textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1127 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

- A slight chance for thunderstorms exists across the western most counties in the Panhandles this afternoon/evening.

- Triple digit temperatures return Monday with heat headlines likely for PDC, and potentially expanding across multiple counties on some of the days next week.

- A slight chance for thunderstorms will exist in the far northwest combined Panhandles each evening next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 1127 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

Going into tonight and most of the day tomorrow an upper level trough is expected to dig further into the Mississippi River Valley and the Ohio River Valley. This is expected to shove the upper level high off to the west a bit and put the FA under meridional flow aloft. With the high being displaced, and surface winds staying upslope behind yesterdays cold front, afternoon temperatures are expected to be in the 90s both this afternoon and again on Sunday. Not much in the way of precip chances outside of the far western Panhandles potentially getting some bleed over of storms in eastern NM. For this there is a 20 to 30 PoPs, primarily confined to the western stack of counties in the FA.

Tomorrow, the aforementioned trough moves east quickly allowing high pressure to start to rebound. For this reason, highs on Sunday are expected to be a couple to three degrees warmer. With highs in the upper 90s as opposed to today's highs more in the low to mid 90s. The same goes for Sunday night's lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s as opposed to mid 60s this morning. There are no signs of precipitation for Sunday evening, or Sunday night either as the rebuilding high pressure kills moisture transport.

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1127 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

Going into the long term, upper level high pressure is expected to dominate once again with very little prospects for precipitation. This means the return of heat headlines and monsoonal moisture staying primarily west of the CWA. Cimarron may see some chances for showers or thunderstorms to creep in from the north to northwest before fizzling out, but the rest of the combined Panhandles are looking to primarily stay high and dry. Currently there are no signs of Td's in the 60s, therefore, not looking to be worried about that warm souping air seen in the gulf of the Midwest. But more typical Panhandle dry air, even for the eastern stack of counties.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 544 AM CDT Sat Aug 1 2026

VFR conditions and light winds prevail at all sites for the next 24 hours. Thunderstorms have a slight chance (15%) of impacting the KDHT terminal this evening. However, latest model guidance suggest chances will continue to fall and storms may stay west and south of the terminal. No mentions of thunder will be made unless confidence of impacts increases.

Rangel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.