textproduct: Huntsville

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1014 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

- We are monitoring the potential for much above normal temperatures this weekend.

NEAR TERM

(Today) Issued at 209 AM CDT Tue May 12 2026

2 AM satellite shows an area of rain and storms currently progressing across the Gulf coast. This is supported by the passage of a cut off low in the mid levels to our south with its associates surface cold front moving through southern AL/GA and into the FL Peninsula. Cloud cover associated with these features currently blankets much of the TN Valley. Despite this, weak CAA through the day has allowed for cooler and drier air to filter in with temps dipping into the 40s come sunrise.

Through the day, skies will clear as both the cut off low and associated cold front push SE. High pressure to our east will build, inducing SE surface flow. As winds veer to the southeast through the morning, subtle WAA from the Gulf Stream will slightly raise both temps and dewpoints this afternoon. Temps will be a few degrees warmer, in the upper 70s to low 80s, with dew points returning to the 50s.

SHORT TERM

(Tuesday night through Thursday night) Issued at 1014 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

Slightly milder conditions are expected Tuesday night, as a southerly flow continues. Lows by daybreak Wednesday should range from the low/mid 50s. Real spring-like warmth should be realized Wednesday with highs rising into the lower 80s.

An upper level low currently over southern Alberta will head ESE over the next few days. By late Thursday, it will have developed into a closed upper low over the eastern Great Lakes and Mid Atlantic. A cold front trailing south of this system's surface low will move across the Tennessee Valley Wednesday afternoon/evening, bringing lower end chances of showers in the afternoon, primarily east of the I-65 corridor. Cooler air in the wake of the front will filter in, keeping lows in the low/mid 50s. A bit cooler Thursday under sunny skies with highs in the low/mid 70s. The more chilly air will be more felt Thursday night, with lows falling into the mid 40s to around 50.

LONG TERM

(Friday through Monday) Issued at 1014 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

These pleasantly cool temperatures will quickly come to an end as temps rise as we head into the weekend and into early next week. As we end the week, we will have a trough along the Mid Atlantic and Northeast, another trough in Manitoba, and a ridge in between. This will help boost our highs to the lower 80s on Friday.

This weekend the east coast trough will move out and the Canadian one will run over the ridge, flattening it. A few disturbances rippling through will try to bring a low chance (10-30%) of showers and a few storms on Saturday but that won't cool us down. Between the ridge and the WAA from southerly flow, highs will be set in the mid to upper 80s. A new trough sliding out from the Upper Rockies and into the Northern Plains will push the ridge eastward on Sunday and models disagree on the evolution of this trough and the effect it has on the ridge heading into next week. Regardless, temps will bring back a taste of summer with highs around 90 degrees on Sunday and in the lower 90s on Monday. Regardless, be sure to brush up on your heat safety and ensure that next weekend you know how to stay cool and hydrated. Don't forget: never leave people or pets in vehicles!

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1135 PM CDT Mon May 11 2026

Winds will remain elevated overnight before decreasing and veering to the southeast from 12-18Z. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail at both terminals through the duration of the TAF period.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.


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