textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 135 PM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

- Isolated to scattered showers and dry thunderstorms over parts of western and central New Mexico Monday and Tuesday will lead to strong and erratic downburst winds, dry lightning, and a risk of new fire starts.

- Dry and breezy winds along with hot temperatures will result in an increasing risk for rapid fire spread each afternoon through Tuesday across far western New Mexico and across northeast New Mexico on Wednesday.

- Isolated to scattered thunderstorms across eastern New Mexico Tuesday could producing damaging wind gusts and large hail.

- Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses across the Rio Grande Valley and eastern New Mexico this upcoming week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Monday night) Issued at 135 PM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Upper level ridging is currently over the state today with drier air of PWATS between 0.25 to 0.5 inches in place. The drier air and downslope west winds is resulting in hot temperatures areawide. Temperatures this afternoon will top out in the upper 80s to mid 90s across the lower elevations of western and central NM and upper 90s to low 100s across the eastern plains. This will result in a moderate risk for heat related illnesses across central and eastern NM. Mid level high clouds across western and central NM this afternoon are indicating increasing mid level moisture ahead of a upper level trough moving into the Pacific Coast.

The upper level ridge overhead today moves east to over Texas on Monday as the upper level trough moves into the western U.S. Temperatures compared to today will heat up a degree to two areawide resulting in another day with a moderate to locally major risk for heat related illnesses. The aforementioned higher mid level moisture from today will continue moving north and northeast across west central and north central NM. Intense daytime heating during the afternoon resulting in lifted indices of -1 to -4 deg C will allow for the development of isolated to scattered virga showers and potentially a few dry thunderstorms across the western high terrain moving northeast into the upper and middle RGV come the early evening hours. Main hazards from this activity will be erratic wind gusts up to 55 mph, and dry lightning strikes which could result in fire starts. Finally, dry and breezy to locally gusty southwest winds across far western NM (Gallup) combined with single digit relative humidity will result in a higher risk for rapid fire spread.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 135 PM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

A shortwave embedded in the southwest flow ahead of the upper level trough over the Pacific NW and northern Rockies moves across the Four Corners area and southern Rockies Tuesday. This shortwave combined with moist southerly surface return flow along and east of the central mountain chain will result in the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms across this part of the state, along with a few virga showers and dry thunderstorms between the Continental Divide and central mountain chain, due to lingering mid level moisture but drier low levels, Tuesday afternoon and early evening. A few storms across eastern NM could become strong to severe due to bulk shear values of 35 to 40 kts and MLCAPE values of 1500 to 3000 J/kg. Finally, for areas west of the Continental Divide, deep daytime mixing will tap into much drier 500 to 700 mb southwest flow of 30 to 40 kts at the base of the shortwave resulting in gusty surface winds. This combined with single digit relative humidity values and the hot temperatures will result in a high risk for rapid fire spread. Locations across west central NM that experienced dry lightning strikes Monday will need to be monitored for fire starts and resultant rapid spread Tuesday afternoon. High temperatures will be similar to Monday, except a touch cooler across eastern NM due to the higher moisture and expected scattered thunderstorm activity.

Dry westerly flow and hot areawide Wednesday due to the state being south of longwave troughing across the northern Rockies and Great Plains. Gusty southwest winds and the preceding days of hot and dry conditions will result in a higher risk for rapid fire spread across northeast and parts of east central NM Wednesday afternoon. High temperatures could reach Heat Advisory criteria (105 deg F) across the Chaves County Plains, including Roswell. A backdoor front sliding south across the eastern plains Thursday morning cools high temperatures down around 5 to 15 degrees across this part of the state. The backdoor front retreats Friday setting up moist southeast flow across eastern NM. Additionally, upper westerly flow retreats north due to the monsoon high developing over northern Mexico and desert SW. This will help higher moisture from Mexico to gradually move north across western and central NM. The end result will be scattered showers and thunderstorms along and east of the central mountain chain and the southwest mountains Friday and along and east of the Continental Divide next weekend. Temperatures will remain hot with locations outside of the mountain ranges in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Locations in the middle and lower RGV and lower Pecos River Valley could get close to 100.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1147 AM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

A batch of mid and high level clouds will move across the area with breezy west winds along and north of I-40 this afternoon and early evening. Hot with some density altitude concerns for some pilots across eastern New Mexico. Clearing skies and light winds overnight into Monday morning with some lingering mid level clouds along the lee of the Chuska and Sangre de Cristo Mountains.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 135 PM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Breezy to locally gusty west winds across northwest and west central New Mexico combined with hot temperatures, minimum relative humidity values in the upper single digits and very dry fuels will result in near critical fire weather conditions this afternoon and Monday afternoon. Areas in and around Gallup will see critical fire weather conditions Monday afternoon due to peak wind gusts around 40 mph, so a Red Flag Warning has been issued for the West Central Mountains zone. Increasing mid level moisture across western and north central New Mexico Monday will result in the development of isolated to scattered virga showers and isolated dry thunderstorms Monday afternoon and early evening. Main hazards will be erratic wind gusts up to 55 mph and dry lightning strikes which could result in fire starts. Stronger mid and upper level flow on Tuesday will help to increase winds areawide. These strong winds combined with single digit relative humidity values and very dry and hot conditions will result in critical fire weather conditions across northwest and west central New Mexico. The Fire Weather Watch for these zones has been upgraded to a Red Flag Warning. Locations across west central NM that experienced dry lightning strikes Monday will need to be monitored for fire starts and resultant rapid spread Tuesday afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms along and east of the central mountain chain Tuesday afternoon and early evening could contain damaging wind gusts and large hail. Dry and hot Wednesday and Thursday. Gusty southwest to west winds and preceding days of hot and dry conditions will result in near critical to critical fire weather conditions for most locations along and north of I-40 Wednesday afternoon. Higher moisture moves in from the south and east Friday into next weekend allowing shower and thunderstorm chances to return to first eastern and southwest New Mexico Friday and then along and east of the Continental Divide next weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 57 93 55 93 / 0 0 5 0 Dulce........................... 45 88 46 87 / 0 5 10 20 Cuba............................ 53 86 52 88 / 0 20 20 30 Gallup.......................... 46 89 46 90 / 0 0 5 0 El Morro........................ 50 84 50 88 / 0 10 10 10 Grants.......................... 52 89 51 91 / 0 20 10 20 Quemado......................... 50 86 51 89 / 5 10 20 10 Magdalena....................... 59 85 60 88 / 0 20 10 20 Datil........................... 53 83 55 87 / 0 20 10 10 Reserve......................... 49 90 50 90 / 0 0 5 0 Glenwood........................ 52 95 53 93 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 44 80 45 79 / 0 10 10 40 Los Alamos...................... 59 85 59 86 / 0 10 20 10 Pecos........................... 54 87 54 85 / 0 10 10 30 Cerro/Questa.................... 53 83 53 82 / 0 10 10 20 Red River....................... 45 75 44 72 / 0 10 20 20 Angel Fire...................... 46 79 46 80 / 0 10 10 20 Taos............................ 51 86 52 86 / 0 10 10 20 Mora............................ 53 85 52 83 / 0 10 10 30 Espanola........................ 57 92 57 92 / 0 10 10 10 Santa Fe........................ 59 87 60 87 / 0 10 10 20 Santa Fe Airport................ 56 90 57 90 / 0 10 10 10 Albuquerque Foothills........... 66 93 65 94 / 0 10 10 10 Albuquerque Heights............. 63 94 62 95 / 0 10 10 10 Albuquerque Valley.............. 62 97 61 98 / 0 10 10 10 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 63 94 62 95 / 0 10 10 10 Belen........................... 61 96 59 98 / 0 10 10 10 Bernalillo...................... 63 95 62 97 / 0 10 10 10 Bosque Farms.................... 59 96 58 97 / 0 10 10 10 Corrales........................ 64 96 62 96 / 0 10 10 10 Los Lunas....................... 61 96 59 97 / 5 10 10 10 Placitas........................ 64 91 63 94 / 0 10 10 10 Rio Rancho...................... 63 94 62 95 / 0 10 10 10 Socorro......................... 66 97 66 98 / 5 10 10 10 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 60 88 59 89 / 0 10 10 10 Tijeras......................... 59 89 58 90 / 0 10 10 10 Edgewood........................ 57 90 56 90 / 0 10 10 20 Moriarty/Estancia............... 54 91 53 91 / 0 10 10 20 Clines Corners.................. 57 86 56 87 / 0 5 10 20 Mountainair..................... 55 90 56 90 / 0 10 10 10 Gran Quivira.................... 57 88 57 89 / 0 5 10 20 Carrizozo....................... 65 92 66 92 / 0 0 0 10 Ruidoso......................... 59 85 61 87 / 0 0 0 20 Capulin......................... 53 85 53 87 / 0 0 0 20 Raton........................... 52 92 53 90 / 0 0 0 30 Springer........................ 52 93 53 93 / 0 0 5 30 Las Vegas....................... 54 89 55 88 / 0 5 10 20 Clayton......................... 62 97 62 93 / 0 0 0 20 Roy............................. 56 92 58 91 / 0 0 0 20 Conchas......................... 60 100 64 97 / 0 0 0 30 Santa Rosa...................... 60 97 61 92 / 0 0 0 40 Tucumcari....................... 63 102 68 97 / 0 0 0 10 Clovis.......................... 64 99 65 93 / 0 0 0 5 Portales........................ 64 100 65 94 / 0 0 0 5 Fort Sumner..................... 61 98 65 95 / 0 0 0 10 Roswell......................... 64 102 68 97 / 0 0 0 5 Picacho......................... 62 95 62 92 / 0 0 0 30 Elk............................. 60 93 61 90 / 0 0 0 30

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Red Flag Warning from noon to 9 PM MDT Tuesday for NMZ101-105.

Red Flag Warning from noon to 9 PM MDT Monday for NMZ105.