textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry conditions with near to above normal temperatures expected the next 7 days with no hazardous weather expected.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 221 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

A very tranquil weather pattern is expected to end the year and ring in the first week of 2026. Dry conditions with near to above normal temperatures are expected through this forecast period. An above normal day will finish out 2025 as mid-level height rises and WSW surface flow will aid in highs rising into the lower 40s to lower 50s. Tonight, a upper level trough will dig through the Great Lakes region forcing a back door cold front through the area. Modest cold air advection behind the front tonight will drop lows back into the upper teens to upper 20s. Thursday, northwest flow aloft will relax as the upper level flow becomes quasi-zonal. However, weak mixing will keep high temperatures near seasonal normal in the low to mid 30s (north) to the low to mid 40s (south). Quasi-zonal flow aloft continues into Friday keeping highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s. Saturday, upper level ridging over the central Rockies will shift eastward into the eastern Rockies providing height rise over the local area however, with surface high pressure over the area, weak mixing will hold highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s. Sunday the upper level ridge will slide east over the region. This couples with modest WAA at the surface will drive highs into the mid 40s to mid 50s. Monday, the upper level ridge axis moves directly over the area with continued modest WAA at the surface pushing highs into the 50s to lower 60s. Monday night into Tuesday a upper level shortwave will move from the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. This will force a dry cold frontal passage through the CWA however, highs will still remain above normal in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 554 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025

VFR conds are expected thru the bulk of the TAF pd with sct-bkn high clouds prevailing. Winds to begin the TAF pd with be lgt and vrb but will increase to 5-10kts out of he SW around 16Z-17Z. A cold front will pass thru the terminals btn 03Z-05Z veering winds to the north btn 5-10kts. Some models are indicating the chc for MVFR cigs to mov into teh TAF sites late in the pd behind the cold front however, conf is too low at this time for inclusion in the TAF.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.