textproduct: Grand Forks
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- There is a 40 percent chance for 0.5 inch of snow Friday night into Saturday, mainly west of the Red River Valley.
UPDATE
Issued at 526 PM CST Wed Nov 5 2025
High clouds continue to filter in this evening. Precipitation may arise overnight with potentially rain or snow, but impacts should remain limited.
..Synopsis
The upper flow pattern will become more amplified today through early next week, allowing colder air to fill into the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Northwest flow today gives way to a brief period of zonal flow on Thursday ahead of our next system. An H5 low is expected to drift southward, out of the Hudson Bay region, this weekend, bringing northerly upper flow into the Northern Plains region. Ahead of the leading trough, light snow is possible along the baroclinic zone, which will likely stretch from north to south in central North Dakota. Ensembles are now converging on more consistent solutions, after several runs showing a westward shift. At the current time, there is roughly a 40 percent chance for 0.5 inch of snow west of the Red River Valley, with better probability ever further west. Widespread impacts are not anticipated at this time. Temperatures fall sharply Friday night, with lows expected to fall into the mid teens to low 20s. Temperatures on Saturday and Sunday will struggle to reach the low 30s.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 526 PM CST Wed Nov 5 2025
VFR conditions will prevail for the TAF period. Southerly winds will increase overnight, allowing for low-level wind shear to potentially develop in northeast South Dakota and southeast North Dakota. High uncertainty on if this arises near a TAF site precludes adding it to the routine TAF issuance.
As the sun rises tomorrow, expect surface southeasterly winds to increase to 10-15 knots sustained with gusts between 20-25 knots. As a low pressure moves eastward by late afternoon, winds will shift to eventually westerly. Winds will diminish in intensity by the end of the TAF period to below 10 knots.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...None. MN...None.
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