textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain across the region Wednesday morning and afternoon, with the highest amounts across west central and northwest Minnesota. - Seasonable high temperatures in the 40s and 50s will be common through the week, with slightly above average highs late weekend.

..Rain on Wednesday

The shortwave trough over Oregon quickly progresses across Rockies and into the Northern Plains overnight tonight into Wednesday morning and increasing forcing for ascent, moisture return, and some instability should support increasing rain coverage particularly in MN head of an associated frontal zone. There may be enough instability for some thunderstorm activity across west central MN which could contribute to localized higher rain totals. Strong/severe storms are not anticipated this far north with any potential for higher instability farther south. General totals will be lighter for most areas with probs for 0.1" and 0.25" high east of the RRV but probability in NBM/HREF for 0.5" lower (20-30% in our far east) and likely dependent on convective activity.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 628 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Widespread low stratus (IFR) is impacting the entire region, with pockets of LIFR cigs. Eventually with a shift to south and southwest flow, drier boundary layer conditions should help gradually improve ceilings for some locations to MVFR and even some areas of VFR, however there is a signal for stratus and possible fog to fill back in over areas where better radiational conditions will be tonight. For now northwest MN has the best chance for prevailing IFR (or MVFR) conditions to remain in place through the end of the TAF period. The next system arrives Wednesday morning with rain chances increasing during the late morning hours in eastern ND. Periods of rain across northwest MN during the Wednesday afternoon/evening period.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.