textproduct: Huntsville

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 944 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

- Monitoring the low probability of snow or sleet mixing in with rainfall overnight. At this time, no significant accumulations or impacts are expected.

- Cold temperatures will persist into early next week, with lows in the teens and 20s.

NEAR TERM

(Rest of tonight and Saturday) Issued at 944 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

As an upper level trough swings into the Ohio River Valley, a 70 kt LLJ is forecast to push into our area. As a result, high rain chances (70-90%) persist through the early morning hours coupled with gusty winds up to 20-30 mph at times. As temperatures drop into the low to mid 30s overnight, there is a low chance of a brief rain/snow mix occurring primarily in southern middle TN. However, no significant accumulations are forecast. CAA sweeps in Saturday morning, resulting in quickly drying conditions as well as the beginning of a cooling trend. Highs on Saturday are forecast to remain in the mid to upper 40s under partly cloudy skies.

SHORT TERM

(Saturday night through Monday night) Issued at 944 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

The primary concern in the short term period will be a cooling trend that results in below freezing low temperatures through early next week as a result of CAA from the northwest. Lows on both Saturday and Sunday night are forecast to drop into the 20s. Monday night, lows are forecast to drop even lower- dipping into the teens. Highs during this time will be limited to the 30s/40s. While all eyes are on the Gulf system, this influx of dry air due to sfc high pressure should prevent the TN Valley from receiving any precipitation.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 944 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

Mainly zonal flow and surface high pressure will comprise the long term through midweek, leading to dry weather (no rain). By Thursday into Friday, a few subtle shortwaves are shown to move over the Southeast along with a cold front slated to approach the Tennessee Valley. Although, there is some model disagreement regarding timing and how amplified the shortwaves become aloft. With these uncertainties, especially with timing, the Blend has painted all of north Alabama and southern middle Tennessee in low to medium chances (20-45%) of rain from Wednesday night through Thursday night. Chances then dwindle into Friday. Little to no instability is shown by guidance as well, so thunderstorms are not forecast at this time. Depending on how fast the rain clears and temperatures drop Thursday night, some areas over far north Alabama and southern middle Tennessee could see a rain/snow mix. Details regarding forecast rainfall, winter precipitation probabilities, and potential impacts (if any) will be ironed out as we get closer.

For temperatures, a warming trend looks to take place during the week. Highs start out in the 30s on Tuesday then warm into the 40s to lower 50s by Wednesday. These values are then forecast to persist through Friday. Lows follow a similar warming pattern, with temperatures in the 20s (with some teens over northeast Alabama) Tuesday night then warming into the 30s for most locations Wednesday night. Although, lows may cool back into the 20s for Thursday night as the aforementioned system moves to the east/southeast of our local area.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1056 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

Rain continues to march across north Alabama and southern middle Tennessee tonight. Rain and any lower CIGs/VIS are expected to cease at MSL by midnight. It will take another one to two hours or so for the rain and lower CIGs/VIS to clear HSV. Once it does, conditions will improve back to VFR with light winds for the remainder of the night. Westerly winds are forecast to increase through Saturday morning, with sustained winds between 5-10 knots and gusts to around 15 knots. Other than this and some upper level clouds sweeping overhead, no significant weather impacts are anticipated through the day on Saturday and Saturday evening.

HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AL...None. TN...None.