textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 547 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- Very cold air will continue to spread across Central Alabama tonight, remaining into next week. A Cold Weather Advisory remains in effect for tonight.
DISCUSSION
(This afternoon through Sunday) Issued at 1226 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
The upper-level pattern is delineated by deep troughing over the eastern CONUS and expansive ridging influencing the western half. At the surface, a broad region of high pressure is building over the Central Plains and Gulf Coast region. Persistent northwest flow will maintain the Arctic airmass across the region for much of the week. Our temperatures will remain well below average, and although winds won't be as strong tonight, we maintain a Cold Weather Advisory through 9 AM tomorrow morning for the entire forecast area with temperatures forecast to fall into the 10s to 20s. The remainder of the week will be cold with highs generally in the 30s/40s and overnight lows in the 10s/20s.
Towards the end of the week, latest guidance suggests another Arctic trough will rotate southeast across the Great Lakes region and phase with a southern stream shortwave which will track along the northern Gulf or Gulf Coast region. This evolution will need to be watched for more winter mischief to our east/northeast across the Mid- Atlantic region, but for now, our forecast features a low chance of rain across southern portions of the area Friday night, followed by another reinforcing shot of cold, dry air for the weekend.
86/Martin
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 547 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
VFR TAFs are expected for the 24 hour forecast period with surface ridging over the Deep South. Winds will be NW 8-13 early this evening. Gusts should start to taper down after sunset. Winds should be generally light/variable after ~ 4-7z for most. During the day on Tue with mixing, look for W winds 6-9kts.
08
FIRE WEATHER
Dry air will quickly work into the region today, with MinRH values dropping back between 30-40%. Here is where they will remain for most of the next week, as a surface high pressure remains situated to our south. Given recent rainfall, fire weather concerns will remain little to none at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 10 41 19 45 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 13 41 21 45 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 14 41 23 45 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 16 44 23 47 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 14 44 23 47 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 18 42 26 46 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 17 44 24 48 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 17 44 25 49 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Cold Weather Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Tuesday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock- Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas- Elmore-Etowah-Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes- Macon-Marengo-Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph- Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa- Walker-Winston.
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