textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Issued at 420 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026 - Tranquil conditions expected across northern and central New Mexico through Friday.

- Low visibility from patchy areas of dense fog across the lower Pecos River Valley near Roswell this morning and Tuesday morning and the Caprock Tuesday morning could make driving conditions hazardous.

- Rain and very high elevation snow showers could return to central and southern portions of the area midday Saturday into early Sunday.

SHORT TERM

(Tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 1142 PM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

Another mostly clear and seasonably chilly night across northern and central NM. Some low clouds across far southeast NM due to being in the vicinity of a weak upper low over the TX Big Bend. Nearly saturated low levels will once again result in the low to moderate potential (20 to 50%) for low clouds and patchy fog in the Pecos River Valley just east of Roswell early Monday morning. Any low clouds and patchy fog should burn off by 8 AM. Upper level ridging over southern California and the Four Corners Sunday expands east over much of the desert SW Monday as the upper low over the TX Big Bend shifts northeast to over the Texas Hill Country. High temperatures will be near average across central and southern areas and 5 to 10 degrees above average north of I-40 with light winds and mostly sunny skies continuing. Hi res guidance depicts moderate potential (40 to 70%) for a greater coverage of low clouds and patchy fog across the lower Pecos River Valley and Caprock early to mid Tuesday morning before burning off mid to late Tuesday morning. The weak ridge overhead breaks down Tuesday as a trough moves southeast across the northern and central Rockies and Great Plains. High temperatures warm a touch more compared to Monday.

LONG TERM

(Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1142 PM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

Upper level ridging over the Great Basin and troughing over the Great Plains Wednesday helps sends a backdoor front through eastern NM during the morning hours resulting in some breezy north winds through early Wednesday afternoon. The GFS has now come in line with the other mid range guidance keeping max wind gusts in the 20 to 30 mph range. The upper ridge slides east over the state Wednesday night into Thursday before sliding east of the state late Friday. This will allow the tranquil November weather to continue! High to mid level clouds move in from the west Friday evening into Saturday morning as an upper low moves into northern Baja CA. Deterministic and ensemble guidance has now trended further south with the track of the weakening upper low taking it across northern Mexico Saturday into Saturday night. This will keep most shower activity across southern NM. Skies somewhat clear during the day Sunday in the wake of this system and ahead of a larger scale upper level trough over the Pacific NW and Great Basin. High temperatures mid to late this week will be near to as much as 10 degrees above average for mid November. Slight cooling across eastern NM Wednesday compared to Tuesday due to the backdoor front. Low temperatures will be 5 to 12 degrees above average for mid November.

AVIATION

(12Z TAFS) Issued at 420 AM MST Mon Nov 9 2026

VFR conditions will prevail overall with a few exceptions. Localized IFR to LIFR conditions from low clouds/patchy fog just east and northeast of KROW in the Pecos RIver Valley through around 15Z this morning. REFS guidance is depicting a greater coverage with moderate confidence (40 to 60%) of IFR to LIFR conditions from low clouds and patchy fog from KSXU to KCVN to KROW and KATS and all areas in between these sites beginning around 07Z Tuesday.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1142 PM MST Sun Nov 8 2026

No critical fire weather concerns are expected through late next week. Tranquil weather is expected areawide through late next week. High temperatures will be near to slightly above average, while low temperatures will be slightly to well above average for mid November. Ventilation will generally be poor with some areas of fair to locally good ventilation across far east central New Mexico Monday, the central high terrain Tuesday, and southeast New Mexico Wednesday. Showers could impact southern New Mexico Saturday as a storm system moves across northern New Mexico.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 60 35 59 35 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 63 30 61 29 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 60 33 58 33 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 63 28 64 29 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 62 28 62 29 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 62 31 63 32 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 61 30 61 30 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 60 37 61 38 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 59 30 61 31 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 66 31 67 32 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 67 37 69 38 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 59 30 56 30 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 60 39 60 39 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 64 33 64 34 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 59 32 58 32 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 54 27 52 27 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 60 18 57 19 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 62 28 61 29 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 64 32 64 33 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 66 35 65 35 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 61 36 61 36 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 62 34 63 35 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 64 41 65 41 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 64 39 66 40 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 66 36 68 38 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 65 39 67 40 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 64 34 66 35 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 67 38 68 38 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 65 33 67 34 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 66 38 68 39 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 65 33 66 34 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 63 39 65 39 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 65 39 67 39 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 65 42 66 44 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 59 36 60 37 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 61 37 62 38 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 63 34 64 35 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 65 28 66 30 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 62 36 62 37 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 61 34 62 36 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 61 34 62 36 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 61 41 64 42 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 58 37 60 39 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 64 34 64 35 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 68 31 67 33 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 69 28 69 33 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 65 33 67 35 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 69 40 69 43 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 65 35 65 39 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 70 38 72 42 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 69 38 71 42 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 70 38 72 40 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 67 43 69 43 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 68 43 69 43 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 67 41 70 43 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 66 43 68 43 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 65 41 69 45 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 62 37 66 42 / 0 0 0 0

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.