textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

- Line of strong to severe storms moving over the Coastal Plains overnight

- Seasonably warm temperatures and dry weather is expected for most of the work week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 133 AM CDT Mon May 11 2026

The cold front continues to push to the south and over the Coastal Plains overnight. By daybreak, the frontal boundary is forecast to be along the middle Texas coast. Dry and cool temperatures are in store for Monday afternoon with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. The rest of the week looks dry and warm with highs back into the 80s and 90s.

The subtropical ridge builds across the four corners region throughout the week and keeps South Central Texas dry. At the surface, northerly winds remain on Monday in the wake of the cold front as a high pressure system persists over the southern Plains. The high pressure ridge then moves into the middle and lower Mississippi Valley by Tuesday and that brings back southerly winds into the local area.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 133 AM CDT Mon May 11 2026

The extended forecast period stays mostly dry and warm with surface southerly winds prevailing. By Friday, the dryline gets closer to the southern Edwards Plateau and can generate a few storms over Val Verde county. By next weekend, the dryline looks to be the main driver of any potential rain chances. There is an upper level low that is forecast to push from the four corners region into the southern Plains between Friday and Saturday and can help any storms that develop during that period.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 537 AM CDT Mon May 11 2026

MVFR ceilings are beginning to move in behind a cold front with these conditions lingering through the morning hours. Northerly wind may gust to around 20 knots this morning, then wind steadily decreases this afternoon and becomes light overnight into Tuesday. Clouds will scatter this afternoon with VFR conditions then expected through early Tuesday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 80 65 85 66 / 10 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 80 65 85 66 / 10 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 82 64 85 65 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 77 61 82 63 / 10 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 84 66 87 68 / 10 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 78 63 83 64 / 10 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 83 63 87 65 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 81 64 85 64 / 10 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 80 65 83 66 / 10 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 83 65 87 67 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 84 66 87 68 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.