textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1200 AM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

- Increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms area wide tonight through the weekend.

- Marginal risk of severe thunderstorms through Thursday

- Marginal to a slight risk for Excessive Rainfall today through Friday

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

A line of strong thunderstorms will move across the area through the rest of tonight. This initial push into the area from the northwest will weaken as it moves southeast, but CAMS indicate another round of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Guidance on this still remains a little iffy, with some solutions indicating strong thunderstorms with heavy rainfall pushing east today.

The chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue through the week with a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms through Thursday. With forecast PWAT values ranging from 1.8" to 2.2" (around the 75th percentile) through the week, there is a lot of wiggle room regarding rainfall totals. Guidance has been steadily creeping up over the last several forecast packages increasing storm totals to 0.5"-2.25" from today through Friday. Expect these values to chance as things evolve. Localized flash flooding is possible in and around some of the heavier thunderstorms so WPC has included portions of our area in a marginal to slight risk of excessive rainfall.

Rain chances will diminish this weekend as the ridge builds over the area, drying us out and leading to increasing temperatures. Triple digits are likely over te Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains this weekend and into early next week. High heat index values may lead to Heat Advisory conditions so will continue to monitor this.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1200 AM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

A line of showers and thunderstorms will work its way across South Texas while weakening through tonight. Have included at least a mention of thunderstorms at all terminals beginning tonight through the end of the TAF cycle. Otherwise, mainly VFR conditions will prevail outside of thunderstorms the early morning MVFR ceilings across the Coastal Plains and points east.

MARINE

Issued at 1200 AM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

A moderate to at times fresh breeze (BF 4-5) will persist tonight into next week. There is a medium chance of Small Craft Should Exercise Caution conditions each afternoon through the middle of the week. A moderate (30-60%) chance of rain is expected daily from Wednesday through early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 94 80 93 79 / 40 50 40 20 Victoria 91 76 89 76 / 50 50 60 30 Laredo 98 77 101 78 / 60 30 20 10 Alice 97 77 96 77 / 40 50 40 20 Rockport 90 80 89 81 / 40 50 50 30 Cotulla 96 77 99 78 / 60 50 40 10 Kingsville 96 78 95 78 / 30 50 40 20 Navy Corpus 90 82 89 82 / 40 60 40 30

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.