textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- A quick moving system Wednesday brings rain, wind and snow. There is a 20 percent chance for advisory level impacts from accumulating and blowing snow.

..Midweek System

While a couple of waves will track through the region this week, the strongest will be Wednesday into early Thursday. Ensembles have been consistent with a system during this timeframe. There has also been a surprising amount of agreement in the lows track, bringing it along the Canadian border or so. A track such as this would keep the stronger forcing and thus heavier precipitation confined to our northern counties and Canada. Slight changes in the track will determine how far south precipitation occurs. The current timing of the system shows much of the precipitation falling during the day on Wednesday, which will also work against snow accumulations due to the high April sun angle.

With the surface low tracking through or near our FA, a tight surface pressure gradient will bring an increase in winds. Winds will start from the south on Tuesday, switching to the northwest by late Wednesday into Thursday. Of course, wherever falling snow and winds overlap late Wednesday into Thursday will see the potential for visibility reductions. However, many factors are working against blowing snow, including the wet nature of any snow that falls and the limited snowfall amounts that are forecasted. At this time, the potential for winter weather advisory level impacts is low... about 20% for areas along and north of US Highway 2, near zero everywhere else.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1135 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Ceilings have been near impossible to forecast the last 6 hours and that looks to continue the next 3-4 hours until this disjointed stratus deck breaks up and moves out. In the meantime expect IFR in BJI and MVFR elsewhere through through 09-10z with occasional breaks leading to SKC. Thereafter clear skies will yield SKC for most through TVF and especially BJI could hold onto MVFR stratus through 18z if a pessimistic clearing scenario pans out. Wind gusts over 20kts look to wane through the next few hours becoming a prevailing 10kts northerly wind ahead of an end of period wind shift to the southeast.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.