textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 529 PM MDT Thu Aug 6 2026

- Heat Advisory is in effect for portions of the Lower Valley through this evening.

- We will see an uptick in thunderstorm activity this afternoon. We will have a drying trend as we head into the weekend.

- High temperatures will continue to run about 5-8 degrees above average, with triple digit high temperatures common across the lowlands into next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1206 PM MDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Upper high stretching from southern NV to our area throughout the day. Elevated wildfire smoke from Washington and Oregon has been reaching our area the last couple days bringing hazy skies. This mornings cloud cover and showers have been slowly eroding away. Depending on how fast the cloud cover clears out, this may hinder some thunderstorm activity. Hi-res CAMs models are still suggesting an uptick in storm activity this afternoon starting in the area mountains around noon with outflows triggering off more storms in the lowlands later this afternoon. Gusty outflow winds, blowing dust, and some flooding possible. Upper high shifts ever so slightly to the Four Corners Friday. Residual moisture trapped under the high will bring another round of afternoon monsoonal thunderstorms Friday.

Upper high stays put over the Four Corners through the weekend with drier air from the Great Plains pushing in, limiting storm chances to just the area mountains. Heading into early next week, the upper high looks to shift southward centering over AZ/NM but moisture trapped under this high should continue to bring daily afternoon storm chances.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 529 PM MDT Thu Aug 6 2026

TSRA / SHRA will be the main concern for the next few hours with torrential rain, gusty winds, and small hail the main concerns with it. After 3z, probability for thunder begins to decrease until tomorrow afternoon. Winds will be gusty around storms but light and variable otherwise. Skies will be variable with bases as low as 080, lower in thunderstorms.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1206 PM MDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Generally low fire weather concerns through the week ahead. Daily thunderstorm chances through mid week. Scattered mountain and isolated lowland storm chances Friday afternoon, but drier air pushes in over the weekend limiting storm chances to just the area mountains both of those days. Area mountain and locations bordering AZ look to be favored for storm chances Monday through Wednesday next week. Min RHs tomorrow across the lowlands will be near critical at 17-21% and mountain RHs of 25-40%. Near critical to critical RHs across the lowlands Saturday through Tuesday with values of 14-22%. Mountain RHs during this time will be 25-35%.

High temperatures stay 5-8 degrees above normal each day through mid-week. 20 foot winds will be light each afternoon at 5-10 mph with light and variable breezes overnight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 75 101 75 100 / 30 20 20 0 Sierra Blanca 68 97 67 95 / 10 20 20 0 Las Cruces 69 98 69 98 / 50 20 30 0 Alamogordo 69 98 68 97 / 30 30 20 10 Cloudcroft 52 76 52 75 / 20 40 20 20 Truth or Consequences 70 99 70 98 / 30 30 30 0 Silver City 64 93 64 91 / 30 40 20 20 Deming 69 100 70 99 / 40 20 30 0 Lordsburg 70 98 70 98 / 30 30 30 0 West El Paso Metro 75 100 76 100 / 30 20 20 0 Dell City 72 100 71 99 / 10 20 20 0 Fort Hancock 76 104 75 102 / 10 20 10 0 Loma Linda 69 94 69 93 / 20 20 20 0 Fabens 75 102 75 100 / 20 20 20 0 Santa Teresa 72 99 73 99 / 40 20 30 0 White Sands HQ 73 100 74 98 / 40 30 30 0 Jornada Range 70 99 70 98 / 40 30 30 0 Hatch 69 102 70 101 / 40 20 30 0 Columbus 73 99 73 99 / 50 30 40 0 Orogrande 69 98 69 97 / 20 20 20 0 Mayhill 58 87 57 86 / 20 20 20 10 Mescalero 57 87 56 86 / 20 40 20 20 Timberon 56 85 55 84 / 20 30 20 20 Winston 60 91 60 90 / 20 30 40 10 Hillsboro 66 98 67 96 / 30 30 40 0 Spaceport 68 99 67 97 / 30 30 30 0 Lake Roberts 58 92 58 91 / 20 50 20 60 Hurley 64 95 65 94 / 30 30 30 10 Cliff 66 99 65 97 / 20 50 20 40 Mule Creek 64 95 64 93 / 20 40 30 30 Faywood 66 95 67 93 / 30 30 30 0 Animas 70 98 69 98 / 50 30 30 0 Hachita 68 97 69 97 / 50 20 30 0 Antelope Wells 68 96 69 96 / 60 30 40 0 Cloverdale 65 92 65 92 / 60 30 30 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT this evening for Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County.

NM...None.