textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1241 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

- Dry conditions will allow for elevated to low-end critical fire weather to remain present through Monday.

- A pattern shift will see multiple chances of at showers and thunderstorms this week.

- Temperatures will warm once again but afternoon highs will stay mostly in the 70 to low 80s.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

A bit of a quieter weekend for the Panhandles as models see a upper-level ridge slowly build throughout today and most of Sunday. For today, temperatures are looking to stay on the cooler side thanks to the cold air mass that followed yesterdays front still holding over the area. Look for highs today to be mostly in the mid to upper 60s with overnight low dipping closer to the 30s. Winds, however, will still be a bit breezy and out of the north with current strongest winds in the Eastern Panhandles at around 15 to 20 mph with gusts upwards of 30 mph. These winds should slowly decrease over the afternoon and evening as the ridge forces more high pressure over the area. Still, elevated fire weather may be present both today thanks to present dry conditions and fuels. As for Sunday, model agreement sees the high pressure more integrated over the Panhandles, which will allow a pleasant and relatively quiet day with some breezy conditions sneaking in later that evening. The threat of elevated will also be present once again given how dry conditions continue to be. Otherwise, look for afternoon highs closer to the low to mid 70s as we see a warming trend follow this ridge.

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

High pressure and an upper-level ridge look to hold through Monday, which will allow for another dry and warm day. However to the far northwest, a weak lee-side low is expected to build off the Front Range. This low will help shift winds back towards a more southwesterly direction for the day and allow for some breezy to gusty conditions across the Northwestern Panhandles. Unfortunate these winds may be enough to create another round of elevated to low-end critical fire weather, especially with relative humidity values looking to be under 15 percent for the afternoon. Beyond Monday the overall upper-level pattern looks to shift as models see multiple troughs push across the Panhandles clear through Friday. Each of these trough will look to provide us with a chance at active weather with first starting Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday evening. Currently latest ensembles are beginning to favor seeing some form of showers and thunderstorms for the period with chances holding at around 20 to 40 percent. However, chances of any beneficial rainfall seem to be much lower with present indication only seeing a 10 to 20 percent chance of seeing amount greater than a quarter of an inch. Instead, better chances may have to wait for the next system moving in sometime Thursday into Friday. At this time present ensemble are giving much better chances for actual beneficial rainfall with this secondary system with chances of greater than a quarter of an inch closer to 50 to 60 percent. However, these still plenty of uncertainty that may see these chances fall or increase over the coming days. Regardless, look for temperatures to stay warm, but a bit more regulated with afternoon highs mostly in the 70s to low 80s.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 609 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026

VFR conditions prevail for the next several days. Surface winds are progged to become light and variable tonight. Sunday afternoon, breezy winds return from the southwest.

Rangel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.