textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 604 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
-Flood Watch in effect area-wide through Monday as multiple rounds of storms bring a marginal to slight risk of flash flooding each day.
-Risk of river flooding this weekend with more rounds of storms.
- Another round of storms mid-week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 124 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
While the main show has moved through this afternoon, can't completely rule out the possibility for a few showers and storms mainly in the Coastal Plains the rest of today and tonight. For right now we've blown through all of the instability in the area (temps have fallen into the 70s), so think chances are very low this afternoon. Models suggest a return of instability this evening and overnight, especially over the waters. While we should not see widespread heavy rain, as saturated as the ground is, it wouldn't take much for some minor flash flooding, so will leave the flood watch in place at this time.
After Sunday we'll loose the very deep moisture over the region temporarily. Thus, while we still have a mid-level low rotating over North Texas, we should drop rain chances back to low levels for Monday and Tuesday. Our next system is close on our heels though an will be here Tuesday night into Wednesday with another bout of very deep moisture with PWAT values near 2 inches. This disturbance will move through much more quickly though, so rain chances are mainly Tuesday night through Wednesday night. Could see an inch or two, and we do have a marginal risk for flash flooding on Tuesday associated with it because of the rain we've been seeing, so a watch may become necessary.
High temperature through mid-week will hover a bit below normal, mainly in the 80s for the entire area. Once the next system moves out, ridging an a more substantial southerly flow above the surface will warm temperatures back to right around normal levels.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 604 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
Overnight showers and thunderstorms may affect CRP/VCT and have maintained a VCTS for CRP. Otherwise, IFR (ALI) to MVFR (CRP/VCT) conditions can be expected tonight with VFR conditions returning by tomorrow afternoon. Low chances for convection continues into Sunday.
MARINE
Issued at 124 PM CDT Sat May 23 2026
Gentle to moderate E-SE winds will prevail today through the weekend over the waters. Brief periods of gusty and erratic winds (and elevated seas) will be possible in the vicinity of thunderstorms. Thunderstorm chances will be high (60-80%) through Sunday, then decrease in the early part of the week. Another round of storms is expected mid-week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 72 85 71 86 / 50 40 10 10 Victoria 69 84 67 86 / 50 40 20 10 Laredo 70 89 70 89 / 10 20 10 10 Alice 70 86 69 86 / 30 40 10 10 Rockport 74 85 74 87 / 60 50 10 10 Cotulla 69 88 69 89 / 20 20 10 10 Kingsville 71 85 70 86 / 40 40 10 10 Navy Corpus 75 85 76 86 / 60 40 10 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Flood Watch through Monday evening for TXZ229>234-239>247- 342>347-442-443-447.
GM...None.
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