textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1112 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

- A cold frontal passage this morning is expected to see breezy to gusty northerly winds across the Panhandles, which may lead to spotty elevated fire weather conditions.

- Colder temperatures are expected to follow Sunday and Monday with lows expected to be in the 20s to low 30s.

- Dry conditions will look to hold for another week with afternoon high slowly warming back into the 70s by the middle of next week.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 1112 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

A dry cold frontal passage is set to push through the Panhandles this morning as model agreement continues to see an upper-level trough dig south out of the Midwest. This frontal passage will be accompanied by a decent upper-level jet streak that will likely bleed down the surface with the latest CAMs suggesting winds capable of gusting upwards of 35 to 40 mph for the afternoon. These winds will unfortunately have the opportunity to meet up with the still dry conditions across the Panhandles and open the area to spotty elevated fire weather concerns. Areas across the Southern Panhandles will have to be monitor bit more heavily as latest reports continue to see very dry fuels in the area that will be more susceptible to fire starts. Regardless, these winds will also serve a secondary function of forcing in much colder air into the Panhandles. This cold pool will see temperatures Sunday morning plummet into the upper 20s to mid 30s with afternoon highs only in the 40s to 50s.

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1112 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

Model agreement continues to see strong northerly flow reside in the upper-levels over the Panhandles as trough continues to push on to the East Coast. This flow will air in keep a decent cold pool over the Panhandles for Monday morning with potential to see multiple locations in the low to mid 20s by the time the sunrises. Given this potential a Freeze Watch has been place over the southeastern counties of the Panhandles. Moving further into the week will see weather stay rather dry with most models seeing a ridge slowly build over the Panhandles and holding. Temperatures will look to warm in response to the ridge and its associated high pressure with afternoon highs slowly returning to the 70s for the mid-week.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1112 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

Present observations at the terminals have seen winds stay on lighter side with VFR conditions expected to hold through the next 24 hours. However, an incoming cold frontal passage is expected to see strong winds push into the upper- levels, which can lead to some low-level wind shear ahead of the front tonight and early Saturday morning. Once terminals are behind the front these winds should mix down better and create breezy to gusty northerly winds at the surface through the late afternoon.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Freeze Watch from Sunday evening through Monday morning for TXZ014-015-019-020.

OK...None.