textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 126 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

- Dry and breezy conditions are expected to hold through Monday with highs in the 80s to low 90s.

- A pattern shift is expected see chances of storms return Tuesday with chances continuing to be present clear through Friday.

- Present trends have seen increased chances of seeing strong to severe thunderstorms Tuesday.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 126 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

As of this afternoon, present satellite imagery was still tracking the new trough as well as Tropical Storm Rachel build off the West Coast. These two feature have had an hand in forcing the ridge that has been overhead off the Panhandles, with southwesterly upper-level flow slowly taking it place today. Sadly, this flow is still holding quite a bit of dry air, so chances of precipitation has kept below 10 percent for the day. Instead this flow has invited back in some warmer conditions with highs today expected to rise into the mid to upper 80s. As for Sunday, this pattern looks to hold for the day with most CAMs seeing the tropical storm and trough build into each other as they move eastward. However, the Panhandles is still looking at another warm and dry day with afternoon temperatures expected to be closer to the upper 80s to low 90s. Still, present CAMs have suggest a lee-side low building off the Southern Front Range, which can see breezy southwesterly winds present across the Western and Northern Panhandles that afternoon.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 126 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

Dry conditions continue to hold through this afternoon with southwesterly surface winds starting to pick up this afternoon. These winds are expected to hold for most of the evening before slowly decoupling from the low to mid-level jet late tonight. However, this jet is expected to stay put through the overnight hours, which could lead to some low-level wind shear through the early morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions should hold through the next 24 hours.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 625 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the 00Z TAF period. Winds will remain predominantly S to SSW, around 15 kts. Winds are expected to increase and become gusty around 16Z on Sunday morning. LLWS is a concern at both KDHT and KGUY beginning around 06Z, persisting until as late as 14Z. Confidence in LLWS at KAMA is not high enough to include in TAF's at this time, however, could occur around 07-08Z, and will continue to be monitored.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.