textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- Above average temperatures and dry conditions will prevail through the remainder of the week. Hazardous weather is presently not anticipated through next weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 203 PM MST Tue Dec 30 2025

Latest upper air analysis shows a ridge over the Great Basin with a trough over the Great Lakes. Northwest flow over the Plains has steepened over the past day.

For the rest of today highs have warmed to the 95th percentile of the data. This has allowed winds to be slightly higher than forecast. However relative humidity has remained high enough to negate a concern for fire weather where the winds are breezy.

Tonight the lows will be warmer than last night as weak warm air advection continues.

Wednesday will be similar to today, but warmer as the ridge continues to slowly build eastward. The current forecast for highs may be a few degrees too cool given the northwest winds. Warmed the highs to the 95th percentile for most of the forecast area, but that may not be enough. Also raised winds to the 75th percentile and lowered dew points to the 25th percentile. Despite these adjustments the relative humidity is not low enough for a fire weather concern. However northwest winds will still be breezy.

Wednesday night a backdoor cold front will into the eastern part of the forecast area. The environment will be too dry to support more than cloud cover increasing. Lows will be around 5 degrees cooler east of Highway 83 where the front will be.

Thursday the front will shift east of the forecast area. Despite no change in air mass for most of the forecast area, the cloud cover will keep temperatures cooler than Wednesday.

Thursday night the weak warm air advection and cloud cover will cause lows to be warmer than the prior night. However, some of the models are showing the next cold front moving in after midnight for some or all of the forecast area. If the front ends up moving over the entire forecast area the lows will end up being cooler. The dew point depressions are too large to allow any precipitation to occur with the frontal passage despite the cloud cover.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 203 PM MST Tue Dec 30 2025

Friday we start to move out of our zonal pattern and an upper level ridge begins to set up on the west coast. The pattern shift will keep our temperatures unseasonably warm for most of our county warning area (CWA) with high temperatures in the 50s - low 60s this weekend. The northeast portion of our CWA could see temperatures in the high 40s Friday as a cold front propagates through the Great Lakes area. Low temperatures will hover in the high 20s to low 30s for the forecast period. Winds will be light and variable with occasional gusts reaching up to 15 knots. Afternoon relative humidities (RH) are currently forecast to be in the low 20s. Since the winds for the forecast period are overall light, fire weather concerns are minimal. With the dry pattern, we will monitor for these to drop into the teens, which would increase concern for fire weather potential. No precipitation is expected with probability of precipitation (POPs) less than 5% through Tuesday. A digging trough begins to develop off the west coast Tuesday. This has the potential to take us out of the current ridge pattern and bring precipitation mid week. How this system develops during the week will determine if precipitation will occur for our area and what type.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 435 PM MST Tue Dec 30 2025

VFR conditions are expected over the KGLD and KMCK terminals through the 00Z period. Light winds around 5-10 kts will become southwesterly by 12Z Wednesday before turning to be northwesterly at 10-15 kts with gusts to 25 kts possible between 18-21Z. Winds should decrease to ~10 kts after 21Z.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.