textproduct: El Paso

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 358 AM MST Mon Feb 9 2026 - Warm, above normal temperatures this week.

- Scattered rain showers on Tuesday, with the best chance across far west Texas during the afternoon hours. A second chance of precipitation is expected late this week.

..NEXT WEEKEND

Next weekend currently looks dry based on global model solutions. Overall pattern headed into mid-February features a long wave trough along the Pacific coast, suggesting a wetter-than-usual pattern for the west coast during this typically dry Spring season. This could also indicate the start of our windy season, with upper jet streaks increasing southwest flow locally.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 420 AM MST Mon Feb 9 2026

VFR conditions are expected for the period with SKC-FEW250 for New Mexico sites and SCT-BKN250 for ELP. Light and variable winds will become southerly this afternoon with speeds topping out less than 10 knots.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 420 AM MST Mon Feb 9 2026

Warm and dry weather is expected this afternoon with min RH values in the teens. The driest air will be across much of the Gila and Sacramento/ Capitan Mountains. Winds will be light, however, with speeds ranging 5 to 10 MPH in the afternoon. Venting will be good in the mountains but poor in the lowlands. By Tuesday, moisture will increase areawide with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms expected to move through the region.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 51 67 46 70 / 10 50 20 0 Sierra Blanca 49 63 43 67 / 20 70 30 0 Las Cruces 46 66 42 67 / 10 30 20 0 Alamogordo 43 67 40 67 / 0 40 20 0 Cloudcroft 36 48 33 48 / 0 40 30 10 Truth or Consequences 44 68 44 69 / 0 20 10 0 Silver City 42 64 41 63 / 0 30 10 10 Deming 45 69 44 70 / 10 40 20 10 Lordsburg 43 66 44 68 / 10 20 10 0 West El Paso Metro 52 66 48 69 / 10 50 20 0 Dell City 46 64 40 68 / 10 50 20 0 Fort Hancock 52 71 46 74 / 20 70 20 0 Loma Linda 49 61 43 64 / 10 50 20 0 Fabens 51 68 45 72 / 20 60 20 0 Santa Teresa 48 65 45 69 / 10 40 20 0 White Sands HQ 50 67 47 68 / 10 40 20 0 Jornada Range 43 68 40 68 / 0 30 20 0 Hatch 43 70 42 71 / 0 30 20 0 Columbus 48 67 47 70 / 20 40 20 0 Orogrande 45 65 43 67 / 10 40 20 0 Mayhill 41 60 35 62 / 0 40 20 0 Mescalero 38 60 34 60 / 0 40 30 10 Timberon 41 56 37 56 / 10 40 20 0 Winston 34 63 34 62 / 0 20 10 10 Hillsboro 44 67 43 69 / 0 20 10 10 Spaceport 41 67 39 67 / 0 20 10 0 Lake Roberts 37 64 37 62 / 0 30 10 20 Hurley 41 66 40 65 / 0 30 10 10 Cliff 39 70 39 69 / 0 20 10 10 Mule Creek 39 67 40 65 / 0 20 10 10 Faywood 45 65 43 65 / 0 30 20 10 Animas 46 66 45 70 / 10 30 20 0 Hachita 43 65 44 69 / 10 30 10 0 Antelope Wells 46 66 43 70 / 20 40 10 0 Cloverdale 47 61 45 66 / 10 40 20 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.


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