textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- Warming trend late this weekend, with highs in the mid-upper 90s on Sunday and triple digits on Monday.

- Slightly higher fire danger on Sunday and Monday with relative humidity in the teens and 20s while winds gust around 20-30 mph.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 1205 AM MDT Sat Aug 1 2026

The early overnight hours had mostly clear skies across the area, except for a few showers trying to move into the Tri-State border area. However, the increasing subsidence under the upper ridge and surface high pressure, along with little instability, have caused them to fall apart. Expect mostly clear skies to continue along with light winds as the high pressure broadens across the area. Temperatures should drop to around 60.

For the daytime hours, the upper ridge is forecast to remain amplified into Canada. However, the main axis is expected to remain west of the area, keeping us under northerly flow with an upper low over the Eastern United States. This should keep temperatures fairly similar to yesterday with high temperatures around 90. The bigger change is that winds should remain at or below 10 mph through much of the day as the surface high pressure center shifts over the area.

Tonight, the upper ridge axis is forecast to tilt more into the Northern Plains. As it does so, low pressure is forecast to try and deepen along the Front Range and High Plains. While the center should stay well west of the area, the winds are forecast to shift to be more from the south. Speeds may also increase to around 10-15 mph depending on how tight the gradient becomes. With this, low temperatures are more likely to stay in the 60s unless the wind increase delays until late in the night.

No precipitation is expected today or tonight.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 201 PM MDT Fri Jul 31 2026

Synoptically, not much has changed for the Long Term period. Sunday the ridge will continue to de-amplify as a trough begins to move through Canada/US border. Come Monday, we begin to transition to more zonal flow. Once again throughout the week, there looks to be some shortwaves moving through the area that may create some precipitation chances for the County Warning Area (CWA).

Overall for the long term, high temperatures are forecast to be in the high 90s for the majority of the CWA. However Wednesday we have a brief "cool" down where highs should be in the low to mid 90s. Winds for the week look to be breezy for the majority of the CWA. Starting on Monday, the CWA's precipitation chances begin to increase. As each shortwave moves through, there is around a 20-40% chance for showers Monday through Wednesday. Thursday and Friday chances begin to decrease to 10-20%.

For this period there are some localized elevated fire weather concerns for Sunday and Monday during the afternoon hours. Beginning with Sunday, wind gusts are forecast to be in the 20-30 mph range and mainly from the south. Relative humidity (RH) values look to be in the upper teens to low 20%s. The lowest RH values look to be mainly west of KS Hwy 27. Moving to GFDI, the maximum values are forecast to be in the 30-45 range mainly for the northwest portion of the CWA. These values would promote very high fire growth. With this being said, there are some concerns with whether or not all of these conditions will occur at the same time.

Monday looks very similar to Sunday with the changes of high temperatures in the low 100s for the majority of the CWA. RH values are forecast to be in the mid teens to low 20%s for the majority of the CWA. The lowest values again are for areas west of KS Hwy 27. Gusts are once again mainly from the south and in the range of 20-30 mph. GFDI values are forecast to be in the 30-59 for the majority of the CWA. One other thing to mention is Monday does have a chance of seeing thunderstorms, so dry lightning may also pose a risk wherever storms develop.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1101 PM MDT Fri Jul 31 2026

For KGLD & KMCK... VFR conditions are forecast with generally clear skies. Winds should also be 10 kts or less through the period. The winds are forecast to be a bit more light and variable through about 18Z, then become more from the east/northeast.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.