textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Level 2 out of 5 severe risk Monday afternoon with a primary risk for large hail along with secondary risk for strong winds and a tornado or two.

- Level 2 out of 5 severe risk Tuesday for hail and damaging wind gusts along and south of I-94/HWY 10.

- There is a level 2 of 4 risk for flash flooding across southeast North Dakota and west central Minnesota Tuesday and Wednesday.

..Severe Thunderstorm and Flash Flood Chances Tuesday

Heading into Tuesday, another round of showers and thunderstorms will bring the potential for hail, damaging wind gusts, and flash flooding into parts of the region. The best chances look to be along and south of the I-94 corridor at this time. Initiation favors the area including south central and southeast North Dakota, with storms moving from west to east parallel to the initiating theta-e gradient boundary. This could set the stage for thunderstorms that traverse the same areas repeatedly through the afternoon and evening.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 628 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

VFR skies this morning will eventually give way to thunderstorms/rain at all sites this afternoon with ceilings in the case of a storms impacting the taf site around 4-5kft. Winds go from south/southwest this morning at all sites to NW/N behind the cold front this afternoon. Generally 10-15kts with gusts as 20kts but otherwise minimal impacts to operations when sites are not seeing thunderstorm activity this afternoon.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.