textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 536 PM MDT Sun Aug 9 2026

- Drier conditions today through Tuesday, with storm chances limited to western New Mexico and the high elevations. Rain chances increase again late this week as moisture returns.

- Above average warmth continues each day. Monday and Tuesday will be the hottest with temperatures in the upper 90s to 104 degrees.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1102 AM MDT Sun Aug 9 2026

Upper high stays put over the Four Corners today through Tuesday. Mostly dry conditions today with the exception of the Gila region. Slight uptick in storm chances with increasing coverage each day. The Gila region will be favored again Monday afternoon for storms but may even see storms get triggered off the west slopes of the Sacramento Mtns as well as more activity closer towards the AZ border. Blowing dust possible over the Lordsburg Playa tomorrow afternoon. Similar conditions and locations for storms Tuesday with the focus over the area mountains and locations west of the Rio Grande. The aforementioned upper high dissolves Tuesday, but starts to shift over to the Gulf and Gulf states Wednesday and onward. This will be more of a classic monsoonal tap of moisture funneling into the area. Better chances and coverage of thunderstorms during this time frame with flash flooding being the main hazard.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 536 PM MDT Sun Aug 9 2026

VFR conditions are expected with SKC-FEW120/250. Winds will be light and variable though direction will favor east to southeast at most sites, including ELP.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1102 AM MDT Sun Aug 9 2026

Generally low fire weather concerns through the week ahead. Mostly dry today (Sunday) with isolated storms over the Gila region. Area mountains and western areas bordering AZ will be favored for storm chances Monday and Tuesday. Looks like a better tap of moisture Wednesday and onward which will increase storm coverage and perhaps even the flooding risk as well.

Temperatures stay several degrees above normal with 20 foot winds generally light each afternoon at 5-10 mph with calm overnight conditions. Min RHs across the lowlands will be near critical to critical each afternoon through Tuesday at 13-20% and mountain RHs of 20-35%. Better moisture and storm chances Wednesday and onward will increase min RHs above critical thresholds with values of 18- 30% and mountain RHs 30-50%.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 73 102 73 101 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 66 97 67 97 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 67 101 69 100 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 69 100 72 101 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 51 78 54 77 / 0 10 0 20 Truth or Consequences 70 101 72 100 / 0 0 0 10 Silver City 64 94 63 91 / 10 20 20 40 Deming 67 102 69 100 / 0 0 0 10 Lordsburg 69 100 68 97 / 0 20 20 20 West El Paso Metro 73 102 74 101 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 69 101 70 101 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 73 103 74 104 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 67 95 68 95 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 71 102 72 101 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 70 100 72 100 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 73 101 74 101 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 69 101 71 100 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 69 104 71 104 / 0 0 0 10 Columbus 71 102 74 101 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 68 99 69 98 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 56 90 58 89 / 0 10 0 20 Mescalero 56 89 58 88 / 0 10 0 10 Timberon 54 87 56 86 / 0 0 0 10 Winston 60 93 62 91 / 20 10 10 40 Hillsboro 67 100 68 99 / 10 10 0 20 Spaceport 68 101 69 100 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 58 93 58 90 / 20 20 20 60 Hurley 64 97 64 95 / 10 10 10 30 Cliff 66 101 65 97 / 20 20 20 50 Mule Creek 64 96 63 93 / 20 20 20 60 Faywood 66 97 67 95 / 10 10 0 20 Animas 68 101 68 97 / 0 10 20 30 Hachita 68 100 68 97 / 0 10 10 20 Antelope Wells 67 98 67 94 / 0 20 10 40 Cloverdale 64 92 64 88 / 0 20 20 50

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.