textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 525 AM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

- Daily monsoonal thunderstorms each afternoon with a focus over the area mountains and western locations bordering Arizona.

- Rebound in temperatures starting Monday through Wednesday where triple digits will be common across the desert lowlands.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1020 PM MDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Upper high stays over Arizona heading into Sunday. High pressure broadens and flattens Monday through mid-week. What this means for us is a rebound in temperatures Monday through Wednesday where many lowland locations will see triple digit highs during this time. Continued monsoonal thunderstorms each afternoon with a primary focus over the are mountains and western locations of the CWA nearing Arizona. By late in the work week, high pressure looks to move over Nevada and away from us to give us *some* relief, but not much. Maybe a handful of degrees shaved off for Thursday and Friday compared to Wednesdays highs. Looks like better chances of rain will be possible for more of the area late in the week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 525 AM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

VFR conditions expected with SCT-BKN150 BCMG SKC-FEW110 this afternoon. Winds will be light, AOB 10 kts, favoring the south or southeast this afternoon. ISO to SCT TSRA is expected again this afternoon, but storms will likely stay west of any TAF site. Chances for impacts, except for outflows, are 10-20% or less.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 525 AM MDT Sun Aug 2 2026

Today will be the "coolest" day of the week ahead though highs will be about 5 or so degrees above normal. Afternoon RH values will range in the low to mid 20s in the lowlands. Thunderstorm chances will mainly be limited to the Gila Wilderness with only isolated storms expected in the western lowlands and the Sacramento / Capitan Mountains. Winds will be light with good vent rate categories. As we go into the week, temperatures will climb, which will lead to decreasing afternoon RH values. Thunderstorms chances will mainly be limited to areas west of the Rio Grande.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 76 102 77 103 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 68 97 69 99 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 70 100 72 102 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 72 100 75 102 / 0 10 0 10 Cloudcroft 53 77 56 79 / 0 10 0 20 Truth or Consequences 72 101 73 101 / 10 10 10 0 Silver City 66 93 65 93 / 30 40 20 50 Deming 70 101 72 102 / 10 10 10 0 Lordsburg 72 99 70 99 / 30 30 30 20 West El Paso Metro 76 101 77 103 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 71 101 72 102 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 76 104 76 107 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 70 94 71 97 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 74 102 75 103 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 73 100 74 102 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 75 101 77 103 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 72 100 74 102 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 72 104 73 105 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 73 102 75 103 / 0 0 10 0 Orogrande 70 99 72 101 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 59 89 61 89 / 0 20 10 20 Mescalero 59 89 62 90 / 0 20 0 20 Timberon 56 86 58 88 / 0 20 0 10 Winston 61 93 63 93 / 20 30 10 20 Hillsboro 68 99 70 100 / 10 10 10 10 Spaceport 70 100 71 101 / 0 0 0 10 Lake Roberts 60 93 60 94 / 20 50 20 60 Hurley 67 96 66 96 / 20 30 20 30 Cliff 67 100 67 100 / 30 40 30 40 Mule Creek 66 96 65 95 / 30 50 20 50 Faywood 68 96 68 97 / 20 20 10 20 Animas 72 100 71 99 / 30 30 40 10 Hachita 70 98 70 99 / 20 20 20 10 Antelope Wells 70 98 70 99 / 10 10 10 10 Cloverdale 67 92 66 92 / 20 30 40 30

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.