textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 257 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026

- Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast starting this Saturday afternoon, persisting through next week.

- High temperatures will climb back up this week with readings from the middle 80s to the lower 90s.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Friday) Issued at 257 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026

Surface high pressure continues to weaken with the center now across the Southeast US into the Western Atlantic. Onshore flow has returned with increasing cloudiness evident on satellite this afternoon. Temperatures will nudge upward through next week outside of areas of convection. We transition today into a wet pattern with daily shower and thunderstorm chances returning for most by Sunday.

In the upper levels, an upper low now over the Texas Panhandle this afternoon will continue to push northward into the Central Plains by Sunday interacting more with the main upper West Coast trough resulting in the low opening up. Shortwave disturbances will propagate periodically around a Deep South and Gulf upper ridge with the southwest flow between the upper low and the Gulf ridge this weekend into Monday as the opened low/upper trough continues northeast into the Northern Plains. By Tuesday, this shortwave progresses into a larger trough stretching from Eastern Canada, southward to the Great Lakes, further into Eastern Conus. At the same time, the Deep South upper ridge would retrograde back over Texas and portions of the Deep South. The result for Central Alabama would be the shifting of our main precipitation axis slightly eastward but still with rain chances. By Wednesday into Thursday, guidance has the trough continuing eastward to the Atlantic Coast with weakening upper flow/flat ridging across the Deep South into Texas and Mexico. This will result in lower but still present isolated to scattered diurnally enhanced convection chances as we finish the extended for the latter half of next week.

08

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 130 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026

VFR conditions are present to start the forecast for this afternoon. Convection should stay generally across the southwest part of the state this afternoon. MVFR cigs will spread from west to east across Central Alabama tonight from ~7-13z along and ahead of showers, with IFR cigs a couple of hours behind. Thunder probabilities will not be zero tonight but are too low to mention for late night/early morning. Better chances should hold off until Sunday afternoon.

08

FIRE WEATHER

High pressure will begin to break down allowing for showers and thunderstorms to return to the forecast. Because of that, MinRH values will climb to above 50% by Sunday, and linger here or higher for most of the upcoming week. Given daily rain chances and high MinRH values, fire weather concerns remain little to none at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 68 80 68 82 / 10 80 60 80 Anniston 70 80 69 81 / 20 60 60 80 Birmingham 70 80 70 82 / 20 90 60 70 Tuscaloosa 72 82 72 84 / 50 90 50 60 Calera 70 82 69 84 / 20 90 60 70 Auburn 71 81 70 83 / 20 40 40 30 Montgomery 72 83 70 85 / 20 80 30 30 Troy 70 84 70 86 / 20 60 30 20

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.