textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Scattered showers and storms late Friday into Saturday. The probability for severe storms is very low.

- There is a medium chance for thunderstorms early next week. Potential exists for strong to severe storms.

..Severe Potential Early Next Week

As another stronger wave propagates through Canada greater instability will advect into the region, ahead of a cold front. Multiple scenarios exist regarding how this will evolve, including strength and timing differences, which will ultimately decide on storm coverage and intensity - severe potential. ML/AI guidance indicate a low chance for severe storms Monday- Tuesday, indicating the lower predictability that still exists.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 807 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

VFR conditions are forecast throughout the TAF period as low level dry air keeps ceilings elevated. After 00Z, chance for rain increases for tonight into Saturday morning. Included PROB30 groups to annotate forecast timeframe, although uncertainty still remains on whether or not showers impact TAF sites. Additionally, there is a chance for weak thunderstorms within this activity.

After 12Z, MVFR/IFR ceilings are forecast into west-central MN, potentially impacting KBJI.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.

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