textproduct: El Paso

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 920 PM MST Wed Feb 11 2026 - Fair and dry conditions Thursday, with mild temperatures and generally light winds. Lowland highs in the lower seventies, well above normal for early February.

- Our next Pacific storm arrives Friday, bringing scattered lowland rain and a wintry mix over the high elevations.

- Unsettled weather exits early Saturday, with fair weather following for the rest of the weekend. chance of stronger winds out of the west next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 920 PM MST Wed Feb 11 2026

VFR conditions persist through the TAF period with dry conditions and passing high clouds. Variable sky cover throughout the period. Skies varying from FEW080 SCT250 through to FEW160 BKN250 aft 12Z... and then back to FEW-SCT250 aft 18z. Surface winds 160-240 at 5 to 10 knots early evening...with a few gusts near 18kts, but gusts ending, and speeds diminishing to 3-5kts by/aft 03Z, with winds shifting more to 220-250 tomorrow afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1100 AM MST Wed Feb 11 2026

Dry and warm conditions today and Thursday, with south winds 10 to 15 mph resulting in Good ventilation. A few hours of Good vent rates again Thursday afternoon, under southwest flow.

Pacific storm system arrives on Friday, bringing scattered precipitation. Winds will be breezy out of the west Friday and Saturday as the system passes, generally 15 to 25 mph. New precipitation totals 0.25-0.50" forecasted for the local mountain forests, with snow limited mostly to elevations above 8,000 feet. This will keep fire danger low through the rest of the weekend and early new week.

The start of the spring windy season looks to begin next week with a series of breezy to windy conditions. Winds will be primarily out of the southwest, leading to Very Good ventilation and transport consistently to the ENE. Elevated fire danger conditions will be a concern going forward as the forests quickly dry and ERCs increase in the coming weeks.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 48 74 52 66 / 0 0 0 70 Sierra Blanca 43 71 51 66 / 0 0 0 60 Las Cruces 43 71 47 62 / 0 0 10 70 Alamogordo 42 71 47 65 / 0 0 0 70 Cloudcroft 35 51 36 46 / 0 0 0 80 Truth or Consequences 45 72 47 61 / 0 0 0 70 Silver City 42 64 44 56 / 0 0 10 90 Deming 43 73 47 64 / 0 0 10 80 Lordsburg 43 69 46 60 / 0 0 10 80 West El Paso Metro 49 73 54 65 / 0 0 0 70 Dell City 40 72 47 67 / 0 0 0 60 Fort Hancock 45 77 52 72 / 0 0 0 70 Loma Linda 45 67 51 61 / 0 0 0 70 Fabens 46 75 52 69 / 0 0 0 70 Santa Teresa 45 72 50 64 / 0 0 0 70 White Sands HQ 47 72 52 65 / 0 0 10 70 Jornada Range 42 72 45 64 / 0 0 10 70 Hatch 42 75 46 66 / 0 0 10 80 Columbus 46 74 50 65 / 0 0 10 80 Orogrande 42 71 49 64 / 0 0 0 70 Mayhill 37 66 40 58 / 0 0 0 70 Mescalero 36 62 38 58 / 0 0 0 80 Timberon 39 59 42 54 / 0 0 0 70 Winston 33 65 37 56 / 0 0 0 80 Hillsboro 43 71 46 61 / 0 0 10 80 Spaceport 40 71 44 62 / 0 0 0 70 Lake Roberts 37 64 40 56 / 0 0 10 90 Hurley 40 67 43 58 / 0 0 10 90 Cliff 40 69 43 61 / 0 0 10 90 Mule Creek 40 66 42 57 / 0 0 10 90 Faywood 43 67 46 58 / 0 0 10 90 Animas 45 71 48 62 / 0 0 10 80 Hachita 43 71 47 61 / 0 0 10 70 Antelope Wells 43 72 47 62 / 0 0 10 70 Cloverdale 46 64 47 55 / 0 0 10 80

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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