textproduct: Goodland
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Hot Sunday and Monday nearing the triple digits.
- Storm chances may return early next week as well as slightly cooler temperatures.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 1136 AM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026
The remainder of the daytime hours are forecast to see highs around the mid 90s and winds from the southeast at 10 mph as we remain under an upper level ridge. There is still enough low to mid level moisture that cumulus clouds have been developing, likely leading to a mix of clouds and clear skies.
Tonight, winds are forecast to become light as surface pressure across much of the Plains is forecast to be nearly the same. With mostly clear skies, temperatures are forecast to cool to near dewpoints in the upper 50s (west) to mid 60s (east).
Saturday, while the upper ridge is forecast to amplify a bit more, the overall pattern is not forecast to be much different from today. With this, a near rinse and repeat of Friday with highs in the mid 90s and winds from the southeast around 10 mph is forecast. Some scattered late morning to afternoon clouds are also likely again as temperatures heat up.
Saturday night, the broken record continues with a repeat of tonight. Mostly clear skies, temperatures in the 60s, and light winds are forecast.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Issued at 154 PM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026
Model continue to be in good agreement with the upper air pattern for this part of the forecast. The upper level ridge continues to essentially center over the forecast area Sunday and Monday. Highs look to be warmest on Monday, reaching 100F. Ensemble data shows high probability for highs to be over 100 over the north and east half of the forecast area. As such, highs may rise a couple more degrees for Monday over the coming days. Current forecast has heat index values of 100F over most of the forecast area, with spots of 102F heat index east of Highway 23.
A cold front will move through Monday night as the ridge shifts south due to an upper level short wave trough pushing the trough southward. This will start the chances for rain for the week. The western part of the forecast area continues to have the highest chances for rainfall. The best chance for rainfall for the entire forecast area continues to be Wednesday night. However, chances for rainfall continue through the rest of the week as upper level short wave troughs round the ridge and move over the forecast area. The main question is how far east the storms will move before weakening. How far east the storms are able to move will depend upon how far east the instability will be.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 514 PM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026
VFR conditions forecast for the TAFs. Light south to southeasterly winds are expected for the TAF. Despite the easterly winds, the dew point depression will remain large enough to prevent fog from forming.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.
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