textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1155 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

- Elevated fire weather conditions across mainly the western combined Panhandles today.

- Elevated to critical fire weather conditions have a high chance of occurring on Monday.

- Potentially impactful rain chances are in place for the end of week across portions of the combined Texas and Oklahoma panhandles.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 1155 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Today through Sunday a small scale weather system is moving across the southern plains. This weather system is causing the breezy and gusty southwest winds across the panhandles today. These winds are bringing in warmer air that is getting further heat from downslope compression. This is leading to today being very warm with highs in the 70s which is well above normal heat. A concern is these winds are also bringing in drier air which is creating elevated fire weather conditions. The alignment of the driest area and windiest area is not the best which does mitigate some of the fire weather concerns. Still it is best to practice fire prevention and safety to prevent wildfires. Tonight a little moisture moves across the panhandles which has a very low chance of causing some sprinkles. Little to no accumulation of rain is expected from any of these sprinkles even if they do occur. Sunday the weather system finally pushes off to the east ending both the windy conditions and any chance for sprinkles. This will lead Sunday being mostly a warm and sunny day without much in the way of notable weather beyond the above normal temperatures.

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1155 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

Monday and Tuesday has a high chance of another small scale weather system passing across the southern plains. This weather system is likely to cause breezy to windy conditions across the panhandles Monday. The directions of the winds will most likely be from the southwest which will draw warm and dry air. Therefore there is a high chance for the temperatures to remain well above normal on Monday. Since it will be both windy and dry fire weather is very much a concern for panhandles. In fact we could reach critical fire weather conditions which would warrant a Red Flag Warning. The fire concerns will drop off with the winds during the evening hours of Monday. The cold front associated with this weather system is most likely to pass across the panhandles early on Tuesday. This will most likely bring a dip in the temperatures even if they remain warmer than normal. Behind the front there is a low chance for moisture to move across the panhandles which can cause light rain showers. Still the moisture will most likely be low with any showers unlikely to produce much if any rain accumulations.

Wednesday to Thursday the large scale weather pattern begins to shift as the jest sinks southward. For both of these days this will most likely be a period of dry weather as the shift is occurring.

Friday through the weekend the more southerly jet makes it more likely for weather system to pass across the southern plains. This introduces a low to moderate chance for precipitation during this time. There is still some uncertainty during this time so it is hard to pin down when and how much precipitation can occur. So stay tuned for later forecasts for precipitation chances.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 1155 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions at all terminals and across the panhandles for the next 24 hours. Winds are breezy at all terminals and across the panhandles this afternoon and will weaken going into the overnight hours. During the late evening to early overnight there will be some speed shear at all terminals, but this will not be strong enough to classified to be LLWS and not included within the TAFs. There is a very low chance for precipitation tonight, but these chances are too low to be reflected within the TAFs. Even then this precipitation is not expected to cause any impacts at any of the terminals.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.