textproduct: Goodland
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Temperatures warming to near and slightly above normal through early next week.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 1200 AM MDT Sun Oct 18 2026
The Central Plains will be between an upper ridge centered over Mexico and a deepening low approaching southern California, resulting in southwest flow through the period. Temperatures will be near to slightly above normal and no precipitation is expected. Southeast winds, occasionally breezy, will maintain modest dew points in the area which will keep afternoon relative humidity minimums above any fire weather concerns. May eventually see some fog concerns towards Tuesday and Wednesday mornings with saturated conditions forecast. High temperatures will be in the 60s and 70s and low temperatures mainly in the 40s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 213 AM MDT Sun Oct 18 2026
Starting on Wednesday and through Friday, the area is expected to be under an upper-level ridge that amplifies towards the northeast. As the ridge amplifies, a trough system to the southwest begins to move east putting us into southwesterly flow. With this setup, we would likely see temperatures remain above seasonal, starting in the 70s and building into the 80s on Friday. Winds are forecast to pick up from 5-10 mph to over 20 mph from the south. With the upper-level southwesterly flow, cloud cover is also expected to build over the area as mid- to upper-level moisture moves through.
During the weekend, the upper level pattern transitions into elongated zonal flow after the trough moves over the area Saturday morning. With this change in pattern, this should bring a cold front through the area creating a chances of showers into the area Saturday morning and ending Sunday morning. However with the chances of showers, it is unclear when the showers could occur as forecast guidance starts to show growing uncertainty on timing of the trough system. If the trough speeds up, this would lead the cold front to pass through Friday night and could showers to occur all throughout Saturday. If the trough slows down, we could expect the cold front to pass through Saturday afternoon and pushing the timing of showers overnight and ending midday Sunday. Once the cold front passes through, temperatures are forecast to be back in the 70s with a few lingering clouds over the area.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
Issued at 517 AM MDT Sun Oct 18 2026
VFR expected to prevail at both KGLD and KMCK with light winds and occasional high clouds.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.
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