textproduct: Caribou
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- Increasing confidence in rain Wednesday night and Thursday.
- Increasing confidence in gusty winds Wednesday night and Thursday.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Rain chances remain limited through midweek, accompanied by near to below normal temperatures. The next best chance for precipitation arrives Wednesday night into Thursday.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...Rain chances remain limited through midweek, accompanied by near to below normal temperatures. The next best chance for precipitation arrives Wednesday night into Thursday.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... Shortwave energy should cross the region on Tuesday bringing cloud cover, and a slight chance of isolated showers, that will reduce high temps and increase low temps. Dry conditions with below normal low temps will continue to Wednesday night.
Ensemble models show increasing consistency in gusty winds from the LLJ on Wednesday night. In addition, ensembles show increasing confidence in a large closed low pressure system moving across Canada that could bring some soaking rain. However, significant uncertainty on the track and timing of the low exists across all deterministic models.
AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Today...VFR. Isolated/scattered showers possible along the Maine/New Brunswick border. North winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 to 25 knots.
Tonight...Variable conditions with any localized fog late. Otherwise, VFR. North/northwest winds 5 to 10 knots.
Monday...VFR. North/northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots.
Monday night-Tuesday...VFR with possible MVFR cigs at northern terminals late Monday night, becoming VFR Tuesday. WNW winds 5-10 kts.
Wednesday...VFR in the morning, MVFR/IFR in the afternoon due to rain. S winds 5-15 kts.
Wed night-Thursday...MVFR/IFR for cigs/vsby due to rain. S winds 10-15 kts Wed night, then shifting to W winds 10-15 kts with gusts up to 30 kts.
MARINE
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the coastal waters through 10 AM this morning. Winds/seas then below small craft advisory levels this afternoon through Monday. Winds and seas should remain below SCA levels Monday night through Wednesday. Winds are expected to be breezy from WNW for this period. Seas should remain 1-3 ft for all waters. By Wed night, winds should increase to SCA levels in the coastal waters with possible gales in the outer waters. By Thursday, wind should decrease in the afternoon below SCA. Seas expected to reach 6-10 ft in the coastal waters and 9-11 ft in the outer waters.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for ANZ050- 051.
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