textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1218 PM MST Sun Nov 8 2026 - Tranquil conditions expected across northern and central New Mexico through Friday.

- Rain and very high elevation snow showers return to the area next weekend.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Monday night) Issued at 1218 PM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

The upper low south of NM will track northeastward through Monday toward southern OK. Weak upper level ridging will then shift over NM with the ridge axis oriented from east-to-west. This will result in quiet conditions with temperatures climbing a few more degrees on Monday. North central and northeast NM will be as much as 10 degrees above normal, while near normal temperatures are expected elsewhere.

The only wrinkle in an otherwise quiet short term forecast is the potential for low clouds and/or fog to develop within and near the Pecos River Valley, particularly near Roswell, overnight into Monday morning. A few models also suggest that fog may develop near Farmington, but confidence is lower that fog will develop around Farmington than around Roswell. However, given how saturated the landscape is around the Four Corners, it cannot be completely ruled out.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 1218 PM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

Temperatures will continue to warm a degree or two across eastern NM on Tuesday as a weak lee side trough and downslope winds develop. Apart from a few breezes around KCQC, should be another beautiful day. A shortwave trough will slide over the central Rockies Tuesday and dive southeastward toward Oklahoma on Wednesday. An associated cold front will back into NM Tuesday night and Wednesday, bringing breezy winds and slightly cooler temperatures. A gap wind may be noted below gaps of the Central Mtn Chain Wednesday, particularly across the lower Rio Grande Valley as well as the upper Tularosa Valley.

A weak reinforcing front may arrive on Thursday as another shortwave slides southward across the Upper Midwest, but upper level ridging will be moving toward NM from the west. This ridging will cross the state on Friday. Thus, quiet conditions persist Thursday and Friday with near to above normal temperatures and light winds.

After the ridge shifts eastward, all eyes will be on an upper level low racing toward the northern Baja. The low is expected to weaken into an open wave as it shifts northeastward over NM this weekend. Since the low will be weakening, and it will shift across NM rather quickly, not looking for large precipitation amounts. There will be enough moisture for rain showers and very high elevation snow showers, but thunderstorms are unlikely. Western and southern portions of the CWA will be favored for light precipitation, mainly from Saturday afternoon through early Sunday.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1028 AM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through 06Z. Thereafter, there is a slight chance that patchy fog and/or low clouds will develop within and near the Pecos River Valley near Roswell through 15Z Mon. VFR will continue to prevail elsewhere.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1218 PM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

Critical fire weather conditions are not expected for the next week. Rather, near to above normal temperatures and light winds will prevail. A backdoor front Tuesday night and Wednesday will bring breezy conditions to eastern NM as well as below gaps in the Rio Grande Valley. Main fire weather concern through the week will be large areas of poor ventilation given the light winds. No precipitation is expected through Friday, then a storm system may bring showers to portions of western and southern areas next weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 33 60 33 59 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 30 63 31 61 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 32 61 32 59 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 28 62 26 63 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 28 62 28 61 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 29 63 27 63 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 27 62 29 61 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 35 60 36 62 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 29 59 30 60 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 29 66 31 67 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 34 67 36 70 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 31 59 31 56 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 39 60 40 59 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 32 64 34 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 32 59 34 58 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 25 54 26 53 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 13 59 15 58 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 26 62 27 60 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 30 64 32 65 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 33 66 34 65 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 35 62 36 61 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 33 62 34 62 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 40 63 41 65 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 38 65 40 66 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 34 66 36 68 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 37 65 38 67 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 33 65 33 66 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 36 67 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 32 65 33 67 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 36 67 37 68 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 32 65 33 66 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 37 63 39 64 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 37 66 38 67 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 39 65 40 67 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 35 60 37 60 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 35 61 38 61 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 31 63 33 63 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 24 65 27 66 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 33 61 36 61 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 32 61 33 62 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 32 61 34 62 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 38 61 40 63 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 33 59 36 61 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 34 63 36 64 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 28 67 32 67 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 26 68 30 68 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 30 65 33 67 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 40 68 40 68 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 32 65 35 65 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 36 70 38 70 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 36 68 37 70 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 37 70 39 71 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 38 67 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 37 69 43 69 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 36 66 40 69 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 39 65 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 38 65 40 70 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 35 63 36 67 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.