textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 155 PM CST FRI NOV 6 2026
- Frost and Freeze Potential: Chances are medium to high for frost development across portions of the area Sunday and Monday mornings, especially across the far northern counties and the Black Belt. There will be a low chance for a light freeze in the typically colder locations.
DISCUSSION
(This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 155 PM CST FRI NOV 6 2026
Rather benign weather pattern is forecast across central Alabama over the next 7 days. Big story in the short term will be temperatures, especially Sunday and Monday mornings. Models continue to depict medium to high chances for frost conditions both mornings, with a light freeze possible in the colder microclimates in the north and east central counties. A decision on a Frost Advisory for early Sunday morning will likely be needed later tonight/overnight.
Conditions are forecast to remain rain free through the remainder of of the 7 day period. Temperatures will moderate a bit through the early to middle part of the upcoming work week. However, the models are advertising another sizable upper level trough developing over the eastern half of the country by the end of the week. While this trough will help keep the Gulf shut off and moisture levels low, it will also help to push another cold surface high into the lower 48, taking temperatures back down to near (or below) climatological normals.
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AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1140 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2026
VFR conditions expected across area terminals through the next 24 hours. Just scattered cirrus at most. Winds will stay up a but tonight, so fog should not be as much of an issue.
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FIRE WEATHER
A dry cold front will move through the area today, bringing northerly winds and cooler and drier conditions. Afternoon minimum RH values will mainly be in the 35 to 45 percent range Friday and Saturday, dropping into the 30 to 40 percent range Sunday and Monday. 20ft winds gusts should mainly remain less than 15 mph.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 39 64 34 68 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 42 65 36 68 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 43 63 38 66 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 44 64 37 67 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 45 63 39 66 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 48 67 41 70 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 47 67 39 70 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 47 67 37 69 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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