textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 935 AM MDT Wed Jun 10 2026

- Drier and hotter through Thursday with many lowland areas exceeding 100 degrees. Heat Advisory in effect for most of El Paso County and the lower Rio Grande Valley through Thursday.

- Returning moisture bringing isolated showers and thunderstorms Friday through the weekend, with better chances east of the Rio Grande.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 935 AM MDT Wed Jun 10 2026

A Heat Advisory is in effect for the Rio Grande Valley in El Paso and Hudspeth Counties until 9PM MDT tomorrow night. Temperatures will run up to 7 degrees above normal for the lowlands today and tomorrow due to the upper-level ridge stretching from Arizona to the Gulf Coast. Dry winds will prevail from the west today and tomorrow for the CWA, lowering relative humidity percentages for the lowlands down to the lower teens/upper single digits, removing any chance of showers or thunderstorms.

As it stands, the ridge on Friday is forecast to start drifting to the east, allowing for some moisture to return to the Borderland, bringing temperatures back to the upper 90s for the weekend as well an isolated (10-30%) chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. The best chance of a thunderstorm on Friday is up in the Sacramento Mountains. Moisture will stay in the region through the weekend and into early next week, continuing chances for showers and thunderstoms each afternoon. However, in the scenario that the ridge should stay in place and strengthen, more triple digit temperatures will be expected for the weekend. For now, I am sticking to the "drifting ridge" scenario, but an adjustment to the forecast may be needed if the "anchored-in- place" scenario plays out. For the start of next week, a Midwestern-based trough will push the upper- level ridge west of our area, so we might not get as hot early next week as we did this week. It remains to be seen though, since extended model runs indicate the ridge strengthening back over our area for the end of next week, and if these extended model runs play out, we could be back to 100 degree temperatures by the end of next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 935 AM MDT Wed Jun 10 2026

VFR conditions will be in place for all terminals for the period. Skies will range from SKC to FEW150. Slight chance -TSRA over Hudspeth County between 20Z to 03Z. Winds will generally prevail from the west through 03Z, then they will swtich to VRB overnight.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 935 AM MDT Wed Jun 10 2026

We are in a deep westerly flow pattern, which means the region will stay warm and generally dry today and tomorrow. For the weekend, low-level easterlies will reintroduce moisture to the area, bringing back the chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms each day.

Temperatures will run up to 7 degrees above normal for the lowlands today and tomorrow due to the upper-level ridge stretching from Arizona to the Gulf Coast. Dry winds will prevail from the west today and tomorrow for the CWA, lowering relative humidity percentages for the lowlands down to the lower teens/upper single digits. Recovery RHs will improve through the weekend. Winds will be moderate, between 10-20 mph, during the afternoons, especially in the mountains, while the nights will be lighter and variable.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 78 104 78 100 / 0 0 0 20 Sierra Blanca 69 100 69 95 / 0 0 0 40 Las Cruces 68 100 69 98 / 0 0 0 10 Alamogordo 72 100 72 97 / 0 0 0 20 Cloudcroft 54 81 54 76 / 0 0 0 50 Truth or Consequences 69 100 70 97 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 61 94 62 91 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 70 104 70 101 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 66 97 68 96 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 75 102 75 99 / 0 0 0 10 Dell City 69 103 68 96 / 0 0 0 30 Fort Hancock 75 105 74 102 / 0 0 0 30 Loma Linda 70 95 70 91 / 0 0 0 30 Fabens 73 105 72 102 / 0 0 0 20 Santa Teresa 71 100 71 98 / 0 0 0 10 White Sands HQ 78 101 78 98 / 0 0 0 20 Jornada Range 69 100 69 97 / 0 0 0 10 Hatch 68 103 69 101 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 75 102 76 100 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 69 99 69 96 / 0 0 0 20 Mayhill 61 93 59 84 / 0 0 10 60 Mescalero 58 91 58 86 / 0 0 0 50 Timberon 57 87 56 82 / 0 0 0 40 Winston 59 93 60 89 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 68 98 69 95 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 64 99 65 96 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 56 96 58 93 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 63 96 64 94 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 60 100 62 97 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 57 96 60 93 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 65 97 66 93 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 66 97 68 96 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 67 98 69 96 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 68 97 68 96 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 64 91 65 90 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT Thursday for Eastern/Central El Paso County-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County.

NM...None.