textproduct: NWS Birmingham

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 644 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026

- Lingering Moisture: Post Tropical Cyclone Isaias will bring scattered light rain and drizzle tonight, with conditions gradually improving through Sunday.

- Warming Trend: Upper-level ridging will establish a warm and dry pattern early next week, pushing highs into the low 90s by mid-week.

DISCUSSION

(Sunday through next Saturday) Issued at 1103 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026

Satellite imagery this evening reveals the decaying swirl from Post Tropical Cyclone Isaias across Alabama. Lingering low level moisture is resulting in a few pockets of light rain/drizzle and low level clouds late this evening. This will likely be the theme overnight with conditions gradually improving through the day Sunday. Upper level ridging builds in early next week as the remnants of Isaias continue to move east-northeast. This will provide a stretch of warm and dry weather across Central Alabama. Highs look to rebound into the low 90s by mid week with lows generally in the 50s/60s.

95/Castillo

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 644 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026

MVFR to IFR conditions will continue through the morning at mainly KBHM and KEET, as low clouds and drizzle continue to slowly move to the northeast along with the remnants of Isaias. By mid morning, low level moisture should decrease with conditions slowly improving. By this afternoon, all TAF sites should be VFR. Winds will be brisk today, gusting to around 20 mph, with weakening to near calm winds overnight tonight.

FIRE WEATHER

Light tropical rains will gradually come to an end by Sunday morning as Isaias moves north across the state. Drier air moves back across the region late this weekend and into next week as ridging builds back in. Min RHs will fall into the 30-40% range daily. However, light winds will negate fire weather concerns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 77 54 86 55 / 20 0 0 0 Anniston 76 55 85 57 / 10 0 0 0 Birmingham 79 58 87 60 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 86 57 91 58 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 79 57 86 58 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 77 59 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 82 57 87 58 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 81 58 86 58 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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