textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 447 AM MST Sun Nov 30 2025

- Falling temperatures are expected Sunday with highs on Monday varying from a few to as much as 15 degrees below 30-year averages. Even colder temperatures are expected Thursday. - Accumulating snow will make roads slick in the north central and northwest mountains Sunday night into Monday morning, as well as the Chuska Mountains. Travel may become difficult through the Tusas Mountains. - Accumulating snow may again make roads slick in many locations above 6,000 feet from the east slopes of the central mountain chain westward Wednesday afternoon through Thursday, including portions of I-25 and I-40 from Las Vegas to Moriarty and Clines Corners. The heaviest snow currently looks to impact the northern mountains, where travel may become difficult.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday) Issued at 1233 AM MST Sun Nov 30 2025

Gusty east canyon winds will taper off toward sunrise this morning, when the Sunport should finally, officially drop below freezing for the first time this season. This will be the latest first freeze on record for the Sunport, smashing the previous latest first freeze which occurred on November 22, 2007. Otherwise, widespread low clouds east of the central mountain chain, as well as around Los Alamos and Santa Fe, will gradually diminish by mid morning Sunday. Surface winds will then veer out of the south and southwest during midday and afternoon. Despite the southerly winds, in the wake of the backdoor cold front that crossed on Saturday, high temperatures on Sunday will fall a few degrees across western parts of the forecast area, several degrees across central parts, and up to 26 degrees on the eastern plains.

Sunday night and early Monday, a quick hitting upper level trough and Pacific cold front will swing through the central Rockies and northern NM from the northwest, while producing accumulating snow in New Mexico's northern mountains and northwest highlands near and above 7000 feet. A few inches of snow are expected from Dulce to Chama, and as much as 8 inches in the Tusas Mountains where a Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 6 PM Sunday until 8 AM Monday. A few inches of snow are also expected above 8000 feet in the Chuska Mountains, as well as the Sangre de Cristo Mountains where up to a half foot of fresh powder is forecast on the highest peaks. High temperatures on Monday are forecast to fall a few to 13 degrees from Sunday's readings along and west of the central mountain chain, while warming up to 12 degrees on the eastern plains.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 1233 AM MST Sun Nov 30 2025

In between systems on Tuesday, high temperatures will climb a few to 15 degrees from Monday's readings, varying within 5 degrees either side of 30-year averages.

A deeper upper level trough and Pacific cold front will then cross from the northwest with more widespread precipitation Wednesday afternoon through Thursday. Ensemble cluster analysis indicates models are coming into better agreement with this system, with the two most likely scenarios depicting a closed upper level low pressure system forming over AZ Wednesday and Wednesday night, then probably opening into a trough as it tracks eastward over northern and central NM on Thursday. Ahead of the upper level trough a backdoor cold front will dive southwestward through the eastern plains Tuesday night, then through gaps in the central mountain chain with a moderately gusty east wind below canyons opening into the central valley Wednesday night. Snow levels will probably vary around 5000-7000 feet Wednesday afternoon and night, except east of the central mountain chain where snow levels may fall near 4000 feet by Thursday morning. Most of the precipitation will probably fall Wednesday night and Thursday, with a few to several inches of accumulation in the northern mountains above 8000 feet, and a few inches elsewhere as low as 6000 feet from the east slopes of the central mountain chain to the continental divide. Models vary on how quickly the upper trough will exit Thursday night, so some wintry precip may linger. High temperatures look to bottom out in most places on Thursday with readings around 3-20 degrees bellow 1991-2020 averages.

Dry and probably gusty northwest flow aloft is then forecast at the end of the week with with gradually warming temperatures.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 447 AM MST Sun Nov 30 2025

Areas of MVFR and low VFR conditions will continue until mid day over north central areas and across much of the eastern plains. Localized IFR conditions will be possible, especially along mountain slopes like Los Alamos and Questa where mountain slope obscurations are likely. The flow will then veer out of the south and southwest and become gusty this afternoon. A gusty Pacific cold front will shift winds out of the west and northwest tonight in locations west of the central mountain chain. The front will be accompanied by snow showers producing MVFR and localized IFR conditions. Much of the northern mountains will become obscured in accumulating snow tonight into early Monday morning.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1233 AM MST Sun Nov 30 2025

Minimum humidities are forecast to stay above 15 percent for the next seven days. South and southwest winds will probably gust up to 40 mph Sunday afternoon around Gallup, and from Las Vegas to Raton and Clayton. There is a roughly 50 percent chance that southwest winds will gust up to 45 mph from Clines Corners eastward Tuesday afternoon. Gap winds in the central valley may reach up to 35 mph from Santa Fe southward through Albuquerque and east of Socorro Wednesday night. Chances are increasing that northwest winds will gust in the 30-40 mph range in many locations Friday and Saturday, with the greatest risk over the mountains and east central areas. Areas of poor ventilation Sunday and Monday should become broader Tuesday and Wednesday, then widespread Thursday and Friday, before some ventilation improvement over western and south central parts of the fire weather forecast area on Saturday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 52 27 42 21 / 5 60 0 0 Dulce........................... 47 20 40 10 / 30 80 10 0 Cuba............................ 44 22 37 14 / 0 60 10 0 Gallup.......................... 53 20 43 11 / 0 50 5 0 El Morro........................ 52 25 42 19 / 0 20 10 0 Grants.......................... 55 24 45 11 / 0 30 5 0 Quemado......................... 57 29 44 18 / 0 5 5 0 Magdalena....................... 54 32 48 25 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 53 29 45 21 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 58 25 52 19 / 0 0 5 0 Glenwood........................ 63 30 59 24 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 41 18 33 9 / 30 90 20 0 Los Alamos...................... 42 28 40 21 / 0 60 10 0 Pecos........................... 43 25 42 19 / 0 30 10 5 Cerro/Questa.................... 41 23 35 16 / 5 70 30 0 Red River....................... 34 18 27 10 / 0 70 30 0 Angel Fire...................... 40 14 34 0 / 0 60 20 5 Taos............................ 44 22 38 10 / 0 70 20 0 Mora............................ 44 22 40 15 / 0 40 10 5 Espanola........................ 49 26 46 16 / 0 60 10 0 Santa Fe........................ 43 28 41 22 / 0 40 5 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 46 27 44 19 / 0 40 5 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 51 35 47 29 / 0 20 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 54 34 50 24 / 0 10 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 55 33 52 22 / 0 10 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 52 35 50 24 / 0 20 0 0 Belen........................... 55 30 53 19 / 0 5 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 52 33 49 23 / 0 20 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 55 31 52 17 / 0 10 0 0 Corrales........................ 54 34 50 23 / 0 20 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 55 32 52 20 / 0 10 0 0 Placitas........................ 49 33 46 26 / 0 20 5 0 Rio Rancho...................... 52 34 49 24 / 0 20 0 0 Socorro......................... 57 33 56 25 / 0 5 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 46 30 42 22 / 0 20 0 0 Tijeras......................... 48 31 44 24 / 0 10 0 0 Edgewood........................ 50 29 44 19 / 0 10 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 51 28 47 13 / 0 10 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 43 27 43 19 / 0 5 0 0 Mountainair..................... 49 30 46 22 / 0 5 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 49 30 47 22 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 52 33 52 27 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 49 34 48 27 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 31 14 32 14 / 0 10 10 0 Raton........................... 35 15 37 11 / 0 30 20 0 Springer........................ 39 16 41 12 / 0 20 5 0 Las Vegas....................... 37 22 43 16 / 0 10 5 0 Clayton......................... 34 20 38 19 / 0 5 5 0 Roy............................. 35 18 41 16 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 42 22 47 19 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 40 22 50 20 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 42 22 45 19 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 39 22 47 21 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 40 20 51 19 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 42 20 52 19 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 45 25 57 25 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 45 25 57 25 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 51 28 57 24 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 8 AM MST Monday for NMZ210.