textproduct: Glasgow

KEY MESSAGES

- Typical mid to late August conditions are expected through the weekend with warm daytime conditions and comfortable nights.

- Dry weather is expected until the weekend when the southwest monsoonal flow will bring another round of thunderstorms.

- Warm and dry conditions resume next week as Western ridge rebounds.

DISCUSSION

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: NW upper flow over the area will give way to a building upper ridge over the West into Saturday. This will give the area generally dry conditions, but a nocturnal disturbance could drop in across the northern zones the next couple nights.

An upper level low off the Pacific NW coast will then move in our direction and tag up with some SW monsoonal moisture for the chance of showers/storms that move northeast through the area Saturday night and exit Sunday. Severe thunderstorms are not expected but gusty winds could accompany them.

Strong winds could follow the front/trough for Sunday and Monday, bringing some fire weather concerns but highlights are not expected.

Ridge rebounds early next week in the wake of the departing disturbance to bring dry conditions with temperatures slightly above normal.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Pops were modified through Thursday night to blend with CAMS and to generally raise them above NBM (as NBM has been on the dry side lately). Otherwise, NBM looked good with the other elements. TFJ

AVIATION

UPDATED: 1900z

FLIGHT CONDITION: VFR

DISCUSSION: A NW wind with a gust to about 20 kts into the evening hours can expected, then winds will become light and variable later tonight with a few higher clouds.

Haze in the area this afternoon is expected to push south of the area tonight. Visibility less than 6 miles is not expected. TFJ

GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.