textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1129 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

- There is a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms across the far western combined Panhandles this evening.

- Temperatures to remain above average through the week, in the 90s for afternoon highs.

- Watching for a low (10-20%) to moderate (30-50%) chance for showers and thunderstorms across the central to northern combined Panhandles Tue night through Fri nigth. Best chances and coverage appear to be Wed into Thu for much of the combined Panhandles.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 1129 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

Current satellite obs show a mid to upper level low sitting over Maine and another over Oregon. Between these two troughs lies a steep ridge over the Central Plains to include the combined Panhandles. Some atmospheric moisture present contributing to partly cloudy skies, along with slightly cooler H85 temperatures, are expected to contribute to cooler afternoon highs this afternoon. Cooler by at least by 2 to 5 degrees. Still above average in the mid upper 90s. This afternoon negative H7 theta-e advection is expected in the eastern Panhandles while the west stays with positive advection. This will keep a slight chance pops for the west going into the evening.

Monday, expect similar temperatures as high pressure continues to sit over the region. Precipitation becomes less likely for Monday as mid level disturbances remain displaced to the west and northwest of the combined Panhandles. At this time do not have mentionable pops in for Kenton, OK, but will not rule out the potential for needing to add slight chance PoPs to the far northwestern combined Panhandles for Monday evening. Otherwise the rest of the Panhandles should remain dry for Monday.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1129 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

The aforementioned low in the short term discussion is progged to traverse the US/Canada border through the week. This will suppress the mid to upper level ridge and keep temperatures mainly in the 90s. It will also introduce a shortwave trough starting Tuesday night with PoPs returning to the far northwest Panhandles. With each subsequent evening expanding PoPs across more and more of the Panhandles. Anywhere between 20 to 40 PoPs. As the main brunt of the trough comes over Thu, afternoon temperatures may be the coolest for the week, in the lower to mid 90s, with the exception of warm places off the caprock reaching 99.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 AM CDT Sun Sep 6 2026

VFR conditions with south to southeast winds are expected to prevail. Winds will either be south to southeasterly up to around 15 kts. Showers and thunderstorms this evening should remain west of the terminals, but be prepared for potential amendments, especially for KDHT and KGUY going into 00Z Monday.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.