textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures warming to above normal through the upcoming week.

- Precipitation chances return next weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1200 AM MDT Mon Oct 19 2026

Upper ridge over the Southern Plains will gradually amplify through the period ahead of an upper low moving into southern California. Mostly dry conditions are expected, although a very isolated shower may occur with embedded waves in the southwest flow (less than 20% chance) through the period. Main story will be warming temperatures under the ridge, with upper 70s expected by Wednesday. Breezy south winds gusting up to 30 mph will develop on Tuesday as the lee trough deepens in Colorado. Some patchy fog will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday mornings with increasing dew points and saturated conditions.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 213 AM MDT Sun Oct 18 2026

Starting on Wednesday and through Friday, the area is expected to be under an upper-level ridge that amplifies towards the northeast. As the ridge amplifies, a trough system to the southwest begins to move east putting us into southwesterly flow. With this setup, we would likely see temperatures remain above seasonal, starting in the 70s and building into the 80s on Friday. Winds are forecast to pick up from 5-10 mph to over 20 mph from the south. With the upper-level southwesterly flow, cloud cover is also expected to build over the area as mid- to upper-level moisture moves through.

During the weekend, the upper level pattern transitions into elongated zonal flow after the trough moves over the area Saturday morning. With this change in pattern, this should bring a cold front through the area creating a chances of showers into the area Saturday morning and ending Sunday morning. However with the chances of showers, it is unclear when the showers could occur as forecast guidance starts to show growing uncertainty on timing of the trough system. If the trough speeds up, this would lead the cold front to pass through Friday night and could showers to occur all throughout Saturday. If the trough slows down, we could expect the cold front to pass through Saturday afternoon and pushing the timing of showers overnight and ending midday Sunday. Once the cold front passes through, temperatures are forecast to be back in the 70s with a few lingering clouds over the area.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1121 PM MDT Sun Oct 18 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period at both KGLD and KMCK. Winds will remain light, though a surface boundary moving eastward across the area will make the wind direction variable throughout most of the period.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.