textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain today ending late afternoon and evening across far southeast North Dakota into west central and northwest Minnesota. Up to additional 0.50 inch of rain after 6 am today.

UPDATE

Issued at 1116 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Main change to the forecast is the development of fog across the Devils Lake Basin with a north wind helping to expand fog south in Eddy and Nelson county later on. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 10am with the potential for expansion into the northern Red River Valley as some cams suggest a more eastward expansion under the low stratus.

..Rain Tonight into Wednesday

As the previously mentioned surface and upper low track to the north and east from the Central Plains this afternoon towards Lake Superior by early Thursday. As it does so, rain will develop over the Upper Midwest. The western edge of this systems deformation band will impact far southeastern ND into west central MN. The northwestern edge of the precipitation shield will have a quite tight gradient in rainfall totals. This western edge looks to extend from near Gwinner to near Fargo to the Red Lakes and Baudette. Small shifts in the systems track will lead to locations along this line receiving little (a tenth or two) of rain or more significant values (half inch or so). Locations in west central MN, where the deformation band will have a residence time of up to 24 hours, will see the highest rainfall totals. Rainfall totals of up to 1 inch (locally higher) are forecasted in our southeastern tier of counties.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1144 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Slow improvement has been the theme this morning at most terminals. KGFK will be right on the IFR/VFR line into the early afternoon, as low level cloud cover continues to slowly erode from west to east. IFR to LIFR will linger much of the afternoon at KFAR, KTVF and KBJI. Overnight, another round of stratus is forecast to develop from north to south. This will bring a IFR CIGs. A few pockets of fog are also expected to be mixed in, especially around KDVL and KGFK. At this time, there remains significant uncertainty around how widespread this fog will be. Therefore, the TAF reflects a less foggy, more IFR stratus scenario. CIGs will lift Thursday morning, with MVFR by the end of the TAF period.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.