textproduct: Glasgow

KEY MESSAGES

- Typical mid to late August conditions are expected through the weekend with warm daytime conditions and comfortable nights.

- Dry weather is expected until the weekend when the southwest monsoonal flow will bring another round of thunderstorms.

- Warm and dry conditions resume next week as western ridge rebounds.

DISCUSSION

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: NW upper flow over the area will give way to a building upper ridge over the West into Saturday. This will give the area generally dry conditions, but a nocturnal disturbance could drop in across the northern zones the next couple nights.

An upper level low off the Pacific NW coast will then move in our direction and tag up with some SW monsoonal moisture for the chance of showers/storms that move northeast through the area Saturday night and exit Sunday evening. Severe thunderstorms are not expected but gusty winds could accompany them.

Strong winds could follow the front/trough for Sunday and Monday, bringing some fire weather concerns but highlights are not expected.

Ridge rebounds early next week in the wake of the departing disturbance to bring dry conditions with temperatures slightly above normal.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: NBM followed for the forecast period. Confidence for timing of precipitation chances over the weekend are moderate with poor continuity from forecast runs.

AVIATION

UPDATED: 0500z

FLIGHT CONDITION: VFR

DISCUSSION: Quiet weather will rule. Expect light north to northwest winds with sct mid clouds at times across nemont through Thursday.

GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.