textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1242 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

- Elevated to near-critical fire weather conditions through Monday afternoon.

- Below-normal highs with cooler nights through mid-week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1242 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Conditions are expected to remain cool through the beginning of the week as the ridge settles in temporarily. Highs will be in the 60s before warming into the 70s by Wednesday. A mid level disturbance is expected to eject a weak boundary into the region around midweek. It isn't expected to change much in terms of temperatures highs will remain in the 70s through the remainder of the week. It will likely lead to Small Craft Advisory conditions though therefore it will be something to monitor. Another disturbance is expected to push through the during the next weekend allowing for another cool down. Lows through the entirety of the week will be in the 40s.

In terms of right now we are expected to see some showers during the day due to efficient isentropic lift at the 300 to 305K layer. This will lead to low rain chances 20-40% through Tuesday.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1242 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

VFR conditions will be expected through the entirety of the period. Winds will transition to light and variable by this evening.

MARINE

Issued at 1242 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Strong to near-gale force (BF 6-7) winds and high seas are expected to gradually diminish through the morning into the early afternoon hours. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through early Sunday afternoon. Expect gentle to moderate breeze conditions by Sunday night. There is a low (20-30%) chance of showers through daybreak, and again Monday night through Wednesday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1242 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Drier air will continue to surge into the area this weekend, with minimum relative humidity values around 10-25% inland and 25-35% for the coastal counties. Winds will continue to relax through the day and ERC values will be in the 50th-89th percentile so we can expect an elevated fire weather risk over all of South Texas. Conditions should remain this way through Monday. Should winds remain elevated, it is possible that critical fire weather conditions could develop, so please continue to use caution in and around any ignition sources. An overrunning pattern will result in mostly cloudy skies with sprinkles of rain, but no wetting rain is in the forecast aside from the chances directly associated with the frontal passage.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 62 48 64 50 / 0 0 10 20 Victoria 64 43 64 44 / 0 0 0 10 Laredo 61 46 64 47 / 10 10 20 40 Alice 63 45 65 46 / 0 10 10 20 Rockport 64 49 64 50 / 0 0 0 10 Cotulla 63 45 63 45 / 0 10 10 30 Kingsville 63 47 65 47 / 0 10 10 20 Navy Corpus 62 54 63 54 / 0 10 10 20

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ231-232- 236-237.

Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for GMZ250- 255-270-275.