textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes as quiet weather continues.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Layer RH remains at such a level that precipitation will be hard to come by in any appreciable amounts until the late weekend.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... Zero precipitation cold front will be south of the CWA this evening/tonight, with only anafrontal cloud cover to show for it and wind shifts. As high pressure centered in Quebec builds back into the region for Tuesday, winds out of the northeast will have the most significant effect on temperatures, with the lakeshore areas down several degrees into the low to mid 60s. Otherwise, temperature decreases further inland in the wake of the cold front will be minimal.

Another cold front moves in from the northwest for late Thursday into Thursday night. As mentioned above, the column RH is low, and with the main energy of the low pressure system moving through northern Ontario and central Quebec, shower chances will be on the decrease as the front moves into Ohio. Ultimately, chances will be mainly isolated, and only bare minimum QPF is expected, primarily in NE OH/NW PA. It will not be until the weekend when a pattern change brings more of a spring-like pattern with a warm sector developing and a feed of moisture form the Gulf. This will increase convective chance going into the latter half of the weekend. Until that point in time, expect above normal temperatures from Wednesday onward, and widespread 70s for this late October time frame.

AVIATION /18Z Monday THROUGH Saturday/

Widespread VFR conditions will continue through this period across all TAF sites. SCT high clouds are expected to build in later tonight into Tuesday. Northeast winds of 5-8 knots will linger through this afternoon before becoming light and variable tonight.

Outlook...Primarily VFR expected through Friday.

MARINE

In the wake of a cold front, winds northeasterly 10-20kts tonight into Tuesday bring wave heights to 2-4ft, gradually decreasing to 1- 3ft Tuesday night. As high pressure moves southeast of Lake Erie, winds become offshore and will remain offshore through the end of the week below 10kts through Wednesday with wave heights less than a foot, and then 10-20kts Thursday into Thursday night ahead of the next cold front with wave heights increasing to 1-3ft. Winds offshore once again Friday behind the cold front.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.