textproduct: Grand Forks
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Rain today ending late afternoon and evening across far southeast North Dakota into west central and northwest Minnesota. Up to additional 0.50 inch of rain after 6 am today.
- Morning dense fog in parts of northeast North Dakota.
UPDATE
Issued at 1116 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
Main change to the forecast is the development of fog across the Devils Lake Basin with a north wind helping to expand fog south in Eddy and Nelson county later on. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 10am with the potential for expansion into the northern Red River Valley as some cams suggest a more eastward expansion under the low stratus.
..Rain Tonight into Wednesday
As the previously mentioned surface and upper low track to the north and east from the Central Plains this afternoon towards Lake Superior by early Thursday. As it does so, rain will develop over the Upper Midwest. The western edge of this systems deformation band will impact far southeastern ND into west central MN. The northwestern edge of the precipitation shield will have a quite tight gradient in rainfall totals. This western edge looks to extend from near Gwinner to near Fargo to the Red Lakes and Baudette. Small shifts in the systems track will lead to locations along this line receiving little (a tenth or two) of rain or more significant values (half inch or so). Locations in west central MN, where the deformation band will have a residence time of up to 24 hours, will see the highest rainfall totals. Rainfall totals of up to 1 inch (locally higher) are forecasted in our southeastern tier of counties.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 549 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
IFR or LIFR conditions today Red River valley and east. Question will be low cloud clearing trends today. Low clouds and fog have moved out of KDVL, but they are nearby to the south and east so could come back in yet this morning. Otherwise just how far east does the clearing of IFR ceilings reach. For the current forecast did go with model idea of rising ceilings to lower end VFR late afternoon/evening into the Red River valley. But that is low confidence. North winds today remaining 10-20 kts sustained, gusts 25-30 kts. Kept gusts blo 30 kts in TAFs as feel any 30+ kt gusts in the valley will be short lived.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for NDZ006-007- 014-015-024-026-028-029-054. MN...None.
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