textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

-Lowered dewpoints for Thursday.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Warm and dry weather is expected Wednesday and Thursday. The next chance of showers is Friday afternoon across the north and Saturday for the rest of the area as a cold front approaches.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Warm and dry weather is expected Wednesday and Thursday. The next chance of showers is Friday afternoon across the north and Saturday for the rest of the area as a cold front approaches.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... The high pressure system over the Great Lakes will continue to track slowly to the SE. The high will intensify as it moves south, thus pulling in the dry, warm airmass from the Southwestern US. This coupled with ample sunshine will bring temps into the low 80s in the north and upper 70s in the south today. Dew points will be in the low 40s for today, bringing RH values near 20 percent for the afternoon. By Thursday, temps are expected to increase into the upper 80s across the region.

By Friday a cold front will approach the area with increasing moisture and PWATs. Cloudy skies and a chance for showers across the north will lead to relatively cooler temperatures over the area with highs only in the upper 70s. Temperatures over central and southern areas will remain in the 80s with front remaining/getting hung up over the north.

Isolated thunderstorms are possible on Saturday afternoon but conditions are unfavorable for any organized storms. Highs on Saturday will be fairly close to normal over the north in mucked up airmass (i.e. clouds and showers) while far southern areas will top out around 80. Model consensus shows front moving offshore 06z Sunday.

AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Today-Thursday...VFR. Light and variable winds today and tonight, then WSW winds 5-10 kts for Thursday.

Thursday night...VFR. W winds 5-10kts, becoming light NNW late.

Friday...Mainly VFR, possible MVFR Aroostook terminals in showers late afternoon. Light N winds becoming variable in the afternoon.

Friday night-Saturday...Mainly VFR at Downeast terminals. MVFR/IFR conditions at Aroostook terminals in rain and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Light ESE winds northern terminals becoming W 5- 10kts afternoon. Light S winds Downeast terminals becoming SW 5- 15kts afternoon.

Saturday night...MVFR/IFR in showers. N winds 5-10kts

Sunday...MVFR/IFR in showers Downeast terminals, improving to VFR late. NE winds 5-15kts.

MARINE

Winds and seas will remain below SCA conditions through the weekend.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...None. MARINE...None.