textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 520 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

- Drier air post front coupled with breezy winds and dry fuels could lead to increased fire weather concerns through early this week.

- Above average temperatures to continue this week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1141 PM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

Breezy northerly winds and much drier air will overspread the region on Sunday, producing noticeably lower humidity. Despite yesterday's frontal passage, the temperature drop across South Texas will be modest as CAA behind the front will be weak. The more noticeable change will be during the overnight hours as the drier airmass and clearing skies will allow for efficient radiational cooling and low temperatures to fall into the 50s for the next few days.

An upper-level ridge will then build over the region and dominate through much of the upcoming work week. Dry conditions are expected to persist as southwesterly flow aloft promotes a steady warming trend. Afternoon temperatures will climb well above seasonal averages by midweek, with highs expected in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees across the Coastal Bend and even warmer conditions farther west across the Brush Country. Late in the week, a weak front is expected to move through, bringing a slight cooling trend but little to no rainfall.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 520 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026

VFR conditions are expected today with moderate winds early in the afternoon. While the western sites will remain VFR tonight as well, the eastern sites are expected to fall to MVFR/LFR due to the development of fog. Confidence at this time is low on exactly how dense will be, but I wouldn't be surprised to see ALI and VCT dip to 1/4SM tonight after 06z.

MARINE

Issued at 1141 PM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

A north-northwesterly moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) breeze will persist through this afternoon. Onshore flow with gentle to moderate (BF 3- 4) conditions return by Monday afternoon with occasionally fresh (BF5) breezes. Dry conditions are expected through the rest of the week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1141 PM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

Relative humidity values are forecast to drop well below 30% mainly across the Brush Country and western Coastal Plains for several days in response to yesterday's frontal passage. This dry air combined with 20-foot winds of 10-15 mph, with occasional higher gusts, and Energy Release Component values in the 70th-89th percentile have prompted the issuance of a Fire Danger Statement (RFD) today. Similar conditions are expected through Tuesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 81 53 77 58 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 77 47 77 54 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 84 54 86 59 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 84 50 83 55 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 79 56 74 61 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 83 51 85 55 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 83 51 82 56 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 77 59 72 63 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.