textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 523 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

- The Nueces River at Asherton continues to slowly recede within moderate flood stage.

- A benign weather pattern for the week ahead with seasonable to slightly above average temperatures and rain free conditions.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday) Issued at 1218 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

Mid-level ridging centered across the Four Corners into the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles will remain the dominant weather feature in the short term and beyond. This and a light to moderate southerly low-level flow will result in a seasonably hot and humid weather pattern this weekend. Highs trend in the mid to upper 90s and overnight lows in the mid 70s for the majority of the region. Heat indices peak in the 100 to 106 degree range along the I-35 corridor east through the Coastal Plains and for locations along the Rio Grande. The short term period likely sees slightly more cloud cover compared to the long term below given residual area soil moisture from recent rains. This would include the formation of some low stratus into the early to mid-morning period before eroding into partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies in the afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 1218 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

The mid-level ridging will keep a persistent forecast in place for all of next week with continued rain free and hot weather across South-Central Texas. The ridge does slowly amplify and slightly nudge southward with time. This helps to tick the temperatures upward by a few degrees by the end of the week. However, afternoon heat indices don't budge much compared to the values within the short term as diurnal mixing becomes a little more efficient. We'll monitor those temperature and dew point trends, but for now the conditions are a little shy of the heat advisory criteria mid to late next week. Otherwise, a light to moderate south-southeasterly flow maintains under mostly sunny/clear skies.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 523 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

MVFR ceilings have developed in the San Antonio area and scattered MVFR clouds have spread to Austin. There may be an intermittent ceiling at AUS until mid-morning. VFR conditions will return to San Antonio by late morning. DRT will stay VFR through the entire period. MVFR ceilings will develop again overnight tonight in San Antonio with only scattered clouds in Austin.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 98 76 99 76 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 97 74 98 75 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 97 74 97 75 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 95 73 96 74 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 97 77 99 78 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 97 75 98 77 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 95 73 96 75 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 97 74 97 75 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 98 75 98 77 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 96 76 96 77 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 96 76 97 77 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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