textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

- Cold Weather Advisory from 3AM-10AM Saturday for wind chills in the 13-20 degree range.

- Warmer, more seasonable temperatures are forecast next week with a low potential for rain out east Tuesday/Wednesday.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 1146 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Looking at the latest GOES-19 DCP product, a large area of overcast skies exists from central to south Texas. Also notable is the remaining snow cover over the Panhandles, north Texas and Oklahoma. After the passage of a cold front yesterday evening, temperatures are notably cooler today, with most locations only climbing into the 50s. For tonight, opted to expand the Cold Weather Advisory to include Bexar and a few other counties in the Coastal Plains as winds were a bit low on the operational NBM. Did a blend of 75th NBM and operational NBM to bump winds up a bit closer to other guidance Saturday morning through Saturday evening. This in turn brought wind chills down a bit lower for the newly added counties. Expect wind chills in the 13-20 degree range in the advisory through 10AM Saturday. Saturday will be the coldest day of the week ahead with highs struggling to get out of the 40s. Despite minimal cloud cover, a reinforcing shot of arctic air will move in Saturday morning, which will result in a breezy and cold afternoon. Winds should rapidly decrease Saturday evening as a surface high builds over northeast Texas. Temperatures will fall into the lower to middle 20s Saturday night under clear skies, light winds, and dry air.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through next Friday) Issued at 1146 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Confidence in the medium range has increased with the last couple of runs of Global models. At this point, expect a steady warmup starting Sunday and continuing through Tuesday with highs going from the 50s to 60s and finally 70s. A disturbance within the southern stream will move through South Central Texas on Tuesday, with a low end chance for showers, primarily over the Coastal Plains Tuesday afternoon through early Wednesday morning. Some cooler temperatures will work into the region for Wednesday and Thursday, but with the next trough digging over the eastern CONUS Wednesday and Thursday, our area will remain dry and seasonable with warming temperatures yet again by late week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 442 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

VFR conditions are forecast through the period at terminals. Gusty wind has subsided across the area with light wind continuing through around 09Z before increasing again as another surge of high pressure moves in from the north. Northeasterly wind increases first in the east at I-35 terminals Saturday morning, then gusty east to southeasterly wind spreads further west to DRT mid to late morning. There is still the potential for some low clouds early tomorrow morning across the northern-most portions of South Central Texas, though there is low confidence in this scenario. Have kept only FEW low clouds at AUS and added the mention of FEW clouds at DRT. Lighter wind returns Saturday evening for most the majority of the area.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 55 29 44 25 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 55 28 44 22 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 55 28 46 23 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 52 27 41 24 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 62 34 57 31 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 53 26 41 22 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 59 30 52 25 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 56 29 46 23 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 53 29 44 23 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 57 32 49 27 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 58 33 49 27 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 10 AM CST Saturday for TXZ171>173-186>194-205>209-220>225.