textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1217 PM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026

- Moderate to major heat risk remains across much of New Mexico, especially the Rio Grande Valley and Four Corners area. Record high temperatures are expected today over central and western New Mexico.

- Limited afternoon thunderstorm activity today slowly increases through late this week. Risk of flash flooding returns to parts of central and western New Mexico mid to late week, including the Ruidoso area burn scars.

- Smoke from wildfires across the region will continue to impact air quality across northern parts of New Mexico through mid week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Tuesday night) Issued at 1217 PM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026

The 18Z KABQ upper air sounding measured a 500mb height of 596dam, down from 599dam a couple of days ago. However, the Monsoon high is still anomalously strong over the region and will continue to result in hot conditions and a moderate to major heat risk for many lower elevation locales through Tuesday. Forecast high temperatures on Tuesday are just below our Heat Advisory criteria, so an additional advisory is not anticipated at this time. Today's crop of daytime heating initiated convection will focus along and west of the central mountain chain, with storms moving south and southwest around the upper high circulation. Storms that develop across the west central and southwest high terrain today and Tuesday will be in a relative higher PWAT environment and more capable of producing locally heavy rainfall than elsewhere.

LONG TERM

(Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 1217 PM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026

By Wednesday, the Monsoon high will be repositioned to over the Gulf Coast and winds in the lower/mid levels of the atmosphere will turn out of the south, transporting moisture north across NM and bringing PWATs back to near average for mid August. PWATs will continue to rise through the end of the work week as troughing along the west coast allows for a continuous moisture feed into the region. Temperatures will trend down and chances for showers and storms will trend up during the Wednesday through Saturday period, bringing a localized flash flooding threat that will be elevated on/near area burn scars. At this time, Friday and Saturday are forecast to be the two most active days of the next seven, with above average PWATs across the region. The upper high is modeled to build back to the west over NM late in the weekend and into early next week, bringing a slight uptrend in temperatures and slight downtrend in rain chances.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1217 PM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026

VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist, except for potential MVFR conditions in smoke at KSAF later today and overnight as the Frijoles wildfire continues to impact the area. Otherwise, iso/sct showers and storms will impact central and western NM later this afternoon and evening, favoring strong/erratic wind gusts over other hazards. Forecast confidence sufficient only for PROB30 groups at KGUP, KSAF and KABQ/KAEG later today. Outside of shower/storm outflow, winds will be mostly light.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1217 PM MDT Mon Aug 10 2026

Critical fire weather conditions are not forecast through at least the next seven days. An anomalously strong Monsoon high over the region continues to bring unusually hot and mostly dry conditions, allowing for some fire growth. However, the upper high is forecast to weaken and move east of the area through the week, bringing temperatures down closer to average and allowing PWATs to climb to more normal levels for mid August. These trends will bring increased humidity and improved chances for wetting rain from mid through late week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 65 98 65 93 / 0 0 20 10 Dulce........................... 54 95 53 90 / 10 20 40 40 Cuba............................ 60 92 59 88 / 30 10 50 30 Gallup.......................... 59 90 57 86 / 40 30 40 40 El Morro........................ 56 86 55 82 / 40 50 60 60 Grants.......................... 60 91 58 88 / 40 30 50 50 Quemado......................... 59 86 57 82 / 40 60 50 70 Magdalena....................... 64 90 63 88 / 10 30 30 40 Datil........................... 59 86 57 82 / 20 60 30 60 Reserve......................... 57 92 56 88 / 20 60 20 70 Glenwood........................ 62 96 60 93 / 20 60 20 50 Chama........................... 53 87 52 84 / 20 40 40 60 Los Alamos...................... 63 91 62 88 / 40 30 30 40 Pecos........................... 59 91 58 89 / 20 30 40 30 Cerro/Questa.................... 57 89 56 86 / 20 30 40 50 Red River....................... 49 79 49 76 / 20 50 40 70 Angel Fire...................... 44 84 43 82 / 30 50 40 60 Taos............................ 57 93 56 90 / 30 30 30 40 Mora............................ 55 88 55 86 / 20 50 40 50 Espanola........................ 64 99 63 95 / 30 20 30 20 Santa Fe........................ 63 92 62 90 / 20 20 30 30 Santa Fe Airport................ 61 95 61 92 / 20 20 30 20 Albuquerque Foothills........... 69 98 67 96 / 30 10 40 20 Albuquerque Heights............. 69 99 67 96 / 30 5 40 10 Albuquerque Valley.............. 68 101 67 99 / 30 5 40 10 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 69 99 68 97 / 30 10 40 20 Belen........................... 67 102 66 97 / 20 0 40 10 Bernalillo...................... 68 101 67 98 / 30 10 40 20 Bosque Farms.................... 66 101 64 97 / 20 5 40 10 Corrales........................ 69 101 67 98 / 30 5 40 20 Los Lunas....................... 67 101 65 97 / 20 0 40 10 Placitas........................ 67 96 66 94 / 30 10 40 20 Rio Rancho...................... 69 100 67 97 / 30 10 40 20 Socorro......................... 71 102 69 99 / 5 10 20 10 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 63 92 61 90 / 30 20 50 30 Tijeras......................... 64 93 62 90 / 30 10 40 30 Edgewood........................ 60 95 59 92 / 30 20 40 30 Moriarty/Estancia............... 57 96 56 94 / 30 20 40 20 Clines Corners.................. 60 91 59 89 / 30 30 40 20 Mountainair..................... 61 94 59 92 / 30 20 40 20 Gran Quivira.................... 62 93 60 91 / 20 10 40 20 Carrizozo....................... 68 96 67 93 / 10 10 20 10 Ruidoso......................... 61 88 62 86 / 0 30 20 40 Capulin......................... 60 89 59 89 / 20 30 30 20 Raton........................... 57 93 57 92 / 20 30 20 20 Springer........................ 58 96 57 95 / 20 20 20 20 Las Vegas....................... 57 92 57 91 / 20 20 30 20 Clayton......................... 67 97 66 98 / 10 0 5 5 Roy............................. 63 93 62 94 / 10 0 10 5 Conchas......................... 68 101 68 101 / 10 0 10 5 Santa Rosa...................... 66 97 66 97 / 10 0 20 5 Tucumcari....................... 69 102 69 103 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 67 100 68 100 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 68 100 69 101 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 68 100 69 100 / 0 0 5 0 Roswell......................... 71 102 72 102 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 66 98 67 97 / 0 5 5 20 Elk............................. 62 95 64 94 / 0 10 5 30

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Heat Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ201-217-219.