textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 605 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

- Arroyos, rivers and streams will continue to run high today after recent rainfall. Stay away from river banks.

- Patchy fog may reduce visibility at times each morning through Friday.

- Northerly wind gusts between 40 and 50 mph will cause strong crosswinds on east to west oriented roads across northeast NM today.

UPDATE

Issued at 605 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Quick update to include the Far Northeast Highlands into the Wind Advisory for today. Raton Airport recently gusted to 51 mph as light rain helped to bring down the stronger momentum from aloft. This may continue to occur today. New NPW already out.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Friday) Issued at 107 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

The upper low is exiting northeast NM early this morning. Light showers continue to linger across northeast NM but no additional impacts are expected. Main concern through the rest of the morning is patchy fog and low clouds across western and portions of central NM. Visibility may drop to one half mile at times, but it remains difficult to say where has the best chances since all areas are saturated after the recent rainfall.

Northerly wind gusts near 30-35 kt have already been noted across far northeast NM early this morning. The H7 low will be centered over the OK Panhandle by mid morning and models indicate 50kt northerly winds over NE NM on the back side of the low. While it's not likely that all of this momentum will make it to the surface, it is likely that gusty winds will plague northeast NM much of the day. Gusts between 40 and 50 mph will be common, though a few gusts over 50 mph are not out of the question. Have issued a Wind Advisory for the Bartlett and Johnson Mesas (Raton Pass) as well as Union County. Later shifts will need to monitor if the Wind Advisory will need to be expanded to Harding County and the I-25 corridor south of Raton.

The northerly upslope flow onto the Raton Ridge will keep showers going in this area throughout the day. Then, while the main upper low continues to track east-northeastward, some energy will peel off and develop a new weaker low over south central NM that may retrograde slightly going into Friday. As this occurs, surface winds will veer around to the northeast and east, allowing moist upslope flow over the eastern plains and south central mountains late tonight into Friday morning. Precipitation amounts are expected to be light (<0.10" in most locations and no more than 0.25"). In fact, it may be drizzle across the eastern plains rather than rain Thursday night. A weak to moderate gap wind is expected in the Rio Grande Valley (gusts near 25-30 mph) Thursday night as well. Light showers will continue through the day on Friday across the south central mountains. Elsewhere, quiet conditions on tap with slightly warmer temperatures.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 107 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

While the new upper low center remains across far south central or southeast NM on Friday night, an upper level high will be building in from the northwest. The upper high will become more and more dominant over NM through the weekend allowing temperatures to climb, and keeping precipitation chances nil. Light winds are expected Saturday, but easterly flow increases a bit on Sunday. A few gusts near 20-25 mph will develop during the afternoon. Otherwise, it should be a beautiful weekend to get outside.

Not much change is in store for Monday as the upper high weakens. It continues to look like an upper level shortwave will cross NM on Tuesday. Models are struggling with the details, but it does look like at least some precipitation will be in store. The GFS and GEFS are more robust with precipitation than other models though. Some light precipitation may linger Wednesday, but another upper high should begin building over the Desert Southwest.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 512 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Light rain will persist across far northeast NM today. Low VFR cigs will be common with this activity, though some brief excursions into MVFR is possible. Low clouds have also developed across portions of western NM early this morning and it's likely some patchy fog exists as well. IFR to MVFR cigs should improve by 17Z today. Northerly winds with gusts around 35kt have already developed across far northeast NM. These wind gusts will increase in speed to between 35 and 45kt through mid afternoon across northeast NM, while gusts near 30-35kt will be more common across east central areas. Additional showers or drizzle will develop this evening and overnight near and east of the Central Mountain Chain. VFR cigs will lower to MVFR overnight across eastern NM. Another round of low clouds and patchy fog will also be possible across valley locations of northern NM.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 107 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

No fire weather concerns for the next several days due to recent rainfall. Gusty north winds will persist across northeast and east central NM today. Gusts between 30 and 50 mph are expected. Light showers will continue across the northeast with additional showers developing tonight across east central NM. Quiet conditions expected over the weekend, though poor ventilation is expected for most areas on Saturday. There are low chances for precipitation Tuesday and Wednesday as a shortwave crosses NM.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 72 49 75 48 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 71 41 73 42 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 67 44 65 44 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 69 42 72 41 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 67 42 66 41 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 67 41 67 40 / 0 5 0 0 Quemado......................... 67 44 66 42 / 0 5 0 0 Magdalena....................... 64 47 63 45 / 0 10 5 0 Datil........................... 63 43 61 42 / 0 5 0 0 Reserve......................... 72 47 71 45 / 0 5 0 0 Glenwood........................ 77 51 76 49 / 0 5 0 0 Chama........................... 61 40 68 41 / 5 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 64 46 67 51 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 63 41 67 42 / 0 5 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 58 38 67 40 / 5 0 0 0 Red River....................... 49 34 60 37 / 20 5 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 51 31 63 27 / 20 5 0 0 Taos............................ 62 38 69 38 / 0 5 0 0 Mora............................ 59 40 64 41 / 5 5 0 0 Espanola........................ 69 44 71 46 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 63 42 66 42 / 0 5 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 66 43 67 43 / 0 5 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 69 49 71 51 / 0 5 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 71 50 72 53 / 0 5 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 73 52 73 54 / 0 5 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 72 49 72 52 / 0 5 0 0 Belen........................... 73 52 72 50 / 5 5 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 72 48 73 50 / 0 5 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 73 50 73 50 / 5 5 0 0 Corrales........................ 72 49 73 51 / 0 5 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 73 50 72 50 / 5 5 0 0 Placitas........................ 69 47 70 48 / 0 5 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 72 49 72 49 / 0 5 0 0 Socorro......................... 71 51 71 49 / 10 10 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 63 45 64 45 / 5 5 5 0 Tijeras......................... 66 46 67 46 / 5 5 5 0 Edgewood........................ 64 45 66 43 / 5 5 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 66 41 67 39 / 5 5 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 61 43 61 44 / 0 5 5 0 Mountainair..................... 63 46 63 43 / 10 5 5 0 Gran Quivira.................... 63 46 62 43 / 10 5 5 0 Carrizozo....................... 67 52 64 48 / 0 30 20 0 Ruidoso......................... 61 47 56 46 / 5 60 50 20 Capulin......................... 53 44 64 43 / 80 30 0 0 Raton........................... 58 42 68 41 / 70 10 0 0 Springer........................ 62 42 69 42 / 10 5 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 60 41 64 42 / 0 5 0 0 Clayton......................... 61 50 66 48 / 80 40 0 0 Roy............................. 62 46 66 45 / 5 10 0 0 Conchas......................... 70 54 70 51 / 5 10 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 68 53 67 50 / 5 10 5 0 Tucumcari....................... 69 52 67 50 / 10 20 10 0 Clovis.......................... 69 51 65 48 / 10 30 10 0 Portales........................ 71 55 66 51 / 10 20 10 0 Fort Sumner..................... 71 56 69 52 / 0 10 5 0 Roswell......................... 76 56 69 53 / 0 10 20 5 Picacho......................... 70 53 62 51 / 0 60 70 30 Elk............................. 67 51 60 49 / 5 70 70 40

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Wind Advisory until 5 PM MDT this afternoon for NMZ227-228-230.