textproduct: Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 613 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

- Low to medium rain chances continue into early Monday before drier conditions return.

- Temperatures will gradually increase through the week with mid to upper 90s across much of the region by Wednesday.

- Moderate Heat Risk is expected through next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1013 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

While drier conditions are on the way, Sunday into Monday will still feature some low to medium chances (15-40%) of showers/thunderstorms, mainly along and east of Yacc. Best time frame will be in the afternoon, and again late Sunday night into Monday morning as a few disturbances move overhead. PWATs still remain quite high (between 2 and 2.5 inches), so heavy rain will be possible leading to ponding of water on roadways and low lying areas, especially in areas that have seen heavy rain in previous days. While the remainder of the week looks mostly dry, could still see an isolated shower or thunderstorm along the sea breeze each afternoon. Temperatures will be quite warm with much of the region in the mid to upper 90s by Wednesday. Moderate Heat Risk (Level 2 out of 4) will prevail across the region and heat indices will reach between 100 and 110 degrees each day.

A moderate risk of rip currents continues through tomorrow.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 613 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

VFR and MVFR conditions are expected this morning, with VFR ceilings prevailing this afternoon into tonight. Expect southeasterly winds to increase into the afternoon, gusting at times to 20-25 kts. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible again through this morning and late tonight, with MVFR ceilings potentially returning late tonight.

MARINE

Issued at 1013 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

While generally favorable conditions will prevail on the waters off the lower Texas coast this week. Could see some caution conditions on through Monday due to slightly elevates winds. Generally seas of 3 to 5 feet are expected with 6 to 7 second periods.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

BROWNSVILLE 89 81 91 81 / 30 30 30 0 HARLINGEN 89 79 91 78 / 20 20 40 0 MCALLEN 92 81 93 80 / 10 10 30 10 RIO GRANDE CITY 94 78 94 78 / 0 10 30 10 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 86 84 87 83 / 30 30 30 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 88 81 89 81 / 30 30 40 0

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.


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