textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Elevated fire weather for western counties this afternoon

- Rain/Snow chances Tuesday night into Wednesday

- Staying mild throughout the week and into next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 220 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

20z surface observations showed dry and breezy conditions across the western third of the forecast area. From about Route 83 on west, humidity levels are in the 15-20% range, with an overlap of 25-35 mph winds. This is leading to an elevated fire weather risk this afternoon across those areas. Any potential fires could be quick to spread. Humidity is just high enough though to preclude critical fire weather spread, therefore any Red Flag headlines are not issued at this time.

A weak system will swing southward from the northern High Plains Tuesday night and into Wednesday. Given the origin of the system, moisture will be rather limited with its passage. Precipitation chances are 20-40%, mainly across northern and eastern counties. P-type is a bit of a challenge as forecast soundings largely show surface temperatures mostly above freezing for much of Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, but temperatures fall quickly aloft. After coordination with neighboring offices, went with a rain/snow mix given a warmer surface and sub-freezing temperatures aloft. Given the light nature of any potential precipitation, and temperatures generally above freezing, accumulations will be little to none.

Temperatures will continue to be above normal levels throughout this week and into next weekend, aided by ridging and 850 mb temperatures in the 10-15C range. High temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s throughout the week and into this weekend. Low temperatures will be in mid 20s to low/mid 30s during this stretch. Precipitation chances are nearly zero through the rest of the forecast period beyond Wednesday afternoon.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1115 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period. Current thin cloud cover blankets the terminals despite not appearing on the current METARs. Skies will clear into the evenings as winds slowly shift northwesterly. Near the end of the period more cloud cover is forecast to move in, but VFR conditions are expected to persist.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.