textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

- Above average temperatures this week.

- Low to medium chances for rain mainly Tuesday night through Wednesday morning and Friday night through Saturday.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Tuesday night) Issued at 1131 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

Mid-level ridging continues over the area today with a closed upper low near the Baja Peninsula and broad troughing over the southeastern US. Moderate southerly flow over the area continues into Tuesday gradually bringing higher moisture back to South Central Texas. Some mid or upper level cloud cover will be seen through this evening, then low clouds build over the area overnight into Tuesday along with chances for fog. The highest probability for fog looks to be along the Balcones Escarpment where locally dense fog is favored, though we could see patchy fog also over the coastal plains and I-35 corridor. Our much above normal temperatures continue under the thermal ridge, though cloud cover and the approach of the upper low Tuesday will drive temperatures down slightly. While some low rain chances begin in our far northwestern CWA as early as Tuesday afternoon, better chances for light showers are seen Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through next Monday) Issued at 1131 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

Chances for light showers continue Wednesday mainly from the I-35 corridor and east as a weak cold front moves over the area in the morning. No meaningful cooler air is seen behind this frontal passage with highs Wednesday still peaking from the low 70s north to low 80s south. Upper level ridging establishes back over South Central Texas by Wednesday night with dry and warm conditions through Friday before another system impacts the area.

A mid-level trough moves over our area Friday night into Saturday bringing another cold front across the area along with chances for rain. There remains some timing differences with the front this far out but it does look like the northern portion of the CWA will see the better rain chances for now. Unfortunately, this front helps little with the above normal temperatures with a dry and above normal temperature forecast continuing for Sunday and Monday.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 537 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

Mostly clear skies and moderate S/SE winds are expected in the first few hours of this evening. Around 06Z, low clouds should begin to take shape to the south and spread north into the I-35 terminals between 08Z and 10Z and into DRT at around daybreak. Winds above the boundary layer are still moving dry air, but the directions being more due southerly should allow the low cloud advancement be more progressive and long lasting. IFR cigs are presented as prevailing over I-35 terminals and are only suggested with a 1000 ft CIG at DRT after daybreak. Clouds should mix out easier at DRT, but could linger over the I-35 sites well into the afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 60 76 57 74 / 0 0 40 20 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 59 77 57 75 / 0 0 40 20 New Braunfels Muni Airport 57 76 57 75 / 0 10 40 20 Burnet Muni Airport 57 74 53 70 / 0 10 30 10 Del Rio Intl Airport 57 74 54 78 / 0 30 30 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 59 76 56 74 / 0 0 30 10 Hondo Muni Airport 54 75 55 78 / 0 10 30 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 57 77 57 77 / 0 10 40 20 La Grange - Fayette Regional 60 78 58 77 / 0 0 30 20 San Antonio Intl Airport 57 76 58 77 / 0 10 40 20 Stinson Muni Airport 57 77 59 77 / 0 10 40 20

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.