textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Gradual Warm Up This Week, Gradual Increase in Humidity

- Storms Returns to the forecast Wednesday and Thursday...a few strong storms may be possible Wednesday night.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 157 PM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

Today, a surface ridge of high pressure is building into the CWA. In addition, a upper level ridge is extending from the southwestern CONUS northeastward into the northern Plains. This leaves the local area on the eastern periphery of this feature but is providing modest height rises. This coupled with the relaxation of yesterday's CAA will allow highs to rise into the mid 80s. Tomorrow, the surface ridge will slide east of the area with weak WAA getting underway. As it does the upper ridge residing west of the area today will slide eastward and extend from the southwestern CONUS into the central Plains and into the Upper Midwest. This will provide further height rises across the area, and this, coupled with the weak WAA will drive highs into the mid to upper 80s. Tomorrow night into Tuesday a upper level trough will dig into the northern Plains. This will act to flatten the upper level ridge and will force an attendant weak cold front into the Upper Midwest and central Plains. Continued Weak WAA ahead of this front on Tuesday will allow highs to warm into the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Tuesday night into Wednesday the aforementioned cold front will sag into the forecast area bringing shower and thunderstorm chances to the northern CWA (40-75%). Showers are expected to diminish late Wednesday morning into Wednesday afternoon but redevelopment is forecast in the evening and is expected to continue thru the overnight with most areas likely (50-80%) to receive precipitation. A few strong storms may be possible with MUCAPE values between 1500- 2500J/Kg and effective sheer between 45-50kts. Highs Wednesday will range from the upper 70 to lower 80s north where the cold front will pass earlier in the day to the lower 90s south which will remain ahead of the front. The latter portion of the forecast period Thursday through Saturday will feature quasi-zonal flow aloft with weak shortwaves moving through the region making occasional scattered convection possible through that stretch. A gradual warming trend is expected through that period as well with highs Thursday in the 80s before rising to the upper 80s to lower 90s by Saturday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1150 AM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

VFR conds are expected thru the TAF pd with a few-sct cu btn 3-4kft fcst thru 00Z aft which clr skies will prevail. Winds will be out of the N btn 5-10kts thru 00Z when they will become lgt and vrb. Aft 15Z...winds will incr out of the S btn 5-10kts.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.