textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 359 AM MST Sat Jan 31 2026

- Dry conditions and light winds will persist through the weekend and into the mid portion of next week.

- Seasonable temperatures Friday and Saturday, warming to above normal Sunday through Tuesday.

- A cold front will bring breezy east winds and slightly cooler air midweek.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 900 PM MST Fri Jan 30 2026

After the excitement of all the rain and snow and cold temperatures last weekend, we have settled into a quieter weather pattern for the next seven days. Currently an upper level ridge along the west coast is slowly pushing to the east into our region. Saturday's highs will warm a couple of degrees and on Sunday we will see temperatures warm another 4 or 5 degrees with the ridge ridge over New Mexico. With the influence of the ridge aloft, in addition to the warmer temperatures, we will have mostly clear skies and light surface winds.

For the start of next week, the ridge will move to our east and a fast, but weak short wave trough will dash across New Mexico on Monday. This trough won't have any moisture to work with, but it will give us some breezy and warm west winds which will jump our high temperatures another 4 or 5 degrees for Monday afternoon. Monday's high temperatures will be running 4 to 8 degrees above average. For Tuesday, we will have a northwest flow aloft and a weak cold front will back into the region from the east. The front comes in a little late on Tuesday, so the afternoon highs for Tuesday will only drop a few degrees, but we will see a little bigger drop in temperatures for Wednesday. The high temperatures on Wednesday afternoon will run a little above average west of the Rio Grande and a little below average east of the river. We will stay dry for the end of the coming week, with high temperatures running at or a little below average.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 359 AM MST Sat Jan 31 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period with skies SKC, with isolated instances of FEW250 during the early afternoon timeframe. Winds will be light at 3-7 knots through the period and VRB in direction.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 359 AM MST Sat Jan 31 2026

Fire weather concerns are low through the period. Temperatures will warm to near-seasonal on Saturday and Sunday, becoming 5-10 degrees above the seasonal average on Monday and Tuesday. Min RH values will hover between 15-25 percent over the next several days across most locations, with above 35 percent values over the high terrain of NMZ113.

Winds each day will be light at 7 to 15 mph and generally variable or terrain/drainage driven in terms of direction. Vent rates through the weekend will be generally poor, with portions of Catron County and Sacramento Mtn east slopes within the fair category this afternoon. Vent rates will be poor on Sunday for areas east of the Divide and poor to fair for areas west. Vent rates will improve to good on Monday as mixing heights increase.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 35 65 41 69 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 31 59 36 65 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 31 61 36 65 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 29 61 34 63 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 25 46 28 45 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 33 62 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 32 59 36 62 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 32 64 37 69 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 30 63 36 66 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 37 63 42 69 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 25 57 30 63 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 33 67 39 72 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 35 57 39 61 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 33 66 39 70 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 31 62 37 67 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 36 62 41 67 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 28 62 33 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 29 65 34 70 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 34 63 39 70 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 29 60 35 63 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 28 59 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 26 56 28 56 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 28 52 31 54 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 26 58 28 64 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 34 62 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 27 62 32 66 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 29 62 33 62 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 30 60 34 65 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 29 68 33 68 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 30 65 33 65 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 34 59 38 65 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 30 64 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 29 62 36 68 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 31 63 38 68 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 37 60 42 63 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.