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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A Dense Fog Advisory will be in effect for counties west of HWY- 281 through 10AM this morning. Given the freezing temperatures, slick roads from freezing fog will be possible.
- The 7-day forecast (through Thursday) remains dry (chance for precipitation <10%).
- Highs will mainly range the 50s this afternoon with highs bumping up into mainly the 60s for much of the rest of the 7-day forecast (through Thursday).
UPDATE
Issued at 1120 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
A band of dense fog has established itself east of HWY-281 this morning across central Nebraska and north central Kansas. Across the rest of the morning hours, we suspect for this bank of fog to gradually spread east. The HRRR, RRFS and REFS all indicate that that the expansion of fog should end somewhere between Kearney and Grand Island (not expected to expand east of HWY-281). In addition, temperatures dropping below freezing tonight (lows in the mid 20s to low 30s) could create freezing fog that could make some surfaces and roadways slick. A Dense Fog Advisory will be in effect until 10AM for counties along and west of a line from Valley to Franklin counties in Nebraska and Phillips and Rooks counties in Kansas.
Beyond the fog this morning, an around 1024mb surface high pressure center will pivot through central Nebraska. This feature will ultimately claim responsibility for the light surface winds today (<10MPH) with wind directions gradually pivoting from a northerly to southerly direction through the day. Temperatures will be slow to recover today as overcast skies will be expected to prevail across much of the day. Highs are forecast to range the upper 40s to 50s this afternoon (generally around 5-10ish degrees cooler from Thursday).
Tonight, lows should be on track to spread the low to mid 30s. A mini warm up will be favored to take over the weekend as clearing skies meet steady south/southwesterly winds with a ridging pattern settling in aloft. Highs will mainly range the 60s for Saturday and Sunday. The prevailing dry conditions should continue on through the weekend as subsidence beneath the upper-level ridge continues to suppress an chance for precipitation. For more information on the long- range forecast, please refer to the discussion below.
SATURDAY INTO NEXT WEEK
Dry, warm, mostly clear conditions are favored from Saturday afternoon through at least next Thursday, and thus there's nothing really to report at this time. Monday will see a few wind gusts to 20 mph, but no stronger winds are expected. Winds will largely stay between southerly and westerly through Tuesday before a few intermittent swings to northerly work in from diffuse fronts.
High temperatures from this weekend through next week will be in the 60s, with overnight lows spanning from the mid 30s to mid 40s each night as clear skies allow for strong cooling despite warm days.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 532 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
A band of dense fog currently lies just west of KEAR this morning. It is uncertain how far east this patch of fog will meander or if it will make it to KEAR or not. Either way, this fog should not reach KGRI and should scatter out before 18z. As for ceilings, at least MVFR (IFR for KEAR) ceilings should continue to hang around the area this morning until closer to 18-21z when cloud bases will be on the rise. Though a period of scattered clouds may overtake the afternoon/evening timeframe, ceiling will be expect to drop below 10,000ft after 5z tonight (not expected to return to sub-MBFR classifications at this time). Winds will soon settle out of the south to southwest today as a high pressure center passes through central Nebraska. Winds should remain light (gusts less than 15kts) through the day and night tonight.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for NEZ039-046- 060-061-072>074-082>084. KS...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for KSZ005-017.
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