textproduct: Albany

WHAT HAS CHANGED

Nothing has changed from the previous forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) Widespread Frost/Freeze conditions for locations north of Albany tonight into tomorrow morning.

2) Widespread rain showers Saturday night into Sunday across eastern New York and western New England, with a very low risk for flooding impacts.

DISCUSSION

KEY MESSAGE 1...

Temperatures fall tonight with clear skies as a cold air mass is overhead. Across the southwestern Adirondacks, the growing season begins today where we will be issuing Frost/Freeze headlines for the 2026 season. With the clear skies overhead and calm winds in store, widespread frost can develop across the southwestern Adirondacks, Mohawk Valley, Lake George-Saratoga region, Schoharie Valley, Helderbergs, northern Taconics, and southern Vermont. Frost advisories and freeze warnings continue for tonight into tomorrow morning across these locations. Overnight temperatures continue to range between the upper 20s in the highest terrain to low 30s. The exception is the Greater Capital District, Mid-Hudson Valley, southeastern Catskills, and Litchfield Hills where overnight low temperatures range in the mid-30s to lower 40s.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Ensemble and high resolution forecast models are becoming better in agreement for the start timing for this weekend of widespread rain showers to be in the late afternoon for locations south and west of Albany and for the evening hours Saturday for locations north and east. As a low pressure system moves into the Northeast, 24-hour rainfall amounts continue to range to between 0.5 inches to 1.5 inches across eastern New York and western New England ending Sunday night. The higher rainfall totals continue to be across the Mohawk Valley, eastern Catskills, Mid-Hudson Valley, and the Litchfield Hills where totals continue to range between 1 to 1.5 inches. A good soaking rainfall, but a dreary Sunday and beginning to Memorial Day is in store. With a steady light to periodically moderate rainfall, any flooding concerns are very low at this forecast time. While the morning hours on Memorial Day have low to medium chances (less than 50%) for scattered rain showers, as the low pressure system continues to head eastward, conditions become drier for the afternoon into the early evening hours.

AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

Through 18Z Friday... VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the entire TAF period across all terminals. SCT-BKN high clouds will gradually scatter into this evening and overnight period, with some possible clearing at KPOU overnight. Winds will generally remain out of the N/NE starting off the TAF period, except for KPSF with winds out of the N/NW, and slightly weaken after sunset tonight at all terminals. Winds will begin to veer more NE/E after sunrise tomorrow, with a few fair weather cumulus possible at KALB and KPOU. Otherwise, high clouds and dry conditions will dominate through the end of the TAF period.

Outlook...

Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Likely SHRA. Saturday Night: High Operational Impact. Definite SHRA. Sunday: High Operational Impact. Definite SHRA. Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Memorial Day: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...None. NY...Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Friday for NYZ032-033-042. Frost Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Friday for NYZ038>041-043-047-048-051-054-082>084. MA...None. VT...Frost Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Friday for VTZ013>015.