textproduct: Albany

WHAT HAS CHANGED

No significant changes for this forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Additional light rain and snow showers continue this weekend before high pressure brings dry weather and above normal temperatures next week.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...

Satellite imagery shows the surface low continuing to slowly move eastward offshore the Mid Atlantic. Associated lingering rain and snow showers are rapidly tapering off, with a few flurries or sprinkles lingering primarily south of I-90 early this afternoon. Winter Weather Advisories have been allowed to expire. Please refer to Public Information Statements for snowfall totals from this event.

An upper level trough will remain overhead through this weekend, continuing the trend of below normal temperatures. High temperatures will remain in the 30s and 40s with overnight lows dropping into the 20s and 30s. Cyclonic flow and enduring low level moisture will bring isolated to scattered rain/snow showers on Saturday afternoon and evening, primarily for areas in the western Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley, southern Greens, and eastern Catskills due to upsloping. Any snow accumulations will be light and primarily be confined to higher elevations. The coverage of showers will decrease going into Sunday morning, with mostly dry conditions expected by Sunday afternoon across eastern New York and western New England.

The aforementioned trough will begin to depart from the region by Sunday evening, with a large area of high pressure moving in from the west behind it. This will allow for dry weather throughout next week, with the gradual introduction of above normal temperatures by mid-week, continuing through the end of the week.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

Through 18z Saturday...As of 2 PM EST, rain and snow showers have generally come to an end but with our coastal low lingering off shore, low- level moisture remains sufficient enough to maintain MVFR ceilings at ALB, PSF and POU. GFL remains VFR as it is far enough north with northerly winds advecting in a drier air mass. Latest forecast soundings show MVFR cigs at ALB and POU improving to VFR by around 00 - 02 UTC as northerly winds advect the drier air mass down the Hudson Valley. Upsloping at PSF looks to maintain MVFR cigs through much of the remaining TAF period but included a brief TEMPO for VFR cigs this evening. Additional rain showers should return tomorrow afternoon into the evening as another upper level disturbance pushes into the region but this will be addressed in the next TAF period.

Northwest winds sustained 5-10kts through Midnight before gradually weakening after Midnight but still remain around 5kts. Northwest winds strengthen by 15 UTC through the end of the TAF period ahead of our next disturbance becoming sustained 5-8kts with gusts up to 15kts.

Outlook...

Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA. Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None.