textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Rain, storms, and fog tapering off this morning; chilly temperatures tonight
- Frost/Freeze likely Saturday morning
DISCUSSION
Issued at 116 AM CDT Thu Oct 15 2026
Mid-upper level trough that has been supplying the area with dreary weather conditions will depart later this morning and into this afternoon. Any lingering rain, storms, and fog will diminish from southwest to northeast late this morning with clearing skies and breezy conditions into the later afternoon. Tonight has the potential to bring some frost and perhaps a freeze. However, uncertainty remains with the level of winds that could limit those impacts, so held off on any headlines for now.
Frost/Freeze headlines will be near certain Friday night into Saturday morning as widespread upper 20s to low 30s are expected across nearly all of western and central Kansas. With light winds and clear skies, freeze and frost are highly likely. This is shaping up to be a widespread issue for plants, so precautions should be started to protect any most vulnerable crops and plants. A warming trend will commence for the latter half of the weekend and into next week as 850 mb temperature anomalies go back to above average per global models. As far as the next chance of any precipitation is concerned, only low POPs (30-40%) are in the forecast Wednesday and Thursday, but varying patterns are evident among the globals, putting low confidence in the longer range.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026
LIFR conditions will begin the TAF period at all sites given low CIGs and occasional spotty dense fog. CIGs will remain in LIFR through 15-17z Thursday, improving to IFR 17-19z, and MVFR 19-22z. Fog will dissipate completely through 13-17z this morning. Conditions will gradually improve from southwest to northeast. Spotty rain and isolated thunderstorms will also continue through 15z this morning. Skies clear after 00z Friday. Regarding wind, expect breezy northwest winds 15-25 knots with gusts 30-35 knots. Winds will increase to those levels beginning 15z this morning until a weakening trend after 00z Friday.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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