textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1026 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2026

- There is a Marginal (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe storms late Saturday afternoon and evening. The primary threat will be damaging straight-line wind gusts up to 60 mph.

- Increasing chances for showers and a few thunderstorms through Monday.

DISCUSSION

(Saturday through next Friday) Issued at 1026 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2026

The main story for Saturday will be the cold front moving into the region with increasing rain and thunderstorm chances through the day. There's a low chance for some strong to severe storms with damaging winds and hail being the primary concerns. The front is expected to stall just to our northwest Sunday and lift back northward Monday into Tuesday.

A shortwave is expected to slide through the region Monday, leading to another round of rain and thunderstorms before our next main trough sometime Wednesday into Thursday. Guidance has still shown a decent amount of variability in the timing of this trough, but it will be the next system to watch for strong to severe storms as we go through the middle part of next week.

25/Owen

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 451 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2026

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are moving through Central AL this evening with the main impacts likely staying around TCL, MGM, and TOI before the storms dissipate later tonight. VFR conditions expected through around 09-10z before CIGs drop to MVFR and eventually IFR. Similar to last night, there's a medium chance of CIGs dropping to LIFR briefly in the 12-15z range, but confidence is low right not to include it in the TAFS. CIGs improve after 15z, becoming VFR again after 18z for all sites.

25/Owen

FIRE WEATHER

A frontal boundary will push into the region Saturday leading to increased rain chances with some strong storms Saturday afternoon across Central AL. High rain chances continue Sunday morning, then again on Monday as an upper level system moves through. We should see a break in the rain/storms on Tuesday before another stronger system moves through towards the middle part of next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 59 81 59 73 / 30 60 90 80 Anniston 61 82 61 73 / 30 40 90 80 Birmingham 63 79 62 73 / 30 70 90 80 Tuscaloosa 63 81 62 74 / 30 70 90 80 Calera 61 82 61 75 / 30 60 90 90 Auburn 63 82 63 73 / 30 30 50 80 Montgomery 61 84 64 73 / 20 30 50 80 Troy 60 85 62 75 / 10 20 30 80

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.