textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

- Cold early this morning

- Warmer, more seasonable temperatures are forecast next week with low rain chances Tuesday/Wednesday for the Coastal Plains.

- Above normal temperatures possible by late week into the weekend

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday) Issued at 1224 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 Much like it was yesterday morning, it will also be a chilly morning for those waking up early on Sunday with air temps in the low to mid 20s however there won't be much wind so windchills will likely be similar to actual air temperatures. Definitely remember to dress in layers if venturing outdoors. We do see a decent warmup for today as a surface high quickly moves off to the east allowing return flow to set up shop as early as this afternoon. With many areas approaching 60 due to the abundant sunshine overhead and the return of southwest flow. Lows Sunday evening will be several degrees warmer than the previous evenings with many areas remaining in the 30s to low 40s. By Monday we remain under a highly amplified pattern aloft across the CONUS with strong ridging in the west and deep troughing to our east. As a result we should see highs in the 60s Monday with even some low 70s possible across the eastern areas as we warm several degrees despite the increased cloud cover from the moisture influx from overnight.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 1224 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 Monday evening remains very mild with many areas remaining in the 50s to even near 60 for lows as thick cloud cover sticks around over the eastern two thirds of the area. By Tuesday we could see highs in the low to possibly mid 70s depending on the speed and the strength of this next frontal boundary. If the boundary that global models continue to weaken comes through faster then we likely wont warm up quite as much. The opposite can be said if the frontal boundary slows down. There continues to be some vorticity in the mid levels as this disturbance progresses west to east across southern TX, however medium range models are still not showing much as the better forcing and moisture continues to remain across our far eastern areas (Coastal Plains) and to the south and east. This likely would be our best shot of rain for the entire forecast period. The trend however, has continued to be one of less and less precip chances as the ridge currently off to our west looks to approach our area faster while at the same time flattens out and the upper level flow becomes slightly more zonal in nature. Beyond Tuesday night we don't cool down much due to the weak nature of this front. We do continue to remain dry through the remainder of the long term with highs and lows returning to more seasonable levels Wednesday and Thursday. By Friday and into the weekend we could see highs several degrees above normal (mid 70s) as the ridge over the western CONUS tries to strengthen and build further east over our area.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

VFR skies will continue through the periods of 24-30 hours. Just outside of 30 hours return flow moisture may bring some low cigs into the area by daytime Monday. Winds will be light northerly overnight, and then transition to light SW for most of the area by midday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 59 38 69 57 / 0 0 0 10 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 59 35 69 57 / 0 0 0 10 New Braunfels Muni Airport 57 37 67 55 / 0 0 0 10 Burnet Muni Airport 58 36 66 53 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 58 39 67 47 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 58 37 69 56 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 57 36 65 52 / 0 0 0 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 59 36 69 56 / 0 0 0 10 La Grange - Fayette Regional 57 37 70 58 / 0 0 0 10 San Antonio Intl Airport 57 39 66 57 / 0 0 0 10 Stinson Muni Airport 58 39 67 57 / 0 0 0 10

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.