textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1151 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

- Patchy to areas of fog this morning with sea fog possible during the latter part of the week.

- Weak cold front Wednesday morning and stronger cold front Saturday.

- Low chance of showers Wednesday across the Victoria Crossroads, then a low to medium chance Friday night into Saturday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1151 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

The previous forecast is continuing to remain on track for the most part. A disturbance progressing from the Pacific is expected to kick off a weak frontal boundary into the region around mid-week. Due to drier conditions aloft and influence from a ridge over the Gulf, the front appears to stall and wash out (per guidance) as it reaches our area. Some showers will be possible especially over the Victoria Crossroads as moisture is expected to converge along the boundary. Limited energy and lift however will only allow for a low (~20-25%) chance for showers over that region with slightly higher chances over the waters Wednesday. Another disturbance will progress from the Pacific as we head into this weekend. Guidance is depicting this disturbance kicking off a stronger frontal boundary sweeping through South Texas. This will lead to a higher chance (30-65%) for showers and thunderstorms in the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads. We will see lows cool slightly to the 40s and 50s in the wake of the front, though onshore flow returns quickly heading into next week allowing for temperatures to return to above normal.

In terms of fog possibilities, we could see visibilities drop to less than 1SM this morning. Guidance is up to a 40-65% chance for fog less than 1SM for portions of the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads. This may necessitate a dense fog advisory though we will monitor overnight as fog develops. It's likely though that at the very least we will see patchy to dense fog across the region overnight. In terms of sea fog, we will likely not see development tonight into Tuesday morning due to water temps in the low 60s and dewpoints around 60-65 degrees. Potential will increase as we progress into the latter part of the week as dewpoints surge into the upper 60s ahead of the front. Will continue to monitor this possibility over the next few forecasts.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1151 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

Winds have remained elevated this evening aiding in maintaining VFR conditions across area sites. Foggy conditions are forecast to return to ALI/VCT terminals around daybreak Tuesday, leading to LIFR conditions. Sites will return to VFR around mid morning, and remain at these levels through the end of the cycle. Winds will be around 5-10 knots through the night, before strengthening and becoming breezy across the eastern sites Tuesday afternoon.

MARINE

Issued at 1151 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

A south to southeast gentle to moderate breeze (BF 3-4) can be expected through Friday with a brief period of fresh (BF 5) winds across the offshore waters through the day today. Advisory conditions are possible Friday night ahead of a cold front. Patchy light sea fog will be possible through this morning. The threat for dense marine fog will increase late tonight and will continue through the overnight hours through Friday night. This is mainly for the bays and nearshore waters from Port Aransas northward. There is a low (15-25%) chance of showers today through Wednesday. A low to medium chance of showers can be expected Friday night and Saturday ahead of our next cold front.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1151 PM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

Minimum relative humidity values (RH) will remain elevated with 30% or higher across the west to 45% and higher across the east through the week. As we head into this weekend, elevated to potentially critical fire weather could return as RH values are forecast to drop well below 30% with moderate to strong winds and moderate to high Energy Release Component values. However, with this cold front still being 6 days out, much can change from now to then. Until then, elevated fire weather conditions are not expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 78 61 80 61 / 0 10 10 0 Victoria 77 59 79 56 / 0 20 20 0 Laredo 82 61 84 63 / 0 10 10 0 Alice 82 59 82 59 / 0 10 10 0 Rockport 75 61 76 60 / 0 10 20 0 Cotulla 79 59 81 59 / 10 10 10 0 Kingsville 81 60 82 59 / 0 10 10 0 Navy Corpus 73 63 74 62 / 0 10 20 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.