textproduct: Amarillo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 234 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026

- A low chance of severe weather across the northern and eastern Panhandle this evening.

- Drier and cooler conditions arrive late Thursday into Friday.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Thursday night) Issued at 234 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026

Upper level low continues to track closer to the Panhandles, resulting in our afternoon dry slot conditions. As the low tracks across the Panhandles later this afternoon into the evening the wrap around moisture in the deformation zone may result in another round of showers and storms to the northern Panhandles. Effective shear and instability are enough that storms could be strong to severe.

Cold front will move through tomorrow with the back side of the system. And with that we expect another round of showers and storms across the northern Panhandles, and they may track further south. Better dynamics will be further east tomorrow, to at this time storms may be strong, but not expected to be severe. Given the timing of the front tomorrow, we'll have a wide variety of temperatures across the Panhandles with highs in the northwest being in the mid 60s, and the southeast could still get to the low 80s. Winds behind the front tomorrow will be on the breezy side out of the north about 25 to 30 mph gusting up to 40 mph.

Weber

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 234 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026

Friday will be our coolest day as the post frontal airmass will be in place. This will put highs across the Panhandles in the 60s to lower 70s. Saturday will be one of the coolest mornings we've seen in awhile with lows in the 40s to lower 50s. High pressure will rebuild over the Panhandles for the remainder of the extended with a gradual warming trend so that we should be back in the upper 70s to lower 80s by Tuesday afternoon. There is a hint at a subtle wave in the northwest flow on Tuesday that could bring another round of showers and storms to the Panhandles, but otherwise the extended looks mostly mild and dry.

Weber

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 627 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026

VFR conditions are expected to start the 00Z TAF period at all TAF sites. Will see MVFR move into TAF sites starting around 12-14Z for KDHT/KGUY and around 18Z for KAMA, which could linger then through the remainder of the TAF period. PROB30 group also added to KGUY for reduced vsbys and potential TSRA conditions. Overall winds will be out of the north and northwest at 10-20 kts, with higher gusts at times.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.


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