textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1156 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

-Persistent fair weather conditions expected throughout the forecast period, with near average temperatures.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 1156 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

We continue to be under a somewhat split flow that will transition to a northwest flow by Sunday. Overall, we have a cut-off low just south of the AZ/NM border and that's expected to track south and east more over Mexico through the weekend. There is wrap around moisture with this system trying to creep it's way up to the southern TX Panhandle, but overall it's expected that the moisture wont make it much further north than the Lubbock area today. As we move into Sunday, the low will shift east and begin to weaken as it starts to get absorbed in the upper high. Moisture remains even further south and that keeps us dry for Sunday.

Weber

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1156 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

Monday the broad scale high does start to flatten out into a more zonal flow. Very mild conditions will continue with near normal temperatures. High pressure will build over the western part of the US on Tuesday and will start to progress east. As we move to Wednesday and Thursday we start to get some divergence in the models and while it does appear that we'll have a weak frontal system Wednesday afternoon that may bring down temperatures a few degrees, Thursday is the bigger day in question. For a few days now models have, and continue to be split on an amplified high over the west to central CONUS with a deepening low over the Great Lakes region. The split is how far west that colder air will expand, and that will have a much larger impact on if we can expect highs in the 70s, to possibly 50s on Thursday. Regardless of if we get the backdoor cold front or it stays far enough east, Friday should be a transition day as the ridge builds further east and warmer air either holds or moves over the Panhandles. Right now NBM temperatures are very much seasonal, but the more probable highs on Thursday would be closer to the 25th or 75th percentile and the same goes for Friday. We'll just have to see how this cold airmass to the east plays out.

Weber

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1156 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours with mostly clear skies, light and variable winds for the majority of the TAF period. There has been some haze at KDHT which may continue for a few hours bringing MVFR vis to the airport so have kept a TEMPO group through 22z.

Weber

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.