textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1137 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026

- Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast starting Saturday, persisting through the middle of next week.

DISCUSSION

(Friday through next Thursday) Issued at 1137 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026

Upper-level ridging will continue to dominate the forecast for the next 24-hours, before slowly starting to retrograde to the SE into Saturday morning. At the same time, a closed low pressure will begin to trek east across Texas, with the outer fringes of the trough reaching our area by Saturday afternoon. This closed low will allow for a series of shortwave disturbances to work through the region through the weekend, increasing rain chances into the start of next week.

Upper-level ridging will start to build back in over the area by Tuesday, shutting down the more organized rain activity. However, that does not mean rain chances will completely end, as diurnally driven afternoon convection remains in the forecast into next weekend. Temperatures will slowly begin to climb during this time period as well, with afternoon highs reaching the upper-80s by Thursday.

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AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 615 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026

Due to upper-level ridging, VFR conditions are expected for the entire TAF period

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FIRE WEATHER

There are no fire weather concerns over the coming days. Due to relatively dry high pressure, fair weather is expected through Friday with afternoon MinRH between 30-50 percent. High pressure weakens and pushes eastward over the weekend. This will allow for moisture values to rebound and chances for showers and thunderstorms to return into next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 56 86 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 58 86 62 88 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 61 86 65 88 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 61 87 66 88 / 0 0 0 10 Calera 59 88 63 89 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 62 85 64 88 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 61 88 64 89 / 0 0 0 10 Troy 61 86 63 89 / 0 0 0 10

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.