textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 614 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

- Low to medium rain chances continue into Monday morning

- Below-normal temps through mid-week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 130 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Much needed rain continues to accumulate across South Texas on this Easter Sunday. Storm total estimates from radar are generally ranging from around 0.50" across portions of the Victoria Crossroads to near 3" over the Brush Country, with localized amounts up to near 5" near Three Rivers. Although cannot rule out an isolated rumble of thunder this afternoon, most of the rain will be stratiform through Monday morning. Rain chances will however begin to decrease through the late afternoon into the overnight hours as the disturbance continues to drift away into the Gulf waters and the atmosphere stabilizes. Latest CAM runs indicate a few more rounds of light stratiform rain through Monday morning, but the general trend is to begin to dry out with additional accumulations remaining less than a 0.25". The rest of the week is shaping to be drier, but slight rain and thunderstorm chances return by late week into the weekend as another shortwave tracks aloft.

Below normal temperatures continue through Tuesday. Onshore flow resumes Tuesday night allowing for moisture return into the region and leading to a warming trend through the rest of the week with well above normal temperatures again by next weekend. Aside from patchy light fog tonight, no other hazards are forecast at this time.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 614 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

A mix of MVFR and VFR conditions are expected to continue for the next few hours as the rain hangs around. Between 04-06z, rain chances will decrease and ceilings should begin to lift, returning all sites back to VFR. Light winds are expected throughout this TAF cycle.

MARINE

Issued at 130 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

A fresh to strong (BF 5-6) northerly breeze continues through Monday morning, with a Small Craft Advisory in effect. Winds will gradually diminish Monday weakening to a moderate breeze Monday night before shifting onshore on Tuesday. High rain chances (70- 90%) will continue through tonight, decreasing to a medium chance (30-50%) Monday. Low end rain chances (20-30%) will exist daily through the end of the week.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 130 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Low to medium rain chances continue through Monday morning. Although drier conditions will develop through Wednesday, slight rain and thunderstorm chances return to the forecast by late week into the weekend. Relative humidity values will remain above critical thresholds. Therefore, elevated fire weather conditions are not expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 57 71 55 75 / 70 20 0 10 Victoria 53 76 50 78 / 40 10 0 0 Laredo 57 71 55 78 / 40 10 0 10 Alice 54 73 53 78 / 70 20 0 10 Rockport 59 75 60 77 / 70 20 0 10 Cotulla 55 73 53 78 / 30 10 0 0 Kingsville 55 71 53 75 / 70 20 0 10 Navy Corpus 61 71 63 74 / 80 30 0 10

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT Monday for GMZ231-232-236- 237-250-255-270-275.


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