textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1142 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2026

- Frost and Freeze Potential: Chances are medium to high for frost development across portions of the area Sunday and Monday mornings, especially across the far northern counties and the Black Belt. There will be a low chance for a light freeze in the typically colder locations.

DISCUSSION

(Saturday through next Friday) Issued at 949 PM CST FRI NOV 6 2026

Cold air advection will continue overnight and tomorrow behind a secondary cold front. A post-frontal stratus deck has slowed its southward advance as it reaches our far northern counties so far. Winds and the stratus deck should prevent frost formation tomorrow morning. Highs will be below normal on Saturday. High pressure begins to move in Saturday night. Winds may stay up a little at unsheltered locations, but sheltered locations will see favorable radiational cooling conditions. Winds will be even lighter/calm Sunday night. Chances for frost are medium to high across the far northern counties and Black Belt Sunday and Monday mornings, with a low chance for a light freeze in the typically colder locations. Frost advisories will likely be needed when this gets closer.

Zonal flow will result in moderating temperatures early next week. A moisture-starved shortwave trough moves eastward across the area Tuesday/Tuesday night, which may result in a few sprinkles. Then a clipper system or two may squeeze out a few showers Wednesday through Friday as a deep longwave trough amplifies over the eastern CONUS. A strong cold front will result in low to medium chances for freezing temperatures next weekend.

32/JDavis

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1142 AM CST SAT NOV 7 2026

Visual meteorological conditions are forecast across central Alabama over the 24 hours. I suppose there is a low chance of some transient light fog in the usual areas (namely TCL) overnight tonight, but the computer model guidance suggests even that chance is too low to include in the TAFs for now. Thus, we are left with primarily a wind forecast with no cloud expected below 12000 ft.

/61/

FIRE WEATHER

Afternoon minimum RH values will mainly be in the 35 to 45 percent range today, dropping into the 30 to 40 percent range Sunday and the 25 to 35 percent range Monday and Tuesday. 20ft wind gusts should mainly remain less than 15 mph.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 65 35 68 34 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 66 37 69 36 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 63 40 67 38 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 64 39 68 38 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 63 40 67 39 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 67 42 72 43 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 67 39 71 38 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 67 38 71 38 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.