textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 418 AM MST Sun Nov 15 2026 - Areas of fog and freezing fog will create hazardous driving conditions across the eastern plains and western valleys tonight then again Sunday night into Monday morning.

- Unsettled weather returns across western and parts of central New Mexico late Tuesday into early Wednesday and will result in some slick road conditions across the higher terrain.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday) Issued at 1202 AM MST Sun Nov 15 2026

The latest water vapor satellite imagery shows an upper low closing off and progressing east across the TX Panhandle, with drying aloft across NM. Rising pressure heights associated with an amplifying upper level ridge will be the story through Monday. Moisture trapped in the lower boundary layer, wet grounds and drier air aloft will provide an ideal fog setup. This is especially true along/east of the central mountain chain thanks to light easterly upslope flow. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for much of the eastern plains and will likely need to be expanded west to the highlands early Sunday morning. Otherwise, today will be warmer across central and western NM, although still near to below average. Fog, potentially dense, may impact more of central and western NM Sunday night, extending into the Monday morning commute. More warming is forecast Monday, with high temperatures near to above average across western/central NM and continued below average across the eastern plains. Except for some breeziness across northeast NM Monday afternoon, winds will generally be light.

LONG TERM

(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 1202 AM MST Sun Nov 15 2026

The upper level ridge axis will shift east of NM Monday night, giving way to increasing southwest flow aloft and moisture advection Tuesday in advance of an approaching upper level trough. The upper level trough is still forecast to weaken and lift northeast across the region Tuesday night into Wednesday, bringing another round of precipitation that will favor the northern mountains and areas along/west of the Continental Divide. Snow levels and impacts will be similar to yesterday's event, with potential for a Winter Weather Advisory for the Tusas Mountains. the latest model consensus on the end of the week system keeps the track mostly north of us across the southern Rockies, with a quick round of precipitation favoring northwest NM. However, forecast confidence is still low for Fri/Sat given some continued model spread. The current consensus track of the upper low/trough would bring some wind impacts to our area on Friday, with some potential for advisory-type speeds.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 418 AM MST Sun Nov 15 2026

Areas of LIFR conditions in fog and freezing fog prevail across eastern and far western NM this morning and will be slow to diminish, especially across eastern NM. MVFR cigs will move in on KROW around 14Z and then improve to VFR around 18Z, but will hold onto lower VFR cigs through the period. Another round of fog and freezing fog is forecast overnight, with potential impacts to western and central terminals early Monday morning. Lower probabilities for LIFR fog impacts at KABQ/KAEG early Monday morning, so will keep out of TAFs at this time. Otherwise, winds will be light through the period.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1202 AM MST Sun Nov 15 2026

Critical fire weather conditions are not expected for at least the next seven days. A warming/drying trend is forecast through Monday under the influence of ridging aloft, which will also create poor to fair ventilation. A weakening upper level trough will lift northeast across the region late Tuesday through Wednesday, bringing higher humidity and chances for wetting precipitation, focusing mainly across the northern mountains and along/west of the Continental Divide. Higher than normal humidity will then persist through the end of the week, with potential for another round of wetting precipitation Fri/Sat with another upper level trough/low moving through the southern Rockies.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 52 33 58 37 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 54 26 58 26 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 50 29 53 32 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 52 25 58 31 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 52 29 57 31 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 54 29 56 32 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 53 29 60 32 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 54 34 55 37 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 51 30 55 34 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 60 26 61 30 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 63 32 65 35 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 48 27 50 28 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 51 35 53 34 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 54 27 55 29 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 49 28 52 29 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 44 23 47 24 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 49 12 51 15 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 53 26 54 26 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 51 27 55 27 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 58 30 59 30 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 53 31 54 34 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 54 31 55 32 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 58 38 59 39 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 58 37 59 37 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 61 33 62 36 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 60 35 60 38 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 59 31 60 34 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 61 34 62 37 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 59 28 61 33 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 60 34 61 37 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 59 28 60 34 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 55 37 57 38 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 60 36 60 38 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 61 37 62 38 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 52 33 54 34 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 53 35 55 36 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 55 32 57 31 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 56 23 59 26 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 52 31 54 33 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 55 32 56 33 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 55 31 55 34 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 58 35 57 34 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 54 32 55 35 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 44 31 50 31 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 54 29 53 27 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 54 28 57 28 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 52 28 55 29 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 43 36 52 39 / 10 0 0 0 Roy............................. 47 32 50 33 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 51 35 58 37 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 51 35 54 38 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 48 36 55 39 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 47 35 53 40 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 48 34 53 39 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 51 36 53 39 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 55 40 53 42 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 58 37 54 37 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 59 34 56 34 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM MST this morning for NMZ230-231- 234>236.

Freezing Fog Advisory until 9 AM MST this morning for NMZ205.