textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Light snow ends today.

- Below average temperatures for the weekend and into next week, with low chances for some minor winter impacts towards the end of the week.

UPDATE

Issued at 546 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

A few reports for far indicate the forecast we have going is good. 1 inch reported in Hankinson ND area at around 430 am. Heaiver snow has shifted on radar out of the area and now in northeast SD. Very light snow/flurries are noted in much of eastern ND but having trouble due to dry air getting any precip into Fargo. But this should change soon. Would expect at least a dusting of light snow into Grand Forks this morning but Fargo area likely more along the line of a few tenths of an inch of snow today. New snowfall 12z and after until 00z in far SE ND into into Grant county MN near 1 inch.

..Synopsis

Over the course of the last 2-4 hours the heavier snowfall as shown by radar has affected areas where it was forecast too, as highest radar returns have moved from Dickey county ND, thru far Sargent county ND, into Marshall county SD. Obs indicate vsbys are in the 1-3SM range and DOT webcams indicate a steady snow, but snow itself is quite fluffy and from what I can tell flake size is small, outside of the highest return areas. The heavier snow via radar will shift out of SE ND by 12z. No reports of snowfall yet in these areas, but webcams indicate not too different conditions than what was thought. Winds are 5-10 mph so that isnt a factor despite fluffy nature. Certainly could see some totals above 3 inches near the SD border, but as was mentioned Friday the nudgers to push it into advisory issuance just were/are not there.

Otherwise there is a larger area of very light snow extending north thru central and pushing slowly east into the RRV, but also encountering dry air. But would think some light snow will fall in the Red River valley this morning before entire system drops too far south. 500 mb short wave trough is into Nebraska at 08z with sfc low soon to intensify in Missouri this morning. As this happens the moisture will diminish so this aftn any remaining light snow will in parts of west central MN. New snowfall after 12z today 1 to 1.5 inches SD border into Grant county MN. Farther north measured in tenths in Fargo and trace to a tenth or two farther north to the Manitoba border.

After this system moves out...high pressure will move southeast into western ND Sat night-Sunday. Models indicate this new airmass is drier and 925/850 mb RH values will begin to dry out late tonight and more so Sunday into Sunday night. Provided we have a clearer sky Sunday night should see many lows below zero, esp in the heavier snowcover area.

Next week looks like winter. Likely some weak short waves moving southeast within the broad 500 mb over central Canada, and some slight chances for light snow. There has been some signal for perhaps a bit stronger clipper type low bringing potential minor winter impacts late week. At this time WPC indicates 10-20 pct chc of minor impacts Friday or next Saturday.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 546 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Clouds base heights remain variable, for most areas in the MVFR range, but we have areas that are VFR for a time. I suspect the predominate ceilings today will be MVFR in the 2000-3000 ft agl range. Some light snow at times in E ND, mainly morning with some vsbys 3-5SM.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.