textproduct: Amarillo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1044 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
- Low/Medium chance 20-40% of showers and storms this evening and tomorrow evening. Low chance 5-14% for severe storms with damaging winds being the primary concern.
- Hot temperatures to return this weekend with highs likely in the 100 to 108 range. This brings an increased threat for heat illness.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Friday night) Issued at 1044 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
A high pressure system remains the dominant weather system across the southern plains for today and Friday. Currently the center of this high pressure system is across the desert southwest which is creating a more northwest flow over the southern plains. This will allow for small scale weather systems moving through this flow to impact the panhandles for both and Friday. This introduces a low to medium chance for rain showers and thunderstorms for both days. The most likely time for the storms to occur will be later in the afternoon through the evening. Today the best chances for storms are in the northern to northeast panhandles, for Friday the chances shift more to the central panhandles. There is a low chance for these storms to become strong to severe with damaging winds being the main threats for both days. The high pressure system will be providing ample heating across the panhandles for both days. This will continue to cause the highs to be in the upper 90s to low 100s panhandle wide for both days. The hottest areas will likely surpass 105 creating increased heat risk for everyone. It is highly recommended to stay hydrated to stave off heat illness for the next couple of days.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1044 PM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026
There is a high chance for the high pressure system to remain the dominant weather system across the southern plains for the weekend and into early next work week. The center of the high pressure has better chances than not to shift to the east during this time. This will most likely end the northwest flow across the panhandles making it less likely for weather system to impact the southern panhandles. This would in turn lead to drier weather conditions across the panhandles. The shifting of the high pressure is also to make it more likely for the temperatures to increase for the weekend and early next week.
Later mid next week the high pressure system is more likely than not to weaken over the souther plains. This opens up the chance for moisture, and thus thunderstorms, to return back to the panhandles. The increase in moisture also brings the potential for cooler temperatures across the panhandles.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 559 AM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026
VFR conditions are expected to prevail with southerly winds around 15 kts. KGUY will be the one site with high enough confidence for thunder to have a prob30 group starting around 02Z and lasting through 05Z Friday.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ317.
OK...None.
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