textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Scattered showers and storms into Saturday. The probability for severe storms is very low.

- There is a medium chance for thunderstorms early next week. Potential exists for strong to severe storms.

..Severe Potential Early Next Week

As another stronger wave propagates through Canada greater instability will advect into the region, ahead of a cold front. Multiple scenarios exist regarding how this will evolve, including strength and timing differences, which will ultimately decide on storm coverage and intensity - severe potential. ML/AI guidance indicate a signal for severe storms Monday-Tuesday.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1113 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

Scattered showers affecting the more northerly TAF sites, so have prevailing or VCSH in those areas and kept KFAR and KBJI with Prob30 for some possible activity later tonight. Ceilings are all VFR so far, but should see some MVFR ceilings come in behind the rain later tonight into tomorrow morning. Some of the models have some IFR ceilings at times, and from obs further west it is not completely out of the question. For now just have KDVL going to IFR but will take another look at the 06Z issuance. Winds that are easterly around 10 to 15 kts will shift around to the southeast, then southwest and then northwest by the end of the period. Speeds will be mainly in the 10 to 15 kt range but some gusts up to 25 kts are possible from the northwest at the ND airports tomorrow afternoon.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.