textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1252 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

- Mist to light drizzle is expected to continue through the afternoon hours of today.

- Overcast conditions are expected to hold through the early morning hours of Saturday with potential to see patchy fog overnight as well.

- Dry and warmer conditions are expected to return this weekend with expectations to hold clear into the middle of next week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 1252 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

As of this afternoon, residual moisture from the low pressure system continues to hang around the Panhandles resulting in overcast conditions for a majority of the area. To add to these overcast conditions, multiple observations sites have been reporting mist to even light drizzle since early this morning, which has seen pockets of reduce visibility present this afternoon. Current indication from the CAMs does not see this drizzle ending any time soon with most not calling for drier conditions to be present until the upper-level high establish itself later tonight. However, this cloud cover could last even longer with current model soundings indicating low-cloud decks to evening fog possible clear into the late morning hours of Saturday. Regardless, this present cloud cover and drizzle has had the benefit of keep the Panhandles cooler than expected with many locations today not expected to reach above 60. Unfortunately this looks to come to an end Saturday with warming quick to follow behind the break down of could cover that afternoon. As it stands look for highs tomorrow to be closer to the mid 70s than the 60s.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 1252 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Present model agreement continues to trend towards a new upper- level ridge slowly building into an upper-level high pressure system across the Western United States Sunday into Monday. With the high building, most models see the Panhandles returning to much drier conditions with chances of precipitation dropping below 10 percent for the start of next week. By Tuesday, models do suggest that the high can break wane slightly in favor of a weak trough pushing through. This trough would put us in better standings to see activity coming off the mountains of Eastern New Mexico late Tuesday and Wednesday. However, current indication form the models has them more in favor of lingering dry air winning out resulting in chances of precipitation to be around 10 percent at best. Regardless this system looks to be short lived with most models seeing the ridge and high pressure build back in by Thursday. As for temperatures, a warming trend does look to follow these drier conditions with afternoon highs heating back into the mid to upper 80s by the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1252 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

As of this afternoon, present CAM runs have seen the current cloud deck not letting up for the day with most models not seeing it fully break down around KAMA until late tomorrow morning. To add to this it likely that KAMA will experience mist to light drizzle off and on through the evening hours which will keep the terminal bouncing between MVFR and IFR visibilities while maintaining LIFR CIGs. Meanwhile, KGUY and KDHT have been more on the fringes of this cloud shield with them only experiencing MVFR conditions that will slowly try to transition to VFR by tonight. Beyond that, concerns are present that the still lingering moisture, alongside expected light winds, may bring fog or another round of mist during the early morning hours of tomorrow. However, confidence in this has been wavering with mention only at KAMA at this time.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.