textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain is expected in many areas late Sunday through Monday. A chance for soaking rain of 1 inch or more is greater than 60 percent for southeastern North Dakota and parts of Minnesota.

..Rain late Sunday into Monday

Lead shortwave coming through tomorrow may bring a few rain showers to mainly southern portions of our CWA, but there will be quite a bit of dry air to overcome. Better chances for rain Sunday night into Monday as better moisture arrives and a more significant trough swings through. There is a decent signal in the ECMWF EFI for wet conditions by 00Z Tuesday, and even shift of tails shows a bit of snow not out of the question for our far northwest. Probability of any winter impacts look low at this point, so will focus on rain chances. NBM has probabilities of over an inch of rain through that period of over 60 percent, mainly along and south of the Highway 2 corridor. Instability is minimal so not expecting much convection. Main impacts from the rain seem at this point to be mainly bringing down fire weather concerns, but will continue to monitor.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1115 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

Generally VFR conditions can be expected for the TAF period with winds following a diurnal trend. For the overnight period, expect generally light winds with variable wind directions depending on location and terrain. As we progress to sunrise, winds will become more westerly although remain generally limited in aviation impacts. Sustained winds tomorrow will generally be 5-10 knots in tree filled areas and 10-15 knots in more open lands. Gusts in open lands may approach 20-25 knots, but shouldn't get much higher than that. These will diminish after sunset, becoming light and variable once again. Increasing cloud cover is expected mainly the further south and east you go, but should remain VFR. Showers may impact FAR and BJI after 00z tomorrow, but the probability is low (20%).

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.


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