textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Scattered light rain showers and drizzle are expected mainly south of US Highway 2 during the day Saturday, lingering into the evening.

- Widespread rain is expected across the region Monday into Tuesday, with medium to high chances for at least 0.5" of rainfall.

- Warmer than normal temperatures continue, particularly Sunday and Monday.

..Rain Event Monday/Tuesday

Getting into early to mid next week, ensemble guidance is mostly in agreement on a persistent deformation band of rain as an upper shortwave trough in the Southwest translates into the Central Plains. While the best forcing looks to remain south of our area, there could be enough influence from this feature to bring the next round of light to moderate rain into the forecast, heavily favoring the southern zones. A few ensemble members keep Grand Forks and points north mostly dry given a further south storm track. Monday-Tuesday Night (48 hour) probabilities for at least a half inch of rainfall range from around 80% in Fergus Falls down to 40% for Langdon at this time. A lack of cold air behind the system results in near zero chance for frozen precipitation.

AVIATION /04Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1111 PM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026

MVFR cigs are beginning to build from the south and should reach KFAR by 9-12z though cigs of 3-4kft will exist by 7-8z. Further north expect MVFR after 12z for KDVL/KGFK and 15-18z for KTVF/KBJI. Patchy IFR cigs through the day with better chances for widespread IFR to LIFR towards the end of the period though KDVL was the only site with enough confidence at this time to add an MVFR group. Winds light through the period under 10kts with some light rain and drizzle mainly in the afternoon/evening through VIS should stay above 5sm for the most part at the taf sites.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.