textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 538 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

- Rain-free conditions later this afternoon through Friday as a dry cold front moves through the region.

- Low to medium rain chances return this weekend in response to another frontal boundary.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 158 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Looking to be a pretty cloudy day for the South Texas region, remaining mostly overcast through Thursday evening leading to another cool day with clearing skies expected Friday morning. The mid-level trough responsible for the recent rainfall has moved further east, allowing for a small reprieve from the rain. Expect mostly cooler temperatures with highs in the mid to high 70's and overnight lows dipping into the 50's for most of the CWA through today through Friday. With these temperatures, we can expect some areas of patchy fog to develop tomorrow morning near the Victoria Crossroads. Visibilities ranging between 1-4 miles, and 3-5 miles out in the Brush Country can generally be expected, but will ultimately increase by the early afternoon as diurnal heating burns of any fog that forms.

Guidance is suggesting a shortwave moving through our area late Friday night into Saturday morning as low-level onshore flow returns. This will increase moisture advection, bringing PWAT values to around 1.50-1.7", according to the GEFS Plumes, by Saturday. There's a low to moderate (30-50%) chance for showers and thunderstorms for Saturday into Sunday morning, with slightly higher chances along the coast. Will keep monitoring as guidance updates the closer we get to the weekend.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 538 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Conditions are improving across South Texas, MVFR ceilings linger for the next few hours over the Coastal Plains, impacting ALI/CRP/VCT, occasionally flopping to VFR. Whereas, VFR conditions prevail over LRD/COT. Winds will remain light out of the north and lead to patchy fog inland overnight into the early morning hours, as reflected by the TEMPOs at all sites with the exception of CRP. A reinforcing cold front will push through during the day Thursday, leading to upper-level clouds and continued VFR conditions with no rain chances.

MARINE

Issued at 158 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Gentle to moderate northerly winds will continue through tonight, before a cold front pushes through Thursday, strengthening northerly flow to moderate to fresh through the day. Winds decrease to light to gentle Friday, before shifting onshore Friday night. Southeasterly winds will strengthen to moderate to fresh Saturday. Another cold front will push through early next week, shifting moderate to fresh winds out of the north to northeast. Medium rain chances return Saturday through next Monday, with the best chances over the waters late Sunday into Monday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 158 PM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected through the forecast period as minimum relative humidity values remain above 40 percent. Chance for showers returning this weekend, keeping the soils saturated.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 61 77 55 77 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 58 75 51 76 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 61 77 56 78 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 59 75 52 76 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 61 76 59 76 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 58 76 52 76 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 59 77 53 78 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 65 75 63 76 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.