textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 517 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
- Our next cold front is expected around Tuesday, along with medium to high chances for showers and thunderstorms.
- Cooler temperatures into the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1253 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
Can expect fairly warm and dry conditions today before a cold front moves through the area sometime Tuesday evening. Rain chances will increase into the morning hours with the best chance into the early afternoon as the front approaches. The highest chance for showers and thunderstorms will be confined more towards the north and northeast across the Victoria crossroads(60-70%) with low to medium chances expected across the Coastal Plains and inner Brush Country(30-50%). The stronger forcing and dynamics for strong to severe thunderstorms will remain north of our area, but conditions will still support some embedded strong storms with small hail and gusty winds.
Being that this front is pacific in nature, there won't be much of a cooldown. But nonetheless, we can expect cooler weather and lower humidity with temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s into Wednesday. Temperatures will slowly creep back up into the 80s as we go into Thursday with an increase in humidity as winds become from the east to southeast, along with low to medium rain chances returning as we go into Thursday evening. There are some models hinting on a potentially stronger cold front pushing through as we go into the end of the weekend and into early next week, but confidence is low at this time.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 517 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
VFR conditions are present across all terminals at the moment. Approaching 12Z, ALI,LRD,COT, and VCT will see IFR conditions where as the CRP terminal will reach MVFR conditions. There is a chance for rain at every terminal tomorrow morning as a front makes its way through the South Texas region. After the rain moves through, conditions will clear up across the CWA, allowing for the terminals to return to VFR for late tomorrow afternoon/evening.
MARINE
Issued at 1253 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
Light to gentle (BF 2-3) breezes will continue through Monday before a moderate (BF 4) breeze develops ahead of a cold front. Showers and thunderstorms are expected Tuesday and Tuesday night. Winds will turn to the north and become moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) behind the front.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1250 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
Low-level moisture and light winds will continue to limit fire weather concerns. Showers and thunderstorms are expected Tuesday as a cold front moves across the area. Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 73 86 62 79 / 0 50 10 0 Victoria 70 80 56 76 / 0 80 0 0 Laredo 72 83 61 81 / 0 40 0 0 Alice 71 84 60 80 / 0 40 0 0 Rockport 75 85 63 79 / 10 70 20 0 Cotulla 71 81 56 79 / 30 40 0 0 Kingsville 72 87 61 81 / 0 40 10 0 Navy Corpus 76 84 67 77 / 10 50 20 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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