textproduct: Anchorage
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)
High confidence exists in a brief drying trend across Southcentral on Sunday as lingering Gulf troughing is absorbed by a system shifting into the panhandle. Farther west, ensemble guidance suggests a frontal boundary advancing into the Bering Sea on Sunday, bringing a 50% to 70% chance of rain and elevated winds across the Aleutians; however, confidence remains low regarding the exact spatial placement and track of this boundary.
Forecast spread increases heading into early next week, though clusters consistently favor a potent North Pacific low tracking south of the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula late Sunday into Monday. There is moderate-to-high confidence in gusty, potentially gale-force winds and steady rain impacting the Nikolski and Unalaska corridors early Monday. As deep moisture lifts northward ahead of the system, precipitation chances increase rapidly across Southcentral as early as Sunday night. The potential for moderate to locally heavy rainfall remains highest from Kodiak and the northern Gulf coast through Monday, though specific rain totals will ultimately hinge on the system's exact track.
AVIATION
PANC...VFR conditions will remain through the period. Northerly winds of around 5 to 8 kt this afternoon will increase to around 12 to 14 kt overnight. The potential for ceilings dropping in light rain (virga, not hitting the ground) is around 20 percent this afternoon as a front sweeps across the region.
Strong easterly winds in Prince William Sound will keep the airport dry and downsloped through Thursday afternoon, but conditions remain at VFR (60 to 80 percent).
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.