textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Fog will push into northeastern North Dakota tonight, with a 40 percent chance of dense fog.

- There is a chance for a mix of light rain, freezing rain, or snow Monday. Chances for advisory level impacts look to remain around 10 percent.

UPDATE

Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Clearing is ongoing to finish off the morning across the southern half of the region. Stratus continues to linger further north and west. Temperatures remain roughly the same right now thanks to warm air advection and a thermal ridge progressing eastward. Primarily advective processes should get temperatures up into the 30s later this afternoon and evening. Impacts remain limited right now as the bulk of fog sits west of our CWA.

UPDATE Issued at 935 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Low level stratus continues to linger across the region with some areas of mist remaining observed. Temperatures this morning remain in the 20s, but southerly winds and scouring of stratus from the south will allow for temperatures to warm up into the 30s late this afternoon into the evening, hovering around there through the remainder of the evening. Weather impacts for the remainder of the morning will remain minimal.

..Light mixed precipitation Monday

Still a lot of variation in the ensemble members in how the shortwave on Monday is handled, with the Canadian keeping us dry and NAM squeezing out several tenths of an inch of moisture. CAMs starting to show some signs of precip, although all over the place as far as exactly where and what type. HREF probabilities are highest for rain on Monday along the I-94 corridor, which fits the fairly warm temperatures expected. That being said, there are still some low probabilities of freezing rain and snow, and although pWSSI, HREF, and NBM probabilities for winter precip are very low, there is still a 10 percent chance. Will continue monitor.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Stratus will likely linger the remainder of the afternoon for TAF sites still experiencing it, although clearing at GFK/TVF is possible this afternoon. Stratus in eastern North Dakota should remain MVFR/IFR. As we progress into the evening, the bulk of guidance suggests improvement in ceilings which is reasonable looking upstream at clearing skies on the backside of stratus. Having said that, however, there is the potential for stratus to propagate eastward this afternoon/evening towards TVF and BJI before clearing is noted.

Southerly winds will increase through the day today with low- level wind shear expected to be attached to a low level jet working its way eastward this evening. DVL/GFK are the most likely to be impacted.

Precipitation may develop tomorrow morning with varying precipitation types from rain, freezing rain, and to a lesser degree snow. All TAF sites may be impacted by this.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.