textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 605 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

- Moderate to Major Heat Risk beginning this weekend for the inland Coastal Plains to the Brush Country through next week

- Marginal threat (1 out of 5) for severe storms west on Saturday.

- Coastal flooding conditions possible through the weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 127 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

There were some minor changes to the forecast from the previous package. Kept low chances for some showers and potentially an isolated thunderstorm or two as some energy in the lower levels moves across the Hill Country. A couple of models hint at the possibility of some storms developing just over the border in Mexico and crossing into the portions western Brush Country Saturday. The environment supports it though there are some caveats. Uncapped moderate to strong instability will be present in the area to go along with relatively straight hodographs with steep low level lapse rates. This would support large hail though the caveat is moisture. Most models have near normal to just below normal moisture until around 00Z. This would likely be around the time energy for storms to tap into will likely begin to wane. As we get into range of CAMs we should get a better picture of the likely outcome. For now though, low PoPs for Saturday were added (>20%) and SPC has portions of the Brush Country in a Marginal (1 out of 5) threat for severe storms. Will continue to monitor this over the next few cycles.

Otherwise, the region will be expecting a warming trend with temperatures returning to above normal levels this weekend. WPC has the region portions of the Coastal Bend to the Brush Country seeing Moderate heat stress conditions as early as Saturday. Major heat stress conditions will be likely beginning Monday. Make sure to practice heat safety. Take frequent breaks and remember to stay hydrated, check those backseats, and avoid long exposure in these temperatures. For more information be sure to check out weather.gov/heatsafety.

Will have to monitor the possibility for Coastal Flood conditions. Swell periods look to increase during the day tomorrow though tide levels will be around 1.5 feet MSL. Will have to differ to the next cycle when we have more observations to justify an advisory or not.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 605 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

While flight categories for the most part this morning have been VFR, there have been periods of MVFR CIGS and this is still possible for the next few hours. VFR conditions and slightly lighter winds are expected for the daytime period. Expect MVFR conditions to redevelop tonight.

MARINE

Issued at 127 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore flow will persist through the weekend into early next week. Little to no measurable rain expected through majority of next week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 127 AM CDT Fri Apr 24 2026

Expect minimum RH values to remain above 30% through Monday afternoon keeping the fire risk below elevated conditions. Next week, temperatures start climbing into near 100 degrees in the afternoons, reducing the Min RH values to near or slightly below 30%. Aside from isolated showers across the Victoria Crossroads Friday afternoon, wetting rain chances will be low (<20%) through the forecast period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 86 72 88 73 / 10 10 0 0 Victoria 87 70 90 71 / 10 10 0 0 Laredo 94 73 99 73 / 0 0 20 0 Alice 92 71 94 72 / 10 10 0 0 Rockport 84 73 85 74 / 10 0 0 0 Cotulla 92 72 97 72 / 10 10 20 0 Kingsville 89 72 91 72 / 10 10 0 0 Navy Corpus 82 75 83 75 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.