textproduct: Grand Junction

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Unseasonably warm and dry conditions highlight the forecast through the next seven days.

- Isolated terrain-based showers across the San Juans are possible Sunday through Wednesday. The greatest chance for rainfall will be Tuesday, but probabilities are still below 40%.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 940 PM MDT Fri Oct 2 2026

UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND:

With high pressure in place across the Southwest, warm and dry conditions will be favored through the weekend. Temperatures will range from 5 to 15 degrees above normal across the region. A mild boost in moisture Sunday afternoon could lead to isolated convection over the San Juans, but without much else driving active weather, the vast majority of the region should anticipate a dry weekend.

WORK WEEK OUTLOOK:

Looking ahead to next week, high pressure breaks down late Monday into Tuesday as a shortwave trough advects through the northwesterly flow. This could again prompt terrain-based showers, but with dry surface levels in place, measurable rainfall could be hard to come by. Beyond this weak disturbance, high pressure and warm and dry conditions remain the name of the game through the work week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1112 PM MDT Fri Oct 2 2026

High clouds will move through over the next 24 hours with no impact to TAFs leaving VFR conditions in place.

GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CO...None. UT...None.

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