textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 656 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

- Moderate to high rain chances continue tonight with low to moderate chances continuing on Sunday.

- Seasonal temperatures through Monday, then warm though the upcoming week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 113 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Unsettled weather is expected to continue for the next several days as a boundary/front stalls near or just east of the coast. Moisture will continue to stream into the area, continuing medium to high chances of rain on Sunday. By Monday, the boundary will start a slow move to the east as a shortwave approaches, confining most of our rain chances over the waters. Another boundary will approach by the middle of the week, but there is a lot of uncertainty in how this will play out. We will continue to watch this, but would not be surprised to see rain chances return as the boundary approaches.

Temperatures will remain a bit cooler through early next week, before they begin a slow warm-up back into the low 90s.

Due to the persistent northeasterly flow enhancing the Ekman transport mechanism and increasing 7-8 second swell periods, minor coastal flooding is worth monitoring this weekend, especially during high tide at night into the early morning hours.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 656 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Scattered showers and storms are affecting sites from ALI eastward this evening and will continue for the next several hours. Probs for convection west are lower, but not zero. VFR to MVFR CIGS are expected this evening into the overnight but will fall to solid MVFR and near IFR late in the night and continue through the day on Sunday. Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be in the region tomorrow, have noted for all sites but COT in the TAF at this time. Thunderstorms will be possible, but probs too low for now to include in TAF. Winds remain generally around 10-12 kts out of the north for all sites through the period.

MARINE

Issued at 113 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) northeasterly flow will strengthen to fresh to strong (BF 5-6) Sunday to Tuesday morning, leading to occasional Small Craft Advisory conditions. Moderate to fresh (BF 4- 5) northeasterly flow will return through the latter half of next week. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue through Tuesday, then low rain chances continue.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 113 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026

No significant fire weather concerns are anticipated through next work week. Scattered to numerous showers and storms are expected through the weekend with lower chances mainly confined to the coast Monday continuing through the upcoming week. RH values will remain elevated through mid-week, above 40% each day with highs struggling to reach the 90s. By the latter half of the week temps warm a bit and RH values start dropping into the 30s.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 73 84 73 86 / 60 40 40 40 Victoria 70 87 71 89 / 60 20 20 20 Laredo 72 85 72 86 / 60 40 30 10 Alice 71 84 71 87 / 80 30 40 30 Rockport 75 87 75 88 / 40 40 40 40 Cotulla 72 86 72 87 / 10 50 10 10 Kingsville 72 84 72 86 / 80 40 50 40 Navy Corpus 77 85 77 86 / 60 50 60 60

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.