textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

- Slow warming trend through Thursday, then turning colder Friday into the weekend.

- Warmer, more seasonable temperatures look to return early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Wednesday night) Issued at 1219 PM CST Tue Jan 27 2026

After yet another bitterly cold morning, we should see all locations climb back out of the deep freeze this afternoon, with temperatures warming back into the mid to upper 40s and lower 50s as west to southwesterly flow returns in the wake of a departing surface high to our east. Some mid to high level clouds will stream through the region today in response to a weak disturbance sliding eastward through north Texas today and tomorrow. This system will have no impact on our ambient weather. Opted to skip a Cold Weather Advisory as wind chills only briefly reach 15-20 degree values towards daybreak Wednesday and it is a bit more sparse in coverage. Residual sleetpack (Is that the right term?) and recent sleet melt may result in some patchy fog Wednesday morning, and in this case if it were to materialize would be freezing fog. There is a low chance for this to occur at this time, but it remains more likely further north into FWDs area so mention of it at this time. We will monitor trends though through the evening. Temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday will steadily moderate back to highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s, but mornings will remain cold, generally in the 20s and 30s.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1219 PM CST Tue Jan 27 2026

A return to colder than normal conditions is expected at the start of the long term period. On Thursday, a powerful upper level low over the Hudson Bay will swing through the Great Lakes, sending a strong arctic cold front south into Texas by late Thursday evening, bringing gusty northerly winds and much cooler temperatures to the region. Thankfully, the moisture associated with this system will remain well to our south and east and wintry weather is not expected. However, temperatures will once again be quite cold. MOS guidance and global models are in agreement on temperatures falling into the 10s and 20s again Sunday morning and Monday morning of next week, but afternoon highs each day should still be in the 40s and 50s Friday-Sunday, with the lone exception being in the northern Hill Country where some spots may hover in the upper 30s on Saturday afternoon.

Beyond this weekend, warmer temperatures look to return Monday- Tuesday, but there are signs of yet another strong storm system taking shape for the middle of next week that could bring another cold front through the area. Keep in mind this is over a week away and a lot can change between now and then.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1219 PM CST Tue Jan 27 2026

VFR conditions are forecast for all area terminals through Wednesday night. A light southerly flow is forecast to remain for the afternoon and becoming light and variable this evening into the overnight hours and Wednesday morning. Some models bring isolated freezing fog for areas north of KAUS overnight through Wednesday morning. Confidence increases to the north and areas covered by Fort Worth/Dallas weather office for that period. Otherwise, light wind speeds and a northwest to north wind flow is in store across the local airports Wednesday morning into the afternoon hours as a cold front pushes over the local area.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 28 51 31 62 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 25 52 28 63 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 27 55 30 64 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 23 47 29 57 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 29 61 35 66 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 23 48 27 58 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 24 58 29 63 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 25 55 29 64 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 26 53 29 62 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 29 57 32 63 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 30 58 32 65 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.