textproduct: Hastings

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Fog is expected to develop overnight across portions of the area. There is uncertainty as to how widespread or dense it will become.

- No rain or storms are expected today through Friday.

- High temperatures will gradually warm through Friday.

UPDATE

Issued at 109 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

The main feature of significance in this forecast is the potential for fog development overnight into the morning hours. Some locations are already reporting reduced visibility. The factors supporting fog development are recent rainfall and light winds. There is some higher level cloud moving over portions of the area which may hinder fog development a bit. Winds are expected to be variable which may help or hinder fog development depending on wind direction. Conditions will be monitored in case if the fog becomes dense and widespread enough for an advisory to be issued. Otherwise, low temperatures overnight are expected to range from the upper 50s to the mid 60s. Sunny to mostly sunny skies are expected today with high temperatures in the mid/upper 80s to low 90s. Winds during the afternoon will mostly be out of the southeast generally between 5 to 10 MPH with gusts up to around 15 MPH across western portions of the area. Low temperatures tonight will mostly be in the mid 60s with light south to east winds.

No showers or storms are expected through the end of the forecast (today through Friday). High temperatures will be on a very gradual warming trend through Friday with highs on Friday in the mid 90s to near 100 degrees. Low temperatures will generally be in the 60s each night through Tuesday night/Wednesday morning then will warm up into mainly the 70s Thursday night and Friday night.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 202 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

Today and Tonight

The showers/thunderstorms from this morning are continually weakening and moving eastward out of the area this morning/early afternoon, as the remnants of a mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) looses its upper level support. Some midlevel cloud cover will linger through the afternoon across most of the area as the shortwave trough aloft takes its sweet time moving east and upper level divergence remains. Due to this limited solar radiation reaching the surface, high temperatures today will remain cool for July's standards, with highs generally in the mid 80s.

This Weekend into Next Week

After today, a high amplitude ridge will build across the central CONUS, with 500mb heights between 570-600dm reaching up to the US/Canada border. This will allow for dry conditions and temperatures to steadily increase up into the 90s by Monday. Heat index values remain in the low to mid 90s through most of next week, as low-level moisture flow from the Gulf looks to be more limited. In fact, there is a low chance (up to 20%) that heat index values exceed 95 degrees through Wednesday.

Precipitation chances remain grim through the end of the forecast period, with the next best chance next weekend. However, there is a fair amount of uncertainty in the overarching synoptic pattern, with some model guidance suggesting the penetration of a digging trough (supporting a possible break from the heat and a chance for preciptiation) while other model guidance maintains the upper level ridge (supporting continued warming temperatures and a greater potential for extreme heat).

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 634 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Fog is expected to continue until around 14z. Winds will be light and variable this morning then will generally range from the south to southeast and may get up to around 10 knots this afternoon. There may be fog development tonight by 12z Sunday but confidence is low at this time.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for NEZ039>041- 046>049-060>064-072>077. KS...None.


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