textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1158 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

-Flurries tonight into early tomorrow morning for eastern Panhandles with areas on the Caprock might get patchy freezing drizzle.

-Cold temperatures on Saturday will rebound with mild temperatures Sunday into early next week.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Saturday night) Issued at 1158 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

A nice afternoon across the Panhandles with many locations well into the 50s with ample sunshine. Going past midnight into early tomorrow morning, a cold front will move SW across the Panhandles. For areas off the Caprock, enough H850 (-)theta-e advection right in the wake of the progressing cold front as seen by a few of the hi-res vertical profiles shows enough LL moisture for a few flurries and/or a light snow shower to develop, with no accumulating snowfall expected at this time.

However, when this cold dense airmass lifts along the Caprock, areas on the Caprock will have low clouds form where patchy freezing drizzle will be possible. Latest 18Z hi-res vertical profile shows amply dry air aloft with a moisture H850-800 profile within a -6C to -8C cloud layer which supports super cooled water droplet formation. These microphysics properties within the overcast skies moving into the region behind the front early tomorrow morning with temperatures in the mid 20s may support the potential for a light glaze of ice to form. Viewing the latest ice accretion percentile (10-50th), just a trace of ice is a potential. Values in the 90th percentile may produce a quick 0.01" of ice accretion. This window should be limited for ice potential starting around 07-09Z through about 12-14Z before better low level moisture profile gets displaced south of the TX Panhandle with just residual flurries through late morning before dry conditions return. Low clouds throughout tomorrow afternoon should also dissipate from west to east across the region. High temperatures tomorrow based off of notable CAA and a return to SW flow the second half of the day with dissipating clouds from west to east will create a dichotomy of temperatures. High temperatures tomorrow will range from the lower 30s in the eastern Panhandle to mid 30s to lower 40s in the central Panhandles to mid 40s to lower 50s for the western Panhandles.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 1158 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Large scale UL subsidence with a low amplitude sinusoidal flow traversing east across the SW CONUS and southern High Plains will keep the Panhandles region dry throughout the long term forecast period. High temperatures will range from near average to above average from Sunday through the remainder of the long term forecast period as we go through the first few days of February.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1130 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

VFR conditions are expected to start the 18Z TAF period at all TAF sites. Starting around 05-7Z and continuing throughout the remainder of the TAF period, MVFR/IFR cigs will impact all TAF sites. A PROB30 for flurries at KAMA was added between 09Z and 13Z. During this time, cannot completely rule out some patchy FG and/or patchy freezing drizzle, but confidence is not high enough to include in TAF at this time. Winds will start westerly and then back to northerly around 05-07Z before veering back to southerly by the end of the TAF period. Winds will be 5-15 kts.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.