textproduct: Fairbanks

KEY MESSAGES

Central and Eastern Interior... - Fairly quiet with flurries and snow showers linger around the Interior this week with accumulations of 1 inch or less. The only exception is the southern Brooks Range Wednesday night through Friday midday with light snow bringing 1 to 3 inches.

- AK Range winds gust 40-50 mph today, but the wind will be subsiding this evening. Similarly, wind in the Interior will peak around 30 mph this afternoon, weakening tonight.

- Temperatures are warmest today but drop tomorrow and Thursday, but remain near to above normal with highs in the upper teens to low 20s and lows in the single digits above and below zero. Coldest in the Upper Tanana Valley and Yukon Flats.

West Coast and Western Interior... - Other than some light snow around, the weather is pretty quiet with light wind. 1 to 3 inches of snow expected this evening through Wednesday in the Interior and Seward Peninsula. 1 inch or less elsewhere across Western Alaska

- Temperatures will be gradually increasing after today with near to slightly above normal temps returning by Thursday.

- No significant weather expected for the foreseeable future.

North Slope and Brooks Range... - Blizzard conditions likely on the Beaufort Sea Coast into tonight. Periods of blizzard conditions likely tonight into tomorrow along the Chukchi Sea Coast.

- Wind gusts between 35 and 55 mph expected, strongest between Deadhorse and Kaktovik through the week.

- With fresh snow on the ground and areas of light falling snow expected this week, blowing snow likely continues through at least Friday and perhaps into the weekend.

- Temperatures remain near to slightly above normal this week.

SYNOPSIS

Fairly quiet weather with areas of light snow and snow showers in the Interior and along the West Coast through the week. A couple of inches of snow are possible in the terrain of the Western Interior and Seward Peninsula, otherwise most spots receive less than an inch through Friday. The only real impactful weather is on the Arctic Coast where blowing snow and blizzard conditions likely persist through the week as winds remain strong and light snow sticks around.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/

A weak upper low sits over the Eastern Bering at around 513 decameters while there is ridging well to the east over Canada and the Western CONUS. This was just enough to give fairly weak AK Range gap winds and chinook flow to the Interior keeping it warm today. Down in the Gulf, we will continue to see troughing with persistent lows moving through. Adversely, the Arctic will keep a strong ridge for the foreseeable future, this is prolonging strong wind on the Arctic Coast.

Overall, there isn't too much in the way of impactful weather. The highest impact is the blowing snow on the North Slope. It's the first official blizzard of the season for portions of the coast. Today should be the worst conditions east of Utqiagvik as the front providing light snow moves west. Tonight and tomorrow, light snow and gusty wind on the Chukchi Sea Coast will bring visibility down below 1 mile. Moving through the week, periods of light snow and persistent gusty wind will likely keep visibility down at times and this may continue into the weekend.

South of the Brooks Range, there will be areas of light snow with light accumulations less than 1 inch in the Central and Eastern Interior through Friday. A period of light snow is expected in the Western Interior this evening through Wednesday as a remnant low from the Gulf forces its energy northwest of the AK Range. Expect 1 to 3 inches for most of the Interior and Seward Peninsula. Most other locations see less than 1 inch. Persistent south to southeast flow will promote weak AK Range Gap winds at times, especially Wednesday into Thursday. Otherwise, along with the southeast flow will be weak shortwaves moving through from southeast to Northwest. This promotes light snow and snow showers across the Central and Eastern Interior. The highest chances for light snow begins Wednesday afternoon and overnight in the Eastern Interior and Brooks Range. Light snow then persists in the southern Brooks Range (Coldfoot, Wiseman and Arctic Village) through midday Friday. Accumulations will be around 1 inch or less in the Eastern Interior and 1 to 3 in the Brooks Range.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/

The pattern doesn't change much this weekend into next week. Models were trying to decay the ridge in the Arctic next week but that is unlikely given the strength of it and the ongoing pattern. The storm track likely remains south of our area, keeping our pattern very similar for at least the next week. Expect periods of light snow, potentially more widespread in the Interior next week depending on the exact orientation of the southeasterly flow. Gusty winds persist on the Arctic Coast thanks to the high in the Arctic. This results in blowing snow continuing into next week, especially where there is falling light snow. Temperatures across Northern Alaska remain near to above normal for the foreseeable future.

Coastal Hazard Potential... No concerns for the foreseeable future.

AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

AK...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM AKST Wednesday for AKZ801>803. Blizzard Warning until 6 AM AKST Wednesday for AKZ804-805. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until midnight AKST tonight for PKZ810- 856. Gale Warning until 6 AM AKST Wednesday for PKZ811. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM AKST Wednesday for PKZ811-812- 814-815-857>860. Brisk Wind Advisory until 9 PM AKST this evening for PKZ811. Brisk Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to 3 PM AKST Wednesday for PKZ811. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning until 6 AM AKST Wednesday for PKZ811. Brisk Wind Advisory until 6 PM AKST Wednesday for PKZ812>815- 859>861. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning until 6 PM AKST Wednesday for PKZ812-815. Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM AKST this evening for PKZ813. Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM AKST Wednesday for PKZ813. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning until 6 PM AKST Wednesday for PKZ813-814-858>860. Gale Warning from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM AKST Wednesday for PKZ813. Gale Warning until 6 PM AKST Wednesday for PKZ814-860. Gale Warning until 6 PM AKST this evening for PKZ815. Gale Warning from 6 AM to 6 PM AKST Wednesday for PKZ815. Gale Warning from 9 PM this evening to 6 AM AKST Wednesday for PKZ857. Gale Warning from 9 PM this evening to 3 AM AKST Wednesday for PKZ858. Gale Warning from 3 PM to 6 PM AKST Wednesday for PKZ858. Gale Warning from 9 PM this evening to 3 PM AKST Wednesday for PKZ859.