textproduct: Caribou
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- Updated aviation discussion.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Generally dry weather through next Saturday. Drought conditions will worsen.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...Generally dry weather through next Saturday. Drought conditions will worsen.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... The big story is dry weather persisting. Mild and dry this (Sunday) afternoon with temperatures 60-65 and relative humidities mostly 20-30 percent.
A cold front will move through from north to south during the day Monday and into early evening, but again, the front is severely lacking deep moisture and we are looking at just a chance of showers, mainly in the north. Any rain totals should be less than 0.10 inch, and many places will get nothing.
Seasonably cool Monday night to Wednesday with high pressure building in. Tuesday night looks quite chilly with upper teens to mid 20s. Afternoon relative humidities will be quite low Tuesday/Wednesday with 30-40 percent in general.
Warmer Thursday ahead of the next cold front, which moves through Thursday night into Friday. Yet again, this front does not tap into any notable moisture, and we are looking at just a chance of rain, with any rain that does occur likely remaining less than 0.10 inch.
Dry into Halloween, but uncertainty increases as we head into Sunday/Monday/Tuesday. Some models/ensembles bring hope of some wet weather, but there is substantial uncertainty and nothing we can call a sure bet for rain yet.
AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Tonight...Variable conditions in any patchy fog late Downeast. Otherwise, VFR. Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Westerly low level wind shear across northern areas.
Monday...Occasional MVFR ceilings possible across northern areas. Otherwise, VFR. Isolated/scattered rain showers. Southwest/west winds around 10 knots, becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 to 25 knots. Westerly low level wind shear across northern areas during the morning.
Monday night...VFR. Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots.
Tuesday-Tuesday night...VFR. NW 10-15kts gusting to 20kts Tuesday, becoming light W Tuesday night.
Wednesday-Wedneday night...VFR. WSW winds 5-10kts.
Thursday...VFR. S wind 5-15kts.
Thursday Night-Friday...MVFR/VFR, with SW wind 5-15kts becoming NW 5-15kts. Chance of rain showers.
MARINE
Winds and seas remain below small craft levels through Monday. Cold front moving through Monday evening brings NW wind gusts over 25kts for coastal and outer waters later Mon night through Tuesday morning, and have issued a small craft advisory, excluding the intra-coastal waters. Seas climb to above 5ft over the outer waters. Conditions diminish through Thursday morning before SW winds increase to near 25kts over all waters through Thu/Thu night.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from midnight Monday night to 10 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ050-051.
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