textproduct: Albuquerque
This forecast discussion was created in the public domain by the National Weather Service. It can be found in its original form here.
KEY MESSAGES
Updated at 252 AM MST Mon Jan 26 2026
- Freezing fog is expected to impact travel across east central and southeast areas late this evening until mid morning on Monday, then again in the Roswell area Monday night.
- Wind chill temperatures late tonight and early Sunday morning will drop as low as 15 degrees below zero posing a risk to people, pets, plants, and pipes.
- The recent outbreak of subfreezing temperatures are forecast to continue across the northeast plains until Monday afternoon, and across the southeast plains until Tuesday afternoon.
UPDATE
Issued at 252 AM MST Mon Jan 26 2026
A combination of satellite and ground observations at the Roswell Airport has made it prudent to stay consistent with the already issued Freezing Fog Advisory over southwest Chaves County and to expand it to the rest of Chaves County. Much of this is right along the Pecos River and is likely to continue into the early morning hours to just past sunrise in the Roswell area this morning.
SHORT TERM
(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 1208 AM MST Mon Jan 26 2026
Large scale troughing pattern remains across the central and eastern CONUS with a shortwave trough embedded within the polar jet clipping northeastern NM. So while winter weather has exited a majority of the state and many areas saw clear skies toward the end of Sunday, the northeastern plains from Raton to Clayton are seeing an additional light dusting of snow tonight. This feature should be exiting into TX come sunrise later this morning. There is also a low to moderate chance for freezing fog developing over portions of eastern NM. Some looks to have already developed over isolated portions of southwest Chaves County and the foothills within the Upper Tularosa Valley. Additional expansion of this is most likely within the Pecos River Valley from Fort Sumner southward to Roswell. Freezing fog is likely to develop over these same areas again tonight into Tuesday morning.
Elsewhere, the combination of fresh cold snow on the ground and the remnants of the now slightly modified Arctic airmass is allowing wind chills to fall into the single-digits to below zero over the eastern plains of NM. In fact, Clovis is already reporting a wind chill of -12F and Roswell is reporting -5F this hour where Extreme Cold Warnings are in effect. Breezy to windy northwesterly winds are also reaching across much of western and central NM this hour with some locations from Farmington to Santa Fe to Clines Corners to Ruidoso reporting gusts of 20-30mph. Despite the lower amounts of snow observed in these areas (aside from the 30+ inches atop Sierra Blanca near Ruidoso!) these very dry northwesterly winds will also dip wind chills a good amount tonight as well. Cold Weather Advisories do extend across the northeastern plains, central highlands and into the Rio Grande Valley from Santa Fe to Taos, including at Grants.
The bitter cold finally warms up a tad by Monday afternoon. Many areas will see at least a few degree warmup relative to Sunday's readings, but highs areawide will remain 10F-15F below normal. In fact, those east-central and southeastern portions of the forecast area that saw substantial snow accumulations will see little to no warmup with highs remaining 25F-30F below normal in the mid-to-upper 20s. Monday night will see less winds, but low temperatures fall into the single-digits for many western and northern valley locales as well as over the east-central plains from Clovis to Fort Sumner to Roswell again. Another round of Cold Weather highlights will likely be needed again. Tuesday finally sees a more notable warmup with highs forecast to climb another 5F to 10F areawide into the 40s and 50s. Areas around Roswell to Clovis will finally reach above freezing!
LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 1208 AM MST Mon Jan 26 2026
A flattening ridge of high pressure slides west to east across NM Wednesday, continuing the warming trend. A weak shortwave then looks to cross northern NM Thursday plateauing the warming trend, bringing little to no hope for precipitation along with it. Thereafter, a more notable cold front has a moderate chance to back into eastern NM Friday. Global numerical model solutions are sporting another potent 520dm H5 polar low into the Great Lakes and MidWest region. An associated vortlobe stretching westward across the Great Plains will send southward the aforementioned cold front, but there are disparities with its strength and location. The main takeaway at the time of this writing is that the majority of any Canadian or Arctic airmass looks to stay well east of the state, leaving only a modest cool down into the 30s and 40s across NM for Friday. Little to no precipitation is also favored with this late week weather feature as well. In fact, dry weather looks to persist through the week and into next weekend, with only a slight hope for showers reaching into southern NM next weekend.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1025 PM MST Sun Jan 25 2026
A shortwave clipping far northeast NM is bringing brief MVFR conditions at KCAO due to snow. This should clear southeast of this part of the state at around midnight. Elsewhere, fresh snow cover has resulted in low clouds and MVFR to IFR conditions across the Tularosa Valley. Low clouds and freezing fog is expected to develop in the lower Pecos River Valley from Fort Sumner southward, including KROW, early Monday morning resulting in airport minimum conditions. Freezing fog should burn off mid Monday morning with mostly clear skies across the state. Low clouds and potential freezing fog looks to begin to develop once again across the lower Pecos River Valley at the end of the TAF period. Finally, a brisk north drainage wind at KSAF through midday Monday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 1208 AM MST Mon Jan 26 2026
No fire weather concerns through the next 7 days, given the below normal cold and snow across a significant portion of the state. A significant drop in dewpoints and humidity is advancing through western, northern, and central NM tonight and into this morning however. Breezy northwesterly winds do subside through the day today. Dry conditions, a steady warming trend that plateaus Thursday, melting snow in the lower elevations, and slight improvements to humidity after today are the rule through the work week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Farmington...................... 36 15 42 17 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 38 5 44 8 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 36 12 43 15 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 40 7 48 9 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 40 16 48 19 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 43 9 50 11 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 39 14 48 17 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 39 22 46 25 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 39 19 48 21 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 49 14 58 18 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 52 19 61 22 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 32 5 39 10 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 34 17 40 20 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 38 16 47 17 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 34 13 39 16 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 26 9 32 12 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 32 -5 38 -3 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 35 4 43 7 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 43 15 48 15 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 39 9 48 13 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 34 17 42 21 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 34 12 42 17 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 39 23 46 26 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 40 19 47 24 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 42 17 50 20 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 41 20 48 23 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 41 10 46 14 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 41 17 46 22 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 41 12 48 15 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 42 17 48 22 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 41 14 47 17 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 37 21 43 24 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 41 19 47 23 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 42 16 47 20 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 34 19 41 21 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 34 20 41 23 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 36 13 43 16 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 37 5 44 8 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 30 14 39 17 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 36 13 43 17 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 35 11 43 15 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 35 15 43 21 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 36 18 44 21 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 39 14 45 16 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 42 9 48 12 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 47 9 50 11 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 41 14 49 16 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 41 21 49 21 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 39 14 48 15 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 42 11 50 15 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 38 17 49 15 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 38 9 48 12 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 29 9 45 13 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 30 8 44 8 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 31 3 47 8 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 26 2 36 8 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 38 13 48 19 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 41 14 53 18 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM MST this morning for NMZ207-212- 216>218-221>234-239.
Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM MST this morning for NMZ235>238- 240.
Freezing Fog Advisory until 9 AM MST this morning for NMZ238-240.
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