textproduct: Juneau
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
LONG TERM
/ Saturday through Tuesday / Saturday and Sunday are the break from active weather days. Little or weather outside of a northerly outflow pattern the is impacting primarily the northern inner channels.
Late Sunday to Monday we will see a frontal band associated with a Bering Sea Parent low ( that forms a gulf center to anchor off of ) that will move across the gulf and to the panhandle. When the front moves inland, expect that it will start as snow, and should start to mix with or change to rain for the southern portion of the panhandle. A 6 to 12 hour period of Heavy snow is expected as the front moves into the outer panhandle and to the inner channels. Expect the moderate to heavy snow there later Monday to early Tuesday.
AVIATION
Mostly VFR across the region Thursday afternoon, with the primary concern for Yakutat, where bands of heavy snow are churning just to the west of the airfield. Expecting this band to shift east overnight, bringing IFR to PAYA. For the Panhandle, main threat tonight is FZFG in the central and southern Panhandle, with PAPG, PAKW, and PAKT with the most confidence. If we don't see FZFG, a shallow marine layer is expected, mainly for the southern areas near PAKT and PAKW. Light snow will spread from the north to the south Friday into Saturday; however, dominant categories should remain within MVFR thresholds as snow looks light and CIGS likely to remain near 2000ft.
MARINE
Inside Waters(Inner Channels):
Gale force winds are expected to continue for Lynn Canal and Taku Inlet, with strong breezes to near gales out of other interior passes down to the Stikine River basin. Expecting to see these conditions remain mostly stagnant through the early weekend. With the strong, consistent winds in Lynn Canal and Stephens Passage, expecting to see fully developed seas up to 9-10 ft in these channels. Additionally, gale force winds along with temperatures around 10 degrees in northern Lynn has prompted heavy freezing spray warnings.
Outside Waters(Eastern Gulf of Alaska/Outer Coast): Somewhat duel directions with the low pressure moving southward, with areas near the coastline expected to experience mostly NEerly winds with near gale to gale force winds out of interior passes, to westerly winds in the outer gulf waters. Expecting to see the area of NEerly winds expand out slowly through early this weekend.
AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM AKST this evening for AKZ317. Cold Weather Advisory until 6 AM AKST Saturday for AKZ318. Strong Wind from 9 PM AKST this evening through late tonight for AKZ318. MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ012-013. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011-021-022-031-032-643-644-651-663- 664-671.
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