textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Widespread rainfall is forecast late Sunday into Monday. There is a 70 percent chance for soaking rainfall of 1 inch or more within southeast North Dakota into Minnesota.

..Soaking rainfall late Sunday into Monday

As the stacked upper low departs, a more robust shortwave trough will move out of the Central Plains into Upper Midwest. This wave will tap into richer moisture from the south as well as some instability aloft feeding into the heart of the wave. This will bring widespread rainfall into portions of eastern ND and MN, including a soaking rainfall of at least 1 inch Sunday overnight into Monday.

While there is high confidence in this occurring, there remains some disagreement on which locations in our area will exceed 1 inches. As of now, west-central to north-centtral MN currently hold relatively highest chances for 1 or more inches of rainfall, around 70% chance. Northeast ND into far northwest MN hold relatively lowest chance. Latest CAMs reveal locally highest rainfall amounts should sit in the 2-3 inch range, and will be dependent upon locations experiencing steady rainfall overnight Sunday as well as into Monday. There is a 30% chance for this to occur in our area.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 628 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period across eastern ND and northwest MN sites. West-southwest winds gusting 20-25kt are currently decreasing and CU (5-7kft agl) are clearing as the sun sets early in the TAF period, with light winds and only mid to higher level cloud cover (10-25kft agl) through the rest of the night. As stronger low pressure passes to the north of the region and south of the region high pressure should lead to lighter/variable winds by late evening/early overnight.

Another low pressure system builds to the south of the region and will bring gradually shifting/increasing winds from the east-southeast Sunday. This also brings increasing chances for MVFR ceilings and rain chances in southeast ND (including KFAR) and west central MN after the current valid 00Z TAF period.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.

IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.

textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.