textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 449 PM MST Sat Nov 14 2026

- Cool and blustery this afternoon, with winds gusting 30 to 40 mph at times.

- Temperatures look to remain slightly below normal into next week, with some chilly mornings ahead.

- Otherwise, quiet weather looks to prevail next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1216 PM MST Sat Nov 14 2026

It's a cool and blustery day across the region in the wake of last night's system. The whole area remains under cyclonic flow aloft as an upper level trough rolls across northern New Mexico. This is leading to west winds gusting 30 to 35 mph across the area, and the odd gust to 40 is possible before sunset. Mountain wave clouds are bringing partly cloudy skies to the lowlands, with more extensive orographic cloud cover over the higher terrain of the Gila region and the Sacramento Mountains. A few light showers have been cropping up as expected, and a few snow flakes have been spotted around Cloudcroft, where temperatures are in the mid-30s this afternoon.

West winds will east up tonight as the pressure gradient weakens, and skies clear out. Patchy fog is possible in some of the more sheltered valleys. Elsewhere, we'll have just enough wind to prevent more widespread fog formation. Temperatures will drop into the upper-30s in some of the sheltered valleys as well.

Expect less cloud cover and wind on Sunday, with temperatures climbing a little warmer in the higher terrain. Calmer conditions Sunday night will allow temperatures to fall deeper into the 30s in the usual cooler spots in the lowland deserts, with mid to upper-30s possible in the lowest-lying portions of the Mesilla Valley. We could push the freezing mark at Jornada Range.

Easterly flow will keep temperatures at or slightly below normal early next week, with a warm up late-week allowing highs to approach the lower-70s.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 449 PM MST Sat Nov 14 2026

Lots of clouds today and even a few light rain showers. The rain showers are wrapping up, but we will continue to see some off and on ceilings of SCT-BKN050-080. By late Sunday morning the ceilings and most of the clouds will be gone. Currently the all the TAF sites have low end gusty winds, but I expect those wind gusts to drop off a few hours after sunset. We will continue to see generally westerly winds tonight and then winds will be light from the west or light and variable for Sunday afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1216 PM MST Sat Nov 14 2026

Gusty west winds of around 30 to 40 mph this afternoon, but with high RH and recent rainfall, there are no fire weather concerns.

Near to slightly below normal temperatures and excellent overnight RH recovery is expected the next several days. Some patchy fog will be possible in sheltered valleys.

Vent rates are excellent today with the windy conditions, but will become far less favorable Sunday into Monday, with some improvement from Tuesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 46 64 42 64 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 46 61 43 58 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 41 61 38 61 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 38 62 36 62 / 10 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 29 42 28 43 / 30 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 40 60 40 60 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 33 59 35 58 / 10 0 0 0 Deming 39 62 38 62 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 37 61 38 63 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 48 64 46 64 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 38 65 38 60 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 42 69 40 68 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 39 57 37 56 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 42 67 39 66 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 45 63 42 63 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 45 64 44 63 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 35 63 32 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 36 65 36 65 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 43 64 41 64 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 41 61 39 62 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 32 54 30 54 / 20 0 0 0 Mescalero 30 55 28 55 / 40 0 0 0 Timberon 27 52 24 52 / 20 0 0 0 Winston 32 56 31 56 / 10 0 0 0 Hillsboro 34 60 35 61 / 10 0 0 0 Spaceport 35 61 34 61 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 28 60 28 60 / 20 0 0 0 Hurley 33 60 34 60 / 10 0 0 0 Cliff 33 64 33 66 / 20 0 0 0 Mule Creek 32 61 32 63 / 10 0 0 0 Faywood 36 59 37 59 / 10 0 0 0 Animas 38 63 37 64 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 37 62 37 63 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 38 63 38 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 39 59 42 61 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.