textproduct: Corpus Christi
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KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 621 PM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026
- Moderate risk of heat-related impacts into early next week, afternoon heat indices of 100-108
- Daily spotty streamer showers and a few thunderstorms over the Coastal Plains
DISCUSSION
Issued at 119 PM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026
No significant changes from the previous forecast. NBM rain chances seem too low in the short-term across South Texas. Given current radar and expected increased moisture, I've bumped up rain chances to at least 15-20% over the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads where enhanced moisture can lead to diurnally-driven spotty showers and thunderstorms in the morning and early afternoon hours.
Recent model runs have shown the mid-level ridge over the Four Corners region early next week being the more prominent feature for South Texas than the trough protruding southwestward from the Great Lakes. No clear signature for greater rain chances and can expect more of the same diurnally-driven convection. But we'll keep a close eye on mid-level support from Mexico or the aforementioned trough.
Temperatures will remain steady into early next week, with highs in the 90s to around 100 over the Brush Country, and lows in the mid to upper 70s. Afternoon max heat indices will range from 100-108 daily, leading to a moderate risk of heat-related impacts across South Texas.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 621 PM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026
VFR conditions are expected to continue through this evening with MVFR possible at a few sites late tonight into tomorrow morning. Winds will be light overnight before picking back up late tomorrow morning. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible tomorrow afternoon across the eastern sites.
MARINE
Issued at 119 PM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026
Gentle to moderate south to southeasterly breeze (BF 3-4) will persist into early next week, with seas between 2 to 4 feet. There will be low rain chances each morning across the open waters.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 77 91 77 91 / 0 20 0 20 Victoria 75 94 75 95 / 0 20 0 20 Laredo 76 98 77 99 / 0 0 10 0 Alice 75 94 75 94 / 0 20 0 20 Rockport 81 91 80 91 / 0 20 0 20 Cotulla 75 97 75 98 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 75 91 75 92 / 0 20 0 20 Navy Corpus 81 89 81 89 / 0 20 0 20
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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