textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 944 AM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

- A Heat Advisory is in effect for El Paso and the lower valley until 9 PM MDT. Temperatures will cool off this weekend to below 100 degrees. - Continued rain chances for today and Friday with the area mountains being favored with more isolated activity in the desert lowlands.

- Elevated to possibly critical fire weather concerns this weekend. Fire Weather Watches may be needed out west.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 944 AM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

The Heat Advisory remains in effect for El Paso and Hudspeth Counties along the Rio Grande until 9 PM MDT this evening. Temperatures will range from 103-105 for most of the lowlands today. More moisture will push into our area today, giving the region a chance of isolated to scattered thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, with the high-terrains having the best chance of thunderstorms (15-25%). Some gusty outflows are possible with these thunderstorms. Friday will see slightly less moisture in our area, but it will be sufficient enough to produce more showers and thunderstorms.

The high pressure system will move east as a large upper-level trough from the Pacific Northwest will push moisture out of our area this weekend and cool temperatures down to below 100 degrees, with any remaining moisture hanging in the Sacramento Mountains and Hudspeth Counties, leaving a slight chance of storms (20-30%) Saturday and Sunday. However, this trough will bring some breezy (10-20 mph) winds, especially on Sunday, which will raise fire weather conditions to elevated and near- critical for the Gila. Temperatures will stay in the 90s as we enter July, but the same moisture plume will stay in place due to the trough out west and the high out east, raising the probability of storm chances midweek.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 944 AM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout the period. Some mid-to- high level clouds will fill the sky as the day progresses, with the lowest bases being FL130. Some storms are possible this evening, and there is low confidence of direct outflow impacts to KELP and the other sites, some gusts up to 40kt are possible. Will need to watch closely as the day progresses.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 944 AM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...Elevated to possibly critical fire weather conditions this weekend...

Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible across the area today and tomorrow as the high pressure system overhead moves south into Mexico and allows mid-level moisture to seep in. Min RH values will be in the mid-to-upper teens, however, as low-level moisture will be few and far between. These thunderstorms may produce gusty outflow winds in the afternoon and evening, and may also pose a risk of dry lightning. Temperatures will begin to cool off as the weekend commences, with high temperatures finally falling below 100.

However, as the high pressure system moves east, a large upper- level trough from the Pacific Northwest will bring breezy winds into our area, especially west of the Rio Grande. Low rainfall rates from these isolated storms will not help fuel recovery much, and winds up to 20 mph on Saturday and especially Sunday means we will be near Red Flag criteria out west. Fire Weather Watches will likely be issued out west Saturday and Sunday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 76 103 76 101 / 20 20 20 0 Sierra Blanca 70 98 68 97 / 10 20 30 10 Las Cruces 68 100 69 99 / 20 20 20 0 Alamogordo 69 100 70 100 / 10 20 10 0 Cloudcroft 54 77 54 77 / 20 20 10 0 Truth or Consequences 69 99 69 99 / 30 20 10 0 Silver City 63 93 64 91 / 10 20 20 0 Deming 67 102 68 101 / 20 20 20 0 Lordsburg 66 98 68 97 / 10 20 20 0 West El Paso Metro 75 101 75 99 / 20 20 20 0 Dell City 70 102 70 101 / 10 20 20 0 Fort Hancock 75 104 74 102 / 10 20 40 10 Loma Linda 70 95 69 94 / 10 20 10 0 Fabens 74 103 74 102 / 20 20 20 0 Santa Teresa 71 100 72 99 / 20 20 20 0 White Sands HQ 75 101 76 100 / 20 20 20 0 Jornada Range 68 100 69 99 / 20 20 20 0 Hatch 68 103 70 102 / 30 20 20 0 Columbus 73 102 73 101 / 20 20 20 0 Orogrande 68 99 69 98 / 20 20 10 0 Mayhill 59 89 60 89 / 20 20 20 0 Mescalero 57 88 58 88 / 10 20 10 0 Timberon 56 86 56 86 / 10 20 20 0 Winston 58 91 59 90 / 30 20 0 0 Hillsboro 66 97 67 97 / 20 20 20 0 Spaceport 64 99 65 99 / 30 20 20 0 Lake Roberts 58 93 58 91 / 20 20 10 0 Hurley 64 96 64 95 / 10 20 20 0 Cliff 64 98 64 97 / 10 20 20 0 Mule Creek 62 94 63 93 / 20 10 0 0 Faywood 65 95 66 94 / 20 20 20 0 Animas 67 99 67 98 / 20 20 20 0 Hachita 66 98 66 98 / 20 20 20 0 Antelope Wells 67 98 68 97 / 30 20 10 10 Cloverdale 64 92 65 91 / 30 20 10 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT this evening for Eastern/Central El Paso County-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-Western El Paso County.

NM...None.