textproduct: Binghamton

SYNOPSIS

Conditions will be warmer this weekend, but still below normal temperatures for early December. The weather pattern will remain active, with several clipper systems bringing chances for light snow over the next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/

Today will be warmer, with some spots even climbing above freezing. A weak shortwave will pass over the area this afternoon and may spark a few flurries or light snow showers along and north of the NY Thruway corridor. Some lingering snow showers will be possible Saturday night due to some lake enhancement, but otherwise it will remain mainly precipitation- free. Lows are expected to be in the mid teens to mid 20s.

Conditions will be similar on Sunday, with a more potent shortwave arriving late in the day. This could kick off some snow showers by late Sunday afternoon, however, the bulk of the snow with this system will push into the area after 0Z Monday.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

The aforementioned fast moving shortwave/clipper system push through the area early Sunday night. This system will likely bring some light snow to the region with the highest amounts across the north. Most of the area will see less than an inch of snow, but the highest amounts of 1 to 3 will fall across Central NY. This system will also drag another cold front through and this will reinforce the cold arctic air for Monday.

This cold airmass will result in highs only in the upper teens to mid 20s on Monday, followed by lows below zero Monday night for some.

Another shortwave, in a series of them through the week, will push through the area on Tuesday. More light snow showers or flurries will be possible with little to no accumulations expected at this time.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/

We will remain in zonal flow through the week and another clipper system pushes in on Wednesday. The track of this system will determine what precipitation will fall on Wednesday, with a farther north track allowing warmer air to push in, possibly bringing rain for Northeast PA. Current NBM highs has temperatures in the upper 30s to low 40s by Wednesday afternoon, so certainly favoring a further north track at this time. Either way, this system does not look to be significant and any precipitation will likely be light. The good news about the zonal weather pattern is that no significant storm systems are expected and only minor snowfall accumulations will be possible, even though we will likely see several disturbances continue to push through during this period.

AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

VFR conditions are expected to be in place at the terminals through about 18Z today. There can be some occasional MVFR restrictions around AVP the next few hours with a low stratus deck just to the south and winds will be shifting out of the SW which could push those clouds back over the terminal.

From around 18Z-21Z, a band of flurries or light snow showers and lower cigs. is expected around the northern terminals of ITH, SYR and RME which can lead to MVFR restrictions. Borderline MVFR ceilings can reach BGM.

Winds will become more westerly this evening as a moisture- starved front approaches. There can be some lake enhanced snow showers and flurries around RME and SYR, mainly after 04Z while the other NY terminals see MVFR cigs. AVP is expected to be VFR during this time.

Outlook...

Sunday...Restrictions possible as a frontal system and scattered snow showers approaches the region, mainly in the afternoon.

Monday...Becoming mainly VFR, but lingering restrictions possible at the Central NY terminals due to lake effect clouds and/or light snow showers in the morning.

Tuesday...Restrictions possible in scattered snow showers, especially in the afternoon.

Wednesday...Restrictions possible as another frontal system approaches the region.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

PA...None. NY...None.