textproduct: Aberdeen

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

- Flurries or a light dusting of snow will continue tonight across portions of the region. Pockets of light freezing drizzle cannot be ruled out, with limited impacts. Any snow accumulations expected to be around a half inch or less.

- Above normal temperatures are forecast (by 5 to 20 degrees) Wednesday through at least Monday of next week. The warmest air will be overhead Thursday and then again Monday, with highs in the 40s to low 50s.

UPDATE

Issued at 518 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

One more round of light snow is moving southeast out of North Dakota this evening. It should hit the border within the next 2 to 3 hours. No major changes are planned to the current forecast at this time.

DISCUSSION

Issued at 320 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

Watching the western edge of the stratus deck inch closer to KPIR/KMBG, but indications suggest clouds fill back in westward overnight. Still some remaining low-level moisture and weak lift enough to support some light snow/flurries as a weak mid-level disturbance also moves south across the Dakotas. Can see this wave off to the north on water vapor imagery. Cannot completely rule out some light freezing drizzle as well and have inserted mention of this in the grids/forecast.

Warmer air then begins to overspread the region Wednesday and especially by Thursday. By 00Z Friday, 925mb temps rise to between +5C and +10C across the eastern CWA, while central SD may get as high as +15C. Still looking at widespread 40s and 50s for highs on Thursday, with locations across the far western CWA flirting with 60 degrees. In general, inherited NBM temps even into early next week are showing 30s, 40s, and 50s for high temps, with the warmest readings west of the Missouri River.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/

Issued at 518 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026

Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG

A mix of MVFR/IFR cigs will prevail through Wednesday morning. Brief VFR breaks are possible at KMBG and KPIR this evening before clouds fill back in. Another round of light snow/freezing drizzle moving southeast out of North Dakota this evening will affect the taf sites this evening. This precip may drop vsby to MVFR or briefly to IFR.

ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

SD...None. MN...None.

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