textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Chance for showers this afternoon, with greater chances (50-70%) towards southern MO.

- Cooler temperatures and quieter conditions overall, with scattered chances for precipitation early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 315 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

Current analysis depicts a shortwave trough moving across the Central Plains which has led to scattered showers and thunderstorms that are ongoing across the area. A couple storms produced severe hail across central MO (mainly south of I-70) early this afternoon, however, the main severe threat remains south of the forecast area, across southern MO. A few showers remain possible this afternoon, with the best chances being south of I-70 (50-70%), in the same locations where storms have already occurred today. Severe weather is not expected with the remaining chances for precipitation, however, can't rule the possibility of some lightning and small hail occurring.

Temperatures across the area are much cooler today than what has become the status quo over the past several week with highs expected to be in the low 60s areawide. High pressure over the Central Plains will slide east through the afternoon, keeping winds northerly and light (5-10 mph) through the night. Large scale subsidence will allow skies to clear this evening and into the overnight, which opens the door for temperatures to fall into the low-to-mid 40s tonight.

Once the showers and storms exit the area this evening, quieter weather is expected to prevail through the remainder of the week. Temperatures will remain below to near normal with highs in the mid-to-upper 60s. The only real concern between now and the weekend comes Thursday with the high pressure shifting off to the south by Thursday afternoon and a weak cold front producing low-end precipitation chances (15-25%) across the area. Behind the front northerly winds may be able to drive low temperatures into the low-to-mid 30s across northern MO, which would pose a threat for frost/freeze headlines Thursday night. Continued northerly flow on Friday should hold temperatures in the low 60s with another night in the mid-to-upper 30s.

Longwave ridging across the western CONUS is expected through the weekend, which will keep conditions dry. Mid-level height rises will bring a return to above average temperatures by the end of the weekend with highs climbing back into the mid-to- upper 70s on Sunday. Precipitation chances (20-30%) return to the forecast early next week as several shortwaves move through the large scale pattern, however, models diverge on the timing and placement of these shortwaves, decreasing confidence in the expected evolution.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1230 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

High pressure will keep conditions VFR and winds fairly on Tuesday. A few passing upper-level cirrus cloud expected through the afternoon.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.