textproduct: NWS Flagstaff

SYNOPSIS

Warm and dry weather will continue through the forecast period. The warmest temperatures arrive over the coming weekend.

DISCUSSION

Our hyper-amplified La Nia pattern continues for much of the forecast period, if not all of it. There are only a few subtle things to talk about, but in general, the weather will hardly change. For the first few days, let's say through about Thursday, we will be on the eastern side of the eastern Pacific ridge. This will keep the full warming potential of the ridge from materializing just along and north of the Mogollon Rim. It will also encourage some northerly/northeasterly flow, allowing areas south of the Mogollon Rim to warm up considerably. Later this week and over the coming weekend, the ridge moves over Arizona, allowing all areas to be at least 5 to 10 degrees above normal.

That's about it! There is potential for a bomb cyclone off the Carolinas next weekend. For all you weather geeks reading this, take a look at those solutions, they are wild!

AVIATION...Wednesday 28/00Z through Thursday 29/00Z

VFR conditions with variable winds under 10 kts. Locally gusty NE winds downwind of the higher terrain overnight.

OUTLOOK...Thursday 29/00Z through Saturday 31/00Z...VFR conditions with daytime N-NE winds 5-15 kts. Locally gusty NE winds downwind of the higher terrain overnight.

FIRE WEATHER...Wednesday and Thursday

Dry conditions with seasonable temperatures. Winds light and variable 5-10 mph Wednesday, N-NE 5-15 mph Thursday. Minimum afternoon RH values between 10-20% Wednesday, 15-25% Thursday.

Friday through Sunday...Continued dry conditions with temperatures warming 5-10 degrees above average. Winds N-NE 5-15 mph Friday, light and variable 5-10 mph Saturday and Sunday. Minimum afternoon RH values between 15-30% each day.

FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.