textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 129 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
- Heat: Dangerous heat indices of 105 to 109 degrees are expected Tuesday for all of Central Alabama. A Heat Advisory is in effect.
- Severe Wednesday: There is a 1, out of 5 marginal risk for severe thunderstorms across the southeast counties of Central Alabama Wednesday afternoon and evening. The main threats are damaging straight-line winds and large hail.
DISCUSSION
(This afternoon through Sunday) Issued at 129 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
Upper-level ridging shifts east through the work week, setting the stage for significant heat risk. Tuesday stands out as the hottest and most oppressive day, with highs reaching the upper 90s to near 100 degrees. Combined with dew points in the mid- to upper 70s, heat indices will approach 110. A Heat Advisory has been issued, beginning this afternoon for western areas and expanding area-wide through Tuesday. While the MCS train persists, the primary track appears to remain east of our area on Tuesday, limiting rain chances. However, rounds of showers and storms remain possible as shortwave energy rotates along the ridge's periphery. By mid-week, the ridge suppresses as a trough builds over the East Coast and a deep low develops over New England. This pattern change will allow for a gradual cooldown, with highs trending into the upper 80s and low 90s by Friday.
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AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 129 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
VRF are in place across the area. Northwest 5 to 10 knots through 00Z, then light and variable overnight. There could be some patchy fog at all sites overnight. Went ahead and put in TEMPO conditions for all sites from 10 to 13Z.
Note: AMD NOT SKED for KAUO due to a weather observation outage.
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FIRE WEATHER
Fire weather concerns remain minimal through the weekend, supported by a warm, humid air mass and persistent rain chances. MinRH values are expected to remain above 50 percent through Monday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 74 96 75 90 / 0 10 20 30 Anniston 74 95 75 90 / 0 10 10 20 Birmingham 76 97 77 91 / 0 10 10 40 Tuscaloosa 77 98 78 93 / 0 10 10 40 Calera 75 97 77 94 / 10 10 0 40 Auburn 75 96 78 91 / 10 10 10 40 Montgomery 75 98 78 95 / 10 10 0 30 Troy 74 96 77 95 / 20 10 0 30
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT Tuesday for the following counties: Autauga-Bibb-Blount-Chilton-Dallas-Elmore-Fayette-Greene-Hale- Jefferson-Lamar-Lowndes-Marengo-Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens- Shelby-Sumter-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.
Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 9 PM CDT Tuesday for the following counties: Barbour-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee-Clay- Cleburne-Coosa-Etowah-Lee-Macon-Pike-Randolph-Russell-St. Clair- Talladega-Tallapoosa.
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