textproduct: Huntsville

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 931 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

- Above normal temperatures are forecast Thursday with more Fall-like weather expected by the weekend.

- Minor to Moderate (Level 2/4) heat impacts may be observed Thursday across portions of the Tennessee Valley.

NEAR TERM

(Today) Issued at 231 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026

High pressure will continue to drift east through the TN Valley both at the surface and aloft through the day today. On the western edge of high pressure, return flow will continue today allowing for another unseasonably warm day. The current NBM high temp forecast would again be recording breaking or tying at both HSV and MSL with todays high temp records being 88 and 91 respectively. Given that we have over preformed in this pattern the last two days, persistence forecast gives us a high chance of meeting these records again today. With the unseasonable heat, make sure to practice proper heat safety for at least once more hot fall day before relief makes its way in tomorrow.

SHORT TERM

(Thursday night through Saturday) Issued at 931 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

The aforementioned cold front will shift southeastward into the area Friday ahead of an upper level trough swinging through the southeast U.S. While previous forecasts remain dry, CAMs have recently trended toward bringing low chances of rainfall along the frontal boundary Friday afternoon. A 10-20% chance of rain was added with this package update for portions of N AL and southern middle TN. No severe weather is anticipated due to lack of instability. Accompanying the front, a 50 kt LLJ will mix down and allow gusty winds up to 20-30 mph throughout the late afternoon into Saturday. Be sure to secure any loose, outdoor items (including holiday decorations) by Friday afternoon.

Saturday, post-frontal conditions will remain breezy (as mentioned) but much cooler. Highs are forecast to remain in the 60s, which is 5-10 degrees below normal for this time of year. An even colder night is in store for us Saturday night into Sunday- read more on this in the long term below.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Wednesday) Issued at 931 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

High pressure at the surface by Sat night should be situated over the Midwest and southern Great Lakes. This cold anticyclone bringing a N-NE flow across the greater Tennessee Valley will bring the coldest air of the season thus far. Night time lows by Sun morning should range from the upper 30s our southern Middle Tennessee counties to the low/mid 40s near large bodies of water. The models have been showing mainly 38 degrees over Lincoln and Moore counties. Under clear skies and light winds, we cannot rule out temperatures falling another couple of degrees or so, which would bring a frost risk. This is something we will monitor.

The start of a new week should feature sunny skies with high temperatures a bit warmer than they were Sat, rising into the mid and upper 60s. Light winds in the morning should become E-SE in the afternoon. Not as cold Sun night with lows in the low/mid 40s. A slow warming trend is expected for the start of the new work week. Under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, highs Mon should rise into the upper 60s to lower 70s, with lows Mon night mid 40s to around 50. The moderation in temperatures continues into the midweek. Under partly cloudy skies, highs on Tue should get close to seasonable norms into the low/mid 70s, and into the mid 70s to around 80 Wed. Lows Tue night again should range from the mid 40s to around 50. Dry weather should continue into the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1133 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

VFR conditions will prevail for the duration of the TAF period at both terminals.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.


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