textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 608 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026

- Well above-average temperatures are expected Sunday and again late next week.

- Dry conditions will continue, with little to no rainfall forecast over the next seven days.

DISCUSSION

(Sunday through next Saturday) Issued at 1058 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026

Upper-level ridging remains present over the southwestern United States, with Alabama in a period of northwest flow aloft. This will last for several more days. A passing shortwave this evening promoted shower and storm development over East TN and parts of the Carolinas this past afternoon, but no precipitation in Alabama. Another shortwave Monday morning will bring a cold front through the area, cooling high temperatures back into the 70s Monday through Wednesday across the northern half of the state and even some 60s on Tuesday. Current model data suggests this will be a dry front, although a few showers aren't completely out of the question on Monday, especially east. A third shortwave Tuesday night currently looks to bring a slight chance of rain to northern and eastern Central Alabama Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday morning. However, rainfall amounts remain very minimal. Mid-level ridging over the Gulf mid-week will promote continued dry conditions across the area through the next week. This will result in highs reaching back to the mid 80s by Thursday and Friday. Guidance currently suggests a cold front may pass through by early next weekend, knocking highs back into the 70s on Saturday across the northern half of the state. This system remains far enough out in time that specifics on any rain chances or temperature impacts will take a few more forecast cycles to provide better clarity.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 608 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026

VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours. Winds will be from the SW at 10-12 kts, gusting to 15-18 at times after 15z.

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FIRE WEATHER

MinRH values will remain in the 30-45% each afternoon through Tuesday. Southwest 20 ft winds Sunday becoming northerly on Monday behind a cold front. Given the warming trend by mid-week, and the lack of forecast rainfall, fire weather concerns may start to increase as the week goes on.

CLIMATE

Issued at 1058 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026

Record high temperatures in danger of breaking over the next few days:

March 22: KBHM: 88/1907 KEET: 81/2011 KANB: 84/1904 KTCL: 86/1995

March 23: KEET: 82/2023

March 26: KBHM: 86/1929 KEET: 85/2020 KANB: 86/2007 KTCL: 87/2005

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 85 61 76 47 / 0 0 10 0 Anniston 84 59 77 47 / 0 0 10 0 Birmingham 85 62 76 51 / 0 0 10 0 Tuscaloosa 86 60 79 51 / 0 0 10 0 Calera 86 59 79 49 / 0 0 10 0 Auburn 84 58 80 53 / 0 0 10 0 Montgomery 85 58 82 55 / 0 0 10 0 Troy 84 58 82 56 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.