textproduct: Albany

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes with this forecast update.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Continued high confidence in mainly dry conditions persisting through the weekend.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...

Satellite imagery is showing clear skies across eastern NY and western New England, with ridging from high pressure over eastern Canada extending across our region. Broad N'ly flow is keeping temperatures below average throughout this afternoon, which will continue into this evening. The aforementioned high will drift SE into New England overnight, with low temperatures dropping into the mid-20s to low 30s. This will be accompanied by an increase in clouds by early Wednesday morning associated with an approaching warm front from the south. Closer to average temperatures are expected on Wednesday, with highs staying in the 50s to near 60. SW'ly flow will dominate on Thursday as the high moves offshore New England, advecting in an anomalously warm air mass and bringing the return of above average temperatures (around 5-10 degrees above normal). A cold front with minimal moisture is expected to pass through the region from the NW Thursday night into Friday, with a few short-lived showers expected in the Adirondacks. Above average temperatures will persist through the day on Friday, with winds strengthening behind the front in the afternoon and evening. Another high pressure system will approach the region over the weekend, continuing the trend of above average temperatures and dry weather. The next chance for rain is looking to be early next week per latest guidance, but there is still a large model spread so confidence is low regarding timing and amounts.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/

As of 6:55 PM EDT...VFR flying conditions expected to prevail at all terminals through the entire TAF period. Initially mainly clear skies this evening give way to increasing high clouds, especially after midnight. This should help prevent any fog formation. SCT to BKN high clouds prevail through the day tomorrow, with a few mid- level clouds above 7000-8000 ft also expected, especially during the afternoon. N/NE winds to start the TAF period become light and variable by 03z lasting through mid to late morning tomorrow, then increase to around 5 kt from the S/SE through the end of the TAF period.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None.