textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1207 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

- Persistent fair weather conditions expected throughout the coming week, with near average temperatures. - Watching for a low chance (~20%) of rain by the weekend.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Tuesday night) Issued at 1207 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

It's a mundane Monday across the Panhandles, which will be followed by a terrific Tuesday weather wise. Low pressure to our south is providing welcomed rain for a large portion of the great Lone Star State, but is leaving us high and dry here in the Panhandles as a result. This low will shift eastward tomorrow, causing a transition to northwest flow aloft atop the region. Dry air will be maintained with no precipitation chances. Afternoon highs will peak in the upper 60s to low 70s, with overnight lows in the upper 30s and 40s. Lack of better steering flow aloft is keeping our surface pressure gradient relatively diffuse, leading to lighter southwest winds of only 5-15 mph. Go out and enjoy the beautiful weather if able!

Harrel

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1207 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

Arguably the most "interesting" weather facet of the work week looks to occur Wednesday when NW flow aloft will usher in a weak cold front. Winds will get slightly breezier out of the north at 10-20 mph, but temperatures will only be reduced by about 5-10 degrees (both daytime and overnight). Our dry air mass should remain largely unchanged behind this FROPA, with no chances for rain. Thursday looks to hold more of the same, with winds becoming a touch lighter and temperatures a touch warmer. Ridging between deep troughs to our east and west will set up over the Plains on Friday, after an even weaker front passes through late Thursday. All in all, weather will be nice and quiet throughout the work week. Early to mid November is often one of the most consistently pleasant stretches of Panhandle weather from year to year, and 2026 appears to be well within that trend.

While there is still some signal for rain chances to potentially return this weekend, that signal remains weak. Global ensembles show an upper level low progressing across the southern CONUS this weekend, eventually opening up and tracking across Texas. Current projections favor the best moisture remaining south of our CWA, but there are several members that do bring rainfall to the far south-southeast reaches of the TX Panhandle by Sunday. This only presents approximately 15-20% rain chances for these areas, but is worth monitoring.

Harrel

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1207 PM CST Mon Nov 9 2026

VFR sky conditions are forecast at all sites over the next 24 hrs. Winds will be out of the south-southwest at 10-15 kts this afternoon, decreasing below 10 kts overnight into tomorrow. Direction will shift more out of the west-northwest behind a boundary, but could remain more light and variable.

Harrel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.