textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 130 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

- Rain chances increasing to low to moderate (20-60%) tonight and Wednesday, mainly along the coast and southern Coastal Plains. Highest chances will be across the coastal waters.

- Minor coastal flooding will remain possible through the week.

- Moderate Rip Current Risk today through Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 130 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

Temperatures will remain near or slightly above normal through the weekend with north to east winds generally below 15 knots. Moisture will begin an increase tonight under the influence of a surface/mid- level trough. This will lead to a low (20-40%) chance of showers along the coast tonight. As the trough shifts further west Wednesday into early Thursday , so will the rain chances across the southern Coastal Plains and southern Brush Country. Beyond Thursday, rain chances will diminish to nearly zero. The next chances for rain will be early next week as another trough approaches the area.

A persistent northeast to easterly flow will continue through Thursday/Thursday night. While the winds are expected to remain between 5-15 knots, the persistent northeast to easterly wind direction and swell periods around 8 seconds could lead to minor coastal flooding during the times of high tide. Guidance indicates and upward trend in tidal levels; however, confidence remains low to medium. We will continue to monitor for possible Coastal Flood Advisories.

Though winds will be northeast/east through Thursday night, 8 second swell periods could help to increase the rip current threat, particularly near piers and jetties. Will continue with a moderate rip current risk today and Wednesday due to swell periods around 8 seconds. The northeast flow tends to lower the rip current risk, but 8 second period swells tends to increase the risk.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 130 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF cycle with generally northeast to east winds between 5-15 knots. Rain chances will increase tonight through Wednesday, mainly along the coast toward the end of the TAF period.

MARINE

Issued at 130 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

A gentle to occasionally fresh (BF 3-5) northeast to east breeze can be expected through mid-week. There is a medium to high chance of showers tonight through Wednesday night.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 130 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

Increasing relative humidity values, light winds, and ERC values below the 75th percentile will continue to limit fire weather conditions through the work week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 69 83 70 83 / 20 40 10 0 Victoria 64 86 62 87 / 0 10 0 0 Laredo 64 89 70 88 / 0 0 0 20 Alice 65 85 68 86 / 10 20 10 10 Rockport 70 83 71 83 / 20 30 10 0 Cotulla 59 87 66 87 / 0 0 0 10 Kingsville 67 84 69 84 / 10 40 20 10 Navy Corpus 73 82 74 82 / 30 60 20 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CDT Wednesday for GMZ275.


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