textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 608 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026

- Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast starting Saturday, persisting through next week.

- High temperatures will climb back into the upper 80s to near 90 each day through Wednesday.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 233 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026

Surface high pressure is beginning to weaken across Eastern Conus this afternoon. Areas of high clouds and some fair weather cumulus are present across Central Alabama this afternoon on satellite, except across the southeast counties where mostly sunny skies are noted. Fair and less humid will continue for one more day for all and for many on Saturday as the surface ridge remains the dominant feature. Now into Saturday, the ridge center will slowly nudge southeast as the overall ridge continues to slowly weaken. Temperatures overall are getting back closer to normal and will continue to nudge upward through next week outside of convection.

Onshore flow returns this weekend in the lower levels as the surface ridge continues to weaken and push off into the Western Atlantic. An upper low over Mexico will push northeastward into the Central Plains by Sunday. Shortwave disturbances will propagate periodically around a Deep South and Gulf upper ridge with the southwest flow between the upper low and the Gulf ridge this weekend into Monday as the low opens up and continues northeast into the Northern Plains yielding a return to daily convection chances. By Tuesday, this shortwave progresses into a larger trough stretching from Eastern Canada, southward to the Great Lakes, further into Eastern Conus, and dipping into Alabama with continued daily convection. By Wednesday into Thursday, the trough continues eastward to the Atlantic Coast but with the southern portion of it retrograding back into the Northern Gulf. This will result in lower but still present isolated to scattered diurnally enhanced convection chances as we finish the extended for the middle of next week.

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AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 608 PM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours at all terminals, as weakening high pressure begins to lose control over the region. High clouds will build in overnight, with mid-level cloud cover expected by late morning tomorrow into the afternoon. South to southeast winds at 5-10 kts are expected again tomorrow afternoon.

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FIRE WEATHER

There are no fire weather concerns over the coming days. Due to relatively dry high pressure, fair weather is expected through this afternoon with MinRH values between 30-50 percent. High pressure weakens and pushes eastward over the weekend. This will allow for moisture values to rebound and chances for showers and thunderstorms to return starting Saturday and on into next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 61 88 68 84 / 0 0 10 40 Anniston 62 89 69 84 / 0 0 10 40 Birmingham 65 88 71 84 / 0 0 20 50 Tuscaloosa 66 89 72 84 / 0 10 40 80 Calera 63 90 70 86 / 0 0 20 50 Auburn 64 88 70 86 / 0 0 0 10 Montgomery 64 91 71 87 / 0 0 10 40 Troy 62 89 69 88 / 0 0 10 20

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.