textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Hot weather will return for Sunday and Monday, with near record highs around 100 degrees.

- There are moderate to high chances (40-70%) for t-storms from late Monday through Wednesday, along with slightly cooler temperatures.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 114 PM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026

An upper level disturbance traversing the northern plains will push a weak cold front through western Kansas Saturday, serving to delay the next hot spell by a day. However, given the persistent upper level ridging over the southern plains, the heat will build back across the high plains by Sunday and Monday. Record highs are near 100 both days; and these could be tied or broken. It may be a little cooler (but more humid) near or just north of the warm front around Hays and WaKeeney.

A stronger upper level disturbance will traverse the northern plains early next week and push a cold front into Kansas by Monday evening. This front is expected to become stationary near the KS/OK state line by Tuesday and Wednesday. With abundant low level moisture on the cool side of the front, t-storm chances are moderate to high from Monday evening through Wednesday. The strongest signal for beneficial rain is across central Kansas, including locations such as Hays, Larned and La Crosse. Despite the favorable pattern, the grand ensemble still shows only modest (30-40%) chances for .5" or greater of rain, even across central Kansas. However, as we have seen over the past week, much larger rain amounts can occur when several t-storms move across the same area, with much smaller amounts elsewhere.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 521 PM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026

VFR conditions will prevail with some high clouds around sunrise tomorrow. Winds will be from a southerly direction through tonight, shifting to the east to northeast as a weak cold front moves through the area tomorrow morning.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.