textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 952 PM CST Sun Mar 1 2026

- Low rain chances (20-30%) late tonight into Monday morning mainly north of the TN River.

- Showers and thunderstorms return on Thursday with chances increasing through the weekend.

- Above normal highs and lows through the forecast period.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of tonight and Monday) Issued at 952 PM CST Sun Mar 1 2026

We will see an increase in cloud cover ahead of an approaching disturbance coming out of the MO Bootheel tonight. This cloud cover will help keep overnight lows mild, in the lower 50s. A weak front is draped across northern portions of the CWA, but the best forcing with the disturbance should remain well to our north. This will bring low chances (20-30%) north of the TN River late tonight into tomorrow morning where that front is hung up.

Tomorrow, look for cloudy skies to stick around. Despite the cloud cover, southerly winds 5-10 mph gusting to 15 mph will help push daytime highs into the low to mid 70s. This is about 15 degrees warmer than normal for this time of year.

SHORT TERM

(Monday night through Wednesday) Issued at 952 PM CST Sun Mar 1 2026

Monday night will be mostly cloudy with SE winds remaining 5-10 mph with gusts up to 15 mph or so. Lows will be above normal once again in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Models continue to show a wedge building to the AL/GA border Monday night into Tuesday, so could see temps a little cooler in NE AL tomorrow night and provide a temp gradient during the day on Tuesday. Highs on Tuesday will be even warmer with breezy southerly winds gusting up to 20 mph. Look for lower 70s in NE AL and upper 70s in northwest AL, again about 15 degrees above normal. If you love that, just wait til Wednesday. We could reach, wait for it, 80 degrees despite being under cloudy skies. Southerly winds will remain breezy throughout the day ahead of a sfc low in the Mid MS Valley and a shortwave moving through the Central Plains and dry conditions will prevail.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through Sunday) Issued at 952 PM CST Sun Mar 1 2026

High pressure will anchor over the SW Atlantic through the long term period, keeping warm and moist tropical air flowing into the southeast. This will favor above normal temperatures, with highs in the 70s to low 80s each afternoon and higher humidity will help keep lows in the 50s to lower 60s - well above normal for early March. While this airmass will favor at least low chances for rain and thunderstorms, there is still a bit of uncertainty regarding how far east a series of upper level disturbances will track. With that in mind, we have maintained low chance PoPs starting Thursday through Friday with the highest chances west of I-65. It does appear that the upper high will begin to shift to the east over the weekend, allowing troughing and a sfc cold front to push closer to the TN Valley resulting in medium to high chances for rain and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. For now, it looks like the better dynamics for any stronger storms will be held to our west, but we will continue monitoring forecast trends through the week as the pattern does favor more active weather.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1111 PM CST Sun Mar 1 2026

VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period.

CLIMATE

Issued at 310 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

The Climate Prediction Center has included northwestern and north-central Alabama, and southern Middle Tennessee in a Moderate Risk for Heavy Precipitation for March 8th through 10th. There is a 40-60% chance for precipitation to reach or exceed 2 to 2.5 inches during this period.

The Climate Prediction Center has also included far northwestern Alabama, which includes western portions of Lauderdale and Colbert Counties in a High Risk for Heavy Precipitation for March 8th through 9th. There is a 60-80% chance for precipitation to reach or exceed 2.5 inches during this period.

More information on the CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook can be found at: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.