textproduct: Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 539 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025
* Hazardous beach conditions will likely continue through Friday night.
* Low to moderate chances for light rain or drizzle will continue through Friday night, with drier conditions expected over the weekend.
* Another front is expected Sunday, which bring dry and pleasant weather to the region next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1032 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025
In the wake of the cold front, overcast skies and cool temperatures are forecast to continue Friday. Persistent CAA and limited daytime heating will likely keep high temperatures Friday afternoon in the 60s. A coastal trough developing offshore will provide a low to moderate (15-30%) chance for light rain or drizzle through Friday night.
Cloud cover will begin to decrease Saturday as the overrunning pattern begins to break down, likely allowing high temperatures to increase into the 70s Saturday afternoon and into the 80s Sunday afternoon. A deeper cold front looks to move through the area Sunday evening, bringing mostly clear skies and stronger northerly winds by Sunday night. This will likely allow low temperatures to drop back into the 40s to low 50s going into early next week. By mid-week, southeasterly winds look to return, which will allow temperatures to gradually increase through the later half of the week.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 539 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025
MVFR to VFR will occur at the aerodromes through the next 24 hours. Light winds with overcast skies will generally be the rule.
MARINE
Issued at 1032 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025
The Small Craft Advisory will continue through Friday morning, as conditions begin to improve Friday morning. Generally favorable conditions will likely then persist through Sunday morning. A strong cold front Sunday will likely bring another round hazardous marine conditions Sunday night into Monday. An additional Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed for that time period. Conditions look to improve by Monday afternoon, with favorable conditions continuing through the remainder of the period.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 64 58 77 65 / 10 20 10 0 HARLINGEN 64 55 76 61 / 10 30 0 0 MCALLEN 66 59 79 64 / 10 30 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 67 55 79 60 / 10 30 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 67 60 73 69 / 10 30 10 10 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 66 55 75 63 / 10 30 10 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for TXZ451-454-455.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until noon CST today for GMZ130-132-135-150- 155-170-175.
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