textproduct: Grand Rapids

KEY MESSAGES

- Quiet Weather early this week then Storminess

DISCUSSION

Issued at 255 AM EST Sun Feb 15 2026

- Quiet Weather early this week then Storminess

Quiet weather pattern continues as a southern stream low tracks south of Lower Michigan today. The northern stream remains separate with a clipper low passing north of Lower Michigan on Monday. We will have to watch model and radar trends tonight to see if any light precip will reach the northern forecast area Monday morning as suggested by some model guidance. Milder temperatures continue as the polar jet remains to the north until later this week.

The next chance for precipitation is late Tuesday into Wednesday in an area of warm advection and isentropic ascent with enough moisture to bring rain or mixed precip with the highest chances across the northern forecast area. Thermal profiles of model forecast soundings show potential for freezing rain across the northern forecast area, where there have been a few freezing rain episodes during previous periods of milder temperatures this winter.

A second wave of low pressure late in the week could also bring rain/mixed precipitation which should change to snow by late Friday as cold air filters in on the back side of the low.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 643 AM EST Sun Feb 15 2026

Patchy ground fog early this morning with visbys 3 to 5 miles then VFR conditions into Sunday night. Could be areas of MVFR and patchy VFR with shallow ground fog again late tonight.

GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...None.