textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 443 PM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

- Overall pleasant weather and temperatures are forecast through the next 5 days, with modest temperature fluctuations across eastern NM.

- A dusting of light snow and flurries may develop across northeast NM tonight through Wednesday morning. Otherwise, dry conditions continue areawide thru Saturday.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 1134 AM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

Pleasant weather conditions are present over New Mexico today, albeit with some breezy to locally gusty northwesterly winds expected to fill in to parts of the Four Corners and central highland areas this afternoon. A subtle shortwave perturbation embedded within the troughing pattern digging southward down the Rocky Mts will bring a modest cold front advancing south and westward thru eastern NM tonight into Wednesday morning. A brief round of gusty northerly winds will accompany this front heading into Wednesday morning along the TX border from Clayton to Clovis. Meanwhile, the westward extent of the front will push thru the gaps of the central mountain chain bringing a modest east canyon wind to eastern Albuquerque and down to Carrizozo. Southeasterly winds wrapping around the southern edge of the Sangre de Cristo Mts will battle a northerly drainage wind at Santa Fe, allowing for erratic wind directions there. Little to no precipitation is expected with the cold front, favoring along light flurries over parts of northeastern NM late tonight.

High temperatures trend cooler 5F to 10F mainly along and east of the Rio Grande Valley behind this cold front Wednesday, with highs in the 40s and 50s. Winds taper off thru the day and into Wednesday night.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Monday) Issued at 1134 AM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

The Rex-Block pattern currently present west of the region along the CA and Baja coasts will break down Thursday with the ridge portion sliding eastward and flattening over NM. A general warming trend with light winds will be the rule Thursday and Friday. The H5 low portion of the original Rex-Block pattern will lag behind looking to cross the region at some point this weekend into early next week. Notable inconsistencies b/w models and run-to-run remain with the evolution and track of this upper low, in turn keeping low forecast confidence for when increased precipitation chances arrive into the state. This forecast package will take the favored more progressive track with the H5 low bringing the best precipitation chances to the southern half of the state Sunday into Monday.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 443 PM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

Winds are a bit gusty, but speeds will trend down through the early evening. Just a few high, fair weather cirrus are moving over northern New Mexico, but these will thin out through the evening, leaving mostly clear skies. Another cold front will move into New Mexico tonight. Moisture associated with it will be minimal with just a few sprinkles or flurries forecast over far northeastern areas of the state tonight into early Wednesday morning. Breezy conditions will accompany the front for a few hours as it passes through later tonight into Wednesday, including in some central areas (like KABQ) as it sneaks west of the central mountain chain. Otherwise, VFR conditions will be dominant across northern and central New Mexico.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1134 AM MST Tue Feb 3 2026

Elevated fire weather conditions will be present for some areas today where gusty northwesterly to westerly winds setup. Otherwise, a cold front will bring a slight cool down to the eastern half of the forecast area Wednesday. A general warming trend with light winds are the rule Thursday and Friday. Dry conditions persist through at least Sunday when high precipitation chances arrive.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 25 54 25 56 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 16 55 18 59 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 22 50 23 56 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 18 55 16 59 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 25 52 24 58 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 18 54 17 59 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 23 55 22 60 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 30 50 28 55 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 26 49 24 55 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 23 63 20 63 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 27 68 23 66 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 17 48 19 54 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 27 47 28 54 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 21 48 23 58 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 21 46 24 54 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 16 39 20 48 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 9 43 11 54 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 17 49 16 58 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 18 48 23 60 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 21 55 21 61 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 26 49 28 56 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 24 51 25 56 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 32 54 33 58 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 30 55 30 59 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 28 57 28 61 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 30 55 30 59 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 24 57 23 59 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 29 56 29 60 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 25 57 23 61 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 29 57 28 61 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 26 57 25 60 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 31 52 31 56 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 30 56 29 59 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 31 59 28 61 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 27 48 28 53 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 29 50 30 53 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 25 50 25 57 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 20 51 18 59 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 24 45 24 54 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 25 50 26 56 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 26 51 25 56 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 31 55 27 56 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 27 47 26 56 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 20 43 21 58 / 10 0 0 0 Raton........................... 19 47 19 60 / 10 0 0 0 Springer........................ 18 50 18 63 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 20 48 22 61 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 28 49 27 65 / 10 0 0 0 Roy............................. 23 49 23 62 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 27 57 23 68 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 27 52 26 64 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 27 56 25 68 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 30 54 27 65 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 29 57 26 65 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 27 55 23 65 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 30 55 25 61 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 30 52 26 64 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 26 52 23 63 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.