textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 620 AM CDT MON SEP 28 2026

- Dry weather with warm afternoons and cool mornings continues for much of the work week, though a wetter weather pattern featuring medium to high rain chances is forecast for the upcoming weekend.

DISCUSSION

(Monday through next Sunday) Issued at 1153 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2026

This evening, surface ridging continues to be in place across much of Eastern Conus and centered over the Mississippi River Valley. In the upper levels, a weakening ridge is still present across Mexico with a large low just centered over New Jersey with northwest flow into Alabama. In the short term, look for one more day of pleasant temperatures along with low humidity and rain free conditions with northerly low level winds. By Tuesday, the surface ridge center will shift eastward some to over Ohio/ Kentucky with a more easterly flow around it into Alabama. By Wednesday, the surface ridge center should nudge further eastward, to over the Virginia/North Carolina area. This will create a southeast low level flow into Alabama. The changes Tuesday and Wednesday will result in moderating temperatures and dew points as the week progresses. In the upper levels on Tuesday, a bit of energy is expected to pull off from the main low over New Jersey as it pushes eastward into the Atlantic and form a closed low over the Gulf by Thursday. At the same time Tuesday, the upper ridge over Mexico will get infringed upon by a low moving eastward out of California into New Mexico. Moisture will need to recover a bit before we can expect any significant rain chances. Low rain chances return by Thursday for portions of the area. However, more substantial chances hold off until next weekend ahead of an approaching front.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 620 AM CDT MON SEP 28 2026

VFR conditions are forecast over the next 24 hours. FEW-SCT mid- to high-level clouds will continue to drift across the Gulf Coast region with light northerly winds.

89^GSatterwhite

FIRE WEATHER

Dry weather will persist through the first half of this week with light winds keeping overall concerns low. Afternoon minimum relative humidity values will drop into the middle 20 to lower 30 percent range through Tuesday as the drying trend continues. Humidity values slowly start to increase starting Wednesday. Rain chances return for the latter part of the week into next weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 83 53 85 55 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 81 52 85 57 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 83 57 86 60 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 88 57 91 59 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 84 55 87 58 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 80 57 84 61 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 83 57 86 60 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 83 57 87 60 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.