textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 147 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

- Moderate risk of heat-related impacts this week, with peak heat indices between 100-110 degF. Continue to practice heat safety.

- Low chances of daily isolated showers and thunderstorms over the Coastal Plains. Rain chances increase slightly by the end of the week and into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 147 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

Mid-level ridging will gradually build in from the west through the next couple of days as the ridge over the southeastern CONUS weakens. This pattern will continue to allow for predominately rain- free conditions. However, at the surface, persistent southeasterly flow will maintain a warm, humid airmass across the region. Diurnal heating combined with the daily afternoon seabreeze will serve as the primary focus for isolated shower and thunderstorm development over the next few days, particularly across the Coastal Plains. Overall, chances will remain on the low end (10-20%).

Looking toward the latter part of the week and into next weekend, an upper-level trough is forecast to traverse the ridge over the southeastern US, allowing a stalled frontal boundary to sag into north Texas. At the same time, increasing Gulf moisture associated with a tightening pressure gradient and a very weak disturbance/wave in the Bay of Campeche may support a modest increase in afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances across South Texas. Confidence in the timing and coverage of any rainfall, however, remains low at this time.

Temperatures throughout the forecast period will remain at seasonal normals. Afternoon highs will generally climb into the 90s, with the hottest locations across the western Brush Country approaching the upper 90s to near 100 degrees. Combined with persistent Gulf moisture, heat index values will range from 100-110 degrees, with a few locations briefly approaching Heat Advisory criteria. Please continue to practice heat safety by staying hydrated, taking frequent breaks in shaded or air-conditioned locations, and limiting strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.

More heat safety information can be found at weather.gov/heat

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 147 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through much of this TAF period. Brief reductions in VSBY are also a possibility across our two most popular trouble spots (ALI/VCT) around sunrise on Sunday. Isolated showers, perhaps a thunderstorm or two, will remain possible this afternoon and again on Sunday, but confidence in the timing and coverage of any rainfall remains too low to include in the TAfs. Though low, the best chances for precipitation will be across our easternmost terminals (ALI/CRP/VCT) where moisture is greatest. Winds will continue to be out of the south-southeast at 10- 15 knots through the rest of the afternoon and early evening, with occasional gusts up to 20 knots. Winds drop to 10 knots or less after sunset.

MARINE

Issued at 147 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

Gentle to moderate south-southeasterly winds (BF 3-4) will persist into midweek before becoming primarily moderate to fresh (BF 4-5), particularly across the southern bays and southern offshore waters. Low daily rain chances will also continue through much of the week before increasing by late week and into next weekend in response to increased moisture push from a very weak disturbance/wave in the Bay of Campeche.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 77 94 77 94 / 0 20 0 10 Victoria 76 97 75 96 / 0 20 0 20 Laredo 78 101 78 100 / 0 0 0 10 Alice 75 97 74 97 / 0 20 0 10 Rockport 81 92 81 91 / 0 20 0 10 Cotulla 77 100 77 100 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 75 94 74 94 / 0 20 0 10 Navy Corpus 81 90 81 90 / 0 20 0 10

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.