textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain chances are near 0% for the next ten days.

- Seasonal temperatures are forecast through Monday, with warmer than average temperatures starting Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 124 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Surface high pressure will ridge to the southwest across the plains, resulting in seasonal temperatures for southwest Kansas despite the upper level ridging. Southwest winds will develop this morning in response to a surface trough, with increasing speeds to 10-15 mph by late morning. An upper level trough traversing the northern plains will push a weak cold front through Kansas after midnight, with winds becoming northerly at 10-12 kts. Despite the frontal passage, temperatures are forecast to rise into the 70s and stay in that range through Sunday and Monday. These readings are near the climatological average.

However, the mid to upper level flow is forecast to become more zonal next week, allowing for weak downslope flow and warmer than average temperatures. Highs are forecast to be in the 80s each day Tuesday through Friday. Winds are expected to be light, through the forecast period, with the exception of Monday when 10-20 mph southwest winds start to advect warmer air into Kansas.

With the lack of any upper level trough across the western USA, dry weather will persist for the next week to ten days given the lack of low to mid level moisture and forcing mechanisms. The various ensemble suites show measurable rain chances near 0% through all of next week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1252 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

A weak surface trough will form in the lee of the Rockies today, resulting in south winds at 8-12 kts by 15z. With the loss of daytime heating, winds will become light by sunset. A weak cold front will pass tonight, with winds becoming northerly at 10 kts after the TAF period.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.