textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 121 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
- Minor to moderate Heat Stress conditions across the region through the week.
- Low to medium (20-50%) rain chances return today and continue each afternoon through the end of the week.
- Marginal risk of excessive rainfall over portions of the area Thursday through Saturday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 121 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
Moisture will continue to stream into the area this week, with PWAT values approaching 2" by Thursday. Some of the guidance has PWAT values exceeding 2" Friday afternoon through Saturday. This moisture will combine with the afternoon seabreeze each afternoon to initiate showers and thunderstorms. Meanwhile, mid-level low developing off the southern California coast will eject shortwave energy toward South Texas as it moves east. These shortwaves will enhance convection, particularly late Thursday through Saturday, leading to a period of potentially heavy rainfall. Due to this and areas with saturated soils, WPC has included the Brush Country and western Coastal Plains in a Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall beginning Thursday. The mid-level low will move north of the area Friday and Saturday, further enhancing rainfall. The Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall will expand to cover all of South Texas for Friday, before receding to the northern counties for Saturday.
Temperatures will stay in the 80s and 90s, but with high moisture values, heat indices between 100-105. This will lead to minor to moderate heat stress conditions. This could be reduced slightly should cloud cover or rainfall keep temperatures a little lower than currently forecast.
As mentioned in previous forecasts, a high risk of rip currents and, perhaps, minor coastal flooding are possible late this week. Confidence in this low but guidance continues to indicate swell periods increasing to 8-9 seconds.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 121 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
Generally VFR conditions are expected across South Texas this afternoon and overnight, though scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon could lead to brief MVFR/IFR conditions. MVFR ceilings and visibility will develop between 05Z-08Z persisting through 12Z across the Coastal Plains, with IFR/LIFR visibility possible for ALI and VCT from 08Z-12Z.
MARINE
Issued at 121 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026
Generally light to moderate (BF 2-4) winds will prevail through most of the weekend. Low to medium (20-50%) shower and thunderstorm chances will persist through the week into the weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 76 87 75 86 / 20 50 20 20 Victoria 73 86 72 86 / 30 60 40 60 Laredo 75 92 74 91 / 10 10 20 10 Alice 74 88 73 87 / 10 60 10 20 Rockport 78 86 77 89 / 20 40 30 20 Cotulla 74 90 74 90 / 10 20 20 30 Kingsville 75 87 73 86 / 10 60 10 20 Navy Corpus 78 85 77 86 / 20 40 20 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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