textproduct: Albany

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Heat Advisories have been cancelled for the Hudson River Valley, southern Vermont, southern Berkshires, Litchfield Hills, and southern Taconics as temperatures continue to decrease this evening.

The severe weather threat has ended for this evening, thus the Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been allowed to cancel for Greene, Columbia, Ulster, Dutchess, Berkshire, and Litchfield Counties.

As the two weather impacts above have ended, have adjusted the key messages below to highlight the next impactful weather across eastern New York and western New England from the afternoon forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Another round of rain and thunderstorms are expected Sunday into Sunday night.

2) Cooler and less humid conditions are expected early next week with chances for unsettled weather increase for the mid to late week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...

In the wake of today's cold front, dry and less humid conditions are expected to start the weekend. It will also be slightly cooler with highs in the upper 70s to upper 80s. The next upper disturbance and low pressure system looks to bring widespread showers and thunderstorms Sunday into Sunday night. There is some uncertainty whether or not there will be enough instability for severe thunderstorms. The latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center keeps most of the area outside of the severe weather threat. The timing of the front may also arrive more at night which would reduce the severe weather potential. Trends will continue to be monitored. It will be a little warmer on Sunday but with dewpoints only in the upper 50s to lower 60s, we should remain short of heat advisory criteria.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Behind the front Sunday, cooler and less humid conditions are expected for early next week with mostly dry weather. Unsettled weather may return by the mid to late week period with most long range models showing a rather potent upper level disturbance and low pressure system which could bring our next chance for more widespread showers and thunderstorms.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

VFR conditions continue through the TAF period. Patchy fog could occur at KGFL late tonight into tomorrow morning between 6z and 10z that has been mentioned with IFR visibility conditions in a TEMPO group for this timeframe. Otherwise, VFR conditions continue through the end of the TAF period. Light and variable winds continue until between 12z and 18z with west to northwest winds increasing between 5 and 10 knots with gusts up to 20 knots.

Outlook...

Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Likely SHRA...TSRA. Sunday Night: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Definite SHRA...TSRA. Monday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None.