textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Widespread showers and thunderstorms today

- Continued varying rain and storm chances to end week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1250 AM CDT Wed May 27 2026

Mid-upper level low currently situated along the TX/NM border will result in weak surface low development along the TX/OK Panhandles this afternoon. With dew points expected to be in the upper 50s to low 60s, similarly to yesterday, some increased instability is expected this afternoon. Widespread showers and thunderstorms are once again expected to develop in this regime. With the lack of upper-level winds and weak shear, any storm activity is expected to be disorganized and non-severe. RAP soundings are showing PWAT around 1.3", which exceeds the 90th percentile for May 27th, so any storms could be efficient heavy rainfall producers, though much of this rain will be beneficial. Any shower or thunderstorm coverage will diminish into the evening hours with the loss of daytime heating.

Into the later part of the week and through the rest of the forecast period, NBM continues to carry POPs of some kind. Thursday chances will be mainly focused across eastern and northern zones. Into Friday, attention looks to pivot to convection off the high terrain in CO and NM as it tracks into western Kansas. POPs are in the 20-50% range for Friday afternoon into the evening. The pattern remains unfavorable for severe weather due to the lack of overall flow across the Plains. Nonetheless, beneficial rains from general thunderstorms will continue being a welcoming sight for many.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1127 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

Light southeast to east-southeast winds will continue throughout the entire 06z TAF period as a weak surface low pressure tracks eastward across the TX/OK Panhandles region. Expect winds 10-15 knots. Around this weak surface low, aided by upper-level low support, some scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop from southwest to northeast across the area from early this morning through Wednesday afternoon and evening. Coverage of showers and storms will be intermittent through the afternoon, with LBL getting activity first around 10z, followed by GCK and DDC after 17z, and then HYS 00z Thursday onward. Thunderstorms are expected to be non-severe, but some brief heavy downpours, lightning, and reduced CIGs and VIS will be possible.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.