textproduct: Grand Forks
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Isolated severe thunderstorms may develop late this afternoon into the evening over portions of eastern North Dakota into west central Minnesota. Hail to 1 inch and wind gusts to 60 mph are the primary threats.
- Near critical fire weather conditions are ongoing across northwest Minnesota through early evening. Near critical to critical fire weather conditions are expected over parts of the region each day through early next week.
- Well above normal temperatures are expected through early next week, with near record highs into the weekend.
..Fire weather concerns through this weekend
Recent rains continued to rapid green-up, however as multiple dry/hot days have occurred there could be curing underway and considering there is still some dead grass/fuel loading we may see increasingly dry/critical fuels region-wide daily. As anomalously high temperatures continue daily at least parts of the region will continue to see daily RH values around or less than 25%, with NBM (and it's high bias) already showing values in the 20-25% range late week into this weekend. Due to the ridge axis aloft, winds aloft will be weaker in general, so this creates much more variable surface winds/gusts during periods of peak mixing reducing the predictability of RFW conditions. At the very least near critical fire weather conditions can be anticipated over at least parts of (if not much of the region) particularly late this week into the weekend.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1254 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
VFR conditions should prevail for most locations across eastern ND and northwest MN through the TAF period. The exception will be where thunderstorms develop late this afternoon and evening where visibilities could be reduced to MVFR or even IFR. Coverage along the frontal zone will tend to be scattered in relation to shower/thunderstorm coverage, with severe thunderstorm potential in southeast ND and west central MN isolated in nature. The highest probability for any thunderstorms to impact terminals (30-50%) would be at KFAR and KDVL during the evening and early overnight hours. Winds are generally from the east-southeast 10-15kt with periodic gusts around 20kt.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...None. MN...None.
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