textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1130 AM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

- A potent cold front is expected to move across the Panhandles Sunday, bringing in cooler than average temperatures.

- Chances for rain increase towards the middle of next week as a weather system moves towards the region.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Friday night) Issued at 1130 AM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

Quiet weather is forecast through Friday night across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. The center of high pressure aloft is expected to remain near Baja California and northwest flow is expected to prevail over the southern High Plains. Clear skies and mostly light winds are expected today. A few areas across the north may become breezy this afternoon but otherwise a very nice day is in store with highs in the 70s. Very similar conditions are forecast for Friday as the upper level pattern stays consistent over the region. Temperatures will warm back up a few degrees though as low level winds shift to out of the south, allowing stronger WAA to move over the CWA. Breezy winds are forecast across the east but otherwise another very nice day is in store on Friday.

Muscha

LONG TERM

(Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1130 AM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

Saturday will once again be another very nice day across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles as the main upper level features remain unchanged once again. That reoccurring theme changes Sunday into next week as H500 high pressure moves east towards the Gulf of America and a trough moves in across the west. Model guidance remains inconsistent on the timing and strength of a backdoor cold front that is currently expected to move in on Sunday. The NBM continues to go lower with highs on Sunday, which is a good indication that more ensemble members are getting on board with the front moving through on the quicker side. That is the currently expected scenario, but given all the uncertainty, will keep the very likely warm NBM temperatures for Sunday at this time. There are certainly scenarios out there that keep highs in the 40s for most areas on Sunday, which would be nearly a 30 degree temperature change compared to Saturday!

The forecast uncertainty remains through the rest of the forecast period as timing and location of key features remains uncertain. In general, the H500 low pressure system will continue to move east towards the southern High Plains during the work week. This feature will draw in good moisture across the area, however, the trend in the track of the system is looking less favorable for good moisture across the Panhandles. This system is still quite a few days out so things could change, but the overall trend in the last day or so are not looking great. Temperatures for next week will also be dependent on cloud cover and rain chances.

Muscha

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1130 AM CST Thu Feb 26 2026

VFR conditions will continue over the next 24 hours. Light winds around 10 kts are less are forecast for much of this TAF period. Mostly clear skies are also expected.

Muscha

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.