textproduct: Corpus Christi

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 142 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

- Moderate to Major heat stress conditions return by early next week.

- Drier conditions through next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 142 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

The mid-level low is expected to begin shifting to the west with the a ridge building from the east over the next couple days. In the meantime, some residual moisture will combine with the seabreeze to promote very low rain chances through at least Friday. For the most part though, we will enter a drier period as PWATs come back down to climatological norms for this time of year by this weekend. We can expect heat to be the main story of the forecast per usual. Highs will be back into the lower 105s out west by early next week. Heat indices will likely return to the 105-110 range as we head into next week leading to moderate to major heat risk conditions.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 142 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Early morning convection has been confined to west of San Antonio and over the Gulf waters. Slow storm motion to the northwest. VFR conditions prevail across most of South Texas, with MVFR ceilings draped over ALI. MVFR ceilings, primarily from ALI westward to COT/LRD, will be possible through 15-16Z. Afterwards, VFR conditions will take over through the remainder of the forecast with southeasterly winds strengthening to a sustained 10-15 knots and gusts 20-25 knots. Low rain chances through the day but not enough confidence to include in the forecast at terminals at this time.

MARINE

Issued at 142 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

A Moderate to Fresh (BF 4-5) onshore flow through the period becoming more southerly early next week with some periods of a Light to Gentle breeze. Low to medium rain chances this morning will lower heading into this weekend.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 142 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Low rain chances will remain in the forecast through Friday. With mainly moderate or higher RH values expected, no elevated fire weather conditions are expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 91 81 92 80 / 20 0 0 0 Victoria 90 77 91 77 / 20 10 0 0 Laredo 97 79 99 79 / 10 10 0 0 Alice 93 78 95 77 / 10 0 0 0 Rockport 90 82 90 82 / 20 10 0 0 Cotulla 93 77 95 77 / 10 20 0 0 Kingsville 91 79 93 78 / 10 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 89 83 90 83 / 20 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.

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