textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 659 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026

- Warm temperatures are expected through next week, with rain- free conditions through at least Wednesday.

- Fire danger will be elevated the next couple of days due to recent dryness, lower RH values, and elevated winds, but sub- critical conditions are expected.

- Drought conditions are expected to worsen through next week.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 1158 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2026

Water vapor imagery this morning reveals an upper level ridge anchored across the northern Gulf coast as an upper level shortwave cuts across the Plains towards the Midwest. Looking out to the west, we can see a stout upper level low lurking off the Pacific NW coast that will progress inland over the weekend. At the surface, high pressure across the Carolinas will keep winds out of the southeast through the weekend. The surface high will scoot east over the weekend and into next week, leading to more a southerly flow across Central AL. A series of H5 shortwaves look to eject out of the Southern Plains next week but our ridge in place deflects all this energy away from the region. A few of these impulses inch close enough to the region by mid week to warrant a low chance (20-30%) of showers and storms.

Temperatures will continue to warm as we head through the next week, High temps will generally settle into the mid to upper 80s. CPC has highlighted much of the region under a slight to moderate risk of hazardous temperatures by the end of next week. Something to keep an eye on. These warm and dry conditions will lead to a gradual worsening in our ongoing drought conditions.

95/Castillo

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 659 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026

High pressure and VFR conditions will be present through the TAF period.

24

FIRE WEATHER

Dry conditions are expected through at least Wednesday, with high pressure dominating the pattern. RH values remain in the 20-30% range each afternoon through Sunday. Although conditions are expected to remain below red flag thresholds, ongoing drought conditions will keep fuels very dry. Any fires could spread quickly due to the the dry conditions and steady afternoon winds that are forecast. Conditions will be closely monitored over the coming days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 49 84 50 86 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 51 83 53 85 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 55 85 57 86 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 53 84 55 86 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 52 84 54 86 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 54 83 56 84 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 52 85 54 87 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 53 84 53 85 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.