textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry conditions along with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s are forecast through the end of the week.

- Low storm chances may return to western portions of the area over the weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1215 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2026

A stagnant upper pattern will continue through the short term period with a Rex block over the central CONUS. There is an anticyclone over the northern plains and a weak upper low over Texas. The end result will be little change from what the area has been experiencing for the past several days. Temperatures will be seasonably hot with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Southeast winds will be breezy at times in the afternoon with a pressure gradient between high pressure in Missouri and the lee trough in eastern Colorado. The moist southeast flow will also keep dew points somewhat high in the 50s and 60s, but also keep any fire weather concerns at bay due to the higher humidity.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 1215 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2026

The upper pattern does undergo a subtle shift in the long term period. The anticyclone over the northern plains gets shunted to the southeast, only to be replaced by another one that strengthens over the northern Rockies this weekend. The upper low over Texas also shifts westward and is located over southern New Mexico/northern Mexico by Sunday. So the Rex block continues but will shift further west. The central plains remains displaced from the main storm track well to the north over the ridge, but may start to see some storms drift off the Front Range by the weekend with the reorientation of the upper pattern. Chances still look to be on the low end as initiation will be diurnally driven and storms will fade as they get further east in the late afternoon to early evening. Severe threat, if any, will likely be limited to gusty winds and blowing dust with the lack of shear and weak forcing. Temperatures show a slow, gradual increase through the period, and by Sunday highs will be in the mid 90s.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1102 PM MDT Mon Jul 13 2026

Winds have been a bit weaker than anticipated so low level wind shear is a bit more of a concern for each terminal with a longer duration at GLD as the low level jet is a bit more oriented along the CO/KS line. Forecast soundings suggest that the low level jet should wane at MCK around 09Z or so. If winds can increase some to around 15 knots then LLWS would be less of a concern. Winds from the late morning on are forecast to increase again to around 15 knots sustained. Mid level cloud cover is forecast to increase some through the day along with a very small potential for pop up showers and storms. Confidence is too low for any direct impacts to either terminal to include in this TAF issuance.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.