textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 304 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

- Moderate risk of heat-related impacts this weekend into the middle of next week

- Daily low to medium rain chances (20-40%) next work week

- Potential for minor coastal flooding increases this weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 304 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

A couple more days of continued warm conditions will be expected as we head into this weekend. We will still be under the influence of the aforementioned ridge that will begin to shift to the east as we head into the weekend. Disturbances are expected to move into the region beginning in the latter portions of the weekend through late next week. This is in association with a trough around the Four Corners region digging south and extending into West Texas/Northern Mexico. This will essentially funnel those disturbances into our region. Along with this moisture will also be funneled into the region from the Pacific surging our PWATs around 2.0", well above normal for this time of year climatologically speaking (99th percentile). This will lead to some low to medium rain chances from the early portions of the week through the latter portions of the week. This will also lead to some increased heat stress related conditions. The increased moisture will lead to very warm dew points and increased cloud cover. This will not allow for temperatures to recover effectively overnight leading to warm overnight lows and warmer highs during the day. Will be something worth watching as we embark closer to next week.

P-ETSS guidance is portraying tide levels potentially 2.0 ft MSL late this weekend. This would also coincide with the new moon beginning Saturday and likely increased winds with greater swells. This would most certainly lead to minor coastal flooding, therefore we will continue to monitor the trends.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 304 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

VFR conditions can be expected to prevail through the TAF cycle. Some periods of MVFR to potentially IFR (likely brief) CIGs and maybe VSBYs (confidence is relatively low on the VSBYs) will be possible overnight. Winds are expected to remain fairly breezy out of the south-southeast through the night. Winds will increase late Thursday morning with gusts around 25 knots potentially up to 30 knots.

MARINE

Issued at 304 PM CDT Thu May 14 2026

A light to gentle (BF 2-3) south to southeasterly flow will continue through the rest of this afternoon. Southeasterly flow strengthens to moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) tonight and will continue into the middle of next week. Low to medium (20-40%) rain chances return next work week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 126 AM CDT Thu May 14 2026

No elevated fire weather conditions are expected into the middle of next week. Although minimum relative humidity may drop to 25-30% this afternoon, winds will likely remain below elevated criteria. Moisture increases significantly later this weekend into next week, bringing minimum relative humidity to only 45-50% over the Brush Country, along with daily low to medium shower and thunderstorm chances.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 72 88 75 87 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 69 89 71 88 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 71 97 72 97 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 69 93 71 92 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 77 87 78 88 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 70 97 71 96 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 70 90 72 89 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 77 85 78 85 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.