textproduct: Grand Forks
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Hazardously cold conditions are forecast through Monday morning.
UPDATE
Issued at 1107 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Cold headlines remain on track some slightly colder wind chills than expected across parts of the Devils Lake Basin perhaps in the low -40s but gonna forgo an upgrade to a warning as things look to "warm" back into the -30s by 3-4am. Otherwise did up pops as some light snow is progged to move through along a front Monday morning bringing a dusting in to valley to a few tenths further east toward the Red Lakes and Bemidji.
..Hazardously cold conditions tonight through Monday morning
Chose to extend the Extreme Cold Warning within northwest MN based on high probabilities greater than 80% of wind chills minus 40F or colder within the REFS and HREF guidance suites. Despite clouds moving into the region later tonight, there is relatively high confidence in temperatures dropping well into the 20s below zero in northwest MN considering temperatures heading into tonight are well into the teens below zero. These temperatures combine with an increasing breeze out of the southwest as pressure gradient starts to tighten ahead of an approaching weak shortwave trough.
The combination of temperatures into the 20s below zero and a breeze building out of the southwest will drive wind chill values well into the 40s below zero through Monday morning. Elsewhere, there is high confidence in wind chills between 30 to 40 below zero tonight through Monday morning.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 1107 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
VFR conditions yet this evening and through sunrise but southerly winds will quickly flip W/NW behind a morning frontal passage between 14-18z at all terminals. This front comes some light snow and ceiling dropping to low VFR and MVFR for the remainder of the day. Winds post front increase to 15-20kts gusts up to 25 kts but other than this MVFR and increasing winds no other aviation hazards to mention.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for NDZ006>008- 014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054. MN...Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Monday for MNZ001-002- 004>009-013>017-022-023. Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM CST Monday for MNZ003-024- 027>032-040.
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