textproduct: Amarillo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 100 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026
-Scattered rain showers for the Panhandles today with light rainfall amounts possible.
-Frost conditions tonight for portions of the Panhandles with temperatures dropping into the mid 30s. Rainfall totals as of the latest 18Z obs
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 100 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026
Latest 18Z radar and obs continue to show widely scattered rain showers across a good portions of the combined Panhandles out ahead of a H500 low amplitude positive tilted trough. Rainfall totals reached a bit over a quarter of an inch for some areas in the western Panhandles, but not much more than that unfortunately expected for today. The more organized and strong trough perturbation further south over the Permian Basin has robbed the Panhandles of the deep moisture transport. Rain activity overall for the Panhandles will clear out later this evening. With skies clearing out, light winds, and residual low level moisture in the Panhandles, temperatures will drop as a sfc high pressure system shifts south into the Panhandles. With these components, frost conditions will be possible, mainly for the Oklahoma and portions of the Texas Panhandle early tomorrow morning.
A mid level ridge should move northeast into the Panhandles to start the weekend, bringing dry conditions. Temperatures will rebound back into the 70s for Saturday, near average for early May.
LONG TERM
(Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 100 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026
Dry conditions continue Sunday into early next week ahead of our next potential weather system with temperatures near to above average for early May. Latest 01/12Z model and numerical guidance are hinting at a cold front moving into the northern combined Panhandles where showers and thunderstorms could develop. Will watch trends closely throughout the next few days. High temperatures behind the front by mid week will drop back to near or even slightly below average.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Fri May 1 2026
Monitoring some MVFR cigs at KDHT to start the 18Z TAF period at VFR conditions at KAMA/KGUY. By 00Z, all sites should return to VFR levels and remain so throughout the remainder of the TAF period. Winds will be light out of the north veering to westerly at 5-10 kts.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for TXZ001>004-006- 007-011-012-016-017-317.
OK...Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM CDT Saturday for OKZ001>003.
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