textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 1115 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- Very cold air will remain across Central Alabama through the next week. A Cold Weather Advisory remains in effect for tonight.
DISCUSSION
(Through next Monday) Issued at 1115 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
The weather story for this forecast will remain the frigid airmass overhead, as it looks to stay in place for most of the next seven days. Even when temperatures do start to slightly warm up closer to the weekend, another deep trough and cold front will push through the region, dropping overnight lows right back into the teens Saturday night and Sunday night.
Some form of winter weather still looks possible with this system, but the limiting factor remains the location of the low pressure. As of tonight, it looks like the main trough will work into the region overnight Friday, and given ambient temperatures, would allow for a very small period of freezing rain. With that being said, that window is small, and it's entirely possible the progression is too fast. Meaning, the rain would move in when temperatures are above freezing. This would all be associated with the main trough, with the surface low by the Gulf being a completely different variable. Thankfully, this low still looks disorganized and too far south for any type of meaningful impacts. With that being said, this is something we will obviously keep an eye on for any impactful changes.
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AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1115 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
VFR conditions are expected for the entire TAF period.
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FIRE WEATHER
MinRH values will dramatically drop today behind the cold front, with most locations ranging between 30-40%. There is a chance that some locations drop to below 30% today, but most places will remain between 30-40% through the week. Even with this drying trend, most fuels remain somewhat damp from recent rainfall, so fire weather concerns will remain little to none for the next day or two.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 11 42 20 46 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 13 41 22 46 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 14 41 23 46 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 16 44 24 48 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 15 44 23 48 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 18 42 27 47 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 18 44 25 49 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 18 44 26 49 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM CST Tuesday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers- Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Etowah- Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo- Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.
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