textproduct: Austin/San Antonio

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 615 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

- Wind Advisory for all of South Central Texas through 7pm with sustained winds of 20-30 mph and gusts between 40-50 mph.

- Cooler air ushers into the area and remains through the weekend, then a warming trend begins.

- A potential return to a more active pattern is possible towards next weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 126 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Gusty winds continue early this afternoon as a surface pressure gradient remains behind our early morning cold front. Strong winds northeasterly winds from the sfc to 850mb will continue to send cooler and drier air into our region, but clouds will persist through the night as westerly flow persists above the 500mb level. Expect winds to remain strong beyond the expiration of the Wind Advisory, but below advisory criteria, as sustained speeds slip below 20 mph for most areas after sunset and gusts start to fall to less than 35 mph. Strong cold air advection, particularly between the 850mb and 700mb level will aid in a quick drop off in temperatures overnight. The coolest morning since the Spring is expected Saturday, as lows start in the low to mid 40s over the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau, and in the mid to upper 40s/lower 50s everywhere else.

Clouds are expected to linger somewhat, but they will be of the upper level cirrus variety Saturday and Sunday afternoons as mid- level flow persists out of the west and WSW. Temperatures on Saturday will struggle to get out of the 60s for most areas as northerly winds remain on the breezy side, around 15-20 mph. Winds should relax finally Saturday evening, quickly after sunset as a surface high settles in to our northeast. Temperatures Sunday morning will dip as low as the upper 30s in some spots of the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau, with 40s expected everywhere else.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through next Friday) Issued at 126 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Slightly warmer temperatures are expected Sunday, with most, if not all locations back in the lower to middle 70s. In summary. the weekend will be cool and dry with Fall in the air.

Next week will feature a slow and steady warm-up, but the humidity shouldn't return to the level that it did earlier this week where we had mornings in the mid to upper 70s. By mid to late week, temperatures will warm back into the 80s with increasing southwesterly flow aloft as broad longwave troughing develops over the western CONUS. This could set the stage for a stormier pattern by late week into next weekend, but it is still too far out to have much confidence on where any rain may fall.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 615 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

Prevailing winds are beginning to gradually decrease as this past morning's cold front moves farther away. Gusts during the nighttime may continue to reach 20-30 kt as flow remains fast between FL010-FL050, but winds should lighten after sunrise with much lighter northerly flow at and near-surface Saturday afternoon. VFR conditions should persist through Saturday night with mostly clear skies.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Austin Camp Mabry 50 69 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 47 69 42 74 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 49 68 47 74 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 45 65 45 71 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 49 66 48 70 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 48 68 45 73 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 47 69 46 74 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 48 69 45 75 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 50 70 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 50 69 49 73 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 51 70 50 74 / 0 0 0 0

EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ171>173-183>194- 202>209-217>225-228.