textproduct: Binghamton

WHAT HAS CHANGED

There are no significant changes to the forecast with high pressure in place all week.

KEY MESSAGES

1) High pressure will keep conditions dry and warm this week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...

A broad area of high pressure will remain present over the region throughout this week. Under which, skies will be clear to mostly clear, and conditions will be warm and dry. Temperatures will max out in the 50s and 60s, though 70 may be within reach for some valley locations. Large diurnal temperature swings are expected as the lack of cloud cover will favor good radiational cooling. Nightly lows will range from the 20s to 30s across the region. Terrain will play a role in how warm or cold a location will get. For this afternoon, temperatures in the lower terrain were increased slightly above NBM guidance as NBM was low yesterday. Then for tonight, model soundings show another another sharp inversion near the surface, so the lower elevations are expected to become cooler than some of the higher elevations, similarly to what is being observed early this morning. In addition, patchy valley fog will be possible most nights.

As we continue to see consecutive warm, dry days, we will have to monitor the upcoming week(s) for favorable fire weather conditions. Relative humidity could drop below 30% during peak daytime heating though winds will be light most days. Winds do pick up during the second half of the week before calming by the weekend. As leaves continue to fall, the increased leaf litter can be fuel for any fire that ignites.

AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

VFR with light winds throughout the TAF period for all sites but KELM. At KELM, still potential for some patchy fog to form toward sunrise with restrictions.

Outlook...

Monday overnight through Friday...Mainly VFR. Morning fog at KELM possible each morning.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

PA...None. NY...None.