textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 432 PM MDT Sun Oct 4 2026

- Patchy fog may reduce visibility at times Monday morning. Highest confidence exists near the central mountain chain, protected mountain valleys, and southeast New Mexico.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Monday night) Issued at 1247 PM MDT Sun Oct 4 2026

There are only minor changes to the forecast thru Monday night. Low level easterly flow will subside tonight as the H5 ridge near the Four Corners drifts southward into NM. There are conflicting signals on the coverage of low stratus and fog tonight but the trend is for more the recent nights along and east of the central mt chain. There are low chances for light showers or patches of drizzle from the Sacramento Mts south and eastward. Partial clearing is expected Monday over eastern NM with a couple rain showers possible over the northern high terrain Monday afternoon. Another round of low stratus and patchy fog may form Monday night along and east of the central mt chain but chances are lower than tonight.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 1247 PM MDT Sun Oct 4 2026

An upper level low currently moving onshore northern CA will drift east into the Great Basin Tuesday, meander east/southeast across NM Wednesday and Thursday, then into south TX by Friday. Improving lift with the upper level wave, a 60kt speed max, and sufficient moisture and instability will allow a couple showers to develop over the high terrain each afternoon. Rainfall chances remain very low and precip amounts are light so this activity is mainly to have little impact outside some localized gusty winds. Temps will stay within +/-5F of normal thru Thursday with the warmest values focused over eastern NM.

A poorly defined upper level shortwave ridge will attempt to form over northern NM Friday and Saturday before breaking down ahead of a broader upper level trough approaching from the PacNW. Temps will near normal in this pattern. Light winds Friday will give way to slight southwest breezes by Saturday over eastern NM. The weather pattern will likely become more active beginning Sunday but there is still a lot of uncertainty with the broader synoptic pattern across the western U.S.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 432 PM MDT Sun Oct 4 2026

Shower and weak thunderstorm activity has stayed north of the NM- CO border, but this will likely change into Monday afternoon when a stray storm or two will have better likelihood of impacting northern New Mexico. Clouds will lower and fill in over more of south central to southeastern areas (KSRR-KROW) late tonight into Monday morning. These lower clouds may occasionally cause ceilings to dip into the MVFR category (1,000 to 3,000 ft) while producing drizzle or very light rain. In addition, patchy ground fog cannot be ruled out northward into east central New Mexico and over some of the northern mountains and Raton ridge Monday morning where spotty visibility reductions under a mile will be possible (10 to 30% chance of occurrence). Fog, low clouds, and any drizzle or light rain will erode away and reduce in the late morning with just a few stray mountain showers forecast Monday afternoon.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1247 PM MDT Sun Oct 4 2026

There are no critical fire weather concerns through the forecast period. ERCs remain below normal after the recent record rainfall. Isolated light showers may form around the higher terrain Monday thru Thursday as a weak area of low pressure drifts south over NM. Temps will stay within +/-5 degrees of normal thru next weekend. Daily vent rates will be poor to fair in most areas with a couple pockets of good values thru late week. Breezy south to southwest winds will begin to increase by next weekend, especially for eastern NM.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 53 77 52 78 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 42 75 40 78 / 5 5 5 10 Cuba............................ 45 71 46 75 / 5 0 0 10 Gallup.......................... 45 76 45 76 / 0 0 0 5 El Morro........................ 43 72 44 74 / 0 0 0 10 Grants.......................... 46 72 46 76 / 0 0 0 10 Quemado......................... 43 72 43 74 / 0 0 0 10 Magdalena....................... 47 68 47 72 / 0 0 0 5 Datil........................... 43 67 43 71 / 0 0 0 10 Reserve......................... 45 77 44 80 / 0 0 0 5 Glenwood........................ 50 80 50 83 / 0 0 0 5 Chama........................... 41 70 42 72 / 10 20 5 20 Los Alamos...................... 47 69 49 74 / 0 5 5 5 Pecos........................... 43 72 46 78 / 5 0 5 5 Cerro/Questa.................... 42 71 45 73 / 5 10 5 5 Red River....................... 35 70 37 72 / 5 20 10 5 Angel Fire...................... 32 70 34 72 / 5 10 10 5 Taos............................ 42 72 42 75 / 5 5 5 5 Mora............................ 41 72 46 75 / 0 5 5 5 Espanola........................ 47 75 47 79 / 0 0 0 5 Santa Fe........................ 46 70 48 74 / 5 0 5 5 Santa Fe Airport................ 47 71 46 75 / 0 0 0 5 Albuquerque Foothills........... 52 75 54 77 / 5 0 0 5 Albuquerque Heights............. 53 76 53 77 / 0 0 0 5 Albuquerque Valley.............. 54 77 53 80 / 0 0 0 5 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 52 75 53 79 / 0 0 0 5 Belen........................... 52 75 51 78 / 0 0 0 5 Bernalillo...................... 51 77 51 80 / 0 0 0 5 Bosque Farms.................... 52 76 51 79 / 0 0 0 5 Corrales........................ 52 77 52 81 / 0 0 0 5 Los Lunas....................... 53 76 52 79 / 0 0 0 5 Placitas........................ 51 74 52 76 / 5 0 0 5 Rio Rancho...................... 52 76 52 80 / 0 0 0 5 Socorro......................... 53 76 53 79 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 47 70 49 73 / 5 0 0 5 Tijeras......................... 46 73 48 77 / 5 0 0 5 Edgewood........................ 45 73 46 78 / 0 0 0 5 Moriarty/Estancia............... 45 73 44 78 / 0 0 0 5 Clines Corners.................. 45 69 48 76 / 5 0 0 5 Mountainair..................... 45 70 47 74 / 5 0 0 5 Gran Quivira.................... 46 69 47 72 / 0 0 0 5 Carrizozo....................... 50 72 52 74 / 5 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 46 67 45 71 / 20 5 5 5 Capulin......................... 45 71 47 76 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 44 74 44 81 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 44 75 43 82 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 43 70 44 76 / 5 0 0 5 Clayton......................... 51 74 53 82 / 5 0 0 0 Roy............................. 47 70 46 79 / 0 5 0 0 Conchas......................... 53 77 54 83 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 51 74 52 80 / 5 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 53 79 56 83 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 54 76 56 81 / 5 5 0 0 Portales........................ 54 76 57 81 / 5 5 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 54 75 55 81 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 58 78 56 83 / 5 20 0 0 Picacho......................... 53 74 52 81 / 10 5 0 0 Elk............................. 51 73 48 79 / 20 10 0 5

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.