textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- A heat advisory remains in effect through Monday, with temperatures between 105 and 109 and isolated pockets of 110.

- Hot temperatures will persist through mid next week, especially across the southern tier of Kansas, with slightly cooler but more humid conditions along I-70.

- Isolated t-storms are expected Monday through Wednesday, especially along and north of I-70.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 123 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Very hot conditions will persist through Monday as 700mb temperatures per ensemble means hover between 17 and 19C across western Kansas. Low level drying has begun across Oklahoma and this drier air will advect northward today. Thus, heat indices will be at or below the temperatures--between 105 and 109. Therefore the heat advisory continues through Monday for all of central and southwest Kansas.

An upper level trough over the Great Lakes region will push a weak frontal boundary into northern or central Kansas by Monday evening before becoming stationary by Tuesday. High temperatures will depend on the exact location of the front and how much cool outflow occurs with any thunderstorms. Temperatures from Dodge City southward may stay near or above 100 through Wednesday if the front doesn't pass. Along I-70, highs should stay in the 90s; but higher humidity in this area will still make it feel very hot. By Thursday and Friday the various ensemble means show the upper level ridge shifting to the west, with a significant upper level trough over the eastern United States. This will result in northerly mid to upper level flow across western Kansas and allow for cooler air to push southward and westward across Kansas. Expect highs in the 90s for later next week into the weekend. Isolated t-storms can't be completely ruled out; but the vast majority of western Kansas will receive below average rainfall. Any organized storm clusters that we often see in late July and early August should stay west of Kansas given the light northerly mid level steering flow. The grand ensemble shows chances for .25" or greater of rain over the next week around 20% along the Oklahoma state line and 40% along I-70; but chances for more substantial rains are very low (5-20%).

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/

Issued at 423 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Good flying weather will continue through this TAF period, with VFR/SKC at all airports and limited cirrus. After 15z Sun, S/SW winds will increase at all airports, gusting 22-25 kts.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ Monday for KSZ030-031- 043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.