textproduct: Wichita

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry weather with warm above normal temperatures will continue for the next 7 days

DISCUSSION

Issued at 117 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

A weak frontal boundary will push southward and stall out over central Kansas on Wednesday into Thursday morning with no weather effects other than a wind shift. High confidence for warm above normal temperatures to prevail over the region during the next 7 days with upper level high pressure in control. Models do show a tropical system developing in the Gulf of Mexico this week and being pulled northward towards Illinois/Indiana over the weekend. This current model track would have little to no weather impacts for Kansas with a continuation of warm and dry weather conditions. Heading into early next week longer range models show upper level pattern becoming more amplified with deepening trough over the western states, and upper level ridge over the central states. This will cause southerly winds to increase along with deeper moisture beginning to stream northward from west Texas into western Kansas for Monday- Tuesday. There is low confidence on model timing for when the upper trough over the southwest states shifts eastward across the Rockies with associated precipitation chances spreading into central Kansas next week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1036 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Aviation concerns are still expected to remain nil through the next 24 hours.

Still looking for a weak surface trough to provide a wind shift on Wed, however latest guidance has slowed it down. So not expecting it through central KS until an hour or two after sunrise and may get hung-up between KHUT and KICT by early Wed evening. Behind the trough, looking for winds to flip around to the east/northeast but will remain on the light side. Confidence remains very high that mostly clear skies will remain in place.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.