textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1029 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

-A cold front will bring a chance for thunderstorms tonight into Sunday where some storms could be strong.

-Very warm temperatures expected throughout most of the work week with some highs at or above 100 degrees Tuesday through Friday.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 1029 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

After an active Saturday afternoon with a few supercells in the eastern Panhandles, those said storms have quickly moved east into western Oklahoma with a rather quiet evening. But as we go into the overnight hours tonight, we will continue to watch for the chance of additional elevated thunderstorms. Latest hi-res guidance does shows MLCAPE values in the 500-1000 J/kg range around sunrise Sunday morning. With lift along the front itself, cannot completely rule out a strong to severe storm with hail and severe wind gusts being the main hazards to watch. Otherwise, scattered showers and low topped thunderstorms will be possible on Sunday, mainly for the central and eastern Panhandles where better LL moisture will return to these areas. Rain chances should quickly diminish as we approach late Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. High temperatures for Sunday in the wake of the cold front will only reach the 60s for the majority of the Panhandles, well below average for early May. A building H500 ridge over the Four Corners Region will bring southerly surface winds back to the Panhandles along with dry conditions for Monday. Those southerly winds will result in the return of warm temperatures with high temperatures ranging from the upper 70s to upper 80s.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1029 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

The heat will be on throughout the entire long term forecast period. Through mid week, the aforementioned H500 ride will slowly shift east and continue with well above average temperatures for the Panhandles. A few locations could even reach the triple digits for high temperatures Tuesday-Friday. Some of the latest global guidance is showing the main ridge break down with a result of some rain chances towards the end of the week. Not much accord between the latest guidance, but will watch trends closely. High temperatures will continue to remain above average through mid May.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 558 AM CDT Sun May 10 2026

MVFR to IFR ceilings are expected this morning but should dissipate by this evening. Cannot rule out a thunderstorm at Amarillo this afternoon, but confidence is too low at this time to include in the TAF. Otherwise, expect breezy northeasterly winds today, but winds should begin to weaken this afternoon from north to south.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.