textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 124 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

- Another round of storms mid-week.

- Flooding potential remains through midweek. Slight Risk (2 out of 5) for flash flooding for most of the area.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 124 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

The activity has winded down across much of the region. We will see some residual showers along the Coastal Bend and in the Gulf waters where moisture convergence is the strongest. Will continue to have some lower to medium chances through the day today as the aforementioned disturbance continues to push to the east. Activity will be confined mainly to the waters for the most part with some lower chances along the coast and extending into the Victoria Crossroads. Accumulations should less than half an inch across the region, though a area or two of locally higher amounts is still possible. Given the drop off in expected rainfall across the area through Monday, the decision was made to cancel the Flood Watch. Will have to monitor the region for our next round of rain.

A positively tilted trough is expected to kick off a boundary that will move through the region Tuesday into Wednesday. It is expected to combine with above normal moisture in the region (PWATs around 2 inches) and lead to thunderstorm development. Activity will likely be congealed into a line of convection which will be fast moving. As previously mentioned, this would likely lead to only around an inch or two but locally higher amounts will be possible. Given the anteceding conditions with already saturated soils, it will likely not take much for flash flooding to occur. Due to this majority of the region is included in slight risk for flash flooding. Confidence is continuing to increase for a watch to be necessary. Continue to check back for future updates.

Otherwise, expect a gradual warming trend for the remainder of the week as a ridge settles into the area and onshore flow returning.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 124 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

There's a mix of MVFR and VFR ceilings across South Texas this morning. We'll see MVFR become more widespread between the 09-14Z timeframe, when TEMPOs are in place for most terminals. Light variable winds will allow for fog to develop over the inland Coastal Plains, potentially impacting ALI/VCT. VFR conditions prevail by 16Z and rain chances have lowered. Winds stay relatively weak around 10 knots or less out of the east to northeast, before shifting southeasterly tonight.

MARINE

Issued at 124 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

Gentle to moderate E-NE winds will prevail today through the Monday over the waters. Winds will shift back to the E-SE by Monday night into Tuesday and increase to moderate to fresh breeze by Tuesday night. Another round of storms is expected Tuesday and Wednesday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 124 AM CDT Sun May 24 2026

No fire weather will be expected through the week as moisture increases and minimum RHs remain over 50% area-wide. Low chances will exist for rain today with chances increasing once again Tuesday and Wednesday. Additional rainfall totals will be around 1 to 2 inches with locally higher amounts.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 86 71 87 73 / 30 10 10 0 Victoria 85 67 88 69 / 30 10 20 0 Laredo 90 70 90 73 / 10 10 0 0 Alice 86 68 87 70 / 10 0 0 0 Rockport 88 74 89 77 / 30 10 0 0 Cotulla 90 70 91 72 / 10 0 0 0 Kingsville 86 69 87 71 / 20 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 85 75 86 77 / 40 10 10 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.


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