textproduct: Aberdeen
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Above normal temperatures by 15 to 25 degrees expected through Monday.
- Precipitation chances return Tuesday afternoon (40-60% northern SD) with rain initially during the day, then rain/snow mix Tuesday night becoming mostly snow on Wednesday.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1113 AM CST Thu Feb 12 2026
Dry weather and above average temperatures will continue into early next week. Ridging aloft and high pressure at the sfc are expected to dominate through Sunday. High temperatures will remain 15 to 25 degrees above climo norms.
The pattern changes abruptly on Tuesday, though models are still not in full agreement on exact timing, position or strength of the sfc low and upper trough that moves into the Plains. For the moment, South Dakota may remain mostly dry until Tuesday night when a trowal sets up, but caa is minimal. So, this all may depend on timing as daytime highs appear to stay above freezing on Wednesday while overnight lows drop below freezing each night. Some mix of rain/snow is expected but details remain sketchy this far out.
The only other thing of note in the short term is the potential for some patchy fog development late tonight into Friday morning from the James valley east.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 1113 AM CST Thu Feb 12 2026
Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
VFR conditions and light winds are expected through Friday morning.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...None. MN...None.
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