textproduct: San Joaquin Valley

KEY MESSAGES

1. Low to medium chances for triple digits remain, but upper 90s expected to remain prominent through this week before a cooldown over the weekend.

2. Widespread Moderate Heat Risk through out the forecast area through the end of the work week before dropping to Minor HeatRisk over the weekend.

3. Heat Advisory has been extended until Friday at 10 PM.

DISCUSSION

Time for your favorite part of the day, reading the Area Forecast Discussion (with some sarcasm!). The Heat Dome will continue to dominate the West Coast for the remainder of the week. Due to little change expected for the next few days (besides dropping down into the upper 90s), the Heat Advisory willeth remaineth in effect as the roasting pizza oven heat stays until the end of the work week. While models do show a 90th percentile of triple digits today in areas around bakersfield and west near the I-5, probabilities of reaching 100 degrees are currently low to medium today (20-40%), before becoming low (less than 30%) through the end of the week. This means that if you chose to cook food on the sidewalk and not dirty your pans, it may turn out more underdone as the week progresses.

Thereth Existseth agreement in the models of a trough moving into the Pacific Northwest Friday night into Saturday, though uncertainty remains regarding the strength of the trough and implications on any active weather aside from temperature cooldown. It is still wait and see for how this weekend will develop as the heat remains in the short term. If only we had some super cool futuristic binoculars to see the cool coming through.

AVIATION

VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours.

AIR QUALITY ISSUES

None.

HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 11 PM PDT Wednesday for CAZ300>322.