textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 443 PM MST Fri Nov 13 2026 - Slick travel conditions due to valley rain and mountain snow will favor the northern half of New Mexico Saturday.

- There is a low (10%-20%) risk of flooding impacts over northwestern New Mexico Saturday.

- Quieter conditions expected Sunday and Monday, with unsettled weather returning across western and central New Mexico late Tuesday into Wednesday.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 1209 PM MST Fri Nov 13 2026

A tranquil stretch of gorgeous early November weather is currently coming to an end across northern and central NM. Showers are developing across southwest and south central NM midday ahead of a lead shortwave moving northeast into southern AZ. Showers with an isolated storm to two will move northeast across central NM later this afternoon and this evening. The northern half of this shower activity will taper off along and north of I-40 with showers and embedded storms moving across the south central mountains and southeast plains as the shortwave moves across the area mid to late this evening into early Saturday morning. This shower/storm activity across southeast NM will result in 0.25" to 0.50" of rainfall. Low risk for potential flash flooding on the Ruidoso burn scars, but the brisk motion of these showers and storms to the east should help limit the overall risk. Scattered showers across northwest and north central NM early Saturday morning becoming more numerous beginning late Saturday morning as a jet max at the base of a trailing larger scale upper level trough dives southeast over the Four Corners region. This trough will try to close off into a 560 to 562 dam low at 500 mb along the NM/CO border Saturday afternoon. Scattered to numerous rain showers and mountain peak snow showers will favor areas along and north of I-40 with breezy west winds along and south of I-40 during the day Saturday. Overall rainfall amounts up to 0.25 inches for lower elevations along and north of I-40 with 0.25 to 0.75 inches of liquid equivalent across the west and southwest slopes of the northern mountains. A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for the Tusas Mountains from midnight to 9 PM Saturday, focused on slick winter travel along the U.S. Hwy 64 corridor in that zone. Finally, there remains a low risk (10%-20%) of the light rainfall amounts exacerbating recovery efforts through northwestern NM where ground and road conditions remain treacherous from the flooding events in late October.

Rain and mountain snow showers will taper off mid to late Saturday evening as the upper low exits east over the OK/TX panhandles with a backdoor front sliding south across northeast and east central NM Saturday night into Sunday morning. Skies will clear across most areas early Sunday morning, except for low clouds moving south across northeast and east central NM behind the backdoor front along with some low clouds and patchy fog/freezing fog across western valley locations due to drier mid levels and nearly saturated low levels.

LONG TERM

(Sunday through Thursday) Issued at 1209 PM MST Fri Nov 13 2026

Cool and tranquil conditions return Sunday as an upper level shortwave ridge moves across the desert SW Sunday into Monday. The backdoor front moving south across eastern Sunday will result in low clouds across far eastern NM Sunday before spreading to as far west as the east slopes of the central mountain chain Sunday night into Monday morning. Low clouds/patchy fog across eastern NM will gradually burn off from northwest to southeast late Monday morning into early Monday afternoon before expanding back to the northwest again early Tuesday morning and then burning off late Tuesday morning.

Increasing clouds and south to southwest winds during the day Tuesday as the next Pacific storm system moves east over the Great Basin. Guidance is in strong agreement of tracking the base of this upper level trough across the Four Corners region thus favoring any shower activity across western NM late Tuesday into early Wednesday and north central NM Tuesday evening into Wednesday afternoon before drier weather returns areawide late Wednesday. Low forecast confidence in the evolution of a storm system late next week as a potent Pacific upper low moves into the Intermountain West. Ensemble cluster guidance is split on if the storm stays north of the desert SW or dives south over the desert next Friday into Saturday. A northern track will result in drier and breezy to windy conditions while a southern track will result in much wetter conditions. Temperatures during the long term period will be near to slightly below average across western and central NM and fairly below average across eastern NM Sunday through Tuesday due to the morning low clouds. Below average temperatures across western NM Wednesday due to the morning precipitation with near average temperatures across central and eastern NM. Near average temperatures areawide Thursday.

AVIATION

(00Z TAFS) Issued at 443 PM MST Fri Nov 13 2026

A batch of showers in central and southern NM will continue its trek east and northward this evening, with additional light showers developing off to the southwest. As moisture is advected into the region, cloud bases will gradually lower, with more substantial lowering with intermittent showers. There are moderate to high chances in MVFR cigs across much of western NM and the eastern plains, with lower chances in central areas.

A second storm system will impact the area Saturday, with widespread rain and snow showers generally along and north of I-40. Snow levels will initially be around 9kft, falling to around 7kft by Sat. evening. Persistent MVFR to IFR conditions are likely across much of northern NM throughout the day. It should be noted that NBM visibility is quite aggressive with both visibility and cig reductions tomorrow and the duration of these reductions are likely overdone outside of the northern mountains where snow will result in more significant and persistent vis reductions.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1209 PM MST Fri Nov 13 2026

No critical fire weather concerns are expected through late next week. Showers across western central and southeast New Mexico this afternoon and evening. Some embedded storms as well across south central and southeast New Mexico. Scattered to numerous rain and mountain snow showers across areas along and north and I-40 most of Saturday before clearing out Saturday evening. Dry and cool weather Sunday and Monday. Increasing winds with rain and mountain peak snow showers across western and north central New Mexico late Tuesday into midday Wednesday. Tranquil weather returns late Wednesday into Thursday. Temperatures near to slightly below normal overall through mid next week. Good to locally excellent conditions along and south of I-40 Saturday before mostly poor ventilation Sunday and Monday. Fair to good ventilation across west central and northeast New Mexico Tuesday. Good to very good ventilation across western, central, and northeast New Mexico Wednesday before poor ventilation returns Thursday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 43 49 33 52 / 60 90 5 0 Dulce........................... 37 42 28 54 / 50 100 10 0 Cuba............................ 36 44 31 50 / 40 80 40 0 Gallup.......................... 37 47 25 52 / 60 100 10 0 El Morro........................ 35 44 26 52 / 40 80 40 0 Grants.......................... 37 47 30 52 / 30 60 40 0 Quemado......................... 36 50 31 53 / 30 40 30 0 Magdalena....................... 38 52 34 53 / 30 20 10 0 Datil........................... 35 48 32 51 / 30 20 20 0 Reserve......................... 38 52 28 59 / 50 30 5 0 Glenwood........................ 41 54 32 62 / 50 40 5 0 Chama........................... 35 39 25 48 / 50 100 40 0 Los Alamos...................... 40 45 32 51 / 50 90 40 0 Pecos........................... 36 46 28 51 / 50 90 70 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 36 42 29 48 / 30 100 30 0 Red River....................... 30 36 24 42 / 30 100 50 0 Angel Fire...................... 25 41 20 48 / 30 90 40 0 Taos............................ 35 45 27 53 / 30 90 30 0 Mora............................ 34 47 28 50 / 30 80 60 5 Espanola........................ 40 50 31 58 / 40 90 40 0 Santa Fe........................ 39 45 32 52 / 50 90 40 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 38 48 31 54 / 50 90 30 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 44 51 37 58 / 40 70 50 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 44 54 35 59 / 40 60 40 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 43 56 35 62 / 40 50 30 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 43 54 36 60 / 40 60 30 0 Belen........................... 43 57 34 59 / 30 40 20 0 Bernalillo...................... 43 54 36 61 / 50 70 40 0 Bosque Farms.................... 41 56 32 60 / 30 50 30 0 Corrales........................ 43 54 36 61 / 40 70 30 0 Los Lunas....................... 42 57 34 60 / 30 40 30 0 Placitas........................ 43 51 36 55 / 50 80 50 0 Rio Rancho...................... 44 54 37 60 / 40 60 30 0 Socorro......................... 44 60 38 61 / 30 20 5 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 39 46 31 51 / 50 70 60 0 Tijeras......................... 41 49 34 53 / 40 70 60 0 Edgewood........................ 38 50 31 53 / 40 70 60 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 34 52 29 54 / 50 60 60 0 Clines Corners.................. 38 49 32 51 / 50 50 60 0 Mountainair..................... 39 51 32 53 / 50 60 20 0 Gran Quivira.................... 39 51 33 54 / 60 50 30 0 Carrizozo....................... 43 54 37 57 / 70 30 30 0 Ruidoso......................... 38 48 34 51 / 90 20 30 0 Capulin......................... 37 45 32 47 / 5 90 40 5 Raton........................... 36 49 31 53 / 5 90 30 0 Springer........................ 37 53 31 54 / 5 80 10 0 Las Vegas....................... 36 50 29 51 / 30 50 20 0 Clayton......................... 41 45 38 45 / 5 90 70 5 Roy............................. 40 50 35 49 / 30 70 10 0 Conchas......................... 45 60 39 54 / 40 70 5 0 Santa Rosa...................... 44 60 39 55 / 40 30 5 0 Tucumcari....................... 46 59 40 51 / 40 80 20 0 Clovis.......................... 46 58 42 51 / 60 60 30 0 Portales........................ 46 60 43 53 / 70 50 30 0 Fort Sumner..................... 46 61 42 56 / 50 40 5 0 Roswell......................... 49 65 44 60 / 90 0 5 0 Picacho......................... 43 59 41 57 / 90 0 5 0 Elk............................. 40 55 36 56 / 90 0 5 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 PM MST Saturday for NMZ210.