textproduct: Grand Forks
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Red Flag Warning for Thursday for all of eastern North Dakota and portions of northwest and west central Minnesota due to low humidity and wind. Fire weather watch for all of our counties Friday.
- Gusty south to southeast winds Thursday, strongest in the Red River Valley morning into early afternoon with gusts to 50 mph possible. West winds Friday may gust to 55 mph, especially in northeast North Dakota.
..Winds Thursday and Friday
NBM tries to push the winds both ahead of the trough on Thursday and on Friday up to 35 to 40 kts sustained. While this seems excessive since it is more 90th percentile instead of middle of the ensemble, there is high probability of gusts over 40 mph. Not confident enough to go high wind warning for our counties, but advisory seems likely. Kept the advisory just for Thursday for now but will likely need another wind headline of some sort for Friday as probability of gusts above 50 mph is 60 to 70 percent in some areas.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 1143 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026
Winds will be an issue throughout the TAF period. Overnight, LLWS will develop at all terminals except KBJI. After sunrise Thursday morning, those higher winds aloft will mix down, with gusts out of the south of over 40 knots at times. Winds will likely abate somewhat in the afternoon, before switching to the west. Near the end of the TAF period this second round of even stronger winds will begin overspreading the region. Another concern is blowing dust, which may briefly reduce visibilities at terminals. Ceilings will remain VFR throughout.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...Wind Advisory from 5 AM to 10 PM CDT Thursday for NDZ008-016- 027-029-030-039-053. Red Flag Warning from 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Thursday for NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054. Fire Weather Watch from Friday morning through Friday evening for NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054. Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT Thursday for NDZ006-007-014-015- 024-026-028-038-049-052-054. MN...Wind Advisory from 5 AM to 10 PM CDT Thursday for MNZ001>005- 007-008-013>016-022-023-027>031-040. Red Flag Warning from 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Thursday for MNZ001>005-007-008-013>016-022-023-027>031-040. Fire Weather Watch from Friday morning through Friday evening for MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040.
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