textproduct: Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1011 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026
- Above normal temperatures and dry conditions are expected Friday through the middle of next week.
- Light winds, very low afternoon relative humidity values, and the ongoing abnormally to extremely dry fuels, pose some concern for fire weather conditions on Friday. Outdoor burning is not recommended on Friday.
- There is a Moderate risk of rip currents tonight becoming a Low risk Friday into the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1011 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026
Light winds, mostly clear skies and dry conditions will allow for good radiational cooling overnight. As a result, another chilly night is expected tonight with lows falling into the upper 30s to middle 40s across much of the area, except for the 50s near the coast. Surface high pressure across the western Gulf tonight slides farther eastward on Friday allowing southeasterly flow to return. Friday into the middle of next week looks be rather quiet with above normal temperatures and dry weather as a mid-level ridge builds over the region.
High temperatures Friday through Thursday are expected to reach the 80s each afternoon, except along the coast. High temperatures on Wednesday may reach 90 degrees in a few locations across the Upper Valley and the Rio Grande Plains. Overnight lows in the 40s Friday night will gradually warm into the 50s/60s through the middle of next week. Clouds gradually return late in the weekend into early next week as low level moisture increases.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1011 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026
Light and variable winds with mostly clear skies will continue tonight into Friday morning. Light Southeast to south winds are expected to return Friday afternoon. VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours.
MARINE
Issued at 1011 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026
Very favorable conditions with light winds and low seas will prevail along the Lower Texas Coast Friday through the weekend. Light to moderate south to southeast winds and low to moderate seas return early next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 70 47 78 52 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 71 42 80 48 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 73 47 82 52 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 73 42 81 46 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 64 53 71 57 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 67 45 77 51 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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