textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 614 AM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

- Potential for elevated fire weather conditions over the Brush Country and inland Coastal Plains daily through next week

- Medium chance (30-60%) of fog over the Coastal Plains during the early morning hours

- Dry and abnormally warm weather continues through next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 233 AM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

Dry and abnormally warm conditions will continue through next week as ridging remains the dominant feature over South Texas. The only glimpse of moisture is an increase to normal PWATs Tuesday as a mid- level low over the SW Gulf intrudes the de-amplfying ridge, this will only bring in a sliver of 10% rain chances right along the coast and over the waters.

Mostly clear skies and light to calm winds at night will promote medium chance for fog over the inland Coastal Plains during the early morning hours. It'll stay abnormally warm across the region, with highs around 80 along the coast to the mid-upper 90s over the Brush Country. Lows will remain in the low to mid 60s.

Relative humidity will continue to dip to 15-30% over the Brush Country during the afternoon and evening hours, warranting elevated fire weather concerns. Therefore, a Fire Danger Statement has been issued for Jim Wells to Live Oak westward this afternoon and evening, additional statements will likely be needed. See the fire discussion below for more details.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 614 AM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

Currently have a mix of MVFR/VFR conditions with shallow patchy fog reducing VSBYs at ALI/VCT. VFR conditions will return by a few hours after sunrise. Gusty southeast winds during the afternoon into the evening. Tonight there's a moderate chance for VSBY's to drop to less than 1SM across VCT/ALI with a low chance for LIFR VSBYs across CRP. Have not included in TAFs yet but may include in the next TAF cycle, once this trend can be confirmed with better confidence.

MARINE

Issued at 233 AM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

A moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) south-southeasterly breeze will persist through tonight before a light to gentle flow (BF 2-3) sets up on Monday and Tuesday. Conditions rebound to a gentle to moderate flow by midweek, continuing through next weekend. There is only a sliver of 10% rain chances on Tuesday as moisture increases due to a mid- level low over the SW Gulf. Otherwise, rain chances are expected to remain negligible with wave heights generally between 2-4 feet.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 233 AM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

Persistent ridging will keep abnormally warm conditions across South Texas. Relative humidity will consistently drop to 15-30% over the inland Coastal Plains and Brush Country each afternoon, with energy release components (ERCs) in the 70-90th percentiles and dry to critically dry fuels. The winds will be the most determining factor. I do believe there will be frequent wind gusts over 20 mph while RH is below 30% to warrant a mention of elevated fire weather conditions. Therefore, a Fire Danger Statement has been issued for Jim Wells to Live Oak westward this afternoon and evening. Similar conditions are expected through next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 85 63 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 85 59 88 61 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 96 63 93 64 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 94 59 90 61 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 80 66 81 66 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 98 60 93 61 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 90 60 88 62 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 78 66 79 67 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.