textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Widespread thunderstorms with heavy rainfall threat ongoing tonight; tapering off through mid-morning

- Noticeably cooler today

- Chances for precipitation exists for the weekend and into next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1132 PM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026

Thunderstorms are ongoing this evening and will become more numerous overnight and into the morning across the forecast area. Locally heavy rainfall, leading to ponding on roads and elevated streams is a possibility in the area with the heaviest rainfall. Storms will gradually diminish from northwest to southeast across the area through mid morning.

Temperatures are going to be noticeable cooler today with widespread max temperatures in the low to mid 80s. Precipitation chances are negligible as well given we will be in between waves. Low temperatures Thursday night will fall into the low to mid 60s area wide. With no systems in the vicinity, winds will also be on the light side, though predominantly out of the south and southeastward direction Thursday and Friday.

The next appreciable chance at any kind of rain and storm chances will be across our eastern counties late Friday evening and into Saturday morning. There are mixed solutions among the global and short range models regarding the potential for an MCS to move southward through central Kansas. The GFS and ENS- Control are bullish on the idea, with HRRR, RRFS, and NAMNest showing very little in the way of convection. I would tend to side more on the CAM solutions, but the latest NBM has 20-40% POPs for eastern counties, with the greatest chances farther east. So we will at least maintain mention of chance thunderstorms in the forecast. Finally, the next chance POPs come Monday-Wednesday of next week when troughing become more of a dominant pattern regime over the central and northern Plains.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1132 PM CDT Wed Sep 9 2026

Numerous widespread showers and thunderstorms are beginning to develop across the area. However, storms will be mainly confined toward areas like DDC, GCK, and LBL. HYS will be more north of the more concentrated thunderstorm activity. Thunderstorms move out from 12-17z this morning. Otherwise, winds will be light and variable tonight before becoming more southeasterly through this afternoon. Winds will be 5-10 knots.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.