textproduct: El Paso

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 630 AM MST Fri Nov 28 2025

- Warmer than average temperatures continue Friday and Saturday with dry and pleasant conditions.

- A cold front will push in Sunday morning bringing easterly breeziness that morning and temperatures becoming below normal.

- Gradual warming temperatures through the work week next week. Dry conditions and light afternoon breezes each day.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1015 PM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

Dry and quiet conditions persist through Saturday with above normal temperatures. A pacific storm system will pass over the central Rockies Saturday which will shove a colder airmass down south and into the Borderland by late Saturday night and Sunday morning. Winds will increase with the frontal passage with wind speeds generally 15- 25 mph that morning, with more gustier conditions on west facing slopes like the Huecos, San Andres/Organs, and west El Paso. Blustery conditions expected Sunday morning. Gusts will reach into the 40 mph range. Winds relax heading into the afternoon but will be a low end breezy day. High temperatures will dip into the low to mid 50s east of the Rio Grande with mid 50s and low 60s seen west of the Rio Grande on Sunday. A pacific storm system will pass over the Central Rockies Monday but does not do much for us and will not even be noticeable. Quiet, dry, and gradual warming temperatures can be expected heading into mid-week next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 630 AM MST Fri Nov 28 2025

VFR conditions will prevail, with scattered high clouds about. Light and variable winds in the morning becoming light WSW to SW. Might see a couple gusts around 15-20 knots during the afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 630 AM MST Fri Nov 28 2025

Dry conditions with light west to southwest flow will prevail today and Saturday. Despite seasonably cool mornings, afternoon temperatures will run about 8-10 degrees above normal. A weak backdoor cold front will drop temperatures to near normal on Sunday. Vent rates will see some improvement today, but lighter winds on Saturday will drop them back to Poor to Fair again. But next week should see some improvements in the wake of an upper level disturbance that will graze the northern half of New Mexico.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 46 70 41 60 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 45 65 36 53 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 38 65 35 56 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 38 65 34 58 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 34 47 25 40 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 40 64 36 58 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 36 60 33 55 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 38 69 36 61 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 36 64 36 60 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 44 68 41 58 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 32 70 27 53 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 40 73 36 62 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 38 62 33 51 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 42 70 38 61 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 42 67 40 57 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 46 66 39 57 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 31 65 29 56 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 33 68 31 61 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 41 70 36 61 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 39 63 38 55 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 38 61 24 51 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 33 58 28 51 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 31 57 26 45 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 31 61 27 54 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 39 65 36 58 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 35 64 34 56 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 24 62 24 56 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 35 63 32 56 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 29 66 29 63 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 25 63 25 59 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 38 63 36 54 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 38 67 36 64 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 39 66 37 61 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 34 68 32 66 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 39 61 40 61 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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