textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry conditions with seasonable temperatures today and Friday.
- Colder air arrives this weekend with minimal light snow chances (20-40%) across central Kansas.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 200 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025
WV imagery indicates a northwest flow aloft prevailing across the Western High Plains. Near the surface, high pressure extends from the Dakotas south-southeast into the Central Plains.
Dry/quiet conditions are likely early in the period as the SREF indicates a prevailing northwest flow aloft today giving way to a more zonal flow Friday as weak ridging across the Intermountain West breaks down ahead of an upper level shortwave trough digging southeast through the Pacific Northwest. This and much drier air dominating the lower/mid levels across the Western High Plains is expected to keep precip chances out of western Kansas through Friday night. Fairly seasonal temperatures are forecast today as surface high pressure stretching from the Dakotas southeastward into the Central Plains continues to reinforce a cooler air mass across the high plains of western Kansas, holding H85 temperatures to around 0C in central Kansas to near 5C in extreme southwest Kansas. With the HREF showing a better than 90% probability of temperatures exceeding 45F in central Kansas to a 70 to 90% probability of temperatures topping 50F across much of southwest Kansas, look for afternoon highs mainly up into the 50s(F) with only the mid/upper 40s(F) up near the I-70 corridor. A slight warming trend is likely into Friday as departing surface high pressure and lee side troughing developing in eastern Colorado sets up low level southerlies throughout western Kansas. This will further pull warmer air into the area with H85 temperatures up around 5C in central Kansas to near 10C near the Colorado line. Under ample sunshine, expect more widespread highs in the 50s(F) with near 60F in extreme southwest Kansas. Much colder temperatures arrive this weekend, along with very minimal snow chances (20-40%), with a strong cold front pushing through western Kansas early Saturday morning.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 417 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025
VFR conditions will prevail in vicinity of all TAF sites through late evening. Light and variable winds are expected to persist through much of the period as surface high pressure shifts slowly east through the Central Plains.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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