textproduct: Aberdeen
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dense fog has develop mainly over the Missouri River valley and will spread east through the night into Saturday morning before eventually dissipating.
- Temperatures today through next Wednesday are forecast to warm up some 10 to 20 degrees above normal for early November, with highs in the 50s and low 60s.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1248 AM CST Sat Nov 7 2026
Fog has developed over the Missouri River and areas just to the east during the early nighttime hours. This fog will be spreading east through the night into Saturday morning. A dense fog advisory has been issued into Saturday morning as visibilities could drop below 1 mile at times in areas with the fog. Additionally, some areas that experience the fog will have temperatures below freezing, which could cause some freezing fog and localized areas of potentially slick conditions. Southwestern winds west of the Missouri River will keep the fog from spreading west. These southwest winds will spread east through the night and will help erode the edge of the fog as it moves east into the morning.
Through the morning into the afternoon, the winds will become more westerly and will start to speed up. Wind gusts over most of central and northeastern SD will be between 20-25 mph, with stronger wind gusts up to 30 mph over Corson and Dewey counties and the eastern edge of the Sisseton Hills north of HWY 12. Minimum relative humidity values will be between 40-50% over Corson and Dewey counties, and with the stronger winds and dry vegetation, the lower humidity values will cause high Grassland Fire Danger Index values. The higher humidity values and slightly lower wind speeds will keep the Grassland Fire Danger Index values in moderate category for the rest of central and northeastern SD.
Warmer air will be coming on the southerly and westerly winds today through Monday. This will warm temperatures to be about 10-20 degrees warmer than normal for this time of the year, with highs in the 50s to low 60s. Models show a frontal boundary move through on Monday, which will turn the winds and start bringing in some colder air. This cooler air won't cool things too much, but will cool temperatures over the following days to be around normal. While the front will move cold air in and turn winds to be from the northwest, the lack of moisture in the atmosphere will help to keep precipitation from developing. The next chance for some isolated rain showers looks to be Tuesday evening into Wednesday, though it is only about 10-20% chance over northeastern SD. This is because the models vary if anything does develop and the timing of it. Models will likely change what will happen, so an eye will need to be kept on the models if they change or come to an agreement.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 1046 PM CST Fri Nov 6 2026
Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
We continue to monitor fog/low stratus as it develops close to KMBG/KPIR and is expected to expand and cover all terminals with IFR VISBY/CIGS. Improving conditions are anticipated through the course of the day Saturday.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for SDZ004-005- 009-010-016-017-034. MN...None.
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