textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 421 PM MST Tue Jan 13 2026

- Dry conditions this week with high pressure fixed along the Pacific coast. Temperatures a little above normal for mid- January with lowland highs in the low to mid sixties.

- Frontal boundary arrives Wednesday morning, shifting winds to the east with minimal changes to temperature and breezy winds on the west slopes of area mountains.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 924 AM MST Tue Jan 13 2026

We will have little impactful weather over the next seven days as our region will be between a large trough over the Great Lake's region and a blocking ridge pattern over the west coast of the U.S. We will be between the these weather systems which will give us a dry northwest flow aloft. We will be hard pressed to see much in the way for clouds let alone precipitation through the weekend. The northwest flow will allow for only a slow warming on Wednesday. Then Wednesday afternoon, a weak back door cold front will push across the region and swing our winds around to the east, but little else. High temperatures on Thursday, will be almost the same as we will see on Wednesday. For the end of the week, the pattern will continue with our high temperatures continuing to run 5 to 8 degrees above average. For the weekend, the west coast upper level ridge will build a little in our direction which will continue to keep us dry and warm for Saturday and Sunday. No sign of any precipitation makers through the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 421 PM MST Tue Jan 13 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the forecast period. Winds remain AOB 6kts tonight before low-level winds increase Wed morning from the northeast behind a frontal boundary. LLWS can be seen after sunrise for KELP and KDMN with some gusts during the day up to 20kts as winds shift E.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 924 AM MST Tue Jan 13 2026

We won't have any precipitation chances over the next week and we will be hard pressed to see any clouds through weekend. Min RH's today through Friday will be near 20% in the lowlands and in the 30's in area mountains. For the weekend we will be a little drier with min RH's in the mid to upper teens in the lowlands and in the mid to upper 20's in area mountains. The winds today and tonight will be light, then on Wednesday a weak backdoor cold front will push across the region which may give us a few hours of low end breezy east winds. Then for the end of the week into the weekend we will have a return of our light winds. Vent rates will range from fair to good on Wednesday and from poor to fair on Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 35 64 36 63 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 33 59 33 61 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 31 60 31 61 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 29 61 31 61 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 26 41 24 43 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 33 60 33 61 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 32 58 31 59 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 31 62 31 63 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 28 61 31 62 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 36 63 38 62 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 25 62 27 65 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 31 65 32 67 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 35 57 35 57 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 31 64 32 65 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 30 62 31 61 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 37 62 37 62 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 27 61 29 61 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 30 63 29 65 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 32 62 32 62 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 30 61 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 29 51 28 60 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 28 54 26 55 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 27 51 25 53 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 26 54 24 60 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 34 59 33 62 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 30 61 28 61 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 28 58 27 60 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 29 59 29 60 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 28 65 27 65 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 29 62 28 62 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 34 58 33 59 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 30 61 29 62 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 28 59 29 61 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 29 60 28 62 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 36 57 36 60 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.