textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Near normal temperatures and dry conditions over the weekend

- Becoming hot again through much of next week

- Mainly a dry forecast with only isolated storm chances in the west

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1100 AM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

The gusty northerly winds will decrease in magnitude after 7 pm tonight. A light northerly wind is expected through the overnight hours and then again tomorrow. The northerly winds will advect drier in across the FA over the weekend with lower dewpoints. This will be good news, as humidity levels will be lower Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be close to near normal values with highs peaking in the lower to mid 90s. Lows both mornings will be mainly in the 60s Saturday evening and then a mix of 60s to 70s Sunday morning. No storms are expected both days.

A 500 hPa anticyclone will move from the SW US to over the greater region through next week. This will support the notion of a mainly dry forecast and hot highs. Highs will trend warmer each day. Upper 90s to low 100s are likely for much of the next business week. Lows will be warm with more 70s rather than 60s as each morning progresses. The NBM has very low slight pops out west Tuesday evening. A look at the global models and their ensemble counterparts do not support these storms chances much. Much of the ensembles are dry for next week. With such a strong anticyclone over the FA, it would make more sense to not see any storms than to see them.

Looking beyond next week, the ensembles continue to paint the picture of a prevailing mid level ridge across the Great Plains. This would suggest for a dry and hot forecast with temperatures trending to be above normal as we head into the middle portion of August.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1100 AM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

VFR expected through TAF pd. Gusty northerly winds will decrease tonight around 00Z to 5 to 10 kt. Light N/NE winds are expected tomorrow.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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