textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1053 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026

- Cooler, Drier Early Fall Pattern: A noticeably cooler and drier air mass settles across Central AL through the weekend, bringing daytime highs in the lower-to-middle 80s and nighttime lows in the 50s and 60s.

DISCUSSION

(Saturday through next Friday) Issued at 1053 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026

High pressure building over the region will deliver pleasant, dry weather through the weekend, with high temperatures ranging from the upper 70s to mid 80s and overnight lows falling into the mid 50s to low 60s. Drier air and increased subsidence will keep conditions rain-free into early next week. Although a weak shortwave moves into the Tennessee Valley on Monday and Tuesday, followed by a stronger upper trough late in the week, limited moisture will preserve dry conditions through midweek. Shower and thunderstorm chances return late in the week as the upper trough and associated cold front approach Central Alabama.

A return to southerly flow early next week will bring warmer temperatures to the area. Highs are expected to rebound into the upper 80s and lower 90s by Tuesday, with near-90-degree heat persisting through the remainder of the workweek.

16

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 722 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026

VFR conditions currently prevail across central Alabama terminals. High boundary layer moisture, calm surface winds, and clear sky conditions overnight will foster localized radiational cooling, creating a 30-40% probability for patchy MVFR fog development near MGM, TCL, EET, and AUO between 09Z and 13Z. Confidence remains low to moderate given localized dewpoint depressions, so TEMPO groups have been maintained to account for brief visibility reductions. BHM is expected to remain clear of fog impacts. Light east-northeastern winds around 7 kts will develop after 17Z under prevailing VFR skies.

16

FIRE WEATHER

Dry weather will persist through the weekend with light winds keeping overall concerns minimal. Minimum relative humidity values will drop into the 30 to 40% range over the weekend, and reach the upper 20 to 30% range early next week as the drying trend continues and light winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 54 84 55 82 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 54 82 55 81 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 59 84 59 83 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 60 88 60 87 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 59 85 58 85 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 58 82 58 83 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 60 86 61 86 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 58 85 59 86 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.