textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

- The storm on Sunday afternoon into Sunday night continues to trend farther offshore. A minor snowfall and gusty winds remains possible along the coast, but chances for significant impacts from snow and/or wind have decreased.

- Increased snow chances across northern areas this morning and changed snow showers to stratiform snow.

- Updated aviation discussion.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Dangerous wind chill temperatures this morning for northern Somerset and northern/central Piscataquis counties. Light snow and snow showers diminish this morning.

2) Impacts from the storm Sunday afternoon to Monday morning continues to trend farther offshore. Small shifts in track could result in a light snow accumulation along the coast. Regardless, breezy conditions are expected for coastal areas.

KEY MESSAGE 2

Impacts from the storm Sunday afternoon to Monday morning continues to trend farther offshore. Small shifts in track could result in a light snow accumulation along the coast. Regardless, breezy conditions are expected for coastal areas.

KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION... An upper level low over Georgia and South Carolina Saturday night will reach the coast, leading to rapid deepening of a surface low off the Carolina coast. This low will move northeastward across the Atlantic, passing south of Nova Scotia by Sunday evening. The latest trends are more decisively offshore with the low track, with the 0z ECMWF and EPS finally caving to the rest of guidance showing very little QPF even on the coast. There is still a chance of a light snow accumulation on the coast, along with gusty winds, but chances for significant inland impacts have greatly decreased over the last 24 hours. Marine impacts from gale force winds and elevated seas are still anticipated.

With the offshore trend of this system, an extended dry period is anticipated with a return to seasonably cold temperatures through the rest of the extended forecast through next week.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Across northern areas VFR/MVFR, local IFR, with light snow this morning. VFR/MVFR this afternoon with snow showers ending. VFR tonight through Saturday. Across Downeast areas local MVFR with any light snow this morning. Otherwise, VFR today through Saturday. West/northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 to 25 knots today, then 10 to 15 knots tonight through Saturday.

Saturday night to Sunday AM: VFR. WNW winds 5 to 10 kts.

Sunday Afternoon to Monday: VFR. MVFR possible (20 percent chance) at KBHB with -SN Sunday night. N wind 10 gusting to 20 kts at northern terminals and 15 to 20 gusting to 25 to 30 kts at BGR and Downeast terminals.

Monday Night to Tuesday: VFR. NW winds 5 to 10 kts.

MARINE

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through 1 PM this afternoon for the intra-coastal waters and through 1 AM Saturday for the remainder of the waters. A Freezing Spray Advisory, for moderate freezing spray, remains in effect for all the waters today through 10 AM Saturday.

Winds and seas will initially be below advisory thresholds Saturday evening before increasing late towards Gale force late on Sunday. A Gale Watch has been issued for all waters Sunday and Sunday night. There is also roughly a 20 to 40 percent chance of Storm force winds, with increasing chances farther offshore. Visibility reductions are possible in snow, especially further offshore. Light to moderate freezing spray is forecast Saturday night through Monday morning.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for MEZ003- 004-010. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Saturday for ANZ050-051. Freezing Spray Advisory until 10 AM EST Saturday for ANZ050>052. Gale Watch from Sunday morning through Monday morning for ANZ050>052. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ052.