textproduct: NWS Flagstaff

SYNOPSIS

Mild temperatures, dry conditions and occasional afternoon breezes are expected into the weekend. Despite the dry forecast, serious flooding continues in spots. Stay away from waterways and if you come to a flooded road, turn around, don't drown.

DISCUSSION

Following the historic rainfall over the weekend, a much drier airmass will remain dominant over northern Arizona through the week. Even so, use caution when driving as many low water crossings will still be flooded or otherwise inundated with water. Flooding impacts may linger for a few more days.

A brief ridge will move overhead today, bringing light winds and slightly warmer afternoon temperatures. Daytime highs will still fall a few degrees below early November normals for most. Some patchy fog will also be possible through the early morning hours today.

A quick moving and dry trough will brush to the north of our area on Wednesday. The primary impact will be some slightly breezier westerly winds gusting up to 25 mph along the higher terrain, perhaps as high as 35 mph along/north of the White Mountains.

Lighter winds are expected by Thursday into the weekend, however conditions will become ideal for breezy and localized northeast winds to develop downwind of terrain features each night. Another passing shortwave on Friday may bring a slight chance of light showers to the White Mountains, then continued dry conditions are expected into the weekend.

AVIATION...Tuesday 03/06Z through Wednesday 04/06Z

VFR conditions with VRB winds 5-10 kts.

OUTLOOK...Wednesday 04/06Z through Friday 06/06Z...VFR conditions. Winds W/NW 5-15 kts on Wednesday, becoming N/NE 5-10 kts on Thursday.

FIRE WEATHER

Tuesday and Wednesday..Dry conditions with seasonably cool temperatures. Light and variable winds 5-10 mph on Tuesday. Winds are west to northwest at 5-15 mph on Wednesday, with gusts as high as 25-35 mph along the Mogollon Rim and White Mountains. Minimum RH generally above 40%.

Thursday through Saturday...Mostly dry conditions with seasonable temperatures continue. Slight chance of light showers over the White Mountains on Friday. Winds are light and variable on Thursday, then north to northeast at at 5-15 mph on Friday and Saturday. Local gusts to 25 mph along and south of the Mogollon Rim, especially Saturday morning.

FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.