textproduct: Hastings

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Tonight is expected to be the coldest night of the week. Subzero wind chills are expected for most of the area.

- Monday will be a bit warmer than Sunday, and a significant warmup is still expected for Tuesday through Friday. The fire weather threat will increase...especially late next week.

- Light rain showers are expected late Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night. A few snowflakes could mix in, but the probability for any accumulation is low (10% or less).

DISCUSSION

Issued at 128 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

Skies remain mostly clear and winds will go light/variable tonight, allowing temperatures to dip into the single digits for most. Northern areas with remaining snowpack could even see subzero air temperatures by Monday morning.

Southerly winds return on Monday as surface high pressure pushes off to the east. This should allow most of the area to rise above freezing, and the southwestern fringes of the area (Cambridge, Phillipsburg, Stockton/Plainville) could even make a run at 50 degrees!

Tuesday is still expected to be a significant warmup, especially compared to this past weekend. But the forecast has actually trended a bit cooler thanks to increased cloud cover and the passage of a weak cold front.

Clearing skies and a more westerly wind component should push temperatures to the 60s for most of the area on Wednesday. Global ensembles are now in better agreement of precipitation timing, and now highlight light Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday evening as the most likely timeframe to see a few rain showers. A handful of ensemble members are cold enough to see a few snowflakes, but any accumulation is unlikely (10% chance or less).

As the system responsible for rain showers Wednesday night departs, Thursday will be slightly "cooler," but highs are still expected to reach the 50s...a solid 10-15 degrees above normal. Friday then bounces back into the 60s and 70s ahead of another shortwave arriving for the weekend. The warmth this week will result in a heightened fire weather threat most through most of the week. At this time, but at this time the highest potential to see at least near- critical conditions is on Wednesday and Friday (30 to 50% chance).

The system next weekend will likely result in at least a couple below-normal days as we begin the month of March. Accumulating snow is also possible (20-40% chance) next Sunday into Monday (March 1-2nd).

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1102 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

There is high confidence (95%) in quiet VFR conditions through the TAF period. Only a few high clouds are expected today through Monday.

Northwest winds taper off late this afternoon, and winds become light/variable tonight. Breezy south winds return for Monday.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.


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