textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 532 AM CST Fri Jan 2 2026 - Elevated Fire Weather conditions possible Friday and Saturday.

- Areas of fog and sea fog possible Friday morning and again Friday night.

- Record high temperatures possible Friday ahead of a cold front.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1134 PM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

Models continue to show a dryline moving east across S TX during the day Friday leading to dry and hot conditions to the west of the boundary. Record high temperatures are possible with highs in the mid 80s across Coastal areas to upper 80s across a majority of inland areas. Islands will be cooler with highs in the 70s. Forecasting the highs for coastal areas still looks tricky due to continued uncertainty as to how far east the dryline gets before the sea breeze pushes it back inland. For now, am expecting it to reach east of Victoria and extend southward, bisecting the city of Corpus Christi. This could lead to a 10-15 degree difference between the islands and the Corpus Christi Airport. Once the sea breeze gets active, it will push higher dewpoints back inland to the Coastal Plains. Light winds Friday night and the return of near surface moisture will be conducive for fog development along coastal areas. However, the amount of moisture return and how far inland it advects to, will determine if fog develops at all and how dense it becomes if it does develop. For now, will forecast patchy fog for the Coastal Bend. Sea fog has a better chance of developing with warm moist air overriding cooler shelf waters.

A weak and dry cold front is expected to move through S TX Saturday morning, bringing slightly cooler temperatures by Saturday night and Sunday. However, temperatures will remain above normal behind the cold front and will trend warmer once again through early next week. Precipitation is not anticipated through the weekend and into early next week, then a low chance returns to the Coastal areas by the latter part of next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 532 AM CST Fri Jan 2 2026

Fog has remained so far only impacting areas around ALI terminal, but could briefly impact VCT and CRP around sunrise, so have left mention of IFR at these sites. After mid-morning, expect VFR conditions through the rest of the forecast period. There is a low potential for fog tonight, but think drier air should filter in to keep mainly VFR conditions.

MARINE

Issued at 1134 PM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

A fresh (BF 5) breeze will continue Friday through Friday night ahead of a cold front. Winds weaken as the cold front approaches the coastal waters by early Saturday morning. Behind the front on Saturday, a gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) offshore flow is expected to develop, then onshore flow returns Sunday. Areas of sea fog will be possible Friday morning and Friday night ahead of the cold front.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1134 PM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

A dry line followed by a cold front will drop RH values below 30% across inland portions of the Coastal Plains and Brush Country Friday. However, light winds and ERC values in the 50- 75th percentile should mitigate any fire weather concerns on Friday. Saturday is expected to be drier with RH values 20-25% across a majority of South Texas. The very dry airmass combined with ERC values 50-89th percentile, may lead to elevated fire weather conditions. However, the winds are expected to remain below thresholds. Expect slightly more humid conditions to return late weekend into early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 86 58 83 54 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 85 54 81 47 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 88 56 85 51 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 88 56 85 48 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 78 61 80 56 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 88 54 83 48 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 88 56 85 51 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 79 62 78 60 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.