textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A few showers and storms possible tonight - Wednesday afternoon south of I-70.
- Better chances for showers and storms later this week with above normal temperatures.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 153 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
Latest water vapor imagery shows a weak disturbance moving into southern MO this afternoon from northern AR. This will advect a more humid airmass northeastward around the circulation and into the southern half of MO. With weak forcing associated with the upper- level disturbance and a more humid airmass being drawn into the area, there may be a few showers, and possibly a thunderstorm, south of I-70 tonight and through the day tomorrow. Have added some slight chance PoPs to account for this potential. For later in the week, a slightly stronger system will move into the region from the west. As better moisture advects into the area ahead of this system, the chances for showers and storms will increase, especially over eastern KS and western MO. The threat of severe weather with any of this activity looks very low as there is limited shear given the weak flow aloft. Instability is also not overly impressive, especially for this time of year, and that will tend to limit the potential for strong to severe storms as well. While there are higher precipitable water values present, the isolated to scattered nature and relatively weak convection overall, will limit flash flood potential as well.
High temperatures for the next week look to be consistently in the 80s, about 5 degrees above normal for this time of year. While there will be upper-level ridging through the middle of the country, this will be tempered by the disturbances that will bring increased moisture, cloud cover, and the isolated to scattered convection.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1107 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026
Areas of fog may try to develop in the pre-dawn hours east of KC in the more moist airmass. These lower ceilings are expected to burn off throughout the morning hours. Easterly winds are expected to prevail through the next 24 hours.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...None. KS...None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.