textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

* Cooler temperatures set to return this weekend.

* Light snowfall events possible Thursday and then again on Sunday morning.

* More significant precipitation event possible Tuesday night into Wednesday next week. Warmest temperatures appear to be concentrated in the near surface layer, so precipitation type looks to be rain or snow.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 337 PM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

Today's so-called "warm up" is packing its bags as we look ahead at cooler temperatures and precipitation chances over the coming days. A shortwave is propagating eastward into the region, with the system expected to deepen overnight Wednesday into Thursday. Pacific moisture will continue to build into the area leading to widespread cloudiness on Thursday. Around midday, some very slight chances for snow begin to creep in north of Highway 36 and will progress southward over the afternoon and evening. Frontogenesis and Omega does not coincide with mid- level moisture particularly well, however, which increases confidence in this being a rather low- impact event. At most, we're looking at a dusting of snow, and PoPs remain low due to a lack of strong ascent.

CAA will bring our daytime high temperatures back down into the 20s tomorrow, and pesky Arctic high pressure will push into the Northern Plains Friday into Saturday. This will leave much of the Central Plains with northerly surface flow, keeping high temperatures down in the teens and low 20s Friday and Saturday. Bitter wind chills are expected Saturday AM. Probabilities of reaching -15F still sit between 30-50%, so a Cold Weather Advisory may be warranted if confidence in low wind chills increases.

Another shortwave is anticipated to dive southeast from the Pacific Northwest Saturday into Sunday, bringing in additional snow potential for our northern counties on Sunday. Probabilities for meaningful snowfall accumulation with this wave are still limited.

"Warmer" temperatures are set to make a return early next week with above-freezing high temperatures expected. We're continuing to keep a watchful eye on precipitation chances Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning, Temperatures look to hover just around freezing during that time. Current guidance suggests the primary precipitation type south of I-70 will be rain with snow more likely north of I-70; probabilities for wintry mixes are minimal.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1108 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026

VFR conditions will persist through the TAF period at all four terminals. Winds will shift from southwesterly to northeasterly this evening, but will remain light through the period. Lower ceilings will be approaching towards the end of the period, but will remain VFR through 18Z tomorrow.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.