textproduct: Cleveland

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes to the forecast overall this morning. Still on track to be above freezing Tuesday for the first time in over a couple of weeks for most in our CWA.

KEY MESSAGES

1)Lake effect/cold air advection snow is possible across portions of the snowbelt Tuesday evening into Wednesday night.

2)Not as cold/closer to normal temperatures for this time of year for the end of the week through the next weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 2

High pressure moves in for the end of the week and into the weekend, prior to low pressure forming over the lower Mississippi Valley with a warm front extending northeastward into the Ohio Valley. POPs on the increase late Saturday through Sunday as the surface low moves towards the mid Atlantic coastal region.

AVIATION /12Z Monday THROUGH Friday/

VFR will continue through the TAF period. Clear skies this morning will give way to VFR ceilings above 5,000 feet this afternoon. Winds will generally be out of the south- southeast at under 10 knots through tonight.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in snow showers across NE OH and NW PA Tuesday night into Wednesday.

MARINE

Lake Erie remains nearly completely ice-covered. Winds remain out of the east-southeast at 10 knots or less today into tonight. Winds shift south-southwest and increase to 10-15kt late tonight into early Tuesday ahead of a cold front, shifting west-northwest at 15- 20kt behind the front late Tuesday into Wednesday. West-northwest winds gradually slacken on Thursday into Friday. Ice will be prone to some movement east of the Lake Erie Islands this week.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

OH...None. PA...Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for PAZ001>003. MARINE...None.