textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 618 AM MDT Wed Aug 5 2026

- Heat Advisory is in effect for portions of the Lower Valley Wednesday, and may need to be extended into Thursday.

- Thunderstorm chances will mainly be focused over SW New Mexico today, with isolated storms in the Sacramento Mountains. A slight uptick is possible on Thursday further east, but the weekend looks to bring a drying trend again.

- Blowing dust possible Wednesday and Thursday afternoons on the Lordsburg Playa from thunderstorm outflow as storms roll off the Gila.

- High temperatures will continue to run about 5-8 degrees above average, with triple digit high temperatures common across the lowlands this week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1013 PM MDT Tue Aug 4 2026

High pressure will stretch from SoCal and southern NV to our area Wednesday and even into Thursday before finally making a slight northward shift to the Four Corners. Looks like high pressure will stay anchored in that same area throughout the weekend. Continued daily thunderstorm chances through the work week with storm coverage favoring the Gila region and southwestern NM bordering AZ. Tomorrow and Thursday it looks like another round of blowing dust is possible on the Lordsburg Playa. Strong wind gusts possible from thunderstorms. By Saturday and Sunday, drier air looks to get entrained into the area leaving much of the area dry with the exception of the Gila region having the best chances.

As far as temperatures go, highs continue to stay above average each day through the weekend but Wednesday and Thursday are still looking quite hot. A Heat Advisory is in effect for portions of the Lower Valley in southern El Paso and a small portion of Hudspeth county where temperatures are expected to reach 105 to 106F. Heat Advisory may need to be extended into Thursday for this same area. Elsewhere, we can expect continued triple digits and upper 90s across the lowlands through the week ahead. Area mountain temperatures will be in the mid-70s to low 90s depending on your location.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 618 AM MDT Wed Aug 5 2026

Convection chances mainly focused over SW New Mexico again today, with best chances for TSRA with restrictions at TCS (30-40%), and to a much lesser degree DMN (10-20%). LRU and ELP will likely stay east of the fray today, with light winds and VFR conditions prevailing.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 618 AM MDT Wed Aug 5 2026

Subtropical ridge will remain parked over central AZ/NM, with easterly flow maintaining active monsoon conditions over SW New Mexico today, with minimal activity in the Sacramento Mountains, but with an uptick further east on Thursday. Drier conditions will return for the weekend with activity more focused over Arizona. Afternoon high temperatures will remain about 5 to 8 degrees above normal. Min RH values will creep down towards 15% in the lowlands this weekend and early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 76 102 75 101 / 10 30 40 10 Sierra Blanca 69 98 69 97 / 0 10 10 10 Las Cruces 71 100 69 99 / 10 40 50 0 Alamogordo 72 100 71 98 / 20 30 20 30 Cloudcroft 54 77 53 75 / 30 70 20 50 Truth or Consequences 72 100 71 100 / 20 20 20 0 Silver City 64 94 64 93 / 20 50 40 60 Deming 71 102 70 100 / 20 40 50 0 Lordsburg 70 99 71 99 / 30 30 40 20 West El Paso Metro 78 102 77 100 / 10 30 40 0 Dell City 73 101 73 100 / 0 10 10 0 Fort Hancock 76 105 76 104 / 0 10 10 10 Loma Linda 71 95 70 94 / 0 20 20 20 Fabens 75 103 75 101 / 10 20 30 0 Santa Teresa 75 100 73 98 / 10 40 50 0 White Sands HQ 77 101 75 99 / 10 40 50 10 Jornada Range 73 100 72 99 / 20 40 50 0 Hatch 73 104 71 103 / 20 40 50 0 Columbus 75 102 75 100 / 20 40 50 0 Orogrande 72 100 71 97 / 10 30 40 10 Mayhill 60 88 59 87 / 20 40 10 20 Mescalero 60 89 58 87 / 30 70 20 40 Timberon 58 86 57 84 / 20 30 20 30 Winston Subtropical ridge will remain parked over central AZ/NM, with easterly flow maintaining active monsoon conditions over SW New Mexico today, with minimal activity in the Sacramento Mountains, but with an uptick further east on Thursday. Drier conditions will return for the weekend with activity more focused over Arizona. Afternoon high temperatures will remain about 5 to 8 degrees above normal. Min RH values will creep down towards 15% in the lowlands this weekend and early next week. 62 92 61 92 / 20 40 10 10 Hillsboro 70 98 68 98 / 20 30 30 10 Spaceport 71 100 69 99 / 20 30 40 0 Lake Roberts 59 93 59 93 / 20 70 30 70 Hurley 66 97 66 96 / 20 40 30 30 Cliff 67 100 67 100 / 20 60 30 60 Mule Creek 65 95 65 95 / 20 50 30 70 Faywood 68 96 68 95 / 20 30 40 10 Animas 70 100 71 99 / 40 40 50 10 Hachita 69 99 70 98 / 30 40 50 10 Antelope Wells 69 98 70 97 / 30 40 50 10 Cloverdale 65 93 65 93 / 50 50 60 20

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from noon today to 9 PM MDT this evening for Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties.

NM...None.