textproduct: Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 510 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

- Above normal temperatures and dry conditions are expected Friday through the middle of next week.

- Light winds, very low afternoon relative humidity values, and the ongoing abnormally to extremely dry fuels, pose some concern for fire weather conditions on Friday. Outdoor burning is not recommended on Friday.

- There is a Moderate risk of rip currents tonight becoming a Low risk Friday into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1011 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Light winds, mostly clear skies and dry conditions will allow for good radiational cooling overnight. As a result, another chilly night is expected tonight with lows falling into the upper 30s to middle 40s across much of the area, except for the 50s near the coast. Surface high pressure across the western Gulf tonight slides farther eastward on Friday allowing southeasterly flow to return. Friday into the middle of next week looks be rather quiet with above normal temperatures and dry weather as a mid-level ridge builds over the region.

High temperatures Friday through Thursday are expected to reach the 80s each afternoon, except along the coast. High temperatures on Wednesday may reach 90 degrees in a few locations across the Upper Valley and the Rio Grande Plains. Overnight lows in the 40s Friday night will gradually warm into the 50s/60s through the middle of next week. Clouds gradually return late in the weekend into early next week as low level moisture increases.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 510 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

VFR conditions with light winds and mostly clear skies prevail Friday. Light and variable winds become prevailing southwesterly later this morning, shifting southeasterly through the afternoon and evening before becoming light and variable yet again overnight. Early Saturday, there is a chance for MVFR (or lower) conditions to develop with fog at all sites.

MARINE

Issued at 1011 PM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Very favorable conditions with light winds and low seas will prevail along the Lower Texas Coast Friday through the weekend. Light to moderate south to southeast winds and low to moderate seas return early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

BROWNSVILLE 78 52 80 58 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 80 48 82 54 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 82 52 85 57 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 81 46 85 55 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 71 57 70 61 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 77 51 76 56 / 0 0 0 0

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.


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