textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1114 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

- Dry conditions with no weather related travel impacts are expected leading up to and including Thanksgiving day for the Panhandles.

- A pattern shift this weekend into next week will likely lead to much cooler temperatures and the potential for wintry precipitation.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 1114 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

Winds have dropped off substantially from yesterday afternoon. With nearly calm winds and clear skies overnight, sunrise temperatures should have no problem dropping below freezing. A cool start is expected with a surface high exiting to the east allowing for some breezy southwest winds (mainly western Panhandles) to pick up in the afternoon. H85 temperatures are progged to rise from 3 degrees C in the morning to around 5 to 6 degrees C by sunset. Despite the warmer H85 temperatures winds are expected to drop off tonight once again allowing the surface to cool and keep the H85 temperatures from mixing to the surface. Therefore, temperatures are expected to drop below freezing across the combined Panhandles once again tonight into Thursday morning. Thursday's afternoon temperatures are only expected to be a few degrees warmer than today with light east to southeasterly winds. Thursday night, temps are expected to be slightly warmer. The southern TX Panhandle is also likely to stay just above freezing going into Friday morning, between 33 and 35 degrees, as winds pick up to around 10 mph allowing some warmer temperatures to mix to the surface.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1114 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

Friday, under quasi-zonal flow and before the next upper level system is to come through, afternoon temperatures are expected to be their warmest for a while. Some temperatures in the lower 60s are progged across the western FA for Friday afternoon with mid 50s in the east. Saturday, expecting an upper level trough to swing into the area sending a cold front Saturday with strong CAA. Not only are temperatures in question with this cold front but also how breezy the winds will be behind it. Have already blended towards the NBM25 for daytime highs Saturday and pumped up winds a couple of knots. Although, there will still a potential for increases in the winds. The NBM probs have about a 10 to 20 percent chance of Amarillo seeing a wind gust up to 45 mph Saturday behind the front.

This front on Saturday is expected to knock H85 temperatures down from around 3 degrees C in the morning to around 0 to -6 degrees C by sunset. This cold air mass is progged to stick around for a while with lows in the teens to lower 20s Sat, Sun, and Mon night. Likewise, afternoon highs on Sun and Mon are only expected to reach the lower 40s for the warmest spots in the Panhandles.

The OK Panhandle and far eastern TX Panhandle may see around a 10 percent chance for some light showers Friday night. However, it is nothing to write home about at this time. The time frame that will be watched closely for precipitation chances will be Sun night into Mon morning with a slight chance for some snow. There is still a lot of uncertainty with models and prospect for snow at this time. The best moisture may completely miss the area, or the FA may only see small amount around a trace to less than half an inch.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1114 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

VFR conditions expected to prevail with relatively light winds through 18Z. After 18Z winds may become breezy out of the southwest upwards of 15 kts gusting 25 kts through 00Z Thursday.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.