textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Mild Weather Conditions This Weekend

- Warmer Temperatures Next Week

- Mostly Dry Forecast Next 7 Days

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1252 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Broad surface anticyclone behind the cold front has been keeping conditions clear across the forecast area today, along with drier and cooler conditions. This will remain the trend through the weekend. An H5 high over the desert southwest will force any short- wave disturbances that emanate over the Canadian Prairie Provinces to remain north of the area. This will result in mid-level zonal flow across the lower Missouri River Valley. Through the weekend, high temperatures will reach into the lower and mid 70s. Early mornings will be a bit cooler, with upper 40s to lower 50s possible. Light winds and strong radiational cooling may help promote some fog development, but overall moisture may be to limited for it to become widespread.

A few short-wave trough axes will force the surface anticyclone eastward into the Great Lakes Region for the start of the work week, but most of the dCVA stays north of the area, and this is also where all the precipitation chances will remain, keeping our forecast area dry. Through the middle of the next work week, ridge over the southwestern CONUS will amplify and increase dAVA into the Central CONUS, allowing another stronger surface anticyclone to develop. This will push a thermal ridge eastward, which will introduce a WAA regime through the middle of the next week that gradually take afternoon high temperatures back to the upper 70s and lower 80s, with perhaps mid 80s for areas well south of U.S. Hwy. 50. Perhaps a short-wave perturbation of some kind could generate light shower activity, but current ensemble suites keep probabilities for detectable precipitation at under 10 percent. Therefore, will keep the forecast dry for the current 7-day period.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1201 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

High pressure has moved into the area and will keep skies clear today with light winds. Early Saturday morning, patchy fog may be possible due to strong radiational cooling but dewpoint depressions may remain high enough to keep even visibility VFR. Perhaps STJ in the river valley may be only the impacted terminal Saturday morning just before sunrise.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.