textproduct: El Paso

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 430 PM MST Wed Jan 14 2026

- Dry conditions rest of this week with high pressure fixed along the Pacific coast. Minimal weather hazards.

- Temperatures around 5 degrees above normal for mid-January, with lowland highs in the lower sixties.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1000 AM MST Wed Jan 14 2026

Our quiet weather looks to continue through at least the start of next week. We are currently caught between two weather systems, a large upper level trough over the Great Lakes region and a blocking pattern, dominating by an upper level ridge, along the west coast. We find our region between those systems which will continue to give us a dry northwest flow. At the surface today, a weak "cold" front was pushing from east to west across the area. About the only effect we will see from the front will be some low end gusty winds this afternoon. There will be little to no temperature difference on the backside of the front. Our high temperatures today through the weekend will range from 4 to 8 degrees above average. Then as we move into next week, we may see some modestly cooler temperatures. With the dry northwest flow aloft, we will be hard pressed to see much in the way of clouds let alone precipitation. For next week, we may see a chance for precipitation, but for now we look dry through at least next Monday.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 430 PM MST Wed Jan 14 2026

VMC through forecast period under north flow aloft. Skies SKC- FEW250 through the night and into Thursday. Surface winds beginning 100-140 at 05-10 knots, becoming light and variable overnight. Very light surface winds Thursday afternoon with no local aviation concerns.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1000 AM MST Wed Jan 14 2026

Generally quiet fire weather conditions over the next 5 days. For today, a weak cold front was pushing across the area and that will give us some low end gusty east winds, especially on the west slopes of area mountains. Those winds will drop off and we will see generally light winds through the coming weekend. Min RH's through the weekend will range from 15 to 25% in the lowlands to 20 to 30% in area mountains. With the lighter winds after today, vent rates will struggle, staying in the poor to fair range.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 36 65 36 65 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 33 62 34 59 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 31 61 32 62 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 31 61 32 62 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 25 43 26 44 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 33 63 33 62 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 31 59 32 62 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 31 63 30 65 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 29 62 28 64 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 38 63 37 64 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 26 65 26 60 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 33 67 32 65 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 36 57 35 57 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 32 65 31 65 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 32 61 31 63 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 38 63 38 63 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 28 61 28 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 29 64 29 65 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 32 61 33 64 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 31 60 31 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 28 60 31 52 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 26 54 27 55 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 26 53 28 52 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 24 61 26 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 33 64 35 62 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 28 61 28 62 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 27 60 28 62 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 29 60 30 62 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 28 65 26 67 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 29 62 27 64 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 33 60 34 61 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 28 62 33 65 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 28 61 29 64 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 28 63 31 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 36 62 38 62 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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