textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1155 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026

- Cooler, Drier Early Fall Pattern: A dry and cooler air mass will be in place across Central Alabama through the first part of the upcoming week, with daytime highs in the lower to middle 80s and nighttime lows in the 50s to the lower 60s..

DISCUSSION

(Sunday through next Saturday) Issued at 1155 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026

This evening, surface ridging is in place across Eastern Conus. In the upper levels, a ridge is present across Mexico with a large low just off of the Mid Atlantic Coast resulting in northwest flow into Alabama. In the short term, look for pleasant temperatures along with low humidity and rain free conditions. There will be some weak disturbances through the upper flow around the trough, but lower moisture will be quite limited with only some mid/upper clouds expected. By the middle of the upcoming week, a boundary is expected to move back northward as a warm front before fizzling out yielding increased moisture across Central Alabama with overall south to southeast onshore flow. At the same time, the upper ridge over Mexico will get infringed upon by a low moving eastward out of California into New Mexico with weak flow over Alabama. Toward the latter half of the week, guidance shows temperatures moderating upward with our return to a warmer onshore flow. Moisture will need to recover a bit before we can expect any significant rain chances. Low rain chances return by Thursday for portions of the area. However, more substantial chances hold off until next weekend ahead of an approaching front.

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AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 702 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026

VFR conditions are expected at all TAF sites through the 24 hour forecast with surface high pressure across Eastern Conus. Winds will be light/variable to near calm overnight and NW-N 5-9kts during the day with mixing.

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FIRE WEATHER

Dry weather will persist through the first half of the upcoming week with light winds keeping overall concerns low. Afternoon minimum relative humidity values will drop into the middle 20 to lower 30 percent range Sunday through Tuesday as the drying trend continues. Humidity values slowly start to increase starting Wednesday. Rain chances return for the latter part of the upcoming week into next weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 55 84 54 86 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 55 82 53 84 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 60 85 58 86 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 60 88 59 88 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 59 86 57 87 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 58 84 57 84 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 61 87 58 86 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 60 87 57 86 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.