textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Very hot temperatures return this weekend and into early next week

- Continued signal for increased rain and storm chances mid to late week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1252 AM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026

Upper-level ridge over the Four Corners region will drift a bit eastward into the Plains this weekend and early next week resulting in height rises. The result will be a return to very hot temperatures, with high temperatures reaching back above 100. Temperatures across the forecast area today are expected to be generally on the order of 95-100 with 100-103 across western and southern counties. Widespread 100-105 are expected Saturday with 102-107 by Sunday. After collaboration with neighboring offices, the consensus was uncertainty from potential overnight and morning cloud cover will likely preclude the need for any heat headlines today, but may be needed in upcoming days.

With a relative break in storm chances through early next week, POPs come back strong Wednesday through Friday. NBM POPs in this time frame increase to 40-70%. With the expected breakdown of the upper ridge, coupled with a frontal passage, seems reasonable chances increase. Uncertainty remains on placement of the front and timing, but NBM probabilities and GEFS/ENS/GEPS ensemble do suggest at a potential for heavier rains. Timing and locations will need to be ironed out as we get closer.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/

Issued at 1123 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026

Thunderstorms have begun to clear the area, but there is a possibility of redevelopment during the early parts of the TAF period. However, chances are very low for storm to directly impact the terminals. Will keep mention of storms out of the TAFs given the low confidence. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period with southerly and southeasterly winds generally on the order of 5-10 knots, perhaps 10-15 knots through Friday afternoon. No storms are expected Friday afternoon or evening.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.