textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Well above normal temperatures through the weekend and into next week

- Low to medium chances for rain Monday through Tuesday

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 1129 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Fairly quiet with above normal temperatures in the short term as the upper level ridge that was located just to the west of our area slides over us by tomorrow. As that happens we should see lows tonight areawide in the 40s. By Saturday, in response we should see temps soar into the upper 70s to even the low 80s in isolated spots as we see plentiful sunshine for most of the day along with southerly low level flow helping to boost temps. We could see mid to high level clouds filter in across the Rio Grande Plains and Southern Edwards Plateau late Saturday afternoon as moisture from upper level flow tries to make its way toward us. By Saturday night we should see strong upper level flow across our area helping to bring an increase in clouds allowing temps to remain mild overnight with many remaining in the upper 40s to low 50s.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through next Friday) Issued at 1129 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Sunday we see high temps dip a bit due the increased cloud cover out ahead of the next system thats located over the Baja Peninsula. Eventually this system makes its way east across northern Mexico and into Texas by mid to late Monday. There are still some question marks regarding the speed and timing of this system, the GFS has the system arriving faster thus not allowing for anything but a brief shot of rainfall before departing off to the east. The Euro on the other hand is much slower and develops the system into an open wave thus sitting over our area slightly longer and giving us a better chance of QPF. Decided to remain in between the two scenarios until we see more consistent signals in the medium range guidance. Highs will be slightly cooler mainly in the 70s during this period with lows in the 50s. Looking ahead upper level ridging tries to reestablish itself before another disturbance may impact our area just outside the forecast period.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

VFR conditions will continue under clear skies for the next TAF period. Winds will generally be less than 10 kts from the west through northwest this afternoon. Winds will become light and variable this evening and then shift to the southeast and increase to near 10 kts Saturday afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 48 79 51 77 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 46 80 48 76 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 46 80 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 46 76 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 45 80 51 74 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 46 78 50 76 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 45 80 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 46 81 48 77 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 46 79 49 77 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 49 80 51 75 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 48 81 51 77 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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