textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1101 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026

- Fair weather continues through early next week.

- There is a medium to high chance for some communities across Central Alabama to see their first 90 degree day this weekend or early next week.

- Opportunities for some shower and thunderstorm activity may return sometime mid to late next week.

DISCUSSION

(Thursday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1101 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026

Surface high pressure will extend across the region over the next few days, with mid- to upper-level flow consisting of transient ridging and zonal flow with subtle impulses within. This setup will yield continued fair weather with warm days and cool, then mild, nights.

Next week, forecast models show prominent high pressure systems centered off the west and east coasts of the U.S. with trough impulses in between. This pattern could allow for a shift or easing of the ridge nearest to us, potentially offering opportunities for some showers and thunderstorms at some point as moisture content increases. Ensemble data differ on timing and breadth of activity, so those details are to be determined. Moderate to extreme drought conditions persist across Central Alabama despite heavy rains last week, so more rain is certainly welcome!

89^GSatterwhite

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 656 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2026

There is high confidence for VFR conditions. A weak front will move across Central Alabama this evening/tonight. Given the weak and moisture-starved nature of the front, only a few clouds and a light northerly breeze are expected with its passage, with high pressure quickly rebuilding across the area behind it.

89^GSatterwhite

FIRE WEATHER

In wake of a dry frontal passage Wednesday night, northerly flow between 5-10 mph will be in place for Thursday with MinRH reaching the upper 20 to lower 30 percent range. Winds become southerly on Friday, around 5 mph, with similar MinRH. Dew points gradually climb for this weekend and next week with continued light, southerly winds. Rain-free weather is forecast through early next week, with potential shower and thunderstorm activity returning sometime during the rest of the week. Timing and coverage are uncertain at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 50 74 43 80 / 10 0 0 0 Anniston 53 74 46 80 / 10 0 0 0 Birmingham 55 76 51 82 / 10 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 55 78 50 82 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 55 78 49 82 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 58 76 52 80 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 58 78 50 81 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 57 78 49 81 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.