textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- A chance of rain/snow possible after midnight tonight east of Scott City to Ashland

- Above normal temperatures return Thursday through this weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 222 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

Light northwesterly winds and dry conditions are expected today with increasing high level cloudiness this afternoon into this evening. Highs today should reach into the 50s. A weak disturbance will then move through the Central Plains tonight pushing a cold front through the area. The atmosphere above western Kansas may be moist enough for some light precipitation to fall east of Scott City to Ashland after midnight. The temperatures look to be cool enough for some of this precipitation to change over to snow towards day break. The current run of the NBM depicts the best chance for measurable precipitation to be along the I-70 corridor where up to a 42 percent chance of precipitation is found. Dry conditions return tomorrow with decreasing cloudiness from west to east throughout the day and mostly clear skies tomorrow night. As for temperatures, lows tonight look to dip to around 30 degrees with high tomorrow in the upper 40s to low 50s. Lows tomorrow night dip into the mid to upper 20s.

The remainder of the forecast remains dry as an upper level ridge builds over the Rockies with northwest flow over western Kansas. Above normal temperatures are expected throughout this period with highs ranging in the upper 50s to upper 60s and lows ranging from the upper 20s to upper 30s.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 1121 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

Clouds will thicken and lower this afternoon and early tonight as an upper level trough approaches from the northwest. Ceilings will remain in the VFR category, though a brief period of MVFR ceilings (2000-3000ft AGL) is possible (30-50%) between 09Z and 12Z Wednesday. Along with these lower ceilings, there is a 30% or less chance for a few sprinkles, mainly in the Dodge City and Hays areas. After 12Z Wednesday, ceilings will improve as the upper wave passes and subsidence develops. Northerly winds will also increase early Wednesday morning, rising from 10 knots or less before 12Z Wednesday to 15 to 20 knots after 15Z Wednesday.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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