textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Storm chances diminish and temperatures return more normal through midweek

- Hotter temperatures return midweek along with precipitation

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1230 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2026

Ridging over the the southwestern U.S. will be the driving force for our weather here across central and southwest Kansas over the next few to several days. As a result, storm chances fall off significantly to end the weekend and into next week. Only being on the northeasterly periphery of the ridge, and lacking downsloping off the higher terrain, temperatures will remain at near normal levels. Temperatures are expected to be in the low to mid 90s, right on par for the beginning of July. Forecast will reflect only a degree or two rise each day from Sunday through Tuesday.

Wednesday is looking like the hottest day of the forecast period, where triple digits appear to make a return. 01z NBM probabilities of max temperatures 100 degrees or higher are 40-80% across the southern half of the forecast area, with the greatest chances along the KS/OK border. The triple digits potential will be short lived. Medium range guidance from the globals show some sort of precipitation chances making a comeback, mainly Wednesday and Thursday. NBM POPs are generally 30-60% chance both days. No real organized flow is modeled on either day, so storm organization and severity would most likely be kept at bay.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 501 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

A surface boundary will remain nearly stationary south of the Oklahoma border, resulting in light winds this morning becoming easterly at near 10 knots by 18z today. Given light winds and high relative humidity values early this morning there will be a chance for some patchy fog reducing visibilities in a few location to 3 to 5 miles, mainly in the Dodge City and Hays areas through 14z. These winds will gradually shift to the southeast by early evening. VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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