textproduct: Juneau

AVIATION

Isolated showers and lowered ceilings continue across the panhandle this afternoon as an area of high pressure moves out of the N Pacific with on-shore flow across the panhandle. Flight conditions remain predominately MVFR to low-end VFR with CIGs AoB 5000ft with isolated areas down to LIFR/IFR near Yakutat under persistent SW-ly on-shore winds. Not anticipating long lasting improvement this afternoon, with continued light winds and saturated low levels, expecting return of lowered ceilings into the evening and overnight period with CIGS Aob 2500ft. Broken to overcast skies will continue into Wednesday, but thinking flight conditions will slowly improve after 16z Wednesday, similar to today, with higher confidence of VFR flight conditions returning into Wednesday afternoon for the S Panhandle terminals.

Strongest winds through the evening near Skagway, Haines, and Ketchikan, around 10 to 15 kts with gusts up to 25kts. Otherwise expecting light winds to redevelop overnight to around 10kts or less widespread across the area, increasing once more into Wednesday afternoon sustained around 10 to 15 kts with afternoon gusts up to 25kts. No LLWS concerns through the period.

PREV DISCUSSION......ISSUED AT 650 AM AKDT Tue Jun 16 2026

SYNOPSIS...

Key Messages: - Rain shower chances continue to diminish through today as the more widespread precipitation continues to leave the panhandle & breaks in the clouds develop today.

- General drying clearing trend from NW to SE this week. Isolated showers linger, but generally widespread warmer weather and drier conditions likely later in the week with even warmer temperatures for the weekend.

SHORT TERM.../Through Thursday night/... Benign weather is in store for the period. A flattened ridge of high pressure is continuing to build-in. This will bring decreasing rain chances & decreasing clouds, but the overall onshore-flow will keep isolated to scattered rain showers & mostly cloudy skies & the potential low marine layer stratus clouds around for the Outer Coast through early week. As we push through mid-week, it will dry & warm more, & clouds will further decrease as the aforementioned ridge of high pressure amplifies a bit & warmer air advects toward & over the region. Then, a weak trough of low pressure moves in over the top of the ridge, bringing increased cloudiness & isolated to scattered light rain showers for Thursday through Thursday night for the Panhandle, which will have little- impact for the region. SFC winds will remain on the lighter side through the period with some afternoon sea breezes possible from daytime heating.

LONG TERM.../Thursday through Sunday/... Early Thursday morning, remnants of a low will approach from the western Gulf and bring chances for showers. Right now, the chances are fairly low as uncertainty remains if the building ridge over the Gulf will suppress it and keep the weak system offshore. A system to the N/NE in Canada will also be clipping the northern panhandle, bringing chances for showers to areas along the coastal mountains, depending largely on if enough moisture remains to impact these areas. At the least it will keep some cloud cover across the northern panhandle Thursday into Friday. With the ridge in place bringing a trend of clearing skies into late week, some periods of fog cannot be ruled out. As the ridge sets up offshore Thursday and Friday, a marine layer is looking to set up just offshore of Baranof down the coastline to parts of PoW along the west coast, while skies begin clearing further inland over the southern panhandle sooner than the rest of the panhandle from the offshore NW-ly flow.

High temperatures on Saturday and Sunday look to be in the low- to- mid 70s with Fairly light winds are expected this weekend, but some stronger winds (15-20 kts) in the eastern Gulf are expected as the high pressure building offshore will lead to a tighter pressure gradient, particularly along the coast of PoW down to near Haida Gwaii. Some land areas may see sea breezes set up Friday and this weekend as skies begin to clear and temperatures begin to increase. Monday, a low pressure system looks to form in the Gulf. This will decrease temperatures and increase rain chances into next Tuesday and beyond.

MARINE... Outside: Winds in the gulf this morning have a strong westerly component, shifting from SW to NW as you move northward ranging from around 12-17kts. Through the day, winds in the outer gulf are expected to stay in this range of about 10-15kts WSW to WNW. Winds in the inner waters are expected to calm to 5-10kt through the day and be mainly west in direction. Wave heights are expected to be between 4-6ft today and diminish even further Wednesday as the calm pattern sets in across the panhandle. Wednesday brings generally calmer winds as well, expected to be below 12kts and be more NW in direction. Thursday looks to bring some funneling action around prominent capes along the coast, bumping winds as high as 20kts in these areas.

Inside: The pressure gradient sets up across the panhandle to favor southerly and easterly winds through the day. Things are already heating up in Lynn Canal this morning with Rocky Island blowing 16kts. Winds around Point Couverden are expected to remain elevated through the day as well as the increase of winds in northern Lynn Canal, 15-20kts SE, as the pressure gradient tightens. Stephens Passage and Clarence Strait could also experience elevated winds, 15-20kt SE with the orientation of the pressure gradient. Wednesday looks to bring lighter and variable winds across the panhandle followed by the possibility for elevated winds in Lynn Canal again for Thursday, 15-20kts.

AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

PUBLIC...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012.