textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 525 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
- Cooler temperatures are expected this week, bringing us back to seasonable ranges.
DISCUSSION
(This afternoon through next Friday) Issued at 1149 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
Over the course of the next seven days (and beyond), a series of troughs and low pressures will dig through the Midwest, before ejecting towards the NE. Each of these troughs will vary in strength and depth, but each will play a deciding role in our weather over the next week. It all starts on Thursday, when the first deep trough begins to drop south. Rain chances will slightly increase during the day on Wednesday, but limited moisture return is likely to put a lid on widespread rainfall and coverage. Temperatures behind this system will quickly fall, with highs on Thursday ranging only in the upper-30 to mid-40s. From here, we will enter into a series of "warming and cooling" between the next several systems. Temperatures will briefly rebound for a day or two, before falling once more behind the next cold front. While Wednesday and Friday may be slightly seasonable from a temperature standpoint, most locations will run below average for the majority of this forecast period.
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AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 525 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours. Breezy/gusty winds experienced Sunday morning and afternoon will ease at sundown. Winds will then be lighter overnight and through Monday, remaining northerly tonight but becoming northwesterly Monday afternoon.
89^GSatterwhite
FIRE WEATHER
Dry weather returns to the forecast, with MinRH values dropping back below 40%. While dry conditions are expected for most of the next seven days, drought conditions should improve given recent heavy rainfall. Given soil moisture and wet fuels, fire weather concerns will remain little to none into next weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 23 50 25 56 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 25 49 27 57 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 26 48 30 55 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 27 51 28 58 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 26 51 28 58 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 28 51 31 58 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 26 49 27 56 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 28 51 27 58 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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