textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1223 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
- Extremely cold wind chills region-wide Monday morning, ranging as low as 5-15 degrees. Prepare to protect the 4 Ps: People, pets, plants, and pipes.
- A cold front on Friday will bring another bout of well-below normal temperatures along with increased rain chances.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1223 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
The precipitation period associated with this arctic outbreak has moved into the central Gulf coast and now our focus turns to the Extreme Cold aspect of this storm. What is limiting a warm up now (early afternoon) is the overcast cloud deck, but the fringes of this cloud deck is already moving into the northern Brush Country. By mid- afternoon, sunshine will start peeking through and start a brief warm up into the 40s across most areas, with the exception of the Victoria Crossroads, which will only climb into the upper 30s. Once we move into tonight, winds will slightly weaken (near 15 mph sustained) and most locations see mostly clear skies. With the arctic air mass firmly in place, air temperatures to drop into the teens and 20s. Factoring in the wind, wind chill values will drop as low as 5 degrees above zero. Even Victoria has a low chance (10-20%) of wind chill values dropping under 5 degrees, but cloud cover overnight will likely deter this scenario. All this to say, it's goin' be cold! As such, an Extreme Cold Warning (previously issued) remains unchanged for South Texas (and concurrently, no other changes have been made to the other existing cold weather headlines). Any wet surfaces from any melting this afternoon will continue to pose a threat to motorists for the Monday morning commute. Monday afternoon is looking to be a crisp, winter day with mostly sunny skies with wind chill values only climbing into the 30s for the afternoon, before dropping Monday night and again we repeat another frigid night, though wind chill values are looking to bottom out near 15F, so will discuss with the evening forecaster if a cold weather product will be needed (Extreme Cold Warning or a Cold Weather Advisory) for Tuesday morning.
From Tuesday, we finally begin to see a "warm up", with high temps climbing into the 50s and 60s and even low temperatures Friday morning finally bottoming to more near-seasonal 40s. Then the region's next cold front starts moving beginning early Friday morning associated with another upper-level trough coming down from the Midwest. Apart from the temperature drop, this will coincide with increased rain chances as the subtropical jet will allow Pacific mid level moisture to overrun the colder airmass at the surface. We still have a few days to let the models handle the timing of the front and how much rainfall will be at play. Stay tuned!
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
CIGs will gradually lift to VFR by mid-late afternoon as drier air works its way in. The gusty northerly winds will persist through the afternoon before slowly decreasing during the evening hours. VFR conditions are expected to prevail by the end of the TAF period under mostly clear skies.
MARINE
Issued at 1223 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
A strong to near Gale (BF 6-7) north wind has settled in behind the strong arctic front. Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected through Monday. Gust to gale will be possible at times, especially tonight. Rain chances will continue to diminish through Monday morning. Temperatures will be around freezing along the coast with wind chill values feeling well below freezing through Monday morning. Gentle to moderate onshore flow briefly returns the middle of next week before another cold front pushes through and shifts winds out of the north to northeast Wednesday. Strong to near gale force conditions may close out the week as another strong cold front pushes through.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1223 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Rain chances return as a cold front moves through the region Thursday night, bringing a wetting rain opportunity (20-40% chance) through Saturday morning. Minimum RH vales are expected to stay mostly above 30% through mid-week, with the exception of Monday and Tuesday when values may briefly dip to 25-30% across the Rio Grande Plains. However, light winds should prevent any meaningful fire weather concerns. Overall, no fire weather conditions are expected.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 22 42 22 53 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 18 42 16 50 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 25 47 22 55 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 22 45 20 56 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 25 44 27 53 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 21 44 20 53 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 22 44 20 55 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 27 43 32 53 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Extreme Cold Warning until noon CST Monday for TXZ229>234- 245>247-345>347-447.
Freeze Warning until noon CST Monday for TXZ229>234-239>247- 342>347-442-443-447.
Cold Weather Advisory until 3 AM CST Monday for TXZ239>244- 342>344-442-443.
Extreme Cold Warning from 3 AM to noon CST Monday for TXZ239>244- 342>344-442-443.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ231-232-236- 237.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST Monday for GMZ250-255-270- 275.
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