textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1107 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

- Warmer afternoons with cooler mornings through Friday.

- Medium (30-60%) rain chances return for Saturday and Sunday.

- Dry and cooler the first part of next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Friday) Issued at 1225 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Texas is on the southern edge of a mid to upper ridge. The flow is only slightly anticyclonic and close to zonal. At the surface, a dry cold front is stretched across our northern counties from near Georgetown to the Big Bend. Ahead of the front patchy fog has developed over the Coastal Plains and in a few spots its dense. The fog should only last until the front moves through later tonight and the winds pick up. Winds will turn to the north to northeast behind the front. The biggest change behind the front will be lower dewpoints. High temperatures will be about the same today and Friday, but dewpoints will be around 10 degrees lower. Skies will be mostly clear. Low temperatures will around five degrees lower Friday morning.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 1225 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Friday night the upper ridge will get pushed to the east as another trough digs across the southwest. The old frontal boundary will still be in the vicinity. The combination of the upper trough and surface boundary will bring chances for rain for the weekend. Rain chances will spread across from west to east beginning after midnight Friday night out west spreading over the entire area Saturday and moving off to the east Sunday. Models have continued to show only moderate rainfall totals with no significant impacts. An upper level ridge will move in starting Monday bringing dry weather back for the first few days of next week.

With cloudy skies and showers, temperatures will be cooler over the weekend. After the rain moves away Monday winds will become northeasterly bringing in cooler, drier air. Temperatures Monday and Tuesday will be as much as 10 degrees cooler than the weekend. Wednesday there will start a warming trend.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1107 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

VFR conditions are forecast for all area terminals through Friday night. Light northerly winds are forecast for the rest of today across the I-35 sites. Then, winds become light and variable this evening through Friday morning. Wind flow shifts to the southeast in the afternoon. For KDRT, light and variable winds dominate for the rest of this afternoon into the evening before setting from the east. Sunny to clear skies prevailing through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 53 75 51 67 / 0 0 0 20 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 50 76 48 69 / 0 0 0 20 New Braunfels Muni Airport 50 76 50 69 / 0 0 0 30 Burnet Muni Airport 50 73 49 64 / 0 0 0 20 Del Rio Intl Airport 55 73 56 69 / 0 0 40 30 Georgetown Muni Airport 50 73 48 66 / 0 0 0 10 Hondo Muni Airport 49 75 52 69 / 0 0 0 30 San Marcos Muni Airport 50 77 49 70 / 0 0 0 30 La Grange - Fayette Regional 50 77 50 70 / 0 0 0 10 San Antonio Intl Airport 52 76 52 69 / 0 0 0 30 Stinson Muni Airport 53 77 54 71 / 0 0 0 30

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.