textproduct: Gaylord

KEY MESSAGES

- Elevated fire danger again Sunday and Monday.

- Seasonable temperatures and continued dry through midweek. Warming up late week with eventual low shower/storm chances.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 213 PM EDT Sat May 30 2026

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Amplified upper-level pattern remains in place through midweek across NOAM. Northern MI continues to find itself in the vicinity of the trough/ridge interface, favoring subsidence aloft and reinforcing Canadian-originated surface high pressure sagging into the western Great Lakes. Latest trends favor this pattern beginning to break down toward the middle and end of this coming week with downstream troughing exiting out over the Atlantic and upstream ridging trekking east into the Great Lakes. Pattern eventually becomes more zonal across the northern tier of the CONUS toward next weekend.

Forecast Details: Little in the way of sensible weather is anticipated through at least midweek across northern MI with mostly sunny skies and seasonable temperatures. Primary focus through Wednesday will likely be continued fire weather concerns with antecedent dry conditions, low afternoon humidity and occasional breeziness. High temperatures Sunday through Tuesday largely in the 70s to low 80s area-wide.

Slow upward temperature trend anticipated Wednesday-Thursday as aforementioned ridging folds overhead. Wednesday's highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s away from the lakeshores with the warmest day of the week likely Thursday with lots of mid-upper 80s for northern lower and upper 70s to low 80s north of the bridge. Fire weather issues may persist through this time frame as well. Low PoPs eventually reenter the forecast later Thursday through next weekend, but despite that, still think we'll be hard pressed to see any widespread meaningful rainfall.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/

Issued at 129 PM EDT Sat May 30 2026

VFR conditions continue tonight through the entirety of the TAF period. Winds currently from the east this afternoon will subside tonight, becoming VRB before veering to the northwest Sunday morning.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...None.