textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 610 AM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026

- Showers will continue across the far southeast counties of Central Alabama today.

- Rain-free conditions are anticipated for all of Central Alabama for Tuesday night and through this weekend.

DISCUSSION

(Tuesday through next Monday) Issued at 1140 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2026

In the lower levels, a large dome of high pressure is present across Eastern Conus and back southwestward into Texas. Satellite is indicating extensive cloud cover across Alabama, most of which across Central Alabama is mid to upper level cloudiness, with lower clouds and convection currently across the south closer to the coast. Stratus is expected to develop and push into the I- 85 corridor Tuesday morning. Only meager convection chances will be present for the rest of the night into Tuesday across the far southeast counties as an upper shortwave swings eastward across the Gulf Coast States. Conditions improve Tuesday night into Wednesday behind the upper wave. For Wednesday into Thursday, a reinforcing boundary is expected to move through and keep the lower humidity and dry conditions around for the end of the week. Temperatures will be near normal for Thursday behind the boundary, but are expected to warm as we head into the weekend as the surface ridge slowly nudges eastward and a warm onshore flow returns off of the gulf. For Saturday and on into Monday, highs will begin to approach 90 degrees in a few spots. Humidity will begin to rebound, but rain chances will continue to hold off through Monday for now.

08

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 610 AM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026

An upper-level disturbance will continue to move along the Gulf Coast while a wedge of high pressure builds in from the east. Easterly flow associated with the wedge will bring medium (60%) chances of MVFR cigs at MGM/AUO by around 14z, lingering through the day. Probabilities of MVFR cigs remain low (10-20%) elsewhere. Rain should mainly stay south of MGM/AUO, with just a low (10-20%) chance of -SHRA at those terminals, too low to mention in the TAF.

32/JDavis

FIRE WEATHER

There will be a small chance for showers and thunderstorms across the far southeast counties of Central Alabama through the daytime on Tuesday as an upper system moves across the Gulf Coast States along with slowly decreasing cloud cover from the northwest. Relative humidity values will remain up for Tuesday but decrease by Wednesday afternoon with readings from the upper 30s northwest to the lower 50 percent range southeast. Afternoon relative humidity values Thursday will fall further behind a reinforcing front, ranging from the upper 20 percent range to the 30s. Humidities slowly begin to rebound Friday into the weekend as surface ridging weakens and conditions warm.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 77 54 82 52 / 0 0 10 0 Anniston 76 55 80 53 / 0 0 10 0 Birmingham 78 59 83 56 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 82 60 83 56 / 10 0 0 0 Calera 78 58 83 56 / 10 0 0 0 Auburn 72 59 81 60 / 20 0 0 0 Montgomery 77 59 82 58 / 20 0 0 0 Troy 75 58 82 58 / 40 10 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.