textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 849 PM MST Mon Dec 15 2025

- Dry conditions through the week ahead with no rain chances into the Christmas holiday. - We will have warmer temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday, then even warmer temperatures through the coming weekend. Lowland highs in the lower to mid seventies will be near daily records for mid December.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 849 PM MST Mon Dec 15 2025

A weak and dry upper level trough is moving across the area tonight. This system will have no impact on our weather and will be to our east by Tuesday afternoon. At the surface our winds will come around to the west and that will allow around 5 degrees of warming from Monday's highs. On Tuesday, an upper level ridge will begin to build out of the Pacific Ocean and that will give us a dry northwest flow across the area for Wednesday through Friday. We will see light surface winds and our high temperatures will continue to climb so that by Friday afternoon our high temperatures will be running 15 to 20 degrees above average. The upper level ridge will build across northern Mexico through the weekend and continue our record and near record breaking warm temperatures. The upper level ridge will continue to drift slowly to the east for the start of next week and we will stay under the influence of the ridge for next Monday and Tuesday with high temperatures still running 13 to 18 degrees above average. No real sign of any clouds let alone precipitation chances through the start of next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 849 PM MST Mon Dec 15 2025

Our light north or light and variable winds will continue tonight and through the morning hours on Tuesday. By Tuesday afternoon we will have winds of around 10 knots from the west. We may see a few low end wind gusts across part of the New Mexico lowlands, but they will only last a few hours. By sunset we will see a return of our light north winds. No clouds are expected for the next 24 hours so our ceilings will continue to be unlimited through Tuesday and likely for much of the coming week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 945 AM MST Mon Dec 15 2025

A dry pattern is expected for the next several days, but winds will be light. This afternoon's min RH will be somewhat higher with cooler temperatures, bottoming out in the upper 20s and lower 30s. Warmer weather is expected beginning for Tuesday, which will push min RH values into the mid teens. That will remain the case for the rest of the week as will well above normal temperatures. Skies will be clear or mostly clear after today.

As mentioned, winds will be light with speeds less than 10 MPH each afternoon. This will keep venting in the poor to fair category much of the week. The warmer temperatures on Saturday will help foster fair to good vent rates.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 69 39 69 41 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 65 35 64 39 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 66 35 66 36 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 66 32 65 36 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 48 30 50 34 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 65 36 66 40 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 65 37 66 39 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 71 34 71 36 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 67 34 68 34 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 67 39 67 43 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 70 29 69 32 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 71 35 71 39 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 61 39 61 41 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 69 35 69 38 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 67 34 66 36 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 68 41 68 44 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 66 31 66 34 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 69 32 70 34 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 71 37 71 43 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 64 33 63 34 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 63 32 65 40 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 58 31 61 35 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 58 29 59 33 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 63 30 67 37 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 67 39 69 42 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 66 32 66 34 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 65 32 66 33 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 68 35 68 36 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 70 32 71 30 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 68 34 68 33 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 68 38 68 41 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 70 37 71 37 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 69 34 70 36 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 72 37 73 38 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 67 43 66 42 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.