textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1028 PM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026

- We will see lower rain chances this week, with the best chances for rain in the Gila region and along the New Mexico and Arizona border.

- High temperatures will continue to run above average, with triple digit high temperatures common across the lowlands this week. We won't be as hot as we were last week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1028 PM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Upper high stays broad over the desert southwest through Wednesday. Tuesday is still looking like the hottest day for the area where triple digits will be common across the desert lowlands. A Heat Advisory is in effect for Tuesday afternoon for El Paso county and the Lower Valley where high temperatures will be 105F+. The Lower Valley may reach Heat Advisory criteria again on Thursday but looks like El Paso will fall a couple degrees short of Advisory criteria. Hot temperatures persist into the weekend but won't be quite as hot. Upper 90s and lower triple digits expected during that time. Expect thunderstorm chances each day with a focus over the Gila region and western NM locations bordering AZ being favored.

Heading into Thursday, upper high shifts to the Four Corners region and seems to stay put through the weekend. Could see a potential uptick in activity/coverage later in the work week, and maybe even into the weekend, if we can get a little better tap of moisture from the Gulf.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1028 PM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Calm and quiet conditions expected overnight with light winds. Thunderstorms expected again tomorrow with a very similar set up as what we saw today. Best chances will be KDMN and KTCS to see a storm tomorrow afternoon. Gusty outflow winds and blowing dust will be the biggest threats.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1205 PM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026

We will continue to see lower fire weather concerns this week. We will have mainly dry weather, but winds won't be much of an issues over the next 5 days. Min RH's over the next 5 days will be in the mid to upper teens in the lowlands and in the 20's in area mountains. Winds each day will be light, but we will see low end gusty winds most afternoons for a few hours. The one exception will be the Gila region and locations near the New Mexico/Arizona border where we can see the development of a few thunderstorms that could produce some strong and gusty outflow winds. This thunderstorm threat will continue through the end of the week. By Wednesday and Thursday we will see at least a slight chance for thunderstorms across the whole region. Vent rates will range from good to very good over the next couple days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 75 105 76 102 / 0 0 10 10 Sierra Blanca 67 99 68 98 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 70 102 71 100 / 0 10 20 10 Alamogordo 74 101 72 100 / 0 10 10 10 Cloudcroft 56 79 54 77 / 0 20 10 20 Truth or Consequences 73 102 73 99 / 10 20 50 30 Silver City 64 95 65 93 / 10 40 30 60 Deming 70 103 71 101 / 10 20 30 20 Lordsburg 69 98 70 97 / 20 30 30 40 West El Paso Metro 76 103 77 102 / 0 0 10 10 Dell City 70 102 72 101 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 74 107 75 105 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 70 96 69 95 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 73 104 75 103 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 73 102 74 100 / 0 10 10 10 White Sands HQ 75 103 76 102 / 0 10 10 10 Jornada Range 72 102 72 100 / 0 10 20 10 Hatch 71 106 72 103 / 0 20 30 10 Columbus 74 103 74 101 / 10 10 20 10 Orogrande 71 101 71 99 / 0 0 10 10 Mayhill 61 90 60 88 / 0 10 10 20 Mescalero 61 90 60 89 / 0 20 10 20 Timberon 57 87 57 86 / 0 10 10 20 Winston 63 94 64 91 / 10 30 30 50 Hillsboro 69 101 69 97 / 10 30 50 50 Spaceport 69 102 71 99 / 0 10 30 10 Lake Roberts 59 94 59 93 / 10 30 30 60 Hurley 66 97 66 95 / 10 30 40 50 Cliff 67 101 68 99 / 20 40 20 60 Mule Creek 64 96 65 94 / 20 30 20 50 Faywood 67 97 68 95 / 10 30 40 50 Animas 70 99 69 98 / 30 40 50 20 Hachita 69 98 68 97 / 10 30 40 20 Antelope Wells 69 97 68 97 / 10 30 40 20 Cloverdale 65 91 64 91 / 30 40 50 40

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from noon to 9 PM MDT Tuesday for Eastern/Central El Paso County-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-Western El Paso County.

NM...None.