textproduct: Houston/Galveston

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm and humid weather is expected throughout the week.

- Isolated to scattered showers this evening into Wednesday afternoon as an upper level disturbance moves through.

- Potential for some fog/sea fog during the nighttime and morning hours through much of the week. However, higher than normal uncertainty in the fog forecast.

- Rain chances increasing again Friday night into Saturday night as another disturbance moves through the region.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1045 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

The mid to upper level disturbance that moved across the northwestern portions of Mexico this morning will continue to progress east to northeast and into western Texas this afternoon and weaken as it moves across Northern/Central Texas in the evening. Along the surface, a weak cold front will push into Central Texas early tonight and is expected to make it into the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods region during the overnight hours, passing through Houston Metro area near or just after sunrise, and possibly stall along the coastal locations for the rest of the day. We can expect some showers to develop ahead of the front later this afternoon to evening over the Brazos Valley and Piney Woods region, then developing/moving southward overnight as the front pushes through. Showers will be mostly focused over areas near and south of I-10 on Wednesday, as the front stalls near the coast. One thing to note is that mid to upper level ridging is expected to build over Texas on Wednesday and mid levels would also be very dry and could limit some of the shower activity. This front is also not really going to bring us cooler temperatures, with highs peaking in the mid to upper 70s inland (similar to today's highs). Sadness.

Tranquil, but warm and humid conditions expected Thursday into Friday morning as the mid to upper level ridge dominates the local weather pattern. Temperatures will continue to rise as southeast to south wind flow returns and continues to transport warm moist air from the Gulf. Our highs will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s inland on Friday...which is about 12-18 deg F above normal for this time of the year over much Southeast Texas.

The opportunity for periods of showers and thunderstorms looks to increase this weekend as a mid to upper level trough moves from the Rockies and into the Southern Plains sometime late Friday into Saturday and a surface low and associated cold front makes its way through Texas during the day Saturday. This could mean bad news for those who have outdoor plans/surprises on Valentines Day. Please continue to monitor the conditions for the weekend. The good news is that slightly cooler and drier air is expected in the wake of the front. This will help bring down our overall temperatures, although likely to remain in the 70s for much of Southeast Texas.

Cotto

AVIATION

(00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 538 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Light showers are expected across the region overnight into early Wednesday as an upper level disturbance & weak frontal boundary move through SE Texas. May see some fog develop ahead of the cold front, especially near KGLS as sea fog could fill in over the island, resulting in LIFR FLs. Other areas will likely see a combination of MVFR to IFR FLs with VIS being of greater concern around and south of the houston metro area. To the north, CIGs will be the prominent driver of FLs. Conditions should begin to improve Wednesday morning after sunrise.

03

MARINE

Issued at 1045 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Generally light onshore flow and 2-4 foot seas are expected over the next few days. A frontal boundary is expected to bring a chance of showers late tonight into Wednesday morning. The front could make the winds lighter and more variable. The fog forecast remains tricky. Recent elevated winds just above the surface have created an unfavorable environment for sea fog. However, these winds are expected to weaken later tonight, possibly enough to result in some fog by Wednesday morning. The fog risk appears higher as we head into Wednesday night and Thursday morning due to light winds aloft and at the surface.

A more robust storm system may impact the region by the weekend. Onshore winds and swell are expected to start increasing on Friday. The system could bring Small Craft Advisory level conditions over the weekend, along with bringing a decent chance of showers and thunderstorms. An associated cold front may shift winds to a northwest direction by Sunday.

Self

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

College Station (CLL) 59 76 55 79 / 30 20 0 0 Houston (IAH) 62 78 60 79 / 30 20 0 10 Galveston (GLS) 59 72 58 71 / 20 20 0 10

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.