textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Continued dry and mild for several days

- No major weather impacts

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1100 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

A quiet weather pattern is expected for tonight. There is a chance of stratus clouds by morning. Otherwise, a shallow colder airmass will prevail across the eastern zones Saturday. This is in opposition to a downslope warmed airmass across the western zones. As a result, there should be a large high temperature gradient from central Kansas to extreme southwest Kansas tomorrow. It is believed that the NAM solution is an outlier as it is very cold in the east. Anyway, highs ranging from the 50s northeast to the 70s southwest are expected. Fire danger looks to be mitigated through moderate afternoon relative humidity and weaker winds. As for lows both tonight and into Sunday morning, looks like minimums will be on the mild side and likely above freezing.

For Sunday and Monday, we will see UL shortwave ridging. The net result is a dry and warm forecast continuing during this period. The downsloping becomes more pronounced Monday, and highs should be well above normal as a result - widespread 70s. Will have to watch afternoon relative humidity levels across far southwest Kansas. Here, RH's in the 10-15% range cannot be ruled out. The fire danger through might be somewhat mitigated with weaker winds in closer proximity to a sfc trof.

An upper level trof will skirt south of the FA Tuesday and Wednesday. Both the GEFS and ENS are trending south with this synoptic system. Both pops have been lowered and weather has been removed as this southern trend solution continues. We will see cooler highs, but even these readings are likely to be still above normal.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 555 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Light, upslope east winds will gradually become southeasterly and then southerly overnight. There is a small chance (10-20%) of LIFR CIGS and fog at KHYS between 10-13z; but it will likely not be moist enough. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions to persist. Expect winds to subside by late afternoon as the surface trough crosses the TAF sites.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.