textproduct: Grand Rapids
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Upper Low Brings Rain Wednesday then Cooler
DISCUSSION
Issued at 137 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
- Upper Low Brings Rain Wednesday then Cooler
Height falls commence this evening as shortwave upper ridging is replaced by a slow moving upper low the next couple days. Still looks like the bulk of the convective rains will remain south of the forecast area with total QPF through Thursday generally less than a quarter inch.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon but dry slotting occurs rather quickly as the surface low tracks across Wisconsin and the Michigan U.P. Then cooler and showery weather Thursday and Friday with wraparound moisture and some lake enhancement as mid level thermal trough axis moves through.
Models have trended further north with the Sunday clipper and associated precip looks to stay to the north.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 624 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
South-southeast winds around 10 knots and VFR conditions persist this evening with ceilings at or above 4,000 feet. Low level wind shear develops tonight after 03 or 04 and will begin to abate around 12 Z in favor of more surface gusts. Rain showers and MVFR ceilings are also expected to move in around that time. The HRRR indicates rain showers may produce temporary IFR visibility during the day Wednesday.
CLIMATE
Issued at 615 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
Daily record maximum temperatures for November 3 (and the most recent occurrence) are as follows:
Grand Rapids (GRR): 76 degrees (2015) Lansing (LAN): 77 degrees (2015) Kalamazoo (AZO): 74 degrees (2015) Muskegon (MKG): 70 degrees (2022) Battle Creek (BTL): 75 degrees (2015) Holland (BIV): 76 degrees (1938)
Daily record warm minimum temperatures for November 3:
Grand Rapids (GRR): 59 degrees (1938) Lansing (LAN): 58 degrees (1987) Kalamazoo (AZO): 56 degrees (2005) Muskegon (MKG): 57 degrees (2008) Battle Creek (BTL): 55 degrees (1977) Holland (BIV): 58 degrees (1938)
GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for LMZ844>846. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for LMZ847>849.
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