textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

Dry conditions with gradual warming trend throughout the upcoming week. Temperatures likely returning above normal by midweek.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 144 PM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026

Broad surface ridge is expected to remain east of the Rockies for the next week. A developing trough is expected off the eastern seaboard leading to the development of a rex block. This rex block, that evolves into an omega block across the lower 48 will lead to a stagnant weather pattern. Locally, this will lead to dry conditions with temperatures building back into the 70s and 80s (>70 percent chance of above normal temperatures Wednesday and beyond). With the Gulf closed and dry air mass in place, temperatures are expected to fall into the upper 30s-lower 40s tonight, potentially leading to patchy frost in a few low lying locations. 925 hpa temperatures warm a few degrees each day leading to the warming trend.

Pattern is expected to begin to break down late next week as east coast trough weakens and shifts southwest along the coast. A deepening trough along the west coast will gradually inch eastward late in the week, leading to building rain chances next weekend, though the trend has been towards a slower solution keeping precipitation chances just beyond the seven day forecast.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1122 AM CDT Sat Oct 17 2026

VFR with clear skies and southerly winds developing. South winds are expected to become gusty after 15Z Sunday.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.