textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Strong north winds and much cooler temperatures Thursday.

- Wind chills in the 20s Friday morning. North winds diminishing Friday with cool temperatures.

- First widespread frost and freeze of the fall season is expected Saturday morning, with temperatures in the 20s.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 116 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026

Mid-upper level trough that has been supplying the area with dreary weather conditions will depart later this morning and into this afternoon. Any lingering rain, storms, and fog will diminish from southwest to northeast late this morning with clearing skies and breezy conditions into the later afternoon. Tonight has the potential to bring some frost and perhaps a freeze. However, uncertainty remains with the level of winds that could limit those impacts, so held off on any headlines for now.

Frost/Freeze headlines will be near certain Friday night into Saturday morning as widespread upper 20s to low 30s are expected across nearly all of western and central Kansas. With light winds and clear skies, freeze and frost are highly likely. This is shaping up to be a widespread issue for plants, so precautions should be started to protect any most vulnerable crops and plants. A warming trend will commence for the latter half of the weekend and into next week as 850 mb temperature anomalies go back to above average per global models. As far as the next chance of any precipitation is concerned, only low POPs (30-40%) are in the forecast Wednesday and Thursday, but varying patterns are evident among the globals, putting low confidence in the longer range.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1255 PM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026

Drier air was filtering into southwest Kansas in the wake of a cold front. This will continue through the period, resulting in CIGS rising and clearing this evening and overnight. Expect a continuation of 15-20 kt north winds through the period, except for a possible lull later this evening with the loss of daytime mixing.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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