textproduct: Amarillo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1055 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
- Cold wind chills in the single digits are expected this morning across the northern and central Panhandles.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Wednesday night) Issued at 1055 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
A longwave trough continues to stay over the Eastern US as a Rex block is set up off the west coast, with the Panhandles staying under northerly to northwesterly flow aloft.
Mid-level heights will rise through the day on Tuesday, supporting subsidence and a clear sky, as ridging begins to build off to our southwest. Low-level winds will turn southwesterly today which will begin to draw in a warmer airmass into the area once again, quickly bringing temperatures into the mid to upper-50s. The ridge will continue to build into the Southwestern US throughout Tuesday night and into Wednesday, allowing for the warming trend to continue; expecting highs in the upper-50s to low-60s on Wednesday with, once again, no chance for rain.
Vanden Bosch
LONG TERM
(Thursday through next Monday) Issued at 1055 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
A split flow regime will be set up to start the new year with a shortwave trough in the southern stream approaching California as a ridge builds over the southern High Plains. An embedded disturbance in the southern stream is expected to cause a surface low to develop in or around northeastern New Mexico through New Years Day while a weak backdoor cold front will sneak into the northeastern combined Panhandles. Expecting a slightly breezy day with westerly winds in the southwestern Texas Panhandle where temperatures will warm into the upper-60s to low-70s while the northeastern combined Panhandles could struggle to reach the 60 degrees.
The aforementioned shortwave trough will quickly pass off to our south Thursday night and through Friday, and a ridge will once again build over the Panhandles. Expecting generally weak winds, a clear sky, and temperatures to be widespread in the 60s from Friday through the weekend.
Vanden Bosch
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1055 PM CST Mon Dec 29 2025
VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Winds will mostly be out of the west at around 10 kts or less through the rest of the night and through the day before weakening to around 5 kts or less later this afternoon and through the evening.
Vanden Bosch
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. OK...None.
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