textproduct: Hastings

KEY MESSAGES

- Now that any severe thunderstorm threat in our southern counties has all but ended for this evening, we enter at least a brief stretch of quiet weather (compared to lately!). There is essentially zero threat of any severe storms until AT LEAST Tues-Wed (and those severe chances are still plenty "iffy" and could easily focus slightly outside our forecast area altogether). - Most of next week will remain dry. Temperatures will start the week below normal, but 90s are expected to return by Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 139 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

As of early afternoon, an outflow boundary from morning convection has stalled out over northern KS with the main cold front slowly pushing through south-central and eastern Nebraska. A few cells have already begun to develop north of Columbus, and additional development is expected later in the afternoon (by 3-5pm). If anything, this front has trended a bit slower and further north, which brings potential for storms to a larger portion of the area. Based on latest CAM guidance, roughly the southeastern 1/2 to 2/3rds of the area has at least SOME chance for t-storms, but the highest threat for severe weather will remain further southeast where instability is highest and convection will encounter less inhibition. Large hail and damaging wind are the main threats, as the low level wind profile is not favorable for tornadoes.

Storms should depart the area to the southeast by 8-9pm this evening. Clearing skies in the post-frontal airmass will then allow temperatures to dip into the upper 40s and 50s by Sunday morning.

The daytime on Sunday remains cool, with highs struggling to reach 70 degrees in some places. Cloud cover will increase as an upper level perturbation moves through, and a few sprinkles cannot be ruled out. But most areas will remain completely dry.

Westerly surface winds return for Monday, which will aid temperatures back into the upper 70s for most. The warming trend then continues on Tuesday with rising heights aloft. Temperatures peak on Wednesday ahead of a southeasterly-moving shortwave. Most areas should reach the 90s, and portions of KS could approach/exceed 100 degrees. This shortwave could bring a few showers/t-storms to the area on Wednesday, but this will be more favorable to our east.

Thursday looks to be a bit cooler behind this system, with ensembles continuing to depict mostly dry conditions through the end of the week. Rain/tstorm chances then increase again as we head into Father's Day weekend.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 707 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports: - General overview: Extremely-high confidence in VFR ceiling/visibility throughout the period, as surface high pressure ushers in seasonably-dry and stable air for at least a few days. That being said, there is a small (10%) chance of a rogue sprinkle/brief light shower late in the period on Sunday afternoon as ceiling perhaps as low as around 6K ft. AGL tries to develop. However, this probability is currently considered too low/too low of an impact for TAF inclusion.

As for winds, direction will prevail northerly to northwesterly throughout. The strongest speeds will be right away these first few hours (gusts 20-25KT), with sustained speeds through most of the remainder of the period prevailing at-or-below 12KT (perhaps some 15-20KT gusts during the middle part of the day Sunday).

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

NE...None. KS...None.