textproduct: Goodland
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for the entire area through this morning.
- Mild conditions are forecast, but fog is possible each morning through at least Saturday.
- An active weather pattern may develop late this week, bringing potential for more widespread precipitation throughout the weekend and early next week.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 241 AM MDT Tue Oct 27 2026
Friday, our region is forecast to be mainly in a southwesterly upper- level flow with a developing trough in the Pacific Northwest (PNW). Sunday, a second deep digging trough over the Pacific Ocean will move inland. This will interact with the existing trough over the PNW, but models diverge on how this interaction will play out. The track and evolution of these troughs will determine our precipitation chances heading into early next week.
Currently, the first trough is forecast to become more of a cut off low sometime late Friday/early Saturday. This would favor more widespread precipitation chances as it would generally keep our region in a southwest upper-level flow with various embedded shortwaves being ejected across the area Friday through at least Tuesday. Current Probability of Precipitation (PoPs) are around 20- 60% Friday through Monday, increasing west to east. Precipitation is expected to generally be showers. Instability is overall weak Friday with modest lapse rates and spotty CAPE values of <500 J/kg, so a weak thunderstorm or two isn't out of the question if it is able to tap into the weak instability in the environment.
Monday has the potential to be a windy day with gusts up to 50 mph possible for eastern Colorado. This will also depend on how the upper-level troughs and precipitation chances pan out, but something to keep an eye on.
Temperature wise, Friday is expected to be pleasant with high temperatures forecast in the 60s to 70s. Saturday through Monday, we cool slightly with highs in the 60s. Overnight Monday into Tuesday, temperatures could approach freezing across our Colorado counties, with the potential for our first snow of the season. Confidence remains low overall due to uncertainty in the weekend forecast, especially given that it is 7 days out.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1136 PM MDT Tue Oct 27 2026
Most of the area is socked in at quarter mile visibilities, including both KGLD and KMCK. Fog is expected to keep both terminals at airport minimums through about 15 or 16Z. KGLD will rapidly transition into VFR conditions once fog lifts, as cloud cover should be eroded by then. However, KMCK will take a bit longer to transition away from LIFR, with fog and low ceilings hanging around until about 18Z. VFR conditions would be expected afterward. Winds will primarily be light and variable at both airports through the TAF period. Fog is not expected again at either terminal until just after 06Z 10/29, though fog has come in ahead of guidance with this pattern, which could indicate fog potential at the very end of the period as well.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ this morning for KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042. CO...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM MDT this morning for COZ090>092. NE...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ this morning for NEZ079>081.
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