textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 616 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

- Potential for elevated fire weather conditions over the Brush Country and inland Coastal Plains daily through Monday

- Dry weather and warming trend continues through this upcoming weekend

DISCUSSION

Issued at 233 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

No significant changes in the forecast from last issuance. An amplified ridge over the SW CONUS will remain the dominant and controlling feature for the next several days of weather over South Texas. The ridge will slowly shift eastward and finally start to weaken late this upcoming weekend, but ridging will remain the most prominent influence into the middle of next week. Atmospheric moisture will remain below normal over the next several days with temperatures warming. By Friday, we'll start to see highs in the 90s become a common theme over the Brush Country for the foreseeable future. Although high temperatures will be around 10 degrees warmer than normal, low temperatures will be just a couple degrees warmer than normal thanks to drier air and mostly clear skies promoting radiational cooling. No rain chances are in the forecast.

Although winds will be light today, there are still elevated fire weather concerns over the Brush Country where relative humidity (RH) drops to 25-30% and fuels remain critically dry. Since the winds will be even weaker today, I have held off on issuing an RFD at this time, but this will need to be re-evaluated throughout the day.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 616 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Expecting fog to develop this morning leading to MVFR to IFR VSBYs east and VFR west. Winds this afternoon will be somewhat variable out of the southeast then veering south/southwest overnight accompanied by VSBYs of MVFR to LIFR possible across eastern terminals.

MARINE

Issued at 233 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

A gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) south to southeasterly breeze will persist through this weekend. Winds will occasionally strengthen to a fresh breeze (BF 5) over the bays and nearshore waters south of Port Aransas this weekend. No rain chances are expected at this time with seas between 2-4 feet.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 233 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026

Although winds will remain generally below critical criteria, occasional wind gusts around 20 mph in combination with relative humidity of 15-30% and critically dry fuels over the Brush Country and inland Coastal Plains, will promote elevated fire weather concerns. Since winds are notably weaker today, I have held off on issuing any fire products but will need to be monitored. We can expect similar conditions daily through early next week with the addition of a warming trend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 81 58 85 61 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 83 55 86 58 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 88 59 93 61 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 87 55 91 58 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 77 62 79 65 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 88 56 94 58 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 84 55 89 59 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 75 63 77 65 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.