textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm and dry with highs around 90 through Wednesday.

- Hotter air and storm chances return Wednesday night through Saturday.

- Marginal risk (1/5) for severe weather across the area on Thursday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 306 AM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

High pressure is currently overhead and has brought us clear skies. Temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s are occurring across the area early this morning. Today will be very similar to yesterday with sunny skies and highs reaching the upper 80s to lower 90s with light northeasterly winds around 5 mph. Lows tonight will be in the 60s with mostly clear skies once again.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 306 AM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Wednesday will be mostly dry, but a trough to our east begins to strengthen over the course of the day. Highs will warm into the mid 90s by mid-week with heat index values peaking on Thursday with the highest heat index values near 105-106 degrees for areas mainly south of I-70. It'll still be warm over the rest of the area, but that's where the warmest temperatures will occur most likely due to the WAA from the front that'll be positioned just to the south of our area. Luckily that'll be the warmest day of the period with clouds/rain incoming to bring down temperatures and dewpoints just a bit going into next weekend.

Rain chances (30-60%) return Wednesday night mostly after midnight as a shortwave moves through northern MO. Best chances for rain will occur over far NW MO. SPC has us in a general thunder outlook for Wednesday, so widespread severe weather is not expected at this time. Appears that the better forcing occurs just to our west over central KS/NE much closer to the cold front that'll be draped over the northern Plains. Then, another round of showers and thunderstorms (50-70%) move through Thursday evening as the warm front lifts north. SPC has us outlooked for a Marginal risk (1/5) for severe weather across the area. The front stalls out over the state and the 500mb low slowly pushes southeast from the northern Plains into northern MO. Several vort maxima are forecast to eject from the passing wave and bring us a rainy end to the week. Chances for rain are 30-40% for Friday and those chances persist through the night until they start to decline through the day on Saturday. Sunday and Monday are forecast to be dry with highs reaching the mid 90s once again with the heat returning.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 617 AM CDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Patchy fog has developed in low-lying areas this morning, but fog should dissipate in the next couple of hours. Otherwise, VFR through the period with variable winds.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.