textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Near critical fire weather conditions may occur Friday into this weekend.

- Well above normal temperatures are expected through early next week, with only low precipitation chances west of the Red River Valley into the weekend. Better chances for showers and thunderstorms across all of eastern North Dakota and western Minnesota will be early next week.

..Shower and thunderstorm chances

A few of the models break out some showers with the SD shortwave late Friday into Friday night and approach our southeastern ND counties. Model soundings have a lot of dry air to overcome at low levels so don't think too much will reach the ground. There is some weak instability and HREF has some spotty 30 percent probabilities of thunder tomorrow afternoon and evening, so can't rule out some lightning but at this point nothing severe is expected. Additional shortwaves trying to break into the blocking ridge could bring a few stray showers and thunderstorms west of the Red River Valley at times over the weekend, but the better chances for more widespread precipitation look to arrive early to mid-week. A few of the machine learning runs have some low probabilities of severe storms for this period, but predictability too low to mention in any messaging at this point.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1231 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

VFR conditions now and throughout the period with some increasing high clouds. Winds will remain generally southeasterly, with some gusts up to around 20 kts this afternoon and again towards the end of the period.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.