textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1029 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

-A cold front will bring a chance for thunderstorms tonight into Sunday where some storms could be strong.

-Very warm temperatures expected throughout most of the work week with some highs at or above 100 degrees Tuesday through Friday.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 1029 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

After an active Saturday afternoon with a few supercells in the eastern Panhandles, those said storms have quickly moved east into western Oklahoma with a rather quiet evening. But as we go into the overnight hours tonight, we will continue to watch for the chance of additional elevated thunderstorms. Latest hi-res guidance does shows MLCAPE values in the 500-1000 J/kg range around sunrise Sunday morning. With lift along the front itself, cannot completely rule out a strong to severe storm with hail and severe wind gusts being the main hazards to watch. Otherwise, scattered showers and low topped thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday, mainly for the central and eastern Panhandles where better LL moisture will return to these areas. Rain chances should quickly diminish as we approach late Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. High temperatures for Sunday in the wake of the cold front will only reach the 60s for the majority of the Panhandles, well below average for early May. A building H500 ridge over the Four Corners Region will bring southerly surface winds back to the Panhandles along with dry conditions for Monday. Those southerly winds will result in the return of warm temperatures with high temperatures ranging from the upper 70s to upper 80s.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1029 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

The heat will be on throughout the entire long term forecast period. Through mid week, the aforementioned H500 ride will slowly shift east and continue with well above average temperatures for the Panhandles. A few locations could even reach the triple digits for high temperatures Tuesday-Friday. Some of the latest global guidance is showing the main ridge break down with a result of some rain chances towards the end of the week. Not much accord between the latest guidance, but will watch trends closely. High temperatures will continue to remain above average through mid May.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 616 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

VFR conditions through about 12z for all TAF sites then MVFR conditions down around 1kft agl, mainly in that 12-18z time period as post frontal low clouds are in play. Isolated storm just inside of KGUY's 10 mile range ring, so currently added VCTS until 0015z to account for the isolated storm. Currently no PROB30's in the TAFs, but there could be some showers/storms at KAMA and KGUY in that 12-18z time period. Winds will begin to be gusty out of the north after 10z with sustained 15-25kt winds gusting 25-35kts, winds will start to relax back around 10-20kts after 20z.

Weber

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.