textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1206 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

- Low to medium rain chances northeast today and Wednesday - Warming conditions through most of the week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1206 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

Another cold front is expected tonight/early Wednesday morning. After that, mid-level troughing will exit to the SE CONUS followed by ridging over much of TX for the remainder of the forecast period. Mainly dry conditions expected along with this front with a small area over the extreme eastern sectors with a 20-40% chance of showers late tonight will accompany FROPA. Cooler conditions will be quickly followed by warmer conditions this week.

Afternoon highs today in the 70-80 degree range will drop to around 65-75 degrees tomorrow afternoon behind the front with cooler conditions Thursday with highs topping out around 60-70 degrees. Much of the region will see afternoon temperatures in the 80s return by Saturday. Tonight overnight lows in the low to mid 50s will drop to the mid 30s to 40s Wednesday and Thursday nights and slowly warm to around 60 degrees by the end of the period. Expect cloudy skies ahead of the front along the Coastal Bend/Victoria Crossroads to give way to mostly clear skies after FROPA Wednesday.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1206 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

VFR conditions will be accompanied by southerly winds sustained 15- 20 knots with gusts of 25-30 knots through much of the afternoon. A cold front will pass through South Texas overnight tonight, shifting winds out of the north at about 10 knots. There's a low chance for VSBYs at ALI/VCT to drop to less than 1 mile as fog may form ahead of the front.

MARINE

Issued at 1206 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

A moderate to fresh (BF 4-5)southerly breeze today will increase to northeasterly fresh to strong flow (BF 5-6) early Wednesday morning through Thursday. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for until this evening when winds are expected to diminish ahead of the next front. Winds subside and settle into a southerly gentle to moderate pattern this weekend. A few showers will be possible tonight through Wednesday accompanied by the front.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1206 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

ERC values today and tomorrow remain around the 70th or less percentile ahead of our next front. FROPA is expected tonight with winds picking up early tomorrow morning. However, it is expected to be a weak front and min RH values 20-30% inland will be accompanied by light northerly winds behind the front. This is expected to negate elevated fire weather concerns. Low rain chances (20-40%) tonight across extreme eastern portions of the region will accompany frontal passage with dry conditions for the remainder of the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 56 70 43 66 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 48 68 37 66 / 20 0 0 0 Laredo 52 72 43 70 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 52 71 39 69 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 52 67 44 63 / 10 0 0 0 Cotulla 48 71 38 68 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 54 72 41 69 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 56 66 48 62 / 0 10 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for GMZ250-255- 270-275.