textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- Wind chill readings as low as zero to 10 below zero are expected through this morning.

- Warming trend will expected Monday through Thursday, likely remaining warm into the weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1210 AM MST Mon Dec 29 2025

Today, we are forecast to go under northwest flow aloft on the backside of the upper trough with the higher surface pressure in place across the area. Expect a chilly start today as wind chills this morning should either be around 0 or negative. However, with plenty of sunshine forecast, most of the area should warm into the 30s with 40s for counties along the Colorado border. Much drier air moved in overnight and is forecast to continue to remain in place with dewpoints in the single digits for most of the day.

Tonight, winds are forecast to remain around 5 to 10 mph with some weak low pressure along the Front Range. While not very strong, the westerly component is forecast to help keep temperatures in the mid to upper teens for a majority of the area.

Tuesday, the area is forecast to remain under northwest flow aloft with little of note at the surface short of maybe a weak low center just west of the area. Even so, winds should generally remain around 10-15 mph and allow for a fairly mild day as temperatures are forecast to warm into the 50s. Counties along the Nebraska border may remain in the 40s if some mid to high level moisture is able to move over the area within the northwest flow.

Tuesday night, much of a rinse and repeat with westerly winds around 5-10 mph and temperatures lowering to around 20 mph.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 123 AM MST Mon Dec 29 2025

Wednesday, northwesterly flow aloft will dominate allowing for warming conditions at the surface. GFS, ECMWF, and CMC-NH are all showing a trough coming over the Rockies Thursday. Currently, they're all showing the associated 850 mb low of this trough moving over the TX/OK panhandle area. This could produce a southerly LLJ of 30 kts into the CWA Thursday afternoon/evening. If this feature does form, temperatures could rise another 5-8 degrees from the current forecast. Precipitation does not look likely throughout the long- term.

Speaking of temperatures, highs Wednesday through Saturday are expected to be near 60 for most of the area. The northeastern CWA may remain 5-10 degrees cooler as the upper and mid level jet will be just to the NW of the CWA, allowing northwesterly wind to dominate near the surface. Sunday and Monday could see 10 degree cooler temperatures in the wake of another low. Lows throughout the long-term look to bounce around in the 20s.

Throughout the long-term, there is some concern of elevated to briefly critical fire weather conditions. RH values are forecast to be in the upper teens to low 20s with wind gusts up near 20 kts, mainly in eastern Colorado. If the LLJ can form in the afternoon Thursday, as discussed earlier, this would likely lead to at least briefly critical fire weather conditions. Wednesday, conditions look to the driest, but winds are not as likely to be an issue. Current confidence in briefly critical fire weather conditions is 30% between Wednesday and Thursday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1017 AM MST Mon Dec 29 2025

VFR conditions forecast for the TAFs. Light winds will continue through the TAF turning from the northwest to the west.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.