textproduct: Austin/San Antonio
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- The frozen precipitation came to an end to our far southeast portion of the local area around 7 AM CST this morning, however, the cold weather conditions including the extreme cold wind chill values continue through at least Monday morning.
- The Ice Storm Warning, Winter Storm Warning, and Winter Weather Advisory were allowed to expire at noon as frozen precipitation came to an end this morning. However, cold weather conditions continue and the Extreme Cold Warning remains in effect through Noon Monday.
- Warming during the day time hours but freezing temperatures are forecast for the overnights/early mornings of Tuesday and Wednesday.
- A cold front pushes across the local area Thursday night into Friday with cold rain expected as moisture from a surface low near the middle Texas coast increases.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 1218 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
The coldest airmass of the season started to arrive Friday night after the passage of an Arctic cold front. With the support of upper level moisture and disturbances passing by the local area, we started to get frozen precipitation as temperatures quickly dropped below the freezing mark on Saturday morning. By this time, Winter Storm Warning, Winter Weather Advisory, and later on an Ice Storm Warning were in effect across the local area as the event was on its way. In addition, an Extreme Cold Warning was issued for all of South Central Texas due to the very cold temperatures and wind chill values anticipated for this winter event. As Saturday evening approached, an upper level system moving across northeast Mexico pushed across South Central Texas adding instability which resulted in an enhanced period of precipitation with surface temperatures below the freezing mark over most areas across South Central Texas. Now that precipitation has come to an end since 7 AM CST this morning across the far southeast part of the local area, many reports are coming in with freezing rain accumulations from a few hundredths to 0.15 inch and sleet accumulations of 0.2 to 1 inch. The hardest areas affected were portions of the Hill Country including Austin metro and vicinity and the impacts of this winter event could last for days.
Since the frozen precipitation has ended, the Ice Storm Warning, Winter Storm Warning, and Winter Weather Advisory were allowed to expire at noon CST. However, freezing rain and sleet from Saturday night into this morning has left most roads across the Hill Country into the Austin metro area icy and dangerous to travel on. The icy roads are likely to continue through the afternoon, into tonight and Monday morning for many areas. Any melting of ice that does occur this afternoon will likely refreeze back into ice tonight. Continue to avoid travel across the Hill Country and Austin metro area, and if you must travel use extreme caution.
Please continue to and adhere to any road closures. For the latest on road conditions, please contact the Texas Department of Transportation at 1-800-452-9292 or visit drivetexas.org. You can always get the latest weather information from our website at weather.gov/ewx.
Stay warm and continue to protect the for 4 Ps: People, Pets, Plants, and Pipes as this cold episode continues for a few more days.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1218 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Warning is on the horizon as we get to Tuesday afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 40s areawide. But then we go cold again to the start of Wednesday as a dry cold front pushes across South Central Texas. Morning lows for the early commute range from the low to mid 20s most locations with a few upper 20s along the Rio Grande. Then, temperatures go back up nicely into the the 40s and 50s as surface flow turns to the east and southeast late afternoon. Even warmer temperatures are forecast for Thursday afternoon with partly cloudy skies and highs ranging from the lower to upper 50s and even a few lower 60s across a few places southern part of the Rio Grande.
Another cold front is forecast to push across the local area early Friday morning across Val Verde County and over the rest of South Central Texas by the afternoon. The GFS solution shows the frontal boundary slowing and remaining by the Coastal Plains while the GFS ensemble and ECMWF solutions push the front into the gulf waters. In addition to this scenario, a surface low develops near the middle Texas coast through the period injecting moisture up into the boundary resulting in period of showers and storms mainly along and east of Highway 281 and the southern part of the Rio Grande. A cold airmass in the wake on the boundary pushes down and spreads across the local area. At this time, cold rain is expected Friday night into Saturday as moisture pushes away the local area. However, if moisture remains in place for a longer time on Friday night into Saturday morning, we could end up with a wintry mix of freezing rain and sleet. Our recommendation is to stay informed by checking the weather forecast often for latest updates and products as we get closer to the latter part of the work week.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1218 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Will opt to keep MVFR conditions ongoing for the I-35 sites, but there will be periods through this afternoon when clouds briefly scatter to VFR. We finally see enough drying in the lower levels, courtesy of gusty north winds, to bring VFR back to the I-35 sites around 00Z. Out west at DRT, we will keep the forecast VFR as mainly mid and high level clouds move in from the west.
CLIMATE
Issued at 1218 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Record Low Temperatures Jan 25 Jan 26 Jan 27 Austin Bergstrom 19 (2014) 24 (2011) 21 (2004/1963) Austin Camp Mabry 20 (1940/1926)20 (1904) 19 (1940) San Antonio Intl 16 (1894) 20 (1897) 18 (1897) Del Rio 22 (1963) 27 (1966/1920) 24 (1976)
Record Low Max Temperatures
Jan 25 Jan 26 Austin Bergstrom 33 (1961) 33 (1948) Austin Camp Mabry 28 (1940) 33 (1948) San Antonio Intl 24 (1897) 32 (1897) Del Rio 37 (1961) 37 (1940)
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Austin Camp Mabry 17 36 19 48 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 16 35 14 46 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 17 37 17 47 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 13 32 16 46 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 22 43 22 50 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 14 32 13 44 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 13 38 13 44 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 16 36 15 47 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 18 36 14 46 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 18 38 18 47 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 19 38 18 47 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Extreme Cold Warning until noon CST Monday for TXZ171>173- 183>194-202>209-217>225-228.
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