textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1210 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

- Strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible this afternoon across the Southern Texas Panhandles with damaging winds the primary hazard. - Extreme amounts of moisture this afternoon could lead to localized flash flooding concerns, especially within urban areas and the canyon, with any thunderstorm that develops.

- Hot temperatures are expect to continue with near to over triple digit high temperatures possible through the end of July.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 1210 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Not much has changed, with high pressure contributing to afternoon highs reaching 98 to 105 degrees again today. The combined Panhandles are falling under the eastern periphery of the H5 high pressure with some northwest flow aloft, as a shortwave trough moved through the Mid to Upper Mississippi River Valley. This shortwave may bleed into the Panhandles potentially helping with the lift for thunderstorms this afternoon/evening. At the very least a surface low is expected to help create a surface trough type boundary across the area mainly along the HWY60 corridor which will be the primary focus for isolated to scattered thunderstorms. Some of the storms may be able to produce some localized heavy rainfall as PWATs reach 1.75 to 2.00" along with long skinny CAPE. The hot temperatures expected today are expected to also create strong inverted V soundings with DCAPE around 1000-1400 J/Kg which may lead to some damaging wind gusts.

Tomorrow, depending on the amount of rain realized and where today, some localized areas may be able to be held back from reaching 100 degrees for a high. A decent increase in soil moisture will need to be acquired for a region to avoid reaching full heating potential. However, still looking at very warm temperatures similar to today. The combined Panhandles lose upper level support as the shortwave moves off away from the area and the high pressure builds in again. Continued positive H7 theta-e advection especially along and south of HWY 60 still may lead to some isolated showers/storms popping under daytime heating. However, confidence is fairly low with mainly a 10 to 15 PoP for this area.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 1210 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Long story short, hot temperatures remain in the forecast with the majority of the Panhandles reaching the 100-109 degree range in the afternoon with very little cooling at night. After Sunday, the eastern Panhandles may lose the 60 Tds leading to a bit of a drier heat as apposed to the high heat indices that have been seen lately. Dry air may be able to mix down especially Tue and Wed allowing much drier conditions for the central to southwestern TX Panhandle, which could very well lead to elevated fire weather conditions as drought persists. Through the long term very little chance of precip exist except for the northwest come Thu when the high may shift and bring northwest flow and some slight chance to chance PoPs to the northwestern corner of the combined Panhandles.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1210 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

A surface boundary is splitting the combined Panhandles bringing southerly winds to KAMA, while KDHT and KGUY see lighter northerly winds. Also, south of this boundary KAMA has a Prob30 group for scattered thunderstorms to impact the southern TX Panhandle. Outside of potential impacts from thunder, expect VFR conditions. KDHT could potentially need an amendment for thunder, as confidence is too low to mention in the TAFs at this time.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ005-010-014-015- 018>020-317.

OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ003.