textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry and unseasonably warm conditions will continue through the weekend.

- Afternoon wind gusts over 40 mph possible this weekend.

- The chance for precipitation will return to southwest Kansas early next week along with much cooler temperatures.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1104 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

At the upper-levels, a deep low pressure system is digging down into eastern Ontario, but it leaves very stagnant flow above the forecast area. Near to the surface, a weak high pressure system rests over northern Kansas seen clearly at 850 MB. Similar to last night, some very thin and patchy fog is possible tonight with visibilities dropping down to 4-5 miles in fog prone areas. This will keep weather exceeding quiet and winds light. Thursday will continue to see highs in the mid-80s and light winds owing to the high pressure.

The next few days continue to look exceedingly quiet with virtually no active weather. These highs in the 80s will continue through the weekend and remain within the pattern that is around 10 degrees warmer than normal for this time of the year. By the weekend winds will uptick considerably with winds of 20-30 out of the south. No weather headlines are forecast over this span even with the winds. The relative humidities will stay well above fire weather concerns at 30-35%.

Sunday into Monday, ensembles have an upper-level trough developing over the West Coast. This pattern change will start heavily impacting SW Kansas into Tuesday with Highs considerably cooler down in the 60s. A chance of widespread precipitation returns. Ensembles have chances around 20-30%. The same ensembles only have amounts in the 0.01-0.05" range. Some uncertainty remains about the precipitation, but based on that information early indications suggest it may be widespread light rain. Clearer forecasts will arrive in the coming days when the synoptic system is better resolved.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1104 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. CAMs and ensembles have a small spattering of patchy fog across the CWA potentially dropping visibilities to 5SM. However, ensembles keep chances below 20% and any fog that does develop will be very light and patchy. Otherwise skies will be clear with a light, variable wind until it picks up out of the south around 16Z.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.