textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers and storms will continue through the overnight hours and may redevelop (up to 30% chance) later this morning into this afternoon. Severe storms are not expected.

- Mostly dry conditions are expected after today/tonight.

- Temperatures will be on a warming trend through the end of the forecast.

UPDATE

Issued at 234 AM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

Showers and thunderstorms are currently moving into the area from the west. These storms will continue moving eastward and are expected to generally weaken through the overnight hours. Severe storms are not expected, but some storms may produce small hail and wind gusts up to 50 MPH. Additional showers and storms may develop later this morning into the afternoon across portions of the area with upper lift in the form of an MCV and moisture in place. High temperatures today will mainly be in the low to mid 80s. Winds today are expected to be fairly light and variable but will mostly be out of the east to southeast by this evening. Low temperatures tonight will be in the 60s with generally light and variable winds.

After today/tonight, drier conditions are expected. Temperatures will generally be on a warming trend from Saturday (highs mostly in the 80s) to Thursday (highs in the low to mid 90s). Low temperatures will be in the 60s and 70s.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 228 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2026

The Main Story Tonight: Storms Rolling in from the West...

The main story of the day will be the chance for yet another round of storms late tonight into Friday morning. A weak shortwave disturbance popping out of the Rockies today has already started to stir up a cluster of cumulus and scattered storms across eastern Wyoming/Colorado. Though a few of these storms are expected to become severe as they cross through the rest of eastern Colorado and the Nebraska Panhandle, given the time of arrival of these storms (arriving between 10PM-1AM), there is some question to how much energy/momentum may actually be left in the tank. The High Resolution Ensemble Forecast (HREF) members have been fairly consistent in portraying these storms to be in the stage of decay as they cross into the South Central Nebraska / North Central Kansas region.

Generally these storm will be crossing into a less favorable environment, though 1,5000-2,000J/kg of MUCAPE as well as 20-35kt deep layer shear may still be just supportive enough for maintaining one or two stronger to marginally severe storms. IF any storm is able to stay severe, the main threats would be for gusty thunderstorm wind gusts up to 60MPH with a few areas of hail possible (up to quarter sized). The areas that would be the most susceptible for these stronger storms wold be areas west of HWY-183 in Nebraska as well as a few north central Kansas locations. The Storm Prediction Center has kept a Marginal risk of severe weather (level 1 of 5) for locations west of a line from Cozad to Alma in Nebraska and down to Beloit in Kansas. A slight risk (level 2 of 5) clips southwest portions of Rooks and Osborne counties.

Though the severe threat will be fast to diminish tonight, a few weak thunderstorms embedded within a larger array of showers will still be expected to linger across a few portions of the area, to potentially as late as noon on Friday. The overall best potential for precipitation (50-80% chances) will be concentrated west and southwest of the Tri-Cities with 20-50% chances reserved for the remainder of the area (greatest chances towards the southwest). Most locations should only expect to see 0.1-0.5" of precipitation with a few more localized amounts up to 1" possible.

The Main Story Next Week: Warming Temperatures & Drier Conditions

Following the passage of yesterday's cold front, temperatures have been knocked down by around 5-10 degrees for today. The "coolest" day within the next week should fall Friday as highs are forecast to spread the low to mid 80s. After Friday, highs will likely take a multi-day climb with an at least 5+ day streak of 90+ degree heat on the way for next week. This streak of increasingly warmer temperatures will become the main story for next week.

This warm up will be primarily driven by a building ridge across much of the central U.S. and intermountain west regions, additionally helping to snuff out most precipitation chances in the process. The Long Range Ensemble Forecast (LREF) now has a relatively strong agreement in retaining these warm and dry conditions for much of if not all of next week. The latest GFS/ECMWF models show an upper-level rex block (high pressure center north of lower pressure center) forming overtop of the Central Plains during the middle of next week. If this pattern achieves, persisting heat (mainly highs in the 90s) will be favored to stick around the area. There is still some uncertainty to how extreme this heat may become. The Weather Prediction Center, however, is beginning to highlight the potential for extreme heat next weekend (mainly on the 17th and 18th) on their extended hazard outlook.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 636 AM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Showers and isolated storms will be possible this morning into this afternoon. Low ceilings may briefly impact the terminals this morning before skies become more clear. Fog may develop tonight as skies clear out and winds remain light; however, confidence is low at this time.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.