textproduct: Binghamton

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No major changes made from the previous forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) A few afternoon showers possible today, but mostly dry and pleasant conditions expected through the weekend with high pressure overhead.

2) A few rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected to return Monday through midweek.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...

Surface high pressure will build into the region today, however with an upper level trough still overhead, diurnal showers will be possible this afternoon. Tonight will be mostly clear and cool with some valley fog. Overnight low temperatures will drop into the 40s.

High temperatures today and Saturday will be mainly in the mid and upper 70s. Sunday is expected to trend warmer as the flow becomes more westerly with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

A zonal flow pattern sets up next week with several weak waves pushing across the region. A surface frontal boundary dips south out of Canada on Monday and may stall out across New York. This could lead to multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms through the middle of next week and several shortwaves push through the zonal flow pattern. High temperatures early next week will mainly in the upper 70s and low 80s.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

VFR through the evening. With light winds and clear skies tonight some valley fog will likely form. This fog with restrictions (perhaps IFR/LIFR) has the highest chance to impact KELM. Brief intervals of fog are possible at KRME, KITH and KBGM. However, some uncertainity is present with a drier airmass moving in as well. Fog burns off after sunrise with VFR conditions Saturday. A few isolated 15-20 knot wind gusts this afternoon as well.

Outlook...

Saturday afternoon through Sunday...Mainly VFR.

Monday through Wednesday... Scattered showers and thunderstorms possible with associated restrictions, especially each afternoon/evening.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

PA...None. NY...None.