textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Winds will diminish with temperatures falling into the 30s throughout Friday evening.

- Near to below freezing temperatures possible over northern areas late Friday night into Saturday morning.

- A Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of NE Kansas, NW and N Missouri Friday night into Saturday morning with a Frost Advisory in effect for most of the rest of the forecast area.

- Temperatures in the 70s and 80s return for the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 156 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

With the advection of cooler air in the wake of yesterdays cold front, temperatures throughout the rest of the day today will be in the upper 40s and low 50s. Synoptically, a 500mb positively tilted trough is digging over our region, with strong winds aloft as the jet stream passes right overhead. This has allowed for a large pressure gradient in response to high pressure over the western Great Plains, and the low pressure system that exited to our east yesterday. As a result, expect gusty winds out of the north up to 30mph, before diminishing in the evening hours as we lose the daytime mixing. Throughout the evening and overnight hours, the surface high to our west, along with dry air to our north will both approach our area. This will help push off any remaining cloud cover, and allow temperatures to drop into the 30s. Portions of areas north of Interstate 70 will likely dip down into the low 30s, prompting the issuance of a Freeze Warning to our northern counties. The rest of the area will get down into the mid-30s, with many of those areas having a Frost Advisory in effect. Precaution will include protecting any sensitive plants, crops, and vegetation.

Saturday and Sunday will be quiet as our trough moves off to the east, along with the high pressure approaching. We will also see little if any cloud cover this weekend, as drier air advects from our north. Temperatures will also climb back up into the 60s, especially on Sunday as pressure heights increase and warm air advection moves into our region. Conditions will remain quiet throughout next week, with the ridge staying in place, and allowing southerly flow to advect warm air. Temperatures then will return into the 70s and 80s by the middle part of the week. While this happens, a trough will begin to develop off the west coast, and will strengthen as it interacts with a subtropical jet. As this disturbance gets its act together, it will move into our area by late next week and into the weekend. Exact timing and effects still remain to be seen, as certainty will increase as we get closer to the time period.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 638 PM CDT Fri Oct 16 2026

VFR conditions are expected for the duration of the forecast period. Sky coverage is opening up across the terminals with northerly winds expected to gust for the next few hours. Greater sky coverage and lowered MVFR CIGs are expected across interior MO for the next several hours.

Winds become light and variable through the second half of the overnight before shifting more southerly tomorrow morning. A few low level clouds are possible, but CIGs are expected to remain VFR.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ001>007- 011>016-020. Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for MOZ008-017- 021>025-028>033-037>039-043-044. KS...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for KSZ025-102. Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for KSZ057-060- 103>105.