textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperature trend slightly above normal today, then well above normal through the week.

- Dry conditions expected through the week with low probabilities returning for the weekend for NW Missouri and NE Kansas.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 221 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026

This work week continues to look quiet with above normal temperatures as the next chance for precipitation doesn't look to arrive until this weekend at the earliest. Today, quasi-zonal upper level flow will prevail over the central CONUS. This coupled with modest WAA will allow highs to push a few degrees above normal in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Tonight into tomorrow a upper level trough will dig south along the west coast. This will allow upstream, upper level ridging to build over the central CONUS. Height rises coupled with continued modest WAA will drive highs into the low to mid 70s. Wednesday the upper level trough will continue to dig southward off the California coast further amplifying the ridge over the central CONUS. These continued height rise will drive highs into the mid to upper 70s. Thursday the upper level trough off the west coast finally pushes onshore along the California coast and moves into the central Rockies by Friday. This will push the upper level ridge axis eastward directly over the forecast area for Thursday and Friday pushing highs 10-15F degrees above normal with highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. By Saturday, a much weakened upper level trough will push northeastward from the central Rockies into the northern Plains. This will force an attendant cold front into the Plains Saturday however, the local area will remain ahead this front under moderate WAA which will keep highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. The cold front will look to sag into the area Saturday night into Sunday as the upper level trough moves into the Upper Midwest. Moisture with this front looks meager at this this time however, some light showers will be possible (20-30%) along and west of the I-35 corridor. High pressure looks to quick move into the area Sunday behind the front and with no cold air advecting in behind the front, highs will remain above normal in the 70s

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1050 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

VFR conditions are expected for the duration of the forecast period. Winds remain southerly through the period. There could be some isolated gusts during the afternoon. High BKN CIGs are anticipated around sunrise; more so during the afternoon hours. Winds dissipate and sky coverage opens after sunset.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.