textproduct: El Paso

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1134 AM MDT Sun Apr 12 2026

- Breezy afternoons continue each day but the lightest wind day will be Wednesday.

- Low end chances for rain Monday afternoon and evening generally west of the Rio Grande. - Near normal temperatures through next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 939 AM MDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Moisture will continue to scour out to the east of the area today leaving us with drier southwest flow overhead. Low end breezes expected mostly every afternoon but generally 10-20 mph sustained. Monday will be just a bit breezier with speeds of 15-25 mph sustained. Southwest flow becomes more amplified on Monday in response to a low pressure system over California. Low end rain chances possible Monday afternoon and into the early evening but mostly for locations along and west of the Rio Grande. Drier conditions Tuesday and especially Wednesday and onward. Continued afternoon breeziness each day with dry conditions will persist. A passing trough looks to create windy conditions by Friday afternoon.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1134 AM MDT Sun Apr 12 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period. Increasing high clouds through the overnight hours. Breezy southwest winds expected this afternoon with speeds generally 15-20G25-30KT. Winds continue to stay somewhat breezy even after sunset but will eventually dwindle down to light speeds after 06Z or so.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 939 AM MDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Dry and breezy conditions through much of the work week ahead. Low end chances for rain showers tomorrow afternoon and evening but mostly for the higher terrain areas and locations along and west of the Rio Grande will be favored. Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions Monday and Tuesday. The next potential day to watch will be Friday as it looks quite windy coupled with near critical to critical min RHs.

20 foot winds: 10-20 mph out of the southwest Monday afternoon. 10-15 mph Tuesday afternoon. Light winds Wednesday. Light breezes Thursday at 5-15 mph. Friday could become windy.

Min RHs: 15-25% Monday across the lowlands (30-45% in area mountains). The lower Rio Grande Valley locations will dip into critical thresholds at 13-15%. Lowland RHs dip to 11-20% (30-40% area mountains) Tuesday. Single digit lowland RHs Wednesday and Thursday (13-20% area mountains). Lowland RHs 8-12% and 15-20% in the area mountains.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 59 83 59 81 / 0 10 10 10 Sierra Blanca 52 79 54 76 / 0 10 0 10 Las Cruces 52 78 50 76 / 0 10 10 10 Alamogordo 52 77 50 75 / 0 10 10 10 Cloudcroft 37 54 37 52 / 0 10 10 10 Truth or Consequences 54 76 51 74 / 0 20 10 10 Silver City 44 67 42 64 / 0 30 30 10 Deming 52 80 49 76 / 0 20 10 10 Lordsburg 49 74 46 71 / 0 30 20 0 West El Paso Metro 59 81 60 79 / 0 10 10 10 Dell City 50 82 52 79 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 55 87 59 84 / 0 10 0 10 Loma Linda 53 75 54 73 / 0 10 0 10 Fabens 56 85 58 82 / 0 10 0 10 Santa Teresa 54 80 54 78 / 0 10 10 10 White Sands HQ 58 80 57 77 / 0 10 10 10 Jornada Range 52 78 48 75 / 0 10 10 10 Hatch 54 80 51 77 / 0 10 10 10 Columbus 59 81 54 79 / 0 20 10 10 Orogrande 50 78 51 76 / 0 10 10 10 Mayhill 44 67 44 65 / 0 10 10 10 Mescalero 41 65 40 63 / 0 10 20 10 Timberon 41 64 41 61 / 0 10 10 10 Winston 40 67 37 64 / 0 20 20 10 Hillsboro 50 73 48 70 / 0 20 20 10 Spaceport 49 76 45 74 / 0 10 10 10 Lake Roberts 39 67 39 63 / 0 30 30 10 Hurley 44 71 41 68 / 0 30 30 10 Cliff 44 73 44 69 / 0 30 30 10 Mule Creek 42 69 41 64 / 0 30 30 10 Faywood 47 70 44 68 / 0 20 30 10 Animas 52 75 49 74 / 0 30 10 0 Hachita 52 75 48 74 / 0 20 10 10 Antelope Wells 52 76 49 75 / 0 20 0 0 Cloverdale 50 69 46 69 / 0 20 10 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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