textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1039 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

- Dry, warm weather with lower afternoon humidities will continue through Friday. Highs will reach into the mid/upper 80s and lows should cool to the mid/upper 50s.

- An area of low pressure over the Gulf may approach the MS/AL/FL coastline this weekend, potentially bringing locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Tennessee Valley late Saturday into Sunday.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of Today and Tonight) Issued at 1039 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Under the influence of sfc high pressure, dry conditions continue through the TN Valley. Under clear skies, highs are forecast to warm into the low to mid 80s this afternoon (with warmer temperatures remaining in our NW areas). Tonight, temperatures cool back down into the 50s once again. These temperatures are near seasonal for this time of year (with highs being slightly warmer than normal).

SHORT TERM

(Wednesday through Thursday) Issued at 1039 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

A rinse and repeat forecast continues through Thursday with high pressure reinforcing dry conditions. Highs are forecast to continue rising into the 80s (with a few isolated areas potentially hitting 90 on Thursday) under clear skies and lows are forecast to drop into the 50s. A pattern shift is ahead depending on the evolution of a low pressure system in the Gulf. More on that in the long term below.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Monday) Issued at 905 PM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

The start of the long term will offer more of the same as we remain under the influence of high pressure to our north. This will bring another warm and dry day on Friday before the forecast becomes much more troubled.

As we move into the weekend timeframe attention shifts to what is currently Invest 92L in the Gulf of America. Over the last 24 hour various ensemble and deterministic models have begun producing solutions that spin Invest 92L into a tropical system and push it north towards the Gulf coast. When taking a deeper dive in the ensembles, the key difference in the models appears to be the evolution of a shortwave passing through TX from Friday into Saturday. A faster progression of the short wave allows it to phase well with Invest 92L and surges the system north. A slower solution keeps the Invest 92L somewhat disorganized and with significantly less northward progression. Somewhat obviously, the first presented solutions would be of greater concern to our local area. Nonetheless, it is much much too soon to look into any specifics should Invest 92L take a northward path. Rather, we will be monitoring the track and timing of the shortwave to assess the probability of the two features phasing.

For now, kept blended guidance that gradually bring Gulf moisture into our area and increases rain chances through the weekend. This forecast still brings 1-2 inches of rain area wide so at minimum we are currently looking at a dreary weekend.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1148 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.