textproduct: Dodge City

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1221 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026

Upper level ridging and downslope flow will lead to near record highs Saturday. The record high at Dodge City is 94 and there is a chance this could be tied or broken. A few locations could reach the upper 90s in Clark and Comanche counties at the lower elevations. An upper level trough moving across the US/Canadian border will push a cold front through Kansas Sunday morning. Temperatures ahead of the front should start out very mild in the 50s to lower 60s. The 90th percentile of the NBM still gives 45 mph northerly gusts with the cold advection during mid to late morning. As a result, temperatures are predicted to only rise into the mid 60s at Scott City and lower 70s at Medicine Lodge. Even with the cooler air mass, temperatures will likely not fall below freezing Monday morning, with mid to upper 30s more likely. These readings are close to climatology.

Flat upper level ridging will amplify just enough across the southern high plains early next week to allow for surface troughing and warmer weather. Highs will be in the upper 60s Monday, which is still a little above seasonal averages and then warm to near 80 by Tuesday. Very warm weather is expected Wednesday as an upper level ridge amplifies even more across the southern Rockies and southern high plains, with highs reaching the upper 80s again.

There is considerable uncertainty with the timing of the next cold front late next week as a jet streak progresses eastward along the US-Canadian border. A slower frontal passage would result in 90s for highs on Thursday; but a faster passage would mean temperatures falling back to seasonal averages.

The ensemble means continue to indicate very low chances for measurable precipitation over the next week (10% or less). Expect dry weather to persist through the remainder of March.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1217 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026

Winds will gradually shift to the east and south overnight but remain light. A surface trough on the western high plains will shift eastward toward the end of the period, resulting in south winds at 10-15 kts by 18z. VFR conditions will persist.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ to 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ Saturday for KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.