textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

* Patchy fog possible again tonight - Mainly rural areas near and south of Missouri River

* Pleasant Memorial Day with mostly clear skies and highs in the low to mid 80s

* Unsettled weather conditions remain forecast as early as Tuesday and on through the work week if not into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 249 PM CDT Sun May 24 2026

With surface high pressure influence parked over the area, very pleasant conditions have and will continue to prevail today. Within the CWA proper, hardly a cloud in the sky with light winds (under 10 mph) ranging in direction, dependent on your location in relation to the surface high. Temperatures by early afternoon in the upper 70s to low 80s, generally in line with forecast highs in the low 80s. Icing on the cake being dew points in the 50s.

Memorial Day will see generally pleasant conditions continue across the area. Surface high begins to depart eastward, but will continue to exert some influence, along with mid-upper level ridging, to help keep sensible weather quiet. Southerly winds do begin to return in a more widespread manner, but unable to advect in any substantial moisture (humidity) given surface high orientation and the general air mass source region. Generally, the most notable difference from today to Memorial day will be high temperatures a few/handful degrees warmer, into the mid 80s for most, as warmer 850mb temps nose in from the west. Enjoy the day if you are able!

The forecast Tuesday onward remains notably uncertain, but also low- impact, given the broader setup. Deterministic synoptic guidance remains in very good agreement of a sizable mid-upper low dropping down the the West Coast through mid-week, concurrent with a long wave trough to cutoff low digging into New England. This yields an Omega Block look to the pattern with increasing ridge amplitude through central CONUS. The main uncertainty locally is in how a weak mid-upper level disturbance drifts northward through and out of the Southern Plains and into the Mid-Mississippi Valley. Deterministic and ensemble guidance is a bit less excited (slower) on PoPs Tuesday, potentially holding off any PoPs into southern parts of the CWA until early Wednesday, which conceptually makes sense given the existing dry air mass it will need to overcome to begin with. Regardless, little consequence with showers to isolated non-severe thunder at most. The gradual degradation of the initial mid-upper level feature and a wave rounding the larger western CONUS low carries varied depictions in guidance, but the general takeaway through mid and late week will continue to be chances for showers and isolated non-severe thunder. Aside from any precipitation, temperatures will vary depending on how widespread cloud cover and precipitation is. NBM has lowered temps a bit vs previous runs, but remain reasonable in the upper 70s to low 80s.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 608 PM CDT Sun May 24 2026

VFR conditions are expected for the duration of the forecast period. Winds remain generally southerly becoming light overnight. A SCT layer of clouds is expected to develop overnight dissipating after sunrise.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.