textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Several clippers next week bring opportunities for winter impacts. This includes a 10% chance for warning level impacts around Thursday.

UPDATE

Issued at 643 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Mid and high clouds overtaking the entire forecast area. Low cloud clearing is progressing east, but hard to tell true backedge. Precipitation is moving east southeast rather quickly thru east central Sask into western MB. Due to sparse observations in the area hard to tell what is falling or how much is hitting the ground. 06z models have area of precip moving ESE thru Winnipeg to Kenora and skirting LOW region.

..Potentially impactful clipper Thursday/Friday

Thursday will see a stronger wave move southeast and this one a tad farther west and thru the heart of the fcst area. Less warm air aloft ahead of this and higher chances for snowfall. Strength of wave and snowfall potential uncertain this far out. Probability of more than 2 inches of snow is around 40 percent in NW Minnesota Thursday into Thursday night. Of potentially more impactful will be northwest winds which may be strong enough to generate blowing snow impacts in eastern ND especially if 2 inches or more of snow fall. 00z ECMWF EFI highlights well above climatology wind potential eastern ND Thursday night into Friday.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 643 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Biggest issue early on was clearing of IFR deck of clouds in NW/WC MN. Shielded now by high and mid clouds above making an exact determination of back edge of low clouds difficult. Going off obs though it is clearing east with TRF/Mahnomen/DTL clearing out of the low stuff. I did go more pessimistic in TVF and BJI tafs due to uncertainity with clearing of IFR. Will update as they clear. Otherwise though mid and high clouds today, scattering out later today. Winds turning more southwest and increasing to 15-25 kts in E ND this aftn.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.