearing skies, can't rule out some patchy/shallow fog early this morning through about 9 AM over portions of eastern and southeast KS where dewpoint depressions are smallest. Definitely not expecting widespread dense fog.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES:

THIS AFTERNOON--EVENING...Similar to yesterday, the western influence of a departing upper low along with somewhat cooler temperatures aloft may support an isolated shower/thunderstorm later this afternoon into the evening over far eastern Kansas. A few CAM solutions indicate this isolated activity. Chances are quite low and slightly better just east of the forecast area, so did not include mention in the forecast.

TONIGHT--WEDNESDAY...Building upper ridging should support dry weather across the forecast area tonight through Wednesday.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT--SATURDAY...As we head into mid-late week, the upper ridge is expected to flatten some as a few shortwaves traverse the western and central CONUS. This should allow a frontal zone to ooze south into Mid-America, setting the stage for off-and-on thunderstorm chances across the region Wednesday night through roughly Friday night or Saturday. Stay tuned as we refine forecast details in the coming days.

TEMPERATURES:

A slight warming trend is expected for Wednesday and Thursday, although temperatures will likely be no more than about 5 degrees warmer than average. The highest heat indices should be Thursday over southern and southeast KS, when/where a few locations could touch 105. A frontal boundary draped across the region should support an ever-so-slight cool down Friday and Saturday, before another warming trend commences.

As we take a look ahead to next week (the week of July 13th), deterministic and ensemble consensus continues to support a rather anomalous upper ridge building across the central and western CONUS. If this forecast verifies, it would likely support a prolonged period of hot and dry weather.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1220 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

Mostly quiet VFR conditions are expected for most sites the next 24 hours.

The only caveat could be intermittent patchy 3-5SM BR visibilities in/around the CNU TAF site overnight through 14z Monday. Coverage should be fairly spotty, so did not include in the 06z TAF issuance.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.