textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- The West Fork Big Blue River near Grafton continues to be in minor flood stage but is expected to slowly drop. This Flood Warning is now in effect until 1 PM Sunday.

- Pleasant fall weather is expected with highs generally in the upper 60s and 70s through next week.

- No precipitation is expected for the next 7 days (high confidence).

DISCUSSION

Issued at 110 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

The NBM high temperatures have been coming in too cool today and this problem could continue as the bias corrected grids may take time to catch onto this cooler fall airmass. Our actual air temperatures were already climbing above our forecast highs in a few locations by noon today. Therefore, already made two updates regarding today's high temperatures to increase highs. Our temperature forecast for the next few days may also be 2-5F too cool.

The overall pattern through the week ahead will be a dry northwest flow regime. This will result in very pleasant fall conditions with highs a few degrees either side of normal. Normal highs for this time of year are in the lower 70s. We expect highs from the upper 60s into the 70s most days through the week ahead. Kansas zones might even see some 80 degree highs by late in the week. There is a pretty good 7-8F model spread between the 25th and 75th percentile from Wednesday onward indicating higher model uncertainty, but most models are calling for highs in the 70s. On the higher end we could reach the lower 80s, on the lower end we would be looking at 60s. Overnight lows will be in the 50s most nights, but Sunday night looks particularly cool with lows possibly in the 40s for many locations.

Rain chances are currently near zero this week. It will be a good opportunity to dry out.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 609 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

High confidence VFR conditions through the period with light and variable winds overnight, becoming north at 8 KTS or less after daybreak Sunday. No more than a few passing high clouds along with good VSBYS expected.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.