textproduct: Anchorage

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

AVIATION

PANC...Expect gusts around 25 kts through this evening before winds turn to the north around midnight tonight, lasting through early Sunday morning. However, as a front lifts over the area, winds aloft will be out of the southeast. Therefore, expect a period of low-level windshear while surface winds remain out of the north. Surface winds turn southeasterly by late morning Sunday to early afternoon, gusting as high as 40 to 50 mph at times. Expect a few showers over the terminal between 12z to 18z Sunday before southeasterly flow strengthens, limiting precipitation from crossing the mountains. Southeast winds slowly diminish Sunday evening. Ceilings may approach the 5000 foot level between 12Z and 18Z.

FIRE WEATHER

For Southwest Alaska:

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR HOT DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS FOR KUSKOKWIM VALLEY EAST AND LIME VILLAGE...

Downslope compressional warming/drying easterly winds continue to gradually increase across the eastern Kuskokwim Valley and Lime Village area this afternoon as temperatures warm into the mid 70s and relative humidity values dip into the 20-30% range. Henceforth, Red Flag Warnings remain in effect for these areas until 10PM AKDT this evening. A North Pacific low has brought a front inland across the Alaska Peninsula with rainfall this afternoon, and mostly high clouds can be seen on satellite currently streaming over the eastern Kuskokwim Valley. A secondary area of low pressure is poised to move inland across the area from the Gulf, further enhancing cloud cover, which will allow for relative humidity values to recover tonight and Sunday morning. Thus, there is high confidence that fire weather concerns will be alleviated starting late tonight and into Sunday. Rain showers are on track to move across the eastern Kuskokwim Valley Sunday morning, which will keep temperatures cooler and in the 60s to near 70 for most. Rain showers will continue through Sunday afternoon.

-AM


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