textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1130 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

- Areas of fog and sea fog, possibly dense with visibilities less than 1/2 of a mile.

- Low chance of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday, mainly across the Victoria Crossroads.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1130 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

The main concern for the forecast is the potential for dense fog and sea fog. Southerly winds will advect low level moisture into S TX, while the mid levels remain much drier. This will lead to a vertical profile conducive for radiation fog over the land areas. Winds across S TX will be light during the overnight/early mornings through the week. Over the marine areas, dewpoints will be increasing over cool sea surface temperatures that are currently around 60 degrees. This sea fog can also advect inland. The radiation fog tends to dissipate by mid morning, while the advection/sea fog tends to linger into the afternoon. Thus, making forecasting the duration a bit tricky. Also, the density of the fog both land and sea is difficult to forecast due to the timing and amount of the low level moisture that will be available, especially Sunday morning. The rest of the upcoming week has a better chance of dense fog and sea fog as the low level moisture continues to increase leading to more widespread dense fog.

A mid/upper level short wave is progged to move across TX Tuesday. With the increase in moisture (PWATS 1.4-1.6 inches)combined with the short wave will bring a low (15-25%) chance of showers and thunderstorms to the north and east portions of S TX, and up to a 40% chance over the gulf waters. This will be short-lived as the short wave is expected to exit the region by Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning. The timing and intensity of the short wave and convection is somewhat uncertain and will be fine tuned as we approach the event. At this time, precipitation amounts are expected to be less than 0.10 inch.

Otherwise, Temperatures will be on the increase this upcoming week with highs approaching 90 across the Rio Grande Plains by Wednesday. The temperatures are expected to be 10-15 degrees above normal for this time of year.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1130 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the afternoon into tonight. MVFR conditions with periods of IFR/LIFR can be expected generally after 08Z tonight, mainly for ALI, CRP and VCT. This is due to increasing low level moisture resulting in fog/dense fog and low CIGs across the area. The IFR/LIFR conditions are handled in the TEMPO groups. The fog is expected to lift by Sunday mid morning with VFR conditions through the remainder of Sunday. Another round of dense fog with IFR/LIFR conditions is expected late Sunday night/Monday morning. Winds will generally be light and shift from the W-SW to SE this afternoon.

MARINE

Issued at 1130 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) westerly breeze will become onshore tonight and can be expected to continue Sunday into next week. As a warmer and more moist airmass moves into the region, the threat for marine fog over the bays and nearshore waters will increase beginning Sunday morning. An upper level disturbance will bring a low to medium (20-40%) chance of showers and thunderstorms for Tuesday and Tuesday night.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1130 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Minimum relative humidity values (RH) will gradually improve Sunday into next week as moisture increases across South Texas. The Energy Release Component (ERC) values will lower to the 50-89th percentile on Sunday and 50-74th percentile Monday across the inland portions of South Texas. Winds will be relatively light with occasional gusts to 15-20 mph through next week. Elevated fire weather conditions are not anticipated Sunday through Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 55 77 57 78 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 49 78 54 78 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 55 82 57 83 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 52 81 54 81 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 56 72 58 73 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 51 80 54 82 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 53 80 54 81 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 60 72 60 73 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.