textproduct: Grand Forks

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- There is a 20% chance for advisory level winter impacts from accumulating snow and gusty winds Friday into Saturday.

..Winter travel impact potential Friday into Saturday

As stronger synoptic ascent and WAA in the 850-700 MB layer overspread our CWA several periods of light to moderate precipitation (mainly rain) should move west to east through our CWA Friday into Saturday morning. All ensembles at this time support the main closed 700MB low tracking over Manitoba, placing the potential for stronger frontogensis to the north, while most precipitation in our CWA will be driven by WAA or broader deformation on the back side of the 500MB low. While there is overall strong consensus on the larger scale track, smaller scale features at the surface (low track/frontal timing) still play a role in the potential for winter impacts. A larger number of ensemble members generally keep temperature profiles in place supportive of liquid with surface temperatures above freezing outside of the overnight/morning periods for most locations (limiting potential for accumulating snow or a wintry mix). In this scenario (80% chance) most areas would see little to no accumulation (better chance for 1" in the Devils Lake Basin).

There is still a subset of members (20%) that support more organized deformation while temperature profiles are cold enough for all snow and have better chance for snow totals greater than 3". As ground temperatures are warmer, most of this will tend to be on grassy/elevated surfaces that may limit impacts outside of snow rates/wind reducing visibility where moderate/brief heavy snow would track.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1135 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Really no changes to the 6z set of TAFs from the 0z issuance. Fog will develop tonight, being most likely at KBJI, KTVF and KFAR. Fog may sneak into KGFK for a few hours around sunrise. Timing of fog is approximate in the TAF and it could shift a little earlier or later. For Wednesday, VFR is forecast, with south to southwesterly winds of 10 to 15 knots. Winds die down Wednesday evening.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.

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