textproduct: Albany

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Increased coverage of isolated showers and thunderstorms for this afternoon with a passing upper level disturbance.

Heat Advisories have been issued for valley areas on Tuesday with portions of the mid-Hudson Valley and southern Litchfield County going through Wednesday.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Heat builds across the region early this week with Tuesday the hottest and most humid day of the week. This will bring moderate to major heat-related impacts.

2) Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible on some days this week but no widespread precipitation is expected.

KEY MESSAGE 2

While widespread precipitation is not expected this week, some isolated showers and thunderstorms could be around for some days. An upper level disturbance passes through the area today. While forecast soundings show a bit of a capping inversion, the upper disturbance could provide enough forcing to allow for some isolated showers and thunderstorms, mainly for areas along and north of I-90. Limited instability and shear will prevent any of these from being strong or severe.

The next chance for precipitation would be for far northern areas Tuesday night as a strong upper level shortwave passes near the International Border. While most of the convection looks to stay north of the area, a couple of showers and thunderstorms could extend south into northern areas. High DCAPE across the region could allow for some strong to locally damaging winds should any storms occur. As a result, northern areas remain in a Marginal Risk for severe weather by the Storm Prediction Center for Tuesday night.

The next best day for some isolated showers or rumbles of thunder will be for areas mainly north and east of Albany on Thursday as another upper level disturbance passes through. More widespread precipitation may hold off until next weekend at the earliest.

AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/

Through 06z/Tue...Much of the upcoming TAF period will feature VFR conditions at all sites. The exceptions would be for any possible fog at KGFL prior to daybreak where vsbys could briefly lower to IFR/MVFR or for any isolated showers/thunderstorms that could briefly reduce vsbys at KALB/KGFL/KPSF this afternoon should one pass over a terminal. A light south or calm wind overnight will become south to southwesterly around 10 kt on Monday. Wind remains south to southwesterly 4-8 kt Monday night.

Outlook...

Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA.

CLIMATE

Current Record High Temperatures

July 14 Albany: 99 (1995) Glens Falls: 98 (1995) Poughkeepsie: 99 (1954)

July 15 Albany: 96 (1997) Glens Falls: 94 (1983) Poughkeepsie: 98 (1995)

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Heat Advisory from 11 AM Tuesday to 7 PM EDT Wednesday for CTZ013. NY...Heat Advisory from 11 AM Tuesday to 7 PM EDT Wednesday for NYZ064>066. Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for NYZ038>043- 048>050-052-053-059>061-083-084. MA...None. VT...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for VTZ015.