textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers and thunderstorms are likely Monday. A few storms could become strong, with the primary hazards being lightning and small hail.

..Synopsis

A persistent and strong upper low is expected to remain in place over the Hudson Bay region through much of next week. Occasional shortwaves traverse the upper flow into the Northern Plains, with chances for showers and thunderstorms nearly each day next week. Ensemble guidance shows pattern confidence; however, timing is less certain due to shortwave speed and strength. At this time, the best chances for precipitation will be Monday and Wednesday, but there are lower chances nearly each day. Looking into Monday, there is a chance that a few storms could become strong as there will be enough MUCAPE in the presence of strong lapse rates to allow a mention of small hail.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 620 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period across eastern ND and northwest MN. Gusty northwest winds 12-15kt, with gusts to 25kt are expected late morning through the afternoon period. The chance for wind gusts around 30kt is very low and currently not expected at KGFK. Winds decrease at traditional times this evening as the sunset, with a shift to the west then southwest 09-12kt later tonight in response to approaching low pressure.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.

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