textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 638 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026
- Moderate Rip Current Risk today through Tuesday.
- Minor coastal flooding possible the latter part of the week.
- Shower and thunderstorm chances increase this weekend with the arrival of a cold front.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 121 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026
A few very weak showers will continue to stream northward across S TX this afternoon and again starting early Tuesday morning. These weak showers will likely only produce trace amounts and most locations will remain dry.
Otherwise, the work week will generally be dry with above normal temperatures. The next chance of showers and thunderstorms is Saturday and Sunday associated with a cold front. Chances are low to medium (20-45%). Forecasted temperatures behind the front on Sunday will be a few degrees below normal with highs in the 70s area-wide. Due to model discrepancies and this weekend being several days out, confidence is low that the cold front will move through S TX. The forecast will continue to be fine tuned as the weekend approaches. So, stayed tuned!
There is a Moderate Rip Current Risk today through Tuesday due to swell periods 6-8 seconds, and southeast winds 10-15 knots. Minor coastal flooding is not expected but can not be ruled out through Wednesday. The PETSS indicates increasing tide levels the latter part of the week, which may lead to water reaching the dunes at high tide starting Thursday. The better chance of coastal flooding is expected behind the weekend cold front. This is due to forecasted winds out of the northeast at 20-25 knots along with an increasing swell period. The swells may also lead to an increasing rip current risk. This all hinges on frontal passage.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 638 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through later this evening before falling back to MVFR levels overnight. A return to VFR is forecast to occur around mid to late Tuesday morning. Current breezy SE winds will decouple over the next few hours to below 12 knots, but gusty winds will resume by late Tuesday morning.
MARINE
Issued at 121 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026
A Moderate to Fresh (BF 4-5) onshore flow will persist through the week. A brief strong (BF 6) breeze will be possible each afternoon from south of Port Aransas to Baffin Bay. A strong onshore flow is expected to develop across all marine zones on Friday with advisory conditions possible. Winds relax Saturday, then shift to the northeast early Sunday followed by an increase to a Fresh to possibly a strong flow in response to a cold front. Low rain chances (<15%) expected through the end of the workweek but increase this weekend as the cold front moves across the region.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 121 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026
The chance for wetting rains through the work week are very low (<10%) along with continued above normal temperatures. Moderate onshore flow (10-20 mph) will generally keep minimum RH values above 30-40% range during the period. Based on the forecasted above normal moisture and low ERC values, elevated fire weather is not expected at this time. The chance of thunderstorms increases over the weekend as a cold front moves across South Texas.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 71 83 71 84 / 10 10 0 0 Victoria 69 84 69 85 / 10 10 0 0 Laredo 73 92 72 91 / 10 0 10 10 Alice 70 87 70 88 / 10 10 0 10 Rockport 72 82 73 83 / 10 10 0 0 Cotulla 71 90 71 89 / 10 0 10 20 Kingsville 71 85 71 86 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 73 80 73 80 / 10 10 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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