textproduct: Caribou
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
735 am update...Have added patchy smoke into all areas for this morning with BGR reporting FU in their METAR. Latest HRRR has a pretty good handle on surface smoke with another resurgence across the north this morning.
Updated 12z aviation discussion.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Cooler through the weekend, with a chance for showers and storms mainly Thursday.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...Cooler through the weekend, with a chance for showers and storms mainly Thursday.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Cooler weather pattern setting up through late week, with a deep, cool upper level low pressure centered north of the area. We could see some primarily afternoon showers and storms today and Thursday, with the best chance being Thursday. We don't anticipate severe storms, however, can't rule out some small hail Thursday though with sufficient cold air aloft.
More uncertainty from Friday onward, but tentatively looking fairly dry. High temperatures will be fairly close to average, with low temperatures a bit cooler than average. The coolest day will likely be Friday, when highs may struggle to reach 70 in the north. Some 40s at night in cooler northern valleys are likely from Friday night through Saturday night.
AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Today...Variable conditions with any afternoon thunderstorms. Otherwise, VFR. Brief vsby restrictions due to smoke but not any less than 5SM remainder of the morning. Northwest/west winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 to 25 knots. Best chance for storms is around FVE, CAR and PQI, so have added PROB30s there for a few hours in the afternoon.
Wednesday night...VFR. West/northwest winds 5 to 10 knots.
Thursday to Saturday: Mainly VFR with possible MVFR at times mainly in the north due to either cigs or afternoon showers/storms. Best chance for afternoon storms is Thursday. W winds 10-15 kts with gusts up to 25 kts.
Sunday...MVFR/VFR in -shra/-tsra. Light and variable winds.
MARINE
Seas are subsiding this morning and falling below SCA conditions. Winds/seas below SCA conditions on the coastal waters today. Seas 4-5ft over the outer waters 25-60nm and winds less than 20kt.
W winds generally 10-20 kts Thursday through Saturday with minimal fog threat. Seas 2-5 ft through Sat, generally on the lower side of the range toward Saturday.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None. MARINE...None.
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