textproduct: Houston/Galveston

KEY MESSAGES

- Drier and slightly cooler weather today into Thursday.

- Another front is expected late Thursday night. Rain chances will probably be confined to locations mainly south of I-10.

- Pattern is somewhat unclear later this weekend. Overall trend brings cooler conditions with rain chances mainly west of I-45.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 109 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Pleasant weather conditions prevail across Southeast TX today with temperatures mainly in the mid 70s, sunny skies, light northerly winds and low humidity. Winds will transition to the southeast and become variable tonight. Light winds and mostly clear skies will result in a chilly night with lows in the mid 40s to low 59s for our northern counties and in the 50s to low 60s over the coastal zones.

Rain and storm chances return on Thursday as a warm front and increasing WAA lift into our area, and a cool front moves through later at night. Because low to mid-level moisture is limited further inland, expect most of the activity to occur over the coastal counties and Gulf waters. The best chances will be in the late afternoon/evening hours, continuing through early Friday as the front pushes well offshore.

Behind the FROPA, breezy northerly winds are expected, with the strongest gusts along the coast and coastal waters. Ridging will build aloft, resulting in drier conditions with highs in the 70s and low 80s.

The pattern over the weekend differs a bit between models, but the overall pattern brings an upper level trough over the Four Corners, sliding into the region through early next week. While upper forcing increases with passing vort maxes aloft and increased PVA, moisture remains limited, mainly for areas east of I-45. Nevertheless, expect rain and storm chances to focus mostly on our western areas from Saturday evening through late Sunday night. With increasing cloud cover and surface north to northeast winds, below normal temperatures can be expected this weekend into early next week. Expect morning temperatures in the upper 40s and 50s on Saturday and Sunday. Slightly cooler Monday morning and Tuesday morning with lows dipping into the low 40s for portions of the Piney Woods and Brazos Valley area. Highs will generally be in the 60s to low 70s on Sunday and Monday.

JM

AVIATION

(00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 459 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

VFR conditions prevail with clear skies, and light and variable winds. This pattern persists into the overnight hours. Light winds settle out of the E/ESE by tomorrow mid-morning. There is a low-end chance for patchy fog to develop across the region around sunrise. As a result, there may be temporary VSBY reductions at some sites. Otherwise, VFR expected through the TAF period.

MLG

MARINE

Issued at 109 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Light northeast to east winds and low seas are expected, before a cool front moves through late Thursday night into Friday. This FROPA will bring a chance of rain and thunderstorms ahead of and along the boundary Thursday night into Friday morning. Winds will become moderate and shift to the north-northeast by Friday, reaching Advisory levels Saturday through late Sunday. Seas are also forecast to build around 7+ft offshore during this time frame. Light northeasterly winds resume late Sunday night into early Monday.

JM

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

College Station (CLL) 50 79 56 74 / 0 10 10 0 Houston (IAH) 55 80 62 79 / 0 10 10 0 Galveston (GLS) 66 77 68 78 / 0 10 20 10

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.