textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1034 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026

- Dry conditions and light winds persist through the work week with typical mid-November temperatures. Some patchy fog is expected early Tuesday morning.

- Next potential system arrives late this week which could bring more rain chances.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1100 PM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

Upper low over north-central Texas continues to progress eastward, leaving New Mexico and west Texas under a very positively-tilted ridge. Skies have cleared quickly this evening, leaving the region in a light wind/clear sky weather pattern favorable for patchy fog. An area of fog/low stratus has already formed over the upper Mimbres River in Grant County, as well as portions of the Otero Mesa. Wouldn't be surprised to see this spread in coverage through the overnight hours into Tuesday morning, affecting much of the Tularosa Basin, Rio Grande Valley, and Southwest New Mexico deserts. Will be something to monitor through the night.

Tuesday looks sunny and mild with very light southwest flow. High pressure aloft is currently fixed across all of the Southwestern U.S, and looks to stay that way through much of the week ahead. This will lead to dry weather, mostly light winds, and typical mid-November temperatures with lowland highs in the upper 60s/lower 70s. Not much to talk about weather-wise over the next few days.

Upper ridge finally progresses across the Southern Rockies by next Friday. Both global models depict a fast-moving shortwave swing across the International Border Friday/Saturday. This would be our next precipitation chance. Current forecast shows this to be a chance of rain showers next Saturday, with generally light amounts. Sunday into early next week looks dry following this passage.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1034 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026

Mainly VFR with light diurnal winds prevails until a modest northerly wind shift arrives at the terminals between 06-12Z. Low-to-moderate confidence in patchy mist developing in southern Dona Ana County, west of the Franklin/Organ Mountains, after about 08Z, so have mentioned 6SM BR at KLRU. Even lower confidence in any MVFR visibility at KELP, despite some patchy fog potentially developing to the north in the Tularosa Basin as well. RAP forecast soundings do not show enough surface cooling for mist/fog at KELP, despite dewpoints hanging in the low-mid 40s F.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 420 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026

A warming and drying trend continues. Min RH values will vary considerably with the driest air across the Gila. Winds will be very light today, and this will limit smoke transport and venting. Afternoon highs will hold steady for the rest of the week while min RH values drop. Winds will increase enough to foster gradually improving vent categories through the rest of the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 46 69 47 69 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 44 66 45 65 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 43 68 44 67 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 45 69 44 67 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 34 49 32 48 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 43 68 43 65 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 39 66 42 63 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 42 69 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 42 69 45 68 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 47 69 49 69 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 45 70 44 68 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 49 73 48 74 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 44 65 45 64 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 45 71 46 72 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 42 67 44 68 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 50 70 50 68 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 41 70 41 68 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 42 72 43 71 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 43 69 45 69 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 43 68 44 67 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 38 59 35 62 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 36 61 35 60 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 35 59 34 57 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 37 62 35 61 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 45 67 45 65 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 41 69 41 67 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 35 67 35 64 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 39 67 41 65 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 38 73 39 71 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 37 68 38 67 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 42 66 43 64 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 43 69 44 69 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 42 68 44 68 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 44 67 45 67 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 44 65 46 65 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.