textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1208 AM CDT SUN APR 5 2026

- Numerous to widespread showers, and a few sub-severe thunderstorms, will move across the area this morning. Rain will end from west to east throughout the day.

- Mainly dry conditions expected this week with more seasonable temperatures.

DISCUSSION

(Sunday through next Saturday) Issued at 1129 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026

We've had waves of scattered thunderstorms across the area this evening, but the modest parameter space has really struggled to produce intense or sustained convection. The activity has remained well below severe strength, and already meager instability will diminish more so as we head further into the early morning hours. Despite the observed weakening trend, short term guidance suggests a covering of much needed rain across the area tonight along the cold front which is currently oriented northeast to southwest near the AL/MS state line. Most areas could pick up around 0.75-1" of rain tonight, but there will be localized pockets of higher amounts perhaps even up to 2", while some receive significantly less. Flooding is not a concern due to the preceding dry conditions and overall light to moderate intensity of rainfall, but those localized higher rainfall amounts may lead to ponding in low-lying areas.

Expect the rain to end and clouds to clear from west to east during the day. The northwestern half of the area should be rain-free by midday, but some showers may linger across the southeast during the afternoon. Temperatures will be much cooler behind the front with highs this afternoon ranging from the upper 60s northwest to mid 70s southeast. We will have pleasant conditions and cool nights through at least the middle of the week as a broad region of high surface pressure shifts southeast across the Great Lakes region while low-level ridging shifts from the Southern Plains towards the Southeast. The ridge axis will then move to our east and begin to establish over the western Atlantic. Meanwhile, a mid-level shortwave trough will rotate across the area Wednesday night into Thursday, but chances are currently low that there will be enough moisture to support rain across the area. Other than that, the forecast looks dry with some measure of ridging in place dominating the pattern through the week. Low-level flow will shift back to the south-southeast by the weekend which will promote a warming trend with highs back into the 80s by Saturday.

86/Martin

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 AM CDT SUN APR 5 2026

Rain, low clouds, and reduced VIS will remain in the forecast for the next 12 hours or so, before rain begins to clear around 05/16z. Here, low CIGS will begin to clear as well, with some terminals returning to VFR category by 05/18z. Skies will continue to clear, with all terminals returning to VFR category by 06/01z.

/44/

FIRE WEATHER

Widespread rain will gradually end from west to east today as a cold front passes through the area. Drier air in the wake of the cold front will result in minRH ranging from 28-40% for at least the next few days, but values are currently forecast to remain above critical thresholds. Winds will be breezy at times with 20ft wind gusts up to 15 mph from the north-northwest today then shifting to the northeast by Tuesday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 69 42 70 43 / 60 0 0 0 Anniston 69 43 70 44 / 80 0 0 0 Birmingham 69 46 70 47 / 60 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 70 45 71 47 / 50 0 0 0 Calera 72 45 72 46 / 70 0 0 0 Auburn 72 48 69 49 / 90 0 0 0 Montgomery 72 47 70 46 / 90 0 0 0 Troy 73 48 69 46 / 90 10 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.