textproduct: NWS Birmingham

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 112 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2026

- Seasonable Conditions: Fair weather is expected through Friday.

- Fire Weather: There is a medium fire weather risk through this week due to dry fuels, limited moisture, and slightly increased winds.

DISCUSSION

(Monday through next Sunday) Issued at 1137 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026

No major changes are expected in the forecast over the next five days, as upper-level ridging is expected to remain in place through Wednesday. This will result in relatively stable temperatures, and limited rain chances under this super dry air column. By Thursday, this ridge will finally begin to break down, as a weak closed low moves into the central Plains. Here, our flow aloft will transition to the SW, allowing for some slight moisture return in the upper-levels. At the surface however, winds will remain from the E/NE, keeping dewpoints low into the weekend. With that being said, temperatures will slightly increase under this new flow regime, with afternoon highs climbing into the upper-70s and low-80s by Friday.

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AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 112 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2026

VFR TAFs are expected through the 24 hour forecast period for most with surface high pressure in place across much of Southeast CONUS. The exception will be that we could see some MVFR patchy ground fog at KASN again tonight in the late night hours and toward sunrise. Otherwise, east-northeast winds 4-9kts are expected with mixing during the day with light/variable to near calm winds overnight.

Note: Fall seasonal issuance of the KASN Talladega TAF began on 10/18 00Z and will continue through 10/28 18Z.

FIRE WEATHER

High pressure will allow us to maintain rain-free conditions through Friday. Daytime MinRH values are forecast to be in the 25 to 45 percent range through Wednesday, with minimum values increasing toward the end of the week. Given the MinRH values and drying fuels, fire weather concerns will remain medium through much of the upcoming week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 45 77 46 76 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 45 77 48 76 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 49 77 51 76 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 48 78 49 79 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 48 75 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 47 76 50 75 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 47 77 49 77 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 45 76 48 77 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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