textproduct: Brownsville/Rio Grande Valley
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1159 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026
- Drier conditions expected for the weekend before rain chances increase for Tuesday.
- Above normal temperatures through early week before a cold front brings more seasonal temperatures.
- A Coastal Flood Statement is in effect until 7 AM Saturday for the Lower Texas Coast beaches and may need to be extended into Sunday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1159 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026
Dry conditions will return for the Halloween weekend with above normal temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s. As we head into Tuesday, a cold front will creep through Deep South Texas bringing with it more seasonal temperatures Wednesday through Friday with highs in the 80s.
Rain chances taper off today with dry conditions returning just in time for trick-or-treating. The aforementioned cold front moving through on Tuesday will bring low chances of rain (15-30%), primarily along the coast. Dry conditions return for Wednesday through the end of the period.
At local beaches, persistent easterly flow and elevated astronomical tides will continue to contribute to elevated water levels and beach erosion through the weekend. There is a Coastal Flood Statement until 7 am Saturday morning, with potential additional extensions.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1159 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Winds around 10 kts are expected through this afternoon. Winds will decrease later this evening into the overnight becoming light and variable to calm.
MARINE
Issued at 1159 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2026
Generally favorable conditions will prevail with light winds, seas of 2 to 4 ft, and 5 to 7 second periods. Periodic showers and thunderstorms could produce locally adverse winds and seas. A cold front coming through on Tuesday could lead to Small Craft Caution at times Tuesday night into Wednesday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 72 89 73 88 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 69 90 70 89 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 72 93 74 93 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 70 92 71 93 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 75 82 76 82 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 71 85 72 85 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. GM...None.
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