textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 536 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026
- Coastal Flood Advisory in effect until 4 PM this afternoon. Minor Coastal Flooding will be possible again Sunday during high tide.
- Moderate Rip Current Risk continues tonight and possibly again on Sunday.
- Small Craft Advisory extended until 10 pm due to seas.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 140 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026
Partly cloudy skies and mild temperatures expected through Sunday. A warming trend and increasing clouds begins early next week. Rain chances return to the Victoria Crossroads by mid week then spread across S TX the remainder of the work week and into next weekend.
There is a low to medium (10%-40%)chance of showers and thunderstorms by mid week due to PWATS increasing to around 1.7 inches, a moderately unstable environment, and low level moisture convergence ahead of potentially another cold front. A short wave Wednesday is forecast to push a surface trough/dryline eastward across S TX with a secondary short wave Wed night into Thursday morning pushing a cold front through the region. Latest model runs are in fair agreement with this scenario. Could see overrunning conditions behind the front which will maintain the rain chances through Friday. Models diverge later in the week and weekend with respect to the upper level pattern. The GFS shows a cut off low developing over western Mexico by the weekend and progressing faster eastward than the other models. Thus, the difference in rain chances.
If the cold front makes it through S TX, cooler temperatures can be expected the latter half of the work week.
A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect until 4 pm as the western gulf heads into low tide. Minor coastal flooding is possible once again Sunday morning with high tide. Confidence is low to moderate given that winds and seas are diminishing and models show swell periods around 7 seconds. However, the moon is nearly full and swell periods are expected to take longer to decrease than models indicate. Will continue to watch trends for a possible Coastal Flood Advisory for early Sunday morning.
As for rip currents, there is a moderate risk tonight, but could remain moderate through Sunday.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 536 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026
Northeast winds will be below 12 knots tonight through Sunday, with VFR conditions expected through the TAF cycle.
MARINE
Issued at 140 PM CDT Sat May 2 2026
Winds across the offshore waters are expected to drop below advisory levels this afternoon. However, seas will take longer to subside. Therefore, the Small Craft Advisory has been extended for the offshore waters due to seas. Otherwise, northeast winds will diminish to a gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) breeze by late tonight. Winds will shift to the east and southeast Sunday and Sunday night.A fresh (BF 5) south to southeast flow is expected to develop by Monday afternoon and continue through the middle of next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 58 80 65 84 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 53 81 58 85 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 58 84 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 56 83 61 89 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 63 81 69 83 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 56 84 63 90 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 56 81 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 67 78 71 81 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for GMZ270-275.
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