textproduct: Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1013 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Key Messages:

- Breezy conditions will continue this week.

- A moderate risk of rip currents will likely prevail through the week.

- Temperatures above average through this week with a cool down late this weekend with the passage of a cold front.

- Unsettled conditions return this weekend in association with a cold front moving through Texas.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1013 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

High pressure over the Gulf into the southeastern US will maintain warm, breezy, and dry conditions through the week. Temperatures will continue to warm through Saturday with low to mid 90s expected for much of the region by Thursday. Coastal areas will remain in the upper 70s to upper 80s. Moderate to strong southeasterly winds will continue this week with Friday being the breeziest day. While we look to stay below Wind Advisory criteria, this will be something we monitor closely.

As we head into the weekend, a cold front moving through Texas will bring rain and thunderstorms Saturday afternoon through Monday. The aforementioned front will move through Deep South Texas on Sunday which will also be the day of our highest rain chances, which have gone up slightly to 50-60%. Cooler temperatures are expected in wake of the front with highs only in the 70s for Sunday.

A moderate risk of rip currents is expected through Wednesday and will likely increase by this weekend.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 606 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

VFR conditions will prevail early this evening with continued breezy southeasterly winds. Later tonight, low clouds will move in the MVFR conditions expected and will linger into Wednesday late morning. Winds will remain elevated through the night into Wednesday with gusts of 25-30 kts.

MARINE

Issued at 1013 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Generally favorable marine conditions are expected on the waters off the lower Texas coast with moderate winds and waves. Could see some caution conditions at times each day through the weekend due to an enhanced pressure gradient. Headed in the late week, winds will increase ahead of a frontal boundary which could lead to Small Craft Advisories on Friday for the Laguna Madre and nearshore waters. In wake of a frontal passage on Sunday winds will pick up again with Small Craft Advisories likely.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

BROWNSVILLE 73 87 73 88 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 70 89 70 90 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 74 91 74 93 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 72 92 72 94 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 73 79 74 80 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 71 85 71 85 / 0 0 0 0

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.


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