textproduct: Quad Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- Another beautiful day today, with unseasonably mild conditions. Temperatures trend down through Saturday, prior to increasing above seasonal normals Sunday and beyond.

- Aside from a quick hitting system bringing the chance for light rain on Wednesday, mostly dry conditions will remain through the forecast period.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/

Issued at 1221 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Another unseasonably mild and pleasant day is being seen throughout the forecast area today, with afternoon temperatures in the low-mid 60s. This will be thanks to a surface high pressure that is passing overhead, with light/variable winds and mostly clear skies to accompany. Enjoy the beautiful afternoon and evening, as we will see a bit of a change in the weather for the second half of the week!

Tonight and through Wednesday, we will see a system pass through the area which will bring quite the change to the weather we have been seeing. The system will approach the area early Wednesday morning, with the best forcing moving in early in the day. While the best forcing will be prior to noon, moisture remains a concern. It will take some time for us to saturate, which may limit overall coverage and lead to timing uncertainty. Guidance has since sped up PoPs compared to recent packages, with best chances (20-40%) of rainfall prior to noon, but has also cut back on PoPs and coverage throughout. Any chances in the afternoon should be limited to areas east of the Mississippi River. Rainfall that is seen will be light, with overall accumulations <0.10". Low-end chances for embedded thunder is possible, but confidence is low. No severe weather is expected at this time. In the afternoon, we will see some breezy gradient winds overspreading the area from west-east. Northwest winds of 10-20 mph with gusts upwards to 30+ mph are possible through the afternoon, diminishing through the evening hours. Headlines for winds are not expected at this time. Temperatures may be a little cooler than currently forecast, owing to any residual cloud cover and light precipitation.

Winds will die down quickly around sunset Wednesday, leaving us with a northerly breeze through the night. A mix of clouds moving in with the cyclonic flow will help moderate temperatures overnight in the mid 30s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Issued at 1221 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Thursday-Monday, another shortwave to drop south in the northwest flow aloft on Thursday. Guidance continues to show largely dry conditions through the day Thursday, but areas east of the Mississippi River will have the potential for brief light precipitation. Looking at the environment, we are generally looking at isolated to widely scattered showers passing through the cyclonic flow overhead. Although, this is low confidence and PoPs remain <15%. Our higher confidence is with the cooler air that will advect in through Thursday, keeping temperatures near to slightly below normal through Saturday. High temperatures are expected to drop into the low-mid 40s, with nights in the 20s to around 30. A large area of high pressure builds over the region through the weekend, slowly tracking east into next week. While overhead, temperatures will remain near seasonal normals with light winds and dry conditions. As this tracks east into next week, temperatures will return to above seasonal normals, roughly in the 50s early next week. Dry conditions are currently expected to remain through the start of next week, owing to lacking moisture return.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 550 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

High pressure will slide off to the east overnight as a compact area of low pressure tracks through Iowa into Illinois late into Wednesday AM. This system may bring some scattered showers (20-40%) to areas north of BRL with low confidence on coverage due to a dry air mass in place. As the low quickly shifts to the east into the afternoon, northerly winds will increase and gust 15-20+ kts. Ceilings are generally expected to remain at VFR through the period (as low as 4000-8000 ft AGL on Wednesday).

DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IA...None. IL...None. MO...None.