textproduct: Amarillo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1142 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Patchy fog overnight but will burn off early Wednesday

- Chance of showers and thunderstorms early Thursday morning over mainly the far northeast

- Cool weather Thursday thru Sunday with highs in the mid 50s to around 60

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 1142 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Evening IR/WV satellite imagery showing short wave ridging moving east from the southern and central rockies towards the high plains behind the departing trough now moving into the midwest. Some fog potential overnight with light and variable winds expected thru morning and temps close to the dewpoint at this hour. Fog should remain patchy enough to preclude advisories overnight. Next short wave trough sliding to the southeast over the Sierra Nevada region will move quickly into the southern Rockies Wednesday. This system will provide the forcing mainly in the left front exit region of a 70kt mid level jet streak for precipitation. The mid level cold pocket associated with this shortwave will help promote instability on the order of 1000 j/kg or less of CAPE. These factors will contribute to some shower and thunderstorm activity moving from Utah across southern CO on Wednesday and then into sw KS and the OK Panhandle early Thur morning. There is a chance for some locally heavy rainfall amounts with the thunderstorms Thu morning....mainly in Beaver County OK. The surface cold front will move through the panhandles Thur and high temps will only be in the lower to mid 50s. After the Wednesday system departs then this cool air mass hangs around through the weekend with high temps only in the mid to upper 50s to around 60 thru Sunday.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1142 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Fall weather will continue with mostly dry conditions expected. Temperatures should rebound into the lower to middle 60s by early next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 351 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Mainly VFR conditions at all terminals through the rest of today into Thursday. The exception this morning is from the low chance of fog. If this occurs then conditions of IFR to VLIFR can be expected from reduced visibilities. However the chances of this occurring at any terminal are so low it is not reflected in the current TAFs. Much later during Thursday morning a cold front will pass through. Following this front a low bank of clouds will spread north to south across much of the panhandles bringing MVFR to IFR conditions. This occurs towards the end of the TAFs so the lower conditions are not fully reflected. In addition the cold front can bring light rain showers to KGUY Thursday. As for the winds they will be gusty during the daytime mainly from the south. Then the winds will switch to northerly and be gusty following cold front passage on Thursday.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.


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