textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 152 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

A broad area of surface high pressure remains in place over the Great Lakes, bringing southeasterly flow into our area. At 500mb, we are under a broad ridge with westerly flow and with high pressure centered over the southwestern CONUS. Therefore, conditions will remain cool and dry this afternoon, with highs in the low to mid- 70s. A 500mb low-amplitude shortwave will progress east across the Northern Plains as the weekend continues but it will remain north of MO thanks to the 500mb ridge. However, this shortwave will bring a weak cold front out of the Northern Plains through our area Sunday, reinforcing the dry air mass and keeping highs in the 70s under more northerly flow.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 152 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

H5 ridge axis will push eastward but gradually de-amplify due to a few short-wave perturbations coming out of the Pacific Northwest. But through the work week, this will push the thermal ridge far enough east to provide WAA, pushing temperatures back into the upper 70s, with highs in lower 80s for points south of Interstate 70. Most the mid-level kinematic action is still progged to remain will north of the area over the next 7 Days, and ensemble suites still keep probabilities for measurable precipitation at 10 percent or less, and therefore will maintain a dry forecast. This should provide plenty of opportunity for the elevated river levels to continue to fall through this week. Breezy south to southwesterly winds will be possible on Tuesday as the surface anticyclone exits eastward pushing a stronger pressure gradient through, along with boundary layer mixing during the afternoon.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1218 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

High pressure will keep skies mostly clear for the TAF period. Conditions should remain dry enough to prevent fog, though some river valleys may see a slight reduction in visibility early Sunday morning.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.