textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 633 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

- A cold front by the end of the work week will bring cooler and drier conditions to South Texas this weekend.

- Generally dry across South Texas through Thursday with a slight increase Friday associated with the cold front.

- Moderate Rip Current Risk today and tonight.

- Minor coastal flooding will be possible once again this weekend.

- Gale conditions possible Friday night into Saturday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 205 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

Ridging conditions are still expected over the area as high pressure remains over the South Texas, continuing the seasonally-warm temperatures through Thursday. With higher PWAT values of 2+ inches, there is a slight chance for scattered showers this afternoon along the coast and into the Victoria Crossroads. Relatively drier air is filtering into the western Gulf Thursday behind that high pressure with light southeasterly winds across the CWA, keeping the region warm.

Temperatures will start to cool off Friday as a cold front will be making its way into South Texas, allowing for a slight 20-30% chance of scattered showers more inland before the front, with at least a 60% chance along the coastline and offshore. Winds will pick up Friday morning and will remain out of northeast with 20-25 knots well into Friday evening for the Coastal Bend, but will lighten up for the Brush Country. Highs this weekend will be around 10-20 degrees cooler and lows about 10-15 degrees cooler, with light winds through Saturday and Sunday. Unfortunately, these conditons will not last for too long as temperatures are increasing early into next week.

The frontal passage this weekend will result in gale conditions through saturday night. a gale watch will likely be needed tonight into early tomorrow morning. these increased winds and seas will increase the wave energy during that time period, potentially leading to minor coastal flooding. though confidence in minor coastal flooding is low, the increase surf will likely lead to not ideal driving conditions on the beach. accordingly, rip current risk will also be elevated.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 633 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

Will maintain VFR conditions across the TAF period with brief MVFR conditions expected across the COT, LRD, and ALI terminals. Furthermore, winds will remain out of the southeast but should start to subside after 00z decreasing to 15-20 knots inland across the brush country and 10-15 knots across the coastal bend and will continue to decrease into the overnight hours. Winds will gradually start to increase again throughout the mid-morning into the early afternoon hours but will not be quite as strong as the prior day with a southeast wind around 10 knots, with gusts approaching 20 knots across our inland counties to around 15 knots across the coast.

MARINE

Issued at 205 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

An approaching cold front will change our wind direction to more northeasterly winds by friday morning. by friday afternoon, winds will start increasing to above 25 knots and the gusts will be as high as 30-35 knots. Seas increase to 8-12 ft friday evening with 10-14 feet seas in the offshore waters. These gale conditions will continue through Saturday night. rain chances will be greatest with the frontal passage through friday evening (60-80%).

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1250 AM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

No significant fire weather concerns are anticipated through the work week with elevated humidity in place across the area. A strong cold front Friday will increase rain chances and bring a strong north to northeast wind in it's wake. Drier and cooler conditions are expected this weekend. Although minimum RH values may drop below 30% across the Brush Country this weekend, winds are expected to relax, becoming light. Therefore, elevated fire weather concerns are not expected this weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 75 90 72 84 / 10 10 10 20 Victoria 70 92 68 81 / 0 10 10 20 Laredo 75 95 72 84 / 0 0 10 30 Alice 72 92 70 84 / 10 0 10 10 Rockport 77 89 73 85 / 10 10 20 20 Cotulla 73 95 70 81 / 0 0 10 10 Kingsville 73 90 71 84 / 10 0 10 10 Navy Corpus 79 87 76 83 / 10 10 20 30

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.