textproduct: Huntsville

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 946 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

- Near or below freezing temperatures are expected Wednesday through Friday nights

- Next system moves in on Sunday, bringing chances for rain across the area

- Moderate to heavy rainfall expected next Monday night into Tuesday

NEAR TERM

(Tonight and Thursday) Issued at 946 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

A cold and dry air mass is getting settled in across the CWA, just in time for Thanksgiving. Skies should remain mostly clear and will allow for temperatures to drop into the low to mid 30s as CAA continues to filter in the air mass. Winds should remain light and variable over night.

Thanksgiving day should feature the return of some high stratus to the area as we get under an upper level trough axis. Clouds should begin to move away from the area by about 15z, as sunshine returns back just in time for an amazing end, weather-wise to your thanksgiving. Highs throughout the day should remain unseasonably cold for this time of year, to the upper 40s to near 50, about 10 to 15 degrees below normal. Winds up to 10 kts will bring a chill to the air with wind chill values in the low 40s.

SHORT TERM

(Thursday night through Saturday night) Issued at 946 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

CAA will continue to filter in colder and drier air across the region as an upper level trough axis moves overhead. Synoptically influenced ridge will dominate the rest of the short term forecast before the next upper level long wave trough ejects off of the the Rockies and brings the next chances of PoPs later in the weekend.

The cold air mass will bring highs in the 40s and 50s on Friday and Saturday afternoons. Even colder air returns Thursday through Saturday nights with lows near or below freezing (20s and 30s). Sunny skies should prevail on Friday, however, clouds will come back into the forecast on Saturday ahead of the next system. This will be accompanied by a change in winds from the NW to the S/SE, helping to advect some warmer air and moisture back into the region.

Remember during freezing weather, make sure to protect people, pets, pipes, and plants.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 946 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

By Sunday morning, the cold front and the associated rain showers will be moving from west to east across the forecast area. Between 0.5 to 1 inches of rain will be possible from Saturday night into Sunday night. Precipitation chances will diminish Sunday night, and temperatures behind the front will fall to near or below freezing across most of the area. There is a low probability for a brief period of a light rain/snow mix (depending on the timing of the subfreezing air and if it overlaps with any risdual moisture), especially in our southern middle Tennessee counties. However, any wintry precipiation is would be very brief and light, with no impacts anticipated. Temperatures will quickly rise above freezing, and Monday is expected to be mostly cloudy with only scattered showers. High temperatures will reach the mid to upper 40s during the day.

By Monday night, an upper level trough is likely to form more showers and thunderstorms across the Southeast. The low pressure will most likely be to our south, and the combination of strong upper level forcing with isentropic lift should be enough for widespread rain through Tuesday, with heavy rain possible. Around 1 inch of rain seems most likely area wide, but this is a low confidence forecast. The NBM shows roughly a 30% probability of rainfall totals above 1 inch, and heavier rainfall is possible. There will once again be a slight chance for very light wintry precipitation during a brief window after the front passes through Tuesday night, though confidence in this forecast is still very low at this point. The position and track of the low is still changing significantly with each model run, so there is very little confidence in any frozen precipitation. Flurries would be most likely to mix in with the rain in northwestern Alabama and southern Tennessee. The storm system should be moving out quickly, and precipitation will come to an end Wednesday morning. Wednesday will be drier and sunnier, and high temperatures will be near 50.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1143 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

CIGS (high VFR in nature) will push into both terminals after 06Z (KHSV at 08Z and KMSL at 07Z). NW Winds will increase to around 10 kts after 14Z and gust to bewteen 15 and 20 kts, as clouds dissipate and move out of the area.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.


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