textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

A Freeze Warning remains in effect for most of our CWA until 10 AM this morning, except for Lucas, Ottawa, Sandusky, Wood, and Hancock Counties.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Warmer air will return today and persist through early next week. There will be several chances for rain this week into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... After a cold start to our Tuesday morning, the weather pattern will shift to warmer temperatures starting later today. High pressure over the region will shift towards the East Coast later today. A return of southerly winds will advect in much warmer weather today with high temperatures ranging from the lower to middle 60s over NWPA and the upper 60s to lower 70s over NEOH and NWOH. Fair weather skies will continue for today with mostly sunny conditions. A weak front will drift southward across the lower Great Lakes region tonight with scattered showers and isolated thunder possible. No severe weather is expected. Some scattered rain showers may linger into Wednesday over portions of central Ohio, south of Highway 30. Temperatures will not be impacted by the passage of the front on Wednesday with highs back in the upper 60s to lower/middle 70s.

An upper level ridge will move eastward from the Midwest into the Upper Ohio Valley and Great Lakes region by Thursday. Mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected with even warmer temperatures by Thursday afternoon. Thursday's high temps will climb into the lower to upper 70s. And the spring like warmth will continue for Friday with high temperatures in the middle 70s to around 80 degrees. A weak cold front will move from west to east across the region late on Friday with scattered showers and isolated thunder possible. Rain chances will become likely Friday evening and overnight. Temperatures will cool back down to near seasonable average this weekend but remain in the middle to upper 60s. Temperatures will warm back upwards by next Monday ahead of the next weather system moving across the Midwest into the Ohio Valley.

AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/

Primarily clear with some mid to high level clouds across central and eastern TAF sites this afternoon along a warm front. Breezy this afternoon as southerly winds 10-20 knots continue to gust to 22-30 knots through this evening. Winds will diminish to 10 knots or less while gradually turning westerly this evening. Winds will eventually turn northwesterly behind a cold front tonight. Showers and maybe a stray embedded thunderstorm will push south along the cold front late tonight. Not anticipating much in the way of reductions to cigs/vis in these showers, but MVFR ceilings will develop behind the cold front. Any MVFR ceilings that develop Wednesday morning will scatter out by the afternoon.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in scattered showers and storms Friday and Saturday.

MARINE

Southerly elevated flow 12-18 knots this afternoon will gradually turn northwesterly through Wednesday morning as a cold front moves south across the lake. Onshore winds should remain light with wave heights remaining 2 feet or less. Light and variable flow is expected under high pressure Wednesday night into Thursday before the high exits to the east Thursday night. Low pressure approaches the region from the west Friday and Saturday allowing easterly to northeasterly flow to increase to 10-15 knots ahead of the system on Friday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.