textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1217 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2026

- Frost Potential: Patchy frost is expected across the region late tonight through Monday morning.

- Mid-Week Trends: Dry conditions will persist through the first half of the work week, followed by a low chance of rain late Wednesday through Thursday afternoon.

- Late-Week Cold Front: A strong cold front on Thursday will bring significantly cooler temperatures, resulting in a 50-70% chance of freezing temperatures across northern counties next weekend.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Saturday) Issued at 1217 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2026

A fairly pleasant day is expected this afternoon, with plenty of sunshine. Temperatures will drop off quickly after sunset into the middle to upper 30s. A small portion of the area, generally north of Montgomery through Auburn up to Alexander City, may remain near 40 degrees, though local microclimate effects could allow temperatures to reach the 36-38 degree range. Consequently, an area-wide Frost Advisory has been issued. The best coverage of frost will be across the north and the Black Belt in the southwest, with patchy frost plausible in any county.

Dry air and surface high pressure will maintain dry conditions through the first half of the workweek. By midweek, the upper- level pattern becomes more active as a southern stream trough lifts across the Southern Plains. Moisture pooling ahead of this feature brings a low chance of rain from late Wednesday through Thursday afternoon. A stronger upper-level trough will cross the eastern U.S. Thursday through the weekend, pushing an associated cold front through the area on Thursday, followed by a reinforcing surge of high pressure over the weekend. Due to limited moisture, a dry frontal passage is expected.

Temperatures will gradually warm through the workweek, with highs rebounding into the low-to-mid 70s by Tuesday and Wednesday. Thursday's cold front will bring cooler air, keeping highs in the 50s. Lows are forecast to fall into the low-to-mid 30s over the upcoming weekend. The latest NBM probabilities indicate a 50-70% chance of freezing temperatures across northern counties next weekend.

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AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1217 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2026

There's high confidence in continued VFR conditions, featuring passing high-level clouds and light northerly winds.

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FIRE WEATHER

Afternoon RH values through early next week will remain in the 30- 40% range. A slight uptick in moisture will increase min RH values into the 40-50% range for most of the region. Rain chances briefly return late Wednesday through Thursday. Otherwise, we will remain dry. Light winds will help negate fire weather concerns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 33 73 38 74 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 36 73 41 74 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 39 72 43 74 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 37 73 42 75 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 39 72 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 42 74 45 75 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 38 74 43 76 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 38 73 42 76 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Monday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun- Chambers-Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore- Etowah-Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon- Marengo-Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell- Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker- Winston.