textproduct: Gaylord

KEY MESSAGES

- Mild and dry this week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 143 PM EDT Mon Oct 19 2026

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Omega block in the process of developing across the central CONUS with upper low anchors off of both coasts -- one off the coast of NC/VA and the other off the coast of the Pac NW, sagging east off the coast of CA by Tuesday morning. Locally, zonal to weakly ridged upper level pattern expected early this week before ridging becomes more amplified by mid-late week. At the surface, high pressure dominates with an active northern stream across northern Canada simply too far removed from having much of an impact on our sensible weather.

Forecast Details: A remarkably tranquil and mild stretch of mid-late October on tap this week. Daily high temperatures expected to be a good 5-10+ degrees above normal each day, ranging from the upper 50s to low 60s across the eastern U.P. and through the 60s south of the bridge. Certainly within the realm of possibilities that a handful of locations in northern lower tag 70 degrees at times this week. Overnight lows largely spanning the mid-30s to mid-40s each night.

As has been alluded to, a dry forecast is featured this week as well. That said, not without a couple of features to monitor. This first on Wednesday as a fast-moving shortwave may dive south across the northern Lakes. Latest trends favor this to be dry, but may bring an uptick in cloud cover to the eastern U.P. Wednesday afternoon. Next shot for some rain maybe late in the weekend into early next week as blocking breaks down, but certainly not a lot of confidence at this point.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 144 PM EDT Mon Oct 19 2026

VFR is expected throughout the entire forecast period. SKC conditions continue this afternoon with light winds remaining mainly from the north before veering to the southeast by Tuesday morning. There is potential for some patchy BR and low CIG development overnight which could temporarily impact TAF sites, but confidence remains low at this time.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...None.