textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Heavy rain and flooding ongoing across far southeast Kansas this morning.

- Potential for strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening across much of the area.

- Much warmer conditions and low storm chances anticipated for Tuesday and Wednesday.

- Thursday through Sunday appears to be quite active for the region.

..TUESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND

Much hotter temperatures are forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday across the central plains as the previously mentioned mid/upper ridge builds across the southern plains. Despite continued forecast warmer mid-level temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday, trends in the short term guidance have hinted that these mid-level temperatures may not be as warm as previously indicated. Given robust surface heating each afternoon along with the continued presence of fairly good low level moisture, the opportunity for storms appears to be present both Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons. For Tuesday, it appears as through a subtle shortwave trough will move into the High Plains right around peak diurnal heating which will be just enough to trigger widely scattered showers and storms across western Kansas. This activity looks like it will barely make it into portions of central Kansas Tuesday evening. If it does hold together, there is the potential for gusty winds as this activity dissipates. A weak frontal boundary will sag into the region on Wednesday as a more potential trough traverses the northern plains. The better synoptic lift will be located over the Upper Midwest and into the Missouri River Valley. However, there is an outside chance that convergence along the frontal boundary could be enough to trigger a storm or two across portions of central or south-central Kansas Wednesday afternoon and evening. Should a storm develop, the environment would support severe weather given ample instability and shear for this time of year.

With a series of deep layer troughs set to parade over the central and northern plains from the end of the work week and into the weekend, both a moderation in temperatures and an active few days are currently forecast. There are still a number of details to work out over the coming days, but the possibility of strong to severe storms does exist Thursday through Sunday. Continue to monitor the forecast over the next few days.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1222 AM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026

Numerous showers and storms will persist over mainly southeast Kansas overnight into the early morning hours today. Low clouds in IFR/MVFR category are expected to develop early this morning then gradually improve by the afternoon hours. Thunderstorms look to redevelop over northern and central Kansas by mid afternoon. The storms will track slowly eastward once they develop.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ067-068-082-083-091>093. Flood Watch until 10 AM CDT this morning for KSZ095-096- 098>100.