textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 125 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026
- Patch fog though at times dense Thursday morning
- Moderate risk of heat-related impacts this weekend into next week
- Rain chances (20-40%) return early next week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 125 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026
The pattern is remaining on track from the previous few instances. Expect the region to be under the influence of a ridge through the beginning of this weekend. It will promote warm conditions around the region with partly cloudy skies at times as moisture filters back in thanks to onshore flow.
With the presence of the lower level low overhead, winds will be becoming very light specifically around the Coastal Bend extending to the Victoria Crossroads. The presence of low-level moisture in the area will allow for some patchy fog that could potentially be dense at times (similar to this morning).
Heading into the latter portions of the weekend, the forecast will begin to change a bit. Mid-level disturbances are progged to move into the region early in the week as a trough digs around the Four Corners region extending into West Texas/Northern Mexico. This is expected to combine with surging PWATs around 2.0", well above normal for this time of year climatologically speaking. Low to medium rain chances will exist as a result of this through the middle of next week. This will also contribute to heat stress conditions. Warmer mornings will be expected due to increase cloud cover next week given the abundance of moisture in the area. This will not allow for temperatures to recover effectively overnight leading to warm overnight lows and warmer highs during the day. Will be something worth watching as we embark closer to next week.
P-ETSS guidance is portraying tide levels potentially 2.0 ft MSL late this weekend. This would most certainly lead to minor coastal flooding, therefore we will continue to monitor the trends.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 125 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026
VFR conditions will be expected to prevail through the TAF cycle. Some periods of MVFR (potentially IFR/LIFR at times though low confidence) VSBYs will be possible across the eastern sites (CRP,ALI,VCT). TEMPOs were used to account for this possibility. Winds will be generally light through the period.
MARINE
Issued at 125 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026
Light to gentle (BF 2- 3) flow will be out of the south to southeast tonight through Thursday. Southeasterly flow strengthens to moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) Thursday night into the middle of next week. Low to medium (20-40%) rain chances return early next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 66 89 71 87 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 65 91 68 89 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 68 95 70 97 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 64 93 68 93 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 73 87 76 87 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 67 95 69 97 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 65 90 69 90 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 73 84 76 84 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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