textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 109 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

- Elevated to near-critical fire weather conditions Monday afternoon.

- Below-normal highs with cooler nights through mid-week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 109 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Breezy conditions have prevailed today in the wake of the early morning cold front, especially along the immediate coast and over the coastal waters. Winds are forecast to diminish later this evening before becoming light out of the north on Sunday.

The question mark in the forecast will however be, how cold will we get tonight? Although surface high pressure will continue to surge into the area through early next week with much drier conditions developing, per latest guidance, clouds will stick around due to overrunning. As a result, overnight temperatures will be milder than earlier anticipated, with lows ranging from the upper 30s over northern portions of the CWA to the upper 40s along the coast tonight. Regardless, it will be a cold night for South Texas with wind chill values in the 30s.

Daytime temperatures will remain below 80 degrees through late week as a couple of cold fronts make their way through the area. Rain chances will increase to around 20-40% Monday night through Tuesday with a more efficient isentropic lift in place at the 300K level. Overall, expect lows to range mostly in the 40s all week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 109 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF cycle at area terminals. Winds will remain gusty at around 25-30 knots this afternoon, before decoupling overnight. Light northerly winds will prevail through Sunday afternoon.

MARINE

Issued at 109 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Strong to near-gale force (BF 6-7) winds will continue this afternoon in the wake of a cold front. This will also result in building seas to 6-10 ft. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through early Sunday morning. Conditions will begin to diminish by Sunday night as offshore flow weakens and seas subside to 2-3 ft. There is a low (20-30%) chance of showers through tonight, and again Tuesday to Wednesday period.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 109 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Portions of Webb County will drop below 30% relative humidity this afternoon in response to a passing front. Drier air will continue to surge into the area this weekend, with minimum relative humidity values around 20-30% inland and 30-40% for the coastal counties. Winds will remain elevated today and ERC values will be in the 50th- 75th percentile so we can expect an elevated fire weather risk over the Rio Grande Plains. Though winds will diminish tonight/Sunday, minimum relative humidity values will drop to 10-25% inland (and remain around 30% along the coast), and ERCs will increase to the 70th-80th percentiles which will lead to a continued elevated fire weather conditions Sunday and Monday. Should winds remain elevated, it is possible that critical fire weather conditions could develop, so please continue to use caution in and around any ignition sources. An overrunning pattern will result in mostly cloudy skies with sprinkles of rain, but no wetting rain is in the forecast aside from the chances directly associated with the frontal passage.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 45 61 49 63 / 10 0 0 10 Victoria 39 65 41 63 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 45 61 47 64 / 0 10 10 10 Alice 43 64 44 65 / 10 0 0 10 Rockport 45 64 48 64 / 10 0 0 0 Cotulla 38 64 44 64 / 0 0 10 10 Kingsville 45 62 46 64 / 20 0 0 10 Navy Corpus 49 62 54 62 / 20 0 0 10

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Sunday for GMZ231-232-236- 237-250-255-270-275.