textproduct: Grand Junction

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures rebound Sunday climbing 10 degrees above normal and higher yet on Monday.

- Weak snow showers favoring our Northern Mountains Tuesday/Wednesday remain a possibility.

- Anomalously warm temperatures close to 20 degrees above normal are expected by the end of the week, with many locations seeing near-record breaking warmth.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 844 PM MST Sat Mar 7 2026

An elongated, heavily tilted ridge of high pressure will hold influence over the region Sunday, as temperatures rebound nearly 10 degrees. This puts us back over climatology by nearly as much. Cold fronts come and they go...quickly this season. The jet max/weak frontal boundary draped across the northern states will settle southward slightly Sunday afternoon. This will let winds come up on the terrain of northwest Colorado with some gusty winds all afternoon in the 20-25 mph range. Elsewhere, just afternoon upslope gusts can be expected under blue skies. That frontal boundary will slowly shift south Monday and the cutoff low moving across Baja will send stronger southwesterly flow over the region. Surface winds across northeast Utah and northwest Colorado respond with widespread gusts back in the 25-30 mph range. Recent moisture means relative humidities will remain in check, along with fuels, but these spring type winds remind one that critical fire weather is around the corner. Warm air advection will send temperatures 10-15 degrees over climatology Monday beneath sunny skies. Quiet conditions continue Monday night with a few clouds working through the region from the cutoff low to the south and the frontal boundary to our north. Overnight lows Monday night will trend 10 degrees over average.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 844 PM MST Sat Mar 7 2026

A relatively quiet work week is in store with temperatures, for the most part, staying well above normal. Shocker. We'll start out with a closed low located over southern AZ/NM while zonal flow remains across our area. Just to our north, the jet stream will setup and may clip northern portions of the CWA Tuesday into Wednesday as a weak, subtle wave moves through the mean flow. The jet also explains the gusty winds of 20 to 30 mph, a bit higher over the northern valleys, Tuesday afternoon thanks to deeper mixing. An ever so slight uptick in moisture, and favorable orographics, may allow some precip over the higher terrain Tuesday afternoon through early Wednesday. Chances range from 20 to 40% though so no reason to get excited. Might see some light snow for the northern mountains but anticipate amounts will be less than an inch. Northwesterly flow sets up Wednesday and will bring some cooler temperatures to the region as highs drop to about 5 degrees above normal. This will be very short lived, however, as flow becomes zonal once again and temperatures start warming back up. For the remainder of the long term, the jet stream will stay to our north bringing periods of cloudiness for the northern half of the CWA and some breezy conditions each afternoon for the same areas. Very spring like...

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 436 PM MST Sat Mar 7 2026

A few high clouds will drift overhead this evening and overnight but won't pose any aviation concerns. VFR conditions remain in place through tomorrow. May see a few spotty gusty winds in the afternoon but mostly light winds anticipated.

GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CO...None. UT...None.