textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

-Heat will build back across the region this weekend with potential for locations, including Palo Duro Canyon, to observe high temperatures near 105 degrees through next week.

-Very low (20 percent or less) precipitation chances will linger for mainly the northwest combined Panhandles through the end of August.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

After our brief break in slightly cooler temperatures and some better rain, we return to our previous weather pattern. The 596dm upper ridge that edged out ever so slightly to provide some of that relief is now building back across the region again. While this will not completely turn off rain potential, it will limit it once again. The northwest combined Panhandles, in particular the western Oklahoma Panhandle, does have some potential for a few showers or storms to move into the region later this evening coming off the CO/NM mountains but this won't be widespread. Otherwise the main story will be the heat with a return to the 100s. It will be interesting to see how the recent rainfall will affect how fast we get back to 100, or if there will be some lingering feedback cycle that may delay it by a day or so. Palo Duro Canyon remains in a heat advisory today as temperatures could reach up to 105 degrees there. Will monitor the need for additional heat advisories through the week.

LONG TERM

(Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

The weather pattern doesn't change too much even though we will flip the calendar to September. The upper ridge will remain mostly parked across the area and the South in general. By mid to late week, there is some suggestion at least by deterministic models, that this ridge may shift once again to the east further and this could open the door to better monsoon potential moving into the west. However, there remains little on the horizon for good rain potential and any significant cool-down. The forecast remains rather dry and with highs of upper 90s to lower 100s for the next week. On any given day where the winds may increase, we could also see elevated fire weather concerns as well.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF cycle. Winds will be out of the south to south-southwest today around 15-20kts, gusting to 25kts at times. These gusts should diminish around 00-03Z, with sustained winds around 10-15kts overnight. WInds will be more out of the southwest to west tomorrow around 10kts.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ317.

OK...None.