textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1143 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

- Flurries to light snow remain possible this morning with any accumulation expected to be very little.

- A low chances exist on Monday morning for the far northeast to see a second round of snow showers.

- Cooler temperatures are expected for most of next week with afternoon highs staying in the 40s to 50s.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 1143 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

As of late tonight, latest satellite was capturing the continued progression of closed upper-level low across the Great Lakes region, with present cloud cover showing the strong northerly flow it is currently forcing over the Panhandles. This flow is currently projected to force a secondary air mass over the Panhandles tonight, which will earn us a more winter like day for Saturday. Currently, expectations see most locations seeing highs reach into the 30s with some of the Northern Panhandles staying closer to freezing for the day. More interesting, however, is that CAMS have continued to trend on the possibility of some mid-level moisture and lift moving in with this cold air this morning. With this combination in play, the potential is present to see some snow flurries to maybe even brief periods of light snowfall. However, given how dry the low-levels of the atmosphere have been today, it is likely any accumulations on surfaces will be light, with most models only seeing a tenth or two at best. Regardless, this active stint looks to be pretty short lived as most CAMs have it out of the area by around noon. Otherwise, drier and warmer weather looks to return for Sunday with afternoon highs once again in the 50s to low 60s.

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1143 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

Model agreement continues to see a strong closed upper-level low hold over the Hudson Bay, which is expected to keep the Panhandles under a more northerly to northwesterly upper-level flow for majority of next week. This flow pattern will allow for the Panhandle to stay a bit more regulated with temperatures as most locations will see afternoon highs in the 40s to 50s through Friday. Unfortunately there is not a lot of moisture looking to present under these conditions with the expectation of Monday morning. Currently latest models runs do see a weak short-wave pass through during the morning hours which may be enough to trigger some light showers. However, present expectations are only seeing these chances in the far northeast at around 10 to 15%. Otherwise drier weather will looks to hold for the majority clear into next weekend.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1124 PM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

VFR conditions expected through the next 24 hours. Winds today will be out of the northwest peaking at around 10-15 kts at Dalhart and Amarillo, while Guymon will be stronger with peak winds around 20-25 kts gusting up to around 30-35 kts. Winds will weaken in the evening and switch to southwesterly.

Vanden Bosch

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.