textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1125 PM CST Sat Jan 17 2026

- One last warm up into the 50 to low 60s this afternoon, before temperatures cool back into the 30 to 40s again Monday.

- A low chance for snow showers exits across the Northeastern Panhandles Monday morning with arrival of a new cold front.

- Dry but cooler weather hold for the rest of the new week with afternoon highs in the 40s to 50s.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 1125 PM CST Sat Jan 17 2026

Present model agreement continues to see the exit of the upper- level trough currently situated over the Great Lakes region during the overnight. Here in the Panhandles this exit will see the present low and upper-level jets finally start moving off during the morning hours of Sunday. Unfortunately, the exit of the jets will not be quick enough to keep us from seeing some breezy conditions during the early and late morning hours, but those winds do look to be quick to die off past the noon timeframe. Instead the focus for today will be more on the dry out and associated warm up that will follow right behind the exit that afternoon. As it stands, latest CAMs are seeing a decent warm and dry pocket follow in that will see much of the Southern Panhandles with relative humidity values below 20%. These dry conditions will also help in seeing temperatures rebound with afternoon highs looking to be in the upper 50s to low 60s. Unfortunately, we cant talk about dry conditions with out mentioning fire weather concerns. Presently, there is a brief window of low-end elevated conditions around the Southeastern Panhandles this afternoon. However, most of these concerns are more driven by the present fuel status and dry conditions, rather than the winds.

Regardless a slight pattern shift does look to follow Monday as a short-wave pass through during the morning hours. This short wave and its associated cold front may be enough to trigger another round of light snow showers. However, present CAMS are only seeing these chances in the far northeast at around 10 to 20% with accumulations currently not amounting to much. Despite the lack of widespread snow chances, this wave and front will allow for another cold air mass to move over the Panhandles and push high back into the 30s to low 40s for the day.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1125 PM CST Sat Jan 17 2026

Model agreement continues to see a strong closed upper-level low hold over the Hudson Bay, which is expected to keep the Panhandles under a more northerly to northwesterly upper-level flow for majority of middle and end of the week. This flow pattern will allow for the Panhandle to stay a bit more regulated with temperatures at most locations will see afternoon highs in the 40s to 50s through Friday. However, it does unfortunately keep the area rather dry with chances for precipitation staying under 10%. Still models do hint at the possibility of a bit more of an active pattern next weekend. However, there is still too much disagreement to say anything more than that.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 454 AM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

VFR conditions expected through the next 24 hours. Breezy winds are ongoing in Amarillo and Guymon which will weaken by early this afternoon. A weak cold front will turn winds northerly in Amarillo and Guymon this afternoon before the winds at all terminals turn easterly at around 10 kts or less this evening.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.