textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 521 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

- Fog development likely across the Coastal Bend this morning.

- Low relative humidity and dry fuels could lead to elevated fire weather concerns this week.

- Above average temperatures to continue this week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1134 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

A combination of low-level moisture, clear skies, and light, variable winds will provide a decent setup for efficient radiational cooling and fog development early this morning across the Coastal Bend. While overall fog conditions are expected to remain patchy, areas along the southern US-77 corridor could see dense fog at times, with visibilities dropping to 1/2 mile or less. Any fog development will lift by mid-morning.

Through the work week, an upper-level ridge will build over South Texas, promoting a dry and increasingly warm pattern. Rain chances are not expected during this period, and temperatures will gradually rise, with daytime highs climbing into the upper 80s to low 90s by mid-to-late-week. This warming trend is consistent with ensemble guidance indicating anomalously warm air aloft across southern Texas, supporting the likelihood of many locations experiencing high temperatures that are 10-15 degrees above average by midweek. Late in the week, a weak front is expected to move through, bringing a slight cooling trend but little to no rainfall.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 521 AM CST Mon Feb 16 2026

The expected fog has yet to develop, with models backing off dense fog developing for this morning. Still expecting some fog to develop, but categories shouldn't below MVFR. Another round of fog is expected tonight across the eastern sites.

MARINE

Issued at 1134 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

A north-northeasterly gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) breeze will continue tonight. Onshore flow returns by Monday afternoon with occasionally fresh (BF5) breezes by mid-to-late week. Dry conditions are expected through the rest of the week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1134 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

Minimum relative humidity values are forecast to stay below 30% mainly across the Brush Country and western Coastal Plains for the next couple days. While 20-foot winds will generally be below 10 mph, the drier air combined with Energy Release Component values in the 50th-69th percentile may lead to elevated fire weather conditions through Tuesday. After a brief reprieve on Wednesday, a gradual eastward shift of a dry line on Thursday will once again introduce minimum relative humidity values between 20-30% across much of the Brush Country and Coastal Plains and a potential for an elevated fire weather risk through the remainder of the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 77 59 80 63 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 77 54 80 60 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 86 59 90 61 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 83 55 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 75 61 78 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 84 56 89 59 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 81 56 84 61 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 71 62 74 65 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.