textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1100 AM MDT Wed Apr 22 2026

- Breezy and dry conditions each day this week along with warm temperatures. Gusts up to 35 mph Thursday afternoon. Critical fire conditions will be the main weather concern over the next several days.

- Stronger winds out of the west next Sunday may be impactful. Areas of blowing dust will lead to lower visibility across Southern New Mexico and Far West Texas.

..NEXT WEEK

Continued breezy conditions almost every day, but nothing that sounds alarms next week. Fetch of subtropical moisture moving up out of Baja along with forcing from a Pacific low could lead to low-end precipitation chances midweek. Not expecting very much, though.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1100 AM MDT Wed Apr 22 2026

Breezy conditions today under southwest flow aloft. Surface wind 240-270 at 15G25KT. Skies FEW-SCT250. Overnight wind 260-280 at 14G22KT. Visibility expected to remain unlimited. More breezy conditions tomorrow.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1100 AM MDT Wed Apr 22 2026

Near Critical Fire Danger this afternoon with RH 10-15% and breezy southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Fuel conditions are typical for this time of year but will dry further over the next several days, reaching ERC 90th percentiles by next week. Stronger wind and drier conditions on Thursday will allow much of Southern New Mexico to reach Critical thresholds, thus Red Flag Warning in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM tomorrow. Min RH 8-12% and west winds 20 to 30 mph. Similar conditions on Friday, though winds will be a bit lighter and keep us below Critical thresholds.

High confidence in fire weather impacts next Sunday as a jet streak aloft generates a deep surface low over the High Plains to our northeast. Southwest flow 25 to 35 mph and RH 10-20% will almost certainly lead to Critical conditions. Fire Weather Watches will be needed in the coming forecast cycles. Continued breezy conditions next week, though moisture content does look to improve midweek.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 58 85 57 85 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 54 80 52 81 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 50 80 48 81 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 52 82 49 82 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 41 59 37 59 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 51 81 50 81 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 44 71 43 73 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 49 82 47 84 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 46 79 45 80 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 58 83 57 84 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 53 84 50 85 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 58 89 55 89 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 54 77 53 78 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 57 87 55 86 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 53 82 51 83 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 58 82 57 83 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 50 81 48 82 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 51 84 48 85 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 54 85 52 86 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 50 80 50 81 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 48 72 43 72 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 45 69 40 70 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 45 68 41 68 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 39 72 36 74 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 49 78 47 79 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 45 82 45 82 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 40 71 39 73 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 42 75 41 76 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 42 77 42 79 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 41 73 40 75 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 45 74 44 76 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 47 82 46 83 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 47 81 45 82 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 49 82 48 83 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 47 77 48 77 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...Red Flag Warning from 10 AM to 8 PM MDT Thursday for Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ- South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ- Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ- Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ.