textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1038 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

- A cold front will provide cooler temperatures to end the weekend.

- The chance of impactful weather over the next 7 days is very low.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 1038 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

As we enter this mid December weekend, another cold front is set to enter the Panhandles. This front currently stalled over the Midwest region to central Great Plains, will resume its progression through the day and pass south of the region by later this afternoon. Ahead of the front, compressional heating may help a few spots across the southern Panhandle to top out around 70 degrees, but most highs today will be in the 60s. Breezy north-northeast winds will be left behind the front, sustained at 10-20 mph with gusts up to 30-35 mph. This will aid cold air advection, especially this evening and overnight when lows will bottom out in the teens and 20s.

We may need to keep an eye out for patchy areas of fog leading into Sunday morning, when models show a modest plume of low-level moisture seeping into the area. Forecast soundings suggest this may just end up being a low-level stratus cloud deck, but localized areas reaching sfc saturation could still create fog wherever stronger radiational cooling can occur. Overall confidence in fog occurring is low at this time. Sunday will be notably cooler, feeling much more like December with highs in the 40s to mid 50s. A tightening pressure gradient will develop over the Panhandles beneath northwest flow aloft, generating southerly winds of 10-20 mph. Stronger winds in the northwest will help highs be slightly warmer in the 50s, while lingering cloud cover over the central to eastern Panhandles has medium chances (40-70%) to keep highs in the 30s all day. Sunday night will be another cool one with low temperatures below freezing.

Harrel

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1038 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

Our quiet pattern, lacking much if any impactful weather headlines, persists through next week. Long range models show an open wave trough being ushered over Mexico through mid week, leading to upper level ridging stretching over the Panhandles. A warming trend will resume accordingly, as afternoon highs return to above average for this time of year in the 60s and 70s. Guidance hints at a front arriving by Thursday, providing a short reprieve from the winter "heat". Unfortunately, winter appears to be fighting a losing battle to end next week, as the synoptic signal from long range ensembles keeps maintaining a warmer and dry pattern for the foreseeable future.

Harrel

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1038 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025

VFR conditions expected to prevail over the next 24 hours. Winds should start out of the south around 10 kts or less through 18Z to 19Z. After that winds turn to the north behind a cold front and pick up to around 12 to 15 kts with gusts up to 20 to 25 kts.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.