textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- No hazardous weather expected the next 7 days with near to above normal temperatures forecast.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 216 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
The weather this forecast package continues to look benign with near normal (today) to above normal temperatures (the rest of the forecast) and no hazards expected. This morning will again get off to chilly start with temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Today, the upper level flow becomes quasi-zonal with modest WAA getting underway with southerly winds between 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph. This will aid in highs returning to near normal in the mid 60s to near 70. Monday, a upper level trough will begin down the west coast. In response, upstream upper level ridging will begin to build over the central CONUS. WAA will not be as strong on Monday as a surface ridge extends from the Great Lakes back into the mid- Mississippi River Valley however, height rises will again help the area reach the mid 60s to near 70s. Tuesday and Wednesday the upper level trough will continue to dig south down the west coast further amplifying upper level ridging over the central CONUS. This will continue the warming trend with highs reaching the mid 70s by Wednesday. Thursday the upper level trough will move into the California coast and move northeastward into the central Rockies on Friday. This will allow the upstream upper level ridge to continue to amplify as the axis move directly over the local area. This will continue to push highs into the upper 70s to lower 80s Thursday and Friday. Saturday, a weakened upper level trough will move into the northern Plains. This will force a weak cold front towards the area Saturday which will bring a slight chance (15-25%) of showers for areas along and west of I-35. With the cold front struggling to push into the area highs Saturday will still achieve the mid 70 to lower 80s.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
Issued at 604 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
VFR conds will prevail thru the TAF pd with clr skies fcst. Winds will be the TAF pd out of the south btn 5-10kts before incrg to 10-15kts with gusts to 20kts aft 16Z. Aft 23Z-00Z... winds will diminish to 5-10kts while remaining out of the south.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...None. KS...None.
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