textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1023 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026

- High temperatures will be well above normal this week, with medium to high chances of record high temperatures.

- A cold front will move through the region Friday into Saturday, bringing cooler temperatures to the area for the weekend.

DISCUSSION

(Wednesday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1023 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026

The warm weather continues to be the main story through the remainder of the week as daytime highs are expected to run several degrees higher than what is typical for this time of year. We will likely approach and potentially break high temperature records Wednesday and Thursday as this persistent high pressure remains across the region. This pattern really doesn't start to change for Central AL until Friday morning when a trough slides through the Ohio Valley and into the Appalachians by Friday night. This trough will push a dry cold front southeastward through the region during the day on Friday, leading to a sharp drop in temperatures for Saturday and Sunday. We're not really expecting much in the way of rainfall with this frontal passage, so the main impact will be gusty winds and the drop in temperatures. The high pressure that builds in behind the front Saturday into Sunday will shift eastward over the Carolinas by Sunday morning leading to a wedge front setting up for the early part of next week. This will support drier conditions persisting through at least Monday into Tuesday.

25/Owen

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 714 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026

High pressure remains across the region and will generally lead to very similar conditions over the next 24 hours as we've seen the past 24 hours. Light to calm winds overnight will lead to the development of some isolated river fog at TCL and MGM, which should mix out as winds increase tomorrow morning. I have included a tempo group for a few hours of lower VIS due to fog. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected across the TAF sites.

25/Owen

FIRE WEATHER

Warm and dry conditions are expected to continue through the end of the week with MinRHs dropping into the low 30% range for many locations Wednesday and Thursday. A dry cold front will move through the area Friday into Saturday leading to gusty winds, little to no rainfall, and much drier and cooler conditions behind the front.

CLIMATE

Issued at 110 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026

Record High Temperatures:

Wed Oct. 14: KBHM: 89/1984 KEET: 89/2016 KANB: 88/1975 KTCL: 90/1962 KMGM: 91/1883

Thu Oct. 15: KBHM: 90/1897 KEET: 92/2025 KANB: 87/1975 KTCL: 91/1962 KMGM: 92/1881

Fri Oct. 16: KBHM: 90/1897 KEET: 90/2025 KANB: 87/1965 KTCL: 90/1962

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 57 89 60 88 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 60 88 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 63 90 64 88 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 60 92 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 60 90 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 61 88 64 87 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 59 89 61 88 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 59 89 61 87 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.