textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1150 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

- Dry conditions with seasonal temperatures will continue through the work week.

- Active weather looks to return this weekend with increasing rain chances and breezy winds.

- Confidence is low, but an active pattern may persist through next week with potential for colder air to arrive as well.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Wednesday night) Issued at 1150 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

This Tuesday the tenth is touting a terrific totality of weather throughout the Panhandles. The undulations unfolding in the upper atmosphere remains underwhelming until tonight, when the pattern becomes relatively more unsettled. Northwest flow aloft will nudge a front with north winds over the area overnight, with nominal reductions in temperatures. Average afternoon highs will be attained across the area tomorrow (60s to low 70s), with the sun adequately appearing above us. Basic breezy winds will blow, but barely beyond 10-20 mph. Morning lows will maintain their measure in the mid 30s to mid 40s. Distinctly dry conditions will definitely dominate during the coming days.

Harrel

LONG TERM

(Thursday through next Monday) Issued at 1150 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

Our late week weather sets sail with absolutely pristine conditions, thanks to ridging aloft settling over the south Plains Thursday - Friday. Temperatures should stay in the 60s and 70s with light winds and no rain chances. While we'll avoid the gales of November, breezy south winds look to return Saturday when an approaching trough lifts north and leaves a tighter pressure gradient over the region (sustained 15-20 mph gusting to 35 mph).

As a Great Lakes low lifts to the NE CONUS, models show a secondary deepening wave to our west sending increased southwest flow crashing over the Panhandles through the weekend. This pattern should increase our moisture, which will ship improved H700 theta-e northward atop the region (PWATs as high as 0.75-1.0"). Lift from the system will support potential shower development for at least south and east portions of the Panhandles (20-50% POPs), but recent deterministic and ensemble data trends are slowly weighing towards more aggressive outcomes. The ECMWF and now even moreso the GFS show the gloomy skies of November settling in next week as the secondary system sinks south Sunday night into Monday, which could provide yet another round of rain chances.

Long range projections aim to further wreck our stretch of nice weather, sending additional strong systems towards the Plains. Confidence is still quite low, but if these signals can come to fruition, continued rain, surges of cold air, and potentially even some winter weather could be possible.

Harrel

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1150 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2026

VFR conditions are forecast at all sites over the next 24 hrs. Winds will be light and somewhat variable to start the period, but will shift out of the north - northwest at 10-15 kts overnight as a cold front moves through.

Harrel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.