textproduct: Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 526 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026
- Dry conditions and above normal temperatures expected through next week.
- Light winds, low afternoon relative humidity, and abnormally to extremely dry fuels, pose some concern for fire weather conditions today. Outdoor burning is not recommended.
- There is a Moderate risk of rip currents through tonight.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1106 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026
For the remainder of today, temperatures will warm into the upper 70s and low 80s. Humidity levels will be very low, especially in the Ranchlands, but winds will remain light helping to mitigate any fire weather concerns. With that said, because of the extremely dry fuels, outdoor burning is not recommended.
Otherwise, as surface high pressure over the Gulf continues to move east and mid level ridging builds, expect warm and dry conditions across Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley through the end of next week.
Temperatures for the next week will reach the low to mid 80s each afternoon (70s right along the coast). There is a 30-50% percent probability that areas along and west of I-69C/US 281 will reach the 90 degree mark on Wednesday. Overnight lows will continue to warm up with lows in the upper 50s and low 60s returning early next week.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 526 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026
VFR will prevail at the aerodromes through the next 24 hours, with clear skies and light to moderate winds.
MARINE
Issued at 1106 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026
Favorable conditions are expected on the waters off the lower Texas coast. Wave of of 1 to 3 ft are expected with 3 to 6 second periods.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 52 79 58 79 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 48 81 54 81 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 52 84 58 84 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 47 84 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 57 71 62 72 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 50 76 56 77 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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