textproduct: Goodland
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Highs largely in the 90s are expected for the rest of the week.
- A few severe storms are possible Friday afternoon and evening, mainly along and south of I-70.
- Increasing signal for a prolonged period of hot and dry conditions starting this weekend.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 140 AM MDT Fri Jul 10 2026
The showers and storms are coming to an end in the area as the main line has pushed well east of the area. This is forecast to allow for the remainder of the early morning hours to have light winds and slowly clearing skies. Temperatures should drop into the 50s in Eastern Colorado and in the 60s for the rest of the area.
The morning and afternoon hours are forecast to be slightly more mild today compared to yesterday with temperatures more in the 80s with slight upper troughing over the Plains. Otherwise, not much is forecast to be different from the prior days with weak flow leading to light and variable winds while mostly sunny skies are expected through the day.
This afternoon and evening, more showers and storms are forecast to develop just west of the area and try and push into the area. However, with ridging forecast to develop aloft and the surface low forecast to be a bit further south, coverage and intensity should be lower. The current forecast favors storms staying south of I-70 and there is a chance that storms miss the area completely if the low shifts too far south or the storms caqn't sustain themselves. If they do sustain, severe weather is possible again, mainly in the form of large hail and wind gusts. The hail should be similar to the last few days, mainly around an inch but potentially up to golf ball in size if a storm can stay isolated enough. Wind gusts are forecast to be more in the 40-60 mph range with a max around 70 mph and are more likely if storms cluster. Either way, this would likely be a quick event with storms entering Kit Carson and Cheyenne [CO] counties around 4-5pm MT, moving southeast, and exiting the area around Wichita/Logan/Gove counties around 7-10pm CT. This is all dependent on storms making it into the area in the first place.
Once any storms clear the area, partly cloudy skies with light winds is forecast across the area. With this temperatures are forecast to drop into the 60s again, with 50s possible in Eastern Colorado.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Issued at 144 PM MDT Thu Jul 9 2026
The upper level ridge currently extending west from the Desert Southwest into the Pacific Ocean will strengthen over the Four Corners Region and shift/expand north during this part of the forecast. Any storm activity over the mountains will be directed to the north instead of the east. This will put the Plains and Great Basin under the dome of high pressure. The ridge will cause an approaching upper level trough to be deflected to Southern Canada. Highs will be in the 90s and lows will be in the upper 50s to mid 60s, which is near normal. However lows in the low 70s may move in over the eastern part of the forecast area toward the end of next week.
Heat index values will be near normal for this time of year. However heat index values may increase over the east toward the end of next week if lows do only cool into the low 70s.
Relative humidity values will fall to around 20% over East Central CO by the middle of next week, with higher relative humidity values to the east. This is still above fire weather concerns, but something to be aware of given the drying fuels in Colorado.
Wildfire smoke may affect the eastern part of Colorado depending on where the ridge is centered.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1125 PM MDT Thu Jul 9 2026
For KMCK, showers will linger in the area until around 07Z. For both terminals, VFR conditions are expected to prevail with light and variable winds around 6-8 knots for the remainder of the TAF period.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.
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