textproduct: Quad Cities
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Temperatures are forecast to remain below normal into early next week, This will result in high temperatures in the teens through Friday with gradually warming temperatures this weekend into early next week.
- Dry weather is forecast to continue through the end of the work week with low chances of precipitation late in the weekend into early next week.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1245 PM CST Tue Jan 27 2026
Deep northwest flow aloft is forecast to continue through the day on Wednesday. A shortwave trough moving through the flow will move across the area after 06 UTC and spread some mid level clouds across the area. There is very little moisture available for this system to work with and so a dry passage is expected. Low temperatures will be below normal and range from around zero degrees north of the Highway 20 corridor. Winds are expected to decrease to around 5 to 10 MPH tonight with minimum wind chill values ranging from 5 below to 15 below zero.
Passing clouds are expected through the day on Wednesday with northwest winds increasing to 10 to 15 mph and gusts up to 25 mph. Wednesday will be the warmest day of the week ranging from the lower teens along the Highway 20 corridor to the mid 20s in far southeast Iowa, northwest Missouri and west central Illinois.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Issued at 1245 PM CST Tue Jan 27 2026
The remainder of the week will feature upper level northwesterly flow, with lower level flow also northwesterly. These conditions will result in the continuation of cold and dry weather, keeping temperatures below average. Daytime temperatures will largely remain in the teens through the week, with nighttime temperatures ranging from 5 above to 5 below zero. Winds will be relatively light each night, which will limit how cold the wind chills get. Granted, we are still going to see nighttime wind chills ranging from 15 below to 5 below zero. Thursday night currently looks to be the coldest night of the stretch, which does introduce wind chills nearing cold weather advisory criteria. We will continue to monitor for any potentially colder overnight temperatures. Otherwise, we will see systems passing near or through the area, but lacking moisture will help keep us dry. Rather, we can expect passing clouds with each shortwave as well breezy winds through the day with sustained winds of 10 to 15 MPH and gusts up to 25 MPH.
This weekend, we start to see a bit of a change in the pattern, which will bring more pleasant conditions than we have seen. Upper level pattern becomes relatively active through the weekend and into next week, with a few waves that we have our eyes on. While we will remain largely dry, aside from a few low-end chances for precipitation, these waves will induce southwesterly flow over the region. What does this mean? Well, this will allow warm advection to pump into the area, bringing temperatures back to seasonal norms. Normals during this time of the year are in the upper 20s (north) to low 30s (south). Thus, a welcome change from the bitter cold temperatures experienced over the last week. We will also see better moisture work into the region, resulting in increasing PoPs Sunday into early next week. The latest model runs do increase POPs slightly for Sunday into Monday across the area with widespread 30 to 40 percent during the day and light snowfall.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 500 PM CST Tue Jan 27 2026
Apart from patchy MVFR stratocumulus through early evening north of CID, true VFR conditions are expected area-wide through this TAF period. Gustiness over 20 kt will abate quickly after sunset as high pressure centered over the Missouri River Valley grazes the region. Wednesday will see west-northwest winds increase during the late morning with occasional gusts, mainly sub-20 kt, in the afternoon.
DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IA...None. IL...None. MO...None.
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