textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

- 6 AM Update: Updates to Aviation discussion below with the generation of the 12z TAFs.

- Beach Hazard Statement is in effect today as sea surface temperatures remain cold, in the lower 50s, despite calmer seas and warm, sunny weather along the coast today

KEY MESSAGES

1) Dry weather with gradually increasing temperatures through the end of the week under high pressure.

2) Potential for a system moving in early next week, bringing another round of wetting rainfall.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Dry weather with gradually increasing temperatures through the end of the week under high pressure.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... High pressure ridge axis remains over the area, and light winds are in store for the rest of the week. Temperatures will gradually increase, settling out in the 80s Saturday and Sunday. Clear skies and calm winds tonight will allow for effective radiational cooling, and lows could dip into the lower 50s throughout the forecast area. This may lead to patchy river valley fog over the area tonight.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Potential for a system moving in early next week, bringing another round of wetting rainfall.

KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION... High pressure lingers over the region this weekend, as low pressure east of the Carolinas moves northeast into the Gulf of Maine by Monday. Meanwhile, another low pressure over Canada moves north of the state with a cold front approaching the region Monday afternoon. Some showers and storms are possible ahead of it in the North Woods but generally thinking the chance is low. A greater chance of a wetting rainfall is Tuesday night into Wednesday as another low pressure system approaches from the west, but there is still uncertainty in system intensity and location. The chance of at least 0.5 inches of precipitation is currently only around 30 to 40 percent.

AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Today - tonight...VFR conditions continue across all terminals. Winds light and variable will increase some this afternoon, becoming SW at 5 to 10 kts. Winds become light and variable once more tonight. Should skies remain clear tonight, river valley fog could briefly reduce vis at KPQI and KHUL late tonight.

Saturday through Monday night...VFR. S/SW winds 5 to 10 kts Saturday through Sunday, becoming light and variable each night. Winds shift S/SE Monday.

Tuesday...Possible MVFR in afternoon showers/T-storms, otherwise VFR. S winds 5 to 10 kts.

MARINE

Winds and seas below SCA criteria today through this weekend and into Tuesday. Seas around 2-3 ft. Fog could develop over the waters on Saturday, which could limit visibility.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for MEZ029-030. MARINE...None.