textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- above normal temperatures today and tomorrow

- Cooler air returns mid week with above normal temperatures once again late week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 241 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

The synoptic pattern throughout the forecast portrays an upper level ridge currently over the Rockies getting flattened by a trough of low pressure swinging down from Canada and into the Northern Rockies tomorrow. This trough then moves through the area Tuesday through Thursday. Upper level riding then builds across the western United States mid to late week, then over the Plains next weekend.

As for closer to the surface, mostly clear skies are expected through tonight with winds from a westerly direction today, becoming light and variable tonight. Mid to upper level cloudiness increases Monday with winds shifting to a northerly direction. As for temperatures, highs this afternoon should reach into the 60s with the exception of our eastern zones where snow remains and only reach into the upper 50s. Lows tonight dip into the 20s with highs tomorrow in the 60s with the exception once again across central Kansas where upper 50s will be found.

Ensemble models depict a weak cold front to move through the area Tuesday night with a second weak cold front Thursday. Models then suggest a stronger cold front to move through the area Friday. The current run of the NBM does not show any precipitation with these disturbances but I wouldn't be surprised if a slight chance is added as we go into the future. As for temperatures, highs look to only reach into the 50s Tuesday and Wednesday with low to mid 60s Thursday and Friday. Lows will generally be in the 20s with the exception of Friday morning where lows may only dip into the 30s.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 417 AM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

VFR conditions will prevail with mostly clear skies. Winds will be from a westerly direction through this afternoon at less than 10 knots. Winds then become light and variable this evening into the overnight hours.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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