textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Cooler temperatures this weekend before a warming trend begins early next week

- Low (20-30%) rain/storm chances return for the middle to end of next week

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 1229 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026

Dry and cooler weather are expected for this weekend as surface high pressure remains over the region. Area rainfall on Friday is allowing for a few river forecast points to rise into action stage today before falling back to normal levels tomorrow. Highs will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s this afternoon with decreasing east to northeasterly wind. A cool morning in the upper 40s or 50s is seen Sunday with highs rising into the mid 70s to low 80s in the afternoon as southerly wind returns.

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Saturday) Issued at 1229 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026

Warmer and more humid conditions begin the work week as moderate southerly low level flow persists over the region. Highs will be in the 80s Monday followed by the upper 80s and low 90s on Tuesday under partly or mostly cloudy skies. Attention then turns to the next weather system as an upper trough moves across the Plains Wednesday. At the surface, a dryline moves into Val Verde County Tuesday then as far as the I-35 corridor on Wednesday before a cold front sweeps across the area sometime Wednesday night or Thursday morning. These features bring low rain chances back to the area first in the southern Edwards Plateau and Hill Country Tuesday night into Wednesday morning then to the eastern half of the area during the day Wednesday. A moist and unstable airmass ahead of the dryline will likely bring at least some chance for severe weather, through details remain to be seen.

Conditions will generally be drier in the wake of the front as high pressure moves over the area Thursday before moving east Friday. That said, there is some guidance that generates more rainy conditions Thursday leaving low-end PoPs in the forecast then again late week as a cut off low lingers over the Baja Peninsula sending some disturbances our way. Cooler conditions in the 70s to low 80s are expected Thursday then another day by day warming trend begins.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 614 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026

VFR flight conditions persist through the TAF period under mostly to completely clear skies through Sunday afternoon before higher level clouds increase toward and after sunset Sunday. Wind speeds remain around 10 kt or less with directions shifting from east- northeast to east-southeast and south-southeast by the end of the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 55 81 60 85 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 52 79 57 84 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 52 79 58 85 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 53 78 59 82 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 57 79 62 85 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 53 78 59 83 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 50 78 57 85 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 52 79 57 85 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 53 80 57 84 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 54 79 60 85 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 54 80 60 86 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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