textproduct: NWS Birmingham

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1257 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026

- Seasonable Weather: Seasonable temperatures are expected for most of the next seven days.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Sunday) Issued at 1257 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026

Upper-level ridging will remain uninterrupted through the middle of the week, allowing for afternoon highs to continue climbing into the mid-70s and upper-80s. However, by Wednesday, it still appears as if the region will transition into N/NE flow aloft, as a deep trough takes shape over the East Coast, and ridging builds to our west. As a result, temperatures will slightly decrease in our east, as cooler air filters down through the Appalachian Mountain range via a CAD wedge. Overnight lows will remain on the cooler side as well through the forecast period, as decoupled winds will allow for light radiational cooling each night.

Given the lack of deep moisture in the overhead column of air, and a lack of proper forcing mechanism, little to no rainfall remains expected the next seven days.

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AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1257 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026

With high pressure continuing to expand across the region, VFR conditions are anticipated for the entire TAF period.

Note: Fall seasonal issuance of the KASN Talladega TAF began on 10/18 00Z and will continue through 10/28 18Z.

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FIRE WEATHER

The dry air mass is expected to persist, with 20ft winds stabilizing to near 5 MPH during the day, and peak gusts between 10-15 MPH at their strongest. The abundance of dry air aloft will allow for thorough mixing, with MinRH values generally dropping to 25-35% through the week. Given these low MinRH values and drying fuels, fire weather concerns will remain medium into the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 45 78 46 79 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 44 78 45 79 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 48 78 48 79 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 47 79 49 80 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 46 77 48 78 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 46 77 48 77 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 44 78 48 79 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 43 75 46 77 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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