textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 122 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026
- Minor coastal flooding along with a moderate rip current risk will continue through the weekend.
- Low to medium (20-55%) chance of showers and thunderstorms through Thursday night.
- Drier Saturday with warm and humid conditions expected for Halloween weekend.
- Our next cold front is expected sometime around Tuesday of next week along with chances for rain and thunderstorms.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 122 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026
Showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue, mainly over the Brush Country, tonight. As moisture from Post Tropical Depression Vance moves to the northeast, rain chances will once again shift over the Victoria Crossroads, where a Marginal (Level 1 of 4) Risk of Excessive Rainfall is in place for today and tonight. Rain chances will diminish later tonight as the moisture continues to pull further away from South Texas.
The most important question for us all is: will I need to ruin my Halloween costume with a raincoat? Well, good news!!! While a 20% chance of showers will linger mainly northeast of the Victoria Crossroads, most locations will remain dry. Not only are we expected to be dry, but low temperatures will stay in the 70s/upper 60s with light winds Halloween night for all you guys and ghouls out there. Our post Halloween crash will be warm and sunny through early next week.
Model guidance continues to show a cold front sweeping across South Texas sometime on Tuesday. This will bring another low to medium (20- 60%) chance of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday. Temperatures in the 50s may make an appearance late next week.
Guidance continues to indicate tidal levels above 2.0 ft MSL through the weekend, before finally dropping below criteria Monday. Have continued the Coastal Flood Advisory for minor coastal flooding during periods of high tide through Saturday morning. It is possible that we will need to extend this further, but we will continue to monitor.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 122 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026
Generally expecting VFR conditions overnight with vicinity showers from LRD to COT as currently shown on radar. Showers generally expected to continue and spread further east across South Texas through tomorrow afternoon with isolated thunderstorms. Accompanied by MVFR to potentially IFR conditions approaching LIFR. Convection should taper off towards the end of the TAF period with MVFR to IFR CIGs lingering or re-developing.
MARINE
Issued at 122 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026
Light to moderate (BF 2-4) southeasterly flow will persist through much of the week, with seas generally 3 to 5 feet. Low to medium (15- 40%) chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue through Saturday. Locally higher winds and seas will be possible near thunderstorms.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 122 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026
Abundant low-level moisture and winds generally below 20 knots will limit fire weather concerns through the forecast period. Rain chances will diminish over the weekend. Another cold front is expected early next week with drier conditions in its wake.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 81 70 86 71 / 40 10 0 10 Victoria 78 65 83 67 / 60 40 20 10 Laredo 83 69 87 71 / 30 10 10 0 Alice 83 67 87 68 / 50 10 10 10 Rockport 81 71 82 72 / 60 20 30 10 Cotulla 78 67 83 69 / 50 10 10 10 Kingsville 84 68 88 69 / 40 10 0 10 Navy Corpus 80 74 82 75 / 60 10 10 10
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 AM CDT Saturday for TXZ345-442- 443-447.
GM...None.
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