textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 629 AM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

- Another cold front will move across Wednesday/Thursday.

- Low to medium rain chances Tuesday night/Wednesday

- Elevated fire weather conditions Wednesday through the end of the week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 139 AM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

Warm and humid weather will continue across South Texas with highs in the 80s and 90s through the middle of the week ahead of another cold front. A prefrontal boundary will swing through the area late Tuesday into early Wednesday, bringing low to medium (20-60%) chance of showers and thunderstorms. The main front will then move through on Wednesday night and Thursday, with cool and dry air surging in behind it. High temperatures will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s Thursday and Friday. Cooler temperatures won't linger as long as the dry air, with temperatures quickly returning into the 90s by the weekend and relative humidity values remaining in the teens. The dry air will lead to the potential for elevated fire weather concerns late this week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 629 AM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

Currently this morning, isolated showers and thunderstorms are tracking northeast across the LRD and COT TAF sites. This is expected to continue through this morning with another round of isolated convection across the Rio Grande Plains in the afternoon ahead of a cold front. Rain chances increase across S TX tonight through Wednesday morning as the front moves E-SE across the area. Rain chances are expected to decrease from west to east on Wednesday behind the front. Conditions will improve TO VFR through 15-17Z this morning. Clouds are expected to hang around through much of today, but CIGs will typically be at VFR levels. Conditions are expected to lower once again this evening. Winds will be stronger today ahead of a cold front. Winds will be S-SE at sustained 15-25 knots gusting to 30-35 knots. Winds will decrease slightly this evening but will remain gusty.

MARINE

Issued at 139 AM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) winds will persist through today. Winds will increase once again to a moderate to fresh breeze (BF 4-5) tonight. Another cold front will approach by the middle of the week, with rain chances increasing to a low to medium (20-50%) chance Tuesday night through Wednesday night with a prefrontal boundary. As the main front moves through, winds will increase to fresh to strong (BF 5-6) Wednesday night and Thursday, with gusts to near gale (BF 7) possible. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 139 AM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

Low rain chances (< 20%) will continue through early this week, increasing to low to medium (20-60%) Tuesday night and Wednesday as a cold front approaches the area. Relative humidity values will drop into the teens late this week behind the cold front, leading to the potential for elevated fire weather conditions.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 84 69 88 59 / 10 20 30 0 Victoria 84 67 83 52 / 10 30 70 10 Laredo 92 67 91 60 / 10 30 0 0 Alice 90 67 90 55 / 10 30 20 0 Rockport 82 70 85 57 / 10 20 40 0 Cotulla 89 66 87 55 / 20 60 10 0 Kingsville 88 68 90 58 / 0 20 20 0 Navy Corpus 78 70 84 60 / 0 20 30 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.


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