textproduct: Boise
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
UPDATE
Updated aviation discussion.
KEY MESSAGES
- Hot, dry, and breezy conditions will continue today.
- Critical fire weather conditions, mainly over southeast OR and high terrain of southwest ID, through this evening.
- Isolated thunderstorms across southwest ID this afternoon and a slight chance overnight.
- Smoky conditions at times.
- Slightly cooler with near-normal temperatures Sunday through midweek.
SHORT TERM /Through Monday Night/
Issued 244 PM MDT SAT JUL 25 2026 Southwest flow aloft continues over the area with hot, dry and smoky conditions today. Critical fire weather conditions remain through this evening, with low relative humidities and breezy conditions. Relative humidities are below 5% in some areas this afternoon. Enough lingering moisture over the Owyhees and northern NV will be enough to trigger isolated thunderstorms over far southwest ID this afternoon and the threat will continue overnight as a weak wave moves northeast. A slight chance of thunderstorms overnight over southwest ID mainly SE of a line from Boise to Stanley, ID. Drier air moves into the area on Sunday with slightly cooler temperatures and continued low humidities. Winds aloft will be weaker Sunday and Monday so afternoon breezes will be weaker.
LONG TERM /Tuesday through Saturday/
Issued 244 PM MDT SAT JUL 25 2026 An upper level four corners high, and a trough over British Columbia, will keep our area under southwesterly flow aloft. Monsoonal moisture will remain south and east of our area in this pattern, leading to a hot, dry, and breezy long-term period. Near (leaning above) normal temperatures will warm to around 5 degrees above normal come Thursday, as the upper-level high shifts west over the Great basin.
AVIATION /00Z Sunday through Monday/
Issued 541 PM MDT SAT JUL 25 2026
Scattered thunderstorms through sunset in south-central ID/Magic Valley. Storms capable of outflows to 25-40 kt and brief heavy rain. Wildfire smoke leading to reduced visibility down to MVFR- IFR at times, especially overnight through morning in E Oregon. High density altitude during PM due to heat. Surface winds: NW- SW 5-15 kt, with gusts to 25-35 kt this eve for E Oregon and higher terrain of SW Idaho. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: SW 10-30 kt.
KBOI...VFR with hazy conditions due to wildfire smoke, especially morning hours. High density altitude during aftn/eve due to heat. Surface winds: NW-NE 5-10 kt through sunset, then variable or W-SW 3-6 kt overnight.
Sunday Outlook...Wildfire smoke with areas of MVFR visibility and mtn obscuration during night/morning hours, slightly improving for the afternoon. A 15% chance of showers/thunderstorms Sunday AM, mainly south and east of KBOI-KSNT line in SW Idaho. High density altitude during aftn/eve due to heat. Surface winds: SW- NW 5-15 kt with gusts 20-25 kt in the afternoon. Highest gusts will favor E Oregon and higher terrain of SW Idaho.
BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ID...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for IDZ401-402- 423. Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT this evening for IDZ012-014-016- 033. OR...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT /8 PM PDT/ this evening for ORZ670>675. Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT /8 PM PDT/ this evening for ORZ063-064. Air Quality Alert until 11 AM PDT Monday for ORZ062.
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