textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 636 AM CDT MON JUN 8 2026

- Heavy rainfall over saturated soils may lead to isolated flash flooding today. A Flood Watch is in effect for northeastern portions of Central Alabama through this evening.

- High temperatures will climb by the middle of next week, reaching the low-90s in many locations by Thursday.

DISCUSSION

(Monday through next Sunday) Issued at 1138 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026

Shower and thunderstorms chances will remain in the forecast today, as the region remains disturbed from the upper-level low moving into the Midwest. Once it arrives there, this upper-low is still expected to open up a bit more, progressing into a trough that will drop back south into the area. While the best rain chances during this time will remain to our east, this will keep the region mixed enough to allow for scattered showers and thunderstorms to stay in the forecast through Wednesday afternoon.

From here, upper-level ridging should begin to build to our west late Wednesday, and into early Thursday. This ridging will aid in shutting off the more organized rain chances, instead favoring more scattered, diurnally driven shower and thunderstorm activity into the weekend. Confidence still remains high that afternoon high temperatures will begin to climb during this timeframe as well, with highs on Wednesday climbing into the low-90s for the majority of the area.

/44/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 636 AM CDT MON JUN 8 2026

IFR ceilings have primarily remained confined to BHM/EET this morning while VFR conditions are expected at the remaining sites. It's possible there could be intermittent reductions in flight criteria at those other sites, but current trends do not suggest that any reduction would be persistent. A scattering of RA and occasional TSRA is still expected to develop again today, but confidence is low on precise timing at each TAF site. In fact, there are already some showers out there this morning. This passing activity is expected to bring intermittent flight impacts/reduced flight criteria. IFR ceilings may develop again late tonight towards the end of this TAF period.

86/Martin

FIRE WEATHER

Elevated chances for showers and thunderstorms are expected for much of the upcoming week. Because of that, MinRH values will remain above 50% or higher into next weekend. Given daily rain chances and high MinRH values, fire weather concerns remain little to none at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 82 69 87 69 / 80 40 40 10 Anniston 82 70 86 69 / 70 40 50 10 Birmingham 84 70 88 71 / 60 20 30 0 Tuscaloosa 85 72 90 72 / 40 10 10 0 Calera 87 70 90 70 / 40 20 30 0 Auburn 86 71 85 69 / 20 20 50 10 Montgomery 88 73 88 70 / 10 10 20 10 Troy 90 73 88 70 / 10 10 30 10

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Flood Watch through this evening for the following counties: Blount-Calhoun-Cherokee-Cleburne-Etowah-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega.