textproduct: Binghamton

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No changes with high pressure in control for the next week plus.

KEY MESSAGES

1) High pressure will keep conditions dry and warmer for at least the next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...

Big bubble and absolutely no trouble. A prolonged period of dry conditions is expected with high pressure remaining over the region for at least the next week. Days will see high temperatures in the 60s. Expect large diurnal temperature swings, with mostly clear conditions at night and light winds making way for efficient radiational cooling. Lows will generally be in the 30s, but a few nights could see lows dip into the 20s.

Fire weather will be the one thing we will need to keep an eye on over the next week. Relative humidity could dip to or below 30% during the peak heating hours of the afternoon, but at this time, winds appear that they will fairly light through the period. Dry, dead leaf litter is always a concern for wildfire starts this time of year, so a prolonged dry period could make this Fall season more favorable for wildfire activity.

AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours (at least through 18Z Monday). The one exception is expected to be at KELM, where valley fog will likely bring IFR-or-worse visby restrictions late tonight/early Monday morning. While KELM did not have fog this morning, conditions are a bit more favorable tonight with higher dewpoints compared to yesterday/this morning. Any fog will dissipate by around 13Z Monday, which will result in a return to VFR conditions.

Outlook...

Monday afternoon through Friday...Mainly VFR. Morning fog at KELM possible each morning.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

PA...None. NY...None.