textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes from the previous forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Outside of a low chance of a few showers across NE OH/NW PA tonight, dry weather and seasonable temperatures are expected through the next several days.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... A cold front will move east across the area late today and into tonight, delivering low-end rain chances to portions of Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania. Any rain amounts will be light. Otherwise, dry weather is generally favored across the area for the next several days thanks to mid-level dry air with the frontal passage and high pressure building over the region through the middle of the week.

Temperatures will fluctuate a bit this week, although highs will largely be in the 60s and lower 70s. Monday will be the coolest day of the week with highs in the low to mid 60s expected. Overnight lows will be quite cold Monday night due to efficient radiational cooling with forecast temps falling into the upper 30s and lower 40s. Locally colder temperatures as chilly as the mid 30s are possible in typical cold spots Monday night including portions of interior NW PA and the Central Highlands, where there could be patchy to areas of frost. This will be the first opportunity for frost headlines, although there is still uncertainty with how widespread any frost will be. Otherwise, overnight lows will be in the 40s each night.

AVIATION /12Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/

VFR expected through tonight. Winds will becoming westerly 5 to 10 knots this afternoon and northwesterly tonight.

Outlook...Overall VFR conditions expected into early this week.

MARINE

Southwest winds around 10 knots are expected ahead of a cold front today before quickly shifting to the northwest and increasing to around 20 knots behind the front tonight. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued from Midnight tonight until Noon Monday from Vermilion OH to Ripley NY, where waves will be 3 to 5 feet. Winds may remain elevated through Monday evening so an extension for portions of the eastern basin may be needed. Winds will become variable and diminish below 10 knots Monday night with southwest winds to 5 to 10 knots expected for Tuesday. A cold front will approach from the west on Wednesday which will make winds increase to 10 to 20 knots. Guidance favors winds to 15 knots or less and becoming more westerly by Thursday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to noon EDT Monday for LEZ145>149.