textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Windy (25-35 mph wind gusts) and cold conditions will continue today. Wind chill values this morning will range between zero to 10 below zero. Wind chill values this afternoon will only max out in the upper single digits and teens.
- Temperatures rebound going into Tuesday with relatively mild, dry weather expected to continue through next weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 233 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
Early this morning, the upper level system that brought yesterday's showers/storms/snow is exiting he area and moving into the Great Lakes. This will leave the area under cold northwest flow aloft. Cold air will continue to advect into the area on strong northwest winds gusting 25 to 35 mph through the day today. This will hold high in the 20s today with winds chills remaining in the single digits and teens this afternoon. This evening/tonight a surface ridge of high pressure will build into the area from the northern/central Plains allowing winds to relax. Light winds and clear skies will provide a good radiational cooling setup tonight again allowing lows to fall back into the teens. The surface ridge will quickly shift south of the area by Tuesday morning with surface winds shifts to the southwest providing modest WAA. This will allow highs to rebound to near normal on Tuesday with highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s.
The remainder of the week into the weekend continues to look dry with near to above normal temperatures through the period. Wednesday, subtle height rises will allow highs to rise into the upper 30s (northeast) to near 50 (southwest). Wednesday night a mid- level trough will dig through the Great Lakes region forcing a backdoor cold front through the area. The frontal passage will remain dry however, it will return temperatures to near normal on Thursday with highs in the 30s to lower 40s. A gradual warming trend is then forecast for next weekend as an upper level ridge over the eastern Rockies slowly shifts eastward through the period providing daily height rises. Highs Friday will range from the mid 30s to mid 40s and will rise to the lower 40s to lower 50s by Sunday.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 516 AM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
VFR conds are expected with sct clouds btn 2-3kft expected thru 21Z-23Z aft which clr skies are fcst. Strong NW winds are expected thru 21Z-23Z with sustain winds at 15-20kts and gusts btn 25-30kts. Aft 21Z-23Z...winds will remain out of the NW and diminish to 7-12kts before becmg lgt and vrb aft 03Z-05Z.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for MOZ001>008- 011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054. KS...Wind Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for KSZ025-057- 060-102>105.
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