textproduct: Houston/Galveston

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- A weak cold front will pass through on Thursday. Patchy fog near the coast may be possible ahead of the front as the winds relax and moisture increases.

- While a slight cool down will follow the cold front Thursday night, above normal temperatures will continue through the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1115 PM CST Wed Feb 25 2026

Wednesday was quite windy across SE Texas with widespread peak wind gusts around 30-40mph with the highest gust being reported at the Angleton ASOS (KLBX) with a peak gust of 55mph shortly before 1pm. Breezy conditions will continue through around sunrise Thursday, but then an approaching cold front front the north with weaken the pressure gradient across the area, thus lowering the winds through the day. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies and high temperatures in the low to mid 80s across most the area. Patchy fog will be possible beginning late Thursday evening into Thursday night, especially along the coast. Once the fog is through, the fog threat will end. This FROPA will be a dry one with little to no rainfall expected, other than a slight chance of isolated showers along the coast Thursday night.

Friday will see clearing skies and begin with light northerly winds that quickly become easterly through the afternoon, then southeasterly by sunset. A return to lower relative humidity values is also expected on Friday with afternoon minimum values in the 30-40% range for most inland portions of the region, and only modest improvements are expected through the weekend.

No significant pattern change is expected through the start of next week with ridging building aloft and light southerly flow at the surface. This will keep high temperatures in the low to mid 80s through at least Monday. Increasing cloud cover is expected by Tuesday as the upper-level ridge begins to slide to the east, so may see a slight decrease in afternoon high temperatures.

Fowler

AVIATION

(12Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 525 AM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

MVFR cigs over most SE TX TAF sites through around 15Z this morning, then gradually lifting and scattering for most inland locations. Winds will be southerly at around 10 knots in the morning and then become VRB during the afternoon as a dry, weak cold front moves through. Winds will remain light and VRB tonight. Low cigs will return Thu night and areas of fog will develop overnight into early Fri, leading to IFR-MVFR vis/cigs.

Cotto

MARINE

Issued at 1115 PM CST Wed Feb 25 2026

Moderate to strong onshore winds will continue through daybreak Thursday, then slowly decrease through the morning. Seas, which have climbed to 7-10ft, will also lower through the day on Thursday, but at a slower pace than the winds. So, have extended the Small Craft Advisory for the coastal waters through 18z, but may even need to be extended further for the offshore waters. Light onshore flow and seas 4-6ft are expected by sunset Thursday, but the light winds and increasing moisture ahead of an approaching weak front will lead to the potential of patchy sea fog.

Main window for sea fog development will be late Thursday evening through late Thursday night/early Friday morning when the cold front slides through ending the sea fog threat. This fog potential is very conditional: warming SSTs, how quickly moisture can build ahead of the front, and timing of the slow moving front are all complicating the forecast. Mariners should monitor the forecast and current conditions tomorrow night if the fog materializes.

A brief period of light offshore winds will occur Friday morning behind the front, but the light winds quickly turn easterly by Friday afternoon, then southeasterly by Friday evening. Light onshore flow and low seas will prevail through at least the start of next week.

Fowler

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

College Station (CLL) 85 59 85 58 / 0 10 0 0 Houston (IAH) 85 64 84 62 / 0 10 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 73 64 72 62 / 10 10 10 0

HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for GMZ330-335.

Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ350-355-370-375.


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