textproduct: Fort Worth/Dallas

KEY MESSAGES

- Sub-freezing temperatures with wind chills in the 20s are expected this morning.

- Brief warming is expected mid-week before another cold front brings cooler air and scattered rain chances to the region late Wednesday through Friday.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Wednesday) Issued at 1219 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

A chilly night is unfolding as another push of colder and drier air is filtering into the region. A few locations near/west of the I-35 corridor have already fallen below freezing as of midnight, with temperatures expected to fall below freezing areawide through the remainder of the night. Low temperatures will bottom out in the mid 20s to low 30s. Following a dreary Monday, the last of the cloud cover will continue to gradually move off to the east through the remainder of the night, with a rather sunny day on tap for Tuesday. Despite the clear skies, chilly weather will persist for another day with afternoon highs mostly ranging from the upper 40s to mid 50s.

Southerly winds will return to the region Tuesday afternoon and will strengthen Tuesday night into Wednesday as a surface low and its attendant cold front approach from the north/northwest. Strengthening low-level winds will allow moisture to begin to return to the area on Wednesday, with an increase in cloud cover expected throughout the day. Temperatures will briefly rebound into the upper 50s and 60s Wednesday afternoon, but this warming trend will be cut short by another strong cold front that will arrive to portions of the area Wednesday afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 1219 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

The aforementioned cold front will continue moving south through the forecast area Wednesday evening. Sufficient moisture return across Central Texas will allow some low rain chances to return Wednesday evening/night with the arrival of the cold front. Much colder air (similar to what we saw early this week) will filter into the region behind the front Wednesday night into Thursday. Sub-freezing temperatures are expected for portions of North Texas Thursday morning, with afternoon highs only in the 40s for most locations Thursday afternoon. Moisture will not be scoured from the region behind the front, which will allow scattered rain showers to continue on Thursday as a shortwave trough moves across the area. There could be a very brief window for a wintry mix across western North Texas/the Big Country early Thursday morning. However, this will depend on whether enough moisture will be present for precipitation to occur when/where temperatures are below freezing. It's quite likely the timing and location of any precipitation will not overlap with sub-freezing temperatures, but we will continue to monitor the potential as we get within range of hi-res guidance.

Rain chances will linger across Central Texas into Friday, with no rain chances forecast late Friday through the upcoming weekend. Temperatures will moderate Friday into Saturday, with highs returning to the 60s for most locations Saturday afternoon. Another cold front is slated to arrive on Sunday, but is not anticipated to be nearly as strong as the cold fronts earlier in the week. This front will likely only shave a few degrees off of temperatures Sunday and Monday.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 509 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Light northwest winds around 5 knots or less will continue this morning but will shift out of the south/southeast early this afternoon. Wind speeds will remain light through the afternoon but will increase to around 9-12 knots late tonight into early Wednesday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Dallas-Ft. Worth 51 39 63 36 / 0 0 0 10 Waco 51 38 67 42 / 0 0 0 20 Paris 46 31 58 36 / 0 0 0 10 Denton 51 34 63 31 / 0 0 0 10 McKinney 49 35 62 34 / 0 0 0 10 Dallas 51 38 64 38 / 0 0 0 10 Terrell 49 34 63 38 / 0 0 0 10 Corsicana 51 39 65 43 / 0 0 0 20 Temple 54 38 68 41 / 0 0 0 20 Mineral Wells 56 37 68 33 / 0 0 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.