textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Rain chances will continue for this morning and afternoon across central and eastern Kansas
- Another weather system will bring a second round of rain to the region on Thursday, dry weather expected for Friday through the weekend
DISCUSSION
Issued at 154 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
Lingering wrap around rain showers are expected to continue with-in the deformation zone over central and eastern Kansas today. The rain will begin to taper off by later this afternoon as the upper wave moves northeast into Iowa. Dry weather is slated for Wednesday with near normal daytime highs. Meanwhile current satellite water vapor imagery shows a healthy upper level PV wave approaching northern California in the eastern Pacific. Deterministic and ensemble models are showing a intensifying trend with this system and a deeper warm advection signal. Instability looks to be limited therefore expecting mainly rain showers. The rain will begin over western Kansas Wednesday night and spread eastward affecting mainly south central/southeast Kansas during the day on Thursday.
A dry weather pattern will be in store for the region on Friday through the weekend as upper level ridging builds over Kansas on Friday. Models do show a upper trough quickly pivoting across the region for Saturday, but limited moisture and weakening trend of this upper trough favors dry weather conditions. Daytime highs will continue to be around seasonal averages for early November.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 527 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
Scattered rain showers will linger across mainly central Kansas this morning into the early afternoon hours. Low clouds in IFR/MVFR category will linger over the region for this morning and into the evening hours. Meanwhile a cold front will race southward across the region switching the winds around to the northwest. Northwest winds will become strong and gusty today then subside this evening along with cigs improving.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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