textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- Low (30%) chance for dense fog redevelopment over eastern portions of Red Willow, Norton, Graham and Gove counties early Saturday morning.

- Expect a modest warming trend over the weekend with slightly above average highs in the 60's.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 200 PM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

Through Saturday Morning: Dense fog east of Hwy 83 dissipated during the late morning (between 17-18Z). As of 21Z, a 50-75 mile wide corridor of low stratus (ceilings 500-1000 ft AGL) persists over central KS. This corridor of stratus will continue to contract (erode from west and east) through the remainder of the afternoon. Whether or not stratus will altogether dissipate, is uncertain. Regardless, a shallow, residual pool of moisture is likely to persist over central KS and dense fog could redevelop over eastern portions of Red Willow, Norton, Graham and Gove counties tonight-Sat morning, though.. light SW to W low-level (surface to 850 mb) flow over northwest KS may force/confine residual low-level moisture east of Hwy 283/Hill City. Current and recent runs of the HRRR and RRFS suggest that dense fog redevelopment will largely be tied to the residual moisture pool in central Kansas and south-central Nebraska, mainly east of the Goodland CWA.

Sat-Sun night: An upper level ridge along the southern Pacific Coast will build/extend ENE across the central Rockies and adjoining High Plains over the weekend, fostering a modest warming trend. Expect benign/pleasant weather with highs in the lower-mid 60's (Saturday) and mid-upper 60's (Sunday).

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 255 AM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

We find ourselves in a ridging pattern once again to start the work week with a trough exiting the eastern US. The first in a sequence of two longwave ridges builds in throughout the Great Plains Monday, accompanied by northwest flow aloft, as we initially sit on the leeward side. This system is then expected to weaken quite a bit as the axis passes north of the County Warning Area (CWA), resulting in zonal westerly flow. Ensemble guidance continues to project stronger ridging to build in across the Rockies that likely ushers in northwest flow as we position east of the axis. Models are beginning to show us under northerly upper-level winds Thursday as the ridge continues its trek across the CONUS. High pressure is forecast to dominate aloft as well as at the surface through the middle portions of next week. A stationary front is anticipated to linger across western Kansas and eastern Colorado Tuesday through Thursday. Despite the lifting mechanism, precipitation (PoPs) in the form of rain are highly unlikely through Thursday

New developments of this second ridge signal that quiet, pleasant weather is possible heading into late next week. Subsidence plus low moisture content in the atmosphere should equate to warmer and drier conditions as we progress through the week. As mentioned above, no rain is currently forecasted through Thursday. Conditions should be quite nice for this time of the year as a warmer trend is projected to continue across the CWA, paired with plentiful sunshine throughout most of the four-day period. Highs in the mid/upper 60s are forecast Monday through Thursday for the entire CWA but a few spots reaching the low 70s are possible as well. Low temps should be cool and crisp every morning of this long-term period as guidance output suggests mid 30s to mid 40s. There is the possibility of some locations to reach freezing Monday and Tuesday mornings but confidence is low at this time.

As drier air is likely to take over our atmosphere, Relative Humidity (RH) values will be monitored, with respect to fire weather weather concerns, through next week. Guidance currently has a general range of 25-45% RH forecasted, but areas west of US-385 in eastern Colorado could see values in the low 20s. Surface winds are not likely to be very strong next week either, as a range of 5-20 mph sustained winds is probable. Wednesday should be the windiest day across the CWA with gusts up to 30 mph possible. Furthermore, GFDI values indicate that dry fuels are not an issue due to recent rains from earlier this week. Therefore, fire weather should not be much of a concern through next week.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 225 PM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

GLD: VFR conditions and light (5-10 knot) southerly to westerly winds will rule through the TAF period, with cloud cover confined to cirrus at or above 18,000 ft AGL.

MCK: While fog and/or low ceilings could potentially redevelop in vicinity of the McCook terminal early Sat morning, recent runs of the HRRR and RRFS suggest that fog/stratus redevelopment will be confined 25+ miles east and/or north of McCook. At present, confidence in fog/stratus redevelopment is low enough to preclude explicit mention in the TAF. Otherwise, VFR conditions and light southerly to westerly winds are expected to prevail through the TAF period.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.