textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 931 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

- Above normal temperatures are forecast Thursday with more Fall-like weather expected by the weekend.

- Minor to Moderate (Level 2/4) heat impacts may be observed Thursday across portions of the Tennessee Valley.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of tonight and Thursday) Issued at 931 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

Tonight, an approaching cold front will shift southeastward toward the Tennessee Valley. Despite showers/thunderstorms occurring ahead of the front to the north of us, CAMs have us remaining dry with storms dissipating as the front continues southeastward toward the area. Therefore, keeping the forecast dry with a very low chance of fog overnight in portions of north central and northeast AL. If any fog forms, it should dissipate around sunrise.

Thursday, the upper level ridging and subsequent above normal temperatures continue as highs rise into the mid 80s to lower 90s. We will once again be watching to see if we are able to break high temperatures records: 88 degrees in HSV (1947) and 91 degrees in MSL (2015). Dry, sunny conditions should persist through the afternoon.

SHORT TERM

(Thursday night through Saturday) Issued at 931 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

The aforementioned cold front will shift southeastward into the area Friday ahead of an upper level trough swinging through the southeast U.S. While previous forecasts remain dry, CAMs have recently trended toward bringing low chances of rainfall along the frontal boundary Friday afternoon. A 10-20% chance of rain was added with this package update for portions of N AL and southern middle TN. No severe weather is anticipated due to lack of instability. Accompanying the front, a 50 kt LLJ will mix down and allow gusty winds up to 20-30 mph throughout the late afternoon into Saturday. Be sure to secure any loose, outdoor items (including holiday decorations) by Friday afternoon.

Saturday, post-frontal conditions will remain breezy (as mentioned) but much cooler. Highs are forecast to remain in the 60s, which is 5-10 degrees below normal for this time of year. An even colder night is in store for us Saturday night into Sunday- read more on this in the long term below.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Wednesday) Issued at 931 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

High pressure at the surface by Sat night should be situated over the Midwest and southern Great Lakes. This cold anticyclone bringing a N-NE flow across the greater Tennessee Valley will bring the coldest air of the season thus far. Night time lows by Sun morning should range from the upper 30s our southern Middle Tennessee counties to the low/mid 40s near large bodies of water. The models have been showing mainly 38 degrees over Lincoln and Moore counties. Under clear skies and light winds, we cannot rule out temperatures falling another couple of degrees or so, which would bring a frost risk. This is something we will monitor.

The start of a new week should feature sunny skies with high temperatures a bit warmer than they were Sat, rising into the mid and upper 60s. Light winds in the morning should become E-SE in the afternoon. Not as cold Sun night with lows in the low/mid 40s. A slow warming trend is expected for the start of the new work week. Under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, highs Mon should rise into the upper 60s to lower 70s, with lows Mon night mid 40s to around 50. The moderation in temperatures continues into the midweek. Under partly cloudy skies, highs on Tue should get close to seasonable norms into the low/mid 70s, and into the mid 70s to around 80 Wed. Lows Tue night again should range from the mid 40s to around 50. Dry weather should continue into the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 623 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period along with light, variable winds.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.