textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures continue today with a cool down Sunday and Monday

- A weak disturbance will bring a slight chance of precipitation to central Kansas Sunday evening into Monday morning

- A stronger disturbance is expected Tuesday and Wednesday with a few thunder storms possible

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1108 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

Dry conditions continue through tomorrow morning with a slight chance of precipitation across far eastern zones tomorrow evening into tomorrow night. Some of this precipitation may fall as a wintery mix. Skies look to be mostly clear through this evening with increasing mid to high level cloudiness starting tonight with some low level clouds developing Sunday. Winds will start out being light and variable early this morning, shifting to the northwest by late morning as a weak cold front moves through the area. Winds then shift to the east this evening and continue in this upslope direction through tomorrow night advecting in cold air advection. As for temperatures expect lows to dip into the mid 30s west to low 40s across south central Kansas with highs today rebounding into the 70s. Lows tonight will generally range from around 30 degrees across our northern zones to upper 30s to around 40s along the KS/OK border. A wide range of temperatures are expected tomorrow with highs ranging from the low 40s across our northern zones to low 60s across far southwestern Kansas. Lows tomorrow night then dip into the 20s with low 30s across south central Kansas.

Medium range ensemble models continue to bring a disturbance through the area Tuesday through Wednesday. The best chance of precipitation will be Tuesday evening into Tuesday night with a few rumble of thunder mixed in. If everything sets up just right there may be a few strong to severe storms across central Kansas Tuesday evening but future model runs will need to be watched to see what comes to fruition. Long range models bring another disturbance through the area later in the week. Best chances of measurable precipitation look to be across central Kansas. As for temperatures, highs Monday look to range form the upper 40s across north central Kansas to upper 60s across far western Kansas. Mid 50s to upper 60s are expected Tuesday and Wednesday with 70s returning Thursday. A cool down is then expected late week.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1043 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

VFR conditions will prevail with mostly clear skies. Winds will be light and variable early this morning, shifting to the northwest with a slight increase in speed by late morning and continuing into the afternoon. Winds then shift to an easterly direction this evening.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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