textproduct: Aberdeen
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
- Dangerous heat will build through the weekend into early next week with near record to record temperatures expected and heat index values warming into the triple digits each afternoon.
- An Extreme Heat Warning for north central SD and a Heat Advisory for parts of central and northeast SD and west central MN remain in effect through Tuesday.
UPDATE
Issued at 554 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026
The ongoing forecast remains on track, with Extreme Heat Warnings for portions of north central SD and Heat Advisories for much of the rest of central to northeastern SD and west central MN.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026
The persistent, strong ridge aloft will be the dominant factor in the region's weather through mid week. High pressure at the surface will be a bit more transient, or at least not centered directly over the forecast area. For ambient weather, this means hot, breezy, and no precip through Wednesday. The heat headlines remain unchanged with highs and/or "feels-like" temps near or over 100 degrees potentially through Friday, especially around the Missouri River counties. In fact, Pierre and Mobridge are forecast to be within 3 degrees of record highs Sunday through Tuesday. The southerly breezes will moderate the apparent temperatures during peak heating a bit. However, gusts of 20 to 35 mph combined with the heat will also quickly dry out grasses. Can't rule out needing a fire weather headline by Monday when min RH falls into the upper teens west river. Still a little early for a watch, but will be something to consider for future forecast shifts.
Overnight lows will not offer much recovery from the heat, either, remaining in the 70 to 75 degree range across most of the forecast area.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
Issued at 554 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026
Terminals KABR,KATY,KPIR,KMBG
VFR conditions will continue through the forecast period.
ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ Tuesday for SDZ005>008- 010-011-017-018-021-033>037-045-048-051. Extreme Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ Tuesday for SDZ003-004-009-015-016. MN...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Tuesday for MNZ039-046.
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