textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 625 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026

- Expect scattered storms to develop across the area this afternoon. A few storms in the southeast may be strong with gusty winds and heavy rainfall.

- High pressure will bring clear and less-humid weather from Wednesday to Friday.

DISCUSSION

(Today through Monday) Issued at 1200 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026

The remnants of Sunday afternoon's MCS (complex of thunderstorms) is over the northern Gulf as of the midnight hour. Numerous reports of wind damage were logged across central Alabama.

It'll be less rambunctious overnight, though remnant outflow boundaries and a passing impulse in the northwest flow aloft is shown to produce isolated showers and thunderstorms, primarily west of the 65. This is already evidenced by small cells in the vicinity of the Alabama/Mississippi line, on GWX radar as of the midnight hour, tapping into between 500-1,000 J/kg of MU-CAPE.

Through the rest of today, a north-south moisture gradient will be in place across Alabama (higher PWATs/moisture content north, lower south). Daytime heating combined with the presence of ill- defined surface to mid-level features over central Alabama should produce isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. The highest coverage should evolve across the southern portion of the state where an axis of low-level confluence will exist.

High pressure will build across the area Wednesday through Friday. During this time, clear weather and noticeably less-humid air are likely.

A repositioning of the surface high pressure center over the weekend will allow for humid air to return to the area. While ridging/high pressure will be the predominant feature as mid- level troughing holds to our west, that'll be enough for a chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

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AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 625 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026

Mid level clouds from the showers and storms in the west have kept most areas from seeing the low level deck that the models were forecasting. Included some VCSH at TCL, BHM and EET through the morning. Additional showers and storms may develop this afternoon and included a Prob30 for EET and all sites south. The best coverage of the showers and thunderstorms developing will be at MGM and AUO this afternoon/evening. Activity is expected to diminish after sunset tonight, giving way to a mostly clear and calm overnight period.

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FIRE WEATHER

There are no fire weather concerns over the week ahead. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast today. Clear weather is expected from Wednesday to Friday as high pressure builds across the area. While the high pressure system remains nearby this weekend, returning moisture will offer a low chance for showers and thunderstorms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 83 57 80 52 / 30 0 0 0 Anniston 83 60 79 55 / 40 10 0 0 Birmingham 83 62 80 58 / 40 10 0 0 Tuscaloosa 86 65 82 59 / 40 10 0 0 Calera 86 62 82 56 / 40 10 0 0 Auburn 84 62 78 58 / 50 30 0 0 Montgomery 86 64 80 57 / 50 40 0 0 Troy 88 63 79 57 / 50 50 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.