textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

- Low to medium rain chances (20-40%) will continue through Veteran's Day morning

- A cold front will push through Thursday brining the next shoot of cooler mornings through Friday night

- Coastal Flood Advisory this morning

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Shower activity will slowly taper through the overnight hours with the loss of daytime heating as our mid/upper-level trough continues to elongate across the state and advects drier air from the southwest. A surface high currently over the northern Gulf will progress east as we go into Tuesday, which will allow a brief southerly to southeasterly return flow across our area. This, in combination with enhanced mid/upper-level support associated with our trough and higher surface moisture levels, will allow for continued rain chances as we go into Tuesday. While not as quite as high as previous days, PWAT values will remain elevated closer to the coastline (1.6-1.8" range, which will support brief periods of locally heavier rainfall with any stronger storm, while inland locations have lower PWAT values (1.1-1.5") and thus inland locations will have lower rainfall amounts. Additional rainfall through Tuesday evening of 0.5-1 inches are possible across the Brush Country/Rio Grande Plains with 1-2 inches closer to the Coastal Bend. Lower rain chances (20-30%) will exist early Wednesday morning along the coast as the main forcing associated with the trough moves east and dry air filters in.

Our next cold front looks to arrive sometime Thursday bringing cooler temperatures and lower humidity, but model discrepancies on exact timing and intensity do remain at this time. We will have a better grasp on exact details oncer there is better agreement on model consensus. Nonetheless, cooler and drier conditions will prevail through Friday. Another mid-level trough looks to dig across the Southwestern US/northwestern Mexico this weekend bringing the next chance for rain.

The overall risk for minor coastal flooding will continue through this morning. P-ETSS guidance forecasts water levels reaching near 1.7 ft above MSL through the upcoming tide cycles but with the lack of higher wave periods, not sure there'll be enough of a push to create enough runup to cause additional concerns.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

MVFR/IFR ceilings continue across the Brush Country, with generally MVFR to briefly VFR conditions across the Coastal Plains. Expect conditions to be MVFR/IFR across the entire region through the TAF period. Lingering showers could also drop visibility to MVFR/IFR.

MARINE

Issued at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Winds become variable and light to gentle (BF 2-3) through Wednesday ahead of the next cold front that will move through on Thursday. Behind the frontal passage, a moderate to fresh northerly breeze develops that wanes by Friday morning. Daily light rain chances continue through Wednesday before clearing out with the front on Thursday through Friday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1220 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Recent rainfalls and additional rain chances through Tuesday will continue to keep the fire risk low through the next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 72 64 77 63 / 50 40 10 0 Victoria 70 60 76 59 / 40 40 10 0 Laredo 71 63 77 63 / 20 10 0 0 Alice 69 60 75 59 / 50 40 10 0 Rockport 75 64 77 63 / 40 30 20 0 Cotulla 69 59 76 59 / 30 0 0 0 Kingsville 72 62 77 61 / 50 40 10 0 Navy Corpus 74 68 76 68 / 60 30 20 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 AM CST early this morning for TXZ245-342>347-442-443-447.

GM...None.