textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Rain showers are likely across the area tonight through Friday with the best chance along the KS/CO border

- Below normal temperatures expected through Saturday

- Next system next Tuesday/Wednesday

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1225 PM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

Short range models continue to bring southwest Kansas increased precipitation chances starting around midnight tonight and continuing through Friday. The best chances of precipitation will be across far western Kansas with lesser amounts as you head east. As for timing, the best chance of precipitation will be tomorrow morning and again across far southwestern Kansas Friday morning. No severe weather is expected with this system and there may not even be any rumbles of thunder, with the exception of tomorrow afternoon. Skies will become mostly cloudy tonight and continue through Friday morning. Some clearing is expected during the day Friday. The current run of the NBM shows rain totals with this system to generally be around a quarter of an inch west of Highway 83 with around a half of an inch closer to the KS/CO border. Around a tenth of precipitation is expected along the I-70 corridor and between Highway 283 and 83. No precipitation is expected across south central Kansas. Winds through this period will be from an easterly direction this afternoon into the first part of the overnight period then become light and variable after midnight. Winds will continue to be light and from the northeast through Friday. As for temperatures, highs this afternoon will range from the low 60s north to upper 60s south with lows tonight in the low 40s. Highs tomorrow will generally be in the upper 50s to low 60s with mid 60s across south central Kansas. Lows tomorrow night will dip into the mid to upper 30s with low 40s across south central Kansas. Highs Friday will then reach into the 60s.

The weekend into the first part of next week looks dry as upper level ridging builds over the Rockies. Long range ensemble models depict the next storm system to move into the area Tuesday into Wednesday, but future model runs will need to be watched to see if this comes to fruition. A warming trend is expected during this period with highs in the 70s Saturday, then 80s Sunday into next week. Lows will generally be in the mid 30s to mid 40s Saturday and Sunday mornings, with 40s and 50s as we head into next week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1146 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2026

VFR conditions will prevail this afternoon into this evening with increasing mid level clouds overnight and low level clouds around sunrise tomorrow. Winds will generally be from an easterly direction at less than 12 knots.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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