textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1204 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

- Brief freezing temperatures possible north tonight. Wind chill values as cold as 21.

- Hard freeze Saturday night into Sunday morning with temps as low as 23. Wind chill values as low as 17.

- Low rain chances next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1204 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Forecast remains on track today in terms of the upcoming cold weather for the weekend. The front has cleared through South Texas with moderate to strong northerly flow persisting west and a much cooler day than yesterday. We'll keep high clouds into tonight, but expect them to clear overnight. Without having a full night of radiational cooling, expect only a brief window of freezing potential and primarily for the northern Brush Country and Victoria Crossroads. While we do have temperatures in the forecast as low as 31 or 32, expect this to only be for an hour or so, so will not at this time issue a freeze warning. If temps fall faster, we may need a last minute one later. We will however see wind chill values fall into the 20s, and for northern areas into the lower 20s, thus a cold weather advisory has been issued fro those areas tonight.

As we move into Saturday, the reinforcing surge of high pressure (ie colder air) pushes in. Temperatures tomorrow will likely top out in the 50s once again, with the Victoria Crossroads maybe struggling to get out of the 40s. Having full sun tomorrow should help a little, and models have been trending ever so slightly warmer. Saturday night will be the coldest of this period with hard freeze conditions likely mainly again for the northern areas, but freeze conditions for most of South Texas. Wind chill values will fall into the 20s and upper teens.

We'll turn a corner next week with onshore flow returning late Sunday and moderating temperatures expected. Wish a good southwesterly flow aloft on Tuesday, temperatures will likely be 5-10 degrees above normal with some locations inland reaching 80. Low rain chances are in the forecast for Tuesday-Thursday, mainly east with mid level disturbance pushing across.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1204 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

A thick deck of mid-level clouds remains in place this afternoon and is expected to move out of the area this evening and overnight with clear skies expected on Saturday. Gusty northerly winds persist east this afternoon before light winds tonight. Have indicated wind gusts again tomorrow, though confidence isn't as high, with some models suggesting winds not as strong above the surface to mix down. Overall, expect VFR conditions.

MARINE

Issued at 1204 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Strong northerly winds will continue in open waters through Saturday morning with rough seas. Winds will subside later in the weekend, shifting around to the southeast by Sunday evening. Wind speeds will increase again Monday night into Tuesday to moderate of strong levels. There is a low chance for showers Tuesday and Wednesday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1204 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Relative humidity values fall to low levels (<30%) this afternoon but will not align with strong winds to increase the fire danger. RH will again drop to low levels tomorrow with moderate winds. ERC values remain generally low, and the potential for critical fire conditions is low. RH values increase late in the weekend and early next week. There is a low chance for showers toward the middle of next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 36 54 33 62 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 31 49 24 59 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 36 60 34 63 / 10 0 0 0 Alice 33 55 29 63 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 37 53 34 59 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 34 55 28 60 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 34 56 31 65 / 10 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 41 52 42 61 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Freeze Watch from Saturday evening through Sunday morning for TXZ229>234-239>244-246-247.

Cold Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM CST Saturday for TXZ230>234.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM CST Saturday for GMZ250-255-270- 275.