textproduct: NWS Birmingham

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1225 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2026

- Warm temperatures are expected through next week, with rain- free conditions through at least Wednesday.

- Fire danger will be elevated the next couple of days due to recent dryness, lower RH values, and elevated winds. A Fire Weather Watch has been been issued for the northern half of Alabama.

- Drought conditions are expected to worsen through next week.

DISCUSSION

(This afternoon through Friday) Issued at 1225 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2026

High pressure will remain over the Southeast through the middle of next week. A slight push to the east on Sunday, will allow for some higher winds across the north and west. With the southerly flow, we will begin to see some "moisture" work back in, but this will generally just get us into the 30 to 40 percent RH values versus the 20s. However, this moisture will be limited through Sunday, so we will be very close to fire danger concerns. We went ahead and issued a Fire Weather Watch for the northern half to show the potential, and will possibly increase to warning with the next forecast this evening.

Next week, several shortwaves move around the high, though the trend is continuing dry through the week as the best moisture remains shunted by the high and remains to our west. Temperatures will likely climb into the mid to upper 80s each day. Drought conditions are expected to worsen quickly this week with the lack of rain.

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AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1159 AM CDT SAT APR 11 2026

Clear skies and light to calm winds are forecast across the area through the next 21 hours. Winds increase from the south/southeast by 15z Sunday around 7 to 10 kts.

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FIRE WEATHER

Dry conditions are expected through at least Thursday, with high pressure dominating the pattern. RH values remain in the 20-30% range through Sunday, increasing to the low to mid 30s by Monday. We will be borderline on Red Flag Warning criteria on Sunday, we opted to go ahead and do a Fire Weather Watch for the northern half of the area. Ongoing drought conditions will only help keep fuels very dry. Any fires could spread quickly due to the the dry conditions and steady afternoon winds that are forecast. Conditions will be closely monitored over the coming days.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Gadsden 49 87 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 52 87 56 84 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 57 87 60 84 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 54 87 57 85 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 54 87 57 85 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 56 86 57 83 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 53 88 56 86 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 54 87 55 85 / 0 0 0 0

BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Fire Weather Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening for the following counties: Blount-Calhoun-Cherokee-Clay- Cleburne-Etowah-Fayette-Jefferson-Lamar-Marion-Pickens-Randolph- Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-Tuscaloosa-Walker.