textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

* Unsettled weather conditions return Tuesday night and continue through the work week however, the severe weather and flooding threat appears low.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 204 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026

Quiet weather is expected today to close out the holiday weekend as a surface ridge of high pressure is extending from the southern Great Lakes back into the local area. In addition, a upper level ridge of high pressure will build into the area today. These height rises will allow highs to rise into the mid 80s. Tomorrow, conditions look to remain dry as a weak mid-level level shortwave will move north towards the area from the southern Plains. While precipitation looks to hold off until tomorrow night, increasing cloud cover, particularly across the southern CWA will hold highs in the low to mid 80s. Tomorrow night, the mid-level shortwave will move into the region allowing a slight chance (15-30%) of scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop mainly for areas along and south of the Missouri River. This first shortwave will wash out over the region Wednesday morning and another mid-level shortwave approaches the area from the southern High Plains on Wednesday. This will allow shower and thunderstorm chances (30-50%) to increase over the forecast area Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night. The weak mid-level shortwave will remain over the area Thursday into Friday allowing for continued rounds of showers and thunderstorms with increased coverage (50-80%) diurnally driven. Saturday, the upper pattern becomes more progressive as the mid-level shortwave finally begins shifting east of the area however low end (20-40%) chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue. Despite the chances for several rounds of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday night through Saturday, flooding is not anticipated nor is severe weather. Highs through this unsettled period will be seasonable with highs in the low to mid 80s Wednesday and Thursday before cooling a bit into the mid 70s to lower 80s for Friday and Saturday.

Sunday, a surface ridge of high pressure will begin to build into the area from the Upper Midwest with the ridge axis residing directly over the forecast area on Monday.This will provide a return to dry conditions. Highs will remain seasonable in the mid 70s to lower 80s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 521 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026

VFR conds will prevail thru the TAF pd with just a few-sct mid- lvl clouds fcst thru 02Z aft which clr skies prevail. Winds this morning will be out of the SE/SSE btn 5-10kts but will veer to the SSE/S by 15Z and incr to nr 10kts. Aft 02Z..winds will back to the SE/SSE and diminish to around 5kts.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.