textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 627 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026

- Dry and warm conditions continue through the work week.

- A cold front on Friday will bring much drier into the region. We will need to closely monitor for potential fire weather concerns on Saturday.

DISCUSSION

(Thursday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1010 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2026

An upper level ridge expanding across the Desert Southwest towards the Southern Plains will keep us mostly dry across Central Alabama for the next week. With that said, we will see a slight weakening in the ridge Friday into Saturday as an upper level trough cuts across the Great Lakes region while sending a cold front our way. Moisture return may be sufficient enough to warrant a low chance of rain Friday afternoon. The front looks to stall across the southern half of the state over the weekend, eventually retreating north on Sunday. Dry conditions remains in place through early next week as upper level riding takes back control. While chances are low (10-15%) we could see our next shot at some rain on Tuesday as a H5 shortwave lifts out of the Plains and carves into the northern periphery of the ridge.

We will see a warming trend continue through the week with highs rebounding back into the mid 80s by Friday. We trim off about 10-20 degrees on Saturday in the wake of a cold front. That cool snap doesn't last long as we warm right back up early next week.

95/Castillo

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 627 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2026

VFR conditions and light and variable winds are in place across all terminals. VFR conditions will prevail through this TAF cycle. The one exception will be TCL where a TEMPO for MVFR around sunrise as low level moisture increases from the southwest. Otherwise, southerly winds increase to around 10 knots after 15z. Winds drop back off after 1z.

16

FIRE WEATHER

Moisture will continue to recover through the day with min RH values in the 40-50% range, with maybe a few upper 30% values. A cold front will move through on Friday with much drier air moving into the area over the weekend. RHs will fall into the 20-25% range each afternoon. Winds will likely be elevated in the wake of that front so we will need to monitor for increased fire weather concerns. Moisture begins to recover by Monday with min RHs back to 40-45%.

CLIMATE

Issued at 600 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2026

Record High Temperatures:

March 26: KBHM: 86/1929 KEET: 85/2020 KTCL: 87/2005

March 27: KEET: 85/2012 KANB: 84/1994 KTCL: 86/2021

March 31: KEET: 83/1998

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 83 57 84 42 / 0 0 10 0 Anniston 82 58 84 43 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 83 60 85 46 / 0 0 10 0 Tuscaloosa 85 59 85 45 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 84 58 86 44 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 82 59 84 49 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 84 58 85 52 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 83 58 86 55 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.