textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1214 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026

- Expect scattered storms to develop across the area this afternoon. A few storms in the southeast may be strong with gusty winds and heavy rainfall.

- High pressure will bring clear and less-humid weather from Wednesday to Friday.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 1214 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026

A weak frontal boundary is draped across Central AL today leading to an expansive shield of light to moderate rain. In the wake of the MCS from yesterday, instability has not been able to recover quite enough for widespread thunderstorm activity with this frontal boundary, but a few rumbles of thunder have been observed through the morning and will likely continue or increase into the afternoon.

High pressure builds across the region tomorrow through at least Friday with upper level ridging building in overhead. This will lead to large-scale descent and an overall decrease in shower and thunderstorm activity through the remainder of the week. The placement of the high to our north and northwest will lead to drier and slightly cooler easterly to northeasterly flow through Friday. The center of the high shifts off the Atlantic Coast by Saturday, which will support more southerly to southeasterly winds for Central AL. This wind shift will mark a return of moisture flow from the Gulf, leading to increased rain and thunderstorm chances Saturday through Monday. The overall synoptic forcing remains weak over the weekend, so I will only include mention for low to medium (30-55%) for rain and thunderstorms.

25/Owen

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1214 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026

VFR conditions expected through the remainder of today and through the overnight hours. A stalled frontal boundary has led to light rain shower activity for MGM and AUO and there's at least a 30% chance for an uptick through the afternoon for TSRA at these sites. Elsewhere, the probability for thunderstorms is very low. High clouds will remain persistent due to the stalled frontal boundary, but should not lead to flight restrictions. Winds will remain out of the east to northeast around 5-7kts through the overnight, then increasing to 8-10 with some gusts up to 15kts after 15z tomorrow as high pressure builds more overhead leading to better daytime mixing.

25/Owen

FIRE WEATHER

There are no fire weather concerns over the week ahead. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast today. Clear weather is expected from Wednesday to Friday as high pressure builds across the area. Min RHs are expected to drop into the 30- 50% range by Thursday. Returning moisture this weekend will offer a low to medium chance for showers and thunderstorms.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 57 80 53 82 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 60 80 54 82 / 10 0 0 0 Birmingham 63 81 58 82 / 10 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 66 83 58 83 / 10 0 0 0 Calera 63 83 55 83 / 10 0 0 0 Auburn 63 79 57 81 / 20 0 0 0 Montgomery 65 81 56 83 / 20 0 0 0 Troy 64 81 56 82 / 30 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.