textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes to the previous forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Dry and seasonable weather is expected through at least early next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... The weather pattern will stay relatively stagnant through the next several days as high pressure maintains influence over the region. This will result in dry weather through at least early next week in addition to near normal temperatures. Highs will be in the 60s with lows in the 30s and lower 40s each day, although temperatures may begin to warm towards the end of the weekend as the high starts to shift east. The only notable hazard over the next several days will be related to frost potential with efficient radiational cooling occurring most nights. That said, the best chance of frost will be in locations where the growing season has already ended. Will need to keep an eye on how temperatures trend in typical cold spots across Wayne/Ashland/Holmes counties tonight into early Wednesday morning, but there's potential for patchy fog and lower stratus which could throw a wrench in radiational cooling/frost coverage in that area.

AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/

Primarily VFR conditions will continue across the region through the TAF period outside of patchy fog tonight into Wednesday morning at TOL/FDY. Have IFR to LIFR conditions in the TAF with this forecast package.

Northeast winds 5-8 knots will continue through this evening before becoming light and variable tonight. Maintained a northerly to northeasterly lake breeze of 8-12 knots at CLE/ERI through this evening.

Outlook...Outside of overnight patchy fog, mainly VFR is expected through Sunday.

MARINE

Winds will shift northeast over the lake today and increase to 10-15kt, with a brief period of 15-20kt winds east of the Islands this evening. Waves will increase to 1 to 3 feet this afternoon through tonight, with a brief period of 2 to 4 footers this evening east of the islands. Conditions will be near Small Craft Advisory criteria for a few hours - holding off on the headline early this morning, but will continue evaluating in case winds/waves trend slightly higher. Lighter and more variable winds with little wave activity for Wednesday and Wednesday night. North-northeast winds to around 10kt develop on Thursday and will build some chop, with winds expected to shift more northeast and increase to 15-20kt for a time Thursday night into Friday. 2-4 or 3-5 footers will likely build and a Small Craft Advisory may be needed, especially in the central basin.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.