textproduct: Gaylord

KEY MESSAGES

- Another cold night tonight with most locations seeing sub- zero wind chills at times.

- Clipper system brings light snow to mainly eastern Upper Michigan and the Tip of the Mitt Monday into Tuesday.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/

Issued at 213 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

Pattern Synopsis: Persistent ridge west/trof east configuration in place across much of North America to start the period. A weak ripple in the flow is expected to pass mainly south of the area tonight, with short wave ridging/heights building in from the west for Sunday. At the surface, a ridge of high pressure will build east across the region tonight, with return flow starting to develop on the back side of the ridge axis by late Sunday.

Forecast Details: Lake clouds & flurries will continue into this evening downwind of lakes Superior and Michigan (NW flow favored areas). Then, mid-level clouds will begin to spread across much of the area as the above mentioned ripple passes to our south. Expect any snow with this feature to stay well to our south. The surface ridge building across the area tonight into Sunday will provide light winds tonight. This should allow for land breeze development in northwest Lower, which would push any lingering lake effect flurries off shore. This also looks like a good setup for cold easterly drainage winds coming off higher terrain in Ontario into parts of eastern Upper. Could be another cold night across most of the area, but the mid clouds from the disturbance should mitigate this to some degree, especially across northwest Lower. Quiet and slightly milder conditions expected for Sunday as upper-level heights rise and low-level return flow starts to develop on the back side of the surface ridge.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/

Issued at 213 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

Pattern Synopsis: Short wave ridging exits the area early Monday as a clipper system approaches the area. The clipper is expected to clear the area by late Tuesday, followed by a shot of colder air. However, this air mass is notably milder than the one currently overhead. Heights rise again by the end of the week pushing temperatures above normal. No significant weather system is expected to impact the area during the period (clipper is not impressive).

Forecast Details: Temperatures gradually moderate through Tuesday under persistent low-level return flow ahead of the clipper. There is some model disagreement in how quickly snow breaks ahead of the clipper on Monday, but the snow does not look significant in any event. The center of the clipper surface low is expected to track well north of the forecast area across northern Ontario, so most of the associated snowfall will be limited to eastern Upper Michigan and the Tip of the Mitt. There will probably be a little bit of lake effect snow in the wake of the clipper into midweek, but it looks pretty inconsequential at this point. Quiet weather is expected to finish the week, with temperatures trending above normal.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1044 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

Lake effect clouds will provide MVFR cigs at times overnight into Sunday morning at APN/TVC/MBL. A few flurries are also possible with these. Otherwise VFR, will an increase in mid clouds later tonight into part of Sunday. Light winds, becoming se to s on Sunday.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

MI...None. MARINE...None.