textproduct: Caribou
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Generally dry weather through next Sunday. Drought conditions will worsen.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...Generally dry weather through next Sunday. Drought conditions will worsen.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Dry weather looks to persist through the end of next weekend. Over the past 24 hours, models have remained very unimpressive with rain totals for the Thursday night/Friday cold front, and backed off on any rain chances for Saturday night/Sunday.
This (Monday) afternoon, a cold front is moving from north to south through the area, and will move offshore this evening. There is very little if any precipitation with the front. Earlier, a few spots got just enough rain to barely wet the pavement, and that is about all we are looking for. Temperatures will fall behind the front tonight, and we are looking at cool temperatures through Wednesday before we warm up Thursday ahead of the next cold front.
The next cold front, expected to move through Thursday night into Friday morning, will be much like its predecessors: generally dry, with any localized rain amounts being less than 0.10 inch.
Quiet, dry weather with temperatures fairly close to average are in store for the weekend. As said before, any rain chances should hold off until Sunday night at the earliest. Models are in pretty good agreement on dry weather through Sunday, but disagree significantly after Sunday on when/if any rain comes.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Rest of Today...VFR with a 20 percent chance of brief MVFR ceilings at FVE/CAR/PQI. Cold front is moving through the area from north to south, with all terminals experiencing increased winds and a shift to NW winds. The gustier winds will be at Aroostook terminals.
Tonight...VFR. N/NW 10-15kts.
Tuesday...VFR. NW 5-15kts gusting to 20kts.
Tuesday night-Wednesday night...VFR. WSW winds 5kts.
Thursday...VFR. SW 5-15kts.
Thursday night-Friday...VFR/MVFR with chance rain showers north. SW 5-15kts becoming NW 10-20kts.
Friday night-Saturday...VFR. NW 5-15kts
MARINE
Cold front crossing the waters will increase NW winds to 25kts over the coastal and outer waters with seas ranging from 3-5 feet. SCA in effect for the coastal waters tonight. Conditions diminish through Thursday morning with southwest winds increasing to marginal SCA levels over the coastal and outer waters into Friday morning. Seas increase to 5ft over the coastal waters and 6ft over the outer waters during this time before dropping Friday morning. NW winds Fri night-Sat likely less than 25 kts. Minimal fog on the waters through next weekend.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 10 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ050-051.
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