textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 121 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

- Seasonably hot conditions expected with moderate risk of heat illness.

- Monitoring disturbance in the northeastern Gulf.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 121 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

We're continuing a generally quiet pattern across the area with high pressure in control. Temperatures will be on a gradual incline through the next few days with highs above 100 west, and a few degrees above normal, in the mid 90s east. Low level moisture levels are dropping just a tad east and a bit more west, allowing overnight lows to fall to more seasonal levels or maybe even a bit below normal inland. That's about as exciting as it gets in the first half of this forecast period.

For the second half of the period, as much as we'd like to pretend the disturbance in the northern Gulf doesn't exist, it is there and is worth at least mentioning. There is an invest on it now (91L), so we're starting to get some tropical model runs. The general consensus of many of these models is a slow westerly trend as the ridge elongates to the east north of the coast. There is a chance it could get picked up into troughing over the eastern part of the US early in the week, but it looks like that trough moves out too quickly. While we're not currently forecasting anything moving toward Texas, it is still worth keeping an eye on as we head into the upcoming week. It is possible we would see some increased coastal hazards with higher tides and rip currents. We will continue to monitor!

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 121 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

VFR conditions prevail across South Texas. We'll maintain TEMPOs for MVFR ceilings mainly between 09-14Z. Southeasterly winds increase to 10-15 knots mid-morning through the afternoon with gusts 20-25 knots.

MARINE

Issued at 121 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

A moderate (BF 4) onshore flow is forecast for the next several days, with a fresh breeze developing along the coast south of Port Aransas in the afternoons. By midweek next week, overall flow will lower slightly to become more gentle to moderate (BF 3-4). Rain chances through the period will be very low (<10%).

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 121 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

Rain chances are minimal through the period. Rh values west drop to low levels each afternoon, but winds remain below critical thresholds and fuel moisture levels are near normal in that area. Thus, elevated fire weather conditions are not expected through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 94 75 97 74 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 95 73 97 72 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 104 77 105 76 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 99 73 101 72 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 90 80 91 79 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 101 75 103 73 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 96 73 98 72 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 90 81 90 80 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.