textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry conditions with near to above normal temperatures expected the next 7 days with no hazardous weather expected.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 200 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

Mostly clear skies this afternoon with a few passing high clouds. The surface ridge has passed to our south, shifting winds to southwesterly for the afternoon which is bringing in warmer air with temperatures across the area already in the mid 30s to mid 40s. We'll see surface winds shift back to northwesterly tonight as another surface High builds up on the lee-side of the Rockies. This won't bring in significantly cooler air, though, with overnight lows only forecast to fall into the mid 20s.

The upper-level pattern shows a strong upper-level ridge over the western CONUS leading to amplified northwesterly flow across the Central Plains. This generally remains in place over the next few days. Going into Wednesday we see a strong jet streak push south out of Canada into the Great Lakes region helping to advance a surface cold front farther south toward our area. While Wednesday will remain mild with highs generally in the 40s to low 50s, the back-door cold front arrives on Thursday bringing daytime highs back down into the low 30s north to near 40 along I-70. Areas farther south see the cold front arrive later, allowing temperatures to warm well into the 40s before the cooler air arrives in the late afternoon/evening. As the cold front moves through, we will also see high clouds spread eastward leading to mostly cloudy skies, but dry air in the low and mid-levels will keep any precipitation from falling.

Going into the weekend, we continue to see the western ridge expand eastward leading back to building upper-level heights. We do see a surface low develop over the Southern Plains which slides across Oklahoma into Arkansas Friday into early Saturday, but any precip from this system will stay well to our south. Overall the trend will be for temperatures to gradually warm through the weekend with clearing skies Friday into Saturday. Low pressure developing on the lee side of the Rockies will amplify southerly flow across the Southern and Central plains on Sunday leading to a greater increase in afternoon temperatures warming into the 50s to near 60 across much of the area. This warmer air remains in place through Monday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 526 PM CST Tue Dec 30 2025

VFR conditions through the period. Weak trough will move through the region this evening leading to a temporary wind shift from the north overnight. Winds will return to a southwest direction tomorrow ahead of a cold front that is expected to drop through the region Wednesday evening.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.