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This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Another cold night tonight with most locations seeing sub- zero wind chills at times.

- Clipper system brings light snow to mainly eastern Upper Michigan and the Tip of the Mitt Monday into Tuesday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 213 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

Pattern Synopsis: Persistent ridge west/trof east configuration in place across much of North America to start the period. A weak ripple in the flow is expected to pass mainly south of the area tonight, with short wave ridging/heights building in from the west for Sunday. At the surface, a ridge of high pressure will build east across the region tonight, with return flow starting to develop on the back side of the ridge axis by late Sunday.

Forecast Details: Lake clouds & flurries will continue into this evening downwind of lakes Superior and Michigan (NW flow favored areas). Then, mid-level clouds will begin to spread across much of the area as the above mentioned ripple passes to our south. Expect any snow with this feature to stay well to our south. The surface ridge building across the area tonight into Sunday will provide light winds tonight. This should allow for land breeze development in northwest Lower, which would push any lingering lake effect flurries off shore. This also looks like a good setup for cold easterly drainage winds coming off higher terrain in Ontario into parts of eastern Upper. Could be another cold night across most of the area, but the mid clouds from the disturbance should mitigate this to some degree, especially across northwest Lower. Quiet and slightly milder conditions expected for Sunday as upper-level heights rise and low-level return flow starts to develop on the back side of the surface ridge.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 1240 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR condtions are expected through the entirety of the forecast period. SCT MVFR clouds will continue at KTVC and KMBL this afternoon as VCSH lingers. Winds become light and variable tonight before turning SE Sunday morning.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...None.

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