textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 957 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

- We will see lower rain chances this week, with the best chances for rain in the Gila region and along the New Mexico and Arizona border.

- High temperatures will continue to run above average, with triple digit high temperatures common across the lowlands this week. We won't be as hot as we were last week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 957 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

Upper high pressure will start to elongate Monday, stretching from SoCal to NM. High pressure will continue to meander over this same area through around Wednesday allowing for the return of hot, triple digit temperatures across the lowlands Monday through Wednesday. Tuesday looks the hottest where Heat Advisories may be needed for the Lower Valley and potentially El Paso. Continued storm chances each day with a focus over the Gila region and western locations of the CWA bordering AZ. We may need to keep an eye on the Lordsburg Playa these next few days if any storms are expected to pop up nearby there. High pressure will still continue to influence the area Thursday and Friday but will gradually shift closer to NV/UT/AZ borders. Looks like it could be a little more active with thunderstorm activity by the end of the work week if we can get a better tap of moisture into the area. Not quite as hot Thu/Fri and into the weekend. Upper 90s and some few triple digit readings expected during that time frame.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 957 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

Calm and quiet overnight with light winds and clearing skies. Continued light winds through the morning. Thunderstorm chances expected again with much of the focus generally west of the Rio Grande. KDMN has the best shot to see a storm. KTCS and KLRU have less of a shot, and KELP will probably stay dry. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing strong gusty outflow winds and may pick up dust as well.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1202 PM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

We will have lower rain chances this week as drier air returns to the region. Min RH's for Monday and Tuesday will be in the low to mid teens in the lowlands east of the Rio Grande and in the 20's west of the Rio Grande and in area mountains. A little moisture will creep into the area from the southeast for the middle and end of the work week which will allow our min RH's to creep a little higher; mid to upper teens in the lowlands and mid 20's to mid 30's in area mountains. Winds the next five days will stay well below critical levels. Like I mentioned the drier air will limit our rain chances this week, but the Gila Region will have enough moisture to see at least a daily slight chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms. The main threat from the thunderstorms will be strong and gusty outflow winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 75 101 76 104 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 66 96 68 98 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 69 99 71 101 / 0 0 0 10 Alamogordo 72 100 75 101 / 0 10 0 20 Cloudcroft 52 76 56 78 / 0 20 0 30 Truth or Consequences 70 101 73 101 / 0 10 10 30 Silver City 64 93 65 94 / 20 50 20 40 Deming 69 100 70 102 / 0 10 10 30 Lordsburg 70 99 70 98 / 10 30 30 40 West El Paso Metro 75 101 77 103 / 0 0 0 10 Dell City 69 100 71 102 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 74 103 75 106 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 69 94 71 96 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 73 101 74 103 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 72 99 73 101 / 0 0 0 10 White Sands HQ 74 100 76 102 / 0 0 0 10 Jornada Range 71 100 73 101 / 0 0 0 20 Hatch 70 104 73 105 / 0 10 10 30 Columbus 73 101 75 102 / 0 0 10 20 Orogrande 69 98 71 100 / 0 0 0 10 Mayhill 58 88 61 89 / 0 20 0 20 Mescalero 58 88 61 90 / 0 20 0 30 Timberon 55 85 58 87 / 0 20 10 10 Winston 60 93 63 92 / 10 30 10 30 Hillsboro 67 99 70 99 / 0 30 10 30 Spaceport 68 100 70 101 / 0 10 10 30 Lake Roberts 59 93 59 94 / 20 50 20 50 Hurley 65 96 66 96 / 20 50 20 30 Cliff 66 99 67 99 / 20 50 20 30 Mule Creek 65 96 65 95 / 10 50 20 30 Faywood 67 95 67 96 / 10 30 10 30 Animas 70 99 70 99 / 10 30 30 40 Hachita 69 98 69 98 / 0 20 20 40 Antelope Wells 69 97 70 98 / 0 20 20 40 Cloverdale 66 92 65 91 / 0 30 30 50

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.