textproduct: Caribou

WHAT HAS CHANGED

- Have issued a Beach Hazards Statement for coastal portions of Hancock and Washington counties from 8 AM to 8 PM.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Showers, and potentially a few thunderstorms, likely late this weekend into early next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...Showers, and potentially a few thunderstorms, likely late this weekend into early next week.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... A cold front approaches our area Saturday night with an area of low pressure developing along it Sunday. The low should pass north of our area Sunday night into Monday. Showers and an isolated thunderstorm possible, mainly over northern and western Maine, Sunday afternoon as the cold front approaches. The majority of the rain is expected Monday as the low passes to our north with a 30 to 40% chance of at least 0.5 inches Downeast and a 60 to 70% chance of at least 0.5 inches over the North. Rain tapers off Monday night. The greatest chance for thunderstorms is also Monday but it is unclear how widespread they will be and how far south they will extend. Models are currently showing limited instability and more southerly flow along the coast could bring a marine layer inland which would generally stunt convection. Fog likely each night through Sunday night and may persist into the morning. Densest fog expected Saturday night.

AVIATION /10Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Today...Variable conditions with any patchy fog early. Otherwise, VFR/MVFR. Isolated to scattered showers. North winds 10 to 15 knots.

Tonight...Variable conditions with any fog late. Otherwise, VFR. Light and variable winds.

Saturday...Variable conditions with any fog early. Otherwise, VFR. Variable winds 5 to 10 knots.

Saturday night...MVFR/IFR with areas of fog late, especially at southern terminals. Otherwise, VFR. Light S winds overnight.

Sunday...VFR/MVFR. A chance of showers, and slight chance of thunderstorms, especially at northern terminals. Patchy fog possible early at southern terminals. S winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots.

Sunday night - Monday...MVFR, possibly IFR, with rain showers and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Patchy fog Sunday night which may persist into Monday morning. S winds 5 to 10 kts with gusts up to 20 kts.

Monday night - Tuesday...Becoming VFR Monday night. W winds 5-10 kts, increasing to 10 to 15 kts during the day with gusts to 20 kts.

MARINE

Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels today through Saturday. Isolated showers today. Patchy fog later tonight through early Saturday.

Seas 2-4 ft this weekend through Tuesday, increasing to 5 ft on the outer waters Monday night. Winds become southerly by Saturday afternoon, then southwesterly Monday night. Rain possible late Sunday into Monday night. Fog likely tonight, Saturday night, and Sunday night.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ME...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for MEZ029-030. MARINE...None.