textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1122 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

- Dangerously cold wind chills expected once again tonight across the Panhandles, largely ranging from -5 degrees to -17 degrees.

- Light snow will be possible across the northern combined Panhandles tonight and potentially even into the central and southern Texas Panhandle as well. Measurable accumulations are only favored in the northern combined Panhandles, ranging mostly between a trace to 0.4". However, there is a 30-70% chance for accumulations to exceed 0.5".

- Freezing fog will be possible at least across the southern Texas Panhandle tonight into Monday morning.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 1122 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Scattered flurries have been present across the Panhandles this morning but will be coming to an end early this afternoon as dry air aloft works into the area from the north. Temperatures will "warm" into the upper teens to mid-20s today as we could see some sun this afternoon, though the albedo from the snowpack will reduce the effectiveness of daytime heating. A shortwave trough will move in from the northwest this evening bringing a chance for light snow across most of the Panhandles, but the greater chance will be in the northern combined Panhandles. Snow accumulation is favored to stay between a trace to around 0.3", but there is a 30- 70% chance for totals to exceed 0.5" in the central and western Oklahoma Panhandle, and a 10-30% chance to reach or slightly exceed 1". Will have to watch some freezing fog potential tonight with a clear sky, fresh snowpack, and relatively light winds. Currently the most favored area for some freezing fog will be across the southern Texas Panhandle, but this could end up extending further north. Additionally, there is low confidence at this time regarding how low the visibility may go.

Another dangerously cold night, enhanced by a clear sky and fresh snowpack, is expected across the Panhandles. As previously mentioned, winds will be on the lighter side but lows will be in the negative single digits for most of the area with wind chills between -5 to -18 degrees.

The Panhandles will be on the backside of an upper-level trough on Monday, firmly in the left entrance region which supports subsidence. Expecting temperatures to make another jump toward freezing, but it may still be a struggle for temperatures to reach that threshold for locations that still have a snowpack. Meanwhile, the northwestern Texas Panhandle, which may not have much of a meaningful snowpack remaining by Monday and should see some downsloping southwesterly winds, could reach into the upper-30s.

Vanden Bosch

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1122 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Broad troughing is expected across much of the Eastern and Central US on Tuesday as a ridge is parked over the Western US. A shortwave trough is expected to ride the eastern periphery of the ridge toward the Panhandles, but owing to a lack of moisture, no precipitation is expected. Temperatures will continue to try to rebound for the snowpack-affected portion of the Panhandles but will struggle. The NBM has highs in the low-40s in the southeastern Texas Panhandle to low-50s in the northwestern combined Panhandles. These temperatures will have to be adjusted downward for whichever portion of the area still has a snowpack remaining, but will leave the NBM alone for now given the uncertainty regarding how much the snowpack will melt over the next 48 hours.

Temperatures are expected to warm closer to normal on Wednesday and Thursday as a ridge builds overhead. A cold front is favored to move in throughout Thursday. There is some variance regarding how cold the airmass will be behind the front, with some ensemble members suggesting lows in the single digits to teens Thursday night and Friday night. However, confidence in such a cold airmass making it to the area is very low at the moment.

The majority of the operational models and their ensembles favor a positively tilted shortwave to enter the West Coast through California and move toward the Panhandles Thursday night into Friday. The chances for precipitation with this system is currently very low as positively tilted troughs with weak moisture return ahead of it tends to not benefit the Panhandles.

Vanden Bosch

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1122 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

VFR conditions are currently present at all terminals. Light snow with visibility reductions will be possible tonight at all 3 terminals with the relatively higher confidence in Guymon. Otherwise, ceilings will drop to MVFR or IFR, depending on how prevalent the cloud cover will be. Freezing mist will be possible in Amarillo later tonight into a portion of Monday morning. There is low confidence regarding how low the visibility may go.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Cold Weather Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon CST Monday for TXZ001>011-016.

Extreme Cold Warning from 9 PM this evening to noon CST Monday for TXZ012>015-017>020-317.

OK...Cold Weather Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon CST Monday for OKZ001>003.