textproduct: Albany

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Extensive cloud coverage continues tonight, limiting temperatures from falling below zero in many locations. With lack of winds contributing to feels-like temperatures falling well below zero and the actual air temperatures are five to ten degrees warmer than originally forecast this morning, we have ended the Cold Weather Advisory for all of eastern New York and western New England.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Bitterly cold temperatures continue this weekend, with near normal temperatures returning next week.

2) Breezy conditions are in store for Sunday as a coastal low moves just off the Atlantic Coast, with no significant snow impacts still on track for eastern New York and western New England.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1... Low temperatures for this morning continue to be monitored as extensive cloud coverage has hindered temperatures from dropping well below zero that was originally forecasted from the latest National Blend of Models. The only locations this morning are in the southern Adirondacks with lows just below zero. With less wind this morning, feels-like temperatures outside feel like the actual temperature. However, bitter cold temperatures continue this weekend with highs in the single digits to the teens today (cloud coverage will help keep temperatures from fluctuating too much) and for tomorrow in the teens and low 20s. With breezy winds tomorrow morning and afternoon, it'll feel even colder outside with feels-like temperatures back well below zero. Confidence is low to moderate at this time for exactly which locations reach Cold Weather Advisory criteria (between 10 and 20 below zero), but we'll continue to monitor the trends and if confidence increases, then cold headlines could be issued for locations that could see feels-like temperatures between 10 to 20 below zero. For Monday through Wednesday, high temperatures gradually return to near normal for highs in the 20s and low 30s across eastern New York and western New England.

KEY MESSAGE 2... The strong coastal low off the Atlantic is still on track to stay out to sea and mostly sunny to partly sunny skies are in store with breezy conditions as the winds aloft mix down to the surface during the day. Winds have high probabilities (greater than 75 percent) of ranging between 15 and 30 mph during Sunday afternoon. Wind gusts greater than 45 mph have lowered in the Litchfield Hills, Berkshires, and southern Vermont to less than 35 percent for Sunday afternoon. Nevertheless, it'll be a breezy and brisk Sunday in store across eastern New York and western New England with the cold conditions continuing.

AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Through 12Z/Sunday, primarily VFR conditions expected at GFL, ALB, and POU with cigs 3500-5000 FT continuing through the day as northerly flow maintains moisture just beneath the low-level inversion. MVFR cigs at PSF will likely continue before improving to VFR towards 21 UTC. Cirrus clouds associated with the approaching coastal storm spread towards POU/PSF shortly before OO UTC/Sun.

Northerly winds 5-12 KT continue through the TAF period with occasional gusts up to 15kts at POU by/shortly after 17 UTC due to the approaching coastal storm.

Outlook...

Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None.