textproduct: Huntsville
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 903 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
- A heat wave will occur this week with a Heat Risk value of 3 out of 4 (Major category) to 4 out of 4 (Extreme category).
- A Heat Advisory is in effect from Noon today through 7 PM Tuesday.
NEAR TERM
(Rest of Today and Tonight) Issued at 903 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
A very warm start to the day is underway with temperatures in the lower 80s at this hour. Southwest winds of 5-10 mph with gusts around 15 mph will add some relief to the heat today as highs reach the 90-95F range in valley areas and middle to upper 80s atop the higher Cumberland Plateau sections of our forecast area. There is a slim chance of a shower or thunderstorm in our far east today due to plenty of instability. But not locating a defined trigger at this point unless outflow pushes southwest from the MCS in east TN. The 5h high over MS will begin to expand and shift northward tonight. For tonight, overnight lows will drop into the lower 70s.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 1056 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026
By midweek, the upper ridge will shift from being centered over the Tennessee Valley to the Appalachians. Even so, this feature will largely maintain its hold over the Southeast through the work week. Global models then show it shifting eastward and flattening a bit by the weekend as a series of shortwaves ripple over the Great Lakes region. At the surface, high pressure persists over the Appalachians and Southeastern states through the early part of next weekend. While a very low chance of a few showers/storms is suggested by the NBM for Wednesday and Thursday, the aforementioned pattern indicates that most areas are more likely to remain dry. Although, by late in the week, as the upper ridge shifts a bit more east and flattens, perhaps the return flow would be enough to increase shower and storm chances (20-30%) and bring a more summertime, diurnal pattern to the region.
Overall, the main concern will be the continued dangerous heat. Highs are forecast to remain steady in the mid 90s, with some spots potentially reaching the upper 90s (especially over NW AL) each day. Heat indices generally range between 102-110 degrees during this time as well. In addition, NWS HeatRisk is slated to be Major to Extreme (Levels 3 and 4 out of 4) Wednesday through Saturday. This is likely due in part to low temperatures not cooling off much at night, with values forecast to merely drop into the mid to upper 70s each night. WBGTs are also in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees. Therefore, not much relief is in sight, at least through next Saturday. Heat Advisories will likely be issued to account for this heat wave.
Make sure to take precautions for the dangerous heat! Wear light- colored loose-fitting clothing, stay hydrated, and take frequent breaks in the shade if you work outside or have outdoor activities! Look before you lock - never leave people or pets in vehicles!
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 551 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
VFR conditions will prevail at each terminal through the period with SW winds around 5-10 kts and a mostly clear sky.
CLIMATE
Issued at 552 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026
Moderate Risk for Much Above Normal Temperatures:
The Climate Prediction Center has included the Tennessee Valley in a Moderate Risk for Much Above Normal Temperatures on July 5. This means that there is a medium chance (40-60%) for temperatures to reach or exceed 91-94 degrees with heat indices above 105 degrees during this period.
More information on the CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook can be found at:
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for ALZ001>010- 016.
TN...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for TNZ076-096- 097.
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