textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 135 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

- Gusty winds are expected to persist into the overnight hours with the Northwestern Panhandles seeing potential for 50 mph gusts.

- Chances of showers and thunderstorms remain possible tonight with more chances to follow Wednesday night into Thursday.

- Cooler temperatures continue to hold with afternoon highs staying in the 60s.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Tuesday night) Issued at 135 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

As of this afternoon, present satellite imagery was showing the low-pressure system currently over the top to the Panhandles with present motion expecting it exit the area later tonight. However, behind the backside of this low multiple CAMs have continue to place a decent 700mb jet, which is already leading to wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph across the Western Panhandles this afternoon. This jet is expected to strengthen as we head into the late night and overnight hours with areas in our northwest having chances to see gust upwards of 50 mph. What may limit this however, is the continue trend from CAMs to see wrap around moisture from the low also push in during this period. This moisture is expected to result in cloud cover as well as showers with embedded thunderstorms that can keep our north decoupled from the jet. Still plenty of CAMs have much of this activity rather limited to the Central and Eastern Oklahoma Panhandle with the northwest clearing enough to see these winds manifest. Given this it has been decided to issue Wind Advisory for the Northwestern Panhandles for tonight into early Tuesday morning. As for our severe threat for this afternoon, present radar has seen the expected boundary much further east than originally expected, which has resulted in many of the CAMs limiting thunderstorms develop to our far east this afternoon and evening. Moving into Tuesday, does see much drier weather for the Panhandles with expectations from models seeing a ridge and high pressure build for the day. However, temperatures do look to stay cool with afternoon highs in the upper 50s to 60s and morning low in the low 40s.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 135 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

Present model agreement does see active weather return to the Panhandles Wednesday with current runs seeing yet another trough brush the Northern Panhandles late that night into Thursday morning. Unfortunately, the northerly position of this trough has seen many of the models keeping activity contained to the Oklahoma Panhandles and the far Northeastern Texas Panhandles with chances only around 10 to 30 percent. Moving into the later hours of Thursday, most models do see another ridge building in across the Southwestern United States, which will lead to northwesterly upper-level flow across the Panhandles. Under this flow the Panhandles has a tendency to keep to a more active pattern thanks to it being easier to force short-wave into the area. However, present agreement between the ensembles has not really seen that potential manifest, with current trends now dropping our chance of precipitation below 10 percent through the weekend. Regardless, temperature will stay cool under this flow with afternoon highs holding in the low to mid 60s.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 538 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

Late aftn satellite and radar imagery showing the main mid level low now over the panhandles and at the surface a cold front moving southeast across the northern panhandle. Wrap around clouds and rain will affect the northern TX panhandle and OK panhandle tonight with reduced vsby and lower cigs at times. Winds will remain strong and gusty overnight. Further south at the AMA TAF site there may be a chance for an isold shower early with the front otherwise expecting VFR conditions overnight. It will remain windy but not to the degreee that it is further north. AWC showing icing potential associated with the precip lifting north into KS after 06Z.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Wind Advisory until 4 AM CST Tuesday for TXZ001-006.

OK...Wind Advisory until 4 AM CST Tuesday for OKZ001.