textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures will run near normal through the weekend before warming up early next week.

- Next chances for rain will be Wednesday night into Thursday.

..Rain chances Wednesday night and Thursday

Still some variation in the exact track of the surface low for mid-week, and at least some of the model solutions keep our southern counties in the dry slot and don't give us much. Probabilities of at least measurable rain are 40 to 50 percent, but over a tenth of an inch is below 20 percent. Still, this is the most likely period in the next week of seeing moisture, and is worth a mention. Precipitation type given the unseasonably warm temperatures looks to remain rain. A few of the ensemble members give a signal for some low probabilities of snow with colder temps beyond day 7, but given low confidence in the colder solutions out that far will hold off on mentioning anything impactful at this point.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1123 AM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

VFR conditions for the majority of the day today. A low stratus deck (<1000 kft) is making its way towards TVF/BJI from the northeast and may briefly introduce IFR conditions in the early afternoon, but the probability is low. Fog is possible (but likewise, low probability) for FAR/GFK in the overnight and morning hours alongside low cloud cover (1000-2000 kft) tomorrow morning at and around DVL/GFK.

Winds will be out of the S-SE at about 10 kts over the day gusting near 15-25 kts in the west (DVL/GFK primarily) towards the end of the TAF period.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.