textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1140 PM CST Sun Jan 4 2026

- Above normal temperatures and dry conditions continue through the middle of next week ahead of a cold front by the end of the week.

- Areas of fog possible each morning through the work week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1140 PM CST Sun Jan 4 2026

Increasing moisture combined with light winds and dry air aloft, will be conducive for fog to develop through Monday morning, then another round Monday night into Tuesday morning. According to the SREF, there is a 30-70% chance of visibilities less than 1SM from Alice to Beeville westward Monday morning. The HRRR and RAP also prog areas of fog across inland portions of the Coastal Plains and Brush Country. There is some uncertainty as to how dense the fog will get and how widespread, thus will hold off issuing a Dense Fog Advisory for now. Models indicate another round of fog Monday night into Tuesday, but show the lower visibilities farther west with little to no fog across the southern Coastal Bend due to slightly stronger winds. However, model soundings look conducive for fog development across the Coastal Bend Tuesday morning. Needless to say, the fog forecast is tricky with low confidence. For now, will continue with patchy to areas of fog for both Monday and Tuesday mornings across the Coastal Bend to the Rio Grande Plains. The potential for fog will continue each morning through the work week as low level moisture and upper level dryness continues across S TX.

Otherwise, well above normal temperatures will continue through the week ahead of the next cold front. The cold front is forecast to move through S TX Friday. Temperatures are expected to be more seasonal behind this cold front. Models had been showing a low rain chance by the weekend, but have since lowered the chance to <10%. The rain chances may fluctuate with the next several updates as models vary on the amount of available moisture and timing of the cold front which could determine if it rains or not. A 20% continues across the Coastal Waters.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1140 PM CST Sun Jan 4 2026

Moisture is gradually increasing from east to west across the area with low clouds and minor vis reductions beginning along the coast. Expect flight categories to gradually worsen overnight with periods of IFR to LIFR especially for eastern sites, but should eventually also reach COT and LRD. Tomorrow night expect winds will be a bit more elevated and limit fog potential. VFR conditions are expected through the daytime period on Monday with wind gusts to moderate levels east.

MARINE

Issued at 1140 PM CST Sun Jan 4 2026

A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) east to southeast flow will continue through Monday, then briefly strengthen to a fresh(BF 5) Monday night. Onshore winds strengthen to strong (BF 6) Wednesday night and continues through Thursday. Winds weaken ahead of a cold front Friday morning, then shift northward Friday afternoon. A strong (BF 6) redevelops Friday night. Areas of sea fog will be possible daily through Friday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1140 PM CST Sun Jan 4 2026

Relative humidity will remain above 30% through Thursday before our next cold front pushes through Friday, leading to a drier period with afternoon RH values ranging as low as 15-30% next weekend. However, winds will likely remain below thresholds. Elevated fire weather concerns are not anticipated at this time, but can not be ruled out.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 79 64 83 64 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 79 62 83 61 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 82 60 83 61 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 83 62 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 76 64 78 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 79 59 83 59 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 82 63 85 62 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 75 67 76 66 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.