textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1217 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026

- 10 to 25 percent chances of showers and thunderstorms is still present across the Western Panhandles this afternoon and evening.

- A new system to our north will see increase chances of severe thunderstorms this weekend with best chances in the Eastern Panhandles.

- This active pattern is expected to continue into next week resulting in wetter and cooler weather for the Panhandles.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 1217 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026

Active weather looks to hold for the long term period as present model agreement sees the upper-level trough continue its path into the Northern Great Plains Sunday. This push will help to reinvigorate linger boundaries still in the Panhandles and allow us another crack at the monsoonal moisture. Currently, our best chances are holding across the Northern and Eastern Panhandles for the day, but do begin to spread further west as we head into the overnight and early Monday. By that afternoon, present models do see a new disturbance follow that could lead to another round of storms across the Southern and Central Panhandles. However, the better chance may be on Tuesday as models see a yet another trough push in from Southern California and force the upper-level high well south into Central Mexico. From here model agreement gets a little muddy as runs try to keep the active pattern going with a combination of short-wave disturbances and potential weak frontal boundaries pushing in from our north. Regardless, the combination of this active pattern as well as the retreat of the high into Mexico will see much cooler temperatures across the Panhandles. As it stands, look for highs to be in the in the mid to upper 80s as early as Sunday with potential to be in the mid 70s by Tuesday afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 1217 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026

Active weather looks to hold for the long term period as present model agreement sees the upper-level trough continue its path into the Northern Great Plains Sunday. This push will help to reinvigorate linger boundaries still in the Panhandles and allow us another crack at the monsoonal moisture. Currently, our best chances are holding across the Northern and Eastern Panhandles for the day, but do begin to spread further west as we head into the overnight and early Monday. By that afternoon, present models do see a new disturbance follow that could lead to another round of storms across the Southern and Central Panhandles. However, the better chance may be on Tuesday as models see a yet another trough push in from Southern California and force the upper-level high well south into Central Mexico. From here model agreement gets a little muddy as runs try to keep the active pattern going with a combination of short-wave disturbances and potential weak frontal boundaries pushing in from our north. Regardless, the combination of this active pattern as well as the retreat of the high into Mexico will see much cooler temperatures across the Panhandles. As it stands, look for highs to be in the in the mid to upper 80s as early as Sunday with potential to be in the mid 70s by Tuesday afternoon.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 645 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites over the next 24 hours with winds mainly out of the south southwest around 10-15kts. Stronger winds will be in the 15-03z time frame and gusts may be 25- 30kts at times. Mostly clear skies to scattered high clouds for the TAF period. While currently not in the TAF, KDHT may have some thunder in the 00-06z time frame, but confidence too low for any mention or PROB30 at this time.

Weber

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.