textproduct: Amarillo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
- Warmer than normal temperatures with dry weather is anticipated throughout this coming week.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
A very weak shortwave trough is being observed this morning across western/northwestern Texas. Expecting negative vorticity advection to become more prominent throughout this afternoon and tonight as the trough begins to progress out of the area, with the associated subsidence leading to a clearing sky and warmer temperatures.
The trough will be further east tomorrow, and although some scattered clouds are expected in the morning behind and along a weak boundary, drier air aloft will move in throughout the afternoon which will cause clouds to clear out. High temperatures tomorrow will warm up into the 70s to low-80s.
Vanden Bosch
LONG TERM
(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1228 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
An upper-level ridge over the Southwestern US is slated to break down going into the work week in advance of a weak shortwave trough that moves in from the Pacific. Over the Panhandles, meanwhile, expecting northwesterly flow aloft with negligible precipitation chances amid a trend of warming temperatures. Expecting highs to be in the 80s across the Panhandles by Tuesday.
Wednesday and Thursday, the aforementioned shortwave trough will track into New Mexico and Texas as a positively tilted trough. The trough of this trough is expected to stay to the west and south of the Panhandles through the remainder of the work week which will continue the trend of negligible precipitation chances. Expecting highs in the 80s to continue through the week.
Operational and ensemble mean guidance shows a longwave trough will dip into the Western US this weekend, and although there is wide variation on how the trough will evolve, it will impact our weather in some way that is to be determined.
Vanden Bosch
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS) Issued at 619 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
VFR conditions are expected throughout the 00Z TAF period at all TAF sites. Winds will be generally out of the north at 5-10 kts with few to sct mid to high clouds.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. OK...None.
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