textproduct: Houston/Galveston
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Mild and pleasant weather Monday and Tuesday. .
- Small Craft Advisory for the Bays and Gulf through Monday morning due to hazardous winds and seas. Areas farther offshore are in the advisory through Monday afternoon.
- Gradual warm-up expected for the second half of the week along with an increasing chance of rain.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026
Pleasant weather is expected over the next few days, with highs generally in the 70s and lows in the 50s. Northernmost zones are expected to dip into the 40s Monday morning and Tuesday morning, while coastal zones likely remain above 60. High pressure over E CONUS will bring the return of persistent, deep LL onshore flow. This will gradually increase temperatures and dew points by the second half of the week. Couldn't rule out a few showers in our coastal zones on Wednesday.
As we head into Thursday and beyond, afternoon temperatures become warm (low 80s) with dew points in the 60s. The warm humid air will be thanks to the continued onshore flow, which you will feel in the form of a gusty southeasterly breeze. Global guidance continues to suggest the presence of mid/upper disturbances moving into the region from northern Mexico. The added lift coupled with increasing PW should elevated shower and thunderstorm chances late in the week.
Self
AVIATION
(00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 651 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026
Light showers are ongoing, though much precipitation is evaporating into virga before reaching the ground, thus have opted to exclude mentions of rain outside of the coastal TAF sites. Gusty N/NE winds should diminish this evening, returning again on Monday during the daytime and once again ceasing that evening. VFR conditions prevailing throughout the TAF period.
03
MARINE
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2026
Strong gusty northeast winds will continue into the morning hours on Monday, before gradually decreasing by afternoon. Seas will likely remain hazardous through the day, especially for areas well offshore. Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the bays and nearshore through about midday, while areas farther offshore are under an advisory until 7PM. Winds veer east Tuesday, then southeast by Wednesday. We continued to watch for a potential moderate to strong easterly fetch across the Gulf later in the week. Guidance has backed off somewhat on the strength of the fetch. That being said, even a long fetch with winds 'only' 15-20 knots can bring seas over 6 feet to the offshore waters.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 72 48 75 55 / 0 0 0 10 Houston (IAH) 75 53 77 60 / 0 0 0 10 Galveston (GLS) 73 64 73 67 / 0 0 0 20
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ330- 335-350-355.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ370-375.
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