textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

- High temperatures likely to near or exceed daily records today (Friday).

- Fire weather concerns as dry and warm conditions persist today.

- The dry and warm period goes on through next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Saturday) Issued at 1219 AM CST Fri Jan 2 2026

The start of 2026 projects dry and warm temperatures across South Central Texas from today (Friday) through next week. Some of the features that are forecast to contribute to these weather conditions are a surface trough/dry-line moving across the local area today and southerly flow for most of the period with the exception of Saturday as a weak front pushes down into the local area and the wind shifts to the north.

Today's high temperatures are likely to hit or exceed daily records as air sinks through the local area under a northwest to west surface wind flow. Climate normal values for this time are in the mid 60s and the forecast calls for mid to upper 80s under mostly sunny skies. The winds are forecast to range from 10 mph to 15 mph for the most part with isolated areas getting up to 18 mph with gusts of 25 mph to 30 mph. Minimum relative humidity values for today are forecast to range from the lower to mid 20s, which bring elevated to near-critical fire weather concerns for most areas over South Central Texas. A Fire Danger Statement will be issued today for all of South Central Texas. Otherwise, dry and unseasonable warm.

Late Friday night into Saturday, a weak frontal boundary is forecast to push across the local area bringing a northerly wind surge. Temperatures are forecast to be above climate normals but not as warm as those for today. Saturday's highs forecast in the 70s to lower 80s.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through Thursday) Issued at 1219 AM CST Fri Jan 2 2026

Southerly flow returns Sunday as well as increased cloud cover and a warming trend back to the area for the work week. With the second round of warmer than normal temperatures, daily records could be reached or even exceeded. As far as the next time for chances for rain, next Wednesday into early Thursday looks good as a cold front pushes across the local area.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 518 AM CST Fri Jan 2 2026

The previous forecast remains on track. The only change made was to add in the next FROPA which will occur between 11-15Z tomorrow morning. That has been noted at SAT and AUS.

CLIMATE

Issued at 1145 AM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

Record High Temperatures

January 2nd Austin Bergstrom 83 (2023) Austin Camp Mabry 83 (2023) San Antonio 86 (2006) Del Rio 88 (2023)

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 85 56 75 46 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 86 57 75 45 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 86 54 76 45 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 82 51 72 43 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 85 55 80 48 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 84 56 73 43 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 85 53 81 46 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 87 56 77 44 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 85 54 75 45 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 85 58 78 48 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 86 56 79 48 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.