textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 550 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

- Low to medium rain chances (20-50%) today through Friday

- Potential minor coastal flooding today through late week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1245 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

The cold front has now cleared the coast leaving some lingering showers across the region under mostly cloudy skies. Conditions are expected to dry out across the region by this evening, though rain chances are expected to return across the region Friday. This is due to sufficient isentropic lift at the 305K level. Expect showers across the area through midday with chances diminishing during the afternoon hours. The region will see a slight warming trend this weekend ahead of our next front. This will bring temperatures down slightly. Though since its not as strong of a front and upper level moisture not being as abundant like we saw with this front bringing widespread cloud cover, we will see highs remaining in the 60s and 70s with 80s returning to the region by midweek. Lows however will be pretty chilly to start the week with 30s in our northern counties and into Victoria. 30s and 40s will be expected through Tuesday morning. Generally, dry conditions will exist through the period after Friday.

Will continue to monitor the possibility of minor coastal flooding along the Gulf beaches. We didn't see advisory conditions the past couple of days though with tide levels expected to continue peaking around 1.8 MSL it's worth keeping an eye on.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 550 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

A mixture of VFR to MVFR conditions is ongoing across area terminals, with patchy light drizzle across the western terminals. Conditions will deteriorate again overnight to IFR levels as a mid level disturbance moves across. Rain probabilities will increase around 08-12Z Friday, and continue through at least the late morning hours before improving in the afternoon. Winds will generally be light out of the north to northeast.

MARINE

Issued at 1245 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

With the cold front now offshore, fresh to strong northerly flow has followed in its wake and will last through Friday morning. Small Craft Advisory conditions will persist through tomorrow morning (Friday). Winds are forecast to weaken to gentle to moderate heading into the weekend, with the wind direction varying. Rain chances today will increase to medium to high, 60-90% through Friday night. Low to medium chances linger through Saturday evening.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1245 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Elevated fire weather conditions are not expected through the week. Winds will remain light to moderate inland, predominately out of the north to northeast. Minimum relative humidity will remain above 30% daily through Saturday. Sunday's relative humidity values will dip below 30% due to a passing cold front, however due to low ERC and winds, confidence is low for any elevated fire weather conditions. Low to medium rain chances continue today through Friday, with greatest chances over the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 43 56 49 69 / 30 50 30 10 Victoria 39 51 43 69 / 20 40 20 10 Laredo 48 58 50 74 / 50 30 20 0 Alice 42 54 46 71 / 30 40 30 10 Rockport 44 57 50 68 / 30 60 30 10 Cotulla 44 53 44 72 / 40 50 10 0 Kingsville 43 58 48 71 / 30 40 30 10 Navy Corpus 48 58 54 69 / 30 50 40 10

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST Friday for GMZ231-232-236- 237-250-255-270-275.