textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1115 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
- Cold weather expected to continue Tuesday with gusty winds keeping wind chills in the 30s for most of the area.
- High chance (80-90%) for rain Friday with 30% chance of thunderstorms.
DISCUSSION
(Tuesday through next Monday) Issued at 1115 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
Cold and dry conditions are expected again today across Central AL. High temps will remain in the 40s with a few spots across the north struggling to hit 40. Northwesterly flow aloft will persist through at least midweek with diurnal temperatures moderating slightly as we go through Wednesday and into Thursday.
A shortwave trough will slide through the Plains and develop a low pressure system Thursday into Friday. This low will slide through Central AL leading to increased rain and thunderstorm chances. The upper level pattern remains generally zonal with little upper level height falls, so the big question will be whether the warm front lifts far enough northward for a more moist air mass to advect into Central AL. For now, I'll continue mention for low chances (20-30%) of thunderstorms Friday into early Saturday.
A the low shifts eastward, high pressure builds into the Southeastern CONUS Sunday into Monday. This will lead to rain-free conditions and seasonable temperatures for the start of next week.
25/Owen
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1115 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
VFR conditions expected the next 24 hours. Northwesterly winds will persist through the period. Occasional gusts up to 18kts may occur, but should generally trend lower through the afternoon and into Tuesday evening.
25/Owen
FIRE WEATHER
The cold and dry air mass will remain in place through roughly mid- week before increasing moisture and rain chances build back in Friday into Saturday. Min RHs will reach near critical levels Tuesday and Wednesday. Winds will be around 10mph sustained with gusts to 15mph on Tuesday and decrease by Wednesday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 21 41 22 51 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 23 42 23 52 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 25 41 25 51 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 26 43 25 55 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 24 44 25 54 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 26 45 27 52 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 27 45 25 53 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 26 45 26 53 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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