textproduct: Corpus Christi

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 121 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

- Mostly dry conditions expected through the weekend, with only isolated showers possible.

- Low to moderate rain chances return next week as moisture and atmospheric disturbances increase.

- Temperatures remain near to slightly above seasonal normals through the period.

- Minor coastal flooding will remain possible through the end of the week. Moderate Rip Current Risk today into next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 121 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

Relatively quiet weather is expected across South Texas through the weekend as weak mid-level ridging, limited moisture, and a lack of appreciable forcing keep rain chances low. A few isolated to scattered remain possible, mainly through much of next week. Otherwise, east to southeast low-level flow will persist.

The upper-level pattern becomes more unsettled early next week as ridging shifts east and troughing develops across the central CONUS. Latest model guidance has backed off on bringing a cold front through South Texas, with the boundary now expected to remain north of the CWA. Nevertheless, increasing moisture and passing disturbances aloft will support low to moderate chances for showers and thunderstorms beginning Monday or Tuesday and continuing through much of next week. With stronger forcing remaining north of the region, widespread rainfall appears unlikely, though uncertainty remains regarding precipitation timing and coverage.

Temperatures will remain near seasonal normals for highs and slightly above normal for lows. With no significant frontal passage anticipated, little change in temperatures is expected through the end of the period.

Guidance continues to suggest elevated tides continue this weekend according to P-ETSS. Leading to the potential for minor coastal flooding into early next week. Astronomical tides combined with onshore flow around 15 knots will increase the risk of rip currents this weekend, so have a moderate rip current risk through at least Saturday. Please use caution if going to the beach.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 121 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

VFR conditions are expected a majority of the TAF cycle. The exception will be brief MVFR conditions across ALI and VCT early Friday morning due mainly to light patchy fog. Light winds overnight through Friday morning will increase out of the southeast to 10-15 knots Friday afternoon. A few gusts around 20 knots will be possible.

MARINE

Issued at 121 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) east to southeast winds will prevail through much of the period, with occasionally fresh (BF 5) conditions possible during the afternoon hours this weekend. Rain chances will remain minimal through Sunday before increasing to low to moderate levels early next work week as moisture deepens and disturbances move across the region.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 121 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

Elevated fire weather conditions are not anticipated through the period. Minimum RH values and winds are not expected to reach critical thresholds, thereby limiting fire weather concerns. Increasing moisture early next week will lead to higher RH values and low to moderate rain chances. Temperatures will remain near to slightly above normal.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Corpus Christi 84 69 85 71 / 0 10 10 0 Victoria 88 61 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 89 67 90 70 / 0 0 10 0 Alice 85 65 86 67 / 0 10 10 0 Rockport 84 72 85 72 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 88 64 88 67 / 0 0 10 0 Kingsville 84 66 85 68 / 0 10 10 0 Navy Corpus 82 75 83 75 / 0 10 10 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.