textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 614 AM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

- Widespread rainfall this weekend associated with a cold front

- Below-normal temps through mid-week

- Monitoring minor coastal flooding Saturday morning

DISCUSSION

Issued at 157 AM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

Warm temperatures will continue one more day Saturday before the cold front ushers in below normal temperatures from Sunday through early next week. Rain chances will also return, but the forecast unfortunately remains cloudy, despite being in the domain of the high resolution models. The NBM is continuing to show storm total accumulations on the higher end closer to 2" while the high resolution models are showing storm total accumulations closer to the 1" mark. High uncertainty remains in the forecast with just how much rain we will see and who would get the most. Looking at the high resolution models, the best chances to get thunderstorms and heavier showers will be across the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains. Areas further east will have a lesser chance to see the convective showers, though stratiform showers remain likely Sunday. Still expecting generally 1-2" of rain areawide, but it appear like the total accumulations might be closer to the 1" mark with only a few areas seeing close to or just above 2" from Saturday through Monday. The caveat to the forecast could mean some people might get a more enjoyable less soggy Easter Sunday. Not to sound like a broken record, but the next 24 hours will be crucial to see how the atmosphere sets up prior to the arrival of the cold front.

A cold front is expected to sweep across South Texas and bring back cooler temperatures. Along the with the cooler temperatures, rain chances also return. Relative humidity values in the wake of the front will remain above critical values. Therefore, elevated fire weather conditions are not expected.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 614 AM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

Showers and thunderstorms will be likely today as a cold front swings through the region this afternoon/evening. This will lead to periods of MVFR conditions throughout the day and gusty winds especially near thunderstorms. Conditions will further deteriorate this evening as coverage increases leading to MVFR to IFR conditions. That will be expected through the remainder of the TAF cycle.

MARINE

Issued at 157 AM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) southeast breeze will develop Saturday morning before the winds back to the northeast Saturday night in the wake of the frontal passage. Winds Sunday will strengthen to fresh to strong levels (BF 5-6) through Sunday night before relaxing to moderate levels Monday night. Rain chances will increase Saturday night (70-90% chance) through Monday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 157 AM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

A cold front is expected to sweep across South Texas and bring back cooler temperatures. Along the with the cooler temperatures, rain chances also return. Relative humidity values in the wake of the front will remain above critical values. Therefore, elevated fire weather conditions are not expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 85 61 68 58 / 40 60 70 70 Victoria 84 57 68 54 / 60 50 40 40 Laredo 89 58 64 56 / 70 80 80 70 Alice 89 60 68 56 / 50 70 70 70 Rockport 83 62 73 59 / 30 60 70 60 Cotulla 84 57 65 56 / 70 50 60 50 Kingsville 89 60 67 56 / 40 70 80 70 Navy Corpus 80 64 70 61 / 30 70 80 70

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.