textproduct: Hastings

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Flood Warnings and Advisories continue across the southeastern forecast area. Please see weather.gov/gid for local details and expiration times.

- Rain exits our forecast area this evening, with dry conditions favored through at least next Wednesday.

- Friday and Saturday morning lows can dip into the low-to-mid 40s. Mid next week, afternoon highs can approach 80 degrees for our western and southern forecast area.

- Fog may be possible between 4 AM - 9 AM CDT Saturday and Sunday mornings. Confidence is low.

FRIDAY AND THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS

Not much weather to discuss in the coming days! Friday will be cooler with highs in the low-to-mid 60s, with Saturday morning lows likely to fall to the mid 40s again. Through the weekend, highs will likely get back into the mid-to-upper 60s. Broad west-northwesterly flow aloft is likely to keep us dry through at least next Wednesday. Currently, the only signals for low precip chances would be for late Saturday evening for our far northern forecast area, and next Tuesday. Our Saturday evening shortwave is expected to be very dry, so without moisture this forcing won't matter. With regard to Tuesday, the 06z GEFS suggests a shortwave embedded in the broader mid-level flow can produce isolated pockets of light rain late in the day. Tuesday itself is also likely to be the cloudiest day upcoming, but not fully overcast. Aside from this, however, a sunny start to October is expected!

Let's keep an eye on Saturday and Sunday mornings for some fog potential in our southern forecast area from roughly 4 AM - 9 AM each morning. The 12z RRFS suggests a saturated surface inversion during this time window each morning. This isn't unreasonable considering our clear skies, strong overnight surface cooling, calmer winds, and recent rainfall. However, this surface inversion is progged to be very shallow, and thus any wind can halt fog formation. We'll keep an eye on how this trends.

Saturday and Monday have potential to be on the windier side, with gusts in the 20 - 30 mph range especially for our northern and western forecast area. A subtle front is expected to pass Saturday night, which will switch us from southerly to northerly surface flow. By Monday though, we'll likely be back to southerly flow, which looks to warm us up mid next week. Latest 13z NBM guidance suggests that temperatures can top 80 degrees next Tuesday through Friday (about 50% chances) for our southern and far western forecast area. The Tri-Cities area can see mid 70s in this timeframe.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 149 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

A brief couple hours of MVFR conditions are expected from 18z - 20z this afternoon. Once we get to 20z, VFR conditions are expected to return through the remainder of the TAF period. Through the 18z - 02z timeframe this evening, surface winds will be stronger (15+ kts) with gusts getting up into the 25-kt range. Winds will weaken and become variable overnight. A shift in surface winds to southerly winds will gradually take place late tomorrow morning into afternoon, likely in the 13z - 17z timeframe. Winds are not expected to be strong in this period. Of lesser importance but perhaps worthy of a mere mention, the NAM is producing winds in the 35+ kt range in the 1,000 - 2,000 ft level from around 23z this evening through 06z FRI as the lower-level wind maximum moves away with our exiting precip. Given how substantially this model is an outlier, have high confidence in no LLWS risk tonight and thus no mention in the TAF.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.


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