textproduct: Greenville-Spartanburg
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
The aviation discussion was updated for the 12z TAF issuance.
KEY MESSAGES
1. Dry through much of next week with above normal highs returning each afternoon. Below normal lows stick around this weekend before above normal lows return next week.
DISCUSSION
Key message 1: Dry through much of next week with above normal highs returning each afternoon. Below normal lows stick around this weekend before above normal lows return next week.
Cyclonic flow remains aloft through early next week across much of the East Coast. Upper ridging then builds across the Southeast by mid-week, lingering over the region through the end of the forecast period. At the surface, dry high pressure dominates the pattern across the Southeast through at least Thursday. Moisture may return as early as Friday, per the latest run of the Canadian, but confidence is low as both the the GFS and EURO continue to show dry conditions lingering through Friday. NBM PoPs are trending much lower for Thursday. For Friday, NBM still depicts chance PoPs area- wide. Thinking NBM PoPs are potentially overdone on Friday as moisture is more likely to return by next weekend. Lows remain below normal through Sunday night before above normal lows return next week. Above normal highs return today and linger through the rest of the forecast period.
AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
At KCLT and elsewhere: Expect dry, VFR conditions to continue thru the 12z TAF period. We've seen some mtn valley fog and low stratus develop over the usual locations over the past few hrs, but it's looking like it won't reach KAVL this morning. Otherwise, skies should remain mostly clear thru the TAF period with winds favoring a N to NW direction thru the period. KAVL will likely see some low-end gusts this afternoon/evening.
Outlook: Dry, VFR conditions should persist into the middle of next week, however mtn valley fog/low stratus will be possible each morning.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None. NC...None. SC...None.
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