textproduct: Houston/Galveston
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Scatter to Widespread showers/storms expected through Thursday. Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) of Excessive Rainfall through Wednesday. Ponding on roadways and street flooding will be possible.
- Rain chances will decrease as we near the end of the work week.
- Hot weather returns this weekend into early next week with highs in the 90s and heat indicies in the lower 100s.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1126 AM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026
Numerous to widespread chances of showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue through early this evening as a boundary lingers over Southeast TX. With local PWs still ranging around 2.0 inches, some showers could produce locally heavy rainfall with rain rate of 2-3 inches per hour at times. The potential for minor flooding will decrease tonight as rain chances decrease, but expect some ponding of water to persists overnight over locations that had good amounts of rainfall today. One good thing about all the rain and increased cloud coverage is that the highs are expected to peak in the lower to mid 80s for many locations today. It will remain rather warm and muggy though for tonight, with lows expected to range in the lower to mid 70s for much of the inland areas. Isolated showers are possible during the overnight hours.
For Wednesday, we will once again see a few rounds of showers and thunderstorms throughout the day. Coverage should be less than today's but given that soils are pretty saturated from all the rainfall received in the previous days, it wont take much for minor flooding issues to occur in areas of heavy rainfall. WPC has a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) of excessive rainfall for much of Southeast Texas for Wednesday. Make sure to have multiple ways of receiving weather updates and warnings and check road conditions before departing to your destination. Never cross flooded areas and heed all road closures. Temperatures will be slightly warmer on Wednesday with highs peaking in the mid to upper 80s. Similar conditions are expected on Thursday, with the higher rain chances focused mainly over areas west of I-45 (in particular, over the Brazos Valley region).
Conditions are expected to be drier on Friday and continue into early next week as surface high pressure moves over the region. We will also have the typical summer temperatures return by this weekend with highs ranging in the lower to mid 90s by Friday or Saturday along with heat indices in the lower 100s.
Cotto
AVIATION
(00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 620 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026
SHRA has mostly come to an end across the region, but some lingering light rain will be possible over the next few hours. MVFR ceilings may develop around the northern terminals (CXO northward) late tonight into Wednesday morning. The next round of rain is expected to push in from the west early Wednesday morning and will gradually expand in coverage throughout the morning. Embedded TS development is expected late in the morning into the afternoon hours...the highest confidence windows have been added in PROB30s/TEMPOs. Intermittent periods of MVFR/IFR conditions and gusty winds are possible in and near the strongest storms. SH/TS activity will come to an end in the late afternoon hours (generally after 22Z). Winds will mostly be southeasterly around or less than 10 kt outside of any storms. MVFR ceilings may build in near the northern terminals again late Wednesday.
Batiste
MARINE
Issued at 1126 AM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026
Light to occasionally moderate onshore winds and seas of 2-4 feet will continue into early next week. Chance of showers and thunderstorms will continue through Thursday with drier conditions expected Friday into early next week. Winds and seas may be higher in and near stronger storms.
Cotto
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 72 85 72 88 / 20 60 20 50 Houston (IAH) 74 86 75 91 / 20 60 10 30 Galveston (GLS) 82 89 84 90 / 20 50 0 20
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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