textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Continued cold tonight with light winds.

- Temperatures warm near to above normal for Tuesday through Thursday.

- Turning cooler for Friday into the weekend with chances for snow.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 248 PM CST Mon Jan 19 2026

High pressure was in control across the Central Plains into the Mid-Mississippi Valley this afternoon with mainly clear skies over the Lower Missouri Valley region. Winds were diminishing across the area as the high continued to build in. Heading into tonight, temperatures will fall into the teens and single digits above zero, but for the most part will not be as cold as last night. Winds will be very light, so any wind chills should remain above zero.

Fairly benign conditions will prevail for the middle of the week as temperatures trend near to above normal. Wednesday will be the warmest day with highs in the upper 30s to upper 40s before cooling back to near normal levels for Thursday in the wake of a cold front. A trough will move through the region for Tuesday into Wednesday, but this looks to be a dry frontal passage with any precipitation remaining to our north and south.

The jet moves overhead for Friday into the weekend as cold high pressure becomes established across the Upper Midwest. Models continue to advertise a large baroclinic zone extending from the Southern Plains into the Deep South during this time period with an expansive area of QPF in the vicinity of this zone as well. Exact placement remains in question, but there remains a chance that some of that QPF may reach into the CWA. Given the reinforcing shot of Arctic air expected Friday, anything that does fall will be in the form of snow. We may just as well remain enough to the north of this system to remain dry as well. A stronger area of high pressure to our north may suppress this activity to our south. Additionally, there isn't much for midlevel forcing in the area and we may remain moisture starved as well. So while there is a chance for snow late in the period, it doesn't look overly significant at this time.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1100 PM CST Mon Jan 19 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the forecast with high level clouds moving across northern MO. Light south winds will prevail overnight and then increase from the south during the afternoon hours. A few gusts of 20-25kts are possible after 18Z.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.