textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- A Heat Advisory is in effect for all of Northwest Kansas and Southwest Nebraska through Monday. High temperatures are forecast to be in the 100s with heat index values in the mid to upper 100s. Limit time outdoors and stay hydrated, including pets and livestock.

- A Heat Advisory is also in effect for Sunday for Yuma, Kit Carson and Cheyenne counties in Colorado as air temperatures and heat indices around 105 degrees are forecast.

- Showers and storm potential returns Monday and through most of next week. Strong to severe storms are possible Monday with damaging winds currently the main threat.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 232 PM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

Synoptically, the ridge that has been in place over the Four Corners region is still likely to stay nearly stationary over the next week. Throughout the week, Guidance does show some indication of shortwaves moving through the region.

Overall, high temperatures look to "cool" down to the mid to high 90s for the majority of the week. Winds for the week look to remain calm to breezy, with relative humidity values in the 30-60% range.

Moving to the precipation chances this week: starting with Tuesday, Guidance mainly the NAM and the RRFS shows a boundary over the southern part of the CO/KS border. With this boundary, moisture advection from the south and will move northward of over the CWA. Winds will mainly be from the east, causing upslope flow and will help influence shower/storm production. PoPs are in the 30-50% range, and the probability of exceeding 0.10" of precipitation is in the 15- 30% for areas west of KS Hwy 27. However, one thing to note is that some models do not show this boundary or show a weaker version on the boundary. Given this is roughly four days out, it will be interesting to see how Guidance will trend with the boundary and its location for precipitation chances.

Once again, Wednesday has similar precipitation chances with PoPs in the 20-50% range. Currently, Guidance looks to have another boundary in place, but there is a fair amount of disagreement on where the boundary will be located. Given we have moisture advection from the south, this will help the precipitation chances.

Looking at the rest of the week, each afternoon/evening does have around a 10-20% range for PoPs. These chances will be dependent on how Tuesday and Wednesday pan out. While a fair amount can change, there is a signal that precipitation chances do return to the area.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 934 PM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail at KGLD and KMCK through the TAF period. For KGLD, winds will be around 10 knots out of the southwest until around 12Z when they become lighter and generally out of the southeast. Winds will remain light and gradually shift to out of the southwest through the end of the TAF period.

For KMCK, winds will be mainly out of the southeast maxing out around 10 knots.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ Monday for KSZ001>004- 013>016-027>029-041-042. CO...Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 9 PM MDT Sunday for COZ090>092. NE...Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ Monday for NEZ079>081.