textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Widespread rain is expected across the region through Wednesday AM. Best chances for 2+ inch of rain will be in southeast North Dakota and west central Minnesota.

- Breezy north winds are likely late Monday night into Tuesday, with gusts upwards of 40 mph at times.

UPDATE

Issued at 1133 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

Light to moderate rain continues across a large portion of the area heading into the midday and afternoon hours. The heaviest rainfall rates are currently being observed in west central Minnesota, with the lightest rain in the northern Red River Valley. Temperatures are in the mid 50s, with the forecast remaining on track.

UPDATE Issued at 616 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

Water vapor loop showing multiple 500 mb short waves embedded within the larger upper trough over the Rockies. One lead wave not into north central Colorado will move northeast with associated sfc low progged to be near the ND/SD/MN border by 00z Tues. Rain ahead of this will be over the entire forecast area today so 100 pops. For Tuesday into Wed AM differences exist on track of a second short wave and surface low with GFS/ECMWF 00 and 06z runs indicating a bit farther east with main rains east of the Red River valley as the 500 mb low slows down over Iowa into western Wisconsin/eastern Minnesota. Solid area of 1-2+ inch rain for most areas from the first system 12z Mon to 12z Tues. Gusty north winds develop in eastern ND into the RRV late today and tonight, with gusts 40 mph. Foresee winds remaining below wind advisory range however.

..Breezy North Winds Tuesday

Much cooler advects into eastern North Dakota and northwest Minnesota late Monday into Tuesday as winds shift to the north on the western side of the upper low. At this time, wind gusts look to remain just on the lower end of advisory level, ranging from 35-40 mph on Tuesday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1133 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

LIFR to IFR ceilings and visibility are expected to continue through most of the afternoon and evening. Slow improvement will occur overnight from west to east as rain transitions eastward with the upper low. Winds will pick up out of the northeast, then north, increasing to around 15-20 knots. Gusts up to 40 knots will be possible starting late Tuesday morning, especially at KFAR, and KGFK. Ceilings should be approaching MVFR by mid morning on Tuesday; however, trends have been a bit slower in recent model runs. For this TAF issuance, will hold onto MVFR ceilings in the Red River Valley locations.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.