textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1125 AM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

- Areas of freezing fog and low visibility may impact areas across the southeast plains Monday morning once again.

- Near to above normal temperatures will prevail across the region through the next 7 days, except for slightly below normal temperatures on Wednesday across eastern New Mexico.

- Flurries may develop across northeast New Mexico Tuesday night through Wednesday morning, otherwise, dry conditions will continue.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 1125 AM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

The low clouds and freezing fog are slowly diminishing this morning across the southeast plains. This area should finally see some sun later this afternoon to help melt the snow that is still on the ground. However, models are hinting that low clouds and freezing fog may return again tonight into Monday morning, mainly across the lower Pecos River Valley. Thus, a mention of patchy freezing fog has been added to the forecast. Elsewhere, quiet, warm and dry conditions will continue. A few breezes will be noted today across eastern NM, but these breezes should get a little stronger on Monday afternoon with a deepening lee side surface low, especially from Clines Corners and Vaughn to the TX border. Max gusts today will be in the 20 to 30 mph range, whereas on Monday, max wind gusts will be between 25 and 40 mph, with the strongest gusts around KCQC. The downsloping will allow temperatures to warm even moreso than today, with highs in the 60s to near 70 common across eastern NM. For nearly all areas on Monday, temperatures will be 5 to 15 degrees above normal.

At upper levels, the ridge over NM today will shift eastward tonight and a weak wave will cross the state on Monday. This wave will bring increased high clouds across the state, but even despite that, temperatures will inch upward as mentioned above.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1125 AM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

The initial wave will shift eastward Monday night and the associated surface low over NE NM will slide southeastward, dragging a weak cold front across eastern NM. Expect some light breezes with the frontal passage. A second perturbation in northwest flow will also slide over NM Monday night through Tuesday morning, ushering in much drier air at mid and upper levels, thereby clearing the high clouds from northwest to southeast. High temperatures still look to be around 6 to 10 degrees cooler across eastern NM on Tuesday than they will be on Monday.

On Tuesday, as a rex blocking pattern sets up across the west coast, a strong northerly jet on the backside of a weak trough will move southward over the Rockies, nosing into northeast NM Tuesday night. Another backdoor cold front will slide into northeast NM as well. Moisture appears to be quite meager with this system, but enough lift may exist to squeeze out some flurries and/or sprinkles across northeast NM Tues night through Wednesday morning. The front will slide through the plains and press westward to the AZ border by late Wednesday morning. The surface high appears to be a little stronger than previous model runs, therefore have lowered temperatures a bit, mainly across eastern NM. Any low clouds that develop across northeast NM early Wednesday will inhibit daytime heating further, and forecast highs may be lowered more in subsequent forecast packages.

The cooldown should be short-lived as the rex block starts to lean over on Thursday, allowing the upper high portion of the blocking pattern to shift over the Intermountain West and NM. Though mixing will be weak, plenty of sun will allow temperatures to warm quickly. The evolution of how the upper low portion of the blocking pattern ejects eastward is still in question, but for now, southwest flow looks to continue over NM with warm and dry conditions prevailing Friday and Saturday.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1003 AM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

Low clouds and freezing fog are slowly burning off across southeast NM late this morning. Though it may take a few more hours, low clouds should fully erode. A few west to southwesterly breezes will be noted across eastern NM this afternoon with gusts near 20-25kt. Elsewhere, VFR conditions will prevail with light winds.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1125 AM MST Sun Feb 1 2026

No critical fire weather conditions are expected for the next week, though warm and dry conditions will prevail. The only precipitation that is forecast for the next week is some sprinkles and flurries across northeast NM Tuesday night into Wednesday. Above normal temperatures will prevail this week, with only a slight dip below normal on Wednesday following a pair of cold fronts (one Monday night and another Tuesday night). A few west to southwesterly breezes will be noted this afternoon across eastern NM, but stronger westerly winds will develop Monday afternoon as a lee side surface low develops over NE NM. Gusts between 25 and 40 mph are expected Mon aftn from KCQC to the TX border. RH values will also be between 10 and 20 percent across northeast and east central NM on Monday afternoon. This will result in elevated fire weather conditions near the I-40 corridor. The backdoor fronts will raise humidity values across eastern NM on Tue and Wed, but RH will fall back below or near 20% for the end of the work week in these areas. Pockets of poor ventilation will be a concern for Monday and Tuesday, but more widespread poor ventilation is expected on Wednesday across central and western NM and all areas by Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 25 55 22 54 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 20 55 16 54 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 24 55 22 52 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 18 60 16 57 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 27 57 22 55 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 19 60 18 58 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 26 58 23 56 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 32 61 31 57 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 28 57 27 55 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 26 66 25 64 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 29 68 27 69 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 20 49 17 48 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 32 53 31 51 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 29 57 25 53 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 28 50 24 49 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 17 43 15 40 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 7 49 6 46 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 18 55 17 52 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 29 58 22 54 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 24 61 23 58 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 30 55 29 52 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 26 57 25 54 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 34 60 34 57 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 32 61 32 60 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 28 63 28 62 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 32 62 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 22 62 25 60 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 30 63 30 61 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 23 63 24 61 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 30 64 30 62 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 24 62 26 60 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 32 58 32 56 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 31 63 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 31 65 33 63 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 32 55 30 52 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 32 55 31 53 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 28 57 26 55 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 19 60 19 57 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 29 54 26 51 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 29 58 27 56 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 29 59 26 57 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 32 59 32 60 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 34 54 31 54 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 27 59 21 52 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 21 61 20 55 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 20 65 20 58 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 26 62 23 56 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 33 64 29 57 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 26 65 25 56 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 25 69 27 62 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 32 67 27 59 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 27 70 26 61 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 30 67 31 59 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 29 68 30 59 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 24 69 28 60 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 26 60 32 59 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 32 68 33 59 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 31 67 30 60 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.