textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1147 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

- Very low chances (10-20 percent) for light rain with a few snowflakes mixed in across the northeastern Panhandles tonight.

- Breezy northerly winds for Wednesday with some wind gusts approaching 40 mph.

- Thursday through the coming weekend, temperatures will climb to well above average for early February.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Wednesday night) Issued at 1147 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

A lovely early February day across the Panhandles with current 18Z temperatures in the mid to upper 50s across the Panhandles under mostly clear skies. Further aloft, on the western periphery of a deepening H500 trough axis over the eastern 2/3 CONUS will help usher in some near seasonal temperatures for tomorrow, compared to slightly above average temperatures today. Along a weak cold front tomorrow morning, a 10-20% chance of a very light rain shower, with a few snowflakes mixed in will be possible for the eastern and northeastern Panhandles. Precip amounts will likely be a trace, if that, with around a 5% chance of possibly a tenth of an inch for the far eastern Panhandles. So yes, nothing to get too hopeful about unfortunately. High temperatures tomorrow will return to near average for early February with highs ranging from the lower to mid 50s. With our region being on the periphery of the main H500 trough axis with height rises throughout the day, can rule out some breezy northerly winds with gusts of 30-40 mph at times. With a combination of breezy northerly winds and RH values dropping to near 20% in some locations for the western Texas Panhandle, some areas could see brief elevated fire weather conditions. Will have to watch trends closely.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through next Monday) Issued at 1147 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

Dry and warm temperatures return for the long term forecast period. Latest 03/12Z model and numerical data shows a mid level ridge with a NW-SE axis over the High Plains providing large scale subsidence over the region. This ridge will slowly decay through the weekend into early next week, with dry conditions remaining. High temperatures Thursday through early next week will rise to well above average.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 426 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the 00Z TAF period. Winds are expected to pick up again out of the north behind another cold front. After 16Z winds are expected to be around 20 kts gusting up to 30 kts for all TAF sites.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.