textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 622 AM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

- Locally heavy rainfall, small hail, gusty winds possible along and behind a cold frontal passage Saturday into Sunday

- Above normal temperatures continue through Friday, transitioning to below normal Sunday into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 314 AM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

Above normal temperatures will continue through Friday and into Saturday before the arrival of our next cold front Saturday night. Confidence continues to increase with the timing of the front while still remaining a little cloudy in respect to the storm total accumulations. The ingredients for moderate to locally heavy will be in place with PWAT values between 1.8-2.0", mid-level PVA and diffluence aloft. Current thinking for storm total rainfall amounts Saturday through Monday remain between 1-2" with a worst case scenario of over 3". Therefore, the Weather Prediction Center has issued a Marginal Risk (at least 5%) of flash flooding for all of South Texas for Saturday and Sunday. Confidence on rainfall amounts should increase within the next 24 hours as the feature begins to enter the domain of the high resolution models. Below normal temperatures are expected Sunday through Wednesday with near normal temperatures returning towards the tail end of the work week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 622 AM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

Periods of MVFR to VFR conditions will continue to persist through late morning (15-17Z). Conditions will return to VFR across the region there after with winds remaining breezy through the day. MVFR to IFR conditions are expected to return to the region this evening.

MARINE

Issued at 314 AM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

Moderate to fresh southeasterly winds will generally persist through the upcoming weekend. A period of fresh to strong winds is expected Friday afternoon for Corpus Christi Bay and the nearshore waters south of Port Aransas. Seas will generally run 4-6 ft through early Saturday morning. Isolated showers can be expected through the end of the week with higher rain chances expected over the weekend as a cold frontal system moves through.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 314 AM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

Minimum relative humidity values are expected to hover just above 30% over the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains through Friday with breezy southeasterly flow containing. Rain chances increase significantly over the weekend (70 to 90%) as a cold front moves through the area. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches will be possible through early Monday. Cool and breezy conditions will persist early next week in the wake of the front. Therefore, elevated fire weather conditions are not expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 84 71 85 62 / 10 20 40 80 Victoria 85 69 84 58 / 10 10 60 60 Laredo 97 74 90 60 / 10 20 70 90 Alice 90 70 89 61 / 0 20 50 80 Rockport 82 73 82 63 / 10 10 40 80 Cotulla 93 72 84 59 / 10 40 80 70 Kingsville 87 70 89 61 / 0 20 40 80 Navy Corpus 79 73 80 65 / 10 20 40 80

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.


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