textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- Fog a possibility over parts of the area early Friday and Saturday mornings.

- Dry and seasonally warm weather through next week.

UPDATE

Issued at 317 AM CST Fri Nov 6 2026

For the overnight into this Friday morning monitoring area of low clouds that is advancing northward and expanding a bit east and west as it does. Moved into Devils Lake around 0830z and also expanding east to Cooperstown-Valley City-Forman. HRRR aviation forecast of ceiling and visiblities indicate the low cloud area (sub 1000 ft agl ceilings) to advance/develop east toward the Red River by 12z then may break up some during the day but overall 925 mb RH area does move back east in time thru the day and settles roughly in the Bemidji-Fergus Falls area tonight where some fog may develop.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 136 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Upper ridging over the western Plains moves est tonight, with a closed low moving from southern Saskatchewan into Manitoba and Ontario by tomorrow. No precip expected in our area with the system, but winds will shift back around to the south and our stratus that is currently trying to scatter out in central ND and north central MN will likely fill back in. Cloudy skies for much of the night should keep temps from falling too much even with light winds, and also keep fog limited to the far western edge of the stratus deck. At this point that line seems like it will be mostly over central ND, but will watch the Devils Lake Basin in case it gets a bit more clearing than expected overnight. With cloud cover continuing, raised lows a bit and lowered highs for tomorrow, until the upper low moves off to the northeast of us and we get more of a westerly fetch to the wind for Saturday.

Northwesterly flow aloft sets up for Sunday and continues into next week. There is decent agreement on the ensemble members on a progressive shortwave moving through on Monday, but they also keep the region dry with probabilities of measurable rain near zero. Slightly better chances with another reinforcing shortwave Wednesday, but still the probability of anything more than a few sprinkles is less than 20 percent. Temps look to be on the warmer side of average.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1141 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

VFR skies tonight though there was a brief period where a small pocket of MVFR stratus developed for an hour and then dissipated. Expecting stratus to eventually develop to the west and push east overnight with uncertainly in how widespread clouds actually. Therefore kept a SCT015 in morning hours to account for that. Winds calm overnight tonight becoming becoming southerly at 10-15kts with gusts around 20kts through the afternoon.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.