textproduct: Amarillo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
-About a 10% chance for a thunderstorm in the far western combined Panhandles.
-Potential for some areas, including PDC to reach 105 degrees almost daily starting this weekend into next week.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 1228 PM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
Any leftover showers and thunderstorms from this morning mainly for the central Texas Panhandle have dissipated between 16-17Z. In its wake, many locations in the central TX Panhandle have received several tenths of an inch of rain with some areas in Carson and Randall Counties seeing over an inch of rain since midnight. Overall rain chances this afternoon and into tonight look to be quite anemic. Perhaps around a 10% chance for the far western Panhandles on the eastern periphery of the main H500 high pressure system if any elevation convection in NM can reach the stateline with TX and OK. Latest hi-res model guidance tries to elongated main H500 high by this evening, stretching more west to east. This will dictate the weather pattern for the next few days. As a result, overall precipitation chances (maxing out around 10%) through the first half of this weekend will be confined to the far W/NW Panhandles. Otherwise, subsidence under the main anti- cyclonic feature will keep the majority of the Panhandles dry through Saturday. High temperatures on Saturday will bring the triple digit highs back to the Panhandles. Values will range from 100-106, where PDC could see Heat Advisory criteria to start the weekend.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 1228 PM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
Hot and dry conditions expected to continue throughout the long term forecast period. Temperatures well above average for late August into early September is expected, with some areas that could see heat related headlines, especially at PDC. The far NW Panhandles would be the areas to watch for monsoon pattern rain chances going into next week.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
VFR conditions are expected throughout the 18Z TAF period at all TAF sites. Winds will be out of the south and southwest at 5-15 kts, increasing to 10-20 kts past 12Z to the end of the TAF period with higher gusts at times.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. OK...None.
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