textproduct: NWS Flagstaff

SYNOPSIS

Warmer and dry conditions, with well above-normal temperatures expected by the second-half of the week.

DISCUSSION...Today

Drier air sets in today as the closed-low to our south lifts into New Mexico. Some lingering moisture around the White Mountains may allow for a few showers to develop this afternoon, however any activity should be minimal.

Wednesday through Monday...Heights rise through the rest of the week as high pressure builds over the Pacific. Temperatures will climb through the week, with afternoon highs by this weekend 15-25F above normal for this time of year. Dry conditions and typical afternoon breezes look to prevail, with the storm track pushed well to our north. Extended range guidance looks to suggest this dry and warm pattern will remain in place for at least the next 10-15 days.

AVIATION...Tuesday 10/18Z through Wednesday 11/18Z

A few lingering showers bringing MVFR CIGS and VIS around the White Mountains through 21Z, otherwise VFR. Sfc winds becmg W15-25kts through 02Z Wednesday, then light.

OUTLOOK...Wednesday 11/18Z through Friday 13/18Z...Expect VFR conditions and generally light winds.

FIRE WEATHER...Wednesday and Thursday

Dry with highs 5-15 degrees above normal. Minimum RH ranges 15-25% on Wednesday, then 10-15% on Thursday. Winds are north through northwest 5-15 mph on Wednesday and Thursday

Friday through Sunday...Dry with highs 10-20 degrees above normal. Minimum RH is 10-15% each day. Winds are west 5-15 mph on Friday, increasing to 15-25 mph Saturday, then northwest 10-15 on Sunday.

FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.