textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Warming into midweek
- Another shot of cold late week and into this weekend
- Low snow chances (25% or less) late week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 310 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Radar showing light snow showers gradually moving out of the forecast area this morning as a positively tilted shortwave begins to exit the region. In the wake of this system, chilly air remains generally in place. High temperatures this afternoon will be noticeably warmer than previous days however as temperatures are expected to be mainly in the 30s area-wide, with near 40 toward the CO border. This slow, gradual warming will continue through mid-week when westerly flow increases across the Rockies, allowing some minor downslope influence. Temperatures by Wednesday will be widespread in the 40s, with 50s making a come back in western zones. Low temperatures through this stretch remain cold with temperatures in the upper 1s to low 10s each respective morning. It is not until Wednesday night into Thursday morning where lows get back to normal levels.
LREF-clustering grand ensembles are in good agreement with another upper-level trough east of the area swinging in a cold front late week. With the passage, cold temperatures will return to the forecast area. NBM probabilities of 10 degrees or less low temperatures increase again to 30-70% Friday and Saturday morning. With this wave, some light snow is also possible, as evidenced by a weak signal from the ENSControl/GFS/ICON, and their ensemble suites. NBM carries low POPs (25% or less) to highlight this potential at this time and is reflected in the forecast.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 500 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Snow has moved out from all the TAF sites this morning, leaving some lowered CIGs, but conditions will improve to VFR conditions later this morning and through the afternoon. VFR conditions will prevail throughout the rest of the TAF period. Sensible weather will be gusty southwest winds 15-20 knots with gusts 25-30 knots at times.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Cold Weather Advisory until noon CST /11 AM MST/ today for KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.
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