textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

- Updated aviation discussion.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Dry weather through this weekend.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Dry weather through this weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Very quiet weather persists through the weekend. There is a strong low pressure system off the Mid-Atlantic that will track northeast through Thursday night, but it will pass well to our southeast and not bring any precipitation to our area except perhaps over our outer waters. We will also have a cold front moving through from north to south late tonight into Thursday, but there will not be any precipitation with the front, and just some increased cloud cover. The main change we will see is increased winds during the day Thursday, Thursday night, and into Friday. Gusts up to about 30 mph from the north are expected during the day Thursday and Friday, which will not be enough for any impacts to trees and power, though additional leaf loss is expected. As high pressure builds in Friday night, temperatures will dip into the 20s areawide, with even a few teens possible in the colder valleys in north/northwest areas. Extremely quiet weather for the weekend, with a warming trend into Sunday. The next small chance of rain comes Monday, but it is not looking impressive, as it looks like another moisture- starved cold front moving in from the north.

AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Tonight...Variable conditions in any patchy fog late. Otherwise, VFR. Light and variable winds, becoming north/northwest around 5 knots.

Thursday...Occasional MVFR ceilings possible across northern areas through early afternoon. Otherwise, VFR. North/northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north 10 to 15 kts with gusts up to 25 to 30 knots.

Thursday night-Friday...VFR. N winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 to 30 knots. LLWS possible Thursday night.

Friday night-Sunday night: VFR. Light and variable winds.

Monday...VFR/MVFR. SW wind around 10 kts becoming N late, with higher gusts possible.

MARINE

High confidence in gale force NW winds over all but the intracoastal waters late Thursday through Friday morning, and have issued a gale warning. Winds then diminish and become light for the weekend. Seas 3-6 ft, building to 5-10 ft Thursday night as a result of both the NW wind and a SE swell from low pressure to our S. This combination of a longer period SE swell and a shorter period NW wind wave could be quite treacherous. Seas then subside to less than 5 ft by early Saturday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...None. MARINE...Gale Warning from 6 PM Thursday to 2 PM EDT Friday for ANZ050- 051-080-081. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ051. Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM Thursday to 2 PM EDT Friday for ANZ052.