textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 532 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
- Seasonably warm temperatures are expected for a few days next week with parts of Central Alabama reaching the lower 70s.
- Rain-free weather is forecast through early Tuesday, followed by periodic opportunities for showers starting late Tuesday.
DISCUSSION
(Friday through next Thursday) Issued at 1215 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
Fri-Sun: Westerly winds will increase around mid morning today to near 10 mph with gusts around 20 mph. A dry frontal passage will occur tonight, shifting winds to the north with similar speeds until sunset Saturday. Mild temperatures this afternoon will take a ~10-15 degree hit for Saturday due to the frontal passage, but quickly rebound on Sunday. Mornings will be cold.
Mon-Thu: A progressive mid-level pattern next week will bring ridge and trough axes across the Gulf Coast region. The setup favors cool mornings and mild afternoons. High temperatures are forecast to reach the upper 60s to lower 70s for much of Central Alabama. An increase in PWATs and arrival of a low-amplitude shortwave trough will offer a chance for rain showers late Tuesday through Wednesday.
89^GSatterwhite
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 532 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
Light winds and VFR conditions have prevailed through the night. Westerly winds will gradually increase through the day with gusts around 20 knots likely at times. Winds will shift to the north this evening as a cold front moves in. Introduced a TEMPO group late in this TAF window for MVFR cigs at BHM/EET/TCL as time heights and soundings hint at low level moisture lingering. HREF probabilities are hinting at a 50-60% chance of these ceilings developing.
95/Castillo
FIRE WEATHER
Rain-free weather is expected through the weekend. MinRHs today will be in the 40s, perhaps briefly reaching the upper 30s for a few locations, with westerly winds near 10 mph and gusts around 20 mph. Similar wind speeds are forecast through Saturday, though directions will become northerly this evening due to a dry frontal passage. MinRHs on Saturday will reach the low to mid 30s, with some upper 20s east of the 65. MinRHs decrease for Sunday, reaching the low 20s to low 30s, with the lower end of that range most prevalent near and east of the 65.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 62 30 49 23 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 60 31 49 24 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 62 33 49 28 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 66 33 53 28 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 64 31 52 26 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 60 33 52 29 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 64 34 55 29 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 64 36 55 29 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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