textproduct: Aberdeen
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Storm system Friday into Saturday brings 6 to 12 inches of snow across northern SD, with amounts tapering off to around an inch closer to I-90.
- Ice accumulations ranging from a few hundredths (region-wide) to as much as one-quarter inch (between Hwy 14 and 212). Confidence on overall icing accumulations and impacts is somewhat low.
- Northwest wind gusts increase to between 25 and 35 mph Friday night through Saturday. Visibility reductions at times in falling snow, but significant impacts from low visibility and blowing snow are not expected due to the heavy/wet nature of snow.
- Below normal temperatures remaining in place until perhaps Wednesday of next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 235 PM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026
Still some lingering light snow/mixed precip across the far eastern CWA as the first of two storm systems exits the area. Cancelled a few counties in the eastern segment of the Winter Weather Advisory, with just a sliver of counties in the far east remaining. Although, impacts are rather limited as roadways are mainly just wet or even drying off in some cases.
For tonight, surface low gets going over northeast CO, then moves east along the NE/KS border by 12Z Friday. Models still indicating rain/freezing rain/snow all moving northward into central/south central SD between 06Z and 12Z tonight. In fact, leading edge of precip (which looks to be in the form of freezing rain/sleet) may be as far north as Hwy 212 or Hwy 12 by 12Z Friday, with snow on the back edge along and west of the Missouri River. Soundings support freezing rain (perhaps moderate to heavy) initially as the precip moves into central SD just prior to sunrise, then continuing the freezing rain threat over into east central SD closer to 18Z before soundings take on more of a sleet/snow look. Snow will be filling in over central SD Friday morning while also expanding eastward through the day, especially over the northern half of SD. Snow continues through Friday night and eventually ends from west to east across the region on Saturday. Still a tricky system given the time of year, and wonder how daytime snow/ice accums may be affected by strengthening early April sun angle and surface temps approaching freezing. The more significant impacts from any snow/ice covered roadways may hold off until Friday night after sunset. All that said, current forecast still calls for accumulations from 6 to 12 inches for many areas along and north of Hwy 212, with lesser amounts tapering off to around an inch along I-90. As for ice accumulations, they may range anywhere from a few hundredths or a tenth, to perhaps as high as one-quarter inch or greater. Confidence on overall ice accumulations and impacts is somewhat low, given the time of year and surface/road temperatures.
Headline-wise, upgraded the watch to a Winter Storm Warning for the northern CWA, but also did extend the warning a bit further south to cover the Pierre region given some of the heftier ice totals forecast, along with around 3 to 6 inches of snow. Along I-90 and over portions of the eastern CWA, went with a Winter Weather Advisory due to lower snow totals, although icing still could be somewhat substantial/impactful and will have to keep a close eye on this for possible headline changes.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 1247 PM CDT Thu Apr 2 2026
Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
Light/fine precipitation or mist continues at ABR, with visibility down to around 4SM initially. Expect drier air to move into all sites, but ceilings lingering mainly in the IFR category. The trickiest location ceiling forecast wise has been MBG, which has mainly stayed in the VFR to high end MVFR range so far today even during light snow. The main concern over the next 24 hours will be freezing rain moving into MBG/PIR 03-09Z Friday, and ABR/ATY between 10-12Z Friday. Precipitation is most likely to change over to snow by 13Z at MBG and between 16-17Z at ABR/PIR as colder air moves in.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for SDZ008- 021-023.
Winter Storm Warning from 7 AM Friday to 7 PM CDT Saturday for SDZ006>008-011-018.
Winter Weather Advisory from 7 AM Friday to 7 PM CDT Saturday for SDZ019>023.
Winter Storm Warning from 1 AM CDT /midnight MDT/ Friday to 1 PM CDT /noon MDT/ Saturday for SDZ003>005-009-010-015>017- 033>037.
Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM Friday to 1 PM CDT Saturday for SDZ045-048-051.
MN...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MNZ039- 046.
Winter Storm Warning from 7 AM Friday to 7 PM CDT Saturday for MNZ039.
Winter Weather Advisory from 7 AM Friday to 7 PM CDT Saturday for MNZ046.
IMPORTANT This is an independent project and has no affiliation with the National Weather Service or any other agency. Do not rely on this website for emergency or critical information: please visit weather.gov for the most accurate and up-to-date information available.
textproduct.us is built and maintained by Joshua Thayer.