textproduct: Grand Forks
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Lingering areas of light rain and drizzle this morning. Chances for rain showers Wednesday, highest chances west central Minnesota. Threat for any snow has ended.
- Temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above normal late week and weekend.
..Rain Tonight into Tuesday
A stronger mid level wave is organizing into a hybrid type system with large scale ascent increasing across our CWA south to north late this afternoon through Tuesday. Initially drier air in northeast boundary layer flow will delay measurable rainfall, deeper moisture will support 700mb deformation banding of rainfall across the southern zones tonight. Stronger areas of frontogenesis will tend to be transient making coverage of higher totals 0.5"+ limited. Better coverage of rain will tend to initially be along and south of US Highway 200, though the track of the mid/upper low will eventually allow rain to overspread northwest/north central MN. Moderate to high probabilities (50-80%) for 0.25" or more rainfall are shown by NBM/HREF across southeast ND and west central MN, with a 30-50% chance in similar areas for greater than 0.5" of rainfall. Temperatures and precipitation rates tonight overall do not support any accumulating snowfall, just novelty flakes mixing in. If sufficient banding and dynamic cooling occurs, a light dusting on grassy/elevated surfaces cannot be ruled out (especially west of the Red River Valley).
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 643 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026
Low level moisture continues to spread north and anticipate ceilings to drop into the IFR range at KGFK and KTVF by 14z. Otherwise IFR ceilings for areas along and south of Hwy 2 and likely to linger most of the day. Some improvment should be noted this afternoon and evening so indicated ceilings rising into the 1000-1500 ft agl range, but not guaranteed. Winds today east turning southeast then south overnight hovering 5-10 kts. Some pockets of drizzle and fog lowering vsbys this morning esp in parts of eastern ND west of the Red River valley.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...None. MN...None.
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