textproduct: Cleveland
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes with this update as tranquil weather continues through most of this upcoming week.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Dry weather with pleasant temperatures much of the week. A gradual warming trend begins on Wednesday.
2) Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected over the weekend.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1... High pressure builds southeast across the Great Lakes through Wednesday before departing to the southeast and off the Atlantic coast late in the week and into the weekend. Quiet weather expected, with a warming trend starting Wednesday, with highs in the 70s through mid week warming to the 80s Thursday onward.
KEY MESSAGE 2... Model guidance has continued to trend slower, and drier for Friday, though we still have a 10-15% Pop for Friday afternoon, so can't rule out an isolated shower or storm. Continued building of warm, moist air with southwest flow along with weak forcing from a southward advancing cold front will contribute to higher likelihood in scattered showers and thunderstorms on Saturday and Sunday (30-50% PoP currently). The risk for flooding and severe weather is very low but heavy downpours are possible within thunderstorms.
AVIATION /12Z Monday THROUGH Friday/
VFR across the TAF sites this morning with VFR to persist through the TAF period. Winds will favor a north to northeast direction later this morning and afternoon, 8 to 12 knots, enhanced by a lake breeze. Higher gusts up to 20 knots cannot be ruled out, especially at CLE/ERI. Winds will diminish to 5 knots or less while still maintaining a northeast direction after sunset.
Outlook...VFR expected through Friday.
MARINE
Mainly quiet marine conditions are expected through the week as high pressure persists across the region. Could see a few brief periods of 2 to perhaps 3-foot waves as the lake breeze enhances the northeast gradient winds, especially later today and on Tuesday afternoon. Otherwise, overall flow will generally remain light through much of the week, before shifting to the southwest late Friday into Saturday, 10 to 15 knots.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.
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