textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- A brief period of light wet snow is possible over central Kansas this morning(little to no accumulation expected). Strong northwest winds will affect much of the area today, wind advisory was expanded eastward with gusts around 45 mph for most locations

- Cold wind chills are expected early Sunday morning with readings dropping in the single digits

- First accumulating snowfall of the season looks to impact mainly central Kansas on Monday, with some light snow possible southward towards Wichita metro

DISCUSSION

Issued at 231 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Colder air was spreading southward early this morning with snow falling across southern Nebraska/northern Kansas. A rain to wet snow transition is expected over central Kansas this morning as the colder air moves in, but loss of cloud ice looks to happen fairly quick therefore any snowfall would be brief(little to no snow accumulation expected). Winds will ramp up behind the cold frontal passage with favorable signal of deeper adiabatic mixing and strong surface pressure gradient magnitude pushing winds into the wind advisory level. Expanded the wind advisory eastward. Coldest air of the fall season will surge southward for today into tonight with wind chills dropping into the single digits by early Sunday morning. The cold airmass will be remain over the region through Monday. Meanwhile latest water vapor satellite imagery shows a weather system with associated strong upper jet energy diving southward off the coast-line of British Columbia. This will become the next weather maker for Kansas as it dives southward across the Rockies this weekend and ejects out into the central plains on Monday. Model ensemble probabilities for 1" or greater on first snowfall of the season increased a bit(yesterday was 30-50%, latest run is now 40-60%) with central Kansas having the better chances. Some lighter snow accumulations are still possible for locations southward towards the Wichita metro area. Stay tuned.

Dry weather looks to prevail for Wednesday through Friday, however some models are showing some moisture trying to work back northward on Thursday/Thursday night and will continue to watch that signal with late model runs. Models are in fairly good agreement showing more cold air pushing southward into Kansas during the day on Wednesday thus keeping daytime highs below normal for Wednesday/Thursday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1108 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Some lingering IFR/MVFR cigs will gradually mix out from west to east as we move through the afternoon hours, however far southeast Kansas may be slower to erode with some MVFR cigs impacting KCNU into the evening hours. Gusty northwest winds around 30-45 knots at times will also persist in the wake of a cold front before slowly diminishing this evening and tonight.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for KSZ032-033- 047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.