textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Precipitation chances increase along and south of the KS/OK border this evening into the overnight period

- Precipitation chances spread north into the remainder of the CWA tomorrow and continue through Thursday morning.

- The storms are not expected to be severe.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1201 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

The upper level ridge over us the last couple of days will be push eastward as a strong upper level low digs into the western United States. This upper level low remain in place through Thursday with shortwaves moving around its periphery and towards the Central High Plains. At the surface, southerly winds are expected today then shift to the southeast for the remainder of the forecast. The lower levels of the atmosphere will allow moisture from the Gulf to ooze into the Plains. This moisture in the low levels in combination of the upper level disturbances will create enough lift and instability for storms to form across the Plains. These storms chances will be confined to along and south of the KS/OK border this evening and overnight, spreading across the remainder of the CWA tomorrow. The NBM depicts the best chance of precipitation will be tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night. Precipitation chances will then be confined to central Kansas Thursday into Friday morning. As of now SPC and AI models do not have high probabilities of any of these storms to be severe. As for temperatures, highs today will reach into the 80s with mid 70s to low 80s Wednesday and Thursday. We then reach into the low 80s Friday. Lows will generally range from the low 50s to low 60s through Friday morning.

Extended models then show the upper level low ejecting northeast with continued upper level disturbances ejecting into the central Plains. This will bring another chance of precipitation to the area this weekend. Models then show some drier conditions early next week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1142 PM CDT Mon May 25 2026

VFR conditions will prevail with increasing mid level clouds this afternoon. Winds will generally be from the south, gusting to over 20 knots late this morning into the afternoon.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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