textproduct: Amarillo
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 925 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
- Tornado Watch #700 in effect until 2 am for portions of the TX and OK Panhandles.
- Windy day across the region on Monday with gusts to 40 mph possible
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Tuesday night) Issued at 925 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
Severe weather possible over the next several hours across the region. A tornado watch is in effect until 2 am and currently there are thunderstorms increasing in intensity and coverage across northeast and east central NM. Concerns for QLCS tornadoes and damaging winds will exist with this line. Strong forcing with the lead shortwave trough in NM is promoting the development of these storms. The environment is one with sufficient cape and strong shear (current AMA VAD Wind showing over 400 m2/s2 of 0-3km SRH and 50kt of 0-6km shear) so tornadoes and damaging winds are possible. As this shortwave trough swings through the area the main upper trough will also swing through Monday afternoon. Surface moisture will diminish rapidly behind the line of storms tonight and then a cold front will move through the area late tomorrow afternoon or early evening ushering in some cooler air.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through next Sunday) Issued at 925 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
The next shortwave will move across the area by mid week but with moisture being scarce just a chance of precip across the northeast is possible as it skirts by. The next bigger trough will approach by the weekend and that is when the next best chance of precip will be.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1232 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
Thunderstorms are moving across the panhandle region tonight. Storms are expected across the AMA TAF site in the next couple of hours, have already passed by DHT and should be ending shortly in GUY. Cigs will improve overnight behind the storms as they move to the east with VFR conditions returning Monday. Winds increase Monday as the upper system moves across the area with gusts to 40-45 mph possible.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None. OK...None.
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