textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1222 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

- Patchy fog inland early this morning

- Rain-free conditions later this afternoon through Friday as a dry cold front moves through, medium rain chances return this weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1222 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

There is a low to medium chance for patchy fog to develop over South Texas today, visibilities generally between 1-4 miles as saturated grounds combine with low-level saturation, low clouds, and light winds. The NBM has been too warm with temperatures lately, a consensus of the short range ensembles seem to perform well and have been used for the temperatures through Thursday.

The mid-level trough over our area the past couple of days will finally slide off to the east today, leading to rain-free conditions later this afternoon through Friday. Skies will remain mostly cloudy to overcast into Thursday, then clear out quickly Thursday night into Friday as a mid-level ridge axis centers itself over Texas behind a cold front. Low temperatures in the 50s are expected areawide Thursday night.

Low-level onshore flow returns Friday night, increasing moisture advection, bringing PWAT values to around 1.50" by Saturday, just in time for a negatively tilted mid-level trough to push into South Texas bringing plenty of lift support with PVA on top of surface coastal troughing. Medium shower and thunderstorm chances (30-50%) return Saturday into Sunday morning. The latest deterministic run of the GFS is very bullish with rainfall, but ensembles between the GEFS, ECENS, and GEPS are in fairly good agreement with rainfall less than an inch during the weekend; mainly due to the fast progression of the trough, but we will need to continue to monitor for any progression changes in future updates. Another cold front looks to push through early next week, bringing rain-free conditions behind it.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Light northerly winds and saturated soils will lead to mix of LIFR/IFR ceilings and IFR/MVFR visibilities tonight, with VCT/ALI likely to see the LIFR/IFR conditions between 08Z-14Z. Ceilings should improve to MVFR by midday, then further improve late in the TAF period.

MARINE

Issued at 1222 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

There is a low to medium chance for fog over the waters early this morning, periods of visibility between 1-4 miles due to lingering rain chances, low clouds, and light winds. Mainly gentle northerly winds will continue through tonight, before a cold front pushes through Thursday morning, strengthening northerly flow to moderate to fresh through the day. Winds diminish to light to gentle Friday, before shifting onshore Friday night. Southeasterly winds will strengthen to moderate to fresh Saturday. Another cold front will push through early next week, shifting moderate to fresh winds out of the north to northeast. Medium rain chances return Saturday through next Monday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1222 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected into early next week. Minimum relative humidity will remain above 40 percent along with saturated soils. Rain-free conditions will dominate Wednesday night through Friday with a dry cold front passing through Thursday. Medium shower and thunderstorm chances return Saturday and Sunday, followed by another cold front early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 71 62 75 56 / 10 0 0 0 Victoria 71 60 74 52 / 20 0 0 0 Laredo 72 61 74 57 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 72 61 75 54 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 71 65 74 60 / 20 0 0 0 Cotulla 72 60 73 53 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 72 61 76 54 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 73 66 75 65 / 10 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.