textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- Chilly temperatures will continue through the weekend, with highs both days in the 40s to around 50F.

- Rain chances tonight have decreased to 20-40% chance and only for north central Kansas now.

- The start of the work week will see a dry, warming trend, with highs increasing into the 50s to low 60s by Wednesday.

- Breezy southerly winds will also increase at the start of the week, with gusts up to 35-45 MPH possible Wednesday afternoon.

- Active weather pattern returns to the area towards the end of next week and into next weekend.

UPDATE

Issued at 446 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

No major changes to the overall forecast as the sensible weather for most locations this weekend will be dry/seasonably cool.

One minor change has been to continue the downward trend in precipitation chances this evening into tonight as the primary shortwave disturbance continues to trend a bit further south. Any PoPs still in the forecast are now almost entirely in north central Kansas. And even if it pans out in our KS zones any rain accumulations will be very light.

Today it will be a bit chilly with the SE breeze and some mid to high clouds. Sunday afternoon should be a bit nicer for any fall outdoor activities given decreasing clouds and a lighter breeze at around 5-10 MPH.

Still expect warmer temperatures for early next week, but this will be offset by stronger winds. Expect peak gusts of 25-30 MPH Monday increasing to 30-40 MPH for Tuesday.

A series of disturbances look to bring off and on precipitation chances (most likely in the form of rain) later next week and into next weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 241 PM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

The low-level stratus deck that resided over the western half of the area this morning has continued to erode away this morning into the early afternoon. Winds today will be light and southerly, thanks to a surface high pressure center situated in the northern Plains. High temperatures today will be on the cooler side, with highs in the upper 40s, potentially peaking into the low 50s. Tonight, lows are expected drop off into the mid to upper 20s.

These chilly temperatures will continue through the weekend, with highs in the 40s to low 50s, as another trough makes its way from the west coast. This trough is expected to cause pressure falls over the southern Great plains, bringing low to midlevel clouds and preciptiation chances to the region Satudray night into Sunday morning. Recent model guidance has continued to keep the bulk of this precipitation to the south of the area, though a few showers could extend as far north as Interstate 80 (roughly 15-40% chance south of I- 80).

As this trough moves off to the east, an upper-level ridge will build in across the central CONUS. This pattern aloft will support a dry, warming trend through the beginning of the work week. High temperatures are expected to increase into the 50s and even low 60s by Wednesday, which is quite unusual for mid November (climatological highs are normally closer to 50). As a surface high pressure center in the Midwest dominates the flow in the region, breezy southerly winds will return to the area. These winds are expected to increase in magnitude through about Wednesday, with gusts of 30-35 MPH possible Monday increasing to 40-45 MPH Wednesday afternoon as the next system approaches the area.

A more active weather pattern looks to return mid to late next week, as a series of troughs cross the Rocky Mountains. The first looks to come Wednesday evening into Thursday, as a low pressure center developing in the northern plains. This developing cyclone will help support the increasing wind speeds Tuesday and Wednesday, and bring the chance of precipitation back into the area Wednesday night into Thursday. Along with these precipitation chances, a cold front is forecast to cross through the area Wednesday night, though there is some uncertainty in how temperatures will respond in the wake of this front, as current model guidance is suggesting that temperatures rise back up into the 50s Thursday afternoon. Additionally, another trough looks to move into the region at the end of next week, bringing with it a greater precipitation potential. However, there is quite a bit of uncertainty regarding the timing and location of this system, as the GEFS (and parent GFS model) brings this system in faster than the ENS (and parent ECMWF model).

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1055 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Dry, VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period. A band of low level clouds currently over western Nebraska looks to be expanding slightly to the east. This low VFR cloud cover may expand to KEAR this afternoon (indicated by the scattered group), but is not expected to impact KGRI. Overnight, another layer of low-level clouds is expected to move over the area. However, these cloud bases are expected to remain low VFR.

South-southeasterly winds this afternoon will be breezy, with gusts of 20-25kt possible, particularly at KEAR. Winds will decrease after sunset tonight, before turning more south- southeasterly early tomorrow morning.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.