textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures Above Normal This Week

- Light rain chances 30-40 tomorrow night

- Wintry precipitation possible Sunday/Monday

DISCUSSION

Issued at 137 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

The evening, a upper level shortwave trough will dig through the Upper Midwest into the Great Lakes. This will force a weak a dry cold frontal passage through the CWA. Overnight into tomorrow morning, a surface ridge of high pressure will traverse the area bringing a seasonably cool start to the day with lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. The surface ridge will shift north and east of the area late in the day tomorrow with a return to south/southeast flow. This will allow highs to rise into the upper 50s to lower 60s across the southwestern CWA where southerly flow will get going earlier in the afternoon ranging to the mid to upper 40s over the northeastern CWA where WAA never gets underway. Tomorrow night, a weak shortwave trough will move through the region forcing another cold front through the area. Moisture will be meager with this system however, a 30-40% chance of precipitation will continue to be possible including the chance for a light mix/snow across the extreme northeastern CWA where a very light dusting of snow may be possible. Another surface ridge moves into the area behind the system on Thursday. This will provide weak mixing but copious sunshine will aid in highs rising into the lower 50s to lower 60s. The warmest day of the forecast period will be Friday as modest WAA gets underway under quasi-zonal flow aloft, this will drive highs into the mid 60s to the lower 70s. Friday night, a upper level trough moving from the Canadian Plains into the northern Great Lakes will force another cold front through the area Friday night into Saturday with highs on Saturday ranging from the lower 50s north to near 70 south with a slight chance of showers possible.

Conditions late next weekend into early next week continues to produce chances for wintry weather that will need to be monitored through the week. By Sunday, the cold front that moves through the area Saturday will settle south of the forecast area. Both the GFS and EC produce a 700mb shortwave that approaches the area Sunday as a LLJ overrides the cold front south of area pumping moisture into cold air in place over the CWA. This is producing a 30-50% chance of precipitation across the area Sunday into Monday. P-type with this setup is questionable as the southern portion of the forecast area is expected to remain above freezing and just showers are expected here. However, further north along the I-70 corridor and north, the surface temperatures are forecast to be below freezing. Model soundings indicate a deep warm nose may be in place which could produce mixed precipitation if that does come to fruition. Consequently, this time period will need to be monitored as we go through the work week.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 521 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast with thick high-level clouds moving overhead. Winds will continue to diminish this evening as they trend to the north and then eventually become light and vary to the east. Winds increase some tomorrow out of the east.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.