textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 637 PM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

- Locally heavy rainfall, small hail, gusty winds possible along and behind a cold frontal passage Saturday into Sunday

- Above normal temperatures continue through Friday, transitioning to below normal Sunday into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 229 PM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

Overall, no significant changes to the ongoing forecast. Some weak s/w energy will cross our northern counties this afternoon resulting in a slight chance of showers. Otherwise warm and breezy/windy conditions will continue with temperatures ranging from the mid- upper 90s out west to the mid 80s east (about 10 degrees above normal). Similar conditions can be expected tomorrow (Friday).

A broad cyclone will develop across the northern plains Friday Night before moving over the Great Lakes region on Saturday. This will send a cold frontal boundary across Texas Saturday and through our forecast area Saturday night. The combination of abundant moisture with PWATs 1.8-2.0, mid level PVA and diffluence aloft will result in high (70-90%) chance for showers and thunderstorms. Best chances for rain will occur from Saturday Evening through Sunday. There are still model discrepancies with EC being most progressive and GFS hanging the H85 front to the north of the area through early Monday maintaining the potential for stratiform rain.

Temperatures will be much cooler Sunday and Monday with highs mainly in the 60s and lows in the 50s, before a gradual warming trend commences Tuesday and beyond.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 637 PM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

VFR conditions should prevail for the next few hours before MVFR ceilings redevelop tonight around 03-06z across the eastern sites and 07-08z across the western sites. The eastern sites will have a low to medium chance to see periods of IFR ceilings from 06-10z. Although winds will decrease overnight, windy conditions will continue through this TAF cycle.

MARINE

Issued at 229 PM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

A period of fresh to strong breeze is expected to continue over the southern bays and nearshore waters through this afternoon where a Small Craft Advisory remains in effect. Moderate to fresh southeasterly winds will generally persist through Saturday afternoon. Seas will generally run 4-6 ft through Saturday morning increasing to 5-7 feet Saturday afternoon through Sunday. Isolated showers can be expected through Saturday morning with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms Saturday evening through Monday morning as a cold front moves through. Fresh to strong breeze is expected Sunday through early Monday in the wake of the front with northeast winds around 25 knots.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 229 PM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026

Minimum relative humidity values are expected to hover just above 30% over the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains through Friday with breezy southeasterly flow containing. Rain chances increase significantly over the weekend (60 to 90%) as a cold front moves through the area. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches will be possible through early Monday. Cool and breezy conditions will persist early next week in the wake of the front.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 71 84 71 85 / 10 10 20 50 Victoria 69 85 69 84 / 10 10 10 60 Laredo 73 97 74 88 / 20 10 30 70 Alice 70 90 70 89 / 10 0 20 60 Rockport 72 83 72 82 / 10 10 20 50 Cotulla 72 95 72 86 / 20 10 40 80 Kingsville 70 88 70 88 / 0 0 20 50 Navy Corpus 72 80 73 80 / 10 10 30 40

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.