textproduct: El Paso
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 446 AM MDT Sun Mar 29 2026
- Warm conditions through Tuesday with plenty of high clouds. Slight chance of rain showers for southern New Mexico Monday afternoon then again on Wednesday.
- Breezy conditions return midweek, with southwest winds each afternoon Tuesday through Friday.
..THURSDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND
Drier air returns late this week, along with continued breezy winds out of the west/southwest each afternoon. Not really seeing any concerning wind speeds any particular day, so not anticipating Wind Headlines this week. Temperatures will be 5 to 10 degrees above normal for early April, which means lowland highs in the lower-to-mid 80s. Both global models show a cold front intrusion again sometime next weekend, however this one looks drier and weaker than previous fronts. Could lead to a pleasant weekend weather-wise and a nice Easter Sunday for El Paso and Southern New Mexico.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 446 AM MDT Sun Mar 29 2026
VFR conditions will persist through the TAF period with continued passing high clouds with increasing coverage. Light winds expected throughout the period.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 446 AM MDT Sun Mar 29 2026
Warmer than normal temperatures will persist through the work week. There will be a couple chances for rain this week, first chance being Monday and the second being Wednesday. Neither day looks like a wash out or anything, this will feature hit and miss light rain showers. The best chances for storms/rain Monday will generally be the higher terrain locations west of the Rio Grande with very isolated showers elsewhere. There will be a chance for dry lightning and some wind gusts that afternoon. Tuesday afternoon looks mostly dry but there's a chance for rain in the Gila region and west of the Continental Divide. Rain chances look to be focused on the Sacramento Mtns and the Gila region Wednesday afternoon.
Min RHs: 11-18% in the lowlands and 18-22% in the area mountains today. Rain chances Monday will increase min RHs to around 15-20% in the lowlands west of the Rio Grande and 20-25% in the Gila region, elsewhere will see similar min RHs to what we'll see today east of the river. RHs increase Tuesday and even into Wednesday afternoon to 15-20% in the lowlands and 25-35% in the mountains. Expect almost all lowland locations to dip into critical thresholds again Thursday through Saturday with mountain min RHs 20-25%.
20 foot winds: Light afternoon winds today and tomorrow at 5-10 mph. Tuesday through Friday will be breezier with west winds at 10-15 mph each afternoon. Breezy winds during that time frame combined with critical min RHs will increase fire weather concerns.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
El Paso 56 89 61 87 / 0 0 10 0 Sierra Blanca 51 85 54 82 / 0 0 20 0 Las Cruces 52 85 54 83 / 0 10 10 0 Alamogordo 51 87 51 83 / 0 10 10 10 Cloudcroft 44 65 42 60 / 0 10 20 10 Truth or Consequences 56 84 56 83 / 10 20 20 10 Silver City 51 76 49 74 / 10 30 20 10 Deming 54 86 54 84 / 0 20 20 10 Lordsburg 52 82 51 81 / 10 30 20 10 West El Paso Metro 58 87 61 85 / 0 0 20 0 Dell City 49 89 51 86 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 53 92 56 89 / 0 0 20 0 Loma Linda 54 82 55 79 / 0 0 10 0 Fabens 54 90 58 88 / 0 0 10 0 Santa Teresa 52 87 56 83 / 0 10 20 0 White Sands HQ 57 88 59 86 / 0 0 10 0 Jornada Range 49 87 49 84 / 0 10 20 10 Hatch 49 89 51 87 / 0 10 20 10 Columbus 59 87 58 86 / 10 10 20 0 Orogrande 51 86 52 83 / 0 10 10 0 Mayhill 48 78 47 74 / 0 10 10 10 Mescalero 44 76 43 72 / 0 10 30 10 Timberon 46 74 46 70 / 0 10 10 10 Winston 44 76 43 75 / 10 30 20 10 Hillsboro 54 82 53 81 / 10 20 20 10 Spaceport 48 85 47 83 / 10 10 20 10 Lake Roberts 46 76 45 73 / 10 40 20 10 Hurley 50 79 48 78 / 10 20 20 10 Cliff 48 83 47 81 / 10 30 20 10 Mule Creek 50 79 47 76 / 10 40 20 10 Faywood 53 80 51 78 / 10 20 20 10 Animas 54 82 52 82 / 10 40 30 10 Hachita 53 82 51 81 / 10 30 20 10 Antelope Wells 54 82 52 81 / 20 40 30 10 Cloverdale 54 77 52 76 / 20 50 40 10
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. NM...None.
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