textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Light snow and patchy drifting snow for tonight into Saturday morning.

- Additional chances for snow, blowing snow, and mixed precipitation Tuesday as well as Thursday next week. Chances for advisory impacts each day are around 20 percent.

..Shortwaves coming through Tuesday and Thursday

A shortwave trough digging down Monday night into Tuesday through the northwest flow should bring another round of light precipitation to the area. Probabilities of rain are highest (around 30 percent) due to the above 90th percentile temperatures expected. By the time cold air advection arrives late Tuesday into Tuesday night behind the shortwave, model soundings show much of the dendritic growth layer loses moisture. However, soundings look decent for freezing drizzle and whatever rain that fell earlier will freeze, so winter impacts are still possible. Stronger shortwave comes through Thursday, although there are quite a few differences in exact path and timing. Probabilities of over an inch of new snow are over 40 percent, and there is even a 20 percent chance for 2 inches or more. With a pretty good pressure gradient and cold air advection behind the shortwave, winds will be picking up, and if snow amounts are on the higher end of what is expected some blowing snow impacts will be possible. However, confidence in enough blowing snow for an advisory is only around 20 percent at this point, so will hold off on any messaging for now.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1152 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026

VFR conditions through the rest of the afternoon, with southerly winds going southwest then west, which has already started at KDVL. Some MVFR to IFR conditions later tonight as some stratus and snow moves into the region. Kept ceilings above 1000 ft but have some visibility down to 2 miles at times. Winds will eventually come around to the northwest by the end of the period.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.