textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1235 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

- A potentially potent cold front is expected to move across the Panhandles Sunday, potentially dropping some areas to below average temperatures.

- Chances for rain increase towards the middle of next week as a weather system moves towards the region.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 1235 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

Benign weather continues through tomorrow. Warm temperatures, around 15 degrees above normal, are expected this afternoon into tomorrow. For today light winds will be varying in direction as a weak surface low traverses the area. Early tomorrow, a weak surface boundary will move into the area from the north bringing light north winds, mainly around 10 mph. Maybe up to 15 mph for a short time. During the afternoon, winds are expected to transition to an easterly direction and continuing into Sunday morning.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 1235 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

Some models have backed off a bit on the cold air intrusion from the back door cold front progged for Sunday. It is looking like highs may stay well into the 70s in the southwestern CWA, maybe even some lower 80s in the far southwestern TX Panhandle. Timing and strength of the front still remains uncertain though. The coldest air may move in overnight Sunday night. For now only the OK Panhandle and far northern TX Panhandle are looking to get below 32 degrees F going into Mon morning. However, the NBM25 does give lows across the CWA in the teens (N) to 20s (S). So there is a chance for temps to be much colder than what is currently being progged by the NBM. Most of the models, even the coolest ones have H85 temperatures drop briefly. With the coolest ones dropping to around 1 degrees C in the far northeast to 5 to 8 degrees C elsewhere. Precipitation chances will be present but mainly for western OK up against the Panhandles overnight. Some of the far eastern counties do have a slight chance PoPs mainly before midnight.

For Monday, deterministic models have H85 temperatures rebound quickly with temps around 22 degrees C in the far western Panhandles and 10 to 12 degrees C across the central to eastern combined Panhandles. At this time Monday's highs are looking to be a bit warmer than previous NBM runs, with 70s to the southwest and lower 60s to the northeast.

Tuesday onward the potential for precipitation continues with more pronounced signs that the upper level system may in fact take a less than favorable track. Leaving the western combined Panhandles mostly dry under a dry slot. Tuesday night has the best PoPs FA wide with 40 percent to the west and 50 percent to the east. Another system may be on the horizon for Friday on day 8.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 511 PM CST Fri Feb 27 2026

VFR conditions and clear skies expected over the next 24 hours. Winds will shift to northerly and then easterly, remaining calm and increasing slightly after the winds shift.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.