textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Below normal temperatures expected with highs coolest Monday and then warming to the lower 80s the rest of the week.

- The upcoming weekend will see more heat and temperatures flipping to above normal.

- Today should be dry. Rest of the week will have some rain chances with quick moving systems.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 142 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Expect a blanket of cloud cover in the wake of yesterday's rains across the region. Model time-height sections from the RAP and NAM keep this blanket in for much of the morning with clouds scattering out in the afternoon. These clouds and the steady northeasterly winds will help keep temperatures below normal for today. With skies clearing out tonight after a soaking rain, normally fog would form...but we may be getting a start to a return flow of some easterly or southeasterly winds as high pressure shifts off to our east. Will lean a little cautious here and add in some patchy fog wording in case winds are slower to pick up.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 142 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Tuesday should be several degrees warmer, though likely still below climo for early summer. Winds will be more solidly from the southeast as another low pressure system forms over the Central Plains. Northwest flow pattern aloft may wield another diving shortwave over the region in the evening hours. If that system doesn't fully develop, we could see storms form along a precip water gradient looking to set up somewhere NW to SE across our area. NBM actually has a fairly high PoP for after 06-12Z Wednesday, likely featuring that combination potential. LREF members are fairly high as well, so see no good reason to stray from NBM at this point.

Additional waves look to move through here Wed through Fri. The Friday system will be as flow aloft becomes more west to east, so we could see more rainfall in the vicinity with that one. Something to watch over the coming days.

The weekend may end up dry but warming as southerly winds dominate the Central Plains and ridging aloft moves across MO. We'll flip to above normal temperatures for the weekend. By Sunday peak heat indices could rise above 100 for many locations. NBM and LREF members do carry some low-end pops/QPF. Even with ridging in place though you can get some pulse storm development, so again will keep NBM as is.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 541 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

Blanket of MVFR-cig stratus continues over most of the forecast area this hour. Based on time height sections from the RAP and NAM have gone pessimistic with a later timing for those cigs to lift...now holding off on VFR to mid afternoon. Winds generally will be from the northeast...but will become lighter from the east tonight.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.