textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- There is a 30 percent chance tonight for some mixed precipitation and travel impacts from a light glaze of ice, mainly along and north of Highway 200.

- Another round of a light wintry mix or snow Christmas Day through Friday, with a 20 percent chance for advisory level impacts.

..Christmas Day system

The deterministic models are all over the place for how they handle the trough moving somewhere through the Northern Plains late Christmas Day into Friday. While there is pretty good agreement on the overall pattern of troughing over the western CONUS and ridging in the Plains becoming more southwesterly, the subtle differences in weak lead shortwaves still have low predictability. Best signals for precip from the ECMWF EFI are either south or north of our counties, so not expecting anything heavy but even some light mixed precip could cause impacts. NBM probabilities across northeastern ND and northwestern MN are about equal for snow and freezing rain Thursday evening, but numbers are low at 15 to 20 percent. Will continue to mention low chances for mixed precip in grids and HWO, but not confident enough to include any graphics at this time.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 529 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

VFR conditions with quite a bit of high and mid clouds. Some scattered light precip out there (mainly snow and some light freezing rain most likely). Did put in some MVFR ceilings for a time overnight, eventually going to VFR by the mid morning with cirrus deck by the end of the period. Winds will be vary tonight but mainly staying under 12kts.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.