textproduct: Dodge City

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Few sprinkles possible across northern zones tonight, otherwise dry all week

- Cold frontal passage tonight, Thursday afternoon, and again Friday. Only expect a slight increase in cloud cover with slightly cooler temperatures.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 209 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Western Kansas will be under northwest flow aloft with a series of shortwaves moving down through this flow throughout the week. Winds will generally be from a westerly direction through this evening before the first piece of energy moves through. Winds then shift to the north as a weak cold front moves through the area. No precipitation is expected with only an increase in mid to upper level clouds. The only exception to this will be across our northern zones where a few sprinkles will be possible through midnight. Breezy northerly winds are expected behind this cold front and may gust to around 30 mph. A few high clouds hang around tomorrow with continued north winds gusting to over 30 mph in the morning. As for temperatures, lows tonight will dip into the 30s with highs tomorrow in the 40s. Lows tomorrow night will dip into the 20s.

The remainder of the forecast looks to remain dry with another weak disturbance moving through the area Thursday afternoon and again Friday afternoon. Only a slight increase in cloud cover is expected with these two cold fronts with mostly clear skies in between. Breezy conditions are expected Friday but as of now no where close to high wind criteria. Currently the NBM have probabilities of wind gusts over 45 mph over 40 percent north of Highway 50 with the highest probabilities across Northwest Kansas into western Nebraska. Temperatures throughout this period will start out with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s Thursday before being knocked back down into the 40s to around 50 degrees Friday into this weekend. We then return into the 50s early next week. Lows will generally be in the 20s with upper teens Sunday morning.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 507 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Winds will increase mainly in the 2000 ft region as a low level jet develops behind a cold front and winds will increase at all the terminals between 03-09Z to 40-45 kts. As we go through the heating of the day we should have a more well mixed boundary layer and surface winds will increase to 15-25 kts with gusts around 30 kts between 15-23Z. Northwest flow will bring in high clouds mainly through tonight with some brief clearing...then a second round of clouds will develop along a north to south moving shortwave that could lead to MVFR flight category at HYS with some spotty sprinkles between 17-23Z.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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