textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1236 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025

- Gusty winds expected this afternoon as a cold front moves away from the area. Wind chills will make the drastic temperature drop feel even more significant.

- Cold temperatures expected Monday night into Tuesday morning as temperatures drop into the 20s area-wide.

DISCUSSION

(This evening through next Sunday) Issued at 1236 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025

The front is now well south of the area and winds are relaxing a touch, still gusty though. Look for the winds to continue to drop slowly through the afternoon and tonight as the gradient begins to unwind. It will be cold tonight and into Tuesday morning as areas will be in the teens for wind chills by sunrise. With that said, we should remain above any widespread criteria for an advisory.

Overall the forecast remains the same as the previous discussion as the models continue to hone in on the southern stream disturbance by the end of the week.

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Previous discussion: (Tuesday through next Monday) Issued at 1112 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025

The cold front will be moving through Central AL first thing this morning. Winds are fairly gusty along and behind the front, so wind chills for much of the day today will be 10-20 degrees below the actual temperatures. Low temperatures Tuesday morning will drop into the 20s for all of Central AL with wind chills around 15-20 degrees. A few of our colder locations in the northeastern and eastern counties may see wind chills drop to around 10 degrees briefly Tuesday morning.

The colder/drier air mass remains in place Tuesday through Thursday of this week with high pressure building across much of the Southeastern CONUS. This will keep the are rain-free and more seasonable on temperatures. Another shortwave trough moves into the region Friday into Saturday, leading to increased rain chances and potentially some thunderstorms depending on how far north the warm front is able to lift.

High pressure looks to build back into the area Sunday through Monday with continued seasonable temperatures.

25/Owen

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1116 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025

Mainly a wind forecast for the next 24 to 36 hours as VFR conditions as far as sky and visibility will be in place. N to NW winds will be strong at times this afternoon through 22 to 0z at 13 to 16 kts with gusts up to 25 kts. Winds will dissipate to 10 kts or less in the north by 22 to 23z and southeast by 0 to 1z. Winds increase again on Tuesday but will be less than 15 kts by late morning.

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FIRE WEATHER

A strong cold front is south of the area this afternoon with gusty winds for the afternoon. Min RHs drop into the 25-30% range this afternoon and Tuesday, though temperatures will generally be in the 40s. The dry conditions will continue through at least Thursday before our next system brings increased rain chances Friday into Saturday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 21 41 22 51 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 23 42 23 52 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 25 41 25 51 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 26 43 25 55 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 24 44 25 54 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 26 45 27 52 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 27 45 25 53 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 26 45 26 53 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.