textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1130 PM MDT Fri Jun 5 2026

- Thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall may create minor flooding over parts of central and eastern New Mexico Saturday. Areas on and downstream of burn scars, including the Ruidoso area, will have the higher risk of flooding. - Isolated light showers and dry thunderstorms over parts of west central New Mexico Saturday may result in strong and erratic gusty winds, dry lightning, and risk of new fire starts.

- Mostly dry and and seasonably hot conditions next week with a moderate risk for heat-related illnesses across the Rio Grande Valley and eastern New Mexico.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 105 PM MDT Fri Jun 5 2026

A well defined upper low can be seen over Chihuahua Mexico and far West Texas this afternoon. Higher moisture (PWATs greater than 0.60 inches) across southern, central and eastern NM has resulted in isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm development across the southern and central mountains early this afternoon with a slow drift south-southwest into nearby lower elevations across central NM this afternoon and evening. A secondary area of scattered thunderstorms is developing across the Permian Basin in southeast NM and far West Texas near the upper low circulation. Any storm across south central and southeast NM will be capable of producing heavy rainfall with localized flash flooding concerns. Drier showers and storms across west central NM could produce dry lightning with little to rainfall reaching the surface. Dry and hot across northwest and far west central NM near an upper high centroid over the Navajo Nation.

Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected to persist across the Permian Basin and lower Pecos River Valley of southeast NM and far West Texas tonight into Saturday morning as the upper low moves northeast over Midland to eventually Lubbock come midday Saturday. Lingering moisture in place (PWATs around 0.6 to 1.1 inches), deformation between the upper level ridge axis over far western NM and the aforementioned upper low. and daytime heating will result in scattered to numerous thunderstorm development across the northern and south central mountains midday moving south-southeast into the adjacent central and eastern highlands and lower elevations Saturday afternoon and early evening before dissipating around sunset due to loss of daytime heating. Like today, a few drier showers and storms across west central New Mexico with dry lightning strikes and little to no rainfall reaching the surface.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 105 PM MDT Fri Jun 5 2026

Upper level ridging moves over the state Sunday with drier air of PWATS between 0.3 to 0.6 inches in place. This will result in dry and hot conditions areawide with some breezy west winds across northwest and far west central NM. The upper high shifts to over the Texas Monday as an upper level trough enters the Pacific coast. Remaining hot with breezy southwest winds across far western NM due to strengthening upper level flow between the upper level trough and high. Some mid level moisture getting pulled up between will result in some high based showers with some gusty and erratic winds across west central NM, the Jemez and Tusas Mountains and nearby lower elevations. For Tuesday and beyond next week, long term ensemble cluster guidance vary on how far south this trough digs across the Intermountain West. A shallower more broad trough will result in drier westerly flow across more of the state preventing higher moisture moving in from the south and southeast. A deeper trough/upper low just west of the state will help pull subtropical moisture north into the state resulting in some thunderstorm development favoring the higher terrain. Regardless, high temperatures look to be seasonably hot during this time with a moderate risk for heat related illnesses across the RGV and eastern NM.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1130 PM MDT Fri Jun 5 2026

A few lingering showers east of the central mt chain late this evening will taper off thru the predawn hours. Mid and high level cloud cover will gradually clear over central and western NM. Another crop of SHRA/TS will form over the central mt chain after 11am Saturday then move south/southeast around 15KT into nearby highlands over eastern NM thru late day. Gusty outflow winds up to 45KT will be the main threat, along with brief heavy rain, small hail, and frequent lightning strikes.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 105 PM MDT Fri Jun 5 2026

A stray to isolated dry thunderstorm across the west central mountains with wetter scattered showers and thunderstorms across the southwest and central mountains and adjacent eastern highlands and east central and southeast plains this afternoon and Saturday afternoon. Drier thunderstorms across west central New Mexico will be capable of producing dry lightning and gusty winds with thunderstorms elsewhere capable of producing locally heavy rainfall, small hail and gusty winds. This weekend, breezy to locally gusty west winds across far western New Mexico combined with minimum relative humidity values in the upper single digits will result in elevated to near critical fire weather conditions. Drier westerly winds and hot conditions areawide Sunday. Dry and breezy southwest winds combined with low relative humidity values in the single digits across far western NM will result in near critical to critical fire weather conditions Monday and Tuesday. Some mid level moisture getting pulled up between will result in some high based showers with some gusty and erratic winds across west central NM, the Jemez and Tusas Mountains and nearby lower elevations. Wetter shower and thunderstorm development could return Tuesday with higher terrain areas being favored but overall confidence is low.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 56 94 57 90 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 45 88 46 85 / 0 10 0 0 Cuba............................ 52 87 55 85 / 0 10 0 0 Gallup.......................... 50 90 50 85 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 51 86 52 82 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 51 89 55 86 / 5 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 54 86 52 84 / 5 0 0 10 Magdalena....................... 57 86 61 86 / 20 10 5 0 Datil........................... 53 85 56 82 / 10 0 0 10 Reserve......................... 49 90 48 89 / 10 5 0 5 Glenwood........................ 51 93 51 93 / 5 0 0 0 Chama........................... 43 81 44 79 / 5 20 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 57 83 58 84 / 0 40 5 0 Pecos........................... 49 84 50 86 / 20 40 10 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 50 82 51 82 / 10 40 20 0 Red River....................... 42 73 43 74 / 5 50 20 0 Angel Fire...................... 41 77 42 78 / 5 50 10 0 Taos............................ 48 85 48 85 / 5 30 10 0 Mora............................ 49 81 50 84 / 20 50 10 0 Espanola........................ 55 91 56 92 / 5 20 5 0 Santa Fe........................ 56 84 57 85 / 5 20 10 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 54 88 54 88 / 5 20 10 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 63 92 65 92 / 5 10 5 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 59 93 62 93 / 10 10 5 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 58 96 62 96 / 10 10 5 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 60 94 63 94 / 10 10 5 0 Belen........................... 56 95 60 95 / 5 5 10 0 Bernalillo...................... 60 94 63 95 / 10 10 5 0 Bosque Farms.................... 55 95 59 95 / 5 10 5 0 Corrales........................ 60 95 63 95 / 10 10 5 0 Los Lunas....................... 56 95 61 95 / 5 10 5 0 Placitas........................ 61 90 63 90 / 5 10 5 0 Rio Rancho...................... 60 94 63 94 / 10 10 5 0 Socorro......................... 61 96 66 97 / 20 10 10 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 56 87 58 87 / 5 10 10 0 Tijeras......................... 55 88 57 88 / 5 10 10 0 Edgewood........................ 52 88 55 88 / 5 20 10 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 48 88 51 90 / 10 20 10 0 Clines Corners.................. 51 83 54 86 / 30 30 10 0 Mountainair..................... 50 87 55 88 / 10 10 10 0 Gran Quivira.................... 50 85 56 87 / 20 20 10 0 Carrizozo....................... 57 87 62 91 / 30 20 10 0 Ruidoso......................... 53 80 57 83 / 40 20 10 5 Capulin......................... 48 80 49 89 / 5 30 20 0 Raton........................... 50 86 50 91 / 5 30 10 0 Springer........................ 49 85 50 92 / 10 30 10 0 Las Vegas....................... 50 82 50 87 / 30 50 10 0 Clayton......................... 56 83 55 95 / 10 10 10 0 Roy............................. 52 82 52 92 / 10 40 20 0 Conchas......................... 58 89 57 100 / 5 20 20 0 Santa Rosa...................... 55 86 55 97 / 10 20 20 0 Tucumcari....................... 59 88 59 100 / 5 20 20 0 Clovis.......................... 59 84 59 96 / 20 20 10 0 Portales........................ 59 84 59 97 / 20 20 10 0 Fort Sumner..................... 57 87 58 100 / 10 20 20 0 Roswell......................... 60 89 61 101 / 20 5 20 0 Picacho......................... 55 86 58 94 / 30 20 20 10 Elk............................. 52 85 57 90 / 30 30 10 10

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.