textproduct: Grand Rapids
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Clearing tonight, dry through Wednesday
- Warmer than normal temperatures through mid week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 138 PM EST Sat Nov 7 2026
- Clearing tonight, dry through Wednesday
The upper low that created showers yesterday is exiting the state to the east. Visible satellite loop shows a well defined back edge to the clouds and clearing has reached the lake shore. As the upper low moves east and ridging builds in from the west, the clearing will move across the rest of the cwa this afternoon/evening.
The upper flow pattern across the northern tier of states is generally northwest to southeast. Typical of this time of year, short waves moving through the flow will cross the state frequently. The next wave will move through Sunday followed by another wave over northern Lower Tuesday. A much more robust short wave will dig south across the Great Lakes Wednesday night and Thursday. The wave that moves through Sunday has little moisture with it and we won't see anything more than clouds late tonight and Sunday morning.
The short wave Tuesday moves across Lake Superior and won't produce much more than some clouds Tuesday night and Wednesday.
The deeper wave Wednesday/Thursday may give us some precipitation, depending on where the surface low ends up. Models are showing the surface low moving across the northern OH Valley Wednesday/Thursday and would pull the precipitation south. The exception may be for the lake shore area with persistent north flow and colder temperatures may produce some lake effect rain showers. For now, we'll
- Warmer than normal temperatures through mid week
Highs are expected in the mid 50s to lower 60s through Wednesday, before cooling into the 40s Thursday/Friday. Normal highs are around 50.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
Issued at 632 PM EST Sat Nov 7 2026
Skies have finally cleared for tonight with the low pressure system departing to the east. The next low pressure trough approaching from the northwest will wash a weak front over the area Sunday morning. The HRRR and RRFS are indicating likely ceilings below 2,000 feet and down to IFR for a time Sunday morning into early afternoon. Conditions will deteriorate from northwest to southeast. Improvement may occur Sunday afternoon with cloud bases climbing above 2,000 feet and going broken to scattered.
GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EST Monday for LMZ844>849.
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