textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1033 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

- Can't rule out some virga showers tonight into Tuesday.

- Mostly dry and breezy conditions expected to prevail through Wednesday, with rain chances potentially returning Thursday night through next weekend.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Tuesday night) Issued at 1033 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

Southwest flow aloft, on the western periphery of a small ridge is expected to prevail over the next couple of days. A surface trough today is expected to see the gradient relax ever so slightly allowing for some lighter winds in the northwest but still a smidgen on the breezy side in the southeastern half of the combined Panhandles. This afternoon temperatures are expected to warm slightly into the lower 70s, with the canyon and river valley expected to be warmer in the mid 70s. Tonight, there is a potential for a short-wave trough to move through in the southwest flow aloft. This will bring the potential for some isolated to maybe scattered showers overnight into Tuesday. However, the short-wave does have the potential to miss the combined Panhandles to the north all together, making it difficult to determine the exact chance for precipitation. Also, the surface is looking to remain relatively dry hindering much moisture from reaching the surface. Despite the increasing moisture aloft in the southwest flow, models are not very confident on shower or storm activity and may only be hinting at some virga. The NBM is only giving a less than 10 PoP at this time. If confidence increases may need to add some mentionable 10 to 15 PoPs mainly in the northwestern half of the combined Panhandles.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1033 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

VFR conditions expected to prevail with southerly winds around 12 kts or less. Currently some gusts reaching 28 kts have continued for KAMA but should eventually subside.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.