textproduct: Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1012 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

* Above normal temperatures, with a daily Moderate Heat Risk.

* Generally dry weather, but very isolated convection a daily possibility.

* Low to Moderate Risk of rip currents at the local beaches.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1012 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Summer-like conditions will continue to be the rule through the forecast period. Above normal daytime highs and overnight lows will prevail, with generally dry weather in place. However, occasional bursts of deep tropical moisture, with precipitable water values nearing two inches, will support highly-isolated showers and thunderstorms along the sea breeze boundary during the daylight hours, and in the form of streamer activity over the lower Texas coastal waters at night.

Additionally, a Moderate Heat Risk can be expected daily, with a general low risk of a Heat Advisory on one or more days.

Finally, sea conditions along the Lower Texas Coast will support a Low to Moderate Risk of rip currents at the local beaches each day.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 649 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

VFR will prevail at the aerodromes through the next 24 hours, with light winds at night and breezy winds during the daylight hours. Convection is possible, but coverage is forecast to be too isolated to warrant inclusion in the TAFs at this time.

MARINE

Issued at 1012 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2026

Favorable marine conditions are expected to continue during the period, with a modest pressure gradient over the western Gulf of America producing light to moderate winds and low to moderate seas along the Lower Texas Coast. Although Small Craft Advisory is not likely to be needed, occasional Small Craft Should Exercise Caution due to winds cannot be entirely ruled out, especially for the Laguna Madre.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

BROWNSVILLE 94 80 95 80 / 10 0 20 0 HARLINGEN 96 77 97 77 / 10 0 20 0 MCALLEN 100 79 101 79 / 10 0 20 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 100 78 101 78 / 0 0 10 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 87 81 88 81 / 10 10 20 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 92 79 92 79 / 10 0 20 0

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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