textproduct: Grand Forks

KEY MESSAGES

- There is a level 2 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms this afternoon into early evening, mainly along and east of the Red River Valley. The main hazards will be hail up to the size of golfs balls and tornadoes.

- Growing signal for strong to severe storms late this weekend into early next week.

..Weekend into early next week severe potential

The synoptic ingredients typical for producing severe storms in our region will be in place - and conceptually the large scale pattern supports severe storm outbreaks. Details are always the tricky part, especially where individual upper waves track and how far east the greater instability will be. There does remain some uncertainty with exactly how amplified the large scale pattern will be and this will influence those details.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 632 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue this evening, mainly across the northern Red River Valley and northwest Minnesota. KTVF and KBJI have the better chances to see thunderstorm activity, thus a continuation of PROB30 into late this evening. Outside of thunderstorms, VFR to MVFR ceilings prevail into the early overnight period. Lower ceilings are still expected across a large portion of the area heading into Wednesday morning, with MVFR CIGs possible at all sites.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ND...None. MN...None.