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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Warmer temperatures expected today with mainly dry weather.

- Look for chances for showers and thunderstorms tonight mainly in the west.

- Expect highs to reach the 90s Friday with the hot weather continuing into next week. Highs in most areas are expected to above 100 on Sunday.

DISCUSSION

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:

A few isolated showers will linger early this morning in the east. With heavy rain no longer expected, the Flood Watch for parts of NE Montana has been cancelled.

A shortwave ridge today will bring dry weather to the region with warmer temperatures. A shortwave trough moves through the area tonight with chances for showers and thunderstorms along and west of MT 13.

Upper ridge builds into Montana on Thursday and remain over the area in varying degrees into next week. Look for hot and mainly dry weather for the next several days. At this point, it looks like some areas will have highs near 100 on Saturday and most areas will have highs above 100 on Sunday. Excessive heat products are likely for this weekend based on the current forecast highs. Monday and beyond are expected to be not as hot with highs mainly in the 90s. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:

Tweaks were made for near term pops mainly for consistency and collaboration. Low confidence on shower and thunderstorm chances tonight. High confidence on the hot weather coming this weekend.

AVIATION

LAST UPDATED: Wednesday July 8 at 0600Z

FLIGHT CATEGORY: VFR - IFR this morning, VFR this afternoon and tonight.

DISCUSSION: Low clouds are expected over NE Montana this morning that will bring MVFR and IFR ceilings at times until 16z. Skies will clear by late morning with scattered daytime cumulus expected this afternoon. Mid level clouds are expected tonight with a chance of showers and thunderstorms at times at KGGW and KOLF and areas to the west.

WIND: East winds will 5 to 10 knots will become light and variable early this morning and remain variable at 10 knots or less today and tonight.

GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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