textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures drop back toward normal values Wednesday thru Saturday.

- Scattered light rain later today into this evening. Dry rest of the period into early next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 303 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

As anticipated, the closer to the light precip event coming up later today, NBM pops are increasing with a narrow band of likely pops showing up roughly in the zone from KDVL to KGFK then to near KPKD. This zone is in the area where narrow frontogentical forcing at 700 mb will generate best chance for getting 0.10-0.15 inch of rainfall. REFS showing up to 30 percent chance for 0.25 inch of rain in this narrow zone Devils Lake thru Grand Forks to Park Rapids. Rain chances arrive into Devils Lake area 18z-20z then spread southeast quickly and exit the forecast area around 06z.

..Synopsis

Northwest flow prevails aloft this afternoon into the overnight hours ahead of a weak H5 shortwave. Upper flow briefly becomes westerly as the trough moves across the area late Tuesday into early Wednesday. A low chance for light rain will accompany the trough, with the best chances for measurable precipitation remaining primarily south of Highway 2. The probability for 0.1 inch of rain is holding steady at about 30 percent in west central Minnesota, with lower chances elsewhere.

Much cooler air filters into the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest as the trough slides eastward and northerly H5 flow develops. Today's high temperatures will reach the upper 50s to near 60 degrees; however, temps begin a downward trend heading into Tuesday as cloud cover overspreads the area and light rain moves across the southern half of the forecast area. Highs on Tuesday are expected to reach the upper 40s to low 50s. Temps fall to near normal heading into the Wednesday through Friday period, with highs in the upper 30s to near 40 degrees, and overnight lows in the 20s.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1122 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period across eastern ND and northwest MN. Surface high building across the region will result in winds 10kt or less, with a trend towards variable winds (5kt or less) Tuesday afternoon and evening. A low level jet is moving over northwest MN early in the TAF period (30-40kt) bringing the potential for low level wind shear into the early morning hours at KTVF and KBJI.

A quick moving system brings a period of scattered light rain showers to eastern ND and northwest MN during the afternoon and evening hours, with coverage better in northeast ND and northwest MN based on current guidance (lower chances towards KFAR).

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.