textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1021 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026

- Thunderstorms: Daily opportunities for mainly afternoon and evening storms will remain in the forecast for now through the beginning of next week. A few of these storms will be capable of normal summertime hazards such as gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy downpours.

DISCUSSION

(Thursday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1021 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026

The overall pattern doesn't change significantly over the next few days. Broad low level ridging will keep our warm/humid air mass in place and allow for our typical diurnal pattern of summertime thunderstorms Thursday and Friday afternoons. A very weak upper level low slowly shifts across to our north on Thursday, which could lead to slightly above normal coverage of those afternoon thunderstorms, but the overall forcing remains weak.

As we go into the weekend and slow-moving boundary is expected to push southward into our area. This will provide a stronger focus for afternoon thunderstorms. Because of this, the coverage of thunderstorm activity will be higher across Central AL each afternoon Saturday through at least Monday before shifting more to the southern portions of our area by Tuesday.

25/Owen

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1021 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026

A weak upper level low is expected to slowly move to our north through tomorrow. This will help provide some support for thunderstorm development during the afternoon on Thursday. Otherwise, generally a diurnal pattern for winds is expected as low level ridging remains in place. Generally light to calm winds overnight, increasing to 5-7kts during the day. Given the extra forcing from the upper low tomorrow, I'll include Prob30s for TSRA at all sites due to the convection being more widespread compared to Wednesday. Thunderstorm coverage should begin to diminish by 01z-03z Friday.

25/Owen

FIRE WEATHER

Fire weather concerns continue to be low. Our warm and moist air mass will remain in place with diurnally driving thunderstorm activity expected over the next several days. Winds will continue to generally be light during the day becoming calm during the overnight periods.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 71 92 72 92 / 20 30 10 60 Anniston 72 91 73 91 / 10 30 10 50 Birmingham 74 92 74 93 / 10 30 10 40 Tuscaloosa 73 91 74 93 / 10 40 10 30 Calera 73 95 74 96 / 10 40 10 40 Auburn 74 91 74 92 / 0 30 10 30 Montgomery 75 94 74 94 / 0 30 20 30 Troy 74 93 73 93 / 10 30 20 40

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.