textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Drying out this evening with near to slightly above average temperatures through the next seven days.

..Rain ending and warm and dry pattern setting in

Band of light rain currently over west central MN is associated with some mid-level frontogenesis, and is expected to move east out of our area in the next three hours. Drier air setting in behind the band, and think northwesterly winds will keep any fog tonight at bay even with recent rainfall. Northwesterly flow aloft continues into the upcoming week, with probabilities of at least a 0.01 of rain near zero except for some 10 percents near Lake of the Woods towards the end of the week. ECWMF EFI shows a trend towards temps above seasonal averages, but nothing on the extreme end of climo at this point.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 625 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail across eastern ND and northwest MN through the TAF period, with much drier low level air moving in with northwest flow. The signal for any stratus in this pattern is much farther east from this region. Gusty west-northwest winds that have developed behind the passing cold front will continue to decrease this evening as the 30-35kt low level jet transitions east and the sun sets ending daytime mixing. There is a brief window between 00Z-02Z this evening in west central MN where a few pockets of low level wind shear could develop as this low level jet transitions east and surface winds drop off. There is also a signal for potential shallow CU development in northwest MN during the afternoon hours Sunday (5000-8000 FT AGL).

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.