textproduct: La Crosse

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Warmer and drier conditions are forecast through midweek with heat index values in the lower to mid 90s for early next week which may result in some heat related issues for those that are outdoors.

- Precipitation chances potentially return later next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1151 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

A ridge of high pressure will elongate and become more established across the central CONUS this weekend and into early next week. As this occurs, an H300 low pressure system is forecast to undercut the ridge and move west towards the southern High Plains during the first half of the next work week. With the CWA being to the north of the low and east of the high, northerly to easterly flow is expected during this time frame. Thankfully, the main axis of summer heat should stay west of the area during this time frame. Hot temperatures are still expected however, with Monday through Wednesday featuring heat index values in the low to mid 90s. These hot temperatures and humidity can lead to heat related illnesses for those that are outdoors for extended periods of time.

The upper level pattern is not favorable for shower or thunderstorm development this weekend through the middle of next week as the high pressure should keep storm chances suppressed. Ensemble and deterministic guidance continues to show the ridge weakening towards the latter half of next week. As it weakens, the ridge axis is favored to shift southwestward a little bit, resulting in the Upper Midwest to be in a northwest flow pattern. This will allow a path for shortwaves riding over the ridge and impacting the region. The majority of GEFS and EPS members show measurable precipitation by next weekend. Whenever this ridge does weaken, it would also bring about cooler temperatures.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 544 AM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

VFR conditions for much of the TAF period aside from a brief period of MVFR fog at KRST this morning. A few VFR cumulus are expected this afternoon with winds remaining light at around 5 kts or less and predominately from the south/southeast.

ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

WI...None. MN...None. IA...None.


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