textproduct: Grand Forks
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- There is a 40 percent chance for advisory impacts on Tuesday across portions of northwest Minnesota and northeast North Dakota, and a 20 percent chance for advisory impacts across parts of southeast North Dakota on Wednesday into early Thursday.
..Winter Impact Potential Tues through Thurs
Two systems will traverse the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest Tuesday through Thursday. The first H5 shortwave will mainly impact northwest Minnesota, with a lower chance for impacts in northeast North Dakota and northern Red River Valley. At this time, there is a 40 percent chance for advisory impacts where the highest probabilities exist for accumulating snowfall. For the Lake of the Woods area, there is an 80 percent chance for 1 or more inches of snow Tuesday, with those chances falling to around 30 percent for the northern and central Red River Valley and northeast North Dakota. Winds will be shifting to the northwest, bringing gusts to near 35 mph, which could lead to blowing snow and visibility impacts. Our second system brings additional chance for light snow into southeast North Dakota late Wednesday into Thursday. Wind gusts on Thursday morning will increase out of the west to southwest, but are expected to remain generally less than 30 mph.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 1120 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026
VFR conditions should prevail across eastern ND and northwest MN through the morning hours Monday. Winds shift to the southeast and increase once again during the daytime period Monday and while patchy blowing/drifting snow may develop, much drier air lowers the chance for stratocumulus/flurries to develop. There may still be brief/localized visibility impacts (3-6sm) but probabilities for less than VFR conditions are low at TAF sites at this time (less than 30%). A fast moving system arrives overnight Monday night and may bring chances for a wintry mix and increasing chances for MVFR or IFR ceilings generally along an north of Highway 2.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...None. MN...None.
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