textproduct: Charleston

WHAT HAS CHANGED

All sections updated.

KEY MESSAGES

- 1) Well above normal temperatures and rain-free conditions expected to prevail across southeast Georgia and southeast South Carolina through next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1: Well above normal temperatures and rain-free conditions expected to prevail across southeast Georgia and southeast South Carolina through next week.

A very summer-like pattern is expected to setup across the region and prevail through the next 7 days. There is high confidence in prominent ridging aloft and subtropical high pressure at the surface, which will yield a dry forecast each day with increasingly warm temperatures. Look for highs into the low to mid 80s through Monday, then mid to upper 80s and even low 90s starting from Tuesday onward. Such values would be on the order of 10 degrees (or more) above normal. As of now there does not appear to be a high probability of reaching daily record highs, but certainly a notable warm stretch for mid April. Also, certainly not an ideal scenario of warm and dry in the presence of the ongoing Extreme Drought (D3) impacting much of the area on the US Drought Monitor.

AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

VFR conditions expected at KCHS, KJZI, and KSAV through 0z Monday. Guidance does show a period of ground fog around daybreak Sunday morning at KSAV, highlighted with a TEMPO from 9-12Z. South winds should develop by late Sunday morning with the passage of a sea breeze.

Extended Aviation Outlook: VFR.

MARINE

Sunday through Thursday: Overall, quiet marine conditions are expected across the local waters. Winds will be driven by subtropical high pressure to the east, favoring south to southwest flow with speeds peaking in the 10-15 knot range (mostly in the afternoon and evening). Seas are expected to be within the 2-4 ft range.

CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

GA...None. SC...None. MARINE...None.