textproduct: Houston/Galveston
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A Wind Advisory is in effect Wednesday morning through the early evening for areas along and south of I-10 where southerly winds of 15-25mph with gusts to 35mph will be possible.
- A weak cold front will pass through late Thursday night. Patchy fog near the coast may be possible ahead of the front as the winds relax and moisture increases.
- While a slight cool down will follow the cold front Thursday night, above normal temperatures will continue through the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1127 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
A tightening pressure gradient between low pressure over the Southern Plains and a high pressure over the eastern Gulf will lead to gusty south to southwesterly winds across SE Texas today into Thursday morning. A Wind Advisory has been issued for most areas along and south of I-10 between 9am and 6pm Wednesday as sustained southerly winds of 15-25mph develop with gusts to 30-35mph possible. Winds will begin to lower after sunset, but lingering gusty winds are expected along the immediate coast through Wednesday night. The strong onshore winds will lead to increased moisture across the area with afternoon minimum RH values up into the 40-50 percent range for most inland locations.
The pressure gradient relaxes on Thursday as a weak cold front approaches the region, so winds are expected to lower through the day. This weak cold front will slide through the area late Thursday night, ushering in a brief northerly wind shift that continues into Friday morning. Something to monitor Thursday evening/early nighttime hours will be the potential for some patchy fog to develop along the coast as winds become calm and moisture pools ahead of the front. Not anticipating much, if any, rainfall to accompany the FROPA, but may see an isolated shower over the coastal waters Thursday night into Friday morning.
Upper-level ridging builds into place this weekend into at least the first half of next week leading to continued quiet weather. Unseasonably warm weather will continue through the next week with high temperatures on Wednesday rising into the low to mid 80s in most inland locations and mid to upper 70s along the coast. Expecting Thursday to be the warmest day of the week as warm air builds ahead of the cold front with highs rising into the mid to even upper 80s. A slight cool down is expected on Friday thanks to cold front's passage, but we will still be anticipating high temperatures in the low to mid 80s for most areas with these conditions continuing through the weekend.
Fowler
AVIATION
(12Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 529 AM CST Wed Feb 25 2026
MVFR cloud deck has developed, most impactful near the coast for GLS/LBX. However, sporadic CIGs may be seen at any of the rest of the terminals for short periods, though the prevailing cloud character should be more scattered. After a few hours, cloud decks should lift and scatter, returning us to VFR with south winds 15-25G25-35 for the afternoon. Similar to this morning, expecting potential for MVFR again tomorrow morning. Some guidance hinting at low MVFR, but will stick with SCT decks that low for now, and favor higher MVFR for now.
MARINE
Issued at 1127 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
Moderate to strong onshore winds will generally prevail through Thursday morning with sustained winds of 15-25kt with gusts to 30kt possible, so a Small Craft Advisory is in effect for all waters through 6am Thursday. The strong onshore winds will also lead to building seas to 6-9ft. The winds will lower through Thursday morning, but lingering elevated seas may lead to a continuation of the Small Craft Advisory in the coastal waters into Thursday afternoon/evening. A weak cold front will push through the coastal waters late Thursday night into Friday morning ushering a northwesterly wind shift with winds between 10-15kt. Winds will quickly become easterly then southeasterly through the day on Friday with light onshore flow and low seas prevailing through the weekend.
One thing we are monitoring is the potential for a brief window of patchy sea fog developing Thursday evening into Thursday night ahead of the approaching cold front. Winds will become light ahead of the front, which combined with increasing moisture may lead to the development of that patchy fog. SSTs continue to warm, which will limit the potential, but still something we will continue to monitor in the forecasts ahead. Once the cold front moves through, drier air moves back over the coastal waters ending the limited sea fog threat.
Fowler
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 84 62 86 58 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 81 67 86 64 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 74 65 76 63 / 0 0 10 20
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Wind Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 6 PM CST this evening for TXZ210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-436>439.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for GMZ330-335-350- 355-370-375.
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