textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1210 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

Hot to extreme temperatures continue for the next 7 days. Highs will easily exceed 105 degrees for many locations, and a few isolated areas may also reach 110 on Monday and Tuesday.

Heat index values may exceed actual temperatures this weekend. Some locations could experience heat indices up to 109 degrees today.

Low thunderstorm chances continue across the Texas Panhandle today. Storms are not expected to be severe.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday night) Issued at 1210 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

Today, recent model data suggests that maximum temperatures across the CWA should have the capability of exceeding 100 degrees once more. A few areas in the southern Texas Panhandle could stay in the upper 90s due to recent rains, but high pressure, warm morning lows, and day time heating should be sufficient enough to promote triple digit heat even in locations with high moisture. Locations that can hold onto 60s dewpoints in the afternoon may also be subject to heat index values hotter than the ambient temperature. A Heat Advisory continues for the eastern combined Panhandles where highs are anticipated to meet or exceed 105 degrees. However, heat indices may reach up to 109 in these areas as well.

High theata-e profiles over the area today will promote showers and thunderstorms once again in the afternoon and evening. Without a strong forcing mechanism, storms should be quite isolated today and form once they reach convective temperatures. Like previous forecasts, storms should develop along this localized maxima of moisture along and south of HWY 60 within our FA.

Tomorrow, very hot highs continue areawide. There is still some uncertainty regarding how far west the +105 degree temperatures can expand, but another heat product is likely for at least some parts of our CWA; most likely the north and east. With upper level high pressure forecast to center more overhead of the High Plains, the moisture axis is also forecast to shift northwest. This leaves the Panhandles under drier conditions and rain chances look to remain absent on Sunday.

Rangel

LONG TERM

(Monday through Friday) Issued at 1210 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

High pressure and summer-time heat continue in the extended as we wrap up July. H500 high pressure remains strong overhead, but models show hints of the high pressure center shifting westward away from the High Plains towards the first week of August. In the meantime, hot triple digit heat will continue through the week. Monday and Tuesday could potentially be the hottest days of the week, with NBM highs reaching 110 in some isolated locations. PoPs will also remain low during the week due to the position of the high pressure center and our modest moisture profiles. Areas most likely to receive precipitation, if any, will be our northwest zones where convection off the high terrain may have the appropriate steering flow to move into that area.

Rangel

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 521 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

VFR conditions at all terminals for the next 24 hours. Conditions will be very hot across the panhandles leading to high density altitudes at all terminals. There is a very low chance for afternoon thunderstorms mainly in the Texas panhandle. The chances for these to impact any terminal are far to low to be reflected in any TAF.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ003>005-008>010-015-020-317.

OK...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ002-003.