textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1256 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026

- Low to medium chance for patchy fog development tonight, especially near bodies of water.

- High temperatures will be well above normal this week, with medium to high chances of record high temperatures.

- Cooler temperatures are expected by next Saturday, but how much cooler remains uncertain. Little to no precipitation is expected with this cold front.

DISCUSSION

(Tuesday through next Monday) Issued at 1056 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2026

Broad high pressure is going to persist through much of this week leading to above normal high temperatures each day. With the dry air mass in place, overnight lows are expected to drop into the upper 50s to low 60s each morning, but those cool mornings will warm up quickly after sunrise with several locations approaching or breaking high temperature records for this time of year.

A trough moves through the Midwest Friday into Saturday and will push a dry cold front southeastward through Central AL Friday night into Saturday morning. Little to no rain is expected from this, but much cooler temperatures will advect into the region Saturday through Sunday.

25/Owen

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1256 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026

Aside from transient fog drifting across the field at TCL overnight, conditions are expected to remain VFR through the duration of this forecast cycle. Surface high pressure will keep conditions clear with light to calm winds.

Note: Will continue with AMD NOT SKED at AUO due to missing observational data.

/61/

FIRE WEATHER

Warm and dry conditions are expected to be in place for much of the upcoming week. MinRHs will drop into the mid 30-40% range. A few locations in the west will see a low chance of dropping below 30% for a few hours over the next few afternoons if efficient mixing can occur. The main story will be a dry cold front that is expected next weekend bringing much cooler and drier air with breezy conditions for the weekend.

CLIMATE

Issued at 110 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026

Record High Temperatures:

Tue Oct. 13: KBHM: 89/1953 KEET: 89/2017 KANB: 90/1954 KTCL: 90/1963

Wed Oct. 14: KBHM: 89/1984 KEET: 89/2016 KANB: 88/1975 KTCL: 90/1962 KMGM: 91/1883

Thu Oct. 15: KBHM: 90/1897 KEET: 92/2025 KANB: 87/1975 KTCL: 91/1962 KMGM: 92/1881

Fri Oct. 16: KBHM: 90/1897 KEET: 90/2025 KANB: 87/1965 KTCL: 90/1962

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 88 57 89 59 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 87 60 88 60 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 89 62 90 62 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 91 60 92 60 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 89 60 90 60 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 87 63 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 88 60 89 60 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 88 59 89 60 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.