textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 545 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025

- Above-normal temperatures are expected into the weekend, with highs running 15-20 degrees above average, and lows running 15 degrees above average.

- A front is currently forecast to sweep across the region on Sunday, swinging temperatures back to below normal to start next week.

DISCUSSION

(Wednesday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1138 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025

A stout upper-level ridge should take over as the dominant weather feature by this afternoon, and remain in place for much of the next week. Given the depth of this ridge, very unseasonable temperatures are expected into next weekend, with temperatures running 15-20 degrees warmer than average for this time of the year. Little to no rainfall is also expected the next week, given the lack of any kind of forcing under this ridge.

By the weekend however, a very potent trough and cold front will begin dropping south over the Great Lakes. This cold front should begin working into the region by Sunday, with rain chances increasing by the morning hours. This front will be very progressive, with it pushing all the way through the region by late Sunday night. Strong cold air advection will quickly work in behind it, with temperatures falling to at, or below freezing for most of the region into Monday morning. From here, it looks like temperatures will be far more seasonable, if not below average for a few days to start the next workweek.

/44/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 545 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025

VFR cigs are present this AM across C AL 4-7KFT and are expected to stay VFR this morning. Cigs heights should continue to rise and clouds decrease from SW-NE. Clouds begin to return tonight after in the latter half of the night. Low cigs/vsbys will approach MGM toward 12z, and may need to be added for the next TAF package. Otherwise, look for S-SW winds 4-7kts today with mixing.

08

FIRE WEATHER

S/SW winds will begin to increase today, ushering in plenty of moisture from the Gulf. MinRH values will generally range above 50% into next weekend, with mixing heights ebbing and flowing with the cloud cover. No organized rain chances are anticipated through the workweek, with drought conditions persisting for the foreseeable future.

CLIMATE

Issued at 1255 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025

Record High Temperatures:

December 23: KBHM: 73/2015 KEET: 74/2015 KANB: 73/2015 KTCL: 75/1964 KMGM: 78/1990

December 24: KBHM: 77/1964 KEET: 74/2016 KANB: 78/1964 KTCL: 86/2019 KMGM: 79/2016

December 25: KBHM: 78/2016 KEET: 79/2016 KANB: 78/2015 KTCL: 80/2016 KMGM: 82/2016

December 26: KBHM: 76/2021 KEET: 75/2016 KANB: 78/2015 KTCL: 75/2021 KMGM: 82/2015

December 27: KBHM: 77/2015 KEET: 77/2015 KANB: 76/2015 KTCL: 79/2015 KMGM: 80/2016

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 70 49 73 50 / 0 0 0 10 Anniston 70 51 74 52 / 0 0 0 10 Birmingham 71 53 73 54 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 73 52 73 52 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 73 50 75 52 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 71 53 75 54 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 75 51 74 52 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 74 51 75 52 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.