textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Drying fuels may intermittently support low end fire danger this weekend, mainly in west central Minnesota.

- A more active pattern may bring the possibility of impacts next week, but details are uncertain at this point.

..Fire weather concerns this weekend

With most of the snow gone except across parts of our far northern counties, fuels will continue to dry out into this weekend. Warm air pushes back up from the south Friday night into Saturday, although models have been trending in the cold front coming back down a bit faster Saturday afternoon. Portions of west central MN look to be still ahead of the front Saturday afternoon, and with temperatures rising into the 50s and dew points in the teens and low 20s, afternoon RH values should drop to the 25 to 30 percent range. Winds will be borderline but some speeds over 20 mph are not completely out of the question. Area of lowest RH isn't exactly lining up with the highest winds at this point, and our chances of getting below 25 percent RH are only around 20 percent in a few spots. Could get close to near critical fire weather conditions, but not confident enough for a watch at this point. Winds on Sunday do not look as strong as Saturday, but could still see a few locations drop to near 25 percent RH in west central Minnesota.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1221 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026

MVFR ceilings lingering at KFAR and the MN airports, but clouds have cleared out of the more northern sites. Should see improvement in the next hour or so at KTVF to VFR, and by mid afternoon for KFAR and KBJI. The break will be short lived, as most of the TAF sites will go back down to MVFR later tonight into tomorrow morning as another shortwave moves through. That shortwave could bring a few flurries or light snow showers also, but do not think it will have any visibility impacts on our airports and may not even reach the ground. Most locations should improve to VFR by the end of the period. Winds that are gusting above 30 kts in some spots will settle down below 10 kts late this afternoon and into the evening, then pick up again a bit to around 15 kts from the northwest by tomorrow morning.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.


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