textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1235 PM CDT TUE SEP 15 2026
- Persistent Heat: Above-normal temperatures continue into this weekend, with high temperatures reaching as high as the mid to upper 90s. Take extra precautions with any extended or strenuous outdoor activities.
DISCUSSION
(This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 1235 PM CDT TUE SEP 15 2026
Over the next few days, an anomalous ridge of high pressure will continue to limit opportunities for showers and thunderstorms (nil to very low chances) while prolonging above-normal temperatures, reaching near record daily levels for a few locations.
From this weekend into next week, forecast models suggest that while the center/axis of the ridge of high pressure remains nearby, on its flank will exist a westward-drifting, upper-level low near Florida and a shortwave trough/front over the Midwest. These features may yield at least a modest uptick in shower and thunderstorm chances for parts of central Alabama from Sunday onward. At this time, the prospects of this being a pattern that eases our (re)intensifying drought are low.
89^GSatterwhite
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 PM CDT TUE SEP 15 2026
High pressure will promote VFR conditions today and Wednesday, featuring daytime fair-weather cumulus and east to southeast winds maxing between 5-10 knots. There is a low (10% or less) chance for a stray shower or thunderstorm.
AMD NOT SKED is appended at AUO due to missing observations.
89^GSatterwhite
FIRE WEATHER
While fire weather concerns remain low at this time, compounding effects from intensifying drought conditions may arise. Daily MinRH through the weekend is forecast to average between 30- 40 percent. Shower and thunderstorm chances are nil to very low over the next few days though a modest increase may occur for some areas starting early next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 72 95 68 95 / 0 10 0 0 Anniston 71 93 67 94 / 10 10 0 0 Birmingham 73 94 71 95 / 0 10 0 0 Tuscaloosa 75 97 71 97 / 0 10 0 0 Calera 73 95 69 95 / 0 10 0 0 Auburn 73 90 67 91 / 10 10 0 0 Montgomery 75 94 68 93 / 0 10 0 0 Troy 73 93 66 92 / 0 10 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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