textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1222 AM CDT SAT APR 11 2026

- Warm temperatures are expected through next week, with rain- free conditions through at least Wednesday.

- Fire danger will be elevated the next couple of days due to recent dryness, lower RH values, and elevated winds, but sub- critical conditions are expected.

- Drought conditions are expected to worsen through next week.

DISCUSSION

(Tonight through next Thursday) Issued at 838 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026

High pressure will build and linger over the southeast through the middle of next work week. Winds Saturday will mostly out of the east with dry and warm air advected over the state. Winds will remain light, to near calm in places, so fire danger will be a concern, though sub Red Flag Warning criteria. Sunday, the high shifts slightly eastward, putting the state on the western side, with south to southeasterly flow. Moisture will begin to advect into the state, with RH values expected to rise slightly by Monday. Winds will increase on Sunday with a mid level jet moving around that high.

Next week, several shortwaves move around the high, though the trend is continuing dry through the week. Models are now trying to show dry weather through at least Friday, with southerly flow each day, and temperatures climbing into the mid to upper 80s each day.

Drought conditions are expected to worsen quickly this week with the lack of rain. Breezy conditions and low RH values each afternoon will also trigger a fire weather threat, and we'll evaluate each day to analyze the extent of the threat.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 AM CDT SAT APR 11 2026

Aside from some transient scattered cirrus clouds, conditions will otherwise remain clear with light winds across central Alabama TAF locations through the next 24 hours.

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FIRE WEATHER

Dry conditions are expected through at least Thursday, with high pressure dominating the pattern. RH values remain in the 20-30% range Saturday and Sunday, increasing to the low to mid 30s by Monday. Although conditions are expected to remain below red flag thresholds, ongoing drought conditions will keep fuels very dry. Any fires could spread quickly due to the the dry conditions and steady afternoon winds that are forecast. Conditions will be closely monitored over the coming days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 83 50 86 56 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 83 54 86 57 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 85 57 86 60 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 85 56 86 57 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 85 55 86 57 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 83 57 84 57 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 85 55 87 56 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 84 55 85 55 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.