textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

The Flood Watch has been cancelled for all of NWS Cleveland forecast area. The threat of widespread heavy rains and flooding has decreased significantly.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Showers and thunderstorms have diminished in coverage this evening.

2) Temperatures will trend warmer by early to mid-next week with limited precipitation chances.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... Coverage of showers and storms will gradually decrease after sunset this evening as the cold front sags south, settling near or just south of the US-30 corridor overnight. Isolated to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will remain possible overnight into Saturday, particularly near the US-30 corridor, as a wave of low pressure tracks east into the Ohio Valley.

KEY MESSAGE 2... A warmer and drier pattern appears favored by the end of the weekend through mid-next week as a large upper- level ridge develops across much of the CONUS. The eastern periphery of the ridge may begin to break down towards the end of the week as an upper-level trough swings east across New England, though limited precipitation is expected for much of the week. Temperatures will return to above average by as early as Sunday with highs in the mid to upper 80s, further increasing into the low to perhaps mid-90s by Tuesday and Wednesday. Will need to monitor temperature and humidity trends during this timeframe as heat indices rise into the mid to upper 90s, yielding at least some pockets of major heat risk on Wednesday.

AVIATION /06Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/

Areas of fog and IFR (or lower) ceilings are expected through the overnight hours through to about 1-2 hours after sunrise this morning. Visibilities as low as 1/4 SM and ceilings down to 200-300 ft will be possible. Duration and persistence of fog is expected to be greatest at and near KYNG.

Light and variable winds this morning around 8-12 knots will be out of the northeast with sporadic gusts to 20 knots with slightly strong winds near the Lake Erie shoreline. Winds gradually diminish to around 5 knots by tonight.

Outlook...Non-VFR with patchy fog possible early Sunday morning and Monday morning.

MARINE

A front is pushing south across Ohio this afternoon with northeasterly winds expected on Lake Erie on Saturday. The wind forecast has trended slightly higher along the south shore of Lake Erie and a moderate swim risk expected. Conditions will be choppy but expected to be just below Advisory criteria with 2 to 4 foot waves. Northeast winds decrease Saturday night then increase again on Sunday afternoon with winds around 15 knots and waves around 2-3 feet.

Marine conditions improve Monday as high pressure builds overhead. Winds become southwest Tuesday and Wednesday as high pressure departs to the southeast. Waves generally expected to be less than 1 foot.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.