textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 424 PM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

- Cooler high temperatures Thursday, with cold temperatures Thursday and Friday night.

- Dry conditions, typical breezes, and a slow warming trend are expected through the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1017 AM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

Shortwave trough is swinging across New Mexico, en route to the Great Plains. Cooler temperatures and slightly drier air will follow in its wake, along with decreasing clouds and lighter winds. Those clear and calm conditions will lead to enhanced radiative cooling Thursday night (and Friday night), especially for valley locations. Daytime temperatures will rebound 2F to 7F Friday, staying below normal for most locales. Additional warming is expected heading into Saturday, bringing temperatures closer to normal, with the RGV and surrounding areas climbing a few to several degrees above seasonal averages.

A regime of northwest flow will set up behind the trough's ejection into the Great Plains on Sunday, lasting through the end of the forecast period. This will bring a slow drying trend and warm-up, as well as some locally breezy conditions for mountain areas and their adjacent highlands.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 424 PM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

VFR conditions at all terminals through the period. Skie ranging from SKC to SCT250, with no CIGS. Winds light and variable through the overnight, favoring a northerly direction. Tomorrow, aft 18-20Z winds mostly westerly and increasing to 10-12kts with gusts 22-25kts. No dust expected.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 120 PM MST Thu Dec 4 2025

A trough exiting into the Great Plains today will usher in a regime of northwest flow aloft and drier air. High minRH seen today will trend down slowly throughout the forecast period, settling into widespread upper teens by Tuesday. Locally breezy west winds will favor the high terrain and its adjacent highlands of eastern zones on Friday and Saturday. Winds will trend lighter into the next work week. Ventilation will be poor to fair most days, with Friday seeing better coverage of good rates in the afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 39 63 36 64 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 35 58 32 59 / 10 10 0 0 Las Cruces 31 58 29 60 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 29 55 28 58 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 20 36 21 41 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 29 55 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 28 51 28 54 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 31 60 28 63 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 28 56 26 58 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 40 61 37 62 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 28 63 26 64 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 38 66 35 67 / 10 10 0 0 Loma Linda 35 54 33 55 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 37 63 33 64 / 10 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 35 60 31 61 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 37 60 36 62 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 24 57 22 61 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 27 61 27 65 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 37 63 34 65 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 30 56 27 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 24 50 27 54 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 21 46 23 51 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 22 45 23 49 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 16 52 20 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 29 56 31 63 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 24 55 24 59 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 20 51 21 55 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 27 54 26 57 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 21 57 20 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 22 53 22 56 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 30 54 30 58 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 32 59 29 62 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 31 58 27 61 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 35 60 31 63 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 38 54 34 55 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.