textproduct: Binghamton
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Some slight changes to the weekend shower chances and cloud cover.
KEY MESSAGES
1) First taste of fall continues through Friday.
2) Noreaster still expected along the coast this weekend.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
High pressure will remain anchored over the region through Friday. With clear skies and light winds a few locations have the potential for lows in the 30's the next couple of nights. The favored areas for this would be in the Western Catskills and Northern Oneida county. Elsewhere values should end up a bit warmer overnight with ample sunshine warming the entire region into the 60's for daytime highs.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
A Noreaster is still expected to track close to the Eastern Seaboard this weekend. Bands of clouds and rain showers should move westward toward the region. Some potential is present for the moisture to make it as far west as I-81. However, our region will also be under the influence of high pressure to the northwest which will limit how far west the clouds and showers make it. Similar to the previous update, a cluster of ensemble members does advertise a wetter weekend than what is forecasted. For now, continued with the slight to low chance of showers.
The Noreaster should exit the region by Monday with high pressure building in early next week.
AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR conditions expected through the day on Thursday with mainly SKC conditions. Some morning fog will be possible for ELM, but confidence remains low. Winds out the east in the 5 to 10 knot range with gusts in the 15 to 20 knot range this afternoon will weaken this evening and overnight to near calm. Winds will increase on Thursday out of the northeast in the 5 to 10 knot range with gusts to 15 knots possible.
Outlook...
Thursday Night Through Friday...Mainly VFR; potential for patchy fog and IFR restrictions in early morning hours.
Friday Night through Monday...Mostly VFR with a low chance for showers east of I81 corridor.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None. NY...None.
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