textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- There is a level 2 out of 5 risk for severe storms late Friday afternoon into the evening for portions of west central into north central Minnesota. Storms will be capable of producing all hazards.

- There is a high chance for soaking rainfall Sunday night into Monday night across the region which could impact outdoor activities.

..Late Weekend into Early Next Week Rainfall

A large upper low over the Pacific Northwest will propagate eastward towards the Northern Plains late Sunday into Monday. Very little instability appears in place, therefore severe weather is not expected. However, as the low tracks from southwest to northeast across the Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies, rainfall will overspread the region from west to east Sunday night, lasting into Monday. While there remains uncertainty in where the deformation band and heaviest rainfall will set up, with NBM probabilities for a half inch of rain is about 60 percent across the entire FA.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 550 PM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026

A cold will continue moving across northwest and west central MN this evening, with medium to high probabilities of thunderstorms in its vicinity, including at KBJI. A period of low VFR ceilings is also expected behind the front, but with only a 20% chance of MVFR ceilings at KTVF and KBJI this evening. North-northwest winds behind the front will decrease after sunset, but then will increase once again during the day Saturday. High confidence exists in peak gusts from 25 to 28 kts during the day Saturday at KGFK, KFAR, KDVL, and KTVF, though gusts will start to diminish toward the end of the TAF valid time (e.g., closer to 00Z).

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.