textproduct: Columbia

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Record high temperatures possible next week and into the weekend.

KEY MESSAGES

- 1. Well above average temperatures, along with dry weather conditions, continue into next weekend.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1: Well above average temperatures, along with dry weather conditions, continue through the end of next week.

Broad upper and surface ridging will continue to strengthen across the region throughout the week bringing well above average temps and dry conditions. Today is about the only day with some forecast uncertainty, albeit quite small, with some mid-level clouds developing underneath the pivoting ridge. Depending on how quickly this deck thins out could shift high temps by a few degrees either way, in the low-mid 80's. Beyond today, near record highs with multiple days above 90 F are likely by the end of the week. NAEFS and EC EFI are consistent across their respective ensemble suites with near record highs and extremely anomalous heights and temps aloft. The next chance for any rain or even a front of any sort is late next weekend.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Patchy fog early this morning through 13Z or so, then VFR.

Southerly winds have led to increasing low level moisture but the air mass as a whole remains very dry. Shallow moisture near the surface has led to early morning fog at AGS and OGB. SCT to BKN high clouds and a 30 kt LLJ shown on the KCAE VAD wind profile should help prevent widespread fog. Any IFR/MVFR fog is expected to dissipate around or shortly after 13Z.

Winds will pick up out of the S or SSW after 15Z with speeds from 5 to 10 kts through the afternoon. A dry air mass will hinder convection through the day with no restrictions expected at the terminals. Another 30 kt LLJ and dry air should limit the extent of any fog or stratus that develop Monday night.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...High pressure to dominate through the upcoming week, the chance for widespread restrictions remains low.

CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SC...None. GA...None.

IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.

textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.