textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- After a cold night, a warming trend will commence Sunday into early next week.

- After warm days Tuesday and Wednesday, trace to very light rain amounts are predicted for Wednesday night and early Thursday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1250 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

Northwesterly momentum was mixing to the surface early this afternoon with daytime heating. Expect winds to become light this this evening by sunset. With light winds tonight, strong radiational cooling will allow temperatures to fall into the teens to lower 20s.

Upper level ridging will develop across the Rockies by Sunday, with downslope flow leading to a warming trend. The strongest downslope will occur Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of the next cold front, with highs warming into the 70s to near 80. The warmest readings Wednesday will occur right ahead of the front so that a slower frontal arrival would result in slightly cooler temperatures. This front will likely pass with no significant precipitation given the dry air mass ahead of it and fast moving nature of the trough. The various ensemble suites indicate very low chances (less than 10%) for precipitation of .1" or greater for Wednesday night and Thursday morning. This will most likely be a trace of rain event or perhaps a few hundredths of an inch on the high end.

Dry northwest flow will continue through Thursday and Friday. Only a slight cool down is forecast Thursday in the wake of the front; but then downslope warming will resume by Friday with another warm up. Dry weather is forecast for next weekend.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 500 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the TAF period with rather light winds and only a few highs clouds from time to time. A wind shift is expected after 15z Sunday from a northerly direction to southerly and easterly.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.