textproduct: Houston/Galveston
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Hazardous marine conditions (winds/seas) are expected through early Saturday, with elevated risk of rip currents and minor coastal flooding continuing through Saturday evening.
- Lower humidity through Saturday, resulting in seasonable overnight lows but above normal daytime highs.
- Gradual warming trend into next week with isolated rain chances daily.
- Cold front on the horizon... generally around Friday-Saturday. Cooler fall temps and higher rain chances possible.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1121 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026
Weather will, for the most part, remain benign through the week with highs in the low 90s and lows in the 60s to low 70s. Onshore winds will begin pulling in moisture Saturday through the end of the week. While SE Texas will remain under the influence of a mid- upper level ridge, some showers could develop along the sea breeze each afternoon as it moves inland.
Beyond day 7, models continue to show a cold front sweeping through SE Texas with cooler temperatures on the horizon. While still pretty far off in the forecast, general timing appears to be next weekend.
Bailey
AVIATION
(06Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 142 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026
VFR conditions will remain for the entire TAF cycle. Inland NE winds continue between 5-10kts and relax to LGT and VRB overnight. Along the coast, winds remain slightly elevated. Winds on Saturday pick back up throughout our area in the afternoon between 5-10kts out of the E then shift out of the SSE by evening.
MARINE
Issued at 1121 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026
Wave heights could still reach 6-8 ft at times through tonight, pushing 9 ft in the lightering area. Small Craft Advisories remain in effect through 7 AM Saturday. An increased risk for rip currents will continue through Saturday evening. Conditions improve into Saturday with winds veering southeasterly in the afternoon, then increasing slightly into Sunday. Showers and storms will be possible almost daily with higher rain chances expected next week.
Bailey
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 93 66 93 69 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 91 69 92 72 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 84 78 85 80 / 0 0 0 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for TXZ436>439.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for GMZ350-355- 370-375.
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