textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 420 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

- Dry conditions and light winds persist through the work week.

- Next potential system arrives this weekend which could bring more rain chances.

- Slightly below normal temperatures Monday and Tuesday becoming seasonable Wednesday through Friday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1007 PM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

Closed low is broadly sitting over northern Mexico and far west TX. Expecting this low to start meandering over central TX Monday afternoon. Calm and quiet weather Monday and through the work week. A highly amplified upper level ridge starts building over the western CONUS Wednesday and through Friday. Our next potential system is continuing to be hinted at by long term models with a trough crossing the desert SW some time this weekend which could bring more rain chances for the area. High temperatures stay just below normal Monday and Tuesday with lowland highs in the 60s and low 70s. Near normal temperatures Wednesday through Friday (only a few degree warm up compared to Monday and Tuesday.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 420 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

VFR conditions are expected, but there is a low chance CIGs could reach MVFR for a few hours this morning. BKN-OVC040-060 for most sites will gradually clear this afternoon or early evening becoming SKC by the end of the period. Winds will be light and variable.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 420 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

Temperatures will be a little warmer this afternoon with clouds holding on for areas near the International Border. Min RH values will range in the mid 20s in the Gila to mid 50s for much of the lowlands. Winds will be light, which will lead to poor venting. Skies will clear for Tuesday while temperatures warm. This will be the start of a warming and drying trend, but rain chances return for the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 49 68 48 71 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 45 64 45 67 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 41 65 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 43 67 43 70 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 31 47 33 49 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 41 66 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 37 64 38 66 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 41 67 41 68 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 39 66 40 69 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 49 67 48 71 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 47 69 45 71 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 50 73 50 76 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 45 63 45 66 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 48 71 48 74 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 44 66 44 69 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 48 68 48 70 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 40 67 41 69 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 41 70 42 72 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 44 67 45 70 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 44 66 44 68 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 35 63 38 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 33 59 35 61 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 32 57 33 59 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 32 64 36 62 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 40 67 43 67 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 40 66 41 69 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 31 67 32 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 36 65 37 67 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 39 70 38 73 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 37 67 38 68 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 39 64 40 66 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 41 67 43 69 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 39 66 41 68 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 42 67 44 69 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 42 64 44 66 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.