textproduct: State College
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
* No significant changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Hottest temperatures of the year so far forecast early next week
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: Hottest temperatures of the year so far forecast early next week
An anomalous upper ridge building over the east-central U.S. will deliver summerlike conditions over the weekend through the first part of next week. Max temps are on track to peak in the mid 80s to lower 90s Monday and Tuesday and could challenge daily records in some locations. Manual adjustments were made to lower NBM maxT by a few degrees due to a known systematic bias correction issue identified during the shoulder seasons. This should also keep max heat indices under 100F for the most part. However, heat risk impacts will continue to be monitored given the quick ramp-up in heat and limited acclimation time.
A cold front accompanied by showers/t-storms brings relief next Wednesday into Thursday. Temperatures are forecast to cool down back to historical/climo averages for late May for the end of next week.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
VFR conditions expected tonight with decreasing clouds and wind. VFR continues for most of Saturday with sct showers or an isolated t-storm possible mainly over the western airfields from late afternoon into early Saturday night.
Outlook...
Sat-Sat Night...Chance of showers/isolated t-storm mainly over the western terminals.
Sun-Tue...Mainly VFR. Patchy A.M. fog. Isolated P.M. shower or t-storm possible.
Wed...Restrictions probable through Wednesday night with showers/storms along CFROPA.
CLIMATE
Daily record max temperature for May 18-19:
5/18 5/19 Harrisburg 94 in 1962 95 in 1962 Williamsport 95 in 1962 96 in 1996 Altoona 91 in 1962/1996/2017 92 in 1996 Bradford 85 in 1962 85 in 1962 State College 92 in 1962 92 in 1934/1996
Please note: State College Co-operative observations are a 24-hour summary taken once per day around 7 AM (7AM-7AM). Therefore, a max temp occurring in the daylight or late in the day is usually reported in the _next_ day's observation. Also, the same min temp may be reported on two consecutive days if the min occurs at observation time.
CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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