textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A heat advisory is in effect across central Kansas this afternoon with heat indices at or above 105
- A heat advisory has been issued for south central Kansas tomorrow afternoon
- A slight chance of thunderstorms is possible across west central Kansas and along the I-70 corridor Wednesday night
- A better chance of thunderstorms will be found across the entire area Thursday night
DISCUSSION
Issued at 129 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026
The center of a strong upper level area of high pressure will move from over the Rockies today to south of the area by Wednesday. This will suppress any significant weather from forming bringing dry weather to western Kansas. There may be a few mid level cumulus clouds in the afternoon tomorrow but otherwise expect mostly clear skies during this time frame. Towards the surface, light southerly winds are expected through tonight then briefly shift to the northeast tomorrow morning as a weak cold front moves through the area. Winds will then shift to the east tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night, then the southeast Wednesday. Very warm conditions are expected during this time frame with highs around 100 degrees this afternoon with lows tonight ranging from around 70 degrees along the KS/Co border to upper 70s across south central Kansas. Highs tomorrow look to range from the mid 90s along the I-70 corridor to low 100s across south central Kansas. Lows tomorrow night will dip to around 70 degrees with the exception of south central Kansas where low 70s will be found. Highs Wednesday look to reach into the 90s.
Mid range models show a few weak disturbances move over the upper level ridge Wednesday and Thursday night increasing lift across western Kansas. As of now, NBM depicts only a slight chance of thunderstorms across west central Kansas and the I-70 corridor Wednesday night with a better chance across the entire CWA Thursday night. A dry and hot pattern then returns for the remainder of the forecast. Highs during this time frame will generally be in the 90s with 100s possible along the KS/OK border Thursday and the entire CWA Sunday. Lows will generally range from the upper 60s to upper 70s.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 1127 AM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through tomorrow with mostly clear skies. Winds will generally be from a southerly direction at less than 10 knots.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ031-046-065- 066-079>081-089-090. Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 7 PM CDT Tuesday for KSZ081-089-090.
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