textproduct: La Crosse
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Light rain and snow possible Thursday.
- Looking dry and unseasonably warm for the weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1259 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026
Thursday
The 10.12z models continue to show that a shortwave trough will move southeast along the eastern periphery of a 500 mb ridge located over the Southern and Central Plains. Like the past couple of the days, the better chances of rain and snow (20 to 30 percent probabilities of at least 0.01 inches of precipitation) remains west of the Mississippi River and in southwest Wisconsin. In addition with weaker forcing and moisture transport, the precipitation amounts continue to decrease. There is up a 30 percent chance of 0.05 inches and up to a 10 percent chance of 0.10 inches.
High temperatures will be in the 30s north of Interstate 94 and in the lower and mid-40s elsewhere.
This Weekend
The southern stream shortwave will continue to dig deeper and deeper for this weekend. As a result, the surface low pressure system is closer to the Gulf of America. With this track moving south, the weekend is looking dry. High temperatures will be in the 40s north of Interstate 94 and near 50 across the remainder of the area. Low temperatures will range from the mid-20s to mid-30s.
Tuesday into Wednesday
The models are showing that the western trough will gradually move east toward the middle of next week. This will open the possibility for a strong Colorado low pressure system to eject out of the southwest. Just something to watch over the next coming days.
High temperatures will be in the 40s north of Interstate 94 and in the lower and mid-50s elsewhere. Low temperatures will range from the mid-20s to mid-30s.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1057 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026
MVFR cigs are likely throughout the remainder of the afternoon as low-level moisture begins to lift by evening resulting in cigs becoming few to sct. Overall probabilities are fairly high (50-80%) in both the HREF and NBH for MVFR cigs to continue through around 22-00z before beginning to scatter out. Otherwise, conditions will be VFR for the rest of the TAF period with northwest winds of around 10-15 kts diminishing to 5-10 kts overnight.
ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...None. MN...None. IA...None.
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