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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Fire weather concerns increase Tuesday and Wednesday due to higher winds and lower humidity.
- There is a chance (15% to 45%) of snow Friday through Saturday night.
- The coldest day of the forecast will be Friday with highs in the single digits and teens. The coldest night will be Friday night with lows mostly in the negative single digits.
- Wind chills Friday night/Saturday morning may get down to around - 15 to near -25 degrees.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 314 PM CST Mon Jan 19 2026
Today through tonight...
A broad, upper trough is over the whole country except the West Coast. A surface high is centered across Kansas and northern Oklahoma and extends northward to the northern Plains. Winds across south central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas range from the northwest to southwest with temperatures mostly in the 20s. Winds will be light and variable tonight with low temperatures in the single digits to low 20s.
Tuesday through Tuesday night...
A surface trough will develop Tuesday afternoon in the lee of the Rocky Mountains in Colorado and will extend eastward into Nebraska and Kansas. Winds across south central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas will strengthen out of the south to southwest at around 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to around 20 to 25 mph. Humidity values across portions of the area west of Highway 183 may get down to around 20% to 30% Tuesday afternoon with wind gusts in this area around 15 to 20 mph. This may lead to elevated to near critical fire weather conditions Tuesday afternoon across mainly western portions of Dawson County south to Furnas County. High temperatures on Tuesday will range from the 30s to the 50s with the coldest temperatures across northeast portions of the forecast area and the warmest across southwestern portions. Low temperatures Tuesday night are expected to be in the teens and 20s with winds switching to the north then to the west.
Wednesday through Thursday night...
Winds across south central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas will strengthen out of the west during the late morning/early afternoon on Wednesday then will switch to the northwest to north by evening. Fire weather concerns continue on Wednesday for portions of the area along and west of Highway 183 and across portions of north central Kansas where minimum humidity values of 20% to 25% may combine with wind gusts up to around 25 to 30 mph. High temperatures on Wednesday are expected to be in the 40s and 50s. Winds will become light and somewhat variable Wednesday night with low temperatures in the single digits and teens. Winds will begin to switch out of the north Thursday into Thursday night as a cold front moves into the area. High temperatures on Thursday are expected to mostly be in the 30s. Temperatures will continue to drop Thursday night as the front moves into the area with lows in the positive to negative single digits.
Friday through Sunday...
A surface high will dominate the region on Friday with high temperatures in the single digits to teens. Temperatures Friday night are expected to drop mostly into the negative single digits with wind chills possibly down to -15 to near -25 degrees. Saturday will warm up slightly from the previous day but highs will only be in the teens and 20s. A greater warm up is expected on Sunday although there is quite a bit of uncertainty in high temperatures. There is a chance (15% to 45%) of snow Friday through Saturday night. At this time, it does not look to be anything major.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 532 PM CST Mon Jan 19 2026
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
A few clouds tonight sweeping in from the north will not be expected to impact ceiling categories tonight or Tuesday. VFR conditions are likely to retain across the period. Light winds tonight out of the south to southwest will become variable during the late night to early morning hours, before restabilizing out of the southwest again for the afternoon Tuesday. Winds are only expected to blow between 5-15kts with occasional gusts up to 20kts possible during the afternoon to early evening hours. No precipitation is expected.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...None. KS...None.
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