textproduct: Quad Cities

KEY MESSAGES

- The weather pattern will remain fairly active next week as northwest flow aloft develops. A warming trend will be seen the first half of next week followed by a cooling trend.

- Precipitation could return at the end of the week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/

Issued at 322 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Early this morning, the upper level disturbance that brought snow to the area was moving east of the area. Colder air associated with a cold front and this disturbance led to temperatures in the 20s. With a 1036 hPa high to our west and a 1000 hPa low to our east, winds were sustained 15 to 20 kts with gusts near 30 kts. These winds, with the cooler temps led to wind chills in the single digits. A much more winter like morning today. As the system pulls east today, winds and gusts will drop off. Clouds this morning should clear out of the area by early afternoon.

Tonight, even though we have northwest flow aloft, the low level thermal fields actually lead to some WAA into our area. H85 temps around 3 to 6C are expected by 12z Monday. We will also see clouds move in with the WAA from the northwest. All that said, quiet weather is expected in the short term with more seasonal temperatures and some sun today.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 322 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Active long term remains on track. Overall we remain in NW flow aloft and the clipper track takes aim, once again, at our area. To start the period, we actually begin to moderate in temperatures. With temps in the 40s and even 50s by Tuesday. Even though we warm up, the NW WAA does bring drier air into the area. From 12z Monday on, every 12 hours or so, we have another clipper move through the flow into the area. With the dry air in place, these clippers will lead to only two things. 1. High clouds, meaning we return to our cloudy state as of late, and 2. we can expect windy conditions as well. So as is the case in winter, when we are above average in temps, expect some clouds and winds.

Towards the middle of the week, we get another cold front moving through the area. As temperatures drop, low-level moisture begins to available for precipitation production. We will likely see a little bit of rain midweek, before the thermal profile turns cold enough for snow. Overall, with this active pattern, models have little agreement in timing and magnitude of the waves, especially towards the end of the week when precipitation could return to the area.

Into next weekend, expect to see temperatures more near normal across the area.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 448 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

MVFR deck is holding on longer than expected. With the time of year and cold air moving in, have opted for a more pessimistic forecast as far as cigs go. Think later today we will scatter out and turn to VFR. Wind gusts should end later this morning into the early afternoon as well.

DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

IA...None. IL...None. MO...None.