textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 528 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026

- One more warm and muggy day in store on today before a cold front tonight will bring noticeably cooler weather this weekend

- Elevated to critical fire weather conditions possible this weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1209 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026

The front still looks like it will push through the area this afternoon and tonight, with the wind shift reaching the coast by midnight. Winds will increase behind the front Saturday morning, with wind gusts of 30-35 mph possible. Those on the barrier islands may need a Wind Advisory as gusts to around 40 mph will be possible but will hold off on issuing anything until confidence is a little bit higher.

As the front pushes through the area, thunderstorms are possible with most of South Texas remaining in SPC's general thunder category. There is a very small area of the Victoria Crossroads that is impacted by the Marginal Risk, but it still looks like most of the severe weather threat will remain to our north. A few strong storms could make it into South Texas tomorrow night, so we'll keep watching and hoping for some rain.

Behind the front, Saturday's high temperatures will be in the low to mid 60s--quite a drop from today's expected low to mid 80s! Temperatures will continue to be cool through the middle of the week, with lows in the upper 30s to low 40s across much of the area Sunday and Monday. Warmer temperatures will gradually return starting the middle of this week, but we should remain in the 70s.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 528 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026

Patchy to dense fog has developed across portions of the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads. To go along with this, lower ceilings will also be effecting all terminals through the mid morning into the early afternoon hours. These MVFR to LIFR conditions will be expected to transition back to VFR thereafter. Winds are expected to increase Friday night as the cold front pushes through the region.

MARINE

Issued at 1209 AM CST Fri Jan 9 2026

Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) breezes will continue through today. Winds will become northerly late Friday night/Saturday morning, then increase to strong to near-gale force(BF 6-7). This will result in building seas to 8-10 ft. A Small Craft Advisory is likely, but there is a low (20%) chance that conditions could warrant a Gale Warning. Conditions will begin to diminish by Sunday night as offshore flow weakens and seas subside to 2-3 ft. A low to medium (20-65%) chance of showers and thunderstorms will accompany the cold front tonight through Saturday night, then a low (20-30%) chance will continue through Wednesday morning.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1219 PM CST Thu Jan 8 2026

A cold front will move through South Texas this afternoon, with portions of Webb County dropping below 30% relative humidity behind the front. Drier air will continue to surge into the area this weekend, with minimum relative humidity values around 20-30% inland and 30-40% for the coastal counties. Winds will be elevated behind the front Saturday and ERC values will remain in the 50th-75th percentile so we can expect an elevated fire weather risk over the Rio Grande Plains for Saturday. Though winds will diminish Saturday night/Sunday, minimum relative humidity values will drop to 10-25% inland (and remain around 30% along the coast), and ERCs will increase to the 70th-80th percentiles which will lead to a continued elevated fire weather conditions Sunday and Monday. Should winds remain elevated, it is possible that critical fire weather conditions could develop, so please continue to use caution in and around any ignition sources.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 80 56 65 47 / 20 40 30 20 Victoria 81 51 63 41 / 40 40 20 10 Laredo 81 52 64 47 / 10 10 20 10 Alice 83 54 65 45 / 10 30 30 20 Rockport 77 54 67 47 / 30 60 30 10 Cotulla 79 49 64 38 / 20 0 10 10 Kingsville 83 55 66 48 / 10 30 30 20 Navy Corpus 77 57 67 52 / 20 50 40 20

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.


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