textproduct: Gaylord

KEY MESSAGES

- Light mix of rain and snow first half of Wednesday, rain Wednesday night.

- Perhaps another brief rain and snow mix late Thursday into early Friday. - Warmer late weekend into early next week with rain chances.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 141 PM EDT Tue Apr 7 2026

Pattern Synopsis and Forecast:

After a seasonably cold night, warm advection in response to an upper low and sfc cyclone in the vicinity of the Northern Plains will not only lead to a "milder" day on Wednesday (mid 40s to mid 50s for most, breezy to windy conditions with 25 to 35 mph gusts might offset that some) but also a wing of light precipitation working into the region. Timing of the precip during the morning to midday hours means a mix of rain and snow (little mix would not be surprising either), especially across the eastern UP. This will move through most areas across northern lower very rapidly and will be light generally speaking. As the trough continues to move eastward, low pressure system will follow suit with trailing cold front sweeping into the region Wednesday night. Thus, another round of rain is anticipated, on the order of ~0.25", locally near 0.50" for some. Will be worth monitoring the rivers once again even though the QPF is not all that impressive. By early to midday Thursday, this activity will be way to the east of northern MI.

Next little feature to watch will be a batch of rain/snow late Thursday night into early Friday on the leading edge of a temperature gradient to our south. Couple of pieces of guidance bring a rain/snow mix northward to ~M-32. By midday Friday, west flow and troughiness aloft will push that precipitation shield to our east/south. Most guidance hint at the main batch of precip to the south of northern MI at this time though, at least the bulk of the impacts. We'll continue to watch this moving forward.

Upper high builds across the Southeast CONUS later this weekend into next week with troughing across the Intermountain West. Moisture and instability will continue to advect northward across the Central US, with the potential for dewpoints in the 50s up across northern MI and PWATs over an inch. With energy moving into the central CONUS and southwest flow aloft bringing the storm track somewhere across the Upper Midwest, worth monitoring for any pockets of healthy rain and/or thunderstorm activity during this time frame. All the while, temperatures likely eclipse 60 degrees most areas.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 843 PM EDT Tue Apr 7 2026

VFR conditions expected through most, if not all, of the 00Z TAF valid time across the northern Michigan terminals. A weather disturbance will bring a period of CIGs to the area Wednesday, mainly in the morning and early afternoon. These clouds will also be accompanied by rain and/or snow showers, but significant precipitation is not anticipated. Light winds tonight will become gusty out of the south to southeast on Wednesday.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...Gale Warning from 11 AM Wednesday to 5 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ323-341-342-344>346. Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM Wednesday to 5 AM EDT Thursday for LSZ321-322.