textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 606 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026

- Heavy Rain: There is a potential for heavy rainfall across the southeastern portions this afternoon. Although rain chances continue in the far east to northeast through the week, any strong storms appear to be minimal.

- Lower Humidity: Slightly cooler temperatures will be in place through Tuesday, with much lower humidity levels.

DISCUSSION

(Today through Saturday) Issued at 102 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026

A cold front currently bisects the area, with convective coverage and intensity decreasing over the last hour. While brief localized intensification is possible as the front advances toward the I-85 corridor by sunrise, the highest coverage probability remains across southern areas from late morning through the afternoon. Concurrently, an upper low will traverse the northern tier of the state, supporting scattered showers and isolated storms north of the I-22/I-59 corridor. A developing dry slot between these features will yield improved conditions for much of Central Alabama this afternoon.

The upper low will shear into a trough before reforming, leading to an unsettled pattern across the Southeast into early next week, with the highest rain probabilities focused over the eastern third of the forecast area. Heights will build by mid- week, favoring a return to a diurnally driven summertime pattern.

16

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 606 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026

Low CIGs have developed over the past several hours for BHM and EET and occasionally bounce between SCT and BKN. This will likely continue over the next hour or so before CIGs improve to VFR. VFR conditions are expected through much of the period after that for all sites as the upper low slides through the Southeastern CONUS. As the front is now positioned to our southeast, any rain chances are very low for today at our TAF sites. Late in the period, low CIGs are expected to develop across the north associated with the upper low. This will impact BHM, EET, and potentially TCL with IFR Cigs just before 12z tonight.

Note: AMD NOT SKED for KAUO due to a weather observation outage.

25/Owen

FIRE WEATHER

High confidence persists that MinRH values will remain above 45 percent through Wednesday. While heavy rain is expected at times across the southeast this afternoon, drier air filters in from the east by next Thursday and Friday, with RH values dropping toward 40 percent. However, winds remain light enough to negate any significant fire weather concerns during this period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 87 68 87 69 / 20 10 60 10 Anniston 87 69 86 69 / 10 10 60 10 Birmingham 85 70 86 71 / 10 10 40 10 Tuscaloosa 86 70 88 70 / 10 10 20 10 Calera 86 69 88 70 / 0 10 40 10 Auburn 87 71 85 72 / 20 10 40 10 Montgomery 90 71 90 71 / 10 10 30 10 Troy 90 70 89 70 / 40 20 30 10

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.