textproduct: Dodge City

KEY MESSAGES

- Relatively dry conditions persist through early next week.

- Unseasonably warm temperatures Monday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1231 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

WV imagery indicates a closed upper low moving eastward through the Upper Midwest. Meanwhile, weak ridging aloft is shifting east off the Pacific into the Intermountain West. Near the surface, high pressure is sliding southeast through the Northern High Plains.

Dry conditions are likely to persist early in the period as the SREF shows weak ridging aloft slowly transitioning east through the Great Basin Sunday before breaking down as it moves farther east into the Colorado Rockies Monday, resulting in a weakening west-northwest flow aloft across the Western High Plains. With a drier air mass settled across the high plains of western Kansas, this will keep precip chances out of the region through Monday night.

Similar low temperatures to this morning are expected tonight, especially with light and variable winds and mostly clear skies forecast. Look for lows generally down into the 30s(F) with the HREF painting a widespread 70-90% probability of temperatures dipping below 40F. Warmer temperatures than the seasonal average are forecast Sunday as departing surface high pressure gives way to low level southerlies, helping to draw warmer air into the area with H85 temperatures climbing up to around 10C in central Kansas to a little above 15C near and along the Colorado line. Expected afternoon highs up into the lower/mid 70s(F) with the latest HREF pointing to a 70-90% probability of temperatures exceeding 70F. The warming trend continues into Monday with prevailing southerlies further drawing warmer air into southwest/south central Kansas up against a stalled frontal boundary projected to be somewhere in vicinity of the I-70 corridor by mid-day Monday. Should see highs nudging further up into the mid/upper 70s(F) to near 80F in some locations.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1125 AM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

VFR conditions will prevail in vicinity of all TAF sites through early Sunday. Northerly winds 10 to 20kt with gusts up to 25kt through late afternoon will subside this evening, becoming light and variable overnight as surface high pressure in the Northern High Plains spreads southeast into the Central Plains.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.