textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1215 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
- Showers will affect parts of the Gulf Coast and Tennessee Valley regions through Tuesday. For central Alabama, the bulk of activity will occur today.
- Above-normal daytime and nighttime temperatures are expected on and around Christmas. Highs will be in the lower 70s for nearly all of Central Alabama with a medium to high chance for some communities to get as warm as the middle 70s.
DISCUSSION
(Today through next Saturday) Issued at 1215 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
A front will be draped across Alabama today with isentropic lift promoting cloudiness and light showers. As of 12:00 am Sunday, budding showers are starting to show on radar across north Mississippi. This activity will spread southeastward over the coming hours.
The primary corridor of lift should be nudged gradually to the west and then north on Monday and Tuesday, respectively, as the center of surface ridging drifts from near the Mid-Atlantic to the Southeast U.S. In turn, additional shower activity should be favor west Alabama on Monday and to our north on Tuesday.
An anomalous ridge of high pressure will become our primary weather feature mid to late week. This will result in above-normal temperatures for late December, by nearly 15 degrees for highs and lows. A climate summary has been provided at the bottom of this product for reference. Probabilities are now medium to high that some communities reach the middle 70s. Rain-free weather is forecast mid to late week, though spells of variable cloudiness may occur due to lobes of sub-tropical moisture along transversing the ridge.
89^GSatterwhite
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1215 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
VFR/MVFR cloudiness will overspread central Alabama overnight, with a trend to MVFR/IFR generally after 12z today. Scattered light showers will also affect central Alabama. Winds will be light throughout today, with some directional variability overnight as a front arrives, becoming predominately northeast with time.
89^GSatterwhite
FIRE WEATHER
Light showers will affect much of central Alabama today with rain totals averaging less than 0.25 inches. A few showers may continue to affect west Alabama on Monday, in contrast to dry air arriving to east Alabama where MinRHs are forecast to reach the upper 20s to lower 30s. Above-normal temperatures and rain-free weather is forecast for mid to late week with no issues from RHs based on elevated dew points. Winds will become northeast today, southeast on Monday, and southwest on Tuesday.
CLIMATE
Issued at 1215 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
Record High Temperatures:
December 23: KBHM: 73/2015 KEET: 74/2015 KANB: 73/2015 KTCL: 75/1964 KMGM: 78/1990
December 24: KBHM: 77/1964 KEET: 74/2016 KANB: 78/1964 KTCL: 86/2019 KMGM: 79/2016
December 25: KBHM: 78/2016 KEET: 79/2016 KANB: 78/2015 KTCL: 80/2016 KMGM: 82/2016
December 26: KBHM: 76/2021 KEET: 75/2016 KANB: 78/2015 KTCL: 75/2021 KMGM: 82/2015
December 27: KBHM: 77/2015 KEET: 77/2015 KANB: 76/2015 KTCL: 79/2015 KMGM: 80/2016
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 58 39 60 46 / 30 0 0 10 Anniston 59 43 60 47 / 40 10 0 10 Birmingham 57 46 60 50 / 50 10 10 10 Tuscaloosa 60 47 62 50 / 50 10 20 10 Calera 60 45 62 47 / 50 10 10 10 Auburn 63 49 62 47 / 20 20 0 0 Montgomery 62 51 65 47 / 30 20 0 0 Troy 66 50 65 46 / 20 20 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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