textproduct: Gaylord
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Cool nights with patchy fog possible
- Otherwise very quiet into early next week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 225 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026
500mb ridging in the region will only be occasionally interrupted by weak shortwaves over the region, including tonight/Friday. These will bring some periods of higher clouds, but meager if any precip chances.
An increase in higher clouds tonight should decrease the chances for both fog and frost somewhat heading into Friday morning. Do still expect patchy fog again tonight, in particular in ne lower MI, where higher clouds will take longer to arrive. Fog is expected to be an issue again Fri night.
Otherwise. high pressure over eastern Canada and then the central Great Lakes will keep our wx quiet. Lack of precip requires us to keep an eye on fire wx parameters, but an actually breezy day looks to be unlikely until perhaps Tuesday. Daytime RH values are also unlikely to completely crater.
Our next decent chance for precip looks to arrive in the middle part of next week. Our upper pattern finally tries to become a bit more progressive, allowing an upper trof and surface cold front to slide east into the area. This is looking less impressive than yesterday, with a lot of energy/moisture still associated with a stalled upper low in the sw states. Even so, rain chances look to arrive here Tuesday night/Wednesday.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1139 PM EDT Thu Sep 24 2026
High clouds will continue to spread from west to east overhead tonight. Areas across northeast lower with longer efficient radiational cooling with calm winds and mostly clear skies will have the best chance of seeing FG/BR development. Latest observations/trends support APN having the best chance of seeing VSBY reductions due to FG/BR late tonight/early Friday morning. FG/BR will also be possible at PLN and CIU. Any FG/BR is expected to dissipate quickly after sunrise, returning flight conditions to VFR across all areas through Friday evening.
APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None. MARINE...None.
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