textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- A large mid-level anticyclone will prevail over the greater region for the next several days

- As a result, hot and primarily a dry weather pattern will continue for the rest of the week and into the weekend

- There is a small chance of storms Friday evening, but the rest of the FA should remain dry

- Heat advisory criteria may hit 105F across the eastern zones through the weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1111 AM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

A large and strong 500 hPa anticyclone will prevail across the southern half of United States for the next several days. This will result in hot highs, warm lows, and primarily dry conditions continue through the rest of the week and into the weekend. The heat index may reach around 105F across the eastern zones for the next several afternoons. As a result, have issued a heat advisory for the eastern zones through the end of the weekend. Neighbors wanted to keep the product as heat advisory and not change it to a heat warning, so this is why that product was issued as such. The NBM is showing some low pops across the western zones Friday evening. Here, an isolated storm cannot be ruled out in close proximity to the sfc trof. Otherwise, the rest of the FA will see a dry forecast continuing. Highs will not change much over the next several days. Hot highs, with values peaking from the upper 90s to low 100s are expected. Warm lows are expected with values only bottoming out mainly in the 70s. The long range models and their ensemble counterparts are not offering much hope for a weather pattern change anytime soon. It looks like the strong ridge is expected to prevail in several ensemble runs.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 530 PM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

The hot and dry pattern across southwestern Kansas will continue through late week, and as a result, we will see a continuation of southerly winds at the surface. Winds are not expected to be all that strong, generally 12 knots or less, as overall pressure gradient will not be too strong. Widespread VFR flight category will also continue in this persistent pattern.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Sunday for KSZ031-046-065-066- 079>081-089-090.