textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 152 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

Showers and perhaps a couple of thunderstorms are possible today and tomorrow for the Oklahoma Panhandle and the northern Texas Panhandle. Rain totals should stay fairly light across the area.

Sub-freezing temperatures are expected in the Oklahoma Panhandle and northern Texas Panhandle Thursday morning. A Freeze Watch remains in effect for these areas.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 152 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

Highs will struggle to rise above 70 degrees for many areas today due to the front moving further south than previous models had suggested. PoPs will still remain largely northern focused for the next couple of days. However, some CAMs attempt to put an isolated shower or two into parts of the central Texas Panhandle tonight and tomorrow evening. QPF will still be light overall for the rain event. The best chances for accumulation over 0.25" is still in the west-central Oklahoma Panhandle.

Temperatures remain cool overall heading into Wednesday. Lows in the morning will approach freezing in the north, while staying around 40 degrees for the rest of the area. Highs may not escape the 40s for our northern zones, while 50s and 60s remain in play for the rest of the area. Some 70s cannot be ruled out for the far southern Texas Panhandle where cloud coverage will erode quicker there compared to the rest of the CWA. In the far northwestern combined Panhandles, moisture and temperature profiles are supportive of snow during the late afternoon and evening. However, surface and soil temperatures should remain too warm for accumulation to occur; therefore, no impacts are expected.

Rangel

LONG TERM

(Thursday through next Monday) Issued at 152 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

Sub-freezing temperatures are still forecast for the Oklahoma Panhandle and the northern Texas Panhandle Thursday morning. Temperatures as low as 25 degrees are expected in parts of Cimarron and Dallam county. Temperatures will undergo a quick recovery and continue to warm up through the end of the week. By Sunday our next cold front will arrive and place highs back in the 70s and 80s. Next week, the upper ridge is forecast to redevelop over the region. Long range model trends continue to support unusually warm temperatures for this time of year.

Rangel

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

MVFR ceilings continue at KAMA and KDHT at the start of this 18Z TAF period. In the next few hours, conditions will improve at these sites; however, MVFR ceilings will return to KGUY. Some showers are forecast to affect KDHT and KGUY later this evening, but conditions will already be MVFR and are not expected to worsen due to shower activity. Showers are possible at KAMA tonight as well, but to a much lesser extent. Ceilings will continue to fall at all sites tomorrow morning. MVFR, and even IFR conditions for KGUY, are expected to linger till the end of the current TAF period.

Surface winds will stay breezy from the east and northeast today, but they will eventually become light and southeasterly by tomorrow.

Rangel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Freeze Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning for TXZ001>004-006.

OK...Freeze Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday morning for OKZ001>003.