textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

. Showers ending this morning and winds gradually diminishing this afternoon.

- Chance for rain Wednesday night south of Interstate 70.

- Temperatures near to slightly below normal through the end of the week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1230 AM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

Scattered showers wrapping around the upper low will come to an end this morning. Low clouds will gradually clear west to east through this afternoon. Winds will gradually diminish as well. Despite some afternoon sun high temperatures will only reach the lower 50s. Tonight, temperatures will drop into the low to mid 30s with clearing skies and light winds, which is actually near normal for this time of year.

Wednesday will be mostly sunny and a bit warmer with highs in the mid to upper 50s and light northwest winds. Next system will be moving out of Colorado Wednesday night. A closed upper low will transition to an open wave as it moves into the plains. Precipitation will develop Wednesday evening south of Interstate 70 and continue through the rest of the night as it slowly moves east. There is some variation between the CAMs on location of the band of precipitation, with some showing it as far north as Highway 40 and others keeping it south of Highway 96. NBM generally follows the further south solution. NBM suggests precipitation will be less than 0.50", however CAMs show embedded amounts of 1.00-1.50" within the band. Precipitation should end by 12z Thursday morning as the upper disturbance moves out.

Upper ridging will follow on Thursday in the progressive flow. Morning clouds will give way to afternoon sun as the system moves out. Breezy north winds in the morning, gusting 20-30 mph, will gradually diminish in the afternoon. Temperatures will be slightly below normal, with highs in the low to mid 50s and lows Thursday night in the lower 30s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 257 AM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

A quieter pattern is likely to dominate the County Warning Area (CWA) this weekend into early next week. Upper-level flow starts off from the northwest Friday as a mini-ridge slides across the high plains. Ensemble guidance shows this ridge moving quickly to the east and weaken quite a bit heading into Saturday. Simultaneously, a mini-trough is anticipated to propagate across the CWA through Saturday, becoming more positively tilted as it makes its way east. This should usher in zonal flow transitioning back to northwesterly as another ridge starts to influence the area on Sunday. This second building ridge likely will be quite a bit larger than the first; therefore, will be expected to influence the Tri-State area for a longer period of time. Meridional flow should accompany this system as the ridge axis passes over our region then southwest flow likely follows thereafter. Thus, dry conditions are likely to persist through early next week.

Descending to the surface, guidance projects high pressure to form late this week and last through early next week. There is medium confidence on a cold front passing through Friday as well as a low chance for a front late Monday as well. These should both be dry passages as Probability of Precipitation (PoPs) remain at or below 5% through Monday. Dewpoints are forecast to be quite dry, ranging in the 30s and 40s throughout the long-term forecast period. Mostly sunny skies are anticipated to dominate the forecast period, outside of some cloud coverage with the frontal passage Friday as well as overnight into Saturday morning.

High temperatures across the CWA should stay seasonably cool (mid to upper 50s) through the weekend until Monday where it warms into the mid 60s. Forecasted low temperatures will be something to keep an eye on this week as freezing to near freezing overnight temps are likely throughout the CWA this weekend and into Monday morning. Friday morning should be the coldest as lows around 28-32 degrees are possible. Fire weather should not be a big concern this weekend and through Monday despite Relative Humidity (RH) values forecasted as low as 25-30% for eastern Colorado and 35-50% for the rest of the Tri-State area. Model guidance shows winds being fairly weak through Monday with 5-20 mph expected throughout the CWA. Gusts up to 30 mph are possible in windier locations of eastern Colorado on Saturday but other than that, 15-20 mph gusts should be expected everywhere else.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 412 AM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

Scattered showers will continue through this morning at both KGLD and KMCK with MVFR prevailing due to low ceilings. Showers will end by mid morning, with a return to VFR expected at KGLD by around 16-17z while MVFR ceilings will linger at KMCK well into the afternoon before a return to VFR late in the afternoon or early evening. Surface winds will gust to 30 kts through the afternoon at both locations before diminishing late in the afternoon.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.