textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1034 AM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

-Thunderstorms chances return starting Tuesday next week, where some storms could reach severe criteria.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Saturday night) Issued at 1034 AM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Warm and dry conditions will be present throughout the short term forecast period. A mid level ridge of high pressure will begin to build over the Red River valley extending into Kansas going into the weekend. This large scale subsidence will expand also into the Panhandles region, upstream of the main ridge axis. This will also result in warmer temperatures with high temperatures on Saturday are expected to be well into the 80s for most of the Panhandles. Breezy SW winds by Saturday afternoon are also expected lee of the Rockies, aiding in the good LL WAA across the Panhandles by Saturday.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 1034 AM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

Starting the long term period for Sunday and Monday, dry conditions will continue. Some diurnally breezy conditions are also expected with a developing sinusoidal pattern over the western CONUS. Net result is some mixing and warm temperatures, but should remain dry. Highs for this time period will remain above average for early October. Going into Tuesday, a notable perturbation within the main synoptic mid level SW flow may move towards the Panhandles. In the most aggressive model datasets, a narrow corridor of 99th percentile (+3 S.D. for October climatology) advects into the Panhandles downstream of a deepening H500 trough over southern California and upstream of broad H500 high over the NW Gulf coast. This could set up the potential for training and/or repeat rounds of thunderstorms. Watching the potential for some severe storms. Still several days out with many factors to watch for this potential on Tuesday, so check back fir the latest updates to the forecast. Continued rain chances also to watch through the end of the forecast period with temperatures near average toward the middle of next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1154 AM CDT Fri Oct 9 2026

VFR conditions are expected all TAF sites throughout the 18Z TAF period. Winds will be out of the south and southwest between 10-20 kts, with higher gusts at times. Skies will remain mostly clear.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.