textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Above normal temperatures continue today and tomorrow
- A cold front will bring cooler temperatures Sunday into the first part of next week
- Precipitation chances increase Sunday into next week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1059 PM CST Thu Feb 26 2026
Western Kansas will see continued dry conditions through Saturday as the pattern continues to bring northwest flow aloft with little to no moisture in the atmosphere. Winds will generally be from the west to southwest today, becoming light and variable this evening into the overnight period. Winds will then shift to the north tomorrow, then curl to the east tomorrow night. As for temperatures, lows this morning will dip into the 30s with highs this afternoon in the 70s. Lows tonight will dip into the 30s with the exception of south central Kansas where temperatures around 40 will be felt. Highs tomorrow will generally reach into the 60s north with mid to upper 70s along the KS/OK border. Lows tomorrow night will range from the upper 20s north to mid to upper 30s along the KS/OK border.
Cloudiness and precipitation chances increase Sunday as ensembles show a weak disturbance moving through the area. the best chance of precipitation looks to be across central Kansas with some places observing a wintery mix when temperatures are below freezing. Expect a break in the action Monday before precipitation chances increase Tuesday into Wednesday. The best chance of measurable precipitation will be Tuesday night into Wednesday morning with decreasing chances as the day progresses Wednesday. Long range models depict yet another disturbance late week but will need to be watched. As for temperatures, highs Sunday look to range from the low 40s across northcentral Kansas to low 60s across far southwestern Kansas. Highs in the 40s are expected on Monday with the exception of far western Kansas where low 50s will be possible. We then rebound into the 50s and 60s Tuesday and Wednesday with upper 60s to low 70s returning Thursday.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 500 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026
VFR conditions will prevail throughout the TAF period, under mostly sunny high clouds. Winds are expected to be light as well, generally around 5-10 knots, primarily out of the west for the first part of the period. Winds will shift easterly and then more variable after 00z Saturday.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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