textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1210 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
- Low to moderate chance for showers and thunderstorms across the southern half of the area Thursday.
- Above-normal temperatures persist through the forecast period.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1210 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
Minimal change is expected in the overall pattern through the next several days as a mid-level ridge continues to influence the South Texas region. Adequate moisture in the area combined with daytime heating, will allow for up to a 50-65% chance for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon primarily across the southern Brush Country. Otherwise, mainly dry conditions are expected through the weekend, with only a low chance for isolated showers into early next week associated with the sea breeze.
Above-normal temperatures will continue through the period across the region. Afternoon heat index values will generally range between 100-109 degrees, while overnight lows remain quite warm in the mid to high 70's. These conditions will prevail through the weekend and into early next week.
Glancing ahead to the middle of next week, guidance continues to indicate the potential for a possible disturbance to approach or move across the area. However, notable differences remain among the models regarding its evolution, timing, and potential impacts. Given the continued uncertainty this far out, will refrain from making any significant changes to the forecast until better agreement emerges.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1210 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
VFR conditions are expected through this TAF cycle except for a few hours at COT, from 11-13z with some broken ceilings that could develop. Winds will be light overnight and increase late tomorrow morning into the afternoon.
MARINE
Issued at 1210 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) east to southeasterly flow is expected to persist throughout the forecast period with seas between 2-4 feet. Low rain chances continue daily into the middle of next week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1210 AM CDT Thu Sep 24 2026
Humidity levels remain elevated with minimum RH values staying above 35% for counties out west and winds are expected to remain light. Thus elevated fire weather conditions are not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 93 79 93 77 / 20 0 10 0 Victoria 100 73 100 72 / 10 10 0 0 Laredo 98 76 99 76 / 40 10 10 0 Alice 96 75 97 74 / 30 0 10 0 Rockport 93 80 93 79 / 10 0 10 0 Cotulla 98 75 99 75 / 10 0 0 0 Kingsville 95 77 95 75 / 20 0 10 0 Navy Corpus 91 82 90 82 / 20 0 10 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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