textproduct: Gaylord

KEY MESSAGES

- Warm and dry

DISCUSSION

Issued at 234 AM EDT Mon Oct 19 2026

No major changes needed to a tranquil and mild forecast. Upper lows will hover off the east coast, and develop off of and then move onto the west coast. Those are the anchors of an omega block in the central Conus.

An active storm track remains across central Canada. Some models, in the process of diving energy into/reinforcing troffing over far eastern Canada late this week, do bring a shortwave across the northern lakes midweek (Wed afternoon/ evening). This system doesn't have much moisture to work with, and the going forecast will remain dry. But there is some guidance (definitely a minority) that squeezes out a smidge of QPF over eastern upper MI Wednesday afternoon. So something to at least keep an eye on.

Otherwise quiet, warm, and relatively sunny. As surface high pressure builds east today from ND toward Lk Superior, the pressure gradient relaxes considerably. That process has already gotten underway, and surface winds today will be considerably lighter than Sunday. A bit more cloud cover possible on Wednesday, especially in the north. Max temps on Sunday overachieved a bit, not unusual in full sun. Have boosted guidance temps a bit over the next couple of days a degree or two.

Next chance for rain, and it isn't much at this point, is out toward Sat night/Sunday, again mainly in the eastern UP.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/

Issued at 643 AM EDT Mon Oct 19 2026

VFR. Lighter winds today, as high pressure builds east from the northern plains. Plenty of dry air in place, with limited cloud cover today and tonight.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for LMZ323- 341-342-344>346.