textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1213 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

- Temperatures above normal and dry conditions expected throughout this week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday night) Issued at 1201 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Main concern for tonight is if we'll end up with low clouds and maybe even some patchy fog, mainly in the southwest Panhandle, and that would include Amarillo. Overall winds out of the south to southeast will continue to advect some low level moisture and we may be able to raise dewpoints enough such that we get that low cloud/fog development. Right now confidence is about (20%), so making a mention of patchy fog.

Overall for the short term high pressure over the Four Corners will get slightly disrupted by a shortwave Monday night into Tuesday but overall the broad scale will keep very warm northwest flow in play for the Southern High Plains. Highs today will be in the mid 70s to lower 80s, and by Tuesday we'll be in the 80s across the Panhandles. Normal highs would be upper 70s, so we're back to above normal. Doesn't look like we'll have any precipitation to deal with in the short term as any moisture the shortwave has should be isolated to the Rockies.

Weber

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 1201 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Broad high pressure will continue over the western CONUS and will be expansive enough to cover the Southern High Plains as well as the southeast CONUS. As a result we'll remain warm and dry with highs in the 80s Wednesday and through the weekend. Previous forecasts had noted that we might have an upper level trough move in over the weekend, but it looks to be delayed, and may not move in until early to mid next week. Now there is some interesting activity to the south with the residual moisture from the tropical systems in both the eastern Pacific and the Gulf. At any given time we could get a low form, off the Eastern Pacific or the Gulf and possibly become cutoff and drift up to the Panhandles. Now, there's still a very low probability of that (<15%), but at this time that would seem to be the only reason pops would need to be added into the extended, as it's currently a dry forecast through Sunday.

Weber

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 616 AM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

Some light fog is currently developing near Hereford in the southwest TX Panhandle. There is a low chance that this fog develops further NE and impacts KAMA early in this 12Z TAF period. However, confidence remains low at this time with generally VFR conditions prevailing for all three terminals at this time. KAMA may need an amendment between 12Z and 16Z depending on the expansion of this fog. For now, winds are expected to be light and variable becoming southerly around 10 kts or less after 17Z.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.