textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Areas of fog may return to parts of southern and southeast KS late tonight into early Wed.

- Cold front arrives late tonight into Wednesday with another frontal passage expected to arrive on Thu.

- Low rain chances forecast for late Sat night through Sun evening with light rainfall amounts possible.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 124 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Water vapor imagery continues to show a weak mid/upper trough drifting slowly eastward across the Southern Plains while more robust WSW mid/upper flow prevailed across the Northern Plains. A clipper system was also evident over the Northern Plains which was moving southeast towards the Upper Mississippi Valley area. This clipper system will drive a weak frontal boundary southward across the area late tonight into early Wed. This will allow winds to shift to the northwest while ushering in drier air. Ahead of this frontal boundary across parts of southern and southeast KS we could see some fog redevelop during the predawn hours on Wed when winds decouple and low level moisture isn't scoured ahead of the front.

Breezy northwest winds are anticipated in the wake of the front on Wed and with much drier air expected to advect across the area. This will result in above average temperatures with most areas seeing highs in the upper 60s/around 70.

Another shortwave trough is progged to pivot around the Great Lakes low driving a reinforcing shot of cooler air across the area on Thu. Highs may occur early in the period with a sharp E-W gradient across the forecast area. Early highs may climb into the lower 60s before falling later in the day. Trended minimum temperatures lower in eastern KS Thu night/Fri morning as high pressure noses into the area.

Temperatures will begin to moderate from west to east on Fri as southerly low level flow returns. This could result in a sharper thermal gradient across the forecast area with seasonably cool values expected. Most areas are expected to see highs in the 50s.

A mid/upper ridge is progged to build across the central CONUS late in the week and into the beginning of the weekend before another shortwave trough emerges from the Rockies late in the weekend. This system will bring increasing chances for showers to the area Sat night-Sun night. Seasonably mild temperatures will follow for early next week as mid/upper ridging returns to the central CONUS.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 524 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Main aviation concern will once again be fog over southern KS tonight.

Very weak cold front is expected to move through most of the forecast area late tonight. However, before it moves through southern KS, some fog is once again expected to develop. Unlike last night, it will develop earlier, around or just after 06z. KICT and especially KCNU will have the best chance to see fog. With drier air moving-in behind the front, any fog is expected to clear out of KICT in the 10-11z time frame and KCNU around or shortly after sunrise. Once fog burns off, gusty northwest winds will setup by the early afternoon hours, with gusts around 30 mph likely at all sites.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.