textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures will run near normal through the weekend before warming up early next week.

- Next chances for rain will be Wednesday night into Thursday.

..Rain chances Wednesday night and Thursday

Still some variation in the exact track of the surface low for mid-week, and at least some of the model solutions keep our southern counties in the dry slot and don't give us much. Probabilities of at least measurable rain are 40 to 50 percent, but over a tenth of an inch is below 20 percent. Still, this is the most likely period in the next week of seeing moisture, and is worth a mention. Precipitation type given the unseasonably warm temperatures looks to remain rain. A few of the ensemble members give a signal for some low probabilities of snow with colder temps beyond day 7, but given low confidence in the colder solutions out that far will hold off on mentioning anything impactful at this point.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 535 PM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

VFR conditions are in place across eastern ND and northwest MN and should prevail through the TAF period. Increasing southeast flow in response to low pressure building west of the region should help keep low levels mixed limiting radiational fog potential. Where winds remain lighter towards north central MN where surface ridging may linger longer, there is a low chance for fog to develop and that is the only area current guidance shows a weak signal during the morning hours Saturday for any fog/stratus development. Southeast winds become gusty in response to increasing guidance and flow aloft Saturday and there may be a few daytime gusts to 30kt closer to the KDVL region (more likely towards central/western ND).

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.