textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 536 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

- Patchy to areas of fog expected this morning.

- Warmer afternoons with cooler mornings through Friday.

- Medium (30-60%) rain chances return for Saturday and Sunday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday) Issued at 1228 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

The last area of showers and thunderstorms is moving slowly toward the east and is exiting our CWA at this time. The mid-level shortwave trough generating this activity is also moving to the east and zonal flow will build in over TX today. This will bring dry weather to South-Central Texas. There will be cold front moving through north and central TX during the day. Ahead of the front the low level pressure field will be a bit chaotic leading to variable winds and allowing skies to stay mostly cloudy. High temperatures today will be 5-10 degrees warmer than Tuesday. The front will move through our CWA overnight Wednesday/Thursday. The front will move through dry. Winds will turn to the north to northeast behind the front Thursday. The biggest change behind the front will be lower dewpoints. Temperatures will be about the same Thursday as Wednesday, but dewpoints will be around 10 degrees lower. Skies will be mostly clear.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 1228 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Friday a weak upper ridge will build over the region and dry weather will continue. Friday morning will be much cooler with the dry airmass in place. Highs Friday will be about the same as Thursday. Friday night the upper ridge will get pushed to the east as another trough digs into the southwest. The old frontal boundary will still be in the vicinity. The combination of the upper trough and surface boundary will bring chances for rain for the weekend. Rain chances will spread across from west to east beginning Friday night out west. They will cover the area Saturday and move off to the east Sunday. An upper level ridge will move in starting Monday bringing dry weather back for the first couple of days of next week. At this time, rainfall totals over the weekend look moderate with no significant impacts.

With cloudy skies and showers, temperatures will be cooler over the weekend. After the rain moves away Monday winds will become northeasterly bringing in cooler, drier air. Temperatures Monday and Tuesday will be a few degrees cooler than the weekend.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 536 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

IFR CIGs have been hit or miss this morning with even some patchy dense fog at Castroville, Hondo, and Fredericksburg. While fog is still possible, it appears as if it won't impact DRT anymore. Elsewhere, a brief back and forth battle between IFR and MVFR is likely at AUS, SAT, and SSF through 15-16Z before VFR CIGs return for the remainder of the period. A weak frontal passage arrives arond 09Z tomorrow, but stronger winds will probably only be noticed at SAT and SSF.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 78 57 76 52 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 78 55 76 49 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 76 57 75 50 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 74 53 73 50 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 73 58 75 54 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 77 53 75 49 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 76 56 76 50 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 76 56 75 49 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 78 57 78 50 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 76 58 75 52 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 75 59 75 53 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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