textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1159 PM CST THU NOV 12 2026

- Freezing Temperatures: Widespread frost/freezing conditions are expected through the weekend. A Freeze Watch is currently in effect for Friday night.

DISCUSSION

(Friday through next Thursday) Issued at 1131 PM CST THU NOV 12 2026

The second cold front is still expected to push through the region overnight and into tomorrow morning, with the secondary surge of colder temperatures following right behind it. Afternoon highs tomorrow will only range in the low to upper-50s, with some of the coldest temperatures of the season expected Friday night. Here, skies are expected to clear behind the front, with winds completely decoupling overnight. This will allow for widespread radiational cooling, with lows falling into the upper-20s in some of our northern zones. A Freeze Watch remains in effect for this timeframe, with subsequent upgrades into a Freeze Warning coming in future forecast packages.

Overnight lows are expected to remain very cold through the weekend, with afternoon highs continuing to range in the low to upper-50s. By Sunday, a closed low will develop off to our west, moving into the region during the afternoon hours on Monday. This low may introduce some low-end rain chances in our southern zones, but confidence here is currently low based on low timing and intensity. Otherwise, the region will remain dry for the next seven days.

As we enter into the middle of the new workweek, the upper-level pattern will begin to break down, with ridging building back in overhead. This ridge will allow for temperatures to begin to climb, with afternoon highs getting back into the upper-60s and low-70s. Overnight lows, on the other hand, will remain on the cool side, as cold temperatures remain filtering down the Appalachian Mountains under a CAD wedge.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1159 PM CST THU NOV 12 2026

VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours. Winds will maintain a northwesterly heading, near 5 knots overnight and then near 10 knots with gusts around 20 knots from ~15z until sunset.

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FIRE WEATHER

The initial cold front is already south of our area this morning with a secondary cold front expected to push into Central AL late tonight into Friday morning. Min RHs are going to run low for the next several day (30-40%) with a few locations potentially dropping to 25% Sunday afternoon. Winds should generally decrease Saturday, but there could still be occasional gusts on Saturday with minRHs around 35-40%.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 35 55 28 56 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 36 55 30 55 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 36 54 32 54 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 35 57 31 56 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 37 54 32 55 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 40 56 34 56 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 40 59 33 58 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 40 58 33 57 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Freeze Watch from late Friday night through Saturday morning for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock- Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas- Elmore-Etowah-Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes- Macon-Marengo-Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph- Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa- Walker-Winston.