textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 632 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026

- Widespread showers early this morning will gradually end but persist longest near and southeast of the 85 corridor through about midday.

- There is a medium to high chance for areas of dense fog across the northeast portions of the area this morning.

- There is a medium to high chance for seasonably warm temperatures next week.

DISCUSSION

(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 1210 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026

Wed-Thu: Surface observations show a front has entered northwest Alabama as of the midnight hour. The front will continue its southeastward trek this morning, eventually nudging away a more persistent area of showers near and southeast of the 85 toward midday. This batch of rain has produced, on average, between 0.25" to 0.75" of rain. Fog will be patchy this morning. Northwest winds will become somewhat breezy through the day, near 10 mph sustained with gusts around 20 mph. A colder air mass will overspread Central Alabama for today and Thursday.

Fri-Sun: Clear and rain-free conditions are forecast heading into and through the weekend alongside seasonable temperatures.

Mon-Tue & beyond: Models show a general pattern of ridging across the Gulf Coast region next week, though are also showing a couple progressive shortwave troughs within the mean flow. This setup is likely to promote (1) seasonably warm temperatures with highs crossing 70F for a chunk of Central Alabama and perhaps (2) an opportunity for increased cloudiness and precipitation at some point, per model ensembles. The latter will of course be dependent on the evolution of any shortwaves.

89^GSatterwhite

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 632 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026

Low cigs (MVFR-LIFR) are present across much of the area this morning. RA continues for MGM and AUO for this morning ahead of a front. RA has ended at the other sites. Some areas of dense fog are possible this morning, but should improve between 15-17z as drier air moves in behind the front. Low cigs will linger through the forecast, but should improve to MVFR ~19-21z. NW winds will be present behind the front.

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FIRE WEATHER

Rain will persist longest today near and southeast of the 85 corridor, though should be out of here by midday. A northwest wind will increase to near 10 mph with gusts around 20 mph. From today through the weekend, no critical MinRHs periods are noted at this time, though a few days will offer MinRHs in the 30s. In the short-term, the lowest and most widespread MinRH day is Thursday, featuring low-mid 30s, perhaps a few upper 20s in the vicinity of the Highway 80 corridor (Livingston to Montgomery to Phenix City).

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 47 23 44 24 / 20 0 0 0 Anniston 49 24 44 27 / 30 0 0 0 Birmingham 47 25 44 29 / 10 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 47 25 46 29 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 48 24 46 28 / 20 0 0 0 Auburn 55 28 47 29 / 80 0 0 0 Montgomery 55 29 48 28 / 60 0 0 0 Troy 57 31 48 28 / 90 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for the following counties: Blount-Calhoun-Cherokee-Etowah-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega.