textproduct: Fort Worth/Dallas

KEY MESSAGES

- Isolated showers and storms will be possible over Central Texas today.

- Cooler weather will continue through Tuesday before above normal temperatures return the latter half of the week.

SHORT TERM

/Issued 118 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025/ /Today and Tonight/

As we start out the day, rather cool conditions are expected with temperatures in the 60s across the region. A weak shortwave is currently making its way east across West Texas, spreading high cloud cover over our region. This shortwave will likely lead to a few scattered showers prior to sunrise across Central Texas. Precipitation chances (20-30%) will linger through the day as weak forcing for ascent remains over Central Texas through around sunset. With instability peaking this afternoon near 500 J/kg, a storm or two cannot be ruled out; however, severe weather is not expected. Across North Texas, no precipitation is expected given a drier airmass and a lack of forcing for ascent.

After temperatures climb into the lower to mid 80s today, tonight, expect conditions to be be back in the 60s for much of the region. Our northeastern cities (Bonham, Paris and Sulphur Springs area) will likely dip into the upper 50s prior to sunrise Monday.

Hernandez

LONG TERM

/Issued 118 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025/ /Monday Onward/

With a decrease in available moisture after today, a relatively dry and precipitation-free period will commence on Monday and continue through the next 7 days. The area of high pressure that was over northern Mexico will begin to expand into West Texas, deflecting incoming systems away from North and Central Texas. As surface pressure increases and temperatures aloft rise, expect a gradual warming trend through the week. Temperatures Monday and Tuesday will remain below normal with an inflection point occurring on Wednesday. The latter half of the week will see temperatures in the lower to mid 90s, which is 3-7 degrees above normal for this time of the year.

Hernandez

AVIATION

/NEW/ /12z TAFs/

Widespread low clouds are now in place across across North Texas with a mixture of MVFR to IFR conditions. The expectation is for this mix of low ceilings to continue through around 13z-14z before improvements commence. Ceilings will improve from east to west as dry air moves in from the east.

For Waco, low clouds are now in the vicinity of the airport with MVFR expected by 12z. Improvements will begin closer to 16z with the return of VFR.

Wind direction and speed will be fairly consistent today with E/NE winds at or below 10 knots. Any precipitation that develops this morning or afternoon will be south of KACT, posing no major concerns to aviation interests.

Hernandez

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Dallas-Ft. Worth 84 64 86 64 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 84 64 85 62 88 / 5 0 0 0 0 Paris 80 58 80 58 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 83 61 85 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 83 61 84 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 85 65 86 64 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 83 61 84 60 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 85 63 85 62 86 / 5 0 0 0 0 Temple 85 64 86 62 89 / 20 5 5 0 0 Mineral Wells 85 62 87 62 91 / 5 0 0 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.