textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

- Gale Warning allowed to expire.

- Updated marine discussion.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Soaking rain early this morning to help with ongoing drought conditions.

2) Strong gusty winds during the day today and Friday. Cannot rule out isolated power outages.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Soaking rain early this morning to help with ongoing drought conditions.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... As of 2am Thursday, a broad low pressure system in northern Canada is bringing a strong warm front through our area, with widespread rain. Rain will end abruptly from west to east 4-7am. Totals will end up being generally one third to one inch, with most of that coming in 4-6 hours. The least amount of rain (around one third of an inch) looks to come in the St John Valley. Flooding is not a concern with this system, but rain amounts should give some relief to the ongoing D1-D2 drought conditions. After the system exits around or a bit before dawn, scattered showers are still possible over the north, but areas south of Millinocket should be dry today.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Strong gusty winds during the day today and Friday. Cannot rule out isolated power outages.

KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION... As mentioned above, strong low pressure system passes to the north of the forecast area, with strong winds aloft. This will bring strong winds during the day today from the west, and again from the west/northwest during the day Friday. Gusts potentially up to 35 mph today and 30 mph Friday. With wet soils after tonights rain, plus leaves on the trees, there could be very isolated tree damage/power outages today.

AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Today...MVFR/IFR along the Downeast coast, VFR/MVFR across the remainder of the region, early. Otherwise, generally VFR. Isolated/scattered showers north with local MVFR. Southwest/west winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 to 25 knots, becoming west/northwest 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 to 30 knots.

Tonight through Friday...Local MVFR possible north. Otherwise, VFR. West/northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots tonight. Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 to 25 knots Friday.

Friday Night and Saturday...VFR with light winds.

Saturday Night and Sunday...VFR with S winds 5-15 kts during the day Sunday. Possible MVFR late Sunday.

Monday...MVFR early becoming VFR. NW winds 5-15kt gusts up to 25kt possible.

MARINE

Gale Warning allowed to expire at 11 AM. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect til 8 PM this evening for the remainder of the waters. Seas peak around 6-9 ft this morning. Conditions improve some later this afternoon. Winds gradually shift to the NW for Friday and become variable and light Saturday. Winds become S on Sunday and could increase to around 20 kts.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ050>052.