textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Temperatures warm starting Monday reaching into the 50s and could eclipse the 60s Tuesday.
- Temperatures cool back toward seasonal normals mid to late week with a chance for precipitation early Wednesday morning.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 207 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026
A very seasonable day is prevailing today as high pressure resides over the area. This has provided weak mixing holding highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s. The surface ridge will shift south and east of the area tonight and surface winds will become southwesterly in its wake advecting warmer air into the area. This, coupled with subtle height rises will push highs well above normal into the upper 40s to mid 50s. Temperatures will continue to soar well above normal Wednesday as downslope westerly flow pushes highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Tuesday into Tuesday night a upper level trough will dig from the Upper Midwest into the Great Lakes forcing a cold front through the forecast area. Conditions will be dry across the area but forcing may be strong enough to allow for a few showers (less than 20% chance)to develop Tuesday night. Strong CAA behind the cold front Tuesday night into Wednesday will return highs to near normal Wednesday in the mid 30s to mid 40s. Surface high pressure will then move into the area Wednesday night into Thursday. Weak mixing Thursday will again keep highs near normal in the lower 30s to lower 40s. Thursday night into Friday a mid-level trough will move from the Upper Midwest into the western Great lakes forcing another cold front through the area bringing the chance (15%-25%) for show showers Thursday night into Friday for areas along and north of the Missouri River. Highs Friday will again be near normal in the mid 30s to mid 40s. A reinforcing cold front is expected Friday night into Saturday as a upper level trough shifts through the area. The frontal passage looks to remain dry however, it looks to bring the coldest day of 2026 thus far with highs in the mid 20s to mid 30s.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 539 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Some high clouds will move through the KC metro area over the next few hours, but will not lead to any issues. Winds will remain southwesterly and under 10 knots.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...None. KS...None.
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