textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1020 PM MDT Sat Aug 1 2026

- Daily monsoonal thunderstorms each afternoon with a focus over the area mountains and western locations bordering Arizona.

- Rebound in temperatures starting Monday through Wednesday where triple digits will be common across the desert lowlands.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1020 PM MDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Upper high stays over Arizona heading into Sunday. High pressure broadens and flattens Monday through mid-week. What this means for us is a rebound in temperatures Monday through Wednesday where many lowland locations will see triple digit highs during this time. Continued monsoonal thunderstorms each afternoon with a primary focus over the are mountains and western locations of the CWA nearing Arizona. By late in the work week, high pressure looks to move over Nevada and away from us to give us *some* relief, but not much. Maybe a handful of degrees shaved off for Thursday and Friday compared to Wednesdays highs. Looks like better chances of rain will be possible for more of the area late in the week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1020 PM MDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Storms are now pushing through KDMN, KLRU, and KDMN as of 10:40PM and will continue to push south into Mexico tonight. KELP will be the last to see storms out of all of the terminals. Around midnight or 07Z storms should have mostly moved out of the area leaving much calmer and quieter conditions overnight. Clearing skies overnight. Thunderstorms won't be quite as active tomorrow as it was today but will mostly focus out west leaving KDMN and KTCS having the best chances to see storms tomorrow.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1007 AM MDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Fire weather concerns will be low through the forecast period. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms develop this afternoon and evening, progressing from north to south. Heavy downpours, strong outflow winds, and frequent lightning are the main threats today. Gusts to 60 mph are possible. Otherwise, winds will be light from E- SE. The convection clears out overnight with drier conditions for Sun. Isolated to scattered storms in area mtns Sun afternoon with gusty winds. Winds shift more S on Sun, remaining light outside of outflows. Temps will be a touch cooler on Sun. Low storm chances continue over area mtns and out west into the middle of next week. Mainly dry elsewhere with warmer than normal temps and light winds.

Min RHs range from 20-50% through Sun, then 15-35%. Vent rates will be fair to good this weekend, then good to very good.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 74 99 76 102 / 50 10 0 0 Sierra Blanca 66 94 68 97 / 20 0 0 0 Las Cruces 68 96 70 100 / 50 0 0 0 Alamogordo 67 96 72 100 / 60 10 0 10 Cloudcroft 50 73 53 77 / 60 10 0 10 Truth or Consequences 69 97 72 101 / 50 10 10 10 Silver City 64 90 66 93 / 50 30 30 40 Deming 68 97 70 101 / 40 10 10 10 Lordsburg 70 97 72 99 / 50 20 30 30 West El Paso Metro 74 98 76 101 / 50 0 0 0 Dell City 69 98 71 101 / 20 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 74 101 76 104 / 20 0 0 0 Loma Linda 67 91 70 94 / 40 10 0 0 Fabens 73 99 74 102 / 40 10 0 0 Santa Teresa 72 96 73 100 / 40 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 72 97 75 101 / 60 0 0 0 Jornada Range 68 96 72 100 / 60 0 0 0 Hatch 68 100 72 104 / 50 0 0 0 Columbus 72 98 73 102 / 50 0 0 0 Orogrande 67 95 70 99 / 50 0 0 0 Mayhill 55 85 59 89 / 50 20 0 20 Mescalero 55 84 59 89 / 60 10 0 20 Timberon 53 82 56 86 / 50 10 0 20 Winston 60 89 61 93 / 40 20 20 30 Hillsboro 65 95 68 99 / 40 10 10 10 Spaceport 66 96 70 100 / 50 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 59 90 60 93 / 40 50 20 50 Hurley 64 93 67 96 / 50 20 20 30 Cliff 67 97 67 100 / 30 30 30 40 Mule Creek 65 94 66 96 / 10 40 30 50 Faywood 65 92 68 96 / 40 10 20 20 Animas 70 98 72 100 / 60 20 30 30 Hachita 68 96 70 98 / 60 10 20 20 Antelope Wells 69 96 70 98 / 60 10 10 10 Cloverdale 66 92 67 92 / 70 20 20 30

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Flood Watch until midnight MDT tonight for Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Western El Paso County.

NM...Flood Watch until midnight MDT tonight for East Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo-East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- Southeast Tularosa Basin-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-West Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands-West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet.