textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1229 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

- Patchy fog may develop on Sunday morning across the central and eastern Panhandles which may result in visibility dropping down to a half mile or less.

- Thunderstorms may be possible on Monday afternoon and if they can form, they could be severe with large hail and damaging wind gusts being the primary hazards.

- Very hot temperatures are expected all of this week with the potential for heat illnesses if proper precautions are not taken for those that are doing activities outdoors.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday night) Issued at 1229 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

With all the recent rainfall and increased surface moisture, fog may develop late tonight into early Sunday morning across the central and eastern Panhandles. Right now, the northeast has the highest potential for fog development with the HREF suggesting a 50-70 percent chance for visibility of a half mile or less by sunrise. The fog should quickly burn off after sunrise as surface temperatures quickly rise. Overall, a mostly quiet weather day is expected for Sunday as WAA increases over the region. Afternoon highs should reach the 90s across the entire area with a few locations reaching or exceeding 100. The southwest surface wind will usher in some drier air across the west, but a weak shortwave may generate a few, brief isolated showers or storms across eastern NM or the western Panhandles late Sunday afternoon.

Upper level high pressure should start to move more over the Panhandles on Monday which will result in even hotter temperatures. Widespread highs in the upper 90s if not exceeding 100 are expected on Monday afternoon. Heat Advisory criteria may be met in some locations, but where that may occur is still to be determined. A surface trough may be in place across the area on Monday afternoon, oriented from southwest to northeast near the middle of the CWA. To the east of the trough, moisture may be sufficient enough for showers or storms to form if everything aligns during the afternoon hours. If storms do form, they could become severe with large hail and damaging wind gusts being the primary hazards. Right now, confidence in storms forming is quite low (around 10 percent or less) but that potential will need to continue to be closely monitored. If anything does form, the storms should dissipate or move out of the CWA during the evening hours.

Muscha

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 1229 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Upper level ridging is forecast to be in place across the eastern CONUS and portions of the south central US on Tuesday into Wednesday of this upcoming week. The strongest WAA is expected to be to the west and northwest of the CWA on Tuesday, but even with that being said, highs will still be in the 90s across the entire area with a few locations potentially reaching the triple digit mark. A shortwave embedded in the upper level flow may generate some isolated showers or storms over the mountains of NM that may reach the northwestern Panhandles during the evening.

The H500 ridge will be pushed off to the east during the later half of the week but high pressure will remain in place across Mexico and portions of the southwestern US. Wednesday may be quite the hot day across the Panhandles as H850 temperatures rise into the lower 30s Celsius and quite a few areas may reach 100 degrees for afternoon highs. The base of the upper level trough is expected to move just north of the Panhandles late week, but its influence should still lead to a brief cool down on Thursday. The warm temperatures will likely continue into next weekend. Isolated storms may form on any of these days next week as mid level moisture remains in place and the very hot temperatures may be just enough to form a few storms any afternoon, but confidence is low since there is a lack of good synoptic scale forcing.

Muscha

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 618 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Fog continues over KGUY this morning and is expected to last until 14Z or 15Z. Minor fluctuations between LIFR and IFR may occur since there appears to be a break between fog banks on satellite, but the second back should move north into Guymon and affect the terminal through the mid morning. As for the other sites, MVFR visibility already sits over KDHT and that should affect the site through 14Z as well. Visual observations at KAMA confirms that the fog bank is within site of the terminal, but remains undetected from the ASOS as it's at least 6SM away. VFR visibility should prevail for KAMA, but if the fog bank expands southward, amendments will be necessary.

For the rest of the day time, light winds should prevail at all sites. Breezy, southerly winds may kick up over KAMA late tonight and into Monday morning.

Rangel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for TXZ002>005- 007>010-013>015.

OK...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for OKZ002-003.