textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- There is a level 2 out of 5 risk for severe storms Friday afternoon and evening for portions of west central into north central Minnesota.

- There is a high chance for soaking rainfall Sunday night into Monday night across the region which could impact outdoor activities.

..Soaking Rainfall Sunday night into Monday night

There is strong consensus that a strong upper low will bring widespread rainfall to our region Sunday night through Monday. NBM probabilities are 60-80% for greater than 0.5" rainfall in our CWA during that period, and probabilities for greater than 1" of rain range from 40-60% (highest in the southern RRV). While it is an organized synoptic system, the locations that receive 1"+ or even 2"+ rainfall (30% chance) will be determined by deformation zone location and embedded thunderstorm activity which will be less predictable. As the warmer more unstable air mass will be cut off to the south of this system there is currently not a signal for severe thunderstorm risk after Friday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 627 PM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026

VFR through the period with this afternoons cumulus dissipating quickly around 6-8kft. Winds mostly under 10kts but for those that are not yet they will be in the next 2 hours by 9pm. Winds overnight turning SW at 5kts and picking up by noon to 10-15kts for all sites with afternoon gusts to 20kts. Mostly clear skies expected tomorrow.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.

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