textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1123 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Projected elevated fire weather conditions have weakened across the combined Panhandles today. Though we will still be breezy and dry, so burn with caution if necessary.

Potentially impactful rain chances are in place for the end of next across portions of the combined Texas and Oklahoma panhandles.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 1123 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

The short term period remains quiet heading into the weekend. Expect mid to upper 70's for Saturday's highs in all areas of the CWA except the eastern Texas Panhandle. The far eastern stack of counties will have high temperatures stay in the upper 60's. Breezy, southwesterly winds are anticipated across the region in the afternoon. 00Z CAMs show some light reflectivity overnight heading into Sunday. While most guidance doesn't show any measurable QPF in the CWA, 12Z HREF guidance does show a 25% for at least 0.01" in the southern-central Texas Panhandle.

Sunday will be more of the same temperature-wise, only slightly cooler due to northerly southerly winds. Wind speeds are forecast to be light throughout the day.

Rangel

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1123 PM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

An upper level closed low will exit northern Mexico and enter west Texas Monday into Tuesday. Once the low moves east, upper level ridging will resume through the mid-level. Our next upper trough is expected to arrive by next Friday.

Since the trajectory of the low is further south of the combined panhandles, temperatures will only be impacted marginally and rain chance should continue to be absent at the forefront of the new week. By Wednesday, temperature recovery will take place and we will return to the 70's. So far, long term models show a stronger cold front entering the High Plains towards the end of the week. High temperatures by Friday have a chance to return back to normal values. Forecast Theta-E values also increase across the CWA before the front's arrival, so the NBM has added PoPs back into the forecast for Thursday and Friday.

Rangel

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 518 AM CST Sat Feb 7 2026

VFR conditions are likely to continue over the next 24 hours. Breezy southwest winds will arise by 18z with gusts upwards of 30 kts at the terminals. Winds will decrease around sunset and will eventually switch to out of the north around 10 kts. Mid to high level clouds will move in over the region during the later half of this TAF cycle.

Muscha

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.