textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1141 PM CST WED NOV 4 2026
- Dense Fog: A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect through 9 AM, with the lowest visibility expected across the western half of the area.
- Frost and Freeze Potential: Medium confidence in frost developing over the coming days and persisting into the middle of the new workweek as lows dip into the mid to upper-30s
DISCUSSION
(Thursday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1141 PM CST WED NOV 4 2026
This trough and cold front will continue to slowly push through the region, with some lingering showers in the forecast in our SE zones through today. Winds behind the front are already going calm, with areas of fog developing given the recent rainfalls. This fog is expected to be very dense at times, with a Dense Fog advisory in effect until 9 AM Thursday.
Temperatures this weekend behind the front will quickly begin to drop, as cool dry air filters down from the Midwest. Afternoon highs will generally range in the upper-60s and low-70s, with overnight lows dropping into the low to mid-40s. Lows in some locations are even expected to drop into the mid and upper-30s in the coming days, with frost confidence increasing to medium during this time. This frost will not be a "one off" either, as the pattern will likely support frost potential into the middle of the new workweek.
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AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1141 PM CST WED NOV 4 2026
Dense fog is expected overnight at BHM, EET, and TCL, with LIFR VIS and CIGs expected. Elsewhere, MVFR/IFR CIGs and VIS are expected at AUO and MGM as the last of these showers and storms clear the terminals. These conditions are expected for most of the night, before slowly mixing out past 05/16z into VFR category.
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FIRE WEATHER
MinRHs remain well above critical thresholds over the next couple of days. Rain continues through tonight. Winds will shift southeast to southwest today ahead of a front and shift further as it moves through the area. Drier and cooler conditions return Friday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 56 75 47 73 / 20 0 0 0 Anniston 60 76 51 73 / 50 0 0 0 Birmingham 56 74 51 72 / 10 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 52 76 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 58 75 52 72 / 20 0 0 0 Auburn 64 77 59 75 / 60 40 10 0 Montgomery 63 78 57 76 / 50 10 0 0 Troy 63 79 58 76 / 40 30 20 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Thursday for the following counties: Bibb-Blount-Cherokee-Chilton-Dallas-Etowah-Fayette- Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Marengo-Marion-Perry-Pickens-Shelby- St. Clair-Sumter-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.
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