textproduct: Juneau
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
UPDATE
Winds have slackened considerably and the impressive amount of thunderstorms have all but ceased for the night, though a rare bolt of lightning may be visible in the night with decent clearing and visibility.
AVIATION
The center of this weekend's strong low has moved onshore in south AK, and has begun to weaken. The further distance and weakening pressure gradient have slackened winds as a whole for the region, a bit ahead of the previous forecast. PAGY/PAHN are gusting just above 20kt. The impactful precipitation has all but moved on from this system. A look at satellite reveals isolated showers peppering the Gulf and coastal areas, while the more widespread consistent rain from earlier has moved further inland. These showers may have some blustery winds around them, and temporary vsby drops are possible within the core of them, but without the diurnal heating support of this afternoon, the cores are struggling to achieve the updraft and heights to allow for lightning formation. Come daytime Monday, there may be a resurgence of thunderstorms but not nearly to the frequency and strength of earlier Sunday afternoon.
All that said, with low cloud coverage and a modestly convective environment, cigs have risen above 3kft for a majority of the region, leading to MVFR/VFR flight conditions tonight. With the greatly diminished wind environment, so too has gone the concern for wind shear. PIREPS regarding turbulence have all but ceased, with a few noting a smooth approach in descent.
AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...Wind Advisory until 4 AM AKDT Monday for AKZ318-319. Flood Watch until 4 AM AKDT Monday for AKZ318-319. MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ012. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011-013-021-022-031>034-053-641>644- 651-652-661>664-671-672.
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