textproduct: Caribou

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

- No significant changes.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Widespread soaking rain expected today into tonight. Some drought relief is possible, though flooding is not expected. Showery conditions persist Friday into Saturday.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Widespread soaking rain expected today into tonight. Some drought relief is possible, though flooding is not expected. Showery conditions persist Friday into Saturday.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... A disturbance moving around an upper low across Quebec province will help support a developing surface low along an approaching occluded front today. Rain will occur regionwide today. The developing low will cross the Gulf of Maine tonight. Rain will persist early tonight, then taper to showers overnight. The surface low exits across the Maritimes Friday, with a trof extending back across the forecast area, while the upper low begins to move south across the region. Showers will persist across the region Friday, with the better chances across northern areas. Could also have the slight chance of a thunderstorm Friday afternoon. The surface/upper lows vertically stack across the Maritimes Friday night into Saturday, slowing the movement of the system. A disturbance moving around the Maritimes system will rotate across the region Saturday. Shower chances will persist Friday night into Saturday. The system then exits Saturday night into Sunday. The entire forecast area should receive a soaking rain today through tonight. Generally expect rainfall totals of a half to three quarters of an inch across much of the forecast area today into Saturday, with areas of up to around an inch.

AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Today...MVFR/IFR, occasional LIFR. Rain and patchy fog. Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots.

Tonight...MVFR/IFR, occasional LIFR. Rain tapering to showers. Areas of fog. Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming variable.

Friday...IFR/LIFR in the morning, then becoming VFR/MVFR. Areas of fog early. Showers likely north, a chance of showers Downeast. Variable winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north.

Friday night-Saturday...VFR/MVFR, occasional IFR, with a chance of showers. N winds 5-10 kts, then increasing to 10-15 kts Saturday.

Saturday night through Sunday...VFR. N winds 5-10 kts.

Sunday Night through Monday...VFR. Light and variable winds.

MARINE

Winds/seas generally below small craft advisory levels today through Friday. However, a few wind gusts could approach small craft advisory levels this afternoon. Rain today through early tonight, then tapering to showers later tonight. A slight chance/chance of showers Friday into Saturday. Areas of fog today through early Friday. Friday night through Monday seas will remain below SCA. Beginning Saturday, wind gusts will reach criteria and persist through Sunday morning in the intracoastal and coastal waters. On the outer waters, wind gusts will approach gale criteria.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...None. MARINE...None.

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