textproduct: Albany

WHAT HAS CHANGED

The Heat Advisory for tomorrow (Tuesday) has been expanded to now include Schoharie, western Albany, Eastern Rensselaer, western Greene, western Ulster, and western Windham counties where heat index values will reach up to 101 degrees Fahrenheit. All else remains aligned with the previous forecast.

KEY MESSAGES

1) The combination of high heat and humidity will make for dangerous heat indices across portions of eastern New York and western New England on Tuesday and Wednesday.

2) There is potential for isolated showers and non-severe thunderstorms several days this week, but no appreciable rain is anticipated until at least this weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 2

As a weak, upper-level shortwave passes overhead this afternoon into this evening, isolated showers of earlier this morning and this afternoon will continue particularly for portions of the Mid-Hudson Valley and southwest New England. Tomorrow, while we will be well under the influence of the upper ridge which should inhibit any showers or thunderstorms, the incoming cold front beneath another stronger upper-level shortwave should promote enough forcing to allow isolated showers and potentially a non- severe thunderstorm to develop late in the evening in the Southern Adirondacks. The rest of the week should, too, remain mostly dry as the ridge begins to breakdown, but by this weekend, more widespread chances for rain showers return as a low pressure system approaches from the Great Lakes. This system could potentially bring more appreciable rain which will be greatly needed by that point.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

Through 00Z/Wednesday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail across all sites through most of the TAF period, with just some patchy mid level clouds expected through 03Z/Tue. A brief shower or sprinkle could occur early this evening at KPOU and KPSF, but no impacts to Vsbys are expected.

South to southwest winds will decrease to less than 5 KT overnight, then increase from the southwest to west reaching 8-15 KT by late Tuesday morning into the afternoon, with some gusts up to 25-30 KT possible Tuesday afternoon. Low level wind shear is expected overnight as winds around 2000 FT AGL increase from the west at 30-35 KT, while surface winds remain from the south to southwest at less than 5 KT.

Outlook...

Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA.

CLIMATE

Current Record High Temperatures

July 14 Albany: 99 (1995) Glens Falls: 98 (1995) Poughkeepsie: 99 (1954)

July 15 Albany: 96 (1997) Glens Falls: 94 (1983) Poughkeepsie: 98 (1995)

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

CT...Heat Advisory from 11 AM Tuesday to 7 PM EDT Wednesday for CTZ013. NY...Heat Advisory from 11 AM Tuesday to 7 PM EDT Wednesday for NYZ064>066. Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for NYZ038>043- 047>054-058>061-063-083-084. MA...None. VT...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for VTZ014-015.