textproduct: Burlington

WHAT HAS CHANGED

As of 138 AM EDT Thursday...

A period of humid conditions with showers and thunderstorms remains on track.

KEY MESSAGES

As of 138 AM EDT Thursday...

1. Bermuda high pattern will set up today through next Tuesday, which will bring warm, humid conditions and chances for showers and thunderstorms. A few will be capable of locally heavy rain.

2. Following a seasonably warm and humid period, drier air will arrive by the middle of next week.

KEY MESSAGE 3

Bullet:

Discussion

AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/

Through 12Z Friday...VFR conditions currently prevail at all terminals and will continue through much of the morning, with some clouds continuing to stream into the region. Showers and a few thunderstorms are expected to develop throughout the afternoon and early evening hours, most likely between 18Z to 00Z, with the potential for reduced flight conditions within any of these showers. The better chances for reduced flight conditions will be across northern New York, especially KSLK, where greater chances for shower activity is expected. Given the uncertainty in the areal extent and timing of any showers, PROB30 groups were used to highlight the most likely time frames. Light southerly flow is expected across the region tomorrow, with some locally higher gusts possible within any thunderstorm activity. Some guidance supports fog development at the very end of the forecast period, especially at any terminals that receive showers, but there is still a lot of uncertainty so have mostly just hinted at that potential.

Outlook...

Friday: VFR. Scattered SHRA, Scattered TSRA. Friday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Likely SHRA, Chance TSRA. Saturday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. Sunday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. Sunday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. Monday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

VT...None. NY...None.