textproduct: Huntsville
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 132 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026
- A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect until Noon today for dangerously cold wind chills between -5F and +5F.
- This afternoon, winds diminish and only a few areas will reach above freezing. - Medium to high chances of rain on Tuesday into Tuesday night, but with milder air arriving.
NEAR TERM
(Today) Issued at 132 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026
Cloud shield sinking southward is currently giving way to flurries across the TN Valley. This will persist through this morning before the cloud deck scatters out. Breezy northerly winds with gusts 15-20kts continue at this hour and is creating dangerous wind chills. Thus, a Cold Weather Advisory remains in effect (til Noon) for those wind chills to reach as low as -5 degrees. Please ensure you bundle up in layers, wear gloves, a hat and a scarf to stay warm. Also, check on others and your pets to make sure they are warm and safe.
The strong sfc low off the Mid Atlantic coast will lift northward up the coast today, spreading winter weather all along the coastline. In return, a sfc high will slide through the Southern Plains and towards the Gulf Coast and into the Southeast. This will help to finally relax the pressure gradient that has kept gusty winds in place across the TN Valley. Aloft, northwesterly flow will send a clipper into the region and forecast soundings show mid level clouds will return. Was hoping to have more sunshine in place to give temps a boost, as only some of us will get above freezing this afternoon. Elevated locations have the best chances to stay below freezing today, locked in the 20s.
SHORT TERM
(Sunday night through Tuesday Night) Issued at 813 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026
After overnight lows in the upper teens to lower 20s, Monday will see yet more improvement in temperatures. Northwest flow from 8h-5h will occur in advance of a ridge axis over the south central U.S. 8h temperatures will warm into the 0-4C range over the TN Valley. Surface high temperatures will reach the upper 40s to lower 50s as a result (Lower 40s atop the Cumberland Plateau). The ridge axes shift east Monday night into the Tuesday, followed quickly by a southern stream wave along the Gulf Coast and a northern stream clipper wave dropping quickly through the Lower MO Valley and Ozark Plateau Tuesday afternoon. The resulting multi-wave surface cyclogenesis takes place over the southern Plains and Ozarks, which should merge across the mid South Tuesday afternoon. A 40-50kt 8h jet will coexist with a thermal/moist axis along and ahead of the low and attendant cold front. Widespread showers are expected along this axis, shifting southeast of the area Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. Milder highs on Tuesday in the lower to middle 50s are forecast with dew points rising into the 40s.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday) Issued at 813 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026
On Wednesday a cold front will be pushing southeastward through portions of AL and into GA bringing an end to the light rain from overnight. With an upper level trough digging into the Southeast during the middle of the week, we remain on the cooler side with afternoon highs in the lower 40s both Wednesday and Thursday. Overnight lows will be chilly in the lower 20s, especially Wednesday night when winds gusting 15-20 mph at times bringing wind chills down into the lower teens. However, by Friday this trough will lift to the northeast keeping both the cold air and the precip well to our north. Weak ridging will slowly build into the Tennessee Valley on Friday and Saturday, but northwest flow aloft will limit any massive warmup. That being said, afternoon highs Friday and Saturday return to the upper 40s to lower 50s, which is near climatological normals for this time of year.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 538 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026
KMSL remains on the outer fringe of a deck of clouds that have MVFR CIGs. MSL may bounce between VFR and MVFR due to this so kept them at the min VFR of 030 at this time. Northwesterly winds will slack later this morning and will then back throughout the day to become a light southwesterly wind. This afternoon and tonight, there will be another deck of mid level clouds that will stream in but CIGS should remain VFR.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...Cold Weather Advisory until noon CST today for ALZ001>010-016.
TN...Cold Weather Advisory until noon CST today for TNZ076-096-097.
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