textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry tonight

- Bouts of scattered showers and storms for the rest of the week

- Seasonable temperatures for the week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1111 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026

Dry weather is forecast for this afternoon and evening. Breezy southerly winds will continue through the overnight period. These winds will help to keep minimums mild with values in the 50s to 60s.

Gulf moisture will continue to advect in across southwest Kansas. By midweek, forecast PWATs are expected to be over 1". This moisture will result in scattered showers and thunderstorms for much of the week. Pretty much every ensemble member from both the GEFS and ENS have various QPF amounts across the state. There is not good agreement where the heavier axis of precipitation will fall. Amounts will be highly variable, since we will be dealing with scattered thunderstorms. The LREF is showing near 100% probability of rain amounts exceeding 0.25" for the week. Upper level flow will be fairly weak for much of the week, so severe thunderstorms seem unlikely. There could be strong storm though with some marginal wind and hail threats. But the main story is that we will finally get a shot at much needed rain.

As for temperatures, seasonal highs (70s to 80s) and mild lows (50s to 60s) are expected each day.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1111 AM CDT Mon May 25 2026

VFR is expected through TAF pd. Southerly winds will blow today 15-20 kt with gusts around 25 kt. Winds will remain elevated even after dusk tonight.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.