textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1150 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2026

- Mainly dry conditions expected this week with seasonable temperatures.

- Fire danger will be somewhat elevated the next couple of days due to recent dryness, lower RH values, and an increase in winds, but sub-critical conditions are expected.

DISCUSSION

(Monday through next Sunday) Issued at 1134 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2026

Rain has ended across the area and it's shaping up to be a cool, Spring night with temperatures set to fall into the 40s. A subtle mid to upper-level shortwave trough will pass along the Gulf coast today and will contribute to high-level cloud cover, but it will be a comfortable day as a region of high pressure centered over Oklahoma extends east into the Tennessee Valley and promotes mild north-northeasterly flow. There will also be a 5-10 mph breeze with occasional 15-18 mph gusts due to an enhanced pressure gradient. A secondary dry front will pass through the area on Tuesday associated with a trough over the Northeast. This boundary will reinforce the cool, dry conditions in place across the region as low-level ridging shifts from west to east across the Gulf Coast region through the middle of the week. We will have to keep an eye on fire weather conditions this week with low afternoon humidity and elevated winds, but sub-critical conditions are currently forecast.

The low to mid-level ridge will begin to build over the western Atlantic for the second half of the work week which will support easterly low-level flow and a cold air damming setup across the area. There will be another mid-level shortwave trough which will pass across Central AL on Wednesday night that will support an increase in cloud cover, and a small chance of a few brief showers across our southeast, but appreciable rainfall is not expected. Mid- level height rises will begin to occur by the end of the week as we remain under the influence of persistent ridging across the region. This will promote warming temperatures with highs back in the lower to mid 80s by this weekend and persisting dry conditions as talks of worsening drought likely becomes a larger part of the conversation.

86/Martin

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1150 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2026

VFR conditions are expected for the entire TAF period.

/44/

FIRE WEATHER

Dry conditions are expected for much of this week with high pressure dominating the pattern. RH values drop into the 25-35 percent range today and tomorrow afternoon with 20ft wind gusts up to 15 mph out of the northeast. RH values increase slightly to the 30-35 percent range Wednesday afternoon, while easterly 20ft wind gusts increase to around 15-20 mph, highest gusts southeast. This may result in some elevated fire danger, but conditions should remain below red flag thresholds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 42 69 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 44 68 45 74 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 47 69 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 47 70 46 76 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 47 70 47 76 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 49 68 49 75 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 48 69 46 77 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 49 67 46 76 / 0 10 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.