textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1145 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025

- There are medium to high chances (50-70%) for dense fog to develop across much of the area again this morning. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 10 AM.

- Above-normal temperatures are expected into the weekend, with highs running 15-20 degrees above average, and lows running 15 degrees above average.

- A front is currently forecast to sweep across the region on Monday, swinging temperatures back to below normal to start next week.

DISCUSSION

(Friday through Thursday) Issued at 1145 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025

Calm, cool, and foggy conditions are expected again through the morning hours. Based on the latest obs and satellite imagery, the Dense Fog Advisory was expanded to include our eastern and northeastern counties where visibility has already bottomed out. A light breeze may limit how much fog we see across our western counties, but left them in the Advisory for at least patchy dense fog. We likely won't see much sun today due to a passing shortwave which will contribute to general cloudiness, but some sun may break through the clouds this afternoon. Nonetheless, temperatures will be unseasonably warm again today with highs in the lower to mid 70s, trending a couple degrees warmer over the weekend.

A strong cold front is forecast to arrive on Monday with a sharp drop in temperature expected to follow. Rain amounts are on the lower end, likely due to an overall lack of mid-level moisture with the system, with amounts generally less than 0.25" expected. There will also be little to no instability and weak dynamics, so severe weather is not expected. Dry weather returns for the middle of next week behind the front, and cold weather is anticipated. Highs on Tuesday will be in the 40s for most of Central Alabama with lows in the 20s Tuesday night, then a slow warming trend will bring temperatures closer to seasonal norms by Thursday, but still below average.

86/Martin

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1145 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025

A few intermittent drops in visibility have begun occurring due to fog development. Fog will likely become more widespread within the next several hours, but a light breeze could limit development to some degree. Regardless, IFR/MVFR ceilings are expected to develop with cloudy skies persisting through the day due to a passing shortwave. A brief period of VFR conditions is expected during the afternoon hours followed by lowering ceilings again after 00Z.

86/Martin

FIRE WEATHER

A rain-free forecast is expected to continue through the weekend with persisting drought conditions. However, minRH will remain well above critical thresholds through the week with south-southwesterly 20ft winds around 5 to 8 kts. A cold front will bring increasing rain chances on Monday in addition to much lower RHs thereafter.

CLIMATE

Issued at 1255 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025

Record High Temperatures:

December 25: KBHM: 78/2016 KEET: 79/2016 KANB: 78/2015 KTCL: 80/2016 KMGM: 82/2016

December 26: KBHM: 76/2021 KEET: 75/2016 KANB: 78/2015 KTCL: 75/2021 KMGM: 82/2015

December 27: KBHM: 77/2015 KEET: 77/2015 KANB: 76/2015 KTCL: 79/2015 KMGM: 80/2016

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 52 74 57 75 / 0 10 10 10 Anniston 51 72 58 75 / 0 10 10 10 Birmingham 54 73 60 75 / 0 10 10 10 Tuscaloosa 55 73 59 75 / 0 0 10 10 Calera 53 73 58 76 / 0 10 10 10 Auburn 54 71 60 74 / 0 0 10 10 Montgomery 53 75 60 75 / 0 0 10 10 Troy 52 74 58 75 / 0 0 10 10

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST Friday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock-Calhoun-Chambers- Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas-Elmore-Etowah-Greene- Hale-Jefferson-Lee-Lowndes-Macon-Marengo-Montgomery-Perry- Pickens-Pike-Randolph-Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega- Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa.