textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Snowpack regions will see cooler highs around 40 degrees as the snow melts quickly with the rest of SW Kansas seeing highs into the 50s

- Seasonal week with high temperatures in the 40/50s with quiet weather

- Dry weather is forecast for the next week to ten days.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 220 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

The synoptic pattern that developed in the upper-levels yesterday has continued into today. A deep trough across the eastern CONUS and some ridging over the Rockies. This pattern will host a meteorological environment favorable for quiet and benign weather. Additionally, long-ranged models have this setup continuing through and beyond the forecast period. The LREF hints at a more zonal flow beyond the forecast period at around the middle of next week. Down closer to the surface, mesoanalysis has no significant systems impacting SW Kansas. Some high pressure resides over the Rockies, but otherwise clear weather is expected as a result. Mostly clear to clear skies with a light (10-15) winds are forecast the next couple days. Snowpack is quickly receding as temperatures are in the 40s across much of SW Kansas. Areas where the highest snowfall amounts occurred are significantly keeping temperatures down as far as around 10 degrees. Very little snowpack is expected to survive through Monday except for very isolated areas with the highest amounts. Highs today may reach the 50s for areas that are warmer.

The start of the week is expected to see continued highs around 50 degrees with no notable weather. With no impactful weather systems inside the forecast period, no precipitation is forecast. Ensembles keep chances below <5% through the next 7 days. Small temperature drops are forecast Wednesday and Friday, but all over the expected highs are close to seasonal averages. No precipitation, no fire weather risk (with modest minimum relative humidities and lighter winds), seasonal temperatures will likely culminate in no significant weather or headlines through the forecast period and into the beyond.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 1158 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Low pressure moving across the northern tier of states will keep light westerly winds at 5-12 kts at the TAF sites through the period. VFR conditions will persist.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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