textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 640 PM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

- Moderate to occasionally Extreme risk of heat-related impacts through this weekend, heat indices 105-113

- Elevated fire weather conditions over the Brush Country this evening

- Low chances (15-30%) for sea breeze showers and storms through Monday. Higher chances (30-50%) around the Victoria Crossroads

- Low to medium chances (20-40%) for sea breeze showers/storms Tuesday and Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 140 PM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

Hot temperatures continue across the area today with high pressure still in control. The leftover disturbance from what was Edouard remains northeast of the region of the Southeast Texas. This mid level disturbance will drift toward our area and linger through the weekend. This, combined with increased deep moisture will bring rain chances to the area for the first time in a little while. VCT area will have the highest chances with up to 50% Friday through Sunday. That disturbance opens up/washes out later in the weekend, but another wave of tropical moisture will be on its heels keeping the potential for enhanced sea breeze activity through the first part of next week.

Temperatures are a bit tricky with the increased cloud cover and rain potential. There is a low chance (25%) that high temperatures in the Victoria Crossroads don't top 90 degrees tomorrow, but the majority of guidance suggests rain coverage will be limited enough to allow temperatures to once again make it into the mid and possibly upper 90s. Will stick with the higher temps in the forecast, but realize it's not out of the question for it to be several degrees cooler in that area. We should drop temps a notch through for the weekend thanks to the increased moisture. Well timed showers/storms could keep temps into the lower 90s for a few locations. Seasonal temperatures continue into next week.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 640 PM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

VFR conditions prevail across South Texas this evening with a few isolated showers/storms developing over the Brush Country where the seabreeze was able to break the cap. Breezy southeasterly winds right now will weaken overnight, then revamp to around 15 knots with gusts to 25 knots Friday afternoon. There is a low to medium chance for showers and thunderstorms over the Victoria Crossroads Friday, therefore maintained and extended the PROB30 group for VCT. Elsewhere west, confidence is lower and not included in the forecast at this time.

MARINE

Issued at 140 PM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026

Gentle to moderate south to southeast flow with 2-3 ft seas is expected through the period. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible beginning tomorrow and persisting each day into next week. The best chance tomorrow will be north of Port Aransas.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 79 96 78 96 / 0 0 10 30 Victoria 77 95 76 95 / 10 50 20 50 Laredo 79 105 79 103 / 10 10 20 20 Alice 76 100 75 99 / 0 0 10 20 Rockport 81 92 80 93 / 10 30 20 40 Cotulla 77 103 77 102 / 10 0 10 10 Kingsville 77 99 77 100 / 0 0 0 20 Navy Corpus 82 93 82 92 / 0 0 10 20

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.


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