textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 354 AM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

- Overall pleasant weather and temperatures are forecast through the next 7 days, with modest temperature fluctuations across eastern NM.

- A dusting of light snow and flurries may develop across northeast NM Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. Otherwise, dry conditions continue areawide.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Wednesday) Issued at 1206 AM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

Synoptic weather pattern amplification will be the story through Wednesday as a Rex block sets up over the Intermountain West and northerly flow aloft increases over the southern Rockies and NM. This pattern will produce two backdoor cold frontal passages, with the first and weaker passage currently progressing south down the eastern plains. The second and stronger backdoor cold front will push down the eastern plains tonight into early Wednesday, with notable cold air advection resulting in highs that will be 5-10 degrees cooler than today's. Flurries and light snow are possible along the CO border near Raton Pass late tonight into Wednesday as a shortwave trough embedded in northerly flow aloft interacts with upslope forcing from winds behind the backdoor cold front, but little-to-no accumulation is expected. The front door segment of the cold front will bring more limited cooling to areas west of the central mountain chain on Wednesday, with temperatures forecast to remain above average. The backdoor segment of the cold front will likely result in a gusty east canyon/gap wind into the Rio Grande and Upper Tularosa Valleys early Wednesday, but speeds are forecast to remain well below advisory criteria.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday night through Monday) Issued at 1206 AM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

The Rex block is forecast to break down Wednesday night into Thursday, with the upper high portion of the block weakening as it progresses east across the Rockies and NM by Friday. This pattern will bring continued dry conditions with a warming trend through Saturday, with temperatures rising above average areawide by Friday. The upper low portion of the Rex block is forecast to hang back over the Baja Peninsula and drift slowly east into northern NM through the weekend, potentially tapping Pacific moisture and resulting in precipitation late Sunday into Monday across the region. However, low forecast confidence for late in the weekend and early next week given model run-to-run inconsistency and model spread among the 00Z medium range solutions. The polar jetstream looks to be a player beyond Monday of next week, with a potential pattern change that may bring significant troughing to the west coast.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 354 AM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist through the TAF period. Breezy northerly winds will prevail behind a weak cold front today, with gusts to between 20-30kts across much of northern NM.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1206 AM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

Critical fire weather conditions are not forecast through at least the next seven days. Good mixing and mostly fair to good vent rates are forecast today, but vent rates will trend down the next few days and become mostly poor by Thursday as an upper level ridge shifts east over the Rockies and NM. Dry conditions will persist with a warming trend from Thursday through Saturday, with temperatures rising above average areawide. A Pacific low may bring increased humidity and chances for wetting precipitation later in the weekend and into early next week, but low forecast confidence in that scenario at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 55 25 54 25 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 53 16 54 17 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 52 22 49 22 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 58 18 56 16 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 56 21 53 18 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 58 19 54 16 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 57 23 55 20 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 58 29 51 27 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 57 25 51 22 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 64 25 62 21 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 69 29 66 25 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 47 16 47 16 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 53 27 48 28 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 52 21 47 23 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 48 20 45 19 / 0 5 5 0 Red River....................... 43 15 40 16 / 5 10 10 0 Angel Fire...................... 46 7 42 2 / 0 5 5 0 Taos............................ 51 18 48 15 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 53 19 46 21 / 0 10 0 0 Espanola........................ 58 23 54 23 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 53 26 49 26 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 57 24 52 24 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 58 31 53 31 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 60 32 55 32 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 62 25 57 25 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 61 30 55 29 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 61 27 57 25 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 61 28 56 28 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 61 26 57 24 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 61 28 56 27 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 61 27 57 26 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 57 29 53 29 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 60 29 55 29 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 63 31 58 28 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 53 26 49 27 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 54 28 50 27 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 55 25 49 23 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 57 21 50 18 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 53 24 45 23 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 56 25 50 24 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 57 27 50 24 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 59 31 53 27 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 54 25 45 24 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 52 19 42 18 / 5 10 0 0 Raton........................... 56 19 47 18 / 5 10 5 0 Springer........................ 59 20 49 17 / 0 10 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 56 21 46 21 / 0 5 0 0 Clayton......................... 58 27 49 27 / 0 10 0 0 Roy............................. 56 24 49 23 / 0 10 0 0 Conchas......................... 63 28 56 25 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 62 28 52 26 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 63 27 56 25 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 60 30 53 26 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 61 28 55 25 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 61 29 55 24 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 59 31 56 25 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 60 32 51 27 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 59 29 49 24 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.