textproduct: Grand Forks
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Light snow between 1 to 3 inches near the South Dakota border into west-central Minnesota tonight.
- A swath of accumulating snow of 2 or more inches as well as gusty winds of at least 50 mph will impact the area Thursday evening into early Friday morning. While there is a 20% chance for blizzard conditions, there remains large uncertainty in severity and location of impacts.
- Another system moves through the Northern Plains this weekend, bringing accumulating snow. This may impact our region; however, uncertainty remains high in location of associated impacts.
..Potential winter impacts this weekend
Majority of ensemble guidance indicates a deepening trough and associated deepening system into the Plains and Midwest this weekend. This combined with relatively strong upper jet and continued Pacific-sourced moisture will induce snow as the system deepens, including into our area. While there is a scenario that brings large swath of accumulating snow of at least 3 inches into the Dakotas and Minnesota, there is large spread in evolution of where and when this upper trough deepens. Thus, confidence remains very low in our local potential for accumulating snow. For now, will continue to monitor.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 654 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026
Light to moderate snow is passing through far southeast ND and across west central MN through 06Z this evening. This should remain well south of KFAR and KBJI, and impacts are not expected at those TAF sites. The main aviation impacts will be from variable ceilings as MVFR stratus potentially fills in over parts of eastern ND later tonight into Wednesday morning. There is also a low chance for fog to develop towards KDVL during the Wednesday morning hours (20%).
Currently, several areas of MVFR stratus have been lingering near KDVL and BJI. Stratus is more likely to improve after 06Z based on latest trends in guidance, while the main signal for stratus is currently after 06Z in northeast ND. Eventually what stratus that does form is shown to lift with drier air arriving in the BL after daytime heating increases Wednesday making prevailing VFR favored through the daytime period.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...None. MN...None.
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