textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1140 AM MST Sat Jan 31 2026

- Patchy areas of freezing fog and low visibility will gradually dissipate through the afternoon, but is expected to return tonight across the Lower Pecos River Valley around Roswell.

- Near to above normal temperatures will prevail across the region through the next 7 days, except slightly cooler temperatures across eastern New Mexico on Wednesday.

- Flurries may develop across northeast and east central New Mexico Tuesday night through Wednesday morning, otherwise, dry conditions will continue.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Sunday) Issued at 1140 AM MST Sat Jan 31 2026

Low clouds continue to plague eastern NM early this afternoon, though visibilities have been improving. There is some concern that the low clouds will not erode completely across southeast areas, which would keep high temps quite cool today. Even if clouds do erode completely, there is a good chance that they will return overnight into Sunday morning across the lower Pecos River Valley, from Fort Sumner to Roswell. Patchy freezing fog will also be possible. Fortunately, the low clouds and freezing fog will not be as widespread as this morning, and it should erode much faster on Sunday morning. Between this and the upper level ridge moving overhead, temperatures should warm back above normal for all areas, except Roswell.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1140 AM MST Sat Jan 31 2026

The upper level ridge will shift eastward on Sunday night. A weak wave will cross NM on Monday, bringing increased high cloudiness across the area. Temperatures will alter little across western NM, but will rise a few degrees across the east due to downsloping winds. The surface low is expected to deepen near KLVS, thus the strongest westerly winds are expected near the I-40 corridor or just south. At H7, wind speeds increase to near 35kt over the Central Highlands and portions of south central NM. Though mixing heights won't be particularly high, some of this momentum should transfer down to the surface and gusts near 30 or 35 mph around KCQC, with lesser wind gusts elsewhere across eastern NM. As the wave exits the state and the surface low slides southeastward, a backdoor front will slide down the plains Monday night. The front will be weak overall, only dropping Tuesday's high temperatures on the order of 6 to 10 degrees. Otherwise, quiet weather conditions are expected Tuesday despite another weak perturbation in northwest flow crossing the area.

Another shortwave will clip northeast NM Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The combination of another backdoor front and the nose of an upper level jet pushing over the area may be enough lift for a few flurries to develop across northeast and northeast NM, but heavier precipitation seems unlikely at this time given the modest moisture. Meanwhile, a Rex blocking pattern will prevail over the west coast for Wednesday. The upper level high portion of the rex block will slide eastward on Thursday resulting in a highly amplified ridge over the Rockies. Then, the low portion of the rex block should get kicked eastward on Friday by an upstream system, but so far, it looks like just more clouds for NM for Friday.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1019 AM MST Sat Jan 31 2026

Low clouds and patchy freezing fog remains across eastern NM late this morning. Lowest visibility (LIFR) remains around KCVN and KCVS, but these visibility should begin to improve in these areas shortly. Elsewhere, MVFR to IFR cigs and vsbys persist, but should also gradually improve through the afternoon. Improvement will be noted first across northeast NM, while east central and southeast areas will take longer. There is some concern that areas around KROW will not break out of the clouds today, thus TAF amendments may be needed. If KROW does break out of the clouds, there is a good chance they will return overnight into Sunday morning with some visibility reductions in FZFG as well. However, low clouds will not be as widespread across eastern NM as they were this morning. VFR conditions will prevail from the Rio Grande Valley westward.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1140 AM MST Sat Jan 31 2026

Critical fire weather conditions are not expected for the next seven days. One of the main concerns continue to be dry conditions (no significant precipitation over the next week and RH falling below 20% across northeast and east central NM most days over the next week). Winds will be strongest on Monday. The highest speeds will favor the Central Highlands and east central NM in the afternoon with westerly gusts near 25 to 35 mph, before a front pushes through that evening with a few light northerly wind gusts as well. Another concern continues to be periods of poor ventilation. Ventilation rates should be highest on Monday due to the increase in winds, but poor ventilation will prevail elsewhere outside of an hour or two at varying locations.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 22 55 24 57 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 16 57 20 56 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 21 55 24 56 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 14 60 17 60 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 23 59 25 56 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 15 59 18 61 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 22 60 26 58 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 29 56 32 60 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 26 56 28 57 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 24 65 26 65 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 26 68 29 67 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 18 50 19 51 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 29 52 31 54 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 26 56 28 57 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 22 52 27 52 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 14 44 19 44 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 6 48 8 50 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 15 54 17 55 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 23 59 27 59 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 21 59 23 62 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 27 54 30 56 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 24 57 26 58 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 32 58 34 60 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 30 59 32 62 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 26 61 28 63 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 28 59 31 62 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 21 59 24 63 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 28 59 31 63 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 21 60 25 63 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 28 59 30 63 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 22 59 26 63 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 30 56 32 59 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 28 59 32 63 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 27 61 31 67 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 29 53 32 54 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 30 54 32 55 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 25 56 27 57 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 17 59 20 60 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 25 54 28 56 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 25 57 29 58 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 26 57 29 59 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 29 58 32 59 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 30 52 33 54 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 21 57 28 60 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 19 59 21 61 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 19 62 20 65 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 23 59 27 63 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 27 62 33 64 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 24 59 26 64 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 22 67 26 68 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 23 64 32 67 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 21 65 28 69 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 24 63 31 67 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 22 64 29 68 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 19 61 24 68 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 22 56 26 62 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 29 63 32 68 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 28 64 30 67 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.