textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Near normal temperatures and dry conditions over the weekend

- Becoming hot again through much of next week

- Mainly a dry forecast with only isolated storm chances in the west

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Today started what is expected to be a prolonged stretch of quiet and dry weather. The synoptic high pressure system over the south central CONUS finally has some company with a small trough situated over southern Minnesota. The trough however is not forecast to tangibly affect the weather over the forecast area. Unlike the last few days, the high pressure extends to the surface, all but ending any precipitation chances for the next few days. Thanks to the cold front and lingering CAA, highs this weekend will be a cooler break from the triple digits residing in the 90s. Still hot but within what is expected for SW Kansas in early August.

By Monday, the heat returns with highs in the triple digits and as high as 107 in the western counties. At this moment, it looks like the hottest day of the stretch. The aspect that warrants monitoring whether the aparant temperatures reach the 105 mark for Heat Advisory criteria. For the Monday temperatures, the hottest areas flirt with the line. After Monday, only Barber county currently reaches the 105 line. This will be monitored for chances, especially if the ensembles continue to be a couple degrees too cool in this pattern. By Tuesday morning, ensembles have precipitation chances at around 10-20% in the western counties. With the low chances and uncertainty, not much more information can be gleaned from the signal.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1123 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the forecast period. With a column of high pressure, skies are forecast to remain mostly clear with a light (5-10 KTs) and variable wind primarily out of the north/northeast.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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