textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry conditions with near to above normal temperatures expected the next 7 days with no hazardous weather expected.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 209 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

Early this morning, a surface ridge of high pressure is sliding through the forecast area. This has brought clear skies and light winds to the area providing good radiational cooling with temperatures starting in the teens this morning. Later this morning, this surface ridge will shift south of the area allowing southwesterly winds to provide modest WAA aiding in highs rising into the mid 30s to mid 40s today. Wednesday, northwest flow aloft will relax as westerly winds provide deeper mixing allowing highs to rise into the 40s to lower 50s. New Years Eve night (Wed Night) a mid-level trough digging through the Great Lakes region will force a back door cold front through the area. The frontal passage will be dry however it will cool temperatures by Thursday morning into the upper teens to mid 20s. Canadian surface high pressure will move into the region on Thursday under northwest flow aloft returning highs to near normal in the lower 30s (northeast) to the mid 40s (southwest).

This weekend, dry conditions with a warming trend is expected. Friday, northwest flow aloft will relax as the local area will reside on the lee side of a upper level ridge over the eastern Rockies. This will aid in highs rising into the mid 30s (northeast) to near 50 (southwest). Saturday, the upper level ridge over the eastern Rockies will move into the western Plains continuing to provide height rises over the area. Highs Saturday are expected to rise into the upper 30s to near 50. Sunday, the upper level ridge will shift eastward over the region pushing highs into the upper 40s to near 60. Sunday night a upper level shortwave trough is progged to move through the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest forcing a weak cold front through the area. This feature will also act to flatten the upper ridge over the region. Regardless temperatures are still expected to remain above normal with highs in the mid 40s to mid 50s on Monday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1034 AM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

VFR conditions through the TAF period. Winds out of the southwest this morning will turn west then northwesterly this evening before shifting back toward the west around 12Z Wednesday.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.


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