textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1135 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

- Areas of fog and sea fog, possibly dense with visibilities less than 1/2 of a mile.

- Low chance of showers Tuesday across the Victoria Crossroads, then again Saturday.

- Weak cold front next weekend?

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1135 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

The potential for dense fog and sea fog remains the main concern for the upcoming week. The caveat will be an increase in clouds in the upper levels, which will inhibit radiational cooling. Models are in pretty good agreement that there will be fog late tonight into Monday morning, but differ on intensity. The SREF probability of visibility less than 1 mile by early Monday morning, shows up to an 85% around the northern Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads and around a 50% chance around the Alice area, with lower probabilities of 30-40% along the coast. Across the Rio Grande Plains, there is a very low chance. For now, will keep the mention of areas of fog and dense fog for Monday morning. The SREF shows a lower probability Tuesday morning, likely due to an increase in cloud cover and slightly stronger winds. Thus will not mention fog at this time for Tuesday morning, but this may change with later updates.

As for sea fog, the dewpoints have increased and are approaching 60 near the coastline. Guidance indicates dewpoints will increase to the low to mid 60s tonight while sea surface temperatures are around 60 degrees. This is borderline for advection/sea fog to develop. For now will keep the mention of patchy fog with visibilities greater than 1 mile for Monday morning across the bays and nearshore waters. Will continue to monitor trends for any updates.

Models have backed off on rain chances Tuesday and Tuesday night. The upper level short wave is now forecast to be slower and farther north with the rain just skirting the northern portions of the CWA. There are a couple of models that have held on to upper short wave being farther south and slightly faster, but even those models have backed off on rain chances. Rain chances are very low with around 5% across the southern CWA to around 15% across the northern CWA.

Models are indicating a weak cold front moving through S TX next Saturday bringing a low chance of showers. Not much Cold Air Advection, though, with temps only being 3-5 degrees lower behind the front. There remains a lot of uncertainty with next weekend's cold front with updates likely. Otherwise, temperatures will be 10- 15 degrees above normal during the work week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1135 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the afternoon and evening. MVFR/IFR conditions can be expected generally after 06Z tonight, with periods of IFR/LIFR after 08Z, mainly for ALI, CRP and VCT. This is due to fog/dense fog and low CIGs developing across the eastern 1/2 of S TX. The fog is expected to lift by Monday mid morning with VFR conditions through the remainder of Monday. LRD and COT are expected to remain VFR through the TAF cycle, but can not rule out brief MVFR conditions Monday morning. Another round of fog with IFR/LIFR conditions are expected late Monday night/Tuesday morning. Winds will generally be light from the S-SE this afternoon. Occasional gusts to 20 knots can be expected for the CRP TAF site through the afternoon.

MARINE

Issued at 1135 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore flow can be expected to continue through Friday. A fresh (BF 5) breeze may develop next weekend. The threat for marine fog over the bays and nearshore waters will increase with the potential of developing each night and morning through the week. An upper level disturbance will bring a low (5-20%) chance of showers for Tuesday through Wednesday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1135 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Minimum relative humidity values (RH) will remain elevated with 30% or higher across the west to 45% and higher across the east through the week. However, a weak cold front this weekend may drop the RH to 20% across the west, but confidence is low. The Energy Release Component (ERC) values are forecast to be less than 74 percentile through Tuesday. Winds will be relatively light with occasional gusts to 15-20 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are not anticipated through Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 56 79 61 77 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 55 80 58 78 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 57 85 61 83 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 53 83 57 81 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 57 73 61 74 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 54 85 57 81 / 0 0 0 10 Kingsville 55 82 58 80 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 60 73 63 73 / 0 0 0 10

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.