textproduct: Grand Junction

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures are 10-15 degrees above normal.

- Periodic showers and storms are expected this week. Precipitation will favor the higher terrain.

- A series of storms work ashore out west late this weekend, spelling out cooler, wetter conditions for the West Slope.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 945 PM MDT Tue Apr 7 2026

This Week

The moisture that was responsible for showers and storms across the south today will slightly decrease tomorrow. Although there may be enough for isolated showers over the higher terrain with the lack of forcing. If a shower is able to develop not much precipitation is expected. The jet from a low pressure system moving across the Northern Plains will clip our area tomorrow. This will result in gusty winds during the afternoon. Low level RH and these winds will cause localized elevated fire conditions in spots mainly in the western half of the forecast area. Zonal flow on Thursday will advect more moisture into the region, so there will be an uptick in orographic showers and storms in the afternoon. On Friday southwesterly flow develops ahead of a strong over the West Coast. This flow ushers in another push of moisture, which will support another round of orographic showers and storms. Due to the approaching low pressure the gradient increases so expect a gusty afternoon.

The Weekend and Early Next Week

The low pressure over the West Coast will make landfall, weaken into a wave and track inland on Saturday. For now it looks to track over our forecast area. That along with the abundant moisture will result in widespread showers and storms. Another West Coast low pressure is expected, but how it evolves and where it tracks once it makes landfall is not certain. So confidence is low attm, but there is the potential for another round of precipitation into early next week. Of course, these two systems will result in cooler temperatures that are actually closer to normal.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 512 AM MDT Wed Apr 8 2026

Mid to high level scattered to broken skies are on tap today with some gusty afternoon winds of 20 to 25kts. VFR conditions stay in place for the next 24 hours.

GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CO...None. UT...None.

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