textproduct: Corpus Christi
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 526 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026
- Overnight/early morning fog at times through next week.
- Elevated Fire Weather conditions possible at times into next week, mainly across the Rio Grande Plains.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1129 PM CST Thu Feb 26 2026
A stationary frontal boundary along the Middle Texas Coast is expected to lift northward as a warm front by Friday afternoon. This will allow an onshore flow to redevelop across S TX, which will help temperatures to be around 10 degrees cooler than Thursday's record breaking Max Temps. Although temps will be slightly cooler, they will remain around 10 degrees above normal through the weekend and into next week.
A mid to upper level high pressure system will remain across Mexico through the weekend, suppressing any chance of precip. Although, a low (5-30%) chance can be expected Friday across the offshore gulf waters due to deeper moisture. The high pressure begins to shift east on Monday and is forecast to be east of the area by Tuesday. A deepening upper low is progged to swing southeastward from the Pacific NW. This will bring a southwest flow aloft with embedded short waves tracking across the region. However, moisture will still be limited and rain chances remain less than 10% across S TX through Tuesday. That being said, a few models are hinting at precipitation by the middle of next week due to deeper moisture and a short wave.
Patchy to areas of fog will be possible each night/early morning through early next week. This is due to the dry mid/upper levels and limited near surface moisture combined with light winds. Winds may be a tad too strong by the middle of next week, thus limiting the potential for fog to develop.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 526 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026
A swatch of low clouds it moving inland across the area this morning approaching COT and LRD at this time. Additionally, MVFR VIS is also at times impacting all eastern sites. Expect VFR conditions to return by mid-morning and persist through the evening. Will start to see VIS reductions again tonight, especially for ALI and VCT.
MARINE
Issued at 1129 PM CST Thu Feb 26 2026
Patchy to areas of fog can be expected across the bays and nearshore waters through Friday morning. Visibilities will generally be above 2 miles, but a few locations could drop to less than 1 mile at times. A light to gentle (BF 2-3) breeze Friday morning will shift to the east and southeast through Friday afternoon. Seas will continue to subside as well. A moderate (BF 4) southeast breeze will develop through Saturday and continue into early next week. Rain chances will be low (5-20%) through early next week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1129 PM CST Thu Feb 26 2026
Onshore flow will return by Friday leading to an increase in humidity. However, fuels remain cured, thus elevated fire weather conditions are possible at times through the weekend into next week, mainly across the Rio Grande Plains where minimum RH values will be in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Winds are expected to remain below thresholds, but may strengthen by the middle of next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 81 62 81 63 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 86 57 82 58 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 87 63 91 64 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 86 60 87 61 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 78 62 78 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 87 60 91 61 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 84 61 84 62 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 75 65 75 66 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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