textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Light snow tonight into Saturday across far southeast North Dakota and parts of west central Minnesota. 35 percent chance of more than 3 inches in areas near the South Dakota border.

- Below average temperatures for the weekend and into next week, with low chances for some minor winter impacts towards the end of the week.

UPDATE

Issued at 1003 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

The main band of accumulating snow is continue to slowly work to the west-southwest and is still in line to primarily miss our CWA outside of far southeast ND, with trends matching earlier forecast/adjustments. Minor adjustments once again were made during this update, with the forecast on track.

UPDATE Issued at 630 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

Light radar returns in eastern ND and a few parts of northwest MN have yet to result in more than virga or a few flurries, with drier air aloft still in place below the stratus layer. Short range/high resolution guidance still shows the northeast fringe of this eventually brining accumulating snow to our far southwest (near SD border) around midnight into the early morning hours, which is in line with previous update/thoughts. Only minor adjustments to general forecast were made during this update.

..Cold temperatures and low chances for snow into next week

ECMWF EFI has a pretty good signal for colder than average temperatures as we move into next week, and this fits the mean synoptic pattern. Not as strong of a signal for precipitation, although the ensemble members do show various shortwaves moving through, particularly towards the end of the period. Cold is certain, any winter impacts from snow less so.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1125 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

MVFR stratus is already in place over much of northeast ND and west central/northwest MN, with a few smaller areas of VFR. A lot of guidance still does not have a good handle on the extent of stratus based on obs and leaning towards the pessimistic (but more representative) guidance shows MVFR eventually filling in at all TAF sites in eastern ND/northwest MN early in the TAF period. This would then prevail through much of the evening, with clearing arriving in north central ND towards northeast ND as much drier (and colder) air moves in with northwest BL flow behind the departing mid level system.

This system is already brining lighter snow to parts of central ND that is spreading southeast along a line from KDVL to locations southwest of KFAR. The track will favor the best chances for accumulating snow in far southeast ND, though lighter accumulations (to 1") and brief vis reductions may still occur at KFAR Saturday morning.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.