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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry weather will persist over the region for the next several days.
- Temperatures will remain near to slightly above normal into the upcoming weekend.
- Precipitation chances will increase late in the weekend into early next week as the ridge axis slides east.
DISCUSSION
Upper ridging will help maintain mostly dry weather conditions across the region for Friday into the weekend along with seasonable to slightly above normal temperatures. Low cloud and patchy fog have been included in near term grids given recent observations as well as model trends. Better chances look to be across southwest zones with light area winds, as well as in the river valleys.
Meanwhile, as the ridge axis shifts northeast, a new Pacific trough will gain influence late in the weekend into early next week. Southwest flow aloft in advance of the trough with an approaching shortwave will lead to increased rain chances late Sunday as surface low across Wyoming tracks into the Dakotas. These rain chances will continue into the early part of next week with ensemble means around 0.25" QPF.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
NBM was used for this forecast cycle with little in the way of deviations. Confidence is below average on fog and stratus given large spread in placement among various models, but increasing consensus is emerging with regard to precipitation chances Sunday into Monday.
AVIATION
LAST UPDATED: Thursday October 29, 2026 at 1915Z.
FLIGHT CAT RANGE: A range of VFR to IFR.
DISCUSSION: Lingering MVFR/IFR stratus may break this afternoon for VFR across area terminals. Otherwise, low stratus and patchy fog cannot be ruled out overnight.
WIND: NE at 5 to 15 kts.
GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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