textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- Generally quiet weather pattern with mostly near to above normal temperatures continues for the next 7-8 days, at least.

- Exceptions to this will be a slight chance for light precipitation, mainly over central Nebraska, Saturday morning with a cold front that will lead to a sharp, but relatively brief, cool down for Sunday and Monday.

- The only real "hazardous weather" to speak of will be strong NW winds gusting 35-45+ MPH during the day on Saturday. This could lead to elevated fire weather concerns, as well.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 400 PM CST Wed Nov 5 2025

Shaping up to be a nice late afternoon and early evening given nearly full sunshine and increasing high pressure that is allowing winds to lighten up. Temperatures as of 3PM are in the mid 50s to lower 60s, which is right around, or even a touch above, normal for this time of year.

Clouds will gradually increase overnight ahead of our next weak upper disturbance and winds will turn more Srly, which will help to keep overnight lows largely above freezing. Modestly breezy S/SW winds should lead to warmer afternoon high temperatures on Thursday, likely in the 60s area wide, and perhaps even some low 70s far W/SW. "Feels like" conditions may actually be fairly similar to today, though, given the breeze and continued high level sky cover. A weak cold front associated with aforementioned upper disturbance (embedded within relatively active/fast zonal/NW flow) will swing through the area Thu eve/night. This is a Pacific-based system with not a lot of punch to it, so temperatures will actually be quite similar on Friday as any cold air advection is offset to some degree by some downsloping component to WNW-NW winds. Afternoon will be a bit breezy, esp. N of I-80, but winds should decrease for the evening and most of the night.

A stronger cold front and push of cooler air will arrive Saturday AM. Some models continue to indicate a low, but non- zero, chance for light rain showers/sprinkles late late Friday night into Saturday morning, mainly for areas N and E of the Tri-Cities. Forecast soundings continue to support all rain for our area as the deeper cold air, for us, will lag the precip by several hours. Dakotas into MN and N IA could be a different story. By far, though, the greatest weather impact from this system for us will be the widespread, strong NW winds. Latest NBM calls for 40-70+ percent chance for wind gusts >40 MPH, and 10-40 percent chance for gusts >50 MPH...with the highest range of chances being W through NW of the Tri-Cities. Would not at all be surprised to see a place like Ord see a few gusts in the low 50s. Elsewhere, should be mainly 35-50 MPH. Will likely be dealing with some lingering cloud cover/low level moisture through the day, which should help alleviate some fire weather concerns by keeping RHs mostly above 30 percent. However, still think areas along/SW of a Arapahoe to Osborne line will have at least elevated concerns with slightly lower humidities around 25 to 30 percent.

Still looks like strongest sfc high pressure of the season thus far will move into the region Sunday into Sunday night. Timing could be favorable for peak radiational cooling (clear skies, light winds) and some of the coldest lows in quite some time. Official NBM has now dropped to 19F at Ord, but keeps Tri-Cities and S in the low to mid 20s. Will probably see these trend lower as details become clearer.

Monday will remain chilly, but guidance remains in good agreement that seasonably mild air will return Tuesday through much of next week. In fact, could see at least a couple days with highs once again rising into the 60s to near 70s. There are some hints of a potentially cooler and perhaps more active pattern towards the 17th-20th, but obviously details are not possible this far out.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1132 PM CST Wed Nov 5 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

High confidence VFR conditions through the period with increasing high clouds upstream of the area approaching the region late tonight.

Expect southerly winds to remain steady near 10 KTS through the overnight hours...rapidly increasing after daybreak as the surface pressure gradient increases across the region ahead of the next disturbance. While there is evidence of a weak LLJ in model data, so far the VWP is not indicating and WS out there at the moment and expect any LLWS that develops to remain marginal, so did not introduce this into 6Z TAFs. Winds will likely gust to near 25KTS during the afternoon hours Thursday, diminishing from west to east ahead of a weak cold front late in the day.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.