textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 945 PM CST SAT NOV 14 2026
- Freezing temperatures: A widespread frost and freeze is expected tonight across all of Central Alabama. A Freeze Warning remains in effect for through 8 AM Sunday.
DISCUSSION
(Sunday through next Saturday) Issued at 945 PM CST SAT NOV 14 2026
An expansive surface high-pressure system centered over the eastern U.S. will remain in control. Tonight, light winds and clear skies associated with the weakening surface pressure gradient along the ridge axis will promote strong radiational cooling. Consequently, a widespread frost and freeze is expected by Sunday morning, with low temperatures dropping into the upper 20s to lower 30s area-wide. High cloud cover will gradually increase on Sunday ahead of an approaching shortwave disturbance in the southern stream; however, dry low-level air and a suppressed storm track should keep any measurable precipitation south of the forecast area through Monday morning.
This air mass will remain firmly in place over the coming days as high pressure settles over the Appalachians. Afternoon temperatures will moderate gradually through Tuesday before warmer conditions return Wednesday through Friday, with highs climbing into the lower 70s as an upper-level ridge expands across the region. Dry conditions are expected to persist through next Saturday.
16
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 525 PM CST SAT NOV 14 2026
VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period with light winds through 15 to 18z. Northerly winds up to 8 knots are expected Sunday afternoon.
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FIRE WEATHER
Minimum afternoon relative humidity (RH) values will range between 25 and 35 percent through Tuesday, though 20-foot wind gusts are expected to remain below 10 mph. RH values will recover quickly each evening after sunset. As the same airmass persists throughout the week, only slight increases in RH values are anticipated from Wednesday through Friday. No measurable rainfall is forecast over the next 7 days.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 27 63 28 64 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 28 62 32 65 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 31 61 35 63 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 31 63 35 65 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 31 60 37 62 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 33 59 37 60 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 31 61 34 63 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 31 60 34 59 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST Sunday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee- Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Etowah-Fayette-Greene- Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo-Marion-Montgomery- Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter- Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.
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