textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1117 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

- Freezing fog remains possible across a majority of the Panhandles early Friday morning with potential to see visibility drop below 1/4 mile.

- Drier weather looks to hold over the Panhandles starting Friday with a warming trend looking to follow clear into next week.

- A quick back-door cold front will pause our warming trend Sunday, before return next week with highs in the near the upper 60s.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 1117 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

The exiting of the system Thursday morning has seen the Panhandles now settle under a more northwesterly upper-level flow. Present model agreement expects this flow to hold through the weekend and force dry weather over the Panhandles. However, dry does not necessarily mean quite weather for the Panhandles as latest from the CAMs continue to suggest the possibility of freezing fog tonight into Friday morning. Currently best chances are going to aligned with the Eastern Panhandles and any locations that happened to have any snow depth still present earlier this morning. Impact wise, the primary concern will be for pockets of slick road conditions that may disrupt the Friday morning commute. However, latest from the HREF has also seen probabilities of visibility dropping below a quarter mile increase, with the Eastern Panhandles now sitting around 50 to 65% for early Friday morning. Otherwise, look for warmer temperatures to slowly make their return alongside some breezy conditions Saturday. Look for afternoon highs to be in the 50s to low 60s over these next two day, with overnight lows still in the teens to 20s.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 1117 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Model agreement looks to see a closed upper-level low settle over Hudson Bay in Canada, which in turn will keep northwesterly upper- level flow over the Panhandles as we move into the new week. This flow alongside weak ridging does look to put an end to the Panhandles chances of active weather, with most ensembles keeping precipitation chances less than 10% through the middle of next week. These drier conditions will also prompt a bit of a warm up for the Panhandles. However for Sunday, models do see a little bit of a relapse thanks in part to a back-door cold front clipping our northeast late Saturday into Sunday. Instead look for afternoon temperatures to be closer to the 40s to low 50s for the day before the warming kicks back in and push highs closer to the 50s and 60s for next week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1117 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

As of late tonight, present satellite has seen fog already forming across the far southeast corner of the Panhandles. Currently local cameras in the area have also confirm that visibility has significantly dropped in these areas with most locations looking to already be under a mile. This fog has the potential to develop across most of the Panhandles thanks to snowfall yesterday, with impacts most likely to KDHT and KGUY at this time. However, these impacts may be slightly less than what is being seen in the southeast given the terminals had more time to dry out. Still, present expectations do expect a visibility drop with worse case scenario having terminals fall under 1 mile. Fog should be quick to clear up beyond sunrise Friday morning with VFR conditions holding for the day.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.