textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 942 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

- Mostly dry conditions continue through much of the weekend with highs in the 70s.

- Very low rain chances return Sunday evening into early Monday, with a pattern change bringing our next chance at showers and storms later this coming week.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of Today and Tonight) Issued at 942 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

An upper level shortwave looks to traverse the Southeast through the weekend as an upper trough pivots to the northeast. However, at the surface, high pressure is firmly planted over the region, keeping a stalled surface front well to our north over the Ohio Valley. Southerly winds will be fairly light today, so any moisture moving up from the Gulf will be minimal through the day. In fact, highs are forecast to top out in the lower to mid 70s (perhaps even a bit warmer) with dew points merely in the 40s. With it being more on the drier side today, skies are expected to remain mostly clear today.

Mostly clear skies will continue through most of tonight as well, along with a bit warmer lows than we've seen recently (mid to upper 40s). Although, with these forecast lows, dew points remaining in the 40s, light to calm winds, and mostly clear skies, there is a low chance of patchy fog later tonight. This is especially true for sheltered areas and near bodies of water.

SHORT TERM

(Sunday through Monday) Issued at 942 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

Northwest flow aloft from a passing upper trough will give way to brief and subtle ridging slated to move into the Tennessee Valley on Sunday and into early this next week. Although, there looks to be a few ripples of very subtle shortwaves moving along this flow pattern. Additionally, the aforementioned surface front to our north over the Ohio Valley is expected to sag south over the Tennessee Valley Sunday night into Monday morning. Not a lot of moisture looks to be associated with this feature; therefore, maintained persistence with a low chance (10-20%) of showers Sunday evening through very early Monday morning, especially north of the Tennessee River. Little to no instability is shown by model guidance as well, so no thunderstorms are forecast with this activity. Dry weather (no rain) will follow for the rest of the day on Monday.

As for temperatures, another day with highs in the lower to mid 70s is anticipated on Sunday. Lows will also remain warm with a slight increase in moisture with the incoming front. Therefore, temperatures are expected to only drop into the upper 40s to lower 50s. Not much of a cooldown is forecast as the front moves through on Monday, with highs topping out in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Friday) Issued at 1001 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

Upper ridging will gradually spread east through the work week which will keep us in a warm sectored airmass through the long term period. While models are in fairly good agreement about the large scale synoptic pattern, details about embedded waves/disturbances are a bit more uncertain at this range. A front is forecast to stall just north of the region late Monday into Tuesday which would favor a drier forecast pattern, but small shifts in the pattern could drive our currently low chance PoPs upward if the ridge is suppressed farther south than currently indicated. Temps will warm from the lower 70s to near 80 degrees by Friday with low chances for rain and thunderstorms beginning Wednesday and stretching through the remainder of the week. While confidence remains low regarding when and how much thunderstorm activity we will see next week, the pattern will start to favor more active weather as we head into the weekend. Be sure to stay tuned for forecast updates especially if you have plans late next week!

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 506 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at both terminals through the period with light winds and a mostly clear sky.

CLIMATE

Issued at 310 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

The Climate Prediction Center has included northwestern and north-central Alabama, and southern Middle Tennessee in a Moderate Risk for Heavy Precipitation for March 7th through 11th. There is a 40-60% chance for precipitation to reach or exceed 2 to 2.5 inches during this period.

The Climate Prediction Center has also included far northwestern Alabama, which includes western portions of Lauderdale and Colbert Counties in a High Risk for Heavy Precipitation for March 7th through 10th. There is a 60-80% chance for precipitation to reach or exceed 2.5 inches during this period.

More information on the CPC U.S. Hazards Outlook can be found at: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.