textproduct: Albuquerque

KEY MESSAGES

Updated at 1144 AM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

- A Pacific system will move east across northern Mexico and bring increased cloud cover and low chances for light precipitation to southern portions of the area from Saturday through Monday.

- Otherwise, fair weather conditions and above average temperatures are forecast through the middle of next week.

- A pattern change to cooler, windy, and unsettled conditions is in store for late next week.

SHORT TERM

(This evening through Sunday) Issued at 1144 AM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

An upper-low continues to deepen off the West Coast of the US, with moisture beginning to push in from the southwest. Dewpoints at the sfc are slowly ticking upward and high clouds are starting to increase in coverage from the west. Today will be warmer than yesterday and that warming trend will continue into Saturday as a light southwest breeze develops in response to strengthening flow aloft. Models have been latching onto a batch of showers associated with an jet streak in southern NM on Saturday afternoon. Rainfall amounts will remain below 0.1", with most areas just seeing some sprinkles/flurries.

The upper Low responsible for the light showers on Saturday will continue its slow trek across the deserts of northern Mexico Sunday, with the moisture and stronger winds associated with it remaining south of the CWA. It will be another seasonably warm day with temperatures pushing 60F even in northern NM locations such as Taos and Farmington.

LONG TERM

(Monday through Thursday) Issued at 1144 AM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

The pattern change that has been advertised in the past several forecast packages is still on track to occur, but it looks like it will be occurring slightly later than previously though. Models have trended slower with the development of longwave troughing over the western US, but confidence remains high that it will eventually happen. ENS members favor a deepening trough off the west coast of California, with the trough eventually ejecting across the Intermountain West late in the week. This solution would delay precipitation chances until Thursday, potentially as late as Friday. The slightly more progressive GEFS and GEPS favor the trough to deepen over the Intermountain West, with precipitation chances increasing earlier in the week (late Wednesday/Thursday). Within both of these scenarios, temperatures look to remain above seasonal normals, meaning snow will be confined to the higher elevations. While snow levels will likely drop behind a Pacific cold front (potentially a series of fronts). Significantly colder temperatures are not really on the table though with this pattern.

AVIATION

(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1023 AM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

VFR conditions will continue to prevail through the TAF period. Clouds will continue to increase in coverage from the west, with lowering cloud bases through the night. Winds will continue to remain light in all areas through the next 24 hours. Light rain/mountain snow showers will enter from the southwest just before 18Z tomorrow.

FIRE WEATHER

Issued at 1144 AM MST Fri Feb 6 2026

Poor ventilation prevails in most areas today, with minor improvements Saturday as both winds and humidity increase. There may be a few showers in southwest and south-central areas however wetting precipitation is unlikely. Gusty outflow winds up to 35 mph can be expected near these showers. Increasing southwest to west winds in the eastern plains may create briefly elevated fire weather conditions even with the increase in humidity.

Southwest to west winds will trend slightly stronger early next week as quasi-zonal flow develops over the desert southwest. Precipitation chances will increase later in the week, although models have notably pushed these higher rain/snow chances from mid- week to late week. Ventilation will improve next week as well, with poor ventilation generally confined to valley areas and fair to good ventilation elsewhere.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS

Farmington...................... 32 61 28 59 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 24 57 22 60 / 0 5 5 0 Cuba............................ 29 57 27 58 / 0 5 0 5 Gallup.......................... 21 59 21 60 / 0 5 0 0 El Morro........................ 28 55 29 58 / 0 10 5 5 Grants.......................... 26 59 23 62 / 0 10 0 5 Quemado......................... 32 55 28 59 / 0 10 0 10 Magdalena....................... 39 55 35 59 / 0 30 5 10 Datil........................... 33 53 30 58 / 0 30 5 10 Reserve......................... 31 59 28 66 / 0 30 5 20 Glenwood........................ 34 61 31 70 / 5 30 5 20 Chama........................... 26 51 24 53 / 0 5 5 0 Los Alamos...................... 35 55 34 56 / 0 5 5 5 Pecos........................... 32 58 30 59 / 0 10 5 10 Cerro/Questa.................... 32 54 29 54 / 0 0 0 5 Red River....................... 21 46 25 46 / 0 5 5 5 Angel Fire...................... 12 52 18 52 / 0 5 5 10 Taos............................ 25 58 24 59 / 0 0 5 5 Mora............................ 30 60 29 58 / 0 5 5 5 Espanola........................ 28 62 27 64 / 0 5 0 5 Santa Fe........................ 35 56 34 58 / 0 5 5 10 Santa Fe Airport................ 32 58 30 60 / 0 5 5 5 Albuquerque Foothills........... 40 60 38 64 / 0 10 5 10 Albuquerque Heights............. 37 62 34 66 / 0 10 5 5 Albuquerque Valley.............. 34 64 32 68 / 0 10 5 5 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 36 62 34 66 / 0 10 5 5 Belen........................... 28 62 29 66 / 0 20 5 5 Bernalillo...................... 35 63 34 67 / 0 10 5 5 Bosque Farms.................... 28 63 29 67 / 0 10 5 5 Corrales........................ 35 63 33 67 / 0 10 5 5 Los Lunas....................... 29 62 30 66 / 0 10 5 5 Placitas........................ 38 59 36 62 / 0 10 5 5 Rio Rancho...................... 36 62 34 66 / 0 10 5 5 Socorro......................... 37 63 35 67 / 0 20 5 5 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 36 55 34 59 / 0 10 5 10 Tijeras......................... 37 57 35 59 / 0 10 5 10 Edgewood........................ 32 60 30 61 / 0 10 5 5 Moriarty/Estancia............... 26 61 25 63 / 0 10 5 5 Clines Corners.................. 32 57 30 58 / 0 10 5 5 Mountainair..................... 34 59 32 61 / 0 20 5 5 Gran Quivira.................... 34 60 32 62 / 0 20 5 5 Carrizozo....................... 38 63 37 65 / 0 30 10 10 Ruidoso......................... 39 59 37 60 / 0 30 10 10 Capulin......................... 30 62 30 59 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 26 64 29 60 / 0 0 5 0 Springer........................ 23 67 29 63 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 32 62 30 61 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 37 70 40 65 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 31 66 35 62 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 32 73 35 70 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 32 68 36 66 / 0 5 5 0 Tucumcari....................... 34 75 36 72 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 37 71 41 70 / 0 0 10 0 Portales........................ 35 73 41 71 / 0 0 10 0 Fort Sumner..................... 32 71 37 70 / 0 5 10 0 Roswell......................... 35 68 40 70 / 0 10 10 5 Picacho......................... 39 69 39 69 / 0 20 5 5 Elk............................. 37 68 35 68 / 0 10 5 10

ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES

None.