textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1025 AM MST Wed Feb 4 2026

- Overall pleasant weather and temperatures are forecast through at least the next five days, with continued dry conditions.

- A pattern change to cooler, windy and unsettled conditions may be in store for mid to late next week.

SHORT TERM

(Today through Thursday) Issued at 1206 AM MST Wed Feb 4 2026

A Rex block has set up along the west coast, with the upper high over northern CA and the upper low offshore of the Baja Peninsula. This pattern has allowed for stronger northerly winds aloft over the region and a weak cold front is currently moving south across NM. Light snow or flurries are being observed along the CO border near Raton Pass, but are forecast to diminish later this morning with little-to-no accumulation expected. Cold air advection behind the front will bring cooler temperatures today, most notably across eastern NM where highs will be a few degrees below average. Winds aloft will relax and pressure heights will trend up tonight through Thursday as the Rex block breaks-down and a weakening upper high moves east over the southern Rockies and NM. The result will be light winds and warming that will send temperatures above average areawide by Thursday afternoon.

LONG TERM

(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 1206 AM MST Wed Feb 4 2026

The upper level ridge will shift east of the area Friday and Pacific moisture advection will begin as southwest flow aloft develops ahead of a meandering Pacific low, which is the upper low associated with the current Rex block. Forcing will be weak at best through Sunday, so the added moisture is forecast to result only in added cloud cover as the Pacific low wobbles around northern MX and the Baja Peninsula. Warmer conditions will persist through the weekend with temperatures generally 5-15 degrees above average. The Pacific low is forecast to move east over northern MX early next week as the polar jet takes a dive along the west coast, signaling a potential pattern change toward windy, cooler and unsettled conditions as we progress through the week.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1025 AM MST Wed Feb 4 2026

Prevailing VFR conditions for all sites throughout the period. Breezy north wind (15 to 20 kts) for eastern sites like KTCC, KCVN, KCAO, and KROW through the afternoon. Light and variable winds overnight for most areas with mostly clear skies across the state.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1206 AM MST Wed Feb 4 2026

Critical fire weather conditions are not forecast through at least the next seven days. Vent rates will trend down the next couple of days and become mostly poor by Thursday as an upper level ridge shifts east over the Rockies and NM. Dry conditions will persist with a warming trend from Thursday through Saturday, with temperatures rising above average areawide. A Pacific low will bring increased humidity and very low chances for wetting precipitation later in the weekend and into early next week, but low forecast confidence in that scenario at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 54 25 58 27 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 55 18 61 21 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 50 23 57 26 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 56 16 61 19 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 52 25 59 28 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 54 16 60 20 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 55 23 61 26 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 50 29 57 32 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 50 25 56 28 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 63 21 66 26 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 68 23 67 28 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 48 21 55 24 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 48 29 55 32 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 48 25 58 28 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 45 26 55 29 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 38 18 48 25 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 43 6 54 16 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 49 17 59 21 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 49 24 58 27 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 55 21 63 24 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 50 29 58 33 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 52 25 58 29 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 55 34 60 37 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 58 29 60 32 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 60 26 62 29 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 56 29 60 32 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 58 23 61 25 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 57 29 61 31 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 58 23 61 25 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 58 29 61 31 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 58 25 61 27 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 53 31 58 35 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 57 29 61 32 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 60 29 62 30 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 48 29 54 33 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 50 30 56 33 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 50 25 57 28 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 51 17 60 22 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 45 25 56 29 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 50 25 57 29 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 51 25 57 28 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 56 28 58 32 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 48 28 57 33 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 43 21 56 28 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 48 20 59 25 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 50 18 62 22 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 48 23 60 28 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 49 27 62 34 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 49 23 61 28 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 57 23 67 28 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 51 26 63 28 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 56 25 67 28 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 55 28 67 34 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 56 26 67 32 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 55 24 66 28 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 57 26 62 29 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 53 27 65 32 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 52 24 65 29 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.