textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 505 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

- A weak cold front pushes through this afternoon, clearing skies and bringing slightly cooler (at night) and drier conditions.

- Patchy fog is possible overnight Thursday into Friday morning across the Victoria Crossroads and eastern Brush Country.

- Medium rain chances this weekend, followed by our next front sometime Monday of next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1222 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

An inverted trough currently located over the northwest Gulf will continue to usher in a northerly breeze as it progresses southeastward across the Gulf into Thursday. A cold front is set to arrive Thursday afternoon which will clear skies and lower humidity with highs in the lower 70s across the area.

Following the frontal passage, a surface high approaches from the northwest as we go into Thursday night through Friday morning. This feature in combination with clear skies and light winds will allow for ample radiational cooling to occur which will result in areas of patchy fog. Visibilities between 1-3 miles can be expected from the inner Coastal Plains around Victoria to the southern Brush Country cross through Alice during the early morning hours on Friday. Conditions will improve by mid-morning hours as ample diurnal heating takes place. High temperatures will rebound into the lower 70s with lows dipping into the 50s across the area with mostly clear skies.

Clouds will begin to increase from the west overnight Friday into Saturday with a mid-level cut off low currently over the east Pacific amplifying and becoming a negatively-tilted trough as it approaches our area. Ahead of this feature, ample moisture return will be ongoing across our area with PWATs between 1.5-1.8" (greater than 75th percentile). This will result in showers and thunderstorms across our area throughout the day Saturday with locally heavy rainfall possible in the stronger cells and/or where any training develops. Medium rain chances (40-60%) will persist through Sunday night with models hinting at a surface coastal trough in conjunction with the mid-level trough. There are model discrepancies when it comes to the exact placement and intensity of this coastal feature but trends will continue to be closely monitored as we near this weekend.

Another cold front looks to arrive sometime Monday of next week, ending rain chances temporarily. Low rain chances return toward the middle of next week with the return of onshore flow increasing moisture.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 505 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Light winds and ample moisture have led to some MVFR visibility this morning. Expect conditions to return to VFR between 14Z and 16Z at all terminals and then persist through most of the TAF period.

MARINE

Issued at 102 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Gentle to moderate northerly winds will persist through this morning, before a weak cold front pushes through this afternoon resulting in gentle to moderate northeasterly flow. Winds decrease from light to gentle going into Friday before shifting to more onshore Friday night. Southeasterly winds will strengthen moderate to fresh Saturday. Another cold front will push through Monday, shifting moderate to fresh winds out of the north to northeast. Medium to high rain chances return Saturday through Monday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1222 AM CST Thu Nov 12 2026

Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected through the forecast period as relative humidity values remain above 40 percent. A weak cold front will push through this afternoon, causing winds to shift more southeasterly. Onshore flow returns Friday night. There is a medium chance for showers and thunderstorms this weekend. Another cold front is expected to push through sometime next Monday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 77 55 77 62 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 75 50 76 53 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 78 56 78 62 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 76 52 76 55 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 77 58 76 65 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 76 51 76 55 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 78 53 78 58 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 76 63 76 70 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.