textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1101 PM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

- Chances for thunderstorms remain low heading into the weekend.

- Temperatures are trending upwards. Triple digit highs return today and may last through the next 7 days.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Saturday night) Issued at 1101 PM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

Tonight... Recent CAMs suggest thunderstorm activity will remain fairly minimal compared to the previous two nights. While some earlier runs attempted to form another line of storms over the CWA, the latest model soundings show high CIN over the area with weak forcing from thunderstorm outflow as the primary source of lift this morning. That being said, we cannot rule out a few storms that manage to utilize our elevated instability, but storms may struggle persist in this environment.

Rest of Friday... Mid to upper level heights rise across the region, leading to an increase in our temperature profiles. Highs today may range from the mid 90s to lower 100s. A tightening surface pressure gradient will also promote breezy winds to return this afternoon. The wind direction should remain mostly southerly. HiRes models are still not confident in thunderstorms effecting the western portions of our FA this evening. Storm motion today should be south-southeast, so unless convection can form near the state line, the activity should be confined to New Mexico. Lows tonight will also experience a notable increase as most locations may not decrease below 70 degrees Saturday morning.

Saturday... Hotter and drier conditions are forecast area wide to start the weekend. Most locations should return with highs over 100 degrees, with PDC showing moderate to high chances of reaching 105. While surface trends point towards lower relative humidity and higher sustained wind speeds, recent rains may help mitigate our fire risk from increasing greatly. Still, patchy elevated fire weather conditions cannot be ruled out.

Rangel

LONG TERM

(Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 1101 PM CDT Thu Aug 27 2026

Long range models still display some disagreement on the placement of the upper high late in the long term. Whichever scenario pans out, the high shows no signs of becoming suppressed as we head into September. Therefore, hot +100 degree highs will prevail through the next 7 days. PoPs remain present at the forefront of the extended period due to favorable anticyclonic steering flow. However, PoPs continue to trend downward and our northwest zones may be the only locations favored to receive precipitation next week.

Rangel

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1213 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026

VFR conditions continue tentatively at all sites. There is a low chance that KGUY may be impacted by storms very early this morning. Confidence is too low to include mentions at this time, but amendments may become necessary if storms can hold together over the terminal. Otherwise, surface winds will become breezy late this morning and linger through the rest of the TAF period. The wind direction should remain generally out of the south.

Rangel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.