textproduct: Aberdeen

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry conditions continue, along with daily relative humidity values of 15-30%.

- Red Flag Warning in effect for west of the MO River Wednesday as winds increase out of the west to northwest.

- Wind gusts of 30-45 mph and open fields are expected to cause patchy to areas of blowing dust Wednesday evening through Thursday.

- Winds Thursday will be out of the south gusting 35 to 50 mph. Elevated fire weather conditions are expected. A Fire Weather Watch is in place for both Thursday and Friday.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 108 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

As of 1 AM CDT, temperatures around the area are in the mid to upper 40s with winds generally out of the north at 10 mph or less. Winds east of the MO River are expected to be lighter than the last few days, at least during the daylight hours, generally staying below 25 mph. West river, wind gusts this afternoon will gust up to 30 to 35 mph prompting a Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 10 PM CDT (10 AM to 9 PM MDT).

Not much change in the forecast for the next several days. Elevated fire concerns continue through the rest of the work week with wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph Thursday and Friday, again, localized gusts of 50 mph possible mainly along the ND border. Relative humidity values do not recover much at all overnight Thursday. Therefore, a Fire Weather Watch is in place extending from 1 PM CDT Thursday through 10 PM Friday for areas along the James River and west. Areas to the east of the James River are added to the watch Friday at 11 AM CDT. Also with these strong winds will be the potential for blowing dust. The blowing dust model shows an area of dust moving in from western SD Thursday morning as the cold front moves into the area. Above average temperatures continue as well with Thursday still expected to be the warmest. The next chance for precipitation continues to be Saturday night through Monday. The timing of heaviest rain is during the day Sunday when the chance of more than a quarter of an inch is about 60 to 70% around and east of the Missouri River. This is an increase from previous forecasts. If this trend continues we could get enough precipitation to complete green up and hopefully reduce fire weather concerns. Additional precipitation Monday has a 35 to 45% chance of exceeding a tenth of an inch.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 1226 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Light winds through the morning increase out of the southeast from west to east in the afternoon and evening.

ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...Fire Weather Watch from Friday morning through Friday evening for SDZ007-008-011-019>023. Red Flag Warning from 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ this morning to 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ this evening for SDZ003-015-033-045. Fire Weather Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday evening for SDZ003>006-009-010-015>018-033>037-045-048- 051. MN...Fire Weather Watch from Friday morning through Friday evening for MNZ039-046.