textproduct: Atlanta/Peachtree City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 644 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025
- Shower coverage will peak this evening in north Georgia, with a couple of isolated thunderstorms also possible, before ending from west to east after midnight
- Rainfall totals through Monday morning will primarily remain less than a quarter to half inch.
- Gradual warming trend through the week into the 70s for highs across north and central Georgia.
- Trending towards the possibility of some rain over the upcoming weekend, though uncertainty remains high.
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 644 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025
An upper low currently situated over central Tennessee will continue to progress quickly southeastward through tonight, bringing increasing shower coverage as it does so. The bulk of the more widespread shower activity will push across north Georgia from late evening through around midnight with coverage quickly diminishing from west to east by the predawn hours Monday. Lapse rates will be sufficient that an isolated embedded thunderstorm or two will be possible through the evening, but primarily shower activity is expected. Rainfall totals will remain largely a quarter inch or less, though locally higher totals in the realm of a half inch are possible.
Skies will clear fairly quickly Monday morning as high pressure builds eastward into the area with mostly sunny skies through the day. With widespread clouds persisting through sunrise, low temperatures should be held primarily into the 40s with a few upper 30s, keeping frost concerns at bay. Despite the sun, high temperatures on Monday will largely run a few degrees below normal, mainly in the 60s.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday morning through next Saturday) Issued at 644 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025
System bringing rain to parts of the forecast area today and tonight will have completely exited the southeast by Tuesday. In its wake will be a surface high that slides right over the region for a day or two us an upper level anticyclonic rossby wave break washes over the area. Temperatures will warm as the air mass modifies. Expect daily highs in the 70s through the end of the week outside the mountains, warmer in central Georgia than north Georgia, with a few 80s creeping into south central Georgia by the end of the week.
Looking aloft again, a quick clipper type system will move across the northeastern US on Wednesday but will remain too far north to have any impacts to the CWA. Moisture return looks limited and the front attached to the system is expected to mostly stall and wash out before reaching the area. Friday into Saturday is starting to look a bit more interesting. DProg/Dt trends within the ensemble guidance show a clear move towards a more amplified trough within the southern stream of a bifurcated jet over the eastern CONUS. In simple terms, models are showing increased probability of seeing a system that could bring rainfall into north and central Georgia. Still plenty of uncertainty with this in both timing and strength, so we'll need to wait and see how model trends continue to play out over the coming days, but know that the coming weekend could have at least a wet time period in it. This also may bring increases in surface moisture that bring overnight lows up into the 50s from the expected 40s across much the rest of the week.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 644 PM EST Sun Nov 2 2025
-SHRA will come to an end around 04Z. MVFR is expected overnight but should start to improve back towards VFR after 06Z with SKC finally returning to the airspace after 14Z. Winds will stay on the NW side, though a few obs of due North are possible.
//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
High on all elements.
Vaughn
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Athens 42 65 40 68 / 30 0 0 0 Atlanta 43 63 44 68 / 60 0 0 0 Blairsville 36 58 35 66 / 60 0 0 0 Cartersville 41 63 39 70 / 40 0 0 0 Columbus 42 68 43 73 / 20 0 0 0 Gainesville 42 65 42 67 / 60 0 0 0 Macon 43 68 41 72 / 40 10 0 0 Rome 43 66 41 72 / 20 0 0 0 Peachtree City 41 65 41 70 / 50 0 0 0 Vidalia 46 70 43 73 / 10 20 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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