textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

A Cold Weather Advisory is now in effect across Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania 10 PM tonight through 10 AM Sunday. Increased precipitation chances across Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania through tonight where localized lake enhanced snowfall continues.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Remaining frigid with sub-zero wind chills expected both Sunday and Monday morning.

2) Moderating temperatures with multiple systems moving in the vicinity of the forecast area next week.

KEY MESSAGE 2

The general trend through next week is primarily dry weather with moderating temperatures. The warmest day of the week will be Tuesday as highs are expected to rise into the upper 30s to lower 40s. High temperatures generally remain in the upper 20s to lower 30s the rest of next week. Will still need to monitor mainly frozen over rivers for any ice jam development. However, given the very brief warm period accompanied with little to no precipitation, not anticipating many issues to arise.

A number of upper level disturbances will cross in the vicinity of the forecast area mid-to-late next week. However, a persistent ridge of high pressure across the region will likely keep precipitation chances out of the forecast area through the bulk of next week. Will continue to monitor the placement of the Eastern CONUS ridge as any adjustments in its location may allow for precipitation chances to change.

AVIATION /18Z Saturday THROUGH Thursday/

Generally expect VFR across the region through the TAF period, although a narrow band of lake effect snow showers is producing MVFR cigs/vsbys. Expect these snow showers to diminish as high pressure continues to build into the region this afternoon into this evening, although light snow may briefly clip KERI and produce a period of MVFR conditions before 00Z. Winds will be out of the northwest at 10 to 15 knots with gusts to 25 knots (and possibly brief gusts to 30 knots this afternoon) before becoming light and variable at most locations tonight.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in rain/snow showers Tuesday night into Wednesday.

MARINE

Lake Erie remains mostly ice-covered. Northwest winds 10 to 20 knots will continue through this afternoon before diminishing to 10 knots or less by late tonight and becoming more variable on Sunday. Southeast winds around 10 knots or less are expected on Monday with southwest winds to 10 to 15 knots developing on Tuesday. Winds will shift to the northwest Wednesday through Thursday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...Cold Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Sunday for OHZ012>014-022-023-032-033-089. PA...Cold Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Sunday for PAZ001>003. MARINE...None.