textproduct: Amarillo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1018 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

-Warm temperatures into the 90s by Tuesday with maybe some areas like PDC reaching 100, with these warm temperatures potentially lasting for several days.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Tuesday night) Issued at 1018 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

After the past 12-24 hours with some areas receiving over half an inch of rainfall from areas of showers and thunderstorms, we will return to a dry period throughout the short term forecast period. With highs struggling to get above the 60s in most locations on Sunday, southerly winds will return for Monday. This will result in high temperatures warming up with values ranging from the upper 70s to mid 80s. With a H500 ridge developing in the Four Corners region, the large extent of UL convergence extending east into the southern High Plains, dry conditions will be established for the region. High temperatures by Tuesday with even strong LL H850 WAA will result in high temperatures ranging from the lower 90s to some areas in the 100-102 degree range, including Palo Duro Canyon.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1018 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

The main H500 ridge axis and the building heat will slowly shift into the southern High Plains by later this week. A weak cold front may sneak into the OK Panhandle mid week, but should not make any notable dichotomy in temperatures for the region. Overall high temperatures throughout the long term forecast period will remain well above average for mid May. Some of the global model guidance shows the main H500 ridge shifting east into the Mississippi River valley by later this week. With another mid level disturbance moving east into the intermountain West, this system could generate some diurnal convection for the Panhandles. But will have to watch trends closely as we get closer to Thursday and Friday.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 556 AM CDT Mon May 11 2026

Patchy fog will continue at Amarillo through around 14z. Although it has been a few hours since visibility dropped below 1 mile, visibility below 1 mile seems unlikely going forward but cannot be ruled out. Otherwise, expect 10-15 kt sustained winds during the day with gusts up to 25 kts. Gusts should cease tonight, but 10-15 kt sustained winds should continue.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.


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