textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1231 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026

- Record Highs: Temperatures will be well above normal this week, with medium to high chances of record high temperatures.

- Fall Weather: A cold front will move through the region Friday into Saturday, bringing cooler temperatures and breezy conditions to the area for the weekend.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 1231 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026

High temperatures remain in record territory today and tomorrow due to an anomalous area of high pressure. Meanwhile, the interaction of mid-level troughs (one near Alberta, Canada and one near the Four Corners, U.S.A.) will nudge the high pressure system eastward, setting us up for the arrival of a refreshing front.

Temperatures will be a few degrees lower on Friday, but still above what we'd expect for mid-October, before readings take a dive. From about mid Friday into the evening, the front is forecast to sweep across central Alabama. The front will be moisture-starved, with forecast soundings indicating passing clouds and a limited prospect for showers. This is matched by a few models that show scant precipitation echoes, which could end up being in the form of virga or a very light, brief shower at most. By far the most noticeable effects from this front will be the arrival of a breezy/gusty northwest to north wind and cooler air. The current forecast reflects sustained winds as high as 20 mph with gusts near 30 mph, especially from mid Friday afternoon into Saturday. A lingering but not-as-windy east breeze is forecast for Sunday. Secure your Halloween decor! Weekend high temperatures in the 60s (to near 70 for some) and low temperatures in the 40s should satisfy fans of autumn.

Clear weather is currently projected heading into next week with temperatures trending upward from the weekend, but near seasonal normals.

89^GSatterwhite

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1231 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026

Given a thin layer of lower-level moisture, reduced VIS is possible overnight again at MGM and AUO due to fog. Confidence here is currently low, and remains omitted from any FM groups at this time. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected for the entire TAF period under stout high-pressure.

/44/

FIRE WEATHER

Warm and dry conditions are expected to continue through the end of the week with MinRHs dropping into the low 30% range for many locations. A dry cold front will move through the area Friday into Saturday leading to gusty winds, little to no rainfall, and much drier and cooler conditions behind the front.

CLIMATE

Issued at 110 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026

Record High Temperatures:

Wed Oct. 14: KBHM: 89/1984 KEET: 89/2016 KANB: 88/1975 KTCL: 90/1962 KMGM: 91/1883

Thu Oct. 15: KBHM: 90/1897 KEET: 92/2025 KANB: 87/1975 KTCL: 91/1962 KMGM: 92/1881

Fri Oct. 16: KBHM: 90/1897 KEET: 90/2025 KANB: 87/1965 KTCL: 90/1962

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 61 88 60 85 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 61 88 61 86 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 64 89 63 85 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 61 91 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 61 88 62 86 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 63 87 63 84 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 61 88 63 87 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 61 88 62 86 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.