textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- A slight chance of storms across northern Kansas Tuesday night

- A better chance of thunderstorms Wednesday night

- Highs around 100 are expected Tuesday afternoon and again this weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 104 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

An upper level high will remain south of the area through Wednesday with a series of shortwaves moving above this feature and through the Central Plains. Expect skies to become mostly clear this morning with some mid level clouds in the afternoon. Clear skies return tonight and continue into Tuesday. Winds will generally be light and from a southerly direction through tomorrow. Th first shortwave will move north of the area Tuesday night leaving most of the area dry. The exception to this will be northern Kansas where POPs are in the 20s. A better chance of precipitation comes Wednesday night with the NBM depicting POPs as high as 50 percent. A cold front will also move through the area Wednesady night bringing in cooler temperatures through Thursday. The upper level high shifts west of the area Thursday through the first part of next week suppressing any activity from forming across western Kansas. As for temperatures, lows this morning will dip into the 60s with highs this afternoon in the upper 80s to low 90s. Expect another night of lows in the 60s tonight then soar into the upper 90s to around 100 degrees Tuesday. Highs Wednesday look to range from the mid 80s north to upper mid to upper 90s along the KS/OK border. It depends on how fast the cold front moves through to see where the cooler temperatures are found. Highs then dip into the upper 90s to low 90s Thursday then rebound into the upper 90s to around 100 degrees by Saturday. Lows during this time frame will generally be in the 60s with low 70s across portions of south central Kansas.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 522 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

VFR ceilings will give way to clearing skies through 18z today as an upper level disturbance moves across western Kansas. The southerly winds at less than 10 knots will increase into the 10 to 15 knot range by 18z today. These southerly winds will become more southeast towards sunset as VFR conditions continue.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.