textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1241 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

- Frost and freeze conditions are forecast for most of the Panhandles minus the southeastern Texas Panhandle tonight.

- Light rain showers for the central and west may lead to minor rain accumulation this evening into tonight.

- Near record high temperatures are expected on a few days this weekend into early next week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Thursday night) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

Visible satellite imagery early this afternoon depicts almost widespread cloud cover across the Panhandles with mostly clear skies for the southwestern TX Panhandle. Most areas will not see the sun today as the clouds stick around and keep temperatures well below average. Highs for the northwestern TX Panhandle and the OK Panhandle may only stay in the mid to lower 40s this afternoon. Any rain showers that form today are likely to hold off until the later half of the afternoon and should move from northwest to southeast through this evening. If any showers linger across the northwest going into the early evening hours, the atmospheric profiles may lead to some snow mixing in with the rain. Snow accumulation is not expected as ground temperatures are quite warm. Rain showers should dissipate shortly after midnight across the southern Texas Panhandle. Light rain amounts of 0.25 inch or less are generally expected with the activity later on today.

Very light winds and clearing skies are expected tonight which will aid in dropping temperatures into the 30s to upper 20s across the region. These low temperatures are near records and some climate sites may even break the record low for tonight. Frost and freeze conditions are possible for most of the area, but the frost conditions are more uncertain as they will depend upon cloud cover clearing out by sunrise. After a cold start to the morning, the wind will be out of the west on Thursday which should usher in somewhat drier surface conditions and little to no cloud cover. Temperatures will rebound quickly into the 70s.

Muscha

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

High temperatures mostly above average are forecast Friday through at least the middle of next week. Even though a weak front may be sitting across portions of the Panhandles on Friday, temperatures are still expected to rise into the mid 70s to potentially 90 by late afternoon. The warm temperatures will continue on Saturday, but should be even warmer with more areas reaching the low 90s for highs. Another weak front should move over the region on Saturday night into Sunday morning, which will lead to highs on Sunday being the coolest of the long term forecast period. As the front moves over the Panhandles, an H500 shortwave may be well timed to provide synoptic lift to generate showers or potentially thunderstorms. Outside of that small rain chance, the rest of the forecast should remain dry at this point. An upper level ridge will set up next week leading to temperatures rising to near record levels and some locations may even reach the triple digit mark on Tuesday.

Muscha

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1241 PM CDT Wed May 6 2026

MVFR to IFR conditions are forecast for most of this TAF cycle at the terminals. The only exception is KAMA, where VFR conditions are forecast for a few hours this afternoon into this evening. Low clouds will move back in over KAMA and will slowly clear out from north to south overnight into Thursday morning. Light rain showers are possible tonight at all sites with only limited visibility reductions expected. The wind will initially be out of the east but will become light and variable out of the north to west towards the later half of this TAF cycle.

Muscha

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ001>004-006.

Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ005-007>013- 016-017-317.

OK...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Thursday for OKZ001>003.