textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Pleasant day today

- Strong storms possible Saturday evening

- Warm and dry next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1100 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

Not much going on weather-wise today. An upper level trof will move across the upper midwest today. This will have the sfc reflection in the form of a sfc boundary moving across the state today. The main impact will be a wind shift. Significant temperature advection is not expected with this weak boundary. Highs today should peak from the mid to upper 70s. For tonight, the tranquil weather pattern will continue. Lows tonight will be solidly in the 40s.

A weak wave moves across the Great Plains Saturday evening. This feature might spark off some low end severe or strong storms across the FA during the evening. Forecast skew-t/log-p's show an inverted v profile with weak instability. The main threat would be strong outflow winds and perhaps some hail. The NBM has the highest pops located across the eastern zones. This makes meteorological sense with the best moisture convergence and meager boundary layer moisture located in that region. Otherwise, highs Saturday will be warmer with values in the 80s and lows heading into Sunday morning in the mix of 40s and 50s.

Sunday is looking to be another pleasant weather day. We will see subsidence and a dry forecast as a result. Highs will be a little cooler with values in the low to mid 70s. 40s are expected heading into Monday morning.

For the next business week, the overall synoptic flow is dry northwest flow aloft with fairly high 500 hPa heights. This supports the notion of a thunderstorm free forecast. Highs Monday and Tuesday look fairly warm with highs solidly in the 80s. In fact, 90s cannot be ruled out across the southern zones both days. GEFs and ENS indicate that shortwave ridging looks to build over the greater region Wednesday and Thursday. As a result, we may see more 90s versus 80s for this period. Lows will also trend warmer with a mix of 50s to 60s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 507 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

VFR conditions will prevail in vicinity of all TAF sites through late evening. A cold front will push southeast through southwest Kansas into northern Oklahoma later this morning, turning winds northerly 10 to 20kt with gusts up to 25kt generally after 13-15Z. Winds are then expected to subside this evening as surface high pressure begins to move southward into the high plains of eastern Colorado/western Kansas.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.