textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 608 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026

- Variable chances for showers and thunderstorms are forecast through the weekend.

- Seasonably warm temperatures are expected through Saturday.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 1245 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026

Ridging centered over the western Atlantic will act to deflect mid-level flow and associated shortwaves for the next few days; however, a weakness in the high pressure pattern over the Gulf Coast region will aid in the development of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms as weak impulses round the western perimeter of the Atlantic ridge.

A stronger trough will scoot across the northern U.S. over the weekend, sending a front our way Saturday night into Sunday. This front will offer a better chance for more widespread rainfall. Given the wind field associated with this system bypassing us to the north, and minimal instability, severe thunderstorms are not expected at this time.

Temperatures will run above typical for this time of year through Saturday. Currently forecast highs are just shy of records, several of which were set just last year.

89^GSatterwhite

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 608 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026

Showers and storms remain ongoing across the region, with TSRA TEMPO'd in at KAUO through 01/01z. However, skies will generally clear over the next few hours, before MVFR CIGS roll back in past 01/10z. Additional shower and thunderstorm activity is possible past 01/18z, but confidence was not high enough to introduce that at this time.

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FIRE WEATHER

Variable shower and thunderstorm chances are forecast through the weekend. Coverage will be isolated to scattered from today to Saturday. A front Saturday night into Sunday will offer a better chance for more widespread rainfall with amounts averaging close to or less than one inch.

MinRHs over the next few days will be in the 40 percent range with isolated occurrences of upper 30 percent. Southerly flow near 5-10 mph is expected through Saturday, becoming northwesterly on Sunday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 59 83 58 84 / 10 40 20 20 Anniston 60 83 59 84 / 20 40 30 10 Birmingham 63 83 62 84 / 10 50 20 10 Tuscaloosa 62 83 61 86 / 20 50 10 10 Calera 62 83 60 85 / 20 50 20 10 Auburn 61 83 62 84 / 20 50 30 10 Montgomery 61 85 59 85 / 20 50 20 10 Troy 60 84 59 84 / 20 40 20 10

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.