textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 525 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026

- A chilly air mass will persist through the work week, followed by a shot of very cold air this weekend.

DISCUSSION

(This evening through Monday) Issued at 1208 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026

The cold continues tonight albeit a touch "warmer". Still look for lows in the upper teens to mid 20s. For Wednesday we will see highs in the 40s to low 50s. Dry weather continues through Thursday night.

The next rain chance will accompany a cold front on Friday and should exit Friday night. It looks like the main trough will work into the region overnight Friday. Models have backed off on any freezing rain/drizzle as the precipitation with the front should exit stage right before the coldest air works in. Where the wintry chances come into play this cycle will be on Saturday/Saturday night, as the upper low slide east from the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic. One group takes the low into eastern Tennessee, with the other group into central North Carolina, before tuning back to the east then northeast. This differences in the models and ensembles keep the confidence on the low side and will continue to not mention wintry precip in the forecast. Keep in mind this is only a 100 to 150 mile difference between solutions, so the patterns are fairly close but creates a very different scenario. I Did add in a 10% chance of precipitation Saturday and Saturday night. With the precipitation associated with the upper low this would be all snow if it were to occur. Despite the wintry precipitation, temperatures will once again be cold beginning Saturday and through the weekend.

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AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 525 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period. A plume of high-level clouds will move across the region through midday Wednesday. Calm winds tonight will become northwest near 5 knots by 18z.

89^GSatterwhite

FIRE WEATHER

MinRH values will dramatically drop this afternoon behind the cold front, with most locations ranging between 20-40%. The lowest will be in the southeast. RH levels on Wednesday and Thursday will be a touch better with readings in the 30-40% range. Even with this drying trend, most fuels remain somewhat damp from recent rainfall, so fire weather concerns will remain little to none for the next day or two. Winds remain light as well.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 21 46 19 47 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 23 46 22 48 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 24 46 24 47 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 25 48 24 50 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 24 48 24 51 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 27 48 27 49 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 27 49 25 51 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 26 50 24 52 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.