textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 234 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

- Drier period from Sunday into the upcoming week with Moderate HeatRisk becoming more widespread.

- High rip current risk through Sunday and low confidence in seeing minor coastal flooding at high tide

DISCUSSION

Issued at 234 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

A shortwave disturbance is lifting into the Central Plains, resulting in a sub-tropical jet streak remaining in place across much of Texas through Monday. This and coastal troughing extending from the Bay of Campeche is keeping PWATs near 2.00-2.25". This will keep 30-50% rain chances along the coast for this afternoon with little in terms of convective storms. This shouldn't be a wash out but will keep the area mostly cloudy today. Overnight, this broad area of light shower activity will continue with the HRRR showing more convective storms Monday morning with a possible outflow/seabreeze pushing rain chances inland Monday afternoon.

High pressure then settles in for the remainder of the week with temperatures trending back into the 90s and in the low 100s across the Rio Grande Plains/northern Brush Country by the upcoming weekend. As such, the Moderate Heat Risk (level 2 of 4) will become more widespread through the week with areas of Major HeatRisk (level 3 of 4) showing up from Thursday.

With respect to the rip current risk, persistent southeasterly winds and increased swell periods will keep the risk at high, though by Tuesday, winds decrease allowing for the risk to be more on the moderate side. With respect to coastal flooding, it still looks marginal for minor coastal flooding. At worst, it looks like motorists may briefly see tighter beach roads along the dunes, but this will be short-lived.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 234 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Overnight storms across the Brush Country have decreased and fizzled out. A scatter of MVFR/IFR CIGs will remain through 14Z and then returning to VFR conditions outside of a shower, though coastal terminals may see the MVFR CIGs last into the afternoon. PROB30 groups were added for terminals across the coastal plains for stratiform rain reducing CIGs and VIS in the strongest showers. Winds will increase to 10-15 kts out of the southeast this afternoon.

MARINE

Issued at 234 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Expect moderate to fresh southeasterly breezes (BF 4-5) and 4-5 ft seas through at least Tuesday. SCEC conditions will be expected through the day today mainly in the nearshore waters. 30-50% chances of showers and thunderstorms will be greatest along the nearshore waters of the western Gulf through Monday afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 234 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Thanks to the rainfalls in May, the green-up continues across South Texas. This and in combination with minimum relative humidity values remaining above 40% will keep the fire risk low. Rain chances today will be greatest across along the coastal plains (30-50% chance) and into the Brush Country Monday. High pressure then settles in limiting the rain chances through the remainder of the week, with just short-lived, isolated showers in the afternoons associated with the sea breeze.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 88 80 88 79 / 30 30 50 0 Victoria 87 77 89 75 / 30 10 20 0 Laredo 95 77 94 77 / 0 0 20 0 Alice 90 77 90 77 / 20 10 40 0 Rockport 89 82 90 81 / 30 20 30 0 Cotulla 96 77 94 76 / 0 0 20 10 Kingsville 88 78 88 77 / 20 20 50 0 Navy Corpus 87 82 88 82 / 40 30 50 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for TXZ345-442-443- 447.

GM...None.