textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Mild temperatures all week long.

- Little to no precipitation chances (less than 5%) through next weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1221 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

05Z synopsis shows an upper level high and ridge over the western CONUS and northwest flow through the central plains while at the surface a large area of high pressure is centered over western Kansas leading to light winds and clear skies.

Short term models keep the upper level ridge over the western CONUS to start the workweek. With a few upper level shortwaves in the northwest flow going over the Colorado Rockies we will see a surface low in the front range that should lead to breezier southerly winds Monday afternoon. Mild temperatures should continue with highs in the low to mid 70s. The upper level high should move slightly eastward on Tuesday leading to lighter winds and with southwest flow and another day of sunshine we should see highs get into the 80.

Long term ensembles keep the precipitation chances low through next weekend with few if any POP chances greater that 5%. Upper level pattern keeps the ridge and upper level high through the central and western CONUS keeping the storm systems and frontal boundaries mainly in the Great Lakes region. Highs should continue to be in the 80s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 610 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

VFR flying conditions this TAF cycle for all terminals. Current light and variable winds will increase out of the south into the 12-15kt range gusting to 22-25 kts during the late morning and afternoon, but weaken back to aob 12 kts after sunset.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.