textproduct: Caribou

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

-No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) A chance of showers Downeast Tuesday. Otherwise, dry Monday through Wednesday.

2) Increasing heat and humidity mid to late week before a cold front Thursday night brings showers and thunderstorm chances.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...A chance of showers Downeast Tuesday. Otherwise, dry Monday through Wednesday.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... High pressure will build across the region tonight through Wednesday keeping generally dry conditions across the forecast area. However, low pressure will track south of the Gulf of Maine Tuesday. The northern edge of the precipitation shield with the low could possibly clip Downeast areas with a chance of showers. Generally expect near normal, to slightly above normal, level temperatures Monday through Wednesday. However, cooler temperatures are possible Downeast Tuesday with more extensive cloud cover.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Increasing heat and humidity mid to late week before a cold front Thursday night brings showers and thunderstorm chances.

KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION... Temperatures increase slightly through the week, with high temperatures 5-10 degrees above average on Thursday, reaching the mid to upper 80s. A weak upper level shortwave and a cold front move through the area Thursday night. PW values increase to near the 90th percentile Thursday and Thursday night. This will bring a chance for showers and thunderstorms Thursday and Friday with the cold front. The trough should clear the CWA Friday night leaving mainly dry weather through the weekend.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Rest of this afternoon...VFR. North/northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming variable 5 to 10 knots.

Tonight...Variable conditions with any patchy fog late. Otherwise, VFR. Light and variable winds.

Monday...Variable conditions with any patchy fog early. Otherwise, VFR. Variable winds 5 to 10 knots.

Monday night...VFR. Light and variable winds.

Tuesday-Tuesday night...Mainly VFR, though may see MVFR at BHB and coastal Downeast terminals in shra and some fog. E winds 10 kt gusts to 20 kt at BHB and coastal Downeast terminals, with S winds 5-10 kt with gusts to 15 kt elsewhere.

Wednesday...Mainly VFR, though may see MVFR/IFR Downeast terminals early in lingering showers and fog. S 5-10kts.

Wednesday night-Thursday...VFR. MVFR possible Aroostook terminals in showers, possible -tsra on Thursday. SSW winds 5 kts becoming WSW 5- 10kts.

Thursday night-Friday...MVFR in showers and some thunderstorms. NW 5-10 kt.

MARINE

Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels tonight through Monday night.

Winds remain below 25kts through Thursday. Seas remaining 2-4 feet through Tuesday evening before increasing to 5ft from 25-60NM Tuesday night, and out to 25NM on Wednesday. Seas begin to diminish late Wednesday night.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for MEZ029- 030. MARINE...None.


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