textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
* Fog expected along and south of the Missouri (outside of the Metro) this morning.
* A period of unsettled weather is forecast for Tuesday through Friday however, any severe or flooding threat appears low.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Issued at 202 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026
Main concern in the short term will be for dense fog this morning for much of area south of the Missouri River (except the Metro). Yesterday's precipitation coupled with light winds and clear skies is allowing dense fog to develop reducing visibilities to a 1/4 mile or less in spots. Consequently, a dense fog advisory is in place through 14Z. Despite weak mixing with a surface ridge of high pressure in place today, copious sunshine should allow fog to burn of quickly this morning and sunny skies coupled with mid-level height rises will drive highs into the lower 80s. The surface ridge of high pressure will remain in control over the area tonight into early tomorrow before it finally shifts east of the area tomorrow afternoon. Modest WAA will get underway in its wake allowing highs to rise into the mid 80s.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 202 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026
The pattern become active again on Tuesday, as a slow mid-level shortwave move north into the area from the southern Plains. This will allow showers and thunderstorms to develop Tuesday afternoon over the area. This mid-level shortwave remains parked over the area through Wednesday continuing shower and thunderstorm chances (40- 60%). Showers are forecast to become more spotty (15-30%) Wednesday night as the upper level trough weakens and shifts east of the area. On Thursday, however, another slow moving mid-level shortwave will move northeastward into the area from the southern Plains. this feature will reside over the area through Friday keeping the pattern unsettled with additional shower and thunderstorm chances Thursday and Friday. This feature will weaken over the area Saturday with a few remaining showers possible. Despite several rounds of showers and storms expected through the period, the severe and flood threat look low. High temperatures through this unsettled period will be in the low to mid 80s Tuesday through Thursday cooling into the mid 70s to near 80 Friday and Saturday.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
Issued at 544 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026
VFR conds will prevail thru the pd with clr skies fcst. Winds will be lgt and vrb thru 17Z-19Z before incrg out of the SE/SSE btn 5-10kts.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for MOZ038>040- 043>046-053-054. KS...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for KSZ060.
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