textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 617 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026

- Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) for excessive rainfall over the northern Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads today.

- Low to medium rain chances persist over South Texas through early this week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 229 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026

Some elevated instability (around 925mb) has been supporting showers and thunderstorms across portions of the Brush Country this morning into the early afternoon period. Whereas, further to the south along the coast has been a product of isentropic lift specifically at the 300-310K levels. Some embedded convection has developed near the coast as of the past few hours, though this should continue to wane through the rest of the afternoon. All activity likely will be out of the region by 7 PM. Will continue to monitor the threat for potential strong to severe storms.

In terms of the rest of the forecast, warmer temperatures will return to the region by tomorrow with 90s returning by Tuesday. We will see our next front swing through the region on Wednesday morning. This will allow for increased rain chances once again across the area and bring drier air into the region. Elevated fire weather conditions will be expected as relative humidity values are expected to plummet with increasing winds. Conditions will persist through the end of the week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 617 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026

Low ceilings resulting in MVFR to IFR conditions will continue to drop overnight, with IFR to LIFR conditions expected. Patchy to areas of dense fog will further complicate the aviation forecast with MVFR to occasionally LIFR conditions expected. Showers and thunderstorm chances will continue but will drop to a 15-40% chance, with the highest chances across the southern Brush Country.

MARINE

Issued at 617 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026

Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) winds will persist through Monday. Winds will increase once again to a moderate to fresh breeze (BF 4-5) Monday night. Another cold front will swing through around midweek, with gusts to near gale (BF 7) possible. A low (<25%) chance of showers will continue tonight, then persist into early portions of the week. Rain chances will increase once again by the middle of the week with the cold front.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 229 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026

Light winds and the presence of moisture will limit any fire weather concerns heading into early next week. Drier air and stronger winds in the wake of a cold front could lead to elevated fire weather conditions beginning Wednesday through the end of the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 70 84 71 83 / 20 10 0 0 Victoria 65 84 69 83 / 10 20 0 0 Laredo 65 88 71 92 / 40 10 10 0 Alice 67 88 69 89 / 30 10 0 0 Rockport 69 82 71 82 / 10 10 0 0 Cotulla 65 86 69 90 / 30 20 10 10 Kingsville 68 86 69 87 / 30 10 0 0 Navy Corpus 70 78 71 79 / 20 20 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.