textproduct: Houston/Galveston
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Cool and dry this weekend. - Hazardous marine conditions expected with elevated winds/seas through tonight. Slowly improving conditions are anticipated throughout Sunday.
- Warmer temperatures return next week, but just seasonable in nature.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1137 PM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026
Inland winds have finally relaxed behind the front to be out of the N around 5-10 mph. As is typical for the first significant cold front of the season, our marine regions aren't out of the woods quite yet. Winds remain elevated over our waters tonight requiring a Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM then transitioning to Small Craft Exercise Caution until 7 PM Sunday. Likewise, a High Rip Current Risk is in effect until Sunday morning. By the afternoon, wind concerns are mostly dissipated region-wide, with light NE winds turning easterly during the day on Sunday. Temperatures are in the low-mid 70s with lows in the upper 40s for our northernmost counties and lower 60s along the coast. Overall, we'll wrap up our weekend cool, dry, and mostly sunny.
As high pressure continues settling in to the NE and flow becomes largely out of the east, temperatures will slowly climb throughout the workweek. By Thursday, highs will be in the upper 80s with patches of us in the low 90s. On the bright side, these will be mostly dry highs, with dew points staying at and below 65. Speaking of moisture, rain chances are also low throughout the week as our typical Gulf moisture is pushed mostly to our west, keeping PWATs between 0.5-1". Tuesday sees a surface trough develop along our coast, bringing the biggest chance of rain for the week, though the primary rainfall will be over the waters. By and large, expect a dry, calm, mostly sunny week with temperatures slowly climbing in the absence of rain and northerly winds.
BSM
AVIATION
(12Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 512 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
VFR conditions prevail with light northerly winds early this morning becoming east-northeasterly later this morning between 5-10 kt. Winds become light and variable overnight followed by another round of light east-northeast to east winds on Monday.
Batiste
MARINE
Issued at 1137 PM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026
Winds remain elevated behind the front, requiring a Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM Sunday, then a Small Craft Exercise Caution takes effect until 7pm Sunday. A High Rip Current Risk is also in effect until 7 AM Sunday. By Sunday afternoon, winds abate to around 15 kts out of the NE. Our next points of concern are winds approaching 20 kts out of the E Monday and Tuesday where seas could elevate to 3-6 ft. Offshore showers are possible Monday and Tuesday, where locally elevated winds and seas around showers could occur.
BSM
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 73 49 77 52 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 74 54 78 57 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 73 67 76 68 / 0 0 0 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...High Rip Current Risk until 7 AM CDT this morning for TXZ436>439.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ335.
Small Craft Should Exercise Caution through this evening for GMZ350-355-370-375.
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