textproduct: El Paso

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1100 PM MDT Sat Mar 28 2026

- Warm conditions through Tuesday with plenty of high clouds. Slight chance of rain showers for southern New Mexico Monday afternoon then again on Wednesday.

- Breezy conditions return midweek, with southwest winds each afternoon Tuesday through Friday.

..THURSDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND

Drier air returns late this week, along with continued breezy winds out of the west/southwest each afternoon. Not really seeing any concerning wind speeds any particular day, so not anticipating Wind Headlines this week. Temperatures will be 5 to 10 degrees above normal for early April, which means lowland highs in the lower-to-mid 80s. Both global models show a cold front intrusion again sometime next weekend, however this one looks drier and weaker than previous fronts. Could lead to a pleasant weekend weather-wise and a nice Easter Sunday for El Paso and Southern New Mexico.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1100 PM MDT Sat Mar 28 2026

VMC through forecast period under southwest flow aloft. Skies SCT-BKN250 tonight, then SCT-BKN200 tomorrow. Surface winds light and variable overnight, then southeast 110-150 at 05 to 10 knots on Sunday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1100 AM MDT Sat Mar 28 2026

We will see quieter fire weather conditions today as cooler air and min RH's above 20% will be the rule. But it won't last long, as Sunday will see winds come back around to the west (but not strong) and min RH's will drop back into the teens in the lowlands and in the 20's in area mountains. For most of next week, we will have a zonal (west to east) wind flow aloft which will give us breezy to windy (but not too windy) conditions each afternoon. We will see a slight chance for rain Sunday and Monday and again on Wednesday, mainly in area mountains. The moisture will help keep min RH's up a little but by Thursday and Friday the drier air will win out and we will see min RH's well down into the teens in the lowlands and in the upper teens or lower 20's in area mountains.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 51 86 56 89 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 45 82 51 85 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 46 84 52 85 / 0 0 0 10 Alamogordo 46 84 51 87 / 0 0 0 10 Cloudcroft 38 64 44 65 / 0 10 0 10 Truth or Consequences 49 84 56 84 / 0 10 10 20 Silver City 46 79 51 76 / 0 10 10 30 Deming 48 86 54 86 / 0 0 0 20 Lordsburg 46 83 52 82 / 0 0 10 30 West El Paso Metro 54 85 58 87 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 41 86 49 89 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 49 89 53 92 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 49 80 54 82 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 49 87 54 90 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 49 83 52 87 / 0 0 0 10 White Sands HQ 52 86 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 44 85 49 87 / 0 0 0 10 Hatch 45 88 49 89 / 0 0 0 10 Columbus 50 86 59 87 / 0 0 10 10 Orogrande 46 83 51 86 / 0 0 0 10 Mayhill 43 78 48 78 / 0 10 0 10 Mescalero 38 76 44 76 / 0 10 0 10 Timberon 40 72 46 74 / 0 10 0 10 Winston 38 78 44 76 / 0 10 10 30 Hillsboro 48 83 54 82 / 0 10 10 20 Spaceport 43 84 48 85 / 0 0 10 10 Lake Roberts 43 80 46 76 / 0 10 10 40 Hurley 44 81 50 79 / 0 10 10 20 Cliff 44 86 48 83 / 0 10 10 30 Mule Creek 44 82 50 79 / 0 10 10 40 Faywood 47 81 53 80 / 0 10 10 20 Animas 48 84 54 82 / 0 10 10 40 Hachita 46 83 53 82 / 0 0 10 30 Antelope Wells 49 83 54 82 / 0 10 20 40 Cloverdale 53 80 54 77 / 0 20 20 50

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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