textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures steadily warm through the weekend (reaching the mid 50s by Monday) with the warming trend continuing through the remainder of next week (forecast highs in the 60s to near 70).

- There is a slight chance for a few showers Wednesday night into Thursday (15-25%).

DISCUSSION

Issued at 141 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

Another cool day is prevailing today as a surface ridge axis resides over the eastern CWA providing for weak mixing. This will aid in holding highs in the mid 40s to near 50. The surface ridge axis will slowly slide east of the CWA tonight however, winds will generally remain light under filtered high clouds allowing low to fall back into the mid 20s to near 30. Tomorrow, northerly flow aloft relaxes as the surface ridge slides east of the area and weak WAA gets underway. This will allow highs to rise into low to mid 50s. Monday, upper level ridging will build over the central CONUS in response to a upper level trough digging into the west coast. This coupled with continued weak WAA will lift highs into the mid 50s to near 60.

The warming trend that begins today will continue through mid-week as Tuesday the upper level ridge axis builds directly over the area with modest WAA getting underway. This will raise highs into the mid 50s to lower 60s. On Wednesday, the aforementioned upper level west coast trough will be moving through the Plains states with an attendant Pacific front also moving through the Plains. Strong WAA out ahead of the front with provide a breezy but mild day with highs in the 60s. Wednesday night a weakened upper level trough will move through the region pushing a weak front through the forecast area. Moisture will be very meager out ahead of this front however, a few widely scattered light showers will be possible. Thursday, zonal flow aloft coupled with surface high pressure will keep highs held in the 60s. Thursday into Friday a upper level trough will quickly move from the west coast into the eastern Rockies. This will push an attendant surface cold front into the western Plains on Friday. Another day of strong WAA out ahead of this front on Friday will drive highs into the mid 60s to lower 70s. Friday night into Saturday, the cold will move through the area providing the chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1110 AM CST Sat Nov 14 2026

VFR conds with prevail thru he pd with sct-bkn high clouds fcst. Winds will be out of the SE/ESE btn 5-10kts thru this TAF cycle.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.


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