textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 531 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026

- Well below normal temperatures are expected through Tuesday.

DISCUSSION

(Tuesday through next Monday) Issued at 1148 PM CST MON FEB 23 2026

One more day of cooler weather remains in store for us today, as we remain under the influence of NW flow. However, the winds will begin to shift back to the SW on Wednesday, as the surface ridge begins to take shape off to our SE. Rain chances will also return to the forecast by late Wednesday night, as a shortwave and cold front start working in the area.

The first of this rain will generally be scattered, as the cold front slowly drops south. Shower and thunderstorm chances will greatly increase by late Thursday evening, as the main line begins to work in ahead of the cold front. This line of storms will be very forced, and given the presence of at least some limited instability, will likely result in a strong storm or two. Since there are currently timing discrepancies in the guidance regarding this line of storms, the overall scope of the instability remains to be seen. Any slight uptick in values would aid in the strong to severe thunderstorm potential, with outlook potential from the SPC remaining on the table.

/44/

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 531 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026

VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours at all TAF sites. Generally light to variable winds expected this morning, increasing out of the west to northwest through the afternoon and evening hours.

25/Owen

FIRE WEATHER

Even with the low MinRH values today, MinRH values on Tuesday could be even lower given another surge of dry air. Thankfully, high winds won't be a factor today, and a Red Flag Warning won't be needed. This dry spell will be short lived, as MinRH values and rain chances will climb into Wednesday. Here, most locations will see 0.5 to 1 inch of rainfall into the weekend, with MinRH values dropping once more into the weekend. Given current condition, minor fire weather concerns will linger through Thursday, with rain chances dropping those down to little to none by Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 53 36 63 51 / 0 0 10 40 Anniston 53 37 64 53 / 0 0 0 40 Birmingham 53 40 65 56 / 0 0 0 40 Tuscaloosa 55 39 69 55 / 0 0 0 30 Calera 55 38 67 53 / 0 0 0 30 Auburn 53 38 67 56 / 0 0 0 30 Montgomery 56 37 71 56 / 0 0 0 30 Troy 56 37 72 56 / 0 0 0 30

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.