textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1053 AM CST SAT NOV 14 2026

- Freezing temperatures: A widespread frost and freeze is expected tonight across all of Central Alabama. A Freeze Warning remains in effect for midnight tonight through 8 AM Sunday.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Friday) Issued at 1053 AM CST SAT NOV 14 2026

On the synoptic scale, a split-flow pattern is evident at 500 mb across the central and eastern CONUS. A large confluence zone will support a large area of surface high pressure across the eastern half of the country for the next several days. For tonight, the weakening surface pressure gradient associated with a surface ridge axis, will promote strong radiational cooling. A widespread frost and freeze is expected with morning lows on Sunday ranging from the upper 20s to lower 30s across the entire forecast area. High clouds will increase on Sunday ahead of an approaching shortwave within the southern jet stream, but measurable precipitation should remain south of our forecast area Sunday night into Monday morning, due to the suppressed nature of this system and the presence of low-level dry air.

The current airmass will persist for several days as surface high pressure becomes entrenched in the central and southern Appalachians, and temperatures will gradually moderate through Tuesday, most notably in the afternoon hours. Eventually we can expect temperatures to rebound into the lower 70s for Wednesday through Friday as an upper-level ridge builds across the region.

87/Grantham

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1053 AM CST SAT NOV 14 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period. Northerly winds up to 10 knots are expected through this afternoon, followed by very light winds after 00z.

87/Grantham

FIRE WEATHER

Minimum afternoon RH values will be in the 25 to 35 percent range through Tuesday, but 20-foot wind gusts should remain less than 10 mph. RH values will quickly rise each evening at sunset. The same airmass will remain in place through the upcoming week, and only slight increases in RH values are expected for Wednesday through Friday. No measurable rainfall is forecast for the next 7 days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 55 29 61 30 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 55 29 61 31 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 55 33 60 36 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 57 32 61 35 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 56 32 59 36 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 56 34 58 37 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 59 33 60 35 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 58 32 59 35 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Sunday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun- Chambers-Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore- Etowah-Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon- Marengo-Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell- Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker- Winston.