textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 611 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
- Low to moderate rain chances Monday night through Thursday night, with locally higher rainfall amounts possible near the coast.
- Minor coastal flooding remains possible around times of high tide through much of the week. A Coastal Flood Advisory has been issued for the Middle Texas Coast.
- Near-normal temperatures through the workweek, with warmer conditions returning next weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 122 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
A general troughing pattern will persist aloft through much of the period as a mid-level ridge shifts farther east, maintaining predominately southwesterly flow over South Texas. PWATs currently near 1.4 inches will briefly fall below 1.0 inch overnight before rebounding to 1.75-1.90 inches Monday. Increasing moisture combined with passing upper-level disturbances will support low to moderate rain/thunderstorm chances Monday through Thursday night.
Storm total rainfall through Thursday night is generally expected to average around 0.50 inch, although localized amounts approaching 1.50 inches will be possible, particularly near the coast. Rain chances should gradually diminish heading into next weekend, although lingering moisture and disturbances aloft may support isolated showers.
Temperatures will remain fairly consistent through the workweek, with highs generally in the lower to middle 80s and overnight lows in the middle 60s to lower 70s. Warmer conditions are expected next weekend, with highs potentially returning to the 90s across portions of the Brush Country.
Minor coastal flooding remains a concern through much of the week as persistent onshore flow, elevated swells, and astronomical tides associated with the full moon that occurred Sunday night contribute to higher water levels. There's a Coastal Flood Advisory in effect from 20z Monday to 05z Tuesday.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 611 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
VFR conditions are expected to prevail across LRD, COT, and VCT through most of the TAF cycle with CIGs at or above 3,500ft. The CRP and ALI TAF sites will also start off with VFR conditions, but could see a few weak showers this morning for CRP and this afternoon for ALI which may lead to brief MVFR CIGs. Conditions are expected to deteriorate for ALI and CRP late tonight into early Tuesday morning as showers increase across the area from the east. A few TSRAs will also be possible by early Tuesday morning, mainly for CRP. The chance for showers and storms will increase and spread west during the day Tuesday.
MARINE
Issued at 122 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) east to southeasterly flow will persist through much of the week, with seas generally 3 to 5 feet. Offshore seas may briefly reach 6 to 7 feet Monday night into early Tuesday. Low to moderate shower and thunderstorm chances will continue through much of the week, with locally higher chances possible late Monday through Wednesday before gradually diminishing.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 122 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
Elevated fire weather conditions are not anticipated through the period. Minimum relative humidity values will generally remain above 35%, while increasing moisture and periodic rainfall chances will limit fire weather concerns. Wetting rainfall will be possible towards the middle of the week, particularly across eastern portions of South Texas.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 82 69 82 70 / 10 50 50 20 Victoria 84 63 81 64 / 0 20 50 10 Laredo 87 68 86 69 / 0 10 10 0 Alice 84 66 82 66 / 10 30 60 10 Rockport 82 69 82 70 / 10 60 40 30 Cotulla 85 66 84 66 / 0 10 40 10 Kingsville 84 67 82 68 / 10 40 60 10 Navy Corpus 80 72 81 73 / 30 70 50 30
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to midnight CDT tonight for TXZ345-442-443-447.
GM...None.
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