textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1205 AM CST FRI DEC 19 2025

- A gradual warming trend will commence this weekend, peaking around Christmas with high temperatures in the lower 70s for much of central Alabama, 10-15 degrees above normal.

- No big rainmakers are expected through Christmas, though periodic light showers may affect parts of the Gulf Coast region early in the week.

DISCUSSION

(Saturday through next Friday) Issued at 1205 AM CST FRI DEC 19 2025

Behind Thursday's weather system, a dry, post-frontal air mass will overspread central Alabama. Clear conditions are expected today with a northwest breeze and cooler temperatures.

Near zonal upper-level flow will exist over our area during the weekend, though a trough and jet streak to our north will send a front our way early Sunday. A pattern of weak isentropic lift, and its interaction with a plume of modest vertical moisture, should produce some light shower activity for parts of the Gulf Coast region at times from early Sunday into Monday. For parts of central Alabama, this is reflected as a low (~20%) chance. Afterwards, this setup shifts northward to the Tennessee Valley, taking with it the best chance for additional showers.

An anomalous ridge of high pressure will amplify and build our way around Christmas. This will keep any sort of stormy weather at bay. High temperatures are currently forecast to reach the lower 70s for much of central Alabama on Christmas Eve, Day, and the day after. These values are 10-15 degrees above normal for late December.

89^GSatterwhite

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1205 AM CST FRI DEC 19 2025

A drying, post-frontal flow will bring much-improved flight conditions to central Alabama terminals as low clouds and showers/thunderstorms vacate the region. VFR will take over and persist through today. Winds will be from the northwest around 15 knots with gusts near 20 knots through about 12z-15z, then near 10 knots and less gusty through the day, becoming very light to calm at sundown.

89^GSatterwhite

FIRE WEATHER

Over the next week, the lowest MinRHs should occur during the afternoon hours on Saturday and Monday, primarily across east Alabama with percentages in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Following Thursday's widespread rain, there are no significant rain systems through next week, though a few light showers may occur for parts of the Gulf Coast region early in the week. Northwest winds will be in place today, south on Saturday, and north on Sunday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 34 49 27 61 / 90 0 0 0 Anniston 37 50 29 62 / 90 0 0 0 Birmingham 37 49 33 60 / 90 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 36 51 30 62 / 90 0 0 0 Calera 36 52 30 63 / 90 0 0 0 Auburn 42 54 33 62 / 70 0 0 0 Montgomery 42 55 32 64 / 90 0 0 0 Troy 43 55 33 63 / 60 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.