textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 136 PM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

- Moderate Rip Current Risk today through Thursday and may continue into the weekend.

- Minor coastal flooding possible through the weekend.

- Shower and thunderstorm chances increase this weekend with the arrival of a cold front.

- Small Craft Advisory conditions along with gusts to near gale force Saturday night into Sunday morning behind the cold front.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 136 PM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

An isolated shower or thunderstorm could clip the area around Cotulla this afternoon as a storm system tracks across north and central Texas. Otherwise, the rain chances will remain north of the area. A few very weak showers moving north to northwest this morning across the southern Brush Country and Coastal Bend will diminish this afternoon. Similar conditions expected again Thursday morning. These weak showers will likely only produce trace amounts and most locations will remain dry.

Overall, only a few minor changes to the forecast through the weekend. The work week still looks to be generally dry with above normal temperatures and breezy afternoons, especially on Friday. The strong onshore winds will usher deeper moisture across S TX ahead of a cold front. The next chance of showers and thunderstorms with measurable rainfall is Saturday through Monday with the highest chances expected Saturday night as the cold front moves through S TX. Behind the cold front, rain chances continue with mostly stratiform rain due to overrunning of the shallow cold dome. A few elevated embedded storms remain possible on Sunday with instability in the mid levels. As for the probability, chances increase to 20- 30% with the higher chance generally across the northern portions of the Brush Country and Victoria Crossroads Saturday afternoon. Rain chances increase to 50-70% Saturday night into Sunday. A 25-45% chance of mainly showers continues into Monday.

Forecasted temperatures behind the front on Sunday will be a few degrees below normal with highs in the 70s area-wide with similar highs Monday. Lows generally in the upper 50s to mid 60s are expected. Gradual warming trend next week.

There is a Moderate Rip Current Risk today through thursday due to swell periods 6-8 seconds, and southeast winds 10-15 knots. This may continue through the work week as onshore winds increase over the gulf waters through Friday. Minor coastal flooding will be possible daily during times of high tide. Will continue to monitor for potential Coastal Flood Advisory. The PETSS indicates increasing tide levels the latter part of the week, which is more likely for water to reach the dunes at high tide and warranting a Coastal Flood Advisory. The best chance of coastal flooding is expected behind the weekend cold front. This is due to forecasted winds out of the northeast at 20-25 knots along with an increasing swell period. The swells may also lead to an increasing rip current risk but will be offset by the "along-shore" winds. These conditions are dependent on frontal passage timing and strength.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 136 PM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

VFR conditions with CIGs above 3500kft will continue through the afternoon. A mix of VFR and MVFR CIGs are expected tonight into Thursday morning. VFR CIGs are expected to resume by mid to late Thursday morning. VSBYs are expected to remain generally at VFR levels but could briefly drop to MVFR Thursday morning for mainly VCT. S to SE winds gusting to around 25 knots (approaching 30 knots at the CRP TAF site) can be expected through this afternoon, then decreasing this evening. Winds are forecast to be a few knots lower Thursday.

MARINE

Issued at 136 PM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

A Moderate to Fresh (BF 4-5) onshore flow will persist through Thursday. A fresh to strong (BF 5-6)onshore flow is expected to develop across bays and coastal waters on Friday with advisory conditions possible. Winds relax Saturday, then shift to the northeast and become strong (BF 6) late Saturday night into early Sunday in the wake of a cold front. Occasional gusts to near gale force can be expected. Low rain chances (<~15%) expected through the end of the workweek but increase to a medium to high (30-60%)this weekend, especially Saturday night into Sunday as the cold front moves across the region.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 136 PM CDT Wed Apr 15 2026

The chance for wetting rains through the work week remain very low (<10%) along with continued above normal temperatures. Minimum RH values will remain generally above 30-40% through the period. South to southeast winds are expected to strengthen across South Texas Friday, but based on the forecasted above normal moisture and low ERC values, elevated fire weather is not expected at this time. The chance of thunderstorms with measurable rainfall increases over the weekend with the arrival of a cold front. The best chance of showers and thunderstorms is Saturday night as the cold front moves through South Texas. Cooler behind the front, but still humid with rain chances continuing into early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 71 85 72 85 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 68 87 69 87 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 72 95 72 97 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 70 90 70 90 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 73 84 73 83 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 71 94 70 95 / 10 0 0 0 Kingsville 71 88 70 88 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 73 81 74 80 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.