textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

-Cool and gusty conditions expected tonight.

-Dry and cool Thursday, then a warming trend is seen through the weekend before another front cools temperatures for early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 110 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

An upper low is moving over South Central Texas early this afternoon which is evident on satellite with some wrap around clouds moving in from the north over over the southern Edwards Plateau. The main line of showers and thunderstorms from this morning has moved east of the area with predominantly dry conditions expected the rest of the day. Only low PoPs remain over the northeastern portion of our coastal plain counties late this afternoon given forcing from the upper low and a southward moving Pacific front. A quick shower or isolated thunderstorm could develop but no severe weather is expected.

The aforementioned cold front will make its way through the area today with gusty northerly wind behind this feature. The pressure gradient remains tight as the upper low ejects east and surface high pressure drops into North Texas tonight. Gusty wind will continue over the area overnight with gusts approaching 35-40 mph at times, only dropping off in the west after midnight. With cooler air moving into the region behind the front, wind chill values will drop down into the low to mid 30s over the Hill Country and southern Edwards Plateau and into the upper 30s to upper 40s elsewhere.

Surface high pressure will reside over the area by tomorrow afternoon bringing lighter wind and clear skies with cooler highs in the 60s to low 70s. Clear skies and light wind remain Thursday night into Friday bringing lows down into the 40s across all of South Central Texas.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Wednesday) Issued at 110 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

High pressure shifts east of the area Thursday night with southerly flow back in place by Friday. A day by day warming trend is expected through Sunday when highs peak from the upper 80s to mid 90s. If you're not ready for summer quite yet, then good news arrives in the form of a strong cold front making its way across the area Sunday night. Gusty wind behind the front will usher in cooler temperatures with highs Monday forecast in the 60s. Temperatures fall into the 30s and 40s Monday night, then another warming trend is seen through the end of the forecast. Dry weather is expected into the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 634 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2026

Isolated TSRA/SHRA near GYB and vicinity will move east out of the area by 03Z as a front pushes southward across the region. Satellite imagery shows haze/dust spreading south near DRT, but VSBY impacts are not expected. Winds are in the process of shifting to northerlies regionwide with 15-20 kt flow expected tonight for at all area terminals. The likelihood of sustained winds exceeding 20 kt for brief periods of time is low to moderate, around 30 to 50 percent. Brisk 20 kt winds have already reached DRT and vicinity, but local terrain effects are expected to allow winds to weaken overnight. Elsewhere, winds remain gusty through the night but will begin to veer northeasterly and weaken particularly after 18Z. VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 46 68 46 80 / 10 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 44 67 41 78 / 10 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 46 68 41 78 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 42 66 44 80 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 49 71 46 83 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 42 66 43 78 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 43 69 40 79 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 45 68 41 78 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 45 67 39 78 / 10 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 47 69 44 78 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 48 69 44 79 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.