textproduct: Albany

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes with this forecast update.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Continued high confidence in dry conditions persisting until the end of the week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...

A ~1035 mb area of high pressure positioned over the region early this morning will shift southward to the mid Atlantic coast by later today. Subsidence from the high will provide continued dry conditions, sunny skies, light winds and seasonable conditions today. Tonight will be seasonable chilly again with lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. On Mon, a cold front approaching from SE Canada will push southeast across the area during the afternoon to early evening hours. Just a few light showers may occur in the W. Adirondacks, otherwise the front will pass through dry. Temperatures should be able to warm into the mid 60s in many valley areas ahead of the front. Winds will shift to the northwest late in the day, with gusts of 15-20 mph developing in spots. A colder air mass will filter in Mon night through the middle of the week, with below normal temperatures expected. It will be dry though, as another area of high pressure builds in. As the high shifts south/east on Thu, a milder S/SW flow will results in warmer temperatures. Another moisture-starved cold front is expected to pass through on Fri, although temperatures don't look as cold behind this front.

AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Through 12z Monday...VFR conditions are mainly expected to prevail through the 24 hour TAF period with high pressure over the region and a continued dry air mass in place. However, similar to early yesterday morning, patchy fog may drift over KALB from the Mohawk River due to a N-NE flow above the surface. Will continue mention of TEMPO for LIFR conditions at KALB through 13z. Once any fog dissipates, VFR conditions will prevail. Fog may develop again tonight along the Mohawk/Hudson Rivers as a surface ridge extends north/east into our area. Low confidence whether fog will drift over any terminals though. Best chance appears to be at KALB/KGFL. Winds will initially be calm, becoming variable around 3-5 kt by this afternoon.

Outlook...

Monday through Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None.


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