textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 925 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

- Tornado Watch #700 in effect until 2 am for portions of the TX and OK Panhandles.

- Windy day across the region on Monday with gusts to 40 mph possible

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Tuesday night) Issued at 925 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

Severe weather possible over the next several hours across the region. A tornado watch is in effect until 2 am and currently there are thunderstorms increasing in intensity and coverage across northeast and east central NM. Concerns for QLCS tornadoes and damaging winds will exist with this line. Strong forcing with the lead shortwave trough in NM is promoting the development of these storms. The environment is one with sufficient cape and strong shear (current AMA VAD Wind showing over 400 m2/s2 of 0-3km SRH and 50kt of 0-6km shear) so tornadoes and damaging winds are possible. As this shortwave trough swings through the area the main upper trough will also swing through Monday afternoon. Surface moisture will diminish rapidly behind the line of storms tonight and then a cold front will move through the area late tomorrow afternoon or early evening ushering in some cooler air.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 925 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

The next shortwave will move across the area by mid week but with moisture being scarce just a chance of precip across the northeast is possible as it skirts by. The next bigger trough will approach by the weekend and that is when the next best chance of precip will be.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1112 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026

Present observations from the terminals this afternoon have seen good mixing of the mid-level jet with all terminals seeing surface wind gust upward of 30 to 40 knots. These winds are likely to be present the rest of the day as we continue to get behind the upper- level low and see the mid-level jet strengthen further. Meanwhile, KGUY continues to trend towards seeing showers with some embedded thunderstorms later this evening, which will likely seem them drop back into MVFR to IFR conditions for the overnight. Beyond that, look for KAMA and KDHT to stay on the drier side with VFR conditions looking to hold for the package.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Wind Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 4 AM CST Tuesday for TXZ001-006.

OK...Wind Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 4 AM CST Tuesday for OKZ001.