textproduct: Amarillo

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1203 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

- Mostly dry and breezy conditions expected to prevail through Wednesday, with rain chances potentially returning Thursday night.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday night) Issued at 1203 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

Expect afternoon highs a little below average this afternoon and warming to near average for Monday afternoon. The warming temperatures will be thanks to a surface trough bringing some breezy south to south winds along with warming H85 temperatures. Positive H7 theta-e advection is expected to return today as well, at least enough to potentially bring some light cumulus clouds to the area this afternoon.

Tomorrow, temperatures continue to warm with afternoon highs expected around average, near 70 for Amarillo. Winds are expected to be more southerly to southeasterly but not be quite as breezy as today. But could still see some 15 to 20 mph winds in the eastern combined Panhandles. Monday night temperatures should not fall as much as tonight either. For tonight, expect temperatures dropping into the 40s, where as Monday night temperatures should stay in the lower 50s for most of the area.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 1203 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

A short-waved trough is expected to brush the area Monday night into Tuesday. However, not expecting any impacts other than delaying the warming of temperatures further, until Wed when upper level ridging is expected to build and bring temperatures to the upper 70s and potentially some lower 80s Wed into Thu. With this shortwave, PoPs remain less than 10 at the moment, but would not completely rule out some isolated showers early morning through the day. The next potential system to bring temperatures back down along with decent rain chances is not expected until Thursday night into Friday at this time. Temperatures may not cool quite as much, depending on how the next trough comes across and how much rain comes with it as well. For now, the NBM is giving temperatures for Friday and Saturday very similar to Thursday, but this may change and temperatures may come it a few degrees cooler.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1203 AM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026

VFR conditions expected to prevail with relatively light southerly winds. Winds are expected to pick up to around 15 kts gusting 25-30 kts after 16Z.

AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

TX...None. OK...None.