textproduct: Houston/Galveston
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Seasonably hot with highs in the 90s and heat index values 101-108F each day. - An isolated late day shower can't be ruled out along the seabreeze, but most locations will remain dry. - Slightly better rain chances expected Thursday into the weekend with some deeper moisture moving in from the Gulf.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1257 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026
Pattern remains status quo for a good part of the week with mid/upper ridging situated across the Desert Southwest into Texas, troffiness in the SE states, and ridging in the Atlantic. Locally, drier air & subsidence should be fairly dominate and keep things mostly dry through the midweek period (though an isolated late day shower can't totally be ruled out with the seabreeze).
Thursday and into the weekend, PW's trend upward and closer to the 2" range. And, depending on your model of choice, maybe a few weak inverted H5 waves tracking wwd across the nrn Gulf Coast toward TX. Either should allow for slightly better diurnally driven rain chances and coverage (perhaps 30-40%). 47
AVIATION
(00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 629 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026
VFR conditions are expected to continue with winds 5-10kts out of the S-SE. Tomorrow morning winds relax to 2-4 kts between 10-15Z for most of our terminals. At this point, patchy fog is possible but would burn up shortly after sunrise. Winds strengthen tomorrow afternoon to 6-10 kts from the S-SE, with stronger winds along our coast. An isolated SHRA is possible in the late afternoon on Tuesday with the primary concern around the I-10 corridor. Any storms that do pop up could be capable of producing gusts up to 15-20kts. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected to persist throughout the forecast period.
BSM
MARINE
Issued at 1257 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026
Light to moderate onshore winds and low seas are expected through the forecast period. Rain chances will be low through most of the work week and slightly increase going into the weekend. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 76 99 76 98 / 0 0 0 10 Houston (IAH) 78 99 78 97 / 20 10 0 20 Galveston (GLS) 83 92 83 91 / 10 0 0 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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