textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1216 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

- Extremely cold with dangerous wind chills of 10-20 degrees in the Victoria Crossroads tonight with 20-25 degree wind chills elsewhere (barrier islands being the exception).

- Medium to high (40-80%) chance of freezing in portions of South Texas through Saturday night, except for Thursday night

- Low rain chances (20-40%) returns to coastal plains and Victoria Crossroads Thursday night into Friday ahead of another cold front.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1216 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

The polar low that has brought a lot of this week's hazards will remain across the northeastern Canadian provinces, pushing a disturbance late Tuesday night into Wednesday in the form of a weak surface front, but quickly returning to onshore flow by Thursday. This will keep temperatures from rising too quickly. By Thursday, this polar low will start elongating and pushing down an upper-level trough down into the Midwest. At the same time, the subtropical jet will be pushing mid-level Pacific moisture toward the region. Ahead of the front, low to moderate chances (20-40%) for showers will primarily be focused on the coast and into the Victoria Crossroads. A secondary surge/front will reinforce the colder air moving into the region Friday night resulting in widespread temperatures below freezing by Saturday morning (with the coastal zones remaining slightly warmer thanks to the relatively warmer shelf waters).

High pressure really settles into the region Saturday with high temps struggling to break into the 50s and lows Saturday night bottoming out in the lower 20s in the Victoria Crossroads. The overnight periods from Friday to Saturday and Saturday to Sunday look like the best candidates for cold weather headlines. The probability of air temperatures dropping below 20F is greatest in the Victoria Crossroads (20-40%). There's still plenty of time for the models to better hone in on how cold we get, so for know, it's probably best to keep the big jackets hanging nearby.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1216 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF cycle with the only change being that winds will weaken overnight and become light and variable.

MARINE

Issued at 1216 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected through this afternoon. An extension may be necessary if winds and/or seas remain elevated for a few more hours in the evening. Temperatures will be around freezing along the coast with wind chill values feeling well below freezing early Tuesday morning. Gentle onshore flow briefly returns Tuesday before a weak cold front pushes through late Tuesday night into Wednesday, shifting back onshore Thursday, before a stronger cold front pushes through Thursday night into Friday. Strong to near gale force conditions may close out the week behind the stronger cold front.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1216 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026

Minimum RH vales are expected to stay mostly above 30% through mid- week, with the exception being today and Tuesday when values may briefly dip to 25-30% across the Rio Grande Plains. However, light winds should prevent any meaningful fire weather concerns. Rain chances associated with a cold front on Thursday night will result in low chances (20-30%) along the coastal plains and Victoria Crossroads. Overall, no fire weather conditions are expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 24 53 37 61 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 17 51 27 58 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 24 57 31 64 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 21 56 34 64 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 28 52 39 59 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 22 54 29 62 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 21 56 36 63 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 33 53 44 59 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Cold Weather Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Tuesday for TXZ229>232-239>247-342>344-346-347.

Freeze Warning from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Tuesday for TXZ229>232-239>247-342>344-346-347.

Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Tuesday for TXZ233-234.

Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST Tuesday for TXZ233-234.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for GMZ250-255- 270-275.