textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A much less hot and humid air mass Thursday and Friday
- Another strong cold front over the weekend with storm chances
- Dry and very warm to hot for the next business week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
A strong cold front will move across western Kansas this morning. A much less hot and humid air mass is expected in the wake of the front. Highs Thursday and Friday will be in the 80s. In addition, dewpoints will continue to decrease today, so it will feel a lot less humid the next two days. Northerly winds will become relatively strong and gusty in the wake of the front through much of the day. Winds will weaken towards dusk tonight. Cooler lows are expected tonight with lows mainly in the 50s. The HRRR does show for the possibility of WAA induced showers Friday morning. Confidence though on this is is not particularly high and any rainfall amounts will be very light. Otherwise, get out and enjoy the less hot and humid conditions for Thursday and Friday.
On Saturday, the front will return northward as a warm front. The warm sector will spread northward and highs Saturday will be very hot. Expect values to peak in the 90s, although low 100s cannot be ruled out across the lower terrain of south-central Kansas. Some of the global models and their ensemble counterparts shows the develop of storms along the front Saturday afternoon and evening as the front starts to surge southward during the evening. Forecast skew-t/log-p's do suggest that strong to severe storms could be a possibility during the evening. Something to watch.
The front will have cleared the entire region by late Saturday evening. Expect very pleasant highs Sunday in the wake of the front with values only peaking in the 70s. Dry air advection with decreasing dewpoints is expected, so the air mass will feel a lot less humid to end the weekend. Lows heading into Monday morning will be cooler with the drier air mass continuing across the FA. Low to mid 50s looks likely.
The long range models and the ensemble counterparts shows subtle mid level ridging for the next business week. This would support the notion of a dry forecast and temperatures trending to the hot side as the week continues. Summer-like temperatures with highs in the 90s or possibly evening low 100s lows likely midweek onward. Lows should trend warmer with starting in the 50s and ending in the 60s to 70s as we close out the extended period.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 1131 AM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026
VFR conditions will prevail with mostly clear skies through tomorrow. Winds will be from the north, initially gusting to over 35 knots, decreasing as the afternoon progresses. Winds then become light and shift to the south tonight.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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