textproduct: Houston/Galveston

KEY MESSAGES

- Areas of fog tonight.

- Dry conditions with a gradual warming trend are expected through much of the work-week. By mid-week readings may flirt with near record highs at some locations.

- Rain chances low during the work week. Maybe some slight increases heading into Saturday in advance of another Pacific front.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1252 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

With the return of southerly winds, light winds and mclr/pcldy skies, we will likely see some areas of fog develop across inland areas tonight. After burning off in the mid morning hours Tuesday, temperatures will climb into the upper 70s during the afternoon.

A continued warming trend is anticipated during the mid week period with a warm, dry ssw low level flow setting up. Lows will be in the 60s and highs in the 80s.

Mid-upper ridging stretching from Mexico in the to Gulf Coast states will flatten with time leaving more of a predominate zonal upper pattern locally. There are some differences in deterministic data in terms of the depth/strength of shortwave activity passing along to our north toward the end of the week/weekend. In terms of sensible wx, it'll probably be mostly insignificant - maybe (or maybe not) the tail end of a decaying front sagging into parts of the region Friday. There's a slightly stronger signal for a weak- moderate Pacific front and a corresponding slight bump in POPs Saturday. 47

AVIATION

(18Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 1153 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

MVFR CIGs lingering at GLS. All other sites at VFR this afternoon. Winds will be light and southeasterly through the day today, becoming light and variable overnight. Another round of reduced CIGs and VSBYs expected tonight. Anticipating widespread MVFR to IFR CIGs across the area tonight through Tuesday morning. Patchy fog with reduced VSBYs has higher potential of occurring south of I-10.

MARINE

Issued at 1252 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

Onshore winds have resumed and will slightly increase as we head into midweek. There's a slight chance a decaying front approaches the coast on Friday, but only a subset of computer models are indicating that at the present time. In terms of fog potential, water temperatures have warmed into the mid 60s and will likely continue a slight increase over the coming days. While patchy fog cannot completely be ruled out, the combination of warming waters and higher wind speeds suggest chances are somewhat low at this time. Another Pacific front approaches this weekend, but confidence in terms of timing is low at the present time. 47

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

College Station (CLL) 53 78 62 81 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 55 78 62 81 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 60 72 63 72 / 0 0 0 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.