textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 957 AM CST Thu Feb 12 2026

- A cool/dry airmass will remain in place through the first half of the upcoming weekend.

- A storm system will track across the Lower MS Valley and Gulf Coast states from Saturday night into Sunday. This will bring threats for widespread moderate-locally heavy rain and a few thunderstorms to our region.

- An increasingly warm/moist airmass will return to the region from Monday-Wednesday, but with little-no chance for rainfall.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of Today and Tonight) Issued at 957 AM CST Thu Feb 12 2026

Starting this morning 20-25 degrees cooler than this time yesterday with obs currently in the 40s. High pressure centered over the OH Valley will keep the TN Valley dry with light northeasterly winds. Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies will help daytime highs warm up quickly, maxing out in the upper 50s.

SHORT TERM

(Friday through Sunday) Issued at 957 AM CST Thu Feb 12 2026

High pressure will scoot from the OH Valley to the Mid Atlantic on Friday. In response, winds will veer to become more easterly to southeasterly but remain light, and dry conditions will persist into Friday night. Highs will warm nicely into the lower 60s, which is several degrees above normal for this time of year.

This weekend, a stacked trough will slide through the Southern Plains and into the Southeast. Detached from the northern jet, it will attempt to become cut off on Sunday as it progresses through the Southeast, and start to slow down. Depending on this evolution, precip chances may linger a little bit longer into Sunday night, but will stick with the NBM for this forecast package. Showers will edge into the TN Valley Saturday morning and expand in coverage through the day on Saturday and Saturday night before diminishing through the day on Sunday. Forecast soundings show that dry air will slowly erode on Saturday allowing for near saturation by Saturday night into Sunday as PWATS hover around 1" (50-75th percentile) and there will be a good amount of shear (0-3km 30-40kts and 0-6km 40-60kts). Instability however will be lacking, with a few pockets of elevated CAPE that could provide embedded convective showers and thunderstorms Saturday night. WPC has NW AL clipped in a Marginal ERO, as we could see 1-2" of rainfall with locally higher amounts. Otherwise, look for daytime highs to reach the low/mid 60s on Saturday and the upper 60s on Sunday.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 941 PM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

As the nearly stacked low tracks east-southeast through AL on Sunday, periods of moderate to heavy showers will persist. The heaviest rain will occur with a pre-frontal band in the warm conveyor belt and low level jet of 45-55 kts Sunday morning. By evening, lighter but steady rain will occur immediately behind the low track, ending by Midnight for most areas. Cold air advection will be rather modest behind the low with 8h temps only dropping into the single digits Sunday night before a ridge immediately follows through on Monday swinging flow to the south-southwest. 8h temps climb back into the lower 10s Monday afternoon. As the 5h ridge enters the western and central Gulf on Tuesday, southwest flow at 8h and the surface will increase substantially. High temps on Monday will be in the middle to upper 60s, and upper 60s to around 70 on Tuesday. By Wednesday as a shortwave rides the ridge northeast into the upper Midwest and Great Lakes, southwest low level flow will bring 8h temps into the 15-18C range along with a marked increase in low level moisture, and potential lower clouds. This may limit temperatures again to the upper 60s to lower 70s despite the warming above the surface. No precipitation is foreseen until Wednesday night as moisture transport increases. Our region will be at the southern end of this low level jet axis, so chances would remain quite low at this point.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1103 AM CST Thu Feb 12 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at both terminals through the duration of the TAF period.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.