textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1035 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

- A low chance of showers and storms (~20 percent) for various portions of the Panhandles over the next few days.

- Heat impacts may return starting Thursday and continue for the next few days, especially for PDC where temperatures could reach 105 degrees.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 1035 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

The main broad H500 high pressure system centered over the lower Mississippi River Valley through mid week will dictate our weather pattern for the next several days. Earlier today with thunderstorms developing off the NM high terrain and progressing east as a line into the western Panhandles should be similar set up on Wednesday. The main axis of moisture transport on the periphery of the H500 high could be further displaced as the main anti-cyclonic feature shifts east. This could result in some showers and storms developing in the Panhandles for mid week. Not a high chance for precipitation as large scale UL subsidence should take place, but if we reach convective temperature, along with any subtle lift, rain chances could develop, favoring the western Panhandles. Similar setup expected for THursday. High temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday should range from the mid 90s in the NW Panhandles to 100-104 degrees for portions of the central and eastern combined Panhandles. Will watch closely for the potential for heat headlines for PDC, especially on Thursday where temps could reach 105.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1035 PM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

Rinse and repeat for the long term forecast period. Depending on where the main moisture transport axis sets up, coupled with daytime heating, the western P_anhandles will be favored for the potential for daily thunderstorm activity where locally heavy rain and gusty winds from storms will be possible. High temperatures will remain above average through early September.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Sep 2 2026

VFR conditions are expected throughout the 06Z TAF period at all TAF sites. Winds will be out of the south and southwest 5-15 kts with higher gusts at times, especially during daylight hours. Skies will remain mostly clear.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.