textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No changes needed to the ongoing forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Warm temperatures and breezy winds Sunday before the next rain chances early next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Warm temperatures and breezy winds Sunday before the next rain chances early next week.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... High pressure builds over the region Saturday and moves off the coast to our south Sunday. Breezy winds out of the southwest will develop between the high and the weakened remnants of Isaias as it moves into the Ohio valley Saturday night into Sunday. These winds will help to funnel warmer temperatures (upper 60s to low 70s) into the area for Sunday and Monday, potentially 10-15 degrees above average for this time of year. As the system moves off the southern New England coast, it could bring a chance of showers for the Downeast coast Sunday night into Monday. Rain chances could decrease if the system stays further south, though there is still a good amount of uncertainty at this time. A separate low pressure develops over the Great Lakes Monday night as a trough deepens behind the departing tropical remnants. This will bring a chance of rain early to mid next week.

AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Through 00z...VFR/MVFR. Isolated storms may impact Aroostook terminals between 18 and 20z. S winds 5-15kts.

Tonight...VFR. SW winds 5-10 kts.

Friday-Friday night...VFR, though cannot rule out lower MVFR cigs at northern terminals. Chance showers in the afternoon. W 5-15kts gusts to 20kts.

Saturday and Saturday night...VFR. West/northwest winds at 10-15 knots gusting up to 25 knots. Light winds Saturday night.

Sunday and Sunday night...VFR. Winds from the south/southwest at 10-15 knots gusting up to 25 knots.

Monday and Monday night...VFR/MVFR for a chance of scattered showers throughout the day. Higher chances for rain for Downeast and northern terminals. WSW winds at 5-10 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Winds shift SE by Monday night.

Tuesday...MFVR/IFR for scattered showers across the area throughout the day. SE/S winds at 5-10 knots gusting up to 20 knots.

MARINE

Small craft conditions continue over the outer edge of the intracoastal zone for the next 2 hours and over the coastal ocean waters through 00z tonight for seas. Conditions remain below SCA levels tonight before W winds gust to 25kts over the outer waters on Friday. Seas range between 1-4 feet over all waters through Friday. WNW winds increase to over 25kts late Friday night for the coastal ocean waters with marginal gale force winds over the outer waters. Seas rise to above 5ft on the outer waters late Friday night.

Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels Saturday through Sunday morning. Wind and seas could reach small craft advisory conditions Sunday afternoon through early Monday. Winds/seas will be below small craft levels Monday afternoon and night. Seas will reach small craft levels Tuesday. Rain possible Monday and Tuesday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ050- 051. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ052.