textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 119 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026
- The chance for light rain continues tonight.
- Areas of fog possible early Wednesday morning.
- Frontal passage possible Thursday or Friday with rain chances returning by the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 119 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026
As of this afternoon, the heaviest rainfall has moved offshore, while lingering light showers/rain continues across portions of S TX. Models indicate additional light showers through the evening hours along with a few thunderstorms across the coastal waters.
Models are in fair agreement with the mid level trough and surface trough of low pressure tracking east overnight, and ending rain chances from west to east through Wednesday morning. In its wake, drier mid level air is progged to filter across S TX while low level moisture will remain in place. Combined with light winds, may allow for marginally efficient radiational fog to develop across inland portions of S TX where there are breaks in the clouds. A mid level ridge of high pressure is forecast to build across S TX through the remainder of the work week, maintaining very low to nil rain chances. A dry cold front is expected to reach S TX by Thursday and stall. Lots of uncertainty as to where the front stalls, but it will be the focus for rain over the weekend as an upper level trough approaches from the west. Not much cold air advection expected with this next cold front, but may be most noticeable Thursday and Friday nights with lows in the mid 50s to low 60s. Overall, expecting temps to be near to slightly above normal through the period.
Minor coastal flooding is not expected tonight, but could be close as tides will remain elevated through the next high tide this afternoon/evening. Will continue to monitor trends for any tides that are higher than currently expected.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 119 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026
Light to moderate rain will continue through this evening, then is expected to end from west to east overnight tonight. Patchy to areas of fog will be possible in the wake of the exiting rain, especially for inland locations. VSBYs could drop to IFR/LIFR at times toward early Wednesday morning. Regardless if fog develops, CIGs are also forecast to be at IFR/LIFR levels tonight through Wednesday morning.
MARINE
Issued at 119 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are expected through this evening, then ending from west to east overnight into Wednesday morning. Winds are expected to become light and variable as a surface low lifts northeast along the Texas coast. A cold front is forecast to move into South Texas Thursday or Friday and possibly stall across the area. If it moves through the area, a moderate to fresh northerly breeze may develop in its wake, then decreases through Friday morning.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 119 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026
Recent rainfall and additional rain chances through this evening will continue to keep the fire risk low through the next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 63 76 62 78 / 60 10 0 0 Victoria 60 76 59 77 / 70 10 0 0 Laredo 62 75 63 78 / 10 10 0 0 Alice 59 75 60 77 / 60 10 0 0 Rockport 63 77 63 79 / 60 20 0 0 Cotulla 59 74 59 76 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 60 76 60 79 / 40 10 0 0 Navy Corpus 67 76 67 76 / 60 10 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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