textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1153 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

- Warmer afternoons with cooler mornings through Friday.

- Medium (30-60%) rain chances return for Saturday and Sunday.

- Cold front moves across the local area Sunday with rounds of showers and storms. In the wake of it, dry and cooler to start the work week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 1153 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Morning clouds continue to break over a good portion of South Central Texas late this morning but visible images are showing clouds eroding slowly over the southern Edwards Plateau and Coastal Plains. By this afternoon, we should end up with partly cloudy skies across portions of the Hill Country, southern Edwards Plateau, and Rio Grande and partly to mostly cloudy skies over parts of the I-35 corridor and points to the southeast including the Coastal Plains. Today's highs are forecast to range from the low 70s across the southern Edwards Plateau to mid 70s elsewhere.

No rain is forecast for today across South Central Texas with surface winds coming in from the northwest and north around 5 to 10 mph as ridging dominates. Then, later tonight into Thursday morning, a dry cold front pushes across the local area. There may be some wind gusts of 15 to 20 mph across the Hill Country and along and east of Highway 77, otherwise, clear skies for most areas with partly to mostly cloudy skies across the Coastal Plains. Overnight lows are forecast to drop to the 50s areawide.

Thursday will be excellent with plenty of sunshine and high temperatures in the 70s under a light northerly wind flow for most locations. Dewpoint temperatures dropping to the 40s and 50s across most locations with the exception of the Rio Grande Plains.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1153 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

With light and variable winds and clear skies in store for Thursday night into Friday morning, overnight lows likely to be the cooler ones of this week. We are forecasting lows in the mid to upper 40s and low 50s.

Friday is looking like another excellent day with partly cloudy to sunny skies and highs in the low to upper 70s range. As the night progresses, a weather pattern change will be on the way. An upper level wave is forecast to push across northwest Mexico and spreads to the east that night through Saturday and exiting South Central Texas on Sunday. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are forecast to begin early Saturday morning out west along the Rio Grande and slowly moving eastward throughout the day. The RRFS, GEFS, and EPS have a good handle as far as the passage of upper level trough axis over the Rio Grande by Saturday morning. After that, the ensembles differ somewhat with a new upper level short wave moving across the Four Corners region into the Southern Plains and into east Texas. With that said, there are uncertainties for this coming weekend as far as precipitation and for how long is going to last. We do know about the potential for rain and the possibility for flooding across parts of South Central Texas for the weekend especially on Saturday. WPC Day 4 ERO highlights with level 1 of 4 for risk of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance and for the Day 5 ERO areas to the east of Highway 281. Definitely something to monitor closely in the coming days leading to the weekend. By Sunday afternoon into the evening, a cold front is forecast to push across the local area with the last round of showers and storms over the eastern portion of South Central Texas. Dry and cool weather is favored for Monday through Wednesday of next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1153 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Some temporary MVFR cigs will linger at area TAF sites for the next several hours this afternoon, with skies trending back to VFR after 20Z along I-35, with DRT trending back closer to 21Z. Some drier air in the lower levels courtesy of northerly winds should keep conditions VFR through the remainder of the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 56 75 52 75 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 55 76 49 76 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 56 75 50 75 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 53 73 50 73 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 58 74 55 73 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 53 74 49 74 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 55 75 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 55 76 49 76 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 56 77 49 77 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 58 75 52 75 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 59 75 52 76 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.