textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- Marginal chance of seeing severe storms in Greeley and Wichita counties this evening.

- Breezy conditions this morning; winds will weaken in the midday and afternoon.

- Additional storms and rain possible tomorrow evening and overnight.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 123 AM MDT Fri Jun 12 2026

This morning, temperatures will to cool to around 50. Before a high will be moving into the Mid-Mississippi River Valley as a low moves out of the northern Rockies. This will lead to southerly winds to be gusting 30-40 kts during the morning hours. Much like yesterday, winds will be weakening in the midday and afternoon hours. There is a low-end fire weather threat for eastern Colorado again, but RH values look to largely remain above critical thresholds.

During the morning hours, we could see a weak surface convergence zone moving across the eastern half of the CWA. This could produce enough lift for some light showers to form.

Around 0Z this evening and into the overnight hours, a fast moving 500 mb shortwave trough and a slow moving surface low look to move over the region. These features will be enough forcing to cause some weak storms to fire. The bulk of the storms look to remain south of the CWA. Most likely impacts would be hail of 0.5-1 inch, 40-60 MPH gusts, and brief torrential rainfall. Greeley and Wichita counties have the best chance at seeing severe weather, and all convection looks to remain south of I-70. Peak timing for storms will be between 0-6Z.

Once the storms clear out, temperatures look to cool into the mid 50s to mid 60s. Warmer temperatures in the eastern CWA are expected as the slow moving surface low pushes additional moisture into the CWA. This will likely lead to some stratus and potentially some fog Saturday morning.

Saturday, a high from the northern Rockies looks to push a backdoor cold front into the CWA, allowing northeasterly winds to gust into the 25-35 kts range during the morning, gradually weakening throughout the afternoon. RH values look to remain above critical levels, so fire weather concerns are minimal. Similar to Friday, a shortwave trough looks to start some storms in the southern CWA during the early evening. Once again severe weather looks to not be a major threat. Highs are forecast to warm into the 80s.

Overnight Saturday, a 500 mb high pushing northeast from the Four Corners region will cause vorticity across the lateral middle of the CONUS. This looks to be enough forcing to cause overnight showers that last into Sunday morning. We could see some isolated rumbles of thunder, but this seems to be more of a stratiform precipitation event, if it does occur. Lows look to cool into the upper 40s to upper 50s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 100 PM MDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Sat-Sun: Unidirectional/westerly flow aloft will persist over the the weekend. Guidance suggests that a relatively cooler/drier airmass will advect southward into the Tri-State Area in the wake of a modest cold frontal passage Saturday afternoon into Saturday night will help confine precip/convection south and east of the Goodland CWA. Expect dry conditions with highs ~80-90F on Sat and much cooler temps ~70-75F on Sun.

Mon-Tue: Long range guidance indicates a transition to NNW to NW flow aloft early next week.. on the eastern periphery of an amplifying upper level ridge along the Pacific Coast. Precip/convection is possible, depending on the timing/track of shortwave energy in NNW to NW flow aloft. Temperatures and wind speed/direction will also highly depend upon the timing/track of shortwave energy and associated clipper lows.

Wed-Thu: Long range guidance indicates that the aforementioned ridge will shift eastward across the 4-Corners, central-southern Rockies and Central/Southern Plains around mid-week, suggesting a warming trend and below average precipitation chances.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1015 PM MDT Thu Jun 11 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period for KGLD and KMCK. KMCK overnight may see some patches of smoke from fires in western Nebraska, but impacts to flight categories are not expected. Winds from the south will be picking up just after sunrise and will slightly favor a southwesterly flow, but will be right around the 180-190 degree mark. Between 0-5Z, KGLD may see some showers and storms to the south of the airport. Winds at both sites will be weakening around this time, too.

Around and beyond 6Z Saturday morning, stratus may move into the region, leading to degraded ceilings, as well as LLWS. However, confidence is not overly high in these things occurring.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...None. CO...None. NE...None.