textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Dense Fog Advisory in effect for the KC metro and surrounding areas until 9 AM for visibilities less than 1 mile.

- Pop-up thunderstorms possible (25-35%) between 12-8 PM mainly north of I-70. No widespread severe weather expected.

- A break from the excessive heat to start the week with dry weather expected through Tuesday. Rain and warmer temperatures return on Wednesday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 221 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

Scattered clouds are still lingering over the area early this morning and winds are light. Dewpoint depressions are only 1 or 2 degrees and mixed with the smoke from the fireworks we have low visibilities down to less than 1 mile. This is especially true around the KC metro and, therefore, have issued a dense fog advisory from now until 9 AM for areas near and in the metro. As far as temperatures, we have stayed pretty warm with temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

There is a cold front draped west to east across central IA this morning. This front will work its way south towards MO later today. This front will eventually stall near central MO this afternoon. In addition to having this front over the area, we will have another mid-level shortwave roll through the base of the trough over us and bring us another chance for showers and thunderstorms this afternoon mainly after 12 PM and ending near 8 PM. This convection will likely be contained to northern MO and mostly north of I-70 due to the track of the shortwave. Rain chances over in that area are 25-35% and these storms will be similar to our summer-time pop-up thunderstorms. Main threats will be lightning and brief heavy rainfall and no widespread severe weather is expected. Daytime highs will offer a quick break from the heat with temperatures only reaching the upper 80s today with heat index values in the lower 90s with light northerly winds. Tonight will be cooler with lows in the 60s. We'll have to watch for dense fog again overnight especially in the areas that see rain later today.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 221 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

For the start of this week, weather will be mostly quiet as a ridge moves over the area. We will experience a gradual warm up as we go into mid-week with highs reaching the lower 90s with max heat index values in the lower 100s for Wednesday and Thursday. Then, a pattern change occurs and a possible MCS moves through the area Wednesday into Thursday as rain chances increase to 50-60%. SPC doesn't have us in an outlook at this time, but CIPS/CSU machine learning probabilities have us outlooked for the possibility of severe weather with that system. There's also a frontal passage late Thursday into Friday that the ML probs may be catching onto as well. We'll have to continue to monitor the forecast as it gets closer. For now, enjoy the break in the heat and convection!

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 627 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

MVFR to VLIFR ceilings can be expected for the next few hours this morning as smoke and fog lingers around the TAF sites. Visibilities are under 1 SM and a Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 14z. VFR ceilings will return around 15z. Winds remain light less than 10 knots across the area through the period.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for MOZ020-028- 029-037. KS...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for KSZ025- 103>105.