textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 525 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

- Low chance (20-40%) of patchy fog across the Coastal Bend through this morning.

- Above normal temperatures will continue through this week.

- Low rain chances Friday, increasing to medium to high rain chances (50-85%) this weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1134 PM CST Wed Mar 4 2026

Patchy fog is possible again tonight, though it looks as though low cloud cover may be more likely as a shallow layer of moisture moves in along the coast. Fog/low clouds will lift by mid-morning leaving us with partly cloudy skies, elevated southeast winds, and warm temperatures.

Chances for rain will amp up Friday and through the weekend as a mid- to upper-level trough moves southeast and ejects several shortwaves across Texas interacting with deep moisture (PWATs 1.5-1.8 inches) and a 30 to 40 knot LLJ. Timing and strength of any convection is still uncertain as it will depend on when and where the impulses move across the area. Keeping this in mind, have limited PoPs to around 20% for Friday. Later in the weekend, an associated cold front will push southeast into the area leading to medium to high chances (50-85%) for rain. The cold front will weaken as it digs in so we do not expect much cooler temperatures behind this, though increased cloud cover and rain should help drop temperatures a degree or two. Rain chances will persist into early next week as a cut-off low from this system moves across the region from the Baja Peninsula.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 525 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2026

Generally MVFR CIGs across most of S TX this morning. VFR conditions are expected to develop by mid to late this morning. A mix of MVFR and IFR CIGs are expected tonight, beginning around 03Z. Winds will remain gusty today into tonight. Gusts 25-30 knots possible this afternoon, then decreasing slightly this evening.

MARINE

Issued at 1134 PM CST Wed Mar 4 2026

A generally moderate (BF 4) southeasterly breeze will persist through today, before increasing to moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) by tonight. A Small Craft Advisory may be needed once again tonight and into Friday. Winds will diminish to moderate (BF 4) late this weekend before becoming gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) by early next week. There is a low (<20%) chance of showers across the waters through Friday, increasing to a medium (30-60%) chance over the weekend.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1134 PM CST Wed Mar 4 2026

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected today across the Southern Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains with cured fuels, relative humidity values as low as 30%, and southeast winds 15-20 mph gusting to 30 mph. A Fire Danger Statement has been issued for this afternoon from noon to 6 pm. Elevated fire weather conditions are expected again Friday afternoon. Chances for precipitation will generally remain low (approximately 20%) through Friday, but will increase to a medium to high (40-80%) chance over the weekend with a passing mid- to upper-level disturbance.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 82 70 84 71 / 0 10 20 10 Victoria 83 68 84 69 / 0 10 20 20 Laredo 93 70 93 71 / 10 10 10 20 Alice 88 69 89 69 / 0 10 20 10 Rockport 80 70 81 70 / 0 10 10 10 Cotulla 91 69 91 70 / 10 10 20 20 Kingsville 86 69 87 70 / 0 10 20 10 Navy Corpus 78 70 79 71 / 0 10 10 10

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.