textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- Could see patchy fog develop south of I-70/Hwy 24 Thursday morning.

- A bit on the warm side with highs in the 80s and low 90s through the weekend. - Increased fire danger is forecast Friday and Saturday, especially for counties along the Colorado border. Relative humidity may drop into the teens with gusts around 30-35 mph.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1203 AM MDT Thu Oct 8 2026

Current observations have the upper ridge extending over the area with the main jet stream north of the area. With the weak upper flow in place, the low level flow is also weak and keeping winds around 5- 10 mph. The area currently remains dry throughout much of the air column, allowing for clear skies. This should continue into the daytime hours short of maybe a few quick patches of fog from easterly upslope flow. With the sunny skies and lack of airmass change, temperatures should be fairly similar to yesterday with highs in the 80s. Winds are forecast to generally remain around 10 mph through much of the day, though a few gusts to 20-25 mph are not out of the question if the broad surface low over the area can deepen at all. Clear skies are expected again tonight short of maybe a few passing high clouds if some high terrain showers can develop well west of the area. Lows should drop into the 50s again.

Friday, an upper trough is forecast to push into the Northwestern United States and help develop and push a surface low into the High/Northern Plains. As the low develops through the day, winds should increase from the south with speeds reaching 15-20 mph. Gusts are forecast to reach 30-35 mph. This does pose a concern for critical fire weather conditions with the surface low trying to bring in even drier surface air, along with the continued highs in the 80s and low 90s. For now, the best chance is in Yuma and Kit Carson counties, along with surrounding areas. For now though, it looks like the dries air may not make it into the aforementioned counties until late in the afternoon. Then if it does, winds may lighten depending on how the low center moves in. In short, expect briefly critical fire weather conditions in Eastern Colorado Friday afternoon. Otherwise, expect more sunny skies, even with the advancing low as the air will likely be too dry and the main upper jet remain north of the area.

Saturday, Hurricane Isaias is forecast to push into the Gulf Region/Ohio River Valley. This will help jam up the upstream flow, with the upper trough over the northwest forecast to amplify in place. For the Tri-State area, this will also jam up things over the area and likely lead to very similar condition in comparison to Friday. Highs are forecast to be in the 80s and low 90s, winds should pick from the south at 15-20 gust 30-35 mph, and sunny skies should prevail. We may see a few high clouds push in if the upper trough deepens enough and pulls the upper jet closer to the area. Briefly critical fire weather conditions may be possible again for Eastern Colorado and adjacent areas, though the low may influence more of that area and cut the winds compared to the rest of the area. We would then have the driest conditions offset from the stronger winds.

Precipitation is not expected with the forecast dry air in place Friday and Saturday. At best, a quick sprinkle may be able to push in from the west, the sprinkles/showers develop in the first place.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 254 AM MDT Thu Oct 8 2026

On Sunday, we can expect slight ridging over the area. The region will likely be between the remnants of Hurricane Isaias and a large trough over the western United States. With this setup we will likely be above average temperatures in the low to mid 80s. Winds are forecast to be from the southwest at 15 to 20 mph. With the upper-level southwest flow, a few clouds should pass over the area with the mid- to upper-level moisture moving through.

For Monday through Thursday, the upper-level trough swings through from the southwest that could potentially bring in a cold front Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning. This pattern should bring chances of showers into the area. with the chances of showers, it is unclear exactly where and when these showers will be. However, the showers will likely be light over the area. Temperatures are forecast to be in the 70s and then 60s. There is some uncertainty with the timing of the cold front as it could either slow down or speed up. If the cold front slows down, we could expect showers to be later in Thursday with warmer temperatures. However, if the cold front speeds up we will have showers much earlier than expected with the majority of the showers happening on Wednesday and cooler temperatures.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 502 AM MDT Thu Oct 8 2026

For KGLD & KMCK... VFR conditions with mostly clear skies are expected through the period. Winds are forecast to remain around 5-10 kts through the first 6 hours, with the direction varying at KMCK between NE and SE. Winds are forecast to pick up around 18-20Z with speed closer to 10-15 kts and gusts of 20-25 kts.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.