textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1155 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

-Heavy rain bring a low chance for localized flooding in portions of the Panhandles today.

-Dry conditions return mid week before our next rain chances return at the end of the week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Tuesday night) Issued at 1155 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

A weather system continues to slowly move across the Great Plains today keeping a fetch of moisture over the panhandles. This moisture remains high for this time of year allowing any rain shower or thunderstorm to produce heavy rainfall. Currently the weather system is causing rain showers and thunderstorms across large swaths of the panhandles. However, the main focus of these rain showers and thunderstorms remains the northwest half of the panhandles. This round of rain showers and thunderstorms continues to have a low chance to cause flash flooding in the northwestern panhandles. This is most prominent for areas that have already been impacted by previous rain showers and thunderstorms. The flooding can be harder to detect during the early morning hours as it will still be dark outside. This round of rain showers and thunderstorms will wane going into the mid to late morning hours. Then during the early afternoon the next round of rain showers and thunderstorms will kick off. These will be more focused towards the central and eastern panhandles as the weather systems shifts to the east. The main threat will remain flooding caused by heavy rainfall. This is more likely in the central panhandles where rainfall has already occurred on Sunday. It is less likely in the eastern panhandles which have seen overall lower amounts of rain from this weather system. This round of rain showers and thunderstorms will continue to move eastward and either depart or dissipate by the morning hours of Tuesday. This will begin a brief period of dry weather for the panhandles as the pattern slowly shifts to zonal then a dry southwest flow. Temperatures for today will remain cool with the passage of the weather system. Once we dry out on Tuesday the temperatures will warm up once again.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1155 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

The dry southwest flow remains over the panhandles on Wednesday keeping the panhandles weather calm. This will change come Thursday as a weather system deepens across the western portions of CONUS. This will change the flow enough to allow a moisture fetch to move back across the southern plains. A passing small weather system within the upper level flow in addition to jet energy will most likely provide lift across the panhandles late Thursday through Saturday. This in turn will allow the formation of rain showers and thunderstorms during this time. This system then moves off to the east on Sunday which would more likely than not will taper down the chances for rain showers and thunderstorms.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 1155 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

A weather system continues to impact the panhandles today. This is currently causing rain showers and thunderstorms over the western to central panhandles. These can produce heavy rainfall that can cause MVFR to IFR visibilities. Further low clouds are present with this system that can cause MVFR to IFR ceilings. Conditions will improve in the later morning hours as the rain showers and thunderstorms wane. Then in the afternoon the next round of rain showers and thunderstorms form for the central to eastern panhandles. The impacts from the second round remain the same as the current morning one. Icing will be a threat from any of the clouds throughout today. The winds this afternoon will most likely be weakly gusty from the south.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.