textproduct: El Paso

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 530 AM MDT Sun Apr 19 2026

- Cooler temperatures today with a slight chance of rain showers. Isolated showers and thunderstorms over high elevations on Monday.

- Dry southwest flow remainder of next week producing breezy to windy afternoons and above normal temperatures.

..NEXT WEEKEND

Benign weather in the extended forecast. Low-end breezy wind each afternoon, warm late April temperatures, and continued dry conditions.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 530 AM MDT Sun Apr 19 2026

Steady easterly winds, except at TCS, will continue this morning with speeds around 10 knots along with the occasional gust to 20 knots. After sunrise, between 15-18z, winds will become more gusty with gusts up to 25 knots. Skies will largely be SCT-BKN250, but there is a slight chance (20-30%) of showers later this afternoon. Impacts would be minimal with light rainfall intensity and bases to around 150.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 530 AM MDT Sun Apr 19 2026

Easterly winds have brought in moisture and cooler temperatures. Min RH values will drop into the mid teens to lower 20s this afternoon. Showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm will form over Mexico before pushing northeast though will struggle to make it much farther north than the border. Any showers will produce light rainfall amounts. Winds today will be strongest in the morning but will subside some for the afternoon with a range of 10-15 MPH.

Moisture remains in place for Monday with more isolated showers and thunderstorms, especially east of the Rio Grande. This moisture is pushed out by Tuesday starting a dry pattern. Winds will increase mid-week onward with the strongest winds expected for Thursday. This will lead to widespread elevated to critical fire weather conditions for multiple days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 51 80 57 86 / 20 20 20 0 Sierra Blanca 44 75 49 81 / 40 40 20 10 Las Cruces 46 77 50 84 / 30 10 10 0 Alamogordo 46 77 50 83 / 30 40 20 10 Cloudcroft 34 57 38 60 / 30 40 30 10 Truth or Consequences 51 77 53 83 / 20 40 10 0 Silver City 44 73 48 77 / 20 20 10 0 Deming 48 81 50 86 / 20 10 10 0 Lordsburg 49 80 49 84 / 10 10 0 0 West El Paso Metro 54 80 59 86 / 30 20 20 0 Dell City 45 77 47 85 / 20 20 10 10 Fort Hancock 50 83 55 89 / 40 40 20 10 Loma Linda 46 74 52 79 / 30 30 20 10 Fabens 51 82 56 87 / 30 20 20 10 Santa Teresa 50 79 54 84 / 20 10 10 0 White Sands HQ 51 80 56 85 / 30 20 20 0 Jornada Range 44 79 47 84 / 20 20 10 0 Hatch 47 82 48 86 / 20 20 10 0 Columbus 51 82 54 87 / 20 10 0 0 Orogrande 47 77 49 82 / 30 30 20 10 Mayhill 38 67 41 73 / 30 40 20 10 Mescalero 37 67 41 71 / 30 50 30 10 Timberon 38 64 41 69 / 30 40 30 10 Winston 39 69 40 76 / 10 50 10 10 Hillsboro 46 76 50 81 / 20 30 10 0 Spaceport 44 77 47 83 / 20 20 10 0 Lake Roberts 41 73 44 76 / 20 30 10 0 Hurley 42 75 46 80 / 10 20 0 0 Cliff 45 80 47 83 / 20 20 0 0 Mule Creek 44 77 46 80 / 10 20 0 0 Faywood 45 75 48 79 / 20 20 10 0 Animas 47 81 50 84 / 10 10 0 0 Hachita 46 80 48 84 / 10 10 0 0 Antelope Wells 46 80 51 84 / 10 10 0 0 Cloverdale 47 77 52 78 / 10 10 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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