textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes to the forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Primarily dry, seasonal weather continues through Tuesday as high pressure remains situated across the Great Lakes.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... High pressure will continue to be situated across the Northern Great Lakes through early next week bringing dry and seasonal weather to the region. There's a strong low pressure currently off the east coast that will stall over the next couple of days and slowly drift to the west. This will briefly increase PoP chances across NW PA lat Sunday evening into early Monday morning when the low will weaken and move off to the northeast. The next chance for widespread precipitation will be mid to late week. There's still plenty of spread within the models with timing, so it's difficult to pin point when the onset will be. Until then, pleasant seasonal weather will be across the region with highs in the mid 60 to low 70s and overnight lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

AVIATION /00Z Saturday THROUGH Thursday/

VFR conditions are expected at most locations through the TAF period, although there may be a brief period of non-VFR conditions in patchy fog and lower stratus across interior north-central OH early Sunday morning. KMFD has the best chance of this occurring, but can't rule out a brief period of non-VFR conditions as far west as KFDY. Mid to high-level clouds will likely move into eastern terminals by Sunday evening, although any showers should stay to the east of the local TAF sites.

Winds will be out of the north at 10 knots or less tonight before increasing to 6 to 12 knots during the day Sunday. Periodic gusts to 20 knots are possible during peak mixing Sunday afternoon.

Outlook...Mainly VFR expected through Wednesday, though periods of early morning patchy fog are possible. Non-VFR possible in scattered showers on Thursday.

MARINE

Conditions across Lake Erie today will have northeast winds at 10-15 knots with waves 1-3 feet across the near shore. Winds will increase to 10-20 knots out of the northeast Sunday into Monday as low pressure drifts westward from the east coast. Waves will build to 2- 4 as well during this time period. Winds and waves will subside to less than 10 knots and less than 2 feet as high pressure takes back control across the region on Monday. Winds will shift to be out of the south late Tuesday into Wednesday and increase to around 10 knots. Waves will build to 1-3 feet in the open waters with lower waves expected in the near shore through the middle of the week.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.