textproduct: Amarillo

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1256 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Low chances of fog are present for Wednesday morning for the Western and Central Panhandles.

- More chances of showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

- Cooler temperatures look to hold with overnight lows in the 30s to low 40s.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 1256 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

As of this afternoon, present observations stations around the Panhandles were still reporting northerly wind gusts upwards of 30 to 35 mph. However, these winds should begin to quiet down once we head into the late afternoon and evening time frame. From there present CAMs do see a brief period of high pressure fall over the Panhandles. While this would normally give us a dry and quiet night, the still lingering moisture in our area does open us for opportunities for patchy fog during our overnight period. At this time, these chances are mostly across our Western Panhandles with expectation to fade rather quickly Wednesday morning. Moving into Wednesday proper does have models seeing a new upper-level trough brush across the Northern Panhandles with chances of showers and thunderstorms following that night. Currently, best chances have continued to trend across the Oklahoma Panhandle and Northeastern Texas Panhandle at around 20 to 40 percent. Otherwise temperatures do look to stay rather cool for Wednesday with afternoon temperatures in the 60s and morning lows in the mid 30s to low 40s.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through next Monday) Issued at 1256 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

Present model agreement does continues to see the expected trough push across the Panhandles early Thursday morning with its full exit following later that evening. Showers are possible alongside this trough with present ensembles giving us around a 20 to 40 percent chance of rain showers in the Northeastern Panhandles. Moving into Friday, most models do see another ridge building in across the Southwestern United States, which will lead to northwesterly upper-level flow across the Panhandles. While this should leave us rather dry for Friday, there have been hints in the GFS and ECMWF of a short-wave trough pushing across this flow later this weekend. However, present agreement between the ensembles has not seen much potential out this wave, with current trends now dropping our chance of precipitation below 10 percent through the entire weekend. Regardless, temperature will stay cool under this flow with afternoon highs holding in the low to mid 60s. Meanwhile, overnight and morning lows will start get more of that late fall feel with locations seeing temperatures in the 30s.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1105 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. There is an outside chance of fog or low CIGS early Wednesday morning. However, chances are too low to mention in the TAF.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.


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