textproduct: Quad Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Unseasonably warm conditions through Tuesday may challenge records. Refer to the climate section for specific numbers. The warm temperatures will also result in an elevated risk for agricultural field fires.

- Two rounds of rain will be seen this week; one Tuesday night into Wednesday and the second Wednesday night into Thursday. Some isolated severe storms are possible Tuesday night, mainly south of Highway 30.

- A significant cool down will be seen by the end of the week. The risk of frost continues to increase for the first half of the weekend, especially Friday night.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 116 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026

Unseasonably warm conditions will be seen through Tuesday. The warm temperatures, along with breezy southwest flow, will support an elevated risk for agricultural field fires.

A weak storm system moving into the area Tuesday night will bring a marginal risk, or level 1 of 5, for some severe storms. The primary risks look to be hail and damaging winds.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 116 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026

Wednesday through Sunday Assessment...a certainty (>97%) of a significant cool down

The first of two cold fronts will bring temperatures closer to normal for Wednesday. Another storm system will bring likely chances (70-90 percent) of rain Wednesday night into Thursday.

A much stronger cold front will sweep through the area Thursday night and usher in below-normal temperatures to the area for Friday and the weekend.

Friday will be windy and quite chilly. In spite of the much cooler temperatures, the strong winds are expected to result in an elevated risk of agricultural field fires.

The potential for frost continues to increase for the first half of the weekend, especially Friday night.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 624 AM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026

VFR conditions will continue throughout the TAF period. The main focus for this set continues to be on strong southwesterly flow aloft, leading to marginal low-level wind shear (LLWS) for the next few hours for CID and BRL. As the boundary layer mixes, winds should become gusty at the surface, with gusts to around 20 to 25 knots. After sunset, the nocturnal temperature inversion will re-develop, leading to another period of LLWS tonight. This will be stronger compared to the LLWS from this morning - around 40 knots.

CLIMATE

Issued at 121 AM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026

Record Warm Lows for October 12th...

Dubuque, IA.........64 in 1997 Moline, IL..........68 in 1997

Record Highs for October 12th...

Burlington, IA......86 in 2024 and previous years Cedar Rapids, IA....88 in 1995 Dubuque, IA.........86 in 1886 Moline, IL..........87 in 1947

Record Warm Lows for October 13th...

Dubuque, IA.........65 in 1920 Moline, IL..........68 in 1975

Record Highs for October 13th...

Burlington, IA......95 in 1899 Cedar Rapids, IA....89 in 1975 Dubuque, IA.........85 in 1975 Moline, IL..........90 in 1975

DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IA...None. IL...None. MO...None.