textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 352 AM MST Sun Jan 11 2026

- Low forecast confidence exists that patches of freezing fog will result in hazardous driving conditions across northern and western valley locations early this morning.

- A warming trend will begin today, with temperatures rising above average areawide by mid week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Monday night) Issued at 1248 AM MST Sun Jan 11 2026

An H5 low pivoting east across northwest MX and an H5 ridge building along the west coast will focus a col over NM today. Max temps will trend several degrees warmer with light winds and faster snowmelt. Light winds will continue tonight with strong temp inversions again across the north and west. Not much change is expected Monday with even warmer temps. A weak surface low will develop over northeast NM and allow for slight west/southwest breezes across the plains. Yet another night of strong temp inversions will occur Monday night over the north and west.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 1248 AM MST Sun Jan 11 2026

By Tuesday and Wednesday, the upper level pattern will become more amplified across North America as a 170kt subtropical jet entering the north Pacific crashes into the Aleutians. The H5 ridge along the west coast builds to near 590dm over northern CA while an H5 trough deepens into the Great Lakes region on a 140kt polar jet. Tuesday will continue trending warmer over NM with slight west to southwest breezes over the eastern plains. The wavier upper level pattern will force a backdoor cold front with breezy north winds into eastern NM by Wednesday. Warmer temps will return to eastern NM Thursday with a weak leeside trough developing along the Front Range. A reinforcing polar jet and 1034mb surface high moving south thru the Great Plains Friday is expected to force a stronger cold front into eastern NM. Temps will trend colder again for the weekend areawide. There is a slight chance for a period of light snow along the central mt chain with the cold front on Friday but confidence is low attm.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 352 AM MST Sun Jan 11 2026

There is a 5% chance of IFR freezing fog in a few valley locales early this morning. Otherwise, light winds and SKC will dominate the airspace the next 24 hrs. The exception will be breezy north drainage winds at KSAF during the early morning hours.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1248 AM MST Sun Jan 11 2026

There are no critical fire weather conditions expected for at least the next seven days. A warming trend will continue thru Tuesday with daily temp inversions, light winds, weak mixing, poor vent rates, and additional snowmelt across the north and west. A backdoor cold front will enter eastern NM Wednesday with a brief cool down and breezy north winds. Warming will return Thursday with breezy west winds followed by a stronger cold front Friday. Temps are likely to cool below normal again for next weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 40 17 43 18 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 48 13 52 15 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 41 15 46 18 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 45 6 47 9 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 42 13 49 17 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 45 8 50 12 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 42 10 48 15 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 42 22 46 26 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 41 17 47 21 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 49 12 55 16 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 56 16 58 18 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 42 17 48 19 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 40 23 46 28 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 43 20 53 24 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 40 21 46 24 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 34 12 43 13 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 39 -6 46 1 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 42 10 50 13 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 47 19 54 22 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 44 14 52 19 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 41 21 48 26 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 43 18 50 23 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 44 26 48 29 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 46 23 51 26 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 48 19 52 24 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 46 22 50 27 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 46 12 49 17 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 47 23 51 26 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 46 13 50 19 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 48 21 52 25 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 47 14 49 20 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 44 24 47 27 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 46 23 50 27 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 49 20 52 25 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 40 23 45 27 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 42 24 45 27 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 44 18 47 24 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 46 9 51 18 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 42 20 48 24 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 44 18 48 23 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 46 19 50 23 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 49 23 53 26 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 45 23 51 27 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 39 18 49 22 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 41 16 53 19 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 43 12 51 16 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 47 20 56 24 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 46 24 55 27 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 46 18 53 23 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 55 19 59 22 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 50 20 56 24 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 55 21 60 23 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 54 23 59 25 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 54 21 58 23 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 52 17 56 19 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 53 19 57 22 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 50 22 57 27 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 48 18 57 24 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.