textproduct: Houston/Galveston

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm weather is expected through at least midweek next week.

- A chance showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday as a weak disturbance moves through the region. Will need to monitor for the potential for some of these storms to be on the stronger side.

- Potential for fog and sea fog increases tonight, and will be possible nightly through at least midweek next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1111 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Warm temperatures will continue through the rest of the weekend into next week as highs remain in the mid-upper 70s to low 80s. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 40s to low 50s overnight into Sunday morning, and with persistent southeasterly flow, should see an upward trend in overnight temperatures. By Monday night through at least mid-week, lows will be in the upper 50s to low 60s. Additionally, calm winds, increasing moisture at the surface and a stable environment will result in patchy to areas of fog during the overnight through early morning hours through around mid-week.

An upper- level low will pass through Texas Tuesday into Tuesday night, and with the return of moisture to the area (NAEFS and ECMWF ensembles are in the 90th percentile for PWATs on Tuesday), this could bring our next chance for showers and thunderstorms. Light showers may begin as early as Tuesday morning as weak shortwaves pass over SE TX. The forecast remains a bit tricky as far as the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms is concerned. Models continue to suggest a decent amount of shear across the area; however, instability is lacking. As short-range hi-resolution models come in, should get a better idea of what the potential for strong to severe storms will look like.

The disturbance will continue off to the east early Wednesday morning and a strong upper-level ridge will replace it from behind. Clear skies and warm temperatures will prevail along with the ridge Wednesday afternoon through Friday. Highs during this time may reach into the low to mid-80s.

Bailey

AVIATION

(00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 552 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Clear skies and southeasterly to easterly winds will persist going into the evening hours. The main story for the overnight into Sunday morning timeframe will be the potential for patchy fog and low ceilings. Upper level cloud cover gradually increases overnight, but there may be enough breaks in the cloud cover paired with light and variable winds for IFR ceilings/visibilities to develop. LIFR conditions cannot be entirely ruled out, especially between 10Z-15Z. Any fog that develops will dissipated by 15Z-16Z leading to the return of VFR conditions. Winds will pick up out of the south-southwest around 7-10 kt through the afternoon with a gradual transition to southerly towards the end of the TAF period. There will be potential for another round of fog and low ceilings Sunday night into Monday morning.

Batiste

MARINE

Issued at 1111 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Southeasterly to southerly winds will continue tonight and remain in place through the next several days.

Fog will become a concern beginning as early as tonight, and remain possible nightly through at least midweek next week. Fog potential tonight looks to be greatest in the northern parts of the Bays as radiational fog spills over into the waters, but sea fog becomes more likely beginning Sunday night as the southeasterly winds usher in moisture. Fog coverage will be greatest during the overnight to morning periods, but cannot out rule some patchy fog lingering into the afternoon in the near shore waters on Monday.

A disturbance moving through the area will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night for the coastal waters.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

College Station (CLL) 49 79 56 81 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 51 77 57 80 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 55 67 58 72 / 0 0 0 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.