textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Widespread weather impacts are not expected through this weekend.

..Synopsis

500 mb flow shows upper low near Sioux City IA and moisture rotating northward thru S Wisconsin and southern MN and mostly rain as ptype, with some upper ridging over ND, then another upper low in northern Washington state with a 500 mb jet into southern Alberta into central Saskatchewan. Withing this Canadian part of the 500 mb jet are a couple of short waves that is providing light precipitation the next 24-48 hours from Calgary to Saskatoon/Regina areas. Locally though, upper ridge north of upper low keeping our area dry with a dry surface east wind. As upper low slowly moves east and upper ridge north of it breaks down today mid and high clouds will advance east thru the fcst area. Wednedsday will see a short wave move into Calgary area and then ENE thru central Canada and the southern edge of this wave will help generate patches of light precipitation very late tonight and into Wednesday evening, with light rain the ptype based on temperatures. Amounts light trace to a tenth, higher values Lake of the Woods area.

Thursday thru Sunday will see a zonal 500 mb flow along the Intl border with likely periods of mid and high level cloud cover. Precipitation chances are low, sub 15 pct. Even looking into next week, precipitation chances increase a little but airmass remains on the warmer side so wintry impacts prior to Thanksgiving Day look minimal.

Lots of uncertainity at the very long ranges of the extended in the day 10-15 period specifically. Long range pattern has indicated colder air, but to what degree, and also will there be any snowfall in associated with colder air moving in. 00z long range ensembles, esp ECMWF, backing off of a bit, with one shot of colder than normal temps just after Thanksgiving then core of cold air settling back northwest. Way to early to see if any travel concerns exist for the days after Thankgiving at this stage.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1129 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025

VFR conditions as mid and high clouds move across the forecast area. Winds have dropped below 10 kts and will become more southeasterly as we head towards morning.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.

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