textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

- Much cooler today with clearing late.

- Rapid return to unseasonably warm and dry weather Monday and Tuesday.

- Active weather pattern returns to South Central Texas by the middle of next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 112 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

Thick clouds continue to be observed across the majority of the area though some pockets of clearing has been noted on satellite imagery. These clouds continue to keep temperatures somewhat cooler with several locations as of this hour in the 50s and 60s as the result of continued CAA. Clouds will remain dense with clearing not expected until late this afternoon across our eastern areas with our western areas likely not breaking out of the dense cloud cover until this evening. For tonight, expect clouds to build back into the area along with the return of light southerly flow thus preventing temps from dropping too much. Most areas should only drop to the low to mid 50s with coolest temps across the Hill Country. By Sunday expect warmer temps in the 80s as the upper level high pushes off to our southeast allowing for the return of warmer air and sunny skies in the afternoon. Lows should be warmer as well with upper 50s to low 60s expected areawide.

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Saturday) Issued at 112 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

As the upper level ridge builds back over the southern plains expect many areas to warm into the upper 80s Monday followed by even warmer highs in the low 90s midweek. Things may finally get interesting as a mid-level shortwave swings through north Texas on Wednesday. Global models are coming into better agreement regarding timing for our area so have kept pops more generally blended closer to the NBM with chances 20-40% until we get closer in time. Beyond midweek all signs point to a significant pattern change as the subtropical jet stream looks to become much more zonal along with high pressure sliding off to our east over the southeast US. This opens the door for a fetch of gulf moisture to approach our area allowing for any disturbances that move over us to tap into. The first of which looks to impact our area Wednesday evening into Thursday. Highs dip slightly into the 80s before ramping back up near 90 for Friday with yet another cold front impacting our area by Saturday. These disturbances could be our first decent shot of rainfall in quite some time. While its too early to get into specifics it does look like we could be seeing our dry pattern finally come to end.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 112 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026

MVFR ceilings will gradually lift over the next few hours with VFR conditions expected by mid-afternoon continuing through the early morning hours on Sunday. Any light rain showers or sprinkles are coming to an end so now have a dry forecast for all sites through the period. Low ceilings return a few hours before sunrise and continue through the morning hours. Northeasterly wind will decrease to under 10 knots through this afternoon, then shift overnight becoming southerly by Sunday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 55 85 63 89 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 53 85 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 53 84 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 50 82 60 85 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 56 84 63 89 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 52 84 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 53 84 60 89 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 53 84 61 89 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 55 84 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 56 83 64 88 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 57 85 63 89 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.