textproduct: El Paso

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KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 444 AM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

- Gusty winds over the Sacramento Mountains and along east slopes of the Organ and Franklin Mountains through this afternoon.

- A few morning showers Hudspeth and Otero Counties; a slight chance of mountain showers this afternoon; otherwise...

- Dry weather through this weekend with seasonable temperatures.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 921 PM MST Sun Nov 1 2026

Active weather will continue for a few more hours this evening then begin taper off and dissipate in the early morning hours. The band of showers and weak embedded thunderstorms is associated with a strong Pacific front that is part of a larger weather system moving from west to east across the region. After the passage of the frontal system, conditions will turn dry and breezy to windy for the lowlands throughout the day on Monday.

Stronger winds aloft will generate very strong winds along the east slopes of the Sacramento mountains in the early morning hours through mid day. Wind gusts up to 70 mph may occur along the east slopes of the Sacramento Mountains. A high wind warning is in effect for that area. Temperatures will also be cooler behind the front with lowland temperatures in the upper 60s to 70 degrees. Tuesday will also be cooler but a mild warming trend will occur by mid week.

An extended period of quieter dry weather will occur the rest of the week and into next weekend. Predominately westerly flow pattern aloft will be in place. Low pressure troughs and short wave ridges will transit through the region with little impact on southern New Mexico and far west Texas. The westerly flow breaks down next weekend and is replaced by strong ridge that will maintain the dry pattern for the region. Tuesday through Sunday will be mostly sunny, with light winds and seasonal temperatures.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 444 AM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

SCT080 SCT-BKN150 BKN250. From Santa Teresa-Alamogordo line south...isolated BKN060 -SHRA until 14Z. Also...slight chance of BKN050 -SHRA over the Gila/Black Range Mtns until 15Z. Patchy fog 1-3SM possible until 16Z in any areas that have clearing skies. Surface winds southwest 7-10 knots increasing to west 17-23G33 knots after 17Z, then decreasing to northwest 7-10 knots after 01Z.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 444 AM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

No fire weather concerns this week. Gusty winds this afternoon of 25-35 mph but min RHs remaining unseasonably high. Drying begins after today and persists into the coming weekend. No significant winds expected remainder of this week other than perhaps a breezy Wednesday afternoon as a weak Pacific cold front pushes through. Temperatures will remain seasonable.

Min RH: Lowlands 30-45% today and Tuesday, decreasing to 25-35% Wednesday through Friday. Mountains 45-60% today and Tuesday, decreasing to 30-45% Wednesday through Friday. Vent rates very good today, becoming poor-fair Tuesday through Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 48 69 47 74 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 45 67 43 73 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 42 66 42 70 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 42 66 41 70 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 31 48 33 52 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 43 67 41 71 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 36 63 39 66 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 39 68 40 72 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 38 67 39 70 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 50 69 49 73 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 47 69 44 73 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 50 73 49 81 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 45 63 45 67 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 48 72 47 78 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 45 67 44 72 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 47 67 47 72 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 40 67 39 71 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 43 70 39 74 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 44 69 43 73 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 42 66 39 70 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 37 61 36 66 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 34 59 35 62 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 33 57 34 60 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 34 64 33 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 41 67 41 72 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 38 67 37 70 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 31 67 31 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 35 65 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 35 71 34 72 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 32 67 31 68 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 38 64 39 67 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 40 68 40 73 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 39 67 39 72 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 41 69 42 76 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 40 66 43 69 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...High Wind Warning until 4 PM MST this afternoon for East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet.


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