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KEY MESSAGES

- A quick hitting system will bring some light snow to eastern upper and snow belt areas in northern lower late tonight/early Monday

- Next clipper system arrives Tuesday and will impact the area for the middle part of the week, brining above freezing temperatures and chances for rain then accumulating snow. A little icing is possible early Tuesday before temperatures climb above freezing.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/

Issued at 238 PM EST Sun Jan 11 2026

Pattern Synopsis: Weak clipper system, currently crossing the border area of the Northern Plains/Canadian Prairies, will move across the forecast area later tonight/early Monday.

Forecast Details: Above mentioned clipper system will bring a period of light snow to parts of the area, primarily from around midnight tonight to just after daybreak Monday. Most areas will see less than an inch of snow with this feature, with the highest totals across eastern Upper and the Tip of the Mitt. Expect winds to become gusty for a time with the passage of the clipper (gusts to 30 mph possible), with the highest gusts near the Lake Michigan coastline.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 238 PM EST Sun Jan 11 2026

Pattern Synopsis: Active pattern persists through the longer range of the forecast with another stronger clipper poised to impact the area Tuesday/Wednesday. The wave driving this next clipper is currently approaching British Columbia. A third clipper is expected to arrive by the end of the week, but model spread in the timing/details of this system is still significant. Above normal temperatures expected ahead of the midweek system, with colder than normal temperatures spilling in behind it.

Forecast Details: The precipitation with the midweek clipper still looks like it will hold off until after daybreak Tuesday. Relatively strong southerly low-level flow ahead of the clipper should push temperatures above freezing areawide by midday Tuesday. The low- levels warm sufficiently to produce a rain/snow mix or all rain for a time during the day. Will need to keep an eye on surface temperatures early Tuesday as light icing looks possible before temperatures climb above freezing. Colder air spills into the area behind the clipper starting Tuesday night, and this colder air will be with us for the rest of the week. A period of lake effect snow (favoring northerly flow snow belts) looks likely later Tuesday night into Wednesday before a drying air mass and low inversion heights brings it to an end.

The next system arrives by late week and models agree that it will be cold enough for only snow as a precipitation type. However, model agreement is not as good on the timing of this system and the location of the best forcing associated with it.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 100 PM EST Sun Jan 11 2026

-SN spreads at KCIU, KPLN, and -SHSN at KAPN for a brief period tonight between 03 and 09Z. All sites remain MVFR tonight as CIGS remain mostly between 015 and 025 through the remainder of the forecast period.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for LHZ345-347>349. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST Monday for LHZ346. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EST Monday for LMZ341-342- 344>346. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for LMZ323. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for LSZ321- 322.