textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 538 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

- Low to medium chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday through Monday, greatest chances over the Victoria Crossroads

- Below normal temperatures expected following a strong cold front Sunday morning, coldest Monday night and Tuesday night

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1119 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

Fall like temperatures will continue to conclude the end of the work week. A temporary warm up will occur Saturday as onshore flow continues pumping moisture back into the region ahead of our next big cold front. This front is expected to advect much colder air into the region bring temperatures to brisk and chilly conditions to begin next week. Highs are expected to be in the 50s and 60s in the wake of the front. Monday and Tuesday, much of the region might struggle to reach 60 degrees with lows plummeting into the 30s thanks to presence of widespread cloud cover expected. A low to medium chance for showers and thunderstorms will exist through next week with highest chances coming with the arrival of the front in the Victoria Crossroads. Conditions warm up Wednesday with onshore flow returning to the region.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 538 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

A 4-6kft cloud deck spreads across most of South Texas, with the exception of VCT. Although VFR conditions currently prevail, we'll see MVFR CIGs return over LRD/COT tonight and struggle to improve to VFR through the day on Friday. A mid-level disturbance will warrant a low chance of showers over the Brush Country, included a PROB30 for LRD/COT, less confident eastward. Weak east- northeasterly winds tonight will shift southeasterly and strengthen by midday, with sustained 15-20 knots and gusts 25-30 knots. Broken to overcast skies of 2-5kft will likely blanket South Texas through the day, lowest CIGs west near the Rio Grande.

MARINE

Issued at 1119 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

Moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) east to northeasterly flow will persist through Thursday night, before restrengthening out of the southeast Friday morning, causing a fresh to strong breeze to persist through Saturday night. Due to this a Small Craft Advisory will go into effect 12Z Friday morning for the nearshore and offshore waters, with the bays being included around 18Z. Another cold front is expected to pass through Sunday morning, leading to strong to near Gale (BF 6-7) north to northeasterly winds in the wake, diminishing to fresh to strong (BF 5-6) Sunday night into Tuesday. Low rain chances Friday will increase to a medium to high chance of 50-80% Saturday through Monday night, then decrease to a low chance Tuesday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1119 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

Minimum relative humidity will remain above 30% into early next week. A low to medium chance for showers and thunderstorms will exist Friday through Monday, with greatest chances over the Victoria Crossroads. Although a cold front will pass through early Sunday morning with a reinforcing surge of high pressure on Tuesday, elevated fire weather conditions are not expected. Below normal temperatures dominate into the middle of next week following the cold front Sunday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 61 74 68 81 / 0 20 30 30 Victoria 48 73 61 80 / 0 10 40 60 Laredo 62 74 67 82 / 10 30 10 0 Alice 56 75 63 84 / 0 20 20 20 Rockport 61 76 68 80 / 0 10 40 40 Cotulla 57 71 64 81 / 10 30 30 0 Kingsville 59 75 66 83 / 0 20 20 20 Navy Corpus 67 75 71 80 / 0 20 40 40

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from noon Friday to 6 PM CST Saturday for GMZ231-232-236-237.

Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM Friday to 6 PM CST Saturday for GMZ250-255-270-275.


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