textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures will continue across the local area through at least the upcoming weekend. High temperatures will range from the upper 80s to mid 90s and low temperatures from the 60s to near 70 each day. - There are various chances for thunderstorms beginning this evening and continuing into early next week. The best chances each day will be during the evening and overnight hours.

- There is a small threat for severe thunderstorms across parts of the local area Thursday evening and again Friday night. Hail to the size of quarters and 60 mph wind gusts will be possible with the strongest storms.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 336 AM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

Clear skies and mild temperatures are being observed across the local area this morning. An area of surface low pressure exists on the lee side of the Rockies with high pressure across the Missouri river valley, resulting in southerly flow across the local area. A cold front can be seen firing off some convection across northwestern Nebraska into South Dakota, and this front will likely be the focus for a chance of thunderstorms the next couple of evenings.

For today, expect clear skies and warm temperatures across the region as 850 MB temperatures rise a couple of degrees from yesterdays values. This should lead to a very warm afternoon, with highs 2-5 degrees above yesterdays warm readings. At the same time, a few clouds will spill in from the north as the aforementioned front reaches north central Nebraska. This front should help fire a few thunderstorms this evening, with the focus across areas north of Highway 92 and extending southwest across the southwestern part of the state. While there is a bit of elevated instability to work with, severe weather is not anticipated with any storms that impact the local area, although some small hail cannot be ruled out.

For Thursday, expect the cold front to be draped across the northwestern portion of the area and become the focus for a few additional evening Thunderstorms. With increased instability and shear Thursday, partly from continued moisture advection in southerly flow, a few strong to marginally severe thunderstorms will become possible. Thereafter...an upper level disturbance is expected to emerge from the Rockies and move across the plains late Friday, bringing possibly the best shot for better coverage of thunderstorms and potentially severe weather to the local area of the forecast period.

With a weaker ridge than previously forecast to build into the plains over the weekend, resulting in more 80s than 90s, additional shower and thunderstorm potential can be expected each evening/overnight. The ridge will then flatten further early next week, with temperatures possibly now "cooling" closer to climatological norms to start the week (lower 80s) along with a hint at a more potent west coast low towards the middle of next week. That said, the operational runs of the GFS/EC differ significantly over this period, although both the GFS/EC ensembles do hint at a storm brining decent precip chances/qpf to the area around next Wednesday.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1237 AM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

High confidence VFR conditions through the period.

Expect modest LLWS to continue at both terminals overnight as the VWP is indicating 40 KTS winds at around 1KFT early this morning. The responsible LLJ should diminish right around sunrise...with surface winds then increasing by mid morning...with some gusts to near 30 KTS possible aft 11/17Z. Could see a few mid/high level clouds late in the period as winds diminish around 12/00Z...but most -SHRA/-TSRA activity should remain well north of the terminals and kept the skies SKC for the time being.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.