textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 205 AM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026

- Low to medium rainfall chances late this week

- Increasing temperatures rest of the week

- Minor coastal flooding possible during high tide

DISCUSSION

Issued at 205 AM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026

A mid-level disturbance currently over northern Mexico will move across our CWA Thursday/early Friday bringing a moderate 50-70% chance for showers/thunderstorms through Friday. Afterwhich, chances decrease to a low ~20-30% chance for the rest of the weekend with some pockets moderate chances over some northern tier counties and the Victoria Crossroads. Temperatures and moisture are trending up due to persistent onshore flow. Daily highs will reach the low to mid 80s with 90s entering back into the forecast by Monday out west.

Persistent onshore winds and long-period swells may result in minor coastal flooding during times of high tides along the Middle Texas coast through the weekend.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 205 AM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026

Winds will remain relatively light throughout this TAF cycle, which is the only good news. Everything else has low confidence in regards to timing. Current thinking is the western sites will develop MVFR ceilings shortly after 06z while the eastern sites remain VFR until tomorrow morning around 10-12z, however, cannot discount periods of MVFR low ceilings before then. PROB30's for rain were added for times when convection could be the spottiest with predominate TSRA for rain chances in the 50-70% range. I expect there will be gaps in the rainfall activity but rain will be more on than off. Conditions should slowly improve towards the end of this TAF cycle.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 205 AM CDT Thu Apr 9 2026

A mid-level disturbance combined with abundant moisture will lead to a moderate chance for precipitation on Thursday/Friday across the region and tapering off through the weekend. Onshore winds are progged to remain light with brief periods of 20 ft winds around 15 mph on Saturday. Relative humidity values and low ERC percentiles will limit any elevated fire weather conditions through the forecast period with no fire weather concerns at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 81 68 79 69 / 40 60 60 20 Victoria 82 64 80 66 / 50 40 70 20 Laredo 82 67 82 69 / 70 60 60 30 Alice 83 66 81 67 / 50 60 70 20 Rockport 80 69 80 70 / 30 60 60 20 Cotulla 82 66 82 68 / 70 60 60 20 Kingsville 83 66 80 68 / 50 60 70 20 Navy Corpus 77 70 77 71 / 40 60 60 20

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.


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