textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1016 PM MDT Wed Jul 8 2026

- Scattered mountain and isolated lowland thunderstorms each afternoon and evening but thunderstorm chances increase over the weekend and into early next week, especially over the lowlands.

- Lowland temperatures remaining hot through Saturday with highs around 98-102; except highs Thursday and Friday from 100 to 104.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1016 PM MDT Wed Jul 8 2026

Flattened high pressure stays over SoCal Thursday before shifting over the Four Corners by Saturday. Thunderstorm chances continue each afternoon for the week ahead. Storms will be focused over the area mountains and locations along and west of the Rio Grande Thursday through Saturday. The high rapidly moves over the northern CONUS by Sunday allowing for Gulf moisture to push into the area Sunday and through at least midweek. This will add to the flooding threat if models continue to suggest this pattern with a big influx of tropical moisture. Winds will generally be light each day with some afternoon breezes. Temperatures will be warmer than average Thursday through Saturday with lowland high temperatures reaching to the upper 90s and low triple digits. Better moisture and rain chances will dip temperatures below the triple digit mark starting Sunday and into the work week. Highs during this time will be in the 90s.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1016 PM MDT Wed Jul 8 2026

Storms and showers have mostly decayed and there does not look to be any more storm chances tonight for terminals. Expect light and variable winds overnight with clearing skies. Southeast breezes expected tomorrow with another round of thunderstorms with better storm coverage than what we've been seeing which could bring impacts to terminals tomorrow.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1137 AM MDT Wed Jul 8 2026

The next couple of days will be the biggest fire concern with high temperatures over the lowlands into the 100-105 range and the mountains mainly in the 90s. RH's will fall into the teens with some 20s in the higher elevations. Winds will remain light though as high pressure dominates and just some gusty winds with thunderstorm outflows. The upper high starts to shift northeast this weekend into early next week which will bring in a more favorable monsoonal flow with easterly winds and daily storm chances areawide. Temperatures will be fall off to near normal by early next week and min RH's into the 20s.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 77 102 78 103 / 0 10 20 10 Sierra Blanca 67 95 69 97 / 0 20 10 20 Las Cruces 70 100 70 102 / 0 20 20 20 Alamogordo 73 99 74 101 / 10 30 20 30 Cloudcroft 54 75 55 77 / 10 40 20 50 Truth or Consequences 71 99 72 102 / 10 20 20 10 Silver City 65 93 65 94 / 20 60 20 40 Deming 69 102 69 103 / 0 20 30 30 Lordsburg 70 100 69 100 / 0 20 30 30 West El Paso Metro 76 101 77 102 / 0 20 20 10 Dell City 69 99 71 101 / 0 20 0 10 Fort Hancock 74 102 75 103 / 0 20 10 20 Loma Linda 69 93 70 95 / 0 20 20 10 Fabens 74 102 75 103 / 0 10 10 10 Santa Teresa 72 100 73 101 / 0 10 20 20 White Sands HQ 77 101 78 102 / 0 20 20 10 Jornada Range 72 100 73 102 / 10 20 20 10 Hatch 71 103 72 105 / 10 20 20 20 Columbus 74 103 75 104 / 0 20 20 30 Orogrande 70 98 72 100 / 0 20 20 10 Mayhill 58 87 60 89 / 0 60 20 50 Mescalero 57 87 59 90 / 10 30 20 30 Timberon 55 84 57 86 / 10 40 30 40 Winston 60 91 61 93 / 10 50 20 20 Hillsboro 68 97 69 99 / 10 30 20 10 Spaceport 67 99 69 102 / 10 20 20 10 Lake Roberts 59 94 59 95 / 20 70 20 40 Hurley 65 97 65 97 / 10 50 30 40 Cliff 66 99 65 100 / 10 50 20 40 Mule Creek 63 96 63 96 / 10 40 20 40 Faywood 66 95 66 97 / 10 40 20 30 Animas 70 100 69 99 / 0 30 40 40 Hachita 69 100 68 99 / 0 20 30 40 Antelope Wells 70 99 68 97 / 0 40 40 50 Cloverdale 66 93 64 91 / 0 50 60 50

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.