textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1145 AM MST Sat Nov 7 2026

- On Sunday we will have mostly clear skies for south central and southwest New Mexico with a mix of clouds and sun along the the International Border

- We will have drier conditions to start the work week and those dry conditions will continue through at least Friday. - Temperatures will return to near normal by the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1145 AM MST Sat Nov 7 2026

The upper level trough that brought us clouds and rain Friday night into Saturday morning will continue to very slowly drift to the southeast over northern Mexico. The trough will stay close enough to keep our skies cloudy through this evening. As the trough slowly drifts to the southeast, we will see a slow clearing trend from north to south late tonight into Sunday morning. By Sunday afternoon most of the region will have clear skies except for some lingering clouds around El Paso and Hudspeth Counties. High temperatures on Sunday will still run 2 to 8 degrees below average.

For Monday and Tuesday, the upper level trough will continue to move off to the east in Texas while an upper level ridge builds into the west coast. This pattern will put our region in a dry northwest flow aloft. A northwest flow is usually a cool pattern so we will continue to see our high temperatures running a few degrees below average despite plenty of sun. For Wednesday through Friday, the west coast ridge will slowly build into the desert southwest. This ridge aloft will keep our skies clear and winds light. High temperatures for the end of the work week will run near or a few degrees above average. For next weekend, the models indicate that another upper level trough will approach the area to give us unsettled weather for next weekend.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1145 AM MST Sat Nov 7 2026

Lots of clouds and even some light rain showers this morning. Most of our TAF sites will see drier weather through the afternoon, but KELP, could still see some rain showers today. Our low VFR and MVFR ceilings will continue this evening. Then by tonight all the ceilings will continue but they will all be VFR. Starting late tonight into Sunday morning, we will have a clearing trend move across the region so that by late Sunday morning we will have generally unlimited ceilings, the one exception may be KELP, where ceilings may linger a little longer.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1145 AM MST Sat Nov 7 2026

Fire weather concerns continue to remain low over the next 5 days. We had some rain move across the area last night into this morning. We will have drier conditions and clearing skies on Sunday. Min RH's look to stay above 20% across the area through Friday with a slow drying trend through the end of the week. Winds over the next 5 days will stay well below critical levels.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 48 62 49 65 / 10 10 10 10 Sierra Blanca 46 55 46 62 / 20 60 30 0 Las Cruces 42 63 44 64 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 43 64 45 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 31 44 32 45 / 10 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 43 65 43 65 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 37 61 39 61 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 41 63 42 63 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 41 64 42 65 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 50 62 50 64 / 10 0 10 0 Dell City 47 63 48 66 / 10 20 30 0 Fort Hancock 51 64 50 70 / 20 40 10 0 Loma Linda 43 55 45 60 / 10 10 10 0 Fabens 49 64 49 68 / 10 10 10 10 Santa Teresa 45 62 46 63 / 10 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 47 64 49 66 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 41 65 43 65 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 43 68 44 68 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 46 63 46 64 / 10 0 0 0 Orogrande 43 64 46 64 / 0 0 10 0 Mayhill 35 55 36 60 / 10 0 0 0 Mescalero 35 57 35 58 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 33 53 35 54 / 0 0 10 0 Winston 33 59 33 61 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 41 63 42 65 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 41 66 42 65 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 34 63 33 64 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 37 62 38 62 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 38 69 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 36 65 37 64 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 40 61 41 61 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 43 62 44 64 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 42 62 43 63 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 45 60 45 63 / 10 0 0 0 Cloverdale 43 56 44 60 / 10 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.