textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

- There is a chance for some isolated thunder and small hail with a line of convection expected over the North on Thursday.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Light to occasionally moderate rain is likely late Wednesday into Thursday with an isolated thunderstorm possible in the North Thursday afternoon. Little to no drought relief expected.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Light to occasionally moderate rain is likely late Wednesday into Thursday with an isolated thunderstorm possible in the North Thursday afternoon. Little to no drought relief expected.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Low pressure stalling out to our northwest will result in showery and unsettled weather over the area, especially the North, beginning early this afternoon. Rain overspreads much of the area overnight tonight with a band of moderate rain moving through the Bangor and Downeast region early Thursday morning. As the cold front of the low passes to our north Thursday afternoon, current guidance is showing the potential for some convection along it over the North. Model soundings show some weak instability up to 500 J/kg which could produce some thunder. Low freezing levels around 7500 ft may favor some small hail with any storms. Overall, not expecting any severe storms. The potential for drought relief is relatively low as total precipitation is expected to be generally below 0.25 inches with the highest amounts over the North.

AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

Today...VFR. A slight chance of showers during the afternoon north. Variable winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south/southwest 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots.

Tonight...VFR early. VFR/MVFR, occasional IFR/LIFR, late. A chance of showers, mostly north. South winds 5 to 10 knots with gusts up to around 15 knots. Thursday...Occasional IFR/LIFR early. Otherwise, VFR/MVFR. Showers likely. Slight chance of an afternoon thunderstorm north. South/southwest winds 10 to 15 knots.

Thursday night...VFR. A slight chance of showers early. Southwest/west winds 5 to 10 knots.

Friday...VFR/MVFR north. VFR Downeast. A slight chance to chance of showers mostly north. West/northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots.

Friday night...VFR/MVFR north. VFR Downeast. West/northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots.

Saturday through Sunday...VFR. Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots, Saturday. Variable winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south, Saturday night. South/southwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots Sunday.

MARINE

Below small craft advisory conditions today with SCA conditions of wind gusts around 25 kt and seas up to 6 ft returning tonight on the coastal waters. Wind gusts should subside below criteria early Thursday morning on the coastal waters but seas may stay elevated around 5 ft throughout the day.

Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels Thursday night into Friday. Small craft advisory conditions possible Friday night.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for MEZ016-017-029- 030. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM EDT tonight until 8 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ050-051.