textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1047 PM CST Tue Jan 13 2026

- Elevated fire weather conditions are forecast for this afternoon for the southeastern Texas Panhandle due to breezy to gusty north winds.

- Dry weather and fluctuating temperatures are expected over the coming week as multiple cold fronts move across the region.

UPDATE

Issued at 545 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

Winds have already been decreasing across the Panhandles, with most areas observing sustained winds around 15 mph or less. The winds will continue to decrease through the rest of the evening and clear skies are expected overnight. This should lead to good radiational cooling with lows near or below freezing leading into Thursday morning. No major changes were made to the ongoing forecast through the rest of the night.

Muscha

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Thursday night) Issued at 101 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

Post frontal north winds continue today in the 15-25 mph range, with some gusts in the 30-35 mph range most likely to continue through about 6-7pm. Winds will calm down around 10 mph thereafter. These breezy north wind and fairly dry fuels, will continue to support elevated Fire Weather conditions across the southern Panhandles. Although we will start to transition to warmer temperatures tomorrow, with winds lightening up tonight and good radiational cooling overnight, we can expect lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s across the Panhandles. Winds will be more out of the west to northwest on Thursday as warmer air under the northwest flow pushes back into the Panhandles. Highs on Thursday look to be widespread 60s with lower 70s in the southeast Panhandles. RH values will be right around 20 percent range and given the drier fuels, we may have some limited elevated concerns tomorrow, but the winds will still be in that marginal area. Another quiet night tomorrow night as winds will lighten up and start to turn out of the north as another cold front will be on the way for the weekend.

Weber

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 101 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

Roller coaster temperatures for the weekend into early next week as a cold front will move in on Friday bringing temperature down to about normal. On Saturday the upper trough will deepen a bit and linger for another day pushing highs below normal in the lower 40s to lower 50s. Right now there is very little moisture that models are putting out, and while some light snow showers can't be ruled out, the confidence is too low to mention at this time. Sunday the system will start to push east and warmer northwest flow will return us back into the upper 50s to mid 60s. That warmer air will be short lived as another upper low comes down over the Great Lakes and nudges that colder airmass southwest and it comes back in as a backdoor cold front. Again, nothing to strong, just enough to drop us around to maybe slightly below normal on Monday. Then southwest flow tries to surge another round of warmer air to the Panhandles on Tuesday, returning temperatures back in the upper 50s to lower 60s. It certainly is possible that we remain under that cooler air for another day on Tuesday and that those temperature could be pulled back with further forecast updates. So confidence is low at this time on those milder temperatures.

Weber

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 545 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

VFR conditions are forecast with this TAF cycle. Northerly winds will become westerly overnight and will decrease down to 10 kts or less. Winds will increase a bit after 12z with sustained winds around 10-15 kts through the end of this TAF issuance. High clouds should eventually clear out.

Muscha

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.