textproduct: Amarillo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1121 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

- Freezing fog is possible across the western Panhandles tonight which would lead to reduced visibility.

- Colder conditions are forecast for Saturday before above average temperatures are expected Sunday through the next work week.

- There are low chances (15-20 percent) for rain/snow on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 1121 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

A backdoor cold front has moved across the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles this evening, In its wake, northeast winds have brought in a cooler air mass and plentiful cloud cover across the region. Freezing fog has already begun to develop behind the front with visibility decreasing across the northwestern Panhandles. The bank of fog may expand further south across the western Texas Panhandle overnight. Cannot rule out fog reaching as far east as Dumas to Amarillo, so be prepared for reduced visibility if traveling tonight into Saturday morning. The potential for drizzle has decreased over the last few hours, but still cannot rule out a very light glaze of ice on elevated surfaces in fog/light drizzle.

North to northwest flow aloft is expected today as a trough digs south towards the Gulf of America today. Low level clouds may linger through the early afternoon for portions of the Panhandles, which will keep temperatures on the cooler side today. As winds become southerly to southwesterly this afternoon, that should start bringing in some WAA, but highs are still only forecast to be in the 30s to 40s. In fact, some areas across the far eastern Panhandles may stay right around or below freezing for highs this afternoon. Winds could be a bit breezy this afternoon as a leeside low pressure system develops across northeastern New Mexico today.

Ridging develops over the Plains on Sunday and strong WAA at H850 will lead to temperatures upwards of 10 to 13 Celsius by peak heating. This would equate to temperatures warming considerable compared to Saturday, with highs around 25 to 30 degrees warmer in the 60s. Winds are anticipated to be lighter on Sunday along with clear skies, so a very nice start to February is looking likely.

Muscha

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1121 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

Upper level high pressure is forecast to develop across the western CONUS during the next work week. This pattern will lead to warmer than average temperatures for much of next week with current forecast highs in the 50s to 60s to start February. The first ridge should break down by Tuesday into Wednesday as a positively tilted H500 trough digs south across the Plains. There may be just enough moisture across the region to generate some rain/snow showers on Tuesday night, but chances in that occurring are only around 15 to 20 percent at this point. Beyond that potential, dry and warm conditions should persist through Friday for the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles.

Muscha

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1121 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026

MVFR to IFR conditions are currently being observed across the Panhandles. Patchy fog may impact KDHT or KAMA overnight, but the potential is too low to mention at this time. Low clouds will continue through late morning through around 18z at the sites before VFR conditions return. Winds out of the east will become southerly to southeasterly at the terminals. Gusts could be upwards of 20 to 25 kts during the afternoon before decreasing after sunset.

Muscha

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.


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