textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

* Unsettled weather conditions return Wednesday and will continue through the remainder of the week. - The severe weather and flooding threat appears low.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 232 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

The main changes with this forecast package will be to continue to delay the onset of precipitation into the area until Wednesday afternoon. Main cause for this forecast change is related to the strength of the mid-lvl shortwave that is progged to move towards the area today. This feature is now forecast to be much weaker as it lifts north towards the area from the southern Plains. This feature will washout is it approaches the area tonight, as such, conditions are now expected to remain dry today and tonight. At the surface today, a surface ridge of high pressure extending from the southern Great Lakes back to the southwest into the local area will be in control most of the day. Increasing cloud cover across the southern CWA will hold highs in the lower 80s this afternoon but will rise into the mid 80s further north where mostly sunny skies are expected through the day today. Tomorrow, another mid-level shortwave will lift northeast towards the forecast from the southern High Plains. This will allow for the slight chance (15%-25%) of afternoon showers and a few storms along a and south of the I-70 corridor. Thursday, this mid-level shortwave will move over the area with increased areal coverage of showers and storms expected with the greatest probabilities (40-60%) across the southern CWA with only about a 10% chance across the northern CWA. This mid-level trough will remain anchored over the area Thursday night through Friday continuing the chances for showers and thunderstorms. The greater chances for showers and storms will remain diurnally driven with 50-70% chances Friday afternoon south of I-70 with lesser chances further north. Highs this week will be slightly above normal in the low to mid 80s.

A slight chance for precipitation (15%-30%) will continue into Saturday for the southern and western CWA as yet another weak mid- level shortwave attempts to lift north into the region. This feature eventually washes out over the region as upper level ridging builds into the central CONUS and a surface ridges build into the area from the Upper Midwest by Sunday. These features will dominate the latter half of the weakened through early next week providing dry conditions and seasonable temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 646 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

VFR conds are expected thru the TAF pd with just ocnl sct high clouds. Winds will be out of the SE btn 5-10kts thru the pd.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.