textproduct: NWS Birmingham
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 513 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
- Low temperatures near or below freezing will continue through Sunday morning, then there is a high chance for lows remaining above freezing through much of next week.
- Dry conditions will persist through early on Tuesday, followed by low to medium chances for showers later in the day Tuesday with low chances for showers through late next week.
DISCUSSION
(Today through Friday) Issued at 102 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
Cold front is quickly making its way south across the state early this morning, bringing what should be a relatively brief return to seasonable chill weather for the weekend. Satellite imagery shows some upslope enhance cloudiness in northeast Alabama, but it is having a hard time making it south. Looks like lots of sunshine for central Alabama today, which should offset (at least a little bit) the gusty and chilly north wind.
As we move from the weekend into the next work week, the upper level pattern finally starts to flatten out across the Gulf Coast region, which should bring a general warming trend to our state. Global long range models do show a pretty substantial shortwave trough scooting right along the coast, which could throw some rain our way on Wednesday. After that, the flat ridge becomes reestablished for the end of the work week, keeping temperatures at or above seasonal normals.
/61/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 513 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
VFR conditions prevail through this TAF cycle. Northerly winds will gust occasionally to 20 knots through this afternoon. Light and variable winds resume overnight.
95/Castillo
FIRE WEATHER
Dry conditions will prevail through early Tuesday. A reinforcing cold front will bring even drier air into the area late Saturday into Sunday. RH minimums Saturday will range from around 30% far east to near 40% west. The RH values Saturday night only look to recover into the 50% range across this area, followed by RH minimums on Sunday from the low to mid 20% range across the eastern half of the area to readings in the 30% range far west.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Gadsden 49 24 57 33 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 50 25 57 37 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 50 29 58 41 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 54 28 61 42 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 52 27 60 40 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 53 30 59 40 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 55 29 61 41 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 56 29 62 40 / 0 0 0 0
BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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