textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 449 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026 - Pacific storm will exit the area on Saturday with near-seasonal temperatures and breezy west to northwesterly winds.

- Warm and dry conditions resume on Sunday and Monday with temperatures back to well above the seasonal average. Winds will be low-end breezy each afternoon.

- A more Spring-like pattern will settle in across the region for the majority of next work week. Each afternoon will offer breezy to windy conditions. Low chances of precipitation mainly focus over the Gila on Tuesday.

..NEXT WEEK

Next week looks to be the start of an active weather pattern setting up across western CONUS. Consistent troughing will dominate the Intermountain West as a series of Pacific storm systems move onshore. Model and ensemble guidance shows, with fairly good confidence that the specific storm track off to our north over northern AZ/NM and southern UT/CO. The first spoke of energy (shortwave trough) will eject across the southern Great Basin and Central/Southern Rockies on Tuesday. Corresponding lee-side surface low development over the Central High Plains will promote breezy winds across the CWA.

The next spoke of energy approaches the region on Wednesday/Thursday timeframe , giving the area another shot of breezy to windy conditions. However, there still remains uncertainty between model guidance and their respected ensemble suites. As of now, each system that moves across the region look to be mostly dry, offering little precipitation chances.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 449 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

The upper level storm system that has brought clouds and rain showers to the area is currently centered directly over south central New Mexico. This system will continue to push to the east today and take the clouds and rain chances with it. We will continue to see a chance for rain for the next hour and then we should be dry across the area for the rest of the day. Ceilings will improve as we move through the morning into the afternoon and we will have unlimited ceilings tonight. Winds will be a little gusty on the back side of the system today, but by early evening the gusty winds will drop off and we will have light west or northwest winds tonight.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 449 AM MST Sat Feb 14 2026

An upper level storm system was moving across the area this morning and as the system continues to move east, it will take the rain and clouds with it. We will see warmer and drier conditions for Sunday and Monday. Min RH's by Monday will range from 10 to 15% in the lowlands and in the 20's in area mountains. Winds Monday afternoon will be breezy. Winds will approach critical levels on Tuesday, but min RH's come up a bit. We will continue to see breezy to windy conditions for most of the days next week. Min RH's for Wednesday through Friday will range from 13 to 18% in the lowlands and in the 20's in area mountains. We will likely see elevated fire conditions a few afternoons next week, but right now critical fire weather conditions are not expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 42 73 44 78 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 37 68 41 77 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 36 68 39 73 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 35 69 39 74 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 27 50 34 54 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 38 68 40 74 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 35 62 38 65 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 36 71 39 76 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 35 68 37 71 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 44 72 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 35 70 38 78 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 40 75 43 84 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 40 65 44 71 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 40 75 42 81 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 38 70 40 75 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 42 69 45 75 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 34 70 37 74 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 35 71 37 76 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 39 70 40 77 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 37 69 40 74 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 30 65 37 69 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 29 61 35 66 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 33 57 38 63 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 27 63 29 68 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 37 67 39 72 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 33 68 36 74 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 30 64 34 65 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 34 64 36 69 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 32 70 34 71 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 32 66 35 65 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 37 63 40 68 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 36 71 39 72 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 35 69 37 74 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 35 71 38 74 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 38 65 43 65 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.