textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 503 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2026

- Frost and Freeze Potential: Chances are medium to high for frost development across portions of the area Sunday and Monday mornings, especially across the far northern counties and the Black Belt. There will be a low chance for a light freeze in the typically colder locations.

DISCUSSION

(Saturday through next Friday) Issued at 949 PM CST FRI NOV 6 2026

Cold air advection will continue overnight and tomorrow behind a secondary cold front. A post-frontal stratus deck has slowed its southward advance as it reaches our far northern counties so far. Winds and the stratus deck should prevent frost formation tomorrow morning. Highs will be below normal on Saturday. High pressure begins to move in Saturday night. Winds may stay up a little at unsheltered locations, but sheltered locations will see favorable radiational cooling conditions. Winds will be even lighter/calm Sunday night. Chances for frost are medium to high across the far northern counties and Black Belt Sunday and Monday mornings, with a low chance for a light freeze in the typically colder locations. Frost advisories will likely be needed when this gets closer.

Zonal flow will result in moderating temperatures early next week. A moisture-starved shortwave trough moves eastward across the area Tuesday/Tuesday night, which may result in a few sprinkles. Then a clipper system or two may squeeze out a few showers Wednesday through Friday as a deep longwave trough amplifies over the eastern CONUS. A strong cold front will result in low to medium chances for freezing temperatures next weekend.

32/JDavis

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 515 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2026

An MVFR cloud deck across northern Alabama continues to gradually erode, though a swath at/near BHM could persist as late as 14z. Otherwise, VFR conditions are forecast today and tonight with a steady fetch of high-level clouds. Northerly winds will become 5-10 knots, easing at sunset.

89^GSatterwhite

FIRE WEATHER

Afternoon minimum RH values will mainly be in the 35 to 45 percent range Saturday, dropping into the 30 to 40 percent range Sunday and the 25 to 35 percent range Monday and Tuesday. 20ft wind gusts should mainly remain less than 15 mph.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 65 36 68 34 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 66 38 69 35 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 63 40 66 38 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 64 39 68 37 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 63 40 67 38 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 67 43 71 42 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 67 40 70 39 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 67 40 71 39 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.