textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1123 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

- A dry cold frontal passage overnight will see breezy condition this morning and early afternoon.

- High pressure is expected to hold through Friday leaving the Panhandles with dry and warm conditions to end the work week.

- A new system is expected to push in this weekend and bring more chances for showers and thunderstorms.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 1123 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

As of late last night present observations station across the Great Plains where placing our expected cold front in Northern Kansas. This front looks to still be on track to keep pushing south towards the Panhandles with current CAMs suggesting it will be in Guymon a few hours after midnight. Present trends still dont expect much from this front with not much moisture to work with both ahead and behind it. Still winds are expected to pick up some behind the front with this morning likely to see breezy 15 to 25 mph northerly winds and gusts. However, expect these winds to die off by the afternoon with the introduction of a surface high that CAMs expect to fill in behind the system. This surface high looks to hold through Thursday resulting in another dry and relatively quiet day for the Panhandles. As for temperatures look for afternoon high for today and Thursday to stay in the 60s to low 70s with overnight lows in the upper 30s to low 40s.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1123 PM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Present model agreement continues to trend towards a decent ridge holding over the Panhandles for the majority of Friday, which will allow us another dry day. Moving into Saturday, however, does have models seeing our next chance at active weather come in the form of trough moving across the Southwestern United States. At this time present ensembles have been gaining confidence in this trough leading to precipitation for the Panhandles with present NBM giving widespread chances around a 40 to 70 percent come Saturday afternoon. Still there is a lot of uncertainty present for amounts and actual duration of the event, with some of the recent runs of the GFS and ECMWF suggesting chances could linger clear into Monday morning. What makes this interesting, is that these same model have also suggested temperatures in our far northwest could be cold enough that precipitation could transition to snow during the overnight should it still be occurring there. However, confidence in this remains quite low as present ensembles have been keeping any chances much further east by this time frame. Regardless hints of more chances do look to follow next Tuesday, though chance are only around 10 to 20 percent at this time. Otherwise, look for temperature to cool with this incoming activity with afternoon highs holding in the 50s to mid 60s.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 524 AM CST Wed Nov 11 2026

VFR conditions prevail over all sites for the 12Z TAF period. Surface winds have become northerly after the passage of the cold front, but winds may only stay breezy till the mid afternoon. For the rest of the period, light and variable winds are forecast for all sites.

Rangel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.