textproduct: NWS Flagstaff

SYNOPSIS

Cool temperatures continue for today, but expect dry conditions and much warmer temperatures for Sunday and especially heading into next week.

DISCUSSION

Ridging aloft steadily builds heading into next week and today will be the last below normal day, for temperatures. The low level easterlies will hang on possibly through Sunday, but will start to lose their bite as the pressure gradient relaxes.

500mb hghts for the next week will vary between 573dm-583dm, the coldest mid-level temperatures will be near the Four Corners. This means temperatures will begin to soar, as early as tomorrow, with many locations 10-15+ degrees above normal next week.

Winds will be generally light in this pattern, after today, and there is no precipitation in sight. Possibly a minor break down and some cooling around days 7-10, but very low confidence at this time.

AVIATION...Sunday 22/00Z through Monday 23/00Z

VFR conditions with variable high clouds. Winds E 5-15 kts, gusts to 20 kts through 01Z then light and variable most locations overnight. NE 10-15 kts with gusts to 25 kts continuing overnight downwind of higher terrain including at KSEZ. E-NW winds 5-10 kts on Sunday.

OUTLOOK...Monday 23/00Z through Wednesday 25/00Z...VFR conditions. Light and variable or terrain driven each night. Daytime winds variable 10 kts or less Monday, SW-W 10-20 kts Tuesday.

FIRE WEATHER...Sunday and Monday

Temperatures warm close to average on Sunday before warming above average on Monday. Winds E-NE 5-15 mph on Sunday, light and variable 5-10 mph on Monday. Minimum RH values forecast between 15-35% both days.

Tuesday through Thursday...Temperatures warming 10-15 degrees above average through the time period. Minimum RH values generally between 15-35% each afternoon. Winds SW-W 10-20 mph on Tuesday and Wednesday, W-NW 5-15 mph Thursday.

FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.