textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Chance for light rain and possibly some wintry mixed precipitation tonight into early Thursday. Probability of advisory level impacts is 30 percent.

- Drying fuels may intermittently support low end fire danger this weekend.

..Fire weather concerns over the weekend

After our cool down during the later part of the work week, temperatures start to recover and will be back above average for the weekend. While southerly winds will also bring some higher dew points in, they will not rise as fast as temperatures and afternoon RH values could be in the 25 to 30 percent range in some areas. At this point, winds do not seem like they will be high enough for critical fire weather conditions, but could get close. Will mention in the fire weather discussion but not other messaging.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1130 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2026

IFR ceilings have persisted and spread across eastern ND and parts of northwest MN and while guidance still favors an eventual transition to MVFR this may not occur until closer to 12Z Thursday. The stratus should overspread the rest of northwest MN early in the TAF period and based on current guidances VFR would not be expected across the region until the afternoon period. NOrtherly winds should increase through the night as a result of tightening surface gradient with gusts around 30kt during the daytime period Thursday. These winds should decrease below 12kt with the loss of daytime mixing Thursday evening.

Showers are tracking across the region, with the highest coverage of measurable precipitation across southeast ND and eventually west central MN. Farther north coverage may remain lower with virga or sprinkles/flurries more common. Prevailing precipitation types should generally fall as rain or snow, however there is a narrow corridor within the region where brief/localized freezing rain could occuring as this activity transitions out of the region before 10Z (30% chance for impacts at TAF sites).

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.

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