textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 943 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

- A cooler/drier airmass will arrive this afternoon and last through the first half of the weekend.

- Another storm system is expected to bring high chances for showers and some thunderstorms Saturday night and Sunday.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of Today and Tonight) Issued at 943 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Cold front induced rainfall is in the process of tapering off through the TN Valley from west to east and should fully clear the area early this afternoon. Mostly clear skies are forecast to fill in behind the showers as sfc high pressure shifts into the OH River Valley and winds shift to from westerly to northerly in direction. Dry conditions are forecast the rest of the day and overnight in response to both sfc high pressure and upper level ridging influencing the area from the west. Breezy conditions are forecast through tonight with gusts around 15-20 mph as the tail end of a 40 kt LLJ moves southeast through the area. Heightened winds should dissuade widespread fog formation tonight into Thursday morning, however, a low chance of patchy (and potentially freezing) fog exists in sheltered valleys. Low temperatures are forecast to drop into the low to mid 30s with wind chills a couple of degrees lower due to CAA. Be sure to bundle up if you have any outdoor plans early Thursday morning!

SHORT TERM

(Thursday through Friday night) Issued at 943 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Dry conditions are forecast to stay in place through Friday afternoon as a result of the aforementioned upper level ridge and subsequent sfc high pressure. An 850 mb dry layer will mix towards the sfc Thursday afternoon due to CAA, resulting in RH values dropping as low as 25-30%. As the sfc high shifts eastward towards the Appalachian region, sfc winds through our area will shift from northeasterly to easterly in direction (eventually becoming southeasterly late Friday night into early Saturday). As a result, warmer temperatures and increased moisture is forecast to advect into the Tennessee Valley. As a result, high temperatures are forecast to warm into the 60s on Friday. Despite an increase in moisture, a dry layer towards the sfc will As an upper level trough begins toward the area, this increased moisture will fuel additional rain chances this weekend (more on that in the long term below).

LONG TERM

(Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 1103 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

The main focus for the long term period will be an upper trough progged to move into the lower MS River Valley and into the Deep South over the weekend. Although there are still some differences in timing and the overall evolution of this feature, current trends support any risk of stronger storms being confined to areas closer to the coast with a low chance for more elevated thunderstorms here locally. Moisture advection will begin to increase on Saturday as H85 flow backs to the south ahead of the approaching low. One potential solution that is looking increasingly favored is that this system will begin the process of occlusion as it moves into the Tennessee Valley, leaving the best dynamics for stronger storms to our west. Right now our forecast temps are in the lower 60s/upper 50s with dewpoints climbing into the low to mid 50s. If either of these things start to trend higher as we head toward the weekend our risk for severe weather may increase. The overall flooding risk appears low at this time also, with storm total rain amounts between 1-2 inches. The heaviest activity is expected Saturday night into Sunday morning with the front clearing the area by Sunday evening. Dry weather is forecast to persist through the remainder of the long term period with warm temps, as highs reach the 60s to lower 70s and lows stay in the 40s and 50s.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 510 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Fuel alternate ceilings from light rain associated with an approaching cold front will linger through the first half of the morning before coming to an end around 15z from northwest to southeast. Winds behind the front will shift to the north and increase with gusts 15-20 knots. Ceilings will gradually increase behind the front as well with a return to VFR between 16-18z. Winds will diminish after midnight tonight.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.