textproduct: Huntsville

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 801 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

- Medium to high chances of rain on Tuesday afternoon into early Wednesday.

- Dry conditions are forecast from Wednesday into the upcoming weekend.

NEAR TERM

(Today) Issued at 336 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

Current temperatures across north Alabama and southern middle Tennessee are generally in the mid 20s. These may fall a few more degrees by sunrise; however, there are more pesky, midlevel clouds moving in from the northwest early this morning. This may hinder radiational cooling a bit and prevent lows from dipping much further. Regardless, it is going to be a chilly morning! Make sure to bundle up when heading out the door this morning!

Northwest flow aloft is shown to transition to brief upper ridging through the day today. This, along with surface high pressure draped from the Appalachians down through the north- central Gulf coast will keep rain out of the forecast through the day. In fact, it will be fairly dry, with highs topping out in the mid 40s to around 50 degrees and dew points in the 20s. This dryness can also be seen throughout the atmosphere via model soundings, especially this afternoon. Therefore, the midlevel clouds this morning will quickly push to the southeast by mid- morning with little to no clouds anticipated this afternoon. Enjoy the tranquil weather today, since tomorrow looks to be a rainy day (see more below)!

SHORT TERM

(Monday night through Wednesday Night) Issued at 801 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

The next chance of precip arrives on Tuesday as another upper level trough will dig south across the Upper Midwest towards the Ohio River Valley. A sfc low develops near the base of the trough and ejects eastward towards the Mid Atlantic. To the south of this low, a cold front will sweep from west to east across the Tennessee Valley Tuesday. Ahead of the front arriving, WAA will help warm temperatures into the mid to upper 50s. Rain chances begin to increase Tuesday afternoon with medium to high chances (60-80%) of rain Tuesday evening into early Wednesday morning. Model soundings show a little elevated instability and therefore cannot rule out an isolated thunderstorm. However, confidence in this is too low to include into the official forecast at this time.

Once the cold front passes during the day on Wednesday, rain will come to an end from west to east. Sfc winds become northerly Wednesday afternoon bringing in a colder airmass. Expect gradient winds to increase to 15-20 mph during the afternoon and evening. As temperatures drop down into the lower 20s overnight, wind chills will be in the low to mid teens.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 801 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

After the trough and front that brings rain on Wednesday shifts southeast, deep layer northwest flow will follow late this week into next weekend with a ridge position in the Rockies shifting into Plains states. Although no bitterly cold air is expected, a roller coaster of temperatures will occur, with intervals of moderate warming and cooling. After highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s Thursday, readings reach the lower to middle 50s Friday, then drop back into the 40s to around 50 Saturday. Then its back into the lower to middle 50s Sunday. With a continental airmass and dry air, temperatures will still dip below freezing each morning through Sunday.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1040 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

VFR conditions with light winds expected through the TAF period.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.


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