textproduct: El Paso
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1142 AM MDT Mon Apr 13 2026
- Breezy to windy conditions again Tuesday, with at least some patchy blowing dust. Lighter winds for Wednesday. - Breezy to windy again Thursday into Friday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1005 AM MDT Mon Apr 13 2026
The area will be under mid level southwest flow today as a cutoff low tracks across SoCal today. Breezy conditions continue the first few hours after sunset and then will begin to relax. Tuesday will feature another breezy day with southwest winds during the afternoon as the aforementioned trough will make it's way over the Four Corners and into CO. Wind speeds tomorrow look similar to what we'll see today, but just a little weaker. Blowing dust possible again tomorrow. Wednesday will feature the lightest winds of the work week. Wednesday through Friday looks dry. Breezy to windy conditions return Thursday and Friday along with the blowing dust threat. Very dry air and breezy winds will increase the fire weather threat as well.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1142 AM MDT Mon Apr 13 2026
Rain showers that are capable of producing gusty outflow winds will start popping up in the next couple hours and looks to die off around 04Z tonight. Very breezy southwest winds will continue to pick up this afternoon. All sites except KTCS could see BLDU today. Best confidence will be KELP and KDMN. Reductions in visibility expected, but not expecting visibilities less than a mile. BLDU from storms could produce even more reductions in visibility. Winds stay somewhat breezy after sunset and then will decrease during the overnight hours.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1005 AM MDT Mon Apr 13 2026
Elevated to near critical fire weather concerns Tuesday due to breezy southwest 20 ft winds at 10-20 mph. Near critical to critical min RHs across a good portion of the lowlands of SW New Mexico with values generally 12-20% (30-40% in the area mountains). Drier air pushes in Wednesday, crashing min RHs down to the single digits (7-10% in the lowlands, 15-20% in mountains). However, winds will be the lightest on Wednesday with speeds of 5-10 mph. Breezy conditions expected Thursday and Friday, combined with critical min RHs will allow for near critical to critical fire weather concerns. Min RHs will still be in the single digits across the lowlands (5-10%) and 10-15% in the area mountains on Thursday. Wind speeds will be 10-20 mph out of the southwest. The Gila region, Black Range, Sierra County, high terrain in the NM Bootheel and even portions of the Sacramento Mtns will have the best chance to see Red Flag conditions. By Friday, will still see critical min RHs across the lowlands with values of 8-11% and 15-20% in the mountains. 20 ft wind speeds will be around 10-20 mph again.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
El Paso 60 81 52 78 / 10 10 0 0 Sierra Blanca 55 76 49 74 / 0 10 20 0 Las Cruces 52 77 43 74 / 10 10 0 0 Alamogordo 52 76 43 74 / 20 10 10 0 Cloudcroft 38 53 32 51 / 20 10 10 0 Truth or Consequences 52 74 45 74 / 10 0 0 0 Silver City 42 64 36 66 / 40 0 0 0 Deming 50 77 41 76 / 20 10 0 0 Lordsburg 46 72 38 73 / 30 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 60 79 52 77 / 10 10 10 0 Dell City 52 80 47 77 / 0 10 0 0 Fort Hancock 60 84 53 81 / 0 10 10 0 Loma Linda 55 73 48 71 / 10 10 10 0 Fabens 59 82 51 79 / 0 10 10 0 Santa Teresa 56 79 46 76 / 10 10 10 0 White Sands HQ 58 78 50 76 / 10 10 10 0 Jornada Range 50 77 40 75 / 10 10 0 0 Hatch 52 78 40 77 / 10 0 0 0 Columbus 55 80 46 77 / 10 10 0 0 Orogrande 51 77 45 74 / 10 10 10 0 Mayhill 45 66 37 64 / 10 10 10 0 Mescalero 42 64 34 62 / 20 10 10 0 Timberon 41 62 36 60 / 10 10 10 0 Winston 39 65 30 68 / 30 0 0 0 Hillsboro 49 71 40 73 / 20 0 0 0 Spaceport 47 74 38 75 / 10 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 40 64 31 67 / 50 0 0 0 Hurley 42 69 35 70 / 40 0 0 0 Cliff 44 70 34 73 / 40 0 0 0 Mule Creek 40 65 34 70 / 50 0 0 0 Faywood 45 69 38 69 / 30 0 0 0 Animas 49 75 40 75 / 20 0 0 0 Hachita 49 75 40 75 / 20 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 50 76 40 75 / 10 0 0 0 Cloverdale 47 70 40 70 / 10 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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