textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- Largely drive Mon-Fri work week.

- Seasonal temperatures either side of normal (tad cooler, tad warmer, tad cooler) with a comfortable airmass thanks to lower dewpoints (though likely a bit higher late Tuesday/early Wednesday)

- Honestly, the next shot for decent showers/storms comes next weekend, possibly late Friday night, but more likely Satudray night, and it may include the for strong to severe storms.

UPDATE

Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon Jun 15 2026

The early morning weather map depicted surface high pressure near Scottsbluff Nebraska and ridging its way southeast into northern Kansas. Skies were clear or mostly clear with some mid clouds still streaming in from northeast Colorado and across southwest Nebraska. A weak upper short wave was moving southeast into western Iowa and spreading weak subsidence into south central Nebraska. Temperatures are cool again this morning, ranging from 50 to 60 degrees.

As the key messages mention, the Monday-Friday work is "mostly" dry. The exception is tonight when another upper shortwave, with a bit more "umph" and a weak front slides southeast across the region. A weak south/southwest low level jet (LLJ) forms ahead of the surface front with some low end MuCape and CAMS models suggesting at least non-zero chance for isolated showers or even a rumble of thunder after 10 PM. The forecast reflects this with a 15-25% type rain chance. This seems most likely to occur southeast of Hastings. Rain amounts will be minimal, such as trace to a few hundredths, and very sparse overall.

Tuesday and Wednesday will be dry, and Tuesday will be a particularly nice day. The late Monday night front will shift winds to the north Tuesday morning, but winds will quickly return to the south by evening...ahead of the next front set to push through the area Wednesday morning. Though the front is stronger and it will pull more moisture back into the region late Tuesday night, warming in the mid-levels will act as a cap, and force development of thunderstorms well east of south central Nebraska and north central Kansas. Look for a much warmer night Tuesday night (lows in the 60s) and a quick warmup Wednesday as fairly strong west/northwest winds mix the lower atmosphere. However, we have lowered temperatures a touch (still above 90 many areas) with the idea that there is decent cold advection as early as late morning and lasting through the afternoon/evening. High temperatures Wednesday may well go lower by a few degrees with subsequent forecasts. Winds are probably underdone for Wednesday afternoon giving the strong downward momentum transfer and even "old-timer" numerical guidance suggesting 30-35 mph wind gusts are possible, if not likely.

After the midweek cold front passes, temperatures dip back to slightly below normal Thursday with sunshine, comfortable dewpoints and a north breeze. Friday will be dry but becomes a transition day as southernly winds return, low-level moisture slowly increases and and temperatures sneak up into the middle and upper 80s.

On Friday night, there are early signs LLJ will form and start to push more unstable air north overnight which may result in some overnight thunderstorms. This scenario seems more likely Saturday night as a strong southerly flow sets up across Central Plains thanks to surface low pressure and a shortwave moving east across the Dakotas. Precipitation chances look pretty good at this point, centered mostly on Saturday night night, keeping in mind this has been a trend in the models for at last a few days. If this timing holds, another front would push across the area on Fathers Day continuing the rain chance.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 213 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

There will be a few opportunities for sprinkles or light rain showers this week, but widespread or "meaningful" rain is not expected. The 12Z global ensembles show a 60-90% chance for less than 0.10" of total rainfall through Friday.

The first opportunity for sprinkles will be tonight into Monday morning, followed by another opportunity for spotty showers and weak t-storms Monday night.

Temperatures will trend warmer through midweek (90s to low 100s on Wed). That said, humidity remains quite low through Wednesday, so heat index values should remain below 100 degrees for the entire area. A shortwave will move through the region on Wednesday, but the bulk of the rain/t-storms should remain to our east. This shortwave will bump temperatures down a bit for Thursday, but near to above- normal temperatures return for the weekend.

Ensembles continue to advertise reasonably high chances for rain/t-storms returning next weekend (June 20-21st) as a shortwave moves through the central/northern Plains. Of course, details remain pretty uncertain at this time range, this could feature at least some severe weather. The 00Z CSU-MLP severe probs have a 5% contour across much of the region on Saturday.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 613 AM CDT Mon Jun 15 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Still looking at VFR conditions through the forecast period. Westerly winds during the day today may gust to 18-20kts at times this afternoon but eventually drop off by evening and back to the south a bit ahead of a weak frontal boundary. That front will pass about midnight tonight and shift winds back to the north/northwest. Expect only periods of mid/high levels passing by, probably a bit thicker toward the later half of the forecast.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.