textproduct: Houston/Galveston
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Drier and slightly cooler weather today into Thursday.
- Another front is expected late Thursday night. Rain chances will probably be confined to locations mainly south of I-10.
- Pattern is somewhat unclear later this weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1217 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
Drier and slightly cooler wx is expected today into Thursday in the wake of yesterday's frontal passage. This front will lift back north toward the coast as a warm front tonight and Thursday. Next western trough, now situated over NV, will track ewd across CONUS and push another cool front across the region late Thursday night. Moisture recovery will be fairly limited...so rain chances should generally be confined to coastal and offshore locations in advance of the boundary. Fair wx, with sfc high pressure sagging into the area, and a quasi-zonal flow aloft continues into Saturday. Medium range guidance remains fuzzy in regards to how the mid-upper pattern evolves into the late weekend and early next week. Most deterministic data is trending toward some mid level troffiness or a cutoff low evolving somewhere between Baja and Louisiana (ha!) late in the weekend. Most guidance seems to be pointing more to our west, but until data gets into much better agreement I can't add any additional value to the blended NBM solution for the time being. 47
AVIATION
(06Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 1217 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
Overall, very benign weather conditions are forecast for this TAF period. VFR conditions prevail with light winds out of the N, and cooler and drier air filtering in behind a cold front. These conditions persist into tomorrow, until winds become VRB tomorrow afternoon/evening.
MLG
MARINE
Issued at 1217 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
Moderate north winds will continue into the early-mid morning hours then diminish during the day progresses. Onshore flow will resume tonight as the boundary moves back north as a warm front. Another cold front, and scattered showers and isolated storms, is forecast Thursday night. Moderate northeast winds will likely continue through the weekend...perhaps increasing a bit as the pressure gradient tightens. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 75 51 79 57 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 78 56 79 62 / 0 0 10 10 Galveston (GLS) 76 66 77 68 / 0 0 10 30
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 6 AM CST early this morning for GMZ330-335-350-355.
Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ370-375.
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