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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGES:

- Mild temperatures continue through the weekend with a slight cool down to seasonably average temperatures expected early next week.

- Light precipitation chances return Monday. WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:

With unseasonably warm temperatures and dry fuels, fire weather may be a concern for southern zones. Moderate to low relative humidity, but only light winds, could have the potential to bring out of season enhanced fire weather. As for hydro, streams will be running, but freezing overnight temperatures will alleviate flooding concerns.

A Pacific trough moves in on Monday to bring cooler, but still slightly warmer than normal temperatures. Light mixed precipitation is most favored on Monday with frontal forcing, though no significant storm systems are in sight under this mostly benign pattern.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:

Blended HRRR for day 1 winds. Raised day 1-3 max and min temperatures.

High confidence in much above temperatures through Sunday. High confidence in a return to seasonable average temperatures Monday. Low confidence in precip amounts on Monday. Chances for mixed precip, most likely is rain.

AVIATION

UPDATED: 2130Z

FLIGHT CAT RANGE: VFR

DISCUSSION: Lingering IFR level low clouds over KOLF and KSDY through 22Z. Mid level clouds following river valleys will impact all TAF sites through tonight.

WINDS: SE winds 5 to 10 kts remain steady through 10Z before veering W NW becoming 10 to 15 kts.

GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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