textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

The ongoing forecast remains fair weather and quiet with no impactful changes needed with this afternoon's update.

KEY MESSAGES

1) The forecast will remain dry with temperatures gradually warming up through the middle and end of next week. Rain chances will return late next into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... An Omega Block weather pattern has developed over the north central CONUS and Great Lakes region this weekend. At the surface, a Canadian high pressure system is building down across the eastern Great Lakes this weekend with a northeasterly flow. Tonight's low temps will be the cool once again in the 40s away from the lake and low 50s right along the lakeshore. Fair skies and another beautiful weather day is in the forecast Sunday. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 70 Sunday afternoon. High pressure will dominate over the Great Lakes region going into the early and middle of next week. A dry forecast with mostly clear skies are expected to continue into next week. High temperatures will gradually climb further into the 70s and lower 80s by the middle of next week. By the end of next week, high temperatures will be in the 80s areawide. The next chance for rain will be late Friday into Saturday but will remain dry until then.

AVIATION /12Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/

High pressure will build in through the TAF period, leading to a continuation of dry, clear, and VFR conditions. Patchy river valley fog is possible across interior eastern OH and into interior northwestern PA early Sunday morning, but is not expected to impact any TAF sites. Northeast winds 10-15kt with gusts to 25kt closer to Lake Erie this afternoon shift a bit more easterly and diminish to under 10kt tonight.

Outlook...VFR continues for the foreseeable future.

MARINE

Northeast winds peak at around 20-25 knots during the pre-dawn hours this morning, before settling around 15-20 knots for the daytime hours today. The resulting waves will build to 4 to 5 ft and allow for the Small Craft Advisory and Beach Hazards Statement to continue through at least Saturday afternoon. With high pressure centered over the lake, winds will become light and out of the east Saturday night and north Sunday through Wednesday. Winds should be light enough to prevent the need for headlines, but the light onshore component will result in at least some afternoon choppiness during the week days.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for OHZ003- 007-009>011. Beach Hazards Statement until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for OHZ012-089. PA...Beach Hazards Statement until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for PAZ001. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LEZ142>146. Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for LEZ147>149.