textproduct: Wichita
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A few rain showers possible late Saturday night into Sunday
- An active pattern is emerging for next week with multiple storm systems possible
DISCUSSION
Issued at 152 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026
As of 145 PM Thursday afternoon, deep midlevel troughing remains across the eastern CONUS with ridging across the west. This places the central Plains within a northwesterly midlevel flow pattern. A speed max was translating through Ozark region, resulting a few midlevel clouds across the eastern half of the state. At the surface, an expansive surface ridge axis extends from eastern ND through eastern OK. This is yielding in light winds across the region and temperatures in the 50s to near 60.
Beyond Thursday, midlevel ridging will slide across the Plains ahead of the next midlevel trough across the west. This trough axis is expected to eject into the central/southern Plains late Saturday into Sunday. Latest deterministic and ensemble guidance continue to trend towards a weaker trough/low with a more-southern track across OK. This trend will need to be monitored over the coming days as the prospects for widespread rainfall may be decreasing. Transitioning into next week, an active midlevel pattern may emerge with multiple storm systems potentially impacting the central Plains. The first shortwave trough may arrive towards the middle of next week with a second towards the following weekend.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 1132 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026
VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period. Aside from a few northerly gusts up to 20 kt near CNU, winds will remain generally less than 10 kt throughout the period. Winds will shift from the south near the end of the period.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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