textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Mild and dry weather to continue through the new workweek with daily highs in the 60s to lower 70s (upper 50s in the east later in the week).

- Cold front passage(s) will be dry through the next 7 days as northwest flow aloft prevails with prospects of any appreciable precipitation holding off until after 15 November.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 135 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

The early afternoon water vapor loop and objective analysis fields showed western Kansas in between the two branches of the polar westerlies. The southern branch was active well to the south across South Texas and the northern branch active across southwestern Canada and adjacent Pacific Northwest region. The pressure gradient across western Kansas was rather weak as a result, thus surface winds remained light at 10 mph or less.

The split flow pattern will continue through much of the workweek, and this will yield more tranquil weather, outside of the occasional wind shifts in direction and speed. A cold front Wednesday will be downslope-modified, so the pullback in temperature will be negligible with late week afternoon highs generally in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Since there will be no major air mass change toward the colder, the prospects of any long duration sub-freezing temperatures are extremely low through the entirety of this forecast period (ending 15 November). This is not all a surprise in such a strongly positive ENSO base state. There are some signals of a pattern change in the D+8 to +10 time frame with deep trough out west again, and this is probably the earliest we would begin to even think about decent precipitation chances entering the forecast again. Until then, though, temperatures will continue to be above normal for both highs and lows with zero or near-zero precipitation.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 431 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

VFR conditions will prevail with mostly clear skies. Winds will be light overnight becoming south southwest with an increase in speed for the remainder of the TAF period.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.