textproduct: Fairbanks

KEY MESSAGES

Central and Eastern Interior...

- Mostly dry conditions will continue through Wednesday in the Interior and Alaska Range outside of very isolated snow showers, with any accumulations remaining light overall.

- A front moving northwest later Thursday into Friday will support another round of widespread light snow and breezy E/NE winds. Winds will peak Thursday and Thursday night with gusts up to around 15 to 30 mph before winds subside on Friday.

- Snowfall amounts Thursday into Friday are expected to be around a T-1" in the Tanana Valley and 1-3" north of the Tanana Valley to the Central/Eastern Brooks Range. - Temperatures will see a cooling trend into the weekend, with highs in the 20s/30s to low 40s and lows in the teens and 20s.

West Coast and Western Interior...

- Scattered rain/snow showers will continue across Western Alaska through Wednesday, as breezy winds persist across the Northwest Arctic Coast southwest through the Bering Strait to St. Lawrence Island with gusts up to 45 mph.

- Conditions will trend dry late Wednesday into Thursday for most, as a front lifts northwest across the Lower Yukon Valley and Yukon Delta region with another round of rain/snow.

- Winds will ramp up across Western Alaska late Wednesday into Thursday, with gusts peaking around 30 to 40 mph.

- Temperatures will see a cooling trend into the weekend, with highs in the 30s to low 40s and lows in the teens and 20s with locally colder temperatures in the single digits in the Kobuk Valley region.

North Slope and Brooks Range...

- Light snow showers will continue across the Eastern Brooks Range and North Slope this evening, before dissipating tonight into Wednesday as predominantly dry conditions prevail.

- Gusty winds will persist in Point Hope through the week with gusts up to 40 mph from the northeast. Northeast winds increase on Friday for the Eastern Arctic Coast with gusts to 35 mph.

- Light snow chances will build in out of the southeast on Friday as an unsettled weather pattern builds in, keeping snow chances around into early next week.

- Temperatures will see a cooling trend into the weekend, with highs dropping to the teens and 20s with overnight lows in the single digits and teens. Coldest locations may drop below zero.

SYNOPSIS

An overall fairly quiet weather pattern will continue across Northern Alaska through midweek, with isolated to scattered rain/snow showers as temperatures hold steady or see a cooling trend. Winds will remain elevated across the Northwest Arctic Coast southwest through the Bering Strait to St. Lawrence Island, with gusts up to 45 mph through Wednesday. A front lifting northwest over the Interior Thursday into Friday will support more widespread light snow chances and uptick in northeast winds regionwide. Snow showers will continue into the weekend as temperatures trend colder, with a quiet weather pattern expected to persist into early next week.

SHORT TERM

Today through Thursday Night. Afternoon satellite imagery shows a low in the Bering Sea, a low north of the Northwest Territories in the Beaufort Sea, and a strengthening low lifting northeast towards Kodiak and the Alaska Peninsula. These first two lows and associated shortwaves will be the main driver of our rain/snow chances through Wednesday, with the main impacts in the short term forecast timeframe coming from that low moving towards Southcentral. This system will eject a front lifting northwest Thursday into Friday across the Interior with widespread light snow, in addition to supporting an uptick in northeast winds. Wind gusts will peak for most on Thursday, with gusts up to 30 to 40 mph possible as strongest winds remain focused along the West Coast and across higher elevations of the Interior. Our latest snowfall forecast remains on track with previous guidance, with around a T-3" of snow expected across the Central/Eastern Interior with highest amounts north of the Tanana Valley to the Central/Eastern Brooks Range. Temperatures will hold steady or see a cooling trend to finish the week, with coldest conditions expected across the North Slope.

LONG TERM

Friday through next Tuesday. This weekend, weather will settle as remnants of a trough from the Gulf weaken and exit Alaska to the northeast. At the same time a weak ridge from the southwest and trough from the northwest compete for influence over the state. As a result, we should see mostly dry conditions south of the Brooks Range by Sunday while chances for light snow stay along the North Slope.

On Monday, a trough in the Bering pulls another piece of energy in the Pacific toward Southwest Alaska. Models are in better agreement today with keeping the track of this Pacific trough farther south, limiting the amount of moisture/precipitation brought into the Western half of Alaska. Current impacts through Tuesday are expected to be light snow in the southwest Alaska with potential for some mixed precipitation and moderate easterly winds along the Yukon Delta Coast on Monday, which turn northerly through Tuesday.

Coastal Hazard Potential...None.

AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AK...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM AKDT Wednesday for PKZ807. Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 7 AM AKDT Wednesday for PKZ807. Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM to 6 PM AKDT Wednesday for PKZ807-856. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM AKDT this afternoon for PKZ810. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM AKDT Wednesday for PKZ811. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM AKDT Wednesday for PKZ816-817- 851-854. Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM AKDT Wednesday for PKZ856. Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 AM AKDT Wednesday for PKZ857.