textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- A warming trend will follow, this afternoon through midweek.

- Our next system looks to occur Friday, thankfully major impacts are not expected.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1115 AM MST Mon Jan 26 2026

Today looks comparatively mild as a weak ridge builds into the Great Basin, leaving us under northwesterly flow aloft. Temperatures in the snowpacked area will likely top out around freezing while areas to the northwest will warm closer to 40. Winds overnight tonight look to remain westerly, which will keep temperatures warmer than they have been, but will largely be in the single digits. Wind chills are expected to -7 to 0. There's a 20% chance areas with remaining snowpack will cool an additional 5 degrees, for both air temperature and wind chills.

Tuesday, a shortwave trough looks to propogate through the northwesterly flow in the midday. However, with only some mild upper level moisture, no precipitation is likely with this wave. Temperatures will have a pretty strong gradient tomorrow. In the western CWA, temperatures will warm into the mid 40s while areas in the east/southeastern CWA, where the snowpack remains, temperatures will struggle to climb out of the 30s.

Temperatures and wind chills Tuesday night are forecast to remain in the teens in areas with no snowpack, but will cool to around 10 in the snowy area. Wind chills look to be about 5-10 degrees cooler than air temperatures, generally remaining above 0.

Wednesday, a trough over the northwestern CONUS will move farther in- land, weakening the ridge over the Great Basin as the ridge moves closer to the High Plains. The ridge is expected to remain intact to keep the sky mostly clear during the day. There's a 40% chance an 850 mb high forms over Texas Wednesday, allowing southwesterly flow in the low levels into the CWA. This will allow temperatures to warm a decent amount, with the NBM suggesting highs in the 50s across most of the area. While areas west and north of a line from Tribune to Oberlin could very well see some 50 degree temperatures, the NBM is likely failing to account for remaining snowpack southeast of the line. Any areas that still have snowpack Wednesday will likely only top out in the low 40s.

Wednesday night, the aforementioned trough from the northwestern CONUS will be coming over the Rockies and likely impacting the High Plains a bit. We can at least expect increased cloud cover overnight, allowing temperatures to remain in the mid to upper teens across most of the area. Once again, remaining snowpack will lower local temperatures to the low teens. There is a 10% chance eastern Colorado gets some light snow from this system, but most models show a dry low-level layer, preventing any precipitation.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 222 PM MST Mon Jan 26 2026

Thursday, our county warning area (CWA) is in a split upper level pattern ahead of a weak ridge. An upper level low present in the Great Lakes region will sweep a cold front through our area on Thursday. This begins a cooling trend with high temperatures forecast in the 40s for the western half of the CWA and the 30s for the eastern half. Lows are forecast in the teens for the majority of the CWA. The northeastern portion of the the CWA is forecast to have lows in the single digits with wind chill values close to or below zero.

Overnight Thursday into Friday, we start to see an increase in chances for precipitation. Despite model agreement on higher levels of saturation for our area, we are still dry enough at the surface that precipitation chances with this system are fairly low. Probability of Precipitation (PoPs) range from 5-25% overnight into Friday with the northeast counties on the higher end of PoPs. If precipitation were to occur, it would most likely be light snow due to cooler temperatures and lack of moisture at the surface.

Saturday, we continue to cool with highs forecast in the 30s and lows in the teens to low single digits. The upper level low in the Great Lakes deepens region while the ridge to our west propagates towards our area. When the ridge is over our CWA, it places us in the left exit region of a jet streak maximum. This increases our PoPs for the area to 15-30% due to increased upper level support. Saturation near the surface is the big question when it comes to if we will get any snow Saturday.

The jet maximum quickly exits our region returning us to more mild northwest flow aloft. Mostly clear skies return and temperatures warm back up Sunday and Monday with high temperatures in the 50s and lows in the 20s.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 406 PM MST Mon Jan 26 2026

VFR expected to prevail at both KGLD and KMCK through the TAF period with light surface winds and occasional high clouds.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.