textproduct: Gaylord

KEY MESSAGES

- Light lake effect snow showers gradually ending tonight

- Extended period of mild temperatures developing into next week

DISCUSSION

Issued at 238 PM EST Wed Feb 11 2026

Weak surface/lake aggregate troughing across the northern Great Lakes as parent upper low over New England continues to slowly push east. Marginal overlake instability with northwest flow, combined with rather anemic moisture profiles, continues to produce light lake effect snow showers/flurries across portions of the area. This activity will slowly wane overnight as heights build and moisture diminishes further. Any additional accumulations likely an inch or less. Lows in the single digits and teens tonight.

Thursday into the first part of next week will feature gradually warming temperatures and overall benign conditions with a split flow pattern developing across the CONUS. Although the upper pattern will be active, any large storm systems will remain well south of the area through early next week, with northern stream energy lacking any sufficient moisture to produce much of anything across our area. So an extended period of quiet weather with above freezing days and cooler nights. This will likely result in a quick (and much too early) start to maple syrup season in some areas. Initially relatively low dewpoints will keep snow melt to a steady pace, with indications of a bigger push of higher dewpoint/warmer temperatures possible as we head into next week that may accelerate the melting. This upcoming pattern has the potential for a stronger storm system in the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley by the middle of next week, given the tightening baroclinic gradient across the northern tier of the country and energy coming out of the inter- mountain west. Something to watch in the coming days.

We will also have to monitor for ice jam potential on area rivers as we see steady melting of the snowpack over the coming week. Overall, this upcoming pattern may greatly diminish the snowpack in some areas south of the bridge (at least in the near term).

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 640 PM EST Wed Feb 11 2026

NW to NNW winds diminishing below 10kts tonight, esp 6z and later. MVFR cigs/visbys hang on especially at PLN this evening, where IFR could be possible thru 3z...but should slowly diminish overnight. Think MVFR/VFR -SHSN will hang on through 6z, possibly diminishing to flurries...with some uptick in -SHSN possible again between 15- 18z before going VFR late in the afternoon. Not impossible SHSN could transition to -FZDZ overnight, but trends should be down overall...with SCT/CLR possible at CIU tonight.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...None.