textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

- Increased thunderstorm chances in Northern Maine Thursday afternoon. - Increased rain totals throughout the area tonight into Thursday.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Light to occasionally moderate rain is likely tonight into Thursday with scattered thunderstorms possible in Northern Maine Thursday afternoon. Little to no drought relief expected.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Light to occasionally moderate rain is likely tonight into Thursday with scattered thunderstorms possible in Northern Maine Thursday afternoon. Little to no drought relief expected.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Intermittent light rain overspreads much of the north tonight, with a band of rain also developing further south toward Bangor/Downeast Thursday morning. As the cold front moves through from west to east Thursday afternoon, there is the potential for some convection just ahead of the front, mainly over the north. Model soundings show some weak instability up to 500 J/kg which could produce some thunder. Low freezing levels around 7500 ft may favor some small hail with any storms. Overall, not expecting any severe storms. The potential for drought relief is relatively low as total precipitation is expected to be generally below 0.50 inches, with the highest amounts over the north. That said, rain totals are trending a bit higher, and one tenth to one quarter inch is now possible Downeast as well. Rain ends Thursday night.

AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Rest of Today...VFR. A few sprinkles in the north. S wind 10-15 kts.

Tonight...VFR early. VFR/MVFR, with occasional IFR, late. Rain likely in the north. South winds 5-10 kts.

Thursday...Occasional IFR early. Otherwise, VFR/MVFR. Showers likely. Chance of an afternoon thunderstorm north. South/southwest winds 10 to 15 knots.

Thursday night...VFR. A slight chance of showers early. Southwest/west winds 5 to 10 knots.

Friday...VFR/MVFR north. VFR Downeast. A slight chance to chance of showers mostly north. West/northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots.

Friday night...VFR/MVFR north. VFR Downeast. West/northwest winds 5 to 10 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots.

Saturday and Saturday night...VFR. West/northwest winds at 10-15 knots gusting up to 25 knots. Saturday winds calm to below 5 knots from the west/southwest. Gusts will be below 10 knots

Sunday and Sunday night...VFR. Winds from the south/southwest at 10-15 knots gusting up to 25 knots.

Monday...VFR/MVFR for a chance of scattered showers throughout the day. Winds will start out from the southwest and shift to the northwest throughout the afternoon. Winds at 5-10 knots with gusts up to 20 knots.

MARINE

Small craft conditions of wind gusts around 25 kt and seas up to 5 ft returning tonight on the coastal waters. Wind gusts should subside below criteria early Thursday morning on the coastal waters but seas may stay elevated around 5 ft throughout the day, then subside Thursday night.

Small craft advisory wind conditions possible Friday night. Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels Saturday and Sunday. Wind and seas could reach small craft advisory conditions again Sunday night through early Monday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ050-051.