textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1109 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

- Cold wind chills in the teens and single digits are expected to be present going into this morning.

- Warming trend will look to follow with potential for record highs late next week with elevated fire weather conditions.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Tuesday night) Issued at 1109 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Post frontal surface high winds are expected to calm to below 10 mph overnight going into the morning. Thanks to continuing CAA overnight, H85 temperatures are progged to drop to -4 to -7 degrees C by morning. The CAA along with calm winds and relatively clear skies should allow temperatures to drop into the mid to upper teens, with maybe some low 20s in the southeastern TX Panhandle by sunrise. The combined Panhandles will maintain a N to NW flow aloft through the day today, with ridging to the west. Near the surface H85 temperatures should rebound to near 2 degrees C in the east and 6 to 7 degrees C in the west by sunset tonight. This may allow for late afternoon temperatures to warm into the lower 50s. Surface winds are progged to remain light and back to the southwest by the evening. Southerly surface winds along with ridging building in aloft tonight, should allow highs tomorrow to warm by about 20 degrees. Afternoon temperatures are progged to be in the 70s for Tue.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1109 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Upper level ridging is expected to continue to build through mid week into the weekend with no rain in sight. The main story will be temperatures that are progged well above normal, even approaching record highs. Much of the area is expected to see afternoon temperatures in the lower 90s Fri and Sat as upper level ridging dominates, and H85 temperatures approach 27 to 29 degrees C at the end of the week. Also, need to note that there seems to be several bias corrected members in the NBM weighing values higher than many of the raw models. Therefore, temperatures may come in a couple to three degrees cooler than whats in the forecast. Depending on the timing of the next cold front late Sat into Sun, there may still be a large bust potential for temperatures in the north Sat afternoon. Otherwise temperatures might hit the lower 90s Panhandles wide on Sat. The Panhandles should see temperatures back off a bit Sunday after this next cold front sometime either late Sat or early Sun.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1109 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

VFR conditions expected to prevail through the period with winds dropping off to around 10 kts or less, at least through 18Z. Winds are expected to gradually move from the north back to the west, eventually becoming southwest late in the period. Skies should remain mostly clear with maybe a few to scattered high clouds.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.