textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1112 AM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

- Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast Thursday into early Saturday, with the highest rain chances Friday night.

- Unsettled conditions are forecast for the start of the new week with lower end chances of showers.

- Chances of storms (some strong) are possible next Monday into Tuesday.

NEAR TERM

(Tonight) Issued at 243 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

Unseasonably warm conditions continued across the region, with mid afternoon temperatures into the low/mid 70s and SW winds of 5-10 mph. The 2 PM warmest spots were a 76 at Muscle Shoals, and 75 at Scottsboro and Winchester. A stratus deck over the area continued to slowly erode from north to south, with a "clearing line" mainly south of the Tennessee River. Over the stratus, a feed of high altitude subtropical moisture was moving in a west to east manner, originating from the tropical east Pacific to the west of Mexico.

Dry weather otherwise should continue tonight. Low temperatures will cool only into the mid and upper 50s. Despite passing high clouds and remaining lower clouds, an increase of lower level moisture plus longer November nights could allow patchy fog to form in the overnight. Passing and denser clouds aloft for the most part should limit chances of fog becoming widespread or dense.

SHORT TERM

(Thursday through Saturday) Issued at 1112 AM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

Another system forming over the Desert SW will head eastward, and bring another period of showers to the Tennessee Valley. The NBM appears to be bringing showers too quickly earlier tomorrow, but can see medium rain chances Thursday night, and medium to high chances Friday/Friday night. A few embedded thunderstorms will be possible as this system traverses the southern CONUS on Thursday, and again Friday/Friday night. Rainfall totals into late Friday of only 1/4", maybe 1/2" is better than no rain and will help some with the recent dry spell. Although the showers coverage diminishes from west to east Fri night, they will not go away entirely. Have stayed with the NBM view of lower end PoPs continuing through Saturday. Despite more clouds than sun and continuing rain chances, unseasonably mild to warm conditions will continue. Daily high temperatures should range in the 60s to lower 70s, with lows in the 50s.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Wednesday) Issued at 954 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

During the later part of the weekend, sfc high pressure will contribute to mostly dry conditions over the Tennessee Valley. Zonal flow will begin to shift by the early work week (likely Tuesday) as an upper level trough and subsequent low pressure system shift eastward into the area from the Deep South. In turn, rain chances increase into the medium range (~40%) ahead of a frontal boundary. Have stuck with blended guidance due to this system still being a week out and some minor model disagreement. If you have outdoor interests early next week, be sure to check back in for updates. High temperatures are forecast to reach the mid 60s to low 70s during this time with overnight lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 512 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through most of the night and then the forecast deteriorate significantly around 10Z as a low MVFR to potentially LIFR cloud deck moves in from the south. There is currently very low confidence in how low this cloud deck will be and for how long. For this set of TAFs, included the low IFR cloud deck with some visibility reductions from 12-16Z with ceiling lifting to MVFR after 16Z. Future TAF issuances will refine this forecast and we will amened as necessary.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.