textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures will run near normal through the weekend before warming up early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 157 PM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Upper ridging starts to nudge into the Western Plains tonight, arriving fully over the CWA by Saturday. Surface high pressure tonight will bring light winds and good radiational cooling, but think there will be more cloud cover than the model blends show. Have temps bottoming out in the teens still as there should be a sharp drop after sunset before clouds fill back in. Temps tomorrow will be similar today and near seasonal averages. Upper ridging will continue through the weekend and into early next week, with pretty good agreement from the ensemble members on temps warming back up above normal. Highs look to be back up into the 50s by Monday.

Still some variation in the details with how the upper ridge breaks down and split flow trough comes into the Plains. Some of the clusters track the low along the Canadian border, while other solutions start the system out over the Central Plains. Probabilities of measurable precipitation are decent, around 40 percent, so at least some areas will get some moisture. With the ECMWF EFI still showing a signal for warmth, most likely form of precipitation will be rain.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1117 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

The MVFR cloud cover across much of the region is slowly clearing out and will provide mostly VFR conditions, with lingering clouds around 2000-3000 ft agl. Winds are currently out of the north from 5-10 kts for all but DVL where winds are coming in from the east. Throughout the rest of the TAF period, winds will remain around 5-10 kts and will shift to easterly winds for BJI/TVF/GFK/FAR and southerly near DVL overnight.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.