textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry weather expected over the next seven days.

- High temperatures in the 70s expected through Monday, with seasonably warm temperatures forecast Tuesday into the upcoming weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 139 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

Water vapor imagery and RAP analysis early this afternoon depict northwest flow aloft over the central/northern Plains in the wake of an upper wave traversing the Great Lakes. Meanwhile, a mid/upper ridge builds over portions of the Northern Rockies and Central Great Basin. At the surface, a cold front extends from the Great Lakes into the southern Plains. Despite relatively drier air behind this boundary, thermal profiles from short-term guidance indicate that radiational cooling later tonight may allow for patches of ground fog especially across areas north of US-50 heading into Monday morning. Dense fog is not expected at this time.

Comfortable conditions are anticipated areawide to start the work week, with seasonable high temperatures in the mid 70s forecast for Monday afternoon as winds come back around to the south. For Tuesday, a midlevel impulse tracking east across the Canadian Prairie will shunt a weak surface trough into the Plains. This will serve to tighten the surface pressure gradient over the area and promote breezy south/southwest winds alongs highs in the low to mid 80s. These seasonably warm temperatures will continue into Wednesday as the surface trough stalls over the area and washes out. This may have a modest effect on temperatures, though impacts should be minimal as the majority of guidance to this point suggests the return of south winds by Thursday following the eastward shift of the trailing surface high. Along with largely northwest flow aloft, this will support continued highs in the low to middle 80s to close out the week. Furthermore, with this upper pattern in place, precipitation chances appear minimal over the next seven days.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1215 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at all sites through sunset before some impacts to vsbys arrive late tonight into Monday morning.

Clear skies and north/east winds around 10 kts are expected to prevail through the afternoon hours before winds lighten to ~5 kts at all sites later this evening. Some patches of ground fog are possible around sunrise Monday in locations mainly north of US-50. With this setup similar to that of this morning, not looking for huge impacts, but could see some brief reductions of vsbys to MVFR at RSL/GBD/HUT/SLN before potential drastically decreases by mid morning after sunrise. Otherwise, look for the return of mainly south winds at most sites by late morning Monday.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.