textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1122 PM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

- A 20 to 30% chance of snow showers exists in the Northeastern Panhandles this morning with any accumulations expected to be under a half an inch.

- Cold temperatures are expected once again Today with highs in the 30s.

- A pattern shift remains possible next weekend that could see more chances of snow and high temperatures in the 20s to 30s.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Tuesday night) Issued at 1122 PM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

As of late tonight, present observations were showing the descent of the cold front just to our north in Kansas and Colorado. This front is expected to continue digging south into the Panhandles bring with it more winter like temperatures and a chances for snow showers. On the snow side of this push, latest CAMs continue to see the most likely area to be across the Northeastern Panhandles with present chances now around 20 to 30% across Beaver county. However, most models are not seeing much in terms of moisture in these showers as most CAMs are only seeing a couple tenths at best with most only calling for some flurries instead. Regardless, temperatures are looking to take a nice plummet with all locations looking to have highs in the 30s to 40s at best for today. Meanwhile, overnight lows will look to take a further dive with most locations staying in the teens to 20s. However, conditions do look to rebound for Tuesday with afternoon highs sitting in the mid to upper 50s.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 1122 PM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

Model agreement continues to see a strong closed upper-level low hold over the Hudson Bay, which is expected to keep the Panhandles under a more northerly to northwesterly upper-level flow for the remainder of the work week. This flow pattern will allow for the Panhandle to stay a bit more regulated with temperatures as most locations will see afternoon highs in the 40s to 50s till Friday. However, it does unfortunately keep the area rather dry with chances for precipitation staying under 10%. Moving into Friday and the weekend does see potential for a patter shift to occur in the form of a closed upper-level low, which, in turn, could bring more active weather to the Panhandles. Currently present chances of any showers are only around 20 to 40% for Friday and Saturday as models are still struggling to figure out the progression of the low eastward. Regardless, confidence is starting to grow that temperature will take a decent plunge with potential to seeing highs in the 20 to 30s and overnight lows in the single digits for the weekend.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 433 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2026

MVFR ceilings are favored to move into Guymon later this morning but should lift by the early afternoon. Otherwise, VFR conditions expected.

Vanden Bosch

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.