textproduct: El Paso

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1050 AM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

- Temperatures for Monday and Tuesday will run near or a little below average, then for Wednesday through Friday our high temperatures will run a degree or two above average.

- After Sunday we will be dry through Friday before rain chances return to the forecast for next weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1050 AM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

The upper level trough that brought us rain showers yesterday, continues to linger south of our area. The low is still close enough to give us a fair amount of clouds, especially the further south and east you go. We could even see some rain showers creep into Hudspeth County later this afternoon, but the rest of the region will stay dry. Today's highs will be warmer than Saturday, but we will still run several degrees below average. By Monday afternoon the upper level trough will still be moving very slowly as it lumbers into central Texas. That means the clouds will continue to linger across the region, especially for locations east of the Rio Grande. High temperatures on Monday will climb a few degree higher, but we will still have high temperatures a few degrees below average for this time of year.

For Tuesday and Wednesday a developing upper level ridge will be getting itself organized along the west coast. As the ridge builds to the east we will finally see the clouds banished from our region and high temperatures will get up back up to seasonal averages or maybe a degree or two above average. Like the trough, the upper level ridge will be slow to move across the area so our sunny skies, light winds and high temperatures near average will continue through Friday. For next weekend, the extended models continue to show an upper level trough moving into the southwest U.S. The EC model is about 12 to 24 hours faster which brings rain into the region on Saturday, while the slower GFS model brings the rain in on Sunday. High temperatures both days will run at or a little below average.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1050 AM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

The upper level storm system that brought us the rain yesterday and some clouds today will be slow to move off so we will continue to see a fair amount of clouds at KDMN, KLRU and KELP tonight and into the morning hours of Monday. While we will continue to see ceilings of around BKN050, I'm not expecting any MVFR ceilings tonight. Winds at KDMN will stay a little elevated as the east flow tumbles over the Florida Mountains through this afternoon, but the rest of the region will have light east or northeast winds. The clouds will finally clear out of the region but not until late Monday night.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1050 AM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

We will see generally quiet fire weather conditions over the next 5 days. The upper level storm system that brought us rain on Saturday continues to linger just south of the area. This storm system will finally move off to our east on Monday and take the remaining clouds with it. The rest of next week will be sunny and dry with generally light winds. Another upper level storm system will approach the region for next weekend and bring with it another round of rain. Min RH's today through Tuesday will be above 30% each afternoon. Then we will see a little drying for Wednesday through Friday but min RH's will stay at or above 20% through the end of the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

El Paso 48 65 49 68 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 45 62 46 65 / 30 10 0 0 Las Cruces 42 63 43 65 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 42 65 44 67 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 30 46 32 48 / 0 0 0 0 Truth or Consequences 41 64 42 66 / 0 0 0 0 Silver City 38 61 39 64 / 0 0 0 0 Deming 40 65 41 67 / 0 0 0 0 Lordsburg 41 65 41 67 / 0 0 0 0 West El Paso Metro 50 64 50 67 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 46 66 48 69 / 10 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 50 70 50 74 / 10 10 10 0 Loma Linda 44 60 46 63 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 49 68 49 71 / 10 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 45 64 45 66 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 48 65 49 68 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 42 65 43 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 42 68 43 71 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 45 64 45 67 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 43 64 45 66 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 32 60 35 64 / 0 0 0 0 Mescalero 32 58 34 60 / 0 0 0 0 Timberon 33 55 34 58 / 0 0 0 0 Winston 32 61 33 64 / 0 0 0 0 Hillsboro 41 64 42 67 / 0 0 0 0 Spaceport 40 64 41 66 / 0 0 0 0 Lake Roberts 31 65 33 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hurley 36 62 36 66 / 0 0 0 0 Cliff 37 69 40 70 / 0 0 0 0 Mule Creek 36 65 38 67 / 0 0 0 0 Faywood 40 61 41 64 / 0 0 0 0 Animas 42 64 43 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hachita 41 63 42 67 / 0 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 44 64 44 67 / 0 0 0 0 Cloverdale 43 60 43 65 / 0 0 0 0

EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. NM...None.