textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Near critical fire weather conditions for southeastern North Dakota and portions of west central Minnesota late this afternoon and evening, with lowest RH values 20 to 28 percent and fuels remaining dry. Conditions should improve around sunset.

- Rain is expected in many areas late Sunday through Monday. A chance for soaking rain of 1 inch or more is greater than 60 percent for southeastern North Dakota and parts of Minnesota.

..Rain late Sunday into Monday

Lead shortwave coming through tomorrow may bring a few rain showers to mainly southern portions of our CWA, but there will be quite a bit of dry air to overcome. Better chances for rain Sunday night into Monday as better moisture arrives and a more significant trough swings through. There is a decent signal in the ECMWF EFI for wet conditions by 00Z Tuesday, and even shift of tails shows a bit of snow not out of the question for our far northwest. Probability of any winter impacts look low at this point, so will focus on rain chances. NBM has probabilities of over an inch of rain through that period of over 60 percent, mainly along and south of the Highway 2 corridor. Instability is minimal so not expecting much convection. Main impacts from the rain seem at this point to be mainly bringing down fire weather concerns, but will continue to monitor.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 625 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

A fairly low impact weather pattern for aviation is in store for the TAF period. Winds today will continue to diminish through the evening hours beneath VFR conditions. Light showers may arise at some TAF sites in eastern North Dakota, however with high ceilings it is unlikely that rainfall will be heavy enough to cause visibility reductions. Winds will increase after sunrise tomorrow and generally remain sustained between 10-15 knots with occasional gusts to 20-25 knots by tomorrow afternoon.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.