textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1246 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

- Decreasing light showers, with lingering activity forecast to pivot southeast into the Coastal Plains from later today into tonight.

- Patchy to areas of fog expected this morning and on Wednesday morning.

- Mid to late week will consist of milder afternoons but cooler mornings behind passage of a dry front Wednesday afternoon or evening.

- Medium (30-60%) rain chances makes a return for Saturday into Sunday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1246 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

The upper level storm system over the state is broadening out and exits the region to the northeast as we go through the day. Some strung out shortwave energy does remain on the backside of this system and this with leftover moisture will help keep some spotty light showers in the forecast, with a gradual shift in activity towards the southeast with time through the Coastal Plains. This activity would be a far cry from the widespread rains we had seen during the past few days. Activity looks to end as we head into sunrise Wednesday.

Light winds and ground saturation favors fog development over the region into this morning, especially for areas along and west of highway 281 where the most rain was picked up over the last few days. Fog becomes favored again on Wednesday morning as well. Fog could be dense a times and we'll monitor the conditions for both mornings on the possible need of any Dense Fog advisories.

Highs today range from the mid 60s to the low 70s with clouds for most of the day before skies breaking from the northwest to the southeast late in the day through the evening. Tonight into early Wednesday looks to trend slightly cooler, especially across the northern areas, with the clearer skies in the first half of the night. Wednesday will trend warmer with the highs in the 70s to around 80 degrees as heating occurs along and in advance of a dry front. The front looks to move across the region from the second half of the afternoon into the evening with some drier air then gradually working southward through the area, clearing out any remaining clouds from north to south.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 1246 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

The second half of the workweek looks great with the drier air in the wake of the front. This keeps the afternoons mild but with a greater comfortability with lower humidity. The mornings are to trend cooler under mostly clear skies.

Changes then arrive through the weekend with a progressive moving shortwave arriving out of Mexico from the west. While the medium guidance is in fair agreement, some additional changes could be possible in the long run, especially with the potential of any phasing with additional upper level energy located across the Intermountain West. Overall, rain chances (30-60%) look to make a return across the region, peaking from late Saturday into early Sunday. A cold front may then work into the mix sometime towards Monday or Monday night pending the evolution of that second upper level system coming out of the Intermountain West and into the Central Plains.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1141 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

A complicated and tricky forecast over the next 24-30 hours is expected as model guidance has been rather terrible for lack of a better word with regard to ceiling forecasts. Will opt for MVFR at SAT and SSF through the day today while VFR looks more likely at AUS through most of the forecast, with the potential for fog just beyond the 30 hour TAF. SAT and SSF should see IFR ceilings tomorrow night after 09Z as fog works northward. Most confident at DRT with regard to low ceilings and visibilities, particularly tonight as low level moisture and near calm winds remain in place.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 70 57 77 56 / 10 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 70 55 78 53 / 10 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 68 56 76 56 / 20 10 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 68 55 74 52 / 20 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 70 56 74 56 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 70 54 77 52 / 10 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 68 55 76 55 / 20 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 69 55 78 54 / 20 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 70 58 79 56 / 20 10 10 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 67 57 76 57 / 20 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 67 58 76 58 / 20 10 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.