textproduct: Goodland

KEY MESSAGES

- A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect along and east of a line from McCook, NE to Grinnell, KS through Noon CST today.

- Expect a modest warming trend over the weekend with slightly above average highs in the lower 60's on Saturday and mid- upper 60's on Sunday.

UPDATE

Issued at 935 AM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

Surface observations, satellite imagery and webcams indicate that dense fog is still holding strong over portions of Red Willow, Decatur, Norton, Sheridan, Graham and Gove counties. Fog should gradually erode/lift from west to east during the late morning and early afternoon. The Dense Fog Advisory has already been extended in time until 18Z/Noon CST. Further extension may be needed if no significant signs of dissipation are evident over the next hour.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1218 AM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

Current observations have fog moving in from the east, with northeast/easterly winds generally along and east of Highway 83. The fog should spread into the aforementioned area and stick around through about 9am to 11am CT. For areas further west of Highway 83, winds are from the west which should keep the fog at bay with the downslope warming component. The exact extent when it is all said and done could still vary between Highway 25 and Highway 83 depending on how the winds vary with speeds generally below 10 mph. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect from Red Willow county, to Gove county and east for now. May have to expand into the line from Hitchcock county to Wichita county.

The daytime hours are forecast to have the fog slowly burn off as we get sunshine peaking through mid and upper level cloud cover. The cloud cover will likely come in waves over the area with the upper trough forecast to remain just upstream of the area. Winds should remain light with the upper trough too broad to strengthen the surface low and make a pressure gradient. Temperatures should warm into the 60s for a majority of the area. Tonight the upper trough axis should swing through the area, likely pushing most of the higher level cloud cover out of the area. Should the skies clear, there may be some dense fog that forms ahead of the westerly winds around Norton and Graham counties. Overall chance is a little lower than this morning at about 20%. Temperatures are expected to drop into the 30s.

For Saturday and Sunday, it is shaping up to be a nice and mild weekend. A tilted upper ridge is forecast to move in over the area, helping the area see warmer temperatures with highs in the 60s and lows in the 30s/40s. A few highs in the 70s are possible with plenty of sunshine forecast over the area. Winds should remain around or below 10 mph with the ridge remaining broad and the surface pressure gradient remaining weak. No precipitation is expected with the upper ridge in place and not much moisture available.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 255 AM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

We find ourselves in a ridging pattern once again to start the work week with a trough exiting the eastern US. The first in a sequence of two longwave ridges builds in throughout the Great Plains Monday, accompanied by northwest flow aloft, as we initially sit on the leeward side. This system is then expected to weaken quite a bit as the axis passes north of the County Warning Area (CWA), resulting in zonal westerly flow. Ensemble guidance continues to project stronger ridging to build in across the Rockies that likely ushers in northwest flow as we position east of the axis. Models are beginning to show us under northerly upper-level winds Thursday as the ridge continues its trek across the CONUS. High pressure is forecast to dominate aloft as well as at the surface through the middle portions of next week. A stationary front is anticipated to linger across western Kansas and eastern Colorado Tuesday through Thursday. Despite the lifting mechanism, precipitation (PoPs) in the form of rain are highly unlikely through Thursday

New developments of this second ridge signal that quiet, pleasant weather is possible heading into late next week. Subsidence plus low moisture content in the atmosphere should equate to warmer and drier conditions as we progress through the week. As mentioned above, no rain is currently forecasted through Thursday. Conditions should be quite nice for this time of the year as a warmer trend is projected to continue across the CWA, paired with plentiful sunshine throughout most of the four-day period. Highs in the mid/upper 60s are forecast Monday through Thursday for the entire CWA but a few spots reaching the low 70s are possible as well. Low temps should be cool and crisp every morning of this long-term period as guidance output suggests mid 30s to mid 40s. There is the possibility of some locations to reach freezing Monday and Tuesday mornings but confidence is low at this time.

As drier air is likely to take over our atmosphere, Relative Humidity (RH) values will be monitored, with respect to fire weather weather concerns, through next week. Guidance currently has a general range of 25-45% RH forecasted, but areas west of US-385 in eastern Colorado could see values in the low 20s. Surface winds are not likely to be very strong next week either, as a range of 5-20 mph sustained winds is probable. Wednesday should be the windiest day across the CWA with gusts up to 30 mph possible. Furthermore, GFDI values indicate that dry fuels are not an issue due to recent rains from earlier this week. Therefore, fire weather should not be much of a concern through next week.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 414 AM MST Fri Nov 6 2026

VFR conditions are likely at both sites through the day with light winds and high clouds. That being said, there is freezing fog in the vicinity of KMCK as of 1115Z. The fog did briefly move over the terminal between 1000 and 1100Z. Be alert through the first few hours with the dense freezing fog trying to push back into KMCK. There is also a 20% chance of fog again tonight after 09Z.

GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

KS...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST today for KSZ003-004-015-016- 029. CO...None. NE...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST today for NEZ081.