textproduct: NWS Flagstaff

SYNOPSIS

Dry, cold, and breezy conditions will continue through the weekend. Warming temperatures with dry conditions are expected for the next week.

DISCUSSION

Dry and cold conditions will continue into the weekend in wake of the departing low pressure system. Overnight lows will be very cold, especially across the higher terrain, where many areas will fall into the teens with localized readings in the single digits. Winds will remain out of the north/northeast and while some spots will decouple overnight, we will see elevated winds to the south of west of the terrain through the night. With the winds up in spots and the very cold air in place, it will certainly feel much colder across the region. Temperatures will feel more like they are around +5 degrees to -10 degrees in the colder spots, so bundle up and stay warm!

Heights build through the weekend as high pressure starts to move into the state. This will allow temperatures to start warming as we head into and through next week, with temperatures getting back to above normal by around mid-week. Expect northeast winds to continue as we remain on the eastern periphery of the high. Overnight winds are likely to remain elevated in areas downwind (south and west) of the terrain.

AVIATION...Saturday 10/06Z through Sunday 11/06Z

VFR conditions forecast through the period. Look for N-NE winds 10-15 kts downwind of higher terrain overnight. Otherwise, light/variable winds expected. After 18Z, expect additional NE winds 10-15 kts gusting up to 25 kts.

OUTLOOK...Sunday 11/06Z through Tuesday 13/06Z...VFR conditions forecast to continue. Gusty NE winds downwind of higher terrain expected during the overnight period, primarily across Yavapai and Gila County. Then look for north through east winds 5-15 kts during the afternoon hours.

FIRE WEATHER...Saturday and Sunday

Cold and dry, with a gradual warming trend. Daytime highs are 5-10 degrees below normal on Saturday, becoming slightly warmer on Sunday. Minimum RH is 20-40% each day. Winds are north through northeast 10 to 25 mph on Saturday, then weaker at 5 to 15 mph on Sunday Monday through Wednesday...Dry with a continued warming trend. Daytime highs reaching 5 to 15 degrees above average by Wednesday. Minimum RH is 20-30% each day. Winds are north through northeast 5 to 15 mph each day.

FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.