textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1211 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

- Cold front this afternoon, followed by another late Friday night into Saturday morning

- Elevated fire weather this afternoon for the inland Coastal Plains and Brush Country

- Low chance (20-40%) for freezing temperatures from La Salle to Victoria counties early Sunday morning

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1211 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

A dry cold front is currently approaching our northern tier counties, it is expected to pass through South Texas entirely by this evening. In the wake of the front, breezy northerly winds will filter in along with relative humidity values dropping below 40%. Elevated fire weather conditions are expected for those over the inland Coastal Plains and Brush Country this afternoon.

Southerly flow returns Thursday night through Friday for a brief warmup, before another cold front pushes through late Friday night into Saturday. Surface high pressure centers over South Texas Saturday night into Sunday morning, providing an efficient radiational cooling event with light northeasterly winds and clear skies. Early Sunday morning will be our coldest lows, with much of inland South Texas in the 30s and our northern tier counties from La Salle to Victoria containing a low (20-40%) chance of reaching freezing according to the NBM.

The surface high shifts east of us by Sunday night, returning onshore flow and another brief warm window Monday with highs back in the 70s. Another cold front looks to push into South Texas late Monday night into Tuesday with a surface coastal low developing soon after into the middle of next week. The combination of the front, surface coastal low, and PWATs in the 99th percentile will set the stage for our next rain chances which at this time sits at least 20- 40% Monday night through Wednesday. Both ECENS and GEFS mean have precipitation totals through next Wednesday between 0.25-0.75"; not enough to improve reservoir levels, but soil and vegetation would benefit.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1211 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. A cold front is currently pushing its way southward across South Texas. North to northwesterly winds will be breezy this afternoon, with sustained 15-20 knots and gusts nearing as high as 30 knots. Winds decrease tonight, remaining under mostly clear skies. No rain chances.

MARINE

Issued at 1211 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) westerly breeze will shift north and increase to a fresh to strong breeze (BF 5-6) later this afternoon through Thursday morning in response to a cold front moving offshore. A Small Craft Advisory will be in effect from 2 PM this afternoon through Noon on Thursday. Winds will diminish to gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) Thursday afternoon into Thursday night. A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) southerly breeze returns early Friday before another cold front stalls across the area this upcoming weekend, shifting winds out of the northeast and occasionally fresh to strong (BF 5-6). Low rain chances (20%) Saturday then return Monday and increase to a moderate (35-45%) chance by Tuesday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1211 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon behind a cold front, mainly over the inland Coastal Plains and Brush Country, with breezy northerly winds and relative humidity dropping to 20-30%. Borderline elevated fire weather conditions will continue each afternoon through this weekend as another cold front pushes across late Friday night into Saturday. However, winds will be notably weaker over land following this afternoon. Moisture increases early next week ahead of another front, bringing low (20- 40%) rain chances.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 43 65 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 38 63 41 74 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 42 69 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 40 67 41 77 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 46 63 51 72 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 39 67 42 75 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 41 66 43 77 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 50 63 54 72 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST Thursday for GMZ231-232-236-237.

Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Thursday for GMZ250-255-270- 275.