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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Much warmer and drier weather conditions will be the main focus for NE Montana for the weekend, extending into early next week.

- Wetter weather pattern and temperatures to shift cooler than normal or the second half of next week.

DISCUSSION

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:

Upper ridging will build through Wednesday keeping temperatures much above average through midweek. Then an upper trough is expected to move in Wednesday evening and keep temperatures cool for a few days before temperatures gradually warm back up. There is a chance of thunderstorms expected to occur on Tuesday in central Montana and on Wednesday. There is low certainty at this time, but a few severe thunderstorms will probably be part of the story.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Lowered RH for days 2-3. Didn't change winds for day 3 and 4, but they will need to be raised. Confidence is high in the timing of pattern shifts.

Low confidence in severe storms midweek.

AVIATION

LAST UPDATE: 2000Z.

FLIGHT CAT RANGE: VFR

DISCUSSION: Dry weather and clear skies are expected throughout the cycle.

WIND: SSE at 10 - 15 kts before becoming NNW 5 - 10 kts after 15Z.

GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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