textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 947 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

- Dry and breezy on Sunday with gusts up to 20-25 mph.

- A warming trend to start the workweek with temperatures returning to the 80s on Tuesday.

- Showers and thunderstorm chances increase starting Tuesday night through Saturday.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of tonight and Sunday) Issued at 947 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

After a very breezy and dry day, winds have finally subsided and will remain around 5 knots through the overnight hours. Clear skies are forecast to persist tonight thanks to high pressure centered across the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic. As the sfc high slowly drifts to the east, we will begin to see some light moisture return as the sfc winds veer to the ESE. Therefore, a few degrees warmer Sunday morning compared to Saturday morning with overnight lows dipping down into the low to mid 40s.

Another dry day is forecast tomorrow, but the good news is that with the weak moisture return, dewpoints should not dip nearly as much keeping minimum RH values between 30-35%. It will still be breezy by the late morning into the afternoon. Given dry sfc conditions and warm afternoon temperatures in the lower 70s, breezy conditions are forecast as mixing in the boundary layer brings down stronger winds between the 850mb and 925mb level. Based on forecast soundings, sfc winds could gust as high as 20-25 mph.

SHORT TERM

(Sunday night through Tuesday) Issued at 947 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

The dry weather pattern will continue through the early part of next week. A zonal upper level pattern across the Southern CONUS takes shape as we begin the upcoming work week. WAA begins to increase starting Monday as southerly flow will also increase the moisture return off the Gulf. Temperatures will warm into the mid to upper 70s on Monday and then the low to mid 80s on Tuesday. With dewpoints returning to the 50s on Monday and perhaps near 60F on Tuesday, it will start to feel more like late Spring/early Summer airmass. Overnight lows will begin to warm as well with Sunday night temperatures in the low to mid 50s and then mid to upper 50s by Monday night.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday Night through Saturday) Issued at 947 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

A pattern change begins to take shape the second half of next week as the zonal flow aloft breaks down and a trough digs southward across the Rockies. A series of shortwaves rounding the base of the trough axis will help create a wetter pattern across the Tennessee Valley. The first of these shortwaves arrives late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning bringing low (20-30%) chances for showers and thunderstorms. Chances increase (50-60%) for showers and storms Wednesday afternoon through Thursday night as the approaching trough to our west pushes a cold front towards the local forecast area. It does not appear at this time that severe storms will occur given the stronger shear lags behind the better instability. Also, with the showers ahead of the front this would also limit any instability to build up when the better forcing arrives.

Another stronger system develops late next week and ejects eastward along the trough axis to our west. As it pushes another cold front into our area next weekend, it will bring medium (40-50%) chances for showers and storms. Ensemble guidance is a bit inconsistent with the timing of this system and therefore the PoPs should trend up when better agreement begins to occur. Based on the latest models, this system would have some better synoptic support compared to the mid week system. Therefore it is something to keep on eye on for severe storm potential. However, this far out a lot can and will change, but what is more consistent in the model runs is that this system could bring some much needed rainfall to the area.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1145 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

Wind shear will be present for most of the night from the SE. While wind shear will drop off after sunrise, gusty winds from the SE will remain for most of the day with gusts up to 20 KTS. Gusts will decrease slightly around 00Z with sustained winds remaining elevated through the duration of the TAF period around 12KTS.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.