textproduct: Kansas City/Pleasant Hill

KEY MESSAGES

- Below normal temperatures continue through the weekend with lows in the 20s (5-10 degrees below normal) and highs in upper 40s to lower 50s (~5 degrees below normal).

- Dry conditions expected through the middle of next week. Precipitation chances increase Thursday - Friday next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 138 PM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

Water vapor imagery with 500mb heights plotted show upper-level ridging building into the middle of the country, with deep troughing over the eastern US and a strong upper low off the coast of the Pacific Northwest. At the surface, an elongated high pressure area is spread from the Upper Midwest through the ArkLaTex, with the surface ridge moving through the middle of the forecast area. As this high pressure remains generally in place through tomorrow morning, overnight lows will fall to their coldest levels of the season. Lows tonight should range from the lower 20s in central and northeastern Missouri, to the middle 20s through the KC area. With light winds expected, a dry airmass, and no cloud cover expected, there may be some sheltered areas that fall into the teens tomorrow morning. This is about 10 degrees below normal for this time of year and if some sheltered areas fall into the teens, it's closer to 15 degrees below normal. That high pressure area slowly shifts to the east, which allows for a slightly greater pressure gradient and winds becoming light from the east to southeast. That should help temperatures to be not as cold Sunday morning vs Saturday morning but we'll still see morning lows ranging from the lower 20s to near freezing in the KC urban core. A similar moderation of overnight lows continues Monday morning but most areas are likely to fall into the 20s, with the urban areas of KC near to slightly above freezing. By Tuesday, the surface high has shifted well east of the area and the upper ridging builds eastward. This will lead surface winds to become southerly, with increasing heights and thicknesses, allowing temperatures to rebound back to above normal levels. Normal temperatures for the middle of next week are in the lower 50s for highs and lower 30s for lows and we should see highs climb into the 60s by Wednesday and Thursday. By Friday, some our southeastern zones may see highs climb into the 70s.

For the later half of next week, the persistent southerly low-level flow will increase moisture into the area. With the upper ridge shifting to the east broad troughing builds over the western half of the US. This pattern leads to increasing precipitation chances across the middle of country and we see lower chance probabilities of precipitation (15-30%) move into eastern KS and MO Thursday into Friday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 521 PM CST Fri Nov 13 2026

VFR conditions expected to prevail across all TAF sites through the current period. Winds will become light this evening and overnight as they gradually shift out of the E and eventually SE by mid-morning Saturday. Winds may become near-calm at times overnight, picking up to around 5 to 8 kts sustained during the day Saturday. High level cloud cover will begin to filter in during the period, but nothing coming close to affecting flight conditions.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MO...None. KS...None.