textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 632 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

- Seasonal temperatures and drier conditions this week.

- Rain chances increase by late weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 118 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

Expect continued drier and warmer conditions to persist over the through early weekend. A low level ridge is expected to shift to the west allowing for moisture to return to the region, though no precip will be expected due to the lack of upper level support. The next chance for some rain will be late this weekend into early next week. This will be the likely arrival of our next disturbance as a trough digs around the Four Corners region extending into West Texas/Northern Mexico. This will lead to low to medium showers and thunderstorms once again. Will continue to monitor this possibility as this is still a few days out.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 632 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

Surface high pressure will shift just offshore the Texas Coast tonight, leading to very light to calm southeasterly winds. These light winds under mostly clear skies will promote favorable fog conditions over the Coastal Plains, mainly impacting ALI/VCT between 09-14Z. There is a medium to high (50-70%) chance for dense fog to occur between the Victoria Crossroads and ALI. Confidence is not as high elsewhere along the coast and over the Rio Grande Plains, but included at least an MVFR vsby mention over all sites. I did add in FEW lower clouds in the tempos, in the lower chance that an IFR/LIFR cloud deck forms instead of fog. Light southeasterly winds will stick around through the end of the forecast, with VFR prevailing by 15Z across all of South Texas.

MARINE

Issued at 118 PM CDT Tue May 12 2026

A gentle to moderate northeasterly breeze (BF 3-4) is expected to continue through this afternoon before turning to the southeast and relaxing to a light to gentle breeze (BF 2-3) tonight through Thursday. Winds will increase to moderate levels once again Thursday night and continue into the weekend. Little is expected in the way of precipitation through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 67 87 67 88 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 64 91 65 90 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 69 94 68 96 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 65 91 64 92 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 73 87 73 86 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 67 93 66 96 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 66 88 65 89 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 73 83 73 84 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.