textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 424 PM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

- Today, Thanksgiving day, fair and dry weather, with increasing high clouds, mild temperatures, and light winds.

- High pressure along the west coast, and over the southwestern U.S. will keep the storm track to our north. Passing Pacific troughs will clip the region, with little potential for any precipitation through next week. Temperatures will cool a bit next week, but remain somewhat above normal.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 912 AM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

Mild weather conditions will continue into the weekend for the border region. A short wave high pressure ridge will transition into a westerly zonal flow aloft through Sunday. This will result in continued dry conditions with mostly sunny skies with variable high clouds. Winds will continue to be light and mainly from the south for the rest of Thanksgiving Day. Winds will become more westerly Friday and Saturday with light breeziness in the afternoon.

Temperatures will remain mild and seasonably warm through Saturday. A cold front will push part way into the area from the east and may reach as far as Deming before retreating back to the east. Winds will shift to a more easterly direction early Sunday with stronger wind gusts expected along the west slopes of area mountains from Deming to the east. The cold air behind the front will be somewhat attenuated, limiting its coldest impacts to mainly eastern zones of Otero and Hudspeth counties on Sunday.

On Monday, a low pressure trough will drop south from the from the Four Corners region and then move eastward through northern and central New Mexico. Forecast models continue to struggle with the details of this system. However model trends continue to indicate a poor but non-zero chance for precipitation on Monday. The higher mountains of the Sacramento Mountains and the Black Range will have the best chances for measurable precip, but any showers will isolated, brief with only light accumulations expected.

For Tuesday and Wednesday, dry conditions will return to the area under a northwest to west flow aloft. Temperatures will remain seasonal at or slightly above normal through the week. Long range models indicate another potential weather system late next week, but precipitation chances remain very uncertain at this time.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 424 PM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

VFR conditions will persist through the TAF period. BKN250 will stick around into the mid morning hours but will clear out from west to east throughout the day tomorrow. Light winds through the morning hours will become slightly breezy in the afternoon hours reaching to around 12G20KT.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 912 AM MST Thu Nov 27 2025

Low fire weather concerns through the forecast period as the region remains under a dry westerly flow pattern with storm systems passing to the north of the local area. Mild weather conditions will persist through the weekend with fair skies and generally light westerly winds with some light breeziness in the afternoon through Saturday. Temperatures will run about 5 to 7 degrees above normal through Saturday. A cold front will lower temperatures and shift winds more from the east for areas east of Deming on Sunday with higher gusts on west facing slopes of area mountains. There is a very low chance of precipitation for Monday as a weather system passes to the north of the area. Dry conditions return through the middle of next week. Vent Rates should improve to fair to good Friday and Saturday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 72 44 70 40 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 69 39 66 32 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 67 36 65 34 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 66 36 65 33 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 48 29 48 21 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 67 37 64 35 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 62 35 61 34 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 71 35 69 34 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 67 33 64 34 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 69 43 68 41 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 71 34 70 30 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 76 41 73 38 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 64 40 62 32 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 73 40 70 37 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 69 38 67 36 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 69 43 67 39 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 67 29 65 29 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 71 31 68 31 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 72 41 70 37 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 66 34 65 35 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 61 34 62 22 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 58 31 59 24 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 56 29 57 22 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 63 27 61 24 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 69 37 65 35 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 66 31 65 30 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 63 29 62 29 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 66 34 63 32 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 69 28 66 29 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 64 29 62 28 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 65 36 64 35 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 70 35 67 34 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 70 34 66 32 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 71 36 69 35 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 64 39 61 39 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.