textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- Breezy conditions are expected today as northwesterly winds blowing between 10-15 mph will occasionally gust as high as 25-35 mph across the afternoon hours.

- Following the passage of a cold front tonight, temperatures will sharply decline. Highs in the 60s to low 70s today will drop to the mid 40s to mid 50 Thursday and later should settle around the mid to upper 40s by Sunday.

- A few light rain showers apart of a Southern Plains passing system could clip a few southern portions of the area Saturday night into Sunday. Confidence remains limited at this time due to to fluctuating/inconsistent model guidance.

UPDATE

Issued at 217 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

We start the day of cool with overnight lows approaching the low to mid 40s. The temperature forecast today will not be straight forward as potential model bias may be overestimating the contribution from cold air advection behind last night's front. Given the clear skies (maximized diurnal warming) and the downslope northwest surface flow, temperatures reaching the 60s to even low 70s in a few areas southwest of the Tri-Cities appears feasible today. The main feature that could also work against the forecast for today will be the breezy northwest winds this afternoon. Wind speeds as high as 15- 20 mph this afternoon may occasionally gust as high as 30-35 mph, especially across the northeast half of the area.

Aloft, the local area rest underneath of a northwesterly jet that separates the Great Lakes centered troughing from broad Western U.S. ridging. Steady AVA/NVA (negative vorticity advection) on the backside of an exiting shortwave trough today should generally lead to subsidence and mostly dry/clear conditions. The more notable feature to mention actually lies at the surface where a secondary/reinforcing backdoor (east to west propagating) cold front is staged to pass overnight tonight. This front will play a major role in initiating a multi-day cool down that will bleed into the weekend.

Highs for Thursday will feel notably cooler as temperatures topple around 10-15 degrees from today into Thursday (mid 40s to mid 50s highs). This cold air intrusion will also seep into Friday's temperatures as well (mid 40s to low 50s highs). Rising surface pressure behind the front will work to gradually bend the surface winds northeasterly for Thursday (weak 5-10 mph) and to the southeast for Friday (steady 10-15 mph). The forecast through the week at this point in time still remains dry, although a system passing by the Southern Plains Saturday night into Sunday may have a small chance of clipping a southern portion of the area. Our current PoP forecast for Sunday (30-65% chance of precipitation) appears at this point in time to be overinflated as inconsistent model guidance has us questioning how far north the system may actually track.

SATURDAY NIGHT AND BEYOND

Saturday night through Sunday is trending likelier to bring rain back to our area (30 - 40% chances). The most favored areas would be our KS counties and NE areas south of I-80. Both the 12z EPS and GEFS depict a shortwave trough ejecting into the Central Plains in this timeframe, with a curved 500-mb left jet exit positioned over north-central KS. While nobody is currently expected to see any significant heavy rain, there remains some question as to how far north the relative heaviest can make it. The GEFS suggests the shortwave will eject across the Plains farther north, which would bring our forecast area a bit more rain. We'll see how this trends as we get closer.

While this is NOT any real concern at this time, the 12z GEFS suggests a relatively colder airmass associated with this weekend's precip, and thus depicts some snow on the north side of the system. Of course, we'll watch the trends, but latest thinking is that temperatures will stay above freezing and any precip will be liquid rain alone. 13z NBM guidance puts snow probabilities at 5% or less.

Rain is expected to conclude around Sunday night as the shortwave moves east. Monday and at least some of Tuesday may stay dry between systems, while mid-next week another large- scale trough with potential precip looks to arrive per latest ensemble guidance.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1138 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions will prevail across the period as only a few upper-level clouds will pass by tonight and Wednesday. The main aviation concern tonight will be from the presence of LLWS and steadily increasing northwesterly winds on Wednesday. Ongoing LLWS will fade across the morning hours as the surface winds increase. Speeds during the day will reach as high as 15-20kts with gusts as high as 30-35kts possible through 22z. Winds will abruptly lighten after 0z with directions becoming more northerly oriented.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.