textproduct: Albuquerque

This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 213 AM MDT Thu May 7 2026 - A late season hard freeze this morning will pose a risk to newly budding plants and sensitive vegetation over northern valley areas and the northeast plains.

- There is a low to moderate chance of patchy freezing fog this morning with visibility below 1 mile from near Angel Fire to Raton, Las Vegas, and Moriarty.

- Hot temperatures will return next week with a minor risk for heat-related illnesses in sensitive populations.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Friday) Issued at 213 AM MDT Thu May 7 2026

Patchy fog and low stratus over eastern NM before sunrise will dissipate thru early morning as surface winds veer around to the south then southwest. A chilly start to the day will give way to spectacular weather with high temps around 5F below normal, lower humidity, light winds, and sunny skies. Tonight will be much warmer but still chilly across northern and western valleys.

Friday will be another gorgeous day but with even warmer temps and lower humidity. Northwest winds will be a tad breezy over western NM with some passing high clouds. The rest of the area will still see light winds with highs around 5F above normal for early May. A weak frontal boundary draped over northeast NM will have little impact on the sensible weather.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 213 AM MDT Thu May 7 2026

A weak shortwave trough exiting the Front Range Saturday will help to spread stronger northwest flow aloft over the southern Rockies. Very dry northwest winds will trend breezier for the entire area and help downsloping to warm high temps roughly 5 to 10F above normal. Upper 70s to low 80s will be common across northern and western NM with upper 80s to low 90s from the lower RGV into eastern NM.

Strong surface high pressure moving down the Front Range in the wake of the departing shortwave trough will force a strong backdoor cold front into eastern NM. This front will drag shallow moisture from the plains south and west to the central mt chain with a few hours of northeast wind gusts of 30-40 mph over eastern NM. The moisture may help to trigger a few showers and storms along the central mt chain (20-40% chance) Sunday afternoon. Moisture and instability are limited so the overall impact at this time appears to be just much cooler high temps over eastern NM Sunday.

A 590dm H5 high is still shown building eastward into AZ and NM Monday and Tuesday with hot temperatures, very low humidity, and light winds. There are high chances that the ABQ metro will see highs in the low 90s with readings near 100F from Roswell to Clovis, especially Tuesday. This will elevate the heat risk for sensitive populations.

Beyond Wednesday, it is still looking like a deeper fetch of subtropical moisture will begin advancing north into the desert southwest as the ridge shifts east into TX Thursday and Friday.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1143 PM MDT Wed May 6 2026

Wind gusts of 30 to 40KT over eastern NM late this evening will taper off thru 3am. There is a 10-30% chance for patchy IFR vsbys in freezing fog and low stratus over parts of northeast NM and the Estancia Valley Thursday morning. Thursday will feature mostly sunny skies with lighter winds and lower humidity.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 213 AM MDT Thu May 7 2026

There are no widespread areas of critical fire weather expected for at least the next 7 days. Snowfall amounts ranged from 1 to 4" over the northern mts Wednesday while wetting rainfall amounts of 0.10" to 0.30" occurred over parts of northeast NM. A hard freeze over a large area of northern NM this morning will give way to warming temps and much lower humidity today. An upper level high building off the southern CA coast will bring even warmer temperatures and lower humidity Friday and Saturday. A couple patches of elevated to locally critical fire weather may develop both days around the Four Corners and Clines Corners area. A strong backdoor cold front will then move into eastern NM Sunday with increasing moisture and slight chances for showers and storms along and east of the central mt chain. Hot and dry weather will develop Monday thru Wednesday but winds will be light.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 73 41 81 45 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 69 27 76 31 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 68 35 75 41 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 71 32 79 38 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 68 37 75 43 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 72 34 78 41 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 70 37 76 44 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 70 44 77 49 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 69 40 75 46 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 76 34 82 39 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 80 39 86 43 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 62 29 68 34 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 67 43 73 50 / 0 0 5 0 Pecos........................... 70 36 76 42 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 65 37 70 42 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 54 31 60 36 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 62 21 67 31 / 0 0 5 0 Taos............................ 68 29 74 35 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 68 37 73 41 / 0 0 5 0 Espanola........................ 74 38 80 45 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 68 42 75 47 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 71 38 78 44 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 73 48 81 54 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 74 44 83 49 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 76 42 85 48 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 76 45 84 50 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 76 39 85 46 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 75 43 83 49 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 75 38 84 45 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 76 44 84 49 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 75 40 83 46 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 71 46 79 52 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 75 44 83 50 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 78 47 86 53 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 68 43 76 49 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 69 43 78 49 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 70 37 77 44 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 72 28 80 38 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 68 38 75 43 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 70 39 78 44 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 69 40 76 45 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 73 47 79 52 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 68 44 74 49 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 63 34 69 38 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 68 32 75 38 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 70 33 77 39 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 70 37 75 43 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 72 43 77 45 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 68 38 76 43 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 77 43 83 46 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 75 41 80 44 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 78 47 85 47 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 76 47 85 49 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 79 46 86 49 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 76 44 85 46 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 76 47 87 51 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 73 44 82 50 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 72 41 79 46 / 0 0 5 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Freeze Warning until 9 AM MDT this morning for NMZ201-217-218.

Freeze Warning until 9 AM MDT this morning for NMZ222-223- 228>231.


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