textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1123 AM MDT Sat May 9 2026

- Warmer temperatures this weekend, pushing lowland highs to the lower to mid 90s into next week. Slight cooling on Monday.

- Other than isolated thunderstorms over the Sacramento Mountains Sunday, dry conditions and light winds expected.

..THURSDAY & FRIDAY

Aforementioned storm system will move west to east well north of the forecast area with breezy winds returning during that timeframe. Temperatures will remain in the 90s across the desert lowlands Thursday and Friday.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1123 AM MDT Sat May 9 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period with skies SKC to FEW/SCT at 10-15kft. Winds will be light at 8-13 knots with isolated gusts to 17-20 knots this afternoon, generally out of the west.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1123 AM MDT Sat May 9 2026

Elevated fire weather conditions continue with dry air over the region. Rains last weekend dropped ERC values below 75th percentile, but recent drying over the past few days allowed ERC values to increase back to around 80th percentile.

Weather-wise, as mentioned above, elevated fire weather conditions will continue...mainly due to sub-critical RH values. RH values will continue trending down, with temperatures above average through the period. In terms of winds, winds will remain light to low-end breezy through the period with no sign of any major wind events in the next seven days. The only thing to note for winds, is the progged backdoor cold front will move through during the Sunday timeframe, with winds turning back to the east/northeast. Along with gusty outflow winds from isolated virga showers Saturday and Sunday afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 66 93 63 89 / 0 10 10 0 Sierra Blanca 58 88 55 83 / 0 10 10 0 Las Cruces 59 90 55 87 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 64 88 54 86 / 0 10 0 0 Cloudcroft 50 63 40 64 / 0 30 0 20 Truth or Consequences 65 87 58 86 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 56 84 54 83 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 59 94 56 90 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 58 91 60 89 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 66 92 63 88 / 0 10 0 0 Dell City 56 87 53 85 / 0 10 10 0 Fort Hancock 62 96 61 91 / 0 0 10 0 Loma Linda 61 84 56 81 / 0 10 10 0 Fabens 61 94 60 91 / 0 0 10 0 Santa Teresa 60 91 57 86 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 72 90 64 87 / 0 10 0 0 Jornada Range 60 89 54 87 / 0 10 0 0 Hatch 62 92 55 90 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 65 94 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 61 87 56 84 / 0 10 0 0 Mayhill 55 72 44 77 / 0 40 0 20 Mescalero 53 74 43 76 / 0 30 0 10 Timberon 51 72 42 73 / 0 20 0 10 Winston 51 80 46 81 / 10 10 0 10 Hillsboro 63 86 56 85 / 0 10 0 0 Spaceport 60 88 51 87 / 0 10 0 0 Lake Roberts 51 83 48 84 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 55 87 52 84 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 52 90 51 90 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 52 86 51 87 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 57 85 53 84 / 0 10 0 0 Animas 57 91 57 90 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 59 91 58 88 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 57 92 57 90 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 57 86 60 85 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.