textproduct: Quad Cities
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Pleasant early Fall weather this weekend into early next week, with dry conditions and seasonable temperatures. Temperatures to trend above normal late next week.
- Rises on area creeks, streams, and tributary rivers will continue through the weekend. Within bank rises on the Mississippi downstream of Muscatine is likely.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 204 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026
Fantastic early October weather was seen today, with wall-to-wall sunshine! At 1 pm, temperatures were in the 60s and dewpoints were in the 40s. This is much welcomed after the persistent week of rainfall and cloudy skies.
A large area of high pressure will slide east across the upper Midwest into the Great Lakes tonight. This will bring mostly clear skies and allow temperatures to drop into the 40s area-wide. Given the lingering BL moisture from recent rain, can't rule out some fog developing in low lying areas and river valleys if winds go calm and temps drop to around 40 degrees tonight.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Issued at 204 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026
Northwest flow aloft will bring a prolonged period of welcomed dry conditions through the weekend and into much of next week. Two upper level waves are progged to move through the upper Midwest Saturday evening and again Wednesday. Taking a look at 1000-500mb RH progs from latest deterministic model runs, show moisture will be quite limited with both waves with a better signal to our north for any light rain. Locally, we will likely end up with just an increase in clouds. Temperatures will be seasonable this weekend, with afternoon highs in the mid 60s to low 70s and lows in the 40s. A slow warming trend will be seen next week, with highs in the mid 70s by Wednesday. Regarding precip chances, ensemble model probabilities for QPF > 0.1" are less than 20% area-wide through next weekend. In fact, the latest 6-10 day precip outlook from CPC shows 70-80% combined probabilities of near/below normal precipitation for the Oct 7th-11th time frame. In other words, a dry pattern is in store at least for the next 10 days allowing ag fields to dry out.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 621 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026
VFR conditions are forecasted to continue over the next 24 hours with mostly clear skies. Northerly winds this evening will shift to easterly overnight before turning southerly by mid-day tomorrow as a high pressure over Wisconsin moves eastward.
DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IA...None. IL...None. MO...None.
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