textproduct: Hastings
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Spotty showers and perhaps a weak thunderstorm remain possible this afternoon and early evening. Most areas will stay dry.
- Increasingly warm conditions return and high temperatures peak near 100 degrees on Sunday and Monday.
- Better rain chances return to the area mid to late next week (July 22-25th).
DISCUSSION
Issued at 101 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
The primary change in this forecast was the addition of isolated sprinkles/showers to the forecast for this afternoon. This is most favorable over the eastern half of the area. There is enough instability that a few rumbles of thunder are not out of the question as well. Shear is very weak, so updrafts will be short-lived and non-severe. All in all, impacts will be minimal, and the overwhelming majority of the area is expected to remain dry.
Otherwise, ridging will continue to favor mostly dry and increasingly warm conditions through the weekend. Temperatures on both Sunday and Monday could approach 100 degrees with heat index values near 105 degrees in many areas. Of the two days, Monday looks to be the "peak," before a pattern shift for the middle to end of next week.
Models favor a more active pattern for the middle to end of next week. But, to be fair, it isn't particularly hard to be more active than this week has been. The EPS favors slightly above-normal precip totals in the 5-10 day range, but the other global ensembles are not quite as optimistic.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 711 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
VFR conditions will prevail through the entire period. Surface winds of 7-10 kts will begin turning to out of the southwest tonight, remaining southwesterly through midday tomorrow. Winds will return to southerly beyond noon. Surface gusts of 12-15 kts are expected tomorrow afternoon, alongside a few cumulus clouds.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None. KS...None.
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