textproduct: Dodge City
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- A slight chance of storms across northern Kansas tonight
- Another chance of thunderstorms tomorrow night
- Highs around 100 are expected this afternoon and again this weekend
DISCUSSION
Issued at 116 AM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026
Mostly clear skies are expected throughout today with breezy southerly winds. Very hot temperatures in the 100s are expected this afternoon with areas across south central Kansas reaching heat advisory criteria. A heat advisory is in effect to account for this. A weak disturbance will move through Nebraska tonight increasing the chances of thunderstorms across our northern zones. Otherwise expect an increase in cloudiness. A cold front will also move through the area tonight shifting winds to the northeast. East to northeast winds are expected tomorrow then shift to the southeast tomorrow night. Thunderstorms are expected to form across eastern Colorado tomorrow afternoon and move into western Kansas in the evening. It is hard to tell how long these storms will remain intact as they trek eastward across the remainder of the CWA. An upper level high then west of the area Thursday through the first part of next week suppressing any activity from forming across western Kansas. As for temperatures, highs Wednesday look to range from the mid 80s north to upper mid to upper 90s along the KS/OK border. Highs then dip into the upper 90s to low 90s Thursday then rebound into the upper 90s to around 100 degrees by this weekend. Lows during this time frame will generally be in the 60s with low 70s across portions of south central Kansas.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 528 AM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026
Gusty southwest winds at 15 to 20 knots will develop by 18z today as a cold front moves towards southwest Kansas. These gusty southerly winds will then decrease as the cold front moves into southwest Kansas between 21z today and 00z Wednesday. At Garden City and Hays around 00z Wednesday the winds will even shift to the north as this surface boundary passes. This cold front will move south across the remainder of southwest Kansas overnight. Clear/mostly clear skies will give way to increase mid to high clouds this afternoon and VFR ceilings can be expected overnight. Ceilings will be at or above 9000ft AGL tonight. There will also be a slight chance for thunderstorms in the Hays area between 04z and 09z.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ066-080-081-088>090.
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