textproduct: Amarillo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1051 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

- A warming trend is expected next week that will see most of the Panhandles nearing or over the triple-digits.

- Starting Monday, there will be low chances for isolated evening showers and thunderstorms each night next week. Mainly across the northwest to northern combined Panhandles.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 1051 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

The combined Panhandles are progged to stay under north to northeasterly flow today, on the eastern periphery of mid to upper level high pressure. Surface winds are expected to shift to the southeast to south with temperatures warming a few degrees more than yesterday. Depending on how light the winds get in the canyon, Palo may see temperatures rise to near 104 degrees on the canyon floor. Yesterday the canyon floor was about 6 degrees warmer than the rim. With a high around 98 expected for Amarillo the canyon floor should rise to about 104 maybe even briefly 105. Despite some decent H7 theta-e advection into NM and even the western combined Panhandles, showers, and thunderstorms are not expected today due to the lack of lift.

Tomorrow, a surface trough and LLTR will build back into the area. As surface winds become more southwesterly H85 temps are progged to warm back to around 33 degrees C. Leading to high temperatures reaching back into the triple digits across the majority of the Panhandles. The best H7 theta-e advection for Monday will be in the northwestern combined Panhandles. A 20 to 30 PoP exists for areas between Kenton and Boise City westward.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1051 PM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

Going into the long term, upper level high pressure is expected to continue to dominate the Desert Southwest into the Southern Great Plains, with very little prospects for precipitation. This means the continuation of heat headlines for the FA while monsoonal moisture stays primarily west of the CWA in NM and the Four Corners Region. The northern to northwestern combined Panhandles has the best chance to see evening thunderstorms as a mid to upper level trough skirts by just north of the FA.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 608 AM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

VFR conditions and mostly light winds are expected through the 12Z TAF period. Winds are forecast to become more southerly tonight.

Rangel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 PM CDT this evening for TXZ317.

OK...None.


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