textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry weather with a slow warming trend through Thursday, then turning colder Friday into the weekend.

- Warmer, more seasonable temperatures are forecast early next week with the return of low rain chances.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday) Issued at 1203 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

Clouds have cleared over South Central Texas with another chilly morning expected with lows in the upper teens to the 20s across the area by sunrise. Wind will be relatively light today so wind chill values are only about 5 degrees below the actual temperature, through some isolated apparent temperatures may drop to as low as 12 to 15 degrees over the Hill Country. Higher moisture in the Hill Country due to recent sleet melt may allow for very isolated locations developing freezing fog, but this potential is low with higher chances north of our CWA. Highs today will rebound into the upper 40s north to the low 60s south under mostly sunny skies. Temperatures return to below freezing tonight into Thursday morning but mainly remain above hard freeze conditions.

Thursday morning into the afternoon will generally be mild with the warmest temperatures of the week in the upper 50s to upper 60s. This is short-lived as a strong cold front will move across our area during the afternoon bringing colder temperatures back to the area.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 1203 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

A cold front moves across the area by Thursday night bringing colder temperatures back to the forecast for Friday and the weekend. No rain is expected with this frontal passage, though gusty conditions do pick up behind it and continue through the day Friday. Lows Friday morning will be coldest in the north with temperatures just below freezing, but gusty wind will allow wind chills to dip into the upper teens and 20s for many across South Central Texas. Highs Friday will be in the upper 40s and mid 50s across much of the area with only some low 60s along the Rio Grande that afternoon. Surface high pressure shifts south into the Central US Saturday and over much of Texas by Sunday morning. Expect highs mainly in the 40s and 50s this weekend with cold lows in the teens and 20s.

A warm up is expected early next week as mid-level ridging returns over the area. A few models indicate a shortwave passing early in the week with the potential for cool temperatures to linger into Monday. Towards the end of the forecast we could see another front move across the area with rain chances returning to the forecast towards mid-week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 519 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

VFR flight conditions persist. We are continuing to monitor the potential for isolated patchy freezing fog this morning across our far northern locations where any residual ice could remain on the ground and near river valleys and lake beds. Current short term models do suggest possibly slightly better chance for fog/freezing fog across our eastern regions early Thursday morning. While this is of a low confidence, decided to keep a TEMPO group during 10Z to 14Z tomorrow for KAUS with 6SM visibility and few clouds at 200 feet. Otherwise, mostly clear skies trend with some passing high clouds and a few cumulus with bases around 2000 to 3000 feet. Wind speeds remain light at 6-7 kt or less with the speeds most calm at night.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 51 32 65 33 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 52 27 66 33 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 56 30 66 34 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 46 30 58 30 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 60 34 68 40 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 48 27 62 30 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 58 28 66 36 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 55 28 66 33 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 54 28 64 33 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 57 32 65 37 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 59 32 66 38 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.