textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- The probability for hazardous weather is low through next weekend.

UPDATE

Issued at 1004 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025

Partly to mostly cloudy skies continus this evening, allowing for temperatures to be slightly warmer this evening than last night, although the coldest conditions will be in northwest Minnesota where skies are most clear. Regardless, impacts remain limited overnight.

UPDATE Issued at 517 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025

Weather conditions remained quiet this afternoon with light and variable winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies. This will continue overnight with increasing easterly winds after midnight. Given the quiet weather, no major changes were made to the forecast.

..Synopsis

Northwesterly flow today will turn to split flow for the next several days. This FA will find itself in the middle, under generally dry and quiet conditions. Towards next weekend, westerly zonal flow sets up, with no notable waves after Thursday propagating through. In turn, generally dry and quiet weather will likely continue through next weekend.

There are only two real chances of precipitation throughout the forecast period, and both look limited. The first period of chances are associated with a closed low tracking through the Central Plains Monday into Tuesday. The main frontogensis band stays well south of this FA, with the northern fringe just clipping Grant county. Therefore, have a few low (20%) PoPs in the forecast for our far southeastern FA late Monday into early Tuesday, but the expectation is that the vast majority of precipitation will remain south of our FA.

The next chance at precipitation arrives Thursday, associated with a passing wave embedded in the northern stream of the split flow pattern. This wave will be very progressive, and will likely not close off until it is to our east. Therefore, another smattering of low (20% to 30%) PoPs are in the forecast for much of Thursday. Warm temperatures should keep most precipitation as rain, with a few snowflakes mixing in on the backside.

Temperature wise we will remain above average over the next week, with cooler air (but still above average) late week filtering in behind the Thursday system. This results in high temperatures in the 40s every afternoon. For reference, average high temperatures this time of the year are in the 30s, dropping rapidly to near freezing by this time next week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1138 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025

VFR conditions should persist for the entire TAF period. Where clouds exist, isolated MVFR cannot be ruled out but this appears to be fairly unlikely due to how dry we are right now. Regardless, aviation impacts will remain limited as winds will generally remain below 12 knots, with a few isolated gusts by tomorrow afternoon around 15-20 knots.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.