textproduct: Caribou
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
540 am update...Update for 12z aviation discussion
KEY MESSAGES
1) Generally dry weather through next Saturday. Drought conditions will worsen.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...Generally dry weather through next weekend. Drought conditions will worsen.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Dry weather now looks to persist through the end of next weekend.
A cold front moves through today with a very fractured line of showers accompanying it through, mainly over the north this morning. Looking at Sunday/s 18z raob from KCAR tells you pretty much everything that needs to be said. The PW value was 0.18 inches. The all time minimum for PW for 10/25 at KCAR is 0.15 inches. Current Total PW from GOES-East as of 04z only ranges from 0.80-0.90 inches along the front. This does not give much hope for wetting rainfall at any point today but cannot rule out a few hundredths on inch falling in some locations, those most places will end up being skunked.
CAA will keep temps in the 40s on Tuesday with brisk northwest winds expected. Afternoon relative humidities will be quite low and range from 30-40% on both Tuesday and Wednesday.
Expect temps to moderate through the end of week with highs approaching 60 once again on Thursday with a cold front moving thru Thursday night into Friday. This front holds a little bit better promise for rain over the north but has certainly trended drier than it showed several days prior.
All in all, it appears that the drought worsens through next weekend with no guarantee for any wet weather at this time.
AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Today-tonight...VFR. W 5-10kts becoming NW 10-20kts and gusty in the afternoon.
Tuesday...VFR. NW 5-15kts gusting to 20kts.
Tuesday night-Wednesday night...VFR. WSW winds 5kts.
Thursday...VFR. SW 5-15kts.
Thursday night-Friday...VFR/MVFR with chance rain showers north. SW 5-15kts becoming NW 10-20kts.
MARINE
Seas and winds below small craft levels through this evening. Cold front crossing the waters will increase NW winds to 25kts over the coastal and outer waters with seas ranging from 3-5 feet. SCA in effect for the coastal waters tonight. Conditions diminish through Thursday morning with southwest winds increasing to marginal SCA levels over the coastal and outer waters into Friday morning. Seas increase to 5ft over the coastal waters and 6ft over the outer waters during this time before dropping Friday morning.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 10 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ050-051.
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