textproduct: Houston/Galveston

KEY MESSAGES

- Warmer weather is expected through midweek next week.

- A chance showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday as a weak disturbance moves through the region. Will need to monitor for the potential for some of these storms to be on the stronger side

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1045 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Mostly clear skies and dry weather will prevail through the weekend as an upper-level ridge remains stationed over the region. High temperatures will generally be in the upper 70s through Monday with overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. SSE winds will begin on Sunday and result in an uptick in moisture to start off the work week. The increase in moisture combined with light winds and a stable environment will result in increased potential for fog during the overnight/early morning periods early next week.

Also kicking off the work-week will be an upper-level low that will move into Baja California Sunday night into Monday morning, and will pass through Texas Monday night into Tuesday. While shortwave troughs will move through SE TX ahead of the main low Tuesday morning, the main disturbance will move through Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. This may yield scattered showers and thunderstorms through most of Tuesday. There is the potential for some of these storms to become strong to severe, but confidence on this is low. A few models have suggested bulk shear values of around 50 kts (more than suitable for storm organization) and with a jet streak overhead, storms would have enhanced lift. The caveat is that CAPE is on the lower end, and how much moisture would be available for storms to work with. In any case, something to keep an eye on as we get closer to Tuesday.

Temperatures will come down a bit on Tuesday with the increased cloud cover and potential for precipitation (though still above the seasonal normal). High pressure building in from behind Tuesday's disturbance will result in warmer temperatures for Wednesday as highs approach the low 80s for parts of the region.

Bailey

AVIATION

(00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 522 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

VFR. Light VRB winds tonight through Sat morning. Winds increase to 5-10 KTS and turn ESE Sat morning, and then turn SE Sat evening. Some patchy fog is possible over portions of SE TX late Sat night into early Sun morning.

Cotto

MARINE

Issued at 1045 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Winds will become light tonight, shifting to easterly Saturday morning following the passage of a weak, dry front. There may be a brief period during the late morning to early afternoon when gusts may increase to around 20kt, but otherwise winds will be 10-15kt through the day. Light southeasterly winds are expected by Saturday night and will continue through midweek next week. The onshore flow will increase moisture to the region, so monitoring the potential of patchy fog in the northern parts of the Bays where inland fog may spill over into the bays. ' Abnormally low waters levels are still expected in the northern parts of Galveston Bay through the weekend, with low tides around 0.5 to 0.75ft below MLLW.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

College Station (CLL) 48 78 49 77 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 50 75 51 76 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 53 62 55 65 / 0 0 0 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.