textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1238 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

- Our next round of thunderstorms tonight have a low chance of becoming severe. Thunderstorms potential in the west still remains questionable if air remains too stable in those areas.

- Temperatures remain near average for the next couple of days.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday night) Issued at 1238 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

Tonight, light precipitation is expected to continue through the combined Panhandles. The current thunderstorm activity remains focused on Texas and Beaver county in the Oklahoma Panhandle, but these storms should also wane in the next couple of hours. Through the rest of the morning, leading up to the 7AM hour, the coverage of these showers should steadily decrease. Flooding concerns also remain very low through the morning hours.

Later today, theta-e profiles are expected to resurge across western and norther portions of the Texas Panhandle and across most of the Oklahoma Panhandle. Given these recent rains, some CAMs suggest the environment will be overworked in western and central portions of the CWA. Poor instability may limit convective activity coming from New Mexico; but if the environment over performs, our western counties could still be in play for thunderstorms. Some of these storms could be severe if our higher- end CAPE scenario plays out. Damaging wind gusts would be the primary hazard.

Late tonight into early Thursday morning, 00Z CAMs suggest another MCS will move out of southern Colorado and Kansas and into our area. These storms may have a higher chance of becoming strong to severe given how model confidence is higher with regards to favorable instability and effective wind shear. Damaging wind gusts are still the primary hazard, but some hail cannot be ruled out.

For the rest of Thursday, high temperatures should still be at or below seasonal averages. Chance for thunderstorms are lower overall (<40%), but some scattered thunderstorms are still forecast during the afternoon and evening.

LONG TERM

(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 1238 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

After it's western shift in the short term, H500 high pressure shifts back east this weekend and later expands across the southern CONUS next week. Temperatures are forecast to increase into the 100s once again by Saturday and linger for the the rest of the extended period. PoPs should be more isolated this weekend, but we still keep some daily rain chances through the next 7 days.

Rangel

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1214 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the rest of the night. Light showers may persist over or in the vicinity of all terminals for the next 3 hours, but chances for thunderstorms remain low. Light, northerly winds are expected through the rest of the period. Towards the end of the 06Z TAF period, thunderstorms are possible across the northern Texas Panhandle and the Oklahoma Panhandle; however, confidence is too low to include mentions in the TAFs at this time.

Rangel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.