textproduct: Hastings

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Thunderstorms becoming likely across much of the area this evening, with some severe weather expected. Hail to around 2 inches, wind gusts to 70 mph and an isolated tornado (main potential across north central Kansas) all possible. - Additional periodic chances for showers and thunderstorms across the local area through the end of next week, mainly favoring the evening through late night hours.

- Seasonably warm temperatures will continue through the period, with highs most days in the 80s and lows near 60 (averaging about 3-5 degrees above normal).

DISCUSSION

Issued at 242 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

Looks like it will be fairly active across the local area this evening as CU is just starting to get agitated along the dryline across southwestern Kansas. Despite fairly marginal shear, this CU will be moving into an area of increased (and very strong) instability which will help fuel explosive growth as they track northward towards the local area. This will most likely favor some large hail and strong wind gust potential as the storms expand and merge, but if a few storms are able to remain discrete, an isolated tornado (as advertised by SPC) will also be possible across our local area.

This activity across southwestern Kansas this afternoon is only one area of concern, and a separate area of convection is anticipated to develop across the high plains to our west in response to an upper level low rotating across northern Colorado. Eventually, these two clusters of storms may merge across the local area by mid to late evening as it lifts northeast of the area overnight. As these lines of storms merge, the main threat should transition to strong winds late tonight, with some possible sub-severe redevelopment hinted at in its wake during the pre-dawn hours Sunday.

Thereafter...the main upper level low will then lift north toward Montana by Sunday afternoon, with a weak west southwesterly flow steering addition weak disturbances across the local area as we go through the upcoming work week. While Sunday afternoon/evening looks fairly quiet, this will result in periodic, mainly evening/night-time chances for thunderstorms across the local area, along with seasonably warm temperatures through the end of the extended periods. Overall, the best shot for some severe weather appears to be with the late afternoon and evening convection today, but cannot rule out more isolated chances for strong or severe storms later in the period.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 517 PM CDT Sat May 30 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Thunderstorms are rapidly approaching the terminals from the south. Expect these storms to be in the VCTY of both sites over the next hour or two, with a period of 1-3 hours of reduced VSBYS and near IFR CIGS as the initial push crosses the terminals. Could see some redevelopment overnight behind the initial line and kept a prob30 group from 31/08-31/10 to cover this. Clearing skies and steady southerly breezes near 12 KTS are expected to return by the afternoon hours Sunday.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.


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