textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1147 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026

- Cooler, Drier Early Fall Pattern: A noticeably cooler and drier air mass settles across Central AL through the weekend, bringing daytime highs in the lower-to-middle 80s and nighttime lows in the 50s and 60s.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 1147 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026

We had a much cooler start to the day across Central Alabama with low temps in the upper 50s to low 60s this morning. High pressure building in will provide several days of pleasant weather across the region. High temps today through the weekend will generally range from the upper 70s to mid 80s with overnight lows dropping down into the mid 50s to low 60s. Increased subsidence and drier air will keep us rain-free into early next week. The upper level pattern begins to change early next week as a weak shortwave cuts into the Tennessee Valley on Monday and Tuesday, followed by a stronger upper trough late in the work week. However, limited moisture in place keeps dry conditions in place through mid week. Low to medium chances for showers and storms return to the forecast late in the week as the aforementioned upper trough and accompanying cold front near the region.

A more southerly flow returns by early next week which will unfortunately lead to warming temperatures across Central Alabama. High temps rebound into the upper 80s to 90 degrees by Tuesday and look to continue through the work week.

95/Castillo

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1147 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026

GOES satellite imagery reveals improving conditions across the area as the stubborn MVFR cloud deck slowly erodes. All sites are expected to return to VFR shortly and continue through much of the remainder of this TAF cycle. With that said, there is a 30- 40% chance for patchy fog (per the HREF) for all sites with the exception of BHM. Therefore, we have introduced a TEMP group for these brief MVFR conditions.

95/Castillo

FIRE WEATHER

Dry weather will persist through the weekend with light winds keeping overall concerns minimal. Minimum relative humidity values will range from 40 to 60% through Friday, dropping to 30 to 40% over the weekend, and reaching the upper 20 to 30% range early next week as the drying trend continues and light winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 80 55 82 56 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 79 55 81 55 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 81 60 84 59 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 85 61 87 61 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 81 60 85 59 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 78 59 82 59 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 81 61 85 61 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 81 59 84 60 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.