textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- A Cold Weather Advisory remains in effect until late Sunday morning for the entire Tri-State area. Bitter cold wind chill readings as low as 20 below zero are expected through Sunday morning. Similar wind chill readings are possible late Sunday night into Monday morning.

- A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until 11 PM MST tonight for northwest KS, where periods of light accumulating snow will continue into the afternoon. Winds will remain light at 5 to 10 mph. Little or no blowing snow is expected. Hazardous travel conditions can be expected on any snow covered roads.

UPDATE

Issued at 126 PM MST Sat Jan 24 2026

Cleared Cheyenne County, Kansas, Rawlins and Sherman from the Winter Weather Advisory, as snow has ended in those areas.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1230 PM MST Sat Jan 24 2026

Area of light snow continues to slowly move south with the upper trough axis. Plan is to chop away at the advisory north to south this afternoon as the snow ends. May be able to clear the entire area by early this evening. Additional snow amounts through this evening will be less than 1". Temperatures have moved little today and with clearing skies and light winds will have no trouble dropping below zero again tonight. Coldest temperatures, potentially 10 to 15 below, will occur in the deepest snow packed areas along and south of Highway 24 in northwest Kansas. Wind chills may approach 25 below in those areas as well, but confidence is lacking to upgrade the Cold Weather Advisory for now. For Sunday, another shortwave trough quickly moves through the northwest flow, bringing scattered snow showers to the northwest part of the area in the afternoon and the remainder of the area Sunday night. Accumulations of less than 1" are currently expected. Winds will increase some with this system with northeasterly winds gusting up to 20 mph during the afternoon and evening. High temperatures will be in the teens and lows Sunday night back into the single digits below zero and perhaps some isolated pockets of 10 below in the snow packed areas. Another Cold Weather Advisory will likely be needed through Monday morning.

Monday and Tuesday will see a return to dry northwest flow. Models do show a couple of weak shortwaves moving through but no precipitation. Temperatures will moderate, with highs in the 30s and 40s both days and lows in the single digits and teens, coldest in snow packed areas. Monday will be on the breezy side with southwest winds gusting 20 to 30 mph at times. Might see some localized blowing snow if those winds can be realized in the snow packed areas with limited mixing potential. Winds will be less on Tuesday.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 1140 AM MST Sat Jan 24 2026

We'll start the day Wednesday with a 500 mb ridge working its way across the Great Basin and over the Rockies. This will allow an 850 mb high to descend out of the southern Rockies and proceed to the east, across Texas. This will keep the sky clear for most of the day, and has a 40% chance of leading to southwesterly flow at 850 mb. This looks to be our warmest day of the upcoming week. However, snowpack will likely still exist, and limit high temperatures. In the northwestern CWA, highs will likely warm into the mid to upper 40s, but only the mid to upper 30s in the southeastern CWA. As is typical soon after a snow event, the NBM is not resolving snowpack causing the NDFD to show temperatures that are 5-10 degrees warmer than forecast temperatures. The warm temperatures Wednesday should help the melting process.

Wednesday night into Thursday morning, the GFS is showing a low coming out of Canada, destroying the aforementioned ridge. This could lead to some flurries or light snow around sunrise Thursday. However, even the GFS is lacking moisture, and the ECMWF and CMC-NH do not show this low pressure feature. This keeps PoPs less than 10%. NBM and NDFD are showing another 10-15% chance of snow Friday morning from a warm front. This precipitation would have to be mainly low-level supported as mid and upper level features are not supportive of precipitation at this time.

This low appears to be the nexus point of where model guidance greatly diverges and confidence in the forecast lowers massively. It's likely that northwesterly flow aloft will persist and continue this unsettled pattern. There is not a clear sign pointing towards additional moisture or strong winds, leading to low confidence in another winter precipitation system. There is some concern of cold wind chills again. Right now, Friday morning looks to be the coldest morning with wind chills around 0, but wind chills each morning will likely be below 10 degrees.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1012 AM MST Sat Jan 24 2026

A band of light snow will linger near/just south of KGLD into early this afternoon before moving south and out of the area. Otherwise, VFR expected to prevail at both KGLD and KMCK through the TAF period.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...Cold Weather Advisory until 11 AM MST /noon CST/ Sunday for KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042. Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM MST /midnight CST/ this evening for KSZ003-004-014>016-027>029-041-042. CO...Cold Weather Advisory until 11 AM MST Sunday for COZ090>092. NE...Cold Weather Advisory until 11 AM MST /noon CST/ Sunday for NEZ079>081.