textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- A system coming thru Friday night into Saturday will bring up to an inch of snow and patchy blowing snow, with a 10 percent chance for advisory level impacts.

..Friday night-Saturday light snow chance and wind.

For Friday night into Saturday, models initially look similar to what they had been showing as our area influenced by northern upper low moving southeast to near Pembina at 06z Fri and then into central / northern MN by 12z Sat. Quick glance shows very similar to what was shown 24 hours ago with snow probs from WPC indicating 25-30 percent chance of 1 inch or more of snow in NW MN Friday afternoon into Saturday. NBM pops were too low and did blend in some conshort via collab and also added in some WPC qpf or added in 0.01 area manually to get some snow accum in the grids. Did add pops Sat AM as well as even conshort had little in the way of pops despite general model guidance showing light snow esp Red River and east to west of Bemidji on west side of upper low. 925 mb winds peak around 30 kts with sustained winds near 20 kts. Putting in sustained 20 kt wind, temps 13 degrees and 1 inch of blowable snow gives non advisory impacts due to blowing snow. This is as previously shown as well so confidence in a non-advisory situation is increasing.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1132 AM CST Thu Jan 8 2026

VFR skies today for all with some fog potential overnight in northwest Minnesota likely to impact KTVF with lesser confidence for the fog potentially in KGFK and KBJI (not saying it wont happen). Winds going variable overnight as the inverted trough swings through turning winds northerly to southerly with conditions likely variable during this change. Ceilings with the light snow towards the end of the period are likely to remain VFR but approach the 6000ft mark that is known to a threshold for UND student pilots.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.