textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1221 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

- Hot temperatures expected today with some localized highs near 105-107, especially off the caprock. - Chances of showers and thunderstorms increase going into Wednesday night.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday night) Issued at 1221 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

The combined Panhandles continue under the eastern periphery of and upper level ridge and high pressure. Today, a LLTR is progged to develop and bring in H85 temperatures around 33 degrees C. This will aid in temperatures rising well into the triple digits with typical spots off the caprock getting to 105 or above. Some heat advisories will be needed because of this. Precipitation is not in the cards except for Cimarron County and surrounding areas having a 10 to 25 percent chance at seeing some measurable rain this evening as a little perturbation in the flow aloft may help provide lift to some mid level moisture coming up through NM into the northern parts of the FA. Also, low RH values and breezy southerly winds will give rise to a concern for elevated fire weather conditions under the current drought.

Tomorrow, a surface low will swing through with northerly winds on the backside being brought into the northwest to northern combined Panhandles. Afternoon temperatures in the northern parts of the FA under the north winds are expected to be held back in the upper 90s. Elsewhere further south in the Panhandles temperatures are once again to be in the triple digits, just not quite as warm as today. This slight cool down is also because of an upper level trough expected to swing through the Central Great Plains that will help suppress the upper level high. It may also present a slight chance for precip to the northern combined Panhandles Tuesday evening and Tuesday night. Even in the afternoon, with a decent stream of H7 moisture through the central Panhandles, would not rule out a rogue isolated storm or two somewhere along and north of the HWY 60 corridor.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 1221 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Hot temperatures are to continue in the extended period. With afternoon highs in the upper 90s into the low 100s off the caprock. The combined Panhandles are looking to stay under northwest to northerly flow aloft Wed onward. This is a good thing for precipitation prospects, as the northwest flow will help aid in monsoonal moisture to make it to the combined Panhandles. At this time, the NBM is trending upward over days three through five. Different parts of the combined Panhandles will favor a 30 to 50 PoPs at most through each evening. To start, Wed evening the northwest is favored for storms, while the current trends in the forecast have the central to northeastern Panhandles favored for Thu night. Then, for Fri evening, the NBM now has the southwest to central Panhandles with a 30 to 40 PoPs. Hard to say if these trends will continue but it is promising that for at least some areas of the Panhandles potentially getting rain during the latter part of the week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 620 AM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

No major changes were made for the 12Z TAF package.

VFR conditions prevail through the 12Z period. Thunderstorm activity is expected to stay west of the TAF sites today. Breezy winds this morning will become windy over all sites in the afternoon. The wind direction will be predominantly southerly.

Rangel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ002-003-006>008-011-317.

OK...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ002.