textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 741 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026

- A marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) for severe thunderstorms is in effect for Saturday afternoon and evening across the southern third of the state. Threats include damaging wind gusts and large hail.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Wednesday) Issued at 1227 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026

A few lingering showers can be seen on radar early this afternoon across our southeastern areas. This activity will gradually come to an end as the cold front continues to nudge south. Surface high pressure will briefly settle in, keeping us dry through the remainder of the day and through much of Friday. As we head into the weekend, an upper low over the Baja coast will eject across Texas and slide across the Northern Gulf coast. Several bouts of H5 vorticity will pass through the region over the weekend, leading to a few rounds over showers and a few thunderstorms. Greatest chances will be found across the southern half of the state where forcing will be maximized along a stalled front. Towards the end of the weekend, an upper trough moving across the Great Lakes will send another cold front our way. The boundary looks to pass through on Monday, bringing drier conditions back to the region.

Otherwise, no temperature extremes are noted over the next seven days. High and low temperatures will be seasonal.

95/Castillo

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 741 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026

VFR conditions are expected for the 24 hour forecast in the wake of a cold front that has pushed south of AL. Northwest winds are expected to become light and variable after sunset. Winds will become southerly during the afternoon on Friday as a result of the surface ridge center shifting from TN eastward to off of the Carolina coast.

Note: AMD NOT SKED continues to TCL due to intermittent observations

08

FIRE WEATHER

After a brief rain-free period over the next 24 hours, spells of showers and a few thunderstorms will return late Friday and continue through the weekend. Clear weather should return on Monday and persist for a few days. Min RH values are likely to remain above 50% through the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 45 73 51 78 / 0 0 40 30 Anniston 48 73 54 77 / 0 0 50 50 Birmingham 51 73 56 78 / 0 0 60 40 Tuscaloosa 52 74 57 78 / 0 0 70 40 Calera 51 75 56 79 / 0 0 70 50 Auburn 55 73 59 75 / 0 0 70 80 Montgomery 55 73 58 76 / 0 0 70 80 Troy 56 74 58 76 / 0 10 60 80

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.