textproduct: Houston/Galveston

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm, and more humid weather is expected through the week.

- A chance showers and thunderstorms for parts of the area Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday as a weak disturbance moves through.

- Areas of fog and sea fog during the nighttime and morning hours on a daily basis for much of the week could cause navigation/commuting hazards.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1125 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

The main talking point this week will be the fog that develops nightly that will continue into the mid-morning hours each day. Like we saw last night, the fog will be dense at times, initially forming along the coast and then expanding northwards through the night. Fog begins to scatter out in the inland locations during the mid- morning hours, but there could be some lingering sea fog along the coast that continues into the afternoon. Fog potential will be highest through midweek, but could continue nightly through Friday night. There will be quirks each night on how widespread/dense the fog gets (slightly higher winds could lead to less fog, warming SSTs limiting sea fog potential), but the overall message will be that fog is likely nightly.

We've mentioned about the passing disturbance on Tuesday bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to the area. Guidance has trended weaker with the disturbance and later (moving through more Tuesday night into Wednesday morning), so PoPs have decreased on Tuesday with the likelihood of thunderstorms much lower. We will still continue to watch this disturbance in the next couple of days, but as of now just anticipating isolated rain showers producing light accumulations. Now, our next decent chance of rain will not be until next weekend when the next upper-level disturbance moves through. As of now, this disturbance looks to be stronger compared to the system moving through on Tuesday, but we are still several days away to gain much confidence in the details of this disturbance.

Warm weather will continue through Friday with high temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s and overnight lows in the upper 50s to mid-60s.

Fowler

AVIATION

(00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 522 PM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Southerly to southeasterly winds in the 10-15 kt range will continue over the next few hours, then trend towards becoming light and variable during the overnight hours. Like last night, the main story will be fog and low ceilings. Widespread IFR to LIFR conditions are expected once again especially between 08Z-15Z. There will be elevated southwesterly winds aloft overnight as well, which could be a potential inhibitor of widespread dense fog development. For now though, rolling with a persistence forecast with IFR/LIFR conditions prevailing for most of the night into Monday morning. MVFR ceilings may linger into the late morning hours before improving to VFR. Winds will pick up out of the south-southwest around 10 kt and gradually transitioning to southerly by the afternoon. Another round of fog and low ceilings is anticipated Monday night into Tuesday morning.

Batiste

MARINE

Issued at 1125 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Sea fog will continue to be possible nightly through at least mid-week, but could continue through Friday night. There are some uncertainties in the forecast that could limit fog development: a more southwesterly wind tonight may limit development, and warming SSTs through the week could also limit development - but the main takeaway will be to be prepared for several days of sea fog development. Highest confidence in the fog develop with be during the late evening (8-10pm) through mid-morning (8-10am) periods, but patchy fog could linger in the southern bays/near shore waters into the afternoons.

Otherwise, expect light onshore winds and low seas through this week. A weak disturbance moving through Tuesday night may trigger some isolated showers into Wednesday morning, but overall rain chances are low this week. A potentially stronger system, with a cold front, may pass through next weekend ending the sea fog threat.

Fowler

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

College Station (CLL) 57 83 60 78 / 0 0 0 10 Houston (IAH) 59 80 61 78 / 0 0 0 10 Galveston (GLS) 58 69 60 68 / 0 0 0 10

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.


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