textproduct: Boston / Norton
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No changes with the latest forecast update.
KEY MESSAGES
- Breezy, warm, and dry day with elevated fire weather potential this afternoon.
- Warmer on Tuesday with a chance for showers and thunderstorms across far northwestern Massachusetts.
- Unsettled for the midweek timeframe with multiple chances for showers and embedded thunderstorms.
- Turning sharply cooler late in the week and into the weekend.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.
06z TAF Update...
VFR conditions continue through the next day. SW winds increase later this morning and especially in the afternoon with gusts on the order of 25 to 35 knots with perhaps a few gusts near 40 knots towards the typically prone locations near KFMH. The gusts gradually diminish this evening...but still expect sustained S-SW winds of 5 to 15 knots overnight with a few gusts up to 20 knots persisting.
KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
Outlook /Tuesday Night through Friday/...
Tuesday Night: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday through Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA.
Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA.
Friday: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.
MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.
High confidence.
Through Tuesday...
Southwest winds today gusting 25-30 kts. Will also see seas build to 4-6 feet across the outer waters . Given these conditions, the Small Craft Advisory has been extended into Tuesday for the outer waters and expanded into the inner waters this afternoon. There is also a chance for near-gale force winds across Buzzard's Bay as well as Nantucket Sound this afternoon. Additional SCAs will likely be needed Tuesday.
Outlook /Tuesday Night through Friday/...
Tuesday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with local gusts up to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 9 ft.
Wednesday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain showers.
Wednesday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers, slight chance of thunderstorms.
Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers.
Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain showers.
Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Slight chance of rain showers.
BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. MA...None. RI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ230>237-251. Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ250-254>256.
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