textproduct: Aberdeen

KEY MESSAGES

- 20% chance of mainly light rain Tuesday, then a 30-50% chance of mainly light snow Thursday and Friday. Winds out of the northwest will gust over 40 mph with both events, but with the Thursday through Friday event, the probability of wind gusts in excess of 55 mph is 40-70 percent right now throughout and west of the Missouri River valley.

- Above normal temperatures Sunday through Tuesday, with 30s and 40s, and perhaps even some 50s for some locations across central and south central South Dakota. Wednesday through Friday, high temperatures will be colder, in the 20s and 30s, with maybe some low 40s possible west river.

UPDATE

Issued at 508 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Snow is tapering off this evening. No major changes are expected to the current forecast.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 348 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Sunshine across the mid section of the forecast area has been bookended by overcast skies and flurries or snow showers most of the day. Some parts of central SD has seen steadier light snow where minor accumulations have been noted. Occasional flurries have finally worked far enough south into west central MN this afternoon as well. Both these areas will see the flurries or light snow wane the remainder of this afternoon and wrap up sometime early this evening. Sfc ridging will build southeast across northeast SD and west central MN tonight helping to relax the gusty northwest winds. Areas that have seen sunshine today will start off tonight with a clear to partly cloudy sky. Temps may quickly fall in these areas once the winds die off. The axis of the sfc ridge will set up across the MN/Dakotas border by daybreak Sunday. More clouds will gradually filter in overnight as winds become more southwesterly. This will help to draw in a more mild air mass during the day on Sunday as warm air advection sets up and we get daytime highs back into the 30s and 40s. A favorable wind set up should generate gusty downslope winds on the eastern side of the Prairie Coteau during the day. Given there hasn't been any new snowfall in those areas lately, impacts should be minimal.

Mild and mainly dry conditions will be the main weather themes both Monday and Tuesday. The Pacific air mass will continue to take up residence across the region leading to much above normal temperatures and perhaps some new record warm low temps to start the day Tuesday. Although, guidance does prog a back door cold front will slip into our east by Tuesday evening which could be a player in those potential records. An upper trough is still expected to track across northern MN and the western Great Lakes late Monday into Tuesday which still may provide our far eastern zones with a few rain showers. The system will generate some wind that looks to turn pretty gusty, especially on the SD side of things during the day Tuesday. Mild conditions will spill over through the midweek timeframe as temperatures remain above normal Wednesday into Thursday before a potentially more active pattern sets up with a series of shortwave trough passages toward the end of the week deliver increasing chances for precipitation in the form of snow and colder temperatures.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/

Issued at 508 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours.

ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...None. MN...None.