textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 617 AM CDT Fri May 29 2026
- Minor to Moderate Heat Stress conditions across the region through early next week.
- Low to medium (20-50%) rain chances return early next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 146 AM CDT Fri May 29 2026
Drier conditions will prevail over South Texas through the early part of next week thanks to ridging aloft. Warmer conditions will also exist through this period with highs in the 80s and 90s across the region with heat indices around 100-105. This will also prevail through early next week. This will lead to minor to moderate heat stress conditions.
The chances for showers and storms will return to the region next week as the ridge weakens allowing for some shortwave energy to creep into the region which will combine with the seabreeze. This will be coupled with a surge of moisture thanks to the return of onshore flow Sunday evening. A low to medium chance for showers and thunderstorms will exist everyday of next week beginning Monday. The highest chances for rainfall will be in the afternoon and tapering off in the evening with the loss of daytime heating.
In addition to this, there will be an increased risk for coastal flooding through portions of this weekend during the high tide cycles. Confidence is low to medium on this occurring though it will be something to monitor. Wave periods will be around 7 seconds predominantly though it will be 8 seconds at times. Tide levels will be relatively low around most of this time frame which could limit the water from reaching the dunes. This will coincide with the full moon which could enhance this risk. All in all, we will continue to monitor this possibility closely over the next few days.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 650 AM CDT Fri May 29 2026
A mix of MVFR and IFR conditions currently this morning will improve to VFR by mid morning and will continue through this evening. After 06Z, conditions are expected to deteriorate with a mix of MVFR and IFR conditions as clouds increase across S TX and patchy fog develops once again.
MARINE
Issued at 146 AM CDT Fri May 29 2026
Generally light to moderate (BF 2-4) winds will prevail through the weekend and through most of next week. Low to medium (20-50%) shower and thunderstorm chances will return Monday and persist through the week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 146 AM CDT Fri May 29 2026
Fire weather concerns are not anticipated through the period as minimum Relative Humidity values remain generally above 50% area- wide today and generally above 40% through the weekend. Rain chances return Monday and persist through the week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 90 75 90 77 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 91 71 91 73 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 95 74 95 75 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 92 72 92 74 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 90 78 90 79 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 95 73 94 74 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 90 73 90 75 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 87 78 88 80 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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