textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 441 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

- Elevated fire conditions expected over inland portions of the area today through Saturday.

- Fog and marine fog chances increase Sunday into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1209 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

A mid-level ridge axis will continue to translate eastward across TX today and east of TX over the weekend. A mid-level low over the Baja Peninsula early next week, will approach TX from the west thereby increasing rain chances across eastern counties of South Texas to a low chance (20-35%) with the highest probabilities across the Victoria Crossroads around midweek. We'll have to keep an eye on the pattern for late next week as the GFS attempts to bring in another cold front but confidence is low at this time due to model discrepancy and strength of the front.

Warmer starting today, with highs in the low to mid 80s inland with 70s near and along the coast to persist throughout the period. Overnight lows tonight will range in the 40s, tomorrow night in the 50s, warming to around 60 degrees by Monday night.

Dewpoints over the coastal waters are expected to increase into the 65-70 degree range combined with light southeast winds and relatively cooler sea surface temperatures. As mentioned previously, this setup will increase the likelihood of both marine and overland fog beginning Sunday morning, with at least moderate probabilities of dense fog developing.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 441 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

VFR conditions are expected across most sites with light and variable winds overnight increasing to near 12 knots tomorrow afternoon. ALI and VCT are the only two sites that could hit MVFR conditions early tomorrow morning between 09-15z.

MARINE

Issued at 1209 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

A west/southwest flow (BF 3-4) today will veer southeasterly by Saturday afternoon. As onshore flow returns, low level Gulf moisture will increase, moving over cooler shelf waters and increasing the risk for marine fog beginning Sunday morning with a low (20-25%) chance for visibilities less than 1 nm. There's a low to moderate chance (30-50%) for showers/thunderstorms late Monday through Tuesday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1209 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Minimum relative humidity values today will be generally less than 20% across the entire region with values as low as 12% out west and ERC values remain elevated in the 70-90th percentile. As a result, elevated fire weather conditions exist and a Fire Danger Statement is currently in effect until 7PM this evening. Expecting similar conditions tomorrow as well, with ERC values increasing to the 70-95th percentile range and an RFTI value of 2, but winds will remain light and variable (< 10 MPH). A Fire Danger Statement (RFD) may be needed again for inland locales.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 47 78 55 77 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 45 79 50 78 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 47 83 55 82 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 45 81 51 80 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 51 72 56 72 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 45 83 51 80 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 45 81 53 79 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 53 71 59 72 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.