textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1244 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

- Scattered thunderstorms are expected to form across the west and central Panhandles today - some of the storms could be severe, with damaging wind gusts and large hail being the primary hazards.

- Very hot to dangerously hot temperatures are expected on Wednesday and these temperatures may lead to heat related illnesses, especially in Palo Duro Canyon State Park.

- Thunderstorm chances continue each day Wednesday and beyond with some storms having the potential to become severe each afternoon and evening.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 1244 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Current satellite analysis shows a deepening H500 sinusoidal wave over the western 2/3 CONUS. As the main elongated H500 trough axis traverses the central Rockies, we currently are noting some showers and thunderstorms across New Mexico that have developed as of the latest 17Z obs. However, a notable dichotomy of precipitable water separating the lower values in the SE TX Panhandle from the higher values in the NW Panhandles would favor more thunderstorm development for the NW Panhandles. Eventually through, at least a 20 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm, especially from the I-40 corridor points north. For the northern combined Panhandles, with line segments for main storm mode later this afternoon, damaging winds will be the main hazard to watch with DCAPE values averaging around 1500 J/kg and inverted-v profiles due to peak daytime heating. A secondary threat of large hail and potential localized flooding for any storm that trains or produce heavy rainfall rates are also possible. Thunderstorm chances should linger through or just past midnight tonight before conditions improve for the Panhandles.

Going into tomorrow, a dryline should quickly mix out into the eastern Panhandles by the afternoon hours. With very strong LL H850 WAA by tomorrow afternoon, in-conjunction with higher Td for the eastern Panhandles, Heat Advisories have been issued for the central and eastern combined Panhandles with max temps tomorrow in the 105-109 range. An Excessive Heat Warning has been issued for PDC with max temperatures topping out around 110 degrees. Hot temperatures across the board for tomorrow. Across the eastern Panhandles, east of the dryline, if we can break the cap tomorrow with enough lift, the threat for a severe storm or two is possible with all hazards potentially. Chances are as high as around 20 percent for any rain for the eastern Panhandles at this time. Will watch trends closely in the next 12-24 hours.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through next Monday) Issued at 1244 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

Within this elongated H500 trough pattern for the northern CONUS skimming the southern High Plains, in-conjunction with a series of fronts moving through the Panhandles, daily shower and thunderstorm chances continue for the Panhandles.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 PM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout most of the 18Z TAF period. The only expection would be at KGUY/KDHT starting roughly around 22Z through about 01/02Z for VCTS conditions. Any TS to move over the TAF site could produce erratic winds. Overall winds for the TAF period will be out of the south and southwest at 10-20 kts with higher gusts at times. Temperatures overall will remain near to above average for mid June, before cooling off to slightly below average as we go into early next week.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 9 PM CDT Wednesday for TXZ002>005- 007>010-012>015-017>020.

Extreme Heat Warning from 1 PM to 9 PM CDT Wednesday for TXZ317.

OK...Heat Advisory from 1 PM to 9 PM CDT Wednesday for OKZ002-003.