textproduct: Juneau

AVIATION

/06z Monday/ Models are struggling with tracking frontal bands moving northward across the area. Ceilings across the north are higher than previously thought due to easterly offshore/downslope component of the wind and thus northern TAF sites are seeing light precip or very little. Think this trend will continue for places like PAYA, PAGY, and PAHN until a southerly wind shift Monday afternoon behind a frontal band currently over the south. Gusty winds and some LLWS are occuring along this frontal band over the southern panhandle at 6z. Light to moderate rain is also bringing conditions down to MVFR. Outside of this frontal band, when there are breaks, conditions periodically lower with areas of IFR fog. These variable conditions between frontal bands will continue.

MARINE

There will be a series of weather systems that will move over the area through mid week(Wednesday). Currently there is generally lighter winds but there is some winds from the east near Cross Sound and then some enhanced northerly winds near small craft levels around southern Lynn near Rocky Island. There will be some increase in the winds from the south tonight as the a weakening trough moves over the inner channels and increase the southerly gradient. The strongest winds for tonight will be over the far southern areas with small craft winds developing. Monday will be a lull in the winds as the next system from the south approaches and moves out of the north Pacific. The associated front will begin to increase the winds to near gale over the southern areas Monday night and spread northward through Tuesday. The strongest winds on Tuesday will be out of the E/W oriented channels with lighter winds in N/S but as the front moves through late Tuesday afternoon into the evening hours southerly winds will increase over the inner channels to be near small craft. Over the coastal waters winds will increase to solid gale force winds with seas building to range from 20 to 25ft by Tuesday afternoon.

Looking into mid week, there is another strong system that will bring another round of solid gales and seas near 20 feet over the outside waters. Over the northern inner channels there will be another lull in the winds between systems as the Wednesday front moves over the southern areas to increase winds to gale force winds through Tuesday night and spread northward through Wednesday.

The rest of the week will remain on the active side with other fronts moves through the region. ABJ

AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

PUBLIC...None. MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ641-661. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ013-022-036-053-642>644-651-652- 662>664-671-672.