textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1057 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

Fire weather conditions may continue to be present this week due to dry air and unusually warm temperatures. Practice fire safety and obey all burn bans.

Well above normal temperatures this week may have minor impacts on outdoor festivities. Greater than 80 degree temperatures in the canyon each day this week will make conditions unseasonably warm for hiking.

Colder temperatures and possible precipitation next weekend could cause impacts to outdoor activities.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Wednesday night) Issued at 1057 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

A weak cold front, accompanied by a developing surface low, will transition over portions of the combined Panhandles today. While temperatures will be cooler today compared to Monday, they will still be in the 70's. Perhaps some locations could stay in the upper 60's in the Oklahoma Panhandle and northeastern Texas Panhandle. The day will start off with northwest surface winds becoming northerly; but by the evening, the wind direction will return to flowing from the southwest. Warm air advection resumes over the High Plains on Wednesday. High temperatures are expected to return to the 80's for multiple locations in the FA, while the rest of the area will be in the mid to upper 70's. Fire weather remains a concern during the short term, but primarily on Wednesday. RH values will have no issue dropping below 20% or even 15% in some areas. Wind speeds will be the deciding factor on whether elevated or critical conditions will be met.

Rangel

LONG TERM

(Thursday through next Monday) Issued at 1057 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

Christmas Day and Friday, the main message has not changed with the new forecast. High temperature records are likely to be challenged at all climate sites on Thursday. Friday, we should be subject to a slight temperature reduction thanks to a weak cold front progged to move through the CWA.

Guidance is starting to show some better agreement on the forecast for this weekend. Now even the operational ECMWF is developing a cut off low in the eastern Pacific on Saturday. Models are defiantly hedging towards lower temperatures at the very end of this month, but the placement of precipitation, if any, continues to be a point of contention. So far, model ensembles favor light QPF values and rain as the primary precipitation type. However, there are a few ensemble members that suggest snowfall could occur at night due to the decreasing temperature trend.

Rangel

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 518 AM CST Tue Dec 23 2025

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites over the next 24 hours. Winds at KAMA will mainly be out of the southwest 5-10kts, then will come around after 20z in the 5-10 kt range. Winds will shift back out of the south again 5-10kts after 3z. KDHT and KGUY will start out of the north and then become out of the south after 5z.

Weber

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.