textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Above average temperatures and dry conditions prevail through at least Saturday.

..Synopsis

Upper pattern features a Pacific jet nosing into the Northern Plains out of the Canadian Rockies. At the surface, a weak and dry front is moving through the region this afternoon into evening. This may allow for some sprinkles, but overall lack of moisture and temperature change behind the front will prevent most rain from reaching the ground.

Post frontal air mass tomorrow will be noticed mostly by an increase in northwest winds, gusting 25-35 mph, perhaps nearing 40 mph in northwest MN during the afternoon. Also in northwest MN, some rain showers may develop lee of Lake of the Woods during the afternoon. Lower RH values in southeast ND will allow for near critical fire weather conditions, however relatively higher moisture fuel status will negate any dedicated messaging of fire weather concerns at this time.

Into late week, upper pattern stays rather zonal with some guidance suggesting upper ridging into the central CONUS by next week. This will continue to support above average temperatures and an overall dry forecast.

AVIATION /05Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1128 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions persisting through the period with some high clouds present at times. Winds light, mostly under 5 kts overnight but increasing from the NW through the morning and reaching sustained speeds of 15-20kts by the afternoon for all sites except perhaps BJI. Gusts will frequently be upwards of 25kts tomorrow afternoon with DVL, GFK and FAR seeing the best chance of > 30 kt gusts though confidence in that occurring is still below 50%. Bumped up the peak gust group in DVL to 28kts but not quite sold on 30kts being reached.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.