textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Dangerous heat wave this weekend into early next week with very hot temperatures and high humidity through at least Monday.

- MIFC requested Red Flag Watch to be issued for Sunday and Monday for parts of north central Minnesota as high temperatures dry out the fuels in the forests.

UPDATE

Issued at 402 AM CDT Sun Jul 12 2026

Will maintain the red flag watch that was issued based on user request from MIFC. Dayshift can review RH and see if red flag warning or SPS is next step. Hopefully can get more clarification about what RH threshold to use for the forested parts of our fcst area in regards to fire weather headlines.

No changes to any heat headlines or messaging.

..Heat impacts this weekend into next week

All guidance depicts very hot temperatures into the mid 90s within west-cental MN to mid 100s within the Red River Valley. The locally hotter temperatures within the Valley is bolstered by a favorable downsloping-type wind direction out of the southwest. This will push heat indices well into mid to upper 100s within the Valley, eastern ND, and northwest MN. Heat indices are also driven by seasonably average to high dew points into the 60s and 70s.

Mostly sunny skies and generally lighter winds will push wet- bulb globe temperatures into the High to Extreme categories. Additionally, Heat Risk will be at least Major across the entire region Sunday and Monday, with some areas of Extreme (especially within the Valley). This is driven by abnormally high daytime high temperatures, as well as poor overnight relief Sunday night into Monday morning with temperatures remaining in the mid to upper 70s coupled with high humidity.

For these reasons, an Extreme Heat Warning has been issued Sunday through Monday.

Heat impacts may extend into Tuesday / mid week in southeast ND and west-central MN. This will depend on how far an eventual dry cold front moves through late Monday into Tuesday. It is possible, additionally heat impacts (and subsequent headlines) may linger in these areas into mid week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 943 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

VFR will prevail throughout the TAF period. There will be a period of LLWS overnight. Surface winds throughout the period will be out of the southwest, with some gusts up to 20 knots Sunday afternoon. Temperatures will be very hot Sunday, with highs in the upper 90s and low 100s. Another round of LLWS is expected Sunday night into Monday morning. Winds will decrease after sunset on Sunday, but remain out of the southwest.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...Extreme Heat Warning from 8 AM this morning to 1 AM CDT Tuesday for NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049- 052>054. MN...Extreme Heat Warning from 8 AM this morning to 1 AM CDT Tuesday for MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040. Fire Weather Watch from 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Monday evening for MNZ005-006-008-009-016-017-023-024.


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