textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 412 PM MST Mon Nov 9 2026 - Quiet, dry, and mild conditions will prevail across northern and central New Mexico through the end of the work week.

- Patchy morning fog will continue to impact portions of the lower Pecos River Valley and the Caprock through Tuesday morning.

- The next chance for precipitation arrives late Saturday into Sunday, with rain and high-elevation snow showers expected as a storm system moves into the Desert Southwest.

UPDATE

Issued at 154 PM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

Quick update to lower min temps tonight and again Tuesday night. Temperatures should not be considerably different tonight as compared to last night under clear skies and light winds. Updates out shortly.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 1125 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

High pressure remains the dominant feature across the Desert Southwest, keeping the forecast area under a dry and stable airmass. Mostly clear skies will persist through Tuesday, with daytime high temperatures remaining a little below seasonal normals.

The primary forecast concern in the near term remains the development of fog and low clouds in the lower Pecos River Valley and adjacent Caprock. High-resolution guidance continues to indicate a 40-70% probability for patchy dense fog in these areas tonight into Tuesday morning. Similar to previous nights, these conditions are expected to lift by mid-morning as surface heating increases and winds turn light and variable.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1125 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

For Tuesday night and Wednesday, a weak backdoor front is expected to push into eastern New Mexico. This will bring a temporary shift to breezy north/northeasterly winds and a slight cooling trend for the eastern plains. Elsewhere, upper-level ridging maintains unseasonably mild temperatures. By Wednesday afternoon, temperatures across central and western NM are projected to reach the low to mid-60s, while eastern areas will likely see highs slightly cooler behind the front, generally in the upper 50s to low 60s. Model consensus is high on the lack of synoptic scale forcing through Wednesday, keeping PoPs at near zero.

The quiet weather pattern remains firmly in place through Friday as the upper-level ridge slowly migrates eastward. The National Blend of Models (NBM) maintains high confidence in dry conditions, with highs consistently reaching near or a little above mid- November averages.

By Saturday, the synoptic pattern begins to shift as the longwave trough over the Pacific Northwest deepens and a southern stream shortwave moves into Baja California. While deterministic models initially disagreed on the track of this system, there is now better agreement in moving a trough across the Southwest by Saturday night and Sunday. The NBM and ensemble guidance suggest an increase in moisture, with PoPs rising to 20-30% across the west and south by Sunday. Temperatures will begin a slight downward trend Saturday and Sunday as cloud cover increases and the airmass modifies ahead of the approaching trough. While significant impacts are not currently expected, mountain snow and light valley rain showers will be possible as the system tracks across the region.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 412 PM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist through the TAF period, except at KROW where deterioration to LIFR in low status/fog is forecast overnight. Otherwise, winds will be light through the period.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1125 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

Fire weather concerns remain low this week. Min RH's Tuesday through Friday looking to stay at or above 20%. With good RH recoveries at night. High temperatures will be near or a little above average through the next 5 days with above average lows expected through Friday. Rain and high elevation snow showers look to return to the region on Saturday and into Sunday as the next upper level storm system moves across the area.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 33 59 34 59 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 30 61 29 63 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 32 59 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 27 62 27 61 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 28 61 27 60 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 30 63 30 61 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 29 61 30 63 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 36 63 38 60 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 29 61 30 58 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 31 69 32 68 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 37 71 38 71 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 31 57 31 57 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 39 60 40 59 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 33 64 36 61 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 29 58 31 58 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 26 52 27 52 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 16 58 17 57 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 28 61 30 60 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 32 64 34 59 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 34 66 35 64 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 35 61 36 60 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 33 61 34 62 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 39 65 40 67 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 38 66 40 66 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 35 68 37 69 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 37 67 39 67 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 33 65 34 67 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 36 69 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 32 66 34 67 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 36 68 38 68 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 32 66 34 67 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 38 64 38 65 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 37 68 38 67 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 40 68 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 36 60 36 61 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 36 61 37 63 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 33 64 35 63 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 25 66 30 65 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 35 61 38 59 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 33 64 36 63 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 33 63 35 62 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 39 63 42 66 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 35 62 39 59 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 33 63 36 57 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 29 66 34 61 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 26 68 34 62 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 32 66 38 59 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 40 67 42 62 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 33 64 40 60 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 36 71 42 66 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 36 70 43 64 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 38 70 40 66 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 42 69 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 42 69 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 40 68 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 44 67 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 40 70 46 65 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 37 69 41 65 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.