textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Frost/freeze conditions this morning. Frost/freeze conditions possible again Monday night and Tuesday morning.

- Clear, cooler, and dry through the weekend, with chances (40-60%) of wintry precipitation returning Monday night into Tuesday.

- Active weather pattern and warmer temperatures beginning by midweek.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 318 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

This morning a surface ridge is building into the forecast area providing a good radiational cooling setup with clear skies and light winds. This will allow temperatures to fall into the low to mid 30s this morning with widespread frost likely and a light freeze possible across northern Missouri and northeastern Kansas. Today the surface ridge axis will move over the forecast area. Despite copious sunshine, weak mixing under northwest flow aloft will keep highs near seasonal normals in upper 50s to lower 60s. Today into tonight, a upper level shortwave will dig from the Canadian Plains into the Great Lakes. This will force a backdoor cold front into the area tonight into Monday. This will create a relatively large temperature spread across the area on Monday with highs in the low to mid 50s across northern Missouri, where the front will pass earlier in the day, to the mid to upper 60 south where the front will pass later in the day Monday. A jet streak will move through the region bringing the chance (15-30%) for shower to northern Missouri during the day Monday. Another jet streak will move through the region Monday night into Tuesday morning which will bring the chance for rain and snow showers to the forecast area. There is a chance for light snow accumulation across northern Missouri where half an inch or less is possible. In addition, Monday night into Tuesday morning a freeze is expected for areas north of the Missouri River where temperatures will drop into the upper 20s and lower 30s. South of the Missouri River temperatures will fall into the mid 30s. Showers will lift north Tuesday as a warm front lifts north into the area. This will again produce another wide temperature spread across the area with highs in the mid to upper 40s across the northeastern CWA to the low to mid 60s across the southwestern CWA.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 318 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Tuesday night into Wednesday, the warm front will lift north of the area with highs rising into the low to mid 70s. Despite, the NBM producing chance PoPs (20-40%) during the day conditions should remain dry until at least late in the day or Wednesday night. These increased PoP chances Wednesday night will come courtesy of a upper level trough moving from the northern Rockies into the northern Plains forcing an attendant cold front into the area. This will bring the next chance of thunderstorms to the area. Showers will linger into Thursday as the cold front stalls across the southern CWA and weak upper level shortwaves traverse the region on quasi- zonal flow aloft. A similar pattern will continue to keep conditions unsettled on Friday. Friday night into Saturday, a upper level trough will move from the California coast into the southwestern CONUS. The upper level flow over the region will become southwesterly, with several lead shortwaves ejecting out ahead of the upper level trough over the southwest keeping the pattern active through next weekend. Despite the active pattern expected, the severe threat looks low at this time. Highs through this period will generally range from the mid 60s to mid 70s which is 5-10 degrees above normal for early April.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 610 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

VFR conds will prevail thru the pd with clr skies expected. Winds will be out of the NW btn 5-10kts thru 00Z when winds will become lgt and vrb.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CDT this morning for MOZ001>006- 011>016-020>024-028>032-037>040-043>046-053-054. KS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CDT this morning for KSZ025-057-060- 102>105.