textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 501 AM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026

- Moderate to major heat risk will impact many lower elevations of New Mexico through at least Tuesday. Record heat is likely today across much of western and central New Mexico.

- Isolated showers and storms today and Monday will become scattered Tuesday through the end of the week. Stronger storms will produce gusty outflow winds, heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning strikes.

- Smoke from wildfires in Utah and Colorado may begin to impact are quality across northwest and north central NM Tuesday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 1220 AM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026

The Monsoon high will continue to weaken today, down to near 594dam at 500mb along the AZ/NM border. Drier air aloft will get steered further east into central NM around the upper high circulation, bringing larger diurnal temperature ranges and an increased heat risk despite the lower pressure heights. A Heat Advisory is in effect for a number of lower elevation zones and has been expanded to include Quay and eastern San Miguel Counties, where highs are forecast to reach 105 degrees today. Today's crop of daytime heating initiated convection will be similar to yesterdays, with more robust storms forecast in the Southwest Mountains where PWATs are higher. Storms elsewhere will favor strong/erratic wind gusts over wetting (>0.10") rainfall. That will change on Tuesday as a backdoor front replenishes moisture along the central mountain chain and leads to an uptick in storm coverage. 0-6km bulk shear is forecast to increase to 30-35kts along and immediately east of the Sangre De Cristos on Tuesday and the SPC has included that area in a marginal risk for severe storms on the day 2 convective outlook. Meanwhile, northwest NM will remain hot and dry, with more moderate to major heat risk for the Northwest and West Central Plateaus. Lastly, smoke from UT/CO wildfires will likely begin to be steered southeast into NM on Tuesday, creating air quality impacts.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 1220 AM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Similar setup Wednesday, but with less shear and a lower risk for severe storms. The Southwest Mountains will continue to be favored for more robust convection due to higher PWATs, with the potential for locally heavy rainfall given slow storm motion. A moderate to major heat risk is forecast Wednesday across the Northwest Plateau and another advisory may be required. Smoke impacts from UT/CO wildfires will likely persist, especially across northwest and north central NM. The Monsoon high is then forecast to move northwest to over NV/UT through the end of the week, but will extend a ridge axis into northwest NM and keep conditions hot and dry there. High temperatures in Farmington are forecast to reach 100 degrees or greater through at least Friday, making this the longest streak of 100+ degree days in Farmington ever in the month of August (previously 3 days). Elsewhere, above average temperatures and below average convective coverage for early August are forecast to persist.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 501 AM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026

VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist through the TAF period. Thunderstorm probabilities are too low to include in the TAFs at this time. Gusty late afternoon winds are expected, but otherwise winds will be light.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1220 AM MDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Critical fire weather conditions are not forecast through at least the next seven days as the Monsoon high moves around the region, bringing a combination of heat and chances for wetting storms. A backdoor front will bring higher humidity and improved chances for wetting storms to central NM on Tuesday. Hotter and drier conditions will persist through the week across northwest NM, while chances for wetting storms favor the mountains. Humidity recovery will generally be poor to fair northwest and fair to good elsewhere through the period.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 102 66 101 67 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 96 55 97 54 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 95 63 94 60 / 0 0 5 10 Gallup.......................... 98 63 98 60 / 5 0 5 5 El Morro........................ 94 59 91 57 / 5 5 20 10 Grants.......................... 97 63 95 60 / 5 5 20 20 Quemado......................... 93 62 92 60 / 5 20 20 20 Magdalena....................... 95 66 92 64 / 10 10 20 40 Datil........................... 92 62 89 60 / 10 20 40 20 Reserve......................... 95 60 95 59 / 30 20 50 30 Glenwood........................ 98 63 97 63 / 50 20 70 30 Chama........................... 91 57 89 54 / 0 0 10 5 Los Alamos...................... 95 66 89 61 / 10 0 30 20 Pecos........................... 96 61 87 58 / 5 5 40 20 Cerro/Questa.................... 92 60 89 57 / 5 0 40 30 Red River....................... 85 47 78 46 / 0 5 70 40 Angel Fire...................... 88 43 82 41 / 0 5 70 30 Taos............................ 96 59 92 54 / 0 0 30 20 Mora............................ 92 58 82 54 / 5 0 60 30 Espanola........................ 101 64 96 62 / 5 0 20 20 Santa Fe........................ 96 66 90 64 / 5 0 30 20 Santa Fe Airport................ 100 64 93 62 / 5 5 20 20 Albuquerque Foothills........... 100 71 96 65 / 0 5 20 20 Albuquerque Heights............. 102 70 97 67 / 0 10 10 20 Albuquerque Valley.............. 103 70 99 66 / 0 10 10 20 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 102 72 99 68 / 0 5 10 20 Belen........................... 104 68 100 65 / 0 10 5 20 Bernalillo...................... 103 70 99 67 / 0 5 20 20 Bosque Farms.................... 104 68 99 64 / 0 10 10 20 Corrales........................ 103 71 99 68 / 0 5 10 20 Los Lunas....................... 103 69 99 66 / 0 10 5 20 Placitas........................ 101 69 95 64 / 0 5 20 20 Rio Rancho...................... 102 71 97 68 / 0 5 10 20 Socorro......................... 103 72 101 70 / 5 5 5 30 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 94 64 88 60 / 0 5 30 30 Tijeras......................... 99 66 92 63 / 0 10 30 30 Edgewood........................ 99 63 91 59 / 0 10 30 30 Moriarty/Estancia............... 100 60 93 57 / 0 10 30 30 Clines Corners.................. 95 64 87 60 / 10 10 20 30 Mountainair..................... 96 63 92 60 / 0 10 30 40 Gran Quivira.................... 95 63 91 61 / 5 10 30 30 Carrizozo....................... 94 70 95 66 / 10 5 20 20 Ruidoso......................... 87 64 86 60 / 20 5 30 20 Capulin......................... 94 58 79 55 / 30 10 40 30 Raton........................... 98 59 84 54 / 20 10 50 40 Springer........................ 101 59 87 55 / 10 10 50 30 Las Vegas....................... 96 59 84 56 / 10 5 30 20 Clayton......................... 100 65 88 63 / 20 20 5 10 Roy............................. 98 64 85 61 / 20 10 10 20 Conchas......................... 106 71 94 67 / 10 10 5 10 Santa Rosa...................... 104 68 93 65 / 10 10 0 10 Tucumcari....................... 105 72 97 68 / 0 5 0 10 Clovis.......................... 100 69 97 67 / 0 0 10 0 Portales........................ 102 71 98 69 / 0 0 5 0 Fort Sumner..................... 103 71 98 69 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 104 73 101 72 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 98 68 96 66 / 10 0 0 0 Elk............................. 93 64 93 62 / 10 0 10 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ201-205-207-211-212-217>221-232-234.