textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 139 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

- Moderate rainfall chances this weekend

- Increasing temperatures rest of the week

- Potential minor coastal flooding daily

DISCUSSION

Issued at 139 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

A mid-level trough over the Southern Plains is progged to translate eastward through the rest of the week. Leaving a northwesterly flow in its wake. The next chance for some rain across South Texas will be this weekend as a shortwave moves across the region combined with PWATs that are progged to exceed the 75th percentile with the GEFS ensemble mean around 1.50". Currently have forecasted a low chance for precipitation beginning on Thursday increasing to a moderate chance by Thursday night through Friday then decreasing to a low chance through Sunday. Daytime highs currently hovering around the mid 70s to low 80s will persist for the rest of the work week before trending up with highs into the 90s out west by late this weekend/early next workweek. Tonight our northern counties will say goodbye to lows in the 50s as nighttime temperatures slowly creep up to near or around 70 degrees by early next week across the region.

Minor coastal flooding will continue to be an issue along the Middle Texas Coast this week as recent observations have revealed water reaching or nearly reaching the dunes during high tide. Guidance has not had a good handle on the inundation. In addition, tidal levels are progged to slowly increase in response to persistent onshore flow and long period swell. P-ETSS guidance has been underdone over the last few days with predicted levels around 1.5 ft MSL but levels have been running around 1 ft MSL above predicted so expect periods of minor coastal flooding during times of high tide to continue through late this week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 139 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

VFR conditions are expected to persist over the next couple of hours. MVFR ceiling are expected to creep in from the west over sites LRD,COT, and eventually making it to ALI. This is expected to persist through the morning and portions of the afternoon in some spots (COT and LRD). Elsewhere VFR conditions will persist through the TAF cycle with relatively light winds.

MARINE

Issued at 139 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

An onshore gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) breeze will become moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) late this weekend. Low rain chances over the waters increases to a moderate chance Thursday through Saturday as a shortwave moves across South Texas and interacts with above normal moisture.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 139 AM CDT Wed Apr 8 2026

A mid-level disturbance and abundant moisture will lead to a low chance for precipitation on Thursday, increasing to a moderate chance by Thursday night through Friday then decreasing to a low chance early Saturday through Sunday. Light winds and elevated RH values are progged through the rest of the week with a window of increased winds Saturday. Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected throughout this forecast period as ERC values hover around the 30th percentile and Min RH values generally around 40-60%.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 78 67 80 67 / 10 0 40 60 Victoria 81 61 82 64 / 10 0 40 40 Laredo 81 68 81 67 / 20 10 60 50 Alice 81 64 82 65 / 20 0 40 50 Rockport 79 68 80 69 / 10 10 30 60 Cotulla 81 64 81 67 / 10 0 40 40 Kingsville 79 65 81 65 / 20 0 40 50 Navy Corpus 76 69 78 69 / 10 10 40 60

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.