textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 827 PM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

- Dry weather through this weekend with some afternoon breezes returning for Wednesday.

- Temperatures will run near to slightly below normal through the upcoming week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 827 PM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

Winds will decrease through the evening as the upper-level low moves into the Central-Southern Plains. Some fog may be present in the southern Gila National Forest in Grant County this morning due to recent rains, but lower dew points will be moving into our area on Tuesday, keeping conditions mainly dry. Temperatures for Tuesday will be 6 to 8 degrees below normal for early November (mid 60s in the lowlands). The NBM had El Paso be about 5 degrees cooler than what the MOS guidance for both Tuesday and Wednesday due to increasing pressure highs aloft allowing for faster diurnal heating from the sun, despite light cold air advection from the north.

Temperatures for Wednesday will be relatively similar to Tuesday, if not slightly warmer. Winds will increase slightly from the west to about 10-15 mph. An upper-level low moving across the Central Rockies will bring a Pacific cold front through the area Wednesday afternoon, which will cool temperatures down slightly for Thursday. Both models have the low too far north for precipitation to affect the region. For the rest of the week, conditions will be relatively dry and quiet until Friday, where the Borderland could see a possible chance of rain--confidence is low at this time, and the ECMWF is leaning on the wetter side of things. I am skeptical if we will get any rain at the end of the week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 827 PM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

Calm winds throughout the observation period, mainly from the north. VFR conditions will persist as skies will remain generally clear. Some patchy fog is possible out west near the Gila National Forest around sunrise.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1102 AM MST Mon Nov 2 2026

Besides the winds through this afternoon, fire weather concerns will be minimal for the next week. Zonal flow through the end of the week will bring in drier air and near to slightly below normal temperatures. Even with the drier air moving in, min RH's will stay above 25-30%. No chances for precipitation for the upcoming work week and likely beyond. Vent rates will be poor Tuesday, but some breezy conditions Wed will result in Fair to Good rates.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 47 70 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 44 65 42 73 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 41 63 40 67 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 42 64 42 69 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 30 46 32 51 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 42 64 41 70 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 36 61 37 64 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 39 64 40 68 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 39 63 39 67 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 49 68 48 74 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 46 67 44 72 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 50 72 49 81 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 44 62 44 66 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 47 71 47 77 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 44 65 43 70 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 47 65 46 70 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 41 64 41 68 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 43 68 41 72 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 43 65 43 71 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 43 63 41 68 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 36 58 35 66 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 34 57 35 61 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 32 54 33 59 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 33 61 33 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 40 64 40 72 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 39 64 40 68 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 30 65 31 65 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 35 62 37 66 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 38 68 39 70 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 34 64 36 65 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 38 61 39 65 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 41 65 39 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 39 63 39 70 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 42 65 42 74 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 41 63 42 66 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.