textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- A pleasant change Sunday with cooler and drier air.

- A rapid warming trend expected Monday and Tuesday.

- The hottest day of the upcoming week will be Wednesday, with near record heat of 100-105.

- The next dry cold front will deliver milder temperatures Thursday.

- Dry weather will prevail for the upcoming week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1140 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026

High temperatures today will be as close to perfect for the month of June as you are going to get. Highs today will be in the 70s. Humidity will be much lower as afternoon dewpoints will only be in the 40s. There will be plenty of mid level clouds though, but other than that, a very nice day is in store for today. Winds will start out breezy northeasterly but will decrease in magnitude as the day continues. The dry air mass will continue tonight and into Monday morning, so lows tonight will be a little cooler with values solidly in the 50s.

The tranquil weather pattern continues Monday as well. Weak high pressure will be in place across the state. The net result is light winds, slightly higher humidity, and highs peaking around 80F. The NBM does have slight pops across the far western zones, to account for the possibility of isolated storms moving out of Colorado. SPC does have a marginal risk for strong storms across far southwest Kansas. Marginally severe storms could be possible with marginal wind and hail threats during the evening.

On Tuesday, a weak frontal boundary may drape itself across the state. This could result in more isolated evening storms. The NBM does have chance pops across the boundary to account for this possibility. Otherwise, highs will start to increase Tuesday with values peaking in the upper 80sF to around 90F. Humidity levels will start to increase as dewpoints increase throughout the daytime. Will have to watch for the possibility of strong evening storms, as forecast skew-t/log-p's do suggest the environment that could be conducive to marginally severe storms.

On Wednesday, 500 hPa heights start to increase from the west with mid level ridging to our west. Low level temperatures also start to increase with 850 hPa temperatures increasing into the low to mid 30sC. This would support the notion of very hot high temperatures for the middle portion of the week. The NBM is forecast highs Wednesday in the 101F-103F range. In fact, the ENS does show 80-100% probabilities of highs greater than 100F Wednesday. Lows will trend warmer during this period too with values only bottoming out in the 60s to lower 70s.

The hot and dry weather will continue Thursday and Friday. The mid level ridge may start to weaken over next weekend per the ENS. In fact, several ensemble members are hinting at the possibility of isolated storms next weekend. This is reflected in the chance pops the NBM has at the very end of the extended period.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 430 AM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

Good flying weather is expected through this TAF period. VFR will continue, with varying amounts of midlevel clouds. Light northeast winds will prevail Sunday, trending to light and variable through Monday morning. VFR continues Monday with variable midlevel clouds and light south winds resuming.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.