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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES: - A Blizzard Warning and Cold Weather Advisory continue for far NE Montana early this morning.
- Temperatures turn milder through Friday, but patchy blowing snow and light mixed precipitation is likely tonight.
- A slightly warmer than normal and less unsettled pattern is favored next week. WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
Blizzard conditions are gradually moving out of the area to the southeast this morning as falling snow and strong wind gusts are starting to diminish. Travel will continue to be impacted from the amount of snow and drifting that occurred. The northeast zones will continue to have wind chills in the 20s below for several more hours in a Cold Weather Advisory.
As a warming trend ensues into Friday, a surface warm front will bring some increase in winds again out of the west and light mixed precipitation tonight with the overrunning warmer air. At this time, minor impacts are expected with traces of ice accumulation, patchy blowing snow and gusts up to around 50 mph. However, any notable increase in precipitation amounts or winds will warrant consideration of a headline.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
Blended in higher end and higher resolution guidance for winds through Friday, but generally stuck with the base forecast. Confidence is moderate for the extent of temperature variations through the weekend. Confidence is high for at least patchy blowing snow returning tonight along with light mixed precipitation.
-JEZ
AVIATION
UPDATED: 1000Z
FLIGHT CATEGORY: VFR - MVFR, IFR before 14Z for KSDY/KGDV
DISCUSSION: Near blizzard conditions linger early this morning in the vicinity of KSDY and KGDV, but skies will begin to clear by 15Z. Gusty northwest winds gradually decrease this morning, settling to around 10 knots and becoming more variable soon after daybreak.
GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM MST this morning for Central and Southern Valley-Daniels-Eastern Roosevelt-Northern Phillips- Northern Valley-Richland-Sheridan-Western Roosevelt.
Blizzard Warning until 6 AM MST early this morning for Daniels- Dawson-Eastern Roosevelt-McCone-Richland-Sheridan-Western Roosevelt-Wibaux.
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM MST early this morning for Prairie.
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