textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1222 AM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026

- Dry and windy conditions will develop this weekend, increasing the threat of rapid fire spread and large fire growth across much of northern and central New Mexico.

- There will be a moderate risk of heat-induced illness for sensitive groups in eastern New Mexico through Sunday.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Sunday) Issued at 1222 AM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026

A potent late season upper level low/trough will progress east across the Intermountain West this weekend, bringing increasing southwest flow aloft to NM and a drying of the atmosphere. A deepening lee side trough and deep layer mixing of the atmosphere will bring breezy to windy conditions Sat/Sun and a Wind Advisory is in effect for far western and north central portions of NM. An additional advisory may be required for Sunday. A little warming is forecast as well, especially across eastern NM where a moderate heat risk may impact more sensitive groups. Sufficient moisture will remain in the mid levels of the atmosphere for a few virga showers this afternoon/evening, mainly across central and eastern NM where strong/erratic wind gusts are possible. A few thunderstorms are possible across the southeast plains this afternoon and the latest CAMs are hitting Roswell between 20-22Z, although with a low probability of severe.

LONG TERM

(Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 1222 AM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026

A second upper low is forecast to swing east across the Desert SW and lower Great Basin Mon/Tue, keeping stronger southwest flow aloft in place across the region and bringing more breezy to windy conditions. Gulf moisture will trend up across eastern NM Mon/Tue in this regime, increasing sufficiently by Tuesday to produce a round of convection across the southeast and east central plains. The jet stream will retreat further north from mid to late week and the Monsoon high is forecast to begin to slowly build over the region. However, there is some spread among the 00Z medium range model solutions with this upper air feature and forecast confidence is low on it's placement beyond Wedesday. Forecast confidence is moderate to high that winds will trend down from mid through late week due to a model consensus forecast of the jet stream retreating north.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 AM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026

VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist through the TAF period, except for potential short-lived MVFR conditions in showers and storms near KROW through 07Z. Otherwise, southwest winds will be on the upswing Saturday, with frequent gusts to between 25-35kts. At this time, there is a low to moderate chance for speeds to reach Airport Weather Warning criteria at KABQ.

..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND

A potent late season upper level low/trough moving east across the Intermountain West will bring increasing southwest flow aloft to NM this weekend, including a deepening lee side trough and drying of the atmosphere. Critical fire weather conditions are forecast both Saturday and Sunday, with Sunday being the more critical day due to continued drying of the atmosphere and preceding poor to fair humidity recovery. Large fire growth is likely given ongoing wildfires and a number of new ignitions from lightning activity over the past couple of days. A second upper low swinging east across the Desert SW and lower Great Basin on Mon/Tue will keep stronger southwest flow aloft in place across NM with the potential for more critical fire weather conditions, especially along/west of the Continental Divide. Humidity will trend up from east to west across the area by late week, but chances for wetting rain are trending down compared to previous model cycles. However, winds will trend down late week and into next weekend as the Monsoon high begins to build over the region.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 92 58 92 55 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 87 46 87 45 / 5 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 86 53 87 52 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 86 52 85 48 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 83 53 83 50 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 88 53 88 51 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 86 55 85 53 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 88 61 88 59 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 84 56 83 55 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 90 52 89 50 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 95 56 94 53 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 79 46 80 44 / 10 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 85 62 86 61 / 10 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 87 57 87 55 / 10 0 0 5 Cerro/Questa.................... 82 54 83 53 / 10 0 0 0 Red River....................... 75 45 75 43 / 10 0 0 5 Angel Fire...................... 78 42 78 40 / 10 0 0 0 Taos............................ 85 53 85 52 / 10 0 0 5 Mora............................ 83 54 84 52 / 10 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 92 58 93 57 / 10 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 87 60 88 59 / 10 0 0 10 Santa Fe Airport................ 91 58 91 57 / 10 0 0 5 Albuquerque Foothills........... 94 64 95 64 / 10 0 0 5 Albuquerque Heights............. 94 65 94 65 / 10 0 0 5 Albuquerque Valley.............. 96 60 97 59 / 10 0 0 5 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 95 63 95 63 / 10 0 0 5 Belen........................... 96 61 97 60 / 10 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 95 63 96 62 / 10 0 0 5 Bosque Farms.................... 95 59 96 58 / 10 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 96 63 96 62 / 10 0 0 5 Los Lunas....................... 95 60 96 59 / 10 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 91 65 92 64 / 10 0 0 5 Rio Rancho...................... 94 63 95 63 / 5 0 0 5 Socorro......................... 99 67 99 66 / 5 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 88 60 88 59 / 10 0 0 5 Tijeras......................... 89 61 89 60 / 10 0 0 5 Edgewood........................ 89 59 90 58 / 10 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 91 56 91 54 / 10 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 86 58 87 57 / 5 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 90 59 90 57 / 10 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 89 60 89 59 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 93 67 93 66 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 87 60 86 58 / 0 0 10 0 Capulin......................... 86 55 88 54 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 90 54 91 54 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 92 58 93 56 / 5 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 87 60 88 58 / 5 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 96 65 97 66 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 91 62 91 60 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 99 67 100 67 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 95 66 95 66 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 99 70 100 70 / 5 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 98 69 98 69 / 10 10 10 10 Portales........................ 100 70 100 69 / 20 10 10 10 Fort Sumner..................... 99 68 99 68 / 10 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 102 70 103 71 / 10 10 10 10 Picacho......................... 96 66 96 66 / 10 0 10 0 Elk............................. 93 64 92 63 / 5 0 20 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ101-104-105-109-120-121-123-125.

Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Sunday for NMZ101-104- 105-109-120-121-123-125.

Wind Advisory from noon today to 8 PM MDT this evening for NMZ202-205-210-216.