textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

The forecast remains on track and no major changes were needed with this update.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Some patchy fog possible early this morning. Otherwise, quiet, dry, and seasonable weather expected through mid to late next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... Radiational cooling and light winds may result in some patchy fog across interior NE OH and NW PA early this morning. There may be isolated instances of dense fog, but largely expect minimal impacts to visibility/driving conditions.

A cold front will move southeast across the region this evening, although frontal passage will be dry for the local area. The only notable "impact" from the front will be somewhat breezy winds just ahead of and behind the front this afternoon through tonight and cooler high temps in the 60s and lower 70s on Saturday. Otherwise, an omega block pattern will provide dry weather and seasonable temperatures through at least the middle of the week. Anticipate high temperatures in the 70s with lows in the 40s and 50s through Wednesday with high temperatures increasing into the 80s towards the end of the week. Rain chances may return by the end of the week and into next weekend as the synoptic pattern becomes a bit more progressive.

AVIATION /12Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/

VFR expected through the period. Winds light and out of the northwest, with strongest winds around 10-12 knots and gusts to 20 knots possible during the afternoon along the lakeshore in far northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. A cold front comes in from the north late Friday night, with shifts becoming north to northeast around 8-12 knots.

Outlook...Patchy fog is possible early Monday morning.

MARINE

Mostly quiet marine conditions will continue on Lake Erie through early next week, although probabilities are increasing for Small Craft Advisories and Beach Hazard Statements Friday night and Saturday as NE winds approach or exceed 20 knots in the wake of a backdoor cold front, building waves to 2-4 feet and elevating the risk for rip currents. Otherwise, NE winds will slowly decrease this evening and tonight, becoming SW at 10-15 knots ahead of the cold front Friday. Light winds are expected Sunday and Monday before N winds potentially increase again Tuesday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...Beach Hazards Statement from late tonight through Saturday evening for OHZ003-007-009>011. Beach Hazards Statement from late tonight through Saturday afternoon for OHZ012-089. PA...Beach Hazards Statement from late tonight through Saturday afternoon for PAZ001. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 PM EDT Saturday for LEZ142>146. Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 2 PM EDT Saturday for LEZ147>149.