textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Mild and dry weather continues for several days
- Next chance of light precip possible Tuesday/Wednesday
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1100 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026
Mild level shortwave ridging will continue through the next several days. The net result is mild and dry weather for a while. For tonight, lows will start to trend to above normal with above freezing values for southwest Kansas as a downslope wind continues. Friday will feature above normal highs with mainly 60s for much of the FA.
Will have to watch for a shallow colder airmass across the eastern zones Saturday. Have sharpened the high temperature gradient from the downslope conditions in the west to the shallow colder airmass in the east. The exact placement of the gradient is unclear at this time, but felt it was at least prudent to make for a sharper gradient from the warm west to the cooler east.
The cooler airmass will erode Sunday. Widespread downslope winds are expected across the FA for this day. This will result in well above normal highs with widespread 60s and even a few readings in the 70s to end the weekend. Even with the warmth, fire danger looks to be mitigated via weak surface winds.
We will be in between weather systems Monday with tranquil weather conditions and warm temperatures continuing. Attention then turns to the Tuesday into Wednesday timeframe. Both the GEFS and ENS show the potential for a weak UL wave that may influence our weather. Some of the ensembles are showing for the opportunity for light precipitation during time this period. Other ensemble members keep the light precip south of the FA. The slight to chance pops in the official grids look fine for now given this uncertainty.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 1100 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026
VFR expected through TAF period. NW winds for this afternoon will become light west to northwest tonight. NW to N winds tomorrow with overall weak wind magnitudes.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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