textproduct: Binghamton

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No major changes were made to the forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Cold with below freezing temperatures across the entire region.

2) High pressure builds into the region Sunday with drier and warmer conditions expected for this week and into next weekend.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...

Skies will clear and winds will ease tonight with high pressure moving overhead. The clear skies and light winds will allow for efficient radiational cooling and the first hard freeze of this season is expected for the entire region. The only active growing season counties are Luzerne and Lackawanna, so a Freeze Warning is in effect for them through tomorrow morning.

Low temperatures will be in the 20s across the region.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

High pressure will stay over the region through the week and into next weekend. A coastal low will develop well of the North Carolina Coast tomorrow and remain off the coast through most of the work week. This system is expected to pose no impacts at all for our area and models have trended the track further out to sea, with high pressure stiff arming precipitation associated with the low and keeps it off the coast. Gradual warm air advection after tonight will help temperatures get back to or even a little above seasonable normals by Monday. Temperatures will vary little after Sunday with highs consistently in the 60s and lows in the 30s and 40s. Some valley locations will approach the 70s for daytime highs during the midweek period.

Also, this pattern is perfect for river valley fog to develop each night.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

MVFR/VFR ceilings are still expected to break up by mid-morning with wind gusts decreasing as well by this afternoon. Patchy freezing fog possible near KELM in the pre dawn hours Sunday.

Outlook...

Sunday through Wednesday: VFR.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

PA...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM EDT Sunday for PAZ044-047. NY...None.