textproduct: Gaylord

KEY MESSAGES

- Winds diminish tonight.

- Warmer and quiet for much of the week ahead.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 209 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Mid-upper level heights continue to rise above our heads this afternoon as troughing largely ejects off the East Coast...save for an upper low that cuts off and is progged to spin off the coast of VA/NC for much of the week ahead. Early this week, another upper low is expected to be diving south off the West Coast, making very little eastward progress until later this week. All this setting the stage for developing Omega blocking across the CONUS this week, with a zonal to weakly ridged upper-level pattern dominating locally. Surface high pressure dominates locally with an active northern stream across northern Canada just simply too far removed from having much of an impact on our sensible weather.

Forecast Details: Continued focus over the near-term revolves around continued windy conditions, especially at and near the Lake Michigan shorelines into the Straits area. 40+ mph gusts remain most likely in these area, with some 45+ mph gusts not out of the question. Those higher end gusts not likely to be widespread or frequent enough to warrant a wind advisory, but it's close. 25-35 mph common elsewhere through this afternoon before gradually diminishing this evening, and especially tonight.

Otherwise, remarkably quiet weather on tap for much of the week ahead, with Thursday's potential brief shower chances largely out of play at this point. Next rain chance likely to hold off until next weekend, if not beyond. High temps for much of the week ahead varying through the 60s with a few spots in northern lower potentially making a run to near 70/into the lower 70s.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 715 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026

VFR. Strong winds this evening to taper through the overnight. As such, some lingering strong flow at 2,000ft will lead to some LLWS out of the southwest. Light southwest winds Monday to start, flipping NW by afternoon.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...Gale Warning until 11 PM EDT this evening for LHZ345-346. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Monday for LHZ347>349. Gale Warning until 11 PM EDT this evening for LMZ323-341-342- 344-345. Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Monday for LMZ346. Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for LSZ321- 322.