textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 107 AM MDT Wed Jun 10 2026

- Hot temperatures today and Thursday in the lower elevations of New Mexico (under 7000 feet) will increase the risk of heat- related illnesses for those without access to adequate cooling or hydration.

- Dry, breezy, and hot conditions will create near critical fire weather conditions in northeast New Mexico today.

- Storm chances trend higher Friday, with scattered showers and storms favoring eastern New Mexico. Afternoon storms are likely to continue in eastern New Mexico each afternoon through early next week, with lesser coverage elsewhere.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday) Issued at 107 AM MDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Drier air is funneling in from the west tonight, which will help temperatures drop to values around 5 degrees cooler than last night. Despite the passage of a very weak cold front tonight, the dry, downsloping breeze will result in afternoon temperatures generally a few degrees warmer than the past couple of days. In fact, it will be the warmest day of the summer thus far in many areas, including Albuquerque and Roswell. There is over a 90% chance that Roswell and Socorro reach 100F and even a 10% chance that Albuquerque reaches the triple digit mark. It will also be exceptionally dry, with humidities in the single digits areawide. A brisk southwest to west breeze along with sunny skies prevail around the region.

Weak zonal flow will continue on Thursday, keeping temperatures hot areawide. Highs may even reach a degree or two higher than Wednesday's values and Chaves and Roosevelt Counties will flirt with the Heat Advisory threshold (105F). A backdoor front will intrude from the northeast on Thursday, but its progress will be stalled during the afternoon. After sunset, it will push south and westward, surging through the gaps of the central mountain chain Thursday night. Most models are showing convection in the Texas Panhandle Thursday evening, which could both speed up the progression of the front as well as increase its strength.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 107 AM MDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Moisture will surge into eastern NM in the wake of a backdoor cold front Friday, with increasing dewpoints throughout the day. Scattered showers and storms will develop in and around the central mountain chain, getting carried off to the east into the eastern plains into the afternoon and evening hours. The increased moisture will keep temperatures down a tad, but it will still be hot with seasonal June temperatures.

Recycled moisture will continue to interact with westerlies over the weekend, with storm chances favoring eastern NM. Isolated convection is still likely along and west of the Rio Grande Valley, but wetting rainfall will be few and far between given the lower surface dewpoints (30s and 40s). Zonal flow becomes more northwesterly early next week, favoring the development of severe storms in northeast NM. During this period, the flash flood risk (off burn scar) will remain quite low given the faster storm motions and still relatively dry soils in most areas. The threat of flash flooding will be higher over burn scars, but no day currently sticks out as a high risk day. Gradual drying is expected mid to late next week as the Monsoon High attempts to take shape over the desert southwest.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1123 PM MDT Tue Jun 9 2026

VFR conditions will continue to prevail through the TAF period. Light and variable winds will prevail through the night, becoming a westerly breeze in most areas this afternoon. Gusts of 15 to 25 knots will be commonplace, with the strongest winds in north central and northeast NM.

LLWS will likely impact many sites in central and eastern NM tonight between 06Z and 12Z and again Wednesday night after 06Z.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 107 AM MDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Dry zonal flow prevails around central and northern New Mexico today, with a brisk southwest to west breeze in most areas. While brief, localized critical conditions are likely in north central and northeast NM, the Fire Weather Watch was not upgraded given that fuels are near normal dryness and Red Flag criteria is not likely to be met for much of the area. However, it will be exceptionally dry around the entire area today, with single digit humidity in the afternoon. Values could bottom out below 5% in central NM, including along the RGV.

Thursday will also be very dry, but winds will generally be lighter compared to Wednesday. A backdoor front will usher in moisture from the east late Thursday, eventually surging through the gaps of the central mountain chain Thursday night into Friday morning. This will start a period of wetter weather for eastern NM, with daily rounds of showers and storms. Storm chances will continue through Tuesday, with conditions trending drier mid-week. Convection west of the central mountain chain will be drier, with only isolated wetting rainfall and a threat of new fire starts from dry storms, particularly along the Continental Divide. It will remain breezy and dry across the Northwest Plateau each day Sunday through Wednesday next week, with elevated to near critical conditions.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 93 57 92 55 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 88 45 90 44 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 88 54 89 54 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 90 48 91 48 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 87 51 88 53 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 92 52 93 53 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 89 51 89 54 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 91 60 91 61 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 89 54 89 57 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 96 48 97 53 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 98 53 100 56 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 82 45 84 44 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 88 61 89 61 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 88 55 91 54 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 86 55 88 51 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 77 44 79 40 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 81 41 83 39 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 89 49 91 50 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 88 51 89 50 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 95 55 97 57 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 89 61 91 60 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 92 57 94 58 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 96 67 97 68 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 97 63 98 65 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 100 63 101 64 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 98 64 99 65 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 100 60 100 61 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 98 63 99 64 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 99 60 99 61 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 99 64 100 65 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 99 61 99 63 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 94 64 95 65 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 98 63 99 64 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 102 66 102 69 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 91 60 92 60 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 91 60 93 60 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 92 58 94 58 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 93 55 95 55 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 88 57 91 56 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 93 57 94 56 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 92 59 93 58 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 95 67 97 66 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 88 62 91 61 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 89 54 81 47 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 93 53 89 49 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 94 54 91 52 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 91 54 92 54 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 97 63 87 55 / 0 0 0 5 Roy............................. 94 57 90 55 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 100 62 99 62 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 97 61 97 61 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 102 68 99 64 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 101 68 102 66 / 0 0 0 5 Portales........................ 102 69 104 66 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 100 65 101 64 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 103 69 105 70 / 5 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 98 64 100 63 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 97 63 99 62 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.