textproduct: Quad Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- A pronounced warm-up begins today, lasting through Tuesday before temperatures moderate by mid- to late-week.

- Dry conditions are expected through mid-week before becoming more active towards the end of the week. However, uncertainty remains for precipitation chances and impacts.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 215 PM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Quiet weather to continue through the short term period. Pattern quickly turns to zonal flow as low level fields shift from a westerly flow to southwest flow. This will lead to WAA into the area for tomorrow. At the same time, a weak disturbance in the upper level flow will bring clouds back to the area. These clouds and the WAA will drive the short term period. Main question is how much cloud cover there will be and whether or not the robust WAA. A quick Dprog/Dt shows that overall temperatures are decreasing for Monday. This points to the clouds likely winning out even though we are looking at H85 temps of 8-11C by tomorrow afternoon. As such, have gone lower on temperatures with most of the area in the 40s and the 50s across the far SW CWA. Overall a very mild day for early February.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 215 PM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Overall forecast looks to be rather unchanged from 12 hours ago as we see warmer air in place on Tuesday, before we moderate with slightly cooler, but still above average temperatures for the area to end the rest of the week. NBM pops are dry until Thursday when the flow turns to the NW leading to the clipper track to dip south into our area. After this the flow becomes very active with numerous little ripples moving through the area. Guidance does not agree on much of the specifics with these waves, leading to the NBM having a long period of schc to chc pops for the area. Overall, these clippers should not lead to much if any impactful weather, especially with daytime temperatures reaching above freezing.

Towards next weekend, a SW low is still forecast to move across the region. Guidance has changed with timing, so overall forecast confidence is low. The pattern suggests that this system could bring some good QPF to the region. Thermodynamics are close to freezing/rain for our area, so it will require us to keep an eye on it through the week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1135 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

VFR conditions are expected to last through the period with winds gradually dropping below 10kts later this afternoon and into the overnight. Low chance (15%) for MVFR vsbys in AM at CID.

DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IA...None. IL...None. MO...None.