textproduct: Binghamton

SYNOPSIS

After a cold day today, temperatures will warm up a bit for the weekend, but still remain below normal. The weather pattern will remain active, with several chances for light snow over the next week as several clipper systems push through.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/

While it is still quite cold outside, temperatures have rebounded this afternoon after a frigid start to the day. This is due to the high pressure system sliding to the east, resulting in a southerly return flow. Afternoon highs in the 20s are expected this afternoon. Clouds have increased a bit ahead of schedule with most areas south of I-88 now mostly cloudy. Areas north of I-88 will still remain partly to mostly sunny at least until the late afternoon.

Tonight will be mostly cloudy for most areas ahead of an approaching clipper system/shortwave. As a result, overnight temperatures will be much milder compared to last night, with lows in the teens to lower 20s. One thing worth monitoring is the potential for some pockets of freezing drizzle to develop overnight tonight, particularly across parts of Northeast PA to the Catskills. The chances of this occurring is rather low, but model soundings do indicate a strong inversion with a low cloud deck beneath it, so the chances are not zero.

The aforementioned weak clipper system may spark a few flurries or light snow showers along and north of the NY Thruway corridor later in the day on Saturday. Otherwise, Saturday will feature partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies with highs in the 30s. Some lingering snow showers will be possible Saturday night, but otherwise it will remain mainly precipitation-free. Lows are expected to be in the mid teens to mid 20s.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/

The zonal weather pattern will see yet another fast moving shortwave/clipper system push through the area later in the day on Sunday. This system is looking a little more potent with the latest model runs and will push another cold front through. A widespread 1 to 3 inch snow will be possible late Sunday through Sunday evening, with the highest amounts across Central NY. Also, behind the cold front will be a reinforcement of arctic air just in time for start of the work week.

The aforementioned cold airmass will result in highs only in the upper teens to mid 20s on Monday, followed by lows below zero Monday night for some.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

We will remain in zonal flow through the week and another clipper system pushes in midweek. The track of this system will determine what precipitation will fall on Wednesday, with a farther north track allowing warmer air to push in, possibly bringing rain for Northeast PA. Either way, this system does not look to be significant and any precipitation will likely be light. The good news about the zonal weather pattern is that no significant storm systems are expected and only minor snowfall accumulations will be possible, even though we will likely see several disturbances continue to push through during this period.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

VFR will prevail through early afternoon at all sites, except at ELM and BGM where brief MVFR ceilings are possible. Ceilings lower to MVFR and Fuel Alt as a marine layer moves north later this afternoon and evening. A brief period of IFR ceilings is possible at AVP and BGM overnight, but confidence is too low to include. Conditions are expected to improve to VFR late in the period.

afternoon.

Outlook...

Saturday...Occasional restrictions possible in scattered snow showers, mainly during the afternoon and especially at the Central NY terminals.

Sunday...Restrictions possible as a frontal system and scattered snow showers approaches the region.

Monday...Becoming mainly VFR, but lingering restrictions possible at the Central NY terminals due to lake effect clouds and/or light snow showers.

Tuesday...Restrictions possible in scattered snow showers, especially in the afternoon.

Wednesday...Restrictions possible as another frontal system approaches the region.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

PA...None. NY...None.