textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1208 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

- After today, minimal rain chances until next week

- Elevated fire weather conditions Wednesday afternoon behind cold front

- Wind chill values in the 30s Thursday and Friday morning

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1208 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

Light rain and virga earlier this morning over South Texas continues to linger in eastern areas early this afternoon. I do expect most if not all of this light rain to come to stop by late this afternoon, with mostly cloudy conditions and light offshore winds limiting highs in the mid 60s. Drier air and mostly clear skies tonight will allow for morning lows to drop into the low-mid 40s and highs to climb into the 70s Wednesday before our next cold front pushes through in the afternoon.

Relative humidity values dropping to 20-30% with northerly wind gusts of 20-25 mph and above normal Energy Release Component (ERC) values Wednesday afternoon, will likely result in elevated fire weather conditions across the Brush Country and portions of the inland Coastal Plains. Onshore flow returns briefly Thursday night through Friday, before another cold front moves into South Texas Friday night into Saturday morning. Low confidence on the southern extent of the front, with both ECENS/GEFS showing the front stalling west to east across the CWA while the CMC has the front plow through. Temperatures and any rain chances will be heavily dependent on the location of the front, don't expect great rain chances with PWAT values just near or slightly below normal.

Models are in good agreement with onshore flow and southerly flow aloft returning early next week ahead of a front, bringing PWAT values to the 90-99th percentile and rain chances Monday into Tuesday. Model discrepancies become more apparent with this front and the mid-level low/trough developing off of northeast Canada. Highs into early next week will range from the 60s to 70s and lows in the 40s through the rest of this week, warming into the 50s early next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

VFR conditions are prevailing across South Texas, with lingering light rain and virga continuing into this afternoon over the Coastal Plains. Light offshore winds will continue through Wednesday morning, ahead of our next cold front Wednesday afternoon.

MARINE

Issued at 1208 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) breeze will continue through Wednesday morning. Winds will increase to fresh to strong and shift northerly (BF 5-6) Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning as another cold front moves across the waters, leading to Small Craft Advisory conditions. Winds will diminish to gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) Thursday afternoon into Thursday night. A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) southerly breeze returns Friday before another cold front stalls across the area this upcoming weekend, shifting winds out of the northeast and occasionally fresh (BF-5).

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1208 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

A cold front will usher in drier air (minimum relative humidity values less than 30%) Wednesday afternoon and continue each afternoon through the end of the week which, when combined with above normal ERC values, could lead to elevated fire weather conditions through the end of the work week. Elevated fire weather conditions are most likely Wednesday afternoon with northerly wind gusts of 20-25 mph. Following, light winds will limit our fire weather threat and keep us well below thresholds for critical fire weather concerns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 46 75 44 65 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 43 73 39 62 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 45 75 42 69 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 44 77 41 67 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 51 73 46 65 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 43 75 40 67 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 44 76 42 67 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 53 73 50 62 / 10 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM Wednesday to 6 AM CST Thursday for GMZ231-232-236-237.

Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Wednesday to noon CST Thursday for GMZ250-255-270-275.