textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Temperatures around 100 degrees are expected along the KS/OK border this afternoon

- A sight chance of severe storms will be possible across south central and central Kansas late afternoon into the early evening. Wind and hail will be the main concern with these storms

- A wet and cooler pattern expected this weekend into the first part of next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1236 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

A weak cold front will continue to ooze through the CWA this afternoon shifting winds to the north. The exception to this will be across south central Kansas where they front may not move through leaving winds from a southerly direction. A few thunderstorms may form along this cold front late afternoon into this evening but I believe they will remain east of our area. The strongest storms will be capable of producing large hail and damaging winds. Winds shift back to the south overnight, but this will be short lived as a dry cold front moves through the area tomorrow shifting winds back to the north. Mostly clear skies are expected through tomorrow with the exception of south central Kansas if storms form this evening. Highs this afternoon will reach into the 90s with around 100 degrees along the KS/OK border. Lows tonight are expected to range from around 60s degrees across west central Kansas to upper 70s across south central Kansas. Highs tomorrow look to range from around 80 degrees across west central Kansas to low 90s across south central Kansas.

For the remainder of the forecast expect dry conditions Friday with increased precipitation chances Friday night through the early part of next week. Extended models show the possibility of an MCS or two moving through the Plains sometime this weekend into the first part of next week. Future model runs will need to be watched to get a better sense of timing and intensity. Temperatures during this time frame will start out with highs in the upper 80s Friday, mid 90s to around 100 degrees Saturday, 70s Sunday and Monday, then back into the 90s by the mid part of next week. Lows look to fluctuate between the 50s and 60s.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 539 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Light and variable winds will become southerly later this evening with a 3 to 5 hour period of an intense low level jet at LBL and DDC in particular, leading to LLWS conditions with 55 to 60 knots at only a couple thousand feet above ground level. Winds will become northwesterly early Thursday morning and increase in speed to 22 to 28 knots sustained behind a strong cold front. VFR flight category is expected to continue behind the front, although a narrow axis of stratus may clip the HYS terminal, per indications off the HREF model, although the probability of MVFR or worse flight category remains too low at HYS to include in this TAF.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ090.


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