textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1029 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2026

- Low (20-30%) chances for showers and thunderstorms return Friday afternoon, increasing to medium/high (50-80%) from Saturday-Monday.

- Temperatures remain warm through early next week with near record highs on Thursday, Friday, Saturday, next Tuesday.

NEAR TERM

(Tonight) Issued at 1255 PM CST Wed Mar 4 2026

A warm and beautiful day across the Tennessee Valley region, with afternoon high temperatures reaching the mid to upper 70s. Breezy SW winds this afternoon will gradually weakening later this evening after sunset. Cloud cover will also gradually build back in after Midnight ahead of an approaching shortwave trough from the west. These clouds will help to keep temperatures very mild overnight, with lows remaining in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

SHORT TERM

(Thursday through Saturday) Issued at 1029 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2026

High pressure to the southeast will remain the primary weather influence across the Tennessee Valley on Thursday. Breezy southwest winds and ample sunshine will help temperatures make a run at high a record high levels -- into the lower 80s in most locations. Cloud cover will increase ahead of a shortwave trough Thursday night into Friday. Deep southwesterly flow will continue to advect in a warm, moist air mass from the Gulf region. Stronger lift ahead of this shortwave will help to create low to medium (30-50%) chances for showers and a few thunderstorms during the afternoon. Despite the convection, highs will still flirt with record high levels in the lower 80s. Initial convection will largely wane Friday evening/night. However, much higher chances for showers and storms (50-80%) are forecast during the day on Saturday, with the arrival of a cold front. Given PWATs around 1.3", locally heavy downpours will be a concern with this activity. Wind shear will be pretty modest for this event, with bulk shear values around 25 kts. However, if convection can hold off until the afternoon and evening, some modest surface-based instability could result in a few more robust updrafts and a couple locally stronger storms.

Some record high temperatures for Thursday and Friday

Location Thursday Friday Huntsville 64/1961 81/1910 60/1951 82/1910 Muscle Shoals 65/1961 86/1908 64/1956 82/1910

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Tuesday) Issued at 1001 PM CST Tue Mar 3 2026

This weekend will be unseasonably warm with multiple rounds of rainfall and some thunderstorms. The sfc low up in the Great Lakes will continue to slowly pull the associated cold front southeastward on Saturday. Ahead of this front, warm, tropical air will stream into the region setting up for heavy rainfall and with some thunderstorms to occur ahead of the front. POPs will increase throughout the day from west to east on Saturday (70-80%) and despite the convection and cloud cover, breezy southerly winds will push daytime highs into the lower 80s. This could tie or break a record temp. The front will weaken as it heads into the TN Valley Saturday night, but the models are uncertain on exactly where it will stall out. POPs will dip in coverage Saturday night but pick back up on Sunday to high chances (70%) as a disturbance rides across this stalled out front. Highs will be a tad cooler but still above seasonal norms on Sunday, only reaching the low to mid 70s. The unseasonable warmth and the unsettled pattern will keep the chance for showers and a few storms in the forecast into early next week.

Saturday 3/7 Record Highs: HSV - 82 (1956), MSL - 83 (1934) Tuesday 3/10 Record Highs: HSV - 79 (2009), MSL - 82 (1925)

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 547 PM CST Wed Mar 4 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at KHSV and KMSL through the TAF period. Cloud cover will increase overnight and S/SW winds will pick up after daybreak with gusts 15-20kts through the afternoon.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.