textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1218 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026

- Critically dry fuels, strong winds, and low minimum relative humidity behind the front will keep fire weather conditions elevated through next week.

- Temperatures will only be in the upper 60s to low 70s on Sunday, with lows on Monday in the low to mid 40s. Some locations in the northeast may be in the upper 30s.

- Next rain chances will be late Friday into Saturday.

DISCUSSION

(Sunday through next Saturday) Issued at 1142 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026

A strong cold has moved through the northwest with an outflow boundary now near the I-85 corridor. This will continue to slide south and east through the overnight. Post-frontal rain will continue to slide into the state, before decreasing in coverage by 3 to 4 am. Best chances after sunrise will be in the southeast through around 9 am. Highs will be in the upper 60s to low 70s during the afternoon, with winds around 15 mph to gusts near 25 mph at time through the day.

Dry weather will move into the area and will remain there through the end of the work week as high pressure once again sets up shop over the drought stricken Southeast. Highs will warm back into the upper 70s to low 80s on Monday, with the return to mid 80s by Tuesday through Friday.

The next system will move into the area Friday night or into Saturday, so lots of time to discuss it and fine tune the impacts to the area as we go through the week.

16

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1218 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026

Showers will continue over the next several hours as a cold front works south across the state. MVFR ceilings are already in place at BHM/EET/TCL and are expected to be at AUO/MGM shortly. VFR returns by mid morning. Northerly winds will continue to increase through the morning with gusts from 20-25 knots likely. Winds relax by 00Z Monday.

NOTE: Spring seasonal issuance of KASN TAF are now being issued and will run through 04/29 18z.

95/Castillo

FIRE WEATHER

Fire weather conditions will remain elevated through Friday, with fuels remaining critically dry. Rain chances end by late morning in the southeast and the dry air will filter in. Winds will be strong on Sunday with RH levels in the low to mid 20s. While the rain will remain light through the morning, forecast fuel levels for Sunday are to be in the low range for significant fire concern, so will hold off on any Red Flag Warnings, but with the stronger winds, burning will still be highly discouraged. Winds decrease on Monday and Tuesday, with RH levels in the low to mid 20s. Significant fire levels increase back to moderate on Monday so the winds will need to be monitored over the next few runs.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 68 39 76 43 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 68 41 76 46 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 69 46 77 50 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 71 44 79 48 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 69 44 79 48 / 10 0 0 0 Auburn 68 46 77 50 / 20 0 0 0 Montgomery 70 44 79 48 / 20 0 0 0 Troy 69 46 78 47 / 30 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.