textproduct: Austin/San Antonio
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 539 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
- A soggy weather pattern with minor flooding issues continues through this evening.
- Flood risk is mainly over the southern Edwards Plateau and western Hill Country, but potentially some minor urban flooding is still possible over the Metro cities.
- Wednesday brings drier and mild air, but then and a cold front arriving late to make for a few chilly days from Thursday to Saturday.
- Returning rain chances (20-40%) during late next weekend and the following Monday as temperatures remain seasonably cool to mild.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday night) Issued at 136 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
Threats for heavy rain and flooding continue over almost all areas through this evening. The highest impact areas are the higher terrain portions of the western Hill Country and southern Edwards Plateau, where larger creek and river channels are filling up with over 3 inches of rain area-wide and a few locations near 6 inches. Traveling in the rain and dark this evening could be a little sketchy over road that have low water crossings, but US and state highways are generally fine.
HRRR and RRFS taper rain chances down late this evening and the RRFS stays dry while the HRRR solutions continue with some rain activity for daytime Tuesday, but mainly just the Coastal Prairies. Assuming the drier solutions of the RRFS come into play, there should be some considerable fog to deal with for Tuesday morning.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Monday) Issued at 136 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
Shortwave ridging reaches TX to make for a fine day of fair weather skies developing by Wednesday afternoon. The warmest day of the week will be a short warm pattern, because by Wednesday evening, another cold front arrives after polar troughing sharpens up over the eastern CONUS. Cool and generally dry conditions will follow the front through Friday night. Then for daytime Saturday, a zonal pattern overhead brings the next shortwave trough and enough Pacific moisture to bring more good rain chances to South TX.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 539 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026
There are still some isolated rain showers across the region and there may be occasional light rain at the airports for the next few hours. AUS is currently VFR, the San Antonio terminals are MVFR, and DRT is IFR. Ceilings will settle at IFR overnight and fog will develop reducing visibility. Conditions will only slowly improve through the morning and afternoon Tuesday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Austin Camp Mabry 55 71 57 77 / 20 10 10 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 53 72 56 78 / 20 10 10 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 54 69 57 76 / 30 10 10 0 Burnet Muni Airport 55 70 56 74 / 30 10 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 58 70 58 74 / 20 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 53 72 56 77 / 20 10 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 55 70 57 76 / 50 10 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 53 71 56 77 / 20 10 10 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 53 73 58 78 / 10 10 10 10 San Antonio Intl Airport 56 69 59 76 / 40 20 10 0 Stinson Muni Airport 57 69 60 76 / 40 20 10 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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