textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1239 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2026
- Periods of scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast through the weekend, with low chances for isolated flash flooding or a strong thunderstorm.
DISCUSSION
(This afternoon through Wednesday) Issued at 1239 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2026
An already deep moisture profile and sustained south flow will allow for the region to remain disturbed through the weekend, with widespread diurnally driven showers and storms expected again today. However, slightly more organized rain chances are expected beginning on Friday, as upper-level ridging breaks down to our east, allowing for a series of shortwave troughs to work through the area through Monday.
During the same time, a deep trough and low pressure will begin to form over New England, slowly working down the East Coast into the start of the new workweek. This will allow for a weak, elongated cold front to drop south through the weekend, eventually working through the region sometime around Tuesday. While no major swing in temperature is expected behind this frontal passage, it should suppress rain chances through the middle of next week. Only scattered shower and thunderstorm chances are expected to the south of wherever the cold front ends up settling.
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AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1239 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2026
Clouds are slowly continuing to scatter out, with most terminals climbing back into low-end VFR CIGS over the next few hours. However, TSRA is expected again today area-wide, with all terminals carrying it through 29/00z. Given the moist column of air, reduced CIGs and VIS are expected again overnight, with medium confidence in IFR/LIFR conditions past 29/06z.
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FIRE WEATHER
The persistent wet pattern is expected to continue through the weekend across Central Alabama. This pattern will lead to high rain chances each afternoon and the development of low clouds or fog each morning. Therefore, there are no fire weather concerns at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 67 81 65 82 / 30 80 80 90 Anniston 68 81 66 81 / 30 90 80 90 Birmingham 69 83 67 83 / 30 80 70 80 Tuscaloosa 70 84 68 84 / 30 70 50 70 Calera 68 84 67 84 / 30 80 70 80 Auburn 69 82 68 82 / 40 80 70 80 Montgomery 69 84 68 84 / 30 70 60 70 Troy 68 84 68 84 / 20 70 60 70
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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