textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect tonight midday Sunday for the entire Tri-State Area. Wind chill readings ranging from 15 to 24 below zero are expected throughout this period. Monday morning may also have wind chills in the negative teens.

- A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for Gove and Graham counties from 12pm Friday through 12am Saturday. Snowfall around 7 inches is forecast but localized higher amounts can't be ruled out.

- A Winter Weather Advisory remains for the rest of northwest Kansas. Snowfall of 3-6 inches is currently forecast. Areas outside of the Advisory can expect up to 1-3 inches of snow.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 215 PM MST Fri Jan 23 2026

No changes made to ongoing highlights. That being said, there is still a concern that snow amounts may be underdone in northwest Kansas along and south of Interstate 70. Snow ratios may be driving this, since the NBM is using values close to 20:1, but in this cold air they may be closer to 30:1 or higher (a measurement at 19z yielded 35:1), which would add a few inches to the totals. 12Z operational runs of the GFS, ECMWF and to a lesser extent HRRR, using higher ratios, also show an east-west oriented band of higher snow amounts (6-8") along the I-70 corridor that stretches as far west as Colorado. Confidence level is probably around 50% for this occurring. Otherwise, timing is still on track with light snow continuing through this afternoon (up to 1"), then increasing tonight through Saturday morning, gradually ending north to south Saturday afternoon into early Saturday evening. Temperatures are running more or less as expected, perhaps a few degrees colder, and wind chills remain in the 15 to 24 below range of advisory criteria. May have to consider a Cold Weather Advisory for Monday morning with another night of below zero temperatures. There is a secondary shortwave moving through Sunday afternoon/Sunday evening which will bring a chance for scattered snow showers and additional accumulations of up to 1". Still not seeing wind as a factor for this event. Monday will be dry with southwest winds beginning the warming process.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 251 PM MST Fri Jan 23 2026

Tuesday we remain in a mostly zonal upper level pattern with a prominent ridge building west of the Rocky Mountains and a low developing between the Great Lakes and Hudson Bay. This keeps our weather pattern mild with high temperatures forecast in the 40s and lows in the teens. Winds are forecast to be mild and variable with gusts up to 25 mph for the northwestern portion of the county warning area (CWA).

The low in the Great Lakes region deepens Wednesday causing our region to enter a more northwesterly flow. A weak high pressure is also present northwest of our region. This will allow skies to clear and warming to occur. High temperatures are forecast in the 40s with some areas seeing low 50s. Lows remain in the teens.

High temperatures are forecast to drop into the high 30s/low 40s Thursday. Models are showing another system develop early Thursday in the southwest CONUS that sweeps through our region during the day and overnight into Friday. Currently, the trough digs far enough south that precipitations chances are low for the region. Probability of Precipitation (PoPs) are from 5-10% overnight Thursday into Friday. Regardless of if we receive precipitation with this system, things will cool down with lows forecast in the teens. Some areas in the eastern portion of the CWA may see single digits. Winds are currently forecast to be mild and variable, so wind chills are not a concern at this time.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1006 AM MST Fri Jan 23 2026

Light snow will continue through this afternoon at both KGLD and KMCK, then will increase in intensity at KGLD tonight through Saturday morning. MVFR conditions will prevail through this afternoon, with occasional VFR conditions in snow lulls, but then MVFR and occasional IFR conditions tonight through tomorrow morning, mainly due to visibility restrictions in the snow, with the best chances for IFR at KGLD.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...Cold Weather Advisory until 11 AM MST /noon CST/ Sunday for KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042. Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM MST /midnight CST/ Saturday for KSZ001>004-013>015-027-028-041-042. Winter Storm Warning until midnight CST Saturday night for KSZ016-029. CO...Cold Weather Advisory until 11 AM MST Sunday for COZ090>092. NE...Cold Weather Advisory until 11 AM MST /noon CST/ Sunday for NEZ079>081.