textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 635 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2026

- Thunderstorms: Daily opportunities for mainly afternoon and evening storms will remain in the forecast for now through the beginning of next week. A few of these storms will be capable of normal summertime hazards such as gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy downpours.

DISCUSSION

(Thursday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1021 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2026

The overall pattern doesn't change significantly over the next few days. Broad low level ridging will keep our warm/humid air mass in place and allow for our typical diurnal pattern of summertime thunderstorms Thursday and Friday afternoons. A very weak upper level low slowly shifts across to our north on Thursday, which could lead to slightly above normal coverage of those afternoon thunderstorms, but the overall forcing remains weak.

As we go into the weekend and slow-moving boundary is expected to push southward into our area. This will provide a stronger focus for afternoon thunderstorms. Because of this, the coverage of thunderstorm activity will be higher across Central AL each afternoon Saturday through at least Monday before shifting more to the southern portions of our area by Tuesday.

25/Owen

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 635 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2026

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop through the morning, and increase in coverage and intensity through the afternoon and evening hours. Have included VCSH at all sites except KMGM and KTOI until the afternoon, to account for scattered convection already ongoing and moving across the northern half of the state. Confidence is too low to include prevailing showers or thunder, so left mention in PROB30 and with VCSH for now. Tonight, there could be fog development, though the location will depend on where convection lingers late into the evening and early night. Any activity over a TAF site will lower visibility to IFR at least, with gusting winds.

24

FIRE WEATHER

Fire weather concerns continue to be low. Our warm and moist air mass will remain in place with diurnally driving thunderstorm activity expected over the next several days. Winds will continue to generally be light during the day becoming calm during the overnight periods.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 92 72 92 72 / 30 10 60 30 Anniston 91 73 91 73 / 30 10 50 20 Birmingham 92 74 93 75 / 30 10 40 20 Tuscaloosa 91 74 93 75 / 40 10 30 10 Calera 95 74 96 74 / 40 10 40 10 Auburn 91 74 92 74 / 30 10 30 20 Montgomery 94 74 94 75 / 30 20 30 10 Troy 93 73 93 73 / 30 20 40 10

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.