textproduct: Binghamton
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Some light snow accumulation possible tonight in the higher elevations of the Catskills, otherwise no changes.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Rain exits Sunday morning and will be follow by dryer conditions Monday and most of Tuesday.
2) Upper level low tries to push into the region as soon as Wednesday night and continues through the remainder of the period.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Cold and damp this afternoon and tonight with wave of low pressure passing over the area. Colder air aloft will move in tonight with the H700 low passing across Central NY and into the Catskills. Boundary layer temperatures will be borderline, but higher elevations of the Catskills could dip to near freezing and light snow accumulations up to an inch will be possible above 2000 feet.
Moisture will move out early tomorrow morning with drier conditions Sunday through the first part of the week. Warmer temperatures will also arrive on Monday as ridging builds in from the west.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
The next low pressure system has continued to trend slightly slower, with an increasing chance of another round of rain showers late in the day Tuesday or even Tuesday night.
Thereafter, the end of April and beginning of May is looking cool and unsettled. Models are in good agreement for a cold upper level low settling over the NE U.S. by the middle to end of next week. Expect cool, below average temperatures with rain and possibly even snow showers as April comes to an end and May begins on Friday.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Rain and associated low ceilings and visbys continue to bring MVFR to Fuel Alternate restrictions this afternoon, with occasional IFR restrictions as well. This trend will continue through the remainder of this afternoon into early this evening. While rain showers will begin to taper off from west to east this evening, lingering low level moisture will bring in more widespread IFR restrictions overnight from low clouds and patchy fog/mist. Slow improvement is expected by the late morning on Sunday, with most terminals likely returning to VFR by 18Z.
Outlook:
Sunday afternoon through Monday...Mainly VFR expected.
Tuesday...Rain showers moving in from west to east with associated restrictions, mainly in the late afternoon and at night.
Wednesday through Thursday...Additional scattered showers and associated restrictions possible.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None. NY...None.
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