textproduct: NWS Birmingham

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 218 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026

- High pressure will bring clear and less-humid weather through Friday.

- Opportunities for showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast starting Saturday for the southwest counties and for all of Central Alabama by Sunday, persisting into the week.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Wednesday) Issued at 218 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026

A large dome of surface high pressure continues across Eastern Conus this afternoon. Some scattered high clouds are present across the south and west portions of the area on satellite. Elsewhere, mostly sunny skies are noted. Fair and less humid weather is expected to continue through the short term forecast through Friday and for many on Saturday as the surface ridge remains the dominant feature. Friday into Saturday, the ridge center will slowly nudge southeast as the overall ridge slowly weakens. Temperatures will be below normal in the short term but will slowly rise each day headed into the weekend.

Onshore flow returns this weekend in the lower levels as the surface ridge continues to weaken and push off into the Western Atlantic. Shortwave disturbances will propagate periodically around a Deep South and Gulf upper ridge through the extended. This will result in daily diurnally enhanced convection chances starting Saturday in the southwest counties and for all by Sunday.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1257 PM CDT THU JUN 4 2026

A VFR forecast is expected for the next 24 hours at all TAF sites with surface ridging in control across Eastern Conus. Only occasional high cloud cover is expected. Winds will be east to southeast 5-10kts during this afternoon and again on Friday with mixing with light and variable to near calm winds overnight.

FIRE WEATHER

There are no fire weather concerns over the coming days. Due to relatively dry high pressure, fair weather is expected through Friday with afternoon MinRH between 30-50 percent. High pressure weakens and pushes eastward over the weekend. This will allow for moisture values to rebound and chances for showers and thunderstorms to return into next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 56 85 60 87 / 0 0 0 10 Anniston 58 86 62 88 / 0 0 0 10 Birmingham 61 86 65 87 / 0 0 0 10 Tuscaloosa 61 87 66 87 / 0 0 0 20 Calera 59 88 63 89 / 0 0 0 10 Auburn 62 85 64 87 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 61 87 64 89 / 0 0 0 10 Troy 61 86 62 88 / 0 0 0 10

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.

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