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KEY MESSAGES

- Brief snow showers will continue this afternoon/evening. Quick drops in visibility are possible.

- Next precip chances return Wednesday - Thursday.

- Dry start to the weekend before wet pattern looks to be ahead early next week.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 358 PM EDT Mon Apr 6 2026

Pattern Synopsis:

Troughing currently draped across the Great Lakes will begin to pull away Tuesday as ridging slides overhead into the middle of the week. Surface high pressure will build from the Upper Midwest behind the cold front swinging across the area this evening and center over Michigan on Tuesday. A potent shortwave looks to punch across the northern Great Lakes in the Wednesday night/Thursday timeframe with the associated surface cyclone swinging another cold front across the region during that time. High pressure may build in again to start the weekend before a more unsettled pattern sets in heading into next week.

Forecast Details:

A band of primarily snow showers for most areas along/ahead of the aforementioned cold front will continue to quickly swing across the area this afternoon and evening. The primary concern south of the bridge with these showers will be drops in visibility to 1/2SM or less as they move through. Snowfall duration will be relatively brief, likely limiting accumulation potential to around 1" or less for most areas of northern lower. Rain showers and even isolated thunder may be possible at times across far southern parts of our area where warmer temperatures will promote liquid precip for a time before potentially transitioning over to snow. North of the bridge will be a slightly different story as snowfall is expected to last a little longer, making it possible for a few inches across localized areas of the eastern U.P. through this evening. Additional lake effect snow is expected behind the front this evening and tonight, albeit light -- less than 1" anticipated for northwest flow areas.

High pressure building in will help shut off lake effect snow by Tuesday. Mostly sunny skies are in store, but highs will stay seasonably cool with readings reaching into the mid to upper 30s during the afternoon. Our next round of precip chances return Wednesday with best chances coming Wednesday night and Thursday as the second cold front works across the Great Lakes. Mainly rain is anticipated with light snow possible, most likely across the eastern U.P. Additional precip chances stick around through the end of the week prior to what appears to be a dry start to the weekend. Looking ahead, a wet pattern may settle in through the beginning of next week and bring some heavy rainfall to the area at times while also warming into the 60s through Monday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/

Issued at 646 PM EDT Mon Apr 6 2026

Quick hitting shot of snow showers and lower cigs will come to an end this evening, with scattering out of overcast and increasing cig heights resulting in VFR conditions overnight through Tuesday. Gusty northwest winds decrease in speed overnight, with light west to northwest winds on Tuesday.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Tuesday for LHZ345>349. Gale Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for LMZ323-341-342- 344>346. Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Tuesday for LMZ323-341-342- 344>346. Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Tuesday for LSZ321-322.