textproduct: Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 526 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

- Near to below normal temperatures will prevail through Thursday night with above normal temperatures expected Friday into next week.

- A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the Gulf waters until 9 AM Thursday.

- There is a High risk of rip currents overnight through Thursday afternoon along area beaches.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1031 PM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

Surface high pressure across central Texas tonight will settle into the region on Thursday. Light north to northeast winds, mostly clear skies and dry conditions should allow for good radiational cooling for tonight. Lows tonight are expected to fall into the 40s across area, except for the 50s along the beaches. Thursday will be mild with highs in the upper 60s to the lower 70s under sunny skies and light north to northwest winds. Another chilly night is expected Thursday night with lows falling into the upper 30 to lower 40s across much of the area, except for the upper 40s/lower 50s near the coast.

Friday into the middle of next week looks be rather quiet with above normal temperatures and dry weather. Surface high pressure across the western Gulf Thursday night slides farther eastward on Friday allowing southeasterly flow to return. High temperatures Friday through Tuesday are expected to reach the 80s each afternoon, except along the coast. Overnight lows in the 40s Friday night will gradually warm into the 50s/60s through the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 526 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period with light northerly winds eventually turning southeast.

MARINE

Issued at 1031 PM CST Wed Feb 4 2026

Adverse conditions will prevail along portions of the Lower Texas Coast tonight with moderate to strong north to northeast winds and seas 6 to 8 feet. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the Gulf waters until 9 AM Thursday morning. Conditions are expected to gradually improve on Thursday as winds decrease and seas subside. Very favorable winds develop Friday into the weekend with light winds and low seas. Light to moderate south to southeast winds and low to moderate seas return early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

BROWNSVILLE 70 46 77 51 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 71 41 79 48 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 73 46 81 52 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 73 42 79 46 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 64 52 69 57 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 67 45 74 51 / 0 0 0 0

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for TXZ451-454-455.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ150-155- 170-175.


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