textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Strong northerly winds continue through tomorrow with gusts over 30 mph late morning into the afternoon tomorrow
- Wind chills in the single digits are expected tomorrow morning and Sunday morning
- Dry conditions continue throughout the forecast
DISCUSSION
Issued at 223 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026
Strong northerly winds are expected to continue through tomorrow as high pressure builds into the area. There will be a decrease in wind speeds overnight but increase in speed late morning into the afternoon tomorrow as mixing occurs. Some high clouds will be present but expect dry conditions to prevail. RHs will dip into the teens and low 20s tomorrow afternoon and in combination with the wind, fire danger will be elevated. As of now I have continued with the fire watch until we get past the wind and fire concerns today. As for temperatures, lows tonight look to dip into the teens with wind chills in the morning in the single digits. Highs tomorrow will only reach into the upper 20s across our northern zones to mid 30s across southwest Kansas due to the cold air advection.
The remainder of the forecast remains dry with another cold front moving through the area Sunday and again Tuesday night. The NBM has entered a slight chance of snow Sunday night into Monday morning. However, if this does come to fruition only light accumulations will occur. Otherwise expect an increase in clouds with these fronts. As for temperatures, highs look to only reach into the 50s Sunday, back to 40s Monday, then 50s as we head into the mid part of next week. Lows will generally be in the 20s with the exception of Sunday morning when upper teens will be observed.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 507 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026
The strong wind event will continue through tonight into Saturday for western Kansas as an upper level trough moves through the central and northern plains with a strong surface pressure gradient through these regions. The winds around 2000 ft should stay in the order of 40-60 kts through 10Z and surface winds will be at 15-25 kts with gusts over 30 kts at times through 06Z and then we should see a slight decrease in the winds. Winds will ramp back up once we have better mixing by late Saturday morning and after 15Z surface winds will be at 15-25 kts with gusts up to 30 kts through 00Z. VFR flight category for all terminals during the time period.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
High Wind Warning until 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ this evening for KSZ030-031-043>046-061>065-074>079-084>087. Red Flag Warning until 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ this evening for KSZ030-043>045-061>064-074>078-084>089. Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening for KSZ030-043>045-061>064-074>081-084>090.
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