textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Occasional light snow thru today. Additional accumulations less than 1 inch.

- Low chance for winter impacts next Tuesday.

UPDATE

Issued at 548 AM CST Thu Feb 19 2026

Updated aviation discussion for 12z TAFs.

UPDATE Issued at 408 AM CST Thu Feb 19 2026

Updated pops to likely in a zone thru eastern ND into parts of west central MN as additional snow is moving in and or developing into the mid Red River valley and light snow continues from Cando thru near Devils Lake to Wahpeton.

UPDATE Issued at 215 AM CST Thu Feb 19 2026

Updated discussion due to ending of the winter storm warning and advisories. Occasional light snow thru the day Thursday but minimal additional accumulations or impacts. North-northwest winds increase into the 12-25 mph range in eastern ND, esp the southeast, but giving nature of the snow will need higher wind speeds to create any blowing snow issues.

UPDATE Issued at 1117 PM CST Wed Feb 18 2026

Banded snow is diminishing in intensity based on visibilities and this matches forecasted expectations thus far. For the most part accumulating snow should become more limited over the next several hours with maybe some areas in northwest Minnesota or along the Red River getting another inch (two at most is the general thinking since rates will be gone and this would take very long duration snowfall). For these reasons, the headlines will be allowed to expire at midnight since warning impacts has for the most part ended.

UPDATE Issued at 803 PM CST Wed Feb 18 2026

We have expanded the Winter Storm Warning southward as the deformation bands forward propagation has slowed so it is likely we'll exceed 6 inches in this area. Additionally, periodic inch per hour rates may make things dangerous with whiteout conditions. Expect warning impacts to continue through at least midnight or possibly longer if snowfall rates maintain itself.

..Winter Impacts next Tuesday

Ensemble members indicate that numerous scenarios exist with the Tuesday/Wednesday upper wave as it round the western CONUS upper ridge. It does have a favorable track for a stronger type cold front, but other than a favorable pattern not much else can be said for details such as strength of forcing, mixing, etc. Ensemble systems indicate ~40% chance for greater than an inch of snow and individual ensemble members are all over the place with regards to wind speeds.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 548 AM CST Thu Feb 19 2026

Anticipate a pretty stable cloud base today into tonight...mostly within the 600 ft to 1200 ft agl range for most areas. Exception to this is Devils Lake basin where drier and colder air is in place and their ceilings will be more in the 2000-2800 ft agl range. Light snow will occur at times....but timing that at any TAF location is difficult as snow isnt always detectable on radar. Therefore was pretty broad and kept in -SN thru most of the day with vsbys mostly 5SM range. Winds north or northwest 10-20 kts...lighter Bemidji and a bit stronger DVL.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.


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