textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1229 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

- Low-end (10-20%) rain chances this afternoon with minimal rainfall

- Warm Christmas week

- Cold front for the last weekend of the year resulting in below- normal temps in the upcoming week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1229 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Minimal changes to the inherited forecast package were required today. A few showers are currently affecting portions of the Coastal Plains, therefore a 10-20% chance of precipitation remains in place. Additional showers could develop across the area Wednesday and Thursday, but will be mostly limited to the coastal and marine zones. The rest of the week is shaping to be warm, with patchy to areas of fog likely developing nightly. A strong cold front is progged to move through the region Sunday night into Monday morning resulting in breezy northerly winds, additional rain chances (20-30%), and below normal temperatures.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Current MVFR ceilings will lift to VFR levels over the next few hours with VFR conditions then prevailing through the evening. Tonight, conditions are forecast to deteriorate to IFR/LIFR levels due to another round of fog and low ceilings, with these general conditions persisting through the late morning hours on Wednesday. There is a (10-20%) chance o showers this afternoon across South Texas, but confidence in affecting any of the sites is low, therefore have kept it out of the TAFs for now.

MARINE

Issued at 1229 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

A generally gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore flow will persist across the coastal waters through late in the week. A cold front Sunday morning will result in winds being more out of the northeast at a strong to near-gale strength (BF 6-7) with seas increasing to 5-7 ft by Monday morning. Aside from some streamer showers today (10-20% chance of rain), the next best chance comes with the cold front though confidence is low on exact chances.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1229 PM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

Light winds, relative humidity values remaining above 40%, and Energy Release Components in the 25-49th percentile will keep the fire risk limited into the weekend. This afternoon, there are low chances (10-20%) of isolated showers with light accumulations. The remainder of the week remains warm and dry. A cold front is forecast to move through on Sunday with min RH values below 30% Monday and Tuesday. Breezy conditions on Monday could result in elevated fire weather concerns. Low end rain chances on Sunday will be scattered in coverage (20-30% chances).

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 66 79 65 80 / 0 10 0 0 Victoria 63 80 61 81 / 0 10 0 0 Laredo 67 84 66 84 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 63 82 62 82 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 65 76 64 76 / 0 10 0 0 Cotulla 65 82 64 83 / 10 0 0 0 Kingsville 65 82 64 82 / 0 10 0 0 Navy Corpus 67 75 67 75 / 0 10 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.