textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1138 PM MST Thu Nov 5 2026 - Light rain showers and high terrain snow will move across western, central, and southern New Mexico this afternoon through Saturday afternoon.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Saturday) Issued at 1138 PM MST Thu Nov 5 2026

Overnight lows will be chilly tonight, generally falling into the 30s across the lower elevations, with portions of eastern NM approaching or dipping below freezing. Temperatures will drop into the 20s across higher elevation and colder mountain valleys. A developing upper-level low will move southward from the Great Basin into AZ today, eventually becoming a cutoff low. Increasing lift ahead of this system, combined with a modest increase in moisture (PWATs around 0.50-0.75 inches), will bring scattered showers to western NM by afternoon before activity expands into southern portions of the state during the evening. A few isolated thunderstorms cannot be ruled out, particularly across western NM, although limited instability (no more than 300-500 J/kg SBCAPE) should keep most activity to just rain showers. Most locations that receive precipitation should see less than 0.25 inches, with localized amounts approaching 0.50 inches with any heavier showers. Snow levels will remain between 8500-9500 ft, with only light accumulations expected across higher terrain. As the upper- low continues southward into northern Mexico on Saturday, lingering showers will gradually become confined to the southeastern portions of the CWA. Any remaining precipitation should taper off Saturday evening.

LONG TERM

(Saturday night through next Thursday) Issued at 1138 PM MST Thu Nov 5 2026

Dry weather and a gradual warming trend are expected late this weekend through much of next week as ridging becomes established. Temperatures will be near normal to just above normal through the period. A trough over the northern Great Plains may send a backdoor front southward into eastern NM around Tuesday night/Wednesday, although there are still model differences and uncertainty regarding the timing and extent of the boundary. Any cooling looks to be modest and precipitation limited.

By the end of next week, long-term guidance hints at a Pacific system potentially moving inland. Unsettled weather may be in store, but details will need to be refined in future forecasts as this is over a week away.

AVIATION

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1020 PM MST Thu Nov 5 2026

VFR prevails tonight most areas as a storm system digs southward over AZ. Scattered shower activity with an isolated thunderstorm or two looks to enter far western NM Friday afternoon, spreading into the Rio Grande Valley from just south of KSAF to KABQ and KONM late afternoon and early evening. MVFR ceilings and lower will favor west-central NM along and west of the Continental Divide, and have included mention of this at KGUP. Shower activity then shifts over southern NM Friday night into Saturday morning. Winds remain fairly light to moderate.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1138 PM MST Thu Nov 5 2026

Fire weather concerns will remain limited over the next several days as winds and humidity stay below critical thresholds. Recent moisture has also helped improve fuel conditions across the region. Scattered showers are possible across portions of western, central, and southern NM today and Saturday. Drier weather and gradual warming are then expected through much of next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 39 58 35 58 / 0 10 0 0 Dulce........................... 30 55 28 60 / 0 10 0 0 Cuba............................ 33 53 33 55 / 0 20 20 0 Gallup.......................... 34 54 34 56 / 0 80 40 0 El Morro........................ 34 50 33 54 / 0 80 50 0 Grants.......................... 35 52 35 55 / 0 60 60 0 Quemado......................... 33 53 33 55 / 0 60 50 0 Magdalena....................... 37 52 39 52 / 0 20 50 0 Datil........................... 34 49 36 50 / 0 30 50 0 Reserve......................... 33 58 34 61 / 0 40 30 5 Glenwood........................ 36 62 37 65 / 0 40 30 10 Chama........................... 30 48 28 54 / 0 10 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 36 51 36 54 / 0 10 10 0 Pecos........................... 29 54 31 57 / 0 0 10 30 Cerro/Questa.................... 33 50 33 54 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 27 43 27 48 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 16 48 17 51 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 27 52 26 56 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 28 52 31 54 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 33 57 33 61 / 0 0 5 0 Santa Fe........................ 34 54 35 56 / 0 0 10 10 Santa Fe Airport................ 33 57 34 58 / 0 5 10 10 Albuquerque Foothills........... 39 61 43 62 / 0 20 40 10 Albuquerque Heights............. 36 61 40 62 / 0 20 40 10 Albuquerque Valley.............. 33 63 37 65 / 0 30 40 5 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 38 60 41 62 / 0 20 40 10 Belen........................... 33 61 38 62 / 0 30 50 5 Bernalillo...................... 37 63 40 64 / 0 20 40 10 Bosque Farms.................... 30 62 35 63 / 0 30 40 5 Corrales........................ 37 62 40 64 / 0 20 40 10 Los Lunas....................... 32 61 36 63 / 0 30 40 5 Placitas........................ 38 59 41 60 / 0 20 30 10 Rio Rancho...................... 38 61 41 62 / 0 20 40 10 Socorro......................... 42 61 45 62 / 0 20 50 5 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 34 55 36 56 / 0 20 40 10 Tijeras......................... 36 56 38 57 / 0 20 40 10 Edgewood........................ 32 56 35 56 / 0 10 40 20 Moriarty/Estancia............... 28 58 33 57 / 0 10 40 30 Clines Corners.................. 33 52 33 52 / 0 0 30 50 Mountainair..................... 32 56 36 54 / 0 20 60 5 Gran Quivira.................... 34 57 37 54 / 0 10 70 10 Carrizozo....................... 39 61 42 57 / 0 10 70 20 Ruidoso......................... 34 54 37 47 / 0 10 70 40 Capulin......................... 29 52 32 54 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 28 55 30 59 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 28 56 30 58 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 31 53 31 55 / 0 0 0 30 Clayton......................... 35 58 39 60 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 32 53 33 56 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 37 60 39 61 / 0 0 0 20 Santa Rosa...................... 36 57 39 57 / 0 0 10 40 Tucumcari....................... 36 59 40 60 / 0 0 0 10 Clovis.......................... 37 61 41 60 / 0 0 5 20 Portales........................ 36 61 42 60 / 0 0 5 20 Fort Sumner..................... 37 60 41 58 / 0 0 10 40 Roswell......................... 40 59 44 56 / 0 0 60 50 Picacho......................... 38 59 42 54 / 0 0 70 30 Elk............................. 36 59 39 52 / 0 5 70 50

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.