textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 626 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

- Seasonably hot temperatures continue through the Holiday Weekend.

- Forecast trending drier for next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Friday night) Issued at 121 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

A strong mid to upper level high is centered over the central Appalachians with a trough over the Great Basin. This is producing weak southeasterly over Texas. Surface high pressure over the Gulf is keeping southeasterly flow in the low levels and a warm, moist airmass in place. Isolated showers and thunderstorms have managed to form again over the Coastal Plains and we expect they will continue through the afternoon, but most places will stay dry. For the rest of the short term period the pattern will remain about the same. We should see a repeat of the last few days with overnight/morning clouds giving way to mostly sunny afternoon. Temperatures will remain near normal. There will also be a very low chance for a few streamer showers Friday morning.

LONG TERM

(Saturday through next Thursday) Issued at 121 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

The upper high will move slowly toward the east during the weekend while stay maintaining control over South-Central Texas. The holiday weekend will be seasonably hot and dry. Although we are not going to include any convection, it wouldn't be shocking if there are a few streamer showers each morning from the Coastal Plains to I-35. While the upper ridge will be moving away to start the new week, models have trended drier today. The inverted trough from the Gulf is looking weaker and not generating as much convection. PoPs are topped out at 20% now. We'll have to see which way we go from here, back to wet or continued dry. Then the subtropical ridge will build back over the region bringing back dry weather everywhere. Temperatures will creep up a few degrees toward the end of the period. The eastern part of the Coastal Plains could see a few spots reach heat advisory level Wednesday and Thursday.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 626 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2026

The seabreeze has a been a bit more active and moved further inland than the last couple of days and as a result, will carry VCTS at AUS through 01Z. Otherwise, the forecast remains mostly unchanged with MVFR stratus developing around 8-10Z at AUS, SAT, and SSF and a TEMPO group utilized at DRT for stratus tomorrow after sunrise. VFR ceilings return by mid to late morning along with south to southeasterly flow around 8-12 kts.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 76 97 76 97 / 10 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 76 96 76 97 / 10 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 75 95 75 96 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 73 95 74 95 / 10 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 78 100 79 100 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 75 96 76 97 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 75 95 74 95 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 75 96 75 96 / 10 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 76 96 76 96 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 76 94 75 95 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 76 94 75 95 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.