textproduct: Binghamton
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Minor adjustments with the coverage and accumulation of snow showers this weekend.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Lake Effect rain and snow showers through the weekend.
2) Warmer and drier conditions return next week with the return of high pressure.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Continued north to northwest flow will continue to pull in enough moisture to result in scattered rain and snow showers. These showers will be aided by the passage of several mid-level disturbances. Opted to keep the temperatures a little warmer at night and cooler during the day due to the clouds and precipitation. More winter like temperature values in the 30's and 40's should continue. Model soundings do show the potential for a few afternoon wind gusts close to 20 mph Saturday with slightly lower values Sunday. Any snow showers may result in minor snow accumulations. The expected wind direction favors western Madison county to Tully and perhaps Ithaca areas.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
A ridge of high pressure will build into the region early next week. Lake clouds will prevent little sunshine from peeking through on Monday but sunny skies return on Tuesday. Daytime temperatures will trend warmer throughout the week with the potential for some 60s on Thursday and Friday. Nightly temperatures will stay cool, often falling below freezing. Despite this, most of next week will be dry with surface high pressure in control.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Mainly MVFR conditions will continue tonight with northwest cyclonic flow coming off the eastern Great Lakes. Scattered snow showers off the lakes will continue into the start of Saturday morning.
Showers will increase Saturday morning and through the afternoon as a trough drops across the region. Morning snow showers will change to rain through the day from the lower to higher elevations. A mixture of lower MVFR to IFR CIGs/VSBYs expected, especially within showers, and over the higher terrain.
Outlook...
Saturday night...A mix of rain/snow showers possible at the Central NY terminals (especially KSYR and KITH), with associated restrictions.
Sunday...Lingering scattered rain and snow showers at the Central NY terminals, mainly in the morning with associated restrictions possible.
Monday through Wednesday...Mainly VFR.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None. NY...None.
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