textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Areas of low clouds and fog this morning.
- Slightly warmer today with highs in the 50s and 60s.
- Little to no rain chances over the next 7 days or so.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 345 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Early this morning, upper air analysis shows a rather nebulous pattern across the central CONUS. A very weak and subtle trough is slowly trekking across the central plains, only bringing enough lift for a few high clouds across the region. Meanwhile, at the surface, a weak surface ridge remains placed over the Missouri River Valley supporting light winds across the forecast area. In areas where there's less coverage of high clouds, dense fog is beginning to develop, especially in creek and river valleys across central Kansas. In addition, ample radiational cooling has allowed for temperatures to fall into the upper 20s to low 30s along and west of the Flint Hills. Meanwhile, low stratus remains quite stubborn across southeast Kansas which is helping to keep temperatures in the 40s this morning. With upper level cloud cover exiting eastward, diurnal heating should be sufficient enough to mix out fog and low stratus throughout the day and allow for afternoon highs to rise into the 50s and 60s. Weak surface winds and mostly clear skies tonight should allow for temperatures tonight to dip into the 30s.
Modest mid/upper ridging and weak southerly flow at the surface will support a gradual warm up heading during the latter half of the weekend and into the beginning of next week. Afternoon highs Sunday through Tuesday will rise into the 60s and low 70s, and overnight lows will generally bottom out into the 40s. A very weak frontal boundary is currently forecast to pass through the region late Monday or early Tuesday, then another appears likely early on Wednesday. However, these frontal passages this will do little to impact temperatures until late next week. Lastly, precipitation appears unlikely over the next 7 days.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 517 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
This morning, patchy dense fog across central Kansas is periodically causing visibility reductions down to one-quarter mile at times, primarily impacting KRSL, KGBD, and KHUT. Meanwhile, widespread MVFR ceilings are remaining quite stubborn across southeast Kansas impacting KCNU and surrounding locations. By 15-18Z, diurnal heating should allow for fog and low clouds to mix out, and widespread VFR conditions should resume by this afternoon.
Additionally, winds throughout the next 24 hours are forecast to remain light and variable.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for KSZ032-033- 047-048-050-067.
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