textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Widely scattered showers and storms likely today. Strong to marginally severe storms are possible, but the main concern will be locally heavy rainfall which may lead to additional flooding issues.

- Periodic thunderstorm chances late Wednesday night through Friday morning could present a heavy rain and flooding threat. Strong to severe storms will also be possible each night.

- Much warmer conditions this weekend. Heat and humidity could present some concerns during the afternoon hours.

..THIS WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK

Heading into the weekend, much of the persistent upper flow that has been driving this very active stretch is forecast to shift northward as a broad upper ridge builds across the southern and southeast CONUS. Guidance this far out is likely a little on the hot side in regards to temperatures, especially given how much residual moisture will likely linger from all of the rainfall across the area. That being said, even afternoon temperatures in the low to mid 90s could present heat concerns if dewpoints are high enough across the area.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1248 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

This is a challenging forecast with the locations for showers and storms through much of this period. The near term forecast was based on current development and expected evolution given upstream trends. Morning convection over western Kansas pushed cloud cover over central and southern Kansas that have hovered around the MVFR category. Potential for severe storms has diminished for the afternoon and evening given the cloud cover and lacking instability. An elevated strong to marginally storm cannot be ruled out. The strongest storms would produce damaging wind gusts. With decent uncertainty in the coverage overnight into Wednesday morning, it was decided to use PROB30. Winds should stay light outside of any stronger storms.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.