textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 527 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

- Top 10 Warmest Christmas on record expected

- Rounds of dense fog continue each night through the end of the week

- Cold front Sunday night into Monday will result in below normal temps in the upcoming week and increased rain chances Monday

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1151 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

The current temperature forecast for Christmas Day would put just about all of South Texas in the top 5 to 10 warmest Christmases on record and the warmest since 2021. There has been no change in the forecast, so you can enjoy the previous meteorologists Christmas- style write-up below!

Santa is in for a tricky ride this year, as dense fog rolls in again over South Texas this Christmas Eve. Rudolph's nose will be working overtime cutting through the thick mist. Here at the National Weather Service we will aid Santa by keeping a close eye on conditions via satellite and radar, helping guide the sleigh safely through the fog. It won't be the clearest ride, but with Rudolph leading the way, Christmas magic will arrive right on time!

Early risers along the immediate coast on Christmas day may see a few streamer showers drifting in from the Gulf, while inland it will be warm and muggy. Conditions are forecast to improve around mid to late morning with the fog lifting, while the rest of Christmas Day will be very warm with highs in the 80s.

Warm and humid conditions with nightly rounds of patchy to areas of fog will continue into the weekend, before the arrival of our next cold front Sunday night. This next boundary will bring much cooler temperatures, breezy northerly winds, and low to medium rain chances (20-40%) Sunday night into Monday. Latest guidance indicates a brief period of Wind Advisory conditions developing along the immediate coast Monday morning, while the fire weather risk could become elevated by the afternoon as humidity levels drop below 30% inland. By Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, a few locations over the Victoria Crossroads could fall to near freeze. We will continue to monitor the latest trends and adjust the forecast over the coming days to better highlight these hazards and issue products accordingly. Stay tuned.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 527 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

Difficult fog forecast this AM. CIGs/VSBYs have been bouncy and inconsistent. Have opted to keep in LIFR for eastern sites VCT/CRP/ALI as visibilities remain variable and models still leaning towards some VSBYs of 1/4sm or less (currently 1/8sm at CRP). For Christmas night into the 26th, dense fog looks to be more widespread in coverage. Have opted to put in LRD/COT with MVFR conditions but may have to include lower VSBYs on a future TAF cycle.

MARINE

Issued at 1151 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

A Marine Dense Fog Advisory is in effect through 12 PM today over the northern nearshore waters and bays. Additional rounds of patchy to areas of fog can be expected nightly through Saturday. Otherwise, a generally gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore flow will persist through late in the week. A cold front Sunday night will result in winds being more out of the northeast at a strong to gale strength (BF 6-7) with seas building to 5-8 ft by Monday. Aside from some streamer showers on Thursday (10-15% chance of rain), the next best chance comes with the cold front (30-50%).

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1151 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

Light winds, relative humidity values remaining above 40%, and Energy Release Components in the 25-49th percentile will keep the fire risk limited into the weekend. A cold front continues to be forecast to move through Sunday night into Monday morning with min RH values falling below 30% daily Monday through Wednesday. Brush Country could see RH values as low as the upper teens Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon.

Breezy conditions on Monday could result in elevated fire weather concerns. Light winds (< 10 knots) are expected Tuesday and Wednesday. Low end rain chances Sunday night into Monday morning will be scattered in coverage (20-40% chances).

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 80 67 81 67 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 81 64 83 65 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 84 66 86 67 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 83 65 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 77 66 78 67 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 84 64 86 64 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 82 66 84 66 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 76 69 76 69 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for TXZ230>234- 240>247-342>347-442-443-447.

GM...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ231-232-236-237- 250-255.