textproduct: Aberdeen

KEY MESSAGES

- There is a 20-40 percent chance that some areas will receive at least a quarter of an inch of precipitation between 7 PM CDT Friday and 7 PM CDT Saturday.

UPDATE

Issued at 613 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

No changes planned for the forecast this evening.

See below for an update to the aviation discussion.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 127 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

As of 1 PM CDT, skies are mostly sunny. Temperatures are warming through the 70s and 80s. Northwest winds 10 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph are happening.

The pattern over the next 7 days highlights an upper level ridge influencing weather conditions over this CWA (warm and dry most of the time), per ensemble clusters analysis. An occasional shortwave progged to work through or over the ridge will affect the strength/amplitude of the upper ridge and potentially introduce precipitation chances. Currently, the best ensemble-models-based chances in the forecast for precipitation align with Friday night into Saturday (a 20-40% chance of at least 0.25in of precipitation).

Models prog an increase in low level moisture tonight which could mean some areas (terrain-influenced) see fog by morning, if winds decouple enough with surface high pressure nosing into the region, and if low clouds don't form.

Not presently seeing any strong wind/low RH combo's in the 7-day to be concerned with. Just continued D3-level drought conditions across portions of the western forecast zones.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 613 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

VFR conditions for all terminals with a northwest wind component.

ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...None. MN...None.