textproduct: NWS Birmingham

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1112 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025

- Gusty winds expected today as a cold front moves through the area. Wind chills will make the drastic temperature drop today feel even more significant.

- Very cold temperatures expected Monday night into Tuesday morning as temperatures drop into the 20s area-wide.

DISCUSSION

(Tuesday through next Monday) Issued at 1112 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025

The cold front will be moving through Central AL first thing this morning. Winds are fairly gusty along and behind the front, so wind chills for much of the day today will be 10-20 degrees below the actual temperatures. Low temperatures Tuesday morning will drop into the 20s for all of Central AL with wind chills around 15-20 degrees. A few of our colder locations in the northeastern and eastern counties may see wind chills drop to around 10 degrees briefly Tuesday morning.

The colder/drier air mass remains in place Tuesday through Thursday of this week with high pressure building across much of the Southeastern CONUS. This will keep the are rain-free and more seasonable on temperatures. Another shortwave trough moves into the region Friday into Saturday, leading to increased rain chances and potentially some thunderstorms depending on how far north the warm front is able to lift.

High pressure looks to build back into the area Sunday through Monday with continued seasonable temperatures.

25/Owen

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1112 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025

A cold front is moving through the region during this TAF period. Increased southwesterly winds ahead of the front, shifting to northwesterly behind the front. Wind gusts should diminish after 00z. A thin line of showers accompanies the front, so light rain can be expected for a short time as the front moves through each site. Some guidance continues to drop CIGs to MVFR just ahead of the frontal passage, though confidence isn't super high as I haven't seen this occur upstream. I'll leave the MVFR CIGS in place with this issuance, but I may end up amending if necessary.

25/Owen

FIRE WEATHER

A strong cold front will move through the area this morning leading to gusty winds for much of the day. Min RHs drop into the 25-30% range both Monday and Tuesday, though temperatures will generally be in the 40s. The dry conditions will continue through at least Thursday before our next system brings increased rain chances Friday into Saturday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 41 46 21 41 / 90 10 0 0 Anniston 43 49 22 41 / 90 10 0 0 Birmingham 42 47 24 41 / 90 10 0 0 Tuscaloosa 43 48 24 44 / 90 10 0 0 Calera 43 48 24 44 / 90 10 0 0 Auburn 51 57 27 45 / 60 30 0 0 Montgomery 51 57 27 45 / 80 20 0 0 Troy 53 58 27 45 / 60 30 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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