textproduct: El Paso
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 426 AM MST Sun Feb 22 2026
- Quiet weather pattern through the period with dry conditions; breezy afternoon winds mid-week.
- Near record warmth the latter half of the week, with lowland high temperatures in the lower eighties.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 824 PM MST Sat Feb 21 2026
East Pacific upper ridge continues to build over the Desert Southwest and Inter-mountain west through Tuesday, resulting in a tranquil pattern of light winds and warming temperatures.
Upper Pacific positively tilted trough begins to form new ridge ahead of it over the west coast of the U.S. later Tuesday and Wednesday, as the ridge over our area dampens out to the east and westerly flow increases. Bottom line with this pattern, considerably high clouds likely, afternoon breezes-especially Wednesday, and high temperatures shooting upwards toward record high temperatures from mid-week into next weekend.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 426 AM MST Sun Feb 22 2026
VFR conditions prevail through the forecast period. Winds remain AOB 10kts into mid-morning, then gusting to around 20kts by the afternoon from E-SE, subsiding this evening. SCT-BKN250 continue to pass overhead during the day with some clearing tonight.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 426 AM MST Sun Feb 22 2026
There will be some fire weather concerns this week as dry and warming conditions are forecast. Today will see breezy E-SE winds at 10-20 mph with low humidity as a ridge of sfc high pressure shifts eastward, resulting in elevated fire wx. However, ERCs remain near the 50th percentile, so rapid fire spreads should be mitigated. Lighter E-SE winds are expected Mon. Breezy winds from the W are forecast Tue-Wed as a shortwave trough passes well to the north, creating more elevated fire danger. Modest afternoon breezes are forecast for the rest of the week. Precip chances remain near zero through the week as temperatures warm up from near normal through Mon, to approaching record highs.
Min RHs range from 10-25% through the week. Ventilation will be poor to good today, mostly poor Mon, good to excellent Tue- Wed.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
El Paso 38 68 42 79 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 33 65 37 74 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 32 66 37 76 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 29 66 31 73 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 25 49 32 54 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 32 67 39 78 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 33 63 38 70 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 33 68 36 80 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 36 68 37 76 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 40 67 44 78 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 29 66 34 78 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 36 73 39 82 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 34 63 41 71 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 37 71 39 80 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 35 67 38 78 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 36 67 43 77 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 25 67 27 78 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 28 69 31 81 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 37 68 40 80 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 27 66 29 75 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 27 63 36 70 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 26 60 33 65 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 31 55 37 63 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 24 62 30 74 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 33 66 40 77 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 25 67 26 78 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 27 66 27 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 31 64 35 73 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 29 71 25 76 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 26 68 22 73 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 34 63 38 74 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 34 69 38 78 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 34 67 37 78 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 34 68 39 80 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 36 67 44 74 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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