textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm weather is forecast through Tuesday, with temperatures returning closer to seasonal averages for Wednesday.

- No precipitation is expected for the next several days.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1100 PM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

The upper level trough that brought cooler and breezy weather Wednesday will move off to the east Thursday while upper level ridging over the western USA shifts eastward toward the high plains. Downslope warming will occur today as winds will be from the northwest. Looking upstream, highs were in the 60s at similar elevations (2000-4000 feet) from northern Wyoming into central Montana and southern Saskatchewan on Wednesday; and this air will move southeastward toward the central high plains. Given the breezy conditions and strong mixing, expect highs in the mid to upper 60s across all of central and southwest Kansas Thursday. Above average temperatures are forecast through the weekend given the weak upper level ridging and downslope. An upper level low off the coast of Baja will gradually move eastward over the next several days. Any effect from this system will likely stay well south of Kansas early to mid next week. The various ensemble means show only 10-30% chances for measurable precipitation (greater than .01") mid next week.

An upper level trough is advertised to traverse the northern plains Tuesday night and help shove a dry cold front through Kansas. In the absence of arctic air, the daily high temperatures will fall but still remain at or above seasonal averages in the 50s for Wednesday and Thursday.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1100 PM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

A trough of low pressure will move southeastward and result in a wind shift to the northwest at 10 to 15 kts today. Winds will back off to 5 kts after sunset with the loss of diurnal heating. Only some high level cloud is forecast, with VFR conditions persisting.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.