textproduct: Greenville-Spartanburg
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Precipitation chances have trended slightly higher for the coming weekend.
Updated the aviation discussion for the 18z TAF issuance.
KEY MESSAGES
1. Dry conditions persist over our region through at least Friday with temperatures warming to above normal. Rain chances increase this weekend.
DISCUSSION
Key message 1: Dry conditions persist over our region through at least Friday with temperatures warming to above normal. Rain chances increase this weekend.
Relatively pleasant week ahead with high pressure remaining parked over the southeast through at least Friday. This keeps rain chances away and conditions dry. After a small dip in daytime highs over the past weekend, temps slowly creep back to normal and a tick over toward the end of the week. Toward the end of the work week, a slight increase in surface moisture warms overnight lows gradually, keeping freezing temps and frost chances away.
By Saturday, guidance depicts a kink in the general upper flow to the west, developing a series of shortwaves that could cross the CWA and increase rain chances. At this time, it lines up with a surge in moisture at the surface and could bring some rain. At this time, the chances for receiving 1 inch of rain or more across any location in the area is only 25-30%. Highest chances are for Sunday. Confidence in this potential system remains low to medium.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
At KCLT and elsewhere: VFR conditions prevail across all terminals through the TAF period. N/NE winds remain light to VRB into the overnight hours. Same for Tuesday. Cigs are SKC and SCT/FEW250 for the period. KAVL may have another round of BR between 08-13z, but should remain MVFR at worst.
Outlook: Mostly VFR conditions through the work week. Mountain valley fog and low stratus possible each morning. Restrictions may return for the weekend.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None. NC...None. SC...None.
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