textproduct: Gaylord

KEY MESSAGES

- Areas of fog this morning and again late tonight.

- Mild and dry through the first half of the weekend.

- Cooler next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 304 AM EDT Thu Oct 22 2026

Yet another mainly quiet early morning in the north woods. No precip in the region. Stratus and fog have been slowly expanding, mainly in the north half of our area (Straits area and north). DRM/MCD/SJX/SLH are all seeing occasionally dense fog. The same is probably oozing into western Mackinac Co, and MQT does have a fog advisory bordering us this morning.

Several more hours for fog to further expand, though to this point that expansion has been slow. Still on the fence as to whether an advisory will be needed here. Fog and lower clouds will gradually erode this morning. Otherwise uneventful this afternoon/evening, before more fog returns later tonight, especially ne lower MI.

Current western US 500mb trof progressing inland, will eventually leave behind a cutoff low over the desert SW. The northern portion of this remains more progressive, deepening as it eventually moves toward Hudson Bay by early Sunday. In advance of these features, ridging gets pumped up into the Great Lakes. Slightly warmer temps are thus progged for Friday and Saturday. That ridge starts to get suppressed beginning Sat night, but some of the models do not lower heights in our area as much as they did at this time yesterday. Instead the ridge only gets substantially flattened, at least in some guidance. The ECMWF is a less troffy, less chilly solution for next week compared to the GFS.

The passing system to our north will still promote a chance for showers in eastern upper MI, centered on Sunday morning. Still cooler for next week. 50s for highs in northern lower MI, perhaps some upper 40s in eastern upper, Monday and beyond. Some slight chances for mostly rain showers are progged early to mid week, as overall model spread remains somewhat high.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/

Issued at 1042 PM EDT Wed Oct 21 2026

Currently VFR conditions at all terminals with KMBL seeing temporary BR/FG impacts. Winds remain AOB 10kts with VRB directions through 14z. Widespread FG/BR tonight will result in high confidence for IFR/LIFR cigs and vis impacting all terminals. Chances for impacts begin shortly after 06z and will linger through 14z. Best chances for LIFR impacts remain at KMBL/KPLN, with IFR cigs and vis favored for other terminals. Once cigs lift and scatter and vis improves (after 14z) VFR conditions will prevail through 03z for all terminals. BR impacts will creep back in to KMBL near the end of the period.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...None.