textproduct: NWS Birmingham

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1234 PM CST FRI NOV 13 2026

- Freezing temperatures: A widespread frost and freeze is expected for central Alabama Saturday and Sunday mornings.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 1234 PM CST FRI NOV 13 2026

Breezy northwest winds are providing a November chill today. Winds decrease tonight but may stay up a bit at unsheltered locations. At sheltered locations, good radiational cooling will be present, allowing for widespread frost and a light freeze. A Freeze Warning is in effect for all of Central Alabama tonight. Saturday will be another cool day with northerly winds continuing. Winds may be even lighter Saturday night as high pressure strengthens, with slightly cooler low temperatures. For simplicity, an additional Freeze Warning is in effect areawide Saturday night, and will wait until Sunday to determine which counties have had their growing season (frost/freeze program) ended.

The eastern CONUS trough exits by Sunday, while a strong ridge builds over the central CONUS. A southern stream upper low will undercut the ridge, before opening up into a wave by the time it reaches Alabama on Monday. Guidance continues to trend towards a more suppressed solution regarding a weak wave of low pressure developing at low-levels. Mid and upper-level lift/moisture will be present over Central Alabama, but east winds will provide a steady supply of dry air at low-levels. This will serve to evaporate much of any precipitation, but still wouldn't be surprised if some sprinkles or very light rain made it down to the ground, similar to this past Wednesday. Chances of measurable precipitation remain in the 10-15% range in our far southern counties. Mid-level ridging and surface high pressure will remain in place for the rest of next week. Dry conditions are expected with warming high temperatures and cool mornings.

32/JDavis

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 PM CST FRI NOV 13 2026

VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours and beyond. NW winds will gust up to 20kts this afternoon, becoming light after sunset.

32/JDavis

FIRE WEATHER

MinRH values will be in the 25 to 35 percent range over the weekend, but 20ft wind gusts should remain less than 15 mph. Moisture increases very slightly on Monday as a system passes south of the area. Very little to no rainfall is forecast for the next 7 days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 30 57 28 61 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 31 57 29 61 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 32 56 31 59 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 32 58 32 61 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 32 56 31 59 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 33 57 33 60 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 32 59 31 62 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 33 58 31 61 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Saturday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock- Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas- Elmore-Etowah-Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes- Macon-Marengo-Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph- Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa- Walker-Winston.

Freeze Warning from midnight Saturday night to 8 AM CST Sunday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock- Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas- Elmore-Etowah-Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes- Macon-Marengo-Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph- Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa- Walker-Winston.


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