textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1155 AM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

- A low chance for snow showers exits across the Northeastern Panhandles Monday morning with arrival of a new cold front.

- Dry but cooler weather hold for the rest of the work week with afternoon highs in the 40s to 50s.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 1155 AM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

West winds are currently bringing in warmer downsloping air across the panhandles. This is the driving cause for the temperatures to be above normal through the afternoon. Patchy elevated fire weather is occurring mainly in the SE panhandles due to the warm and dry conditions. However the lack of any stronger winds does lessen the fire weather concerns as there absence wont allow for rapid fire spreading. The above normal heat will not last as a diffuse cold passes across the panhandles late today through Monday morning. This will gradually bring colder air back across the panhandles with the temperatures returning back to normal winter levels by the overnight. The moisture associated with this push of colder air will arrive in the panhandles during the early to mid morning hours of Monday. The highest moisture will likely pass across Kansas into OK proper during this time clipping the NE corner of the panhandles. This area of highest moisture will likely lead to snowfall so by clipping the panhandles it introduces a low chances (10-30%) of snow in the NE panhandles. Even if snow occurs the most likely snow accumulations will be low at a couple of tenths of an inch or less. For the rest of the panhandles the moisture will mainly lead to cloudy skies that lasts through Monday morning before it clears up during the afternoon. Monday will be a cold day as the colder air streams across the panhandles with temperatures remaining in the 30s which is below normal even for winter. These cold temperatures will be coupled with gusty winds daytime winds leading to even colder below freezing wind chills for much of the morning and early afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1155 AM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

There is a high chance for the large scale trough that is over the eastern CONUS to remains so for the remainder of the work week. This keeps the southern plains broadly under a northerly to northwesterly flow during this time. This setup would favor keeping dry air across the southern plains including the panhandles as it would prevent any moisture feeds. Temperatures will also stay a bit more regulated and nearer to seasonable levels. There is increasing chance for this pattern to break down and shift going into the weekend. This opens the door for a more active weather pattern to take hold but we will have to just wait and see.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 1155 AM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

VFR conditions at all terminals and across the panhandles for the next 24 hours. A diffuse cold front passing through the panhandles will shift the winds from SW and W to the N during the afternoon. Winds will be mainly weak during this direction change and then remain so through the overnight and into Monday. Moisture makes it way into the northern panhandles Monday morning causing low level clouds mainly at KGUY. Very low chance for snowfall Monday morning at KGUY with the chances not high enough to reflect within the TAF.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.