textproduct: Austin/San Antonio
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 134 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
- Cooler air remains through this morning with temperatures on a slow warming trend back into the 80s and 90s later in the week.
- No rain is expected through the majority of the extended forecast period. Slight chances of rain for western areas by Sunday.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 134 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
Current radar shows some very light showers moving across our extreme southern counties. We should see this activity continue to spread eastward for the next few hours. Other than that most areas should remain dry overnight as another crisp cool fall morning can be expected to start the day today. We could see lows dip as low as the upper 40s to near 50 in the Hill Country and Southern Edwards Plateau regions. Areas along and south of the I-35 Corridor should see a bit warmer lows with lower to mid 50s expected. We warm up nicely during the day with highs about 5 to 10 degrees warmer than yesterday with mid to upper 70s area wide with 80s possible along and south of the I-35 Corridor. Tonight we will continue our warming trend as we expect lows to be much warmer with mid to upper 50s areawide as southeasterly return flow sets up at the lower levels over our area. Thus, we should see lows closer to average for this time of year. By Tuesday we should see even warmer highs as we continue to warm back up with highs in low to mid 80s as ridging continues to remain over the central and southern U.S.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 134 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
Tuesday night we continue our warming pattern as broad ridging over South Central Texas becomes more amplified heading into the late week period. Each day we will continue to warm until we eventually jump back above normal for highs by Wednesday and continuing into the weekend. This means we should see highs in the low to mid 80s before highs ramp up into the upper 80s to low 90s by the end of the week. Additionally, we will see the return of more humid conditions for the upcoming weekend with dewpoints back into the 50s and 60s compared to the dry 30s and 40s currently in place. Eventually, a trough is progged to move over the western U.S late in the period but the elongated upper ridge could limit impacts for most of our area associated with this feature. The exception being the Rio Grande and Southern Edwards Plateau regions where just enough of a disturbance could clip these areas late in the weekend. However, confidence remains pretty low as pops are only in the 20% range for now. Continue to check back as the forecast changes and we may finally break this dry pattern we our currently locked into.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
VFR conditions are expected at area TAF sites through the current forecast period. SCT-BKN mid and upper level clouds will continue to move in from the southwest through the period. Late in the evening, some clouds around 5K AGL may develop across the region. Winds generally remain light and variable through the overnight hours, with east to southeast winds developing by late morning.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Austin Camp Mabry 81 58 84 58 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 80 57 84 57 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 79 58 84 57 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 77 56 81 55 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 82 59 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 79 56 83 55 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 81 60 86 60 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 81 57 85 57 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 82 57 85 58 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 79 60 84 60 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 80 61 85 61 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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