textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 635 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026

- Heat: Humidity will push heat indices into the 95-100 degree range Thursday and increase as we head into this weekend. For this weekend into the beginning of as next week heat indices will range from 96- 104, resulting in a moderate heat risk across Central Alabama.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 146 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026

A rather mundane upper-level pattern is anticipated for most of the next seven days, leading to a mostly "copy/paste" style forecast across the region. By tomorrow, the stagnant low off to our NE will finally get absorbed back into another upper-level trough moving into the Ohio Valley. Once we lose the influence of this low pressure, a more typical summertime pattern will establish itself across the region, with diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms becoming the focus for our rain activity.

Thankfully, afternoon high temperatures will remain relatively stable over the next week, as no upper-level feature is able to really establish itself over the area. Highs will continue to range in the low to mid-90s, with humid conditions pushing heat index values to between 95 and 100 degrees. While heat index values will be elevated, the need for heat products is currently little to none, as we expect to remain below critical thresholds for most of the next seven days.

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AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 635 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026

A few showers will linger past sunset thanks to some outflow boundaries. Will leave a TEMPO through 3z at MGM to account for this. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected overnight with light and variable to near calm winds. During the afternoon Thu, more isolated to scattered diurnal convection is expected and PROB30s for most sites except MGM, where chances are lower.

Note: AMD NOT SKED for AUO due to a weather observation outage.

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FIRE WEATHER

Warm and humid conditions will help keep MinRH values generally above 50% through the week. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected daily, with the greatest chances east of I- 65. Because of this, elevated fire weather concerns will remain little to none over the next seven days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 71 90 71 91 / 20 40 20 30 Anniston 71 88 71 90 / 20 50 20 30 Birmingham 73 89 73 90 / 20 40 20 30 Tuscaloosa 73 92 74 93 / 10 30 20 20 Calera 72 91 72 91 / 20 30 20 30 Auburn 72 87 72 88 / 20 30 30 30 Montgomery 74 92 73 93 / 20 20 20 30 Troy 72 91 71 92 / 20 20 30 30

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.