textproduct: State College

SYNOPSIS

* Showers ending from northwest to southeast early today * A weak shortwave trough passing by to our north on Sunday will bring gusty winds and the potential for light rain or snow showers across the northern tier Sunday afternoon with flurries lingering Sunday evening * Mild pattern with rain prior to Thanksgiving turns decidedly colder with wind and lake effect snow possible on Thanksgiving and continuing into Friday

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/

Showers will quickly taper off from northwest to southeast by late morning or early afternoon.

Clouds will take some time to break, but expect some sun later today.

Temperatures will be close to normal.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/

Fast flow across the northern states will keep things moving the next few days.

In our neck of the woods, surface ridging will support a drying trend later today. The clearing will support lows in the 20s by Sunday morning.

An upper level trough pivoting through the Great Lakes may deliver some rain/snow showers to the northern tier on Sunday. We'll also see westerly winds gust 25-35 mph late Sunday as winds at the top of a well mixed BL increase to near 45 mph.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

Monday should feature a good amount of sunshine, as high pressure builds into the area. Temperatures will be similar to Sunday.

Showers will work into the area from west to east on Tuesday and linger into Wednesday, as a cold front moves across the area. Temperatures on Wednesday will be on the mild side to start, but will fall during the aft.

Colder air wrapping around the system could produce some lake effect snow in the northwest mountains starting on Thanksgiving day, with some potential for more widespread snow showers making their way down to Interstate 80 on Friday. Wind gusts in excess of 30 mph are possible both Thursday and Friday.

Winds and POPS were adjusted up some from earlier fcst. This based on a rather strong northwest flow of cold air over the Great Lakes.

AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Widespread IFR/MVFR restrictions in place at sunrise Sat. Rain ends from NW to SE through 15Z with a drier flow from 300-330 degrees signaling a return to MVFR and VFR conditions by Saturday afternoon as clouds lift and scatter out.

Fog may return Saturday night.

Outlook...

Sun...Breezy with rain/snow showers possible northern tier.

Mon...VFR.

Tue...Breezy with periods of rain.

Wed...Breezy with rain showers, possibly turning to snow showers in the NW after dark.

CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.