textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1134 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

- Low/Medium chance 20-40% of showers and storms later this evening in the northwest Panhandles. Low chance 5-14% for severe storms with damaging winds being the primary concern.

- Medium chance ~40% for thunderstorms in the northeast Panhandles on Thursday.

- Hot temperatures to return this weekend with highs likely in the 100 to 108 range.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 1155 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

An elongated high pressure remains across the southern plains causing a generally northwest flow over the panhandles through Thursday. This setup will allow for small scale weather system to impact the panhandles. This introduces a low to medium chances for rain showers and thunderstorms for both days mainly during the late afternoon and evening. Today the thunderstorms favor impacting the northwestern panhandles while on Thursday the northeastern panhandles is more favored. As for the rest of the panhandles the chances for thunderstorms are just to low to be reflected within the current forecast. There is a low chance for strong to severe thunderstorms with the main threat being strong winds from dry microbursts. Brief heavy rainfall can occur with these storms, flooding chances are very low but not zero. The dominant high pressure system will continue to cause hot temperatures across the panhandles with highs in the upper 90s to low 100s. The hottest spots such a Palo Duro Canyon can see high temperatures reach 105 this afternoon leading to increased heat risk. As such a Heat Advisory is in effect for Palo Duro Canyon during the afternoon to early evening hours. Be sure to stay hydrated to stave off any heat illness. Since Thursday will see similar environmental conditions there is a high chance for similar levels of heat and associated impacts.

LONG TERM

(Friday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1134 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

There is a high chance for the high pressure system to remain the dominant weather feature across the southern plains for the rest of the week and into next week. Thursday and Friday the position of the high will most likely be to the west of the southern plans leading to a more northwesterly over the southern plains. This will allow for a low chance for rain showers and thunderstorms each day as small scale weather system can pass across the panhandles. Temperatures will most likely remain hot as the high pressure continues to heat the southern plains. For the weekend and into early next week the high pressure has higher chances than not to reposition to be more over the southern plains. This would prevent the passage of weather system keep the panhandles on the drier side. Still this would indicate that the heating would be higher during this time. So there can be an uptick in the temperatures for this weekend and early next week.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 637 AM CDT Wed Aug 5 2026

IFR ceilings are expected to clear out of KGUY within the next couple of hours this morning. From there, VFR conditions will continue until the evening. Chances for thunderstorms are still present for KDHT and KGUY tonight. PROB30s will continue for both sites starting at 01Z and ending at 06Z or sooner.

Rangel

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ317.

OK...None.