textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- Cold front moves through tonight with a few hours of gusty northwest winds up to 55 mph and patchy blowing dust.

- Light snow may develop over portions of the area early Sunday morning, mainly ~3-9 AM MST (~4-10 AM CST). A dusting to 1" of snow accum is possible, mainly north of I-70 where minor blowing snow could lead to brief, nuisance-type travel difficulties. A rapid clearing trend will follow, during the late morning and early afternoon.

- Wind chill readings as low as zero to 5 below are expected Sunday night and Monday morning.

- Warming/moderating trend will follow, Monday into Tuesday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 115 PM MST Sat Dec 27 2025

Forecast remains on track with only a few minor tweaks. Cold front currently moving into northern Wyoming will enter the forecast area in Yuma County 04-05z and exit the forecast area in Gove County 07-08z. Northwest winds gusting 40-50 mph will accompany the front and for a few hours afterwards, cannot completely rule out a rogue gust to 60 mph. Patchy blowing dust along/immediately behind the front will also be possible, but only expecting minor visibility reductions if it occurs. Behind the front, a band of light snow will develop along the 700 mb frontogenesis axis. This band will enter Yuma County around 07-08z and steadily progress southeast, reaching a Goodland to McCook line around 12z, a Hill City to Tribune line by around 15z, and then exiting the far southeast part of the area as it weakens around 18z. Model snow amounts are in good agreement with generally less than 1", with perhaps a few localized 1-2" amounts in areas south on Interstate 70 as shown by the ECMWF. Winds will still be gusting up to 40 mph with the snow, so may also see some areas of blowing snow once it starts to accumulate. Conditions rapidly improve Sunday afternoon with plenty of sun. However, temperatures will struggle to get out of the 20s for highs. The winds diminish Sunday night, but remain breezy, so will not be an ideal radiational cooling set up despite the clear skies. Low temperatures will be in the single digits and teens with wind chills bottoming out in the single digits below zero Monday morning.

For Monday and Tuesday, will be under northwest flow aloft with a couple of embedded shortwaves but no precipitation. Temperatures will remain below normal on Monday with highs ranging from the mid 30s in eastern areas to lower 40s in Colorado. Temperatures rebound on Tuesday with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Lows will be in the teens and 20s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 115 PM MST Sat Dec 27 2025

Northwest flow continues Wednesday and Thursday with no precipitation expected. Still watching for a back door cold front Thursday night which may impact temperatures for Thursday and Friday, mainly in eastern areas. Wednesday will be mild with highs in the 50s, but still seeing a very large range in high temperatures on Thursday in places like Hill City, indicating the models still struggling to resolve the shallow cold air mass. This carries into Friday as well. Temperature spreads are somewhat lower further west, but still much uncertainty as to where the leading edge of the colder air will end up for Thursday and Friday. The pattern does suggest fog or freezing fog may also be possible Thursday and/or Friday mornings. The upper flow does flatten out towards the weekend and westerly winds will finally help scour out the cold air. Despite occasional shortwaves coming through the flow, models show dry conditions persisting.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 515 PM MST Sat Dec 27 2025

GLD: Sub-VFR conditions assoc/w light snow are possible early Sunday morning, mainly between ~10-15Z. Confidence is low with regard to whether or not measurable precipitation will occur at the Goodland terminal. Extensive high overcast (cirrus above ~12,000 ft AGL) will otherwise prevail until a rapid clearing trend occurs during the late morning to early afternoon. Light/variable winds will shift to the N and increase to 25-30 knots in assoc/w a cold frontal passage late this evening / early Sunday morning (~05-08Z Sun). N to NNW wind gusts to 35-45 knots are possible through mid-late Sunday morning. N to NNW winds will decrease to 20-25 knots with gusts to 30-35 knots during the afternoon.

MCK: Aside from a potential for MVFR-IFR conditions assoc/w light snow Sunday morning (mainly ~10-15Z), VFR conditions will otherwise prevail. Extensive high overcast (cirrus above ~12,000 ft AGL) will otherwise prevail.. until a rapid clearing trend occurs during the late morning to early afternoon. Light/variable winds will shift to the N and increase to 25-30 knots in assoc/w a cold frontal passage late this evening / early Sunday morning (~05-08Z Sun).. with gusts up to ~40 knots possible through late Sunday morning. Breezy (25-35 knot) N to NNW winds may persist well into the afternoon.. through the remainder of the 00Z TAF period.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.