textproduct: Charleston

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

All Key Messages and sections have been updated.

KEY MESSAGES

- 1) Dry conditions will persist through the weekend with rain chances increasing early next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1: Dry conditions will persist through the weekend with rain chances increasing early next week.

Ridging aloft will remain the driving feature across the Southeast U.S. through the weekend. Dry high pressure will be situated directly across the forecast area this afternoon then will gradually shift east out into the Atlantic through the weekend. Temperatures will be typical of early summer with upper 80s/lower 90s with the potential for some mid 90s by Sunday and Monday. Overnight lows will gradually warm each night, with upper 60s/lower 70s inland with lower/mid 70s at beaches and Downtown Charleston into early next week.

Rain chances will begin to increase early next week as a weakness develops in the ridge and the area of broad subsidence lessens across the region. This result in a more typical, diurnally driven pattern of showers/tstms from Tuesday onward. A weak cold front could approach from the north Tuesday, but model trends suggest the front may dissipate prior to reaching the South Santee River.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

05/18z TAF Discussion: KCHS/KJZI/KSAV: VFR through 06/18z

Extended Aviation Outlook: There are no concerns.

MARINE

Through Tonight: Afternoon sea breeze influences in the Charleston Harbor and along the land/sea interface will weaken this evening as the sea breeze circulation dissipates. Southerly winds will prevail overnight with winds less than 10 kt and seas 2-3 ft.

Saturday through Tuesday: Conditions will remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through the period. High pressure will dominate over the marine waters through the weekend with a weak cold front approaching on Tuesday. A southerly wind regime will prevail through the period with typical sea breeze surges likely each afternoon.

CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

GA...None. SC...None. MARINE...None.


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