textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1213 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

- Temperatures above normal and dry conditions expected throughout this week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Monday night) Issued at 1213 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

There is a weak shortwave trough being observed along the OK/TX border. As it continues eastward, a ridge nestled over the Southwestern US/Four Corners region looks to advect dry air aloft over the combined Panhandles, resulting in less cloud cover and dry conditions. As a result, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over the short-term period are expected. Temperatures will remain above average for early October, with temperatures ranging from the mid 70s in the west to low 80s in the east.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1213 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

As a shortwave trough enters from the Pacific, the upper-level ridge currently situated largely over the Southwestern US appears to break down and shift east early in the work week. As the ridge's lifecycle progresses, it will continue providing northwesterly flow aloft with negligible precipitation chances and a warming trend. High temperatures across the Panhandles are expected to be in the mid 80s by Tuesday.

By the middle of the week, the shortwave trough will deepen and track into New Mexico and Texas as a positively tilted trough. The upper-level trough and associated mid-level low's trajectory appears to stay west and south of the Panhandles through the rest of the work week. This trend will keep our precipitation chances very low through the remainder of the week.

Model guidance continues to hint at a trough dipping into the Western US this upcoming weekend, though there is a wide range of solutions depicting how the trough will evolve. It will impact our weather in some form, though its exact impact is still to be determined.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 647 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026

VFR conditions will prevail for at least the next 6 hours, but for most areas the next 24 hours. We are watching for possible low clouds that could result in MVFR cigs through the night tonight until about 15z. Also noting in the TAF line a brief vis reduction at KAMA as some guidance suggesting possible fog in the 08-14z time frame. If confidence increases for the 06z issuance than we might add IFR/LIFR vis reduction. Winds generally 7-13kts out of the east to southeast with a slight south southwest direction out of KDHT after 14z.

Weber

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.