textproduct: Aberdeen

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- There is a slight chance (20-40%) for light rain/snow across northern SD on Monday.

- There is a chance (30-50%) for some precipitation Wednesday night into Thursday morning, but confidence on precipitation type is low.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 219 PM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

A weak area of low pressure will cross the region on Monday, bringing a 20 to 40 percent chance for light pcpn. Locations along the ND/SD border will have the best potential of seeing light rain. The higher terrain areas of the Sisseton Hills could see light snow with the rain. Overall, QPF values remain pretty light, with no significant impacts expected.

A period of dry conditions with above average temperatures can be expected Monday night through Tuesday, with highs in the 30s and 40s. These readings are 10 top 17 degrees above average for this time of year. By Wednesday, models support an area of low pressure developing over Wyoming with LLM advecting northward across the plain states. As the surface low pushes east across the area, pcpn should develop within a zone of WAA, mainly across eastern SD and western Minnesota. Decent forcing does support higher QPF amounts exceeding two tenths of inch, mainly over MN, and perhaps the far eastern SD. However, the storm system is still a few days away, thus the pattern may change some more.

The rest of the forecast period appears dry and mild as a west coast trough develops with downstream ridging over the northern plains. There is a 15-25 percent chance highs exceed 50 degree over much of the CWA on Friday, with a higher chance over central and western SD. The probability of exceeding 50 degrees increases slightly through the weekend.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/

Issued at 1156 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

IFR cigs will continue impacting the terminal of KABR through the early afternoon hours before lifting. The low cigs may move into KATY later this afternoon, however confidence is low. Otherwise, prevailing VFR conditions can be expected for the reminder of the TAF period.

ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...None. MN...None.

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