textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry and seasonally warm weather through next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 136 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Upper ridging over the western Plains moves est tonight, with a closed low moving from southern Saskatchewan into Manitoba and Ontario by tomorrow. No precip expected in our area with the system, but winds will shift back around to the south and our stratus that is currently trying to scatter out in central ND and north central MN will likely fill back in. Cloudy skies for much of the night should keep temps from falling too much even with light winds, and also keep fog limited to the far western edge of the stratus deck. At this point that line seems like it will be mostly over central ND, but will watch the Devils Lake Basin in case it gets a bit more clearing than expected overnight. With cloud cover continuing, raised lows a bit and lowered highs for tomorrow, until the upper low moves off to the northeast of us and we get more of a westerly fetch to the wind for Saturday.

Northwesterly flow aloft sets up for Sunday and continues into next week. There is decent agreement on the ensemble members on a progressive shortwave moving through on Monday, but they also keep the region dry with probabilities of measurable rain near zero. Slightly better chances with another reinforcing shortwave Wednesday, but still the probability of anything more than a few sprinkles is less than 20 percent. Temps look to be on the warmer side of average.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 527 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Skies have cleared tonight but unlike last night skies are expected to stay mostly clear with a low chance for some morning MVFR stratus. Confidence is currently trending towards SCT or clear skies at day though and thus kept VFR skies through the period. Wind becoming southwest overnight and up to 10-15kts tomorrow and occasional gusts near 20kts.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.