textproduct: Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 507 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

- Another cold front expected late week bringing rain chances back to the region.

- A brief heat up expected for Thursday before cooler temperatures return late week into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1102 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

The cold front that moved through last night/this morning will keep temperatures in check today with highs in the low to mid 80s. We do expected a rebound to well above normal temperatures for Thursday ahead of another cold front that will move through overnight Thursday into Friday. Afternoon high temperatures Friday into next week will fall into the 70s and low 80s, with overnight lows falling into the 50s and 60s, finally bringing a real touch of fall.

While dry conditions prevail through today, rain chances will increase along and ahead of front on Thursday. Rain chances will remain in the forecast through the weekend as the front lingers just south of the region and coastal troughing sets up. Best rain chances will be Thursday night into Friday and again Saturday night into Sunday with chances of 60-80%.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 507 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Through 00z Friday...By and large, VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the 00z TAF cycle. There could be a few MVFR clouds around at times, especially during the overnight hours into Thursday morning.

Easterly winds 5-10 knots will trends towards light and variable to calm tonight. South-southeast winds are expected to develop on Thursday with speeds between 5-10 knots.

MARINE

Issued at 1102 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Generally favorable conditions will prevail through the remainder of the work week. A cold front will move through on Thursday night and winds will slowly increase in its wake with SCEC conditions by Saturday and Small Craft Advisories by Saturday night. Showers and a few thunderstorms associated with the approaching and passing front could also lead to localized adverse conditions.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

BROWNSVILLE 72 89 72 81 / 0 20 60 80 HARLINGEN 68 90 70 80 / 0 10 60 70 MCALLEN 72 93 72 82 / 0 10 70 70 RIO GRANDE CITY 67 90 69 81 / 0 10 80 40 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 75 83 73 78 / 0 10 60 90 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 70 87 70 79 / 0 10 60 80

BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. GM...None.


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