textproduct: Eureka

SYNOPSIS

Much warmer and drier than normal conditions will begin to peak today. Conditions will slowly ease early next week with rain potential mid week.

KEY MESSAGES

-Interior highs in the low 80s this weekend.

-Chance (55%) of wetting rain mid next week.

DISCUSSION

A ridge of high pressure will peak today. Much warmer highs Friday have made conditions much cooler overnight, though some very limited frost at higher elevations is still possible by sunrise. High temperatures will approach the mid 80s with a 20% chance of some highs over 85 around Ukiah. Even near shore, marine influence and winds will be sufficiently weak to allow high temperatures in the mid 60s. Conditions Sunday will be very similar

There is high confidence that high pressure will gradually weaken by early next week with a low pressure system moving in along shore. The path, strength, and moisture associated with this low remains highly variable. Overall chances have continued to slightly increase, with generally timing now pushing a little later, more into Wednesday. About 55% of model ensemble members now suggest wetting rain across the northern half of the area, with a 20% chance of low elevation amounts over 0.5 inches though still less than 10% show potential for any amount over 1.0 inch. Regardless of the actual amount of rain that falls, low pressure push east of the area will encourage strong north winds to push along shore around Wednesday and Thursday, enhancing marine influence. /JHW

AVIATION

Prevailing VFR conditions is expected for all TAF sites through the period with increasing high clouds coverage. Light and variable winds, becoming W-NW around 5 kts in the afternoon. /ZVS

MARINE

Northerly winds and seas will continue to ease across the waters through Saturday, followed by light and variable winds and low seas at or below 5 feet Saturday night through early next week. The northerlies will begin trending higher Tuesday in the wake of a weak cold front. Winds are expected to continue strengthening, with near-gale to gale-force gusts possible by mid-next week. /ZVS

EKA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CA... Frost Advisory until 9 AM PDT this morning for CAZ110-111- 114.

NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL WATERS... Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM PDT early this morning for PZZ450.

Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM PDT this morning for PZZ470-475.