textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1028 PM MST Sat Nov 14 2026 - Areas of fog and freezing fog will create hazardous driving conditions across the eastern plains and western valleys tonight then again Sunday night into Monday morning.

- Unsettled weather returns across western and parts of central New Mexico late Tuesday into early Wednesday and will result in some slick road conditions across the higher terrain.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Monday night) Issued at 1245 PM MST Sat Nov 14 2026

It's a raw gloomy day across much of northern and central NM this afternoon ahead of an upper level trough over the Four Corners midday today. This trough will close off into a 562 to 563 dam low at 500 mb as it continues tracking east-southeast over far north central and northeast NM late this afternoon into this evening. Scattered to numerous rain showers and mountain peak snow showers will favor areas along and north of U.S. 60 with breezy southwest to west winds along and south of I-40 this afternoon through mid this evening. Overall rainfall amounts up to 0.10 inches for most lower elevations with up to 0.3 inches of liquid equivalent across the west and southwest slopes of the northern mountains. A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for the Tusas Mountains from until 9 PM Saturday, focused on slick winter travel along the U.S. Hwy 64 corridor in that zone. Could see an additional 2 to 3 inches through late this evening across the peaks of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains above population centers and highways. Rain and mountain snow showers will taper off mid to late this evening as the upper low exits east over the OK/TX panhandles with a backdoor front sliding south across northeast and east central NM tonight into Sunday morning. Skies will clear across most areas early Sunday morning, except for low clouds/areas of fog moving south across northeast and east central NM behind a backdoor front in the wake of the upper low along with some low clouds and patchy fog/freezing fog across western and north central valley locations due to drier mid levels and nearly saturated low levels and upper level ridging building in from the west.

Cool and tranquil conditions return Sunday as an upper level shortwave ridge moves across the desert SW Sunday into Monday. The backdoor front moving south across eastern NM Sunday morning will result in low clouds across the eastern plains during the day before spreading to as far west as the east slopes of the central mountain chain Sunday night into Monday morning. Low clouds look to potentially also develop along the San Juan River Valley and Upper Rio Grande Valley (including Taos and Questa) around sunrise Monday morning due to the saturated low levels. Patchy fog and freezing fog cannot be ruled out for these area. Low clouds/patchy fog across eastern NM will gradually burn off from northwest to southeast beginning late Monday morning likely lingering longest across the east central and southeast plains before expanding back to the northwest again overnight Monday into early Tuesday and then burning off from northwest to southeast again late Tuesday morning. After widespread below average high temperatures by 5 to 15 degrees today, western and central areas return to near average temperatures Sunday while below average high temperatures by 10 to 15 degrees linger across all of the eastern plains Sunday and mainly the east central and southeast plains Monday due to the aforementioned persistent low clouds.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Friday) Issued at 1239 PM MST Sat Nov 14 2026

Increasing clouds and gusty south to southwest winds during the day Tuesday as the next Pacific storm system moves east over the Great Basin. Guidance is in strong agreement of tracking the base of this upper level trough across the Four Corners region Tuesday evening and across the southern Rockies Wednesday morning. As a result, shower activity will favor western NM late Tuesday afternoon through early Wednesday morning and north central NM Tuesday evening through late Wednesday morning before clearing skies areawide mid to late Wednesday. Overall impacts should be limited to some slick highways across the north central mountains Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Some gusty southwest to west winds across northeast and east central NM Wednesday afternoon in the wake of the departing upper level trough. High temperatures on Wednesday will be slightly below average across western and north central NM due to the morning precipitation and near average across central and eastern NM.

Some low clouds and patchy fog development potential across the southeast plains Thursday morning due to lingering low level moisture. Outside of that, mostly sunny and seasonable weather across the area during the day Thursday. Ensemble cluster guidance is coming into better agreement on the track of another Pacific upper low late next week. Clusters show the upper low moving over northern CA Thursday and eastward to over the Great Basin Thursday night into Friday morning before opening up into an open wave as it moves across the central Rockies and scrapes northern NM during the day Friday. Any lower elevation rain and mountain snow shower activity looks to favor areas along and north of I-40 with gusty south to west-southwest winds for all areas at this time. The Pacific front with this system will cool high temperatures slightly below average across western NM Friday. Clearing skies Friday night into Saturday morning in the wake of this storm system with slightly below average temperatures across western and central NM and near average temperatures across eastern NM.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1028 PM MST Sat Nov 14 2026

The upper low has exited off to the east and showers have mostly ended around the region. Dense fog and low clouds have already developed in the eastern plains and will expand in coverage through the night. Patchy fog and low cigs will develop across western and northern areas as well, although it will be less persistent than in the east. Likelihood of fog developing at most TAF sties is low (<20%) so no mention was included.

Fog will likely dissipate late morning, but low clouds should remain across far eastern NM through much of the day. Then, low clouds and cigs surge westward towards the central mountain chain Sunday evening, with some models showing LIFR cigs/vis pushing as far west as the Rio Grande Valley by the end of the TAF period.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1245 PM MST Sat Nov 14 2026

No critical fire weather concerns are expected through late next week. Scattered to numerous rain and mountain snow showers across areas along and north and I-40 most this afternoon before clearing out mid to late this evening. Dry and cool weather Sunday and Monday. Gusty winds with rain and mountain peak snow showers across western and north central New Mexico late Tuesday afternoon through late Wednesday morning. Tranquil weather returns mid Wednesday into Thursday. More gusty winds with rain and mountain peak snow showers along and north of I-40 Friday. Temperatures near to slightly below normal overall through late next week. Mostly poor ventilation Sunday and Monday. Fair to excellent ventilation across western, central, and northeast New Mexico Tuesday and fair to good ventilation across northeast and east central New Mexico Wednesday Widespread poor ventilation Thursday before good to excellent ventilation for most areas Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 33 52 33 58 / 5 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 28 54 26 58 / 5 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 31 50 29 53 / 5 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 26 52 25 58 / 5 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 28 52 29 57 / 20 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 30 54 29 56 / 10 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 32 53 29 60 / 50 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 33 54 34 55 / 10 0 0 0 Datil........................... 31 51 30 55 / 30 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 29 60 26 61 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 33 63 32 65 / 5 0 0 0 Chama........................... 25 48 27 50 / 10 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 33 51 35 53 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 29 54 27 55 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 28 49 28 52 / 10 0 0 0 Red River....................... 23 44 23 47 / 10 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 18 49 12 51 / 5 0 0 0 Taos............................ 27 53 26 54 / 10 0 0 0 Mora............................ 29 51 27 55 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 31 58 30 59 / 5 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 33 53 31 54 / 5 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 31 54 31 55 / 5 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 36 58 38 59 / 10 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 35 58 37 59 / 10 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 35 61 33 62 / 10 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 36 60 35 60 / 10 0 0 0 Belen........................... 35 59 31 60 / 10 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 36 61 34 62 / 5 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 33 59 28 61 / 10 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 36 60 34 61 / 5 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 34 59 28 60 / 10 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 36 55 37 57 / 5 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 36 60 36 60 / 5 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 38 61 37 62 / 5 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 31 52 33 54 / 10 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 34 53 35 55 / 10 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 32 55 32 57 / 10 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 29 56 23 59 / 10 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 32 52 31 54 / 10 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 32 55 32 56 / 20 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 33 55 31 55 / 20 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 37 58 35 57 / 30 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 34 54 32 55 / 60 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 34 44 31 50 / 50 0 0 0 Raton........................... 31 54 29 53 / 20 0 0 0 Springer........................ 32 54 28 57 / 10 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 29 52 28 55 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 37 43 36 52 / 60 10 0 0 Roy............................. 36 47 32 50 / 10 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 40 51 35 58 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 40 51 35 54 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 41 48 36 55 / 20 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 41 47 35 53 / 60 0 0 0 Portales........................ 42 48 34 53 / 70 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 42 51 36 53 / 10 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 43 55 40 53 / 20 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 40 58 37 54 / 20 0 0 0 Elk............................. 36 59 34 56 / 5 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM MST Sunday for NMZ230-231-234>236.