textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 947 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

- Warm temperatures will continue through today, followed by a minor cooling trend for the second half of the work week.

- High (80-90%) chances for showers and a few thunderstorms from late this evening through Wednesday morning.

- Low chances for rain return Thursday night, with another storm system expected to bring high chances for showers and some thunderstorms Saturday night and Sunday.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of Today and Tonight) Issued at 947 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

South-southwesterly flow associated with a surface high pressure over the southwest Atlantic will continue to induce modest warm air advection across the southeastern CONUS. Temperatures are consequently expected to climb into the afternoon, with forecast high temperatures in the l70s across the region. Cloud cover will continue to increase throughout the afternoon as lift associated with an upper-level shortwave centered over northern Mexico begins to overspread the TN Valley. Forcing associated with this feature will support medium to high chances (70-90%) for precipitation beginning late tonight as the system begins to translate eastward. Very meager elevated instability (50-100 J/kg) will allow for low chances of thunder with this precipitation, especially with any organized clusters (thanks to bulk shear values around 40-50 kts). The fast movement of the boundary and its associated convection will limit QPF totals somewhat, but still expect a light wetting rain of around 0.25"-0.5" in most locations. Temperatures should remain rather mild tonight due to persisting cloud cover with lows in the u40s-l50s expected.

SHORT TERM

(Wednesday through Thursday Night) Issued at 947 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Low chances of precipitation (20-40%) will linger Wednesday morning as a weak cold front moves through the area. Cooler air will move in behind the front, knocking high temperatures down around 10 degrees into the u50s-l60s. Cloud cover will decrease throughout the day as more subsident air associated with the persisting upper-level ridge moves into the area. Going into Wednesday night, low temperatures will be noticeably cooler in the l30s. With light winds and minimal cloud cover (and the moist boundary from earlier rainfall) the potential exists for patchy fog development early Thursday morning. After the fog dissipates, high clouds will begin to develop and move into the area. These clouds combined with northwesterly flow will reinforce the cooler dry airmass keeping high temperatures in the u50s-l60s.

LONG TERM

(Friday through Monday) Issued at 1013 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

The main feature to watch in the long term will be an upper level trough and subsequent low pressure system shifting eastward into the Tennessee Valley area over the weekend. Ensembles continue to show uncertainty in both the depth and placement of the trough. Therefore, confidence remains low in any significant impacts. However, heightened chances of showers (50-80%) remain likely both Saturday and Sunday. Experimental SPoRT river forecasts have also begun to hint towards increasing water levels as a result of rainfall by Sunday. We will continue to monitor this system through the week. High temperatures this weekend should remain in the 60s in most locations with overnight lows dropping into the 40s-50s.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 512 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

VFR conditions with light winds this morning. Then winds begin to increase out of the SW with gusts 15-20 knots at times. Rain chances begin after 00z from west to east with greater chances overnight and continuing into the morning. Precip will result in both MVFR ceilings and visibilities. There is some potential for IFR ceiling around daybreak Wed, but for now left out and will reevaluate in future forecast updates.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.