textproduct: NWS Birmingham

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1126 PM CST FRI NOV 13 2026

- Freezing temperatures: A widespread frost and freeze is expected through the weekend for Central Alabama. Freeze warnings are currently in effect for both this Friday night and again for Saturday night.

DISCUSSION

(Saturday through next Friday) Issued at 949 PM CST FRI NOV 13 2026

Winds are still expected to decouple overnight, allowing for radiational cooling to occur over a good portion of the state. Because of that, overnight lows are expected to fall near, or below freezing in many locations, with a Freeze Warning going into effect at Midnight, and remaining in effect until 8 AM Saturday. The same thing is expected to occur again Saturday night, with another Freeze warning in effect for that same timeframe. Thankfully, overnight lows should stay slightly more insulated Sunday night, as clouds return to the skies during the overnight hours.

These clouds will be associated with a weak upper-level low that forms off to our west, moving into the region sometime on Monday. While this low pressure will provide ample lift for increased rain chances, a lack of moisture return ahead of this low should keep any form of precipitation limited. Upper-level ridging is still expected to build in across the SE closer to the middle of the workweek, with afternoon highs climbing back into the upper-60s and mid-70s by Thursday. With that being said, confidence is high that overnight lows will stay on the cool side, as cold air remains filtering down the Appalachian Mountains. Otherwise, rainfall remains absent from the forecast for most of the next seven days.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1220 PM CST FRI NOV 13 2026

VFR TAFs are expected for the next 24 hours with surface high pressure settling in behind a front. Winds will be light/variable to near calm during the overnight hours and NRLY 6-11kts during the day with mixing.

08

FIRE WEATHER

MinRH values will be in the 25 to 35 percent range over the weekend, but 20ft wind gusts should remain less than 15 mph. Moisture increases very slightly on Monday as a system passes south of the area. Very little to no rainfall is forecast for the next 7 days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 30 57 28 60 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 31 56 28 59 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 32 56 32 58 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 32 58 32 60 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 32 56 32 58 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 34 57 34 59 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 33 59 32 60 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 33 58 32 59 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Freeze Warning until 8 AM CST Saturday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers- Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Etowah- Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo- Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.

Freeze Warning from midnight Saturday night to 8 AM CST Sunday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock- Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas- Elmore-Etowah-Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes- Macon-Marengo-Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph- Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa- Walker-Winston.


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