textproduct: Anchorage
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
LONG TERM FORECAST (Thursday through Sunday)
A more fall-like pattern is on the way for the region. But first, a shortwave ridge over eastern Alaska will hold on to some of the last few crumbs of summer for Southcentral on Thursday. Meanwhile, troughing will generate clouds with showers for the Alaska Peninsula and Southwest. This trough will move eastward on Friday, pushing the ridge away, bringing clouds and showers to Southcentral through Saturday.
An upper level Kamchatka low will enter the Bering early Friday and form a low at the western end of the Aleutians. There is model agreement between the GFS and Euro where it will track east and cross into the Gulf by Saturday. This low would bring rain and wind for Southcentral, Southwest, and Alaska Peninsula this weekend. There is large variance in the models tracking the path of the low in the Gulf, however there is agreement upon less of a fetch area feeding tropical moisture into the system. Hence, will be more of a nuisance with minimal impacts.
-SS
AVIATION
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds under FEW to SCT clouds continue through this evening. LIFR fog and low stratus move back into the airport / West Anchorage Monday morning around 12Z.
AB
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