textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 143 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

- Moderate risk of heat-related impacts into early next week, with peak heat indices between 100-110 degF. Heat safety should continued to be practiced over the next several days.

- Low chances of daily isolated showers and thunderstorms over the Coastal Plains.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 143 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Our current radar depicts isolated showers and thunderstorms focused over the Victoria Crossroads. The coverage of showers will continue to be isolated over the next couple days due to subsidence associated with mid-level ridging over the eastern CONUS. This pattern along with south-southeasterly flow at the surface will also keep South Texas in a warm, humid pattern over the next several days.

By Sunday into Monday, model guidance shows the erosion of the aforementioned easterly ridge as a new ridge builds and propagates in from the Four Corners region. This will allow for our warm conditions to persist, and weak impulses off this ridge will continue to prompt very isolated shower and storm development across the eastern CWA each afternoon next week. Overall precipitation chances remain low (10-20%) with the greatest coverage focused across the Coastal Plains where moisture is greatest.

Temperatures will be near to slightly above normal throughout the period, with afternoon highs generally reaching the 90s inland and the upper 80s to low 90s along the immediate coast. Isolated triple digit temperatures cannot be ruled out, especially across the western Brush Country. These highs coupled with dewpoints in the 70s across the entire CWA will result in heat indices between 100-110 degrees into next week. Residents and visitors planning outdoor activities for America's 250th birthday should take appropriate precautions by staying hydrated and taking frequent breaks in shaded areas or A/C.

More heat safety information can be found at weather.gov/heat

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 143 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through much of this TAF period, with brief instances of MVFR CIGs overnight/early Saturday morning across the Coastal Plains. Brief reductions in VSBY are also a low possibility across our two most popular trouble spots (ALI/VCT) around sunrise on Saturday. Isolated showers, perhaps a thunderstorm or two, will remain possible this afternoon and again on Saturday. The best chances for precipitation will remain across our easternmost terminals (ALI/CRP/VCT) where moisture is greatest, but overall chances are on the low side (10-20%). Winds will continue to be out of the south-southeast at 10-15 knots through the rest of the afternoon and early evening, with occasional gusts up to 20 knots. Winds drop to 10 knots or less after sunset.

MARINE

Issued at 143 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Gentle to moderate south-southeasterly winds (BF 3-4) will persist into early next week. Low daily rain chances will also continue into early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 78 93 77 93 / 0 20 0 0 Victoria 76 96 76 96 / 0 20 0 10 Laredo 78 100 78 100 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 75 96 75 96 / 0 20 0 0 Rockport 82 91 81 91 / 0 20 0 0 Cotulla 76 99 77 99 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 76 93 75 94 / 0 20 0 0 Navy Corpus 82 89 81 89 / 0 20 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.


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