textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1224 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Cold front moves through overnight through this morning, with a few strong to severe storms possible over the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau.

- A drier airmass arrives Today behind the front with cooler mornings and mild, but pleasant afternoons expected through the week.

- Potential for another weak front Thursday/Friday, with a secondary front possible over the weekend but differences in timing/rain exist.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1224 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

A cold front located just off to our northwest over SJT area is noted when looking at visible water vapor imagery. A somewhat broken band of strong showers and thunderstorms is also noted at the time of this writing out ahead of this front. Models have this line moving through our area fairly quickly from north to south. Looking at current mesoanalysis CAPE isnt very impressive however deep layer shear of 35 to 50 kts is noted so we could still see some of these storms remain strong as they approach our area especially across the northern Hill Country and southern Edwards Plateau. SPC has really shrunk our severe risk with our far northernmost tier of counties (Val Verde northeastward to Burnet) remaining in a level 1 of 5 risk. The main risks continue to be damaging winds and large hail with the better severe threat and forcing for tornadoes located much further north across north TX and into Oklahoma closer to where the low is. By this morning most activity should be over the I-35 corridor and on a weakening trend with all shower and thunderstorm activity pushing into the Coastal Plains by late morning and eventually out of our area entirely by noon or perhaps sooner.

Regarding highs, most areas will be noticeably cooler today as increased cloud cover during the first half of the day and rain cooled air will keep temps about 10 degrees cooler with most staying in the 70s as the front continues making its way through the area. We should eventually see sunshine along with mostly sunny skies once the front and storms that came with it move out of the area. Tonight will be much cooler and more like fall/November with lows dropping into the upper 40s north over the Hill Country to low to mid 50s along and south of the I-35 Corridor. Wednesday should be the start to a very pleasant few days of weather as highs will remain in the low to mid 70s with relatively lower humidity than what he had the past few days.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 1224 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Thursday and beyond we should continue to experience much more pleasant weather with highs in the 70s, and lows in the 40s and 50s. Though the biggest change will be the humidity as we will go from seeing dewpoints in the 60s and low 70s prior to the arrival of the front to seeing 50s and some upper 40s after the front. This will certainly help things to feel more seasonable and fall like compared to our recent stretch of summer-like weather. Global models are hinting at another front moving over our area Thursday/Friday with both differing on location and timing. For now have kept the forecast largely unchanged. Another upper level trough may make its way over our area over the weekend with an attendant cold front but consistency and timing issues continue to remain. Right now it does look like we could see even colder temperatures with highs struggling to get out of the 60s with lows in the 40s possible. This could change however so continue to check back as we get closer and closer to this upcoming weekend.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1130 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

A line of showers and thunderstorms are moving toward our terminals. Ahead of this line MVFR ceilings have formed in the Austin and San Antonio areas. DRT remains VFR, but the convection is closest to them. Showers or thunderstorms will move into that terminal within the next couple of hours. Showers will lower the ceiling to MVFR. Showers will reach Austin and San Antonio by around 09Z and last until late morning. A cold front will move through by around sunrise turning the winds to the northwest and improving flying conditions to VFR.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 77 55 74 55 / 60 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 78 53 75 52 / 70 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 77 54 74 55 / 80 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 72 52 72 55 / 20 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 77 55 75 58 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 76 51 73 53 / 50 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 79 53 76 56 / 20 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 77 52 74 53 / 80 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 78 53 75 54 / 90 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 77 55 75 57 / 60 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 78 57 75 58 / 70 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.