textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1209 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

- Pleasant weather early to midweek with low humidity, including warm afternoons and cooler mornings.

- Low end rain chances (~15-25%) return late week, mainly peak late Thursday through Friday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 1209 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Overnight tonight we should start to finally see drier air begin to work its way in from the north thus pushing the front thats been near us this weekend away along with the moisture associated with it. By this morning drier air will all but shut off rain chances and thus a dry, mostly sunny and rather pleasant day can be expected.

Regarding temperatures we should see highs today slightly warmer as we will see much more sun leading to highs in the mid to perhaps upper 80s with even some 90s out west along the Rio Grande possible. Lows tonight will remain seasonable with upper 60s common. By Tuesday we should see another pleasant day with highs a bit warmer with most reaching the mid to upper 80s with low 90s once again possible in our western areas under mostly sunny skies.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 1209 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Our pleasant weather continues as northerly flow is seen in the lower and middle parts of the atmosphere leading to a continued drying out across our area Tuesday night. This drier air will result in a much more refreshing airmass then we have seen the past few days with cooler mornings and milder afternoons along with much lower humidity. Daily highs should stay in the mid to upper 80s for afternoon highs with the morning lows dipping down into the upper 50s across the Hill Country and into the low to mid 60s elsewhere. This begins to change by late week as a possible disturbance tries establishing itself later this week across West Texas through the Concho Valley. This disturbance may be enough to bring some low end rain chances (~15-25%) across the region. Additionally, this mid- level disturbance could be aided by some influence and moisture from the development of a potential surface low that is projected to move over the Bay of Campeche. The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring this potential and has provided up to a medium (50%) chance of development into a Tropical Depression or Storm over the next 7 days. Current steering flows suggest that this disturbance moves north northeastward across the Gulf. This would allow our area to remain on the drier side with only temperatures really being the major influence from this system. For now it is still a bit too far out to put any confidence in a particular model solution. However, we will continue to keep an eye on this disturbance and watch to see how this unfolds and what impacts if any this would bring to our local area.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1209 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

MVFR ceilings will continue to lift and erode overnight from the northeast to the southwest as drier air moves into South Central Texas. Conditions will be mainly VFR through the period with possibly some brief MVFR ceilings at KDRT around sunrise. Cloud cover will continue to lift and clear during the day today with mostly clear skies by this evening. North to northeast wind persists through the period, easing overnight and becoming gusty at I-35 terminals during the day. Northerly wind remains lighter along the Rio Grande including at KDRT.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 85 67 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 84 66 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 85 66 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 79 62 80 61 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 89 68 91 66 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 83 64 84 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 86 66 87 65 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 85 66 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 86 67 88 66 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 85 68 86 67 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 87 69 88 68 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.