textproduct: Houston/Galveston

KEY MESSAGES

- Areas of fog through through the early morning hours, and then possible redevelopment tonight into Wednesday morning.

- Dry conditions with a gradual warming trend are expected through much of the work-week. By mid-week readings may flirt with near record highs at some locations.

- Rain chances low during the work week. Maybe some slight increases heading into Saturday in advance of another Pacific front.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1215 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

Ridging aloft and southerly winds at the surface will lead to warming weather through the work week. Afternoon high temperatures today will rise into the mid to upper 70s, and then into the upper 70s to low 80s on Wednesday. A boundary will approach, then stall near the I-35 corridor Thursday into Friday which will strengthen WAA across SE Texas leading to high temperatures into the low to mid-80s. A passing upper-level disturbance with associated Pacific-based cold front may pass through the area Saturday or Sunday, bringing a cool down to near seasonal weather for the weekend.

Main forecast concern over the next few days will be the potential for patchy to areas of fog/low clouds to develop nightly through at least midweek. Any fog that develops will scatter out by the mid- morning hours giving way to mostly sunny conditions for the afternoon. SE Texas will remain rain-free through mid-week, then some streamer showers will be possible Thursday/Friday as daytime heating and increasing moisture come into play. Shower activity is also possible with the passage of the weekend cold front, but coverage is looking minimal at this time.

Fowler

AVIATION

(06Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 1011 PM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

The forecast for tonight into tomorrow morning continues to feature a MVFR (IFR in some areas) cloud deck that pushes in from the east and south. However, there is growing uncertainty regarding the timing of arrival of sub-VFR conditions. In the 06Z update, we are opting to not significantly change the TAFs. The current forecast leans more on a blend of short-range forecast soundings. But some of our data is suggesting that lower cigs could take longer to build in. In some cases. this data suggests that MVFR/IFR conditions won't occur until almost dawn. Therefore, be advised the amendments will likely occur if the MVFR cloud deck over the Gulf takes longer to spread north and west.

For Tuesday, expected increasing south to south-southeast winds late morning into the afternoon. Sustained winds may approach 15 knots with gusts over 20 knots.

MARINE

Issued at 1215 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

Onshore winds around 10-15kt will prevail through this week with seas around 2-4ft today, and then 3-5ft beginning Wednesday. There may be occasional higher gusts to near 20kt during the overnight periods in the offshore waters tonight and Wednesday night. A weak front may slide through the coastal waters this weekend bringing a northwesterly wind shift, but forecast confidence is low on exactly when this front moves through.

Will need to monitor the potential for some patchy fog the next few nights. Increasing winds and ocean temperatures will limit the potential over the waters, but inland fog may spill out into the northern parts of the Bays during the predawn hours.

Fowler

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

College Station (CLL) 54 78 62 81 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 56 77 63 81 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 60 71 63 73 / 0 0 0 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.