textproduct: Grand Forks
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Near critical fire weather conditions are expected mainly across northwest Minnesota through this evening. Near critical fire weather conditions may occur Friday into this weekend.
- Well above normal temperatures are expected through early next week, with near record highs into the weekend.
..Fire weather concerns into the weekend
RH is highly variable across the region due to low level moist flow from the southeast along the frontal zone in our south and to the west and drier air aloft in the north and east. Winds are periodically gusting around 20 mph along/north of Highway 2, otherwise they are generally around or less than 10 mph. Near critical fire weather conditions are ongoing at locations that have had more widespread 25% or lower RH values this afternoon (mainly in the northern Red River Valley). The orientation of the surface gradient aligns that low level southeast flow across the entire region Thursday, so while winds would be a bit higher mixed layer Tds would also be higher limiting the coverage of potential 25% or lower RH values.
Friday and Saturday there is a much drier air mass expected to be in place off the surface with a strong signal for sub 25% RH region- wide. The question will come down to winds and increasing surface gradient over the central and western Dakotas does supporting at least breezy conditions (strongest west lightest east), and there is a chance (30%) for RFW conditions to develop over parts of our CWA during those periods. At very least we are looking at near critical fire weather conditions where fuels are supportive of rapid spread.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 606 PM CDT Wed May 27 2026
Vicinity thunderstorms will diminish over the next few hours at FAR. All TAF sites will remain VFR for the TAF period with the potential for some afternoon high level cumulus tomorrow afternoon. Winds will shift to southeasterly through the evening and overnight hours, increasing in intensity after sunrise tomorrow. This will continue until the end of the TAF period with no other major aviation impacts expected.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...None. MN...None.
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