textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers will continue to decrease in coverage through the afternoon.

- Mostly dry conditions after today.

- Increasing temperatures expected through the end of the forecast, with heat index values in the low to mid 90s through most of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 202 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

Today and Tonight

The showers/thunderstorms from this morning are continually weakening and moving eastward out of the area this morning/early afternoon, as the remnants of a mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) looses its upper level support. Some midlevel cloud cover will linger through the afternoon across most of the area as the shortwave trough aloft takes its sweet time moving east and upper level divergence remains. Due to this limited solar radiation reaching the surface, high temperatures today will remain cool for July's standards, with highs generally in the mid 80s.

This Weekend into Next Week

After today, a high amplitude ridge will build across the central CONUS, with 500mb heights between 570-600dm reaching up to the US/Canada border. This will allow for dry conditions and temperatures to steadily increase up into the 90s by Monday. Heat index values remain in the low to mid 90s through most of next week, as low-level moisture flow from the Gulf looks to be more limited. In fact, there is a low chance (up to 20%) that heat index values exceed 95 degrees through Wednesday.

Precipitation chances remain grim through the end of the forecast period, with the next best chance next weekend. However, there is a fair amount of uncertainty in the overarching synoptic pattern, with some model guidance suggesting the penetration of a digging trough (supporting a possible break from the heat and a chance for preciptiation) while other model guidance maintains the upper level ridge (supporting continued warming temperatures and a greater potential for extreme heat).

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 651 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Beyond a low chance for morning fog as low as 1-4 miles (40% chance at KGRI and 20% chance at KEAR) between 10-14z, VRF conditions are likely to retain across the rest of the 0z TAF period. Skies may become partly cloudy at times, though cloud ceilings will likely remain above 5,000ft. Winds will remain light and variable through the night and through most of the morning. Winds Saturday afternoon will blow between mainly 5-15MPH with directions settling out of the southeast.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.