textproduct: Albany

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Tuesday continues to be the day of the most widespread heat with a passing cold front bringing gradually improving conditions for the mid to late week period.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Heat builds across the region for the early to middle part of the upcoming week which will bring moderate to major heat- related impacts for Tuesday into Wednesday. Much of the upcoming week will feature dry weather as well.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...

An upper level high (strengthening to around 600 dm) will build across the north-central CONUS early this week. This heat dome will slowly build eastward across the region early this week (850 hPa temperatures rising to +20 to +22C) allowing for a gradual upward trend in temperatures. By Tuesday, most valley areas will rise into the 90s with mid to upper 80s across the higher elevations. With dewpoints only expected to rise into the 60s, this period of heat will not be as intense compared to what occurred at the beginning of July. Still, the combination of hot temperatures and moderate humidity levels will result in heat index values (feels-like temperatures) reaching the mid 90s to around 100 degrees for many valley areas on Tuesday where heat advisories will likely be needed. A west to southwesterly breeze will also be in place on Tuesday where occasional gusts 20 to 30 mph are expected during the afternoon hours. The NWS experimental HeatRisk continues to be in the moderate (level 2 of 4) to major (level 3 of 4) categories on Tuesday. Tuesday night will feature minimal relief with lows in the mid-60s to mid-70s.

Heights gradually lower Wednesday through the end of the week as a cold front drops southward across the area on Wednesday. This will result in a downward trend in temperatures and a drop in humidity levels. While temperatures should continue to run above normal, comfortable humidity levels will keep heat index values below advisory levels. Prior to the passage of the cold front, portions of the mid-Hudson Valley into southern Litchfield Connecticut may need a second day of heat advisories on Wednesday. Breezy conditions will continue each day from mid to late week as well.

In terms of precipitation, a general lack of forcing, limited low level moisture and being mainly capped for most days, mostly dry weather is expected over the next several days. Should any showers or thunderstorms develop on some days, overall coverage will be very isolated.

AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/

Through 12z/Mon...VFR conditions are expected for the upcoming TAF period with high pressure overhead. Winds will be variable at 5 kt or less.

Outlook...

Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

CLIMATE

Current Record High Temperatures

July 14 Albany: 99 (1995) Glens Falls: 98 (1995) Poughkeepsie: 99 (1954)

July 15 Albany: 96 (1997) Glens Falls: 94 (1983) Poughkeepsie: 98 (1995)

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None.