textproduct: NWS Flagstaff

SYNOPSIS

Drier and warmer conditions will move in through the end of the week and weekend as high pressure looks to dominate the region through the next week.

DISCUSSION

High pressure in the mid to upper levels will be the main story over the coming week. As a result, look for mainly clear skies, high temperatures 5-10 degrees above normal and generally light daytime winds from the northeast to southeast at 5-15 mph locally gusting to 20 mph. Only a few deviations from the above scenario. The first, during the overnight periods with clear skies and a dry air mass in place, strong radiational cooling will produce drainage flow south of the Mogollon Rim. As a result, look for locally gusty nighttime winds of 10-25 mph for locations such as Sedona, Black Canyon City, Cordes Junction and Crown King. Second, indications are that some moisture will try to sneak back over portions of eastern Arizona on Tuesday in response to a weak shortwave trough brushing the state. We'll know more as time draws nearer but for now it looks like it would be the White Mountains that would see a slight chance of afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms.

AVIATION...Friday 02/18Z through Saturday 03/18Z

VFR conditions, no precipitation expected. Daytime winds NE-SE 5-15kts, light and variable or terrain driven overnight.

OUTLOOK...Saturday 03/18Z through Monday 05/18Z...VFR conditions, no precipitation expected. Daytime winds NE-SE 5-15kts, light and variable or terrain driven overnight.

FIRE WEATHER...Today and Saturday

Dry conditions with seasonable temperatures. Winds northeast through southeast 5-15 mph each afternoon, becoming light and variable overnight.

Sunday through Tuesday...Mainly dry conditions and continued near normal temperatures. Slight chance for isolated showers Monday and Tuesday across the higher terrain of eastern Arizona. Winds east/southeast 5-10 mph on Sunday and Monday, becoming light and variable on Tuesday.

FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.