textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1143 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2026

- Patchy Frost: Lows in the mid 30s and light winds will support patchy frost across the region from midnight through 8 AM Monday.

- Mid-Week Trends: Dry conditions will persist through the first half of the work week, followed by a low chance of rain late Wednesday through Thursday afternoon.

- Late-Week Cold Front: A strong cold front on Thursday will bring significantly cooler temperatures, resulting in a 60-90% chance of freezing temperatures across northern counties next weekend.

DISCUSSION

(Monday through next Sunday) Issued at 1004 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2026

We are cooling off nicely once again this evening with temperatures already down into the upper 40s to mid 50s. Lows in the mid 30s, light winds, and narrowing dew point depressions will promote another round of patchy frost across the region from midnight through 8 AM Monday morning.

Dry air and surface high pressure will keep us dry as we head through the first half of the work week. The upper level pattern starts to pick up a bit by mid week with a southern stream trough lifting across the Southern Plains. Enough moisture looks to pool across the region ahead of this feature to warrant a low to medium (20-40%) chance of rain late Wednesday through Thursday morning. A stronger upper level trough quickly rips across much of the eastern US Thursday through the weekend. An associated cold front will be sent our way on Thursday with a reinforcing surge of high pressure arriving over the weekend. Limited moisture will lead to a dry FROPA with this late week system.

Temperatures will slowly warm through the work week with highs rebounding into the low to mid 70s by Tuesday/Wednesday. Thursday's cold front will bring another shot of cooler air to the region with highs struggling to break out of the 50s. Lows will plummet into the low to mid 30s next week. Latest NBM probabilities have increased and are now hinting at 60-90% chance of seeing freezing temps across our northern counties Saturday and Sunday mornings.

95/Castillo

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1143 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2026

There's high confidence in continued VFR conditions, featuring passing high-level clouds and calm to light northerly winds.

89^GSatterwhite

FIRE WEATHER

Slight drier air in place on Monday will lead to min RH values from 25-35% across the region. However, light winds will help negate fire weather concerns. Moisture will slowly return through the week with min RHs increasing to 45-60% by Thursday. This increase in moisture will warrant a 20-40% chance of rain Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning. Drier air and cooler temps return next weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 34 73 39 73 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 37 74 42 74 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 40 73 45 73 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 38 73 42 74 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 40 72 45 73 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 43 74 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 39 74 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 39 73 42 75 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Monday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee- Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Etowah-Fayette-Greene- Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo-Marion-Montgomery- Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter- Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.