textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- Mostly cloudy skies will keep lows in the low to mid 30s, with a small chance of light rain clipping north central Kansas tonight.

- A mostly dry, warming period will start the week, as highs increase to near 50 tomorrow and peak into the 60s Wednesday afternoon. - Breezy, southerly winds will continue through the start of the week, with gusts of 40-45 MPH possible Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons.

- More promising precipitation chances return to the area into next weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 127 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

A moderate pressure gradient has developed across the central plains, as a high pressure center has continued to strengthen through the Midwest. This pressure gradient is expected to increase into the afternoon, as an approaching shortwave trough causes the pressure to fall across the Rocky Mountains and southern plains. This pressure gradient will allow gusty south- southeasterly winds through the afternoon, with gusts of 25-30 MPH possible. Additionally, a band of low-level clouds currently over western Nebraska and western Kansas looks to be expanding slightly to the east. High temperatures will stay suppressed in the low 40s under this cloud cover (particularly along and west of Highway 183). Outside of these clouds, sunshine and strong southerly winds will allow temperatures to climb into the upper 40s to low 50s this afternoon.

As the shortwave trough continues to move eastward tonight, a broad region of precipitation will develop in the southern plains. Current model guidance has continued to show the northern fringe of this system reaching up into central Kansas, with a small chance of this precipitation reaching up into our northern Kansas counties. Aside from these precipitation chances, this system will bring some low-level clouds across much of the area tonight, allowing lows to fall only into the low to mid 30s.

After this wave moves across the plains, a broad upper level ridge will build across the central CONUS. This ridge will allow for a dry, warming period to start the week, as high temperatures increase to near 50 tomorrow and peak into the 60s Wednesday afternoon. Along with this warming trend, the surface high pressure center will expand across the Mississippi Valley, allowing some breezy southerly winds to continue through the beginning of the week. South-southeasterly winds will gust up to 30-35 MPH tomorrow and Monday. As the next system starts to cause some pressure falls in the higher terrain Tuesday, these winds will increase, with sustained southerly winds around 20-25 MPH and gusts up to 40-45 MPH possible Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon.

A more active weather pattern returns towards the end of next week. First, there is a slight (10-15%) chance of rain Wednesday night into Thursday, as a disturbance crosses the area. However, more promising precipitation chances return next weekend (roughly 60-80% chance), as a more prominent trough moves into the area. Most model guidance is in agreement that some sort of low pressure system will develop over the central plains sometime Friday or Saturday. However, there is some disagreement on the timing and location of this system.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1129 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Our TAF sites remain on the northeastern edge of a large cloud shield (VFR clouds over our area) with the thicker lower MVFR/IFR ceilings further southwest (SW Nebraska/NW Kansas). The model blend keeps the MVFR and lower ceilings southwest of our TAF sites, but MVFR ceilings can not be completely ruled out near KEAR or possibly briefly in KEAR, but for now will continue with model consensus and keep the TAF VFR. Model soundings are in good agreement that we will see clearing skies through the day on Sunday, but we may run into patchy fog issues Sunday night. Fog potential is still rather uncertain and have left it out of the forecast for now.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.