textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 125 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

- Potential for elevated fire weather conditions over the Brush Country and western Coastal Plains daily through next week.

- Moderate chances of fog over the Coastal Plains during the early morning hours.

- Dry, abnormally warm weather continues through next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 125 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

A strong mid- to upper-level ridge will dominate through the upcoming week, leading to the persistence of dry, unseasonably warm conditons across South Texas. Subsidence associated with this feature will suppress any chances or precipitation. Only a brief, limited increase in moisture is expected Monday/Tuesday as a weak mid-level low over the southwestern Gulf weakens the ridge. This will allow or no more than isolated, low chances (~10%) for showers over area waters.

Mostly clear skies and light winds overnight during this next week will promote the development of patchy fog, especially across the inland Coastal Plains, with any reductions in visibility improving shortly after sunrise. Day time conditions will remain quite warm, with highs generally ranging from the upper 70s along the coast to the 80s and 90s inland, and even hotter readings across far western portions of the Brush Country. A weak frontal boundary will stall north of our CWA late tonight into Monday, resulting in a 2-3 degree decrease in temperatures Monday and Tuesday compared to previous days. Southerly winds may become breezy at times due to the tightening surface pressure gradient associated with that front.

By midweek, the ridge aloft will strengthen once again, reinforcing above-normal temperatures and continued dry conditions through the end of the work week. Elevated fire weather concerns will persist, particularly across the Brush Country, where low relative humidity and occasional breezy winds will support increased fire danger.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 125 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail for most of this TAF cycle. Breezy south-southeasterly winds of generally 10-20 knots will persist into the early evening hours before decreasing overnight. There is a moderate chance for lowered CIGs and reduced VSBYs at ALI/CRP/VCT Monday morning as a lingering shallow moisture profile combined with a reduction in winds could create the ideal conditions for shallow radiation fog. IFR/LIFR conditions will be confined to ALI/VCT with CRP having a higher likelihood of MVFR. CIGs and VSBYs will improve around 14-15Z.

MARINE

Issued at 125 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

A moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) south-southeasterly breeze will persist through tonight before a light to gentle flow (BF 2-3) sets up on Monday and Tuesday. Conditions rebound to a gentle to moderate flow by midweek, continuing through to next weekend. A brief, limited increase in moisture is expected Monday/Tuesday as a weak mid-level low moves over the southwestern Gulf, but this will allow for no more than isolated, low chances (~10%) for showers over area waters. Otherwise, rain chances are expected to remain negligible with wave heights between 2-4 feet.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 125 PM CDT Sun Mar 22 2026

Persistent ridging aloft will allow for abnormally warm conditions to continue across South Texas throughout the next week. Minimum relative humidity will consistently drop below 30% over the Brush Country each afternoon, with Energy Release Components (ERCs) in the 70-89th percentile and dry to critically dry fuels. With winds between 10-15 mph and gusts reaching 20-25 mph during the afternoon hours with the seabreeze, elevated fire weather conditions appear likely the next several days, especially across our westernmost zones. A Fire Danger Statement remains in effect for Jim Wells to Live Oak westward this afternoon and evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 62 84 63 85 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 59 85 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 63 92 65 92 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 59 89 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 65 80 66 80 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 60 90 61 92 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 60 87 62 88 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 66 78 67 78 / 0 0 0 10

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.