textproduct: Quad Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Unseasonably warm conditions through Monday may challenge records. Refer to the climate section for specific numbers. The warm temperatures will also result in an elevated risk for agricultural field fires, especially Monday.

- A cool down the second half of the week with increasing rain chances, especially Wednesday night into Thursday.

- The potential for frost will be on the increase next weekend.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 121 AM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026

Unseasonably warm conditions will be seen through Monday with slightly cooler temperatures Tuesday. Record highs may be challenged, especially on Monday. Refer to the climate section for specific information.

A downside to the unseasonably warm conditions will be the development of an elevated risk for agricultural field fires on Monday.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 121 AM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026

Tuesday night through Saturday Assessment...a certainty (>95%) of a cool down. Medium (40-60%) confidence regarding rain chances.

A developing tropical connection with the Gulf and the remnants of Rachel will bring surges of moisture into the area; the first Tuesday night into Wednesday and the second around Thursday.

Trends with the models are shunting the first surge of moisture to the south and east of the area due to a frontal passage that occurred Monday night. Thus there is a very real possibility that Tuesday night/Wednesday may end up being dry for much of the area.

The moisture surge centered around Thursday is stronger so this may end up being the better chance for rain. The model consensus has a 55-70 percent chance for rain centered around Thursday.

A more significant cold front will sweep through the area Friday night bringing below normal temperatures for next weekend. Although the global models have backed off a little with the colder temperatures, the prospects for the first frost appear to be on the increase especially north of I-80.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 621 AM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026

VFR conditions will continue throughout the TAF period. Southerly winds around 10 knots will be common today. Some high clouds will filter in from the west this evening through the overnight hours, but skies should be SKC before then. There is potential for some marginal low-level wind shear overnight tonight, but confidence remains too low to include in this TAF set.

CLIMATE

Issued at 121 AM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026

Record highs for October 11th...

Burlington, IA......88 in 1962 Cedar Rapids, IA....88 in 1962 Dubuque, IA.........85 in 1928 and previous years Moline, IL..........88 in 1962

Record Warm Lows for October 12th...

Dubuque, IA.........64 in 1997 Moline, IL..........68 in 1997

Record highs for October 12th...

Burlington, IA......86 in 2024 and previous years Cedar Rapids, IA....88 in 1995 Dubuque, IA.........86 in 1886 Moline, IL..........87 in 1947

DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IA...None. IL...None. MO...None.