textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes to forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Fair weather this weekend will give way to more unsettled weather into early next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Fair weather this weekend will give way to more unsettled weather into early next week.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Patchy river valley fog is developing this morning in areas that saw rain yesterday and where winds have decoupled. NW winds will occasionally gust to between 20-25kts on the higher terrain this afternoon with fairly tight pressure gradient remaining between exiting low pressure over the Maritimes and building high pressure over the Great Lakes. As the high builds in skies will clear overnight and winds begin to decouple with another round of patchy river valley fog expected late tonight into Saturday morning.

High pressure builds in through weekend, with drier weather and cooler temperatures returning to the forecast area. High temperatures each day may only lift into the 70s, and skies could remain mostly sunny on Saturday. By Sunday, cloud cover may begin to increase once more ahead of the next approaching low pressure system, though there is the possibility this system could slow upon approach, delaying the onset of mostly cloudy skies to early next week.

The next low pressure system to cross the area early next week will be in the form of a cold front which brings another round of rain and chance for thunderstorms. Current trends suggest showers will remain scattered along the boundary as they move through as there will be a lack of deep moisture support, but if the trough deepens more and reaches further into the Gulf, there could be more numerous showers and storms due to the synoptic forcing of the cold front.

AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Through 12z...IFR patchy fog at PQI and HUL with MVFR possible at CAR. Remaining terminals VFR. NW winds 3-8 kts.

Today...VFR. NW winds 10-15kts with gusts 20-25kts.

Tonight-Saturday...VFR. IFR fog possible at terminals early morning, most likely PQI and HUL. NW winds 5-10kts.

Saturday night...VFR under SKC. Patchy fog possible, mainly in river valleys. NW winds 5 to 10 kts, becoming light and variable.

Sunday...VFR. SW winds 5 to 10 kts.

Sunday night-Monday night...MVFR/IFR due to showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog possible area wide Sunday night, and could last into the early afternoon at southern terminals. S winds 5 to 10 kts, gusts to 20 kts.

Tuesday...VFR under SKC. NW winds 5 to 10 kts.

MARINE

Winds and seas will remain below small craft advisory criteria through the weekend under high pressure. Winds increase to aoa 25kts over the waters from 25-60NM on Monday with seas rising to around 5ft, before diminishing Monday night.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...None. MARINE...None.