textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Winter Weather Advisories have expired, though localized lake effect snow and patchy blowing snow will linger today. Quiet weather is then expected to end the weekend and for the early portions of the upcoming work week.

KEY MESSAGES

1) It remains frigid this weekend, with Cold Weather Advisories and Extreme Cold Warnings remaining in effect until 12:00 PM today. Additional advisories may be needed for tonight.

2) Lingering lake effect snow may produce localized, light accumulations today. Patchy blowing snow also continues.

3) Outside of a small snow chance in western Ohio early Sunday, primarily dry weather is favored for the end of the weekend and start of the upcoming work week.

4) Multiple systems are expected to move west to east across the eastern U.S. mid to late week. It is uncertain if any of these systems will track far enough north to bring measurable precipitation to the area, leading to a low confidence forecast in terms of precip types, chances, and amounts.

5) After a surge of above-average temperatures on Tuesday, temperatures should be near normal the rest of the week.

KEY MESSAGE 5

A brief period of above-average temperatures is expected on Tuesday, with highs likely to get into the 40s for much of the area! Unfortunately, the week as a whole doesn't look all that warm, with a cooler trend back towards normal (but not nearly as frigid as what we're seeing now) by Thursday and Friday. We will need to watch our mainly frozen over rivers for ice jam concerns as we warm, though the impression is the brief early-week mild spell, accompanied by no precip, should not cause many issues.

AVIATION /12Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/

VFR except where current snow showers persist, mainly over YNG for a few more hours today. Winds easing, but still have gusts 15-25kts for the eastern terminals through the afternoon hours, and not as strong for the western terminals at FDY/TOL. High pressure settles into the region for the weekend with northwest winds less than 10kts by Sunday morning.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in rain/snow showers Tuesday night into Wednesday.

MARINE

Lake Erie remains nearly completely ice-covered. Gale force northwesterly winds ease to 15-25kts this afternoon, and then become variable under 10kts through late Sunday with high pressure over the southern Great Lakes. Winds southerly at 10kts through Monday night, then southwesterly 10-20kts through early Tuesday night.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...Cold Weather Advisory until noon EST today for OHZ003-006>014- 017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089. PA...Extreme Cold Warning until noon EST today for PAZ001>003. MARINE...Gale Warning until 7 AM EST this morning for LEZ142>148- 162>168.