textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 621 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2026

- Mainly dry conditions expected this week with more seasonable temperatures.

- Fire danger will be somewhat elevated the next couple of days due to recent dryness, lower RH values, and an increase in winds, but is expected to remain below critical thresholds.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Saturday) Issued at 116 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2026

The cold front continues to push southeastward and is currently near the I-85 corridor. Showers will eventually exit to the southeast, with skies continuing to clear this afternoon. Tonight and tomorrow a southern stream upper-level shortwave will move eastward along the Gulf Coast. Low-levels will be too dry for any measurable precipitation, but expect an increase in mid and high level clouds especially south, with an outside chance of some virga/a sprinkle. Cold air advection associated with high pressure over the Ozarks will certainly result in cooler lows than the last few days, though winds remaining elevated and the high clouds will be a limiting factor for low temperatures. Expect a fairly pleasant spring today tomorrow with northerly winds and some high clouds.

A benign split flow pattern will be in place through the week, with mid-level ridging building over the Southeast CONUS late in the period downstream of an upper low near California. A weak front associated with a clipper system will become diffuse as it approaches the area Monday night. High pressure in its wake will reach the Mid-Atlantic Tuesday night into Wednesday and strengthen to around 1038mb, resulting in a CAD wedge developing. Increased easterly flow from the wedge will keep any Gulf moisture out of the area, and keep temperatures in check. Temperatures may trend a couple degrees cooler on Wednesday. Increased easterly winds may result in some elevated fire concerns by Wednesday, but dew points should come up enough with some Atlantic moisture to prevent red flag conditions. A weak southern stream shortwave interacting with this Atlantic moisture results in some nonzero but minimal rain chances near our southeast counties by Thursday morning. As the wedge weakens and heights rise aloft, temperatures will trend back up into the 80s by the weekend.

32/JDavis

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 621 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2026

VFR conditions have returned to all terminals this evening as the cold front continues to move further to our east. The pressure gradient will remain enhanced through the TAF period, resulting in a north-northwesterly sfc wind of 5 to 10 kts tonight then shifting to a north-northeasterly heading tomorrow morning with gusts of 15-18 kts during the day. High-level clouds will remain present across the area associated with a subtle shortwave trough along the Gulf coast, but no impacts to flight criteria are expected during this TAF cycle.

86/Martin

FIRE WEATHER

Rain exits the area this afternoon, with mainly dry conditions expected through the week. RH values drop into the 25-35 percent range Monday and Tuesday afternoons with 20ft wind gusts up to 15 mph out of the northeast. RH values increase slightly to the 30-35 percent range Wednesday afternoon, while easterly 20ft wind gusts increase to around 15-20 mph, highest gusts southeast. This may result in some elevated fire danger but should remain below red flag thresholds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 42 70 42 73 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 44 70 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 45 70 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 46 71 46 76 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 47 71 46 76 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 47 69 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 48 69 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 48 68 46 76 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.