textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1129 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

- Elevated to critical fire weather conditions daily.

- Very warm Wednesday/Thursday

- Late-week cold front

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1129 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Ridging has officially shifted east of the area with wind directions now around to the southeast and south. The turn to the south will continue this morning and then persist for a couple of days. The combination of the ridge east and developing low pressure over the Texas panhandle will result in breezy conditions this afternoon. Also of note in this is a pretty strong LLJ that will develop late in the day and persist through the night. This has the potential to keep gusty winds through the night Tuesday night along the coast unless we can decouple, but that seems unlikely. Yes, we've been pretty breezy the past few days. Is this unusual? Nope. We're moving into the climatological peak for windy conditions in the Coastal Bend (Mar/Apr). Temperatures will be on the increase for the rest of the week with the heat really on for Wednesday and Thursday when temperatures in the 90s will be common.

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions will persist through the remainder of this week...elevated today, and potentially critical for Wednesday and Thursday when the very warm temperatures result in lower RH values.

Timing and progression of the next cold front late this week continue to be fuzzy. Some guidance continues to push it through late Thursday while others open up the surface low and not having much push southward of the front. We wont stress too much about the timing details of this front right now as it does not actually bring a whole lot of change to the area other than a different wind direction. Temperatures remain well below normal and there continue to be no chance for rain.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the TAF cycle. S'ly winds increase to 15-20 kts gusting as high as 35 kts after 16Z. Tonight, a low-level jet will keep winds gusty adding in LLWS concerns after 06Z and into the next TAF cycle.

MARINE

Issued at 1129 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Southerly winds will gradually increase during the day Tuesday with strong winds by late in the afternoon. Strong winds with gusts near gale force will then persist through Wednesday and into Thursday along with increasing seas. Winds subside during the day on Thursday ahead of a cold front approaching the area.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1129 PM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions will continue through late this week. Expect mainly elevated conditions today as both wind and RH are not quite to criteria overall, but brief periods above are possible. For Wednesday and Thursday very warm temperatures will result in RH values dropping as low as 15% west and 30-40% east. Southerly winds will also be gusty both of these days to lead to critical fire conditions. Winds will subside Friday into Saturday with low RH levels persisting.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 48 76 60 89 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 38 74 56 85 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 48 80 57 93 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 43 81 55 92 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 54 74 63 79 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 43 81 53 93 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 45 79 57 91 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 56 72 64 79 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM Tuesday to 6 AM CST Thursday for GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255-270-275.


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