textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1134 PM CST Tue Jan 6 2026 - Above normal temperatures through Friday with below normal temperatures returning Saturday
- Threat of fog chances continues through Friday over land and the local waters
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1134 PM CST Tue Jan 6 2026
The recent warm trend is expected to continue yielding well above normal temperatures (15+ degrees above normal)through Friday before our next cold front pushes through Friday night, ushering in cooler weather and finally bringing back below normal temperatures. This stretch of colder weather is expected to continue through early next week before we warm back to near normal temperatures by mid-week. Rain chances with this front will be limited with the best chances coming across the Victoria Crossroads (20-30% chance). With isentropic lift setting up in the wake of the front, low rain chances will remain in the forecast from Friday night through Sunday for the Coastal Bend and Coastal Plains (20-25% chance). The threat for patchy to dense dog will continue over land and the local waters through Friday before our next cold front arrives Friday night.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1134 PM CST Tue Jan 6 2026
VIS has already fallen to LIFR levels at VCT and expect VIS to drop for other sites overnight - lowest at ALI and VCT. Most sites will see MVFR of lower CIGS develop overnight as well. Condition improve by late morning Wednesday. Gusty southerly winds develop during the afternoon. Winds east remain elevated tomorrow night and could limit fog potential there. Inland locations would have a better chance of seeing VIS reductions again tomorrow night - VCT is right on the edge of fog or wind, so confidence there in the conditions late is low. Some guidance suggests fog before midnight again, but with winds expected to remain above 10kt by then, that would be unlikely.
MARINE
Issued at 1134 PM CST Tue Jan 6 2026
Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) southerly winds are expected to continue through tomorrow before strengthening to a fresh breeze (BF 5) Wednesday night through Thursday night. Winds will briefly weaken Friday ahead of our next cold front. A fresh to strong (BF 5-6) northerly breeze is expected Friday night through Sunday in the wake of the front. The threat for fog will continue through Friday ahead of the aforementioned cold front, mainly across the bays and nearshore waters. Rain chances will increase to low to medium levels (30-55%) Friday through Saturday as the front pushes through and in the wake of the front.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1134 PM CST Tue Jan 6 2026
Drier air will filter back into the region with minimum relative humidity values dropping below critical levels as low as 22-30% Saturday and Sunday across most of South Texas. Sustained winds this weekend are forecast to range from 15-20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Although relative humidity values will be lower than normal with moderate to strong winds, the Energy Release Component values are only expected to range from 60-65th percentile which would limit fire weather conditions at elevated at best. This is something that will need to continue to be monitored as slightly stronger winds than forecast could increase the threat to critical fire weather conditions.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 81 68 84 68 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 82 65 82 66 / 0 0 10 0 Laredo 86 65 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 86 64 87 65 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 78 68 79 68 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 85 63 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 85 66 86 67 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 77 70 78 69 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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