textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 121 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026
- Major to Extreme risk of heat-related impacts continue into next week with peak afternoon heat indices nearing or reaching 110
- Fire Danger Statement in effect over most of South Texas from noon to 9 PM.
- Daily elevated fire weather conditions over the Brush Country this week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 121 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026
We have sounded like the broken record for the past week and I am sorry, but still no changes. An area of high pressure remains centered near the Four Corners region, meandering south-southeast through the week, keeping us hot and dry through the end of the week. There is a very low chance of some seabreeze convection in the afternoons, though this is pretty slim. Guidance is still hinting at the potential for a disturbance to sneak around the eastern periphery of the ridge around the Friday timeframe. This could lead to some isolated showers and slightly cooler temperatures but, again, this is still pretty far out so we are not getting our hopes up.
Thanks to the presence of below normal moisture today and tomorrow which will help keep heat index values slightly below 110 for most of South Texas. Will maintain not issuing a heat advisory today, though will monitor for a short-fused advisory tomorrow. Moisture will begin to gradual return Wednesday through the end of the week, resulting in higher heat index values once again. Heat Advisories will likely be needed Wednesday through the end of the week. Regardless of the slightly lower heat index values, we urge you all to be extremely cautious if you are outside. Cumulative heat stress can lead to increased chances for heat exhaustion or heat stroke. Remember to take breaks in the shade or air conditioning, drink water/electrolytes, and pace yourself if working outside. Don't leave children or pets in your vehicle, even for short periods of time.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 121 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026
VFR conditions will be expected to prevail through the period. Some brief periods of MVFR CIGs and VSBYs will be possible once again in the east Tuesday morning around 08-09Z (VCT and ALI). Winds will be breezy this morning gusting up to 25 knots. They will decrease this evening becoming generally light through the remainder of the period.
MARINE
Issued at 121 PM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026
Expect light to moderate (BF 2-4) onshore breezes will continue through the period, with occasional fresh (BF 5) breezes possible during the late afternoon/evening hours, especially south of Port Aransas. Seas are expected to remain around 2-3 feet. Rain chances will remain near zero through the middle of the week. Mariners should take steps to prevent heat illness as hot temperatures continue.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 127 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026
ERC values have increased across the Brush Country to the 90-96th percentile, with most of the rest of the area in the 70-89th percentile. Humidity values will continue to be low, with minimum RH values below 34% over the Coastal Plains and Brush Country. Winds will remain fairly light, but given the hot temperatures, low relative humidity, and high ERC values, have issued a Fire Danger Statement for most of the area through this evening. Should winds increase more than anticipated, a few locations could experience critical fire weather concerns.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 77 97 78 97 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 75 103 76 103 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 78 106 79 106 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 74 103 75 103 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 81 93 81 93 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 75 105 77 105 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 75 100 76 100 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 81 91 81 91 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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