textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Jan 6 2026

- Winter makes it return late on Thursday as a winter system brings snow mainly to the central and northern panhandles. Minor impacts from snow and blowing snow are anticipated for the northwest Panhandles with limited impacts across the south and east. .

- Precipitation chances return to the region Wednesday night with rain showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm in the southern to eastern panhandles.

- Cooler, near average, temperatures are forecast Friday and Saturday, with a warming trend again early next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Jan 6 2026

Another mild January night with lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Wednesday will be the warmest day of the next 7 as we remain under high pressure and out ahead of weather system progged to move in late Wednesday to early Thursday. Lee surface low to set up in SE Colorado on Wednesday which will lead to warm, dry, and breezy conditions. Right now RH values look to be in the mid teens, and winds for the most part should stay at or below 20 mph, although we might see some gusts in the 20 to 25 mph range. This would support elevated Fire Weather conditions for a good chunk of the Panhandles, the northwest may be an exception as it will be closer to the center of the low and may have lighter winds.

Wednesday night will be when the next upper level system comes in to start with round 1 of 2 for our chance at moisture. Will note that at this time this looks to be the better chance at moisture for the southern and eastern Panhandles, as the track of the system is approaching from east central NM and should track right across the Panhandles providing better moisture and lift to the south and east, but still will have some chances in the north and west. Pops pick up between 9pm and midnight for the southwest and will expand in coverage so that most areas will have a 60-80 percent chance at rain as we gradually move through the overnight. Winds will be up overnight and the lows will be quite mild on Thursday morning, with temperatures in the 40s. By late morning the eastern Panhandles look to be the only area expecting rain. Slightly cooler temperatures with highs in the 60s to lower 70s and breezy winds. A cold front is expected to move through Thursday night and that will lead us into round 2 where we may see some winter weather.

Weber

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Jan 6 2026

Positive tilt trough to move in with the cold front on Friday and with it we'll see some winter weather potential. Right now the setup would still support better chances of moisture across the northern Panhandles, but we'll see if this system tracks a bit further south, as recent updates have trended. Position and track will be the key. Again, if it holds it's current position that will give the best chances to the northern Panhandles and maybe a light dusting to an inch in the southern Panhandles. OK panhandle probabilities of an inch will be about 60-80% with around a 20% chance across the southern Panhandles. As we get to higher amounts there's about a 30-40% chance at 3 inches across the OK Panhandle with less than a 5% chance across the south. Will note, these probabilities can and will shift if the system does track further south. In that situation we can expect the probabilities across the north to drop and the south to increase. The onset of snow in the northwest will be between midnight and 6AM on Friday, with snow gradually tracking southwest through the day, and will finish off with the area clearing out around midnight Friday night. At this time minor impacts look to be favored for the northwest Panhandles on Friday due to snow and perhaps even some blowing snow, with more limited impacts to the south and east.

As we move into Saturday onward, it's a pretty quiet forecast as we just transition to more of a recovery from the cold air. High pressure will amplify over the west keeping the warm northwest flow over the Panhandles and we expect highs to return back to the mid 40s to lower 50s, but then gradually work towards the mid 50s to lower 60s by Tuesday. No precipitation expected after Friday's snow event.

Weber

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1155 PM CST Tue Jan 6 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites over the next 24 hours. Winds will be shifting more southwest overnight. Winds will be around 10kts. Winds will start to pick up 10-15kts with gusts up to 25kts after 16z. Exception will be KGUY as that area should remain in the 5 to 10kt range for the entire TAF period. PROB30s added at the end of the TAF period for showers at KAMA and KDHT with MVFR cig/vis restrictions.

Weber

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.