textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- There are moderate to high chances(30-60%) of t-storms late this evening and tonight across far western Kansas including the locations of Syracuse, Garden City, Scott City and Lakin.

- Hot weather will return for Saturday through Monday, with highs approaching 100, along with small chances for t-storms by Sunday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 123 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

A minor upper level disturbance will approach the central high plains today. Surface based t-storms will develop well to the north and west of this afternoon and then progress southward in a weakened state into west central Kansas by midnight. The storms could contain wind gusts of 50-60 mph and small hail given the linear and outflow dominated storm nature by the time storms arrive. Some locations could receive up to a half inch or more of rain; but totals in general will be highly variable as is normally the case in late summer. The best chance for significant rains are west of a line from WaKeeney to Dodge City. Expect highs in the lower to mid 90s today. Chances for rain Thursday night are low in the wake of Wednesday night's stabilizing storm cluster that will tend to have a slight cooling effect.

Upper level ridging will slowly develop across the high plains by Friday and into the weekend. However, a shortwave trough traversing the northern periphery of the ridge is expected to push a weak cold front into western Kansas by Sunday. Hot temperatures near 100 degrees are forecast along and south of the front for Saturday and Sunday. There are small chances for t-storms along the stalled front by Sunday evening, mainly across west central Kansas and along I-70. The front will not make it very far south next week given the upper level ridge from Texas eastward. Therefore, hot weather will persist through mid next week despite the presence of a weakening frontal boundary. T-storms can't be ruled out on any day given that western Kansas will be on the southern periphery of the mid to high level westerlies; but widespread rains are unlikely. The grand ensemble indicates only 10-20% daily chances for >.25" of rain.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 522 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

VFR conditions will prevail with skies becoming mostly clear. Winds will be from the north this morning, shifting to an easterly direction this afternoon. Wind should remain below 12 knots.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.