textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1221 AM CST SUN NOV 15 2026

- Freezing temperatures: A widespread frost and freeze are expected through the remainder of the overnight hours across Central Alabama. A freeze warning remains in effect for through 8 AM this morning.

DISCUSSION

(Sunday through next Saturday) Issued at 945 PM CST SAT NOV 14 2026

An expansive surface high-pressure system centered over the eastern U.S. will remain in control. Tonight, light winds and clear skies associated with the weakening surface pressure gradient along the ridge axis will promote strong radiational cooling. Consequently, a widespread frost and freeze is expected by Sunday morning, with low temperatures dropping into the upper 20s to lower 30s area-wide. High cloud cover will gradually increase on Sunday ahead of an approaching shortwave disturbance in the southern stream; however, dry low-level air and a suppressed storm track should keep any measurable precipitation south of the forecast area through Monday morning.

This air mass will remain firmly in place over the coming days as high pressure settles over the Appalachians. Afternoon temperatures will moderate gradually through Tuesday before warmer conditions return Wednesday through Friday, with highs climbing into the lower 70s as an upper-level ridge expands across the region. Dry conditions are expected to persist through next Saturday.

16

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1221 AM CST SUN NOV 15 2026

VFR TAFs are expected for the next 24 hours with surface high pressure in place across much of ERN Conus. Winds will be light/variable to near calm during the overnight hours and NE 5-9 kts during the day with mixing.

08

FIRE WEATHER

Minimum afternoon relative humidity (RH) values will range between 25 and 35 percent through Tuesday, though 20-foot wind gusts are expected to remain below 10 mph. RH values will recover quickly each evening after sunset. As the same airmass persists throughout the week, only slight increases in RH values are anticipated from Wednesday through Friday. No measurable rainfall is forecast over the next 7 days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 63 28 64 28 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 62 32 65 32 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 61 35 63 35 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 63 35 65 34 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 60 37 62 36 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 59 37 60 38 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 61 34 63 35 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 60 34 59 35 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST this morning for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers- Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Etowah- Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo- Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.