textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1208 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
- Cold front today will bring a medium to high chance of showers and thunderstorms.
- Cooler temperatures expected into the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1208 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
A cold front moves through the area today, increasing rain chances into the morning hours with the best chance into the early afternoon as the front approaches. Thunderstorms are possible for most of the CWA following the front as it makes its way down through South Texas. The highest chance for showers and thunderstorms will be confined more towards the north and northeast across the Victoria crossroads(60-70%) with low to medium chances expected across the Coastal Plains and inner Brush Country(30-50%).
Not too much of a temperature cooldown as this front is mainly more Pacific in nature. But nonetheless, we can expect cooler weather and lower humidity with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s into Wednesday. Unfortunately, those somewhat cooler temperatures increase Thursday as winds return to the southeast bringing moisture back into the area, and highs into the low to mid 80's. Looking at high PWAT values (1.5-1.9 inches) across the region Thursday, rain chances could be slightly elevated for the Coastal Bend and neighboring Brush Country counties. Guidance is hinting at a Pacific low making its way into the area next weekend. This could bring in a stronger front than the one the CWA will experience today, but confidence ultimately remains low for the time being.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
MVFR to LIFR conditions expected overnight tonight through late morning. Mainly affecting VCT/ALI. Tomorrow afternoon MVFR to VFR conditions will prevail through the end of the TAF period. Southeasterly winds early in the period will eventually shift north in response to a cold front tomorrow afternoon.
MARINE
Issued at 1208 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) breeze turns north and increases to a moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) breeze due to the cold front. Periods of small craft advisory conditons are possible but confidence remains low. There is a medium to high chance for showers and thunderstorms today and tonight. Onshore flow returns Thursday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1208 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
Low-level moisture and light winds will continue to limit fire weather concerns. Showers and thunderstorms are expected today as a cold front moves across the area. Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 86 62 79 64 / 50 10 0 0 Victoria 80 56 76 57 / 80 0 0 0 Laredo 83 61 81 64 / 40 0 0 0 Alice 84 60 80 61 / 40 0 0 0 Rockport 85 63 79 67 / 70 20 0 0 Cotulla 81 56 79 60 / 40 0 0 0 Kingsville 87 61 81 62 / 40 10 0 0 Navy Corpus 84 67 77 70 / 50 20 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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