textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Heat indices at or above 105 degrees expected in the afternoons through Monday

- Thunderstorm chances increase Monday night through Thursday night with far western Kansas and northern Kansas having the highest probability

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1216 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

A strong upper level high will spin over the Central Rockies and Central Plains through mid week then shift west late week into this weekend. As for the short range forecast, expect mostly clear skies with periods of high clouds. Dry conditions are expected with winds from a southerly direction. Highs through Monday will reach around 100 degrees to low 100s with lows tonight and tomorrow night in the 70s. The main concern will be the heat indices that are expected to reach at or above 105 degrees. A heat advisory as been issued to account for this. The NBM has the highest probability of heat indices exceeding 110 degrees will be across south central Kansas each afternoon.

Mid range models show increasing chances of thunderstorms Monday night through Thursday night as weak disturbances move through the area. The best chance of precipitation currently look to be across far western Kansas and northern Kansas. Otherwise expect an increase in cloud cover. Highs look to reach into the 90s to low 100s with lows in the upper 60s to upper 70s.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 502 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. Expect southerly winds 5-10 knots through tonight and into Sunday morning, increasing 10-15 knots Sunday afternoon.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ Monday for KSZ030-031- 043>046-061>066-074>081-084>089. Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ090. Heat Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 PM CDT Monday for KSZ090.


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