textproduct: Boise

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday

The CA low will likely still be in play over the area on Wednesday. Models favor tracking the low center through Oregon, which would favor SE Oregon and far SW Idaho for a continued chance of showers and thunderstorms. From there we'll be looking for a potential breakdown of the upper ridge late in the week into next weekend. While there are differences in how it evolves, both the GFS and ECMWF show a break in the heat and increased chances of rain unfolding by the weekend. These solutions lineup with the ensemble consensus which has temperatures returning to near normal and a broad 20-30% chance of showers/storms starting on Saturday. Interestingly the operational Canadian model keeps the ridge and summer heat in place through the period.

AVIATION

Generally VFR. Smoke layers through about 20kft MSL will reduce visibility. A 10% chance of showers/thunderstorms Sunday afternoon across Harney County (KBNO) into mtns west of KBKE. Surface winds: variable up to 10 kt becoming E-S 5-15 kt with local gusts to 25kt by 31/16Z. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: S-SE 5-15 kt.

KBOI...Some reduction in visibility due to smoke but remaining VFR. Easterly surface winds continuing through Monday.

BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

ID...None. OR...None.


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