textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers and storms are ongoing this morning producing brief heavy rainfall and gusty winds. Chances should come to an end across southeast Kansas by mid to late morning.

- Heat indices at or above 105 this afternoon across far southeast Kansas.

- Cooler and quieter this weekend. Temperatures rebounding next week.

..SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Mid range ensemble and deterministic model guidance continues to show a gradual rebound in temperatures, beginning on Sunday, thanks in part to gradual height rises aloft from a weak upper ridge building across the central plains. While Sunday will feature near, or just below average temperatures, seasonably hot conditions will return as soon as Monday and last through much of next week. However, the airmass will be much drier next week than it has been this past week. This will generally limit heat indices to the 90s and low 100s despite air temperatures being about the same. In terms of rain chances next week, there's a number of details that need to be worked out. That being said, some of the model guidance is hinting at a weak cold front stalling out across Nebraska and Kansas which would support the potential for thunderstorm development during the afternoon and evening hours each day towards the latter half of next week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1029 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026

VFR conditions are expected through much of the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected late tonight into Friday morning, especially across northern and eastern KS. Short term models continue to suggest RSL, SLN, and CNU stand the greatest potential for a brief period of -TSRA. The timing of TSRA has been adjusted later at SLN and a TEMPO TSRA has been added at RSL and CNU. Confidence remains low for the remaining terminals for convection. Northwesterly winds will increase during the mid-morning hours Friday to near 15 kts with gusts near 25 kt before decreasing near 02Z.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ096-098>100.