textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1040 PM MST Fri Nov 13 2026

- We will see cooler temperatures on Saturday and Sunday with highs running 3 to 5 degrees below average.

- There will be a chance for some light mountain rain or high elevation snow showers Saturday evening.

- Temperatures look to remain slightly below normal into next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1040 PM MST Fri Nov 13 2026

An approaching upper level trough has brought moisture, rain and lots of clouds to the area this evening. The thunderstorms will continue to move off to the northeast and should clear the area a little after midnight. On Saturday a second short wave will rotate across New Mexico and bring some rain showers mainly to area mountains Saturday afternoon and evening. I wouldn't be surprised if there was some rain mixed with snow above 8K, but no snow accumulations are expected. In addition to the mountain precipitation, we will see breezy west winds across the region Saturday afternoon. For Sunday the upper level trough will be to our east while an upper level ridge will be building into the west coast. This pattern will keep us dry, but cool. High temperatures both Saturday and Sunday will run 3 to 5 degrees below average.

On Monday an upper level short wave ridge will dash across New Mexico and that will keep us dry with less winds. Behind the ridge another upper level trough will begin to get organized just off the coast of California. As the trough approaches the area on Tuesday we will again see a chance for rain, mainly in area mountains. High temperatures both Monday and Tuesday, will run just a degree or two below average. For the end of next week, we will see yet another upper level trough begin to approach the region. Right now it looks like most of the precipitation will stay to north of our area so there are not a lot of precipitation chances in the forecast. High temperatures for the end of the week will be near seasonal averages.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1040 PM MST Fri Nov 13 2026

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to push northeast and out of the area over the next few hours. A decent amount of rain has fallen across the area and if the skies would clear out we could see some patchy areas of fog, but I think we will have some ceilings most of the night which will make fog development much harder. We will have west winds tonight at less than 10 knots, but by early Saturday afternoon, we will see some breezy west winds move into the region. Winds will be 26015G25KT and the wind gusts will drop off late Saturday night. We will continue to ceilings of of BKN080-100 tonight and through most of the day on Saturday, before the clouds begin to clear Saturday night.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 150 PM MST Fri Nov 13 2026

Low fire weather concerns continue as ERCs remain low, and RH values are high. Showers and isolated thunderstorms to day into tonight will keep that trend going. Breezy conditions, with west winds gusting to 35 mph at times in the afternoon Saturday, will be of little concern given ongoing moist conditions and below normal temperatures. Some rain/snow showers are possible Saturday afternoon in the Black Range and Sacramento Mountains.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 49 64 46 64 / 40 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 47 61 44 61 / 90 0 0 0 Las Cruces 45 61 40 62 / 20 10 0 0 Alamogordo 46 62 40 62 / 60 20 10 0 Cloudcroft 34 36 28 42 / 70 40 20 0 Truth or Consequences 45 63 40 60 / 30 0 0 0 Silver City 40 53 34 58 / 40 20 0 0 Deming 44 61 38 62 / 30 0 0 0 Lordsburg 43 60 39 61 / 30 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 51 64 46 64 / 40 0 0 0 Dell City 49 65 43 64 / 90 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 50 70 46 69 / 70 0 0 0 Loma Linda 46 57 41 58 / 70 0 0 0 Fabens 49 67 46 66 / 50 10 0 0 Santa Teresa 47 63 43 63 / 30 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 50 63 45 63 / 30 0 0 0 Jornada Range 45 62 37 63 / 40 0 0 0 Hatch 46 65 39 65 / 50 0 0 0 Columbus 47 65 43 64 / 20 0 0 0 Orogrande 47 62 41 61 / 40 0 0 0 Mayhill 39 51 33 54 / 90 20 10 0 Mescalero 39 49 32 54 / 80 40 20 0 Timberon 36 48 30 52 / 70 20 10 0 Winston 37 55 31 56 / 30 0 0 0 Hillsboro 42 61 37 61 / 40 0 0 0 Spaceport 44 63 37 61 / 50 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 37 52 30 59 / 50 30 0 0 Hurley 40 57 34 60 / 30 10 0 0 Cliff 45 59 36 64 / 50 20 0 0 Mule Creek 41 54 34 60 / 40 20 0 0 Faywood 43 56 37 59 / 30 0 0 0 Animas 44 63 40 63 / 50 0 0 0 Hachita 44 62 38 62 / 30 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 45 62 40 63 / 40 0 0 0 Cloverdale 45 56 40 59 / 70 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.