textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 950 PM MST Fri Jan 9 2026

- Very cold temperatures are expected tonight and Saturday night, with teens and 20s in the lowlands, and single digits in the higher mountains. Wind chills under 15 degrees expected north and west.

- Below normal temperatures will continue through Monday. A gradual warmup to near or slightly above normal temperatures starting Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 950 PM MST Fri Jan 9 2026

Shortwave trough responsible for the previous day's unsettled weather has pushed into the Great Plains. A regime of dry north to northwest flow aloft has been left in its wake, as well as a very cold airmass. Winds will remain around 10 to 15 MPH for several locales, creating frigid wind chills. As such, retained the already issued Cold Weather Advisory.

A Rex block begins to take shape moving into the weekend, keeping conditions relatively moderated across the Borderland. While sunny skies are expected, brisk winds will create a chilling feel to Saturday. Winds are anticipated to diminish steadily throughout the day. Clear skies and light winds will set the stage for enhanced radiational cooling Saturday night will lead to another frigid night. The low pressure portion of the Pacific-dwelling Rex block will break loose Monday, parading eastward through MX. Its travels may bring an isolated shower or two for portions of far west TX--starting as light snow showers early Monday morning and turning into light rain by the afternoon.

Temperatures will commit to a slow and steady warmup into early next week, allowing to reach above normal again by Wednesday. Dry conditions will prevail during the remainder of the forecast period. A backdoor front kicked off by a deep trough in the Great Lakes may surge into the Borderland Thursday night into Friday, bringing another round of colder temperatures.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 950 PM MST Fri Jan 9 2026

VFR conditions to prevail throughout the TAF period. Nwly to nly winds will shift to nly to ely overnight and into the morning hours. Winds will steadily reduce during the day, become light aft sunset.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1044 AM MST Fri Jan 9 2026

Cooler and dry conditions will prevail for much of the next week. The coldest temperatures of the season will begin the period with highs about 10 degrees below normal but warming to near or slightly above normal by the middle of next week. Winds will be strongest over the next day or so but then be light for the remainder of the period. Min RH's will be mainly in the 15-25% range lowlands and 20-30% in the mountains.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 29 49 26 53 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 24 45 20 49 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 25 47 22 52 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 21 47 19 52 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 10 32 18 35 / 10 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 23 45 22 49 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 18 43 23 46 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 25 48 25 51 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 21 46 25 50 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 29 48 26 53 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 23 49 17 52 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 24 51 20 55 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 26 43 23 48 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 25 49 21 55 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 26 48 23 52 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 25 47 26 52 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 19 47 14 52 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 23 48 20 54 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 25 48 25 51 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 23 46 22 52 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 14 41 18 44 / 10 0 0 0 Mescalero 13 40 16 46 / 20 0 0 0 Timberon 12 37 16 43 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 12 41 16 44 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 21 44 21 48 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 20 47 19 50 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 10 44 11 46 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 18 44 19 47 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 16 48 15 53 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 13 46 14 50 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 21 44 25 47 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 24 46 25 49 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 24 45 23 48 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 22 46 23 48 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 25 42 29 44 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM MST Saturday for Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-Southern Gila Region Highlands/Black Range.

Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM MST Saturday for Central Grant County/Silver City Area-East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Eastern Black Range Foothills-Lowlands of the Bootheel-Sierra County Lakes-Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-Uplands of the Bootheel-Upper Gila River Valley-West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet.