textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1121 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

- Cooler highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s are forecast for today for the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles.

- Dry conditions and mostly above average temperatures will continue Monday into next weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 1121 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

With the cold front south of the Panhandles, low clouds have followed in its wake along with cooler temperatures. In addition to the low clouds, cannot rule out some patchy freezing fog for Sunday morning for the western Panhandles, but the potential for that is low. Any fog that does develop should quickly erode shortly after sunrise on Sunday morning.

The cooler air mass behind the cold front will remain in place on Sunday. Even though winds will shift to out of the south by the afternoon, highs are only forecast to reach the 50s to the west and upper 30s to the east. Sunday will very likely be the coldest day of this seven day forecast as highs near or above average are forecast for the rest of the week. Enough moisture may remain across the southwestern Texas Panhandle for patchy fog or freezing fog on Monday morning, but the latest 14/00z HREF has the higher potential for 1 mile or less visibility just south of Deaf Smith county. With that being said, will keep mentions of fog out of the forecast for Monday morning at this point. Ridging pattern moves over the region on Monday leading to WAA at H850 and a return to above average temperatures. Breezy southwesterly winds to start the day should decrease by mid to late afternoon which will lead to another cool night leading into Tuesday morning.

Muscha

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1121 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

The warm and dry weather pattern will continue through the start of the next weekend for the southern High Plains. A weak system is forecast to move across the region on Tuesday which will moderate temperatures for one more day, even though they will still be above average. High pressure sets up once again Wednesday through next weekend, with the exception being on Thursday. A quick moving trough will traverse over the northern half of the US mid to late week with the southern periphery of the trough reaching the Panhandles. This feature should propel a cold front south over the Plains and eventually reaching OK/TX by Thursday morning. Since that is a quick moving system, the cooler conditions on Thursday will not last as highs 10 to 15 degrees or higher above average return once again to end the work week. Breezy to gusty southwest winds may also arise on Friday as leeside low pressure may tighten the surface pressure gradient across the region during the afternoon hours.

Muscha

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 420 AM CST Sun Dec 14 2025

Low ceilings and/or visibility due to mist are currently are present across the area. Ceilings and visibility are favored to improve this morning, but there is some question regarding how quickly. Amendments may be needed. Once VFR conditions return, they should persist through the remainder of this 24 hour period.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.