textproduct: El Paso
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1117 AM MDT Mon May 11 2026
- A slight cool down behind the front for Monday. Lowland highs in the 90s will be common this week with dry conditions.
- A slight chance for showers and storms over the Gila region Wednesday afternoon.
..WEEKEND
By this weekend, weak and baggy flow aloft will take control with little to no impacts to sensible weather conditions. Winds will remain light to low-end breezy with above average temperatures continuing.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1117 AM MDT Mon May 11 2026
VFR conditions expected through the period with skies SKC. Winds will be light at 7-12 knots of the southeast to southerly direction.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1117 AM MDT Mon May 11 2026
Elevated fire weather conditions continue as dry air remains in across the area. In the short term, fuels are rebounding quickly despite the recent rains. Fire weather zones across southern NM will continue to see ERC values increase over the next several days as hot, dry, and somewhat breezy conditions resume.
As mentioned above, elevated fire weather conditions will resume...mainly due to sub-critical RH values. RH values will continue trending down, with temperatures above the seasonal average through the week. In terms of winds, winds will remain light to low- end breezy through the period with no sign of any major wind events in the next seven days. Breezy winds return as SW flow aloft resumes on Thursday and Friday, but look to remain sub-critical thresholds. Smoke ventilation rates will be good, becoming excellent by the end of the work week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
El Paso 64 96 69 97 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 55 90 61 92 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 56 93 59 93 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 61 92 66 94 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 46 71 51 72 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 60 93 64 92 / 0 0 0 10 Silver City 57 88 59 86 / 0 0 0 10 Deming 57 97 60 96 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 59 93 61 91 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 64 95 67 96 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 53 93 59 96 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 61 98 65 100 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 58 87 63 89 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 60 97 64 99 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 58 93 61 94 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 67 94 72 95 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 57 92 60 93 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 58 96 61 96 / 0 0 0 10 Columbus 61 96 64 96 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 58 91 62 92 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 50 84 55 84 / 0 10 0 0 Mescalero 50 82 53 83 / 0 0 0 10 Timberon 46 78 52 80 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 47 86 51 84 / 0 0 0 20 Hillsboro 59 91 63 91 / 0 0 0 20 Spaceport 55 92 58 93 / 0 0 0 10 Lake Roberts 50 88 54 86 / 0 10 0 20 Hurley 54 91 57 89 / 0 0 0 10 Cliff 53 94 55 91 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 53 90 55 87 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 55 89 58 88 / 0 0 0 20 Animas 58 94 60 91 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 57 93 61 91 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 57 93 59 91 / 0 0 0 10 Cloverdale 61 88 61 85 / 0 10 10 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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