textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 547 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
- Low to medium chances of patchy to dense fog developing overnight, with the lowest visibilities in the south.
- Below average high temperatures are anticipated through Tuesday, with the exception of Sunday being near average.
- Low temperatures Monday night are likely to dip into the mid to upper 20s across much of Central Alabama, with the exception of southeastern counties.
DISCUSSION
(Today through next Friday) Issued at 1202 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
Today through Sunday
Higher rains chances continue today across the southeastern counties, especially south of the I-85 corridor. Additional rain totals will generally be less than a half inch. Highs in the low to mid 50s today and mid 50s to low 60s on Sunday as the region sees some warming in advance of an approaching trough. Rain chances will return across the entire area Sunday afternoon into early Monday morning as a cold front sweeps through the area.
Monday through Friday
Dry conditions are expected Monday through Wednesday across Central Alabama. Monday will be a touch cooler than Sunday but highs will rebound back to the upper 50s to mid 60s by Wednesday. Monday night is still on track to be a cold one, with lows in the 20s across most areas north and west of the I-85 corridor. Another trough drops into the Ohio Valley region by way of Alberta, Montana, and the Dakotas by Wednesday evening. Maintaining rain chances from Wednesday night into Friday morning as 2-3 shortwaves work through the region. Thursday will potentially be the warmest day of the week, with mid to upper 60s across the southern half of the area.
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AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 547 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
Periodic light rain remains in the forecast for AUO and MGM, with TEMPO RA through 19z. From now through the mid- morning hours, reduced cigs into the IFR or LIFR range can be expected at all sites. This will improve back to MVFR by late morning and VFR by afternoon at BHM, TCL, and EET. MGM and AUO may hang on to IFR or MVFR a little longer but should improve to VFR by mid to late afternoon as well. Ceilings drop again after 6z. Will need to monitor the fog development overnight, especially in the south, where the lowest visibility will be.
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FIRE WEATHER
Light rain remains in the forecast through the weekend. MinRH values will remain above 50% through Monday, and above 40% Tuesday and Wednesday. Fire weather concerns remain limited through mid week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 52 31 56 38 / 10 0 20 50 Anniston 52 34 59 40 / 20 0 20 50 Birmingham 52 36 58 41 / 20 0 20 50 Tuscaloosa 54 37 61 41 / 20 0 20 40 Calera 54 36 61 40 / 20 0 20 50 Auburn 53 41 58 44 / 50 0 30 50 Montgomery 54 41 59 45 / 50 10 30 50 Troy 53 42 60 44 / 80 20 30 50
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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