textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 403 PM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

- Dry weather through this weekend with some afternoon breezes returning for Wednesday.

- Temperatures will run near to slightly below normal through the upcoming week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1102 AM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

A period of quiet weather expected across the Borderland for the next week. Models in good agreement in transitioning from a current northwest flow to a persistent westerly flow pattern. This will keep moisture out of the area with just an occasional breezy day. For this evening, winds will gradually decrease as upper low moves into the Central/Southern Plains and gradient relaxes. Much lower dew points will be moving in so mostly clear skies by mid evening. One small concern is potential for fog in the morning due to recent rains, but winds will not go completely calm and could just result in very patchy fog. Looks like a good hard freeze in the Mimbres River Valley of the Gila region where lows in the mid to upper 20s look likely.

For Tue, a shortwave ridge moves into the west with lighter winds and mostly sunny skies. H85 temps warm to around 16-18C and with full sun, should get good mixing. NBM temps looked about 3-5 degrees too cool for highs and MET/MAV guidance also agree with highs being warmer. So did go ahead and raise highs closer to MOS guidance numbers. Same thing for Wed, which should have even better mixing with west winds increasing to 10-15mph. NBM temps seemed about 5 degrees too cool and again warmed up closer to MOS guidance.

There will be a shortwave moving well to our north Wed night into Thu which will cool temps down a few degrees. NBM temps looked more reasonable here and didn't adjust much. Persistent weather into the weekend as an upper low cuts off of Baja and low level easterly flow keeps temps near to slightly below normal.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 403 PM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

West-northwesterly 15G30KT winds will gradually diminish to 06KT-10KT within the next six hours at all four TAF sites. Skies will range from SKC to FEW250 as VFR conditions will persist throughout the observation period. Low-level wind shear and fog should not be issues tonight.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1102 AM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

Besides the winds through this afternoon, fire weather concerns will be minimal for the next week. Zonal flow through the end of the week will bring in drier air and near to slightly below normal temperatures. Even with the drier air moving in, min RH's will stay above 25-30%. No chances for precipitation for the upcoming work week and likely beyond. Vent rates will be poor Tuesday, but some breezy conditions Wed will result in Fair to Good rates.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 47 71 44 77 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 44 69 40 76 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 41 67 38 71 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 42 68 40 73 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 32 51 30 55 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 42 68 39 74 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 36 65 36 68 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 38 68 37 72 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 38 68 36 71 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 46 70 46 76 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 46 71 41 76 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 50 76 46 83 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 44 66 42 70 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 47 75 44 81 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 44 69 41 74 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 47 69 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 37 68 37 72 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 43 72 39 76 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 43 69 40 75 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 43 67 39 72 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 36 63 33 70 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 34 61 32 65 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 32 59 31 63 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 30 66 28 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 40 69 39 75 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 39 68 38 72 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 29 70 28 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 35 66 35 70 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 34 71 33 71 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 30 69 30 70 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 38 65 37 69 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 40 69 37 75 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 38 67 36 74 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 41 69 39 78 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 40 68 39 70 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.