textproduct: Burlington

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

As of 316 AM EST Saturday...

Due to clouds preventing radiational cooling and relatively light winds, wind chills are no longer forecast to reach -20 degrees outside the mountains. Therefore, the Cold Weather Advisory has been cancelled.

KEY MESSAGES

As of 116 AM EST Saturday...

1. Cold temperatures and a few lingering snow showers through the weekend.

2. Quiet weather is expected from Monday night through Saturday. Temperatures will remain below seasonal normals through the period.

DISCUSSION

As of 116 AM EST Saturday...

KEY MESSAGE 1: Large scale troughing will continue to dominate the weather into next week, but there will be no significant storm systems. The nor'easter will stay well to the south and east, so no snow is expected in the region from it. Its only effects look to be increased northerly winds on Sunday and a few high clouds. Light snow showers should continue across the typical higher elevation areas through much of today. Any low clouds will cause saturation in the DGZ since it is cold enough to be right above the surface, so any times these clouds are around, flurries will be possible. Due to a relatively stationary pattern, the air was able to wrap around off the Labrador Sea and other parts of the North Atlantic and down into the region from the north. The marine moisture is the culprit for the clouds, and it is easily traced back on satellite. This flow is also causing weak warm air advection from the north, so this moisture and slight warming is helping enhance the clouds, and they are stuck below a subsidence inversion, so they look to stick around for much of the weekend for many areas. While temperatures will continue to be on the cold side, there will be a warming trend, and as things stand, Cold Weather Advisory does not look to be reached again.

KEY MESSAGE 2: Pretty quiet weather week lies ahead of us for next week. From Tuesday through Thursday an upper level trough over the area will mean some chances for light snow showers. Towards the end of next week, looks like we could have a more organized system move through on Friday. This far out there has not been a lot of continuity at all.

AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Through 12Z Sunday...Mainly a mix of BKN/OVC VFR/MVFR ceilings with light winds less than 10 kts over the next 24 hours. Outside of a few mountain flurries, no precipitation or restrictions to visibility are expected.

Outlook...

Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.

EQUIPMENT

NOAA Weather Radio station WXM-44, transmitting from Mt. Ascutney, Vermont, on frequency 162.475 MHz is non- operational at this time. NWS technicians have diagnosed the problem, but repairs will likely not be able to occur for quite some time due to circumstances beyond our control. Therefore, the time of return to service is currently unknown. The following NOAA Weather Radio transmitters may be able to provide service during this outage: WWG 50 from Burke Mtn, VT at 162.425 MHz and WNG 546 from Hanover, NH at 162.525 MHz.

The Colchester Reef meteorological station is out of service. This site is not serviced by the NWS and there isn't an estimated return to service at present. Use extra caution when navigating the broad waters of Lake Champlain. Please contact us if you observe winds significantly deviating from the recreational forecast.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

VT...None. NY...None.


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