textproduct: Columbia

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Minor updates to Key Message 1. Aviation discussion updated for 06z TAFs.

KEY MESSAGES

- 1. A more typical summer-like pattern returns this weekend into next week.

DISCUSSION

Key Message 1: A more typical summer-like pattern returns this weekend into next week.

A weak cold front will continue drifting through the area this morning before stalling out just to our south. Behind it, direr and more stable air will settle in for the weekend. By Sunday, low- level moisture begins to increase as a weak disturbance moves through, bringing a return to isolated afternoon showers. Temperatures will remain near normal, with highs generally in the upper 80s to lower 90s each day.

Rain and storm chances increase early next week as another front approaches the Carolina's Monday through Tuesday. Several weak disturbances embedded within zonal flow are expected to cross the region through midweek as well, supporting scattered afternoon and evening showers/storms each day. Highs will remain in the low to mid- 90s for most of the week.

Late next week, a stronger upper-level ridge is forecast to build over the Four Corners, promoting broader troughing across the eastern CONUS. This pattern may support a more organized weather system affecting the area, though confidence remains low regarding timing and evolution.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

VFR conditions likely through the TAF period.

A front will push through the area early this morning and will stall to our south today. With drier air over the forecast area we should not see any showers or thunderstorms develop this afternoon. The dry low-level air will also limit fog chances, supporting continued VFR conditions. Expect northerly to northeasterly winds from 5 to 7 kts today becoming light and variable or calm around sunset.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...Diurnally driven convection to return Sunday. Showers and thunderstorms will be isolated Sunday but higher coverage can be expected next week.

CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SC...None. GA...None.

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