textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry weather with a slow warming trend through Thursday, then turning colder Friday into the weekend.

- Warmer, more seasonable temperatures are forecast early next week with the return of low rain chances.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 1205 PM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

At long last temperatures have warmed above freezing for the entirety of South Central Texas. Afternoon highs should climb into the upper 40s to lower 60s along with plenty of sunshine. Another cold night is still expected but with southerly flow ramping back up in response to our next cold front set to arrive tomorrow evening, it won't be as cold as the last couple of nights.

On Thursday, southerly flow at the surface along with westerly flow aloft will result in a warmer day, with temperatures back in the 60s for all locations. The warm-up doesn't last long though as a surface low takes shape over the Panhandle and slides east during the day Thursday. As a mid-level disturbance swings through Oklahoma, a trailing cold front extending from the surface low to our north will bring breezy conditions by Thursday night. This frontal passage will be a dry one though, as all the deep moisture remains well east of our region.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1205 PM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

On Friday, in the wake of the frontal passage, afternoon temperatures will still manage to climb into the 50s along with a good bit of cloud cover. On Saturday, a reinforcing shot of arctic air will brush South Central Texas, so the coldest day of the week will unfold with highs stuck in the upper 30s to upper 40s outside of the Rio Grande Plains where it'll warm into the lower to middle 50s. An arctic high will settle over east Texas on Saturday night, resulting in the coldest night in the long term period. Lows should easily dip into the low 20s with some locations falling into the 15-20 degree range Sunday morning. We'll steadily warm back near seasonal normals Monday and Tuesday before another storm system approaches for midweek. Some low rain chances are in the forecast for now, but confidence is low in placement and amount of precip with this system at this distance.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1205 PM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

VFR conditions are forecast for all area terminals through Thursday night. Light northwest to north winds are forecast for the rest of today. Then winds turn light and variable this evening through Thursday morning. Kept the TEMPO group for KAUS for few to scattered clouds that are forecast to develop overnight through Thursday morning over parts of the Hill Country including the Austin metro. area. Winds are forecast to shift around from the southwest to the northwest in the afternoon and evening as a frontal boundary pushes over the local area.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 33 65 34 53 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 28 67 33 55 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 31 66 35 55 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 31 60 30 51 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 36 68 42 62 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 29 64 30 53 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 31 66 37 60 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 30 67 34 55 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 30 65 33 51 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 35 66 39 57 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 33 67 40 58 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.