textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1236 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026

- Record heat continue to be possible for both Wednesday and Thursday.

- Elevated fire weather remains possible for the mid-week with critical fire weather expected Thursday ahead of the cold front.

- Cooler temperatures return Friday behind the passing cold front.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Wednesday night) Issued at 1236 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026

An upper-level high pressure system is expected to slowly make its way over Texas during these next two days. Here in the Panhandles, this high will likely leave us with another round of dry and hot weather that could once again bring temperatures well above normal with some of areas even seeing record heat. Today, afternoon temperatures will likely rise into the low to mid 80s with some of our hotter locations potentially reaching into the low 90s. As for Wednesday, temperatures are expected to ramp up even more with many locations once again reaching back into the mid to upper 90s. Beyond the hot temperatures look for the Panhandles to have continued chances for elevated fire weather for the next afternoon. Thankfully most of the fire weather potential will be more focused on the dry conditions as the present high pressure system will keep winds on the lighter side.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Monday) Issued at 1236 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026

High pressure looks to hold as Thursday continues trend for our hottest day of the week. Temperatures look to rise clear into the upper 90s for most areas with some model even suggesting triple digits for our know hot locations. While it is still too early to have full confidence in such high temperatures, these potential temperatures could call for the need of a heat related product. However, this day may not be as quiet as the prior two with model agreement continuing to see a weak trough pushing across the Panhandles that will likely force a across the area that afternoon and evening. Ahead of the front Thursday afternoon winds are looking to increase just enough that fire weather could be critical, especially under such hot and dry conditions. Behind this front, however, as winds are expected to be much stronger with potential to gust clear into the early morning hour of Friday. As it stands, latest from the NBM suggests that there is a 30 to 50 percent chance of seeing a gust greater than 50 mph behind this front. Meanwhile, cooler air will also follow behind the front and will look put the Panhandles back into the 60s for Friday.

Unfortunately, latest model trends have not see this trough as our ticket out of this high pressure system with many of them seeing the high regain its strength by Sunday. However as we approach the start of next week, models do hint that a new upper- level trough that could finally break down this high pressure system. At this time, there is still quite a bit of uncertainty, but latest ensemble guidance has even suggested some low (10 to 20% chances) of precipitation for next Tuesday. In the meantime, look for temperatures to be on the rise once again with Sunday and Monday looking to be in the low to mid 80s.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026

Latest satellite continues to see upper-level scatter to broken cloud decks present over the terminals. However, these cloud decks are not expect to have much impact during package's period with expectations for all terminals to remain VFR. Otherwise, winds at the surface will stay relatively light and out of the south for most of tonight and tomorrow.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.