textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 202 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

- Hot temperatures continue today with some localized highs near 103- 108, especially over the Canadian River Valley and north central Panhandles.

- Low chance 20% of showers and storms today in the northwest Panhandles with damaging wind gusts as the primary concern.

-Chances of showers and thunderstorms increase and will peak going into Wednesday, but will still continue through Friday.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Tuesday night) Issued at 202 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

A little hazy out there and it can be seen on satellite that there is some high level smoke that has drifted over the southern high plains. That smoke extends all the way back up to The Washington/Oregon area. We could continue to see that given the overall upper flow pattern as high pressure remains set over the Four Corners.

We do have a disturbance swinging across the Dakotas this evening, and it does stretch far enough south that some storms that could form off the higher terrain of NM this evening, may manage to clip the northwest TX/OK Panhandle this evening. Very low pops in play <20% to account for this tonight. Will note that due to the very hot conditions and an inverted V setup, DCAPE values will likely range from 1800-2200 J/kg this evening. So will not rule out severe wind gusts (60-75mph) if a storm manages to impact the northwest Panhandles tonight. Storms are expected to fizzle out shortly after they enter the northwest, so pops are really limited today.

Not much will change for Tuesday, but we do expect another impulse to push across the high terrain and there may even be a better chance of showers and storms off the mountains, that could be a bit more expansive in coverage as it moves across the Panhandle tomorrow evening. That impulse is expected to bring forth a bit more cloud cover earlier in the day and a weak cold front to the northwest. This will set up highs to be in the upper 80s in the northwest. Elsewhere, we do expect highs to be mid 90s to the lower 100s. Pops are focused in the northern Panhandle around 20% for the afternoon and evening on Tuesday. Will note that a couple CAMs are a bit more aggressive and could support higher chances of storms as it attempts to form a bit of an MCS that would move through in the evening. Primary concern will still be winds with any storms, but threat for severe winds is too low for mention < 5% at this time.

Weber

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 202 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Wednesday into the weekend, we can expect hot temperatures in the upper 90s to lower 100s to continue as the overall Four Corners high will remain in place. That being said, as the flow becomes more northwesterly our chances of precipitation pick up to about medium (40-50%) on Wednesday and those chances hold steady on Thursday, with a little bit of a drop off on Friday. Then as we head into the weekend, we look to dry back out as the high expands further east more over the Rockies to southern high plains. This will lead to hot temperatures and a more dry northerly to northeasterly flow over the Panhandles.

Weber

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1227 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites over the next 24 hours. Winds will be on the breezy side in the 15kt range with gusts 20 to 30kts through 03-06z. Thereafter winds will be back in the 10-15kt range for the most part. Wind direction will be mainly out of the south southwest, but at KDHT and KGUY winds will turn west to northwest after 12z. Mostly clear skies to few high clouds. Satellite does show high level smoke that looks to be from the wildfires up in WA, but so far it doesn't appear to be enough to bring visibility issues or mention in the TAF.

Weber

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ002-003-006>008- 011-317.

OK...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ002.