textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm and breezy conditions continue through the end of the week.

- Low chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm the next few afternoons.

- Hotter Sunday and Monday nearing the triple digits.

- Storm chances may return early next week as well as slightly cooler temperatures.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1233 AM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026

Our blocking high over the northern Rockies is forecast to persist over the next few days. In the lower levels, an 850 mb high over the Gulf coast is providing some weak south-southeasterly flow into the region. This is providing some additional moisture, which presents a 5-10% chance of some patchy fog forming in the eastern half of the CWA around sunrise each morning.

Temperatures will continue to climb. Highs today look to be in the low 90s with tomorrow warming into the mid 90s. Overnight lows are forecast to be in the 60s, maybe low 70s in the eastern CWA.

Being on the lee side of the this blocking high, there is really no vertical support to force any convection. With this in mind, we are still not expecting to see any organized storms form. What may occur is afternoon and early evening convective-T showers and storms. These would be pop-up cells that don't move very far from where they start. The biggest hazards from this convection would be a microburst and dry lightning.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 231 PM MDT Thu Jul 16 2026

For the weekend and into Monday, the upper ridge is forecast to amplify into the Northern United States and Southern Canada. With this, temperatures will likely be warmer with afternoon highs in the mid 90s to lower 100s. With little change in the surface moisture, there is the possibility for heat indices to reach the low to maybe mid 100s. This would likely favor eastern portions of the area. With skies likely clear due to the upper ridge and light winds, it may feel quite warm across the area.

For the mid part of the week (Tue-Thu), an upper trough is forecast to begin deamplifying the ridge as it slides southeast towards the Ohio River Valley. As it pushes through, a cold front should come through and lower temperatures a bit closer to the low to mid 90s. This could also allow for some storms to develop late Monday and Tuesday, depending on when the front pushes through. Right now, it looks unlikely to be severe with low instability and the nearby influence of the upper ridge. The main uncertainty with this time period is how far south and west the upper trough will dig in. Should it dig in closer to the area than currently forecast, temperatures could be in the 80s and we may see slightly higher chances for storms.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1029 PM MDT Thu Jul 16 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail for both KGLD and KMCK through the period. Winds will favor a southeasterly direction and will generally remain under 13 kts. Great flying conditions are expected!

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.