textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 538 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

- Warmer afternoons with cooler mornings through Friday.

- Medium (30-60%) rain chances return for Saturday and Sunday.

- Dry and cooler the first part of next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Friday) Issued at 1225 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Texas is on the southern edge of a mid to upper ridge. The flow is only slightly anticyclonic and close to zonal. At the surface, a dry cold front is stretched across our northern counties from near Georgetown to the Big Bend. Ahead of the front patchy fog has developed over the Coastal Plains and in a few spots its dense. The fog should only last until the front moves through later tonight and the winds pick up. Winds will turn to the north to northeast behind the front. The biggest change behind the front will be lower dewpoints. High temperatures will be about the same today and Friday, but dewpoints will be around 10 degrees lower. Skies will be mostly clear. Low temperatures will around five degrees lower Friday morning.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 1225 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Friday night the upper ridge will get pushed to the east as another trough digs across the southwest. The old frontal boundary will still be in the vicinity. The combination of the upper trough and surface boundary will bring chances for rain for the weekend. Rain chances will spread across from west to east beginning after midnight Friday night out west spreading over the entire area Saturday and moving off to the east Sunday. Models have continued to show only moderate rainfall totals with no significant impacts. An upper level ridge will move in starting Monday bringing dry weather back for the first few days of next week.

With cloudy skies and showers, temperatures will be cooler over the weekend. After the rain moves away Monday winds will become northeasterly bringing in cooler, drier air. Temperatures Monday and Tuesday will be as much as 10 degrees cooler than the weekend. Wednesday there will start a warming trend.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 538 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Little to no change from the previous forecast as things remain on track. Winds will shift from northwesterly now to northeasterly after 15Z at AUS, SAT, and SSF. Winds drop off sharply after 00Z this evening to less than 3 kts. VFR ceilings are expected through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 75 52 77 52 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 76 50 77 50 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 75 50 76 50 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 73 50 74 50 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 74 55 73 56 / 0 0 0 20 Georgetown Muni Airport 75 50 75 49 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 76 49 75 52 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 76 49 77 49 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 77 49 78 51 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 75 52 75 52 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 76 52 76 54 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.