textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 416 PM MST Mon Jan 12 2026

- A series of backdoor cold fronts will bring brisk northeast winds and cooling to eastern NM on Wednesday, Friday and Saturday.

- Otherwise, above average temperatures and dry conditions are forecast to persist.

SHORT TERM

(This afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 1047 AM MST Mon Jan 12 2026

An upper low over northern MX is moving east and spreading high clouds north over southeast NM, while an upper high strengthens over northern CA and expands southeast across the Desert Southwest and southern Rockies. The result across our area through Tuesday is fair weather conditions with a continued warming trend that will see temperatures rise above average most areas by Tuesday afternoon. With a little more snow melt today, sufficient water vapor may get trapped in the near-surface temperature inversion to produce patches of freezing fog across western and northern NM early Tuesday morning. However, the 12Z model data and associated MOS aren't supportive of fog development and no fog has been reported the past two mornings. Forecast confidence is too low to include in deterministic forecast at this time.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1047 AM MST Mon Jan 12 2026

A west coast ridge and central/eastern US trough will be the pattern going through the weekend and into early next week, keeping NM dry. A series of backdoor cold fronts will impact eastern NM with brief cooling and brisk northeast winds on Wednesday, Friday and Saturday. The 12Z model data has backed-off on the strength of the Friday front and cold air advection is unimpressive on all three fronts. Otherwise, temperatures will generally be above average areawide with fair weather conditions persisting.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 423 PM MST Mon Jan 12 2026

VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours. High clouds will continue to impact southeast NM through mid day Tuesday. There is a very low chance of low clouds and/or freezing fog developing across far northwest NM, including KFMN tonight where snowmelt occurred. Chances are too low to include in the TAF attm, but will continue to monitor. Breezy northerly drainage winds will again impact KSAF toward sunrise and through the early afternoon hours on Tuesday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1047 AM MST Mon Jan 12 2026

Critical fire weather conditions are not forecast through the next seven days. A warming/drying trend will continue, with temperatures rising above average most areas by Tuesday. Two backdoor cold fronts will provide brief cooling periods across eastern NM, the first on Wednesday and the second on Friday. A stable atmosphere will produce poor ventilation most areas through next Monday, except for behind the backdoor fronts across eastern NM.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 13 44 19 49 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 14 53 19 55 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 16 48 20 49 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 10 48 14 52 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 18 51 19 52 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 12 53 15 53 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 17 49 20 53 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 27 54 29 50 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 23 52 25 50 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 18 60 22 61 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 20 64 24 65 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 22 50 23 49 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 26 50 31 47 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 24 55 26 50 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 14 49 18 47 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 15 44 17 39 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... -3 50 11 45 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 9 53 14 50 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 23 58 25 52 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 20 56 23 54 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 27 51 29 48 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 23 52 26 50 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 31 53 33 52 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 27 55 30 54 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 24 58 27 56 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 29 56 31 55 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 18 55 22 55 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 27 56 29 55 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 18 56 22 55 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 26 57 29 55 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 19 56 24 55 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 29 52 31 50 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 27 56 30 55 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 27 58 30 58 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 29 50 29 48 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 27 50 28 49 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 23 52 26 51 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 17 55 19 53 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 25 52 27 48 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 23 54 26 52 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 25 56 28 53 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 27 59 31 58 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 27 55 31 50 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 25 53 24 44 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 19 55 22 49 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 17 55 21 50 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 25 59 26 51 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 29 61 32 51 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 24 58 27 52 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 24 66 29 59 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 25 63 30 55 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 24 66 30 58 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 26 66 33 58 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 24 66 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 22 65 28 58 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 22 63 31 60 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 27 65 33 57 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 24 64 30 57 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.