textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 133 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

- Moderate risk of heat-related impacts this week, with peak heat indices between 100-110 degF. Heat safety should continued to be practiced over the next several days.

- Low chances of daily isolated showers and thunderstorms over the Coastal Plains. Rain chances increase slightly by the end of the week and into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 133 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

Early this week, mid-level ridging will gradually build eastward supporting the continuation of warm, mainly dry conditions. While the large scale subsidence associated with this ridge will suppress outspread convection, sufficient low-level moisture , daytime heating, and the daily seabreeze will still be capable of producing isolated afternoon showers, primarily across the Coastal Plains. Temperatures will remain near normal, but the combination of these temperatures with abundant low-level moisture will continue to produce peak heat index values between 100-110 degrees. Those spending extended time outdoors should take frequent breaks, stay hydrated, and limit strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.

By midweek, the ridge is expected to briefly strengthen before beginning to weaken late in the week as an upper-level trough moves eastward across the central CONUS. This will coincide with a surge of Gulf moisture, potentially enhanced by a weak impulse over the Bay of Campeche. This will lead to a gradual increase in PWATs (2.00- 2.25 inches) and in shower and thunderstorm chances beginning Friday and continuing through the weekend. The deeper tropical moisture may also support locally heavy rainfall within the strongest storms, although confidence in the timing, coverage, and overall rainfall remains low at this time. Increasing cloud cover and precipitation may temper daytime temperatures slightly late in the week, but heat index values near or above 100 degrees will likely persist.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 133 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through much of this TAF period. Brief reductions in VSBY are also a possibility across our two most popular trouble spots (ALI/VCT) around sunrise tomorrow morning. Isolated showers, perhaps a thunderstorm or two, will remain possible this afternoon and again tomorrow, but confidence in the timing and coverage of any rainfall remains too low to include in the TAfs. Though low, the best chances for precipitation will be across our easternmost terminals (ALI/CRP/VCT) where moisture is greatest. Winds will continue to be out of the south-southeast at 10- 15 knots through the rest of the afternoon and early evening. Winds drop to 10 knots or less after sunset.

MARINE

Issued at 133 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2026

Gentle to moderate south-southeasterly winds (BF 3-4) will persist into midweek before becoming primarily moderate to fresh (BF 4-5), particularly across the southern bays and southern offshore waters. Low daily rain chances will also continue through much of the week before increasing by late week and into next weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 78 93 77 94 / 0 20 0 10 Victoria 76 95 75 96 / 10 20 0 20 Laredo 78 100 77 100 / 0 10 0 10 Alice 75 95 74 96 / 0 20 0 10 Rockport 82 92 82 92 / 20 20 0 10 Cotulla 77 99 77 99 / 0 10 10 10 Kingsville 76 93 75 94 / 0 10 0 10 Navy Corpus 82 90 82 90 / 10 20 0 10

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.