textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Light precipitation possible today southeast North Dakota and west central Minnesota. No impacts anticipated as temps around or above freezing.

- Chance for light snow far southeast North Dakota and west central MN Thursday. Impacts look minimal as higher chances are to our south.

- Above normal temperatures thru this week.

UPDATE

Issued at 1125 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

Cloud cover is slowly spreading to the northeast heading into midday, with radar returns weakening in southeast ND. Little to no precip is reaching the ground at this time, but chances will increase heading into the afternoon and evening. Few changes were needed this update, with only minor adjustments to the timing of PoPs.

UPDATE Issued at 649 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

The radar returns from mid level water droplets have weakened some over the last 2 hours and now confident that nothing is reaching the ground from then . Radar and obs show main precipitation is back in Montana and 06z model data and HRRR show best chance of any light rain will be spreading thru far southeast ND into west central MN this aftn. Obs show the warmer airmass with temps above 32F has reached thru NW MN where west winds are strongest south of the low in Manitoba. Still pockets of around 30 degrees in far SE ND into WC MN.

..Synopsis

Area of mid level moisture streaking east from southern Montana through southern ND into west central MN early this morning. And this zone of mid level moisture to remain in place thru the day. There are a couple areas of 700 mb frontogenetical forcing that move east, main period is mid aftn ahead of 500 mb short wave in Idaho that moves thru northern SD. Did maintain pops for precipitation this aftn for this in southeast ND into west central MN. But overall layer beneath 800 mb is quite dry, and moisture at 850 mb is narrow zone more so in far northern SD. Temperature profiles of where the precip is moving thru suggest temps well above freezing during any precipitation and liquid rain. Ahead of all this is some sprinkles moving quickly east thru west central MN Rothsay to Perham at 09z. It is moving quickly and is producing a trace amount of liquid per ndawn. It is in an area of temps 31-33 degrees so some concern of icing but quick movement would suggest very brief precip period. Perham MN railroad cam indicate some sprinkles at 0947z and temp at 31. Will monitor but at this time impacts are not anticipated. Seeing something similar west of jamestown but temps there around 40. Another live stream cam on Ottertail lake shows flurries.

As the upper wave passes by to our south into central MN by tonight....low pressure in central Manitoba will move east into NW Ontario. Northwest winds around the low and a bit colder air mass will drop southward into northern ND and northwest MN later today and thru the area tonight, with colder temps on Tuesday. Will maintain a low pop for light snow in far NW MN as moisture does spread southeast around this system tonight.

Rest of the week thru Sunday is overall looking quiet. 500 mb trough, upper low dives well south into southern California and Arizona mid to late week with any moisture from that remaining south. Our area remains in westerly flow aloft, and there is another one of these fast moving upper waves moving thru SD into southern MN Thu into Thursday night with light snow chances. This may skirt the far southern fcst area. Better moisture is just south of the fcst area in E SD into southern half of MN where temps will determine ptype.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1125 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

VFR conditions prevail at KFAR and KDVL, with MVFR ceilings elsewhere. Cloud cover will continue increasing as we head through the afternoon. MVFR and possibly patchy IFR ceilings are expected this evening and overnight at all TAF sites. Light rain, wintry mix, and snow could approach the vicinity of KFAR and KBJI late this afternoon into the evening; however, confidence is too low to include in the TAF at this time.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.