textproduct: Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 504 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

- Colder temperatures will likely continue through Sunday with a Freeze Watch in effect for portions of the region Saturday night into Sunday morning.

- Adverse marine conditions are forecast to continue through Saturday afternoon, with a Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 PM Saturday.

- Adverse beach are expected this evening and potentially continuing through the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1133 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Cold air advection is forecast to continue into the weekend in the wake of today's cold front. Additionally, skies are forecast to clear overnight, which will likely support some radiational cooling early Saturday morning. This combination will likely allow temperatures to fall to the mid 30s to low 40s tonight.

Mostly sunny skies Saturday will likely allow temperatures to climb back into the upper 50s to mid 60s Saturday afternoon, in spite of the continued northerly winds. More efficient radiational cooling Saturday night will likely result in colder temperatures early Sunday morning, with low temperatures briefly approaching freezing across the northern portion of the CWA. The freeze watch remains in effect for Saturday night into Sunday morning.

Southeasterly winds are forecast to return Sunday afternoon, ushering in a gradual warming trend early next week. High temperatures look to return to the 70s Monday and the upper 70s to low 80s Tuesday. Another cold front is possible mid week, bringing cooler temperatures back to the area through the end of the forecast.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 504 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Gusty northerly winds will decrease this evening becoming light. Northerly winds will increase again Saturday afternoon with gusts to around 20 kts.

MARINE

Issued at 1133 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Hazardous marine conditions are forecast to continue into Saturday afternoon. Strong northerly winds along the Lower Texas Coast will likely continue into Saturday, with winds likely improving Saturday afternoon. Seas look to continue building this evening before gradually improving Saturday afternoon. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect through Saturday afternoon, and Small Craft Should Exercise Caution headlines will likely be needed Saturday evening.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

BROWNSVILLE 44 63 46 67 / 20 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 39 62 39 67 / 30 0 0 0 MCALLEN 42 65 42 69 / 30 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 36 65 38 67 / 40 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 53 60 52 64 / 20 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 44 61 46 66 / 20 0 0 0

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Freeze Watch from late Saturday night through Sunday morning for TXZ248>252-353.

High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for TXZ451-454-455.

High Surf Advisory until 6 AM CST Saturday for TXZ451-454-455.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM CST Saturday for GMZ130-132-135- 150-155-170-175.


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