textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 144 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

- Summer heat wave continues with impactful temperatures near or above 100 degrees today.

- Thunderstorm chances pick up across the Panhandles today through Thursday, with Tuesday and Wednesday having at least a medium chance 30-50% of storms across all areas.

- Severe weather will be possible today and Tuesday with strong damaging winds as the primary threat, but will not rule out large hail on Tuesday as well.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday night) Issued at 144 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

Latest radar shows frontal boundary moving through Amarillo as of Midnight. Shower activity is on the downward trend but localized heat burst allowing wind gusts 40 to 55 mph could still be possible with any decaying showers. This front is a bit on the weak side and will not likely impact our highs by much today. We still will be looking at several areas over 100, and the southeast looks to break 105, so a Heat Advisory has been issued for that area, as well as Palo Duro Canyon.

Typical high pressure continues over our area with a subtle wave to move through the western Panhandles late this afternoon and evening. With that wave we could see storms off the mountain track along it, and bring a chance of showers and storms to that area. Given these typical high based storms with strong inverted V profile would support strong damaging wind gusts as the primary threat with any storm that occurs.

On Tuesday we will be looking at easterly low level flow that will bring our dewpoints up and the ridge will start to shift further south, giving us more of a northwest flow pattern. With another wave in that northwest flow we expect storms off the mountains to track into the northwest in the evening. But the late afternoon we are showing the potential for isolated to scattered convection in the central to eastern Panhandles. Given light to moderate shear as well as CAPE values over 2000 J/kg and the lift from the wave, would support a decent chance at strong to severe storms with hail up to ping pong and wind gusts up to 75 mph. Coverage of storms will still be a bit tricky as it starts off with the isolated to scattered convection in the central and east, but the west should have more of a cluster come in laster in the evening, but its a little bit of a challenge as to if it will hold together later in the evening for the south and eastern Panhandles.

Weber

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 144 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

A pattern change could be on the way as Wednesday's setup is similar to Tuesday with another round of storms off the mountains expected to track across the Panhandles. Thursday we'll have to watch a bit closer, as there is conflicting models. It may yet again be like anther Tuesday and Wednesday, but there is a hint that the ridge may shift a bit further west giving us more of a northerly flow and the storms could stay off to the west in NM.

Friday through Sunday the ridge tries to shift further west including over the Panhandles by Sunday and with that comes the hot temperature return and limited precipitation chances.

Weber

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 144 AM CDT Mon Aug 24 2026

VFR conditions for the TAF period, but there could be some MVFR conditions at KDHT late in the TAF period as showers and storms could impact the terminal from 0-6z. Otherwise winds generally will vary an be in the 8 to 12kt range.

Weber

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ018>020-317.

OK...None.