textproduct: El Paso

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 524 AM MDT Thu Apr 2 2026

- Warm temperatures and quieter weather Thursday and Friday.

- A cold front will push in from the north Friday night, bringing seasonable to slightly below normal temperatures for this weekend and the start of next week.

- Some moisture pushing in from the east may bring showers to the area Sunday afternoon and evening.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1024 PM MDT Wed Apr 1 2026

Upper level trough has moved east of the area, with mostly clear skies now across most of the CWA. Some high clouds will persist close to the international border.

Quiet and warm weather will prevail on Thursday and Friday as zonal flow aloft becomes a little more amplified as the next trough moves well to our north. A cold front associated with this system will drop in from the north Friday night, with no precip or strong winds expected...just a shift to northerly low level flow Friday night, shifting to slightly breezy easterly winds Saturday, and temperatures falling to near normal.

Some limited moisture from the Gulf coast will attempt to push into the area on the easterly flow late Sunday, with some light rain showers possible.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 524 AM MDT Thu Apr 2 2026

We will see less winds today, but still a little gusty. The winds this morning will be light, but by early afternoon we will see west winds will low end wind gusts that will last until the evening hours. Our ceilings will be unlimited today, but as we head into the overnight hours, the high clouds will be on the increase.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1055 AM MDT Wed Apr 1 2026

Fire weather concerns will be low-moderate for the rest of the workweek. A storm system passes to the north today, bringing a low chance of rain this afternoon, mainly for area mtns. Rainfall will be light; around 0.25" for the Sacs, <0.05" elsewhere. Winds become breezy to low-end windy this afternoon, shifting SW to W behind the Pacific front. The rain chances and added moisture from the system will limit fire wx concerns this afternoon. Min RHs will be above critical thresholds today. For Thu, drier conditions are forecast, but winds return to modestly breezy levels, resulting in elevated fire wx. Critical fire danger is not expected through Fri with continued breeziness. A cold front shifts winds E for Sat before moisture levels increase early next week with low rain chances Sun-Tue. Temperatures cool to near normal today, warming a few degrees for Thu/Fri.

Min RHs range from 20-30% today in lowlands, 30-50% mtns; then 8-20% through Fri. Ventilation will be very good to excellent through Fri.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 57 84 54 77 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 56 82 51 70 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 49 80 48 74 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 48 81 47 77 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 41 58 37 52 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 51 78 46 74 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 44 72 44 70 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 47 82 48 77 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 43 79 45 76 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 56 84 55 77 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 47 85 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 54 89 49 80 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 47 77 45 69 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 56 88 54 78 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 52 83 52 75 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 57 82 54 76 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 42 82 43 75 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 44 85 46 78 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 53 83 53 78 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 48 82 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 43 73 35 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 38 69 35 64 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 38 68 35 60 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 37 73 35 69 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 45 80 44 72 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 41 81 42 75 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 31 72 31 71 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 41 75 41 72 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 39 81 39 78 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 34 75 34 74 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 44 76 45 71 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 45 81 48 77 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 46 81 49 77 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 47 81 47 77 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 46 76 48 72 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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