textproduct: Grand Junction

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm any dry conditions continue to stick around. Temperatures will begin to surge well above normal this week, approaching record values Monday through Wednesday.

- Isolated to scattered critical fire weather conditions exist throughout the week.

- A pattern shift is expected mid-week which will prompt stronger winds and a few showers along the higher terrain

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1115 AM MDT Sun May 10 2026

HOT AND DRY TO START OFF THE WEEK:

Current satellite imagery shows clear skies across the region as only a few passing high clouds are expected throughout the day. A broad upper level ridge will begin to establish itself over much of the western CONUS beginning this afternoon. This feature will stick around through mid-week and will bring a rise in temperatures, nearing 15-20 degrees above normal in most places through Wednesday. There is a high chance for record breaking temperatures throughout the region for that time period. In addition to the record breaking temperatures Wednesday, we will also see some gusty winds invade the area. This will lead to some fire weather concerns, especially where fuels are deemed critical. An approaching trough will begin to cool temperatures slightly for Thursday and Friday. Models are in a bit of disagreement about how much temperatures will cool, but nonetheless still looks to keep everything 5-10 degrees above normal. Pre-frontal winds will also take shape again Thursday ahead of the pattern shift, making for another day of gusty winds and fire weather concerns. This trough could also bring an uptick in moisture, but at this point it looks like it will just be confined to the higher terrain.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1044 AM MDT Sun May 10 2026

Afternoon gusts around 15-20kt are possible. Otherwise VFR conditions are expected through the taf period.

GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CO...None. UT...None.