textproduct: Amarillo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1201 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026
- Sprinkles or isolated pockets of light rain will be possible Tuesday night across much of the Panhandles, with flurries possible in the northeastern combined Panhandles.
- Warmer than normal temperatures expected through the vast majority of the coming week.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 1201 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026
Warm temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s are expected this afternoon. Then, a series of cold fronts tonight and tomorrow night are expected to cool the temperatures down for Tuesday and Wednesday. First, tomorrow, highs are expected to be 5 to 10 degrees cooler than today. Then, Wednesday, temperatures expected to be another 5 to 10 degrees cooler than tomorrow.
This evening a leeside surface low will eject out over the area with a cold front filling in behind. Winds will turn to the north and pick up to around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. There will be a low (10-20% chance) potential for winds to gusts up to 35 mph in the far northwest and far southeastern combined Panhandles in the overnight hours, directly behind the front. Winds are expected to drop off for Tue afternoon and even weaken to around 10 mph or less and continue through the overnight hours. Early in the AM on Wed, another front will move through the area bringing some breezy and gusty winds once again. Afternoon temperatures are expected to be held back into the low to mid 50s behind this front. This time, some mid level moisture maybe brought in by the base of an associated trough aloft. Meaningful precipitation is not expected as the surface is looking to remain dry. However, some sprinkles then flurries may still be witnessed across the northern combined Panhandles early on Wed.
LONG TERM
(Thursday through next Sunday) Issued at 1201 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026
Thursday through Saturday, upper level ridging dominates with afternoon highs reaching the mid 60s to lower 70s. Fairly quiet weather is expected until Sunday when models have a mid level cutoff low forming over the Four Corners Region. This system may open into a shortwave trough and bring some precipitation, to at least the southern TX Panhandle, late Sunday into Monday morning. Both the GFS and EC are in fairly good agreement on this for Day 7. For now though, the NBM does not give any PoPs higher than 10 percent at this time.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 449 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026
VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. A cold front is moving through the area and winds will become breezy behind the front. Low-level wind shear is currently favored at over Amarillo for a few hours tonight.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. OK...None.
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