textproduct: Grand Rapids

KEY MESSAGES

- Upper Low Brings Rain Wednesday then Cooler

DISCUSSION

Issued at 137 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Upper Low Brings Rain Wednesday then Cooler

Height falls commence this evening as shortwave upper ridging is replaced by a slow moving upper low the next couple days. Still looks like the bulk of the convective rains will remain south of the forecast area with total QPF through Thursday generally less than a quarter inch.

Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon but dry slotting occurs rather quickly as the surface low tracks across Wisconsin and the Michigan U.P. Then cooler and showery weather Thursday and Friday with wraparound moisture and some lake enhancement as mid level thermal trough axis moves through.

Models have trended further north with the Sunday clipper and associated precip looks to stay to the north.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1240 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

Active weather is expected at various points throughout the TAF period. At the start, some lingering low level wind shear is expected, and this should diminish early this morning. Ceilings and precipitation chances then become the main concern, as light rain and MVFR ceilings will spread into all terminals for a few hours from early to mid morning.

After light rain clears briefly from late morning to early afternoon, scattered convective showers are expected to develop ahead of a passing occluded front. While we can't rule out a stray strike of lighting and locally stronger wind gust, probabilities are too low to include in the TAF. Showers will end by late afternoon as the front passes through. Breezy south winds will reduce slightly and veer to the southwest behind the front, and MVFR ceilings should largely persist.

CLIMATE

Issued at 615 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026

Daily record maximum temperatures for November 3 (and the most recent occurrence) are as follows:

Grand Rapids (GRR): 76 degrees (2015) Lansing (LAN): 77 degrees (2015) Kalamazoo (AZO): 74 degrees (2015) Muskegon (MKG): 70 degrees (2022) Battle Creek (BTL): 75 degrees (2015) Holland (BIV): 76 degrees (1938)

Daily record warm minimum temperatures for November 3:

Grand Rapids (GRR): 59 degrees (1938) Lansing (LAN): 58 degrees (1987) Kalamazoo (AZO): 56 degrees (2005) Muskegon (MKG): 57 degrees (2008) Battle Creek (BTL): 55 degrees (1977) Holland (BIV): 58 degrees (1938)

GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for LMZ847>849.