textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1145 AM MDT Sat Apr 11 2026

- Showers and thunderstorms exit the area late tonight and early Sunday morning.

- Dry and breezy conditions Sunday through Tuesday, with blowing dust possible Sunday and Monday. Elevated to Near Critical fire weather conditions Sunday and Monday. - Near normal temperatures through next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 954 AM MDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Showers and storms will exit the area later tonight. Today is the last shot for decent storm chances through at least the week ahead. Drier air pushes in Sunday and the afternoon breeziness returns as well. Winds tomorrow will be around 15-20 mph sustained out of the southwest. Monday will be a bit breezier with speeds of around 15-25 mph out of the southwest. Blowing dust possible both afternoons but shouldn't be a huge blowing dust day, maybe some reductions in visibilities but not expecting Dust Storm Warning level (less than 1/4 mile) dust at this time. Continued afternoon breeziness into Tuesday, with winds being just a tad lower compared to Sunday and Monday. Relatively light breezes expected Wednesday through the end of the work week with mostly dry conditions.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1145 AM MDT Sat Apr 11 2026

South to southwest breeziness expected this afternoon with mid and high clouds overhead before clearing out during the early morning hours Sunday. Models have continued to suggest a line of thunderstorms that may go over KELP around 00Z tonight. Some showery activity possible later this afternoon and early evening near KDMN and KLRU but didn't feel confident enough to mention in the TAF.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 954 AM MDT Sat Apr 11 2026

Showers and storms sweep out of the area late tonight. Dry conditions begin tomorrow lasting through much of the work week. There's not a really good signal for rain, but there might be some potential on Friday for rain. The return for breezy afternoon winds begins tomorrow with 20ft winds out of the southwest at generally 10-18 mph. Min RHs will also dip down into critical thresholds for much of the desert lowlands with RHs of 10-15% (20-30% in the area mountains), allowing for elevated to near critical fire weather concerns. Breezier conditions on Monday afternoon with southwest winds of 15-20 mph (10-15 mph in far west TX). Min RHs do increase slightly on Monday to 14-20% across the lowlands (25-35% in the area mountains) allowing for another day of elevated to near critical fire weather concerns.

Low end breezy winds continue into Tuesday with 20ft winds of 10-15 mph out of the southwest to west. Critical min RHs expected across much of the desert lowlands again Tuesday at 10-20%. Dry conditions continue Wednesday and Thursday with winds becoming fairly light at around 5-10 mph. Single digit min RHs return Wednesday and persisting through Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 58 84 59 83 / 30 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 50 78 51 79 / 60 0 0 0 Las Cruces 50 80 51 78 / 20 0 0 0 Alamogordo 52 79 51 78 / 40 10 0 0 Cloudcroft 38 55 38 55 / 40 10 0 0 Truth or Consequences 51 79 54 77 / 10 0 0 0 Silver City 44 71 45 68 / 20 0 0 10 Deming 49 82 52 81 / 20 0 0 10 Lordsburg 46 78 49 75 / 20 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 59 82 59 81 / 30 0 0 0 Dell City 51 81 51 82 / 30 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 55 86 56 86 / 50 0 0 0 Loma Linda 53 75 53 75 / 40 0 0 0 Fabens 56 85 56 85 / 30 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 53 81 54 80 / 20 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 58 81 58 81 / 30 0 0 0 Jornada Range 49 80 51 79 / 20 0 0 0 Hatch 51 82 54 81 / 20 0 0 0 Columbus 54 83 59 81 / 20 0 0 0 Orogrande 51 79 51 78 / 40 0 0 0 Mayhill 44 68 44 68 / 40 0 0 0 Mescalero 41 67 41 66 / 40 10 0 0 Timberon 40 64 41 65 / 50 0 0 0 Winston 37 70 40 68 / 10 0 0 10 Hillsboro 48 76 50 75 / 20 0 0 10 Spaceport 45 78 49 77 / 20 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 40 69 41 68 / 20 0 0 10 Hurley 43 74 44 72 / 20 0 0 10 Cliff 42 77 45 74 / 20 0 0 10 Mule Creek 41 73 42 70 / 20 0 0 10 Faywood 46 74 47 72 / 20 0 0 10 Animas 48 79 52 77 / 20 0 0 10 Hachita 48 78 52 76 / 20 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 48 78 52 77 / 20 0 0 0 Cloverdale 48 73 49 70 / 10 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.