textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Beautiful spring day Friday with sunshine and light winds.

- Scattered thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday, some producing large hail and damaging winds.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1111 AM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

A cold front has all but cleared the far three eastern counties. Morning CAMs are in good agreement that the severe storms will remain well east of the FA. Otherwise, a quiet weather night is expected. Lows will be cooler as a drier air mass prevails across southwest Kansas. Look for upper 30s in the northwest to around 50F across south-central Kansas.

We will be between weather systems Friday. The net result is a dry forecast and pleasant afternoon temperatures. Winds tomorrow will be on the weaker side, so fire danger doesn't look too high. Highs tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 70s. Lows heading into Saturday morning will be more mild with upper 40s to lower 50s across the FA.

Attention then turns to Saturday. A large upper level trof will becarving out across the western United States. Moisture advection will occur downstream of this UL feature with dewpoints in the 50s and 60s returning to Kansas in the warm sector. A dryline and frontal boundary is expected to be associated with a sfc low across the state. Significant CAPE of 1500-3000 J/kg is expected to develop by the afternoon. Forecast skew-t/log-p's show a thermo and shear profile that would support supercell development. All hazards would be possible with any supercell storm including giant hail and tornadoes. Right now it is unclear where the boundaries will be as the GEFS is farther east than compared to the ENS. Will have to watch models in the next few days to hone in on placement of CI.

Another cold front will eventually traverse the state by the end of the weekend. This will transport low level moisture south of the FA for the beginning of the work week. The net result is a dry forecast starting next week. The net opportunity of storms is forecast by the ensembles midweek. Will have to watch out for the potential of severe storms again with this second round of storms.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1126 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the TAF period. Expect northerly winds to shift southeasterly through Friday morning and into the afternoon. Winds will be sustained generally 5-10 knots, with an increase 10-15 knots after 00z Saturday.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.