textproduct: Anchorage

SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)

Overall, the forecast remains on track. An upper level low over the Bering Sea extends its trough into the Gulf of Alaska, moving it northwards over Southcentral Alaska today. Cooler air follows the trough, keeping temperatures today and Monday near normal, in the low to mid 60's for Anchorage, western Kenai Peninsula, MatSu Valley and the Copper River Basin. Coastal areas along the north Gulf coast, Prince William Sound, and Kodiak Island will see temperatures in the mid to upper 50's. Widespread light rain showers will persist through Monday across the Southcentral Mainland. There may be a small chance (10-15%) of lightning strikes along portions of the Susitna Valley along the Western Alaska Range Monday afternoon as instability tries to build back in aloft as the Bering Sea low moves over the Y-K Delta. Widespread light rain showers will persist through into Tuesday across the Southcentral Mainland as the low and associated trough(s) move east across the interior Tuesday. There is some disagreement amongst models regarding the upper-level low track and speed beyond Tuesday.

KM

AVIATION

PANC...There is a chance (30%) for rain showers to drift over the terminal through this morning. VFR conditions with brief dips into MVFR conditions possible through the morning hours. Light winds expected with brief gusts up to 15 to 20 kts this evening.