textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- If you are looking for drier weather, the week ahead is probably the week for you, as rain chances are minimal and light through next Friday.

- Look for a comfortable airmass for most of the week ahead as the week starts cooler than normal, warms and the cools again. There is really only one day (Wednesday) with the expectation of "very warm" or solidly above normal temperatures, and that seems to be trending a bit cooler.

- Though not explicitly in this forecast period, better chances for rain/thunderstorms appear likely from 21st through the 28th.

UPDATE

Issued at 156 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Been a bit up and down the 3 nights (plus tonight) with severe weather, then a very quiet night and then some severe weather last night. We are back on the quiet weather scenario with the passage of a cold front earlier today ushering in a drier and cooler air mass. High pressure is building ont the area from the northwest with largely clouds skies across south central Nebraska and lingering high clouds across northern Kansas thanks to thunderstorms to the south.

Today will feel more like fall than mid-June with dewpoints down in the 40s and highs in the 70s. Look for a good amount sunshine but an upper shortwave in Montana early today will slip southeast in the northwest flow across the area this evening. The should bring an increase in mid/high clouds at least, if not even a few sprinkles, or the "look" of sprinkles later this afternoon and into the evening. Rain amounts will be of the trace variety. Skies will clear again behind the wave tonight and set the stage for another cool morning Monday with low temperatures as much as 10 degrees below normal.

After the cool start, Monday will be a touch warmer than today with a light westerly wind, occasionally gusting up in the afternoon. Another shortwave will pass northeast of the area Monday evening, potentially bringing a few showers, though rain amounts will be sparse and very light again. It won't be as quite as cool Monday night as a weak southerly flow develops.

Tuesday looks dry and a bit warmer still highs in the lower to middle 80s, which is about where we should be. Southerly winds will increase and continue into the Tuesday night ahead of the next front set to move across south central Nebraska and north central Kansas on Wednesday. Good warm advection will lift lows back into the 60s Tuesday night and inspire some modest moisture return. To be 100% honest, the timing of the frontal passage Wednesday looks like a morning event, which probably won't conducive to much rain chance. Also, it will be warmer Wednesday due to the warm start and good mixing, but I am not sure we will be as warm as the forecast currently depicts. Temperatures have been trending down and model guidance suggests cold advection by afternoon.

After that, we cool back Thursday but will warm a bit next Friday and Saturday. Thursday and Friday are mostly dry. We will see another trough move into the northern plains next weekend and that could promote a more widespread and better rain chance by next Saturday, especially later in the day. That precipitation may linger into Father's Day.

Looking a bit further ahead, the weather pattern still looks a bit unsettled in week 2, which could spell better rain chances from the 21st through the 28th. Temperature look to be near normal.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 139 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

As of early afternoon, an outflow boundary from morning convection has stalled out over northern KS with the main cold front slowly pushing through south-central and eastern Nebraska. A few cells have already begun to develop north of Columbus, and additional development is expected later in the afternoon (by 3-5pm). If anything, this front has trended a bit slower and further north, which brings potential for storms to a larger portion of the area. Based on latest CAM guidance, roughly the southeastern 1/2 to 2/3rds of the area has at least SOME chance for t-storms, but the highest threat for severe weather will remain further southeast where instability is highest and convection will encounter less inhibition. Large hail and damaging wind are the main threats, as the low level wind profile is not favorable for tornadoes.

Storms should depart the area to the southeast by 8-9pm this evening. Clearing skies in the post-frontal airmass will then allow temperatures to dip into the upper 40s and 50s by Sunday morning.

The daytime on Sunday remains cool, with highs struggling to reach 70 degrees in some places. Cloud cover will increase as an upper level perturbation moves through, and a few sprinkles cannot be ruled out. But most areas will remain completely dry.

Westerly surface winds return for Monday, which will aid temperatures back into the upper 70s for most. The warming trend then continues on Tuesday with rising heights aloft. Temperatures peak on Wednesday ahead of a southeasterly-moving shortwave. Most areas should reach the 90s, and portions of KS could approach/exceed 100 degrees. This shortwave could bring a few showers/t-storms to the area on Wednesday, but this will be more favorable to our east.

Thursday looks to be a bit cooler behind this system, with ensembles continuing to depict mostly dry conditions through the end of the week. Rain/tstorm chances then increase again as we head into Father's Day weekend.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 628 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Continued high confidence in VFR conditions this forecast cycle. About the only weather to note is a increase in mid-clouds around 10K this evening with a passing shortwave. There could be some virga or sprinkles in the general area during the early evening hours but chances are so low it is not included in the TAFs. Winds will remain north/northwest today with high pressure to the west but eventually settle to a light westerly direction overnight.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.