textproduct: Grand Junction

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Daily chances for showers and thunderstorms continues to highlight the forecast. - Heavy rainfall, lightning, small hail and outflow winds up to 40 mph will continue to be the primary risks of today's storms.

- Storms have the ability to produce flash flooding and debris flows in vulnerable terrain, including areas near and downstream of burn scars.

HYDROLOGY

Issued at 1222 AM MDT Thu Jul 23 2026

Scattered thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rain are expected to develop Thursday afternoon. Rainfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour will be possible with the stronger storms. These rates could lead to flash flooding and debris flows, especially over steep terrain and recent burn scars. Also, rain over the past several days has lead to saturated soils, which increase the chances for excessive runoff.

As a reminder: Keep an eye on our forecasts through the end of the week and stay tuned for updated hydrology alerts if visiting or if you reside below terrain vulnerable to flash flooding and/or debris flows. Dry creeks and arroyos can fill quickly and without warning from storms miles away.

GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CO...None. UT...None.


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