textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1151 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

- Showers are likely in the northern combined panhandles on Wednesday.

- Sub-freezing temperatures are expected on Thursday morning in the northwestern CWA, reaching as low as the mid-20's.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 1151 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

Light rainfall could linger in the Oklahoma Panhandle tonight, however, rain will likely move out or become isolated by the early morning hours of Wednesday. Although isolated showers may be possible throughout the day on Wednesday (especially in the OK Panhandle and northern TX Panhandle), the primary chances for precipitation will begin around the late afternoon. Highest chances for rainfall are in the OK and northern TX Panhandles, with light precipitation expected. Precipitation accumulations greater than 0.2" will likely be constrained to the far north CWA. In the far NW CWA some mixed precipitation is possible, however this depends on if temperature falls and precipitation timing line up into the nighttime hours of Wednesday into Thursday.

Low temperatures are expected to approach freezing in the northern CWA Wednesday morning, likely surpassing freezing into the high 20's on Thursday morning. High confidence in sub-freezing temperatures for Cimarron and Dallam counties have prompted a Freeze Warning to be issued for Thursday morning. Uncertainties regarding how precipitation and cloud coverage has prompted the Freeze Watch to remain in place for the rest of the area. High temperatures for Wednesday will range from mid-40's in the far Northern CWA to the low-70's in the far southern CWA, warming back up on Thursday with widespread high temperatures in the high-60's to low-70's.

Ferguson

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1151 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

Friday and Saturday are expected to warm back up, with high temperatures reaching back into the 90's for most of the CWA by Saturday. This is before a cold front passes through the area on Sunday, knocking high temperatures back down into the 70's and 80's. After Sunday however, temperatures will likely rebound quickly and create seasonally warm conditions through the beginning of the week before low pressure builds into the Panhandles on Tuesday, shifting winds from SW to N and knocking temperatures down again.

Ferguson

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1223 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026

As of late tonight, latest radar has been seeing showers push into the Panhandles form the north and west. However, these storms have struggled to produce much given the very strong dry air present in the lower-levels. Because of this confidence in actual impacts to the terminals is on the lower end with KGUY the only terminal with full showers mention in the current package. Regardless latest CAMS do see us getting a little break during the overnight and early morning hours of Wednesday. However, this break is expected to come with a drop in CIGs to MVFR for KAMA and IFR levels for KDHT and KGUY. These CIGs do look to hold for most of Wednesday, albeit with KAMA possibly getting a slight break during the early afternoon hours.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ001.

Freeze Watch from late tonight through Thursday morning for TXZ002>004-006.

OK...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Thursday for OKZ001.

Freeze Watch from late tonight through Thursday morning for OKZ002-003.