textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1232 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026

- Heat: Humidity will push heat indices into the 97-104 degree range this weekend into next week, resulting in a moderate heat risk across Central Alabama.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 1232 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026

The weather through the weekend will continue with the "copy/paste" pattern, as the region remains sandwiched between upper-level features to our west, east, and north. This will result in continued rounds of diurnally driven afternoon showers and storms, with nothing more organized in the forecast. By Monday, the ridge to our east will begin to weaken, as a deep trough and low pressure moves through New England. This will allow the trough to the north to reorient itself, taking a more NW to SE shape. While this won't have any immediate effect on our area, the ridge to our west will start to become suppressed by the middle of next week. This is where rain chances may slightly increase, as this slight transition would allow for a few shortwave disturbances to ride the trough, clipping portions of the state. Unfortunately, confidence here is low, as any slight change in the upper-level flow would result in very different results.

Otherwise, high temperatures will continue to reach the low to mid-90s during the afternoon hours, with heat index values remaining under critical thresholds for the next seven days.

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AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1232 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026

Scattered afternoon storms will remain in the forecast today, resulting in another round of PROB30 groups for TSRA. This activity is expected to decrease past 08/01z as the sun sets, with VFR conditions expected for the rest of the TAF period. The lone exception will be EET, where haze will result in MVFR VIS for the next 24-hours.

Note: AMD NOT SKED for AUO due to a weather observation outage.

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FIRE WEATHER

Warm and humid conditions will help keep MinRH values generally above 50% through the week. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected daily. Because of this, elevated fire weather concerns will remain little to none over the next seven days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 71 91 72 93 / 20 30 10 30 Anniston 71 90 71 91 / 20 30 10 30 Birmingham 72 90 74 91 / 20 30 10 30 Tuscaloosa 73 92 74 93 / 20 30 10 20 Calera 72 91 73 92 / 20 30 10 30 Auburn 73 88 73 88 / 20 20 10 40 Montgomery 73 93 74 93 / 20 20 10 30 Troy 72 91 72 91 / 20 20 10 40

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.