textproduct: Quad Cities
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Extreme Heat Warning continues through Wednesday evening due to a prolonged period of hot and very humid conditions. Daily peak heat index values of 100 to 110 and nighttime low temperatures only dropping into the mid 70s.
- Increasing thunderstorm chances into midweek onward (including the July 4th weekend), with the resultant cloud cover potentially having an impact on high temperatures. Very humid conditions will remain.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 230 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026
Upper ridge to continue across the central and southeastern US with southwesterly flow across the Plains into the Great Lakes. This pattern continues to allow the heat to build across the area with very humid conditions as well with flow off the Gulf. Heat index values already into 100-105 range or higher at many sites today, and even warmer air aloft expected to push into the area Tuesday. Little relief expected at night with the humid airmass and warm temperatures keeping overnight temperatures dropping into the upper 70s to around 80. The Extreme Heat Warning will continue with the heat expected through midweek.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 230 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026
The upper ridge across the central/southern US to begin to break down some into the middle to end of the week allowing the southwesterly flow aloft to become oriented more across the forecast area. This will bring increasing chances for thunderstorms by Wednesday into the weekend, especially into the weekend as the ridge breaks down further with a more zonal flow pattern setting up with stronger shortwave troughs impacting the region. Therefore the continuation of the heat and high temperatures into the end of the week and this weekend are somewhat uncertain dependent on thunderstorm chances due to cloud cover and overall storm chances, etc. Continued moisture flow off the Gulf remains, so humid conditions will continue through the forecast period. For now the threat of strong to severe storms is still uncertain for any one period, however the pattern would suggest more organization with the storm chances into the weekend with the stronger upper level troughs helping force the storm chances.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026
Generally a VFR TAF cycle through Tuesday evening. Just a low chance for a few showers and thunderstorms to get into the VCNTY of the DBQ site Tuesday evening but will hold off even a PROB30 for now. South to southwesterly sfc winds to be gusty again on Tuesday up to 25 KTs.
DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IA...Extreme Heat Warning until 10 PM CDT Wednesday for IAZ040>042- 051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099. IL...Extreme Heat Warning until 10 PM CDT Wednesday for ILZ001-002- 007-009-015>018-024>026-034-035. MO...Extreme Heat Warning until 10 PM CDT Wednesday for MOZ009-010.
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