textproduct: Quad Cities
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Cyclonic flow under an upper trof will keep our area cool and mainly cloudy through Thursday, with periods of scattered light showers.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
Issued at 138 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
The mid to late evening hours, a mid level dry slot worked through the entire area, ending the rain showers from west to east. The low pressure at the surface remained just west of our CWA, and through midnight, has kept CAA and dry air at bay as of yet. However, as this low moves to western WI by morning, west winds will sweep in cooler air and drier surface air into the region (dew points in the 40s and 50s). That dry air is actually saturated due to the CAA, and this will arrive with widespread stratus and periods of light drizzle or even light showers today. This low level saturation will keep temperatures from rising much above the 6 AM temperatures today, as the highs for today are undoubtedly the Midnight temperatures a few hours ago.
The upper trof will remain in place and gradually elongate through Thursday, but the position of it suggests little change in our sensible weather, more clouds, damp/drizzly skies, and cool temperatures in the 50s. Any rain amounts will be light, under 0.15 for the next 48 hours.
The upper low/trof will break down on Friday, but this won't mean milder temperatures at first. In fact, Friday could be quite cool with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s, continued stratocumulus at times, and clearing Friday night dropping lows to the upper 20s to lower 30s.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
Issued at 138 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
The mid to late evening hours, a mid level dry slot worked through the entire area, ending the rain showers from west to east. The low pressure at the surface remained just west of our CWA, and through midnight, has kept CAA and dry air at bay as of yet. However, as this low moves to western WI by morning, west winds will sweep in cooler air and drier surface air into the region (dew points in the 40s and 50s). That dry air is actually saturated due to the CAA, and this will arrive with widespread stratus and periods of light drizzle or even light showers today. This low level saturation will keep temperatures from rising much above the 6 AM temperatures today, as the highs for today are undoubtedly the Midnight temperatures a few hours ago.
The upper trof will remain in place and gradually elongate through Thursday, but the position of it suggests little change in our sensible weather, more clouds, damp/drizzly skies, and cool temperatures in the 50s. Any rain amounts will be light, under 0.15 for the next 48 hours.
The upper low/trof will break down on Friday, but this won't mean milder temperatures at first. In fact, Friday could be quite cool with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s, continued stratocumulus at times, and clearing Friday night dropping lows to the upper 20s to lower 30s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 138 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
The cool Canadian high pressure will continue to keep the chilly air around through the weekend, with more sunshine helping moderate the feel of the days.
This surface high is forecast to move southeast of the region early next week, with increased southwest winds and milder temperatures in the 60s forecast. This entire period of from Friday through the middle of next week is expected to be dry.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 542 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
Wrap around MVFR stratocu deck, with a few periods of IFR levels will be prominent this TAF cycle behind a large departing storm system. There will be a few periods of light rain and drizzle reduced VSBYs in the deck at CID and DBQ this morning, and possibly off and on well into the afternoon. But precip reduced VSBYs should mainly be a factor through mid morning. Sfc winds will be rather steady from the west-southwest at 12-17 KTs with higher gusts during the daytime heating.
DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IA...None. IL...None. MO...None.
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