textproduct: Grand Forks
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Level 2 out of 5 risk for severe storms continues through early evening.
- Additional chances for strong to severe thunderstorms exist Saturday and Sunday.
..Storm chances Saturday and Sunday
After a break tomorrow, additional weak embedded shortwaves under the building ridge will bring some rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will be well above average for early September and there should be good instability to work with. The deep layer shear is not as strong this weekend as today, but at 30 kts could still be adequate for strong to severe storms. Machine learning has some low probabilities for severe impacts for the weekend time period, mainly in the 5 to 15 percent range. Still some uncertainty, but will have to watch for some active convective days this holiday weekend.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 610 PM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026
Isolated/scattered shra/TS will slide through the forecast area this evening with local IFR conditions, but precipitation should stay north of KFAR and wane by 04/04z. Rather widespread MVFR/IFR CIGS will slide south into the region after 04/04z, likely reaching all terminals for at least a few hours into Friday morning. Improvement will occur by 04/18z from KDVL-KFAR, but MVFR/local IFR conditions should linger for KGFK/KBJI/KTVF into the early afternoon. Have left out visibility restrictions for now, but there is a signal for some fog. Later updates can address.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...None. MN...None.
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