textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Highs in the 80s for the rest of the workweek
- Quiet weather pattern will lead to little to no precipitation chances (less than 10%) through next weekend
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1129 PM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026
0430Z synopsis shows a large ridge with a 591 dm high located over the western CONUS with northwest flow through the central and northern plains. At the surface a 1008 mb low is located in northeast Colorado and winds are generally south to southwest in the boundary layer at around 10 mph.
Tuesday should be noticeably warmer as 850mb temperatures warm to 21- 23(C) thanks to plentiful sunshine. Winds should be lighter as the upper high will move east into Colorado and the 700 mb low turns more northerly which will keep the lee side low on the weaker side during the afternoon. Surface winds should generally be 5-15 mph out of the southwest. Highs will be in the mid 80s.
Upper level flow stays in a ridge pattern through the middle and end of the workweek leading to mostly sunny skies, light winds and highs in the 80s. No real great chances of rain will be in the forecast through the end of the week. A quick shortwave moving through southern Nebraska into northeast Kansas for Thursday morning that could lead to some rain in those areas.
Long term ensembles are hinting at a pattern shift by early next week with a large trough and upper low moving into the western CONUS that could introduce some rain chances early next week.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 542 AM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026
VFR conditions will prevail with mostly clear skies. Winds will be from the southwest through this afternoon, becoming light and variable this evening into the overnight period.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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