textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1149 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026

- Cooler temperatures are expected over the week ahead, bringing us back to seasonable ranges.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through next Friday) Issued at 1149 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026

Over the course of the next seven days (and beyond), a series of troughs and low pressures will dig through the Midwest, before ejecting towards the NE. Each of these troughs will vary in strength and depth, but each will play a deciding role in our weather over the next week. It all starts on Thursday, when the first deep trough begins to drop south. Rain chances will slightly increase during the day on Wednesday, but limited moisture return is likely to put a lid on widespread rainfall and coverage. Temperatures behind this system will quickly fall, with highs on Thursday ranging only in the upper-30 to mid-40s. From here, we will enter into a series of "warming and cooling" between the next several systems. Temperatures will briefly rebound for a day or two, before falling once more behind the next cold front. While Wednesday and Friday may be slightly seasonable from a temperature standpoint, most locations will run below average for the majority of this forecast period.

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AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1149 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026

VFR conditions are expected for the entire TAF period.

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FIRE WEATHER

Dry weather returns to the forecast, with MinRH values dropping back below 40%. While dry conditions are expected for most of the next seven days, drought conditions should improve given recent heavy rainfall. Given soil moisture and wet fuels, fire weather concerns will remain little to none into next weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 46 23 50 25 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 48 25 49 27 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 46 26 48 30 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 51 27 51 28 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 51 26 51 28 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 51 28 51 31 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 54 26 49 27 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 54 28 51 27 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.