textproduct: Bismarck
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Warming trend through Thursday, then a bit cooler but still seasonal temperatures through the weekend into early next week.
- Mainly dry conditions through the remainder of the week.
- Low to medium chances for precipitation returns next week.
UPDATE
Issued at 627 AM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
Quiet weather continues. No changes needed at this time.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 425 AM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
Current surface analysis places low over southern Alberta with high over the upper Midwest into the Northern Plains. Upper level analysis places broad trough over the north central CONUS, with high over the Desert Southwest into the Southern Plains and ridging over the West Coast. Quiet weather remains over our area, with temperatures mainly in the mid 40s to mid 50s.
For today, ridging enhances over the West Coast while warmer air starts to return into our area. Temperatures climb back to near average over most locations while dry weather continues.
On Thursday, temperatures continue to warm, with highs climbing into the mid 80s to mid 90s before a modest cold front drops into the area late in the day into the evening. Most areas will continue to remain dry, but latest guidance indicates a few late night rain showers could develop over the southern James River Valley. With that said, a potent little short wave passes just north of the International Border, and if that feature drops further south than currently forecast, it could result in some precipitation around the Turtle Mountains. Will have to keep an eye on this.
Temperatures will be a bit cooler behind the front, but remain seasonal through the remainder of the week while dry weather continues. Low to medium chances (20 to 40 percent) for precipitation return next week as a variety of modest waves are expected to pass through modestly cyclonic flow aloft.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 627 AM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period. Westerly winds will gust to around 25 to 30 over northwest and north central North Dakota this afternoon, with lower gusts further south.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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