textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures expected through the remainder of the work week.

- Areas of fog this morning and again Thursday morning.

- Breezy to windy on Thursday and Friday. Areas of blowing dust possible on Friday as winds increase.

- Precipitation chances return over the weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1200 AM MDT Wed Oct 21 2026

Southwest flow aloft continues through the period, between a ridge axis over the Central Plains and an upper trough slowly making its way into the Desert Southwest. Precipitation chances remain slim to none, though can't completely rule out a stray isolated shower as has occurred the last couple of days with weak embedded waves in the southwest flow. There may be a slightly better chance late Friday night with a stronger shortwave ejecting from the base of the trough to the west, but timing is suspect and it may hold off until Saturday. Most locations will be dry through the period. Areas of fog will develop both this morning and again Thursday morning, possibly more widespread as low level moisture continues to increase. Breezy to windy conditions will be possible both Thursday and Friday, especially at night assuming the boundary layer remains mixed and can bring down the stronger gusts of the strengthening low level jet. NBM means show gusts of 30-40 mph on Thursday and 40-60 mph on Friday, highest in Colorado where probabilities of meeting High Wind criteria (58 mph) are currently around 30% by Friday afternoon. If the stronger winds materialize on Friday may see some blowing dust as well with mixing heights favorable at around 5.5 kft.

Temperatures through the period will be above normal under the ridge. Highs will be in the 70s and 80s and lows in the 40s and 50s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 202 AM MDT Tue Oct 20 2026

On Friday, Southwesterly flow aloft persist over the area as the trough to the southwest starts to move northeastward. Towards the surface, the area is forecast to be in between a low-pressure system off to the northern Rocky Mountain Piedmont region and a high pressure system to the east. this will likely cause some breezy conditions within the forecast area with higher winds favored over the US 385 corridor. Wind speeds are expected to be between 20 and 30 mph with possible gusts over 40 mph from the south. With this being said, afternoon temperatures are forecast to be in the mid 70s to low 80s as cloud coverage starts to decrease later in the day.

Over the weekend, southwesterly flow aloft will start to slowly shift into zonal flow later Sunday night. This should allow a cold front to pass through early Saturday morning. While there are unfavorable conditions for severe weather, a possible weak thunderstorm could occur as CAPE is the main driving factor with values above 500 J/kg. While confidence for showers is medium to high (55-75%), confidence for thunderstorms is low (25%). If precipitation occurs, it is favored to occur east of K-25.On Sunday, lingering showers from Saturday could occur as a possible surface low-pressure is forecast to form to the west of the area and draw in moisture from the south. There is low to medium confidence (25-40%) that showers may occur as forecast guidance becomes inconsistent over the area. Once the cold front passes, afternoon temperatures should settle back down into seasonal averages being in the 60s

Monday, the upper-level pattern becomes unclear as forecast guidance presents a couple of possible scenarios. The first scenario is continuing zonal flow over the northern CONUS that may keep afternoon temperatures in the 60s. The second scenario is that an upper-level ridge could form to the west and bring in a secondary cold front, lowering afternoon temperatures into the 50s. Otherwise, it is likely to be partly cloudy with calm winds from the south throughout the day.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1146 PM MDT Tue Oct 20 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail at KGLD through the TAF period, with generally light and variable winds. However, the same cannot be said for KMCK, as fog is expected to develop across Southwest Nebraska tonight starting around 09Z. This is supported by satellite showing cloud cover nearly eroded over KMCK, in addition to dewpoints remaining in the upper 40s to lower 50s tonight. LIFR conditions are forecast starting around 10Z, as guidance has suggested that fog will be dense with visibilities at or below a quarter mile. VFR conditions are expected to return around 16Z for KMCK, with light and variable winds through the period.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.