textproduct: Aberdeen
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Light rain showers this afternoon across far northeast SD and west central MN. Chance of rain between 15 and 25% with little to no accumulation.
- Winds will switch around to the northwest this afternoon behind a cold front, bringing gusts up to 30 to 35 mph, mainly east of the Missouri River.
- Below normal temperatures will continue through Tuesday. Monday will be the coldest day, with highs mainly in the upper 20s to 30s, or around 15 to 20 degrees below normal.
- Winds out of the southwest will gust 30 to 40 mph during the daytime hours Tuesday.
UPDATE
Issued at 837 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026
Increased temperatures for this afternoon, particularly over our southwestern counties, where limited snow is on the ground and the colder air from the north takes a bit longer to get to. The remainder of the forecast for the next 24 hours will be only adjusted slightly.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1258 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026
As of 1 AM CDT temperatures are in the lower 30s with winds out of the northwest between 10 and 15 mph. Some patches of fog will be possible this morning, mainly around the James River valley and east.
A cold front makes its way across the area today, bringing a chance of some light rain showers to far northeast SD and west central MN. Added in some 15-25% pops to cover this. Any accumulations will be light. Winds will be a bit gusty today too, up to about 30 to 35 mph. We get a good push of CAA behind the front and mix up into some stronger gusts. Bumped up winds a little to show this.
Our attention now shifts to later this week we get a couple rounds of precipitation chances. The first is Tuesday afternoon (15-20%) as high pressure moves out and the low for Wednesday starts to move in. This is expected to mainly impact south central SD. The next chance is Tuesday evening through the day Wednesday as the low comes in from the northwest. Chances max out at around 50% across the ND/SD border Wednesday morning. Temperatures overnight may be just warm enough to keep the ptype rain in most areas. Across the higher elevation areas of the Prairie Coteau, there is a chance that temperatures near the surface could dip below freezing, resulting in a few hours of freezing rain. We will watch this area over the next few days and see if that trend continues. The chance of more than a tenth of an inch of liquid is 15% or lower. And finally, coming to Thursday, 20-30% chances move in and just camp out for the remainder of the period as low pressure moves in to our south and circulates.
Temperatures through the work week are expected to be a little below to right around average after Monday and Tuesday (20-25 and 10-15 degrees below average respectively). Going into the weekend, temperatures are expected to be right around average.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
Issued at 612 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026
Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
VFR conditions are expected through tonight.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...None. MN...None.
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