textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 423 PM MST Thu Feb 12 2026 - Pacific storm will bring scattered rain showers area wide on Friday. Snow will be limited to elevations above 8,000 feet.

- Mild and dry conditions this weekend, followed by a series a windy days next week.

..NEXT WEEK

Next week's weather pattern features consistent troughing flow along the Pacific coast, with a series of upper waves passing to our north. Tuesday looks breezy as a shortwave crosses the Southern Rockies, then we could see strong winds late in the week as the primary lobe of energy approaches. Models differ on the timing and strength of this future jet streak, but can be confident in stronger winds out of the west next week.

Precipitation chances will be reliant on the southward extent of these waves. If they miss us to the north, best bet will be stronger winds, signaling the start of the Spring windy season. Overall, temperatures look slightly above normal.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 423 PM MST Thu Feb 12 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period. Skies BKN-OVC between 15-20 kft will continue through the evening and overnight hours. Winds through tomorrow morning will be light at 3-6 knots and VRB.

By tomorrow afternoon, moisture will continue to increase. The increase in moisture in combination with the approaching upper level system will promote scattered to widespread -RA across the area with PROB30s mentioned in TAFs. Winds will become SW during the afternoon at 8-13 knots with gusts to 18-23 knots.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1100 AM MST Thu Feb 12 2026

Pacific storm system arrives on Friday, bringing scattered to numerous rain showers. Min RH 40-60%. Breezy southwest winds 15 to 25 mph on Friday, shifting to the northwest on Saturday. Good ventilation both days despite cloudy skies. New precipitation totals 0.25-0.50" for the mountain forests, with snow limited mostly to elevations above 8,000 feet. Low fire danger through early next week due to this expected wetting.

The start of the spring windy season looks to begin next week with a series of breezy to windy afternoons. Winds will be primarily out of the southwest, leading to Very Good ventilation and transport consistently to the ENE. Elevated fire danger conditions will be a concern the latter half of the week as relative humidity dips to critical thresholds and forests quickly dry, increasing ERCs in the coming weeks.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 53 69 45 67 / 0 50 60 10 Sierra Blanca 50 68 41 60 / 0 50 80 20 Las Cruces 47 65 40 65 / 0 50 50 10 Alamogordo 47 67 38 64 / 0 50 60 10 Cloudcroft 36 47 27 40 / 0 60 70 20 Truth or Consequences 48 65 41 66 / 0 50 60 0 Silver City 44 58 36 58 / 0 70 60 10 Deming 47 68 40 66 / 0 60 70 10 Lordsburg 47 62 40 62 / 0 60 70 0 West El Paso Metro 54 67 46 67 / 0 40 60 10 Dell City 46 70 41 65 / 0 40 50 10 Fort Hancock 53 74 45 68 / 0 50 70 20 Loma Linda 52 63 41 60 / 0 40 60 10 Fabens 53 70 45 68 / 0 50 60 10 Santa Teresa 51 65 43 66 / 0 40 60 10 White Sands HQ 53 67 44 66 / 0 50 50 10 Jornada Range 46 66 38 66 / 0 50 60 10 Hatch 46 68 40 70 / 0 50 60 10 Columbus 50 68 44 65 / 0 50 60 0 Orogrande 49 65 40 63 / 0 50 60 10 Mayhill 40 60 32 55 / 0 50 50 10 Mescalero 37 59 30 53 / 0 60 70 20 Timberon 42 56 33 50 / 0 50 60 10 Winston 37 58 29 58 / 0 60 50 0 Hillsboro 46 64 37 66 / 0 60 60 10 Spaceport 45 65 35 66 / 0 50 60 10 Lake Roberts 40 57 32 58 / 0 80 60 10 Hurley 43 61 35 60 / 0 70 60 10 Cliff 43 63 36 65 / 0 70 60 10 Mule Creek 42 59 34 61 / 10 80 70 10 Faywood 47 60 38 63 / 0 60 70 10 Animas 48 63 40 63 / 0 60 80 0 Hachita 47 64 40 62 / 0 50 70 0 Antelope Wells 47 64 39 63 / 0 50 70 0 Cloverdale 47 57 40 57 / 0 60 80 10

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.