textproduct: Grand Forks
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Near critical or critical fire weather conditions may develop Thursday into the weekend.
..Synopsis
Upper low continues to rotate over Hudson Bay, with several weak shortwaves coming down the backside of it from Manitoba into the Northern Plains. Colder than average temps and mostly cloudy skies will continue for much of the day, but some clearing tonight as the shortwaves start to pull east. Upper heights will rise a bit tomorrow, and although not a huge amount of warm air advection, the 850mb temps will be on an upward path.
..Near critical fire weather tomorrow and Friday
Warmer temperatures are expected tomorrow, but dew points will be similar to today, with readings in the low to mid 20s. Afternoon RH values will therefore be rather dry tomorrow afternoon, with 50 percent chance for RHs below 25 percent along and west of the Red River. A few spots could even get below 20 percent, with a 30 percent chance in parts of eastern North Dakota. Pressure gradient remains fairly weak into tomorrow, but there should be enough mixing to get winds into the 10 to 15 mph range. A bit higher dew points and less dry RH values for Friday, but winds will be a bit higher as a weak surface low moves into northeastern MN. While the winds will not be quite there Thursday and better RH values on Friday, both days could see near critical fire weather conditions in a few spots.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...None. MN...None.
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