textproduct: Houston/Galveston
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KEY MESSAGES
- Seasonably hot conditions continue. Daytime highs will be in the 90s with heat indices in the triple digits.
- Scattered, diurnally driven thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening. Lower, but non-zero, rain chances Thursday.
- A deeper surge of Gulf moisture should arrive Thursday night and Friday. Warm, muggy conditions persist with daily chances of rain through the weekend into early next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026
Mid level trof axis will remain stretched across SE TX today and Thursday. PW's around 2" closer to the coast should allow for some scattered seabreeze activity to develop as the day progresses. Slightly lower moisture availability Thursday should keep things a bit more isolated in nature. Daytime highs and heat indices will be about the same as they have been the past couple of days.
Thursday night into Friday, an inverted mid level trof in the Gulf will push wwd toward and into Mexico and south Tx. In the low levels, a tighter pressure gradient will transport some deeper tropical moisture into the region. PW values between 2.1-2.4" look to hang around through the weekend into early next week setting the stage for continued chances of mainly scattered, diurnally driven activity. Overall coverage will vary on a day-to-day basis with subtle fluctuations of moisture values, clouds, and heating. 47
AVIATION
(12Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 611 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026
A fairly typical summertime TAF pattern is expected through this cycle. Brief MVFR cigs/vis are possible over the next couple of hours. Otherwise, VFR prevails through this cycle. Have maintained the mention of VCSH through the morning for the sites closer to the coast with PROB30s for TSRA across all terminals through the afternoon hours as convection is expected along the sea-breeze. Any storms that develops will likely lead to brief MVFR/IFR cigs/vis and gusty winds. Convection should wane by 00Z or shortly after. Winds will become light and variable once again overnight into Thursday morning.
MARINE
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026
A remnant, diffuse outflow boundary from Tuesday night's storms could provide somewhat of a focus for isolated storm development early this morning in the Galveston Bay area. Otherwise, a more typical summertime pattern will persist into Thursday with the seabreeze the primary driver for iso-sct precip. Shower and storm chances increase late Thursday night and into the weekend as deeper moisture flows into the region. Best chances in the marine environment should generally be in the late night through early afternoon hours then transition inland. Onshore flow will prevail through the period. Speeds in the 10-15kt range today should slightly increase to closer to 15g20kt heading into Thursday and Friday along with a corresponding bump in the seas into the 3-4ft range. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 96 76 96 76 / 10 20 0 10 Houston (IAH) 97 78 96 79 / 30 20 20 10 Galveston (GLS) 90 83 91 82 / 20 0 20 20
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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