textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1117 PM CST SAT FEB 7 2026

- Temperatures at or below freezing Sunday morning.

- Dry conditions will persist through early on Tuesday, followed by low to medium chances for showers Tuesday night into Wednesday and again on Friday into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

(Sunday through next Saturday) Issued at 1117 PM CST SAT FEB 7 2026

GOES Nighttime Microphysics imagery reveals clear skies across Central AL late this evening. This will allow for temps to drop into the mid 20s across our northern areas to around 30 degrees to the south. A few upper clouds may skirt by the region overnight and through the day Sunday. Rain-free conditions are in store over the next couple of days due to upper level ridging and drier air (PWATs around 0.3" per the latest TPW imagery) in place.

Upper level ridging will begin to break down as we head through the first part of the work week as a H5 shortwave ejects out of the Plains. Meanwhile, an associated cold front will work south towards mid week, eventually moving trough the region during the Wednesday/Thursday time frame. The combination of the shortwave, surface boundary, and increasing moisture will be sufficient enough to warrant low to medium rain chances. PoPs come down slightly on Thursday as ridging builds in briefly as the front stalls along the Gulf coast.

The stalled front begins to retreat north Friday into Saturday, bringing increased moisture back across Central AL. At the same time, another shortwave will slide across Texas, towards the SE US. This will lead to another round of increased rain chances as we head into next weekend.

Taking a look at temperatures, a warming trend will kick in over the next several days with high temps rebounding into the low to mid 70s early on in the work week. Our mid week cold front and continued rain chances will bring temps down a handful of degrees heading into next weekend.

95/Castillo

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1117 PM CST SAT FEB 7 2026

VFR conditions and light winds prevail through this TAF cycle.

95/Castillo

FIRE WEATHER

Dry conditions will prevail through early Tuesday. Drier conditions are in store on Sunday with RHs falling into the 20-25% range across our eastern areas. Luckily, winds look to remain light to help negate any fire weather concerns. Moisture recovery begins as we head into the work week with min RHs in the 40-50% range daily.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 24 57 34 69 / 0 0 10 0 Anniston 26 59 38 69 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 29 59 42 70 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 29 62 43 74 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 28 61 41 72 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 30 59 41 69 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 30 62 41 73 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 31 63 41 72 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.