textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 524 AM CST MON NOV 9 2026

- Patchy Frost: Lows as cold as the mid 30s and light winds will support patchy frost across the region this morning.

- Brief chane for rain: Some showers are forecast for locations near and north of Interstate 20 from late Wednesday to early Thursday. Otherwise, dry weather prevails this week.

- Late-Week Cold Front: A strong cold front on Thursday will bring gusty winds and colder air, setting us up for a widespread frost and freeze heading into the weekend.

DISCUSSION

(Monday through next Sunday) Issued at 1004 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2026

We are cooling off nicely once again this evening with temperatures already down into the upper 40s to mid 50s. Lows in the mid 30s, light winds, and narrowing dew point depressions will promote another round of patchy frost across the region from midnight through 8 AM Monday morning.

Dry air and surface high pressure will keep us dry as we head through the first half of the work week. The upper level pattern starts to pick up a bit by mid week with a southern stream trough lifting across the Southern Plains. Enough moisture looks to pool across the region ahead of this feature to warrant a low to medium (20-40%) chance of rain late Wednesday through Thursday morning. A stronger upper level trough quickly rips across much of the eastern US Thursday through the weekend. An associated cold front will be sent our way on Thursday with a reinforcing surge of high pressure arriving over the weekend. Limited moisture will lead to a dry FROPA with this late week system.

Temperatures will slowly warm through the work week with highs rebounding into the low to mid 70s by Tuesday/Wednesday. Thursday's cold front will bring another shot of cooler air to the region with highs struggling to break out of the 50s. Lows will plummet into the low to mid 30s next week. Latest NBM probabilities have increased and are now hinting at 60-90% chance of seeing freezing temps across our northern counties Saturday and Sunday mornings.

95/Castillo

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 524 AM CST MON NOV 9 2026

There's high confidence in continued VFR conditions, featuring passing high-level clouds and calm to light northerly winds.

89^GSatterwhite

FIRE WEATHER

Slight drier air in place on Monday will lead to min RH values from 25-35% across the region. However, light winds will help negate fire weather concerns. Moisture will slowly return through the week with min RHs increasing to 45-60% by Thursday. This increase in moisture will warrant a 20-40% chance of rain Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning. Drier air and cooler temps return next weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 73 39 73 41 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 74 42 74 44 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 73 45 73 46 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 73 42 74 43 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 72 45 73 45 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 74 46 75 47 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 74 44 75 46 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 73 42 75 45 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST this morning for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers- Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Etowah- Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo- Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa-Walker-Winston.