textproduct: Glasgow
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Thunderstorm chances look to continue this afternoon and evening and again Sunday night and Tuesday and Wednesday. A few storms could be strong to severe this afternoon and evening. - 4th of July looks dry and warm and Sunday will be hot ahead of a cold front.
DISCUSSION
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A shortwave trough is expected to move eastern Montana this afternoon and evening. This will bring chances for more showers and thunderstorms with a marginal risk for severe weather. The threats will include large hail, damaging winds and locally heavy downpours.
The wave moves to the east late tonight and a shortwave ridge should allow for a dry and warm 4th of July with highs in the 80s in most areas.
An upper trough moves across the Canadian Prairies and northern Montana Sunday afternoon and night which will bring a cold front with chance of showers and thunderstorms to the forecast area mainly Sunday evening. Ahead of the cold front, Sunday will be a hot day especially in the SE half of the forecast area.
Monday looks dry and cooler with another shortwave ridge.
An upper trough on Tuesday and Wednesday will bring chances for showers and thunderstorms. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: No deviations were made.
There is high confidence in showers and storms occurring for most locations this afternoon and evening. A few storms could be severe.
There is moderate confidence in July Fourth being dry and warm.
AVIATION
LAST UPDATED: 0700Z
FLIGHT CATEGORY: VFR. MVFR-IFR in thunderstorms.
DISCUSSION: A shortwave trough is expected to work through the area this afternoon and evening. Skies will vary from mostly clear to BKN mid and high clouds this morning. There will be increasing cumulus this afternoon with showers and thunderstorms possible through this evening. There is moderate to high confidence of MVFR occurring in thunderstorms that affect TAF sites, and low confidence in IFR conditions. Some of these storms this afternoon and evening could become severe with large hail and damaging wind. WIND: Variable at 5 to 10 knots today and tonight. Gusty erratic winds near any thunderstorm.
GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.