textproduct: Amarillo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 930 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
-Persistent fair weather conditions expected throughout the forecast period, with near average temperatures.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 930 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
Latest 04Z observations shows some low clouds developing across western Oklahoma. These low clouds and some patchy fog may develop ans spread west into the eastern combined Panhandles, staying off the Caprock. Any residual clouds and/or patchy fog should dissipate going past sunrise on Saturday morning from west to east. Further aloft, latest obs also shows a H500 low over southern Arizona that should move SSE and traverse northern Mexico over the coming weekend. With the track of the upper level low pressure system, the better moisture transport and rain chances should stay well south of the Texas Panhandle, closer to the track of the main system. Some scattered cloud cover from the far northern extent may reach the far southern TX Panhandle throughout the weekend, but thats the extent of the impacts from this system. High temperatures on Saturday and Sunday will range from the lower 60s in the southwest TX Panhandle to upper 60s for the northern and eastern Panhandles where mostly clear skies are expected.
LONG TERM
(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 930 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
07/00Z model and numerical guidance shows the aforementioned upper level low eventually moving back northeast across east Texas into the lower Mississippi River Valley by middle of next week. In the wake of the mid level disturbance, dry weather conditions will continue. A pronounced sinusoidal H500 pattern will develop across the western 1/3 CONUS, with a ridge building into the Four Corners region by the end of the forecast period, aiding the large scale UL subsidence in the region and continued dry conditions. Temperatures will be near to slightly above average for early November.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1118 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
VFR conditions are expected throughout the 06Z TAF period at all TAF sites. Watching the potential for some low cigs that could reach KAMA/KGUY starting around 10-12Z and lasting through 12-14Z, but confidence is too low to include in TAF at this time. May need to AMD if conditions deteriorate. Overall winds will be light and variable.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. OK...None.
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