textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

- Mild and dry weather continues through midweek.

- Active weather pattern returns late week and into the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1218 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

On Tuesday, a sfc high will slide east of the area, with winds turning back out of the southeast. After a cool and somewhat chilly start to the day, expect a pleasant afternoon with lighter winds and highs in the 70s. A weak disturbance moving through WNW flow aloft could spark a shower or storm over Val Verde County or the Edwards Plateau, but this disturbance is not expected to be far enough south to impact sensible weather elsewhere.

Tuesday night, surface dewpoints will steadily increase as southeasterly return flow ramps up ahead of an active late week setup. Temperatures will climb slightly on Wednesday, but the increased moisture will result in increased morning cloud cover and breezy southeast winds.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 1218 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

The setup for late week looks promising for rain across South Central Texas. The storm track will become active over the southern CONUS, resulting in increased rain and storm chances. On Thursday, with the increased surface moisture and strong moisture return ahead of a mid-level shortwave, streamer showers are possible in the morning, followed by the potential for afternoon storms out west if they can make it over the Rio Grande. The primary issue would be steering flow, which is unlikely to send much convection off the SDBs into our region.

Friday and heading into the weekend is when things get more interesting as a long wave trough moves into the southwestern US, increasing deep layer shear, instability, and lift over South Central Texas. The Storm Prediction Center has a Day 6 and Day 7 area outlooked for the Southern Edwards Plateau and portions of the Rio Grande Plains, which makes sense given the favorable setup on global models this weekend. Any rainfall at this point is beneficial, so despite the threat for severe weather, we will take the chance at rainfall when we can.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 546 AM CDT Tue Apr 7 2026

We'll continue to see VFR skies with only high clouds and a few mid level clouds. Light and variable winds continue at night while daytime winds will be due east or southeast at 7-15 knots.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 76 55 79 62 / 0 10 10 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 76 52 78 61 / 0 10 10 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 77 52 77 61 / 0 10 20 10 Burnet Muni Airport 72 53 75 60 / 0 10 10 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 78 58 78 65 / 20 10 10 10 Georgetown Muni Airport 74 53 77 61 / 0 10 10 0 Hondo Muni Airport 76 52 77 62 / 0 10 20 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 77 53 79 61 / 0 10 10 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 77 55 80 61 / 0 10 10 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 77 56 77 63 / 0 10 20 0 Stinson Muni Airport 78 55 78 64 / 0 10 20 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.