textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Stormy weekend with severe possible
- Drier Monday and Tuesday
- Storm chances return Wednesday
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1111 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026
Winds will eventually become southeasterly to southerly by the evening hours. Lows tonight will be more mild with these southerly breezes. Expected a range of upper 40s in the north to lower 50s in the south. The weather will be quiet tonight with no storms expected.
Moisture advection will occur tomorrow with dewpoints increasing into the 50s. Moderate CAPE will develop as the afternoon wears on. The CAMs are not in agreement with storm placement or even initiation for tomorrow afternoon and evening. Some CAMs hold the cap and produce no storms. Other models have widely scattered storms in the evening. Saturday is not looking as good for severe as it did yesterday. The moisture return looks to be slow during the day. As a result, significant severe impacts are probably less likely Saturday. Wind and large hail are the main threats for Saturday.
Moisture advection continues Sunday as well. Dewpoints should increase even more with 60s expected. Sunday looks to feature a more robust threat for severe storms. See SPC's outlook for more information. The bottom line, all hazards will be possible Sunday including very large hail, damaging winds, and even tornadoes.
We will be between weather systems Monday and Tuesday. The net result is a drier forecast. Highs will be pleasant with values in the 70s for highs.
An upper level trof will swing out across the greater region Thursday. Storm chances will thus return as a result. Will have to watch for the potential of severe thunderstorms once again with this second round of storms.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 1117 PM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026
Stratus will develop throughout the night and early Saturday morning, mainly from 08-10z across all TAF sites, leading to widespread MVFR with instances of IFR CIGs. Some light rain and drizzle may accompany the stratus. CIGs will improve from 15-17z across the area. Thunderstorms are possible to develop, mainly northeast of DDC, so HYS would have the greatest potential for storm activity. However, given the expected isolated nature of the storms, will leave out mention of TSRA from the TAF for now. Any potential storms will depart 00-02z Sunday. Winds throughout the period are expected to be 10-15 knots with higher gusts. Winds will maintain out of the south and southeast until around 14z before shifting gradually northerly and northeasterly from 14z-21z from west to east across the area.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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