textproduct: Aberdeen
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry conditions are expected today into the first half of next week with temperatures warming back above normal next week.
- Elevated fire weather conditions will return next week as gusty winds and low relative humidity values are expected.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026
As of about 1 AM CDT we have some showers moving across the area but the precipitation is not reaching the ground due to the very dry air in place. Temperatures are in the 30s and are expected to fall int the mid to high 20s by sunrise. Winds are out of the west to northwest at about 10 to 15 mph.
Today will be another dry day with high pressure overhead and highs will be a bit warmer across central SD, not so much across northeastern SD. Monday, our winds shift around to be out of the west to southwest bringing in some good WAA and temperatures will rise to be about 15 degrees warmer than normal. 15-25 degrees above normal temps will last through Thursday. Also on Thursday a low moves into ND with a cold front extending down and sweeping across the forecast area during the daylight hours. This will bring a chance for some rain starting Wednesday evening, lasting through the day Thursday with some potential for storm. If the front moves faster than currently forecast, temperatures may not get as warm as currently expected. Much cooler air moves in behind the cold front Thursday, bringing temperatures back down to around normal and stay cooler for next weekend.
Winds on Monday will once again gust to 30-35 mph, mainly along and east of the Missouri River as an area of low pressure moves towards the region. No precipitation is expected with this low at this time, but the winds and dry air will increase grassland fire danger. Highest wind gusts do not currently overlap with lowest relative humidity values, however, any fires that do start could still spread quickly due to dry fuels. Grassland fire danger is expected to stay elevated through at least Wednesday.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Sun Apr 19 2026
Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period. An area of 4000- 8000ft CIGs will move southward through KABR and KATY prior to 12Z, with perhaps a few -SHSN. Will continue to monitor for VC (vicinity) or TEMPO mention.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...None. MN...None.
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