textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 521 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

- Patchy fog development possible across the Coastal Plains Wednesday morning.

- Above average temperatures to continue this week before our next cold front this weekend brings some relief.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1151 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

Not much of a change from the previous forecast package. Quiet and very warm conditions will prevail though the end of the work week across South Texas. Temperatures will be well above normal with highs generally ranging from the upper 70s to low 80s along the coast, and in the upper 80s to low 90s out west. Patchy fog could develop overnight tonight across portions of the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads, but confidence at this time is low to medium due to slightly higher surface winds.

Conditions are progged to change over the weekend with the arrival of a cold front. A few showers could develop ahead of the line Friday night into Saturday morning as PWATs rise to around 1.1-1.3" or above the 75th percentile for this time of year. However, most models maintain dry conditions inland with limited forcing along the boundary. This frontal passage could lead to a strong offshore flow across the coastal areas and over the marine zones on Sunday, which could require Advisories. Following the front highs will top out in the mid 60s to low 70s Sunday and Monday, with overnight lows in the 40s by Monday morning.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 521 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

Current conditions are VFR but breezy, especially at eastern terminals. Fog scenario tonight is a bit questionable, but definitely leaning toward more of a low stratus situation. Have tempo for IFR Vis for ALI and VCT. These sites - especially ALI could certainly go LIFR as they have a tendency to locally do that. Low CIGS will be slow to improve tomorrow as the depth of the saturated layer is substantial. By afternoon we will return to VFR for everyone though, and some wind gusts are also expected - though not as high as today.

MARINE

Issued at 1151 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

A generally gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore flow will persist through the remainder of the week, with occasionally fresh (BF 5) breezes. Dry conditions will continue until this weekend when low chances (15-20%) for precipitation return over area waters with our next front. This frontal passage will also shift winds to the north-northeast with fresh to strong (BF 5-6) conditions and seas at 6-10 feet. This could lead to the issuance of a Small Craft Advisory closer to time, while near Gale force gusts could become possible offshore. However, with this cold frontal passage still several days away, much can change between now and then.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1151 AM CST Tue Feb 17 2026

Minimum relative humidity values will stay at or just above 30% across the Brush Country and western Coastal Plains through the rest of the week. 20-foot winds will generally remain below 10 mph however, dry air and Energy Release Component values in the 50th- 69th percentile could lead to isolated fire weather concerns through the end of the week. As we head into the weekend, elevated to critical fire weather conditions could return behind our next cold front, as relative humidity values are forecast to drop well below 30% across much of South Texas. This combined with 20-foot winds of 10-20 mph, with occasional higher gusts, and Energy Release Component values in the 70-89th percentile may prompt the issuance of a Fire Danger Statement (RFD) or a Red Flag Warning (RFW) Saturday through Monday. However, with this cold frontal passage still several days away, much can change between now and then.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 62 82 64 86 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 60 80 63 82 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 62 87 63 91 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 60 87 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 65 79 66 80 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 60 85 62 88 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 61 87 63 90 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 65 76 66 78 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.