textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1125 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

- Elevated fire conditions expected over inland portions of the area today through Saturday.

- Fog and marine fog chances increase Sunday into early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1125 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Surface high pressure has shifted just southeast of the area and is now centered over the W Gulf, while mid-lvl ridging continues to build upstream of the area. This morning should be the coolest of the forecast period with efficient radiational cooling supporting temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Light, but warm and quite dry, southwesterly flow will develop late this morning into the afternoon and temperatures should rise fairly rapidly and max out in the low 80s over most of the area (apart from coastal areas which will be slightly cooler). The southern high will weaken today into Saturday, with the area then coming under the influence of a stronger high positioned over the NE Gulf. This will result in winds shifting more SErly into Sunday and the advection of Gulf moisture into the area (dewpoints increasing into the 60s). As mentioned in the previous discussion this setup will increase the likelihood of both marine and overland fog Sunday morning into early next week, with at least moderate probabilities of dense fog developing.

The only appreciable precipitation chances in the period comes with the passage of a southern-stream shortwave Monday night into Tuesday. The progged trajectory of the feature would still favor the highest rain chances over northern portions of the area, but its quick movement combined with (likely) poor convective diurnal timing would limit any precip amounts. Outside of that brief window, ridging and dry conditions will prevail, with warm (highs 8-12 degrees above climo) conditions and increasing mugginess.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1125 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF cycle at area terminals. Winds will generally be light out of the west to southwest.

MARINE

Issued at 1125 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Initially moderate southwesterly winds this morning will trend light to gentle by this afternoon. Gentle southwesterly winds will continue through early Saturday before shifting southeasterly late Saturday into Sunday. Marine fog concerns will increase late Saturday into early next week as moist southeast flow prevails.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1125 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Although winds will remain light through Saturday, relative humidity values will be quite low as temperatures warm and dry southwesterly flow prevails. With minRHs dropping to the 13-20% range this afternoon over most non-coastal areas, and ERCs approaching the 90th percentile will issue a Fire Danger statement for inland zones today. Although minRHs may rise a bit on Saturday even drier fuels may require the issuance of another Fire Danger statement. Increasing moist southeasterly flow should result in minRHs above critical thresholds on Sunday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 79 47 78 54 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 82 45 78 50 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 81 47 83 55 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 81 45 81 51 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 74 51 73 56 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 81 45 83 51 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 81 44 81 52 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 74 53 71 59 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.