textproduct: Corpus Christi

DISCUSSION

Issued at 508 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Surface high pressure will continue to shift southeastward towards the area today into Friday morning, while at the mid-lvls heights will begin to rise as ridging builds upstream of the area. The encroaching surface high will support continued relaxation of the winds and this along with the cool/dry airmass will result in a fairly chilly morning, with lows ranging from the upper 30s over the Interior to the mid 40s closer to the coast. Today will be an excellent day weather-wise with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s, low humidity, sunny skies, and light winds... just about perfect as far as I am concerned. Another chilly night is expected tonight as the same favorable radiational cooling parameters will be in place Friday morning. The warming trend will commence on Friday and forecast highs will be about 10 degrees warmer than today as the weakening high slides off to the southeast and weak southwest flow develops.

The warm conditions persist through the weekend into early next week as moderate SWrly flow prevails along the western flank of surface high pressure centered over the NE Gulf. No precipitation is expected through Monday as the subsident influence of the ridge remains dominant, although we will at least begin to see an increase in high-lvl cloud cover by Sunday as the ridge axis shifts east of the area. We are still monitoring a progressive southern-stream shortwave which looks to pass through the area in the Tuesday time frame. At this time its amplitude + trajectory would favor northern portions of the area in terms of precipitation chances, but being 5+ days out details are still lacking.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 508 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF cycle at area terminals under light and variable winds.

MARINE

Issued at 1109 PM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

Fresh north-northeasterly winds will decrease fairly rapidly this morning becoming light to gentle by this afternoon. Southwesterly winds will briefly strengthen to moderate levels on Friday before decreasing back to the light range on Saturday. Seas will also quickly decrease from 4 to 6 ft to 3 ft or less by this afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1109 PM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

Although winds will be much lighter today into Friday as high pressure moves over the area, minRHs will still drop into the 20-30% range and ERCs increase into the 70-85th percentile range. Consequently elevated fire conditions are expected this afternoon, with even drier conditions (minRHs dropping into the teens) expected on Friday and potentially into Saturday. Although the lack of appreciable winds will preclude Red Flag Products, fire danger statements may be needed each day through Saturday particularly for the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains where RHs will be lowest and ERCs highest.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 68 41 79 47 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 68 40 81 45 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 71 42 80 46 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 70 39 80 45 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 64 46 73 51 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 70 39 80 43 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 69 39 80 45 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 63 48 73 53 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for GMZ250-255-270-275.