textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1035 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

- A low chance of showers and storms (~20 percent) for various portions of the Panhandles over the next few days.

- Heat impacts may return starting Thursday and continue for the next few days, especially for PDC where temperatures could reach 105 degrees.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 1035 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

The main broad H500 high pressure system centered over the lower Mississippi River Valley through mid week will dictate our weather pattern for the next several days. Earlier today with thunderstorms developing off the NM high terrain and progressing east as a line into the western Panhandles should be similar set up on Wednesday. The main axis of moisture transport on the periphery of the H500 high could be further displaced as the main anti-cyclonic feature shifts east. This could result in some showers and storms developing in the Panhandles for mid week. Not a high chance for precipitation as large scale UL subsidence should take place, but if we reach convective temperature, along with any subtle lift, rain chances could develop, favoring the western Panhandles. Similar setup expected for THursday. High temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday should range from the mid 90s in the NW Panhandles to 100-104 degrees for portions of the central and eastern combined Panhandles. Will watch closely for the potential for heat headlines for PDC, especially on Thursday where temps could reach 105.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1035 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

Rinse and repeat for the long term forecast period. Depending on where the main moisture transport axis sets up, coupled with daytime heating, the western P_anhandles will be favored for the potential for daily thunderstorm activity where locally heavy rain and gusty winds from storms will be possible. High temperatures will remain above average through early September.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 509 AM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

VFR conditions at all terminals and across much of the panhandles for the next 24 hours. The exception will be with rain showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. These storms can produce brief heavy rain that can cause MVFR to IFR conditions through visibility reductions. The storms will also be capable of producing strong gusty outflow winds. The storms are forecasted to form in the central portions of the panhandles in a SW to NE corridor. The chance of these impacting any terminal are very low. The chances of these storms impacting any terminal are to low to be reflected in any of the current TAFs. Outside of the storms the ambient winds will be southerly and gusty today.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.