textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1209 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
- There is a very high chance (greater than 90%) for freezing temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday mornings for all of Central Alabama.
DISCUSSION
(Tuesday through next Monday) Issued at 1110 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
In the short term, we are seeing a late season cold air intrusion thanks to decent NW flow behind a cold front. Below freezing temperatures are expected both tonight into Tue morning and again Tue night into Wed morning, albeit a couple of degrees not as chilly for night two. A freeze warning continues for all of C AL for tonight and Tue night for the late season occurrence.
Surface ridging currently centered from Central Canada to TX will slide into E Conus on Tue. Gradients will relax as this does so. Our gusty winds today are tapering down in response. Guidance is indicating that the next seven days should be generally rain-free as surface ridging meanders from E Conus to the Atlantic Seaboard early Wed. For Fri into the weekend, the ridge shifts to the SE US and then over the Gulf. A front does approach toward the end of the extended on Mon, but at this time does not have enough moisture to call for significant pops.
08
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1212 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours and beyond with northwesterly winds.
32/JDavis
FIRE WEATHER
Tuesday looks to be very dry with critical Min RHs for much of the area. Luckily, the winds are expected to taper down as a large surface ridge settles over the Eastern United States. The next week will be rain-free with only minimal increases in moisture expected.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 46 26 56 30 / 0 10 0 0 Anniston 47 29 56 34 / 0 10 0 0 Birmingham 48 32 57 37 / 0 10 0 0 Tuscaloosa 50 32 60 39 / 0 10 0 0 Calera 50 31 59 36 / 0 10 0 0 Auburn 49 32 56 36 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 50 29 58 35 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 51 29 58 33 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Freeze Warning until 10 AM CDT Wednesday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers- Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Etowah- Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo- Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.
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