textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 525 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

- Elevated fire weather conditions expected across South Texas today with the exception of the coastal portions.

- Marine fog chances increase late this weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1130 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

As the winds shift and become more southerly, warm moist air will once again filter back into the forecast. This warmer more moist airmass is expected to interact with the cooler sea surface temperatures to increase our marine fog risk late this weekend as winds pick up a little more. Apart from the threat of fog, well above normal temperatures (5-15 degrees above normal) are expected to return through the weekend into next week. As for precipitation, dry conditions are expected throughout this forecast package except for Monday night through Tuesday afternoon. A short wave disturbance is expected to trek across the region increasing our rain chances. While the best chances will remain north of the region, low chances (20-35%) for rain can be expected for the Coastal Plains and Coastal Bend with a medium (40-50%) chance for showers across the Victoria Crossroads.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 525 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Mostly VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF cycle at area terminals. Patchy fog remains a concern tonight at ALI/VCT sites, therefore have introduced TEMPO MVFR levels between 09-12Z Sunday. Otherwise, expect light and variable winds this morning, before these shift southeastward and increase to around 10-12 knots this afternoon. Light and variable winds return tonight.

MARINE

Issued at 1130 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

A gentle (BF 3) to occasional moderate breeze (BF 4) can be expected this weekend into next week. As a warmer and more moist airmass moves into the region, the threat for marine fog over the bays and nearshore waters will increase beginning Sunday. Dry conditions are expected throughout this forecast package except for Tuesday and Tuesday night, where low to medium (25-50%) rain chances are expected as a disturbance moves across the region.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1130 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Minimum relative humidity values (RH) will remain well below critical values (15-30%) for one more day before beginning to gradually improve late this weekend. Apart from the low relative humidity values, moderate to high Energy Release Component (ERC) values in the 85-93th percentile can expected across the inland portions of South Texas. So while winds relatively light only gusting to 15-20 mph in the afternoon, the low RH values and elevated ERC values will be sufficient enough to promote elevated fire weather conditions Saturday afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 80 54 77 58 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 81 50 78 54 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 84 55 82 59 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 83 50 80 55 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 73 55 73 58 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 83 50 80 55 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 81 52 80 56 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 72 59 72 61 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.