textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 100 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

- Warm temperatures Sunday through Tuesday, followed by hot temperatures to close out the week.

- Daily thunderstorm chances will continue through the next several days, with Monday and Tuesday potential exceptions, but the storm coverage will vary from day to day.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday night) Issued at 100 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

With storms done for the evening along that boundary, we're in a bit of a lul for now as we await the next potential round of showers and storms tonight. We are monitoring that second impulse that has shower and storms off the mountains tracking southeast. More recent high res guidance has backed off on storm threat tonight, but there's still the threat for elevated storms and will not rule out a cluster of storms in the northwest overnight, with strong wind gusts 45-55mph possible, as that area hasn't been worked over from any storms today.

For Sunday, the main focus will be right along the TX/NM state line as that looks to be the area of convergence for thunderstorm activity. Pops have been pretty consistent in the western Panhandle to be in the 20-40 percent range for Sunday. But should overnight storms occur, that may be too much for the atmosphere to recover and it's possible that we don't get any storms in the west. All that said there is another impulse on Sunday that could aid in the storm development, so coverage could become more scattered through the evening and they could become more of a cluster at that point. Should we get storms in the afternoon on Sunday they will have the potential to be strong to severe, but the primary focus will just be wind. If we manage to get the afternoon/evening storms, they should wind down by midnight.

Monday the upper ridge is expected to be oriented so that a more north to northeast flow will be over the Panhandles keeping any of those showers that develop over the mountains isolated to eastern NM, so highs will be in the mid to upper 90s with pop chances below mention for the most part. Winds for the most part look to be 5 to 10, with slightly stronger winds in the northwest Panhandle.

Weber

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 100 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

Tuesday will start off very similar to Monday as we still remain in northeast flow aloft and other than slightly warmer temperatures that may reach 100 in some localized areas, and maybe winds up slightly in the 10-15mph range, it will be pretty much a copy of Monday.

Wednesday through Friday the pattern shifts just a bit, and now there is a subtle hint of more northwest flow over the Panhandles. The ridge of high pressure that was tilted a bit more in a positive direction, now shifts more neutral, and is centered further west in NM, v.s. almost over the western Panhandle. This will bring back those daily chances of storms as subtle impulses try to move storms off the mountains into the western and possibly central Panhandles each day. As we move into Saturday the ridge becomes more amplified and transitions back to a more northerly flow which could reduce the precipitation chances once again. Overall, this setup will likely provide very warm to hot days starting Tuesday and could continue all the way through Saturday.

Weber

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 559 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Thunderstorms will be possible for Dalhart and Amarillo this afternoon and into the evening. Thunderstorms may produce strong downdrafts.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.