textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1025 AM MST Thu Feb 5 2026

- Overall pleasant weather and temperatures are forecast through at least the next four days, with continued dry conditions.

- A pattern change to cooler, windy and unsettled conditions is in store for mid to late next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Friday) Issued at 1206 AM MST Thu Feb 5 2026

The Rex block along the west coast is breaking-down and the upper high portion of the block is forecast to weaken and open up into an upper level ridge as it moves east across the Intermountain West and across the Rockies through Friday. Continued dry conditions and a warming trend will accompany this pattern, with temperatures rising above average areawide. Pacific moisture advection will begin Friday as the ridge shifts east of NM and southwest flow aloft increases over the region in advance of a Pacific low, which is the upper low associated with the current Rex block. The result will be an increase in mid/high clouds across much of central and western NM.

LONG TERM

(Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 1206 AM MST Thu Feb 5 2026

Variable mid/high cloudiness, above average temperatures and fair weather conditions will persist through the weekend as the Pacific low wobbles around the Baja Peninsula. The polar jet stream will bring a troughing pattern to the west coast early/mid next week, kicking the Pacific low east across northern MX and increasing westerly flow aloft across our region. This pattern shift will bring windy and cooler conditions with increasing chances for precipitation to NM going into the mid week period. Orographic forcing will favor the western and northern mountains with regard to precipitation chances Tue/Wed as a potent upper low dives south along the CA coast. Good agreement among the 00Z medium range model solutions with regard to these upper air features are leading to moderate forecast confidence through Wednesday of next week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1025 AM MST Thu Feb 5 2026

VFR conditions will continue to prevail through the TAF period. Outside of a light northerly breeze in the eastern plains this afternoon, light winds will prevail as well. High clouds will increase in coverage from the west tomorrow morning.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1206 AM MST Thu Feb 5 2026

Critical fire weather conditions are not forecast through at least the next seven days. Vent rates will trend down the next couple of days and be mostly poor as an upper level ridge shifts east over the Rockies and NM. Dry conditions will persist with a warming trend through Friday, with temperatures rising above average areawide. Pacific moisture will be on the uptrend beginning this weekend through the middle of next week, bringing increased humidity and cloud cover. Increasing westerly flow aloft going into the middle of next week ahead of an upper low will bring cooler and windy conditions with increasing chances for wetting precipitation that will favor the western and northern mountains.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 58 27 61 33 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 60 23 62 26 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 56 25 60 30 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 60 17 63 25 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 58 26 60 32 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 60 21 64 28 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 60 26 62 31 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 57 32 60 38 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 56 28 60 34 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 64 25 65 29 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 67 28 69 32 / 0 0 0 5 Chama........................... 54 25 54 27 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 55 33 57 37 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 59 28 62 32 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 54 29 55 33 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 48 25 48 29 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 54 12 55 23 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 58 24 59 26 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 59 27 64 30 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 62 25 64 30 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 57 31 60 36 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 58 27 61 32 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 58 37 62 43 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 59 33 64 38 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 61 29 65 36 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 59 31 63 37 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 60 23 64 32 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 60 31 64 37 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 60 23 64 32 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 60 30 64 36 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 60 23 63 33 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 57 34 61 40 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 60 32 63 37 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 61 31 64 37 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 55 33 61 38 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 55 34 59 38 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 58 29 61 34 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 61 19 65 28 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 56 28 61 33 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 57 28 62 35 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 57 28 62 35 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 57 33 64 38 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 57 33 60 39 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 56 28 61 30 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 60 25 65 26 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 62 22 67 26 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 61 27 65 31 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 64 36 67 36 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 62 29 65 31 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 68 28 72 33 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 65 30 71 34 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 69 29 73 35 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 68 36 72 37 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 68 31 73 35 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 67 29 71 33 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 63 29 68 35 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 66 33 70 38 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 65 30 68 36 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.