textproduct: Gaylord

KEY MESSAGES

- Below normal temperatures likely to persist through the forecast period, despite a slow moderating trend.

- Occasional chances for showers/storms continue at times.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 151 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Broad troughing remains evident over the northern and eastern two-thirds of the CONUS this afternoon with last night's wave now making headway into New England. Little change anticipated to the overall pattern heading into the weekend with focus revolving around any additional shortwave perturbations dropping in from the northwest. The first of those waves looks to arrive tonight, with another Friday night/Saturday. Confidence diminishes Sunday onward, with at least some potential for a more potent wave to emanate from the Rockies with attendant low pressure development over the Plains before sliding through parts of the Great Lakes late in the weekend. While no widespread rain is foreseen early-mid next week, a continued active mid-upper level pattern may bring additional showers/storms at times.

Forecast Details: The bulk of most numerous showers today continue to exit off to the east with just some lingering drizzle/light showers across parts of the eastern U.P., tip of the mitt and northeast lower early this afternoon. Continued drying anticipated through the remainder of the daylight hours. While most areas are expected to remain dry tonight, aforementioned incoming mid-level wave may be enough to kick off a few additional showers across northeast WI and the south-central UP this evening before crossing northern Lake Michigan into far northwest lower MI tonight. Favored area for these in our neck of the woods would be generally along and west of I-75.

Friday shaping up to feature more sunshine, although occasionally breezy west-northwest winds and high temperatures largely in the 60s will continue to result in an almost fall-like feel. A rogue pop-up shower midday onward not entirely out of the question, but chances far too low to explicitly include in the forecast at this time. Additional scattered shower/storm chances late Friday night into Saturday. That said, lots of dry time expected through this time frame with precip chances maximized Saturday afternoon, particularly over northeast lower. Temperatures moderate Saturday into the upper 60s and low 70s.

Low pressure over the Plains Sunday likely to trek toward the lower Great Lakes late Sunday/Sunday night. Latest trends slowly favoring a more southerly solution to this system, likely keeping the bulk of active weather to our south; however, still well within the realm of possibilities for some rain to return across parts of the forecast area late in the weekend. Occasional shower/storm chances may continue at times early-mid next week, but each day should feature more dry time than not. Temperatures continue to slowly moderate into the low-mid 70s Monday - Wednesday.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 123 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

Lingering lowered CIGs (IFR to MVFR) will transition to VFR most terminals within the next few hours (18-20Z). Shower chances will continue to evacuate the area, with another chance for iso to sct showers this evening and early overnight. Northwest winds generally 10G20-25KTs through the rest of the afternoon. VFR conditions continue into Friday. Cannot completely rule out a little BR tonight into Friday morning, but confidence is low.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...Beach Hazards Statement until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for MIZ024-030-031-036. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LHZ345- 347. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LHZ348- 349. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for LMZ323- 342. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for LMZ344>346. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LSZ321- 322.