textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures will run near mid November normals the rest of the week before warming up early next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 324 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

500 mb short wave moving into central MN with the rain area diminishing in coverage across the forecast area and will move out completely before 12z. Rain amounts in main light rain band averaged averaged 0.10 to 0.15 inch Devils Lake to Grand Forks toward Bemidji. Clearing is working southward behind this short wave, but upstream is an area of stratocu clouds which should drop southward after daybreak and last into tonight. Coverage scattered to overcast. Significantly cooler today, with mid 30s to low 40s...much closer to normal mid November values. Dry conditions today into early next week.

..Synopsis

Upper flow pattern supports northwest flow tonight through late Wednesday, with H5 flow turning more northerly heading into Thursday. A weak shortwave traverses the flow this evening and overnight, with a chance for light rain ahead of an approaching cold front. Cooler air works into the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest Wednesday into Thursday, bringing temperatures back into the range of normal for early to mid November. Daytime highs will be in the 30s to low 40s Wednesday and in the 30s on Thursday and Friday. Overnight lows fall into the teens Thursday night into Friday morning. Aside from a few scattered rain showers today, dry weather is expected to persist through much of the forecast period.

Looking down the road a bit, there is growing support for a potentially active period of weather as we head into the second half of November. This starts with a strong signal for blocking across the central CONUS and into most of the Canadian Prairies. Resultant troughs form on either side of the H5 ridge, which eventually dislodge and work eastward. Ensemble clusters are beginning to support solutions that hint at precipitation toward the very end of the forecast period.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 526 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Expectation today is that an area of MVFR ceilings will drop south thru most of the area today into tonight. Coverage of the clouds is uncertain in that there may be times of scattered coverage vs broken or overcast. Also ceiling bases will likely vary from 2000 to 3500 ft agl. North wind 8 to 15 kts gusts 20-24 kts in the RRV.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.