textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1022 PM MST Fri Feb 13 2026 - Pacific storm will exit the area on Saturday with near-seasonal temperatures and breezy west to northwesterly winds.

- Warm and dry conditions resume on Sunday and Monday with temperatures back to well above the seasonal average. Winds will be low-end breezy each afternoon.

- A more Spring-like pattern will settle in across the region for the majority of next work week. Each afternoon will offer breezy to windy conditions. Low chances of precipitation mainly focus over the Gila on Tuesday.

..NEXT WEEK

Next week looks to be the start of an active weather pattern setting up across western CONUS. Consistent troughing will dominate the Intermountain West as a series of Pacific storm systems move onshore. Model and ensemble guidance shows, with fairly good confidence that the specific storm track off to our north over northern AZ/NM and southern UT/CO. The first spoke of energy (shortwave trough) will eject across the southern Great Basin and Central/Southern Rockies on Tuesday. Corresponding lee-side surface low development over the Central High Plains will promote breezy winds across the CWA.

The next spoke of energy approaches the region on Wednesday/Thursday timeframe , giving the area another shot of breezy to windy conditions. However, there still remains uncertainty between model guidance and their respected ensemble suites. As of now, each system that moves across the region look to be mostly dry, offering little precipitation chances.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1022 PM MST Fri Feb 13 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period. -RA will be possible through 12Z, coverage will be isolated - so no mention in TAFs. Winds will be breezy through the overnight and through the day on Saturday, generally out of the west to northwest at 10-15 knots with gusts to 20-25 knots. Skies BKN to OVC will slowly diminish after 12Z, becoming FEW to SCT after daybreak and eventually SKC to FEW during the afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 927 AM MST Fri Feb 13 2026

With light rainfall forecast through tonight, fire weather concerns will be low into the weekend. Winds increase this afternoon from the southwest ahead of the approaching storm system. Scattered rain showers expected into tonight with a few embedded thunderstorms possible along the Int'l border. Winds shift WNW for Sat behind the system as drier air moves in for the weekend. Dry conditions persist through Mon before a series of troughs pass by the region next week. These disturbances will increase winds beginning on Mon with breezy conditions through midweek. Depending on the track and timing of the systems, some windy days are possible, most likely Tue and Thu. Other than a low chance of precip around Tue for FWZ110, no rain is forecast after tomorrow morning. Drying of fuels will increase the threat of fire danger next week with elevated fire weather conditions expected. Temperatures will be near or above normal through the period.

Min RHs range from 20-50% through Sat, falling to 12-30% by Mon. Vent rates will be mostly good to very good through Sat, poor to good on Sun.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 46 67 42 73 / 50 10 0 0 Sierra Blanca 41 61 37 68 / 60 20 0 0 Las Cruces 41 64 36 68 / 50 10 0 0 Alamogordo 38 63 35 69 / 50 10 0 0 Cloudcroft 28 40 27 50 / 50 10 0 0 Truth or Consequences 41 66 38 68 / 50 0 0 0 Silver City 35 58 35 62 / 70 10 0 0 Deming 41 66 36 71 / 70 0 0 0 Lordsburg 39 60 35 68 / 80 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 46 66 44 72 / 50 10 0 0 Dell City 40 66 35 70 / 40 10 0 0 Fort Hancock 45 69 40 75 / 50 20 0 0 Loma Linda 40 60 40 65 / 50 10 0 0 Fabens 44 68 40 75 / 60 10 0 0 Santa Teresa 43 65 38 70 / 50 10 0 0 White Sands HQ 44 66 42 69 / 40 10 0 0 Jornada Range 39 66 34 70 / 50 10 0 0 Hatch 41 69 35 71 / 40 0 0 0 Columbus 44 66 39 70 / 60 0 0 0 Orogrande 40 63 37 69 / 50 10 0 0 Mayhill 33 55 30 65 / 40 10 0 0 Mescalero 31 53 29 61 / 60 10 0 0 Timberon 33 51 33 57 / 50 10 0 0 Winston 29 58 27 63 / 60 0 0 0 Hillsboro 37 66 37 67 / 60 0 0 0 Spaceport 36 66 33 68 / 40 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 32 58 30 64 / 70 10 0 0 Hurley 35 60 34 64 / 70 0 0 0 Cliff 35 64 32 70 / 70 0 0 0 Mule Creek 34 59 32 66 / 80 0 0 0 Faywood 38 62 37 63 / 60 0 0 0 Animas 39 62 36 71 / 80 0 0 0 Hachita 40 61 35 69 / 70 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 38 63 35 71 / 70 0 0 0 Cloverdale 39 56 38 65 / 90 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.