textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 515 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

- Hard freeze northern inland areas tonight with a light freeze southern inland areas. Wind chill values as low as 18. - Low to medium rain chances mid-week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1148 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Only small adjustments to forecast expectations for tonight. Min temps have trended up just slightly, mainly for southern areas, but still think most inland areas will freeze for a couple of hours at least. The flies in the ointment here are in wind direction and also with moisture above the surface pushing in from the south. First the winds, we will start to veer the winds more northeast to east, and especially along the coast this will be a flow off of the warmer water. However, the wind speeds are pretty light, and not anticipating this having a huge impact very far inland, thus the inland freeze warning and not coastal zones. The bigger impact depending on timing could be from the 900-850 mb moisture advection and eventually an increase in cloud cover. If this happens too early it'll put a serious damper on cooling in our southern counties late in the night. With lower confidence in the timing, do not want to stray from the more impactful freeze messaging at this time - keeping the forecast to the colder solution. There's definitely some potential though for southern counties to stay above freezing. Northern counties are less likely to see the clouds move in before peak cooling and should fall below freezing for few hours, and a hard freeze is still possible.

We'll build a mid-level ridge Sunday into Monday with quiet weather and warming temperatures. The pattern gets a bit more active again by mid-week with a shortwave on Tuesday, then another front Tuesday night or early Wednesday. Temperatures will warm into the 70s and possible lower 80s inland Tuesday ahead of the front before falling back to more seasonal levels Wednesday through the end of the week. A few showers will be possible mainly Tuesday night into Wednesday with the front, but primarily only in the Coastal Plains. We could see some fog along the coast Monday night into Tuesday as water temperatures have fallen back into the lower 50s in the bays and dewpoints in the upper 50s are likely at that time. Inland fog is less likely as surface winds are forecast to stay a bit elevated overnight.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 515 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

VFR conditions can be expected across the region for the remainder of the TAF cycle. This will be accompanied by relatively light winds and mostly clear skies with a few high clouds.

MARINE

Issued at 1148 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Strong northerly winds will continue in open waters through early this afternoon before subsiding later this afternoon and evening. Winds will shift around to the southeast by Sunday evening. Wind speeds will increase again Monday night into Tuesday to moderate or strong levels. There is a low chance for showers Tuesday and Wednesday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1148 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Relative humidity values fall to low levels (<30%) this afternoon but winds will remain generally at moderate levels. RH come up tomorrow as onshore flow returns to the region. ERC values remain generally low, and the potential for critical fire conditions is low. There is a low chance for showers toward the middle of next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 34 62 47 70 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 24 59 38 70 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 34 62 47 72 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 30 63 43 72 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 33 58 47 67 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 28 60 42 71 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 31 64 45 72 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 42 60 53 68 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Cold Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Sunday for TXZ229>234-246-247.

Freeze Warning from 10 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Sunday for TXZ229>234-239>244-246-247.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for GMZ250-255- 270-275.