textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- 15-20% chances of showers and thunderstorms return late tonight into tomorrow morning, with breezy south winds through the day Wednesday.

- Better chances (35-70%) of showers and isolated storms arrive Wednesday evening across extreme northwest Missouri and northeast Kansas, with chances decreasing to 15-30% as they slowly spread southeast overnight into Thursday.

- Shower and storm chances Thursday night through Saturday evening and again early next week will range anywhere from 35% to 70-80%, with the lowest chances of 15-25% chances from late Saturday night into Sunday evening.

- Well above normal temperatures will continue through the forecast period, with the warmest conditions tonight through Friday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1250 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

A weak frontal boundary will push into the area tonight and wash out by midday Wednesday. The model blend produces 15-20% chances of showers and thunderstorms across all but far southeast counties between midnight tonight through 9am Wednesday morning. South winds will increase Wednesday morning to 10-20mph, with afternoon gusts of 25-30mph.

Better chances of showers and storms arrive Wednesday evening and overnight with the approach of another cold front. The front essentially stays just north of the area, and keeps the best chances (50-70%) across the northern counties, with chances decreasing to 15-30s as the spread southeast across the rest of the forecast area late Wednesday night into Thursday.

Several disturbances/boundaries will continue to move near or into the forecast area Friday, through the weekend and even into next week. The model blend produces good chances (35-70%) of showers and thunderstorms Thursday night through Saturday evening, with similar chances returning late Sunday night through Tuesday. Current timing shows a bit of a lull late Saturday night through Sunday evening with only 15-25% chances, but timing tweaks are still possible based on the movement of the disturbances. Severe storms

Well above normal temperatures will continue for the next week. The warmest period will be tonight through Friday with lows in the 50s to around 60 degrees, and highs in the middle 70s to around 80 degrees. Clouds, precipitation, and eventually northeast to easterly winds, will brings highs down into the middle 60s to around 70 degrees, with lows remaining in the 50s. Even more of a cooling trend will begin Tuesday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1250 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period. South to southwest winds at 5-10kts will become S-SSE around 5kts after 00z, then they quickly increase from the south after 13z to around 12kts with gusts of 15-20kts. An isolated shra/tsra is possible at all TAF sites between 06z-15z but potential is very low and is not included at any site.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.