textproduct: Bismarck
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry conditions through early Sunday.
- Low to medium chances (20 to 50 percent) for precipitation enter the forecast late Sunday and remain through much of the upcoming work week.
- Notably cooler temperatures today, warming for Saturday, then near to a bit below average going into the upcoming week.
UPDATE
Issued at 629 AM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026
Quiet weather continues over the area with no changes needed at this time.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 447 AM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026
Current surface analysis places low over northwest Ontario with cold front dropping southwest through Minnesota into South Dakota. Behind the cold front, high pressure continues to settle in over southern Saskatchewan into eastern Montana and far western North Dakota. Upper level analysis places high centered over the Four Corners region, with ridge over the western CONUS and trough pushing through the Northern Plains into the Midwest. Quiet weather remains over our area in the wake of the aforementioned front.
For today, a quiet and cooler day is on tap with highs generally around 5 to 10 degrees below average as cooler air settles through. Quiet weather continues into tonight.
On Saturday, West Coast ridge broadens a bit to the east, and cooler airmass gets shunted a bit to the east. This will result in a bit of a temperature gradient over our area, with highs mainly in the upper 70s over the Turtle Mountains, while climbing into the lower to mid 90s over southwest into parts of south central North Dakota.
Sunday will see the start of a bit of a transition in the pattern as a few short waves sliding through the flow break the ridge to the west down a bit, with flow becoming more west- northwest which continues into mid-week. This will result in high temperatures being near to somewhat below average. In addition, a variety of waves moving through the flow will bring a near daily chance (~20 to 50 percent) for precipitation.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 629 AM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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