textproduct: NWS Birmingham

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1223 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026

- Seasonable Conditions: Fair weather is expected through Friday.

- Fire Weather: There is a medium fire weather risk through this week due to dry fuels, limited moisture, and slightly increased winds.

DISCUSSION

(Monday through next Sunday) Issued at 1137 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026

No major changes are expected in the forecast over the next five days, as upper-level ridging is expected to remain in place through Wednesday. This will result in relatively stable temperatures, and limited rain chances under this super dry air column. By Thursday, this ridge will finally begin to break down, as a weak closed low moves into the central Plains. Here, our flow aloft will transition to the SW, allowing for some slight moisture return in the upper-levels. At the surface however, winds will remain from the E/NE, keeping dewpoints low into the weekend. With that being said, temperatures will slightly increase under this new flow regime, with afternoon highs climbing into the upper-70s and low-80s by Friday.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026

VFR conditions are expected for the entire TAF period, with predominantly easterly winds continuing through tomorrow. ASN may see periods of fog through daybreak, with obs already showing a couple drops to 5SM vis. High clouds will work in during the morning and into the evening.

Note: Fall seasonal issuance of the KASN Talladega TAF began on 10/18 00Z and will continue through 10/28 18Z.

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FIRE WEATHER

High pressure will allow us to maintain rain-free conditions through Friday. Daytime MinRH values are forecast to be in the 25 to 45 percent range through Wednesday, with minimum values increasing toward the end of the week. Given the MinRH values and drying fuels, fire weather concerns will remain medium through much of the upcoming week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 73 43 76 44 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 74 44 77 46 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 74 48 76 49 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 76 47 78 48 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 73 47 75 48 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 73 47 76 49 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 76 46 77 47 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 74 45 77 47 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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