textproduct: Binghamton

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No major changes made from the previous forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) A few afternoon showers possible today, but mostly dry and pleasant conditions expected through the weekend with high pressure overhead.

2) A few rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected to return Monday through midweek.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...

Surface high pressure will build into the region today, however with an upper level trough still overhead, diurnal showers will be possible this afternoon. Tonight will be mostly clear and cool with some valley fog. Overnight low temperatures will drop into the 40s.

High temperatures today and Saturday will be mainly in the mid and upper 70s. Sunday is expected to trend warmer as the flow becomes more westerly with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

A zonal flow pattern sets up next week with several weak waves pushing across the region. A surface frontal boundary dips south out of Canada on Monday and may stall out across New York. This could lead to multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms through the middle of next week and several shortwaves push through the zonal flow pattern. High temperatures early next week will mainly in the upper 70s and low 80s.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

LIFR fog and MVFR cigs will dissipate and clear this morning, with the fog clearing between 13 and 14Z and the cigs clearing by 16Z. VFR conditions are expected at all terminals from 16Z through about 6Z tonight. ELM and ITH may see some fog development once again after 6Z tonight. ELM has high confidence of LIFR fog but ITH may see more intermittent IFR.

Outlook...

Saturday through Sunday...Mainly VFR.

Monday through Tuesday... Scattered showers and thunderstorms possible with associated restrictions, especially each afternoon.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

PA...None. NY...None.