textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 158 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026
- Low to medium rainfall chances through the weekend
- Minor coastal flooding and High risk of rip currents along the Gulf-facing beaches through this evening
- Marginal to Slight Risk of Severe Weather Sunday
DISCUSSION
Issued at 158 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026
A persistent west to southwesterly flow aloft will allow for a few shortwaves to track over the region through early next week. These, in conjunction with plentiful Gulf moisture (PWATs around 1.7-1.9") will provide the setting for additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms through the weekend.
Rain chances will remain around 30-60% areawide this afternoon, decreasing to a slight chance overnight through Saturday, and then increasing again to a 30-50% chance on Sunday with another passing disturbance. On Sunday, thunderstorm chances increase as well with SBCAPE values rising to around 1500-2300 J/kg with a weak cap across western portions of the CWA. SPC has included most of the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains under a Slight risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe weather on Sunday with rest of the CWA under a Marginal risk (level 1 out of 5). Strong winds and large hail will be the primary threats through Sunday evening. The rest of the forecast cycle will be relatively quiet with only slight rain chances through mid next week.
A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect for the Gulf-facing beaches along the Middle Texas Coast. Tides have continued to run around 1.0-1.2 ft above predicted as a result of 4-5 ft ENE swell at near 10 seconds offshore. Though the water is forecast to recede later this evening, the potential for coastal flooding persists through at least tomorrow, especially at high tide time. We will continue to monitor beach conditions tonight in case the Advisory needs to be extended. In addition, there is now a High risk of rip current through tomorrow.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 158 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026
A mixture of VFR to MVFR conditions will generally prevail through the TAF cycle across area terminals. Low to medium rain and thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast through this evening. Winds will generally be light out of the east to southeast.
MARINE
Issued at 158 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026
Onshore flow will remain gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) through much of the weekend with periods of moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) Saturday into Sunday. Rain chances over the waters generally be low to moderate (20-40%) through the weekend.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 158 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026
Low to medium rain chances will keep minimum RH values elevated limiting fire weather potential through the weekend. Southeasterly 20 ft winds are progged to remain light throughout much of the forecast period with a window of 15-18 mph winds Saturday afternoon but min RH values of 50-70% are expected. Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 70 83 71 81 / 20 30 20 30 Victoria 66 84 69 81 / 30 40 20 40 Laredo 70 87 72 89 / 20 20 30 30 Alice 68 85 70 84 / 20 30 20 40 Rockport 70 81 72 81 / 30 30 20 30 Cotulla 69 86 71 86 / 20 30 40 50 Kingsville 68 84 70 84 / 20 30 20 30 Navy Corpus 72 79 72 79 / 30 30 20 40
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ345- 442-443-447.
High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for TXZ345-442- 443-447.
GM...None.
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