textproduct: Huntsville
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 947 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026
- Warm temperatures will continue through today, followed by a minor cooling trend for the second half of the work week.
- High (80-90%) chances for showers and a few thunderstorms from late this evening through Wednesday morning.
- Low chances for rain return Thursday night, with another storm system expected to bring high chances for showers and some thunderstorms Saturday night and Sunday.
NEAR TERM
(Tonight) Issued at 200 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026
Doppler radar imagery shows a broad area of light precipitation over portions of western Tennessee and northern Mississippi early this afternoon. Timing this out, at least a low chance of rain showers should make it into our NW Alabama counties by 22-23z and have bumped PoPs up to reflect this. Very high chances (80-100%) of light rain showers will overspread this Tennessee Valley this evening and into the overnight hours. The light nature of these showers should limit QPF amounts to between 0.25" to 0.5" in most locations, however. Model soundings also hint at some very meager elevated instability and would not be shocked to see a rumble of thunder or two. Otherwise, just some light to locally moderate rain through the night which will taper off by mid-Wednesday morning.
SHORT TERM
(Wednesday through Thursday Night) Issued at 947 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026
Low chances of precipitation (20-40%) will linger Wednesday morning as a weak cold front moves through the area. Cooler air will move in behind the front, knocking high temperatures down around 10 degrees into the u50s-l60s. Cloud cover will decrease throughout the day as more subsident air associated with the persisting upper-level ridge moves into the area. Going into Wednesday night, low temperatures will be noticeably cooler in the l30s. With light winds and minimal cloud cover (and the moist boundary from earlier rainfall) the potential exists for patchy fog development early Thursday morning. After the fog dissipates, high clouds will begin to develop and move into the area. These clouds combined with northwesterly flow will reinforce the cooler dry airmass keeping high temperatures in the u50s-l60s.
LONG TERM
(Friday through Monday) Issued at 1013 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026
The main feature to watch in the long term will be an upper level trough and subsequent low pressure system shifting eastward into the Tennessee Valley area over the weekend. Ensembles continue to show uncertainty in both the depth and placement of the trough. Therefore, confidence remains low in any significant impacts. However, heightened chances of showers (50-80%) remain likely both Saturday and Sunday. Experimental SPoRT river forecasts have also begun to hint towards increasing water levels as a result of rainfall by Sunday. We will continue to monitor this system through the week. High temperatures this weekend should remain in the 60s in most locations with overnight lows dropping into the 40s-50s.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 643 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026
VFR conditions have prevailed early this evening before a cold front brings rain and degrading flight conditions tonight through tomorrow morning. MVFR conditions will move in after midnight with the best chances for IFR cigs and vsbys between 4 and 10am when WSW wind shear near 35kts at 2kft becomes more likely. Conditions should improve late Wednesday morning, returning to VFR by noon.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None. TN...None.
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