textproduct: NWS Birmingham

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1222 PM CST SUN NOV 15 2026

- Dry conditions are expected through the week with gradually warming temperatures.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Saturday) Issued at 1222 PM CST SUN NOV 15 2026

A southern-stream upper low currently over North Texas will open up into a wave as it moves eastward along the northern Gulf Coast through tomorrow. This will result in increasing mid and high level clouds tonight into tomorrow, but a very dry air mass below 500mb should prevent any precipitation. Cloudcover may limit low temperatures across the southern counties tonight, while another chilly night is expected across the northern counties. Due to a widespread freeze this morning, the growing season has ended across all of Central Alabama along with the issuance of frost/freeze products. Mid and upper-level ridging will build eastward through the week, while a trough will linger across the northeast Gulf and Florida peninsula. A strong, expansive, and persistent 1035 mb high pressure area will remain at the surface, centered along the Upper Ohio Valley and the Mid-Atlantic region. This will maintain dry easterly winds at the surface. Dry conditions are forecast through the next 7 days with temperatures gradually trending warmer.

32/JDavis

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 PM CST SUN NOV 15 2026

High pressure will maintain VFR conditions and light winds for the next 24 hours and beyond. An upper-level disturbance moving along the Gulf Coast will result in increasing high level cloudiness through the period.

32/JDavis

FIRE WEATHER

Minimum afternoon relative humidity (RH) values will range between 25 and 35 percent through at least Wednesday, though 20- foot wind gusts are expected to remain below 15 mph. No measurable rainfall is forecast over the next 7 days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 30 65 30 66 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 32 65 33 66 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 35 64 37 65 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 37 66 35 68 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 37 64 37 65 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 38 63 39 65 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 36 64 35 67 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 35 62 36 66 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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