textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 140 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2026

- Isolated to scattered showers and dry thunderstorms over parts of western and central New Mexico this afternoon, Monday, and Tuesday may result in strong and erratic gusty winds, dry lightning, and risk of new fire starts.

- Dry and breezy to gusty winds along with hot temperatures will result in an increasing risk for rapid fire spread each afternoon through Tuesday across far western New Mexico and Wednesday across northeast New Mexico.

- Isolated to scattered thunderstorms across eastern New Mexico Tuesday could producing damaging wind gusts and large hail.

- Moderate risk for heat-related illnesses across the Rio Grande Valley and eastern New Mexico this upcoming week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 140 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2026

An upper low is currently over the Texas Rolling Plains this afternoon. Lingering moisture in place (PWATs around 0.5 to 0.7 inches) combined with deformation between the upper level ridge axis over far western NM and the upper low over West Texas has resulted in some isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm development across the north central mountains. These showers and storms will move southeast into the nearby highlands and lower elevations of north central, northeast, and east central NM through early evening before dissipating around sunset due to loss of daytime heating. Outside of the showers and storms, temperatures will be warm to hot Slightly above average temperatures across western and central NM and near to slightly below average across the eastern plains due to cloud cover on the backside of the upper low. Upper level ridging moves over the state Sunday with drier air of PWATS between 0.3 to 0.6 inches in place. This along with breezy downslope west winds will result in dry and hot conditions areawide. Highs will top out in the upper 80s to mid 90s across the lower elevations of western and central NM with upper 90s to low 100s across the eastern plains. This will result in a moderate risk for heat related illnesses across central and eastern NM.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Friday) Issued at 140 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2026

The upper level ridge moves east to over Texas on Monday due to an upper level trough entering the Pacific NW. Temperatures compared to Sunday will heat up a degree to two areawide resulting in another day with a moderate risk for heat related illnesses. Southwest flow between the ridge and trough will allow higher mid level moisture to move north across western and north central NM. Intense daytime heating Monday afternoon resulting in lifted indices of -1 to -4 deg C will allow for the development of isolated to scattered virga showers and potentially a few dry thunderstorms across the western high terrain moving northeast into the upper and middle RGV come the early evening hours. Main hazards from this activity will be erratic wind gusts up to 55 mph, and dry lightning strikes which could result in fire starts. Dry and breezy to locally gusty southwest winds across far western NM combined with single digit relative humidity will result in a elevated risk for rapid fire spread.

A shortwave embedded in the southwest flow ahead of the upper level trough over the Pacific NW and northern Rockies moves across the Four Corners area and southern Rockies Tuesday. This shortwave combined with moist southerly surface return flow along and east of the central mountain chain will result in the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms across this part of the state, along with a few virga showers and dry thunderstorms between the Continental Divide and central mountain chain, due to lingering mid level moisture but drier low levels, Tuesday afternoon and early evening. A few storms across eastern NM could become strong to severe due to bulk shear values of 35 to 40 kts and MLCAPE values of 1500 to 2500 J/kg. Finally, across far western NM, much drier 500 to 700 mb southwest flow of 30 to 40 kts at the base of the shortwave will result in gusty surface winds. This combined with single digit relative humidity values and the hot temperatures will result in a high risk for rapid fire spread. High temperatures will be similar to Monday, except a touch cooler across eastern NM due to the higher moisture and expected scattered thunderstorm activity.

Dry westerly flow and hot Wednesday and Thursday due to the state being south of longwave troughing across the northern Rockies and Great Plains. Gusty southwest winds and the preceding days of hot and dry conditions will result in a higher risk for rapid fire spread across northeast NM Wednesday afternoon. The monsoon high begins developing over northern Mexico and desert SW Friday into next weekend. This combined with higher Gulf moisture behind a backdoor front moving in from the northeast will result in scattered showers and thunderstorms along and east of the central mountain chain Friday and along and east of the Continental Divide next weekend.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1135 AM MDT Sat Jun 6 2026

High based showers and thunderstorms across the north central mountains will move southeast into lower elevations across north central, northeast, and east central NM this afternoon and early evening. Main hazards will be gusty and erratic wind gusts up to 45 kts, patchy areas of blowing dust, and small wetting footprints under heavier cores. Showers and thunderstorms quickly taper off around sunset with clearing skies overnight.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 140 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2026

Breezy to locally gusty west winds across far western New Mexico combined with minimum relative humidity values in the upper single digits will result in elevated to near critical fire weather conditions each afternoon through Monday. Isolated to scattered high based showers and storms across north central, northeast and east central New Mexico with erratic wind gusts up to 55 mph through early this evening. Hot and dry areawide Sunday and Monday. Increasing mid level moisture across western and north central New Mexico Monday will result in the development of isolated to scattered virga showers and potentially a few dry thunderstorms Monday afternoon and early evening. Main hazards will be erratic wind gusts up to 55 mph and dry lightning strikes which could result in fire starts. Stronger mid and upper level flow on Tuesday will help to increase winds areawide. These strong winds combined with single digit relative humidity values and very dry and hot conditions will result in critical fire weather conditions across northwest and west central New Mexico. High based showers and thunderstorms that could contain damaging wind gusts and large hail along and east of the central mountain chain Tuesday afternoon and early evening. Dry and hot Wednesday and Thursday. Gusty southwest winds and preceding days of hot and dry conditions will result in a higher risk for rapid fire spread across northeast NM Wednesday afternoon. Higher moisture moves in from the south and east Friday into next weekend allowing shower and thunderstorm chances to return to first eastern New Mexico Friday and most areas next weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 58 91 55 93 / 0 0 0 5 Dulce........................... 46 85 45 88 / 0 0 0 10 Cuba............................ 54 86 53 87 / 0 0 0 10 Gallup.......................... 50 87 46 89 / 0 0 0 10 El Morro........................ 52 83 49 85 / 0 0 0 10 Grants.......................... 55 88 52 89 / 0 0 0 10 Quemado......................... 52 85 50 87 / 0 0 0 10 Magdalena....................... 61 86 59 86 / 5 0 0 10 Datil........................... 56 83 53 84 / 0 0 0 10 Reserve......................... 47 89 48 91 / 0 0 0 10 Glenwood........................ 50 94 51 96 / 0 0 0 5 Chama........................... 44 80 44 81 / 0 0 0 10 Los Alamos...................... 58 84 59 85 / 5 0 0 5 Pecos........................... 50 85 54 86 / 5 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 51 83 53 83 / 5 0 0 0 Red River....................... 43 73 45 74 / 10 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 42 78 46 79 / 10 0 0 5 Taos............................ 48 85 51 86 / 5 0 0 0 Mora............................ 50 83 52 84 / 5 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 55 92 56 93 / 5 0 0 5 Santa Fe........................ 57 85 59 86 / 5 0 0 5 Santa Fe Airport................ 54 88 56 89 / 5 0 0 5 Albuquerque Foothills........... 65 93 67 93 / 5 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 62 94 63 94 / 5 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 62 97 62 97 / 5 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 63 94 63 94 / 5 0 0 5 Belen........................... 61 95 60 95 / 5 0 0 5 Bernalillo...................... 63 95 64 95 / 5 0 0 5 Bosque Farms.................... 59 95 59 95 / 5 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 63 95 64 95 / 5 0 0 5 Los Lunas....................... 61 95 61 95 / 5 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 63 91 65 90 / 5 0 0 5 Rio Rancho...................... 63 94 63 94 / 5 0 0 5 Socorro......................... 66 97 66 97 / 5 0 0 5 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 59 87 60 87 / 5 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 57 88 59 88 / 5 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 56 89 57 90 / 5 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 52 90 53 90 / 5 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 54 86 57 86 / 5 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 55 88 55 89 / 5 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 57 87 57 89 / 5 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 62 90 64 93 / 5 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 57 83 59 85 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 48 88 53 89 / 20 0 0 0 Raton........................... 49 91 52 91 / 10 0 0 0 Springer........................ 50 93 52 94 / 10 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 51 88 53 88 / 10 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 53 94 62 97 / 5 5 0 0 Roy............................. 52 92 56 93 / 20 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 57 100 60 101 / 20 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 55 97 60 97 / 20 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 59 100 63 101 / 30 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 59 98 64 100 / 30 0 0 0 Portales........................ 59 99 64 101 / 20 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 58 100 61 100 / 30 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 61 102 64 102 / 10 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 58 94 62 95 / 10 0 0 0 Elk............................. 57 92 59 93 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.