textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1223 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026

- Dry conditions will continue, with little to no rainfall forecast over the next seven days.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Saturday) Issued at 1223 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026

The ridges will finally begin to break down tomorrow, as the trough and cold front we've been talking about the last few days begins to drop south. Afternoon highs on Monday will only drop a few degrees for most locations, before the larger temperature swing into Tuesday. Here, highs will generally range in the mid-60s north and east, to the mid-70s south. Another weak shortwave will work through the region Tuesday night, which will allow for some low-end rain chances to return to the forecast. With that being said, measurable rainfall seems very limited, and no additional rainfall is expected over the next week.

Temperatures will begin to climb again by Wednesday, as upper-level ridging starts to slide back east. By Friday, afternoon highs should again be back into the upper-70s to mid-80s. Thankfully, it still appears as if another cold front will start to work into the area by next weekend, allowing for another much need cool down.

/44/

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026

Conditions will remain VFR for most of this TAF period, before low clouds increase in coverage past 23/10z. Here, MVFR CIGS will expand in coverage, and are expected to remain for most of the morning.

/44/

FIRE WEATHER

Little to no rainfall is anticipated the next seven days, with highs continuing to range in the upper-70s and low-80s. Because of this, MinRH values will generally remain in the 30-40% range, with some slight day-to-day variations possible. Given the lack of forecast rainfall, fire weather talking points are likely to increase as the week progresses, with a medium chance for highlighted fire weather concerns by next weekend.

CLIMATE

Issued at 1058 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026

Record high temperatures in danger of breaking over the next few days:

March 22: KBHM: 88/1907 KEET: 81/2011 KANB: 84/1904 KTCL: 86/1995

March 23: KEET: 82/2023

March 26: KBHM: 86/1929 KEET: 85/2020 KANB: 86/2007 KTCL: 87/2005

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 59 75 45 66 / 0 10 0 10 Anniston 58 75 46 65 / 0 10 0 10 Birmingham 62 75 50 69 / 0 10 0 10 Tuscaloosa 59 77 49 73 / 0 10 0 10 Calera 59 77 48 71 / 0 10 0 10 Auburn 59 79 53 65 / 0 0 0 10 Montgomery 58 81 53 74 / 0 10 0 0 Troy 58 82 57 74 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.