textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- Flurries/light snow will remain possible into the late afternoon-early evening hours, mainly across portions of south central NE. No notable amounts/impacts are expected.

- The start of the new week Sun-Tue remains dry, with warming temperatures. Expecting mid-upper 50s by Monday, with low 60s for Tuesday.

- Wednesday through the end of the week, a more amplified upper level pattern will develop across the CONUS as a couple of stronger disturbances dig south out of central Canada into the eastern half of the CONUS. Currently not looking at any great precipitation chances associated with these systems, but they will usher in colder temps (mainly Wed, Fri, and Sat) and pushes of gusty NW winds. Models are hinting at the strongest winds coming Friday...with at least a small probability of gusts over 50 MPH. Will see how models trend in the coming days.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 341 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Currently...

What has been a dry day for the forecast area up until now will be ending for northern portions, as a swath of light snow continues to creep in from the north. Looking aloft, upper air and satellite data show an area of low pressure spinning over the northern MN/WI border, with a trough axis extending SSW through IA/MO and into OK. A strong upper level jet streak nosing south on the backside of the main low is helping drive this activity, and with the lack of moisture to work with, it's been on the light side. At the surface, an accompanying cold front has been swinging through the region, ushering in gusty NW winds. Most gusts have been in the 25-35 MPH range, but here has been an occasional gust closer to 40-45 MPH. Between the increasing cloud cover and cooler air advecting in this afternoon, temps across the NNErn half of the area have leveled off/dropped this afternoon (highs will end up being in the upper 30s- low 40s)...further SW still seeing plenty of sun (at least for a bit longer), has reached into the low 50s.

This evening into Sunday...

The potential for light snow (mainly flurries) will continue to sink south the rest of this afternoon and early evening...mainly impacting out south central NE counties. Not expecting any notable accumulation or impacts from this activity...which is expected to end mid-late evening (possibly earlier). The rest of the overnight hours tonight remains dry. The current gusty winds will taper off tonight, dropping below 10 MPH, turning more westerly with time as a ridge of high pressure slides east through the area. Cloud cover should also diminish, especially after midnight...overnight lows are forecast to drop into the mid teens to low 20s.

Lower amplitude northwesterly flow sets up across the region for Sunday...with the forecast remaining dry, and partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies. Winds are lighter than today (closer to 10-15 MPH)...out of the WSW as high pressure settles into eastern portions of the Srn Plains and a trough of low pressure extends from the central High Plains up through the Dakotas. The cooler airmass shifts further east with time...and together with the WSW winds and more sun, a bump is expected in temps...with forecast highs still in the mid 40s east to mid 50s west.

New work week...

Overall, compared to 24 hours ago, there really hasn't been a significant changes to the forecast through the new work week. Models remain in pretty good agreement looking big-picture, broad...showing the upper level pattern remaining generally northwesterly, with varying degrees of amplitude with time. The start of the week continues what starts on Sunday, lower amplitude flow aloft, with broad troughing over the East Coast and high pressure just off the CA coast.

Starting roughly Tuesday night and continuing through the end of the week, models continue to show the potential for a couple of stronger upper level waves to dig SSE out of central Canada and into central/eastern portions of the CONUS, driving a much more amplified pattern across the CONUS as high pressure builds north along the West Coast. At this point, models continue to show neither of these systems (roughly Tue night-Wed AM and again Friday-ish) being notable precipitation makers for the forecast area...in fact, the forecast for Monday-Saturday remains largely dry. Better chances for precipitation currently look to be focused just off to our east...but it's only Saturday, still plenty of time to iron out details depending on model trends.

As far as temperatures go...the start of the week sees the return of above normal temperatures, with Monday in the mid 50s-near 60 and Tuesday in the low 60s. Normal highs for this time of year are mid 30s to right around 40. At this point not anticipating any record highs, but current forecast flirts with Warm Low Temp records for the 13th (Tuesday)...forecast for both GRI/HSI is a low of 36, record for both is 35 (set in 2002 for GRI, 1987 for HSI) From Wednesday on...these upper level waves will usher in colder air, and especially for Friday, stronger winds. Wednesday highs fall back into the 40s, and after a brief warm up Thursday, the next push of colder air drops Fri-Sat more into the 30s. The timing of the main pushes of NW winds looks to be Wednesday and again Friday...with ECMWF ensemble data still showing probabilities of 50 kts/58 MPH around 10-30 percent for a decent portion of our south central NE counties.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1132 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions are favored through the period, although there is a low chance (20-30%) for patchy fog...primarily in the 11-15Z timeframe.

Winds turn to the southwest on Sunday.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.