textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 352 AM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Dry weather through Friday with a slight chance of showers Friday night and Saturday.

- Breezy Wednesday afternoon, otherwise winds on the light side.

- Temperatures will run near to slightly below normal through the upcoming week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 827 PM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

Winds will decrease through the evening as the upper-level low moves into the Central-Southern Plains. Some fog may be present in the southern Gila National Forest in Grant County this morning due to recent rains, but lower dew points will be moving into our area on Tuesday, keeping conditions mainly dry. Temperatures for Tuesday will be 6 to 8 degrees below normal for early November (mid 60s in the lowlands). The NBM had El Paso be about 5 degrees cooler than what the MOS guidance for both Tuesday and Wednesday due to increasing pressure highs aloft allowing for faster diurnal heating from the sun, despite light cold air advection from the north.

Temperatures for Wednesday will be relatively similar to Tuesday, if not slightly warmer. Winds will increase slightly from the west to about 10-15 mph. An upper-level low moving across the Central Rockies will bring a Pacific cold front through the area Wednesday afternoon, which will cool temperatures down slightly for Thursday. Both models have the low too far north for precipitation to affect the region. For the rest of the week, conditions will be relatively dry and quiet until Friday, where the Borderland could see a possible chance of rain--confidence is low at this time, and the ECMWF is leaning on the wetter side of things. I am skeptical if we will get any rain at the end of the week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 352 AM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

VFR conditions through the period with FEW100 SCT-BKN250. Surface winds variable AOB 7 knots becoming south/southwest 7-10 knots this afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 352 AM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

We start a stretch of dry weather today as dry west flow aloft dominates much of the week. An upper low crossing Colorado Wednesday will bring some breezy afternoon winds (west 10-20 mph), otherwise no significant winds are expected through this weekend. The next shot at some rain will be Friday night and Saturday as a Pacific system moves through the area.

Min RH: Lowlands 30-40% today and Wednesday, decreasing to 25-35% Thursday through Saturday. Mountains 35-50% through Saturday. Vent rates poor-fair through Saturday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 46 74 49 71 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 42 74 48 71 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 40 69 42 69 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 42 70 45 68 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 32 56 34 52 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 41 71 42 66 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 37 65 38 64 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 40 69 41 68 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 39 68 39 68 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 48 74 51 71 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 44 71 47 71 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 49 80 52 77 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 44 67 47 66 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 47 76 50 75 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 43 71 46 70 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 46 71 48 69 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 41 69 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 41 73 42 71 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 43 72 46 70 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 41 69 43 67 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 35 69 38 62 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 35 64 37 62 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 33 62 37 60 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 33 67 33 62 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 40 73 41 66 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 40 69 41 67 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 30 66 29 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 37 67 37 66 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 32 71 33 71 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 29 66 29 67 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 39 66 40 65 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 39 71 42 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 39 71 41 68 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 42 75 45 72 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 42 67 44 67 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.