textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 500 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

- Low to medium rain chances (30-60%) Wednesday through Friday, with greatest widespread chances on Thursday as a cold front pushes through

- Wind chill values will hover around freezing feels-like temperatures early this morning, especially over the Victoria Crossroads

- Full moon and northeasterly flow stretches raises concern for potential minor coastal flooding later this week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1205 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

A reinforcing surge of high pressure is currently pushing through South Texas, resulting in stronger nighttime winds over the Coastal Plains, and wind chill values early this morning will cause feels- like temperatures around freezing. The nocturnal inversion and low- level saturation is allowing for drizzle across the Coastal Bend ahead of the surge early this morning, expect this activity to quickly diminish in the wake. We'll see the sun today! More sunshine will allow for temperatures to climb between 55-65 this afternoon.

Temperatures will be swinging below to around normal into early next week as onshore flow and a surface coastal trough returns briefly Wednesday before another cold front pushes through Thursday morning, following by brief onshore flow later this weekend and yet another cold front early next week. Boundaries and onshore flow enhancing moisture to over the 75th percentile, will warrant low to medium (30- 60%) chances for showers Wednesday through Friday. Greatest chances and coverage Thursday along the front, with low chances lingering into this weekend. Overall, the environment is not favorable for thunderstorms inland with CAPE minimal, only contained thunderstorm mention over the waters and directly along the front Thursday.

Lastly, a full moon along with periods of moderate to strong northeasterly flow, will warrant close attention to the tide levels along the Middle Texas Coast late this week. P-ETSS is showing the confidence interval of the 10-90th percentile extending to around 1.8 ft MSL at Aransas Pass Thursday night into the weekend.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 500 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

IFR conditions associated with a low cloud deck continues to push offshore. Coastal terminals should see a return to VFR CIGs by sunrise with scattered high clouds thinning out through the afternoon. A weak southeasterly wind returns by 00Z with isolated patches of MVFR CIGs returning to the immediate coastline through the end of the TAF cycle.

MARINE

Issued at 1205 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

A reinforcing surge of high pressure is currently pushing through South Texas, resulting in a fresh to strong northerly breeze (BF 5- 6) and Small Craft Advisory conditions through this morning. Winds diminish to a gentle to moderate breeze (BF 3-4) later this afternoon, shifting onshore Wednesday morning. Another cold front is expected to push through Thursday morning, bringing another wave of fresh to strong northeasterly flow in the wake through Thursday night. Winds weaken to gentle to moderate heading into the weekend, with wind direction varying. Moderate rain chances Wednesday will increase to medium to high, 60-90%, Thursday through Friday. Low rain chances linger through Saturday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1205 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected into early next week. Winds will remain light to moderate inland, predominately out of the north to northeast. Minimum relative humidity may briefly drop below 30% this afternoon over the Brush Country but winds will be very light. Every afternoon into early next week is expected to have minimum relative humidity above 30%. Low to medium rain chances Wednesday through Friday, with greatest chances over the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads. Brief onshore flow returns Wednesday before another cold front pushes through Thursday, then another early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 59 49 69 58 / 0 0 30 40 Victoria 58 42 67 51 / 0 0 40 60 Laredo 64 50 75 58 / 0 0 0 10 Alice 60 47 69 55 / 0 0 10 30 Rockport 59 53 72 58 / 0 0 40 60 Cotulla 63 45 70 52 / 0 0 0 20 Kingsville 60 48 71 57 / 0 0 20 30 Navy Corpus 60 55 72 62 / 0 0 40 50

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ231-232-236-237- 250-255-270-275.