textproduct: Quad Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- A pronounced warm-up is on the way for the early part of next week before cooling down for mid- to late-week.

- Dry conditions are expected through Monday before becoming more active for Tuesday through the end of next week. However, uncertainty remains for precipitation chances for the latter part of next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 254 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Quiet weather remains through the short term period as low level southeast flow begins to overtake the area. A weak upper level disturbance is forecast to slide through the area this evening into tomorrow morning. The low level SE flow will lead to some banded snow, east of the area tonight. Locally, this pattern results in increasing clouds and warmer temperatures for Sunday.

Sunday temperatures look to be largest forecast challenge. High temperatures between the models ranges 6 to 7 degrees, indicating uncertainty in the WAA magnitude. Looking at the low level wind fields, we remain with an easterly wind. This may keep most of the area in the 30s, and just the far southwest into the low 40s. In fact, latest guidance has trended lower and a consshort really struggles to reach the upper 30s in our southwest. So while warmer than today, not too certain on highs in the 40s tomorrow.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 254 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Zonal flow and a moderating regime is the forecast through most of the long term. Towards the middle of next week, the flow turns slightly NW and we re-enter the clipper train. Then at the very end we look to turn to the SW and bring a system to the area into next weekend.

The warmest low level temperatures come late in the day Monday (around 00z/6 PM), with 850 mb temperatures warming around 9 to 12 degrees C. These values are quite warm for this time of the year, as values near 10 degrees C would be near the daily maximum for DVN for 00z Monday per the SPC sounding climatology. While record high temperatures aren't expected for this stretch, it will feel noticeably warmer. Tuesday's temperatures are a bit more uncertain as a frontal boundary is progged to sweep through the early morning hours Tuesday. Cloud cover and cool air advection, with a low chance (15-30%) of precipitation (mainly south of Highway 34), could keep temperatures cooler on Tuesday in comparison to Monday. In the wake of the frontal passage on Tuesday, temperatures highs are in the upper 30s to lower 40s for Wednesday through Friday, and lows dipping to the middle to upper 20s. While it will be cooler compared to Monday and Tuesday, these values are still above average for this time of the year.

Overall chances for precipitation are low. Some waves towards the end of the week bring pops back to the forecast. NBM blend has long duration pops that are due to differences in timing between the guidance. Overall impacts look to be low from any precipitation.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1135 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period. Mostly cloudy skies tonight with a combination of high clouds and a lower stratus deck (around 5kft) having recently developed over central Iowa. Either way, ceilings are expected to remain VFR. Additionally, breezy southeast winds will develop tonight, gusting around 20 knots. Winds should weaken by Sunday afternoon, with off-and-on clouds through Sunday evening.

DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IA...None. IL...None. MO...None.