textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1030 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

- Warming temperatures on the way. Tonight will likely be the last freeze for the week ahead.

- Rain chances have increased (50-60% for late Tuesday and early Wednesday; slight chances for thunderstorms in western areas late Tuesday night.

NEAR TERM

(Today) Issued at 244 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

A chilly start to the day today as high pressure centered over the Appalachians continues to drop southeastward. While the very cold temperatures remains further north and east, a dry airmass is filtering into the Tennessee Valley with dewpoints this morning in the single digits to low teens. After sunrise, temperatures under ample sunshine will warm up quite quickly with afternoon highs forecast to be in the mid to upper 50s. Cloud cover will begin to increase from west to east by this afternoon ahead of an approaching shortwave trough.

SHORT TERM

(Sunday night through Tuesday) Issued at 1030 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

A shortwave embedded in upr NWRLY flow will cross the area primarily on Monday morning. However, lack of sufficient moisture in the column will not allow for the generation of precipitation with this feature.

This will be quickly followed by an expanding upr ridge across the Southern Plains into the TN Valley as W-SW flow emanates out of northern Mexico and the SW CONUS. As a result, temperatures will rise across the area, likely warming well into the 60s on Monday amidst abundant sunshine. Temps will likely increase even further into the low 70s on Tuesday as warm/moist advection reaches a peak ahead of an elongated sfc front/trough stretching from the Srn Plains into the OH Valley.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Saturday) Issued at 1030 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

A partially closed upr low is expected to phase with the polar jet and move into the region late Tuesday night/early Wednesday. Given that this low is partially closed provides a source of uncertainty with regards to timing and some details of the rain/shower initiation across our area. However, the general consensus timing suggests rain beginning late Tuesday evening into the overnight and gradually overspreading the area into early Wed morning as the afore-mentioned sfc front crosses the area. At this time, rainfall amounts are not likely to be very heavy and given some uncertainty in available moisture details, fairly conservative values of ~0.25 inch are forecast. Some elevated instability may be enough to trigger a few thunderstorms mainly in western portions of the area Tuesday night, but there is no severe weather threat at this time. Uncertainty in the amount of instability around the mixed-phase region will put a limit of just ~15-20% for any thunderstorm chances.

The sfc/low-lvl synoptic boundary is expected to stall in the vicinity of the area on Wed/Thu. With the absence of significant upr forcing, chances for rainfall were kept relatively low for late Wed into Thu. However, a trough digging into the mid-Miss Valley by late Thurs into Friday will allow for increased sfc convergence along the old frontal axis and a modest increase in precip chances. POPs were kept low due to uncertainty in details of forcing timing/location. Nevertheless, mild temperatures appear likely to continue through the late week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1105 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR flight conditions with light winds continue through the TAF period.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.