textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 507 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

- Red Flag Warning in effect today due to Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions.

- Gale Warning in effect through this afternoon.

- Very warm temperatures return by the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1126 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

Now that the cold front has moved through and pushed out the moisture, the main concern in the forecast will be for fire weather conditions today and then very warm conditions and possibly a return of fire weather conditions mid-week.

High pressure will be building quickly to our northwest and competing against the front still off to our east to keep strong winds across especially eastern parts of the area the rest of tonight and through much of today. In addition a strong low level jet will be in place through mid-day. This along with very low RH values will result in critical fire weather conditions across much of the area again today. A few fires were noted on satellite Saturday as the dry air moved in.

We'll have a couple of quieter days Monday and Tuesday as the surface ridge shifts across the area. Temperatures will remain near normal for Monday, but begin another increase by Tuesday. Wednesday and Thursday will feature strong southerly flow at the surface and south to west flow above the surface - a good recipe for very warm temperatures. With winds quickly going southerly and only briefly southeasterly we wont see the moisture return we typically expect, and this, along with the soaring temperatures may lead to the somewhat unusual elevated fire weather conditions with southerly winds.

Another cold front moves through the area late in the week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 507 AM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

The Aviation Weather Center continues to highlight an area of LLWS across South Texas. This will begin to subside as surface winds increase due to the boundary layer mixing out (around 12Z). As such, no mentions of LLWS have made to the 12Z TAFs but worth keeping in mind for those early departures. VFR conditions will prevail through the next TAF cycle with NE winds decreasing below 10 kts beyond 03Z, with a more E'ly wind across the Rio Grande Plains.

MARINE

Issued at 1126 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

Strong northerly winds with frequent gusts of gale force will continue through mid-day Sunday. Fresh to strong flow will persist through late Sunday. Moderate to Fresh winds return for Monday and Tuesday, veering southerly. Another period of strong to near Gale Force winds - this time out of the south - is likely mid to late week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1126 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

A red flag warning is in effect today for most of the area with another day of strong northerly winds and very low relative humidity conditions expected behind the front that moves through yesterday. Winds will be slightly lower over the far western areas and have a fire danger statement there. Winds will subside going into early next week to lower the fire concern. RH values remain low to moderate through the week and another period of strong winds mid- week could lead to fire weather concerns once again.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 68 44 66 49 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 66 36 66 40 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 70 43 71 48 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 69 39 69 44 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 68 46 65 53 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 69 39 70 43 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 69 41 68 45 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 66 51 63 56 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Red Flag Warning from 9 AM this morning to 6 PM CST this evening for TXZ230>234-240>247-342>344-346-347.

GM...Gale Warning until noon CST today for GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255- 270-275.


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