textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Quiet weather through Wednesday
- Hotter temperatures by Wednesday with highs around 100 along the KS/OK border
- Best chance for thunderstorms continues to be Thursday evening/night
- Warmer weather expected late weekend into next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 105 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026
Dry conditions are expected through Wednesday as an upper level ridge over the Rockies should keep any convection from entering our CWA. The NBM has a slight chance of a stray thunderstorm Tuesday evening but have kept it as ghost POPs for now. Skies will be mostly clear through Tuesday with a slight increase in mid to upper level clouds Wednesday. Lee troughing across eastern Colorado will bring southelry winds to the area through at least Wednesday with some breeziness across far western Kansas in the afternoon. As for temperatures, lows this morning look to dip into the 60s with highs this afternoon in the low 90s. Mid to upper 60s are expected for lows tonight with highs in the low to mid 90s tomorrow. Lows Wednesday morning will dip into the upper 60s to low 70s with highs wednesday afternoon in the mid to upper 90s. Some areas along the KS/OK border may reach 100 degrees.
The upper level nigh gets pushed west thereafter with zonal west to east flow over the Central High Plains. Weak disturbances may move through this flow enhancing lift across western Kansas. The best chance of precipitation with these disturbances looks to be Thursday evening with lesser chances Wednesday and Friday evening/nights. Temperatures throughout this time frame look to reach into the 90s for highs. Lows will generally be in the 60s with some 70s across south central Kansas.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 506 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026
A trough of low pressure at the surface will continue to develop over eastern Colorado today. This will result in gusty southeast winds across southwest Kansas at 10 to 15 knots. The lighter southeast winds early this Monday morning may also result in some patchy fog, with visibilities as low as 3 miles possible between 12z and 14z. BUFR soundings indicate VFR conditions once this patchy fog erodes by 14z today.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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