textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 127 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

- High pressure ridge aloft strengthens over the southwestern US this week.

- This overall pattern looks to continue for the next several days. Thunderstorm activity will have the potential to drift into mainly our western and northwestern areas starting on Wednesday

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Tuesday night) Issued at 127 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

Morning visible imagery showing overnight MCS in OK moving east into AR. Northeasterly winds behind outflow boundary are evident in sfc obs over western OK...but in the panhandle areas winds have veered to the southeast. Latest model runs have backed off on depicting thunderstorms this afternoon over the eastern panhandle area...and will leave any chances at 15% or less for this afternoon. On Tuesday afternoon a few isolated thunderstorms could affect mainly the western OK panhandle area but coverage will be sparse and chances are low. Look for temperatures to slowly rise the next 48 hours with heat advisories becoming a decent possibility by mid week. At this time the primary areas for this would be the Palo Duro Canyon area and the southeastern corner of the CWA.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 127 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

Better chance for thunderstorms in the area looks to be later Wednesday afternoon/evening as the upper high amplifies over the southwest US. Outflow boundary from overnight/morning convection in sw KS will drop into the northern panhandles and extend into central OK. By mid-late aftn isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will develop and be draped along the boundary from central OK into portions of the eastern TX panhandle. Diurnal convection from New Mexico will push into the west and northwest and then begin dissipating as it moves across the OK/TX panhandle Wed evening. Hot temps and heat products are likely over portions of the area during this time period.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 607 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

VFR conditions continue for the next 24 hours. Thunderstorm chances are very low for next couple of days across the area. Light winds will persist at all sites through the rest of the day and into tomorrow morning. By Tuesday afternoon, strong to breezy southwest winds will resume over all TAF sites.

Rangel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.