textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No major forecast changes needed with this update.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Dry weather and generally seasonable temperatures are expected this week. Patchy frost is possible tonight into early Tuesday morning.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... Canadian high pressure will build over the region today, delivering dry weather and cooler temperatures to the area for the start of the week. Temperatures will generally be in the low to mid 60s today with highs warming by a couple of degrees during the day Tuesday. Radiational cooling will be most efficient with the high directly overhead tonight and widespread lows in the upper 30s to around 40 degrees are expected with locally warmer temps likely along the immediate lakeshore. Typical cold spots across interior NE OH and NW PA will likely dip into the mid 30s, although there's still some potential for scattered cloud cover which would limit frost coverage. Have held off on the issuance on a Frost Advisory at this point since coverage should be scattered, but will reassess throughout the day.

Temperatures will warm further on Wednesday as the high shifts east and a warm front crosses the area. The next cold front will push across the area towards the end of the week, but guidance favors a dry frontal passage.

AVIATION /12Z Monday THROUGH Friday/

VFR conditions will continue tonight. Winds will become northwesterly 5 to 12 knots with a few gusts up to 20 knots for CLE, CAK, YNG and ERI during the late morning and afternoon hours. Winds will relax to 5 knots or less by this evening.

Outlook...Overall VFR conditions expected most of this week.

MARINE

Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves of 3 to 5 feet are expected east of the Islands this morning before winds and waves gradually diminish/subside from west to east this afternoon into early this evening. Small Craft Advisories remain in effect, although winds and waves may remain elevated in the far eastern basin into this evening, which may necessitate a brief expansion in the advisory east of Conneaut. Otherwise, conditions will improve tonight. By Tuesday morning, winds will be out of the southwest at 10 knots or less before increasing to 15 to 20 knots as a cold front slowly approaches from the west during the day Wednesday. Small Craft Advisories may be needed for portions of the lake Wednesday. Guidance favors west winds around 10 to 15 knots late Wednesday through late week.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for LEZ144- 145. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for LEZ146>149.