textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 451 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026

- Following another hard freeze on Monday morning, a welcomed warm-up will occur through Tuesday ahead of an approaching cold front. Highs in the 50s and 60s are forecast areawide.

- Widespread showers return Tuesday night through Wednesday followed by a quick round of colder and drier air behind the cold front for Thursday. No hazardous weather or abnormally cold temperatures are being advertised in the long-range forecast at this time, with guidance advertising mostly dry forecast trends by next weekend.

DISCUSSION

(This Afternoon through Saturday) Issued at 1211 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026

Plenty of sun out there right now, allowing conditions to feel a little better than actual readings. An upper level shortwave is quickly moving southward and will be entering the northern half of the area this afternoon. Only impacts to our area will be an increase in cloud cover in the north and as far south as the I-85 corridor. This will allow temperatures to be "warmer" than the past night and could be higher than current forecast lows. For locations that stay clear overnight or clear out, lower 20s and perhaps some isolated upper teens are anticipated by daybreak Monday. No cold weather products will be issued tonight due to calm winds and actual temperatures not expected to reach Cold Weather Advisory criteria (insert applause).

Much warmer temperatures will be in place Tuesday ahead of yet another shortwave and associated cold front moving through. Increasing moisture from the southwest will quickly develop widespread showers starting as early as late Tuesday afternoon in the northwest and moving from northwest to southeast through early Wednesday morning. Another shortwave will help kick this cold front through the area by Wednesday evening with a quick round of colder and drier air Thursday. This will be a short-lived cold airmass as southerly flow returns Friday and into the weekend with highs back into the 50s to 60s.

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AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 451 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2026

VFR conditions continue through this TAF cycle. Light and variable winds overnight will increase to around 10 knots of out the southwest by midday Monday.

95/Castillo

FIRE WEATHER

Winds will diminish by Monday with RHs values in the upper 20s in the southeast to upper 30s in the northwest. RH values really increase on Tuesday ahead of the next cold front. Rainfall will likely Tuesday night through Wednesday afternoon. Dry conditions will return Thursday afternoon and remain through the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 18 51 25 59 / 0 0 0 40 Anniston 20 50 30 60 / 0 0 0 30 Birmingham 23 51 34 61 / 0 0 0 40 Tuscaloosa 22 55 33 62 / 0 0 0 50 Calera 21 53 32 62 / 0 0 0 30 Auburn 24 50 32 60 / 0 0 0 10 Montgomery 22 54 32 65 / 0 0 0 10 Troy 21 55 32 65 / 0 0 0 10

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.