textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

- Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM Saturday morning for wind chills in the 13-20 degree range.

- Warmer, more seasonable temperatures are forecast next week with low rain chances Tuesday/Wednesday out east.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday) Issued at 1221 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

It will be a chilly morning for those waking up early on Saturday with air temps in the mid 20 to mid 30s and the windchill likely in the 13 to 20 degree range. Definitely remember to dress in layers if venturing outdoors. We do warmup somewhat for today with many areas reaching the 40s with those further west approaching 60. With CAA and breezy northeasterly winds it will certainly not feel that warm despite the abundant sunshine overhead. This is due in large part to the backdoor cold front that moved across our area overnight resulting in a a surge of cold air from an arctic airmass as surface high pressure sits over NE Texas. With this high positioned near our area we could see excellent radiational cooling tonight into Sunday morning with clear skies and calm winds. Expect lows to be very borderline of cold weather advisory criteria with many areas especially across the Hill Country dropping into the low 20s. Thankfully with winds being calm there shouldn't be much of a wind chill. However, if winds stay a bit more elevated we could end up needing at least a cold weather advisory. With confidence not quite high enough will let the day crew decide as more model guidance continues to come in. This surface high quickly moves off to the east allowing return flow to set up shop as early as Sunday afternoon. Many areas should see highs bump back up into the upper 50s to perhaps 60 under abundant sunshine and warm southwest flow.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 1221 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Lows Sunday evening will be several degrees warmer than the previous evenings with many areas remaining in the 30s to low 40s. By Monday we remain under a highly amplified pattern aloft with strong ridging in the west and deep troughing to our east. Each day the ridging out west tries to inch a little bit closer to our area, as a result we should see highs in the 60s Monday as we warm several degrees each day before peaking with highs likely in the 70s come Tuesday.

Global models continue to indicate a weak disturbance moving over the area Tuesday with a stronger mid-level trough sending a cold front across the area Tuesday night into Wednesday. This could bring our next chance for rain to the eastern half of the area, however only low PoPs continue as more details continue to come into focus. We remain dry through the remainder of the long term with highs and lows returning to more seasonable levels as we remain locked under the influence of this strong ridge out west.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1221 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Next frontal wave looks on track to impact AUS by around 09Z with higher gusts not ramping up until after sunrise. A few low clouds may follow the front, but only a brief FEW MVFR cloud is suggested at AUS. Fewer gusts are expected at DRT where topograhy better minimizes the impacts of a due north wind. Highest gusts around AUS should be around 25 knots, and then the winds should ease up by around 21Z.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 44 26 58 39 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 44 22 58 35 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 46 24 57 36 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 41 25 57 36 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 57 30 58 39 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 42 21 57 36 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 53 24 57 36 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 46 23 59 36 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 44 24 57 36 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 49 27 57 40 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 50 26 57 39 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for TXZ171>173-186>194-205>209-220>225.