textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- No impactful weather thru next Monday.

- Above normal temperatures much of the period today into early next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 612 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Light snow noted in Winnipeg and Kenora in the past 2 hours and radar shows those light returns from Woodlands radar moving southeast and seeing 5SM -SN at Warroad at 12z. So idea of flurries or light snow into Lake of the Woods area today (esp this AM) is looking good. Otherwise seeing pretty significant clearing working its way southeast and eastward with clearing of the clouds reaching DVL here at 12z and clear holes into GFK as well so did update sky cover to faster clearing into E ND and RRV.

..Synopsis

Main 500 mb low is in NW Ontario this early morning north of Lake Superior. The are several weaker 500 mb short waves moving south-southeast around the upper low with one set to affect Lake of the Woods region today. Upstream radars in Manitoba and NW Ontario indicate light snow/flurries and would expect a period of light snow/flurries sagging southeast into Lake of the Woods region, possibly to Bemidji and as far west as Thief River Falls and Hallock. Trace amounts of snowfall. Clouds will hold all day in this region of NW Minnesota with highs today low 20s.

Rest of the area will start with cloud cover with cold advection stratocu over the area, but some clearing noted in Manitoba west of Winnipeg should spread southeast into E ND and RRV and eventually west central MN thru the day. Pretty sharp temp gradient today and likely to the case for the rest of the week with colder readings NW MN to milder temps southwest fcst area (west/south of Fargo) where snow cover is more patchy. Today will be the coldest day and warming up with Friday seeing highs upper 30s NW MN to near 50 in Forman, Valley City. Similar temps into Saturday. Overnight lows are expected to be below freezing all areas so melt will remain gradual and also degree of snow melt dependent on if sunshine or clouds prevail which at this point is difficult to tell as 500 mb flow remains westerly with embedded weak short waves moving thru. Limited moisture though means dry conditions thru Sunday.

What system had been progged to give a slight chance for light snow to far SE ND or west central MN Thursday is now a lot weaker and farther south.

Next week precipiation chances tied to if a full longitude trough will form in the western US and enough ridging in the eastern US to bring full southwest flow aloft into the area. You have to go out to day 8-10 range to view ensembles that want to bring higher chances of moisture into the local region. Confidence though is low as the long range indicated similar potential for this upcoming weekend several days ago and this system for the weekend will stay well south as southwest flow not reaching the northern Plains like it was progged 10 days ago.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 612 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Clearing is working its way southeast and eastward a bit faster than thought earlier. Often tend to be more pessimistic this time of year still with clearing noted in model data. But it is occurring so thinking SCT cloud coverage today in DVL and clouds clearing into GFK, FAR and TVF here this morning. Where the clouds are they are MVFR category. NW wind today 12-20 kts gusts 25-28 kts, diminishing late today.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.