textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Slight chance of severe storms east of a line from Liberal to Dodge City, to Russell tomorrow afternoon into the evening hours. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main concern. An isolated tornado is possible across south central Kansas

- Precipitation chances continue Wednesday through Thursday with Wednesday night having the highest probability of occurrence

- Cooler temperatures are expected Wednesday through at least this weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 119 PM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026

Southwest winds, mostly clear skies, and above normal temperatures are expected through tomorrow with highs in the low 90s this afternoon and lows tonight ranging from around 60 degrees across west central Kansas to low 70s across south central Kansas. The only exception to this will be along the I-70 corridor where a frontal boundary will move in from the north tonight with increased cloud cover by tomorrow morning. This frontal boundary will ooze slowly southward tomorrow. Winds behind this frontal boundary will shift to the east to northeast. Highs tomorrow look to range from the upper 70s along the I-70 corridor with upper 80s to low 90s elsewhere.

Attention then pivots to tomorrow afternoon when strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to initially form east of Highway 283. These storms then could backbuild farther west tomorrow evening into the overnight period. SPC currently has a slight risk of severe storms east of a line from Liberal to Dodge City, to Russell. Storms in this area will have the potential to produce large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado will also be possible across south central Kansas shortly after storm initiation. Precipitation chances remain high east of Highway 83 Tuesday night spreading across the remainder of the CWA Wednesday. The best chance of precipitation looks to be Wednesday night as another disturbance moves through the area. Precipitation chances then come to an end Thursday. The remainder of the forecast is expected to remain dry as upper level ridging builds across the western United States with high pressure becoming the dominate feature across the Central Plains. Cooler weather is also expected Wednesday through the end of the forecast with highs in the 60s to low 70s Wednesday and Thursday, then upper 50s to around 60 degrees Friday. We then rebound into the 60s Saturday with 70s Sunday and Monday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 540 PM CDT Mon Oct 12 2026

VFR flying conditions this TAF cycle for all terminals. Current breezy southerly winds will weaken to aob 12 kts in the next couple hours, and remain unchanged through 00Z Wednesday.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.