textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 559 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026
- Moderate Rip Current Risk through Thursday
- Locally heavy rainfall, small hail, gusty winds possible along and behind a cold frontal passage Saturday into Sunday
- Above normal temperatures continue through the work week, transitioning to below normal Sunday into early next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 138 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026
Confidence continues to grow with respect to the return of rain and cooler temperatures across South Texas this weekend. Models continue to be in good agreement with an upper trough bringing a moderate to strong cold front through the region sometime between Saturday and Sunday. With PWAT values increasing to 1.5-1.9" and favorable atmosphere dynamics, periods of moderate to heavy rain will be possible this weekend. There still is some uncertainty of exactly how much rain will fall. Current thinking is that we could see 1-2" areawide. Therefore, due to the potential of periods of heavy rain, the Weather Prediction Center has included all of South Texas in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall from Saturday morning through Sunday morning. Below normal temperatures will return to the forecast this weekend into early next week in the wake of this late season cold front.
The weekend is still a ways off and things can change, so keep up to date with the latest information.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 559 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026
MVFR conditions will continue to prevail across most sites through most of the morning. There will be periods of VFR conditions moving in thereafter around 17-18Z. Periods of MVFR will still be possible along the eastern TAF sites. Winds are expected to be elevated through the TAF cycle up to 30-35 knots at times. We have begun to see some sites reach this already (CRP has been steadily gusting around 30 to 35 knots). Expect MVFR to IFR conditions again tonight across much of the region.
MARINE
Issued at 138 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026
Moderate to fresh southeasterly winds will generally persist through the upcoming weekend. A period of fresh to strong winds is expected to continue through this morning and a Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for that period. Seas will generally run 4-6 ft through early Saturday morning. Isolated showers can be expected through the end of the week with higher rain chances expected over the weekend as a cold frontal system moves through.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 138 AM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026
Minimum relative humidity values are expected to increase to just above 30% over the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains through the remainder of the week as breezy southeasterly flow prevails. Rain chances will be in the 10-20% range through the end of the week, with high chances (80%) of > 0.1 inch rainfall with a cold front and associated storm system this weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 85 71 85 71 / 10 10 10 20 Victoria 85 69 85 69 / 20 0 10 10 Laredo 98 73 97 74 / 10 20 10 20 Alice 91 70 90 70 / 10 10 0 20 Rockport 82 73 82 72 / 10 10 10 10 Cotulla 93 71 94 72 / 20 20 10 30 Kingsville 89 71 88 71 / 0 10 0 20 Navy Corpus 80 73 80 73 / 10 10 20 20
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for GMZ231-232- 236-237-250-255-270-275.
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