textproduct: Albuquerque
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Issued at 420 AM MST Sat Nov 7 2026 - Light rain showers and high terrain snow will move across south central and southeast New Mexico this morning tapering off early this afternoon.
- Tranquil conditions expected across northern and central New Mexico next week.
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1133 PM MST Fri Nov 6 2026
An upper low is currently diving south from Arizona to over Sonora, Mexico. Upper level divergence ahead of the low is resulting in scattered to numerous rain and mountain peak snow showers across southern NM with some of the activity moving across Socorro, Lincoln and Chaves County. This will gradually shift east through midday Saturday before tapering off Saturday afternoon. Rainfall amounts will generally be below 0.25 inches across this area through Saturday afternoon. Elsewhere, some low clouds and patchy fog will try to develop over valley locations of west-central NM Saturday morning as mid levels dry out, but low levels remain nearly saturated. Mostly clear skies along and north of I-40 during the day Saturday. Clouds south of I-40 gradually taper off from northwest to southeast Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening as the upper low drifts east across north central Mexico. Near average high temperatures along and north of I-40, but below average high temperatures by 5 to 15 degrees along and south of I-40 due to the aforementioned precipitation and cloud cover. Seasonably chilly Saturday night into Sunday morning under mostly clear skies with light winds. A splendid Sunday is expected with mostly clear skies, very light winds, and near average temperatures as the state sits in between an upper level ridge to the north and the upper low over north central Mexico.
LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1133 PM MST Fri Nov 6 2026
Upper level ridging over southern California Sunday expands east over much of the desert SW Monday as the upper low over Mexico shifts northeast over Texas. High temperatures across the area increase a few degrees compared to Sunday with light winds and mostly sunny skies continuing. The weak ridge overhead breaks down Tuesday as a trough moves southeast across the northern and central Rockies and Great Plains. No noticeable changes in the sensible weather compared to Monday. Upper level ridging over the Great Basin and troughing over the Great Plains helps sends a weak backdoor front through eastern NM Wednesday morning resulting in light north winds. The upper ridge slides east closer to the state Thursday before moving overhead Friday allowing the tranquil November weather to continue! High clouds move in from the west late in the day Friday as a storm system moves into the Pacific coast. High temperatures next week will be near to slightly above average, while low temperatures will be slightly to well above average for mid November.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 420 AM MST Sat Nov 7 2026
Light showers with brief periods of MVFR ceilings across south- central NM and southeast NM through midday. Some IFR/LIFR conditions likely limited to the high terrain. Some low clouds and patchy fog resulting in areas of IFR conditions for valley locations across west-central NM, including KGNT and near KGUP. Mostly clear skies north of I-40 come late this morning with clouds clearing across south central and parts of southeast NM this evening. Potential for low clouds/patchy fog across the lower Pecos River Valley, Estancia Valley and San Juan River Valley at the end of the TAF period early Sunday morning.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1133 PM MST Fri Nov 6 2026
No critical fire weather concerns are expected through late next week. Light showers across south central and southeast NM through midday Saturday before skies clear across these areas late Saturday. Tranquil weather is expected areawide through late next week. High temperatures will be near to slightly above average, while low temperatures will be slightly to well above average for mid November. Ventilation will generally be poor with some areas of fair to locally good ventilation across the southwest mountains this weekend, east central New Mexico Monday, and southeast New Mexico Wednesday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Farmington...................... 58 36 59 36 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 61 27 62 29 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 57 33 58 33 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 56 30 59 30 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 56 29 58 29 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 56 32 58 32 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 56 30 59 29 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 54 36 57 37 / 10 0 0 0 Datil........................... 51 34 54 33 / 5 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 61 31 66 29 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 66 32 69 33 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 55 29 56 31 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 55 36 56 36 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 58 30 60 30 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 55 32 57 34 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 49 27 51 28 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 53 17 56 18 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 58 25 59 28 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 57 30 59 30 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 62 31 62 31 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 57 34 58 35 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 59 33 60 33 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 64 40 65 41 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 64 36 65 37 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 66 34 67 32 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 64 39 65 38 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 64 33 66 31 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 66 38 67 36 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 65 30 66 29 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 66 37 66 36 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 64 32 66 31 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 62 39 63 39 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 64 39 65 37 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 63 41 66 41 / 10 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 57 35 59 36 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 59 37 61 38 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 58 33 60 33 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 59 28 62 28 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 54 32 56 33 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 56 32 59 33 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 55 32 59 34 / 5 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 57 38 63 39 / 50 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 46 34 53 36 / 60 0 5 0 Capulin......................... 55 32 56 33 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 60 28 59 29 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 59 29 60 28 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 56 29 58 29 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 61 39 61 41 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 57 33 58 32 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 62 37 64 37 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 57 36 61 37 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 61 35 63 37 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 59 40 64 41 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 59 39 64 42 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 58 37 64 39 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 55 39 59 41 / 60 0 5 0 Picacho......................... 53 38 58 40 / 60 0 5 0 Elk............................. 51 36 57 37 / 70 5 20 5
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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