textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- It will be a cold start to the weekend with highs mainly in the 30s and wind chills as low as 20 to 25 degrees today.
- Warmer temperatures return to southwest Kansas early next week with high temperatures warming to the 50s by Tuesday.
- Despite a few cold frontal passages next week, little to no precipitation is anticipated.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 328 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
The very deep upper-level trough that brought SW Kansas multiple inches of snow continues to trek eastward and has reached the Great Lakes region. As a result, weak ridging has moved in to fill the void. Ensembles keep this ridging present for nearly the entire forecast area. This will lead to primarily dry and benign stretch of weather across SW Kansas. The previous snowfall will work to keep temperatures lower than guidance today with highs struggling to reach 40 degrees. This is also expected to be the coldest day through the next 7 days. Saturday will also see breezy (around 20 mph) west/northwest winds and mostly clear skies. Sunday morning wind chills west of Highway 83 in the single digits.
Sunday will look similar to Saturday from a weather perspective. The wind will have a more southwesterly tilt helping bring warmer air via advection. The warmer air will fight the remaining snowpack with forecasted highs in the upper 40s. The areas that will see the lowest high temperatures will correlate very well with the areas that saw the most amount of snowfall.
Ensembles have a couple upper level troughs developing and moving across the central CONUS in the middle of this week and the end of the week. Any precipitation that develops as a result of the system is expected to remain well north and east of the forecast area. The only day with meaningful (>5%) chances fore precipitation is Wednesday with a 10-20% chance. Even this seems aggressive with the best chances primarily in the northern zones. Even if precipitation does occur, it is forecast to be light with little to no accumulations. Otherwise the rest of the week will see highs fluctuating in the 40/50s. Winds will generally be light (<15 mph) for the period with occasional spikes closer to 25 mph. With seasonable winter temperatures, virtually no precipitation, and nearly no fire weather risk it is expected to be a quiet stretch without a weather headline needed.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 518 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
Aviation weather will be good this TAF period as downslope westerly winds continue tonight, becoming light and variable early in the morning Sunday. The day Sunday will be devoid of cloud, so widespread VFR flight category will be found regionwide.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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