textproduct: Aberdeen

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Although the Marginal Risk remains in place this evening, current trends place any severe storms in Minnesota.

UPDATE

Issued at 606 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

The forecast mainly remains on track this evening. No major changes are planned.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

As of about 12:30 PM CDT, temperatures are in the mid to upper 70s with winds generally out of the northwest at about 10 mph with gusts of 15-20 mph. Showers and thunderstorms have moved out of the area for the moment.

Another round of storms is possible this afternoon mainly around and east of the James River. Confidence is low that these storms will actually develop given the placement of an incoming cold front, but there are some isolated showers shown by the CAMs. There is a marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) along and east of the James River. Main threats with any storms that do become severe are 1 inch hail and wind gusts of 60 mph, but a tornado or two is not out of the question. Lapse rates still don't look great but bulk shear and instability look favorable. It really will depend on forcing from the cold front. If the the cold front moves in faster then we might get more storms. Overall, the better environment looks to be to our east in western MN. There is a chance for some showers and storms Friday, but at the moment, no severe weather is expected. Saturday however, there is a 15% area on the SPC outlook over areas of central SD north of US Hwy 14 and west of US Hwy 281. Will keep an eye on this as we get closer to the weekend.

Temperatures are still in that around to slightly below average range, but will warm up slightly towards the end of the period. Winds still look to gust between 35 and 45 mph on Saturday with the incoming low pressure system. Will keep an eye on this over the next few days.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 606 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

VFR conditions are expected to persist through Wednesday afternoon.

ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...None. MN...None.

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