textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- Banded snowfall may develop tonight bringing some light accumulations to the region.

- Warmer temperatures return to the forecast Tuesday with highs in the 40s and 50s.

- A pattern shift toward the end of the week will bring the potential for much colder temperatures as arctic air pushes south into the High Plains and Midwest.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 257 PM MST Sun Jan 18 2026

Temperatures have been pleasant this afternoon, reaching the 40s and 50s across the region. Expect winds to remain on the breezy side through the early evening hours, gusting 25-35mph. Colder air moves into the region overnight dropping temperatures into the teens. Models continue to show the possibility of frontogenesis creating a band of snow that affects portions of northeastern Colorado and northwestern Kansas overnight into Monday. There are still some concerns with dry air at the lower levels making it difficult for precipitation to overcome early on in the event. As things begin to saturate, this will allow for snow to reach the ground. Right now, it is looking like snow will develop after sunset, with much of the early onset snow evaporating before reaching the ground.

The better chances of snow actually reaching the ground will begin after midnight. As far as accumulations, this will be widely dependent on where the band sets up and how soon we saturate. Generally, a dusting to around one inch can be expected through late Monday afternoon. A localized higher snowfall amount may be possible within the main banded area.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 257 PM MST Sun Jan 18 2026

Heading into Tuesday, a broad upper trough remains over the Tri- State area, extending east to New England. A shortwave will dive southeast through the trough, shifting it east. Expect a nice warm up with highs returning to the low to mid-50s across the region. Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible in the afternoon, particularly for northeastern Colorado, and our Kansas counties bordering Colorado. Minimum RH values will fall into the teens in this location, co-located with winds gusting into the upper teens and lower 20s. Areas further east will have RH values in the mid-20s or higher and with lighter winds.

The warmer weather sticks around Wednesday and Thursday, with highs primarily in the 40s and 50s. Dry conditions will be expected. Winds will gust above 20mph in portions of northeastern Colorado, co- located with RH values in the upper teens to low 20s. While not currently showing major fire weather concerns, this may be something to keep an eye on as we come a little closer to the event.

Friday and Beyond: Models are showing split flow developing with a ridge over the PACNW and a trough over the Baja Peninsula. We are currently looking at the potential for some arctic air pushing south over the north central and northeastern CONUS. Current CPC guidance for the 6-10 Day Outlook shows a pattern shift with some below normal temperatures heading to the High Plains.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 424 PM MST Sun Jan 18 2026

VFR conditions are likely to prevail for both KGLD and KMCK through the period. There is a 30-40% chance KGLD will see a band of snow move over the airport. If this occurs, IFR conditions are possible. Otherwise, gusty winds from the north may return to KGLD later in the evening, and will become less common at KMCK over the next couple hours.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.