textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

-There is a 1 of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms across portions of west central Minnesota tonight.

-There is a 3 of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning. Significant wind gusts over 80 mph will be the main threat, along with a few tornadoes.

-Temperatures on Tuesday afternoon climb into the 90s. Those working outside or exercising in directly sunlight or those sensitive to heat will experience impacts.

-There is a 2 of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon.

..Wednesday's Severe Potential

Much of Wednesday's severe risk is dependent on how Tuesday/Wednesday morning evolves. With that said, the main upper trough tied to the upper low across Canada will swing through providing stronger forcing by afternoon. Potential for a spicy day does exist given the stronger mid-upper level winds, especially if instabilty is able to recover.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1202 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

VFR conditions should prevail across eastern ND and northwest MN tonight into Tuesday afternoon, with aviation impacts increasing Tuesday evening as a thunderstorm complex is expected to move west to east across the region. There is a 30% chance for severe wind impacts with this thunderstorm complex during the evening hours across eastern ND with timing later in northwest MN and more uncertainty. I introduced PROB30 for the severe wind impacts during the periods in ND when current guidance shows the best potential if this occurs.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.