textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1209 AM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

- Dry and warm weather looks to hold through the weekend with afternoon highs in the 80s.

- A pattern shift next week continues trend towards more active weather for the Panhandles.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday night) Issued at 1209 AM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

Model agreement continues to hold an upper-level ridge over the Western Untied States with no signs of it breaking down this week. With this ridge overhead present agreement from the CAMs see the Panhandles dry through the rest of the work week with chances of precipitation staying under 10 percent. Winds are also looking to be on the light side thanks to this upper-level pattern keeping polar jet well north of the Panhandles for today and tomorrow. Meanwhile, these dry conditions will also lead to our warmer temperatures continuing. For today and tomorrow look for high temperatures in the mid to upper 80s with some of our known hotter locations looking be nearing or at 90.

LONG TERM

(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 1209 AM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

The overall upper-level pattern for Friday continues to see the ridge hold strong across the Western United States, which will result in another dry and warm day. However as move into the weekend, model agreement does start to see the upper-level ridge begin to break down with the introduction of both a new trough and remnant tropical systems pushing into the West Coast. For the Panhandles, these systems will lead to a more zonal to southwesterly flow for the weekend that will see some slightly warmer temperatures Sunday and Monday. Beyond Monday afternoon, model agreement is still trending to a full pattern shift as the trough continues to propagate eastward. Should the trend continue then it possible that the Panhandles will be seeing another round of active weather starting late Monday. What could be interesting, however, is that models have been seeing yet another tropical system getting push up through the Gulf of California and ingest into a secondary trough looking to push in during the middle of next week. The ingestion of this tropical system would lead to high amounts of moisture over the Panhandles resulting much higher than expected rainfall amounts. However, models have been seeing a lot of uncertainty on this tropical system even coming to be, let alone it actually making it to our area. For now, present NBM has grown more confident in the two systems bring us activity with chance of precipitation around 20 to 40 percent for Tuesday and Wednesday. Otherwise, look for temperatures to cool with passage of these systems with afternoon highs lowing in the low to mid 70s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026

VFR conditions expected throughout the 18Z TAF period at all TAF sites. Winds will be out of the southwest at 5-10 kts under mostly clear skies.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.