textproduct: Goodland
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Northwesterly winds today will be gusting up around 40-45 MPH today.
- Windy conditions possible again mid week.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 1001 AM MST Sat Jan 10 2026
Sunshine has slowly been increasing in coverage across the area through the morning hours. As the sunshine breaks through, temperatures should warm into the 40s for the afternoon hours. The exception is for locales south of US 40 that still have snow on the ground as they are likely to peak in the 30s. As temperatures warm and we begin to mix out, winds and wind gusts should increase, especially around the Tri-State border area. With winds forecast to be around 30-35 kts between 850-700mb, gusts should generally be in the 30-40 mph range for the Tri-State border area with maybe a few gusts near 50. The rest of the area is more likely to see gusts in the 20-35 mph range.
Tonight, the upper trough is forecast to push more to the east, leading to the high pressure over spreading the area and weakening the pressure gradient. This should allow winds to lighten to around 5-10 mph. In spite of the light winds and skies that are forecast to be mostly clear, temperatures should be a bit warmer tonight in the 20s with higher dewpoints across the area. Locales with snowpack still in place could still drop into the teens.
Tomorrow, the area is forecast to be under broad northwest flow as the upper ridge tries to push a little more east. With this, winds should be light through the day, with speeds around 10 mph and maybe a few gusts around 20 mph. The lighter winds are what is keeping the fire weather concern down, as relative humidity is forecast to drop into the teens. The combination of dewpoints in the teens and twenties with temperatures warming into the 50s due to warm air advection and mostly sunny skies are the reason we are forecast to be dry.
Tomorrow night, there is a low chance that some mid to high level moisture will move over the area and keep cloud cover over the area. If this occurs, temperatures would likely stay in the 30s. Otherwise, similar conditions to Saturday night with temperatures in the 20s and light winds around 5 to 10 mph are forecast.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Issued at 115 AM MST Sat Jan 10 2026
Northwest flow continues over the central plains with precipitation chances slim to none. Models still suggesting some light precipitation possible Tuesday night/Wednesday (mainly ECMWF) with an embedded shortwave, but GFS has gone completely dry. A stronger shortwave comes through late in the week which will bring cooler temperatures, but little, if any, precipitation. Otherwise, may see breezy to occasionally windy conditions Wednesday through Friday, but model spread in peak gusts remains quite high. Should the higher end gusts materialize may see some blowing dust chances Wednesday or Thursday with the prolonged mild and dry conditions and favorable mixing heights, though by Friday mixing heights may be too high. Fire weather may also be a concern Thursday and Friday as relative humidity drops into the teens or lower 20s. Temperature trends show highs in the 60s Monday and Tuesday, 50s Wednesday and Thursday, and 40s on Friday, all above normal for this time of year. Lows will be in the 20s and 30s.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 1001 AM MST Sat Jan 10 2026
For KGLD & KMCK... VFR conditions are forecast through the period. The only possible concern is a 10% chance for KMCK to see ceilings around 1000ft between 06-12Z as a narrow band of moisture moves through. The forecast currently has that a county or two east of the terminal. For both terminals, winds should remain roughly from the northwest around 20 kts with gusts to around 30 kts through this afternoon. Once the sun sets, winds should go a bit more westerly with speeds around 10 kts. Low level wind shear is forecast to be present from 00-09Z until the upper troughs shift east and relax the winds above the surface.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.
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