textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

- 6 AM Update with update to TAFs... no significant changes needed

- Rain mid week continues to trend slower and may not start until Wednesday afternoon, continuing through Thursday.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Dry weather with above normal temperatures through the first half of the week under high pressure.

2) A system is likely to move in mid-week, bringing another round of wetting rainfall.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Dry weather with above normal temperatures through the first half of the week under high pressure.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... The ridge of high pressure remains overhead today through the first half of the upcoming week, keeping winds light, skies mostly clear, and temperatures above normal. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s today through Monday and Tuesday for inland locations, while lows each night dip into the low to mid 50s. Highs will be slightly cooler along the coast with a sea breeze developing each afternoon.

Marine fog could push onshore each overnight, and should this happen visibilities could quickly drop, especially throughout the Coastal Downeast region, through the early morning hours.

KEY MESSAGE 2...A system is likely to move in mid-week, bringing another round of wetting rainfall.

KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION... High pressure lingers over the region this weekend, as a low pressure system slides along the east coast early next week. Generally, low pressure east of the Carolinas moves northeast in the Atlantic, east of Nova Scotia. Meanwhile, a cold front approaches on Monday and lingers to our west on Tuesday. A shortwave diving southeast over the Ontario province will develop a low pressure system over the Great Lakes region late Monday into Tuesday. The low will approach our region Wednesday producing rain over our area late Wednesday through Thursday. A wetting rainfall is expected, with the potential for 0.5 to 1 inch of rainfall. Ensembles show around a 60% chance of at least 0.5 inches with the greatest probabilities along Downeast Maine. Some scattered thunderstorms are also possible with this system Wednesday night into Thursday.

AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Today - Tonight...VFR across all terminals. S winds 5 to 10 kts becoming light and variable overnight. Brief MVFR/IFR vis possible at BHB in fog in the early morning hours should marine fog push onshore.

Monday night-Tuesday night...VFR. Chance for some fog Monday night, especially at KBGR/KBHB. Light and variable winds each night, becoming S/SE at 5 to 10 kts Tuesday.

Wednesday-Thursday...Decreasing to MVFR Wednesday afternoon, possible IFR in showers/T-storms Wednesday night into Thursday. S/SE winds 5 to 10 kts Wednesday. Winds shift E/NE by Thursday. Gusts to 20 mph possible during the afternoon.

MARINE

Seas remain below 3 feet with wind gusts below 15 kts through Sunday night. Patchy marine fog may restrict visibilities at times.

Seas below SCA criteria Monday into mid-week. Seas around 2-4 ft. Winds shift NE to SW on Monday, becoming S Tuesday, and E Wednesday into Thursday. Potential for overnight fog Monday night. Rain moves in on Wednesday, with a chance for thunder Wednesday afternoon.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for MEZ029-030. MARINE...None.