textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

The forecast has trended towards being dry this evening and across the area Wednesday. Rain not expected until Thursday now.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Primarily dry, seasonal weather continues through Wednesday, with scattered rain showers returning by Thursday.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... Seasonal weather continues continue today and through early this week. A few sprinkles are possible this evening into tonight across Northwest Pennsylvania but otherwise should be dry through midweek. The forecast has trended towards being dry Wednesday, with rain showers expected Thursday onwards as scattered rain showers develop ahead a cold front that approaches from the northwest.

AVIATION /18Z Sunday THROUGH Friday/

VFR is expected across the area through late tonight before patchy inland fog and low stratus develop and mid-level clouds move in from the east late tonight into early Monday. IFR conditions are likely at KMFD early Monday morning, although there is a low-end chance that sub-VFR conditions briefly impact KCAK/KCLE. There's some uncertainty with how low ceilings get during the day Monday at KCAK/KYNG/KERI. At the moment, ceilings will probably be around 3500 ft, although MVFR ceilings are possible, especially at KERI. Some guidance suggests that ceilings might even dip as low as IFR, but would like to see how guidance and observations trend before becoming more pessimistic with the forecast.

Winds will be out of the north at 8 to 14 knots with gusts to around 20 knots through early this evening before winds diminish to 10 knots or less tonight through the rest of the TAF period.

Outlook...Mainly VFR expected through Wednesday, though periods of early morning patchy fog and lower clouds are possible. Non- VFR possible in scattered showers on Thursday and Friday.

MARINE

Northeast winds to 10 to 15 knots with periods of winds close to 20 knots are expected through Monday morning. Waves east of the islands will generally in the 2 to 3 ft range through Monday morning, through some 4 ft waves will possible, especially this evening. Light and variable flow is expected Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening before become southerly 10 to 15 knots Tuesday night through Wednesday night.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.