textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry weather with near seasonable highs today.

- Active weather pattern returns late week and into the weekend with the potential for severe storms and periods of heavy rain.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday) Issued at 1257 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

Partly cloudy to cloudy skies and lows in the upper 40s and 50s will be seen by day break. Southeasterly wind today will be light except in the west where occasional gusts to 20 mph are expected in the afternoon. Highs remain mild in the upper 70s to low 80s with dry conditions today. Overcast skies return tonight keeping temperatures slightly warmer in the upper 50s to low 60s. For Thursday, some streamer showers will be possible in the morning followed by chances for showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 1257 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

A pattern shift is seen in the long term forecast with rain chances persisting over the area. Southerly flow in the lower levels will continue above normal moisture over South Central Texas into next week as a series of shortwave troughs pass over the area. Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected within this pattern, with some potential for locally heavy rainfall and severe weather.

There could be some lingering showers and thunderstorms Thursday night into Friday morning before an uptick in activity is expected in the afternoon as a disturbance moves over Texas. Most guidance indicates somewhat limited shear this day which would support more disorganized, scattered storms. This changes as we move into the weekend as a strong trough moves over the western US and instability, shear and lift increase over South Central Texas which would support severe thunderstorm potential which SPC continues to highlight for some of our area Saturday and Sunday. Additionally, there remains the potential for heavy rainfall this weekend that continues to be monitored. A secondary trough develops and remains west of us early next week keeping southwesterly flow aloft over the area and keeping rain chances in the forecast.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 549 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

A mix of mid and high clouds will continue over the area as a mostly along-shore surface wind continues over the Coastal Prairies into I-35. A few pockets of MVFR CIGs are forming between DRT and the San Antonio area and also over the Coastal Prairies well to the southeast of I-35. At DRT there could be enough unified low level SE wind flow to pull a pocket of BKN MVFR CIGs into the area after daybreak. We'll keep VFR skies in for I-35 sites this morning, assuming the E/NE surface wind directions have made it hard for any layer in the low levels to saturate. After around 17Z, VFR skies are then projected for all areas until early Thursday morning as there should be several hours of more pronounced onshore winds by then. All sites should get to MVFR and some possibly into IFR by around daybreak Thursday. Broad low amplitude upper ridging should help to keep the tighter surface pressure gradient over West TX. Only DRT is expected to see some occasional sustained winds over 12 Knots and some gusts to 25 Knots. Meanwhile, daytime winds should continue mostly around 10 knots or less along I-35.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 82 61 83 64 / 0 0 20 30 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 82 60 83 64 / 0 0 30 30 New Braunfels Muni Airport 81 59 83 63 / 0 0 30 40 Burnet Muni Airport 78 59 79 62 / 0 0 20 20 Del Rio Intl Airport 79 64 81 65 / 0 10 40 30 Georgetown Muni Airport 80 59 82 63 / 0 0 20 30 Hondo Muni Airport 81 59 81 63 / 0 0 30 30 San Marcos Muni Airport 82 59 83 63 / 0 0 30 40 La Grange - Fayette Regional 82 61 83 64 / 0 0 30 30 San Antonio Intl Airport 81 61 82 65 / 0 0 30 40 Stinson Muni Airport 82 62 83 66 / 0 0 30 40

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.