textproduct: Amarillo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1105 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026
-Rain is slowly winding downward this morning.
-Fog with pockets of dense fog can form this morning and again for Monday morning negatively impacting travel conditions.
-Breezy conditions to return on Tuesday with milder temperatures through the week.
-Low to medium chance of rain showers and storms to return towards the end of the week.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Monday night) Issued at 1105 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026
A weather system continues to move eastward away from the southern plains today. This is actively drawing away moisture from the panhandles leading to a gradually decrease and cessation of the rain this morning. This will be in a west to east fashion with the last rain ending for the eastern panhandles during the afternoon hours. While the rain is occurring this morning it can lead to additional accumulations of generally under half of an inch. With all the ample surface moisture there is a high chance for fog during the morning hours across the panhandles. It is uncertain how much dense fog can form due to the instability from the weather system. Still, the chances for pockets of dense fog are high enough across the western panhandles that a Dense Fog Advisory has been issued. Lastly this weather system is causing breezy winds this morning which coupled with the colder temperatures is causing wind chills in the 30s. The daytime temperatures will not warm much owing to the cloud cover and cold air filtering into the region. This will make Sunday the coldest day for this week with highs in the 40s.
Monday, lingering surface moisture will allow for another medium to high chance for fog across the panhandles. There can be further pockets of dense fog which can pose a hazard to the morning commute. The big limiting factor will be the ample cloud bank that can prevent some fog from forming. This same bank of clouds can cause drizzle across the panhandles during the morning hours. What fog that does form, along with any drizzle, will end going into the later morning hours. This will leave fair, if but cloudy, weather for the rest of Monday.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1105 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2026
Tuesday and Wednesday are shaping up to be drier days as there will be a lack of moisture feed into the southern plains. This doesn't mean the weather will be quiet as a weather system ejects out of the desert southwest. Without moisture this system will not be able to produce rain, instead it will lead to windy conditions across the panhandles. The current trajectory of this system favors the northern panhandles for seeing the strongest winds. The winds will be mainly southerly which will allow for warmer air to stream back across the region leading to warmer, if still mild temperatures.
Thursday into the weekend will likely see another weather system move eastward from the desert southwest across the southern plains. This slower moving weather system has a low to medium chance of being able to source moisture and move that across the panhandles. If this occurs then the panhandles can see another period of active weather from rain showers and thunderstorms. This system is unlikely to bring much in the way of colder air so temperatures will still more likely than not remain mild.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 518 AM CST Sun Nov 15 2026
IFR and at times LIFR conditions are present to start the 12Z TAF period at all TAF sites. Will have to watch closely through about 18Z for the potential of FG to develop at all TAF sites. Past 18Z, IFR cigs should linger through the remainder of the TAF period. Winds will be out of the east and southeast at 5-10 kts.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST today for TXZ001>020-317.
OK...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST today for OKZ001>003.
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