textproduct: Boston / Norton

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Added a chance of showers on Monday with an approaching upper level disturbance. Otherwise, no significant changes to the forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

- Unsettled weather continues this weekend as slow low pressure slowly moves away into the Gulf of Maine.

- Cloudy through midweek with more seasonable temperatures.

- Unsettled weather may return late this week.

DISCUSSION

- Drier and cooler this afternoon and overnight as deepening low pressure continues to move away.

- Cloudy and unsettled start to the workweek as multiple weak disturbances move through.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.

Rest of Today...High confidence.

Mostly VFR with pockets of MVFR lingering across the higher terrain. Expect any lingering MVFR to improve to VFR by 20-22z. W winds 10-15 kt with gusts as high as 30 kt through the remainder of the afternoon.

Tonight...High confidence.

VFR. SW winds generally 5-10 kt with winds slightly higher towards the Cape and Islands. Cloud cover increases after midnight with ceilings starting to decline over western MA.

Monday...High confidence.

VFR for most. Local MVFR possible across the higher terrain of central and western MA. Mainly dry, but perhaps a few showers towards western MA.

KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.

KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Monday Night through Friday/...

Tuesday through Veterans Day: VFR. Breezy.

Wednesday Night: VFR.

Thursday: VFR. Breezy. Chance RA.

Thursday Night: VFR. Windy with areas of gusts up to 30 kt. RA likely.

Friday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Windy with gusts up to 35 kt. RA likely, SN likely.

MARINE

Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.

Through Monday...High confidence.

Lingering rough seas, mainly across the southern outer coastal waters. The rough seas across those waters are likely to persist through at least Monday night, and perhaps longer. SCA conditions likely in these areas.

Outlook /Monday Night through Friday/...

Tuesday through Tuesday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.

Veterans Day: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.

Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.

Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Chance of rain.

Thursday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Friday: Strong winds with gusts up to 40 kt. Rough seas up to 12 ft. Rain.

BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. MA...None. RI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ230- 231-234-236-251. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ232- 233-235-237-250. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Tuesday for ANZ254>256.