textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry and less humid to start the week.

- Thunderstorms return to the forecast later Wednesday and Thursday along with warmer temperatures.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 309 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

High clouds have stuck around through most of the night and have limited the fog formation over the eastern portion of the areas. We do currently have a Dense Fog Advisory out until 8 AM for areas mainly east of Highway 65, but may end up cancelling it early if fog doesn't form in the next couple of hours. Otherwise, temperatures overnight have been in the upper 60s to lower 70s across the area and winds have remained light. Today will be sunny with highs in the upper 80s with dewpoints in the upper 60s and light northeasterly winds just under 10 mph. Tonight's forecast will feature lows in the mid 60s with light winds once again.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 309 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

Tuesday and Wednesday will be mostly dry with high pressure building over us through mid-week. Highs will gradually warm into the lower 90s by Wednesday with heat index values in the upper 90s. Though, Thursday will be the warmest day in the long term period with heat index values in the lower 100s especially for areas along and south of I-70. Luckily a cold front sweeps through the area on Friday to bring clouds/rain and cool down temperatures and dewpoints just a bit going into next weekend.

Rain chances return Wednesday night with a possible MCS-type of structure moving through the area ahead of the stronger trough that's anticipated on Thursday night. Not seeing any early warning signs for severe weather with the system moving through on Thursday night, but we could see some marginally severe storms with that with the main hazards being heavy rain and wind which would be typical for an MCS. The better chances for severe weather look to be on Thursday night as a warm front lifts through the area, stalls out over central MO, then the cold front moves through on Saturday. That system should have the better lift associated with it and may be enough to spawn severe weather. This theory is also backed up by the CIPS/CSU machine learning severe probability outlook which does have the area shaded for a 10-15% chance of severe weather for Thursday into Friday. SPC has not outlooked us for anything at this time, for Thursday or Friday, so we'll have to wait and see how these systems evolve as we get later into the week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1200 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

Cu field will continue into the evening along the usual diurnal curve, but should lift to a more consistent VFR. This will be near the VFR/MVFR height, but should lift this afternoon. Winds will remain light through the period.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.