textproduct: Caribou
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- Onset of rainfall has moved later into Wednesday night
KEY MESSAGES
1) Widespread soaking rain expected Thursday. Some drought relief is possible, but flooding is not expected.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...Widespread soaking rain expected Thursday. Some drought relief is possible, but flooding is not expected.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Confidence is increasing in a widespread soaking rain for Thursday. The setup involves an upper level trough approaching from the northwest and amplifying over the region, with surface low pressure likely developing just offshore Thursday. Guidance has slowed the system down slightly with rain now not expected until Wednesday night with a steady, widespread stratiform rain Thursday. A 30 to 50% chance of rainfall exceeding 1 inch exists through the end of the day on Thursday with the highest probabilities further south associated with strengthening low pressure just offshore. Some fog is also possible Wednesday night as weak southerly flow brings moisture onshore.
Guidance continues to emphasize the possibility of rainy conditions persisting into Friday and possibly early Saturday as low pressure dives southeast through the area. Rain will likely be in the form of showers rather than the steady rain on Thursday.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Tonight...VFR. Chance for some valley fog, especially at PQI and HUL. Light and variable winds.
Tuesday...VFR. Light and variable winds at northern terminals, and a S/SE breeze at KBGR/KBHB.
Tuesday night...VFR. Light and variable winds.
Wednesday...VFR, 20% chance of MVFR late. SE wind 5 to 10 kts.
Wednesday Night through Friday...Mostly MVFR/IFR with rain and low clouds. The best chance of IFR or lower comes late Wednesday night into Thursday. Winds SE around 10 kts, becoming N Thursday night and Friday. Some wind gusts toward 20-25 kts are possible at times, especially at BGR/BHB.
Friday night through Saturday...MVFR has showers gradually clear out, possibly becoming VFR later in the day. N winds 5 to 10 kts Friday night, increasing to 10 to 15 kts Saturday.
MARINE
Winds and seas below small craft advisory conditions through Wednesday night. Winds and seas around SCA conditions Thursday, decreasing below criteria again Thursday night. Seas peak at 4 to 6 ft. Winds and seas below SCA criteria on the coastal and intracoastal waters Friday through Saturday. Patchy fog possible on all waters Wednesday night.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None. MARINE...None.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.