textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

KEY MESSAGE 1...Light rain continues into tonight. Some drought relief is occurring, though flooding is not expected. Fog tonight as well. Showery conditions persist Friday into Saturday.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Light rain continues into tonight. Some drought relief is occurring, though flooding is not expected. Fog tonight as well. Showery conditions persist Friday into Saturday.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... As of early Thursday afternoon, the heavier rain has mostly moved off to the east, but we still have intermittent light rain and drizzle for most places, especially closer to the New Brunswick border. Not much change is expected through tonight, with some additional light rain (less than one quarter inch for most places tonight). Another concern tonight with winds decreasing and lots of lingering low level moisture is fog. Can't rule out some dense fog, but not enough confidence to put dense fog in the forecast. Probability of fog is about the same for north vs south.

During the day Friday, showers should increase to scattered to numerous by midday as we will be under unstable NW flow on the west side of low pressure in the Canadian Maritimes. Can't rule out a bit of thunder mainly in western portions of the area, but not expecting anything strong or severe. Still abundant cloudcover during the day Friday, but clouds should lift some with any fog dissipating by midday.

The surface/upper lows vertically stack across the Maritimes Friday night into Saturday, slowing the movement of the system. A disturbance moving around the Maritimes system will rotate across the region Saturday. Shower chances will persist Friday night into Saturday. The system then exits Saturday night. The entire forecast area should receive a soaking rain today through tonight. Generally expect rainfall totals of a half to three quarters of an inch across much of the forecast area today into Saturday, with areas of up to around an inch.

AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Rest of Today...MVFR/IFR, occasional LIFR. Intermittent light rain or drizzle, and patchy fog. Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots, diminishing around 22z.

Tonight...IFR, occasional LIFR. Intermittent light rain or drizzle. Areas of fog. Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming light. Fairly high confidence in the low conditions.

Friday...IFR/LIFR in the morning, then becoming VFR/MVFR. Higher probability of VFR BGR/BHB, with FVE/CAR/PQI/HUL likely only improving to MVFR in the afternoon. Chance of showers. N/NE wind increasing to 5-10 kts.

Friday night-Saturday...VFR/MVFR, occasional IFR, with a chance of showers. Greatest chance for below VFR at northern terminals. N winds 5-10 kts, then increasing to 10-15 kts Saturday.

Saturday night through Sunday...VFR. N winds 5-10 kts.

Sunday Night through Monday...VFR. Light and variable winds, becoming NW around 5 to 10 kts Monday.

Monday night through Tuesday...MVFR at northern terminals Monday night, becoming VFR Tuesday. N/NW winds 5 to 10 kts.

MARINE

SE winds 15-20 kt and seas around 4 ft this afternoon decrease tonight, though fog is likely tonight. For Friday, W winds to 10 kts and seas 1-3 ft. Fog should diminish during the day Friday.

Winds increase late Friday night, reaching marginal SCA criteria on the coastal waters late Saturday into Saturday night with Gales possible on the outer waters. Seas peak at 4 to 7 ft on the outer waters and 2 to 4 ft on the coastal waters Saturday night. Winds decrease below criteria on the coastal waters Sunday morning. Below SCA criteria through Tuesday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...None. MARINE...None.