textproduct: Austin/San Antonio
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 631 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026
- Dry weather will continue through the weekend with warmer than normal temperatures.
- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible each day next week.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 145 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026
Most of the country is under a broad upper level ridge with weak flow over TX. The low level flow over the Gulf is being influenced by the hurricane in the northeastern part of the basin. Winds are from the northeast along the TX coast and are generally light and variable over our CWA. The airmass is warm and fairly dry with temperatures in the 80s and dewpoints in the mid 50s to mid 60s. The upper ridge will continue to dominate over TX for the short term period. We expect dry weather tonight through Saturday night for all of the CWA. The low level flow will turn around to southeasterly bringing moister air in from the Gulf. This will have minimal effect on temperatures, but it will increase humidity and may make it feel a little more uncomfortable.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Friday) Issued at 145 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026
Sunday we will start to see a shift in the upper level pattern as a deep trough digs down the west coast. This will eventually turn the upper winds to southwesterly next week. The small height falls associated with this shift will allow for isolated convection each afternoon Monday through Wednesday. The most likely area for showers will be the Coastal Plains where the moisture will be deepest. Temperatures over the first half of the week will increase a little each day. The low will see a more significant increase with more overnight cloudiness especially over the I-35 Corridor and Coastal Plains. The upper trough will move into the central Rockies by mid-week and bring a cold front into TX. The front will move into the central/south Texas region by Thursday and through our CWA Friday. The front will bring chances for showers and thunderstorms Thursday and Friday with the best chances early Friday. Models are showing some chance for locally heavy rain. We will have to see how this situation progresses through the coming days.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 631 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026
VFR conditions are forecast for all area terminals through Saturday night. Light and variable winds are forecast this evening through Saturday morning. A southeasterly wind flow of 10 knots or less dominates the local area during the afternoon and early evening.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Austin Camp Mabry 64 93 67 93 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 64 93 66 93 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 64 91 67 92 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 61 89 64 88 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 67 94 69 94 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 62 91 65 92 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 63 92 67 93 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 63 92 66 93 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 64 94 68 95 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 65 91 68 92 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 66 93 69 94 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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