textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 525 AM MDT Wed May 20 2026

- Dry, southwest winds continue each afternoon through the work week. Near normal temperatures for mid May.

- Slight chance for showers and thunderstorms this weekend, focused mostly over the high terrain.

..MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND

The overall flow aloft this weekend will become weak as the aforementioned cutoff low quickly translates east and upper level ridging develops in it's wake. This will ultimately result in fair weather conditions on Saturday and Sunday with light winds and near seasonal temperatures. For Monday, Memorial Day, the slightest bit of moisture will work it's way into the area with meager but sufficient moisture profiles. As of now, NBM guidance and it's respected global models paint slight chances of rain across portions of the area Monday afternoon and evening. Being 5-6 days out, confidence remains LOW, but something to keep an eye on.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 525 AM MDT Wed May 20 2026

VFR conditions are expected with SCT-BKN250. Light and variable winds this morning will become SW'LY (190-230) with speeds of 10 to 15 knots and gusts up to 25 knots. Winds will subside after dark.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 525 AM MDT Wed May 20 2026

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected today as 20-foot winds around 15 MPH will combine with min RH values near 10%. Far eastern areas could see a shower or thunderstorm, but chances are low. Any storms that do form would have a dry lightning and gusty wind risk. Winds will gradually decrease each day toward the weekend with continued dry afternoons. Venting will be excellent. As we approach the weekend and go into next week, increasing moisture will lead to at least low shower and thunderstorm chances. Afternoon highs will be within a couple degrees of normal for this time of year.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 65 88 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 56 83 55 84 / 10 10 0 0 Las Cruces 56 86 55 86 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 58 86 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 43 64 43 65 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 58 86 57 86 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 51 78 49 79 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 56 88 54 88 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 54 84 52 84 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 64 87 64 87 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 56 88 55 89 / 10 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 62 91 61 91 / 10 10 0 0 Loma Linda 58 81 58 81 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 61 89 61 90 / 10 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 59 86 58 86 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 65 87 64 88 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 55 86 54 87 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 56 88 54 90 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 61 88 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 58 85 56 86 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 48 76 50 77 / 10 10 0 0 Mescalero 47 75 46 76 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 44 72 44 73 / 10 0 0 0 Winston 46 78 46 79 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 56 83 56 84 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 52 85 51 86 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 47 78 45 80 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 50 81 48 82 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 50 84 48 85 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 48 80 47 81 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 52 80 51 81 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 54 84 54 85 / 0 0 0 10 Hachita 54 84 54 84 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 54 84 54 84 / 0 0 0 10 Cloverdale 54 79 54 78 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.