textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 514 PM MDT Tue Apr 28 2026

- Quieter weather, but with continued very dry conditions and breezy afternoons Tuesday and Wednesday. Fire weather conditions will be elevated to near-critical thresholds.

- Confidence is increasing in a pattern change late in the week, with a Pacific system bringing increasing rain chances to the area Thursday and Friday.

..SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Upper level system will quickly depart by Sunday with upper level ridge building in, in it's wake. Temperatures will respond, returning back into the middle to upper 70s across the desert lowlands. Surface pressure gradient will relax as high pressure aloft builds in overhead. Guidance is coming into agreement with the next upper level system that is forecasted to swing across the Great Basin and Desert SW early next week with the return of breezy to windy conditions across the area.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 514 PM MDT Tue Apr 28 2026

VFR conditions expected to persist through the period with increasing high clouds. Winds relax to around 5-10KT tonight and through the overnight but will become breezy again tomorrow. West winds expected with speeds of around 15-20G25-30KT possible during the middle afternoon hours.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1209 PM MDT Tue Apr 28 2026

VFR conditions expected through the period. Winds will become breezy this afternoon out of the SW/W at 10-15 knots with gusts to 20-25 knots. Winds will slowly decrease after sunset. Skies currently FEW to SCT at 25 kft, will become SCT to BKN at 25 kft through the afternoon and evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 64 88 64 76 / 0 0 10 40 Sierra Blanca 59 84 62 75 / 0 0 10 30 Las Cruces 53 84 56 71 / 0 0 10 40 Alamogordo 56 83 58 72 / 0 0 10 50 Cloudcroft 45 61 43 51 / 0 0 10 50 Truth or Consequences 54 82 57 71 / 0 0 10 40 Silver City 47 73 50 65 / 0 0 10 50 Deming 51 86 55 73 / 0 0 10 50 Lordsburg 49 81 54 71 / 0 0 10 40 West El Paso Metro 64 86 66 73 / 0 0 10 40 Dell City 57 87 60 76 / 0 0 10 40 Fort Hancock 64 92 66 81 / 0 0 10 30 Loma Linda 59 80 60 69 / 0 0 10 40 Fabens 64 90 66 78 / 0 0 10 30 Santa Teresa 58 85 62 71 / 0 0 10 40 White Sands HQ 64 84 65 73 / 0 0 10 50 Jornada Range 53 83 57 71 / 0 0 10 50 Hatch 53 86 60 75 / 0 0 10 50 Columbus 58 88 62 74 / 0 0 10 50 Orogrande 58 83 60 71 / 0 0 10 50 Mayhill 48 74 48 63 / 0 0 10 50 Mescalero 48 71 47 61 / 0 0 10 50 Timberon 48 70 47 59 / 0 0 10 50 Winston 41 74 45 66 / 0 0 10 40 Hillsboro 52 80 55 70 / 0 0 10 50 Spaceport 50 83 55 72 / 0 0 10 50 Lake Roberts 43 74 45 66 / 0 0 10 40 Hurley 46 77 47 68 / 0 0 10 50 Cliff 46 79 49 72 / 0 0 10 40 Mule Creek 45 75 48 70 / 0 0 10 40 Faywood 49 77 52 67 / 0 0 10 50 Animas 51 84 56 71 / 0 0 10 50 Hachita 51 83 56 71 / 0 0 10 50 Antelope Wells 53 84 57 71 / 0 0 20 50 Cloverdale 53 79 55 64 / 0 0 20 50

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ.