textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1121 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

- Isolated showers and thunderstorms today with locally heavy downpours and lighting being the main threats.

- Heat wave will build through the week with extreme heat risk anticipated for much of the area by the end of the week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 1121 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

Today, the combined Panhandles are staying under easterly flow aloft while being on the southern fringe of an upper level high centered over CO into WY. Just to the south of the FA sits a mid to upper level weak low, which is helping to moderate temperatures a bit, while also providing some slight chance to chance PoPs to West Texas. Up here in the Panhandles lifting may be weak but mid-level atmospheric moisture remains present with a 10 to 20 percent chance for rain across the central to eastern Panhandles. Just like yesterday MUCAPE is progged to be at least 500 but potentially up to 1000 J/Kg. Unlike yesterday, showers and storms may be more isolated across the area with less chance of a lifting mechanism outside of daytime heating. Tomorrow, conditions return to mostly dry with highs two to three degrees warmer as high pressure builds in.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1121 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

High pressure is set to continue to build over the combined Panhandles in the long term. With this comes much warmer summer temperatures in the 100s. Starting Tuesday Amarillo is looking at a high of 99, but Wed onward Amarillo is progged to be 100+. With this areas like Borger and Palo Duro Canyon will be pushing 105 with the potential for Heat Advisories especially for the park where impacts are the greatest. Under the high pressure rain chances will be minimal in the west to non-existant in the eastern Panhandles. Just enough monsoonal theta-e may seep into the western Panhandles to allow at least 10 pops in the western Panhandles where storms will mostly rely entirely on daytime heating, at least until Friday.

Friday night into Saturday the H5 high is progged to shift to the west. Putting us in an northwest flow pattern which may lead to the NW Panhandles receiving storms off the higher terrain. This is contributing to a 20 to 30 PoP for the northwest.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 541 PM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Winds will generally be around 10 kts or less throughout, with a period of light and variable winds likely tonight into Monday morning.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.