textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1252 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
- High pressure will bring clear and less-humid weather from Wednesday to Friday.
DISCUSSION
(Today through Monday) Issued at 1200 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
The remnants of Sunday afternoon's MCS (complex of thunderstorms) is over the northern Gulf as of the midnight hour. Numerous reports of wind damage were logged across central Alabama.
It'll be less rambunctious overnight, though remnant outflow boundaries and a passing impulse in the northwest flow aloft is shown to produce isolated showers and thunderstorms, primarily west of the 65. This is already evidenced by small cells in the vicinity of the Alabama/Mississippi line, on GWX radar as of the midnight hour, tapping into between 500-1,000 J/kg of MU-CAPE.
Through the rest of today, a north-south moisture gradient will be in place across Alabama (higher PWATs/moisture content north, lower south). Daytime heating combined with the presence of ill- defined surface to mid-level features over central Alabama should produce isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. The highest coverage should evolve across the southern portion of the state where an axis of low-level confluence will exist.
High pressure will build across the area Wednesday through Friday. During this time, clear weather and noticeably less-humid air are likely.
A repositioning of the surface high pressure center over the weekend will allow for humid air to return to the area. While ridging/high pressure will be the predominant feature as mid- level troughing holds to our west, that'll be enough for a chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.
89^GSatterwhite
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1252 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
A subtle shortwave is traversing western Central Alabama. The bulk of precipitation should remain west of Tuscaloosa through 10z; consequently, only VCSH is included through sunrise. Given abundant moisture, models suggest a brief window for IFR conditions just before dawn. Following any sunrise ceiling or visibility reductions, a return to VFR is expected by mid- morning, with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing through the afternoon.
16
FIRE WEATHER
There are no fire weather concerns over the week ahead. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast today. Clear weather is expected from Wednesday to Friday as high pressure builds across the area. While the high pressure system remains nearby this weekend, returning moisture will offer a low chance for showers and thunderstorms.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 83 57 80 52 / 30 0 0 0 Anniston 83 60 79 55 / 40 10 0 0 Birmingham 83 62 80 58 / 40 10 0 0 Tuscaloosa 86 65 82 59 / 40 10 0 0 Calera 86 62 82 56 / 40 10 0 0 Auburn 84 62 78 58 / 50 30 0 0 Montgomery 86 64 80 57 / 50 40 0 0 Troy 88 63 79 57 / 50 50 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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