textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1117 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

- Heat Advisory is in effect for the eastern Panhandles and Palo Duro Canyon on Friday for very hot temperatures at or above 105 degrees.

- Scattered thunderstorms are expected daily through early next week, cannot rule out some strong wind gusts with some storms.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 1117 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

The main H800-300 moisture transport axis on the western periphery of the mid level high continues to funnel in moisture from the Gulf of America into the Panhandles region. Mid level perturbations on said periphery region should once again generate scattered thunderstorms aided by diurnal heating across the region. Western and northern combined Panhandles have the highest probs (20-35%) of seeing rain and/or thunderstorms. In the most robust thunderstorms, DCAPE of 1500-1800 J/kg in aforementioned areas are strong enough with rather anemic wind shear to support the potential for a severe gust topping out 60-70 mph, similar to what we observed with some thunderstorms on Thursday in portions of the Panhandles. Also one to watch, with PWAT values tomorrow from the latest soundings in the 75th-99th percentile vs. August climo values, any training and/or slow moving thunderstorms could produce a very localized flooding threat, but confidence with this occurring remain low at this time. Meanwhile for Palo Duro Canyon, along with the eastern combined Panhandle, hi-res probs of 105+ for high temperatures still exceed 50% for these areas, where UL subsidence is most present and rain chances are minimal compared to other areas in the Panhandles. Overall high temperatures for Friday will range from 95-106.

Heat Advisory criteria temperatures may finally subside as we go into the first half of the weekend. The western periphery of the main mid level anticyclonic system should steer the more favorable moisture transport axis into the central and western Panhandles for tomorrow. These areas will have the higher rain chances vs. the eastern Panhandles. High temperatures on Saturday will range from the mid 90s to 100-102.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 1117 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2026

Still some discrepancies in the long term forecast period on where the main H500 high feature will re-center each day, ranging from west Texas into the SE CONUS through mid week. This will change the moisture axis for best daily rain chances. Currently favors the northern Panhandles through early next week, before a potential drying pattern returns mid week for most areas. High temperatures remain above average for mid August.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout the 06Z TAF period at all TAF sites. Winds will be out of the south and southwest at 5-15 kts, with higher gusts at times.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ004-005-008>010- 014-015-019-020-317.

OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ003.