textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1100 PM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

- Dry conditions and light winds persist through the work week with typical mid-November temperatures. Some patchy fog is expected early Tuesday morning.

- Next potential system arrives late this week which could bring more rain chances.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1100 PM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

Upper low over north-central Texas continues to progress eastward, leaving New Mexico and west Texas under a very positively-tilted ridge. Skies have cleared quickly this evening, leaving the region in a light wind/clear sky weather pattern favorable for patchy fog. An area of fog/low stratus has already formed over the upper Mimbres River in Grant County, as well as portions of the Otero Mesa. Wouldn't be surprised to see this spread in coverage through the overnight hours into Tuesday morning, affecting much of the Tularosa Basin, Rio Grande Valley, and Southwest New Mexico deserts. Will be something to monitor through the night.

Tuesday looks sunny and mild with very light southwest flow. High pressure aloft is currently fixed across all of the Southwestern U.S, and looks to stay that way through much of the week ahead. This will lead to dry weather, mostly light winds, and typical mid-November temperatures with lowland highs in the upper 60s/lower 70s. Not much to talk about weather-wise over the next few days.

Upper ridge finally progresses across the Southern Rockies by next Friday. Both global models depict a fast-moving shortwave swing across the International Border Friday/Saturday. This would be our next precipitation chance. Current forecast shows this to be a chance of rain showers next Saturday, with generally light amounts. Sunday into early next week looks dry following this passage.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1100 PM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

Clear skies overnight with calm surface winds. Patchy fog across S NM and W TX between 10Z-15Z Tuesday morning, which may cause unexpected IFR VIS at KDMN/KELP. Will monitor overnight and amend forecast as necessary. VFR conditions tomorrow with SKC and light SW winds.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1100 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

No fire weather concerns are forecast through the week. Light winds for the rest of today with high RHs outside of the Gila. Lingering low clouds down south this afternoon with areas of fog developing overnight. Trending drier into midweek with mainly clear skies as RHs remain above critical thresholds. Light winds continue through midweek, although a weak front brings some breeziness from the N-NE on Wed. Winds of 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph are forecast for Wed in the Sacs. No chance of rain until Fri night-Sat when a wx system brings low rain chances. Temps will be near normal.

Min RHs range from 40-60% on Tue for S and E areas, 20-40% NW; then 20-45% area-wide through Fri. Vent rates will be mostly poor through Thu.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 48 69 47 71 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 45 65 44 67 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 42 67 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 44 67 43 69 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 32 50 32 51 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 42 66 43 67 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 39 66 40 66 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 41 68 42 69 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 40 67 42 69 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 48 68 48 70 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 47 70 45 71 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 49 74 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 45 63 45 66 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 47 72 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 43 67 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 49 70 49 70 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 42 68 41 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 43 71 43 72 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 44 68 45 70 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 44 67 44 68 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 36 65 38 60 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 35 61 35 63 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 34 59 34 60 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 33 65 36 63 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 42 68 44 67 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 41 67 41 69 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 33 68 34 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 37 66 38 68 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 38 71 39 73 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 37 67 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 41 65 42 66 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 42 68 44 69 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 40 68 42 69 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 43 68 45 69 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 43 66 45 66 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.