textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

-No significant changes were needed with this forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Isolated to scattered snow/rain showers will occur through today.

2) Persistent dry conditions the rest of this week will lead to a worsening of the ongoing water resource drought impacting Eastern and Northern Maine.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Isolated to scattered snow/rain showers will occur through today.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... An upper level disturbance moves south across the region today, which will support isolated to scattered snow/rain showers. Any snow accumulations today through will be minimal, generally only a few tenths of an inch. However, local accumulations up to around an inch could occur across higher terrain areas.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Persistent dry conditions the rest of this week will lead to a worsening of the ongoing water resource drought impacting Eastern and Northern Maine.

KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION... A large high pressure system centered over the Mid-Atlantic coast will remain fairly stationary throughout next week. Upper air models indicate a very slow moving ridge that keeps high pressure in place. Warm, dry air from the desert SW is expected to be piped into the region, which should bring temps into the low 50s Wednesday through Friday. Possible breezy conditions during the day will further lead to dry conditions. This continued dry weather will allow for soil moisture to dry/remain at much below normal levels next week.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Through today...A slight shift in winds to the NW around 5 kts at around 10z will bring MVFR cigs eastward enough for CAR/PQI, and a couple hours later to HUL. BGR and Downeast terminals should remain low-end VFR through the night, with occasional -SHRA. After 12Z this morning...For northern northern terminals, generally MVFR, though brief IFR possible in any -SHSN, and SCT MVFR possible surrounding these showers. Across Downeast areas, VFR. Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots.

Tonight...MVFR becoming VFR overnight across all terminals. Winds 5-10 knots from the northwest.

Monday-Thursday: VFR, except for a very low chance of MVFR at northern terminals on Wednesday. WNW winds 5-10 kts, W winds 5-10 kts Tuesday through Thursday.

MARINE

Small Craft Conditions are looking more probable on the coastal ocean waters this afternoon and evening, which has prompted an SCA. From Monday-Thursday, the coastal waters should see sustained winds of 15 kt or less and seas 3 ft or less.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Monday for ANZ050-051.