textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 130 AM MDT Thu Jun 4 2026

- Slow moving storms with heavy rainfall may create localized flash flooding along and east of the central mountain chain today through Saturday. Areas that have received multiple days of heavy rain will be at highest risk for flooding, including urban locations and near burn scars. - Scattered light showers and isolated dry thunderstorms over parts of western New Mexico will threaten strong and erratic gusty winds, dry lightning, and risk of new fire starts Friday and Saturday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Friday) Issued at 130 AM MDT Thu Jun 4 2026

The latest water vapor loop shows a large upper level trough over northwest MX drifting east with rich moisture in place across the eastern half of NM and TX. Showers and storms with heavy rain are still pushing southeast across the Caprock and the borderland at 130am. PWATs near 1" will remain in place over the southeast half of NM today with even weaker steering flow and similar buoyancy to yesterday. Rising pressure heights over the northwest half of NM today will provide a downtick in storm coverage north and west of the ABQ area while another round of locally heavy rainfall is likely for eastern NM. Conditions will not be as favorable for organized storm development so storms are likely to taper off after sunset. Storm motion will be slow toward the south again with the likelihood of flash flooding highest in areas that have picked up multiple days of heavy rain.

The upper level wave over northern MX will begin speeding up while lifting east/northeast toward the Permian Basin Friday. An uptick in storm coverage is expected as mid level stretching and deformation increases between the low to the south and an upper high building over AZ. Moist southeast low level flow into the central mt chain will allow storms to erupt by late morning then move south-southwest into nearby valleys and highlands. An area of increased shear may help to support a couple strong storms as well around the central highlands and lower RGV. The Ruidoso area may see steering flow propagate storms up-basin thus increasing the flash flood risk below burn scars. A Flood Watch may be issued for Friday.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through Monday) Issued at 130 AM MDT Thu Jun 4 2026

The upper low near the Permian Basin on Friday night will drift northeast into west TX Saturday while the upper high weakens over southern AZ. This will lead to north to south steering flow over the region while moist low level southeast flow continues over eastern NM. Conditions will remain favorable for storms to develop along the central mt chain then move south on outflows into nearby highlands and valleys with locally heavy rainfall.

By Sunday and Monday, the upper high over AZ will shift east across the borderland as an upper level trough approaches from the northwest. This will spread drier mid level air farther east into NM with a notable downtick in storm coverage and warmer temps. Westerly breezes will also pick up over western and central NM.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1101 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

As of 05Z, a slow-moving line of storms stretches from Lincoln County northeastward to Curry County. Heavy rainfall and frequent lightning will continue with this cluster of storms as it slowly pushes southeastward, eventually exiting into Texas by around 10Z. While brief MVFR cigs may occur with stronger storms, low clouds or fog are not expected to develop tonight.

Isolated storms tomorrow afternoon will favor the central mtn chain and the southwest mtns from 18Z through 00Z. Even areas with low storm chances may have experience the passage of gusty outflow boundaries.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 130 AM MDT Thu Jun 4 2026

Western NM will remain the driest portion of the state thru early next week, especially the Four Corners. Wind speeds will remain subcritical in the same areas thru Saturday then trend stronger Sunday thru Tuesday as an upper level trough approaches from the west. Single digit humidity and breezy westerly winds may create elevated to locally critical fire weather early next week. Western NM is also the area with the highest ERCs. Eastern NM will see the greatest chances for wetting rainfall thru Saturday with a possible mix of wet and dry storms between the Rio Grande Valley and Cont Divide.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 92 56 94 57 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 87 44 90 45 / 5 0 10 0 Cuba............................ 85 52 87 53 / 10 5 10 0 Gallup.......................... 88 49 89 49 / 5 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 83 51 85 52 / 10 5 5 5 Grants.......................... 86 51 89 52 / 20 5 5 10 Quemado......................... 85 52 86 54 / 10 5 10 5 Magdalena....................... 81 57 84 58 / 20 10 10 10 Datil........................... 80 53 83 54 / 20 5 10 10 Reserve......................... 88 48 91 50 / 20 10 10 10 Glenwood........................ 91 51 95 51 / 50 5 10 10 Chama........................... 80 43 82 44 / 10 0 20 0 Los Alamos...................... 80 57 84 58 / 40 10 10 0 Pecos........................... 84 50 85 50 / 20 10 40 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 81 51 84 51 / 30 10 20 0 Red River....................... 73 43 75 43 / 30 5 20 0 Angel Fire...................... 76 39 79 44 / 30 5 40 0 Taos............................ 83 48 86 50 / 10 5 20 0 Mora............................ 81 48 83 50 / 30 10 40 5 Espanola........................ 89 54 92 57 / 20 10 10 0 Santa Fe........................ 83 56 85 57 / 10 10 30 5 Santa Fe Airport................ 86 53 88 55 / 10 10 20 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 89 63 91 64 / 10 5 20 10 Albuquerque Heights............. 90 62 93 61 / 5 5 20 10 Albuquerque Valley.............. 93 62 95 60 / 5 5 10 10 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 91 61 93 62 / 10 5 5 10 Belen........................... 91 60 93 59 / 5 0 10 10 Bernalillo...................... 91 60 93 62 / 10 5 10 5 Bosque Farms.................... 91 60 93 57 / 5 5 10 10 Corrales........................ 93 61 94 62 / 10 5 10 10 Los Lunas....................... 91 61 93 59 / 5 5 10 10 Placitas........................ 88 61 90 62 / 10 5 10 5 Rio Rancho...................... 91 60 93 61 / 10 5 5 10 Socorro......................... 91 61 94 63 / 5 5 10 10 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 84 57 86 57 / 10 5 30 5 Tijeras......................... 85 56 87 56 / 10 5 30 5 Edgewood........................ 86 53 87 54 / 20 5 30 5 Moriarty/Estancia............... 86 50 88 51 / 20 10 30 5 Clines Corners.................. 82 53 84 52 / 20 10 40 10 Mountainair..................... 83 53 85 52 / 20 5 50 20 Gran Quivira.................... 81 54 83 53 / 20 10 50 30 Carrizozo....................... 82 59 83 59 / 30 10 40 30 Ruidoso......................... 74 53 76 54 / 70 10 50 30 Capulin......................... 80 48 82 49 / 30 10 30 10 Raton........................... 84 49 88 51 / 20 10 20 5 Springer........................ 84 50 87 52 / 20 10 20 10 Las Vegas....................... 82 50 84 52 / 30 10 20 10 Clayton......................... 85 56 87 56 / 10 10 5 10 Roy............................. 83 52 84 54 / 20 20 20 20 Conchas......................... 89 58 91 59 / 20 20 10 20 Santa Rosa...................... 86 55 87 56 / 20 20 10 20 Tucumcari....................... 89 60 91 59 / 10 20 5 30 Clovis.......................... 86 60 87 59 / 20 10 5 20 Portales........................ 87 60 88 58 / 20 20 5 30 Fort Sumner..................... 86 58 87 58 / 10 20 5 20 Roswell......................... 86 60 87 61 / 10 10 10 20 Picacho......................... 82 55 84 56 / 30 10 20 20 Elk............................. 81 53 82 54 / 50 20 40 20

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.