textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Flurries and light snow chances today into tonight, trace to two tenths.

- Temps to turn above average Thursday and then into next week.

..Synopsis

Area remains in northwest flow aloft and there are a couple of weak shortwaves to move through the area the next 24 hours. One is in southwest Manitoba with some light snow and flurries and this will move southeast today and bring some flurries into northeast ND. Second one upstream will bring another chance for flurries or light snow tonight. Trace to a tenth or two accumulation. Strong 500 mb wave and surface low moves southeast from northern Manitoba into NW Ontario late Wednesday and this is on the edge of 850 mb warm advection which moves in Wednesday, with rising temps Wed night and a mild day Thursday with highs in the mid 30s to low 40s. High temps in the forecast of 35 to 42 degrees is on the 75th percentile range of NBM. West-northwest winds 15-30 mph though will aid in warming. Cold front does drop south into northeast ND and northwest MN toward 06z Fri and thru all areas Friday early morning. Gusty north winds and cold advection, but little in the way of snow forecast along the front. Hints do show up of a few snow showers or flurries with the front in colder air with 925 mb winds 30 kts available for mixing. So not out of the question there is a period of light snow/flurries and strong enough wind to bring brief period of visbility reductions. Chance of advisory impacts would be less than 5 percent at this point.

Colder Friday, then warming back above average this weekend into early next week as 500 mb flow turns more southwesterly with trough digging into the southwestern US mid week. This may aid in bringing increased precip chances mid next week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

All sites VFR as the clouds have cleared over all but the far western edge of the forecast area, and even KDVL which is seeing some clouds has been above 10000 ft. Some MVFR ceilings possible for a brief period in the early morning at the ND airports as a weak disturbance moves through central ND. Recovery to VFR for the middle of the day, then conditions should go back down to MVFR or even IFR as a stronger system moves through by the end of the period. Light and variable winds will steady out of the south, then west by tomorrow evening, but remaining below 10 kts.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.