textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 610 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2026

- Persistent Heat: Above-normal temperatures continue into this weekend, with high temperatures reaching as high as the mid to upper 90s. Take extra precautions with any extended or strenuous outdoor activities.

DISCUSSION

(Wednesday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1140 PM CDT TUE SEP 15 2026

A ridge centered near Tennessee will dominate the regional weather pattern over the next few days. This persistent upper- level feature will keep rain chances under 15% while driving high temperatures into the low-to-upper 90s through the end of the week, approaching near-record daily highs in locations such as Birmingham and Montgomery. Lower dew points within this drier airmass should keep peak heat index values between 101 and 104 degrees, remaining just below heat advisory thresholds.

By this weekend and into next week, the pattern begins to transition as an upper-level low tracks west around the periphery of the ridge near Florida, alongside a weak surface trough/front moving over the Midwest. The influx of returning Gulf moisture will weaken the ridge and support a modest uptick in scattered afternoon and early evening shower and thunderstorm chances starting Sunday and continuing into early next week, as well as slightly tempering the hot temperatures. However, unless the projected pattern shifts significantly, widespread drought relief is unlikely.

16

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 610 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2026

We're expecting another day of VFR conditions across Central AL due to the high pressure that remains in place across much of the region.Generally easterly winds are anticipated due to the center of the high being to our north. Winds should be in the 6-8kt range today, decreasing this evening after sunset becoming light to calm through the remainder of the period.

AMD NOT SKED is appended at AUO due to missing observations.

25/Owen

FIRE WEATHER

While fire weather concerns remain low at this time, compounding effects from intensifying drought conditions may arise. Daily MinRH through the weekend is forecast to average between 30 to 40%. Shower and thunderstorm chances are nil to very low over the next few days though a modest increase may occur for some areas starting early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 95 68 95 69 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 92 67 93 68 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 94 71 94 71 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 97 71 97 70 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 94 68 94 69 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 90 67 90 68 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 93 68 93 67 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 92 66 91 65 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.