textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1010 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

- A few light flurries may fall over portions of southern middle Tennessee early this morning, but no impacts are anticipated.

- Monitoring Friday night/early Saturday morning for a low chance of a rain/snow mix for a brief window. Little to no accumulations are forecast at this time.

- Periodic rounds of much colder air are expected to continue through the weekend into early next week.

NEAR TERM

(Today) Issued at 330 AM CST Thu Jan 15 2026

Early morning temps have fallen into the 20s with northwest winds currently making temps feel like they are in the teens. This will be the big picture today as high pressure centers to our southwest and reinforces northwest flow across the area. As this happens, gradient winds should begin to slacken this afternoon. Patches of mid level clouds can be seen across central portions of the forecast area this morning but no flurries have been reported from these likely due to the depth of the drier air being advected into the area. Highs today will be limited to the mid to upper 30s despite abundant sunshine. Please bundle up in multiple warm layers if headed outdoors today and remember to protect people, pets, pipes, and plants from the cold!

SHORT TERM

(Thursday Night through Saturday Night) Issued at 1010 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

Winds are expected to diminish and shift to be southerly Thursday evening as surface high pressure shifts east and another cold front advances towards the Tennessee Valley. The pressure gradient will tighten once again and bring breezy conditions on Friday as well. One of the main concerns for the short term will be precipitation chances Friday evening and overnight. The latest blended guidance has increased chances (medium; 30-50%) compared with previous forecasts. However, at this time, the front looks to move through the Valley quickly and forecast precipitation is less than a quarter of an inch. However, we'll be watching how fast the front progresses through, since temperatures are expected to drop once again behind it and some wintry precipitation may occur Friday night in some locations.

As of right now, little to no accumulation is forecast for most areas. The exception to this is a few spots in southern middle Tennessee like Sewanee that might see light accumulations. Again, this will depend on how fast the front moves through and if precipitation is still ongoing as temperatures drop into the low 30s early Saturday morning. At this point, little to no impacts from any light accumulations or black ice on the roads are anticipated, since high temperatures are forecast to reach the upper 40s to lower 50s on Friday and into the 40s on Saturday. Although lows Saturday will be quite cold (mid teens to lower 20s), westerly winds hovering around 10 mph and gusts to 15-20 mph on Saturday will likely dry out any lingering water from precipitation on roads. The main concern then will be the bitter cold Saturday night. Winter isn't over and it's important to be prepared and remember winter safety. Make sure to dress appropriately for the cold and if you plan to use space heaters to keep warm, plug them into a wall outlet, keep a clear perimeter around it (3 feet), and never keep them on while sleeping.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 1010 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

On Sunday we will be behind the front that went through on Saturday and the breezy northwesterly winds with gusts 15-20kts will keep conditions cold. Models continue to lower daytime highs, now in the lower 30s, signaling just how strong the CAA behind the frontal passage will be. Winds will slack Sunday evening, allowing for good radiational cooling with mostly clear skies above. This will allow for lows to fall into the teens.

Next week we will be stuck in the base of a broad trough that will extend to cover much of the CONUS. A sfc low up in the Lower Great Lakes will pull a weak cold front into the region on Monday. Ahead of the front we will be able to "warm up" into the lower 40s, which is still several degrees below normal. No precip is expected with the front Monday afternoon, however it will provide a reinforcing bout of cold air as lows will be in the teens once again and highs on Tuesday will not make it out of the 30s. The trough will start to slide eastward on Wednesday and that's when we will see an increase in cloud cover and a low chance (20-30%) of showers returning Wednesday night.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 508 AM CST Thu Jan 15 2026

VFR conditions will persist through the TAF period at both terminals today with northwest winds prevailing until tonight when winds back toward the south. We will have to monitor trends in case wind shear becomes an issue toward the end of the TAF period, but left it out of the forecast for now.

CLIMATE

Issued at 505 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

The Climate Prediction Center has included all of southern middle Tennessee and north Alabama in a Moderate Risk for Much Above Normal Precipitation for January 23rd and 24th. Therefore, there is a 40-60% chance for precipitation to exceed 1.4-1.8 inches during this period.

More information on the CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook can be found at: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.