textproduct: NWS Flagstaff
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
SYNOPSIS
Warmer temperatures and dry weather will continue through next week.
DISCUSSION
High pressure will build across the region today, remaining over the Desert Southwest through the weekend and into next week. With that we will see warming temperatures with highs rising to 10-20 degrees above normal. The warmth looks to peak between Saturday through Tuesday before the ridge starts to shift to the east and allowing a slight cool down to occur (but still remaining above normal).
A weak shortwave looks to pass through on Saturday, clipping the northeastern part of the state. Moisture is very limited so not expecting much in the way of precipitation. Perhaps a few sprinkles may reach the ground, but otherwise it will remain too dry at the surface and remain virga.
Winds will generally be out of the west to northwest through Saturday and around 10-20 mph. This wave moving through on Saturday will briefly tighten the pressure gradient so we may see some slightly breezier winds, perhaps a few gusts around 25-30 mph, through the afternoon.
As we head towards mid week, the ridge shifts to the east as a weak wave passes to the west. Winds will be more southerly through midweek with some additional moisture being advected into the area. An isolated chance for a high-based shower or thunderstorm may occur, mainly Tuesday onward across the higher terrain.
AVIATION...Friday 08/12Z through Saturday 09/12Z
VFR conditions. Light and variable winds, becoming W-NW 10-15 kts with gusts to 20 kts after 17Z. Light and variable winds return after 02Z.
OUTLOOK...Saturday 09/12Z through Monday 11/12Z...VFR conditions. W-NW winds 10-20 kts with gusts 20-25 kts on Saturday, becoming variable 5-15 kts on Sunday.
FIRE WEATHER...Today and Saturday
Warmer temperatures and dry conditions expected. West to northwest winds at 10-20 mph each day. Minimum RH between 5-15% each afternoon.
Sunday through Tuesday...Warm and dry conditions continue. A slight chance for an isolated high-based shower near the White Mountains on Tuesday. Variable winds at 5-15 mph on Sunday, becoming south to west on Monday and Tuesday. Minimum afternoon RH 5-20% each day.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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