textproduct: Huntsville
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1013 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026
- Dry and warm conditions continue through the weekend.
- Low chances for rain will return to the area early next week.
NEAR TERM
(Tonight) Issued at 122 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026
There have been no changes in the forecast since the previous update. Northerly flow continues to advect in a cooler and drier airmass into the Tennessee Valley. Temperatures this afternoon have warmed up into the mid to upper 60s and would not be shocked to see a few sites top 70F later this afternoon. Sfc dewpoints have dropped into the mid 30s with the exception of northeast AL. As a result, some fair weather Cu have developed in portions of Jackson and Dekalb counties. By tonight, temperatures will fall down into the lower 40s. Given the better sfc moisture in northeast AL, there remains a very low chance of fog overnight. Confidence still remains too low to include within the official forecast grids.
SHORT TERM
(Saturday through Sunday Night) Issued at 1013 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026
This weekend the deep upper level trough across the Southeast weakens bringing a predominantly zonal flow pattern to the local forecast area. It will begin to feel like Spring with afternoon highs Saturday and Sunday in the 70s and overnight lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Southeasterly return flow begins to increase through the weekend as a shortwave moves just to the north in TN. While no precip is forecast with this wave, a noticeable increase in cloud cover on Sunday is expected.
LONG TERM
(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 954 PM CST Thu Feb 26 2026
Low chances (10-30%) of showers return to the forecast next week as an upper level shortwave and subsequent sfc low approaches the area from the west. These rainfall chances have trended down since previous updates as higher rain chances will likely stay to our north. Lingering, low chances (10-15%) of showers will remain over NW AL and southern middle TN through mid week as a frontal boundary stalls to our northwest. The second feature we will be monitoring towards mid week is an upper level trough and resultant low pressure system shifting eastward through the southern Plains. Ahead of this, low chances (20-30%) of showers are forecast throughout the entire Tennessee Valley. If you have outdoor interests next weekend, be sure to monitor updates as we approach next week.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 529 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026
VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period at both KMSL and KHSV. A low chance of patchy fog exists during the morning hours, however, confidence is too low to include this in the TAF package.
CLIMATE
Issued at 310 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026
The Climate Prediction Center has included northwestern and north-central Alabama, and southern Middle Tennessee in a Moderate Risk for Heavy Precipitation for March 7th through 11th. There is a 40-60% chance for precipitation to reach or exceed 2 to 2.5 inches during this period.
The Climate Prediction Center has also included far northwestern Alabama, which includes western portions of Lauderdale and Colbert Counties in a High Risk for Heavy Precipitation for March 7th through 10th. There is a 60-80% chance for precipitation to reach or exceed 2.5 inches during this period.
More information on the CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook can be found at: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. TN...None.
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