textproduct: NWS Birmingham

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1210 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026

- Today's cold weather will gradually trend to a period of above- normal temperatures next week.

- Rain-free weather is expected until at least early next week.

DISCUSSION

(Thursday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1210 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026

Today: Behind yesterday's front, cold weather will be in place. We'll start the day in the 20s for most of Central Alabama. A northwest breeze will push early-morning wind chills as low as the upper 10s near and north of the 20 corridor. We're forecast to reach the 40s for a few hours this afternoon before slipping back into the 20s tonight. Cloudiness is forecast to gradually diminish through the day.

Fri-Sun: Another front, associated with an ongoing pattern of east CONUS troughing, will come our way Friday night. Moisture content this far south will be limited so, other than upslope- generated rain and snow showers along the TN/NC mountains and some clouds locally, this will be a dry frontal passage for the region. The front will keep temperatures in seasonable ranges over the weekend with a clear/mostly clear sky.

Mon-Wed: Next week's weather pattern offers a high chance for above-normal temperatures. For a majority of Central Alabama, currently forecast high temperatures are in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Some data is signaling a potential for mid 70s in areas. Models continue to show a couple progressive troughs during the week. The first of those may bring some showers sometime Tuesday night into Wednesday per ensembles.

89^GSatterwhite

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1210 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026

As of 05:40z, satellite is showing two lobes of MVFR ceilings across the region with a mostly clear sky in between. For Central Alabama terminals, this means persistent MVFR ceilings for some and a mostly clear sky becoming MVFR once again for others. VFR is forecast to prevail areawide this afternoon. Northwest winds around 10 knots, gusts near 20 knots at times, continue through this afternoon, becoming calm to very light around sunset.

89^GSatterwhite

FIRE WEATHER

Northwest winds around 10 mph with gusts near 20 mph at times continue today, becoming calm to very light near sunset, with no precipitation and MinRHs in the upper 30s. Winds become west on Friday, again around 10 mph with gusts near 20 mph at times, with no precipitation and MinRHs in the 40s. Following a rain-free frontal passage Friday night, a drier air mass is forecast for Saturday and Sunday, featuring MinRHs in the low to mid 30s (some upper 20s in east Alabama) and low 20s to low 30s, respectively. Winds are forecast to be north at 5-10 mph on Saturday and southwest near 5 mph on Sunday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 25 44 24 59 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 25 44 26 59 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 26 44 29 59 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 26 45 29 64 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 25 46 28 62 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 30 47 30 59 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 30 47 29 62 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 30 48 29 63 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.


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