textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Well above normal temperatures continue through the weekend into next week.

- Widespread rain likely late Friday night into Saturday evening. Totals over 1" possible especially along and south of the Interstate 70 corridor (50-70%).

DISCUSSION

Issued at 209 AM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

Today an upper level trough will dig from the western Rockies into the the central and southern Rockies. In response to this feature, upstream ridging will build over the area. This will allow temperatures to rise even further above normal will highs in the upper 50s to upper 60s. Tonight a lead shortwave ejecting out ahead of the main upper level trough, which will move into the western High Plains to southern Rockies, will bring the chance for showers to the area. Rain showers will continue through the day Saturday and into Saturday night as the upper level trough moves through the central and southern Plains into the local area. PWAT values will range between 1.00"-1.20" which is in the 99th percentile for February. Consequently, precipitation amounts of 1.00" to 1.75" are forecast for areas south of I-70 with lesser amounts as you move north of I-70. Highs Saturday, despite the cloud cover and rain will still remain above normal in the low to mid 50s. Surface high pressure will move back into the area on Sunday drying conditions out. Aloft, upper level ridging will build into the Plains states in response to another upper level trough looking to move onshore over the west coast on Sunday. This will provide high rises across the local area aiding in highs rising into the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Well above normal temperatures (15-25 degrees above) with dry conditions are expected through midweek. Broad, low amplitude, upper level ridging is expected over much of the central CONUS Monday and Tuesday. This will allow highs to rise into the 60s on Monday. Increased WAA on Tuesday will drive highs into the mid 60s to lower 70s. By Tuesday night, the aforementioned upper level trough over the west coast will be moving through the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. The general model trend has been to take this feature further north keeping the local area dry however the NBM is still holding onto 15-25% precip chances for areas north of the Missouri River Tuesday night into Wednesday. A Pacific front will move through the area late Tuesday night into Wednesday however, strong downslope westerly flow behind the front will still keep highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. The next chance for precipitation to move into the area looks to occur on Thursday as a upper level shortwave ejects out from the central Rockies into the central Plains. This is expected to cool temperatures into the mid 50s to mid 60s which is still 10-15 degrees above normal.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1126 AM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

VFR conditions expected to prevail at all terminals through this afternoon and evening. Looking at incoming weather tomorrow morning, with the primary impacts to terminals being lowering ceilings/visibility to IFR conditions from the south to the north. Else, variable winds prevailing out of the E/SE through the remainder of the forecast period.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.