textproduct: NWS Flagstaff
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
SYNOPSIS
Drier, cold, and blustery conditions set in today as yesterday's storm system departs the region. Gradually warmer and continued dry conditions prevail into next week as high pressure builds into Arizona.
DISCUSSION...through this morning
Lingering wrap-around snow showers will remain over eastern Arizona through the mid-morning hours. Any additional accumulations should be minor, with generally 1-2 inches or less expected. The Winter Weather Advisories have all expired as of 2 AM MST.
Today...Dry and cold conditions set in today in the wake of the departing storm system, along with blustery north/northeast winds. Wind gusts upwards of 15-25 mph will be possible for areas downwind (southwest) of the terrain during the overnight periods, with some locally higher gusts of 30-35 mph immediately downwind of the terrain.
Saturday through Thursday...A strong ridge of high pressure begins to build off the Pacific over the weekend. The ridge looks to be persist through much of the coming week, with a Rex Block in place. Given this, dry conditions and gradually warming temperatures look to be on tap through the rest of the forecast period. Overnight lows will still remain cold for most, at least initially, before warming to near normal by mid-week.
North/northeast winds also look to persist through the period, thus some breezy winds downwind (southwest) of the terrain looks likely each night.
AVIATION...Friday 09/12Z through Saturday 10/12Z
VFR conditions are expected with mostly clear skies. Plan on northwest to northeast winds, 15-25 kts, through 01Z becoming light thereafter. Northeast winds will continue overnight along a KCMR-KFLG-KSEZ- KPAN line, 10-20 kts.
OUTLOOK...Saturday 10/12Z through Monday 12/12Z...VFR conditions with clear skies are forecast through the period. North to northeast winds persist each day, 10-20 kts.
FIRE WEATHER...Today and Saturday
Cold and dry conditions are expected for today with daytime temperatures 10 to 20 degrees below average. Sky cover will be clear with minimum humidity values in the 20 to 45% range. Similar conditions are forecast on Saturday. Afternoon winds will be from the north-northeast, 15 to 30 mph, on Friday, remaining breezy from the northeast on Saturday. Sunday through Tuesday...Temperatures gradually warm through the period with daytime highs returning to 5 to 10 degrees above average by Tuesday. Conditions remain dry with minimum humidity values in the 20 to 30% range each day. Plan on light north to northeast winds, 10 to 20 mph, each day.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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