textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1009 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

- Some chances for rain, mainly for the far eastern Panhandles starting Sunday evening and again on Tuesday.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 1009 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

Dry conditions will continue throughout the majority of the coming weekend. Main H250 jet streak across the northern CONUS will provide large scale subsidence over the Panhandles going through Saturday. High temperatures on Saturday will range from the mid 70s to lower 80s across the region under mostly clear skies. Going into the second half of the weekend, a backdoor cold front will move into the region from NE to SW across the Panhandles. Some of the more aggressive numerical data sets progresses the cold front quickly through the majority of the Panhandles, including the Amarillo area. There are still some discrepancies between some of the latest guidance overall, but based off thew latest NBM guidance, current high temperature forecast will range between the upper 50s in the northeastern Panhandles to lower 70s in the southern Texas Panhandle. If said cold front moves through faster, some areas in the southern Texas Panhandle could be about 10-15 degrees colder than the current forecast. Latest short term guidance also shows a mid level disturbance traverses the Panhandles. With the progression of the front, along with the timing of the mid level disturbance by Sunday evening, a few showers and even a thunderstorm is possible for the far southeast TX Panhandle. Chances are around 20 percent, as the better moisture transport axis is south and east of the Texas Panhandle, but still an area to watch closely for Sunday.

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1009 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

A somewhat active central US pattern for disturbances will set up going into next week. Latest global model guidance continues to decrease rain chances going into mid week. If the current track of the main low pressure system mid week holds, most of the rain chances will be well north and east of the region. The only notable chances for any precipitation may occur the second half of Tuesday ahead of the main low pressure system (20-30% rain chances). A series of cold fronts will traverse the region, but overall temperatures will still range from near to above average as we go into early March.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 509 AM CST Sat Feb 28 2026

VFR conditions are forecast at all sites over the next 24 hrs. Winds will be out of the north this morning at 10-15 kts, turning more east southeasterly throughout the period.

Harrel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.