textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- A cluster of storms remains on track to impact the local area late this evening and into the overnight hours. A marginal to slight risk for severe weather continues...with wind gusts 60+ MPH and hail to the size half dollars both possible. - Additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms will likely impact parts of the local area through the upcoming weekend. Some of the storms could be severe at times, although timing and details regarding the severe potential are still uncertain.

- As soils continue to saturate across the region, could see some localized flooding with any stronger storms that are able to drop 1-3 inches of rainfall in a short period of time.

- After a seasonably warm start to the week today, temperatures should fluctuate in the lower to possibly mid-80s for the remainder of the forecast period.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 210 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

A line of showers and thunderstorms developed just southwest of the local area early this morning and weakened as they tracked east northeast through the afternoon hours. As skies clear behind the remaining cloud cover, expect temperatures to rebound into the mid 80s to near 90 by late afternoon...with eyes then turning west where the next line of showers and thunderstorms is currently starting to intensify over the central Rockies.

Models today have been fairly consistent developing a fairly large complex of storms over the high plains later this afternoon...which should track east towards the local area during the evening hours. This fairly widespread area of storms...some of which could be severe given the available instability and nearly 40 KTS of 0-6 KM shear...should reach our western areas by around 8 PM...and likely the Tri-cities closer to 10PM. Given the potential for some organized storms embedded in this cluster, hail to around half dollar size will be possible initially during the evening hours, with the main threat transitioning to strong thunderstorm wind gusts later in the event. Currently, we remain in a slight risk for severe weather for western areas and a more marginal risk from roughly the Tri-cities and to the east/northeast, which seems reasonable considering the timing and expected evolution of this event.

Behind the initial surge of thunderstorms late tonight, several models indicate redevelopment on its backside...likely fed by a southeasterly LLJ...which could keep things active in spots until around daybreak Tuesday. Skies will eventually clear by midday, however, with another seasonably warm afternoon in store for the local area. In fact, with a weak upper level flow pattern and the lack of strong or persistent ridging, most days over the next 7-10 days should have near to slightly above normal temperatures each afternoon with periodic chances for thunderstorms largely driven by weak disturbances in westerly flow and plenty of available instability forecast across the region. Given the uncertainty in timing and lack of really strong shear on any particular day, trying to time severe chances beyond the next 24 hours is difficult, although additional severe storm chances will be likely over the course of the next week.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 629 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

It's a quiet start to this TAF period with continued easterly winds, but by mid-late evening, increasing chances for thunderstorms work their way into the terminal areas...looking to last through the overnight and at least early morning hours Tuesday. There will be the potential for sub-VFR conditions, mainly in the 04-10Z time frame where the potential for heavier, more widespread activity lies...currently driven more by visbility than ceilings. Models suggesting that activity may become more scattered as we get closer to dawn and into the early-mid morning hours on Tuesday...so kept things VFR through that period through 16Z. A few models hold onto at least scattered activity through much of the daytime hours on Tuesday, others are pretty dry...so because of the uncertainty, kept any precip mention out from 16Z on through the end of this period...will see how models trend. From mid-evening on through the pre-dawn hours, with the increased potential for storms, have winds being variable in nature...and there is the chance for stronger gusts depending on where storms track. Once this main push of more widespread activity passes, have winds returning to more east-southeasterly around 10-15 MPH...but confidence isn't overly high.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.