textproduct: Grand Junction

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm and dry conditions prevail this weekend.

- Gusty winds are expected on Monday and especially Tuesday with gusts around 30-50 mph.

- Chances for precipitation increase late Monday and persist for several days.

- Accumulating snow is looking likely for the mountains and possible for some valley locations Tuesday onwards.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 1012 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

Lingering moisture from the last system has resulted in low stratus and fog for some places, which will mix out by this afternoon. Elsewhere will be mostly sunny. Later today high level clouds from the next West Coast low pressure will spread over the region. Highs today will be 5-10 degrees warmer than yesterday thanks to the mostly sunny skies. Localized fog and or low stratus is possible again tonight. Southwest flow becomes established tomorrow so we will continue to see high clouds, and temperatures warm up a few degrees.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

Issued at 1012 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

A series of low pressures are expected to make landfall along the West Coast in the next several days. Models are in decent agreement that as these systems move inland they will likely impact our area beginning on Monday. As the shortwave approaches from the west the pressure gradient tightens causing winds to increase across the area. The strongest winds will be on Tuesday with gusts around 30-50 mph and perhaps higher in the mountains. Moisture and forcing from the wave arrives on late Monday resulting in scattered to widespread precipitation. Those showers look to linger linger on Tuesday as the wave passes overhead. Snow levels are expected to drop as a cold front accompanies sweeps through. The models show another low pressure moving inland as an open wave and reaching our area on Wednesday. This could result in another round of scattered showers. Given the cooler air mass behind the initial wave snow levels could reach some of the lower valleys and support accumulating snowfall. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty with the timing of these waves, the exact timing of the cold air as well as the depth of these shortwave troughs which could have an impact on total snowfall accumulations. So will need to iron out these details as better model consensus is achieved, so changes are expected as we get closer to these events. Confidence is beginning to increase that we will see cooler, unsettled weather with mountains finally getting some decent snow accumulation Tuesday through much of the coming week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1041 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

Most of the lingering low cloud cover has cleared, but some still remains primarily at KVEL, KASE, and KTEX. This will clear within the next hour or so, leading to mostly clear skies through the afternoon. Tonight increased cloud cover moves in from the west. Once the remaining low clouds clear, VFR conditions will persist at all TAF sites. Winds will be light and terrain driven.

GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CO...None. UT...None.