textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 551 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026

- Low to moderate (30-60%) rain chances today, mainly along the coast and Coastal Bend. Highest chances will be across the coastal waters.

- Minor coastal flooding will remain possible through the week.

- Moderate Rip Current Risk today through Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 200 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026

The weak disturbance has made its way inland, bringing in those isolated showers which provided some relief from the heat this afternoon. There is still a chance for showers but that will ultimately remain near to offshore for this evening.

The weather pattern over the South Texas region is expected to remain relatively calm throughout the rest of the forecast period. This is mainly due to influence from ridging conditions over the area, keeping temperatures near or above the typical seasonal average. Conditions this weekend will be slightly drier after that low moves through the area.

Glancing ahead mid to late next week, models are hinting at chances of a possible front moving through the South Texas region. Confidence remains low at this time but will continued to be monitored as the week progresses.

Minor coastal flooding still remains likely through the beginning of next week with more easterly flow of winds. Swells are elevated around 7 to 8 seconds, which can pose a moderate rip current risk.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 551 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026

VFR to MVFR conditions will be expected to persist to begin the TAF period as moisture in the region has allowed for low CIGs and some areas of patchy fog. Some residual shower activity will be continuing to track westwards through daybreak affecting the CRP and ALI terminals and eventually the LRD terminal this afternoon. IFR conditions will remain in LRD for the next few hours with conditions expected to gradually improve around midmorning. All sites are generally expected to return to VFR by late morning to early afternoon from east to west. Winds across all terminals are shifting from east to southeasterly flow and remaining light through the TAF period except for in and around storms.

MARINE

Issued at 200 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026

Mainly a gentle to moderate easterly flow (BF 3-4) with occasionally fresh conditions can generally be expected through the period with winds shifting more onshore by this weekend. A moderate to high rain chance today will taper off by Wednesday night.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 200 AM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026

Near to slightly above normal temperatures will continue across South Texas through much of the forecast period week, with highs generally ranging from the low to upper 80s through the end of the week then temperatures gradually cool by a few degrees as we head into the middle of next week. Atmospheric moisture will generally maintain minimum RH values above critical thresholds across most locations. Winds will generally remain below 15 mph.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 83 64 84 69 / 20 0 0 0 Victoria 88 57 86 61 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 86 66 88 68 / 30 0 0 0 Alice 84 60 85 65 / 30 0 0 0 Rockport 83 70 83 73 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 86 62 87 65 / 20 0 0 0 Kingsville 83 61 84 66 / 40 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 81 73 82 75 / 20 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.