textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

- Elevated fire weather concerns remain present clear into next week.

- A slight cool off expected for Thursday, before warmer temperatures return for Friday and Saturday.

- Hints at a pattern change early next week that bring wetter and cooler weather to the Panhandles.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

A surface low is passing across the panhandles currently before it moves off to the southeast by the mid morning hours. This will cause the winds to shift around a lot with the winds starting off westerly then becoming northwesterly and then northerly. Once this low moves off the winds will shift back to a southerly direction for the afternoon and evening hours. The winds will be generally weak to breezy during all these direction shifts. This will disrupt the flow of warmer air across the panhandles leading to cooler conditions of mainly 70s with a few spots of 80s. This in turn prevents another round of record high temperatures occurring today. Late today and more so early Thursday a small scale weather system will quickly pass across the southern plains. The passage of this system will bring a cold front across the panhandles shifting the winds to the north and bringing in cooler air. This will see the temperatures drop again but still remain well above normal across the panhandles with highs in the 60s to 70s. There is no to only a little amount of moisture expected with this weather system so the chance of any rainfall is almost non existent. That means calm and dry weather will prevail today and Thursday across the panhandles. With dry conditions over the panhandles there is some limited elevated fire weather conditions. However these conditions are greatly muted due to the lack of any stronger winds that would lead to higher fire weather concerns.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026

Thursday through Sunday will has a high chance of seeing a broad ridge of higher pressure pass across the southern plains. This start up a warming trend that will see the temperatures increase once again with 70s to even 80s being abundant for highs. Under this ridge of high pressure dry air will remain across the panhandles leading to a stretch of fair weather days. However, since we are dry this will lead to some elevated fire weather concerns. A saving grace will be the lack of any strong winds which will continue to exclude any higher fire weather risks.

For early next week there is increasing confidence for a weather system to form across the SW portions of CONUS. This system would then most likely arrive in the southern plains towards mid next week bringing a wetter shift in the weather. Still there is a fairly large amount of uncertainty with this system regarding it timing and strength. These would determine exactly what kind of weather the panhandles actually receive. So for now it just looking increasingly favorable for the period of dry and warmer weather to come to an end. Be sure to stay tuned for more updates for this brewing weather system in future forecast.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 512 AM CST Wed Feb 25 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites over the next 24 hours with light and variable winds (5-10kts) for the most part. Winds will become more prevailing out of the north after 6z for the most part as a weak cold front moves through. Some LLWS will be possible tonight at KAMA and KDHT out of the north 40-45kts.

Weber

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.