textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1122 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

- Freezing fog may develop across the southwestern Texas Panhandle this morning leading to reduced visibility.

- Temperatures near or above average are expected over the next week for the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 1122 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

Low clouds remain in place across the southwestern Texas Panhandle this evening. Additional low clouds/fog have developed across east central New Mexico and may move into the southwestern TX Panhandle tonight. Freezing fog will be possible tonight, mainly for Deaf Smith county. The freezing fog may lead to reduced visibility going into Sunday morning. If any fog does develop, it should dissipate a few hours beyond sunrise if not sooner.

Temperatures on Sunday should warm considerably compared to yesterday as high pressure aloft moves east towards the southern High Plains. H850 temperatures upwards of 10 to 13 Celsius may be in place by peak heating on Sunday and surface highs are forecast to be in the 60s area wide. Somewhat breezy winds out of the southwest may develop during the afternoon, but overall, Sunday should be quite a the nice start to February for the Panhandles. Similar conditions are forecast on Monday but with temperatures a few degrees higher as the ridge moves directly overhead. A trough digging south out of Alberta and the Northern Plains will usher in a cold front on Monday into Monday night. Breezy northerly winds are expected in its wake and the latest model guidance has it south of the Panhandles by midnight. Lows going into Tuesday morning may drop down to or slightly below freezing.

Muscha

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1122 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

A weak cold front should be well to the south of the CWA by sunrise on Tuesday morning. High temperatures on Tuesday afternoon are currently forecast to be around 10 degrees cooler than Monday due to the somewhat cooler air mass in place over the region. A positively tilted trough is forecast to dig south across the Plains on Tuesday into Wednesday. This feature will propel another cold front south over the Panhandles Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The potential for precipitation with this system is decreasing, but there still remains to be around a 10-15 percent chance for some wintry precip on Wednesday morning. The reinforcing shot of cooler air will cool off high temperatures a few more degrees on Wednesday with highs near average for early February.

The trough that brought the secondary push of cooler air will continue to dig south towards the Gulf of America as a strong ridge of high pressure builds across the western CONUS. The ridging pattern is currently forecast to remain over the southern High Plains through at least the end of the next work week. Highs above average and quiet weather can be expected given this pattern. There are hints at the ridge potentially breaking down next weekend, but just how and how quickly that may occur varies in the guidance at this time.

Muscha

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1122 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026

VFR conditions are forecast at the terminals. Low clouds are in the vicinity of KAMA right now, but not over the terminal. Cannot rule out that a drop down to MVFR or lower ceilings may occur overnight from low clouds and/or fog, but confidence is not high enough to mention at this time. If the low clouds or fog move in, they should clear out by or shortly after sunrise. Winds will initially be out of the west to northwest but should become more southwesterly during the daytime hours. Sustained winds around 10-15 kts should be expected with occasional higher gusts.

Muscha

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.