textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1226 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2026

- Halloween Evening: A rainy weekend is in the forecast, but the trick-or-treating outlook is becoming less scary. We expect most of the activity to hold off until after midnight, but keep your rain gear on standby just to be safe.

- Midweek rain: Another weather system will move into the area around the middle part of next week bringing increased rain chances.

DISCUSSION

(Friday through next Thursday) Issued at 1023 PM CDT THU OCT 29 2026

The ridging that has been in place over the Southeastern CONUS the last few days is expected to slowly shift eastward as a shortwave trough move through the Southern Plains on Friday. Rain- free conditions should continue through the day on Friday with increasing high clouds as the shortwave approaches from the west. By Saturday, and especially Saturday night, we'll start to see increasing rain chances, especially in the evening and overnight into Sunday morning. Currently, some of the higher resolution guidance has tried to trend lower on the rain chances compared to the previous days, so that will be something to monitor during the day on Friday. Otherwise, the shortwave is expected to slowly lift northeastward through the day on Sunday, leaving at least low chances for rain through Sunday evening.

We should have dry conditions again by Monday and potentially into Tuesday morning as a deeper trough begins to move through the Central Plains. This system will lead to another round of increased rain chances towards the middle part of next week with model guidance in decent agreement with the timing on Wednesday into Thursday. However, the overall synoptic setup still has some uncertainty with it, so that will be monitored in the coming days.

25/Owen

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1226 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2026

VFR conditions are expected to continue through the next 24 hours, with continued easterly to northeasterly winds at 5-8 kts through the period. Scattered high clouds will continue moving across the area.

12

FIRE WEATHER

Moisture will begin to slowly increase on Friday, leading to min RHs increasing into the 40-50% range. Over the weekend, a surge of deeper moisture will keep RHs well above 50%, leading to increased rain chances Saturday evening through Sunday morning.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 80 57 77 54 / 0 0 20 50 Anniston 80 58 76 56 / 0 0 20 40 Birmingham 79 61 76 58 / 0 0 20 60 Tuscaloosa 81 60 77 60 / 0 0 20 60 Calera 78 61 75 59 / 0 0 20 50 Auburn 79 62 76 59 / 0 0 10 30 Montgomery 81 62 79 62 / 0 0 20 40 Troy 80 62 78 60 / 0 0 20 30

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.