textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 308 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

- Drier conditions through midweek.

- Seasonably hot conditions with a moderate to major risk of heat- related impacts through the week. Peak heat indices will range between 100-110 degF.

- Tropical Depression Two has formed in the northeastern Gulf. Monitoring for impacts along the Middle Texas Coast.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 308 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

Persistent subsidence associated with ridging over the region will maintain mostly warm, dry, and stable conditions through midweek. Temperatures will gradually increase each day, with highs climbing into the mid-90s across the Coastal Bend and Coastal Plains, while the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains reach the triple digits. Afternoon mixing should temper dewpoints somewhat, keeping heat indices between 100-110 degF (below advisory criteria). However, overall conditions will support a moderate (level 2 of 4) heat risk across much of the region with isolated pockets of major (level 3 of 4) heat risk.

By the middle to latter half of the week, attention turns to Tropical Depression Two, which is currently in the northeastern Gulf. The depression is forecast to become a Tropical Storm and move slowly northwest toward the Florida Panhandle before turning west- northwest during the middle and latter portions of the week as subtropical ridging expands eastward across the southern CONUS. Forecast confidence in its eventual track and intensity remains low at this time. However, interests along the Middle Texas Coast should continue to monitor its progress. As of this forecast, the earliest arrival of tropical-storm-force winds off the Middle Texas Coast would be closer to Thursday morning, with a low (5-10%) probability of tropical-storm-force winds from Port Aransas to Port O'Conner through Friday. These details will continue to be refined with subsequent forecasts as we receive increased observational data. Regardless of the eventual track and strength, increasing swell could lead to elevated surf, a heightened rip current risk, and higher-than-normal water levels along portions of the Texas coast later this week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 308 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through much of the period, with the exception of a low chance for MVFR CIGS and VSBYs impacting ALI/CRP/VCT around sunrise Sunday morning. South-southeasterly winds will persist around 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots through the evening hours before diminishing tonight to range between 5- 10 knots.

MARINE

Issued at 308 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

A moderate (BF 4) onshore flow is forecast for the next several days, with a fresh breeze (BF 5) developing along the coast south of Port Aransas in the afternoons. Rain chances through midweek will be very low (<10%). By Wednesday night into Thursday, confidence in the forecast decreases slightly as we will be monitoring for impacts associated with current Tropical Depression Two. Regardless of the eventual track and strength of this system, we are expecting increasing wave heights, winds, and rain chances. However, details will continue to be refined with subsequent forecasts as we receive increased observational data.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 76 98 73 99 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 74 98 72 99 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 77 106 76 106 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 74 102 72 102 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 80 91 79 92 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 76 104 74 104 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 74 99 72 100 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 81 90 79 90 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.