textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 620 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
- Drier period through the upcoming week with Moderate HeatRisk becoming more widespread.
- High rip current risk possible through Monday and low confidence in seeing minor coastal flooding at high tide
DISCUSSION
Issued at 120 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
A sub-tropical jet streak and coastal troughing will keep moisture streaming into the area through at least Monday (PWAT values hovering between 1.95-2.25"). This will keep the mention of light rain in the forecast, particularly along the coast and over the Coastal Plains. By afternoon Monday, seabreeze convection could bring rain chances further inland and also result in heavier rainfall than is expected tonight.
High pressure will then settle in, warming temperatures back into the 90s across most of the area and near 100 across the Rio Grande Plains and northern Brush Country. With these warmer temperatures and minimum relative humidity values ranging from 40% inland to nearly 80% along the coast, heat index values will range from 100- 108 leading to a widespread Moderate Heat Risk (level 2 of 4), with areas of Major Heat Risk (level 3 of 4) through the end of the work week.
With respect to the rip current risk, persistent southeasterly winds and increased swell periods will keep the risk at high, though by Tuesday, winds decrease allowing for the risk to be more on the moderate side. With respect to coastal flooding, it still looks marginal for minor coastal flooding. At worst, it looks like motorists may briefly see tighter beach roads along the dunes, but this will be short-lived.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 620 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
Stratiform rain has kept most of the coast under a blanket of MVFR conditions with inland locations reaching VFR conditions this afternoon. The overall drizzle should mostly be offshore through 06Z. Then as in previous nights, showers and thunderstorms start moving onshore with KCRP/KALI having the greatest chances for storm coverage and dropping into IFR territory under a storm (have added PROB30 groups for this). KVCT/KLRD/KCOT have their chance later in the morning/afternoon before most activity winds down at the end of the TAF cycle. Winds will be 10-15 kt out of the southeast.
MARINE
Issued at 120 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
Expect moderate to fresh southeasterly breezes (BF 4-5) and 3-5 ft seas through at least the middle of the week. Low to moderate (15- 40%) chances of rain are expected over the nearshore waters tonight through Monday, then chances become very low (<15%)through the end of the week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 79 88 78 89 / 30 30 0 0 Victoria 77 88 76 91 / 20 20 10 0 Laredo 78 93 78 95 / 0 20 10 0 Alice 78 89 77 91 / 10 30 10 0 Rockport 81 86 81 89 / 30 20 10 0 Cotulla 77 94 77 95 / 0 20 10 0 Kingsville 78 88 77 90 / 20 30 0 0 Navy Corpus 81 87 81 88 / 40 30 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...High Rip Current Risk through Monday evening for TXZ345-442-443- 447.
GM...None.
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