textproduct: Austin/San Antonio
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Mostly stable weather for the work week with just some sea-breeze showers and thunderstorms today and Tuesday.
- Humid air could send heat indices into the the triple digits for most areas through the week.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday night) Issued at 129 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026
Regional radar imagery shows seabreeze showers and occasional thunderstorms over the I-35 Corridor and eastward into the Coastal Plains. With additional cloud cover expected under these showers, opted to lower Max T's a couple degrees further in line with CONSall/NBM blend. Expect highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s, with mid 90s expected along the Rio Grande. A muggy and warm night is expected with temperatures falling into the lower to middle 70s along with mostly cloudy skies.
Tuesday will feature yet another shot at rain, but it'll be quite a bit lower as mid-levels dry out a bit more and the seabreeze weakens as mid-level ridging strengthens. We will still carry 20-30% PoPs from east to west, with the higher chance for rain out west along the Rio Grande. Temperatures will climb higher as cloud cover thins out by early afternoon. Expect highs in the lower to middle 90s for most with the exception being in the Hill Country or Edwards Plateau where highs may remain in the mid to upper 80s. Any rain or isolated thunderstorms should quickly fall apart after sunset, as loss of diurnal heating will be their downfall.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Monday) Issued at 129 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026
The long term looks hot and dry, but not without humidity as soil moisture remains high due to recent rains. Temperatures will steadily climb as mid-level ridging takes hold Wednesday through Saturday, with highs in the mid to upper 90s. Heat indices may climb into the 105-110 range by late week, but adequate mixing should limit things from getting too muggy in the afternoons. Ridging may start to break down by the back half of the weekend, with the potential for rain to reenter the picture early next week.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 616 PM CDT Mon Jun 8 2026
Remaining isolated -TSRA near KECU/KUVA should dissipate by 03Z. Storms may have delayed onset of low CIGs at KSAT/KSSF by a few hours, but confidence is still high in MVFR CIGs tonight at all TAF sites. Have kept TEMPO IFR CIGs at KSAT/KSSF due to similar conditions compared to yesterday before clouds break tomorrow afternoon. Prevailing southeast wind should resume tonight for areas currently seeing light/VRB winds. Low chance exists for isolated TSRA/SHRA mainly after 21Z at the I-35 TAF sites, but confidence was too low to include in the 00Z TAFs.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Austin Camp Mabry 75 92 76 93 / 0 20 0 10 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 76 92 76 93 / 0 20 0 20 New Braunfels Muni Airport 74 90 74 91 / 0 20 0 20 Burnet Muni Airport 74 90 74 91 / 0 10 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 76 93 76 96 / 10 30 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 75 91 75 92 / 0 20 0 10 Hondo Muni Airport 75 91 74 91 / 10 20 0 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 75 91 75 92 / 0 20 0 20 La Grange - Fayette Regional 75 91 75 94 / 0 20 0 20 San Antonio Intl Airport 76 92 75 91 / 10 20 0 10 Stinson Muni Airport 76 91 75 92 / 0 20 0 10
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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