textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1246 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026

- Heat & Humidity: A significant warming trend begins late this week; heat indices are expected to approach or exceed 100 degrees daily from Friday through early next week. This will pose a moderate to major heat risk over the majority of the region.

DISCUSSION

(Thursday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1159 PM CDT WED JUN 24 2026

Through the short term, low to medium chances for convection will be present due to a deteriorating surface boundary meandering across portions of Alabama. This boundary will interact and enhance conditions with an upper shortwave moving through the base of an Eastern Conus trough. After Friday, the upper trough will push eastward. At the same time a large upper ridge will develop across the midsection of the US including Texas, the Plains, Mississippi Valley, and into the Deep South. In the lower levels, the deteriorating surface boundary will dissipate. Any fronts are expected to remain well to the north of the Deep South, and surface ridging is expected to develop across much of Eastern Conus through the extended. As a result, rain chances will become more isolated and diurnally induced. Temperatures will begin to creep up as we head toward the end of June with overall heat stress becoming a concern as we head into this weekend and into next week. If this trend continues, a heat advisory may become necessary next week.

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AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1246 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026

Instances of low clouds and/or fog will affect some central Alabama terminals through early this morning. Confidence is highest at TCL and MGM, lower at EET and AUO though included in the TAF. Afterwards, VFR conditions featuring light winds and variable clouds prevail; however, impacts from spotty showers and thunderstorms could occur from afternoon to early evening, currently reflected as PROB30.

Note: AMD NOT SKED will continue for the AUO TAF until data issues with observations are resolved.

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FIRE WEATHER

Daily chances for showers and storms continue as we will remain in a wet pattern through the work week. Drier and warmer conditions move in over the weekend. However, ample moisture in place will keep MinRH values above 45% through the entire forecast period. Elevated fire weather concerns are not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 89 69 90 73 / 20 10 30 10 Anniston 88 70 89 74 / 20 10 40 0 Birmingham 88 71 91 75 / 20 20 20 0 Tuscaloosa 88 72 91 75 / 20 20 20 0 Calera 90 70 93 74 / 20 20 20 0 Auburn 84 70 88 73 / 40 20 40 0 Montgomery 86 71 91 73 / 30 20 30 0 Troy 85 70 90 72 / 50 20 40 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.