textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Above normal temperatures will continue through the entire forecast period, with Monday looking particularly warm as highs approach 80.

- Strong cold front early Tuesday morning will knock temperatures down into the 50s through the end of the week.

- Precipitation chances will remain very low (<15%) through at least Thursday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1215 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Water vapor satellite imagery and RAP upper air analysis at midday reveal a weak Rex Block is in place over the western CONUS, with longwave troughing from the Midwest through the east coast. At the surface, southwest KS is sandwiched between high pressure across the Great Lakes and Midwest region and low pressure along the lee of the northern and central Rockies, yielding gusty southerly winds across our area. Daytime today, short range ensembles agree the low pressure center will creep eastward, resulting in winds veering to westerly and weakening. These downsloping winds will combine with subsidence aloft to promote another unseasonably warm afternoon with highs in the 60s and 70s. Tonight, increasing cloud cover will offset the radiative cooling effects of light winds, supporting overnight lows in the mid 30s to low 40s.

Daytime tomorrow, a weak upper level shortwave trough will dig southeast from the northern plains towards the Ozarks, sending a subtle cold front through the central plains. Essentially zero cold air will exist in the wake of this front, and the downsloping northwesterly winds will actually act against any cold advection, fostering another day of well-above normal temperatures with afternoon highs in the 60s and 70s.

Monday through the end of the period, medium range ensembles agree weak ridging to nearly zonal flow will prevail across the central plains, allowing the above normal temperatures and dry conditions to continue. A strong cold front early Tuesday morning after a particularly warm Monday will knock temperatures down into the 50s through the end of the week, but will not be accompanied by any noteworthy probability of precipitation as pop grids are quiet (<15%) through at least Thursday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 558 PM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Weak surface high pressure will remain across the plains through the period. This will result in light west winds. VFR conditions will persist.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.