textproduct: Houston/Galveston
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry and warm conditions continue this weekend. Make sure to be prepared for the warmer temperatures if you plan to work or spend time outdoors.
- Daily chance for showers and thunderstorms expected next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Dry and warm conditions are expected to continue this weekend as the as the mid to upper level ridge over East TX and LA continues to dominate the local weather pattern. Expect sunny to partly cloudy skies along with south to southeast winds at around 5 mph. As stated in the past few days, conditions will be warmer through early next week with high temperatures in the lower 90s for much of the inland portions and the upper 80s along the coast. Heat indices are expected to peak in the upper 90s to lower 100s through early next week. Thus, it is recommended to be proactive and be prepared for the heat if you plan to work or spend time outdoors these next few days. Drink plenty of water, take several breaks from the heat/sun, and wear appropriate clothing. Warm nights are also expected with lows rising into the mid 70s for many inland locations and the upper 70s to lower 80s along the coast. We might have high temperatures lower back into the upper 80s closer to the mid-end of the next week.
Models have "backed off" on the rain chances for Sunday night and Monday since we would still be influenced by the mid level ridge. We now have drier conditions for Sunday, and have isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms on Monday, mainly for areas near and south of I-10. These will more likely be those afternoon storms we typically see on a hot summer day ;). Rain chances ebb in the evening as diurnal heating decreases.
Although weak disturbances are expected to pass through throughout the rest of the week, it is not known how much of the ridge will affect our local rain development. For now, it seems that we will have a rinse and repeat pattern of a few showers over the waters and coastal location during the nighttime to morning hours, followed by an increase in showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon to early evening hours as diurnal heating and instability increases. Smells like summer!
Cotto
AVIATION
(12Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 625 AM CDT Sat May 30 2026
All terminals at VFR this morning. Patchy fog has developed across portions of SE Texas, though not expecting significant impacts to terminals. Expect VFR conditions to continue through the rest of the day with another round of patchy fog possible overnight into Sunday morning (mainly usual suspects of KLBX and KCXO)
Bailey
MARINE
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026
Light onshore flow and seas of 1 to 3 feet are expected through mid-week. Light to occasionally moderate east to southeast winds may develop from mid-week to the end of the work week. Chance for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected daily next week. Stronger winds and locally higher seas can occur in and around strong thunderstorms.
Cotto
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 91 73 91 75 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 93 75 91 76 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 87 79 87 80 / 0 0 0 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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