textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1205 AM CST SAT MAR 7 2026

- There is a marginal (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe storms late Saturday afternoon and evening. The primary threat will be damaging straight-line wind gusts up to 60 mph.

- Increasing chances for showers and a few thunderstorms through Monday.

DISCUSSION

(Saturday through next Friday) Issued at 1026 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2026

The main story for Saturday will be the cold front moving into the region with increasing rain and thunderstorm chances through the day. There's a low chance for some strong to severe storms with damaging winds and hail being the primary concerns. The front is expected to stall just to our northwest Sunday and lift back northward Monday into Tuesday.

A shortwave is expected to slide through the region Monday, leading to another round of rain and thunderstorms before our next main trough sometime Wednesday into Thursday. Guidance has still shown a decent amount of variability in the timing of this trough, but it will be the next system to watch for strong to severe storms as we go through the middle part of next week.

25/Owen

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1205 AM CST SAT MAR 7 2026

Most sites are VFR at this hour, except for some isolated LIFR conditions at TCL. Conditions are expected to deteriorate with low stratus expected to spread across C AL from the S between 9-12z. There will be a few spots with low vis as well, but the main story should be the stratus. During the morning this conditions will slowly improve as low stratus erodes with mixing to VFR between 14-18z from SE to NW. SHRAs and TSRAs will develop and move into C AL in the late afternoon from the NW and spreading across the area continuing into the evening hours. Will be monitoring for the possibility of a few strong tstorms in the mix.

08

FIRE WEATHER

A frontal boundary will push into the region Saturday leading to increased rain chances with some strong storms Saturday afternoon across Central AL. High rain chances continue Sunday morning, then again on Monday as an upper level system moves through. We should see a break in the rain/storms on Tuesday before another stronger system moves through towards the middle part of next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 59 81 59 73 / 30 60 90 80 Anniston 61 82 61 73 / 30 40 90 80 Birmingham 63 79 62 73 / 30 70 90 80 Tuscaloosa 63 81 62 74 / 30 70 90 80 Calera 61 82 61 75 / 30 60 90 90 Auburn 63 82 63 73 / 30 30 50 80 Montgomery 61 84 64 73 / 20 30 50 80 Troy 60 85 62 75 / 10 20 30 80

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.