textproduct: Albany
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Based on observational trends, have lowered temps through daybreak this morning by a few/several degrees. Also lowered forecast min temps for Sun nt/Mon AM based on expectation for strong radiational cooling once again.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Slight moderation in temps for today, along with much lighter winds compared to recent days.
2) Despite a developing Nor'Easter, dry weather is expected across eastern New York and western New England through much of the upcoming week.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
After a cold start, plenty of sunshine should help temps rebound into the 50s for most areas this afternoon. Winds will be much lighter than Saturday, generally 5-15 mph.
Clear skies, light/calm winds and the dry air mass remaining in place should allow for good radiational cooling again tonight, with lows in the 20s to lower/mid 30s.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
Developing Nor'Easter off the mid Atlantic coast looks to meander offshore through midweek, as strengthening mid/upper level ridging anchors north and west of the system. For our region, this portends an extended period of dry weather and near seasonable temps through at least midweek. Far SE areas could see occasional clouds and a slight uptick in winds Tuesday- Wednesday around the NW periphery of the Nor'Easter, however little if any additional impacts are expected at this time assuming the system remains far enough offshore, which most of the physical model/AI ensembles currently suggest.
AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Through 12Z Monday, VFR conditions are expected. There is a slightly better chance for patchy ground fog to develop toward daybreak Monday, however overall extent remains uncertain. Best chances (20-30%) for brief fog development would be at KGFL, KALB and KPSF mainly after 08Z/Mon.
Winds will be light/variable to calm through mid morning, trending into the southwest to west at 4-8 KT later this morning into the afternoon, before becoming light/variable to calm once again around and after sunset.
Outlook...
Monday Night to Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None.
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