textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- There is a high chance for wetting rainfall Monday across the region which could impact outdoor activities.

..High chance for wetting rainfall

All guidance agrees in a leading plume of moisture and lift overspreading our entire region on Monday, lending toward the thought of widespread stratiform rainfall for majority of the area. Within this plume will also likely be weak instability, offering convective elements to percolate within the widespread stratiform rainfall. This should bring at least a wetting rainfall to majority of the region (at least a couple of tenths of an inch).

However, a recent trend in the heart of synoptic forcing via the deformation zone/center of vorticity to keep it within Canada means this may be the only opportunity for widespread rainfall, while also limiting higher end amounts. While there is a scenario that offers rainfall amounts more than 1 inch, they will likely be more spotty/isolated due to convective elements needed, if it occurs in our area at all.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 711 AM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

For the TAF locations a clear sky is anticipated today into this evening with some increase in cirrus from the west tonight. A WNW wind up to 7-9 kts today then calm this evening turning southeast in eastern ND overnight. Band of mid clouds along the SD border into west central MN will sink gradually south this morning.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.

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