textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1148 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

-The chance of impactful weather over the next 7 days is very low.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Friday night) Issued at 1148 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

A Spring like start to the short term forecast period with 18Z obs showing temperatures well into the 60s and 70s. Would not be surprised for some areas in the western combined Panhandles to even top out in the lower 80s sometime this afternoon. Elongated H500 pattern across the CONUS continues to keep an active weather pattern across the northern US with dry conditions for the south central and southwestern CONUS. Later tonight, we will watch a cold front makes it way through all of the Panhandles and will be south of the Texas Panhandle by tomorrow morning. Light northerly winds and cooler temperatures will be expected tomorrow, with high temperatures ranging from the mid 50s to mid 60s, still slightly above average for this time of year.

LONG TERM

(Saturday through next Wednesday) Issued at 1148 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

High temperatures of mid 50s to mid 60s expected to start the weekend before our next cold front come barreling through. Latest 11/12Z model and numerical guidance. Going a few degrees below latest NBM guidance, with decent H850-700 CAA across the eastern Panhandles on the western periphery of the main cold air intrusion. This will result in widespread below average temperatures for the Panhandles, but especially for the eastern Panhandles with high temperatures not getting out of the 30s.

These cold temperatures should be short lived as an H500 zonal flow returns along with southerly and westerly flow with temperatures returning to above normal through the middle of next week. Dry conditions should also remain throughout the coming week under this upper level zonal flow as well.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 437 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

VFR conditions expected to prevail over the next 24 hours. Southwest winds will gradually turn from the southwest to northwest before becoming north to northeasterly behind a weak cold front by 12Z. Winds are not anticipated to increase behind the weak front with winds continuing to be around 10 kts or less. LLWS is not anticipated to reach criteria for the TAFs, but do keep vigilant as some light LLWS may be possible right as the front moves through.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.