textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry southwest flow aloft will keep the area mostly dry Wednesday through Saturday. Otero and Hudspeth counties could see thunderstorms on Thursday due to moisture from the east.

- We will finish out May with high temperatures running a few degrees below average each day through Saturday. - Next week will start warm and then cool below average as we will see another chance for rain.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1025 PM MDT Tue May 26 2026

Drier air will continue to push into the region from the west on Wednesday and that will keep us warm and dry. For Thursday, most of the area will stay dry, but a little moisture may sneak into the eastern part of the area. That moisture could help fuel a few thunderstorms in eastern Otero and Hudspeth counties. Our high temperatures on Thursday will run at or a degree or two below average.

On Friday, a large upper level trough will lift to our north through the Great Basin, this system is too far away to really impact our weather, but it will push more dry air into the region. Despite deeper moisture to our east, the dry westerly winds look to keep that moisture east of the area mountains. High temperatures will creep higher each day so that by Sunday our high temperatures will run a few degrees above average. Our warm dry weather will continue on Monday, as upper level high pressure begins to strengthen aloft. Then on Tuesday of next week, moisture will move back into the area from the east and give locations east of the Rio Grande a chance for rain. Temperatures for the middle of next week, look to trend a little below average, but the extended models continue to strengthen the upper level high through the end of next week, which could lead to some very warm temperatures.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1025 PM MDT Tue May 26 2026

Most of our winds have settled down this evening. The one exception is KELP where an outflow boundary moved through the airport and picked up their winds from the north. Those winds, like the others, should die off in the next couple of hours. The clouds have cleared out and we have unlimited ceilings this evening. Those unlimited ceilings will continue through out the night tonight and through out the day on Wednesday. Like today (and the day before) we will see a few hours of low end gusty winds Wednesday afternoon, otherwise our winds will generally be light tonight.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1130 AM MDT Tue May 26 2026

Drier air will begin pushing into the area. For today, it will mainly be for areas west of the Rio Grande with single-digit RH values. East of the Rio Grande, enough moisture will stick around for isolated to scattered thunderstorms. Drier air will push in to cover almost the entirety of the CWA for Wednesday, with single digit afternoon RH values. Enough moisture will linger for a low chance for storms in the Sacramento Mountains. We will repeat this pattern for the remainder of the week. Winds will top out each afternoon around 10 MPH. Vent rates will generally be very good to excellent.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 60 90 66 93 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 53 84 58 88 / 0 10 0 0 Las Cruces 52 86 56 90 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 55 86 60 90 / 0 0 0 20 Cloudcroft 40 65 44 68 / 10 0 0 30 Truth or Consequences 54 85 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 49 79 52 81 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 53 90 55 92 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 54 87 56 88 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 60 88 65 91 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 53 87 57 90 / 0 0 0 10 Fort Hancock 59 93 64 96 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 54 82 59 86 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 57 91 62 95 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 55 87 59 90 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 61 87 67 91 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 52 86 57 90 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 52 89 56 92 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 59 90 60 91 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 54 85 59 89 / 0 0 0 10 Mayhill 43 77 48 78 / 10 0 10 40 Mescalero 44 75 47 79 / 10 10 0 40 Timberon 42 72 47 75 / 10 0 0 20 Winston 43 77 45 80 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 53 83 55 86 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 50 85 54 88 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 43 80 46 82 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 47 82 51 84 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 48 86 51 88 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 48 81 51 83 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 50 81 53 83 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 54 87 56 88 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 54 87 56 88 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 54 87 55 88 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 52 80 54 81 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.