textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain is expected in many areas late Sunday through Monday. A chance for soaking rain of 1 inch or more is greater than 60 percent for southeastern North Dakota and parts of Minnesota.

..Rain late Sunday into Monday

Lead shortwave coming through tomorrow may bring a few rain showers to mainly southern portions of our CWA, but there will be quite a bit of dry air to overcome. Better chances for rain Sunday night into Monday as better moisture arrives and a more significant trough swings through. There is a decent signal in the ECMWF EFI for wet conditions by 00Z Tuesday, and even shift of tails shows a bit of snow not out of the question for our far northwest. Probability of any winter impacts look low at this point, so will focus on rain chances. NBM has probabilities of over an inch of rain through that period of over 60 percent, mainly along and south of the Highway 2 corridor. Instability is minimal so not expecting much convection. Main impacts from the rain seem at this point to be mainly bringing down fire weather concerns, but will continue to monitor.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1241 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026

Gusty southwest winds will continue at KGFK, KDVL, and KTVF through the afternoon, with a gradual decrease in gusts after 21Z.

At KGFK, gusts around 28kt will remain in the forecast through 21Z before winds aloft start to decrease, helping decrease gusts late this afternoon before sunset. While the chance for sustaining 30kt gusts is very low, there is a medium chance in sporadic gusts to 30kt through 21Z at KGFK.

Winds turn light under 6kt between 01Z-03Z at all sites.

VFR ceilings are confidently forecast throughout the TAF period, with daytime cumulus rooted around 5-6kft this afternoon before sunset at sites like KGFK, KDVL, and KTVF.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.


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