textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1113 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to impact the OK Panhandle and far northeast TX Panhandle early Thursday morning.

- Mild temperatures and mainly benign weather expected Fri through Tue.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Thursday night) Issued at 1113 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Currently there is an upper level low pressure system sitting over UT into eastern parts of NV. This system and its associated trough are expected to move east-southeast and bringing rain chances to the northeaster Panhandles and a cold front across the combined Panhandles early tomorrow morning. Behind the front northerly winds are expected to be blowing 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Highest post frontal winds are expected across the western half of the combined Panhandles with a 10 percent chance of gusts meeting or exceeding 40 mph right around sunrise and before noon. Afternoon highs are expected to be held back in the 50s due to the cold front as well.

With much of the southern Panhandles falling under the left entrance region of the mid to upper level jet, forcing for ascent will be negative and the southern half to two thirds should remain dry. The best chances for wrap around rain with very minimal instability, less than 500 J/Kg MUCAPE will be across Beaver County in the OK Panhandle. Mostly rain showers is expected but cannot rule out some isolated thunder in the OK Panhandle. Rain amounts are expected to be light with a lot of areas receiving only a few hundredths. With the exception of the northeastern third, northeast corner, of Beaver County where probabilities are a bit higher, the rest of OK Panhandle and maybe Lipscomb County in TX have a 10 to 30 percent chance of reaching 0.2" of rain.

Rain activity should taper off going into tomorrow afternoon and the winds should decrease as well. Going into Thursday night and Friday morning. Winds are progged to become light and variable allowing for good radiational cooling allowing temperatures to fall into the 30s across the combined Panhandles. Amarillo is expected to have a Fri morning low around 36 while some areas in the northwest from Dalhart to Guymon and Boise City may see temperatures fall to around 32. Which should be the coolest morning in the next seven days.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1113 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Fri through Tue is looking fairly quiet and benign. Afternoon highs in the 50s expected to persist into Sat with widespread highs in the 60s returning Sun. Surface winds look to remain light, less than 15 mph with periods where they are less than 10 mph. No rain is progged during this period as well. Although there are some hints at some potential rain somewhere in the Panhandles on Sat. If confidence does increase some isolated showers and thunderstorms may need to be added to the forecast Saturday, mainly in the late morning early afternoon time frame.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1113 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through about 12Z Thu. A frontal passage late tonight into Thu morning will bring some breezy and gusty winds to the Panhandles especially across the western half of the combined Panhandles between 12Z and 20Z. Behind this front, mainly after 10Z Thu, low clouds will have to be watched for. At a minimum MVFR CIGS are expected for KGUY and KDHT. But likely to bring some MVFR CIGS to KAMA as well. Watch for the change from SCT to BKN decks for KAMA in subsequent TAF issuances. There is a low chance for some rain showers to impact KGUY between 12Z and 18Z Thu, while KDHT and KAMA are likely to remain dry compared to KGUY.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.