textproduct: NWS Flagstaff

SYNOPSIS

Warmer temperatures and dry weather will continue this weekend and into next week.

DISCUSSION

High pressure ridge more typically found during June will remain firmly in control this weekend and into next week. This will lead to temperatures 15-20 degrees above average this weekend and the first half of next week. The only feature of note is a shortwave brushing the area on Saturday, however the only consequence is some elevated breezes out of the W-NW at 10-20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Atmosphere will be very dry at only about 5-15% during the afternoon. The saving grace from any critical fire weather is the winds not being more elevated than they are, with winds settling back down Sunday through the early week as the aforementioned shortwave gets out of here. One thing to note, with the air being so dry, despite the well above average temperatures, diurnal swings will be pretty high over the next few days and temperatures may still reach the freezing mark in some of the highest elevations so you may need to protect some sensitive plants if you've already started your flower or vegetable gardens.

On Wednesday another shortwave approaches the area and temporarily shoves the ridge eastward. Main thing from this feature is temperatures dropping about 5-10 degrees from early week readings but still remaining above mid May average by 5-10 degrees.

AVIATION...Saturday 09/00Z through Sunday 10/00Z

VFR conditions. Winds VRB 5-10 kts overnight, becoming W 10-15 kts with gusts 20-25 kts after 17Z.

OUTLOOK...Sunday 10/00Z through Tuesday 12/00Z...VFR conditions with VRB winds 5-10 kts on Sunday, becoming S-W on Monday.

FIRE WEATHER...Saturday and Sunday

Warmer temperatures and dry conditions expected with high temperatures reaching 10-15 degrees above average. Winds W-NW 10-20 mph, gusts up to 30 mph on Saturday. Variable winds 5-15 mph on Sunday. Minimum RH between 5-15% each afternoon.

Monday through Wednesday...Warm and dry conditions continue with high temperatures 15-20 degrees above average Monday and Tuesday and 5-10 degrees above average on Wednesday. A slight chance for an isolated high-based shower near the White Mountains on Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons. Winds S-W 5-10 mph on Monday, S-SW 5-10 mph Tuesday, SW 10-20 mph on Wednesday. Minimum afternoon RH 5-15% Monday, 5-20% Tuesday and Wednesday.

FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.