textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Showers and a few isolated storms will be possible through the day today. Storms are most likely along and south of I-70.

- Another chance for showers and storms on Saturday late afternoon and into the evening. A few strong storms may be possible.

- Hot and humid weather engulfs the region starting Sunday and lingers into early next week. Heat indicies increase to 100-110. An Extreme Heat Warning may be needed.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 443 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

A low pressure system will continue to move across the region today. Scattered showers and a few storms will be possible through the day as a result. Cooler air will filter in from the west as this system pushes east. Any stronger storms are expected to remain to the south of the CWA, given that the front should be mostly through the region in the late afternoon.

Temperatures will steadily warm beginning Saturday as ridging builds aloft. Highs are expected to be in the mid-to-upper 80s on Saturday. In the afternoon, the stalled front will drift north as a warm front, which will allow for increased CAPE and moisture into the region. Additionally, some vorticity and a weakening shortwave will bring lift. Scattered showers and storms will be possible on Saturday afternoon and evening. Looking into the environment, we will see steep lapse rates, 30-35kts of 0-6km shear, plenty of uninhibited SBCAPE. This will warrant a risk of strong to severe storms, mainly for wind and hail.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/

Issued at 443 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

On Sunday and through most of next week, impressive ridging will build over the central and eastern CONUS. Higher heights will increase temperatures each day. High pressure at the surface, will help to keep conditions dry. Enhanced southwesterly flow will increase dew points, leading to hot and muggy conditions. NBM and LREF ensemble probabilities show 60-90% chance of exceeding 95F most of next week. Additionally, we will not see much recovery overnight, as low temperatures are expected to be in the mid-to-upper 70s. Heat advisories and warnings may be needed this next week.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 636 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

A low pressure system will work over the region today, bringing additional showers and storms this morning. Additionally, low CIGs have built in and will persist. In the afternoon, CIGs will lift and thin into the evening hours. Winds will back to the north in the afternoon and the low pressure passes through the region. Some isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible south of I-70 this afternoon and evening.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for MOZ028>032-037>040- 043>046-053-054. KS...Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for KSZ057-060-103>105.