textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Continued above normal temperatures today and Thursday. Temperatures trending to near normal by Friday and into the weekend.

- Rain showers are still expected Sunday. Precipitation amounts ranging from 0.10" in the north to 0.50" near the Oklahoma border.

- The weather pattern starts to trend drier and warmer by the start of the next business week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1000 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

A tranquil rest of the holiday is expected today. Highs are still expected to peak above normal. Going with highs in the 66F to 70F range this afternoon. A light northwest wind is expected for the rest of the day and into the evening hours. The tranquil weather pattern will continue through the overnight hours. Lows are expected to be above freezing and will range from 35F to 40F.

A backdoor cold front will move across a portion of the forecast area Thursday. There will be a fairly large range of highs from the mid 50s across central Kansas to around 70F by Elkhart. No moisture is expected with front. The main impacts will be a subtle wind shift and the mentioned temperature range. Continued low level cold air advection will continue Friday morning. As a result, a light freeze will be possible across the eastern zones. Does not look like a hard freeze at this time.

We will be in between weather systems Friday and Saturday. A fairly uneventful weather pattern is expected during this period. Temperatures will trend to near normal for the end of the week and into the beginning of the weekend. Attention then turns to Sunday. A large upper level low is expected to traverse across the Great Plains Sunday. Moisture advection will occur ahead of this upper level low. Forecast PWATs are expected to increase in the 0.50" to 1.00" range. This moisture and the upper level low will set the stage for rain showers Sunday. The models are not forecasting any CAPE Sunday, so thunderstorms are not expected. Precipitation amounts are still uncertain. There is considerable spread in both the GEFS and ENS. The official forecast as of right now has about 0.10" in the north to as much as 0.50" across the Oklahoma border.

Beyond Sunday, the ensembles are indicating shortwave ridging developing across the Great Plains Monday and Tuesday. This would support the notion of drier and warmer forecast. Temperatures might even be a few degrees above normal by the middle portion of the next business week.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1000 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

A dry airmass that is in place will lead to continued VFR conditions through the entire TAF pd. A light NW wind 5-15 kt is expected for the rest of today and into the evening hours.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.