textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 1128 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026 - Low confidence in fog impacting portions of Northwest NM and the Pecos River Valley tonight into Wednesday morning.

- Slick travel conditions from the next round of precipitation favoring the northern half of NM is forecast to arrive Saturday into Sunday.

- Quiet, dry, and mild conditions will prevail across northern and central New Mexico through the end of the work week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 1128 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026

A broad ridge will remain in control across the Southwest through Wednesday. This will allow for the continuation of dry conditions, mostly sunny skies, light winds, and above-normal temperatures through tomorrow. Highs will generally range from the 50s across the higher terrain to the 60s and low 70s across lower elevations, with the warmest conditions expected across eastern NM. Another round of fog and low stratus will be possible overnight, although, increasing high-level cloud cover across northern and central portions of the CWA as well as the passage of a weak backdoor front across eastern NM may limit coverage compared to this past morning.

LONG TERM

(Thursday through Monday) Issued at 1128 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026

The amplifying ridge over the Southwest will maintain dry, calm conditons through the end of the work week. Temperatures will remain near or above normal with light winds and periods of high clouds.

Things become more active as we reach Friday and head into the weekend as a pair of Pacific systems move towards the region. The first of the two looks to travel south of the Land of Enchantment and across northern Mexico. This will allow for some moisture advection northward into the CWA, but limited precipitation is expected. The second, stronger disturbance is forecast to propagate across the northern half of the state Saturday into Sunday night, bringing the best opportunity for precipitation out of the two systems. This is particularly true for the western and northern mountains. Valley rain and high elevation snow (above 8500-9000 ft) will also be possible. Breezy to windy conditions are also expected, as long-term guidance shows 40-50 knots 700 mb winds overspreading the region. The highest winds at the surface will set up along and east of the Central Mountain Chain, where north-south oriented roads could see crosswind gusts between 35-50 mph.

A brief period of quieter weather is anticipated Sunday into Monday as brief ridging moves across the region. However, another system looks to approach the western CONUS as early as next Tuesday. This could bring more precipitation chances to the state as early as Tuesday, although uncertainty does remain regarding the eventual track and timing of this disturbance.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1019 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026

VFR conditions and light winds will prevail across all sites through much, if not all, of this TAF cycle. Another round of low clouds and fog is possible late tonight into Wednesday morning, but likely to a lesser degree and coverage relative to this morning. This is due in part to an increase in coverage of high clouds across portions of northern and central NM as well as the passage of a modest front backing southwestward through eastern NM. Due to lower confidence, opted to not include mention of lower CIGs and fog in the TAFs at this time.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1128 AM MST Tue Nov 10 2026

Critical fire weather concerns are not anticipated over the next week. However, widespread poor ventilation will continue over the next several days due to the broad ridging pattern overhead and light prevailing winds. The only exception to this wind pattern is a weak backdoor front which will shift winds to the northeast across the eastern plains tomorrow.

By Friday our eyes will be on a pair of Pacific systems moving towards the region. The first system looks to traverse the NM/Mexico border, advecting modest moisture northward and increasing precipitation across the southern half of the state. By Saturday into Sunday, the second system will cross northern NM, with valley rain and mountain snow favoring the western facing slopes of the northern half of NM. This second system is also forecast to bring gusty westerly winds, especially along and east of the Central Mountain Chain. Though there may be brief periods of favorable ventilation rates, poor ventilation will remain widespread through this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 59 35 60 33 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 60 28 64 28 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 59 33 61 34 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 62 26 61 26 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 61 31 60 33 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 63 27 61 24 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 61 31 62 31 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 63 36 59 35 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 61 32 57 33 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 69 31 68 30 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 71 36 71 35 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 56 32 58 32 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 59 40 58 37 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 63 37 61 32 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 58 35 59 34 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 52 30 52 29 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 58 15 55 16 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 61 26 61 24 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 64 34 59 31 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 65 35 65 32 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 60 37 61 34 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 61 35 63 32 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 65 42 67 43 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 65 37 66 38 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 68 37 68 37 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 67 40 66 40 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 65 35 67 35 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 68 39 69 39 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 66 35 67 35 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 68 39 68 39 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 66 36 68 36 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 64 40 65 40 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 67 40 67 39 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 68 38 66 37 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 59 37 61 38 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 61 39 63 40 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 63 36 63 34 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 66 32 64 30 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 61 36 58 35 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 63 35 62 34 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 63 36 62 34 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 64 42 67 41 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 62 38 58 36 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 63 36 58 35 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 65 33 62 30 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 68 34 63 29 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 65 35 59 31 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 67 44 63 42 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 64 39 61 33 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 71 42 67 36 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 70 43 64 37 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 70 40 67 38 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 69 40 67 39 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 70 43 68 39 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 69 43 67 37 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 68 41 68 41 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 71 44 64 40 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 70 40 64 36 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.