textproduct: State College
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Risk of widespread severe weather and flooding has ended.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Drier weather for later Tuesday into Wednesday.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: Drier weather for later Tuesday into Wednesday.
Most of the showers and storms were to our southeast as of late evening.
Isolated showers and even a storm across the far southeast, as winds more from the east there, and the airmass is quite humid. Weakening trend last few radar frames.
Expect conditions to clear out late Tuesday morning into the afternoon hours, as high pressure builds into the area from the northern Great Plains.
An upper level disturbance moving through the region on Thursday and Friday will bring the next chance for showers and thunderstorms to Central PA, though there are still some timing differences in the models as to when the rain will be most likely.
Temperatures continue to warm up into the weekend, with most of the area expected to see highs in the 80s by Sunday. A major pattern change upstream over the Pacific/Intermountain West this weekend could spell a return of more typical hot and humid conditions to close out June and begin July.
AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Surface winds holding from the north early this evening helping keep the risk of storms mainly south of central PA.
Still have to watch the overall situation over the next few hours, as some models crank up the showers later tonight.
Overall the main issue will be a wide range of conditions overnight with low clouds and fog in many spots expected.
Conditions should improve later Tuesday morning into Tuesday aft.
Outlook...
Wed...Mainly VFR, dry conditions expected.
Thu...Restrictions possible in another round of showers and storms late.
Fri-Sat...Restrictions possible in additional showers and storms.
CLIMATE
5th driest June 2026 (MTD) on record (of 132 years) at Williamsport with total monthly precip 0.73"
9th warmest average high temperature of 84.4 degrees at Harrisburg for June 2026 (MTD) on record (of 138 years) 10th driest June 2026 (MTD) on record at Harrisburg with total monthly precip of 0.58"
CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.